Latest / Best of Business / Shane Solly: Harbour Asset Management expert on oil prices rising as a result of the Middle East conflict
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from news Talk zed Be
- 0:12Speaker 1: follow this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:16Speaker 2: Shane Sally Harbor Resset Managements with Us. Hello, Shane, Hey, Heather, Right.
- 0:21Speaker 2: How are the investment markets reacting to the weekends around
- 0:23Speaker 2: related actions?
- 0:25Speaker 3: Yeah, it's been a bit of a rocky, rocky start
- 0:27Speaker 3: that Wesson seen a risk off Ton today reflecting this
- 0:30Speaker 3: diverging messaging from Iran as well in the US over
- 0:33Speaker 3: the weekend. Up just breaking it down, we saw the
- 0:36Speaker 3: oil pricess mornings by one hundred and forty dollars fifty
- 0:40Speaker 3: that's for print per barrel. Since she's falling back to
- 0:42Speaker 3: BET one hundred and thirty now, which is where Friday's
- 0:44Speaker 3: close was, so then move there. Locally, big moves have
- 0:47Speaker 3: been in the New Zealand tenure government bond years. We've
- 0:50Speaker 3: seen them increase zero point one it's almost a four
- 0:53Speaker 3: point nine percent, which is a one year high. A
- 0:56Speaker 3: little bit about this global risk and a little bit
- 0:58Speaker 3: about the credit rating agency changes last week from Fitch.
- 1:01Speaker 3: Perhaps you own shear market down zero point seven to
- 1:04Speaker 3: seven zero point seven percent today, driven by six companies
- 1:08Speaker 3: such as main Fa or when he bort future building,
- 1:12Speaker 3: but we're actually else with our head. We've seen the
- 1:14Speaker 3: Japanese market down more than three percent today and US
- 1:18Speaker 3: futures it's suggesting the US market will be down about
- 1:21Speaker 3: zero point three percent.
- 1:22Speaker 2: How did the market react to the profit results from
- 1:24Speaker 2: from Fonterira ands, They.
- 1:26Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty good. Actually, Fonterira's result was with strong food
- 1:29Speaker 3: services and the ingredients performing really well. We actually saw
- 1:32Speaker 3: the management team of Frontier upgrade earnings forecast for the
- 1:35Speaker 3: full year to between fifty to sixty five cents. They
- 1:38Speaker 3: boosted dividends. They've given us a special dividence of sixteen cents.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Confirmed that that two dollars payout this year is going
- 1:45Speaker 3: to come to on April fourteenth. That'll be a well
- 1:48Speaker 3: welcomed beast for parts US in an economy. They did
- 1:51Speaker 3: warn about the Middle East conflict having impact on supply
- 1:54Speaker 3: chains and just being wary of inmentary and costs. But
- 1:58Speaker 3: the Fonteriership ros up two point four percent to eight
- 2:01Speaker 3: dollars forty three to day sin they are pre guided
- 2:04Speaker 3: weak result for the first half, cash outflows and rising debt.
- 2:07Speaker 3: They have been the debt relief coming through with this
- 2:09Speaker 3: abbot asset sale and they're making progress on their deal
- 2:13Speaker 3: where they two to improve change manufacturing and US fifty eight.
- 2:17Speaker 3: So the similar ship PO is actually a nice bounce
- 2:18Speaker 3: up three percent to fifty cents per year.
- 2:21Speaker 2: Okay, Now, Anna Bremen is speaking at the Business New
- 2:24Speaker 2: Zealand Forum tomorrow. What are the markets pricing in for
- 2:26Speaker 2: the OCR.
- 2:28Speaker 3: Yeah, look, it's a it's an important speech by government. Bremen.
- 2:32Speaker 3: Obviously the focus has changed in terms of the potential
- 2:34Speaker 3: impacts the involved in Middle East situation. That's what the
- 2:37Speaker 3: new speech is for. The Rby has been really careful
- 2:40Speaker 3: to say this is not premting the Manasty Policy Committee
- 2:43Speaker 3: meeting in April. But you know, the markets are now
- 2:46Speaker 3: pricing and the Reserve Bank news on official overnight cash
- 2:50Speaker 3: rate to be increased by one point three percent to
- 2:53Speaker 3: three point five to five percent by March twenty seven,
- 2:55Speaker 3: so within twelve miles the markets expecting official cash rates
- 2:59Speaker 3: to be above three and a half percent. Now, when
- 3:01Speaker 3: we look at it, your economy has surplus comparnities, the
- 3:04Speaker 3: unemployment rate it's above average, So maybe the RBUS can
- 3:08Speaker 3: take more visited approach. But markets are certainly putting a
- 3:11Speaker 3: bit of an increase in here.
- 3:13Speaker 2: Very interesting. Hey, thanks very much. Shane has always Shane
- 3:15Speaker 2: solely Harborreset Management.
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