Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Friday 11/28/25

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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Friday 11/28/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show, horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with bookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape. Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least ohe and two Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five, the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. The slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up for? It's towed back with you
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: with Toad Steel Sports. I don't even know why I'm
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: still here. I don't know why I'm doing this. I
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: was seriously considering just not even showing up, not even
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: doing this. I hate this show. I hate myself, I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: hate my life, I hate everything about this h I
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: hate the board today. The board is overwhelming. I don't
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: even know what I'm doing anymore. I'm gonna give about
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: ten plays. I don't I don't really want to have
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: a long show here. I want to go fast. I
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: don't want to talk about every game. I just don't
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: want to do it. Everything is fucking bullshit. South Florida
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: yesterday actually covered if you or they pushed excuse me,
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: if you got the best number on it. They were
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: losing by double digits at the half, so they were
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: in a massive hole. They wound up winning by six
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: in overtime. So if you got right on it when
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I gave it out, I think you may have gotten
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the better number. Maybe it was already gone by them.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know what else to say about that.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: These college basketball lines moved way too fast. It was
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: a push at the number that I got. And then
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the football game last night. Football was horrendous yesterday, Dude,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Do I want to take an own three in like
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: my picking pools? No, my pick five? At least I
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: only had Baltimore and I didn't have the other games
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: in it. And that game was unbelievably misleading. I mean, statistically,
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: yardage wise, the game was close, but also Baltimore had
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: like a one point three yards per play edge in
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: the game, Like the Baltimore had like over six yards
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: per play in the game, and Cincinnati had like four
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: or four point whatever, four point eight maybe whatever it was. Uh,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Baltimore was the better team in the game. It's just
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: they had like five or six turnovers and about half
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: of them were a little bullshit. Baltimore was about to
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: take what would have been an eight point lead in
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the second quarter. They would have been up eight if
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: they got the extra point, and instead it was a
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: fumble into the end zone. So another play where you
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: have a touchdown basically and just a matter of inches
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: and it gets fumbled into the end zone instead, and
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: it was initially ruled its touchdown, and the touchback rule
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: is the worst rule in any professional sport. How can
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: you go from an inch away from the goal line
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: to no longer even having possession And it's like a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: fourteen point swing in the game. Fuck you, that rules
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: did not happen. Then there was that other play where
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: one of like whatever four or five fumbles for the
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: Ravens also fumbles, by the way, they're random essentially as
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: far as who recovers it, and it was like the
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: Ravens didn't recover any of them. They had more lost
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: fumbles than like any team in any game this year.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: And one of them was not even a fumble. If
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: you saw that, it was absolutely forward motion on Lamar
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Jackson's arm and they call it a fumble makes no sense.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: It was clearly an incomplete pass. It wasn't even close.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: And then there was another play where a Ze Flowers
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of a push and they call offensive pass
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: interference taking away a touchdown from the Ravens. That was
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: earlier on. I think that would have been a play
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: that would have put them up by I think there
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: would have been back up six maybe if if that
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: had happened, or five, I guess if that had happened,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: whatever it was, And Jamar Chase was doing that all
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: fucking game, So if you're gonna call that, you better
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: call it evenly and calling them both teams fuck you,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: Like every team was doing that yesterday. Every single team
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: was doing it. And the only time it gets called
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: is when Zay Flowers was like a little bit of
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: a push and it's a touchdown and they have to
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: take the touchdown away because the refs have to rig
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: the fucking game. That game was not what it looked
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: like at all. It was the most frustrating game that
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: I've ever fucking seen. And then even though Baltimore was
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: moving the ball pretty well against Cincinnati's travesty of a
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: fucking defense, they it didn't result in any fucking points.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. It's fucking ridiculous. And Cincinnati's offense wasn't great
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: with borrowback, I mean it was better ish, but the
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: whole part of that handicap was Baltimore is gonna score
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: a ton of fucking points here, and the points just
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: kept getting taken off the board in every way possible.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: It's fucking insane. Baltimore should have at least topped thirty
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: points in that game. It's it's so bad. I don't
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: want to talk about it anymore. I'm never gonna talk
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: about about it again. What's up, everybody, Jeffrey Charles. This
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: is not a party. This is gonna be like a funeral.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: SOB what's up? Fuck South Florida. The number that I
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: gave it out at, like I said, was a push,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: But what what can you do? College basketball? These lines move?
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about college basketball right now. I don't
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: even want to do it. There's a game coming up
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: in an hour at ten thirty am Eastern for some
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: fucking reason in the Bahamas between Virginia Tech and VCU,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: which my assumtion would be the VCU kind of has
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: like they kind of want to show up in a
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: game against one of the bigger Virginia schools, little brother,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: big brother situation. However, VCU has been better than Virginia
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Tech the last multiple years, like it's been a while,
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: so maybe Virginia Tech kind of is assuming the role
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: of the little brother. Now I don't want anything to
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: do with this game. VCU lost to Vandy yesterday, which
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: I mentioned. Vandy was a lean yesterday, but of course
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: that was not one of my plays they covered. Virginia
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Tech had a tougher game yesterday, losing to Saint Mary's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: and not only that, but that ended their undefeated season,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: although they haven't really faced anybody good yet except Providence.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: I guess if you even want to call them good,
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: So Virginia Tech, I think they're kind of in the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: worst spot because they had a tougher game yesterday against
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: a better opponent. Well, actually I don't know, is Saint Mary's.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Well we'll talk about that. Maybe Saint Mary's is actually
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: not better than Vandy anymore. It's been so long since
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: that hasn't been the case though. But Saint Mary's does
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: play like a more kind of physical, slow down, deepense,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: and the fact that that was their first loss that
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: could hang them over into this game. My lean in
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: this game would be to VCU, but it's not strong.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: The money does agree with it. They're up to two
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: and a half already from a one point favorite. When
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I looked like a half an hour ago. Basically it
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: was one and a half. So again, college basketball lines
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: don't listen to me. Just I don't know. Just get
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: into my head, do what I do, and play the
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: game before I even talk about it on the show,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: because otherwise you're not gonna get as much line value.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: There's nothing I can fucking do about it unless I'm
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: gonna do the shows overnight, which fuck that, I'm not
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: gonna do that. Seventy one percent of the tickets on
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, ninety three percent of the cash on VCU
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: money agrees with me. Whatever, noon, we have number one
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: perdue against This just a joke of an Eastern Illinois team.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: But Purdue is technically in a bad spot because they
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: did just beat Texas Tech. They just won whatever the
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: hell of this tournament is that they were in. I
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: think I don't even know what it was. Don't really care.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: The Baha Mahr and the Bahamas. They do have Rutgers next,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: so they do start Big ten playing next, and then
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: a bunch of other big opponents up next. So this
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: is a game that they could just want to get in,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: get out, not really put in a full effort in
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: the game. They don't need to to win the game.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: It's a bigger game for Eastern Illinois if they can
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: even try to compete with Purdue. But Purdue, you're asking
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: them to cover like a forty something point spread here,
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: and Purdue does play slow as well. So I would
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: take the points in this game. Do I really want
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: to do it? No? But produe's down to a forty
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: point fave right, sixty percent of ticket, seventy two percent
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I mean, I don't love
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: the idea of having money on a team as bad
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: as Eastern Illinois, but I just don't really see much
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: of an incentive for Purdue. And the totals low at
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty one and a half, you think
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna win this game by forty like you're basically
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: asking like for that to happen, Eastern Illinois would have
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: to not even get to like fifty in the game,
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: which I mean, it's definitely possible, but I don't I
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: don't really see it happening. Purdue is actually not as
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: good defensively as they are offensively, even though they play slow.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: H Northeastern is playing wake Forest in Winston Salems this
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: is at Wake Forest Wake Forest easy game against Campbell
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: after you thought maybe they would be in kind of
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot, let downs, spot, whatever after playing Texas
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Tech and Memphis in that Bahama tournament. Didn't matter, they
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: came back, they won anyway, Maybe they look ahead because
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: they got Oklahoma West Virginia up after this, so probably
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: not the greatest spot for Wake here. Northeastern is also
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win though, They just pulled off
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: I believe, an upset over Ducane, so that's kind of
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: a big win too, and now they're gonna go out
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: on the road after that, although you got to expect
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: the least show up for a game against an ACC
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: team like Wake, although both teams are in somewhat bad spots.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Northeastern, but not
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion at all. Eighty to nine percent of
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on Wake,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: they're very public side down slightly to eighteen and a half.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: We have a really big game at twelve thirty on
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Fox at Madison Square Garden between number five Yukon, number
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: thirteen Illinois. This game it's closer to Yukon obviously, Yukon's
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: gonna have a lot of I think they're gonna have
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent amount of crowd support. But as I
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: point out, Yukon, like their biggest home advantage obviously is
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: the arena on their actual campus. Like when they go
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to these bigger arenas, they get like kind of the
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: rich New england Ers whatever in the area that kind
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: of show up for it. Whatever. Still I kind of
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: lean towards Yukon here. I mean, they're the better team
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna be the team that's gonna try to
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: slow it down and frustrate Illinois because Illinois wants to
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: play fast. I'd probably be looking towards Yukon in this one. Yukon.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: They just had an easy win over Bryant where they
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: won by a lot and still didn't even cover. And
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: that was a win for us on the show because
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: I just expected Yukon to just kind of go through
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: the motions and not care and that is pretty much
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: what happened, and they won anyway, it didn't even matter. Illinois.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: They're a good team this year. They're off to a
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: decent start here, and they had kind of a lackluster
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: game in their last game against ut Rio Grande Valley
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: where that was the game where again I thought Illinois
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: was probably just gonna not have to put in a
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: full effort, and they only won by fourteen, and they
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: were probably more than a thirty point favorite. I would
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: guess in that game they were I think, clearly looking
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: ahead and they just knew they could just get in
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: get out of that game with a win and not care.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: So both teams are coming off uninspiring performances, which I
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: think basically means you're gonna get. You're gonna get. Both
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: teams showing up in this game. Connecticut has already have
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: from two to four on the line though, so again
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: line value gone eighty percent of the tickets and cash
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: on them, so they're public. But the money's coming in
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: towards the under, and this is a game where Yukon
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: is correlated to the under in my opinion, because they're
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: the team that plays slow. Illinois wants to speed the
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: game up, so I think Illinois would be correlated to
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: an over. I think the fact that the money is
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: coming in on both the under and seemingly on the
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Yukon side at least to move that line, even though
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: they do look public as well. I think Yukon is
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: the correct side in that game. Do I want anything
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: to do with it? Absolutely not. Rio Grande Valley. Yeah,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: they're the the Caros, which I don't know what are vacaras.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: They're like, I don't know, they're like cowboys, They're ranchers
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: or something. I have no fucking idea. Saint Mary's in
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Vandy this is the one that I was kind of
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: referring to a little while ago in the Bahamas. Kind
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: of an interesting one. This might be the championship game
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: in this thing, yet is in the Battle for Atlantis,
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: So once you get to the championship, I mean, you
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: kind of expect both teams are going to show up
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: for this. But it's an interesting one because Vandy this
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: is actually tournament revenge and it gets to happen in
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: a in one of these early season tournament challenges or whatever.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's eliminated Vandy from the tournament last year, like
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: the actual March Madness tournament, so Vandy, interestingly, they get
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: to match up against against Saint Mary's here, So I
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: think Vandy is probably gonna come into this with a
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: little bit more focus. But are these teams so different
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: from last year that Vandy deserves to be a three
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here, whereas last year Saint
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: Mary's was a four and a half point favorite against
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: them on a neutral, Like, have these teams profiles changed,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: so much of the line should change? Whatever that is
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: eight points, I'm not entirely sure about that. I mean,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: both teams are coming off wins yesterday, obviously because they
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: both advanced in this tournament. Saint Mary's more impressive win
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: over Virginia Tech. But did that take more out of them?
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe Vandy only had to beat Western Kintuck or no,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: they excuse me. They beat VCU yesterday, so my mistake.
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: VCU is actually a pretty good team, so that's an
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: impressive win as well, So never mind. So both teams
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: really kind of in a similar spot here. It's just
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: that Vandy is playing with that tournament revenge. But throw
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: up to a three and a half point favorite, and
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: the money's coming back on Saint Mary's sixty eight percent
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Vandy, seventy three percent of the
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: cash on Saint Mary's, the money taking the points to
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. Osmager's telling you Vandy is the better team, right, now,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: and if that's the case, I think it's very slight,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Like I don't know if they deserve to be this
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: much of a favorite. Ken does have them six ranking
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: spots higher. But the other thing is that Saint Mary's
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: profiles is a good underdog because they play good defense
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: and they slow the game way down. Vandy is the opposite.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Vandy is offense and fast, so it's gonna be this
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: weird pacing collision. So again, it's a game where there's
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be probably you get. Vandy is correlated to an over.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's is correlated to an under. In this game,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the under. I mean,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: my first glance at this, I wanted to lean into
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: the revenge angle for Vandy, but I don't know. The
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: more I look at how the Marcus shaping up, the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: more I look at it, and the fact that the
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: number seems too high, I would probably take the points
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: with Saint Mary's, but I really don't love it. I mean,
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: that revenge angle is gonna still be there. The Cowboys, Yeah,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: not the Dallas Cowboys. Let's not. Let's not talk about
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: those fuckers. San Francisco is playing Nevada here. San Francisco
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: took a loss yesterday and whatever this tournament is, the
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Children's Hospital whatever thing in Palm Springs, California. San Francisco
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: just lost along wind Streak as well. They lost to
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Colorado yesterday. San Francisco is actually the favorite in the game,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: so I could see this kind of going both ways,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: because yeah, they were the favorite, but that's still kind
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: of a big deal playing a big twelve team. They
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: lost the game, lost to wind Streak, So is that
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: gonna hang them over or are they gonna be in
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot because they lost as a favorite.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: I don't really know. It's hard to gauge, man. When
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: I see, like, you know, like the way that I
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: look at these things, they kind of conflict with each other.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: I was correct about Washington yesterday. By the way, is
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Washington bounced back nicely from that really ugly game against
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: Southern They beat Nevada pretty easily and covered easily as well.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Should have given it out as a play, but I
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: did not. I don't know. I just didn't feel strongly
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: enough about it. So Nevada's coming off that ugly loss,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: does that mean it's gonna set up better for them? Here?
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I want to say that, because
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: even though Nevada has this kind of name recognition in basketball,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: because they seem to always kind of be in there
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, whatever, San Francisco is the better team.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you that, like Nevada's down this year,
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: in San Francisco probably gonna be competitive at least in
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: their conference there. They're up from five to six now,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: So there the money looks like it's coming in on
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. I don't know if I love the spot
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: for it, but I'm not really gonna disagree with it either,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: So probably I would agree with it with San Francisco.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State is playing Missouri at Missouri. But Missouri, you
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: could argue they have a look ahead to North Dakota
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: or North Dakota, a Notre Dame and at Kansas. Uh,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: those are yeah, bigger games, clearly, I don't know. Uh,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: that's really the only like situational angle I see in
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: this game. Uh. Cleveland State did end their a lost
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: street with the win over some non Division one teams
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: that'll at least give them momentum and probably won't make
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: them over confident. I would probably lean towards taking the
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: points the Cleveland State, but I mean the number has
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: gone down for twenty nine and a half to twenty
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: nine on Missouri, but it is a very high total
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: because I believe both these teams want to play fast.
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: Total down to one hundred and seventy could be a
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: lot of points in that one. I don't love it
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: at all though, Texas State Seattle. I was close to
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: giving this one out. This game is in Las Vegas,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: and that's the reason why I have some hesitations with
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: the Texas State side here, because that is the side
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: that I do like in this one. But it has
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: not made my card. And most of it hinges on
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: the fact that Seattle just had their first true road
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: game and they pulled off an upset at Stanford. That's
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: a big win, dude. I mean, Stanford maybe they're not
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: great right now. I mean, they've had decent histories of
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: basketball program, and they were double digit favorites here against
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle at home, and they're inn acc teams, which sounds
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: still very weird to me. Seattle pulled off that big upset.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: They were actually losing the game by double digits and
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: they came back and won the game. Seems like a
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: bit of an outlier though Stanford had a horrible shooting
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: game thirty seven percent from the field twenty eight percent
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: from three. Seattle is forty four percent from three, so
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: loose like kind of a fluke could set them up
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: for a let down here, man, So I'd be looking
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: to take the points with Texas State in the in
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: the Resorts World Classic in Las Vegas. Too many Las
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Vegas tournaments going on. Texas State has some momentum right now.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: They've won five games in a row, but mostly beating
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: not great teams, and they're coming off a win over
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: some non Division one team, but that will give them momentum.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I like Texas State, but the only issue I have
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: with this is how are they gonna respond to playing
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: in the Pacific time zone for the first time this year,
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: which they have not done. They've stayed I believe they've
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: been the Central times on the entire season so far,
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: and so not only do they have to do that,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: although at least it's an early game for them, so
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: that's not as bad. But the other thing is it's
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: an afternoon game, so that's five issue. The other thing
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: is are they gonna get distracted? By Las Vegas because
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Seattle is much more used to playing there because they're
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: in the Whack, which is whack but the Whack or no, sorry,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: they're in the WCCN Now, I didn't even realize that
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: they moved into the WCC. But either way, both of
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: those conferences actually play their conference tournaments in Las Vegas,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: and Seattle has been in the Whack, so they're used
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: to playing in Las Vegas and they're actually staying in
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: the Pacific time zone. Well yeah, I mean, obviously they
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: played in the Pacific times on all season, I believe
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: because they're in Seattle, so and they made that one
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: road trip to Stanford whatever. I can't quite get there
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: with this one, but I do like the Texas State
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: side in the game. Seattle has gone up from a
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: six point favorite to seven point favorite with juice, though
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: low to a very low and one hundred and thirty
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: six and a half. That's the other thing Seattle, they
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: do not profile well is a big favorite because they
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: play pretty slow. They play ugly, so they don't cover
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: huge numbers as often. Another reason maybe to look towards
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Texas State. I like it, but I have some stronger
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: opinions on some other games, and I just worry about
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: the location as well. In that one, Oklahoma Marquette, pretty
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: big game in the afternoon on NBC. Of course, the
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: show is gonna still take forever, even though I don't
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: want it to. I hate it. I hate it. I
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: fucking hate it. Oklahoma coming off an easy win over
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: alcorn State where I assume they didn't cover. I mean,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: it was not an impressive performance there. Marquette, they're coming
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: off a win that's gonna give them a nice bounce
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: back and end a lost streak that they had beating
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan. But with Marquette, they haven't stepped up well
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: in class man. They faced three Power Conference teams so
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: far and they've lost two and they lost them both
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: to Indiana and Maryland. And then they face Dayton, who
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Dayton's a fairly strong team, but they're not really a
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: power conference. They're in the A ten. But Marquette lost
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: that game too. So Marquette, when they've stepped up in
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: class they have not played well this year, which is
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: not great. This is in the Bad Boy Mowers series
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: in Chicago. So the location is more helpful to Marquette
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: because they're like a Milwaukee School, so they are closer Oklahoma.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: They've lost to both Power Conference teams as well, but
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: one of them was on the like a true road
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: game at Gonzaga. I mean, I didn't expect them to
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: win that game Gonzaga. Despite what happened the other night,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: they're still elite in my opinion. Oklahoma also lost a
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: close one in Kansas City, I think against Nebraska. I forget.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Maybe that wasn't in Kansas City, I forget, but Nebraska,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: I mean they're an Okay team as well. Not gonna
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: really give Oklahoma too much crap for that, but yeah,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: I mean you can tell them probably, you can probably
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: tell them leaning towards Oklahoma, and this one the money
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: seems to agree. They flip from one point dog to
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: a one and a half point favorite. Marquette is the
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: public side. People maybe just not buying Oklahoma getting into
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: the tournament last year, maybe forgetting that they did, because
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma had a really good non conference part of the
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: schedule last year where they were really really hot, and
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: then they weren't as good an SEC play last year
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: and then people just kind of forgot about them. But
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: they still made the tournament and they got bounced right
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: away by Yukon. So people I think give Marquette more
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: credit because they look pretty decent in the Big East.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: They have for the last few years, and they've made
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: the tournament all those seasons. But I think Marquette's a
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: little bit on the downswing man so, and Oklahoma seems
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: to kind of be going on, like moving in the
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: right direction. So sixty two percent of tickets, fifty one
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Marquette, Marquette's the public side
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: at basically have picked the winner price my opinion is
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma and that one we have right state facing Butler,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: right states, you know, sort of geographically in the same area.
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: They're right state. I believe they're in Are they in Ohio?
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: Is that right? I keep getting it wrong. I think
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: they're in Ohio. Butler coming off a nice couple of wins.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Man Over Well, they've come off three big games in
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: a row where they took SMU to within two points
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: on the road and a true road game beat South Carolina.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I know South Carolina might be the worst or they're
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: one of the worst two SEC teams, but still it's
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: an SEC team. Butler beat them, and they beat Virginia
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: and Virginia seems to be improving a bit, and they
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: had got a lot of weight behind their name in basketball,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: so those are big wins. Now they're coming off all that,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: and now they're facing Right State. Could be a spot
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: where maybe Butler is a little bit hung over here,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: maybe you don't get the greatest effort out of them here.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Right State they're on a little mini run here of
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: two wins, although they only beat a non D one
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: team and then Stetson, who are quite bad this year.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: But you gotta think Right State's gonna show up for
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: this one because this is a game against a power
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: conference team. The only other time they faced one this year,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: they actually were pretty respectable and as ten point loss
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: in a true road game I believe at Cow, so
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: that's a decent sign. I would take the points with
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: the Right State. But Butler has gone up from fourteen
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: and a half to sixteen here, and the money looks
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: like it's on their side for now. Though again don't
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: want to put much weight into these early reads here,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: but sixty two percent of the tickets on Right State,
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash on Butler, but I disagree.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards right state. We have Providence in
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: number ten, Florida playing in San Diego and whatever the
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: hell this tournament is. No, that's the Children's one, the
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: Jenny Craig one. I don't know. I forget what the
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Palm Springs one is. Then who cares Florida. They're number
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: ten in the country. They took a pretty ugly loss
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: yesterday to TCU. Man, Florida, they've actually lost. I mean,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: losing to Arizona is one thing, because Arizona is a
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: really good team. But losing to TCU, I don't know, man,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, is TCU actually better than we thought that
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: they were because TCU did look good against Michigan or
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: were those games outliars? I don't know. I'm still leaning
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: towards those games being outliers. Florida was an eleven and
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: a halfway favorite in this game, and they looked poised
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: to win this game. I mean, they looked like they
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: were gonna start pulling away with it. You know, they
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: were up double digits in the second half and then
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: lost the league. But then they were still starting to
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: rebuild it late in the game, and they still somehow
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: wound up losing the game to TCO huge upset for
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: TCU Florida. I could see it going both ways. You
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: could argue that maybe Florida will be angry about that
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and bounce back from that, or because I mean, they
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: lost as a big favorite, so when that happens, teams
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: will tend to bounce back. But you could also argue that, well,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: they haven't lost in so long, it could actually hang
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: them over a little bit, and maybe they just won't
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: care now that they can't win this whatever this tournament is.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Maybe they'll just be hung over in this game. They
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: do have Duke and Yukon up next, possible they overlook Providence,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: and Providence is probably gonna be angry as well because
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: they got embarrassed yesterday by Wisconsin. I know Wisconsin is
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: a solid team, but Providence losing that game by over
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: twenty and giving up one hundred points, that's not great
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: Providence not a great team defensively really, which still, I
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: mean a Florida shows up, that'll be a problem because
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Florida obviously can score. But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean to Providence plus the points in this one,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: but I I mean, obviously I don't have a strong
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: opinion on this. Plus, do you really want to play
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Florida when they're six six six on the on the
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: betting board here? Is that what you want? You want
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: to go up to the window, gim me number six
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: six six ninety two percent of the tickets, only seventy
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Florida, so they look
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: public with less of the money on them. Uh, they're
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: up from an eleven point favorite to a twelve point favorite.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I know Providence is not that good though, I mean,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: obviously that is built into the line. Though total is
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: also high up to one hundred and sixty nine. Because
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: we're looking at Florida likes to play fast. That is
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: probably what will happen here. Providence, I think, also is
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: a somewhat fast paced team, if I recall, Uh, I
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: still have to get my gauge on some of these. Yeah,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: they're actually a very fast tempo team, Providences, and they
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: don't really play defense, so probably gonna be a very
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: high scoring game in that one. No way, what the
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: six six six, Yeah, do not do it? All right?
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: I'm shouting out Arkansas State because they are hosting whatever
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: this tournament is in Jonesboro, Arkansas. I believe they're hosting
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: whatever it is they're hosting North Dakota State here. Don't
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: don't really have an opinion on it. Both teams, I believe,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: just beat Jacksonville State in this tournament thing, so same
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: common opponent. They both beat them by around the same amount.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: So what do we do with this game? Well, we
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: don't play it. But Arkansas State looks like they're getting
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: the money up from two to two and a half.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: I kind of think they're the better team, and they're
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: at home, so it is possible. But maybe that line
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: is short changing them a little bit. On North Dakota State.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're one of the better Summit teams, but
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: I think Arkansas State may be the better team. Let
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: me see, ken bum has them in one hundred and
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: seventy fourth. Actually he is North Dakota State slightly better,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: So I guess my gauge is wrong at least according
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: to ken Bommel, though I think his number is still
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: kind of shifting around a little bit. Tulane, I mean
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: I think there was yes, Yeah, I guess the angle
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: here would be, well, they just beat BC, they beat
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: an ACC team, so maybe there'll be a little bit
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: hungover from that or yeah, like it'll be a letdown
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: spot maybe off of that. They're facing Nickels here. Nichols
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: is coming out of a decent performance at Oklahoma State
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: where they only lost by fourteen, but they're fair. They're
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: playing another two road game, one of these teams that's
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: in one of these lesser conferences that just schedules all
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: road games early in the season to try to get
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: some win or something there. Yeah, I don't know, but
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: two Lane's down from ten point favorite to a nine
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, and it does look really really
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: easy to lay those points with Tulane. I mean, they're
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: laying below double digits and they're four and two against
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: an zero to five Nichols team. It looks way too
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: easy to lay it with Tulane. But tu Lane's not
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: exactly the greatest basketball program either, So I would take
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: the points, and the number seems to be moving in
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: that direction, down from ten to nine and a half.
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to do it, but I mean
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: that's not one of my plays. Of course. Finally we'll
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: get into Betts whatever throwing up the graphic here, I
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: still need more drops if I'm even if I'm even
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: gonna continue to do the show, which is questionable. We're
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: gonna take njiit plus the points. I know. NJIT is
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: a horrific team. I understand it. They've looked really bad recently.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: They've regressed. I told you they would because they started
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: the season looking better than they actually are. They're horrible,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: there's no doubt about that. But this is Eastern Michigan
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: that we're talking about. In Eastern Michigan is laying fourteen
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: and a half. Really, I mean, I don't know, it
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: seems high, but when you look at what Eastern Michigan
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: just did, this is a bad spot. Dude. Eastern Michigan
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: just played on the road at Louisville and they expectedly
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: got blown out. But then they went into Cincinnati. If
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: they won the game as twenty two and a half
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: point underdogs in a low total type of game, or
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: I think Cincinnati does play all these like kind of
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: low total games. I believe there's Cincinnati is a fast
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: paced team, though, it's just that their offense is miserably bad. Cincinnati,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: I mean again, they're like Saint John's, but nowhere near
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: is good. Like it's just a bad profile. Like I
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: don't understand how you can be a fast tempo team,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: be really good defensively, but have absolutely zero offense. It
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: makes no sense Cincinnati. They're just way too lopsided of
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: a profile. But yes, they lost that game outright to
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan, and Eastern Michigan is a slower paced team.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Two hundred and fifty second in tempo, we're nick kembum.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: They don't play good offense, and you're asking them to
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: cover a fourteen and a half point favorite. So none
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: of that looks good, like laying huge numbers with a
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: team it's mediocre, barely cracking Kenbump's top two hundred. They
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: play slow, and they play better defense than offense. That's
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: not a great profile. And they're high in his luck
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Index at thirty nine, so he's telling you they've overperformed
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: a bit and they're coming up that huge upset, so
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: they're in a big letdown. So, I mean, that was
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: like a pretty monumental win for that Eastern Michigan program.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: And now they face NJ t Or. They're really gonna
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: be excited about that, and after this, they gonna turn
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: around and they gotta play Butler after this, which is
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: a that's a much bigger game, a big East team. Yeah,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna have enough in the tank
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: here to beat NJIT by margin. I mean, I'm not
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: gonna say they're gonna lose the game outright, but I
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: think NJIT is gonna hang around in this game. I
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: know how bad they are. They also just got blown
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: out by Louisville. But people were also gonna look at say,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: oh my god, nj T just got blown out by
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati by twenty seven points. So this is so easy, right,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati beat NJIT by twenty seven points, and Eastern Michigan
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: just beat Cincinnati. So and you're only asking him to
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: win by fifteen. Of course that's gonna happen. It looks
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: way too easy to do that. I'm not gonna fall
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: into that. I'm not gonna do it. We're gonna take
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: nj T. I mean, they're gonna be embarrassing, man. I mean,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: come on, even though it was Louisville. We know Louisville's good.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're quite as good as sixth in
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: the country, But losing to Louisville, even though it was Louisville,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: you lose that game by what was that fifty seven points.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, that is embarrassing. You're gonna
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: want to come with a better performance after that. And
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: they're stepping way down in class to face the Eastern Michigan.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: I know Eastern Michigan is also stepping down in class here,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: but come on, man, yeah, I think nj T will
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: hang around in this game at least enough to cover
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: this number against then Eastern Michigan team. It's really not
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: that good. So that's where we're gonna go in that one.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: I know NJIT is awful. I get it. Ken Bommes'm
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: in like the bottom twentieth. They're really high in as
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: luck index. I get all of that. They don't score.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: I understand they're bad, but it's all about the spot
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: in this one, man. And yes, they want to play
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: a bit a little bit faster than than Eastern Michigan does.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: But that's okay because Eastern Michigan. Actually, you can get
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: sixteen on this game now, so fuck it, well, we'll
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: increase it to sixteen because I'm doing the show right now.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: It'll be the better number you can get on it.
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: Right now. We'll get plus sixteen on it, or you
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: might it might have to be fifteen and a half,
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: but whatever. It is all updated in the show description.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I don't know what else I
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: have to say about it. Yeah, a slope ace team
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be controlling the pace asking them to cover
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: a huge number like that in a sandwich spot. Yeah,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade it. I don't know. I don't know
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna continue the show. I really do not.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: I dude, this is gonna be a two and a
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: half hour show here. The board is massively overwhelming, and
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: git the I don't even know what the new Georgia
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: Institute or technology. Dude, FanDuel, you gotta get more books,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey FanDuel is just screwing you with the extra juice there,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: and they don't give you another option, Like there's no
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: reason to have to lay juice on sixteen and a half.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: Like you should be able to just like find a
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: book that's offering you like sixteen or fifteen and a half,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: even at just minus one ten, like I would do that.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna pay minus one fourteen for that bullshit
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: for a point that's in like a dead number range
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: that really doesn't matter much. Next up, all right, another
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: play here. We're gonna take Charleston Southern. Here's another fairly
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: big underdog for you plus seventeen. It might be higher
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: than that. Now, let me see, I actually can get
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: probably eighteen and a half nineteen on this. Now, I
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: knew this line was going up, so I was like,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: it's probably gonna get higher than that. Charleston Southern plus
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: eighteen and a half nineteen, whatever, we're fading South Carolina here.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: This is a big game for Charleston Southern, dude, because
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: they're in South Carolina, so they're gonna step it up
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: in this little brother big brother situation, and because it's
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: an SEC team. But I think it's just even more
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: of a motivator for a lesser, you know, team in
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: the state of South Carolina. They want to beat the
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: un University of South Carolina. South Carolina is also not good,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: as I said, I mean, sure, they're an SEC team.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: They're better than Charleston Southern obviously, but they're not a
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: good SEC team. And South Carolina's coming off a run
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: of games where they played Butler and Northwestern close, both
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: as underdogs. I believe now they're coming off that and
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: they gotta play this week Charleston Southern team. They know
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: they can win this game without covering too So I
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: just don't think you're gonna get a huge effort here
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: for South Carolina. They were playing these games in West
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: Virginia and they took They took Northwestern basically to the limit.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: And Northwestern is a big ten team. They're five and one.
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: They've been in and out of the tournament recently. That
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big game for South Carolina. Man, they
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the moderate upset of like four or
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: five points in that game. Now they got Charleston Southern,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: and coming up next in a few days they got
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, which is gonna be a much bigger game
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: for South Carolina. So it's a sandwich spot. I think
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: they overlook Charleston Southern. I think you're gonna get extra
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: effort from Charleston Southern because they are in South Carolina.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: I know they're bad. I know they have two really
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: really bad losses to Alabama A and M and linden Wood,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: and like half of their wins are against two of
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: their five wins are against non D one teams. I
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: get it, but they at least have some momentum right now.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: They got a couple of Division one wins out of
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: the way. Now they have a Division two win last,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be overexerted coming into this one.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: They'll just have a little bit of confidence. They'll show
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: up in this one, I would imagine. I think they
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: can get within the number. South Carolina. I mean they
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: play ugly offensively, dude, just like their football team, although
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: actually their offense is better than their defense. Avequard to kembon,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: but they're not good on either side of the ball really,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: and they also play a somewhat slow tempo. I know
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: he has them low and his luck index, so he's
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: saying they're underperforming right now. But I mean they're four
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: and two, So how underperformance could they really be right now?
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: When he has them at eighty eighth in the country,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: which is not you know, they're not an overwhelming team.
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: They're not really expected to make the tournament or anything
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: like that. I know Charles's Southern's higher and the luck index,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: and faced the week schedule, they want to play faster.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: But again that's okay because you're looking at at Charles,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: you're looking at a South Carolina team that's a slower
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: paced team that needs to cover a huge number, you know,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I like to fade that. And by the way, both
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: these totals are low in these games. So this is
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and fifty and a half. I mean
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: that's not high, So I'm alright with taking the points there.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: The other total is lower in the NJIT game. It's
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: at one forty one, very low total in that game.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: So again, taking the points a little bit of a
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: better idea when it's a lower total. So yeah, Fandel
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: is cocking you. Yeah, plus seventeen and a half at
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: a good price there, that's good. But yeah again, sign
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: up for some more books. All right. Colorado State South
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: Florida in the Bahamas, I believe this is this? Is
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: this a championship and whatever? This is in the Battle
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta. No, it's a fifth place game. What am
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: I thinking? Both teams won yesterday is what I was thinking,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: But I guess both teams also have a loss already.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: Colorado State beat Wichita yesterday. It's a decent win. I mean,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Wichita not a horrible team this year. It's looking like
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: South Florida had an escape though against Western Kentucky. I
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: know they had to play into overtime. Sometimes you play
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: that extra period. Having to go play the next day,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit difficult. But they took a scare
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: man and there's no way they should have been anywhere
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: near as bad as that. So I kind of like
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: South Florida it bounce back in this one and play better.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: They flipped from a one point dog to a one
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: to that point favorite. That is my opinion. In that game.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: I would lean to South Florida in that one. Out
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: in Palm Springs. We do have Washington and Colorado. Washington
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: had that nice win and cover, which I thought they
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: would after that ugly game against Southern. Like I said,
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: they beat Nevada pretty easily yesterday. They do have UCLA
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: coming up next, but I don't know if they're really
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Colorado here. This is the championship in this tournament,
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: so I expect both teams will probably show up for this,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: and they're both Power Conference teams, so why not. Colorado
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: had a nice upset and win over San Francisco, though,
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: although I don't know if they could well they consider
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: that to be an upset in their own minds. I
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: don't know. I think Washington had the easier go of it,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: though yesterday they had the game that required them to
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: exert less energy winning as a favorite. They are the
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: favorite here, they are the better team. Although the money's
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: coming in on Colorado. I don't really agree with it,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: though Washington den for four to three and a half,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: cash taking it with Colorado. In a situation like this,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: I think I would go with the better team and
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: the team that's not off of an upset, and that
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: is Washington. So I would probably lean towards Washington. Laying
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: the points there not a strong opinion for Jeffrey. University
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: of Pennsylvania is hosting some thing in Philadelphia. Still, they're
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: basically they're in a Philly cheese steak sandwich here man,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: because they're coming up wins over Saint Joe's and Drexel,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: both Philly area teams. Those are big wins for Pennsylvania.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know they I assume they definitely
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to be a little brother to Saint Joe's,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: maybe not to Drexel, but they just blew out Drexel
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: on the road. Now they're coming back and they're facing
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: a non Philadelphia team that somehow is playing in this tournament. Merrimack,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: who are fairly new to Division one and they're in
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: northern Massachusetts. Don't really know how they're in this Philadelphia thing,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: but they are. Penn might just overlook them, man, because
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: Penn has to face LaSalle tomorrow and that's another Philadelphia
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: area school there, so they're in a Philly sandwich. They
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: might overlook this Merrimack team that hasn't been good to
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: start the season. With Merrimack, I mean, they face some
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: pretty decent teams. I mean, they face Auburn, Florida is
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: more than decent. They played South Dakota State. Those are
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: not easy games. So this Merrimack team, they're decently tested
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: and they're stepping down in class after a Florida game,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: So even though they got blown out in that game,
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: this should be easier for them out of an underdog.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: I would agree with the Merrimack side. Pennsylvania is already
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: down from five to three, so you're getting less value
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: on it, but I would probably still take the points,
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: on Merrimack's pretty strong market. Read on Merrimack in that one.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: I agree with that IVY League, even though you're a
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia guy, I don't really agree with that. There's no
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: way that they don't like step up their game against
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: the other like local schools. I mean, every team does.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: There's no way that that there's some outlier that just
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: doesn't do that. Oh you think if Penn faces Villanova,
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: you think they don't consider that to be a big game.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: I've won on taking Pen. I think I won last
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: year with Penn upsetting Villanova. Maybe that was two years ago.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: I definitely had a win on them in the recent
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: the last couple of years where they actually upset Villanova outright.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: So no, I don't buy that. Don't buy it. All right, next,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: we're gonna have another play here. It is gonna be
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Wisconsin minus five and
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: a half in this San Diego thing. You know I'm
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: gonna do this. We're gonna fade TCU. I know this
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: is the conference or this is the championship game in
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: this tournament, whatever the hell it is, the Rady Children's
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: Invitational in San Diego. TCU just upset Florida, though, Man,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, Florida, the returning champs. Do you
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: really think they care about winning this tournament that everybody's
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: gonna forget about in like two days. No, I don't
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: really think so. I mean, sure, ideally they want to
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: step it up to face Wisconsin, because Wisconsin is a
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: pretty good team. But beating Florida is a huge deal, man,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, big game. They pulled off a massive upset.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: They had to make multiple comebacks in the game they
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: pulled off. The upset is double digit underdogs. I don't
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: really see them having much left in the tank here.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin had an easy goal of it yesterday against Providence.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be the team that had to exert a
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: lot less energy yesterday, even though I think they played
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: later in the day than Florida did yesterday. But still,
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: I don't think that that totally evens it out. Man.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay it with Wisconsin here, TCU. I think
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: they also look a little bit better than they are
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: right now. Though this line's already climbing, it's up to
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Hopefully you can get it lower
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: than seven. Try to lay the six and a half
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: on this would be my recommendation here. Seven being a
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: key number. So yeah, that's what I would do here.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin is the better team. This is also not your
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: father's Wisconsin. They don't actually play slow. They play somewhat fast,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: and they have a good offense. That's a good profile
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: for a team that you want to cover as a favorite.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: And they're balanced. I mean, they're okay defensively as well.
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: They're the better team all around over TCU, though, Man,
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: I would say, actually Ken bums TCU slightly better defensively,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: but Wisconsin way way better offensively. And TCU plays kind
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: of a mid tempo style as well. Yes, I know
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: he has them as underrated right now as far as
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: his luck index, but this is just a bad spot, man,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: And I'm not sure that I buy that TCU is overrated.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I think they looked a little bit
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: better than they actually are against Florida and Michigan. They're
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: probably better than we thought they were to start the season.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: I know that they got Jamie Dixon, they're well coached, whatever,
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think this is a this is a
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them. I like Wisconsin. I think Wisconsin
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: gets it done. Yeah, and they again, they profile is
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: a decent favorite and the team with the significantly better
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: offense and the defenses are similar. That That is what
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: I think about that game. Penn, Yeah, I mean they
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: have a print. Sure, they have a rival in Princeton.
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: Teams have multiple rivals, though, Like I still don't buy
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: that they don't get up for games against other schools
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: in their area. Again, every team in college does. So.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Xavier against Texas A and M Corpus Christie, Xavier coming
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: off and win over West Virginia. That's a pretty big win.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: I mean these teams are geographically close, so, but also
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is a big twelve team. Xavier played pretty
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: close against Georgia in the prior game as well, So
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: pretty big games that Xavier is coming off of here.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: Could be a little bit in a letdown spot here, man,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: maybe not having a ton in the t tank here,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna be asking them to cover a big number.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: I'm still not sold on Xavier being any good this
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: year really, because again they lost Sean Miller and now
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: they have Richard Patino there. Oh right, yeah, inside I
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: want to kill myself, have to do the Patino drop
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: every time. I'm not Rick Patino, but richer. But Texas
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: A and MCC that has got to win against a
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: Division two team, which I think is good because they
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: were losing and that'll break their lostek. I know they're
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: only wins are against non Division one teams so far.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: I get it. But their schedule has been pretty difficult. Man.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: They faced SMU, Kansas Oklahoma State all on the road
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: and we had a win here on the show, I believe,
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: on Tarlatan State again, which was a game where they
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: played closer, but I just thought it was a really
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them because I think they're actually fairly
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: close against SMU. So yeah, we got the win on
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: that one. But it's been a difficult schedule for A
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: and mcc. Man. I think they're one of the better
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: teams in the Southland. I mean that's been the case
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: in recent years. So and now that they broke that
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: long or long ish lost streak with a win, I
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: think that'll propel them forward a little bit. I would
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: take the points with an mcc here. It's not a
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: play for me, but Xavier is down from sixteen to
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half low total as well, so yeah,
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: I would take the points. ESPN and at night has
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Miami and Georgetown this game. I mean, both these teams
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: seem to me maybe somewhat on the rise. There are
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: two Power Conference teams that have been down a little
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: bit over the last Well. For Georgetown, it's been a
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: long time. For Miami, it's been a couple of years.
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: Miami coming off of ten point loss to BYU, I
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: mean it was a big game for them. How close
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: was the game? I don't know because ESPN doesn't show
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: us the game flow. Oh wait, they do now. I
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: mean Miami just kind of they had get the leader
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: early in the second half and then they just kind
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: of faded away. So it wasn't really that close, but
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: still kind of a big deal play facing BYU. Georgetown
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: coming up an overtime loss to Dayton, but that was
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: a I mean, that was a decently big game and
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: reasonably big game. I think it was a close line
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: to the game. And Georgetown also took their first loss
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: of the season, so I always talk about how that
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: can hang you over a little bit, and they had
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: to play that extra overtime period yesterday. So do I
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with this game? No, I do not.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Miami is getting the money. I mean, I guess I'm
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: not going to really disagree with it when there's not
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: really much of a situation to rely on here. Miami
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: is up from four to five sixty four percent to
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: take as ninety six percent of the cash on them.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm going to disagree that they're the
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: better team, so I would agree with it. That's the
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: way I would lean slightly Wichita in Western Kentucky. I
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: think Western Kentucky probably is done now after that, man.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: I mean two big games where they played close against
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: Vandy and then they somehow were able to put in
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: an effort again yesterday, where my analysis they were gonna
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: be hung over off that Vandy game. They played well
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: again as an underdog against South Florida. I really do
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: not see them having much left in the tank here
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: for this consolation game or whatever in the Bahamas against Wichita.
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: Wichita did have a couple of close games as well, though,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: against Saint Mary's and Colorado State, and those are pretty
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: big games too, so I don't love that. But I
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: still think the spot is a bit worse for Western
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: Kentucky and they're the lesser team, so I would lean
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: to Wichita. They're up from five to six here sixty
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety five percent of the cash of them.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with the Wichita side there. Stanford is
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: facing Saint Louis in Palm Springs, so I think the
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: location helps Stanford a little bit. But Saint Louis has
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: been out of California for a while now too. But
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Stanford is of course also coming up that well. Actually,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: my mistake, they actually already bounced back from that loss
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: to Seattle. They beat Minnesota in this tournament, so they're
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: actually coming up a nice win over a big ten team.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: So my mistake, maybe that will hang them over a
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: little bit. I don't know. But Saint Louis played a
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: really big game yesterday too against a pretty good Santa
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: Clara team, and Saint Louis escaped that game with a win. Well,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say they escaped. They were a
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: small favorite. I think I thought Santa Clara would get
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: that one done. I mean, I thought the location would
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: help them. I'm not quite sure that Saint Louis is
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: actually the better team over them. I don't know which
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: way I would lean in this game, to be honest.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Both teams are kind of they're coming in in similar situations.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: Let's just say Saint Louis is actually favored. So the
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: osmakers are telling you Saint Louis, despite playing in California,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: they're actually better than Stanford by enough that they're a
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: four point favorite, although it's down for fourid half fifty
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets on Saint Louis eighty one percent
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Stanford. So the money coming in
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: on Stanford. Oh, man, I don't know if I really
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: necessarily want to agree with that. I don't know, man,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, being out of California does help, I guess,
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: but again, Saint Louis is already out there now, I
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: guess Stanford. I don't know, man, I don't know which
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: team is coming off the more like the game that
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: required more effort. I mean, it's a very difficult handicap.
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: I guess I'll lean towards Stanford just because the money
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: is saying it, But I don't have an opinion on it. Really.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: Clemson's facing Alabama A and M. Clemson. I would say
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: they're probably in a bit of a They're in a
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot here, man. I mean, I don't quite want
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: to do this because A and M is Alabama A
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: and M is a horrible team, and it's a pretty
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: non competitive match up here. But Clemson is a slope
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: ace team this year, so they don't profile as a team.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be good as a huge favorite. Clemson coming
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: off two big games in a row. They beat West
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Virginia and Georgia. I believe in overtime that's a big
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: win man, in the Shriners Children's Charleston Classic, whatever the hell,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: big win for them, man against Georgetown against Georgia, excuse me,
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: better than Georgetown in overtime, huge game. And now they
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: faced Alabama A and M. And they have to turn
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: around after this and play Alabama and BYU. So those
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: are bigger games. Man, this is a game I think
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get caught in a sandwich spot. Alabama A
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: and M is awful though, and I don't think they're
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: as good as a three and one record looks either.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've played basically nobody, although their only loss
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: is to Indiana, which is expected, but that's their only game.
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: There's stepped up in class on the road. They lost
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: really badly. Will they be able to hang with Clemson here? Maybe?
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: I mean that's the way I would lean in this game.
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: Something just feels a little bit off about it to me.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Although I don't know, Man, it's a low total. Do
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: we want to add this one? I don't know. It's
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: a lowt's total. Clemson never twenty eight to twenty seven
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: and a half here totals one hundred and forty one,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: which is definitely low Clemson. They play slow, and I
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: don't think they're quite as good as they were last year, man,
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: even though they actually do have decent balance. Ken Bum
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: has them in the middle in luck index. They play slow,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: which again doesn't profile well as a big favorite for
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Alabama A and M. I mean, ken Bum has Alabama
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: A and M is the luckiest team of the country,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: though at number one in lock. I'll stay off of
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: it even just for that reason. But they do also
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: like to play slow. I would take the points in
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: this one, but I'm gonna I'm gonna leave it. I'm
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: gonna leave it alone. I'll leave it off my card.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech and De Paul. I mean, technically, this is
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: a Power Conference matchup Georgia Tech one of the lesser
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: ACC teams, to Paul, one of the lesser Big twelve teams.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Both teams coming off some kind of easyish wins. Although
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech didn't really play well against Georgia Southern and
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: I thought they would bounce back. I think Jeffrey got
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: this one right with West Georgia up barely. I thought
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech after that Georgia Southern game would play better,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: and I think they could have covered in that game. Man,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: it was like right on the line there and West
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Georgia just snuck in within that number. Could argue that
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech is in a little bit of a look
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: ahead spot looking towards the Mississippi State here. Maybe they
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: overlooked a Paul because they've been so bad over the
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: recent years. This is in the Emerald Coast Classic, which
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: is in destin Florida, wherever the hell that is somewhere
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: in Florida. Yeah, I mean slightlyan to DePaul for me
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: in this one, but I don't love it. They flipped
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: from one point Dog and one that boy favorite ninety
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash and then fifty percent of
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: the tickets or evenly split. We got SMU and Mississippi State.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: At Mississippi State. I expect both teams to show here,
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: but Mississippi State's coming off a really bad performance against
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. Mississippi State almost lost the game, which I
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: think is why I faded New Orleans after that. Mississippi
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: State was coming off that tournament in Kansas City, though,
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: where they almost beat New Mexico. Had to play Kansas
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: State before that, so I think they were in kind
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot because they did have SMU coming
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: up after that, so I think they didn't pay attention.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: They almost got caught. That's why they didn't cover their SMU.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just really they haven't been tested. Man.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: Their biggest game was against Butler, and yeah they won
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: the game, but they're having a step up in class
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: and faces Mississippi State here, man, So I like Mississippi
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: State in this one. SMU is a one point favorite,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: so the oswigers are telling you they're actually the better team.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State a bit down this year, but I don't
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: love it. And this is also SMU's first true road
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: game this deep into the season. I don't like that either.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: In Mississippi State. Again, I kind of like Mississippi State here,
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: and nobody gonna want them because who's gonna want a
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: three and three Mississippi State team against a seven to
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: zero SMU team. Pick the winner. Nobody's gonna want that.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State's coming up. That ugly game against New Orleans
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: or Mississippi State barely covered. They almost lost the game.
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: They had to make a huge comeback here and win
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: it in overtime. And this game was on the twenty fourth,
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: so they've had a few days off after that, but
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: they are staying at home. You know what, I like
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State in this one. I think we're gonna do this.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: Let me see what does ken Bom have for this.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: He's got Mississippi State. They're definitely down this year, mid
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: tempo team, middle in the Luck Index. They're fairly balanced,
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: at least top one hundred in both offense and defense,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: top one hundred overall. He does have SMU top fifty.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: He has some top fifty offensively outside of the top
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: fifty defensively, faster tempo, so Mississippi State might be able
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: to slow them down a little bit. Although they're not
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: exactly a slow team SMU hiring the Luck Index here.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, Mississippi State is clearly more battle tested, though,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: which is why they're three and three. I mean they
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: lost to Iowa State, Kansas State, New Mexico. I mean,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: those are better teams. Those might all be better teams
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: than everybody that SMU is faced. I mean, how good
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: is Butler ken bom As Butler of forty six? So
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: I guess they're better than New Mexico. But yeah, that's
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: about it. So you know what, Yeah, I kind of
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: like this one. Let me see what can we get
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: for a number here? You can probably get Mississippi State
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: as a home dog here. Let me see, yeah, Mississippi
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: State can get them at a let me see. Yeah,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: you can get them at plus one right now, it
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: looks like it's the best money line. There's no money
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: line underdog price for them. Plus one seems to make sense.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: You can get plus one at like a normal price,
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: so at least what I'm seeing at Caesar's. All right, Yeah,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do it. Destin is in the Panhandle, all right,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: good to know? Interesting? All right, we're adding Mississippi State.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: I know I'm adding more plays on the fly. I
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: know I have to do my stupid Instagram videos. Dude,
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: this is so much easier when I didn't do these videos. Sorry,
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: but that's just the case, we're on Mississippi State. It's
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be a very Mississippi State heavy day. So now
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: you know what I'm doing. My last playing college basketball
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: is here. We're gonna take the points with Pitt. You
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: can get it five and a half. I snagged a
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: five and a half earlier where I saw that you
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: could snag it. I think you can still do it.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. It looks like they're getting the public action,
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: so the line might still be just hovering around that number.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets on them, sixty eight percent of
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on pit. This is a low
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: total in this one. So I like that as well.
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: For taking the points. We're taking them at home with
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: Pitt here, We're to do this Ohio State. They're in
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: a bad spot here. Man. I don't think Ohio State
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: is exactly great. I mean people consider themselves to be
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: a big name. I mean, this is not football. Though
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: ken Bum does have them outside of the top twenty five.
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: I mean he has some kind of borderline at thirtieth
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: right now. Yeah, they're a balanced team, but he does
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: have them high in the luck into six seventy fourth
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: and they have not played a difficult schedule So far,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: they're in the bottom six strength of schedule in all
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: of D one according to Ken Bom, so they have
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: not really been tested. Their biggest test was against Notre
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: Dame and they almost lost the game. And this is
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be their first true road game, which is never
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: really that easy. Pitt, They're gonna get up for it,
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: man and Pit. They don't look good, you know, as
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: far as their record at four and three, but they're
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: four and one at home and they've at least been
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: more battle tested. I mean, they lost to West Virginia.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: West Virginia seems to be on the way up again.
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: They lost to UCF, but now they're coming off a
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: kind of inexplicable loss. Man, maybe it was because that
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: UCF game kind of sent them spiraling a little bit.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: But now Pitt's coming off losing a Quinnipiac. I mean,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: come on, man, Pitt was twelve and a half way
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: favorites in this game. It was a low total game
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: and they lost the game outright. That's pretty bad. A
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac shot absurdly in this game, though, fifty seven percent
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: from the field and sixty five percent from three. It's
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: like that's the type of game. There's just nothing you
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: can even do about it, like you're not gonna win
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: the game. When a team shoots like that, it's just
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: a complete outlier. That's just the way that it is.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Pitt was the better team in the rebounding department, which
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: is more of a sustainable metric, So I like that.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know, do we take UCF off of that
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac game. I don't know, because UCF didn't actually cover,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: so I hope we didn't. But that would have been
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: a fade spot for Quinnipiac. But I think I lay
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: it off, but just because I thought maybe they'd still
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: get up for UCF. But this is a spot where
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: I think Pitt does show up in this one, and
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: for Ohio State. It's not really about the spot being
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: bad for Ohio State necessarily, except for the fact that
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: it is a first true road game and they do
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: start conference play next against Northwestern in Illinois, so maybe
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: they just don't pay as much attention to Pitt here
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: in Ohio State did just put up one hundred and
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: thirteen points man winning by fifty three against Mount Saint Mary's,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: So I think when you do that to anybody you're
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be feeling a little bit cocky coming into the
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: next game in Ohio State. They had not put up
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: over one hundred points since their first game against IU Indie.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: And we know how fast IU Indie likes to play
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: and how little defense they play. So Ohio State is
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: not exactly that team that we saw in those two games.
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: So I don't think they're gonna top one hundred points
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: in this game against Pitt. Let's just put it that way.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Pit plus the points, Yeah, I mean yeah, if I
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: stop ball, I'll yeah, I'll put them in Patreon. I
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know what I'm gonna do. Man,
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: this takes a lot out of me, and yesterday was
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: unbelievably frustrating. Then I'm looking at this board today and
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: I'm like, come on, man, I have to talk about
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: all of this. It's just Uh. We have a game
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: going on in k back in Quebec between a bunch
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: of New York teams. I guess Colegate is playing Albany,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: but Colegate's coming off a pretty difficult game, or they
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: took Cornell to within one point. I guess at Cornell.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: I think Colgate probably considered considers Cornell to be a
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: bigger brother. I think all these teams are in Upstate
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: New York. That was a pretty big game for Colgate.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, Cornell, they're usually kind of one of the
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: better teams in the IVY, so that was a big
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: game for them. So maybe they'll be a little bit
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: hung over here against Albany. Albany likely to step up
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: against Colegate Albany coming off a loss to Seana, who's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: another one of the teams in that area. In Upstate
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: New York. There Colegates all all the way up from
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: a six point favorite with seven and a half point favorite,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: But I would fade them. I would take the points
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: of Albany. The total is also pretty low at one
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: hundred and forty two and a half, so I don't
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: have a whole lot else to say about it. But yeah,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: it's just weird that these teams are playing in Canadia.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: In Canada, we have BYU playing Dayton in Florida. BYU
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: ninth in the country. I mean, I think they're slightly
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: slightly overrated. I mean, I just always think that BYU
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: is overrated. That's just my thing. BYU coming off a
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: couple of big wins, huge games, actually three huge games
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: against Yukon in Boston, almost coming back and pulling off
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: the upset, then smashing Wisconsin back at BYU even though
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: I thought Wisconsin was in a revenge spot and we
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: took a loss in that one, and then BYU beat
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: Miami here in Florida, I believe, So that's a pretty
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: big win as well coming up all that. I don't know, man,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: it could be a little bit of a letdown scenario here,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: although Dayton is coming up beating Georgetown in overtime. That's
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: a decent win as well against a big ten team.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: Although nothing look what BYU just had to do, although
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: Dayton did have to beat they beat Marquett in overtime
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: a couple of games before that, and then I believe
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: we gotta win an NC Central in the sandwich spot
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: between the two n C Central covered. So I mean,
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: this is not a game I'm gonna touch, but I
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points with Date. With Dayton here,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a game where I think it's
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: also probably a contrast of styles where I think if
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: you like BYU, you probably like the over Dayton plays slow,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: and they're probably correlated to an under seventy six percent
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: of tickets, fifty one percent of the cash on BYU
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: as a ten point favorite, totals down to one hundred
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: and fifty and a half, so I think, yeah, probably
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: it looks like Dayton getting some of the money there.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Dayton. And then we
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: do have Santa Clara and Minnesota here in that Palm
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Springs thing. Santa Clara might actually be the better team,
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: but they did take their first loss of the season.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: I talk about how somebodys that'll hang you over a
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: big game against Saint Louis, big loss, but will they
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: still step it up for a Big ten team like Minnesota.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: Maybe they win Minnesota coming off a close loss as
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: well to Stanford, So not exactly in a great spot.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't say Santa Clara is up to a five
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. So the oizweckers are telling
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: you Santa Clara is the better team, but the money
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: seems to be coming in against them. Eighty percent of
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: the ticket, sixty one percent of the cash on them,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: so the money is fading them low total at one
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: hundred and thirty nine and a half, So I guess
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: I would agree with the money and taking the boys.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: With Minnesota, I think they will probably slow the game down.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: But it's interesting that you have a West Coast Conference
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: team being the better team over a Big Ten team.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: We're seeing lines like that with Santa Clara and San
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: Francisco this year, so those teams are better than maybe
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: they look. Let's go to hockey Poutine Bowl. Yeah, that's yeah, dude.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: I like poutine by the way. I mean, I don't know.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Some people seem to shit on it, but I like it.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: There are a lot of things you can do with it.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: I like the classic poutine. We have hockey basically all
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: day today. There's a lot of afternoon action. There is
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: a game at noon between Tampa Bay and Detroit. It
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: is interesting that Tampa Bay is a favorite on the
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: road at Detroit. So oddsmakers are telling you Tampa is
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: actually the better team, and they do have the better
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: record now because they've been on fire recently, and they're
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: actually good on the road too. At six two and two,
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: Detroit's okay at home eight five and one. Tampa Bay.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: They're just on a roll right now. They just beat Calgary,
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: which is not really a game that I think they're
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: really gonna care about. I don't think they're gonna be
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: over confident or anything like that starting a road trip.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: They should be focused here. They did play Detroit earlier,
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: I think, did they? I thought they did. Maybe they
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: didn't know they did. They lost at Detroit in October,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: so I guess maybe there is some revenge aspect of
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: this game. But it is a positive spot for Tampa
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: because they're starting a road trip with momentum too, So
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: I talk about how that is a positive spot. Usually
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: focus the momentum can carry through them. Detroit's bounce back
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: spot though, man, I mean, they just took a horrendously
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: ugly loss to this bad Nashville team coming off a
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: big game against New Jersey where they fell just short.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: So I think they fell into a sandwich spot. So
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: they're in a bounce back spot too. Both teams are
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: in good spots. I don't really have a strong opinion here.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: But the money's coming in on Tampa although they drop
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: for minus one twenty forty minus one seventeen, looks like
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: they have fifty two percent of the cash on them.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent of the tickets are on Detroit, so
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: the money is saying Tampa. But there is a reason
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: why they're road favorite here. I won't really disagree with that,
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: but I don't feel strongly about it either. Red Wings
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: are dysfunctional. Yeah, that is what I'm what I'm being told.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: I don't really know. I don't know anything about like
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: the personnel or the I should like look into it
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: more because I do kind of have a dysfunction angle
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: in one of my football plays today. But yeah, that game.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I just don't really pay attention to the hockey. And
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: I need to figure out when the dad trips are
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: man because that used to be a huge angle that
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: I would use in hockey, and now I just don't
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: even know when they're happening anymore. Like they might not
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: even be happening anymore. COVID might have killed them. I
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: don't know. Rangers at my Bruins at one pm Eastern here.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: Rangers got to win for us the other day, big
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: win at Carolina could be a bit of a letdown
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: spot after that. They got Tampa after this. Do they
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: overlook Boston here? I don't know, because I think is
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: this a divisional matchup or is it not? No, I
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: think New York's in the metro right hilariously. The Rangers
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: are in last place in their division even though they
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: have more wins than regulation losses now, which is ridiculous.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: But will they show up for Boston. I don't know, Man,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: it does look like it's a letdown spot. I will
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: say that although Tampa Bay is not in their division either.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: I think Tampa Bay is in Boston's division, but still Rangers.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tampa Bay's hot and they do have to
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: play Excuse me, yeah, Tampa Bay is hot and the
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: Rangers do have to face them tomorrow. So I don't know.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: The spot's not exactly great for the Rangers. He although
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: they're definitely good on the road. Bruins, they're in third
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: place in their division, even though their record isn't that good.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: Bruins are returning home from a road trip though I
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: know they're already back on the East Coast. They got
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: to win against the Islanders, which I didn't think they
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: were gonna win that game. Now they're in the actual
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: return home spot, though they haven't been back to Boston.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: So I talk about how that's not a good spot.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: When you return home from a road trip, you can
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: be distracted. You have to get back to home life.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: They've been away for over a week. They went to
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast, so it's not a good spot for
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. Rangers still good on the road, ten to
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: four and one on the road, although the Bruins have
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: been better at home than on the road. They're eight
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: to four and oh at home. Solid home record for
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. I mean, I probably lean with the market
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: here to the Rangers. I think that return home spot
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: is it is a big It is a bad situation,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: man like, that's worse than the letdown spot. I think
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: that the Rangers are in lean to the Rangers here.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: There's also a reason why the team of the worst
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: record is favored on the road. Oddsmaker is still disrespecting
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. Money is coming in on the Rangers, but
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: you could have gotten them at a better price earlier
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: at minus one twenty four. They're minus one forty two
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: now sixty eight percent of the tickets and seventy six
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Ranger. So the money
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Rangers side. I don't disagree
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: with that, but you gotta pay a little bit more
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: for it now I would if I was gonna do
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: it I would still probably do that money line, but
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know Flyers already did the Dad Trip? When
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: was it? Dude? I need to know this information, Like
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: you look it up online. You can't even find the
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: info about when it's happening. You got to tell me, man,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: when was that? Did they win? The dude? The Dad
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: Trip is a huge motivational spot. I need to know
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: when those are because you're usually getting that team at
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: a cheap price because they're they're away rich kids. Weren't
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: in January yet, they're all rich white kids pretty much
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: all right. I don't want to talk about every one
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: of these games that I just don't New Jersey at
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is close to being a play for me. New Jersey.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: They're coming up of an overtime win, but it was
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: against Saint Louis. But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: it was still overtime two days ago. But this is
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: a weird single game road trip against Buffalo. And New
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Jersey has a bigger game up next against Philadelphia tomorrow
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: back at home, because those two teams don't like each other.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: And New Jersey just lost to Philadelphia on November twenty
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: second at Philly, and it was kind of an embarrassing
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: six to three loss. I think New Jersey is they're
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: in a look ahead spot here, man, so I think
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: they might get caught. I think Buffalo might be able
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: to get this one. Buffalo. We faded them in their
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: last game against Pittsburgh and we did get the win there.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is in a letdown spot coming off the game
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: against Carolina we got the win. They're a bit more
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: rustic because they did have a couple of days off
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: before that. They're coming back home, but only from Pittsburgh
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: to Buffalo, very short trip there. I expect them to
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: show up against New Jersey. So this one's not quite
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: strong enough. But I like Buffalo. In this game. They
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: flipped from plus one on one dog to a minus
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: one twelve favorite. So the money is agreeing with me here.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: Fifty three percent of tickets fifty six percent of the
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: cash on Buffalo. Yeah again, obviously I agree with that one.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: But we'll see. They did win a mom's trip. I
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: don't think that's gonna The mom's trip would be a
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: massive distraction like that would be awful. The dad's trip
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: is good because it's you know, you get to like,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: you want to impress your dad, Like the mom's trip
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a huge distraction. It's not actually happening.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: I assume. I assume you're joking. Philadelphia. I know it's
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: always a two day trip, but I got to know
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: this information. Man, was it a what was it? Was
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: it Saint Louis Dallas? Is that what it was? It
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: was probably this trip? So they got the win, dude,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: I faded them. Fuck, come on, man, you gotta tell
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: me when it's a fucking dad trip. Because I faded
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: them in that first game on it against Saint Louis.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: I think this was it, but it was a horrible
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: spot for Philadelphia. Otherwise I would have at least probably
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: just not given it out as a play. But Saint
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Louis is up five to three with three minutes left
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: in that game. I'm fucking pissed, dude. But Philadelphia was
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: coming on that game against Edmonton, so I didn't like
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: to spot at all. I'm pretty sure. Yeah, that was
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: a play for me. And then they got wrecked in
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: the other game on the dad trip on a back
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: to back against Dallas, assuming that was that trip. Anyway,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about, Well, I don't know if I'm
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about Philly in a bit. Gladwell did a
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: study on it that is pretty weird. Actually, how that
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: is the case, I don't know, man, Just guys that
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: love the cold Buffalo. Yeah, I mean, that's close to
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: making my card. You come on, there's no way a
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: mom's trip please, dude, I have to know when these
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: things are. When these things are happening, trip is solid.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: The dad trip is like a dude's rock type of thing. Man. Like,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: it's a huge motivational angle because the guys they get
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: to take their dads along and they get to play. Well,
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: it's like you're back in like high school, you know
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: what I mean, playing in front of your Yeah, like
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: you get to play for your dad. I'm the mom's
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: trip is gonna be a distraction. I think it's gonna
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: be a negative because your mom is just gonna be
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: like nagging you about shit, whereas your dad isn't gonna
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: do that. Like, your dad's just gonna pump you up,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Dude's rock. Like I said,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: what other games am I gonna talk about? Oh, Philadelphia
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: and the Islanders. Oh that's one of my plays. And
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: I was just talking about them anyway. So we're on
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: the Islanders money line and minus one forty here. This
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: will this will be a play if you wanna. You know,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: if the price starts getting a little bit too high,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: usually my cut off is about minus one forty So
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: if you want to play it in a different way,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: you could do that. The money seems to be now
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me. So this is what I have to
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: say about the market. Here, six percent of tickets, fifty
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Islanders. They did move
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: up for minus one thirty five to minus one forty five.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: Maybe this means the money line will come back down
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit in the minus one forty something range.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: Money line I think still makes sense, but I do
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: not like the spot for Philadelphia. I mean, first of all,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: they just beat Florida and they I know they did
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: that already this year. I think they played Florida three
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: times already, but they've lost both games after playing Florida
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: so far. I mean, they were into Florida Sandwich early
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: in the season and they lost to Carolina, although they
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: played well, they took them into overtime. But then they
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: beat Florida after that, and then they got smacked by
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: winnipegg in the game after that, five to two. So
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is zero to two coming off of games against
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: Florida and they're own one and had one of their
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: worst games coming off the win against Florida. Now they're
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: coming off beating Florida again. They got to face the
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: Islanders here coming back up to the New York area,
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: and tomorrow they got that game against New Jersey, which
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: I said is a big game, even though Philadelphia did
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: beat I'm not that long ago. Again. I mean, Jeffrey
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: can correct me if I'm wrong. But the New Jersey
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: fan base is split where you basically have South Jersey
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: is like the Philadelphia crowd and North Jersey. I mean
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: it's kind of samely. It's a Philly New York split basically,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: but like North Jersey, some of those are yeah, some
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: of those people like the New York teams, typically the Rangers.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: Within the New Jersey fan base is up there in
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: North Jersey as well, and there's a divide in the
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: state of New Jersey. Big game, I think. So I
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: like the Islanders here, man, I think it's kind of
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. It's possible Philly overlooks the Islanders. But
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: even though the Islanders are ahead of them in their division, again,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: you can only focus on so many games, right, So yeah,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: I like the Islanders here. New Jersey is also a
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: divisional opponent, and they're just a better opponent, so might
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: be that look ahead spot there and because of the rivalry.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: But also the Islanders are coming out of an ugly
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: loss staying at home. They're gonna want to split this
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: home stand, man, or get it beat back to two
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: and two because it's a long homestand they continue playing
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: at home after this. But they're one and two on
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: the home stand right now, coming off an ugly loss.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: But they only scored one goal. I know the Islanders
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: haven't been scoring recently. Three games in a row they
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: only scored one goal each, but I think they're gonna
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: be able to score more than that against a Philly
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: team that's let's just say questionable defensively and as questionable
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: goal ending, and the Islanders focus more on defense. So
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's a great matchup necessarily for Philadelphia either.
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: So I like the Islanders here. Man, that's play one
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: in hockey. Wait, Lindro's bane, Brindemore's wife and is that
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: talk at Toche? It's Toche right, because Tooche? Did he
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: say Tooche after he knocked him out? Talk at knocked
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: him out? Yeah? Correct? Sell Jersey as flyers. Yeah, North
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: Jersey is the devils. Yeah. I don't like the market
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: reads starting to disagree with me on that, But I
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: like the Islanders. I really don't like the spot for Philly.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: We have Ottawa at Saint Louis. I don't know if
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: I have a ton to say about this. Saint Louis
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: is coming up a couple of difficult losses to the
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: Rangers and New Jersey in overtime against New Jersey, and
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: they're turning on from a road trips. This is a
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: pretty bad spot man for Saint Louis. They've been on
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: the road for over a week and I know, you know,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: I talk about that when a team returns home from
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: a road trip, they tend to be a bit distracted.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: It's a bad spot. They went up to Eastern Canada,
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: they were out on the East coast. Now they're coming back.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: They do have a conference game up tomorrow against Utah.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: Possible they overlooked this out of conference Ottawa team, even
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: though Attawa has been playing decent, but Ottawa. I know
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: they're in the middle of a road trip here, but
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: they're having to come out of the Pacific time zone
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: to Saint Louis, and they just beat Vegas in a shootout,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: and they have Dallas next, So this was like a
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot in the Dallas that Ottawa is in here.
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: So I just can't do it. Both teams are in
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: terrible spots. This is a complete stay away from me.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is probably worse for Saint Louis.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: I do think the return home spot is the worst
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: of the spots. But Autawa up for minus one fifteen
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixteen, seventy four percent of tickets, seventy
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on them. I mean slightly
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: in to Ottawa, I guess for that reason. But it's
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: horrible spot for both teams. Can't get involved in the
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: side there. Usually when I see situations set up like that,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: I lean towards an over. The total dropped a little bit,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: I guess, to five and a half. It wasn't a
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: significant move, though it looks like the actual money might
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: be on the over eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: six percent of cash on the over I'm not gonna
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: disagree with an over in that one. Like I said,
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is probably my preferred approach in that game.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: Dirty sock, what's up? Man? I started early again. I
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: didn't even think I was gonna do the show at all.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: I was, yeah, like pretty much contemplating like bridge jumping
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: last night. I don't know if we're allowed to say
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: it on the show. I saved my NFL Week two video,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: By the way, it got taken down this many weeks
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: later for who knows what. I don't know if people
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: were reporting me or what, but it might have been
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: an automatic YouTube thing. But I appealed it and I
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: won the appeal and they restored the video because they
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know, they took it down for promoting a
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: gambling that's not legal in my state, which I wasn't like.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: I went and I looked at the video, and at
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: that time, I was just talking about the dildo props
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: in the WNBA, which I think we're legal at certain
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: sports books. And then I was talking about the look
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: A headlines, which I was just looking at a at
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: CBS to talk about the look A headlines. So I
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: don't know, but we're back up baby. All right, we
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: have Montreal in Vegas. I'll talk about it because it's
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: a fairly big game, but both teams are pretty solid. Vegas,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: they returned home. They took a loss to Auto one.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: A lot of times I talk about when a team
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: returns on from a road trip, they get caught in
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: just traction spot. They tend to play better, bounce back
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: in the next game. Maybe they will do that here.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: So it's a somewhat positive spot for Vegas. Montreal coming
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: in from elevation after beating Utah, and they do have
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: Colorado tomorrow. Will they really overlook Vegas though? I don't
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: really think so. But I don't know. I think the
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: spot sets up better for Vegas to me, But the
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: money's disagreeing. Vegas is up for minus one eighty to
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: minus one eighty four. Fifty percent of the tickets are
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: on them, sixty three percent of the cash coming in
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: on Montreal, so the money's on Montreal. I don't really
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: agree with it though, So we'll see what happens there.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: La and Anaheim is a big game between the two
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: kind of rivals that are down the street from each other.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: And again, this is a game where the oddsmakers are
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: telling you not to buy into Anaheim because LA is
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road, although both teams actually at
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: this point have similar records, and remember LA has been
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: basically the Rangers of the West. LA has been really
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: good on the road, really terrible at home. Although here
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: it's like something's got to give because LA is really
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: good on the road and Anaheim's good at home, and
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: both teams are really close to each other. So what
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: gives in this game? I don't know. LA's already up
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirteen to minus one thirty, so the
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you LA is the better team. Sixty
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: percent tickets only sixty five percent of the cash on LA.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: Though this is a tricky handicap man all around. We
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: faded Anaheim on Wednesday and they lost to Vancouver. We
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: got the win there, kind of an ugly loss. I
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: thought it was a bad spot because Anaheim had just
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: beaten Vegas and they did have this LA game next,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: so that basically indicated that I felt that Anaheim would
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: show up in this game, and I do. I think
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: both teams will, though that's the issue. So Kings, I
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up as well. They just ended
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: a three game loss Streek with a win over Ottawa
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: and now they're they have a single game roadrope, but
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: they just have to go down the street and they've
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: had three days off. I don't know if that like
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: time off is gonna hurt their momentum or not, because
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: they just broke that lost streak, So I don't know.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: Man Like, if it disrupts a win streak, I do
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: think it's disruptive, but the fact that they only had
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: one win before going into the rest, I think the
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: rest will be helpful. So I think both teams are
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused. I kind of lean to LA because
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: they're good on the road and the oddsmakers are kind
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: of telling you what to think in the game. They're
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: nine to two and three on the road, which is solid,
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: although I know Anaheim is eight three and zero at home.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is very good at home, but LA is significantly
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: better on the road than they are at home. So
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: although maybe the home distractions or are why LA is
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: not good at home, and maybe uh those will still
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: be in play here because they're still so close to home,
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: they could probably just still you know, be at home
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: right now. So I don't know. We'll see what happens. Oh,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. I'm glad that people appreciate this, but
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: uh yeah, I don't know, man, I I do not
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: appreciate myself. I know I've been really hot until last
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: night when I was so angry about being wrong about
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: all three games. Just today in the nflum I pick him.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: If only I got the Ravens right, I would have
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: not felt that way, and that game was complete bullshit.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: You can go see my rant at the beginning of
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: the show. That was a bullshit game. It was not
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: what it appeared at all. Paid for being a tout.
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, well, dude, I mean, I don't know, because
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: my politics just are so like wild and I say
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: such uncouth crap on Twitter. I don't know if it's
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. I mean, I've hung out with some of
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: those people and they liked me, but I don't know
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: if they quite knew. Although Chris Thurst and ct bets
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: followed me on Twitter, I don't he might still follow me.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean I warned him when he
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: followed me, because I talked to him when I was
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: at that thing during March Madness back into twenty twenty four.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: I was at a bar for the Final four and
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: it was like a Viva hard Seltzer thing. I've told
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: you about it where Kelly and Vegas was promoting and
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: she was there. It was in the Boston area, Yeah,
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: she was there. It was It was at a bar
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: restaurant that has like a ton of TVs. It was
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: a good setup for watching a ton of games at
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: once and every dude, it was awesome because we had
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: our own section. It was just all sports betters. There
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: were some guys from other podcasts there. Yeah, ct Bets.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: I warned him though, how like like uncouth I am
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: and whatever, And I think he is kind of like
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: a right leaning guy politically, but you know, I mean
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: those people have a lot of beefs with me too,
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: hugely so. And I think Kelly is too, but I
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, she doesn't follow me, though she interacts
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: with me on Twitter sometimes. And it was them too,
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: and uh no, no, walking Bets was not there, Jimmy
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: the Greek. Yet Kelly was like the only woman at
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: the whole thing. And dude, I mean she's fun, I
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: will say. I mean, as I've already pointed out, I
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: mean she he definitely likes to hit the sauce, let's say.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: But I mean that's well known. But I mean I
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: don't think she like overdoes it or anything. But she
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: gets into like she talks a lot. She loves her dogs.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: She starts talking a lot about that. She's I think
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: she's a happy drunk, if you want to call it that.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: That was fun and I like, like I said, Joe
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: Ranieri from wager Talk was there, and I liked hanging
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: out with him. He was mostly hanging out kind of
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: right at the bar, really, but he's funny dude. He's
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: really funny in person. Like I think I vibed with
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: him the best out of all of them. Yeah, I
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: kind of want to hang out with that guy again.
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: I liked him. And then I met some other people there,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: some people who do I mean, it was all people
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: that bet at least and whatever. This other guy followed
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: me who goes by like the Caveman or something, and
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: I glanced across the bar and I thought he was
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: Marco DiAngelo. He looks like Marco, but it's but it
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: was not Marcos. This dude called the cave Man. I
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: think it's from around here somewhere. He followed me. I
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: don't know if he had enough of my Twitter shit posting,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: and maybe he still follows me. I don't know. I
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: liked that guy too, though, I mean I liked all
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: these people hanging out with them. Whatever it was. We're
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: doing it as a non alcoholic and I was hitting
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: the non alcoholic beers that they had there, which is
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: now my thing. I'm in the craft non alcoholic beer
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: space now, like trying out more of that. I had
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: a deal pickle one from Athletic yesterday. I have some
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: of them left, so shout out to them, which I
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: love pickles. And that is a wild beer man, It's
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: a sour. I like it a lot. I like the
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: strangeness man. But yeah, I'm going way off topic here,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: but that event was fun because everybody in our area
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: had bets on like everything, and like I had an
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: under on one of the baseball games that was on
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: and I'm watching that. It was like Cubs, I forget
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: it was at Wrigley Field. It was one of the
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: days where the wind was blowing out. I forget who
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: it was Cubs and somebody I was like, yeah, I
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: got the under in that game. Everybody had action on
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: like the Final Four. To some extent, I think a
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: lot of the guys that I was with were on
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: Alabama plus the points against Yukon, and I think they
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: might have covered, like just snuck in at the end
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: and we all like barely won because I think I
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: had an Alabama team total under in that game because
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: there was such a three point shooting team, and I
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: thought moving into that big venue for the Final Four,
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: I thought would affect the site lines. I wasn't totally
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: right about it, but they did still sneak in under
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: their total because it was that plus Yukon plays way
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: slow and plays deep then, so I'm like, yeah, it's
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: gonna slow them down, man. So but we all won,
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: and we all barely won our bets. Right at the end,
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: everybody went nuts because it was like Alabama covered that
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: they went under their team total for me and we're all,
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: fuck yeah, everybody's high five and you know, yeah, I
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: mean that was fun for sure. Uh. I don't think
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: the other people in the restaurant appreciated it. They're probably
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: what the hell was going on because our space was
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: like right in the middle of the restaurant. We were
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: on one side of the bar because the restaurant. The
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: bar is right in the center of the restaurant, So
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: one side of the bar was where we were set up,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: and it was all blocked off for the party that
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: we had with tables and stuff there and one half
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: of the bar, and then the other side of the
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: bar was for the rest of the restaurant. Oh man.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: But of course, if you get a table at the
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: restaurant and you don't have to go up to the bar,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: obviously they serve you, you know what I mean. So, yeah,
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: that's that's how it was. What is that, Hakeens? Is
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: that how you pronounced that? A pickle vodka? Sounds good
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: to me? Sixty proof? That's that's low for a vodka,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: isn't it thirty percent alcohol? It seems like it should be.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: It seems like it should be. It should be probably
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: at least eighty proof, I would imagine. But yeah, I
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: do it. I mean I used to drink lot of alcohol,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: so we know. I was a craft beer guy. I
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: also loved a lot of the whiskies. I delved a
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: little bit into the rest of the stuff. I mean,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: I would drink almost anything. Never really a wine guy, though,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: that's that's not my thing. But you know, all right,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: let's get back to the rest of this. Vancouver and
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: San Jose. I mean this game. I don't know if
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: I have a ton to say about this, but Vancouver
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: they did pull off that upset over Anaheim. That was
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: a big game, and they do have La tomorrow and
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: then Colorado, so it does look like a sandwich spot.
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: So I guess you know, I do have something to
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: say about this. I would fade them in this game.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: I would look towards San Jose. The problem I have
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: with it is that San Jose is clearly not as
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks, because I think Vancouver, who
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: has the lesser record than San Jose, are favored on
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: the road at San Jose despite being in a bad spot.
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: So that does worry me a little bit. But you
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: gotta think San Jose's in a bounce back spot. They
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: just lost six to nothing. I know it was to Colorado,
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: but Colorado also had a revenge motive because Colorado did
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: lose an overtime at San Jose, and after that game,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: San Jose did actually play well on a back to back.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: The next day they took Detroit to a shootout, so
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: San Jose actually has played well after playing Colorado before already,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: but they did have to travel to Elevation this time
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: and then come back, whereas the other time both games
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: are at home. So I don't know this game. It's tempting.
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: It's close. I think I'm leaving it off my card.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: It's close. But the money is actually saying Vancouver in
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: this one, and I don't really know why. Throughout for
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: a rounds one twelve to minus one thirteen, seventy percent
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: of tickets on San Jose, fifty two percent of the
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: cash coming in Vancouver, So the money's coming into Vancouver.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: So marcut Reede says Vancouver. I don't really agree with it,
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: though I would. I would lean to San Jose in
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: that one for sure, but it's not on my card. No,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: I did not. I was a good boy. I did
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: not drink in high school. I had a little bit
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: in college, you know, because I was in the men's
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: glee club and it was like you gotta at least
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: do it, man, you gotta at least have some of it,
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: you know, not really hazing, but it was like kind
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: of like you gotta kind of do it, you know,
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: just to be in it. Like a lot of those
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: guys are frat guys and whatever. All right, so drink
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: some really like crappy beer. Whatever that was about it
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: not gonna InCred well saturret limitations is up, baby. But
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: I never was really into it. I never liked it
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: until until I started working in Boston. Like, I never
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: really did it hard, Like I was pretty much a
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: non drinker. I would have it like very very occasionally.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: Never really did it up until I started working in
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: Boston my second job, and it was a massive party
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: at like an e commerce like retail website, which is
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: probably why the company went under and they had to
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: like lay everybody off as well. But that was a party, man,
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: And that's when when I really started doing it. No,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: not for me. It wasn't for the young, No for me,
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: it was for me. It was between the ages of
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: twenty eight and thirty six is when I was doing
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: it for the most part. I wait fluctuated in college
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: quite a bit. I wighed about what I weigh now
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: in college almost like, well, I don't know, well, at
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: my best in college, I think I was close to
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: what I weigh now, maybe a little bit less in college.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: But I started working out in college, so maybe some
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: of it was muscle, but I didn't weigh that much
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: like I was when I graduated high school. I kind
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: of looked like I do right now, like I was
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: probably in the one sixties, which is still where I
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: am right now. My weight has gone all over the place.
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: So and in college, dude, Like in college, you could
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: eat a ton and not gain weight, Like you just
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: have a good metabolism when you're young. And then I
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: started working out, like like junior senior year, we were
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: using the gym a lot, but it was easier to
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: do it because I was doing intramural basketball. I was
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: playing for an intramural basketball team, but I was also
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: the coach of that team. We were the only team
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: that even had a coach, which was hilarious. It was
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: a fun time. I got an interviewed for the school paper.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: I started just because there was a random neck tie
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: on the floor of the gym, and I just put
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: it on and started coaching. And then I went out
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: to Dix and I got like a clipboard, started drawing
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: up plays and we got serious about it. Like my
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: team was like an undersized team and we were good shooters.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: So I started like not that type of shooter, So
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: I started like running like Princeton offenses and stuff. Yeah,
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. We did well, Like we
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: made the fun of four in one of the one
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: of the years, and we lost to the eventual champion,
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: and we were beating them at halftime. It's just our
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: shooting went cold and they got too physical with us.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know, but yeah, And I would
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: go to the gym with a lot of the guys
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: that were on that team. We'd go, we'd lift weights,
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: we'd run, you know, all that time. Some of the
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: basketballs I kind of supplant the running. But yeah, and
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: then I was in the one sixties like around that.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: I think I looked pretty good because I think some
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: of it was muscle too. And then after college I
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: got really bad, and really really quickly because I went
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: from working out like almost daily to not doing anything.
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: And I was working, you know, with computers, sitting at
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: a desk, and I was like, I can just I'm invincible.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: I can still just eat all this garbage all the time.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: I got real fat, and then I had a stroke
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: and I almost died when I was twenty six. So
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: I got really fat and I started having a headache
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: issues because of blood pressure as well. After college, it
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: started right away, man, and I ballooned up to like
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: two hundred pounds, and then I finally got rid of
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: that weight. In twenty seventeen, I went like Keto and
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: I lost forty five pounds, so I got all the
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: way down to I got down like to one forty nine,
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: I think my lowest, and then I've gained a little
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: bit of a back. But I've been like at like
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: one sixties, like in the low one sixties is where
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: I've been for a long time. Now, That's where I'm at.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: But I'm really like I'm small. I'm five to six,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Yeah, I think it was impossible
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: for me to get fat in college, even though I
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: was eating a lot of crap. I was the player coach. Yet,
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: Bill Russell, that is true. And yeah, there are other
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: stories that I'll talk I think I've talked about them
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: before on the show, with us almost getting thrown out
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: of the league and then me getting a bunch of
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: ringers after we had multiple guys thrown off of our
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: team because we were doing things that we were not
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: supposed to be doing, Namely, we were using players that
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: didn't go to my school, which was not allowed. It was.
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: It was nowhere near as bad as you think, but
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: that's what we were doing. And we only got called
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: out because we had a rivalry with another team and
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: they like contacted the like league over us because of that. BS. Yeah,
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: I'll talk more about it at some point. With the
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: way the way that I the way that I went,
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: it was almost like a movie the way that I
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: got out and got a bunch of ringers. Although we
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: were probably not exactly the most sympathetic characters. Maybe we were.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: We were kind of like a don't a RAGTAGI ish
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: type of team. All Right, we have Toronto at Washington. Dude,
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: I gotta get through this fucking video. We still have
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: all this football to talk about and NBA. I knew
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: this was gonna happen. I hate this. I have to
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: get this done within the next like half hour, dude,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: Like I have to do it. Toronto just beat Columbus
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: to break a law streak and that was a win
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: for us on the show. Maybe that will give them
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: some momentum to move forward into this game. Washington's coming
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: off kind of a bigger game against Winnipeg staying at home. Yeah,
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: you know, and they do have the Islanders next. Toronto
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: just hasn't been playing well, so I would lean to
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto here. The money seems to agree washing up to
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty seven here, sixty percent of the tickets
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: on them fifty or sixty seven percent of the cash
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: on Toronto market seems to agree with me on that one.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean as I as I will say,
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: I'll agree as well. I still don't like that the
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: markets disagree with me on the Islanders game. But whatever,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg and Carolina. Carolina is a huge favorite in this
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: game though, so I don't know, like, what do you
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: want to do with this? I just mentioned it because
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: I still consider Winnipeg to be a good team. But
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: they've lost three games in a row. Maybe they'll be
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: motivated coming into this one because it is Carolina. Carolina
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: has been really good Carolina. They're coming off two losses.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: The way, they're in a positive spot because they took
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: that loss that we were right on with the winner
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: on the show with the Rangers. Carolina took that loss
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot or return home spot. Now the
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: second game back home, it is a better spot. So
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: it is a positive spot for both teams here in
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: my opinion, Carolina is pretty decent at home. It's sixty
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: three and one. Winnipeg is alright on the run, it's
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: six' five and, One SO i, MEAN i don't. Know
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: with a line like this and both teams being, focused
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: maybe there's some Value and looking towards Taking, winnipeg there
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: are fifty five percent of tickets On carolina sixty nine
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash On. Winnipeg the numbers down from
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: minus two twenty three to minus two, thirteen So carolina
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: heavy favorite money seems to be fading. Them BUT i
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: don't know IF i really want to do anything with that.
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: GAME i MEAN i, don't BUT i MEAN i could
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: See carolina winning, it though pretty. Easily in a better
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: spot for Them nashville And. Chicago WHAT i will say
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: is that this is a rivalry, game which is basically
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: Why i'm talking about, it even though both teams are not. Great.
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: Uh CHICAGO i think is still overrated looking at their,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: RECORD i don't think they're as good as their. Record
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: nashville has been playing like ass although they're coming off
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: a blowout win Over, DETROIT i don't think they're gonna
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: be in a look in A i don't think they're
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be in a letdown spot, though Because chicago they don't.
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: Like these teams don't like each. Other, man there's a
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: rivalry between these two teams for whatever. REASON i don't
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: really understand, it but that is just the way that it. Is,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: chicago they're on a four game skid, now and they
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: did just Take minnesota into, overtime and they played its
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: tough game Against colorado of the game before. That SO
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: i don't know IF i love the spot For. Chicago
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: it seems like a tough spot for both. Teams looking
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: at that the money's coming in In. NASHVILLE i, mean
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: you really want money On. NASHVILLE i know they got
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: the money in the last, game but, Ugh chicago down
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: for mind is one to fifteen, aunts one oh nine
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the tickets on, Them so they're
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: public because it's like pick the winner, here but the
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you that even Though nashville's record is way,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: worse that they're actually the better. Team chicago's not even
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: getting home ice factored into the line. Here as far
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: as how heavy of a favorite they, are how not
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: heavy of a. Favorite they are seventy eight percent of
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: the cash coming back On. Nashville i'll agree With nashville
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: in that, one BUT i don't love. It but, YEAH
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: i mean it's one of those, situations, RIGHT i think
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: just the records are not representative of who the teams.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: Are thank, you, sir the Toad Lore, sab you like
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: The maymmoth and you Like. Toronto when is when Did
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: matthews come? Back? Though because wouldn't that be a reverse
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: injured player? SPOT i, MEAN i agreed With toronto, today
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't. KNOW i, MEAN i don't really factor
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot into hockey that much, Though
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't know when he came back, Either so
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: if it's his first game, back that would still kind
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: of be a slight reason to maybe not Love. Toronto.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: UH i give out The islanders as a. Play but
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: speaking of, which my other play Is utah on the money.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: Line speaking of, Which, SAB i don't, know he's in my.
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: HEAD i Like utah as. Well we're gonna go With
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: utah here on the money. Line we're gonna Fade. Dallas
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: money seems to very much agree with. This dallas is
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: down for minus one forty two to minus one thirty,
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: seven seventy five percent of the tickets on, them seventy
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash back On. Utah so the
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: money coming back On. Utah he played in the last.
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: GAME i gave out a play On toronto in the last.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: GAME i wasn't paying any, attentions SO i don't, know
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: but at least that, means, yeah they're gonna have some
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: rhythm with him, Back so that's, BETTER i guess For.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: Toronto now money coming in On. UTAH i liked the
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: spot For utah. Here utah did just take a loss To,
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: montreal WHICH i mentioned that on my. Show that was
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: close to being on my card BECAUSE i said it
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich. Spot utah was coming off Wrecking, vegas
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: a Big Western conference, matchup and then they had this
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: out of conference game Against. MONTREAL i thought it was
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: a bad. Spot and again because they also had to
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: go To dallas next so that's a much bigger game as,
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: well so Another Western conference. Foe SO i thought it
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich. SPOT i didn't give it out as a,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: play ALTHOUGH i was four and oh that. Day but
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: my additional leans went two to one that day with
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: the only loss being The chicago overtime. Loss but, YEAH
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: i Thought utah was in a bad, spot but NOW
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: i think they're gonna be in a bounce back. HERE
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: i know we might have to deal With vanachek and
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: which hasn't been as, good BUT i don't think it's horrible,
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: Really and you gotta think they're gonna be focused On dallas. Here.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: Man In, dallas they do like to play some lower scoring,
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: games so an underdog is more likely gonna be in
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: a game Against, dallas at least an underdog that knows
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: how to play, defense which is Not. Edmonton dallas coming
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: off that huge win Of edmonton the other night With
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: ottinger back and. NET i gave it out out as
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: a play that was a winner for. Us huge game For.
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas that was, revenge playoff, REVENGE i believe for last
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: year or, no they already got playoff. Revenge so that
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: was the second time they Beat. Edmonton BUT i think
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot For, edmonton huge win For.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: Dallas they turned around the next night with The smith
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: back in, net and they didn't even. Lose they Beat.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: Seattle so Now ottinger's back in, net and now we're
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: looking at even though, yes he is their better. Goalie
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: but we're looking At dallas being in a return home spot, now,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: Man SO i don't like. That as you, know they've
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: been off for over a. Week they had to go
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: up to The Pacific, northwest coming back home from a
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: successful road. TRIP i think they might be distracted against
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: A utah. Team it's not been playing that well recently
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: in the return home AS i talk, about you have
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: to get back to home. Life you got stuff to
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: do at. Home, YEAH i think they're gonna be in
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: this distracted spot. Here SO i like. It we'll Take
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: utah money line in that, game, Man and that is
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: the play, there all. Right montreal is a sneaky. Dog
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: vegas loss ers iss ujuh On montreal's. Momentum knights in
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: a return home. Spot, no The knights are in the
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: second game back. Home i'm pretty SURE i just talked about.
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: THAT i Like vegas in that. Game, vegas they're in
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: the second game back. Home they lost the first game back.
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: HOME i think it's a positive spot for. Them And
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: montreal is coming off winning in elevation and having to
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: keep that up a second straight. Game. Toronto Beating toronto
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: was big for them, too SO i. DISAGREE i Like
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: vegas in that, game all. Right money doesn't agree with me,
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: though so Sob you're on the side of the. Money
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: so the market read is on your, side but the
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: mark get read is on your. Side BUT i DON'T
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: i don't agree with. IT, nba come, on, MAN i
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: don't want to DO i really have to talk about
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: all this shit and then we still have college. Football
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: this is, awful. DUDE i haven't EVEN i don't even
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: have my video On instagram out for the noon. Game.
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: FUCK i don't Want i'm not gonna talk about every.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: Game cleveland is At. ATLANTA i, mean that's a somewhat
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: big game. Here calves are coming off a blowout loss To.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: Toronto they've had a bunch of days, off so it's
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: a pretty positive. Spot although they may look ahead, though
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: Because boston Embarrassed. Cleveland My celtics Beat cleveland by twenty
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: points In, boston so that is a rematch For cleveland,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: there so there is a potential look at head hero.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i gotta Think cleveland's gonna want to bounce back
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: from that ugly loss there and that they will show Up.
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: Atlanta though they're coming off and even ugly your loss
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: getting blown up by almost twenty points By. WASHINGTON i, mean,
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: really that's an insanely bad. Loss so you gotta think
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: that they're gonna be in bounced back. Mode and maybe
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: they got caught looking ahead and they do have a
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: couple of days off as. Well, oh by the, WAY
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: i forgot to mention the other THING i like about
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: fading The Dallas stars is that they're playing a third
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: game in four, day's all in different. CITIES i forgot
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: to mention. THAT i believe that's the, Case so that's bad.
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: Too but, anyway back to, this both of these seems
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: to me look like they're in bounced back. Spots so
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: what do we do in this? Game the money's coming
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: in on The calves up from five and a half to.
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: SIX i kind of disagree with, it, though sixty and
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: ave percent of, tickets fifty six percent of the cash
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: on The. HAWKS i know The hawks look like a
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: public home, underdog which you never want to be on
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: a side like, that BUT i don't really see how
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: they're the. Public how would they be getting the public
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: action against The. CALVES i just don't get. IT i
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: think the spot could still potentially be a look ahead,
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: though And atlanta's loss was more. Embarrassing SO i kind
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: of Like atlanta in that. Game, man all, right some
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: of these, GAMES i, MEAN i, again these some of
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: these games are so. UGLY i just have nothing to.
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: Say i'll give out my play now more best. Bets
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: it's always the best bets. SEGMENT i have ONE nba
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: play and here it, is and it's going against the.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: Market but again the. Market can you, know take that,
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: Gesture we're gonna take The Orlando magic plus the three
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: and a half Against. DETROIT i think this is a
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: bad spot For. Detroit. MAN i saw some three and
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: a half's out. There you might have to get three.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: Now BUT i, Mean detroit just took a loss to
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: my boss And. Celtics huge win for The. Celtics but,
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i talk about this when a team loses a
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: long win stream like. That detroit had not lost Since
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: october twenty. Seventh they literally had gone almost two months
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: without a, loss and now they take a loss in
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: a hard fought, game, which by the, way the refs
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: tried to hand the game To. DETROIT i don't know
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: if you saw That cunningham got foul when The celtics
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: were basically intentionally. Following he threw up a three from
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: almost half, court and the refs reviewed it and they
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: gave him the three free. Throws absolute. BULLSHIT i absolutely hate.
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: That he obviously was not gonna shoot the fucking ball
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: WITH i think they had like a two point lead
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: at that. Point obviously he was not gonna do. That
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: it was so fucking. Stupid but he actually missed the
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: last free throw and The celtics wound up. Winning but
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: that all that. Aside detroit's coming off of, that so
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: that could hang them, over, MAN i talk about, that
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: when you haven't lost it so, long you can definitely
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: be a hangover. Spot not only, that but they already
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: Beat orlando at home by almost thirty Or he's almost
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: twenty points at, home which was the win that started
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: their win. Streak So detroit did already Beat. Orlando orlando
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: might want a little bit of in season revenge, here
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: but of Course orlando's gonna show up anyway because It's.
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: Detroit you gotta think. So But detroit's also returning over
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: from a road. Trip they've been on the Road november.
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: EIGHTEENTH i know they didn't go that. Far they. BASICALLY
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: i mean they kind of stayed in the area sort.
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: Of they went To, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Indiana, boston but it's
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: still a return. Home spot could be a bit of a.
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: Distraction and they do Get miami, next And miami's been
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: hot And miami is A i, Mean miami's got a
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: better record Than orlando right, Now miami's leading their, division
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: And miami has their starting lineup back now basically, Too
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: so that's a bigger game. Too so bad, SPOT i
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: think For detroit Here man for a whole bunch of,
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: REASONS i don't like it at. All and that was
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: even bigger because they were trying to set a franchise
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: record fourteen straight wins and they didn't get. It so
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: now that's all. Gone they had to stay at thirteen,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: wins SO i think maybe that might even add something
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: to this. Too as far As orlando is, concerned they're
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: starting to play better since they started not trying to go.
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: FAST i THINK i think they, decided let's just do
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: what what we were good at last year and play slow.
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: Again and, YEAH i know they're coming off a blowout.
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: WIN i get it Over. Philadelphia they blew them out
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: by forty one. Points that's. Ridiculous NORMALLY i don't want
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: a team that blew a team out by forty one.
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: Points but are they really gonna be in a letdown
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: spot out of beating This philadelphia? Team and by the,
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: Way PHILADELPHIA i had like nobody in their lineup in that.
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: Game there was no mb there was No Paul. George
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: SO i don't. KNOW i, mean There's orlando really gonna
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: be like overconfident off of. THAT i just don't think.
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: SO i think they're gonna show up for A detroit
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: team to kind of embarrass them earlier in the. Season
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: detroit team is all the rage right now and it's
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: like the top of the. Conference, YEAH i Think orlando
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: will show. Up orlando had a couple of days off.
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: Too they're trying to finish the road trip here and
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: they're one and one on the road trip right, now
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: so they have a chance to split the road. Trip
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: the line looks ridiculous at three and a half. Two
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: it almost looks way too easy to Play. Detroit AND
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: i know they're really good at home seven and, ONE
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: i get, It but if you're gonna Fade, detroit they're
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: they're good homean way like it doesn't even really matter
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: that much right. Now but and, YES i Know orlando
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: is Without, benchero so it looks, really really weird For
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: detroit to only be laying this many. Points the oddsmakers
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: might be accounting for a little bit of the situation,
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: here but even all that being, SAID i don't Think
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: cunningham's out of the lineup or anything like. That SO
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: i don't know this. Line it looks way, way way
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: too easy to lay the. POINTS i don't understand how
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: it looks like fifty one percent of the tickets are
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: on The magic right. NOW i don't get. That and
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: The piston's down from five and a half to three
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: and now with eighty percent of the cash on. Them
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: that makes me worried that there is some, injury but
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: looking at the injury, report that doesn't seem to be.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: Anything So i'm going with the. Spot we're gonna take
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: The magic plus the points in that one plus three
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: and a. Half, YEAH, mgm they kind of, YEAH, mgm
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: kind of lags behind a little. Bit, Yeah vegas played To,
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: ottawa that's, correct stronger. Leans, yeah every. GAME i wasn't
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: planning on doing every game in, football but there were
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: a lot of big games of, football all, right and
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: then what else do we have here as far as THE.
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: NBA i, mean there are a lot of these games
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: THAT i just don't. Like. MAN a lot of these
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: games are just huge favorites WHERE i just don't really
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on most of these. Games. MAN
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: i mean, again LIKE i looked at these games And i'm,
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: LIKE i got. NOTHING i Mean Milwaukee New, YORK i
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: guess was the only other one where there WAS i don't,
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: know kind of an interesting thing going on here Where.
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee i'm looking at this game And i'm, like, Well
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: milwaukee just lost At, miami but they did play them.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: Tough now they're going To New. York The. Knicks you,
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: know they have the better record right. Now The, KNICKS
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: i believe are still Without. Anonobay but The knicks are
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: returning over from a road. Trip BUT i know they
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: blew Out charlotte to finish the road, trip but that
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: road trip is mostly against some kind of weak, Teams
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: like the teams that they beat were all weak Teams, Dallas,
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: brooklyn And. Charlotte now they're returning home from a road.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: Trip they've been on for over a, week so that
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: could be a bad spot returning over from a road,
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: trip and they Have toronto, neck so that's a big.
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: LOOK i had. SPOT i Think toronto really really hot right,
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: now and Then boston after, that so they might overlook
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: This milwaukee. Team except THEN i looked at this, game
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: and the problem Is milwaukee looks like they might be
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: in a reverse injured player spot Because yiannis looks like
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: he's coming back. Here, man he's, questionable AND i think
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna, play if HE'S i think if he can,
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: play he's probably gonna do. It because this is a
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: game against The. Knicks it's. Big yannis has been insane this,
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: year averaging over thirty one points a, Game so if
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: he's coming back in you, KNOW i always talk about
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: how when a star player comes, back especially the dude
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: who's literally carrying the, team well not exactly literally but.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: Almost you, know when that, happens he's got to work
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: his way. Back the team's got to shift roles. Again
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a chemistry. Thing the line's gonna overadjust to.
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: That so that is WHAT i worry, about because if
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: he wasn't coming, BACK i would pretty much be all
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: over The bucks in this. Game the spot is really
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: bad for The. Knicks oither up to an eight and
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: a half point in. Favor they're very, public ninety six
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the, tickets ninety eight percent of the. Cash
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: i'd be looking to take the points of The, bucks
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: BUT i worry about that With giannis coming. Back min
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: although If jannis was coming back with the line be
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: this high on The, KNICKS i don't exactly. Know, maybe
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: SO i worry about, it. Man so it's got to
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: be a stay. AWAY i, mean maybe if it's announced
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: That giannis is not, playing maybe we have to jump
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: in on. THAT i guess IF i, do Maybe i'll
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 1: put it on An instagram video on. It but, YEAH
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: i MEAN i don't love. It and, AGAIN i don't
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: really have much to say on these other, games SO
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: i know we're gonna abbreviate the show a little bit.
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: Here but we got, football lots of football. Noontime my
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: first game. Up we have one game at noon and
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be. It it's in. Football we're gonna
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: be On Mississippi state plus seven and a. Half this
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: is a, weird weird setup in this, game. Dude one
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 1: of the weirder ones That i've ever, seen to be,
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: honest this, game it looks Like mississippi is public for.
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: Now but so we're fading the PubL with a little
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: bit more of the cash on. THEM i don't know
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: if it's really gonna stay it that. Way seventy percent of,
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on Ole. Miss
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: we're gonna Fade Old miss here, though man an Ole.
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: MISS i, MEAN i don't want to say everything is
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: in front of Them like, NORMALLY i like to fade
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: teams that are basically like they control their own destiny
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: and win in they're. In that's not the case for Ole,
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: miss h Ole. Miss they can only get into THE
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: Sec championship if they win and teams above them. Lose
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: AND i think they kind of Need alabama gonna. Lose, well,
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: no they do have the, TIEBREAKER i guess Over ALABAMA
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: r AND i forget how it works, out but they.
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: Can't it's not just win and they're in THE Sec.
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: Championship they need at Least georgia to. LOSE i Think Ole.
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: MISS i, mean as far as they're, Concerned, yeah SO
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: i know they're. Not they don't control their own. Destiny
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: but BASICALLY i think if they, win they're gonna be
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: in the playoff, Though like even if they don't get
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: into THE Sec, CHAMPIONSHIP i think if they, win they'll
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: be in the playoff because they'll be a one LOST sec.
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: TEAM i think there's no way they can get left
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: of the playoff if they. Win but there's some things
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: going on With Old miss THAT i do not like at,
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: all and that is mostly That Lane kiffin is like
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: meeting with other teams and they're saying he's gonna make
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: his announcement after this, Game so what the hell is?
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: That like what kind of a motivational thing is? That, Like,
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: like do you think the team is gonna show up
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: and play in this game really hard if they don't
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: know If Lane kiffin is, staying like he's gonna coach this.
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: Game but it's like the team's got this huge question,
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: mark like, oh hanging over their heads, now like what
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: is Lank kevin gonna? Do and it seems like he's
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be, Leaving so he's almost like a lame duck coach.
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: Now so it seems totally bizarre for a team that
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: might make the playoff to have a coach that's leaving
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: and gonna be a lame. Duck AND i think if
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: he was, staying he would have announced it before this
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: game to get the team pumped up for this rivalry
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: game The Egg. BOWL i don't, know, MAN i think
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have this in their. Heads it's a big
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: time question. Mark it's gonna throw some unstabil some instabil
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: into this. Situation. MAN i don't like it at. All,
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: YEAH i, MEAN i don't know what to say about.
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: It Ole. Miss GENERALLY i would be not really wanting
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: to fade them because they came off that game Over
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: florida or they didn't play that. Well but now it's
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: Like Lane kiffin might be. Gone it's very very, bizarre.
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: Man and Ole miss has actually played a fairly weak schedule.
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: TOO i, mean their biggest win was on the road
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: Against ou THE lsu win is not looking very good right.
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: Now in the other, game they lost At georgia and
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: blew a big lead in that. Game, yeah they played,
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: well but Ole miss is probably not exactly as good
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: as their record, looks. Man and now they're gonna be
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: up against a Hungry Mississippi state team that this is
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: gonna basically be a game where they're gonna go all, out,
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: man Because Mississippi state they could get a six win
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: here and make a, bowl which they have not made
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: a bowl since twenty twenty, one which is also the
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: last time they Beat Ole. Miss SO i think there's
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of motivation on the side Of Mississippi state, here.
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: Man they're a little. Brother it would mean a lot
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: to this program to get back to a bowl this.
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: Year they're coming off an ugly loss In, missouri a
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: couple of ugly. Losses they've actually faced some more difficult
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: schedule Than oh MISS i mean out of. Conference they
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: had to Play Arizona, state they had to Play. Tennessee
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: they played competitively. There they lost TO a AND, m
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: but that game was somewhat closer towards the end of the.
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: Game they played pretty competitively Against texas and they lost To.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: Georgia and then yeah they lost Some, MISSOURI i mean.
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: Whatever but more difficult schedule in the sid Of Mississippi state, here.
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: MAN i like it for all those. Reasons we're gonna
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: take the points With Mississippi state and that one and
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: hopefully the cowbells Get we need more cow bell in that.
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: Game The Egg. Bowl, YEAH i don't, KNOW i don't really.
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: KNOW i think it's because the trophy is supposed to
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: be a, football but it looks like an, egg so
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: it's the egg bowl. Stacks what's? Up thanks for hanging.
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: OUT i gotta get out of here soon. Though, man
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: this is like we do Have utah and nebre And kansas. Year.
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: Now the thing About utah they can make The Big
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 1: twelve championship, still but they need a lot of, things
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: like it looks like they can't even do it BECAUSE
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: i don't know how they can even get, in which
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: there is some scenario where they get, in AND i
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: don't really understand it Because utah lost TO byu And Texas,
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: tech which are the two teams ahead of them in
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: The Big, twelve so they don't have the, tiebreaker so
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: how could they possibly get. In but there is some
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: scenario where they get. IN i don't really understand, it
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: but there. IS i think they need LIKE byu to.
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: LOSE i think they Need Texas tech to lose as,
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: well and they Need Arizona state to. WIN i don't.
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: Know it's some very very bizarre. SCENARIO i don't. Know
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: but when they're in a scenario like that of The
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: utah can kind of just focus on the game because
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: they're in a situation where it's like you don't control
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: your own, destiny, right and there's just this outside chance
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: that they might be able to get, In so like
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: all you can do is really. Win DO i really
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: want to lay points With utah on the, Road not.
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: Really In, kansas they didn't make a bowl last. YEAR
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: i don't think they made a bowl two years, ago
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: so they. Could they need a win to get bowl.
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: Eligible so maybe they'll be motivated. Here and it is Senior,
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: day by the, way WHICH i forgot to. Mention In Mississippi,
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: state these home teams are in their Senior day this,
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: week so that's big. Too the final home game where
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: you're gonna go all, out especially if you think you
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: might not make a, bowl you're gonna go all out
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: and try to do. That, Man and, like at the
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: very least you get to play well On Senior. Day,
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: kansas they'll be trying to make a bowl at the very.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: LEAST i think they'll show, up especially because they were
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: embarrassing last. Week we took that embarrassing loss last week was.
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: Terrible you does down from thirteen to ten and a,
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: Half you're sixty eight percent of the tickets seventy one
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on. Them DO i really want?
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: TO i don't, know, MAN i don't really have a
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on. THIS i would probably lean towards taking
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: the points With, kansas BUT i don't love it at.
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: All iowa At, nebraska WHICH i think Is, zach that's your, team, Right?
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: Nebraska there is? It No, Nate it's, RIGHT i DO
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: i get everything mixed? Up now It's. NATE i THINK
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: i don't even remember this. GAME i, mean both of
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: these teams don't really have a whole lot to play for, now.
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: Man Iowa. Nebraska iowa was up from five to, six
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: is a road favorite, here fifty seven percent of, tickets
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash coming in In. Iowa the problem
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: With nebraska is they're Without. Ryola and after they had
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: that one really big step up game For latif playing
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: in his you, know home crowd basically IN la and
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: they BEAT, Ucla nebraska was really bad in his next
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: game back home Against Penn. STATE i had that as
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: a lean Towards Penn state on the. SHOW i should
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: have given it out as a, play should have added
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: it to my pick, five pick, six, whatever pick, seven
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: but Maybe nebraska they're just not as good without Latif.
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: MAN i know this is senior day for, them BUT
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know, again both these teams are not going.
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: Anywhere they're both going to some bowl at, Least But
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: iowa had an ugly performance last week, themselves barely Beating
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: Michigan state in their senior. NIGHT i don't. Know i'm
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: kind of leaning Towards iowa in this. Game with a
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: defensive team in a low total, game laying points on
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: the road is not not very appealing to. Me ohio
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: At buffalo and the Mac ohio pretty. MUCH i think
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: they're in a situation where if they, win they're into
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: THE Mac. Championship, so you know, WHAT i don't love
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: that when a team controls their own destiny because it's
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: almost like the pressure builds too. Much it's like winning you're,
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: in you know WHAT i, Mean like teams play looser
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: when they don't control their own, destiny when it's kind
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: of like out of their. HANDS i talk about this
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: at the end of THE nfl. SEASON a lot didn't
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: really have situations like that THAT i really jumped in. On last.
• 2:02:24
  Speaker 1: WEEK i was more looking for teams THAT i just
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: thought wouldn't be motivated at. All But. OHIO i mean
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: they're going on the road To buffalo. Here buffalo is
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: gonna want, it, man Because, buffalo they they still need
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: to win to Become bowl. Eligible AND i know they
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: were in a bowl last. YEAR i think they, were
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: but still that's one of their goals this year is
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: to make a. Bowl it's Senior day for, them so
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: it's their last home, game so they're in one of those.
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: SITUATIONS i think they're gonna go all out as. Well
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: i'll just try to get into a bowl. Here they
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: also have a chance, to you, know kind of spoil
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: it For, ohio even THOUGH i know they're not the
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: biggest of. Rivals but Still, BUFFALO i think they're maybe
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse than the record makes them. LOOK
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: i don't think they're a horrible team in THE mac.
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: Here they're getting a lot of points at home, too
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: AND i think With ohio, again you're having to lay
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: a lot With ohio in a game where they just
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: need to, win and they're in, too so they don't
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: need style points. Either they don't need to win and
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: cover in this. One fifty four tickets fifty two percent
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them totals all the way down
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: to fifty, four which makes it a lot more tempting
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: to want to take the points with the home underdog.
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: There that's the WAY i would Lean buffalo plus the points. There,
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: yeah don't have a whole lot else to say about.
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: That we got some ugly other games. Here i'll talk
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: about the bigger games and my, plays and Then i'll
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: try to get out. Here, WELL i have to talk
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: ABOUT nfl. Too number Four georgia and number twenty Three Georgia.
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 1: Tech this is a weird. Game this game is very
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: hard to. Handicap the motivation, Man, georgia they're number four right,
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: now so they still have a chance to be one
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: of the teams that gets to buy in the. PLAYOFF i,
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 1: well actually maybe They maybe they don't BECAUSE i think
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: the conference winners get. THEM i, Forget, NO i forget
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: exactly how it. Works. Now maybe that's not. RIGHT i don't,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: know BUT i. Forget maybe they they do have An,
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: well of course they still have a shot because they
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: could win THE. Sec So georgia still has that in
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: front of them. Too but this is also not AN sec,
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: game So. Georgia as far As georgia getting into THE Sec,
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: championship that's out of their hands, now AND i know
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: that is one of their goals is to get into
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: THE Sec. Championship and their bigger goal though is to
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: make the, playoff is to like get you, know get
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: into the Play their goal is a, championship, right AND
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: i think if they take a second, loss they'll still
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: be in the. Playoff THE sec again is out of
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 1: their hands. Here so this is not AN sec, game
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: and last week's wasn't AN sec game. Either they barely
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 1: showed up Against charlotte and they didn't even cover The
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: they didn't even score the points spread in the. GAME
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: i think they were like a thirty eight point favorite
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: and they only scored thirty. Five but that being, said
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: it was obviously a game Where georgia just didn't even
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: show up and they still. Won now this, game how
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: much does it matter To, GEORGIA i don't, know. MAN i,
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: mean a second loss would at least kind of prevent
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: them from getting a buye in the, playoffs SO i
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: think they still kind of want. That they still want
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: to get to THE Sec championship for that, reason although
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: again for them to get into THE Sec. Championship they
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: can't do anything about it. Now they got one loss
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: and they just need teams to basically, WELL i think
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 1: they're basically. IN i don't. KNOW i don't know if
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: some teams could leap fraud them or, not SO i don't,
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: know but it is out of their hands. Now Georgia
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: tech dropped to number twenty. Three Georgia tech is a
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: very overrated, team AS i kept talking, ABOUT i don't
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: think they're even a top twenty five, team and they
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: just took a brutal loss To pitt that almost Eliminates
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: Georgia tech from THE Aec championship. Game they could still get,
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: in but this is not AN acc, game of, course
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 1: so it's out of their. HANDS i mean they. Can't
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna need teams above them to, lose and
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: they're gonna need a lot of things to happen to
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: get into THE Aec. Championship, now it's, possible but highly.
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 1: Unlikely so you might, say, well that might be the
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: dream crusher because they were gonna try to win THE.
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: Acc Georgia tech is not gonna wind up in the
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: champ in the playoff, now man LIKE i know THE
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: acc would have an automatic BERTH i think for the.
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: Winner But Georgia tech basically can't get there now unless
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: some really unlikely circumstances. Happened but does that mean that
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: Now Georgia tech is gonna treat this like their bowl?
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: Game it's still a huge game Against. Georgia it's the
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 1: final home. Game or it's not. Home ACTUALLY i think
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: it's a neutral site. Game let me. See, yeah it's In.
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: Atlanta it's At Mercedes Benz stadium where last YEAR i
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: think it was actually At. Georgia If i'm not, MISTAKEN i.
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: Forget but, YEAH i MEAN i see reasons why both
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: teams might show up, here but it's really really hard
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: for me to gauge this one. Man And georgia does
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: remember That Georgia. Tech if you, Remember Georgia tech took
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: them into like multiple overtimes last, year so that was
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: kind of. Crazy georgia kind of remembers, THAT i, think
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 1: and Maybe georgia will be more focused because they Know
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: Georgia tech almost upset them last. Year georgia is up
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: from thirteen to fifteen and a. Half here sixty six
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets seventy five percent of the cash on,
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: Them So georgia is getting some of the money. Here
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: if you liked, them you probably needed to get it
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: before they went through the two touchdown threshold because that
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: is a significant move through the. Fourteen i'm staying away
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: from this game, completely but, YEAH i, MEAN i don't
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with the. Game But georgia is
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: definitely the better. Team Georgia tech is overrated, completely Whereas
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: georgia is probably somewhere around the top five, teams so
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: they're not very. Overrated Georgia tech is definitely still overrated
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: and has been throughout the, season SO i don't, know
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 1: that's WHAT i think about. That And georgia has the
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: way better deepfense. Tours Georgia tech is more of an offensive.
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: Team temple has to win to Become bowl. Eligible, yeah
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: that is gonna be a motivating. Factor next, Up i'm
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: gonna give out another. Play we're gonna Take New mexico plus.
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: One nobody Thought New mexico would even be in this. Situation,
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: Man we're gonna Fade San Diego. State they're down for
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: minus one and a half to minus, one sixty one
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on, them so they're public sixty
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash On New, Mexico so the
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: money's coming in On New. Mexico San Diego. State they're
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: in a spot where they control their own destiny. Completely
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: they're atop The Mountain. West they already Beat Boise, state
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: which was their huge. WIN i don't believe they PLAYED,
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 1: unlv But New mexico is just kind of in, there
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: and it's, like who are these? Guys San Diego state
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: might overlook. Them man In San Diego state, again if they,
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: win they're gonna host The Mountain west title. Game so
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: they win and they're the one seed in the in
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 1: the conference and that's. It they can lose and still
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: get into the championship game as. Well by the, way
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: so there is that scenario where they actually don't need
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: to win to get into The Mountain West. CHAMPIONSHIP i
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 1: think the only they could actually get knocked out of,
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: it BUT i think a lot of stuff would have
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: to happen for them to get knocked, out although it
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 1: is possible Because New. Mexico from their, Perspective New mexico
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: could actually if they win this, game they're gonna take
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: the tiebreaker away From San Diego. State So San Diego.
• 2:08:59
  Speaker 1: State if they, lose they're gonna Need Boise state to,
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: LOSE i, believe or ACTUALLY i don't, know Because San
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: Diego state has a tiebreaker against them because they beat,
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: them so maybe they, don't so Maybe San Diego, State
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: LIKE i don't, know are they actually locked into the championship.
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: GAME i didn't think they. WERE i don't think they.
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: Are but still they basically control their own destiny here
• 2:09:19
  Speaker 1: where it's like win and they're the. Host BUT i
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 1: Think New mexico is absolutely just free rolling. Here Man
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 1: New mexico didn't think they would be anywhere close to
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: this this. Year they got a new coach this year and,
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: whatever and they've played quite. WELL i know they haven't
• 2:09:33
  Speaker 1: had the most difficult, schedule But New, MEXICO i mean
• 2:09:36
  Speaker 1: they've played competitively and like pretty much all their most difficult,
• 2:09:40
  Speaker 1: games and those all came on the road, too like
• 2:09:43
  Speaker 1: At michigan and At Boise. State they didn't play horribly
• 2:09:46
  Speaker 1: in those, games and those are both on the, road
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: and they did lose by seven At San Jose. State
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: but they're better than the record. Looks And New mexico
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: won on the road AT. UNLV i KNOW unlv is,
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: overrated but still that's a good. Win And New mexico
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: is also under feed it at, home so and it's
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be their senior, day so they're gonna go all
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: out for. This and, AGAIN i think when a team
• 2:10:06
  Speaker 1: didn't even think they were gonna be here at, all
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: and basically like if they win and then a couple
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: other things, happened they can actually get into the they
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: could actually potentially host The Mountain West. Championship, YEAH i,
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: MEAN i think the team's just gonna be playing way
• 2:10:19
  Speaker 1: more loose man because, again they just didn't even think
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: they were gonna be. Here and For San Diego state last,
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: WEEK i, mean they weren't a letdown spot because they
• 2:10:30
  Speaker 1: Beat boise the week before, that but, Again boise lost
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: their quarterback the week before. THAT i, KNOW i Liked
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: boise in that game because it was an injured player
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: at theory, spot but they couldn't get it. Done that
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: backup quarterback For boise is. Awful San Diego state should
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: have been an a let down coming off of. That
• 2:10:45
  Speaker 1: they didn't exactly play well Against San Jose. State even
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: though they beat them twenty five to, Three San Jose
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: state Outgained San Diego state in this, game but they
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle by, two so statistically it looks
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: like the game should have been way. Close oh, sir
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: And San Diego state actually kind of got. Outplayed that's
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: not a good. Sign and the other not good sign
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: For San Diego state is they haven't been good on the.
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: Road they got blown out By Washington state on the.
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: Road they got blown out By hawaii on the. Road
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 1: so their two losses both came on the road in
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: really ugly. Fashion they do have some road wins Against,
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: nevada though they Suck. FRESNO i, Know fresno's kind of
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: in the mix there in this conference sort, of but
• 2:11:26
  Speaker 1: they're not that good. Either and then that was. It
• 2:11:29
  Speaker 1: so oh In Northern iowa they only are excuse, Me
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: Northern illinois they only beat on the road six to,
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: three and that No Northern illinois. Team they're decent defensively
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: that they are bad beating them six to. Three that's pretty, bad.
• 2:11:42
  Speaker 1: Dude SO i Like New mexico in this one man
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 1: and the money seems to. Agree so that's the next.
• 2:11:48
  Speaker 1: Play oh, god how we're gonna get this? Done? Man
• 2:11:53
  Speaker 1: temple And North texas it is ON Espn North, texas
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: they can get into The American Championship. Game if they,
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: win they're gonna be. In but, AGAIN i don't like
• 2:12:02
  Speaker 1: teams to control their own. Destiny navy was able to
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 1: get it done last, NIGHT i, think WHICH i didn't
• 2:12:07
  Speaker 1: think they were gonna be able to do. IT i
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 1: Thought memphis would win that. GAME i was. Wrong But North,
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 1: TEXAS i mean people have seen, that like Crazy North texas.
• 2:12:15
  Speaker 1: Offense oh and now all they need to do is
• 2:12:17
  Speaker 1: win and they're in and it is their senior night.
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: Whatever BUT i don't, know, Man temple is gonna be
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 1: motivated again because they could spoil it For North, texas
• 2:12:27
  Speaker 1: but also they need to win to Become bowl, eligible
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: WHICH i think would be fairly big for them BECAUSE
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 1: i don't know when the last time they were in
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: a bowl. Was they're on a three game skid right,
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: now AND i think they might show up for. It.
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 1: Man they might treat this like a big, game like
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 1: if they're not gonna make a, bowl this could function
• 2:12:44
  Speaker 1: as their bowl game and who, knows like maybe they'll
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: be able to pull it. OFF i don't. KNOW i,
• 2:12:49
  Speaker 1: mean probably not as a twenty point. Underdog but if
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: you Want, temple you only need them to cover the
• 2:12:54
  Speaker 1: number here ninety three percent to take a sixty five
• 2:12:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the. Cash On North, texas they're very. PUBLIC
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: i would take the points With. TEMPLE i don't think
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: they're gonna, win BUT i think they're gonna be motivated
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 1: enough they can come within this, number AND i Think
• 2:13:07
  Speaker 1: North texas's motivation is a little bit. Questionable, SO i,
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 1: MEAN i know it's winning they're, in but, again that
• 2:13:14
  Speaker 1: kind of puts more pressure on you and it makes
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: that team overvalued in the market because the oddsmakers know that.
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: Too boise is At Utah. State boise still has a,
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: chance SO i don't want to say their dream crush.
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: IT i, mean if they, win they're pretty much gonna
• 2:13:28
  Speaker 1: be in into The Mountain West championship, still SO i
• 2:13:31
  Speaker 1: think that is a spot where that doesn't mean they
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 1: control their own destiny, though which AGAIN i don't Like
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: Utah state In Senior night they have a chance to
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: spoil the. Season Although Utah state did just Become bowl
• 2:13:42
  Speaker 1: eligible last, week and that is big for them because
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 1: they haven't been to a BOWL i think for a bit,
• 2:13:47
  Speaker 1: now so that's. Big but of course they're gonna show
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: up For boise as well at home On Senior, Day
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 1: SO i would take the points With Utah state Here
• 2:13:55
  Speaker 1: boise is down from three to one and a. Half
• 2:13:57
  Speaker 1: it almost looks too easy to Play boise here sixty
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 1: five percent to take a seventy nine percent of the
• 2:14:02
  Speaker 1: cash On Utah. State so, YEAH i MEAN i would
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 1: look towards taking it With Utah state. THERE i Mean
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 1: indiana And. PURDUE i Mean indiana is a giant. Favorite
• 2:14:13
  Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot to really say about. This
• 2:14:15
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna remain undefeated and be in The Big ten.
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: Championship purdue likely we'll try to show up in what's
• 2:14:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be their final game of the Season senior night at.
• 2:14:24
  Speaker 1: Home they're not going to a. Bowl SO i would
• 2:14:26
  Speaker 1: probably take the, points, uh Because indiana they don't even
• 2:14:30
  Speaker 1: really need style points right. NOW i, mean they're gonna
• 2:14:32
  Speaker 1: be one of the top seeds in the playoff almost.
• 2:14:34
  Speaker 1: Certainly sixty nine percent to take a seventy nine percent
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: of the cash In, indiana they're a twenty eight point
• 2:14:39
  Speaker 1: favorite twenty eight and a. Half though on the. Road,
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: PURDUE i mean they're an in state little brother at
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 1: this point Doing, indiana SO i expect them to at
• 2:14:46
  Speaker 1: least come out with motivation. There whether or not they can,
• 2:14:49
  Speaker 1: COVER i don't, know but it is a big. Number
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: i'd take the points and then my final. Play we're
• 2:14:55
  Speaker 1: doing a lot of you, know we're doing a lot
• 2:14:59
  Speaker 1: of fading. Perception we're gonna Take texas plus two and a,
• 2:15:02
  Speaker 1: half ALTHOUGH i think you don't have to take this
• 2:15:04
  Speaker 1: now BECAUSE i think it's it is actually already at,
• 2:15:06
  Speaker 1: three so we're Gonna i'm gonna list it at. THREE
• 2:15:09
  Speaker 1: i think. THERE i was gonna, say wait to get a,
• 2:15:12
  Speaker 1: three But i'm pretty sure if it's not there right,
• 2:15:14
  Speaker 1: now you'll be able to get. It BECAUSE a AND
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 1: m is gonna be. Public sixty percent of, tickets fifty
• 2:15:19
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash ON a AND. M they're.
• 2:15:21
  Speaker 1: Public they're up to. Three now they're having to go
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 1: on the road to Face. Texas texas is the better. Defense.
• 2:15:27
  Speaker 1: MAN a AND m is a decently balanced team to
• 2:15:29
  Speaker 1: definitely the better, offense but better defense at home getting,
• 2:15:33
  Speaker 1: Points i'm gonna start looking that way In. TEXAS a AND.
• 2:15:36
  Speaker 1: M they're undefeated and they are absolutely not the third
• 2:15:40
  Speaker 1: best team in the. Country, Man i've expected the wheels
• 2:15:43
  Speaker 1: to come OFF a AND m for a. While looking
• 2:15:45
  Speaker 1: at their, schedule it has not been that. Difficult they
• 2:15:48
  Speaker 1: had that nice win At Notre dame earlier in the
• 2:15:50
  Speaker 1: season When Notre dame was kind of struggling out of the.
• 2:15:53
  Speaker 1: Gate and since, then what have they. DONE i, mean
• 2:15:56
  Speaker 1: their biggest wins are AGAINST lsu on the, road AND
• 2:15:58
  Speaker 1: lsu Had they've completely fallen. Off they're not that. Good
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 1: and then they did win At, missouri AND i don't
• 2:16:04
  Speaker 1: remember If missouri's quarterback was injured at that point or,
• 2:16:07
  Speaker 1: not but that was a BAD i think that was
• 2:16:10
  Speaker 1: a loss For russ on the, show but, yeah that
• 2:16:11
  Speaker 1: was not. Great and then they almost. Lost they were
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: down thirty to three To South carolina and they somehow
• 2:16:17
  Speaker 1: escaped with a win in that. Game and last week
• 2:16:19
  Speaker 1: they had an easy game Against. Samford but now they're
• 2:16:21
  Speaker 1: having a step way up in class to Face. Texas
• 2:16:24
  Speaker 1: texas is legitimately gonna be the best team that they've
• 2:16:26
  Speaker 1: faced since they Played Notre. Dame, DUDE i, mean they
• 2:16:29
  Speaker 1: have not faced the team as good As texas for a.
• 2:16:31
  Speaker 1: WHILE i know everybody makes fun Of texas's. Offense the
• 2:16:34
  Speaker 1: public doesn't want them Arch manning's not, GREAT i get,
• 2:16:38
  Speaker 1: it but this is still a good defense in a
• 2:16:40
  Speaker 1: spot WHERE i expect them to show. Up, Man texas
• 2:16:43
  Speaker 1: pretty much knows they're not gonna be in the playoff,
• 2:16:45
  Speaker 1: now ALTHOUGH i think there's an outside chance. THAT i
• 2:16:47
  Speaker 1: don't want to say that because they have three, losses
• 2:16:49
  Speaker 1: so they're probably not gonna get. In but they probably know,
• 2:16:53
  Speaker 1: that and they're gonna treat this like Their Super. Bowl.
• 2:16:55
  Speaker 1: Man they get to spoil the party for a and
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 1: m knock them from the ranks of the. Unbeaten and
• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: these teams don't like each. Other it's a home game For,
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 1: texas so it's Senior, day it's the last game of the.
• 2:17:05
  Speaker 1: Season texas is gonna care more about this than if
• 2:17:08
  Speaker 1: they missed the. Playoff texas is not gonna give a
• 2:17:10
  Speaker 1: shit about whatever bowl that they're. In they're not gonna.
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 1: Care so they're gonna be a team you want to
• 2:17:14
  Speaker 1: fade in their, bowl though they'll probably have a bunch
• 2:17:16
  Speaker 1: of players drop, out WHICH i hate because then you
• 2:17:19
  Speaker 1: can't get value fading them. Anymore but this is the
• 2:17:22
  Speaker 1: game they're gonna show up. For, MAN i think this
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 1: game matters more than whatever bowl they're gonna be. In
• 2:17:26
  Speaker 1: they're likely not to make the, playoffs SO i think
• 2:17:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show, up AND a AND m not as
• 2:17:31
  Speaker 1: good as their record, looks so we're going With texas
• 2:17:35
  Speaker 1: plus the, points and then we do Have arizona Against Arizona.
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: State arizona twenty Fifth Arizona state. Twentieth, REALLY i think
• 2:17:42
  Speaker 1: the handicuff comes down To arizona wanting revenge for last
• 2:17:46
  Speaker 1: year Because Arizona state came Into arizona's house and beat
• 2:17:48
  Speaker 1: them like forty nine to seven last, year just a
• 2:17:51
  Speaker 1: totally embarrassing, loss AND i Think arizona's gonna want to
• 2:17:54
  Speaker 1: redeem themselves from. That we Faded arizona last week BECAUSE
• 2:17:57
  Speaker 1: i thought this would be such a huge look ahead
• 2:18:00
  Speaker 1: spot to this, game and they still want to cover
• 2:18:02
  Speaker 1: it and beat. US i don't know, how but that
• 2:18:04
  Speaker 1: does show you That arizona they can just play well
• 2:18:06
  Speaker 1: even in a bad. Spot Arizona state's coming up easily
• 2:18:10
  Speaker 1: beat In, colorado but that's not, impressive, MAN i, mean
• 2:18:12
  Speaker 1: their last couple of wins really haven't been that. Impressive
• 2:18:15
  Speaker 1: SO i kind of Like arizona in this, game but
• 2:18:18
  Speaker 1: the money's disagreeing with, me don't know Why arizona did
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: go up to one and a half point road. Favorite
• 2:18:23
  Speaker 1: so the odds makers are telling You arizona is the better.
• 2:18:26
  Speaker 1: Team but part of that is Because Arizona states quarterback
• 2:18:29
  Speaker 1: has been gone for a while, Now, levitt so he's
• 2:18:31
  Speaker 1: not coming. Back Arizona state's offense is definitely worse without.
• 2:18:34
  Speaker 1: Him sixty nine percent of the tickets On, arizona's fifty
• 2:18:38
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash On Arizona. State BUT i
• 2:18:40
  Speaker 1: just don't agree with. It my lean would beat Two
• 2:18:44
  Speaker 1: arizona in that. Game and then we do HAVE, nfl
• 2:18:46
  Speaker 1: and you know the way THAT i lean in THE nfl.
• 2:18:48
  Speaker 1: Game it's not a play for. Me but this is
• 2:18:50
  Speaker 1: just simply the oddsmakers are telling you what to. Think
• 2:18:53
  Speaker 1: The eagles are a seven point. Favorite if you agree
• 2:18:56
  Speaker 1: with me with The, EAGLES i think you got to
• 2:18:57
  Speaker 1: lay the seven before it gets to seven and a
• 2:18:59
  Speaker 1: half BECAUSE i think it. Will they have sixty eight
• 2:19:01
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets seventy five percent of the cash on.
• 2:19:03
  Speaker 1: Them both teams are sitting at eight and, three and
• 2:19:06
  Speaker 1: when you see an eight and three team favored by a,
• 2:19:08
  Speaker 1: touchdown the public's gonna want to come in and take
• 2:19:11
  Speaker 1: the underdog here like perceiving the teams, incorrectly. Basically but
• 2:19:16
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers again are telling you The bears are, fake
• 2:19:19
  Speaker 1: And i've been saying that all. Along The bears have
• 2:19:21
  Speaker 1: only beaten two teams with winning, records and one of
• 2:19:24
  Speaker 1: them just became a team with a winning record, Yesterday.
• 2:19:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas and the other team is some team it's like
• 2:19:30
  Speaker 1: barely above five, Hundred, pittsburgh the team that they beat last.
• 2:19:33
  Speaker 1: Week every other team The bears have beaten this year
• 2:19:35
  Speaker 1: are teams with losing. Records they. Suck The eagles have
• 2:19:38
  Speaker 1: faced a much more difficult. Schedule the only problem THAT
• 2:19:41
  Speaker 1: i have with The eagles is that they have not
• 2:19:43
  Speaker 1: won by margin a lot this, year so that's kind
• 2:19:46
  Speaker 1: of the. Issue they've won a lot of close, games
• 2:19:48
  Speaker 1: SO i do worry about, that and the fact that
• 2:19:50
  Speaker 1: it's otal is. Low BUT i would lay, it and,
• 2:19:52
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i would do it before it gets to seven
• 2:19:54
  Speaker 1: and a. Half lay the, seven even with like a
• 2:19:56
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra, juice because seven is the key.
• 2:19:58
  Speaker 1: Number but this spot is really just about Fading chicago
• 2:20:04
  Speaker 1: being a massively overrated, team AND i think at some
• 2:20:06
  Speaker 1: point it's gotta, happen even THOUGH i do expect both
• 2:20:08
  Speaker 1: teams to show up. Here chicago does Have Green bay,
• 2:20:11
  Speaker 1: next which is a huge, game And i'm not gonna
• 2:20:13
  Speaker 1: say that they're gonna overlook The. EAGLES i wouldn't say that,
• 2:20:16
  Speaker 1: because of, course The eagles are the returning. Champs everybody's
• 2:20:19
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for. That but The eagles are coming
• 2:20:21
  Speaker 1: off an embarrassing loss To. Dallas so they blew a
• 2:20:24
  Speaker 1: twenty one to nothing lead and never scored. Again they're
• 2:20:27
  Speaker 1: gonna BE i think they're gonna be, really really angry
• 2:20:30
  Speaker 1: after that coming into this one, man they're gonna get
• 2:20:32
  Speaker 1: a pissed off The eagles. Team they don't have anything
• 2:20:34
  Speaker 1: to look ahead. Too even though it's a primetime, game
• 2:20:36
  Speaker 1: it's against AN afc, Opponent. CHARGERS i think The eagles
• 2:20:40
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up in this one. Man AND i,
• 2:20:43
  Speaker 1: mean at least they did win and cover against like
• 2:20:46
  Speaker 1: The giants Of, minnesota THOUGH i know again looking for
• 2:20:50
  Speaker 1: them to win and cover it hasn't happened that that.
• 2:20:52
  Speaker 1: Often but and one of the times that it did
• 2:20:54
  Speaker 1: against The, rams and they covered Against Tampa bay, TOO i.
• 2:20:57
  Speaker 1: Think but against The wims that was on that kick are,
• 2:21:00
  Speaker 1: touchdown which was total, Bs but, ANYWAY i think it's
• 2:21:03
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot for. Filling chicago is probably the
• 2:21:07
  Speaker 1: most fraudulent team that we've ever seen in THE. Nfl
• 2:21:09
  Speaker 1: As i've been pointing, out they still have a negative
• 2:21:12
  Speaker 1: point differential minus, three meaning that teams have outscored them
• 2:21:16
  Speaker 1: on the season in their. Games they have a negative
• 2:21:19
  Speaker 1: yards for play differential in the games that they, played
• 2:21:24
  Speaker 1: meaning that teams have gained more yards for play against them,
• 2:21:27
  Speaker 1: consistently WHICH i think they've only had more yards for
• 2:21:30
  Speaker 1: playing only a handful of games this year than their,
• 2:21:32
  Speaker 1: opponent a few games that face an extremely weak. Schedule
• 2:21:36
  Speaker 1: and what else DO i have to say about? It Caleb,
• 2:21:38
  Speaker 1: williams his numbers aren't very. Good i'm just not buying.
• 2:21:41
  Speaker 1: It The chicago offense is mediocre at. BEST i think
• 2:21:45
  Speaker 1: they're below average if you look at the guys that
• 2:21:47
  Speaker 1: do like the, metrics and then they're a bottom five
• 2:21:50
  Speaker 1: defense in THE. Nfl So phillies should be able to
• 2:21:53
  Speaker 1: move the ball Against. Chicago, Man SO i Like filly
• 2:21:57
  Speaker 1: in the. Game it's not a play for, me but
• 2:21:59
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do. It once, Again my play is because
• 2:22:02
  Speaker 1: we have a ton of. Them college Of basketball n
• 2:22:04
  Speaker 1: G I t plus the, Points Charleston southern plus the,
• 2:22:07
  Speaker 1: Points wisconsin minus the, Points Mississippi state plus the, One
• 2:22:12
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh plus the. Points football Also Mississippi state plus the,
• 2:22:17
  Speaker 1: Points New mexico plus the, One texas plus the, points
• 2:22:21
  Speaker 1: and hockey we Got islanders money, Line Utah mammoth money,
• 2:22:26
  Speaker 1: line and basketball AND Nba orlando plus the. Points that's
• 2:22:30
  Speaker 1: gonna do. It let's get. It let's win on the. Day. Man,
• 2:22:35
  Speaker 1: yeah fuck The. Bears I'm i'm ready to be right
• 2:22:39
  Speaker 1: finally and see The bears epically. Collapse AND i don't
• 2:22:41
  Speaker 1: Like Caleb williams, either BECAUSE i just think he. SUCKS
• 2:22:45
  Speaker 1: i don't even like The eagles at. All but, yeah
• 2:22:49
  Speaker 1: thank you, Sir, pinzy what's? Up thank? You you're ON.
• 2:22:52
  Speaker 1: VCU i MEAN i didn't give it out as a.
• 2:22:53
  Speaker 1: PLAY i mean it was it was an opinion for.
• 2:22:56
  Speaker 1: Me BUT i, mean, YEAH i think that they. Win
• 2:22:58
  Speaker 1: but that's gonna do, it. Man learn it tone On,
• 2:23:01
  Speaker 1: Instagram learn it tone On. Twitter, like subscribe to the channel,
• 2:23:04
  Speaker 1: here leave me a good, comment leave me a good
• 2:23:07
  Speaker 1: review On Apple. Spotify listen over. There that helps. Me
• 2:23:13
  Speaker 1: covered in yuke on YouTube my yuke channel And patreon
• 2:23:15
  Speaker 1: dot com slash Learned, toad and you can get bonus
• 2:23:19
  Speaker 1: content THAT i never pay attention. To my YouTube at
• 2:23:22
  Speaker 1: least is up to date with the. Yuke NOW i
• 2:23:23
  Speaker 1: gotta keep it. GOING i, know Sorry, charles but, Yeah
• 2:23:28
  Speaker 1: patron Dot commotion Learned, toad you get a yuke feed
• 2:23:31
  Speaker 1: On spotify and you get requests THAT i will probably
• 2:23:34
  Speaker 1: ignore for a longer THAN i. Should and that's. It thank, you.
• 2:23:38
  Speaker 1: Sir we get we had the. Rants, YEAH i apologize
• 2:23:40
  Speaker 1: for my. Anger i'm being a, dick but that's the
• 2:23:43
  Speaker 1: Way i'm angry at the. World. Man i'm not trying
• 2:23:45
  Speaker 1: to yell yell at any of. You i'm just. Pissed,
• 2:23:48
  Speaker 1: yeah Dark, toad that's gonna do. It gotta get this
• 2:23:51
  Speaker 1: first video out for the noon. Game, peace, guys