Latest / Mike Check - A College Football Podcast / BIG GAME PREVIEW: MISSOURI VS OLE MISS
Transcript
- Jackson: Next game, number thirteen, Missouri versus number nine, Ole Miss. This one is in Oxford. Spread is Ole Miss, minus six, over under is fifty-eight and a half. Missouri's coming off some big wins. They Davis: Yeah. Jackson: are they have a lot of momentum. They're a good team. Austin Simmons returns to Oxford, a place where he got replaced by Trinidad Chambliss. So yeah, this this game has called trouble playoff implications. lot of a lot of drama involved that some people may not realize. So what do Davis: Mm-hmm. Jackson: you guys think for this one? Davis: Yeah. So, ear earlier this week I called Ole Miss the most overrated team in the country. mainly because of their their defense. Their defense is atrocious. and then Ole Miss, So Kewan Lacey's been out for two games. He came back last week, but when he was not in the game, they really struggled to run the ball. Now that he's back, they should be able to run the ball better. But Missouri's defense has one of the best rushing defenses in the league, led by Nick Rodriguez and Robert Woodyard. They rank fifth in EPA per play Jackson: Mm. Davis: and second in Havoc rate. So I'm counting on Missouri's defense to make Ole Miss one dimensional, where we know that Jackson: I think Davis: when the burden is on Trinidad Shameless, he hasn't been able to I don't know, maybe light it up as much as he was when Keywan Lacey was playing. And for that reason, I think the six is too much. I think that Missouri keeps it close. give me Ole Miss to win, but Missouri to cover. Jackson: You think old Miss Wentz? Davis: I do think I'll miss went. I think it's a close game. Matthew: I think this is an intriguing matchup because it's kind of a a best on worst matchups, with the strength of Trinidad Hamilton their passing game, versus a bottom third passing defense for Missouri. And on the other side you have Missouri and Jamal Roberts who've, have an explosive run game against a really, really putrid Ole Miss Rush defense. So I think it's gonna be a lot of explosive plays and a lot of back and forth in this game. Jackson: Yeah, I think this game's gonna be high scoring. you guys have mentioned Missouri has been just really running the ball well and Ole Miss it's one of their big weaknesses. They can't stop the run. That's really why we saw the the big loss against Florida on the road is is Florida just runs the ball really well. And when Ole Miss plays teams that run the ball really well, they just don't do as well. They rank eighty second in EPA per play, eighty seventh in success rate, ninety first in rush EPA and you know List goes on. Their rush defense isn't good. They've allowed explosive plays. But they have a man on the other side of the ball named Trinidad Chambless, who I think is the best quarterback in the country. Missouri, I said they've they've won three big, big games, and they have, but those three big games were one Mississippi on the road. Or sorry, I guess they've won two big games. They've played three big games. They've won two of them. So They played Mississippi State on the road and lost. They played Florida at home and won. They played A and at home and won. So the one game they lost, the quarterback was Camario Taylor. He is a good passing quarterback. He is a very good passer. He was, you know, talked about in the Heisman race. I know he didn't have the best game against Bama, but still, he's a pass first guy. The two games that they won, Florida is a run first team, AM is a run first team, I guess. AM is is garbage, but Florida. Florida, if they cannot run the ball, they have not shown to be very good. So I think they're gonna run into a little bit of their weakness. I think Trinidad Chandler's is gonna be able to really light that defense up. I think Old Miss is gonna be able to score some points. And I also think Missouri will score some points. Old Miss's defense has had a lot of holes, but at the end of the day, I think with Pete Golding, their head coach being a defensive guy. He will find ways for this team to stop the run. They had a good week last week. I know it was Vandy, but they showed some some promise there. So I think Olmus wins. I think they cover it. I just think with them scoring so many points, to cover six, I just think the points aren't as meaningful w when when you're scoring that many. So give me Olmus to cover this week. Davis: You think the overheads too? Jackson: Yes. It was almo old Miss Team Total was almost one of my plays of the week. Davis: Yeah, so this is the fifth highest over under on the week. Jackson: Yeah. Another thing to kind of just a fun fact, Eli Drinkwoods has won road win against the SE C ring team in his tenure at All Mist. So Matthew: I think this is gonna be a coin flip game. I think it's gonna be a loss going back and forth. Fourth, I talked about that earlier, with the best on worst matchups. I think it's gonna be the the team who wins this game is gonna be the one that finds the most balance on offense. and I think I trust Austin Simmons a little bit more. He yeah, we we haven't talked about the revenge factor. He's coming back to Ole Miss, where he was replaced. If Keewan Lacey plays in this game, I I just don't know if, you know, he's gonna be full strength, if he's gonna be able to to to impact this game as much as he might like to, and he might. but for now, based on the information we have, I'm gonna I'm gonna go with Missouri and take the points. I just think it's a coin flip, so I'm gonna take the points.