Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3670 Blue Wave COLLAPSES as Democrat CRUSHED in Special Election!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:20[SPEAKER_00]: They called it the Blue Wave Express.
- 0:24[SPEAKER_00]: They told us the vibe had shifted.
- 0:26[SPEAKER_00]: They poured millions of dollars into a deep red district convinced that they were about to deliver the single most humiliating blow to the mega movement since this past November.
- 0:37[SPEAKER_00]: And then, as of last night, it all came crashing down.
- 0:44[SPEAKER_00]: The Blue Wave,
- 0:45[SPEAKER_00]: got canceled as the Democrat got crushed.
- 0:50[SPEAKER_00]: Make sure to stick with me the very end of this video because we're going to see what really happened in the Tennessee Special Election yesterday and what it all really means.
- 0:59[SPEAKER_00]: for 2026, and the midterms.
- 1:02[SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve Orpager, professor, here it up, you make sense of the madness, as the far left desperately tries to stop the unstoppable rise of a new conservative age that you're making happen all over.
- 1:17[SPEAKER_00]: the world's a few on a front row seat on how you're changing the world ways you never even imagine make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button so yes today was the big day a special election held in Tennessee's seventh district to replace outgoing Republican represented mark green and all eyes were on the democrat candidate a radical left wing lunatic
- 1:40[SPEAKER_00]: by the name of Afton Bane.
- 1:41[SPEAKER_00]: Now, this was a district that Trump had won rather easily back in November of last year by double digits, but the polls leading up to the race were shockingly close, at least we were told.
- 1:54[SPEAKER_00]: Some polls even had Bane winning by a pointer too.
- 1:57[SPEAKER_00]: In fact, the polls showed the race to be so close that President Trump had to step in and call on all patriots in the seventh district to get out and vote for the Republican.
- 2:07[SPEAKER_00]: Matt Van Appes, a combat veteran who served in Afghanistan, Democrats smelled blood after their big wins in Jersey in Virginia last month.
- 2:16[SPEAKER_00]: They got cocky they thought now we can storm red states Trump is so unpopular maga is so over we can run some of our most radical socialist nuts in the reddest the red states and still win that's that's literally the bravado that you were hearing on these left wing outlets all across the country they actually thought they were going to win this last night that is until last night
- 2:43[SPEAKER_00]: when the polls closed and reality finally said in when the dust cleared what they thought would be neck and neck turned out to be a complete blowout the Republican won by nine points wasn't even close and just like that once again the Democrats early celebrations blew up in their face now again if you're being if you've been paying attention to what the pollsters were telling us.
- 3:12[SPEAKER_00]: The result that we saw last night was simply impossible.
- 3:16[SPEAKER_00]: Morris is telling us that the Democrats are up by 14 points in the generic ballot.
- 3:21[SPEAKER_00]: The economist says it's Democrats plus six.
- 3:24[SPEAKER_00]: They want you to believe the Republican majority is toast.
- 3:28[SPEAKER_00]: They want you to believe that Trump's agenda is dead on arrival.
- 3:33[SPEAKER_00]: So how do you explain what just happened in Tennessee?
- 3:38[SPEAKER_00]: Well, our good friend election analyst, Seth Cashell, has a great breakdown of this this morning.
- 3:44[SPEAKER_00]: As he always does, by the way, Seth was one of the single most accurate election forecasts for 2024.
- 3:50[SPEAKER_00]: And he put together an analysis of what happened last night that tells us, I think everything we need to know about what's really happening now and what's really coming.
- 4:02[SPEAKER_00]: in 2026.
- 4:04[SPEAKER_00]: First and foremost, there are three big takeaways that Seth gives us.
- 4:08[SPEAKER_00]: First and foremost, what's absolutely essential for us to understand is that off-year elections, mid-term elections, special elections, always, always, always favor the party that's out of power.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_00]: Did I mention
- 4:32[SPEAKER_00]: It's not because they're politically schizophrenic or fickle.
- 4:36[SPEAKER_00]: It's because the party that lost the White House has been shomping at the bit to get back in the voting booth.
- 4:46[SPEAKER_00]: These are voters who are angry.
- 4:48[SPEAKER_00]: They're motivated.
- 4:49[SPEAKER_00]: They're ready to show up.
- 4:51[SPEAKER_00]: Meanwhile, the party in power, they're comfortable.
- 4:55[SPEAKER_00]: They're happy, they've gotten, they're getting along with their, they're, they're, they're going along getting back to their love.
- 5:02[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, it's known, it's technically known as a refractory period.
- 5:06[SPEAKER_00]: All the energy and enthusiasm that goes into winning the White House naturally dissipates and frankly rightly dissipates.
- 5:15[SPEAKER_00]: The winning side goes back to their regularly scheduled lives, all the time money and energy that went into winning the presidency's presence, it goes back to other things now that are candid as firmly and securely in the White House for the next four years.
- 5:30[SPEAKER_00]: Ronald Reagan had a 63% approval rating back in 1986 and he had a still lost seats in the midterms.
- 5:38[SPEAKER_00]: Now, this year in April, Trump back candidates in Florida, they won special elections, but by drastically smaller margins than just five months earlier when Trump crushed it.
- 5:52[SPEAKER_00]: And for right if wrong, this is the pattern.
- 5:56[SPEAKER_00]: This is the historical recurring pattern.
- 6:00[SPEAKER_00]: This is what always happens.
- 6:01[SPEAKER_00]: So when Democrats poured over a million dollars
- 6:07[SPEAKER_00]: flip a seat, Trump won by 22 points.
- 6:10[SPEAKER_00]: They thought they had their moment.
- 6:13[SPEAKER_00]: The AOC of Tennessee, as she's called, was supposed to be their comeback story.
- 6:19[SPEAKER_00]: The polls tightened.
- 6:20[SPEAKER_00]: The Pondits advanced was only a two or three-point favorite.
- 6:24[SPEAKER_00]: Some polls showed that the Tennessee AOC was going to win.
- 6:28[SPEAKER_00]: And then, vannaps won by nine points.
- 6:34[SPEAKER_00]: No, I'm sorry, that's not close, that's not a close race by anyone's definition, that's a blow-up.
- 6:42[SPEAKER_00]: That's a blowout particularly in a special election environment that's supposed to favor Democrats.
- 6:48[SPEAKER_00]: And so that's sess first take away in this Republicans are rightly celebrating this win because this result completely contradicts the doom and gloom narrative that the media has been selling since the elections in Jersey Virginia a few weeks back.
- 7:03[SPEAKER_00]: So take away number one, this was a big win.
- 7:06[SPEAKER_00]: given the dynamics of off-year special elections.
- 7:09[SPEAKER_00]: But it's the second and third takeaways that tells us what we need to know about the upcoming midterms.
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- 9:10[SPEAKER_00]: The second takeaway in all of this is that red state voters are showing up and they are holding the line.
- 9:16[SPEAKER_00]: Because that's what red state voters do.
- 9:20[SPEAKER_00]: We've talked about this a number of times on this channel.
- 9:23[SPEAKER_00]: But the massive left UG crisis,
- 9:26[SPEAKER_00]: that started in 2020, where residents of blue states picked up and moved to red states by the tens of millions.
- 9:33[SPEAKER_00]: We have studies that show that they are the most adamant about keeping blue state politics as far away from them in their states, their new red states as possible.
- 9:45[SPEAKER_00]: So we're seeing red states, we have a number of studies on this.
- 9:48[SPEAKER_00]: We have red states like Texas
- 9:53[SPEAKER_00]: because of this left UG dynamic.
- 9:56[SPEAKER_00]: And that goes double for Tennessee.
- 9:58[SPEAKER_00]: Seth calls it actually the alamo effect.
- 10:01[SPEAKER_00]: Voters in states like Tennessee, Texas, Florida and the light, they show up to defend their territory no matter what.
- 10:08[SPEAKER_00]: They're not letting their states turn blue period.
- 10:11[SPEAKER_00]: They're they're not moving again, right?
- 10:14[SPEAKER_00]: Now, set notes, by contrast, the Midwest does not have that same intensity because they're not dealing with the waves of liberal transplants trying to flip their states.
- 10:26[SPEAKER_00]: So that's first, second, Tennessee controls mail-in balladning.
- 10:31[SPEAKER_00]: And that's key, unlike Virginia, unlike New Jersey, unlike Pennsylvania.
- 10:35[SPEAKER_00]: Democrats don't get six weeks to pile up insurmountable mail-in leads.
- 10:42[SPEAKER_00]: Tennessee keeps it tight and that levels the playing field and then third
- 10:47[SPEAKER_00]: the electorate.
- 10:48[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, Tennessee's seventh district is packed primarily with white evangelical voters who are rock solid in their conservative convictions.
- 10:56[SPEAKER_00]: They're not swing voters.
- 10:58[SPEAKER_00]: These are people who will never ever vote for a candidate who hates Tennessee, supports trends, gender surgeries, reminders without parental consent, and who wants to defund the police, right?
- 11:08[SPEAKER_00]: Often being never had a prayer in this district and the results prove it.
- 11:13[SPEAKER_00]: The mag of faithful
- 11:15[SPEAKER_00]: In the same numbers as 2024 for sure, but again, historically, that's frankly impossible, but they still came out and being got crushed.
- 11:24[SPEAKER_00]: And the Democrats in 2026 are going to get crushed even worse in this district.
- 11:30[SPEAKER_00]: Tennessee 7 is a solid, safe, red district for the foreseeable future.
- 11:36[SPEAKER_00]: And so that leads us to the big takeaway in all of this.
- 11:41[SPEAKER_00]: What does all this mean in 2026?
- 11:44[SPEAKER_00]: what does yesterday's special election tell us about the upcoming midterms?
- 11:50[SPEAKER_00]: Bottom line.
- 11:52[SPEAKER_00]: The narrative that there's a massive Democrat blew wave inevitably coming.
- 11:58[SPEAKER_00]: Got crushed last night.
- 12:01[SPEAKER_00]: That narrative officially fell apart.
- 12:03[SPEAKER_00]: Oh sure the legacy of meat media will try to keep that narrative alive and well for their dwindling audiences.
- 12:10[SPEAKER_00]: But make
- 12:12[SPEAKER_00]: BANAPS, the Republican, winning by nine points in a special election during the holidays, any year when Republicans have been struggling in other races simply does not line up with pollsters telling us Democrats are up by 14 points nationally.
- 12:28[SPEAKER_00]: That's not true.
- 12:30[SPEAKER_00]: Bottom line.
- 12:32[SPEAKER_00]: Now, of course, a lot can change in 10 months.
- 12:36[SPEAKER_00]: But we're much more likely looking at a midterm environment that's Democrat plus one plus two nationally not the double digit tsunami the media wants you to believe is coming like back in 2006 or 2018 and if that's the case if that's the case and the Republicans play their cards right.
- 12:57[SPEAKER_00]: There is a very real pathway to keeping the house majority, especially in light of all the redistricting that's happening among red states as we speak.
- 13:06[SPEAKER_00]: But again, Seth Cashle warns us here, and this is critical.
- 13:10[SPEAKER_00]: We cannot, we cannot, did I mention, we cannot get complacent.
- 13:17[SPEAKER_00]: Tennessee held strong because the voter showed up.
- 13:22[SPEAKER_00]: and the infrastructure was in place.
- 13:24[SPEAKER_00]: The GOP cannot assume every district will be like 10 to 8.
- 13:29[SPEAKER_00]: There are plenty of purple districts in the Midwest and swing states that could easily flip if we don't fight for every single seat.
- 13:38[SPEAKER_00]: But the bottom line here is that the Republican Matt Van App proved that when Republicans run solid candidates, control the ballot process, and mobilize their base, we win.
- 13:52[SPEAKER_00]: We win virtually every single time.
- 13:55[SPEAKER_00]: He proved that the pollsters don't have any clue what they're talking about.
- 13:59[SPEAKER_00]: In fact, every pollster that was telling us that the Tennessee AOC was going to win also told us that Kackles Kamala would win in a landslide.
- 14:08[SPEAKER_00]: But most importantly, this Republican proof that the so-called blue wave is nothing more than a fabricated legacy media fantasy.
- 14:22[SPEAKER_00]: but the fight is far from over.
- 14:24[SPEAKER_00]: 2026 is company and if we want to keep the house, we need to bring the same energy to every race in every state across the country.
- 14:35[SPEAKER_00]: The Democrats wanted Tennessee.
- 14:37[SPEAKER_00]: They spent millions trying to buy it and Tennessee told them to go to hell.
- 14:44[SPEAKER_00]: Let's make sure the rest of America does the same in 2026.
- 14:49[SPEAKER_00]: Before you go gang, if you wanna be part of a community where faith, family, and freedom come alive, check out the courageous Patriot Club.
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