Latest / Simply Bitcoin / BREAKING: World’s 4th-Largest Economy Going ALL-IN on Bitcoin?! | EP 1357
Transcript
- 0:00OK what are the world's largest economies in the world a four
- 0:03and a half trillion dollar giant is flipping pro Bitcoin with
- 0:07their economy in shambles and a precursor to what America's
- 0:10economic future could be Japan is about to make a big splash
- 0:15effectively ending their ban on banks custody Bitcoin.
- 0:19While this is a greater trend of countries wanting to hold
- 0:22Bitcoin, don't fall for the trap we'll break it all down for you
- 0:26in this video let's dive in all right guys it also it looks like
- 0:31I'm streaming through OBS. So one's in the chat.
- 0:35If I'm actually live because our normal streaming software isn't
- 0:38working, but I I think we're live.
- 0:40So let me let me get everyone over from rumble anyways
- 0:46anyways, man. So I'm probably I'm gonna have
- 0:51to do this live guys, I'm gonna have to do everything live.
- 0:54Oops, wrong one here. I'm I'm going to just read it
- 0:57because again, we're not using our normal streaming software.
- 1:01AWS took everything down, but I'm over here on Yahoo finance.
- 1:04So the big news is Japan's banks.
- 1:07It's the headline. Japan's banks may soon hold
- 1:10Bitcoin and I'm going to read a little bit here.
- 1:12So Japan's financial landscape is transforming digitally.
- 1:15The Financial Services Agency, the FSA has begun considering
- 1:19regulatory reforms permitting domestic banks to acquire and
- 1:23hold non back crypto assets such as Bitcoin for investment.
- 1:28In addition, three of the largest banking groups are
- 1:30pursuing a plan to issue yen peg stable coins jointly.
- 1:35And the reason I think this is kind of a big news is 1 like I
- 1:39said, to start out the show, historically their their
- 1:42guidelines were revised in 2020, effectively banning or barring
- 1:47the banks from acquiring crypto assets for investment, citing
- 1:51quote extreme volatility concerns.
- 1:53Now, of course, things have updated and things are working
- 1:56differently now. Let's see.
- 1:59OK, All right, cool. I am live.
- 2:01I am live. OK, So now they're switching
- 2:03this up. Obviously.
- 2:05I think the biggest thing going on right now is essentially, of
- 2:09course, the Trump administration saying that they want to go
- 2:12Bitcoin. And now it seems like every
- 2:15nation state around the world is following this lead here.
- 2:18So the interesting part is, of course, another nation state
- 2:22coming in, I would say a global player here in the economic
- 2:26landscape. And even though they kind of
- 2:29step back away from Bitcoin for a little bit, now they're
- 2:31revising whether they're going to allow people to go into
- 2:34Bitcoin, obviously, because now it's a lot safer.
- 2:37You know, all of the concerns for the most part have been
- 2:41taken away. And now everyone is scrambling
- 2:43to get into position here to make sure that their, you know,
- 2:48banks, their country, their citizens can get into Bitcoin in
- 2:52a Safeway. Now, I do have a whole rabbit
- 2:54hole later on in regards to whether these institutions
- 2:59coming into Bitcoin are a good thing or not.
- 3:01I'll I'll break that down in the culture later, but first and
- 3:04foremost, I do, I wish actually here.
- 3:07Let me let me try to get this going for you guys, because I do
- 3:11need to screen share a little bit here for you.
- 3:15So I'm I'm literally I'm doing this live guys.
- 3:17I'm I'm getting this set up live for you so that we can see this
- 3:23stuff. All right.
- 3:25Well, I'm this is a new setup here.
- 3:28OK, so here we go. The reason I want to screen
- 3:33share real quick is because we are seeing a lot of interesting
- 3:36stuff come out of Japan. Now this chart right here, I'm
- 3:41going to go in order here. Obviously, I've been telling you
- 3:44guys for a while that what we're seeing in Japan is very
- 3:48interesting because essentially what Japan did was what we are
- 3:53currently doing. They're just ahead of the curve
- 3:55here. They got really high, you know,
- 3:57debt to GDP ratios and we're starting to see cracks in the
- 4:02bond markets over there. Now they are seemingly getting
- 4:05this kind of together. They are potentially getting
- 4:09things in order. At least that's what they're
- 4:10trying to make people believe. But in the last couple of weeks,
- 4:14we've been seeing some very interesting stuff.
- 4:15And here's a tweet from global markets and it goes here we go
- 4:18again in Japan. Japan's 20 year government bond
- 4:21yield hit its highest since 1999.
- 4:24The 30 year JGB yield reached its height since debuting in
- 4:281999 and the 40 yield Japanese government bond yield is now
- 4:32near its highest since debuting in 2007.
- 4:35The world's third largest bond market is breaking.
- 4:39Different Fiat currencies are starting to look away from
- 4:41Treasuries and they're looking for alternatives.
- 4:43Obviously, we've seen what's happened with gold.
- 4:46Gold is the hottest trade right now.
- 4:48It did have a little correction. It seemed to have, you know,
- 4:51kind of popped up this morning. So I don't think the gold run is
- 4:55necessarily over. And I do have a good clip from
- 4:57Luke Roman that I'm going to play in the numbers in a minute
- 5:00that essentially show you what we think is going on.
- 5:03And so again, I do think these things are interrelated because
- 5:08again, further what we just heard from the Federal Reserve
- 5:12and Jay Powell last week is the same thing that we're hearing
- 5:15from Japan. The bank, Japan's balance sheet
- 5:17is shrinking and it's accelerating.
- 5:19Total assets are down. And since the March 2024 peak,
- 5:23assets have fallen roughly $407 billion or 8.1%.
- 5:29To put this into perspective, the Bank of Japan totals assets
- 5:32to GDP ratio still stands above 110%, which is usually that
- 5:36concerning. I I believe there's still around
- 5:38200 something percent. But anyways, the Japan era of
- 5:42ultra loose monetary policy is over.
- 5:45And This is why I think I think these things are connected is
- 5:48because as we're seeing the bond market struggle, I mean, Sophie
- 5:52was telling me earlier they're they're about to and, and I did
- 5:55Fact Check this Sophie. They're, they haven't elected a
- 5:57new Prime Minister, but they seemingly are going to elect
- 6:01their first female Prime Minister tomorrow.
- 6:03I think they're, they, they're doing.
- 6:05Oh, I thought she. Already.
- 6:07Won. No, she's she's on the verge of
- 6:09winning. But I think tomorrow is like the
- 6:11official day anyways and, and Sophie will get into her
- 6:15conspiracy theory in a minute on that.
- 6:17But you are starting to see people don't want treasuries and
- 6:21now they got to look for alternatives.
- 6:23Obviously gold is one of the main alternatives.
- 6:25And now we're starting to see Bitcoin play a role in that
- 6:29global market. Everyone's looking for.
- 6:31Hey, you, you might just need to have a little bit of Bitcoin in
- 6:34your balance sheet somewhere. So I think these two things are
- 6:38one in the same. They, they are, I believe,
- 6:41playing out kind of in tandem here because if you are starting
- 6:46to see struggles with your treasury market and then of
- 6:49course, what's going on in the gold market, I did show you guys
- 6:52this on Friday, the gold price in Japanese yen is exploding
- 6:58300% since 2020. It's, it's basically going
- 7:01parabolic right now. So we're seeing this trend of
- 7:05global currencies, all currencies around the world are
- 7:09potentially in this hyperinflationary scenario.
- 7:11Now, I don't think we are there, but you they are starting to
- 7:14lose against gold. They're getting debased in real
- 7:18time. And so people are concerned
- 7:20about this. They're looking for
- 7:21alternatives. And so I don't think it's a
- 7:23coincidence. My, my camera is all weird.
- 7:26I don't think it's a coincidence that we are seeing Japan
- 7:31essentially about to elect a new Prime Minister and at the same
- 7:35time their banks are arguing whether they should allow their
- 7:40banks to custody Bitcoin. Now that I think is an
- 7:44interesting geopolitical game theory going on.
- 7:47Of course, it started with the Trump administration.
- 7:49Now we're seeing this trickle into all economies here.
- 7:52And before I get into kind of my, my further conspiracy
- 7:56theories about we shouldn't be trusting the banks here, The
- 8:00reason I and everyone watches Japan is because Japan's
- 8:04essentially like the global nation state hedge fund.
- 8:07You could get really cheap capital coming from Japan.
- 8:11You get basically really low interest rates.
- 8:14That's where all the money flows.
- 8:15They're essentially what we would consider where the US is
- 8:19going to be in a few years. That's always been the concern.
- 8:21And one of my favorite Bitcoin conspiracies is that This is why
- 8:25Satoshi Nakamoto took the pseudonym of Satoshi Nakamoto.
- 8:29It was basically to show the US, hey, if you don't figure this
- 8:32out, you're going to become Japan.
- 8:34And as we're seeing now, we're finally seeing the Japan kind of
- 8:39economy implode. I know there's a lot of
- 8:41struggling going on over there and now the bond market's
- 8:44exploding. But that Japan has essentially
- 8:46been the Keynesian, you know, MMT theorists, like perfect
- 8:52example of like, hey, guys, we can run our debt super high.
- 8:55The GDP to debt ratios can be extremely high.
- 8:59And look at Japan, they're doing so well.
- 9:01Well, I think finally, you know, finally the the reality is
- 9:06starting to set in and we're seeing problems in Japan.
- 9:09And so the two things together I think are very interesting,
- 9:12especially now that they are looking at all of the assets out
- 9:16there, they're looking at all the markets and they're like,
- 9:18actually, I think we we need to allow our banks to custody
- 9:23Bitcoin. I think it's time where we stop
- 9:25banning our banks from custody and Bitcoin.
- 9:27We essentially have to get into the game here or else we're
- 9:29going to be left in the dust. So that's my first take.
- 9:33So I'll pass it over to you while I do some some technical
- 9:36stuff over here to make sure it looks good moving forward.
- 9:40But what's your thoughts on Japan going in?
- 9:42And then and then I'll I'll kind of get into my conspiracies
- 9:44here. I mean, I think it just goes to
- 9:47show that this liquidity shortage, this liquidity shock
- 9:53that is imminent is not just happening in the US, but it's
- 9:57happening to the biggest foreign holder of US bonds and
- 10:03Treasuries. And so if they're, you know,
- 10:06and, and Japan, I would say is like a relatively like
- 10:09conservative culture. So I wouldn't doubt that they
- 10:13treat their economic system very conservatively as well.
- 10:17If they are lifting restrictions on Bitcoin and crypto as a
- 10:21whole, what does that say about the system that we're on right
- 10:26now? Is it telling you that, you
- 10:28know, maybe bonds and treasuries aren't as reliable?
- 10:31Is it saying that, you know, maybe we need to be going into a
- 10:35hard asset that is easily divisible and easily
- 10:38transportable not and has a capped supply with absolute
- 10:44scarcity? I think those are all of the
- 10:46questions that they are asking themselves.
- 10:48And I don't think that it's really, I don't think it's a
- 10:54coincidence that it's happening when Japan is about to elect a
- 11:00very conservative, a Prime Minister.
- 11:04And why do I say that? Because historically, and you
- 11:07know, this isn't about left or right, like I don't really care,
- 11:11I'm team Bitcoin. But historically, from what
- 11:14we've seen on our side of the pond, I know that we say that in
- 11:19reference to the UK, but whatever, like we're separated
- 11:21by the Pacific or in our side of the ocean.
- 11:25We've seen Prime Minister two weeks after she takes office.
- 11:32And I'm sure that they're going to be conversing about how to
- 11:37stabilize the economy because it's like you said, Japan is a
- 11:41couple of years ahead in terms of technology and in terms of
- 11:47economic moves. So they will probably get In
- 11:51Sync about how to better, you know, figure out what it is
- 11:58that's coming because we don't know they know.
- 12:00But if they're making these moves, they're definitely
- 12:04preparing for something big that is to come, in my opinion.
- 12:09Yeah, I, I think that's kind of the the big move.
- 12:12Obviously, guys, we're seeing what's going on in the golden
- 12:15market and as a Bitcoiner, that's telling you a lot of
- 12:18stuff going on in just the global sentiment right now.
- 12:21People do not want currencies right now.
- 12:23They do not want treasuries. the US government and basically
- 12:27every government right now is trying to incentivize people to
- 12:30buy treasuries any way possible. They're basically losing control
- 12:34of the system, though this could take a lot longer than us
- 12:37Bitcoiners imagine, But they're essentially realizing that the
- 12:41old levers aren't working like they used to, and they need to
- 12:44find a new solution, which is, of course, Bitcoin.
- 12:47Now we. I think at the very least people
- 12:51are feeling FOMO and they are FOMO ING into gold.
- 12:55And their only reason I say this is because I've seen it happen
- 12:59with family friends where you know, you everybody gets the
- 13:02call when Bitcoin is at all time high.
- 13:05Hey, can you talk to me about this Bitcoin thing?
- 13:07Like it's literally a meme at this point.
- 13:09So that same psychology, you could just apply it to gold.
- 13:13People are watching it go at all time high, reading these
- 13:16headlines saying, wow, if everybody else is is leaning
- 13:20into gold and it's going at all time high, there's these queues
- 13:24forming around buildings for people to purchase gold.
- 13:27Maybe I should get myself a little bit.
- 13:30And you know, the, you got to study what has happened in the
- 13:34past, what happens right before, you know, during a bull market,
- 13:41when there is this peak in the goal in the price of gold, What
- 13:46happens to Bitcoin? It usually historically has
- 13:49followed. And I think that we're seeing
- 13:52the perfect setup with many institutions, governments,
- 13:56especially now lifting these restrictions.
- 13:59Whereas before we were seen as, you know, basically pirates and
- 14:03scammers and saying that like this Bitcoin thing is like
- 14:07you're going to get scammed. I remember getting lectured by
- 14:10someone at Pilates about that. It was.
- 14:14Yeah, the the yoga teacher definitely knows.
- 14:16So embarrassing for them. But I, you know, if, if, if all
- 14:21of these obstacles are moving out of the way, it seems like,
- 14:26you know, history doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes.
- 14:30And I feel, I feel like this is history rhyming.
- 14:33I feel like these, you know, instead of it being Iran in the
- 14:39past and Lebanon in the past, El Salvador countries that, you
- 14:46know, you might say we're still developing or were in turmoil
- 14:50and needed Bitcoin to save them. You are seeing countries like
- 14:54Japan and the United States adopt and embrace Bitcoin and
- 15:00say, OK, we're going to let the institutional money come in now
- 15:04and think about the ramifications that it has.
- 15:07People like you and me, like we're just trying to become
- 15:10whole coiners. And we, you know, famously say
- 15:14on simply Bitcoin, how much Bitcoin do you need to retire?
- 15:17And it's zero. It's literally like 0.1 Bitcoin.
- 15:21And that number may be getting smaller over time.
- 15:23We don't know, but the way that the the moves that these
- 15:28institutions are making in the amount of liquidity that is
- 15:32coming and will pour into Bitcoin, if you know, certain,
- 15:38you know, things happen. I'm not a fortune teller, so I
- 15:42can't really tell you what those things will be.
- 15:44I'm just saying that the the global stage and the
- 15:47institutions are setting up for it and it looks like the
- 15:51interest is is there. They're all over the headlines.
- 15:55They're all over their balance sheets.
- 15:58BlackRock, you know, their I bit ETF is number one on their
- 16:03balance sheets. So I think a lot of important
- 16:07wealthy institutions are taking note of that and they are
- 16:11following suit. Yeah, 100%.
- 16:14I mean, it's all the rage right now, obviously, ever since Larry
- 16:18Fink got in and Trump got in, you're starting to see the pivot
- 16:23into Bitcoin and obviously stable coins.
- 16:25And there's a good question in here.
- 16:27Is it this is by Nico DG1 VF. I can't pull you up right now
- 16:31'cause there no more streaming software is acting up.
- 16:33But he goes, is it possible they just want to create their own
- 16:35stable coin? Yes, 100%.
- 16:37And I think that is kind of the greater trend right now is
- 16:41they're not necessarily going all the way into Bitcoin.
- 16:45Yes, they're going to allow their banks to potentially start
- 16:49to custody Bitcoin. But a lot of these nation States
- 16:52and the rulers right now and the people at the top are
- 16:55essentially thinking they could stop the demise of Fiat
- 16:58currencies by going into stable coins.
- 16:59From our perspective, they're just, they're stablecoins,
- 17:03basically Fiat currency. They're they're, they're not
- 17:05going to save themselves via a stable, a stable coin.
- 17:08But this is obviously why they are, you know, classically
- 17:14embracing Bitcoin is because if they embrace Bitcoin, then
- 17:18obviously they can kind of type a facade and they're like, we
- 17:22just want to drop a CBDC on you guys trust us, it's going to be
- 17:24better for your payments. Obviously we know better than
- 17:28that. Anyways, guys, we're.
- 17:30Lagging. Yeah, this show is going to be a
- 17:33little a little different than usual it looks.
- 17:36I don't know if if it's this whole AWS that's messing with
- 17:39YouTube as well. Yeah, so look.
- 17:42It's Bezos. Blame him.
- 17:43Yeah. So hey, look, Today show, the
- 17:46Today show might be a little shorter than usual.
- 17:48I'm going to try to keep this going as normal, but hey, what?
- 17:52You know, strange times here. But of course, before we keep
- 17:56going, I do want to remind you guys to like the show.
- 17:59Comment on this video, tell us how you think we're doing here.
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- 18:10And of course, we do have to give a shout out to our boys
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- 18:48It's like 1000 plus dollars or something like that Yeah Anyways
- 18:52guys let me keep it moving and hopefully nothing else crashes
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- 20:03On stamp seat and use promo code simply to get 15% off anything
- 20:09on the stampseat.com store. All right, guys, we are back.
- 20:16I think I dude, I'm I'm literally on the fly learning
- 20:19how to use OBS to do the show like we normally do it.
- 20:21So forgive me. Hopefully, hopefully that work.
- 20:25Opti's a professional. Smash the.
- 20:27Like if you think Opti's a professional.
- 20:29Yeah, he's killing it. Honestly, I was like, what are
- 20:33we going to do? What are we going to?
- 20:34Do yeah, I had to literally make this stream work very last
- 20:39minute because Restream stopped working.
- 20:40But anyway, anyways, let's keep this moving.
- 20:42So we're over here in Clark Moody's dashboard.
- 20:44The current Bitcoin price is $111,000.
- 20:47And wait, 111 and $20. A decline from all time high of
- 20:51-12 A market cap of 2.21 trillion and the current block
- 20:56height 919,968. All right guys, in other.
- 21:02News In other news guys, Bitcoin is now a stable coin, everyone.
- 21:07Yeah, yeah, it's a stable coin, guys.
- 21:10The bull runs over now, actually, actually.
- 21:13You know. This I'm kind of bullish.
- 21:14This might be why Japan is like, OK, we might feel comfortable.
- 21:19I'm telling you the stability, the the sideways action, I call
- 21:25it stability because I'm a woman.
- 21:26But like this like boring sideways action that we're
- 21:30getting. It might be the reason that
- 21:32governments and institutions are finally like, OK, well, maybe we
- 21:35can buy some of this stuff. Maybe it isn't for scammers.
- 21:38Maybe it's actually a legit thing.
- 21:39I don't know. Yeah, the the volatility is
- 21:43down, which This is why they're getting comfortable with it and
- 21:46I'm getting bored over here. But honestly, it was nice to see
- 21:50the price kind of respond over the weekend.
- 21:53I know everyone was kind of saying it was, it was over.
- 21:57And then I, I, I came on. In my heart, it was over.
- 22:02I came on Friday and I was like, guys, I don't think it's over.
- 22:06And hey, look, the Opti macro teeing did well, did well.
- 22:10OK guys. So I got this clip of Luke
- 22:13Roman, Luke Groman, sorry. And it was he was on TFTC and he
- 22:18was talking about gold and the dollar.
- 22:21And I think it's perfectly explaining where we are right
- 22:24now. Now, I really hope this works.
- 22:26I just set it up. So forgive.
- 22:28We're doing it live. Let's see.
- 22:30Gold is how you get out of the dollar system and that's why
- 22:33another or friend of another said all those years ago when
- 22:36you see them go up together, that means the dollar is coming
- 22:39to the it's it's end of life. That's dollars.
- 22:41This present form of this dollar system is coming to the end of
- 22:45life. Now does it mean the dollar is
- 22:46going to die? No, I'd be using dollars and you
- 22:49know, you're and my grandkids and great grandkids will still
- 22:52be using dollars. They're just going to buy us a
- 22:53lot less. And certainly in gold terms, de
- 22:57facto, we can see gold with today's price move has overtaken
- 23:03treasuries in global central bank reserves, right.
- 23:06So there are now, there's now more gold in global central bank
- 23:09reserves than there are U.S. Treasuries.
- 23:12How do you sit there and argue and say it's not overtaking the
- 23:14dollar in the system? You gotta get to me.
- 23:16That's crazy. Now, will people still use
- 23:18dollars? Of course.
- 23:19Why? That's just Gresham's law,
- 23:21right? And I hear people say, well,
- 23:22it's still dominant. 90% of currency usage.
- 23:26That's dollar dominance. Great.
- 23:29So you're spending. Yeah.
- 23:30You're telling me it's the bad currency, right.
- 23:33I will. I'll spend dollars late all day
- 23:34long because there's a terrible store of value.
- 23:36But if the whole change of structure we've been talking
- 23:40about for years and if you watch all my posts, all my pockets,
- 23:44everything ever said have never said end of dollar reserve
- 23:46status since end of the post 71 structure of dollar reserve
- 23:51status, which is dollar as primary reserve currency,
- 23:57Treasury bond as primary reserve asset.
- 24:01It happened. It's happened.
- 24:03The dollar is still primary reserve currency.
- 24:07The gold is now primary reserve asset as of probably this
- 24:10morning with the $100 move. And I don't think it's ever
- 24:12going back unless, you know. Restart it and my streaming
- 24:20software. OK all right guys, I don't know
- 24:27what is going on over here, but hopefully you caught that clip
- 24:32anyways. The the the the short of it.
- 24:34The reason I wanted to play that on today's show is because we
- 24:39are seeing what's going on in the gold market now everyone is
- 24:43looking at the gold market. And if you're not really a I'm
- 24:47not going to call myself a seasoned trader here.
- 24:49But if you're not coming from a hard money perspective, you're
- 24:53you're probably looking at gold and you're just thinking, oh, I
- 24:55can go to gold. I can get games there.
- 24:58You know, gold is is going parabolic.
- 25:01You know, I'm making money in gold if I just buy some gold
- 25:04right now. And as we've been covering
- 25:06there, there does look like the retail that's chasing gold right
- 25:10now is the exit liquidity because they don't understand
- 25:13the fundamentals of what is happening.
- 25:15And there's a few things that Luke Roman said one, I think
- 25:19he's 100% spot on with what he said about we're starting to see
- 25:23treasuries essentially become no longer the world reserve asset.
- 25:27Yes, the dollar's still the world's currency, but gold has
- 25:31fundamentally retaken that position as the world store
- 25:34value or yeah, world store value as we saw the banks.
- 25:39Now. Hold a higher rate of gold than
- 25:41they do of treasuries, which hasn't happened in the basically
- 25:44in my lifetime. And we're starting to see that
- 25:48this quote debasement trade is taking off that people are
- 25:52starting to worry about their currency being debased.
- 25:55And he did mention one interesting thing about when you
- 25:58see the dollar and gold rise at the same time it's showing you
- 26:03something in the system. Now I'm going to pull over here
- 26:06to trading view. I did a, you know, a simple U.S.
- 26:11dollar index, which is of course the strength of the dollar
- 26:14compared to the price of Bitcoin.
- 26:16Now, if I zoom out a little bit, you do see kind of an inverse
- 26:21correlation here, that when gold goes up, usually the Dixie goes
- 26:24down or vice versa. When Dixie goes up, gold goes
- 26:27down. They're basically showing you
- 26:30the same thing, the strength of the dollar.
- 26:32And then what we're seeing right now is obviously completely
- 26:37different because as the dollar Dixie goes down, obviously gold
- 26:42goes up. And then you see this little,
- 26:44you know, as the gold price goes down, dollar Dixie goes up.
- 26:47But now we've gotten to a point where yes, gold is ripping and
- 26:51Dixie has gone down, but it kind of bottom out here.
- 26:55And actually this morning you can see it started to RIP.
- 26:58It is kind of correcting a little bit.
- 27:00So I think what Luke Grauman's been saying is absolutely spot
- 27:04on that we are seeing as a lot of Bitcoiners have been talking
- 27:08about this monetary reset happened in real time.
- 27:11The world is moving away from treasuries and dollars as a
- 27:15reserve store of value. That's usually the safest bet is
- 27:19to buy government debt. Right now.
- 27:21They're doing whatever they can to incentivize people to buy
- 27:24treasuries, but most people that are in the market do not have
- 27:29faith in getting returned on long term treasury returned or
- 27:33treasury interest rates. And so we're seeing everyone
- 27:36pile into gold. And this is being driven by, I
- 27:39think a, a couple of factors. One, of course, retail
- 27:42speculating on it, they just want to make dollars.
- 27:45But two, it's obviously central banks are now acquiring gold at
- 27:49rates we haven't seen before. And then the institutional
- 27:52investors also piling into gold. And so even if we don't see a
- 27:56gold correction right now, which is, in my opinion, going to be
- 27:59extremely bullish for Bitcoin, but if we continue to see gold
- 28:03RIP higher than we've ever seen before and it goes to $5000 per
- 28:07oz, like Luke was saying, that's going to show us that there is
- 28:12some fundamental issues going on in the system.
- 28:15And most people are either going to be too late to this trade or
- 28:19they're just going to be kind of chasing the games here and not
- 28:22be in a very good position to to, you know, maintain their
- 28:26purchasing power or rather to basically beat the hurdle rate
- 28:29that is Bitcoin now. I did read a really good
- 28:33newsletter from James Lavish over the weekend and he broke
- 28:36all this down of what's going on from the Fed, the feds basically
- 28:39saying that they're going to end quantitative tightening soon.
- 28:44What's going on with the secured overnight funding rates, Federal
- 28:48Reserve funding rates? And it's basically telling you
- 28:52that there is some kind of cracks going on in the system.
- 28:55The system is losing liquidity. And so that to continue and
- 28:59maintain the status that we have, it all leads to one thing.
- 29:03They have to turn on the money printers.
- 29:05They need to provide new liquidity for the system.
- 29:07And James Lavish was essentially saying there's two things you
- 29:10want to hold, obviously Bitcoin, but he's also holding some gold.
- 29:14But he's saying since Bitcoin is a smaller market cap, it's going
- 29:18to run way higher. And if we learned anything from
- 29:21gold this year is that it doesn't matter the market cap of
- 29:25the asset, it just, it matters how much people want to get into
- 29:30it. Gold's been rallying it's it's
- 29:32been adding literally multiples of bitcoins market cap and you
- 29:37think Bitcoin can't pump just as hard if people realize that they
- 29:40need to hold some Bitcoin? I, I think we are totally
- 29:44underestimating where this is going and it keeps leading me
- 29:47back to two things. One, 2026 might not be a down
- 29:51year and two, I think you know what, what's everyone asking the
- 29:54chat 200K by end of year. I think it's still in play,
- 29:58guys. I, I think it's still in play
- 30:00considering we are essentially in a new macro landscape.
- 30:04We, we are in uncharted waters right now.
- 30:07And every Bitcoin, including us, every Bitcoiner that thinks they
- 30:11know what's going to happen this year, we've all been
- 30:15fundamentally wrong. And that keeps telling me that
- 30:17things are different now. And I know, I know it's like
- 30:20that's going to be Opti's famous last words, like this time is
- 30:23different, but it is fundamentally different.
- 30:26And I think when you consider all the macro land, all the
- 30:29macro indicators that the global landscape right now and the fact
- 30:34that investors do not want to hold traditional assets and
- 30:38they're kind of, you know, moving away from treasuries
- 30:40piling into gold. I, I think Bitcoin's going to
- 30:44have a huge run end of year. So I, I think Luke Roman's
- 30:47completely right. We are seeing the fundamental
- 30:49monetary reordering in, in real time.
- 30:52And this can take a lot longer than we know, but it's happening
- 30:56as we speak. You're, you're seeing the
- 30:58writing on the wall. These things are playing out.
- 31:00And it's not us just looking, you know, reading between the
- 31:03lines and, and, you know, seeing things that we, that isn't
- 31:06there. It's just like, it's very
- 31:08obvious what's going on, but a lot of people are, you know,
- 31:12still asleep, sleep at the wheel, or they're still kind of
- 31:14working off an old paradigm. But we have Bitcoin now.
- 31:17So that fundamentally changes everything.
- 31:20Cut. Yourself.
- 31:24Off there Dude I am a bro. I'm so many moving parts right
- 31:27now. Professional today.
- 31:29Honestly, like, I don't know how you're doing this, but yeah,
- 31:34what Luke Roman said is, I mean, it's absolutely.
- 31:36It has so much logic behind it, though.
- 31:39I'm not sure that that is going to be the final chapter of this
- 31:44story, What we do. No, no, no, yeah.
- 31:47What we do know that has happened so far is, you know,
- 31:50they've printed money into oblivion to the point where debt
- 31:55is no longer sustainable. In fact, the reality is that a
- 31:59lot of people our age are never gonna see Social Security
- 32:03benefits. Retirement funds are essentially
- 32:08more than likely not going to be a thing in the future.
- 32:11And So what happens when the whole world depends on this
- 32:15currency? They're obviously going to look
- 32:16for other options. That was the the objective of
- 32:20bricks, for example. That's why they tried to make a
- 32:22new monetary system backed by gold and oil.
- 32:28But from from a more practical perspective, those are assets
- 32:34that sure, like they're rising, they're they're necessary in
- 32:38this economy. What is easier, what is more
- 32:41practical to handle as a currency as like like you said,
- 32:46we may use the dollar on a day-to-day basis just because
- 32:50it's something that we're used to.
- 32:52Who knows, maybe maybe the US does end up using a stable coin.
- 32:57But the reality is that at some point inflation is going to take
- 33:01over the use of that currency. You're not going to you're going
- 33:04to turn into a country like Venezuela where you know, to buy
- 33:09an ice cream. It was 500 Olivares.
- 33:12And like at some point you just you, you don't even know
- 33:15different way of exchanging currency.
- 33:18And the next wave of that is naturally a digital money.
- 33:24And the best digital money that there is is Bitcoin.
- 33:29You're not going to want to transact in an altcoin whose
- 33:33values. This is different every single
- 33:36second of the day because then you might as well be using
- 33:39dollars. You might as well still be on
- 33:41Fiat. Eventually a lot of, you know,
- 33:45the rest of the world is going to realize that.
- 33:47And my theory of the case is that once people realize how
- 33:50scarce it is, the accumulation race is going to begin on a
- 33:55retail level. And that's when, you know,
- 33:58that's when we're going to finally see hyper bitcoinization
- 34:01come into play in terms of social adoption, global
- 34:05adoption. Yeah, yeah, 100%.
- 34:09I, I think, I think we are seeing a very interesting time
- 34:15going on right now where if you don't understand what's going
- 34:18on, you're you're definitely going to be left in the dust
- 34:23here. And This is why we come out here
- 34:25every day trying to explain what is happening from various
- 34:28different angles and always boiling it down to a very simple
- 34:31thought is you just need to have Bitcoin.
- 34:34It is no longer an option for you not to have Bitcoin.
- 34:37And if what the lot of Bitcoiners and macro guys have
- 34:40been saying for a long time, like the time is now, the next
- 34:44five years are going to be the most interesting time to to be
- 34:47alive, like not just as a Bitcoiner, but I think as
- 34:49everyone around the world. And if you aren't preparing now
- 34:53for what is coming down the pipeline, for what they're
- 34:55telegraphing and projecting is going to happen, it it's going
- 34:59to be a very, very bad existence for, you know, the majority of
- 35:03people here because they are definitely telling you what is
- 35:06going on. Things are changing and they're
- 35:09trying to figure out a way that they can position themselves to
- 35:12kind of maintain their power. But with that comes the upside
- 35:16as an individual, if you do have some asymmetric understanding,
- 35:19if you do understand kind of what is going on in the monetary
- 35:23reordering and you do hold Bitcoin, I think it's going to
- 35:26be the best time for all of us here.
- 35:27Now, the real game for us Bitcoiners is just don't let go
- 35:31your Bitcoin at this point. This is like the big thing going
- 35:35on, and I will cover this in the culture.
- 35:36I I just remembered I I skipped, I skipped my conspiracy theory
- 35:40in the beginning because of all of the technical issues going
- 35:43on. But anyways, and over that we
- 35:45got some, we got an interesting dichotomy going on around
- 35:49conferences, fintech conferences and then the Fed throwing a
- 35:52conference too. Yeah.
- 35:55And. That's great.
- 35:56And I wonder, I wonder what they're going to talk about.
- 36:00Well, we have the kind of the index of the conference.
- 36:03The only thing I want to hear them talk about is when they're
- 36:06going to print money and how much of it so that I can so that
- 36:09I can prepare. Soon, a couple of days, a couple
- 36:12of days, we're going to know if they're going to cut rates.
- 36:15Anyways guys, let's keep this moving because hopefully this
- 36:18stream doesn't die on me. I want to give a shout out to
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- 39:33Yeah, cop this sexy thing. Let's just go all right, man,
- 39:37yeah, today's show is is awesome.
- 39:40I'm a perspective of what people outside of our industry actually
- 39:45think about Bitcoin. Now this first headline is from
- 39:48Yahoo Finance and it goes India bans crypto talk at world's
- 39:52largest fintech summit. And that that silence says
- 39:55everything about its market strategy.
- 39:57And I think that is kind of kind of the signal here is that even
- 40:04though we as Bitcoiners understand bitcoins going to
- 40:07take over the world and we're seeing the Larry Finks and, you
- 40:09know, Donald Trump's the Japanese economy, the banks,
- 40:13sovereign wealth funds, the ETF launch for the majority of
- 40:18people. They still kind of view Bitcoin
- 40:20as something that they don't want to talk about, something
- 40:23that they they can ignore for as long as possible.
- 40:26But it's becoming very clear that the more they ignore it or
- 40:29the more they don't talk about it, that is the signal of what's
- 40:33going on right now. So everyone isn't embracing us
- 40:36yet, but the fact that they don't talk about Bitcoin now is
- 40:41really kind of the idea of like what whatever you don't say,
- 40:44you're just omitting the truth and that's the signal.
- 40:47So I'm going to show you this Reuters article about it.
- 40:52And I think it, I, I think it definitely tells us a little
- 40:58more of what's going on. So India leaves crypto and
- 41:00stable coins at the door in Fintech Jamboree.
- 41:04At the world's largest gathering for the financial tech sector in
- 41:07Mumbai this week, more than 800 speakers tiptoed around 2 topics
- 41:11that have captured attention globally, crypto currencies and
- 41:14stable coins. About 100,000 participants
- 41:17converged for the three day conference starting October 7 in
- 41:20India's financial capital, headlined by the Prime Ministers
- 41:23of India, the UK and drawing regulators, investors and
- 41:26industry executives for more for more than 100 country.
- 41:30And it just kicked off when Bitcoin hit 125 K and India is
- 41:34leaning towards not creating legislation to regulate the
- 41:37sector, Reuters reported last month.
- 41:40And here is where you get to see what they wanted to and what
- 41:44they didn't want to talk about at this fintech conference.
- 41:48Obviously huge stark divide from from the conferences that bit
- 41:51corners are creating now, but it goes quote.
- 41:53Please avoid political, crypto, religious or personal remarks on
- 41:56stage or at the venue organized for the events.
- 41:59The Payments Council of India, National Payments Corporation of
- 42:02India and the Fintech Convergence Council do not
- 42:04immediately respond to the request seeking comments.
- 42:07The warning highlights a contrast with other Asian in
- 42:10economies and regions such as, of course, Japan, Hong Kong and
- 42:12Singapore, which have made efforts to establish themselves
- 42:15as regional hubs. Instead, regulator spotlighted
- 42:18India's central bank digital currency called the E rupee,
- 42:22with the Reserve Bank of India launching pilot for deposit
- 42:25tokenization and a sandbox for fintechs.
- 42:29I think that that is obviously the signal here is they're like,
- 42:34hey, you know, you guys can't talk about Bitcoin at all, not
- 42:39not even stable coins here. And we're not the biggest fan of
- 42:41stable coins, but they're like, you know what we will talk
- 42:44about? We'll talk about this E rupee
- 42:47CBDC project that we're working on.
- 42:49But if you talk about Bitcoin. Which is totally not a crypto,
- 42:54right? Well, it's not.
- 42:55It's a, it's a Microsoft Excel. It's not.
- 42:58A an altcoin. Yeah, it's a, it's a Microsoft
- 43:00Excel worksheet that that's the real signal here.
- 43:03So look, even though I think Bitcoin is winning in, you know,
- 43:09the mind share around the world, I think Bitcoin is entering the
- 43:12mainstream kind of consciousness.
- 43:15People are starting to take it seriously from the highest
- 43:17levels. There is still a lot of
- 43:19pushback. Obviously, we've been covering
- 43:21what's going on in the EU. Now we're seeing it in India do
- 43:24something very similar. And though, you know, the irony
- 43:27isn't lost on me that they both want to push a CBDC here.
- 43:30Anyways, here's another interesting kind of conference
- 43:34that is happening this week. And I'm over here on the
- 43:37federalreserve.gov and the Fed is going to have a conference
- 43:42and it is titled the Payments Innovation Conference.
- 43:45Again, they keep, they keep talking about the innovation of
- 43:49payments. Bitcoin isn't about the
- 43:51innovation of payments. It's about not getting debase.
- 43:54It's about holding something that they cannot destroy, that a
- 43:57man can't print out of thin air. It's what it's all about.
- 44:00It's all about not destroying our purchasing power.
- 44:03Anyways, I'm going to read this a little bit and it goes.
- 44:05The Federal Reserve will host a conference on payments
- 44:07innovation, bringing together leading, leading industry
- 44:09experts to share perspectives on the evolving landscape,
- 44:12landscape of money and payments. The Federal Reserve welcomes the
- 44:16opportunity consider a broad range of perspectives on how to
- 44:18further innovate and improve the payment system.
- 44:21Again, I keep telling you guys, we're seeing the same thing
- 44:25happen every time they talk about Bitcoin or CBDC's.
- 44:29It's all about payments, bro. It's like we got to update the
- 44:32payments, bro. Payments, innovation.
- 44:33This is just about payments, you know, And then that goes really
- 44:36into the why. Why do I need Bitcoin if I can,
- 44:40you know, just have PayPal, but whatever, whatever.
- 44:42Anyways, let's look at some of the agenda here.
- 44:45So tomorrow, Tuesday, October 21st, we have, you know, opening
- 44:49remarks by Governor Christopher J Waller.
- 44:51And then we have bridging traditional finance with the
- 44:53digital assets ecosystem with someone from chain link fire
- 44:58blocks, head of Treasury service and B&Y, our Head of Treasury
- 45:02Services and deposit received at B&Y Mellon.
- 45:05So some bakers and some shit corners.
- 45:07And then we have stable coin use cases and business models
- 45:11moderated by Carl Simoni, who is a notorious shit corner.
- 45:14And then we have Paxos, Third Bank Dollar app and Circle.
- 45:18So a stable coin in there with with like a Bitcoin exchange.
- 45:20OK. And then we have AI in payments
- 45:24with Kathy Wood, OK. And then someone from Coinbase,
- 45:28someone from Stripe and then Web 3 Google Cloud.
- 45:32OK, sounds like a lot of shit corners.
- 45:34And then we have tokenized products with some bankers.
- 45:38BlackRock, of course, is there. They love tokenization and so I
- 45:42mean, I'm sure Kathy Wood will talk about Bitcoin, I'm sure
- 45:46maybe Coinbase will. This is about making sure that
- 45:51you have a good money that cannot be destroyed.
- 45:53Again, remember what was in the genesis block Chancellor on the
- 45:57brink of second bailout. This is all about money
- 46:00printing. This is all about expanding the
- 46:02money supply and destroying your savings, destroying your
- 46:05purchasing power. That's what Bitcoin fixes.
- 46:08The 21 million hard cap is the signal here.
- 46:11And they can never fight this because they're always thinking
- 46:14in terms where they're trying to gaslight you and be like, it's
- 46:17all about payments, bro. Like the Federal Reserve or
- 46:20what's what's Chrissy Lagarde been saying about the CBDC?
- 46:24We can already like the payments innovation already happened when
- 46:27PayPal and Venmo happened like honestly like the second that
- 46:31Apple could do like that double tap pay on.
- 46:35Dude, Apple double tap pay is the go, I'm not gonna lie.
- 46:39Good, I love. I can't wait to.
- 46:41Like, I'm not gonna lie, I use it every day.
- 46:43Yeah, it's great. It's so great.
- 46:45Like, what are we going to do, talk about that?
- 46:47You know, that the payments thing has already been done
- 46:51with. I really hope that Bitcoiners
- 46:56who are speaking at this conference have the gall to
- 47:00confront the Fed at their own event about the money printing
- 47:05situation and about the fact that, you know, not only is it a
- 47:10money printing situation, but the ramifications of that, how
- 47:14printing money has made people poorer over time, how it's
- 47:18funded wars over time and how it has generally been used for
- 47:24corruption on a global basis, because that's what it leads to.
- 47:29Like it's, it's one thing to see numbers on a screen, but it's a
- 47:32whole other thing to see the actual RAM fit like the real
- 47:36world consequences of that happening.
- 47:39And I really hope that somebody talks about that.
- 47:44Kathy Wood Kathy Wood, if you can hear us.
- 47:47We're depending on. You we're depending on Kathy
- 47:49Wood this. Whole conference is on your
- 47:51shoulders. Seriously.
- 47:52No. Pressure, but you know.
- 47:54Well look being being a little more realistic I'm sure they
- 47:57will touch on Bitcoin even even like the the shit coiners and
- 48:02the stablecoin guys. I I think they will at least
- 48:05loosely talk about Bitcoin or maybe lump Bitcoin in with
- 48:08stablecoins and other cryptos. The only two real bets we have
- 48:13here is probably Kathy Wood and the lady from Coinbase.
- 48:16The Coinbase, I don't know, You know, Brian Armstrong has been
- 48:19coming around a little more around Bitcoin.
- 48:21He has been saying a lot of things nicely about Bitcoin
- 48:24isn't? He just in Congress saying that
- 48:26they're passing a market. Yeah, yeah.
- 48:28He said the market structure bill, market structure bill is
- 48:31probably coming soon. He has been saying that for a
- 48:34couple of weeks now, but we are seeing a lot of people, you
- 48:39know, in the halls essentially say something similar, that
- 48:41that's one thing they really want to push through.
- 48:44Obviously the genius act got pushed through in.
- 48:46The room guys like Congrats to us.
- 48:49Well, yes. We're in the rooms where the
- 48:52deals are being made. That doesn't guarantee that
- 48:54we're going to get anything passed.
- 48:55But hey, last administration, we were, we were barred from those
- 49:01rooms. Yeah, they they, they literally
- 49:04tried to end our industry. So it is a it is a good thing to
- 49:08see. Anyways, let's keep it moving
- 49:10because the end of this show is going to be some fun stuff.
- 49:12I I I've been watching, I shouts out to my boy Sal.
- 49:16He hit me to some Simon Dixon podcast with Bitcoin archive and
- 49:22they were really good. They were called like black
- 49:24rocks evil plan to steal your Bitcoin or something like that.
- 49:28He's got, he's got a good tweet about it.
- 49:29But Nick Carter kind of, I highlighted a Galaxy report last
- 49:34week that did kind of go under the radar.
- 49:36And it really goes to what I think I've been saying the last
- 49:40couple of weeks is that look, as much as we got all hyped about a
- 49:45strategic Bitcoin reserve, it's starting to look like it's not
- 49:49really a priority, nor does it necessarily need to be 1
- 49:52considering we do now fundamentally know what their
- 49:56budget neutral ways of acquiring Bitcoin are.
- 49:59So anyways, let's let's transition and we'll be right
- 50:03back. I want to give a shout out to
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- 52:04OK, God, yeah, yeah, this this streaming with OBS is crazy
- 52:10right now anyways. Anyways, this is how.
- 52:13They used to do it in the old. This is how most people do it.
- 52:17It's just, you know, I'm, I'm learning in real time how to
- 52:20make this work. And it's it's not perfect yet,
- 52:23but I'll get a perfect. But it's pretty good.
- 52:25I mean. If everyone's having a good
- 52:27time, smash the like button, share the show with your
- 52:29friends. Turn the notifications on so you
- 52:32get alerted as to when we will be going live, although we're
- 52:36always late for this show. You.
- 52:38Hey, hey, hey. You wanna check out our other
- 52:40show? We're on block time.
- 52:41We're on block time. You.
- 52:42Wanna check out our other? Show we're on we're on Latino
- 52:45time yes when we start when we start guys anyways anyways so as
- 52:52I was telling you here let me let me full screen myself real
- 52:54quick as I was telling you guys so I highly recommend you go
- 53:01watch Simon Dixon on Bitcoin archives podcast he did like a 2
- 53:06almost 3 hour pod. They were titled something on
- 53:09the lines of Black Rock's evil plan to steal your Bitcoin.
- 53:13And essentially he makes a case that the US government is
- 53:21essentially going to centralized the holdings of Bitcoin, or
- 53:25rather BlackRock and all of these Bitcoin products are
- 53:28centralizing the custody of these Bitcoin.
- 53:32And then potentially they're they're just going to, you know,
- 53:36on one hand, either like a six one O 2 or that's just the, you
- 53:40know, the way to essentially get a honeypot and try to get you to
- 53:46sell them your Bitcoin so that you can get games.
- 53:49And as we saw last week, the US government did confiscate
- 53:54127,000 coins. Now I know a lot of bitcoiners
- 53:58or maybe newer Bitcoiners are like, or maybe skeptics were
- 54:00thinking, I thought Bitcoin was unconfiscatable bro.
- 54:03Well if you secure it right it is unconfiscatable.
- 54:07But if you don't then obviously it could be easily stolen from
- 54:11you. So the US government basically
- 54:13overnight added 127,000 coins allegedly there there was a like
- 54:18a whole saga around it. Remember, I covered it last week
- 54:21and we still don't really know if the US government holds the
- 54:24other 2200 thousand Bitcoin, but based on kind of the general
- 54:32idea here, it seems like the US holds around 327,000 coins now
- 54:37anyways, just to give some context to that, this is really
- 54:42I think what what I want to talk about here is this tweet from
- 54:46Nick Carter. Now I know a lot of you guys may
- 54:48not like Nick Carter. I think he still does incredible
- 54:50work. He's quote tweeting this Galaxy
- 54:52research report that came out. I believe this was Friday and or
- 54:58it's the 18th Friday the 18th Friday the. 18th was.
- 55:02No, Saturday. Saturday.
- 55:04Yeah, Saturday. Yeah, Saturday, OK, it came out
- 55:06Saturday. Perfect.
- 55:08And it's it was titled Uncle Sam's Bitcoin pile grows 64%
- 55:11overnight now. I was literally mentioning
- 55:14something very similar last week that hey, look, the institutions
- 55:17are here. We, we were asking for them to
- 55:20be in the, in the Bitcoin space for a long time to kind of save
- 55:23our bags, pump our bags, bro, you know, scoop up the bottoms,
- 55:26etcetera, etcetera. And I, I literally verbatim was
- 55:29saying this, you know, be careful what we wish for,
- 55:32because if this is true that the four year cycle is broken
- 55:35because there's a new investor in the market, then that
- 55:39potentially means, you know, no more fun, no more parabolic runs
- 55:43And, and the, the, the ponzi's over, bro, the Ponzi's over.
- 55:47But. We start a new era.
- 55:50With no bear market. Well, no, actually, you know, I
- 55:54think this whole premise of like it's the end of of bull runs and
- 55:58it's the end of cycles is like semi faulty because now, because
- 56:03that gives the idea that like we're never gonna pump up to
- 56:05ridiculous numbers again. And I just think that that's not
- 56:08true. I think the fact that we have
- 56:10absolute scarcity is just never going to let that happen.
- 56:14And the fact that not everybody has the privilege of, you know,
- 56:19having their Bitcoin in self custody, the, the fact that
- 56:22there are realistically few people that have Bitcoin in self
- 56:26custody will basically mean that those who do have it will become
- 56:33the banks. We will be the people who give
- 56:36you the loans against Bitcoin. Well, well, that's that's where
- 56:41the conversation essentially leads that there is going to be
- 56:44like this two tiered Bitcoin system shouts out to Adam from
- 56:49Bitcoin. Well, he keeps saying captured
- 56:51Bitcoin captured Bitcoin and I'm really I really like that in in
- 56:55in kind of the context of ETFs captured Bitcoin, the Wall St.
- 57:00banks OR the national banks holding your Bitcoin so that you
- 57:03could get yield captured Bitcoin.
- 57:06The Bitcoin in the BlackRock ETF captured Bitcoin, the Bitcoin in
- 57:10strategy potentially captured Bitcoin and the only safe bet
- 57:14considering we are going in extremely volatile times is
- 57:17Bitcoin in safe custody. That is where you need to hold
- 57:20your Bitcoin. We're going to go into this two
- 57:22tiered system most likely, and I think it's playing out as we
- 57:26speak where there's captured Bitcoin, where the middle men
- 57:29kind of come back in. They try to centralized the
- 57:31control of Bitcoin and then they give you, you know, some gains
- 57:34on top of it, But the real place that you need to be, the real
- 57:38revolution, the real utility of Bitcoin is Bitcoin in self
- 57:42custody. Now that that's a we'll probably
- 57:45chat about that in a minute. But here is is this, you know,
- 57:49little highlight from the Galaxy report, which is titled Careful
- 57:53What you wish for. So the truth is there's no
- 57:56urgency to establish any sort of reserve. the US has nothing to
- 58:00lose by simply waiting if Bitcoin continues to monetize
- 58:03and ultimately challenges gold and other nations adopt Bitcoin
- 58:06as part of their sovereign wealth funds or even start to
- 58:08quote back their currencies with it Bitcoin.
- 58:11The US has plenty of time to add.
- 58:13US institutions, investors and individuals hold more Bitcoin
- 58:15than anyone else. the US government has ample means to
- 58:18acquire Bitcoin in any point along the journey.
- 58:20Should they decide that they really covet it, they could
- 58:23acquire Bitcoin via open market purchases more likely.
- 58:27In Galaxy Research's opinion, I think this is Alex Thorne.
- 58:30They would go for the much cheaper option of setting a
- 58:32price cap, banning private ownership, and forcing
- 58:35conversion of US held bitcoins as they did with gold in 1913 or
- 58:381933, AKA the Executive Order 61-O2.
- 58:44They could also simply expropriate the bitcoins out on
- 58:46domestic platforms. US based custodians are the
- 58:48biggest by far. They could nationalize miners.
- 58:51They could hike capital gains taxes and insist they they are.
- 58:54They are paid in in kind. They could arrest individuals
- 58:56and under hold a lot of Bitcoin and expropriate their funds.
- 58:59They could put resources into developing quantum computing
- 59:02good enough to steal the roughly 4 million coins that are quantum
- 59:05vulnerable. And then it goes.
- 59:07But wait, not like that. But that's the trouble.
- 59:10You don't get to decide the manner in which the US
- 59:12government acquires Bitcoin. If you are successful at
- 59:15persuading them the virtues of Bitcoin and they really set
- 59:18their heart on a reserve, they'll do it through whatever
- 59:21means or most politically expedient.
- 59:23This is not necessarily consistent with what is best for
- 59:25the American citizens or American bitcoiners.
- 59:28If there's a choice between buying 1,000,000 Bitcoin at
- 59:30$1,000,000 a coin for a trillion dollars, or simply confiscating
- 59:341,000,000 coins through some other method, they will go for
- 59:36the more efficient method. And as we saw I so saying this
- 59:40when the, when the strategic Bitcoin reserve announcement
- 59:44kind of came out and when Scott Besson kind of came out and said
- 59:48we will accumulate Bitcoin, I found the wording very
- 59:51interesting because he said accumulate Bitcoin.
- 59:53Of course, they've been saying budget neutral ways of acquiring
- 59:55Bitcoin. And then slightly they snuck in
- 59:58like we, we can confiscate your Bitcoin.
- 1:00:00So it does look like that's where this is trending, which is
- 1:00:04obviously not what we want to see here as Bitcoiners.
- 1:00:07But again, be careful what you wish for.
- 1:00:10Now this is where things get a little interesting is
- 1:00:13essentially what Simon Dixon has been saying.
- 1:00:15He quote tweets us and he goes the US Bitcoin strategic reserve
- 1:00:19strategy isn't about buying Bitcoin, it's about seizing it
- 1:00:23and later selling it back to the financial industrial complex
- 1:00:25through auctions. BlackRock and other Wall Street
- 1:00:28nodes in the proof of weapons network will be controlling
- 1:00:30shareholders and debt holders of strategy.
- 1:00:32The financial industrial complex doesn't just want your Bitcoin
- 1:00:36and wants to hold and leverage your Bitcoin to your mission.
- 1:00:39Keep your Bitcoin in self custody.
- 1:00:42Don't use their financial weapons of mass destruction,
- 1:00:44disguises, products, Just follow the money.
- 1:00:47Now this is where we constantly tell you guys self custody your
- 1:00:52Bitcoin. What we are seeing right now, I
- 1:00:55think it's very obviously I, I'm, I'm I'm on board with Simon
- 1:00:58Dixon. I think what we are seeing right
- 1:01:00now is essentially a new phase. And he's not the only one saying
- 1:01:03this. I forget who was tweeting this
- 1:01:05over the weekend, but we have entered a new phase of Bitcoin
- 1:01:09adoption in the sense that we had in the early days there was
- 1:01:12Bitcoin and then Ethereum came out and then the ICO craze came
- 1:01:16out. And that was just a, you know,
- 1:01:18disguised way of stealing your Bitcoin.
- 1:01:20And then then we got, you know, the, the NFT kind of Ordinals
- 1:01:25thing, another way to get your Bitcoin.
- 1:01:27Before that we had the, the defy kind of degeneracy.
- 1:01:32And now the new product is these, you know, Bitcoin
- 1:01:36exposure products, whether they're ETF, whether they're
- 1:01:38Bitcoin treasuries. And there's a huge headline, I
- 1:01:41forget where it was this weekend, but it was going around
- 1:01:43all over Twitter essentially that people that bought Bitcoin
- 1:01:47treasuries are have essentially lost like $17 billion right now.
- 1:01:51So you you are starting to see that there is not necessarily
- 1:01:57concerted effort to stop Bitcoin, but there is this
- 1:02:00effort to kind of centralized the control of Bitcoin.
- 1:02:04And remember that when BlackRock came out and said, hey, we're
- 1:02:08going to do this ETF, there was that one line that made all
- 1:02:11Bitcoiners kind of freak out and say, hey, look, we can choose
- 1:02:14whatever chain we want and everyone's like they're going to
- 1:02:16hard for Bitcoin Now it seems like we are in the then they
- 1:02:21fight you stage, but of course they, you know, kind of play
- 1:02:25along, they tag along, they embrace you, but all the same
- 1:02:28time. If Bitcoin.
- 1:02:30Trying to acquire Bitcoin. If Bitcoin fails, they fail too.
- 1:02:34So. Well, I don't know about.
- 1:02:36I don't know if BlackRock will fail if Bitcoin fails.
- 1:02:39I mean they. Won't fail, but they have a lot
- 1:02:41of assets. Best performing right now
- 1:02:44BlackRock is incentivized to keep accumulating Bitcoin and
- 1:02:50it's their best performing ETF right now.
- 1:02:53So you know just in practical matters, I don't think that they
- 1:02:57would be so greedy I to be. I want to believe that they've
- 1:03:01learned their lesson with the with the housing market.
- 1:03:04Maybe they haven't because they're measuring it in Fiat,
- 1:03:07but I want to believe that they that whatever they think is good
- 1:03:13for the goose is good for the gander, and that if people are
- 1:03:18using Bitcoin, then that means that Bitcoin will be successful
- 1:03:22and that they can keep accumulating and being a huge
- 1:03:25holder or whatever and keep making their money.
- 1:03:29Yeah. I mean I've been saying
- 1:03:30something very similar self. I've been I've been essentially
- 1:03:35saying that even though I don't trust BlackRock or the Larry
- 1:03:38Finks of the world or any bank or Wall Street greed to fully be
- 1:03:43Co opted by Bitcoin and be aligned completely in the
- 1:03:47Bitcoin ethos or be ideological Bitcoiners.
- 1:03:50I do agree with you on on that front that they're not gonna
- 1:03:54they're not gonna slay the golden geese here like they are
- 1:03:56incentivized to see. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:03:59That's what I was saying for. That what I think is, you know,
- 1:04:01maybe in the future when people are starting, like in one or two
- 1:04:07generations, let's say people are reaching the end of their
- 1:04:11life, They're spending their Bitcoin because they want to
- 1:04:14live their life and leaving a little bit to their
- 1:04:18grandchildren and then their grandchildren leave a little bit
- 1:04:21less to their grandchildren or their kids or whatever.
- 1:04:24You know how inheritances go, a lot of people squander it
- 1:04:29eventually. That's how I could see the
- 1:04:32government and these huge institutions just repeating the
- 1:04:35same cycle of the bank. However, if people are not
- 1:04:40buying that Bitcoin, then what assigns the value to it?
- 1:04:44You can't just base it off of pure scarcity.
- 1:04:47You have to base it off of like demand as well.
- 1:04:50And so they may hold some sort of, you know, majority control,
- 1:04:55but they're going to have to share that majority control with
- 1:04:58other huge institutions and other governments and other
- 1:05:02people who, you know, like there, there are a lot of
- 1:05:05wealthy and powerful people out there in the world.
- 1:05:08It's not just 1. So I think the notion that they
- 1:05:11would hard fork Bitcoin is very. Improbable.
- 1:05:15I don't think they're going. To I think that's extremely
- 1:05:17improbable that they would soft 6102 like OK, good luck
- 1:05:21confiscating your Bitcoin like they can't put all of us in a
- 1:05:25box. Well, that's the whole thing.
- 1:05:26So they don't have to confiscate your Bitcoin.
- 1:05:29All they have to do is incentivize you to give them
- 1:05:32your keys of that Bitcoin, and once it's in there, it's a black
- 1:05:37hole and they won't have to give it back.
- 1:05:39That's kind of the whole idea. But that's what I'm saying, like
- 1:05:42how would OK, they can only do that two ways.
- 1:05:44They can do that by either paying you or putting you in
- 1:05:48jail. And they're not going to put
- 1:05:50everybody in jail. Like what are they going to do,
- 1:05:52start genociding Bitcoin? Hey, yay, yay yay yay yay
- 1:05:57Sophie. Don't think they're going.
- 1:06:00To do, yeah. That is a very far stretch of
- 1:06:04the imagination. Am I not allowed to say?
- 1:06:08That yeah, selfie. Selfie is crazy.
- 1:06:11Selfie is crazy. Seems like it seems like too far
- 1:06:15of a rabbit hole and a conspiracy theory to me that
- 1:06:19that the government would do something like that because it's
- 1:06:24not in their best interest. You get what I'm saying?
- 1:06:27I don't know. It's in their best interest to
- 1:06:29take something very valuable from you.
- 1:06:31It is in their best interest only if that thing is valuable
- 1:06:34to other people. They.
- 1:06:35Can't just hoard. It they can't just hoard it all
- 1:06:38And then you know what? Because it's like, OK, fine, if
- 1:06:41you take all the money in the world and and nobody else can
- 1:06:45use it and you just get to do everything like the what's the
- 1:06:48good in that? You like people are either going
- 1:06:52to find something else to trade in and there there's going to be
- 1:06:55like some new like version in 200 years of Bitcoin or like,
- 1:07:03you know, people are going to fight back.
- 1:07:06I just don't see it happening. It doesn't seem economically
- 1:07:09feasible from my perspective. Well, the best way to fight back
- 1:07:13against this guys. Bitcoin into self custody?
- 1:07:16Maybe get yourself a big key and put it into self custody.
- 1:07:20Yeah, 100%. All right, guys, I'm going to
- 1:07:26wrap it up here 'cause this this stream software and I need to
- 1:07:32yeah, any. Anyways, anyways, guys, this was
- 1:07:36the Monday show, October 20th. I think it's episode 1357.
- 1:07:41I'm glad we got a stream going on for you guys.
- 1:07:44The stream was a little different because it seems like
- 1:07:46there's a, you know, AWS kind of outage going on.
- 1:07:50Our traditional stream software wasn't working, but at least I
- 1:07:53got the show going the first time doing it on OBS.
- 1:07:56We we made it happen anyways, so.
- 1:07:58And to my last point, talking about self custody, since we
- 1:08:01don't have the show outro this big, this show is brought to you
- 1:08:05by bitcoinwell.com, the only exchange where you can buy your
- 1:08:10Bitcoin and it goes straight in self custody.
- 1:08:13They never rug you, they never hold your Bitcoin, it just goes
- 1:08:16straight to you from the exchange.
- 1:08:18So go on bitcoinwell.com/simply to sign up and find out more.