Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 564 - 8/11/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 564 of the All Systems.
- 0:19Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:23I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy Tuesday.
- 0:33Another day here in the arena, guys, but it is a special day.
- 0:37Because I had a few people reach out.
- 0:39Saying, yeah, where's that Survivor contest that yeah, I
- 0:42want to join? Well, guess what, I was in in.
- 0:45Talks with my buddy. James Santor who?
- 0:48Helps run Splash Sports. And I've been a a proud partner
- 0:51affiliate of Splash. Sports for a couple years now.
- 0:54And I set it all up and it is finally here.
- 0:56So. Those of you who.
- 0:58Have been interested in joining a.
- 0:59Survivor I know there's like the. $1000 entry contest, You
- 1:03could win $21 million. Hey, I'm not going to ask that
- 1:06much of you if you want to join the Big Boy contest.
- 1:09I actually do have a special link that I'm going to share in
- 1:11a bit. Which will get you directly into
- 1:14the awesome. Splash Sports Survivor Contest.
- 1:17Which big difference there is, you know, usually, usually you
- 1:19always. Have to go.
- 1:20To Vegas in person to sign up. With circa or get a proxy but.
- 1:24Now you can do. It directly through splash
- 1:25sports so if you. If you're big time out.
- 1:27There, you got money. To burn.
- 1:28The $1000 contest is available to you.
- 1:31You could win, you know, 20. Million or more?
- 1:33I'm not quite at that level, so I'm going to ask $50.00 of you
- 1:36five O 50 beans to join the 2nd Annual Applebaum NFL.
- 1:41Survivor contest so. Pretty pretty straightforward
- 1:45here guys. You know the drill by now, but
- 1:47that's OK if you're new to it. You pick.
- 1:49One team each week if the team wins.
- 1:52You survive in advance. If the team loses, you are dead
- 1:55and it's over, so you can only pick each team once.
- 1:58The longer you go, the. Longer you survive, you take
- 2:01home the cash at the very end, so.
- 2:03Last. Year I was doing $25 entry fees
- 2:06and I. Said you know what?
- 2:07It was such a good, you know, a good.
- 2:08Showing had a. Lot of people.
- 2:10Have a lot of. Fun doing it with 25 bucks.
- 2:13And you can do up to 20 entries, so you can do as many as you
- 2:15want. Or up to 20, I guess, to be, you
- 2:18know. Technically correct, but here's
- 2:20the thing. We're going to bump it up to 50.
- 2:21That's going to sweeten. The pot and to me. 50 bucks.
- 2:24You know, you go out, you get a burger, couple beers, you tip.
- 2:28The bartender, then boom, that's. 50 bucks so.
- 2:31Hopefully 50 bucks. Is not too much to ask, but I'm
- 2:34really excited to get this thing going.
- 2:36I just tweeted about it so. If you want the link you can
- 2:38just go to my Twitter. Page.
- 2:40At Josh under Score Insights. And the.
- 2:42Link will be right. There you click it you.
- 2:44Get in, there's a. Third party here and you can
- 2:47tell my daughter my. Daughter's very excited about
- 2:49this. She's going to.
- 2:50She's going to have maybe an entry.
- 2:51Fee in her name. Margo's marvelous bracket.
- 2:54But really cool survivor. They partnered with League.
- 2:58Safe, which is just a. Third party that ensures.
- 3:00That all the money is. Collected and divvied out.
- 3:03Correctly, and there's. Tons of protection, no fraud,
- 3:07any of that. So it is a. $2.00.
- 3:09Fee I believe. It's 4% so.
- 3:11If you do a. $50 bracket. They're going to ask for 2
- 3:13bucks. So technically it's going to be
- 3:14$52, but. With that $2.00 fee.
- 3:17Like going to an ATM machine. At least you know.
- 3:20That it's secure and hopefully you win.
- 3:22And boom, you'll be. Guaranteed all that money.
- 3:24Because the worst thing is and I'm still in a couple.
- 3:26Leagues like this with my buddies who I grew up.
- 3:28With and it's always funny. When it shows like your first
- 3:31year of fantasy football was like, you know, 2000.
- 3:34One, I'm like you. Know 26.
- 3:35Year veteran at this point, but it's always annoying when you
- 3:38know it's $100 and you got to. Chase people down and oh, did
- 3:42you pay? Yet no.
- 3:43And then? They don't.
- 3:43Pay, and then they lose and they refuse to pay, or they win and
- 3:46they didn't. Pay and they demand.
- 3:47The money so. Partnering here with League.
- 3:51Safe. You don't.
- 3:51Have to worry about that, so it's all good to go.
- 3:53But again, we got Hall of Fame game under.
- 3:56Our belts, we got a bunch of NFL.
- 3:58Preseason games coming. Up here on Thursday, I said now
- 4:01is the time to get the Survivor contest going, so come on down.
- 4:04Join the 2nd annual Applebaum NFL Survivor Contest, $50.
- 4:09Per entry. Up to 20 entries and.
- 4:12By doubling the entry. Fee from 25 to 50 you could take
- 4:15home some some pretty. Good cashier, so excited to get.
- 4:18This thing going, you may get an e-mail from me.
- 4:20If you have any questions, you can send me a direct message at
- 4:23Josh under Score Insights, but I'm.
- 4:25Looking at week 1. Looking at OK, what you know,
- 4:27what are the available you know. Picks and there's a lot.
- 4:31Of really short numbers. Guys, I'm seeing.
- 4:33Let's just go down the list real quick opening night.
- 4:36We have Seahawks minus. 3 1/2 against Patriots.
- 4:39Rams -3 1/2 against 49ers. Bengals -3 1/2 against Bucks
- 4:44Steelers -3 against Falcons. Bills -1 1/2 on the road at the
- 4:49Texans. Ravens -3 1/2 on the road.
- 4:52At the Colts, here's the second biggest spread, so this could be
- 4:55an option. Jags at home minus. 7 1/2.
- 4:59Against the Browns. Then you got Titans -3 against
- 5:02The Jets, lions -7 against the Saints, bears -2 1/2 at the
- 5:07Panthers, Raiders -3 1/2. Against the Dolphins.
- 5:10Here is probably going to be the most.
- 5:11Popular pick the Chargers Chargers are at home against the
- 5:15Cardinals. Cardinals.
- 5:16Of the, I believe lowest win. Total or they're right there
- 5:18like 3 1/2 or 4 and a. Half with the Dolphins.
- 5:21But chargers are -10 and a. Half.
- 5:22They're the only double digit favorite of Week 1.
- 5:25So imagine if everyone. Picks the Chargers and somehow
- 5:27the. Jacoby Brissette, Cardinals.
- 5:29Win. Wouldn't that be mayhem?
- 5:30In week 1. But then Eagles minus. 4 1/2
- 5:33against Commanders Packers -1 1/2 at.
- 5:36Vikings, Cowboys -2 and half at Giants.
- 5:39The Monday night game is. Chiefs minus.
- 5:41Three against Broncos, so again you only have. 3.
- 5:45Touchdown or more spreads? It's lions -7 against Saints,
- 5:49Jags -7 half against Browns and then?
- 5:52Kind of the obvious one. Chargers -10 and half against
- 5:55the Cardinals. So I think maybe.
- 5:57Survivors a little bit harder than usual.
- 5:59So if you can get through week 1.
- 6:01I think you're probably pretty happy.
- 6:02Usually it's like go. Automatic you'll get through
- 6:04week 1, Almost automatic you get through.
- 6:05The first couple weeks. But man, a lot.
- 6:07Of short spreads. -3 - 2. -4 something like that, but
- 6:12hopefully that makes it a little more exciting.
- 6:14So as always, guys, come on. Down join the 2nd.
- 6:17Annual Applebaum NFL Survivor Contest Again, the link is.
- 6:21Posted on my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
- 6:24I will. Also put the link.
- 6:26In the bio description of the podcast.
- 6:28So just something to get excited.
- 6:29About Survivor. You can now join.
- 6:32With that being said, guys going to change it Transition here
- 6:36from NFL survivor talk. To Major League Baseball.
- 6:39Because you have a. Big slate today of.
- 6:41MLB and I'm excited to sweat some games here with you guys
- 6:44for today so we. Have a three pack, three kind of
- 6:47bigger favorites, you know, modest.
- 6:49To to. Somewhat larger faves.
- 6:51In the -150 -, 160 -, 170 range. But all three.
- 6:56Have some good sharp. Mush and rhythm.
- 6:59Edges and then we. Also have some good line moves
- 7:01to take advantage of hopefully so trying to go 2.
- 7:03And one eek. Out a winning night, now you.
- 7:06Want to go 2:00 and 1:00 tonight because last night sucked super.
- 7:09Annoying. Sometimes this happens.
- 7:11Guys O and three. -3 units. You walk up to the plate.
- 7:15You take a called strike then. You take a swinging.
- 7:18Strike. And then you swing again and
- 7:19boom. 3 pitches strikeout annoying.
- 7:22Because they weren't all blowouts.
- 7:23They're all close Cardinals. Lost six to five.
- 7:26Against the Phillies, Andrew. Painter who was terrible all
- 7:29year. You know pitches a gem.
- 7:30And just to get us like. Thinking maybe?
- 7:33We have a chance, Cardinals. Were down 6 to.
- 7:35Two in the eighth inning, they scored.
- 7:36Three runs to make it 6:00 to 5:00.
- 7:38Only to lose 6. To five.
- 7:40So again. Thanks for teasing me thinking.
- 7:42That was a comeback. Cardinals Super.
- 7:44Annoying game with the Brewers because the.
- 7:46Brewers were up. 2 to one in the 7th inning.
- 7:49Looking good. Logan Henderson.
- 7:50'S pitch in a gem. Jackson Merrill walks up to the
- 7:53plate, hits. A2 run Homer makes it. 3:00 to
- 7:562:00. And super annoying too.
- 7:58Was that as great? As Mason Miller is the.
- 8:02Brewers actually got a guy. On 1st.
- 8:04Base and they pinch. Around this Lockridge kid I.
- 8:07Thought it was Christian yellow chip bat.
- 8:08Or somebody decent and this. Idiot Lockridge tries to steal
- 8:11second, gets thrown out. To end the game.
- 8:13Why are you stealing again? It's just ridiculous, so.
- 8:17Up to to 1 boost 3:00 to. Two.
- 8:19That was annoying. And then the one that was the
- 8:21coup de grace and. I'm saying to myself.
- 8:23I got to. Play the.
- 8:23Angels because they're sharp. They're so sharp, we.
- 8:25Actually beat the closing. Line that came close.
- 8:28At like a legit. Pick when you might have gotten
- 8:30plus money. Angels up 1.
- 8:32Nothing in the first Trout. Trout hits a Homer, they go into
- 8:35extra. Innings.
- 8:36There was an amazing catch by this kid.
- 8:38Meckler in right field. Robbed, Robbed a Homer.
- 8:40From Seger to keep. The game tied only for a bunch
- 8:43of. Scrub pitchers.
- 8:45Shame on me for thinking the. Disgusting angels could could
- 8:49win a game for us. I know Margo's mad.
- 8:51She's she's mad. At the Angels last night.
- 8:54But they give up. What was it?
- 8:55Three runs in the 10th Lose 4 to 1, so.
- 8:58All three short plays. Couldn't get a single one of
- 9:00them. Super annoying, but that's.
- 9:03Baseball some you win. Some you lose.
- 9:05Some you throw away, but a long season.
- 9:08We've been doing pretty good all year, going to see if we can
- 9:10bounce back. Here for today.
- 9:12So with that being said, three pack overall, let's get right
- 9:15into it. Try to go 2.
- 9:16And one eke out a winning. Day.
- 9:18So first bit on the board, let's go to.
- 9:20The South Side 7. 40 PM Eastern Time, where the Cincinnati.
- 9:23Reds are visiting the. Chicago White Sox.
- 9:26Let's talk line move. Split system matches.
- 9:28I'll give you my play for this one.
- 9:30So the Reds. Come in 56 and 61 on the year.
- 9:33They just got. Swept by the Nationals.
- 9:34However, dropped. Sunday's series finale, 7 to 1.
- 9:37As a plus. 100 Rd. Dog.
- 9:39On the other hand, we got the white.
- 9:41Sox. 61 and 56 they just. Took two or three against the.
- 9:44Guardians They won Sunday series finale 5 to 3 as A + 115 home.
- 9:49Dog so. Interleague.
- 9:51Series opener for tonight, Reds. Are going with the lefty Nick
- 9:54Lodolo. He is 3 and two with a four
- 9:56point. 6OERA, I think he's coming off the injured list as
- 9:58well. White Sox, meanwhile.
- 10:00Going with the ready. Sean Burke.
- 10:02He is 7 and six with a three. Point O 8 ERA.
- 10:05What are we seeing across the market here?
- 10:07Will this game open Chicago? Chicago.
- 10:10Around a -, 1. 50 home favorite since the around a plus. 130
- 10:13road dog and not the biggest move in the world, but all
- 10:17movement has been toward the South siders.
- 10:19We've seen Chicago. Creep up a little bit. -150 to
- 10:22-155. I'm seeing some shops.
- 10:25Even touch around minus. 160. So First off.
- 10:28Little lean toward the White Sox.
- 10:30Second angle for me. Really good bet split.
- 10:32At circa out in. Vegas, we have 80.
- 10:35Percent of money line bets but 92% of money line dollars on the
- 10:38Chai. Sox so good low.
- 10:40Bets higher dollars one. Way Pro and Joe.
- 10:42Split from the sharps in Vegas. One of my favorite.
- 10:45System matches, so just. Generally speaking, interleague.
- 10:49Favorite lack of familiarity? Typically benefits quote UN
- 10:51quote. The better team which would be.
- 10:53Chicago, Not just the record, but they're the minus sign
- 10:56favorite tonight. But I love this one.
- 10:58Both teams are coming. Off a day off.
- 11:00Take the home favorite. Very simple, but that system is
- 11:0372 and 3667%. With a 12% ROI this year, here's
- 11:09another one in. Particular with the White Sox
- 11:12when the line moves in favor of Chicago, whether they're a dog
- 11:15or favorite, just the line goes in their direction.
- 11:17They are 30 and 2159% with an 18% ROI.
- 11:22That's the second. Best quote UN quote line.
- 11:24Move team in Major League Baseball.
- 11:27I hear Margo, she's crying, so we're going to see if she gets
- 11:29to level 2, if she. Gets to level 2.
- 11:31I'll have. To pause the pod and and hold
- 11:34her and rock her. And see if she goes.
- 11:35Down, but she's. Right on the edge.
- 11:37Sometimes she you think she's going to go.
- 11:38Off, then she settles back down sometimes.
- 11:41She will go. Off so we'll see.
- 11:43I apologize for the annoying baby crying in the back but.
- 11:46Maybe she's just. Excited for the sweats tonight.
- 11:49Chicago also has some correlative betting value.
- 11:51Favorite. In a low total game.
- 11:53So total is. 7 1/2. Fair amount of expected.
- 11:56Runs scored more likely. To come from quote UN quote the
- 11:58better. Team Who's?
- 11:59Expected to win I'm. Going to bank on the White Sox.
- 12:01Bats. They're hitting 2:30. 7 on the
- 12:03year, 317 on base, 557 runs. Scored Reds, hitting two. 29309
- 12:10on base. 482 runs. Scored and then also White Sox
- 12:13at home. They've been really good on the
- 12:15South. Side 36 and 22 at home, that's
- 12:17the 4th. Best.
- 12:18Home record in baseball. Reds are a losing team on the
- 12:21road 27 and 30. So not the biggest move in the
- 12:24world, but line has crept up a little bit towards Chicago.
- 12:27We got good bets. What's at Circa?
- 12:28We have one of my favorite. System matches.
- 12:31Both had the day off, take the home favorite and oh by the.
- 12:34Way a 9% sharp mush edge. From our friends at.
- 12:37Juice Reel on Chicago as well as.
- 12:39One rhythm. Recommendation lighting up here.
- 12:41On the White Sox, so add it all up here, guys, I'm.
- 12:44Going to take a shot on the South siders.
- 12:46I got them -1. 48 at FanDuel. Definitely shop around because
- 12:49a. Lot of books closer to -1. 55.
- 12:52-160 and. You know what?
- 12:54I'm going to have to pause the pod.
- 12:55You won't even notice because it'll just pick up me me.
- 12:58Talking again in a second, but I'm pausing it.
- 13:00Let me let me settle down my. Baby real quick.
- 13:03But in the meantime, let's go White Sox.
- 13:06All right, we gave Margie. Some milk.
- 13:08She settled down a bit. Fingers crossed we.
- 13:09Can get through. These last two breakdowns before
- 13:12she goes off. Again.
- 13:13So Next up, let's go out. To the West Coast here, 9:40 PM
- 13:18Eastern. Time where the Tampa.
- 13:19Bay Rays are visiting. The Athletics, it's always
- 13:22weird. Not the Oakland.
- 13:23A's it's just. It's weird.
- 13:24When you're a writer, I'll give. You some behind the scenes like.
- 13:27It's always like, you know? Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays.
- 13:30When it's the athletics, it's just the.
- 13:32Athletics, I guess. Technically sack.
- 13:33Runaways, but it's always weird. When I see it like that anyway.
- 13:37Let's look at tonight's match up.
- 13:38Here rays come in. 72 and 40. 6 had an absolutely.
- 13:42Insane. Come from behind, win last
- 13:44night, I think they were down. 6:00 to 2:00.
- 13:46And the 8th. Scored eight runs.
- 13:48Came through as a. -150. Five Rd. favorite.
- 13:50Imagine if you live line them. I can't even imagine what the
- 13:53number was when you were down by what, four runs in the. 8th
- 13:58inning using your. Odds logic live odds page like
- 14:00you could. Have found a pretty.
- 14:01Good number there. But anyway, tonight's rematch.
- 14:03Rays are going. With the righty Nick Martinez,
- 14:05he's had a. Really good year 11 and 3. 2.65.
- 14:09ERA A. Is meanwhile going with the.
- 14:11Fellow righty Mason Barnett, He's 1 and 2 with A5. .5. 6 ERA
- 14:16now. What have we seen across the
- 14:17market? Will this game open?
- 14:18Tampa Bay around a - 1. 65 road favorite.
- 14:22A is around a + 140. Five home dog.
- 14:24In sharps. They are not.
- 14:25Scared off by the big chalk? They've laid the wood with a.
- 14:28Raise. I'm going raise here guys.
- 14:29It's a little. Bit.
- 14:30Higher of a number they've gone from -1. 65 up to.
- 14:33Around -175. However, look at the splits.
- 14:37Raise 90% of bets, 92% of dollars at DK at circa over 95%
- 14:44of money line bets and dollars in their.
- 14:46Favor so both. Books are very.
- 14:48Heavy Pro and Joe. Publix probably just saying.
- 14:51Rays are good, you know. As are bad, that's all you need
- 14:53to know. But sharps?
- 14:54Are saying yeah. Even though it's a big number,
- 14:56still going to lay it here 'cause that move toward the
- 14:59rays, rays would. Have a non division.
- 15:01Favorite value? Just classic, you know, lack of
- 15:03familiarity. Typically benefiting Quote UN
- 15:05quote the better team. But also in particular.
- 15:08When you're a non. Division Rd.
- 15:09Favorite off? A win receiving line movement in
- 15:11your. Favor so the Rays would match.
- 15:13Those teams are 86 and 52 this year 63%.
- 15:17With a 7% ROI. Rays in particular.
- 15:21They've really cleaned up. Against bad.
- 15:22Teams this year they're. 48 and 20. 665.
- 15:26Percent win rate, 18% ROI against below 500 teams.
- 15:30That is the best. Mark in baseball.
- 15:32When the line moves in their favor.
- 15:34A's have. Really done well.
- 15:35So if you see the market move. Further toward the rays, whether
- 15:38they're a favorite or a dog, they're. 50 and 2963 percent,
- 15:4214% ROI this year. That is the best.
- 15:45In baseball as well. Going to bank on Tampa's bats.
- 15:48They're hitting two 59329 on base, 529 runs.
- 15:52Scored A's are. Hitting 243. 317 on base, 516
- 15:57runs scored and their. Big guy Nick Kurtz remains out
- 16:01raise. Unbelievably, Martinez.
- 16:03He's made 22 starts this year. Razor, 17 and five in those
- 16:07games, he's also. 4:00 and 1:00. With a one point. 85 ERA on the
- 16:11road. She's been really good on the
- 16:12road as well. Here we go again.
- 16:15Margie, we're almost done. Marks, Marks, we're almost done.
- 16:18Athletics, meanwhile. Oh, and eight.
- 16:19And Barnett's last 8. Appearances tape was also been
- 16:23good on. The Road 31 and 28.
- 16:25They've been good at night. 46 and 20. 3A's only 20.
- 16:29One and 30. Seven at home.
- 16:30On the worst home. Records and 30. 3 and 47.
- 16:33And night games. One of the worst night game.
- 16:35Records. So I know it's a big number, but
- 16:37the lines move further here toward the rays.
- 16:40I got the minus. 164 at FanDuel. Some shops now closer to -175.
- 16:46But here's an opportunity. To hopefully see a raise.
- 16:49Winner on the road here at Sacramento.
- 16:52So second bit of the night for me.
- 16:53Again, raise -1. 64 that's FanDuel best number around.
- 16:58A lot of books closer to -175 Let's go raise.
- 17:02Last bit. Of the night.
- 17:03Let's stay on the West. Coast, let's go.
- 17:05To the desert where the. Arizona Diamondbacks are hosting
- 17:08the Colorado Rockies 9. 40 PM Eastern Time.
- 17:12First pitch. Now D backs come in 64 and 56 on
- 17:15the year came through Bigley. Winning 9 Nothing in last
- 17:19night's. Series opener.
- 17:20As a minus. 205 home favorite tonight's.
- 17:23Rematch, we got the. Rockies, who are 40. 6 and 70.
- 17:26Three and they're making me sweat the over 55 1/2.
- 17:29Win total so we need 10 more games.
- 17:31Hope we can do. It.
- 17:33They're going to go with the. Righty Tomo Yuki.
- 17:35Sugano, who was. 11:00 and 5:00 with a 4.51 ERA.
- 17:39Diamondbacks, meanwhile, going with the lefty Mitch Brat, he's
- 17:42one and one with a 3.9 O ERA. What are?
- 17:45We seeing across the market, let's keep open.
- 17:47Arizona Round A -. 170 Home favorite Colorado Round A + 150
- 17:52Road dog and sharps kind of quietly how they hit the Rays,
- 17:56quietly hitting the Diamondbacks, because we've seen
- 17:58the Diamondbacks jump up here -170 to around -175.
- 18:03We've been seeing a. Couple of shops touched to as
- 18:05high as around -180 so. Pretty clear one way.
- 18:08Movement in favor. Of the snakes, I really like
- 18:10the. Bet split in favor of Arizona at
- 18:12Circa. Arizona's getting 71% of money
- 18:15line bets, but 91% of money line dollars.
- 18:19So a big. Low bets, higher dollars.
- 18:20Sharp split in their favor. Also proximity of Arizona to to
- 18:25you know, Vegas not far Nevada, Arizona.
- 18:28So maybe you got a lot. Of sharps who are.
- 18:30Inside Intel on Arizona Hammering Arizona Diamondbacks
- 18:34at Circo. Maybe I'm looking too much into
- 18:36it. Anyway.
- 18:37D Backs. Meanwhile, when they are.
- 18:38Favored, so expected to win and the line.
- 18:41Moves in their direction. Which is the case here They're.
- 18:4425 and 1366 percent 15. Percent ROI this.
- 18:48Year, that is the. Second best chalk line.
- 18:51Move team in baseball. When Arizona is favored against
- 18:54a below. 500 team which is the same.
- 18:56Situation tonight Arizona is. 18 and 967.
- 19:00Percent, 11% ROI. That's the third best record in
- 19:04baseball against bad teams. Brat may not.
- 19:07Know much about him, but he's pitched.
- 19:08Very well in his. Last two starts.
- 19:10He's only given up 1 earned run in 12 innings.
- 19:12Pitched. I think he went. 7 innings No.
- 19:14Runs in one. Game and then 5.
- 19:16Innings one run in the other. But that is a.
- 19:18Zero point. 7. 5 ERA on his last two games.
- 19:21Hopefully he. Carries that over into tonight.
- 19:24Also on the road. 5.63. ERA, but at home. 1.54.
- 19:29Sugano the in the on. The other hand.
- 19:30You know he's a. Home pitcher in Colorado where
- 19:33your ERA is usually higher. Weirdly enough though.
- 19:35He's got a higher. ERA on the road. 3.93 at home.
- 19:395.13 on the road. He is on the road tonight.
- 19:42D Backs. Good home team. 36 and 20.
- 19:44Five in the desert. Rockies are 19 and 41 on the
- 19:48road. That is the worst.
- 19:49Road record in baseball, so now it's a bigger number here, but
- 19:53we have one. Way movement in favor of the
- 19:54snakes. Really good bet Split at circa
- 19:57couple good. System matches hopefully.
- 19:58Brat greater than Sugano, so I'm going to.
- 20:01Back the. Snakes in this one guys.
- 20:04Now at the. Time I got Arizona. -1. 68 at
- 20:07FanDuel. But I did have.
- 20:08A odds boost available to me. So I use the odds boost on the
- 20:12D. Backs.
- 20:13I got them. Down to -130.
- 20:14Four. Another reason to.
- 20:15Have multiple outs. And anytime.
- 20:17You log into FanDuel. Like I'm in Massachusetts.
- 20:19I assume. It's the same.
- 20:20In other states, but. At the very top you'll have all
- 20:22your. Promos sometimes.
- 20:24You got to click. Them to.
- 20:25Get them, you know, added to your account, but always take
- 20:28advantage of those. And oh, by the.
- 20:30Way 22%. Sharp mush edge on the snakes
- 20:33from our friends at Juice Reel. So 3rd, 3rd and final bat of the
- 20:36night guys again I got D backs. -1. 68 at FanDuel Boosted.
- 20:40Down. To -130.
- 20:41Four. So the White Sox.
- 20:43The Rays. The Diamondbacks.
- 20:45Let's try to get 2 out of 3. Eek.
- 20:47Out a winning day. So that about does it for
- 20:50episode 5. 64 of the all. Systems go sports betting.
- 20:53Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 20:56where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
- 20:58saying. Thank you.
- 21:00Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning in.
- 21:02Thank you for putting up with my baby who I love.
- 21:04So much, but yeah. She cries sometimes now.
- 21:07Usually Tuesdays. Are now my new.
- 21:09Life is Tuesdays. I have her all to myself.
- 21:12My wife is back to. Work part time.
- 21:14So she's off Monday. And Friday, I have her
- 21:17completely by myself on Tuesday. So shout out to those of you
- 21:20parents out there who try to work from.
- 21:22Home and take care of a kid. I'm realizing that it ain't
- 21:24easy. It's great, it's great, but it
- 21:26ain't easy. And then?
- 21:28She's actually with. Her mother-in-law, my
- 21:31mother-in-law, her grandma on Wednesdays and Thursdays.
- 21:34So it's a team effort here, but thanks for putting up with.
- 21:37All the crying. In the background, I do
- 21:38apologize, but seriously guys, means a.
- 21:40Lot to me that. You tune in, we sweat the games
- 21:43together. Win, lose or draw, we're making
- 21:45smart bets with our head and not our heart, and that means a lot
- 21:48to me so. Thank you for the support and
- 21:50please. Could you help?
- 21:51Me grow this podcast. Just give it a five star review
- 21:54on Spotify or iTunes, recommend the pod to a friend rate and.
- 21:58Review, retweet or. Like the pod when I put it out.
- 22:01On Twitter, any or all those things would be very much
- 22:04appreciated. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 22:07sports betting. Breakdown data.
- 22:08Driven sharp contrarian betting focusing on line movement that
- 22:12split system matches. Taking a contrarian.
- 22:14Approach again, betting based on what?
- 22:17The numbers. Say not what our.
- 22:18Gut and our bias tells us, but if.
- 22:20That's the case and you want to learn more?
- 22:22About data-driven betting. Or maybe you have someone in
- 22:24your life who could really benefit.
- 22:26From being introduced. To the data-driven approach.
- 22:28I would love for you to go to. Amazon.com and type in the NFL
- 22:32sharp. Betting playbook or type?
- 22:33In the Everything Guide to Sports.
- 22:35Betting Grab a copy of one or. Both of my books.
- 22:38You'll make me happy, you'll. Get some knowledge and.
- 22:41Then you can bring them a sports.
- 22:42Book I'll sign them for you. I'll.
- 22:43Buy you a beer. Or ginger ale.
- 22:45I'll sweat some games together. Get some Cracker Jacks.
- 22:47Some nachos and hopefully get a couple winners on the diamond
- 22:50tonight. Next, have you downloaded?
- 22:52Rhythm and juice reel yet? Well, if you haven't.
- 22:54What are you waiting for? They're fantastic.
- 22:56Sports betting apps. I use them everyday, Rhythm for
- 22:59their AI backed models and predictions for game bets and.
- 23:02Player props Juice. Reel so many great features you
- 23:05can get the robo. Jackson best bet picks.
- 23:07Sharp mush indicators. Arbitrage plays.
- 23:09Shop for the best. Line futures.
- 23:11You can sync. Up your sports books.
- 23:12And get a running report card of your.
- 23:13Action and then. If you'd like to support the
- 23:16pod. And at some point.
- 23:18My daughter's got to. Go to daycare when she.
- 23:21We're trying to get get through the.
- 23:22First year at home, but pretty. Soon we have to pay for daycare,
- 23:25so if you'd. Like to help me?
- 23:26Fund her daycare account. And again, this pot is free it.
- 23:29Cost you nothing but. Contribute to the tip jar.
- 23:32You can get a week's worth. Of best bets for free to start 7
- 23:35day free trial. But then $9.99.
- 23:38Cents a week. To get the best bets from Juice
- 23:40Reel the ASG best bets from Juice.
- 23:42Reel or 25 bucks a month 2499. To get a full month's worth of
- 23:46plays. That means as soon as I make.
- 23:48A bet. It goes right from my sports
- 23:51book. To my juice.
- 23:52Reel app account. And you can tailor fade do what
- 23:55you. Like.
- 23:56You'll get all those. Plays immediately a little bit.
- 23:57Earlier in the day. So go download rhythm, go
- 24:00download Juice reel, give them both.
- 24:01A five star review. In the App Store.
- 24:04Next you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't have one,
- 24:07you. Really do need one.
- 24:08It's so. Important to be able to track
- 24:10the market. Very basic things like you may
- 24:12have a different. Betting style slightly or maybe?
- 24:14Drastically from the way. We talked about on on the.
- 24:16Pod, but you still need to know, OK?
- 24:18What are all the? Games being played today.
- 24:20I need all the opening. Lines along with the.
- 24:22Current numbers to see which direction the line is moved, I
- 24:24got to. Pull up the line.
- 24:25History. See all the moves in between
- 24:27because that. Tells more of the.
- 24:28Story and then I got to be able to shop for the best line find
- 24:31the book. Giving me.
- 24:32You know Diamondbacks. -168 instead of -1. 75 or when we get
- 24:36to the NFL, getting that plus. 10 1/2 versus plus. 10 You can
- 24:41do it all with odds logic, especially with the awesome in
- 24:44game live game in game wagering odds that update automatically
- 24:47if you're alive better. But give it a shot, especially
- 24:50with football coming back. It's all sports included, but
- 24:53just go to. Oddslogic.com.
- 24:55Slash Josh 123 that's going to give.
- 24:58You A7. Day free trial.
- 25:00And 50. Percent off your first month of
- 25:01service. Lastly, I let off the show with
- 25:03it. But go join the Applebaum NFL
- 25:06Survivor Contest. Second annual. $50 per.
- 25:09Entry up to 20. Entries you could take.
- 25:11Home a big. Thick wad of cash.
- 25:14And it'll be a lot of fun because Survivor NFL is the
- 25:16absolute best. But you can click.
- 25:18The link on my Twitter page at Josh.
- 25:20Under score insights. I'm also going to everyday be.
- 25:23Putting the link into the bio. Description of the pod so you
- 25:26can find it right there. So that about does it guys.
- 25:29As always, two final thoughts. One.
- 25:30Whether I see you at the Borgata and Atlantic City Twin.
- 25:33River in Rhode Island, the brook of New Hampshire.
- 25:35Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the encore.
- 25:38In Boston Plainridge Park. Casino MGM.
- 25:40Springfield or the Nash and my neck of the woods on the border
- 25:43of Massachusetts and Nashua, NH. Around the desert, where the
- 25:47true grinders get. Down where Billy Walter.
- 25:49Sends his number runners. With lowest.
- 25:50Juice possible is. Found at the South point or
- 25:53sweat and sharp contrarian. Plays.
- 25:55Jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool.
- 25:56When you catch a big ticket at Circo, you're going to walk up
- 25:59to me and after last night we're going to take.
- 26:01Our Cardinals, Brewers and Angels tickets and RIP.
- 26:03Them up, put them in the recycling bin, not the trash.
- 26:06Put them in the recycling bin And and you know what?
- 26:08We're going to get it back here for tonight.
- 26:11So as always, guys coming off an O.
- 26:12And three or three and OA. Two and one or A1.
- 26:15And two, a great night, a terrible night.
- 26:16A hot streak, a cold streak, Whether everything's going our
- 26:19way, nothing's going our way or. We're just grinding, trying to
- 26:22stay. Above water, that's that's life.
- 26:25And that's betting. So we got to stick with it.
- 26:27Never. Get too high when?
- 26:28Things. Are good or too low when things
- 26:29are? Bad.
- 26:30And just keep. Grinding the system matches
- 26:32looking for games that fit our model against the.
- 26:35Public with the house with the pros Flat bet avoid.
- 26:38Parlays and get some CLV if we can do.
- 26:40That. We're going to be.
- 26:42Successful sports betters. So have a great Tuesday,
- 26:44everybody. Right?
- 26:46We will be right back at it tomorrow for Big Hump Day
- 26:49Edition. That'll be episode 560.
- 26:51Five of the all systems go sports betting.
- 26:53Podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody.
- 26:56Have a great Tuesday and go join the.
- 26:59Applebaum NFL Survivor Contest. Good luck.