Latest / THE DAILY BRIEF / 'Netanyahu did not want this agreement, it was imposed on him very brutally by Trump'
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Well, I'm joined now by Iran Etsion, former head of
- 0:03Speaker 1: policy planning at Israel's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and former
- 0:06Speaker 1: deputy head of the National Security Council in the Prime
- 0:09Speaker 1: Minister's office.
- 0:10Speaker 2: So thank you very much for joining us here on
- 0:12Speaker 2: the program. I just want to get your take on
- 0:15Speaker 2: this actual deal because already, you know, we know the
- 0:18Speaker 2: ceasefire is in effect. We've heard Prime Minister Benjamin Ettaniel
- 0:21Speaker 2: who say if Hamas doesn't disarm, we hold the right
- 0:25Speaker 2: to go back. I spoke to Hamas saying we're not
- 0:29Speaker 2: going to disarm yet because we don't feel secure.
- 0:32Speaker 3: What's your take, Well, there's actually no agreement. There is
- 0:37Speaker 3: a proposal by Trump that was allegedly agreed to by
- 0:41Speaker 3: both sides, but both sides gave essentially a huge yes.
- 0:46Speaker 3: But where the but is much bigger than the yes,
- 0:50Speaker 3: And what it amounts to is the possibility probability of
- 0:55Speaker 3: the first phase being successfully executed. We're all hoping and
- 0:59Speaker 3: we're rooting for it. On Monday, the release of ostriches
- 1:03Speaker 3: in exchange for a large amount almost two thousand Palestinian prisoners,
- 1:08Speaker 3: detainees and so on, some of them, you know, horrible
- 1:12Speaker 3: murderers and the entrance of AID into Gaza, and then
- 1:18Speaker 3: the idea F has retreated already to a certain lane
- 1:20Speaker 3: which is relatively deep into Gaza, approximately thirty to fifty
- 1:24Speaker 3: percent of the area, but not in control of any Palestinians.
- 1:28Speaker 3: Are there will be effectively under Hamas's control. So we're
- 1:33Speaker 3: going to be in a bizarre situation which resembles to
- 1:36Speaker 3: a certain extent, the day before rather than the day
- 1:39Speaker 3: after the war in Gaza.
- 1:41Speaker 2: What do you mean when you say the day.
- 1:42Speaker 3: Before Hamas was essentially in control and it will regain control,
- 1:49Speaker 3: at least it may regain control, Let's put it this way,
- 1:52Speaker 3: which is not the spirit of the agreement, not the intent,
- 1:55Speaker 3: certainly not of the Israelis, and also I believe not
- 1:58Speaker 3: of the Americans, the Egyptians, Tarries and the Turks.
- 2:02Speaker 2: But there's no alternative, is that what you're saying at
- 2:04Speaker 2: this point in terms of a governing force.
- 2:06Speaker 3: See, we have to distinguish between what will actually happen
- 2:09Speaker 3: on the ground and the language of the agreement. According
- 2:11Speaker 3: to the agreement, there's supposed to be an International Stabilization
- 2:14Speaker 3: Force denoted as ISF that is supposed to replace the IDF,
- 2:21Speaker 3: and replace Hamas and assist the new transitional for the
- 2:25Speaker 3: technocratic government by the Palestinians who should be nominated with
- 2:30Speaker 3: involvement of the PA and the Americans and Israelis and
- 2:33Speaker 3: so on.
- 2:34Speaker 2: Sounds great on paper.
- 2:35Speaker 3: Exactly, but on the ground effectively, as of next week,
- 2:41Speaker 3: Hamas might be able to resurrect unless there is very
- 2:45Speaker 3: quick and effective action by all the parties involved.
- 2:49Speaker 2: Do you feel confident that there will be quick action?
- 2:52Speaker 3: I can say I feel confident, but I do believe
- 2:55Speaker 3: that certainly the Egyptians who have a lot of skin
- 2:58Speaker 3: in this game, the Qataris and the Turks that are
- 3:01Speaker 3: obliged to Trump and that have the obviously their own
- 3:04Speaker 3: interests visas the Kamas, visa vid the Muslim the regional
- 3:07Speaker 3: and global movement of the Muslim Brotherhood of which Hamas
- 3:10Speaker 3: is a branch. They have that it's a very intricate
- 3:15Speaker 3: network of interests. So they have a lot of interest
- 3:18Speaker 3: to try and stabilize the situation. But as we saw
- 3:22Speaker 3: in the in the previous interview that you that you made,
- 3:25Speaker 3: Hamas is reluctant to disarm and reluctant to be out
- 3:29Speaker 3: of the game. Even though what.
- 3:31Speaker 2: You said there is no deal. These are all things
- 3:34Speaker 2: up for negotiation. So he didn't sort of deny what
- 3:38Speaker 2: you're saying.
- 3:38Speaker 3: That was their position and it remains their position. We'll
- 3:42Speaker 3: see what happens. We'll see what kind of pressures will
- 3:45Speaker 3: be brought to bear on them.
- 3:46Speaker 2: What about Benjamin Nettino, who he's talked about total victory
- 3:50Speaker 2: the entire time, and you're saying what we could see
- 3:53Speaker 2: is Hamas back in a position where it could come
- 3:57Speaker 2: up from the ashes.
- 3:58Speaker 3: We all understand the Ntenelle did not want disagreement. It
- 4:01Speaker 3: was imposed on him very brutally by Trump and it
- 4:06Speaker 3: was also the result of a huge protest by millions
- 4:09Speaker 3: of Israelis who took to the streets over this entire
- 4:13Speaker 3: period and are now content and very much hoping for
- 4:17Speaker 3: this to actually happen. But it was not Lintoniel's wish,
- 4:21Speaker 3: and Ntoniello is still interested in doing everything he can
- 4:26Speaker 3: not to abide by disagreement, just.
- 4:27Speaker 2: Like Commas So Hamas and Natall who are on the
- 4:32Speaker 2: same page with this. Both of them want to violate
- 4:35Speaker 2: this agreement. Yes, who will put pressure on Benjamin Nataniell?
- 4:39Speaker 2: Who do you believe it will still be Donald Trump
- 4:42Speaker 2: that he will have the patience to do that.
- 4:45Speaker 3: We'll see. The division of labor, obviously between the various
- 4:48Speaker 3: third parties, is that Trump is supposed to deliver Nataniello
- 4:51Speaker 3: and the Turks and the Kataris, and to a certain extent,
- 4:54Speaker 3: the Egyptians are supposed to deliver Commas. They were able
- 4:57Speaker 3: to do it until a certain point, as we said,
- 5:01Speaker 3: phase one. We'll see what happens next week. I believe
- 5:04Speaker 3: Trump will remain engaged, but I cannot say with a
- 5:09Speaker 3: huge degree of confidence that he will have the necessary
- 5:13Speaker 3: patience and the energy and you know, the resources that
- 5:18Speaker 3: it would take to continue and push Nataniell to commit
- 5:22Speaker 3: to the next phases of the deal, because Nathaniel's very
- 5:25Speaker 3: clear political personal interest is not to abide by this
- 5:29Speaker 3: deal but rather to go back to war, and this
- 5:32Speaker 3: of course runs against these personal guarantees that we're now
- 5:37Speaker 3: reported that Trump gave to the various mediators.
- 5:42Speaker 2: I got thirty seconds, So the situation is very fluid.
- 5:45Speaker 3: Still, Yeah, we need to discuss Israeli politics and the
- 5:49Speaker 3: choice that Israeli people will have to make. Hopefully shortly.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Elections are slated for November twenty six, but they might
- 5:56Speaker 3: be pushed.
- 5:57Speaker 1: Back and will have to leave it there around Eton.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Thank you very much for sharing your thoughts with us.