Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3487 You Won’t BELIEVE Trump's REAL Poll Numbers!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_03]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_03]: Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_03]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:20[SPEAKER_03]: The polls, the polls, Democrats and their allies in the legacy media have a new fabricated fraud.
- 0:27[SPEAKER_03]: They're both pushing.
- 0:28[SPEAKER_03]: They want their dwindling audience to believe that Trump's poll numbers are cratering.
- 0:34[SPEAKER_03]: They want you to think that Americans are experiencing voters' remorse and are clawing back to the Democrats and begging them to stop Donald Trump.
- 0:47[SPEAKER_03]: Just one problem.
- 0:50[SPEAKER_03]: Even CNN is admitting that that hoax is indeed.
- 0:56[SPEAKER_01]: a hoax democratic brand right now has about the appeal with the american voter as the crackle barrel rebrand has with the american consumers bad bad bad what are you doing oh my goodness gracious what are we talking about here in terms of big party registration changes in the key swing states let's look at the key for swing states that in fact do keep track of registration by party look the republican party is in their best position at this point in the cycle since at least
- 1:24[SPEAKER_01]: two thousand five and all four of these key battleground states we go out to the southwest Arizona how about Nevada Republicans haven't done this well since two thousand five oh my good discretion at this point in the cycle North Carolina I couldn't find a point in which Republicans were doing better at this point in the cycle it's at least this century probably goes way back in the last century and Pennsylvania very similar Republicans doing better at this point in at any point
- 1:51[SPEAKER_01]: at any point this century at least as far as I could find.
- 1:54[SPEAKER_01]: Now, what types of gains are we talking about here for the Republican Party?
- 1:58[SPEAKER_01]: Well, let's compare it to this point during the first Trump administration all the way back in twenty seventeen.
- 2:03[SPEAKER_01]: Look at this, the Republican Party gains and party registration compared to this point back in twenty seventeen during the Trump first administration in Arizona.
- 2:11[SPEAKER_01]: You got a Republican gain of three points.
- 2:13[SPEAKER_01]: Okay, how about Nevada?
- 2:14[SPEAKER_01]: Up the hill we go, even though we're sticking in the southwest, again, to six points.
- 2:18[SPEAKER_01]: How about, again, we come to the East Coast, North Carolina, again, of eight points for the Republicans.
- 2:23[SPEAKER_01]: And in the Keystone State, in the Commonwealth, the Pennsylvania, again, we're talking about a gain of eight points.
- 2:28[SPEAKER_01]: My goodness gracious for Republicans, they are converting old former Democrats to their side of the ledger as well as picking up new voters, registering new voters, and it absolutely paid off for them back in the twenty twenty four election.
- 2:43[SPEAKER_03]: Yeah, translation Democrats are more unpopular than they have ever been.
- 2:48[SPEAKER_03]: I mean, what you're seeing there is precisely what we have been talking about on this channel for nearly two years now.
- 2:55[SPEAKER_03]: The ultimate pull besides an election, so I should say the penultimate pull is voter registration trends, voter registration trends, and voter identification are the most accurate predictors for election turnout result.
- 3:10[SPEAKER_03]: Gallup is found that voter identification surveys consistently come within literally tens of a point
- 3:18[SPEAKER_03]: In accurately predicting the popular vote over the last four election cycles, so back in two thousand and eight, Gallup found that voter identification.
- 3:29[SPEAKER_03]: favorite Democrats plus eight and Obama won the popular vote by seven point two in twenty twelve the Democrat identity advantage was plus four and Obama won by plus three point nine as that for an accurate prediction indicator right that's a tenth of a point there
- 3:49[SPEAKER_03]: That's the pattern that we've been seeing in election after election.
- 3:52[SPEAKER_03]: So it turned out that Gallup found a Republican plus two voter identity advantage for twenty twenty four and they went back and forth between three and two.
- 4:03[SPEAKER_03]: They eventually signed with two and low and behold, Trump wins the popular vote by one point five.
- 4:09[SPEAKER_03]: voter identification along with actual voter registration trends are the two most accurate predictive indicators for how an election is going to turn out and Howard Democrats doing in this area.
- 4:23[SPEAKER_03]: Well, all we have to do is look at the latest from the New York Times.
- 4:28[SPEAKER_03]: They're calling it the Democrat voter registration crisis.
- 4:35[SPEAKER_03]: Yes, crisis.
- 4:37[SPEAKER_03]: The times is admitting that Democrats are in their words, quote, hemorrhaging voters and are facing a stampede away from the Democrat party.
- 4:49[SPEAKER_03]: In fact, every single state that tracks voter registration by party, all
- 4:57[SPEAKER_03]: in every single one of those thirty states the democrats are losing ground to the republicans i will say that again in every single state all thirty that track voter registration by party the republicans are crushing the democrats and they've been crushing them for the last four years there's been a four point five million voter registration swing to the republicans since twenty twenty and yet
- 5:27[SPEAKER_03]: This is the nonsense that we here on Harry Endons CNN on a daily basis.
- 5:34[SPEAKER_03]: Check this out.
- 5:35[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, Jessica, I think the critiques of Democrats are fair.
- 5:38[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's pretty clear that despite the fact that Donald Trump is cratered Republican, their brand has cratered
- 5:44[SPEAKER_02]: the the democratic grant has not recovered and it's because what are you talking about what is your what is the democratic approval rating come on be honest be honest brother come on what's the democratic approval rating what's Donald Trump is not crater if anybody's crater the democratic party thirty three percent of all street journal poll there's another one whether at nineteen percent trump at worst is in the mid forty's the republican brand is in a large stronger position
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- 7:12[SPEAKER_03]: Now, Scott is absolutely right in that assessment there.
- 7:16[SPEAKER_03]: I mean, look at the latest from Harvard Harris.
- 7:19[SPEAKER_03]: Hardly a conservative outfit here, right?
- 7:21[SPEAKER_03]: Harvard Harris shows fifty-four percent of voters.
- 7:25[SPEAKER_03]: Say Trump is doing a better job than Biden.
- 7:29[SPEAKER_03]: Fifty foot stick that in your liberal pipe and smoke, whoever that commentator was on seeing that commentators even being kind.
- 7:36[SPEAKER_03]: Fifty four percent thing Trump is doing a better job than bumbling Biden.
- 7:41[SPEAKER_03]: That's actually up three points from July.
- 7:44[SPEAKER_03]: It's up.
- 7:45[SPEAKER_03]: So according to Harvard Harris, a strong majority of voters are clearly happy with Trump.
- 7:50[SPEAKER_03]: Now that fifty four percent is a very interesting number because it mirrors insider advantages numbers.
- 7:59[SPEAKER_03]: Insider advantage was one of the most single most accurate pollsters in the twenty twenty four election.
- 8:05[SPEAKER_03]: They have Trump's approval rating now standing at fifty four percent, a plus ten approval.
- 8:10[SPEAKER_03]: And it's not just inside your advantage.
- 8:12[SPEAKER_03]: The latest from our good friend Mark Mitchell over at Rasmussen has Trump at fifty three percent fifty two point seven to be exact.
- 8:19[SPEAKER_03]: So within the margin of error with inside our advantage numbers, which corresponds to the percentage that are far more pleased with Trump than with Biden.
- 8:29[SPEAKER_03]: And whoever that dude was on with Scott Jennings there, he might want to check in with the real clear politics polling aggregate, which averages out all the polling to good the bad the ugly, you know, including those polls that told us that Kamala was going to win in a landslide, but even here,
- 8:45[SPEAKER_03]: Trump is crushing it.
- 8:46[SPEAKER_03]: He's got a solid, forty-six percent approval in the polling aggregate.
- 8:51[SPEAKER_03]: And by comparison, he's pulling higher than either George W. Bush or Barack Obama did at this time in their second terms.
- 9:00[SPEAKER_03]: So again, if you want to claim that Trump's, you know, polling is cratering.
- 9:06[SPEAKER_03]: You would have to admit the same thing even more so with Obama, which of course, no Democrat would ever dream of doing.
- 9:13[SPEAKER_03]: And it gets even better.
- 9:15[SPEAKER_03]: Despite all of the negative press, despite all of the hoaxes, the frauds, the fabrications, the twenty-four-seven bronze of lies and deceit that we get from the legacy media.
- 9:27[SPEAKER_03]: Despite all the claims that Trump's polls are collapsing and that posters are hearing that Trump supporters are now regretting their vote, despite all that nonsense.
- 9:37[SPEAKER_03]: And despite their unending fawning over Democrats and Kamala Harris in particular, that continues to this day,
- 9:45[SPEAKER_03]: Take a look at the latest from Harvard Harris polling.
- 9:49[SPEAKER_03]: Were the election held today?
- 9:53[SPEAKER_03]: Trump would win by an even larger margin than in November.
- 10:00[SPEAKER_03]: Trump won by one point five percent of the popular vote.
- 10:03[SPEAKER_03]: According to the latest polling, he would win today, if we were to use up against Kackel Schumala, he would win today by triple that.
- 10:12[SPEAKER_03]: He would win by six points.
- 10:15[SPEAKER_03]: In fact, Kackles Kamala is getting more bad news according to the latest polling California Democrats are all in with Gavin Newsom.
- 10:24[SPEAKER_03]: They don't appear to want to have anything to do with Kamala.
- 10:27[SPEAKER_03]: So they're telling her more or less to sit out, twenty twenty eight.
- 10:30[SPEAKER_03]: The latest Emerson polling has greasy-haired Gavin at twenty-five percent support with Harris at just nineteen percent support.
- 10:38[SPEAKER_03]: So clearly most California Democrats recognize Harris would be a political disaster in the making yet again.
- 10:46[SPEAKER_03]: And they do have some, you know, they do have some precedent by if past is precedent.
- 10:51[SPEAKER_03]: Nope.
- 10:52[SPEAKER_03]: Presidential candidate who lost their first time around came back to win in the following election.
- 10:58[SPEAKER_03]: That's just never happened.
- 10:59[SPEAKER_03]: Trump, of course, won his first go at it in twenty sixteen.
- 11:03[SPEAKER_03]: So he's a proven winner when he was going at it again for third time in twenty twenty four.
- 11:08[SPEAKER_03]: But we've never had a presidential candidate to my knowledge.
- 11:12[SPEAKER_03]: who ran lost and then ran again in the next election and won Richard Nixon ran in loss in nineteen sixty but he sat out in sixty four and he came back to win in sixty eight.
- 11:24[SPEAKER_03]: So Kamala's twenty twenty campaign again if passed as president is dead in the water.
- 11:29[SPEAKER_03]: Regardless of what she does, and by the way, so is Gavin Newsom's?
- 11:33[SPEAKER_03]: He may, in fact, end up to be an even worse political disaster than Kamala, because at least Kamala had the power of the incumbency behind her in twenty twenty four.
- 11:42[SPEAKER_03]: But Gavin ain't doing too well himself.
- 11:44[SPEAKER_03]: I mean, take a look at his favorability ratings.
- 11:46[SPEAKER_03]: This is according again to the latest Harvard Harris poll.
- 11:49[SPEAKER_03]: Trump trots as a forty six to twenty nine.
- 11:52[SPEAKER_03]: It's not even close.
- 11:53[SPEAKER_03]: It's a plus seventeen.
- 11:56[SPEAKER_03]: Again, remember, Newsom isn't even liked in California.
- 12:01[SPEAKER_03]: Let alone the blue all states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
- 12:05[SPEAKER_03]: He is not a candidate that appeals to working class voters, no more than Mitt Romney did.
- 12:11[SPEAKER_03]: And he's going to get absolutely clobbered in the swing states where working class voters are overly represented as compared to the electorate as a whole.
- 12:20[SPEAKER_03]: I'm JD is going to answer JD from Appalachia is going to absolutely crush him in the swing states.
- 12:27[SPEAKER_03]: But when you combine these poll numbers with the voter registration trends, I'm sorry Democrats.
- 12:34[SPEAKER_03]: The pattern is absolutely clear.
- 12:37[SPEAKER_03]: America is undeniably turning away from your party and they are overwhelmingly embracing Trump, the Republicans, and America first.
- 12:48[SPEAKER_03]: That is what's really happening in our nation.
- 12:51[SPEAKER_03]: As you heard from Harry Anton, I was just said earlier, the Democrats are a dying brand.
- 12:57[SPEAKER_03]: The era of Trump is just beginning.
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