Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 339 - 8/19/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 339 - 8/19/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 339 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
• 0:38
  guys, as the early portion of our week rolls on.
• 0:42
  One day closer to the final week of NFL preseason.
• 0:45
  One day closer to the return of college football.
• 0:49
  Marred. Been looking at a couple lines
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  here coming out for what is it on Saturday, Week zero.
• 0:54
  I noticed that there was some movement toward Iowa State.
• 0:56
  Mentioned this yesterday. Plus 3 1/2 down to three.
• 0:59
  I think the hook is still available, I believe in FanDuel.
• 1:01
  Plus 3 1/2 with Iowa State, a pretty good, pretty good line
• 1:05
  movement and splits in their favor.
• 1:06
  And then also a dog to fave line move toward Hawaii, getting 2
• 1:10
  1/2 and now laying 2 1/2 against Stanford.
• 1:13
  So thinking might those might be our two early plays.
• 1:16
  I haven't been them yet. I want to see how kind of the
• 1:18
  bets build up between now and Saturday.
• 1:21
  But it's just great to be able to talk about college football.
• 1:24
  Then of course, one day closer to NFL Week 1 we're having, I've
• 1:28
  been looking at the lines a little bit.
• 1:29
  It's still very early. I want to get through the
• 1:31
  preseason. But man, this is the time of the
• 1:33
  year where things are heating up and it's a great time to be a
• 1:36
  sports better looking toward today, guys, we got a three pack
• 1:39
  of MLB plays. So right back to Major League
• 1:41
  Baseball. But then I have a big
• 1:43
  announcement I want to make and actually just tweeted about this
• 1:46
  a second ago. So I'm going to tell you about
• 1:48
  my big announcement here, which is a new partnership with a
• 1:51
  really cool opportunity for you guys to to make some money.
• 1:55
  And I'm partnering with a couple guys that I really love and
• 1:58
  respect and I'm really, really a fan of what they're doing.
• 2:01
  So I'll tell you about that in one second.
• 2:04
  Looking back toward yesterday, guys looking to bounce back.
• 2:06
  Went 1 and 2 -, 1.1 units. Had a nice win late night with
• 2:10
  the Red Legs. Got a great pitching performance
• 2:12
  from Brady Singer and able to hang on four to one.
• 2:16
  Unfortunately, Toronto had a 2 to one lead and then got blank
• 2:19
  the rest of the way and lost 5:00 to 2:00.
• 2:21
  So that wasn't fun. And then also Miami, they tied
• 2:24
  that game up late and then just got rolled late innings.
• 2:26
  So both Miami and Toronto let us down.
• 2:29
  So looking to go, looking to bounce back, go 2 and one of
• 2:32
  their plays today to get back on track.
• 2:35
  Now it's time for before we get to Major League Baseball.
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  My big announcement so here here it is guys there's a lot in the
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  pipeline and I will actually have I believe another big
• 2:45
  announcement for tomorrow, but I'm kind of lining up my my
• 2:49
  football season who I'm working with different betting
• 2:52
  opportunities money making opportunities and I'm really
• 2:54
  proud to announce that I have partnered with splash sports.
• 3:00
  Now. If you've never heard of Splash
• 3:01
  Sports, you can give them a follow at Splash Sports under
• 3:03
  Score on Twitter. But Splash Sports is super cool.
• 3:07
  So basically what they do is they offer paid fantasy contests
• 3:11
  and games of skill like Survivor and Pick em.
• 3:14
  And the really interesting thing is they allow users to compete
• 3:18
  against each other and not the house.
• 3:20
  And Splash is really the largest gaming platform for private
• 3:23
  contest. So basically when you want to
• 3:26
  play against your friends or other sports betters, you may
• 3:29
  not know them, but they're probably similar to you, not the
• 3:32
  house you go to Splash Sports. So Splash Sports was created by
• 3:35
  my buddy Daniel Childs, who I was introduced to a couple weeks
• 3:38
  ago through my friend James Santor who is now working with
• 3:42
  Splash Sports. And they're saying, you know
• 3:43
  what Josh, we should get you into Splash Sports.
• 3:46
  You got you got a couple followers on Twitter and you got
• 3:50
  a kind of a big group of community of sports betters.
• 3:52
  So let's see if we can bring them over to Splash.
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  I bet if they bet on sports, they probably like betting
• 3:57
  contests. So I have now created 2 contests
• 4:01
  for the upcoming football season. 1 is a Survivor contest.
• 4:05
  So this, you know, is probably, you know about it.
• 4:07
  Now I'll admit this isn't the Circa Survivor that's going to,
• 4:10
  you know, if you win, you get, I don't know, $10 million, but the
• 4:14
  entry fee is much lower. Circa Survivor, you want to
• 4:16
  enter, it's $1000. The Applebaum NFL Survivor
• 4:20
  Contest through Splash Sports, it's 25 bucks, 25 bucks to
• 4:25
  enter. It's winner take all.
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  The winner gets $11,250. So there's up to 500 entries.
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  Obviously you got to pick one team to win and survive in
• 4:35
  advance. And if by the end of the regular
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  season it's, you know, five people are tied in first place,
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  then you'll split the 11,250. But it's really cool because it
• 4:45
  also gives you a lot of data on like if you do a Yahoo One or
• 4:48
  ESPN and they'll tell you like the percentage of people have
• 4:50
  picked this team or that team. There's a lot of great Intel.
• 4:53
  So this is an opportunity for you guys.
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  Again, I'm not competing it. I'm hosting the contest, so I
• 4:58
  can't compete, but you want to enter 25 bucks, Really, really
• 5:02
  not too much there. You might spend 25 bucks on
• 5:05
  breakfast this morning. So enter 25 bucks.
• 5:08
  You could win up to $11,250. You got to win.
• 5:12
  You got to move on, survive in advance.
• 5:14
  But I would welcome everyone and invite you all to join the NFL
• 5:18
  Survivor contest hosted by myself.
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  It's called, quote UN quote, the Applebaum NFL Survivor.
• 5:24
  So I just tweeted about this with the link so you can follow
• 5:27
  me on Twitter at Josh under score insights.
• 5:30
  Click that link, put your 25 bucks in boom, enter the
• 5:32
  contest. I believe you can enter as many
• 5:35
  as 5 entries. So if you look at yes, you can
• 5:38
  have as as as many as 5 entries. So you could, you know, put in
• 5:41
  what is it 125 bucks and do five of them do as many as you want.
• 5:45
  The deadline to enter obviously is the 7th of September when
• 5:50
  obviously you got a get ready for the the season to start.
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  But I would invite everyone to join and you'll get all the
• 5:55
  rules. You can join Splash and there's
• 5:58
  other contests you can do, but I now have a survivor contest.
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  The Applebaum NFL Survivor 25 bucks entry up to five entries.
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  You can win 11,250 bucks and wouldn't that be nice if you
• 6:08
  turn 25 bucks into 11,250. Now my second contest that I'd
• 6:14
  love for you to join caters to some college football betters.
• 6:18
  So if you like college football, this is the Applebaum CFB Pick
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  Em Contest $25 entry. You can do up to five entries
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  and what you got to do. The one caveat here is its top
• 6:30
  25 teams, so you'll be able to pick between any game involving
• 6:34
  a top 25 team. You got to pick five of them
• 6:37
  each week and the winner. First place gets 3375 bucks, 2nd
• 6:42
  place 2250 bucks, 3rd $1687.00 all the way to to 10th place.
• 6:49
  10th place you win $337.00. So if you are a avid college
• 6:54
  football better and you would like to test your knowledge and
• 6:57
  you like to compete in this pool again $25 entry around 3375 for
• 7:03
  basically exactly 3375 to the winner and then staggered
• 7:07
  payouts below. But this is my second contest,
• 7:10
  so I'm really excited to partner with Splash Sports and it just
• 7:13
  allows sports betters another money making opportunity, you
• 7:16
  know, to to get into contest. And again, there are a lot of
• 7:19
  betters who love contest there a lot of betters who aren't big in
• 7:21
  the contest. They like the game matchups.
• 7:23
  But either way, it's football season.
• 7:26
  We're going to bet on NFL. We're going to bet on college
• 7:28
  football. Here's an opportunity for you
• 7:29
  guys to join a couple contest. NFL survivor and college
• 7:33
  football. Pick them.
• 7:34
  And again, if you go to my Twitter at Josh under Score
• 7:38
  Insights, you'll get the links, you'll get all of the
• 7:40
  information, the details, the rules, but it's pretty
• 7:43
  straightforward. Again, up to five entries for
• 7:45
  both $25 entry, entry fee. And you could, you could make
• 7:49
  some good money here. And again, it's not circa, but
• 7:52
  circa is $1000 to enter. This is 25 bucks.
• 7:55
  So really catering to, you know, just just regular betters like
• 8:00
  or I guess wise guys or people who want to become wise guys.
• 8:04
  So I'm really looking forward to this and I invite you all to
• 8:06
  join. And if you do have any questions
• 8:08
  about it, you can always shoot me a direct message on Twitter
• 8:10
  at Josh under score insights. So again, meet splash sports,
• 8:15
  join the contest, and I hope hope one or many of you are able
• 8:19
  to win some money. Now that being said, let's get
• 8:22
  back to what we doing, what we love to do, which is betting on
• 8:25
  sports breaking down games from a data-driven sharp contrain
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  perspective. So without further ado, 3 pack
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  and MLB, let's try to go 2 and 1 eke out a winning day.
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  So first one on the board for me.
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  I want to go to a relatively early match up. 6:45 PM Eastern
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  Time, Seattle Mariners visiting the Philadelphia Phillies now
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  setting the stage for this one. The Phills are 72 and 53.
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  They took last night's interleague series opener 12 to
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  seven, came through as a -115 home favorite pitching match up
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  for tonight. In the rematch, we got the
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  Mariners who are 68 and 58 going with the righty Bryce Miller.
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  He's 2 and 55.75.73 ERA fills meanwhile are going to go with
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  the lefty Christopher Sanchez. He's 11 and four with a 2.45
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  ERA. So what are you sitting across
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  the market here? Well, I hope you read the sharp
• 9:13
  report for visa.com that are right.
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  Or maybe you follow the all systems go best bet picks from
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  the Juice Real app for $4.99 a week.
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  But this game opened Philly -165 at home Seattle around a + 140
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  Rd. dog. And at the time I jumped on the
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  Phillies because they got steamed up -165 all the way up
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  to -185 So I'm like man, 20 cent steam move, let's go.
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  Then I as I'm writing the sharp report, Philly gets steamed up
• 9:41
  all the way to -200 some shops -2 O 5 even -210 So you got to
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  look at it one of two ways. 1 the price is getting more
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  expensive, but #2 it's getting more expensive for a reason
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  because wise guys continue to bet Philadelphia.
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  So I'm on the Phillies here again.
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  I got a -184 if you want to ride with me now around -200 -, 205
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  But if you look at the splits at Circo, they look really good on
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  the Phillies. 71% of money line bets, 99% of money line dollars.
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  Just a huge low bets, higher dollar split in favor of the
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  Phills at home. Now we get to our system
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  matches, interleague home favorites in the second game of
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  a series after winning the first game.
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  They're 45 and 2465 percent, 7% ROI this year.
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  The Phillies, by the way, 42 and 15, a 74% win rate, 15% ROI when
• 10:32
  they're a favorite, getting line movement in their directions
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  when they're expected to win and the markets moving them and
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  become more of a favorite. They are.
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  They're even better. Now Philly would have that
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  interleague favorite value, lack of familiarity typically
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  benefits quote UN quote the better team.
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  And then also Phillies in the spot will be a correlative
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  betting favorite low total. So we have in the situation a -,
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  200 favorite now with a low total of 8 fair amount of
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  expected runs scored more likely to come from again, quote UN
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  quote that better team. Now I want to back Sanchez.
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  If you've never seen this guy pitch, he is a very tall, wiry
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  guy, but he's throwing the ball great this year, especially in
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  the month of August, he has a 1.8 O ERA and three August
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  starts. He's given up 1 earned run or
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  less and eight of his last ten starts.
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  He's 5 and O with a 2.33 ERA at home.
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  And meanwhile he'll be going up against Bryce Miller and Bryce
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  Miller, number one he's getting, he just got activated off the
• 11:26
  injured list. He hasn't started since June
• 11:27
  6th. Hopefully he'll be rusty, but
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  also on the road this year he's only one and three with a 6.38
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  ERA. Phillies, meanwhile, really good
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  home team, 38 and 21 Mariners 31 and 33 on the road and Phillies
• 11:41
  just got an influx to their lineup.
• 11:42
  They just got Alec Boneback, who I think went yard last night,
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  but in the spot guys, big steam toward Philly.
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  Maybe you read the sharp report or jumped on Philly with the
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  Juice Reel. All systems go.
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  Best bet. That was posted earlier today.
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  I got Philly -184 again, if you're playing it with me now,
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  you're looking at around -200 -, 2 O 5 at FanDuel.
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  And oh, by the way, Robo Jackson, our friend, the hardest
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  work and Botta Juice Reel, he has this as a best bet.
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  So that's good too, that he's also in the Phillies.
• 12:13
  Next game up, 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the Baltimore
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  Orioles visiting the Boston Red Sox.
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  Now the Orioles who are 58 and 67 on the year, they took last
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  night's series opener six to three, came through as a plus
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  one O 5 row dog. For tonight's matchup, the
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  Orioles are going to go with the ready Tomo Yuki Sugano.
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  He's 10 and five, 4.13 ERA. Meanwhile, the Sox who are 68
• 12:37
  and 58, they're going to go with the fellow ready Walker Bueller.
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  He's seven and seven with a 5.43 ERA.
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  So what are you sitting across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened. Red Sox listed around 8 -, 125
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  -, 130 Home favorite Baltimore round A + 110 Rd. dog when you
• 12:53
  see nothing but steam in favor of the Red Sox.
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  Red Sox have now gotten steamed up to around -140 -, 145.
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  I jumped on the Red Sox -140 at Caesars.
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  So that was good to see. And again, get trying to get the
• 13:09
  best price as always. But if you look at the splits,
• 13:11
  aside from the move on the Red Sox, Red Sox are getting 64% of
• 13:14
  money line bets, 77% of money line dollars.
• 13:19
  At Circa, they are getting 56% of bets, 98% of money line
• 13:24
  dollars. So both DraftKings and Circa
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  showing a really good low bets, higher dollar split in favor of
• 13:29
  the Red Sox. Red Sox by the way, are 16 and
• 13:32
  576 percent, 2527% ROI at home since July 1st.
• 13:38
  That makes them the second best home team in baseball since that
• 13:42
  time frame. Red Sox also hopefully we'll get
• 13:45
  to Sugano tonight because their bats couldn't really do anything
• 13:47
  against Rodgers last night. But the Red Sox do have the
• 13:50
  better offense overall, hitting two 53629 runs scored.
• 13:54
  Baltimore hitting two 41543 runs scored.
• 13:58
  Red Sox are also hitting 262 at Fenway.
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  That's the 6th best home batting average in baseball.
• 14:04
  Orioles meanwhile only hitting 229 on the road.
• 14:07
  That ranks 27th. Now I know Walker Bueller, to me
• 14:10
  as a Red Sox fan, he's kind of in a disappointment.
• 14:12
  Again, CRA is basically 5 1/2, but he has pitched a little bit
• 14:16
  better recently. He's given up 3 earned runs or
• 14:19
  less than six of his last seven starts.
• 14:21
  And at home he's three and two with a 4.35 ERA on the road,
• 14:25
  four and five with a 6.46 ERA. So hopefully being at home is a
• 14:30
  benefit to Bueller tonight. Red Sox do have the better
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  bullpen. They have a team ERA of 3.5 O.
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  That's the third best in baseball.
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  Baltimore has an ERA of 4.721 of the worst in baseball.
• 14:41
  And then just classic home Rd. splits.
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  Orioles 28 and 37 on the road. Red Sox 41 and 24 at home.
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  So we got some movement toward the Red Sox in a bounce back
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  spot after losing last night. Really good bat splits,
• 14:53
  especially at Circa. I'm back.
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  I'm back in the Sox at Fenway, where they've been very, very
• 14:58
  good all year and especially last couple months.
• 15:00
  I got the Red Sox -140 at Caesar's again.
• 15:03
  Shop around. You have some books as high as
• 15:05
  -145 last bite of the night. Anyone want to stay up late with
• 15:10
  me? I believe this game is on MLB
• 15:12
  Network if you want to watch it. But let's look at the Cleveland
• 15:14
  Guardians visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40 PM Eastern
• 15:18
  Time. First pitch now going into it,
• 15:21
  The Guardians are 64 and 60 on the year.
• 15:23
  They won last night's interleague series opener. 3 to
• 15:26
  one came through as a + 100 row dog.
• 15:29
  For tonight's rematch, the Guardians are going to go with
• 15:30
  the ready Tanner Bybee nine and nine 4.54 ERA.
• 15:34
  Meanwhile, the snakes who are 60 and 66, they're sending out the
• 15:38
  lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, five and seven 5.4 O ERA.
• 15:42
  So what are you sitting across the market for this interleague
• 15:44
  matchup? Well, the snakes open this one
• 15:47
  around a -, 115 home favorite Cleveland around A+.
• 15:50
  Sorry, a -, 1 O five row dog. And what's normal to me is that
• 15:54
  and really this is the big part of the cap for me.
• 15:57
  The public is on Cleveland. They have the better record.
• 16:00
  They're above 500, Arizona's below 500 and they won last
• 16:03
  night. And yet they're a dog here.
• 16:06
  So public says take the trendy dog.
• 16:08
  The wrong team is favored. However, even though you're
• 16:11
  getting nearly 60% of money line tickets on Cleveland, this line
• 16:15
  hasn't fallen back down toward a pick em.
• 16:17
  It's actually gone further up toward Arizona.
• 16:19
  Arizona has gone from -115 up to around -125.
• 16:24
  I jumped on the D backs at -118 at FanDuel, so you might be able
• 16:29
  to still get that number at this point, but a lot of books are up
• 16:31
  to -125. But aside from a fade the trendy
• 16:35
  dog reverse line move on the snakes, we've got a lot of
• 16:37
  systems on Arizona short home favorites -140 or less with a
• 16:42
  sub 500 record playing an opponent with an above 500
• 16:45
  record. So kind of the buy low, sell
• 16:47
  high fishy play. That system is 52 and 3957
• 16:51
  percent, 4% ROI this year, sweet spot home favorites -125 to -140
• 16:57
  playing an opponent who made the playoffs the previous year.
• 16:59
  Again, another kind of buy low system that is 62 and 41 this
• 17:03
  season, 60 percent, 6% ROI. Snakes would have that
• 17:08
  interleague favorite value. So lack of familiarity
• 17:10
  benefiting, quote UN quote. The team that's expected to win
• 17:13
  and they do have the better offense.
• 17:14
  Now I know they traded Naylor and Eugenio Suarez, but on the
• 17:18
  year they're hitting two 5000 and 76 home runs, 619 runs
• 17:23
  scored. Cleveland, meanwhile, hitting
• 17:24
  two 27131 homers, 491 runs scored.
• 17:28
  And believe it or not, I want to back Rodriguez over Bybee.
• 17:32
  Bybee in his three August starts, ERA of 5.74, he's given
• 17:36
  up ten runs and 15.2 innings pitched.
• 17:39
  And at home he's been good 3.19 ERA on the road 5.59.
• 17:44
  Meanwhile, E Rod used to pitch for the Red Sox.
• 17:48
  Overall he's five and seven 5.4 O ERA.
• 17:50
  But he has pitched better the month of August, 4.15 ERA and
• 17:54
  three starts and Arizona is 3 and O in his last three starts.
• 17:58
  Lastly, we do have Cleveland going up against a lefty in the
• 18:01
  rod. They're only hitting 225 against
• 18:03
  lefties this year. That's 27th in baseball.
• 18:06
  So Publix on Cleveland, but the lines going to Arizona.
• 18:09
  I'm back in Arizona here guys, give me the snakes.
• 18:12
  I got a -, 118 at FanDuel. And shop around.
• 18:15
  Some books, most books as high as -125 So that about does it
• 18:20
  for episode 339 of the All Systems Go sports betting
• 18:24
  podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod, of
• 18:27
  course, where we wrap things up. And I start first by saying
• 18:30
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 18:31
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 18:34
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns in
• 18:37
  me each day. Again, we've been grinding
• 18:39
  through the dog days of summer, but late at the end of the
• 18:42
  tunnel is football season about to take place here?
• 18:46
  But as always, guys, if you do enjoy this pod, could you please
• 18:49
  give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 18:52
  If you'd like to click the follow button or leave a nice
• 18:54
  comment under the review section or recommend the pod to a
• 18:56
  friend, I would also very much appreciate that.
• 19:00
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 19:03
  sharp contrarian betting. Will every sharp contrarian play
• 19:06
  win? No, because betting is hard.
• 19:08
  It's unpredictable. But if we know, if we place
• 19:10
  ourself on against the the public with the house, with the
• 19:14
  pros long term, that's really the forest amongst the trees
• 19:17
  marathon, not a Sprint attitude and philosophy that we take.
• 19:21
  So if you do want to learn more about data-driven betting, maybe
• 19:24
  you've kind of learned to really focus on line movement or bat
• 19:27
  splits or system matches. You've seen some some positive
• 19:31
  results here and you're betting games that you know your old
• 19:33
  self that just bet on gut instinct and bias would never
• 19:36
  have played. Now you're cashing tickets by
• 19:38
  focusing on numbers and not your own bias.
• 19:41
  Well, if you'd like to learn more about data-driven betting,
• 19:43
  I have two books that I'd love for you to purchase.
• 19:45
  Go to Amazon.com, type in the NFL Sharp betting playbook.
• 19:49
  It's now about a week old, a little more than a week old, but
• 19:52
  we're still #1 in new releases. Please continue to send me a
• 19:55
  photo if you've purchased the book, I'll retweet it.
• 19:58
  And if you'd like to give it a five star review and a nice
• 20:00
  little little review comments, a few comments on the Amazon page.
• 20:05
  I'd very much appreciate that. I've also written a book called
• 20:08
  the The Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 20:10
  So if you're new to sports betting or you know someone
• 20:12
  who's trying to break into betting, doesn't really have a
• 20:14
  philosophy and doesn't even know how the game is played, that
• 20:17
  book is really great for for new betters and even kind of quote
• 20:20
  UN quote intermediate betters as well.
• 20:22
  So buy a copy of the NFL Sharp betting playbook, buy a copy of
• 20:26
  the everything guide to sports betting.
• 20:27
  And you know what you should do? You should bring them a sports
• 20:29
  book. I'll sign them for you.
• 20:30
  I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some
• 20:33
  baseball games together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 20:37
  and Juice Reel yet? Well, if you haven't, now is the
• 20:39
  time. Rhythm fantastic for their AI
• 20:43
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 20:45
  Of course we do have MLB and WNBA live right now, but we do
• 20:49
  have college football live in the Rhythm app.
• 20:51
  So you can check out what Rhythm has to say for Iowa State, K
• 20:55
  State or Stanford, Hawaii. And we will have of course NFL
• 20:58
  Week 1 popping up shortly and then Juice Reel.
• 21:01
  Juice Reel is a great app for a variety of reasons.
• 21:04
  I like it for a couple things. One is getting the dollar and
• 21:09
  bets breakdowns for everyone who has synced up their sports books
• 21:12
  and place bets. You can get the sharp mush
• 21:14
  indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 21:16
  the best line futures, the Robo Jackson AI driven best bet picks
• 21:20
  each day, but also bearing the lead here a bit if you want to
• 21:23
  support Rhythm or sorry, if you want to support both Juice Reel
• 21:28
  and myself. If I can be a little selfish
• 21:29
  here, this pod is free. If you would like to sign up to
• 21:32
  get the official all systems go best bet picks on the Juice Reel
• 21:36
  page for $4.99 a week, you will get for example, today you would
• 21:40
  have gotten Philly -184 instead of -200 So again, I consider it
• 21:46
  tipping your your podcast host through getting those $4.99 a
• 21:49
  week plays. So sign up for Rhythm, sign up
• 21:52
  for Juice Reel, give them a five star view in the App Store.
• 21:55
  You'll be off and running next. Do you have a live odds page?
• 21:58
  Well, if you don't, you need one.
• 22:00
  If you're day driven better. If you're just kind of a better
• 22:02
  in general, you might have a different approach to betting.
• 22:04
  That's OK too. But I would pretty much imagine
• 22:07
  you got to know where's the market moving?
• 22:09
  What are the line open at? What is it currently?
• 22:11
  How is it moved in between? Pull up the line history,
• 22:13
  identify easily. Teams get lit up in red when
• 22:16
  they're getting steamed and the market is changing.
• 22:18
  You know the Chiefs are going -2 1/2 to -3 the whole odds logic.
• 22:22
  Live odds page lights up as the market is moving and you can
• 22:25
  jump on a book that is slow to adjust.
• 22:28
  But the odds logic live odds page, to me, it's the best
• 22:30
  around. It's the best overall value in
• 22:33
  terms of the price as well. So if you haven't given a shot
• 22:35
  yet, I think now is the time to do it.
• 22:37
  It's got all sports included, all the major sports books to
• 22:40
  track including like Pinnacle and Chris and Bookmaker Circle,
• 22:43
  all the big ones that move first.
• 22:45
  But if you want to give it a shot I have a promo link for
• 22:47
  you. It gives you a 7 day free trial
• 22:49
  and 50% off your first month. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
• 22:55
  123. And of course as you mentioned
• 22:57
  the pod at the beginning, I have partnered with Splash Sports.
• 23:00
  So enter the NFL survivor contest or the college football
• 23:03
  pick em survivor contest. Are not survivor but the pick em
• 23:06
  contest. 25 bucks entry. You can win up to 11,250 bucks.
• 23:12
  You can get those links from my Twitter page at Josh under score
• 23:15
  insights, but that about does it guys for episode 339 of the ASG
• 23:19
  pod on a big Tuesday, as always, I'll leave you with two final
• 23:22
  thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
• 23:24
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 23:27
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, of
• 23:30
  course, the Nash National New Hampshire or the Encore Plainers
• 23:34
  Park casino around me. We're out in the desert where
• 23:36
  the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends his
• 23:38
  number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found at the
• 23:41
  South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
• 23:44
  stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 23:47
  circle, you're going to walk up to me, Blue Jays and Marlins.
• 23:49
  We're going to RIP those tickets up, recycle them.
• 23:52
  Don't trash them, recycle them, but at least show me a Reds
• 23:54
  ticket. Nice.
• 23:55
  Nice to see the Reds come through in Hollywood last night.
• 23:58
  So as always, guys, first ones on me, next one's on you will
• 24:01
  post about the book. So it's some sharp contrarian
• 24:03
  plays all night long. In the end, 1 and 2, two and
• 24:06
  one, three and OO and three after a good night, a bad night,
• 24:10
  a fantastic night, a terrible night.
• 24:12
  Remember, sports betting is hard losing night.
• 24:14
  Don't get down on yourself. There's a reason why betting is
• 24:16
  difficult. You got to overcome the element
• 24:18
  of unpredictability, human error, overcome these really
• 24:22
  sharp lines, beat the juice again.
• 24:24
  Anything can happen. That's why they call it
• 24:26
  gambling. So don't get down on yourself
• 24:27
  when you're struggling, but also when things are going well and
• 24:30
  you go 5 and O on Friday night or three and O Saturday, or it
• 24:33
  was actually an O and three for me on Sunday, things are going
• 24:36
  well. Don't get cocky, don't get
• 24:37
  arrogant. Don't assume it's easy and start
• 24:39
  to double and triple down. Discipline, bankroll management.
• 24:42
  Stick with it Whenever as good as we think when we're hot,
• 24:44
  whenever as bad as we think when we're cold.
• 24:46
  So to me, guys, it's all about even keeled and grinding,
• 24:49
  grinding, grinding, grinding long term so we can find games
• 24:52
  that fit our model against the public, with the house, with the
• 24:55
  pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
• 24:58
  If we can do that long term, I'm confident we're going to be
• 25:01
  successful sports bettors. So have a fantastic Tuesday
• 25:04
  night, everybody see if we can get some winners in the baseball
• 25:07
  diamond and again, go sign up for the Splash Survivor and pick
• 25:11
  em contest. And as always, guys, we'll be
• 25:13
  right back at it tomorrow for episode 340 of the All Systems
• 25:17
  Go sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 25:20
  Good luck everybody and have a fantastic Tuesday night.