Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Thursday 1/29/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on Own
- 0:06Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:20Speaker 1: seen anything like this.
- 0:22Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 2: good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Oh in four that have not had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 1: slump continues. I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to
- 0:40Speaker 1: burn my browins hack, Man, I don't know what is
- 0:43Speaker 1: going on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what
- 0:46Speaker 1: it is?
- 0:46Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
- 0:49Speaker 2: who even knows?
- 0:50Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what day it is anymore. But
- 0:53Speaker 1: I don't even know what day it is anymore.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
- 0:58Speaker 2: can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:07Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:11Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 2: To the slump days, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 2: other than potentially.
- 1:27Speaker 1: End it all.
- 1:32Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you, Toadstool Sports.
- 1:38Speaker 2: It is Thursday, January twenty ninth. We had a winning
- 1:42Speaker 2: day on the show. Yesterday was a bit all over
- 1:45Speaker 2: the place. Four and three I think was the tally
- 1:50Speaker 2: on yesterday. It was a slight win. Could have been
- 1:53Speaker 2: better than that. I guess it could have been worse too,
- 1:56Speaker 2: But Bellerman was the one that really kind of confused me.
- 2:00Speaker 2: I gave it out. It was five when I did
- 2:02Speaker 2: the show. I think it was dropping a little bit.
- 2:04Speaker 2: It had dropped to four and a half. I think
- 2:05Speaker 2: while I did the show, I found a four when
- 2:08Speaker 2: I put it in. Right as the show ended, that
- 2:11Speaker 2: line dropped to two and a half and then they
- 2:13Speaker 2: won by three. So I'm not happy about that, obviously,
- 2:16Speaker 2: because if you got the closing number, you would have
- 2:19Speaker 2: actually won on them.
- 2:21Speaker 1: They had the win and non cover at all.
- 2:24Speaker 2: The bigger numbers, and I thought that the number at
- 2:26Speaker 2: like four even five was actually a little bit short
- 2:29Speaker 2: in my opinion.
- 2:30Speaker 1: I don't know why or how that number dropped as
- 2:33Speaker 1: much as it did. I don't know if there was
- 2:34Speaker 1: an injury going on or what was going on there.
- 2:37Speaker 1: So I don't know.
- 2:38Speaker 2: I apologize for that one. I'm just playing the situations there.
- 2:42Speaker 2: IOWA never really in position to cover that one. They
- 2:45Speaker 2: won by one, but they could never really get close
- 2:49Speaker 2: to covering that number, so that was bad. Fordham did
- 2:53Speaker 2: get the win, although I think they only won by
- 2:55Speaker 2: about six, but they did win and cover Seaton Hall.
- 2:59Speaker 2: They got the cover despite being an ugly slope based team,
- 3:04Speaker 2: good defense for seat in Hall. Yesterday, they actually scored
- 3:07Speaker 2: more than I think they usually do. I think they
- 3:09Speaker 2: got into the eighties in the game yesterday, so they
- 3:12Speaker 2: were able to win and cover Pacific to finish off
- 3:16Speaker 2: the college slate. It was no sweat at all, easy
- 3:19Speaker 2: blowout win for Pacific at the end of the night there,
- 3:24Speaker 2: and that was what determined the winning day really. But
- 3:26Speaker 2: I wasn't really concerned about that one, Like, I don't know,
- 3:29Speaker 2: I just thought I thought that was gonna.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Be one of the easier winners of the day.
- 3:33Speaker 2: One thing I forgot to mention is that the West
- 3:34Speaker 2: Coast Conference. I mean I've mentioned it on the show before,
- 3:39Speaker 2: but they have the highest rate of home teams covering
- 3:42Speaker 2: in any conference this season. I think Conference to USA
- 3:45Speaker 2: is second, but WCC number one home team cover rate.
- 3:50Speaker 2: And that was another example of it. I think yesterday
- 3:53Speaker 2: the WCC it was like fifty to fifty though, between
- 3:56Speaker 2: home and road teams covering, But that was really really easy.
- 4:01Speaker 2: Then the hockey game, we did not get Philadelphia Flyers.
- 4:05Speaker 2: They got outplayed in the game, but they erased a
- 4:08Speaker 2: three to one deficit, and they decided to just tease
- 4:11Speaker 2: everybody by tying the game with like I think maybe
- 4:14Speaker 2: two minutes left in the game. They tied it in regulation,
- 4:17Speaker 2: and then they give up a goal anyway, like right
- 4:19Speaker 2: after that, and then they lost anyway, and they gave
- 4:22Speaker 2: up an empty netter at the end as well. But
- 4:24Speaker 2: that was a three to three game with two minutes
- 4:26Speaker 2: left in regulation, and you're sitting with the underdog there.
- 4:30Speaker 2: That's not the worst situation to be in. But of course, yeah,
- 4:33Speaker 2: they had to just make it look like they were
- 4:35Speaker 2: gonna actually make the comeback and do it, and then
- 4:38Speaker 2: they fall short.
- 4:38Speaker 1: Anyway, I hate when that happens.
- 4:40Speaker 2: And then Orlando Magic win by double digits in the end,
- 4:45Speaker 2: so they had a good second half. They were winning
- 4:47Speaker 2: the game outright. Early that game flip flopped a lot.
- 4:49Speaker 2: It was like Orlando was up double digits, then Miami
- 4:52Speaker 2: was up double digits in the middle of the game.
- 4:55Speaker 2: Then Orlando we took the lead, then it was close,
- 4:58Speaker 2: and then Orlando push their lead again and then want
- 5:02Speaker 2: I'm kind of running away with it in the end.
- 5:04Speaker 1: That was kind of a weird game. And that was
- 5:06Speaker 1: the day yesterday.
- 5:08Speaker 2: Today, like I said, we have a garbage college basketball board.
- 5:13Speaker 1: I only have one college basketball play.
- 5:15Speaker 2: And it's not because I'm specifically avoiding these small conferences. Really,
- 5:18Speaker 2: It's just that I don't really see many angles that
- 5:22Speaker 2: I really like, so I'm being super selective. I got
- 5:24Speaker 2: one college basketball play. I think literally every hockey team
- 5:28Speaker 2: is playing today. I only have one hockey play and
- 5:31Speaker 2: I'm skipping the NBA again, So NBA. I don't know, man,
- 5:34Speaker 2: It's just some of these days I just don't see
- 5:36Speaker 2: anything that I like. So that's what I'm doing or
- 5:39Speaker 2: not doing. Tyson what's up man? Yes, yeah, totally, totally.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Who all right, Yes that's me. What's up man?
- 5:49Speaker 1: All right?
- 5:49Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Let's dive into college basketball here.
- 5:52Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to talk about you know, I talk
- 5:55Speaker 2: as you know, I talk about the TV games. We'll
- 5:57Speaker 2: talk about the big conference games. If I thought that
- 6:00Speaker 2: there was maybe some angle to maybe pay attention to,
- 6:04Speaker 2: I might mention another game.
- 6:06Speaker 1: Hopefully this show won't be that long today.
- 6:08Speaker 2: But Thursday is known for these small conferences playing college basketball,
- 6:12Speaker 2: and yes, sometimes you can find value in those conferences.
- 6:15Speaker 2: But I'm looking for situations and I only see one,
- 6:18Speaker 2: and it is in one of the big conference games.
- 6:20Speaker 1: So you probably already know what it is. There is
- 6:24Speaker 1: a game at five.
- 6:25Speaker 2: Pm Eastern in the Soacon on CBS Sports, so people
- 6:28Speaker 2: get to watch this.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Samford at Firman. It's not a horrible game.
- 6:33Speaker 2: I mean, these teams are competitive teams in the conference.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Samford not as good this year as the recent last
- 6:40Speaker 2: couple of years. Now, Samford did just break a four
- 6:43Speaker 2: game losing streak with a win, a revenge win against Chattanooga.
- 6:49Speaker 1: So what that will do is I think that will give.
- 6:50Speaker 2: Them some momentum going forward into this game, when you
- 6:54Speaker 2: break a losing streak, it usually gives.
- 6:56Speaker 1: You positive momentum.
- 6:58Speaker 2: And they're playing a firm and team that actually just
- 7:00Speaker 2: beat them in Samford, So we have an avenging road
- 7:04Speaker 2: underdog angle in conference here as well. So obviously I'm
- 7:08Speaker 2: gonna wind up leaning towards Samford in this game. Furman
- 7:13Speaker 2: is up near the top of the conference, like they
- 7:15Speaker 2: have a shot, like they're probably gonna get one of
- 7:18Speaker 2: the top couple of seeds in the conference tournament. When
- 7:20Speaker 2: all was said and done, Furman did just break a
- 7:23Speaker 2: losing streak as well that they have one really ugly
- 7:26Speaker 2: loss to Citadel in there. I think they were probably
- 7:28Speaker 2: hung over after a close, tough game against Wafford is
- 7:31Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the conference as well.
- 7:34Speaker 2: Furman bounced back they beat UNC Greensboro team is not
- 7:37Speaker 2: that good. Now they play Samford. Unfortunately, Furman does not
- 7:40Speaker 2: have East Tennessee State up next, they have Chattanooga in
- 7:45Speaker 2: between the two, because then it would be a look
- 7:46Speaker 2: ahead as well, and then I'd be even more like
- 7:51Speaker 2: I'd be strongly considering Samford in that one. If that
- 7:54Speaker 2: was the case, I still agree with Samford in this
- 7:56Speaker 2: one though, if you want to play it, that is
- 7:59Speaker 2: the way the is leaning as well.
- 8:01Speaker 1: I agree. Furman is down from seven and a.
- 8:03Speaker 2: Half to seven eighty eight percent of the tickets and
- 8:06Speaker 2: seventy six percent of the cash, So Furhman is public
- 8:09Speaker 2: with less of the money on them. So I would
- 8:11Speaker 2: lean Samford in that one. Mister Penzy, what's up? Thanks
- 8:15Speaker 2: for hanging out? Sixteen and five? That sounds very high volume.
- 8:20Speaker 1: Uh.
- 8:20Speaker 2: Sometimes I think I'm too high volume. I think having
- 8:22Speaker 2: seven plays I think was too high volume.
- 8:25Speaker 1: But good.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Garrett, you're hitting the props nice Ucla and then you
- 8:31Speaker 2: had under in the Bulls game. I think I did
- 8:34Speaker 2: I disagree with Ucla. I think I might have. I
- 8:37Speaker 2: don't know, I don't remember. Oh yeah, I think I did.
- 8:39Speaker 2: I think I leaned towards Oregon in that game.
- 8:41Speaker 1: I didn't.
- 8:41Speaker 2: I didn't want to go against I don't know one
- 8:44Speaker 2: of those avenging conference teams there revenge mode a conference
- 8:49Speaker 2: revenging underdog in that case with Oregon. There Oregon sucks
- 8:54Speaker 2: though they are so bad. But you know that a
- 8:59Speaker 2: team sucking is not enough for me to fade them,
- 9:01Speaker 2: you know what I mean? Because that's factoring into the line.
- 9:05Speaker 2: All right, we do have Bryant and Binghamton. I looked
- 9:10Speaker 2: at this game because Bryant was coming off of lost
- 9:15Speaker 2: by ten to Vermont. But Vermont, I mean, you're always
- 9:18Speaker 2: gonna get up for a game against Vermont in the
- 9:20Speaker 2: American East. In that game was I believe, somewhat close
- 9:23Speaker 2: down the stretch. So Bryant is coming off a pretty
- 9:25Speaker 2: big game against Vermont. Now they're having to go on
- 9:28Speaker 2: the road and play this lowly Binghamton team that still
- 9:31Speaker 2: doesn't have a win in conference. Which, again, when teams
- 9:34Speaker 2: are winless in conference, I think more often than night
- 9:36Speaker 2: you're gonna see effort out of them at the very least,
- 9:38Speaker 2: even though they're a bad team. Binghamton is back home
- 9:42Speaker 2: after a couple of road losses. They've had a lot
- 9:44Speaker 2: of road conference games so far. Back at home, maybe
- 9:48Speaker 2: they'll be able to do something here. They've had a
- 9:50Speaker 2: couple of close calls at home. Maybe they could finally
- 9:53Speaker 2: get a win in this one man Bryant. Even though
- 9:55Speaker 2: they won the conference last year, they're not very good
- 9:57Speaker 2: this year. And Bryant is a one and a half
- 10:00Speaker 2: point favor here. They actually went up from a pick
- 10:02Speaker 2: them to one and a half. But I would probably
- 10:05Speaker 2: lean towards Binghamton in.
- 10:06Speaker 1: This one, like nobody, Nobody's gonna want Binghamton, and I
- 10:09Speaker 1: mean for good reason. They're terrible.
- 10:10Speaker 2: But I think getting a couple of points maybe at
- 10:13Speaker 2: home in a spot like that, I don't know, that's
- 10:16Speaker 2: the way I would lean. But really really tough to
- 10:19Speaker 2: want to really put your money on something like that,
- 10:21Speaker 2: which obviously I would not recommend, but if I was
- 10:24Speaker 2: forced to play the game, that's.
- 10:26Speaker 1: What I would do. It's something that just caught my eye.
- 10:28Speaker 2: So I'm just taking you through, you know, my thought
- 10:30Speaker 2: process when I went through these things.
- 10:32Speaker 1: This morning, Wafford is playing at Chattanooga.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Wafford in second place in the SoCon right now, and
- 10:41Speaker 2: they got East Tennessee on deck man and they're coming
- 10:44Speaker 2: up a game against Mercer where they just won.
- 10:46Speaker 1: So this game, I mean, it looks like Wawford is
- 10:50Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot.
- 10:51Speaker 2: I mean, Mercer is one of the better teams in
- 10:52Speaker 2: this conference as well, the only team ahead of them
- 10:55Speaker 2: in conference. East Tennessee is their next opponent. It looks
- 10:58Speaker 2: like a sandwich. The one issue I might have with this, though,
- 11:01Speaker 2: is that Wafford actually lost at home to Chattanooga, and
- 11:05Speaker 2: that's who they're playing now, and maybe they were hungover
- 11:07Speaker 2: coming into that game because they played a crazy high
- 11:10Speaker 2: scoring game at Mercer the game before then. Mercer just
- 11:13Speaker 2: runs up and down the floor, they go fast, So
- 11:16Speaker 2: maybe there was a reason why Wafford did not win
- 11:18Speaker 2: that game against Chattanooga. So that's kind of my one
- 11:21Speaker 2: hesitation here, Like I like Chattanooga with the fact that
- 11:24Speaker 2: this looks like a pretty major sandwich spot for Wafford,
- 11:27Speaker 2: but again, Wafford might still show up because Chattanooga is
- 11:30Speaker 2: one of the only teams in conference that beat them
- 11:34Speaker 2: this year, so there is a little bit of a
- 11:36Speaker 2: revenge aspect to this. Chattanooga gonna be looking for a
- 11:40Speaker 2: win the other back home after they had a really
- 11:42Speaker 2: close loss last time they were at home against East Tennessee.
- 11:45Speaker 2: They've actually been a decent home team. They've played a
- 11:48Speaker 2: lot of road conference games as well. They might played
- 11:50Speaker 2: three conference home games and they had an eleven point
- 11:54Speaker 2: loss to Firm and a win over Samford and a
- 11:56Speaker 2: one point lost to East Tennessee. So Chattanooga has been
- 12:00Speaker 2: decent at home.
- 12:01Speaker 1: To say the least.
- 12:03Speaker 2: So I do lean to Chattanooga in that game, but Wafford.
- 12:07Speaker 2: It worries me that Wafford might actually have a reason
- 12:10Speaker 2: to show up because they're actually gonna be a revenging
- 12:13Speaker 2: road on an avenging road undertog whatever you want to
- 12:15Speaker 2: call it in this spot. So I'm staying away. Chattanooga
- 12:19Speaker 2: is getting the money though, for what it's worth, up
- 12:21Speaker 2: from pick them to one and a half sixty percent
- 12:23Speaker 2: of the tickets and eighty two percent of the cash
- 12:25Speaker 2: on them. SOB, what's up man? Rangers Flyers you're talking
- 12:31Speaker 2: about today? I liked the Rangers and Flyers yesterday. I
- 12:35Speaker 2: do not like the Rangers today or wait, no, no, no, wait,
- 12:39Speaker 2: I'm wrong.
- 12:40Speaker 1: I'm wrong.
- 12:40Speaker 2: I like the Rangers yesterday if they didn't win, right, So, yes,
- 12:43Speaker 2: I agree with you. I like the Rangers again today.
- 12:45Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play it though. When will I ever
- 12:48Speaker 2: want the Range?
- 12:48Speaker 1: Like? Will I ever give out a play on the
- 12:50Speaker 1: Rangers at home? Probably? Not? But yes, I think I
- 12:53Speaker 1: agree with you on that Flyers. I don't know about that.
- 12:58Speaker 1: I don't know. I forget what I thought about any
- 13:00Speaker 1: of those games.
- 13:01Speaker 2: None of those are I have won hockey play and
- 13:04Speaker 2: it's not any of those Okay, let me see what.
- 13:09Speaker 1: Else is I going to talk about here? All right?
- 13:12Speaker 2: We have Colorado at Iowa State, one of the rare
- 13:15Speaker 2: Big Conference games on a Thursday. Here we get this
- 13:17Speaker 2: Big twelve matchup that's pretty much a mismatch because Colorado
- 13:21Speaker 2: is not very good. Iowa State is very good, ranked
- 13:25Speaker 2: eighth in the country, but really they're better than that.
- 13:27Speaker 2: I think ken Bum has them at fifth right now.
- 13:29Speaker 2: Iowa State definitely legit, especially on the defensive side.
- 13:33Speaker 1: This game is on Fox Sports One.
- 13:36Speaker 2: Colorado has lost four games in a row I think,
- 13:38Speaker 2: actually no five games in a row.
- 13:40Speaker 1: Now.
- 13:40Speaker 2: They just lost at home to UCF, but they were
- 13:44Speaker 2: kind of in a sandwich spot there. I mean, they
- 13:45Speaker 2: played Kansas pretty tough the game before that, and they
- 13:48Speaker 2: had this Iowa State game on deck, so I think
- 13:51Speaker 2: they got caught sandwich spot there, even though UCF playing
- 13:54Speaker 2: a high elevation was kind of weird, but UCF took
- 13:58Speaker 2: advantage of that spot. Colorado might show up with more
- 14:02Speaker 2: effort in this one against Iowa State.
- 14:03Speaker 1: Iowa State might just look past them.
- 14:06Speaker 2: So Iowa State, I mean, you're gonna have to They're
- 14:08Speaker 2: gonna have to cover a huge number here to win
- 14:13Speaker 2: these spread bets, which maybe is a bit too much
- 14:16Speaker 2: of an ask in a spot like this. But Iowa State,
- 14:19Speaker 2: I mean, their last game that just beat Oklahoma State.
- 14:21Speaker 2: It was on the road, it was a decent win.
- 14:23Speaker 1: It was a.
- 14:25Speaker 2: Win against an Oklahoma State team that actually covered against
- 14:28Speaker 2: them in ames Iowa earlier on the season, so maybe
- 14:31Speaker 2: Iowa State did take them seriously.
- 14:33Speaker 1: They do have Kansas State.
- 14:34Speaker 2: Up next, which a lot of times would be a
- 14:36Speaker 2: big game, but this year not really because they haven't
- 14:39Speaker 2: been that good. So Iowa State's not exactly in a
- 14:42Speaker 2: bad spot. I think, you know, maybe it comes down
- 14:46Speaker 2: to line value in Iowa State's probably laying too many
- 14:49Speaker 2: points here.
- 14:50Speaker 1: They're laying seventeen and a half.
- 14:52Speaker 2: It is expected to be a somewhat high scoring game
- 14:55Speaker 2: in the one fifties.
- 14:56Speaker 1: But the money looks like it is on.
- 14:57Speaker 2: The Colorado side, sixty five percent of the ticket, ninety
- 15:00Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on them. I'll agree, but
- 15:04Speaker 2: I don't see anything that I really like in the
- 15:05Speaker 2: spot as far as fading Iowa State, Like, it doesn't
- 15:09Speaker 2: look like that bad of a spot for them, So
- 15:12Speaker 2: definitely staying away from that one. Radford is at Charleston
- 15:16Speaker 2: Southern Radford is coming up their two biggest games of
- 15:18Speaker 2: the season. Man, they played Winthrop to within one on
- 15:21Speaker 2: the road, and then they played High Point pretty respectably,
- 15:24Speaker 2: losing by ten at home. And those are the two
- 15:27Speaker 2: best teams in this conference easily, So Radford is coming
- 15:30Speaker 2: up playing both of those teams. Now they gonna go
- 15:33Speaker 2: to Charleston Southern, and I think these teams have not
- 15:35Speaker 2: played yet this season, and they got Presbyterian up next
- 15:38Speaker 2: to Presbyterian is actually the next team in the standings.
- 15:42Speaker 1: Right behind them.
- 15:43Speaker 2: So this you could make the argument that maybe this
- 15:47Speaker 2: is a little bit of a sandwich here. Charleston Southern
- 15:49Speaker 2: had a good out of conference schedule or which gave
- 15:52Speaker 2: them a good looking record, but they're not really that good.
- 15:55Speaker 2: They've been really struggling in conference. But maybe they'll show
- 15:58Speaker 2: up for a game. Finally, they only have two conference
- 16:02Speaker 2: wins and they have not had one of the last
- 16:03Speaker 2: five tries. Although they also did play Winthrow Van High
- 16:07Speaker 2: Point in there, and they actually played both of them
- 16:09Speaker 2: even closer than Radford did. So actually all these games
- 16:13Speaker 2: have been close for Charleston Southern, losing by no more
- 16:16Speaker 2: than five points to any of these teams that they've
- 16:19Speaker 2: played so far in.
- 16:19Speaker 1: The conference, so maybe they will show up.
- 16:23Speaker 2: They're probably a little bit more competitive in this conference
- 16:26Speaker 2: than the record makes it look like right now. Radford
- 16:28Speaker 2: coming off a couple of big games, I would probably
- 16:31Speaker 2: have to lean Charleston Southern in this one. They did
- 16:35Speaker 2: drop from three to two though, so the money looks
- 16:37Speaker 2: like at least the initial move came in against Charleston Southern,
- 16:41Speaker 2: but I disagree with that move.
- 16:43Speaker 1: I would lean towards Charleston Southern.
- 16:45Speaker 2: It also looks a little bit weird that Charleston Southern
- 16:47Speaker 2: is favored right Like, people are gonna see these records
- 16:49Speaker 2: and well, Radford as the better conference record at the
- 16:52Speaker 2: very least, So why is Charleston Southern favored right? Well,
- 16:55Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are telling you that there isn't that much
- 16:57Speaker 2: of a gap between these two teams. So those are
- 17:01Speaker 2: my thoughts on that one. New Haven and mercy Hurst
- 17:05Speaker 2: is a weird situation where these two teams just played.
- 17:08Speaker 2: So for new Haven that was their last game they
- 17:10Speaker 2: just played, and Mercyhurst beat them in new Haven and
- 17:13Speaker 2: ended a win streak for them. And a lot of
- 17:15Speaker 2: times I will say that when you lose a win
- 17:17Speaker 2: streak it might hang you over, but in this case,
- 17:19Speaker 2: it was only a three game win streak, so I
- 17:21Speaker 2: don't really think that's the case. And New Haven was
- 17:24Speaker 2: supposed to play Saint Francis, but that game got postponed
- 17:27Speaker 2: because of the weather. So New Haven is turning right
- 17:30Speaker 2: around and playing Mercyhurst again, and I think, I don't know, Well,
- 17:34Speaker 2: those games are supposed to be well, that last game
- 17:36Speaker 2: was at home, and then that next game is supposed
- 17:38Speaker 2: to be at home, so I guess, yeah, they're flying
- 17:40Speaker 2: out to Pennsylvania now to play Mercyhurst, but they're facing
- 17:43Speaker 2: the team they just played. So there is the possibility
- 17:46Speaker 2: that New Even's going to make some adjustments off of
- 17:48Speaker 2: what happened in this game. If you look at what
- 17:51Speaker 2: happened in this game, New Haven actually won the rebound battle.
- 17:54Speaker 2: In the game, they had way more free throws, but
- 17:56Speaker 2: they also had a bad shooting game. They're pretty much
- 17:59Speaker 2: missing all their three although these two teams.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Don't really take that many threes.
- 18:02Speaker 2: But New Haven really I think they kind of lost
- 18:05Speaker 2: the game on losing the turnover battle man. So there
- 18:09Speaker 2: were definitely some aspects of that game. And tell you
- 18:11Speaker 2: the New Haven actually kind of outplayed Mercyhurst in that game.
- 18:14Speaker 1: So now that that.
- 18:15Speaker 2: Was literally their most recent game, they've had a little
- 18:18Speaker 2: bit of a break here, so they're gonna be the
- 18:20Speaker 2: more rested team and they get to play Mercyhurst again
- 18:23Speaker 2: now as an avenging road underdog. I probably have to
- 18:26Speaker 2: lean a new Haven in this game. Mercyhurst did play
- 18:30Speaker 2: a game in between the two, although they barely got
- 18:32Speaker 2: by a very bad Chicago State team, so it's not
- 18:37Speaker 2: like I think they're gonna be unfocused or anything that's
- 18:39Speaker 2: the problem here. If that was like a much bigger game,
- 18:41Speaker 2: I might actually jump on new Haven here. But because
- 18:45Speaker 2: Mercy Ears had a close call against a horrendous Chicago
- 18:48Speaker 2: State team in their last game, I worry about it
- 18:51Speaker 2: a little bit. But yes, I leaned a new Haven
- 18:52Speaker 2: in this one. You're getting six points and the totals
- 18:55Speaker 2: really low at one two, so the points matter a
- 18:59Speaker 2: little bit more game where it's total dis low Mercier was.
- 19:02Speaker 2: Laying six seems a bit much for the team like that,
- 19:05Speaker 2: even though new Avan, you know they're not great, but
- 19:07Speaker 2: they've been decently competitive in this their first season in
- 19:11Speaker 2: Division one, so.
- 19:13Speaker 1: Props to them. I guess oh, I just thought that
- 19:16Speaker 1: game is a little bit interesting.
- 19:18Speaker 2: Lemoyne at Long Island is interesting because Long Island is
- 19:21Speaker 2: in one of these situations that I do use as
- 19:24Speaker 2: a handicapping factor where Long Island has one conference loss
- 19:28Speaker 2: and guess who that conference loss was to. Yeah, it
- 19:31Speaker 2: was to the team that they're playing right now, Lemoyne.
- 19:34Speaker 2: So you remember, like when you have one conference loss,
- 19:38Speaker 2: obviously you remember who beat you. So when you face
- 19:41Speaker 2: that team again and that was your only conference loss,
- 19:43Speaker 2: I think that is a big deal.
- 19:45Speaker 1: I think you are going to show up for it.
- 19:46Speaker 2: And it's also bigger because Lemoyne is right behind them
- 19:49Speaker 2: in the standings. But of course that means of course
- 19:51Speaker 2: Lemoyne is also going to show up again for this
- 19:53Speaker 2: game against the top team in the conference. Right now,
- 19:57Speaker 2: Long Island was supposed to be Wagner after their last
- 20:00Speaker 2: game that got postponed. So Long Island is coming off
- 20:03Speaker 2: kind of a lackluster game against stone Hill and that
- 20:06Speaker 2: was I think a hangover spot for Long Island because
- 20:08Speaker 2: they took their first conference loss that I just mentioned
- 20:11Speaker 2: to Lemoyne right before that, so I think they had
- 20:13Speaker 2: a bad game.
- 20:14Speaker 1: Was a third straight road game.
- 20:16Speaker 2: They won, but they didn't do too well against stone Hill.
- 20:19Speaker 2: Now they've had a break. Now they get their chance
- 20:22Speaker 2: at revenge against Lemoyne. Here, I could only look to
- 20:25Speaker 2: Long Island in this one man Long Island. Ever, excuse me,
- 20:28Speaker 2: Lemoyne is on a four game win streak here, so
- 20:30Speaker 2: they do come into this with momentum at least. But
- 20:32Speaker 2: second straight road game, you know, they're not gonna overlook
- 20:35Speaker 2: Long Island. But I think Long Island, I mean, they're
- 20:38Speaker 2: the better team here. They're gonna be focused in this one.
- 20:42Speaker 2: I could only lay it with Long Island here, but
- 20:44Speaker 2: the number has gone up from six to eight, so
- 20:47Speaker 2: going through that key ish number of seven there, you know,
- 20:51Speaker 2: it's a little bit unfortunate because they have to lay
- 20:53Speaker 2: a little bit more.
- 20:53Speaker 1: On that one.
- 20:54Speaker 2: But that is the way that I would lean in
- 20:55Speaker 2: that game if I was gonna do anything with it. Okay,
- 21:00Speaker 2: William and Mary at Elon is maybe the best game
- 21:03Speaker 2: of the Colonial today. William and Mary I think could
- 21:06Speaker 2: be in a tricky spot here because they just picked
- 21:09Speaker 2: off both of the top two teams in the conference
- 21:11Speaker 2: UNC Wilmington and Hofstra. Willim and Mary just beat both
- 21:15Speaker 2: of them at home. Now they're going back out on
- 21:17Speaker 2: the road and possible letdown spot here.
- 21:20Speaker 1: Man.
- 21:21Speaker 2: Even though Elon is in fifth place in the conference
- 21:23Speaker 2: right now, they're not that far behind Hastra is legit, man,
- 21:26Speaker 2: It's just their conference record doesn't look that good. But
- 21:28Speaker 2: that was a big win for William and Mary, so
- 21:31Speaker 2: I worry about it. And William and Mary has not
- 21:34Speaker 2: been particularly good on the road, man, if you look
- 21:36Speaker 2: at what they've done in the conference in conference on
- 21:39Speaker 2: the road, let me see here, they lost to Charleston,
- 21:43Speaker 2: lost to Mommouth, lost to Drexel. Drexel is awful too,
- 21:46Speaker 2: So William and Mary is zero three straight up on
- 21:49Speaker 2: the road in conference.
- 21:51Speaker 1: Not great.
- 21:52Speaker 2: And they've lost by six or more in all three
- 21:54Speaker 2: of those games, so they have not been good on
- 21:56Speaker 2: the road. They could be in a letdown spot here.
- 22:00Speaker 2: Elon coming in off of a loss to Charleston. Charleston
- 22:04Speaker 2: is a good team, though Elon. That was a big
- 22:06Speaker 2: game for Elon, So I guess that's kind of my
- 22:09Speaker 2: hesitation with Elon is that was a big game for
- 22:12Speaker 2: them against one of the better teams in the conference.
- 22:15Speaker 1: This game wasn't really that close, though, I don't believe.
- 22:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the game was kind of put away
- 22:22Speaker 2: by the end of it, by the last few minutes.
- 22:23Speaker 2: So this game, yes, I would lean to Elon in
- 22:26Speaker 2: this game. The money seems like it disagrees. I don't
- 22:29Speaker 2: really know why William and Mary up from one and
- 22:31Speaker 2: that one to one and a half fifty percent of
- 22:33Speaker 2: the tickets and sixty percent of the casual William and Mary,
- 22:36Speaker 2: But I would lean to Elon in the game. If
- 22:39Speaker 2: the public looks at this game, they're also not going
- 22:41Speaker 2: to want to play Elon. Like pick the winner price, obviously,
- 22:44Speaker 2: they're going to take the team with the better looking record,
- 22:46Speaker 2: which is.
- 22:47Speaker 1: William and Mary.
- 22:48Speaker 2: William and Mary somewhat both like the Their record is
- 22:53Speaker 2: somewhat bolstered by the fact that I think they had
- 22:55Speaker 2: a pretty easy out of conference schedule, though, so those
- 22:59Speaker 2: are my Charleston and Hofstra is another good game in
- 23:03Speaker 2: the Colonial. Two of the best teams in the conference,
- 23:06Speaker 2: even though the records might not quite make it look
- 23:08Speaker 2: that way. Charleston's overall record is ugly because they did
- 23:11Speaker 2: face a pretty strong out of conference schedule.
- 23:13Speaker 1: Charleston is coming up that win over Elon, but.
- 23:17Speaker 2: They will show up, I would assume for a game
- 23:19Speaker 2: against Hofstra, I don't think these teams have played yet
- 23:21Speaker 2: this year. This might be the only time they know
- 23:23Speaker 2: they do play again in February, so yes, this is
- 23:27Speaker 2: the first time they'll play each other. But Charleston, I
- 23:29Speaker 2: think they'll ride that momentum into this game. I think
- 23:32Speaker 2: they will show up for a game against Hofstra. Hostra
- 23:34Speaker 2: though might be a little bit under the radar, because
- 23:36Speaker 2: again I think they're better than the record looks, power
- 23:39Speaker 2: ratings wise.
- 23:40Speaker 1: I think they're still the best team in this conference.
- 23:42Speaker 2: Then they've now lost four games in a row, but
- 23:45Speaker 2: three of those games are on the road, and now
- 23:47Speaker 2: they're back at home. And if you look at Howstra's
- 23:49Speaker 2: conference schedules so far, it's been kind of ridiculous, like
- 23:54Speaker 2: they've only I think they've only had three home games
- 23:56Speaker 2: in conference so far.
- 23:57Speaker 1: They're two and one straight up.
- 23:59Speaker 2: They had a loss to Elon, but their wins were
- 24:02Speaker 2: not against great teams Monmouth and Campbell, so we'll see
- 24:06Speaker 2: what that really means. But because they're on this four
- 24:09Speaker 2: game losing streak and looking to end that skid, maybe
- 24:12Speaker 2: you're getting a little bit of value. I don't think
- 24:14Speaker 2: anybody's gonna really want to lay points with hofstraight here
- 24:17Speaker 2: because they have the worst looking records, so why would
- 24:19Speaker 2: you want to lay points?
- 24:20Speaker 1: Right? But the Osweggers are telling you Host is probably
- 24:22Speaker 1: the slightly better team here.
- 24:24Speaker 2: I think the line might actually be a little bit short.
- 24:26Speaker 2: They're up from three and a half to three and
- 24:28Speaker 2: a half with juice here, sixty seven percent of tickets,
- 24:31Speaker 2: eighty six percent of the cash on Hofstra. While those
- 24:33Speaker 2: numbers just change, but facts still remains. Hostroks like they're
- 24:37Speaker 2: actually getting the money in this case here, And I
- 24:39Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna be a game where the public
- 24:41Speaker 2: is really gonna have a huge amount of involvement. But yes,
- 24:44Speaker 2: I agree with Hofstra in that one. That's the way
- 24:46Speaker 2: I would look in that one. Okay, oh what else
- 24:51Speaker 2: we got here? I mean, if you wanted me to
- 24:54Speaker 2: talk about any of these other games, I can. I
- 24:56Speaker 2: didn't really see much going on with a lot of
- 24:58Speaker 2: these other games, though, so and you know the way
- 25:03Speaker 2: that I look at these games, So I have my
- 25:07Speaker 2: the way that I handicap these things. Stetson in North Florida.
- 25:10Speaker 2: This is a real ugly game in the a Sun,
- 25:13Speaker 2: but Stetson is coming up two actually three really pretty
- 25:16Speaker 2: good performances against Queens, Lipscomb, and Austin p Those are
- 25:21Speaker 2: the top three teams in the conference, and Stetson played
- 25:23Speaker 2: all three of them pretty close, and now they're coming
- 25:26Speaker 2: off all of that and playing a third straight road game.
- 25:29Speaker 2: Doesn't look great to me for Stetson coming into this game. Man,
- 25:32Speaker 2: North Florida fairly easy to overlook, although they are right
- 25:35Speaker 2: behind Stetson in the standings now and Stetson only has
- 25:39Speaker 2: North Alabama next, which is probably not a game they're
- 25:41Speaker 2: gonna really care about, and that's one of the only
- 25:44Speaker 2: teams they've beaten in the conference so far.
- 25:46Speaker 1: But for Florida, excuse.
- 25:49Speaker 2: Me, not Florida, Gulf Coast, North Florida, hear I do
- 25:52Speaker 2: worry about. Is North Florida gonna be tired because they
- 25:55Speaker 2: are coming up that crazy high scoring, multi overtime game
- 25:58Speaker 2: or no, it was a single over time game. Wow,
- 26:01Speaker 2: very high scoring game against bellerman that I mentioned yesterday,
- 26:04Speaker 2: And maybe that had had an effect on Bellermane yesterday.
- 26:07Speaker 1: Maybe I should have just avoided it.
- 26:09Speaker 2: But the fact that that was an ot game, up
- 26:12Speaker 2: and down the floor, really high scoring for North Florida,
- 26:15Speaker 2: I worry that they're a little bit tired coming into
- 26:17Speaker 2: this game, and they do have lips Comb on deck
- 26:19Speaker 2: in two days, who are still I think, probably the
- 26:22Speaker 2: best team in this conference, so that is a potential
- 26:25Speaker 2: look ahead there. So I don't love the spot for
- 26:27Speaker 2: North Florida either, so I think it's a bad spot
- 26:31Speaker 2: for both teams. The money is coming into North Florida though,
- 26:34Speaker 2: which I don't disagree with it. I think Stetson is
- 26:36Speaker 2: coming off the more difficult games, like they have the
- 26:40Speaker 2: more difficult lead up to this game, and the more
- 26:42Speaker 2: difficult travel spot here fifty to fifty on the tickets,
- 26:45Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the cash on North Florida, who
- 26:48Speaker 2: are up from a pick them to one point favorite.
- 26:51Speaker 2: I do agree with the market in that one, but
- 26:52Speaker 2: I don't have a strong opinion on it. CBS Sports
- 26:56Speaker 2: at seven pm has a game probably between the best
- 27:00Speaker 2: two teams in the conference, USA Liberty and Middle Tennessee,
- 27:04Speaker 2: and right away this line should stand out to you,
- 27:07Speaker 2: Like Middle Tennessee has a pretty mediocre record, Liberty has
- 27:10Speaker 2: an awesome record, and they haven't lost in conference yet yet.
- 27:13Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee is only a one.
- 27:14Speaker 2: And a half point dog in this game, so that
- 27:17Speaker 2: should jump out at you, like why is that line
- 27:19Speaker 2: so short?
- 27:20Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to play Liberty in this game.
- 27:23Speaker 2: Well, Middle Tennessee, I'm pretty sure face a difficult out
- 27:27Speaker 2: of conference schedule and they're better than the record looks.
- 27:31Speaker 2: And that is what the osbankers are telling you, even
- 27:33Speaker 2: though yeah, they're telling you Liberty is the better team,
- 27:36Speaker 2: They're telling you this is this is close a match
- 27:38Speaker 2: up on the road for Liberty against this Middle Tennessee team.
- 27:42Speaker 1: Liberty is on a run.
- 27:43Speaker 2: Obviously, they've won every conference game so far. It's been
- 27:47Speaker 2: a week conference. I mean, what else can we really say?
- 27:50Speaker 2: The most difficult games that Liberty had were at Sam
- 27:53Speaker 2: Houston and at Western Kentucky. I mean give them credit
- 27:55Speaker 2: for winning those games. They're coming off a win over Delaware,
- 27:58Speaker 2: who's really really down this year. So it's not a
- 28:02Speaker 2: horrible spot for Liberty. Like both these teams will show up.
- 28:05Speaker 2: But again, it's one of those lines that just looks weird.
- 28:08Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee has had an ugly loss on the road
- 28:11Speaker 2: at Jacksonville State. They played a lot of road games recently.
- 28:14Speaker 2: That was a fourth road game in five games. Now
- 28:17Speaker 2: they're finally back at home. Might be better for this Middle
- 28:20Speaker 2: Tennessee team. They've not lost a conference game at home,
- 28:24Speaker 2: so they're three to zero in conference at home, so
- 28:27Speaker 2: that's a decent side of though. Of course they have
- 28:29Speaker 2: not played a team as good as Liberty yet at home.
- 28:31Speaker 2: But if I was gonna play the game, I think
- 28:33Speaker 2: I would have to go with Middle Tennessee here, if
- 28:36Speaker 2: for nothing else, just that the line looks way a
- 28:39Speaker 2: way like it just looks way too easy to play
- 28:42Speaker 2: Liberty in this game, and the oddsmakers are kind of
- 28:45Speaker 2: signaling to you something with this line. Tickets are fifty
- 28:48Speaker 2: to fifty eighty five percent of the cash on Middle Tennessee,
- 28:51Speaker 2: and they're actually they might go off a favorite here.
- 28:53Speaker 2: They actually flipped from a one and a half point
- 28:55Speaker 2: dog now to a pick them. So those are my
- 28:58Speaker 2: thoughts on that lean Middle Tennisee.
- 29:01Speaker 1: If people want.
- 29:02Speaker 2: Some action in that CBS Sports game, there this Middle
- 29:05Speaker 2: Tennessee team and they could be under the radar. And
- 29:07Speaker 2: Ken Bam might bear that out too. Actually he has
- 29:10Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee as a very lucky team, but I think
- 29:13Speaker 2: Liberty might be the number one luckiest team in the
- 29:16Speaker 2: entire country. Now Middle Tennessee almost in the top one
- 29:20Speaker 2: hundred defensively, so Middle Tennessee is actually the better defense.
- 29:23Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm right. Ken Bom has Liberty.
- 29:25Speaker 2: As the number one luckiest team in the country. So
- 29:29Speaker 2: very interesting, and this is expected to be a slow
- 29:32Speaker 2: ace game. Both of these teams play really slow, especially Liberty,
- 29:36Speaker 2: but both teams play slow.
- 29:37Speaker 1: But Liberty just is not very good defensively.
- 29:39Speaker 2: They're an efficient offensive team, but if the game is
- 29:42Speaker 2: gonna be slow, that won't really allow them to build
- 29:45Speaker 2: up like a huge margin. And if Middle Tennessee's defense
- 29:48Speaker 2: comes into playing, you also know me, I like the
- 29:50Speaker 2: better defense, although I prefer the better defense getting points
- 29:54Speaker 2: and Middle Tennessee might wind up being a favorite. But yeah,
- 29:57Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee is the better defense. Both teams are lucky
- 30:00Speaker 2: Kim Bum's luck Index, but Liberty is the most lucky team.
- 30:04Speaker 2: So those are my thoughts there on that one. We
- 30:08Speaker 2: have at eight pm ESPN two Florida Atlantic and Memphis
- 30:11Speaker 2: in the American Conference. Interesting game. It's the biggest game
- 30:16Speaker 2: in the American Conference today. FAU is atop the conference
- 30:20Speaker 2: or no, they're not a top the conference anymore.
- 30:22Speaker 1: My mistake. They got knocked down a little bit.
- 30:23Speaker 2: They're kind of they're in a four way tie here really,
- 30:26Speaker 2: but they lose out on the tie breakers right now to.
- 30:29Speaker 1: Tulsa and South Florida.
- 30:31Speaker 2: FAU just took a loss to that South Florida team.
- 30:34Speaker 2: Now I worry about FAU because that ended a six
- 30:37Speaker 2: or excuse a five game win streak for them, and
- 30:40Speaker 2: a lot of times when you have a win streak snap,
- 30:42Speaker 2: it will hang.
- 30:43Speaker 1: You over a little bit. It's a second straight.
- 30:45Speaker 2: Road game, it's a third road game in four games,
- 30:48Speaker 2: and it's a big game against Memphis. But Memphis does
- 30:51Speaker 2: look a little bit down this year, and FAU already
- 30:53Speaker 2: beat Memphis once at FAU they beat them by eleven.
- 30:57Speaker 2: It goes to eleven. Man, they beat them by eleven.
- 31:00Speaker 2: And what I think I actually have that.
- 31:02Speaker 1: This is a top to you know, what we use
- 31:04Speaker 1: on stage. But it's very very special because if you
- 31:07Speaker 1: can see, yeah, the numbers all go to eleven, look
- 31:12Speaker 1: right across the board, eleven or eleven, mostly eleven ams
- 31:16Speaker 1: go up to ten. Exactly does that mean it's louder?
- 31:20Speaker 1: Is it any louder? Well, it's one louder, isn't it?
- 31:23Speaker 1: It's not ten? You see, most most blokes are gonna
- 31:26Speaker 1: be playing at ten You're on ten here, all the
- 31:28Speaker 1: way up, all the way up, all the way up.
- 31:30Speaker 1: You're on ten on your guitar. Where can you go
- 31:32Speaker 1: from there? Well, I don't know where exactly. What we
- 31:36Speaker 1: do is, if we need that extra push over.
- 31:39Speaker 2: The cliff, you know, we do, put it up.
- 31:41Speaker 1: To eleven exactly one loud. Why don't you just make
- 31:44Speaker 1: ten louder and make ten be the top number and
- 31:47Speaker 1: make that a little louder. These go to.
- 31:52Speaker 2: Eleven, yes, ri I Peter rob Ryan or at the
- 31:57Speaker 2: very least involved in some very hilarious comedies, especially Spinal Tap,
- 32:02Speaker 2: one of the best of all time, one of the
- 32:05Speaker 2: best movies out there. Memphis is coming in off two
- 32:09Speaker 2: straight losses year. Now, Memphis maybe they were hung over
- 32:11Speaker 2: a little bit because they had that big game against Tulsa.
- 32:14Speaker 2: They had to play another road game against Wichita, which
- 32:16Speaker 2: it does not that bad this year. Memphis maybe got
- 32:19Speaker 2: caught again. Memphis, to me, I really think they're kind
- 32:22Speaker 2: of under the radar here.
- 32:23Speaker 1: Man.
- 32:23Speaker 2: People are gonna look at this game and think, like,
- 32:26Speaker 2: why is Memphis a favorite in this game when they're
- 32:28Speaker 2: below five hundred. FAU has the way better record, They
- 32:31Speaker 2: have the better record in Conference. Nobody is really gonna
- 32:34Speaker 2: want Memphis in this game, I don't think, even though
- 32:36Speaker 2: Memphis usually is the team that has I mean, they're
- 32:38Speaker 2: the team that.
- 32:39Speaker 1: Has more name recognition.
- 32:40Speaker 2: Really, even though of course Dusty May did put Fau
- 32:45Speaker 2: on the map there a couple of years ago, and
- 32:46Speaker 2: he is now in command of a powerhouse Michigan team.
- 32:51Speaker 2: But yeah, I would probably have to lean to Memphis
- 32:53Speaker 2: in this one.
- 32:53Speaker 1: Man. The line just looks a little bit odd to me,
- 32:57Speaker 1: looks way off.
- 32:57Speaker 2: It is a revenge spot for Memphis here. Fau could
- 33:00Speaker 2: be in a hangover spot with that win streak just snaps.
- 33:03Speaker 2: So if I was gonna play it, I would have
- 33:05Speaker 2: to lean to Memphis. Sixty percent of the tickets, sixty
- 33:07Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on Fau. I do not
- 33:10Speaker 2: agree with that cash percentage there. It looks like maybe
- 33:12Speaker 2: the line moved down slightly on Memphis, but I don't
- 33:15Speaker 2: agree with that move.
- 33:17Speaker 1: I prefer Memphis in that one.
- 33:19Speaker 2: Penn State at Northwestern in the Big Ten on Peacock
- 33:22Speaker 2: at eight PM.
- 33:24Speaker 1: Not doing anything with this game.
- 33:26Speaker 2: Although when you look at the line, you're gonna be like,
- 33:28Speaker 2: what is going on with this line? Penn State, they
- 33:31Speaker 2: did just play pretty tough on the road at Ohio State. Man,
- 33:34Speaker 2: I think there were whatever seven and a half point
- 33:35Speaker 2: underdogs probably in this game, maybe more.
- 33:38Speaker 1: What were they?
- 33:39Speaker 2: No, I'm wrong eleven and a half geez, Penn State
- 33:42Speaker 2: is so bad this year. So Penn State's coming up
- 33:45Speaker 2: a pretty good performance against Ohio State as double digit
- 33:49Speaker 2: dogs on the road. Now it's a second straight road game,
- 33:52Speaker 2: a third road game in four games. Tough spot to me,
- 33:56Speaker 2: man for Penn State coming off that big performance against
- 33:59Speaker 2: Ohio State. I don't love it for Benn State here,
- 34:01Speaker 2: even though they're own nine a conference. So yeah, they're
- 34:04Speaker 2: gonna be a desperate team as an underdog here trying
- 34:07Speaker 2: to get a win here. Northwestern though below five hundred
- 34:11Speaker 2: team with one conference win, yet they're a seven and
- 34:13Speaker 2: a half point favorite here, So the oddsbegers are telling
- 34:17Speaker 2: you Northwestern is significantly better than Ben's state to not
- 34:20Speaker 2: believe the records here, and I agree. When I gave
- 34:24Speaker 2: out Northwestern as a play against USC a little while,
- 34:27Speaker 2: I showed you ken Bum's luck index head Northwestern way
- 34:30Speaker 2: low and USC way high. So ken Bum will tell
- 34:34Speaker 2: you that Northwestern is not actually as bad as their
- 34:37Speaker 2: record looks they've had a difficult schedule, they're coming off
- 34:41Speaker 2: another loss. But one question that I would have about
- 34:45Speaker 2: Northwestern is how are they gonna handle coming back from
- 34:49Speaker 2: the Pacific Coast? Right because they did just play two
- 34:51Speaker 2: games out on the Pacific.
- 34:53Speaker 1: Coast and now they're coming back home.
- 34:55Speaker 2: Maybe a little bit worrise in there for Northwestern, but
- 34:58Speaker 2: I think Penn State coming up that crazy performance at
- 35:01Speaker 2: Ohio State, I actually think they're in the worst spot here.
- 35:04Speaker 2: I don't disagree with the oddsmakers that Northwestern is the
- 35:07Speaker 2: significantly better team here. I would probably lay it if
- 35:10Speaker 2: I was gonna play it, but not a game that
- 35:12Speaker 2: I really have any interest in. Seventy percent of the
- 35:14Speaker 2: tickets is seventy six percent of the casual Northwestern. They
- 35:18Speaker 2: dropped from eight to seven to seven and a half here.
- 35:20Speaker 2: But yeah, I would lay it or leave the game alone.
- 35:22Speaker 2: That would be my opinion in that one. What other
- 35:27Speaker 2: games are interesting? I know we have a lot of
- 35:29Speaker 2: like Sun Belt games, we have Summit Ohio Valley. I
- 35:33Speaker 2: already talked about some of the A Suns, some of
- 35:35Speaker 2: the Northeast Conference stuff. Soa con cologny, A lot of
- 35:40Speaker 2: stuff going on today. Me and a lot of these
- 35:41Speaker 2: smaller conferences going on. Yeah, Northeast Conference USA. Yeah, I
- 35:45Speaker 2: don't even know, man, a whole bunch of stuff here
- 35:49Speaker 2: in American East playing some of the earlier games. But yeah,
- 35:52Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. If you want me to
- 35:54Speaker 2: talk about some of these other games, I can, but
- 35:56Speaker 2: a lot most of these games didn't really jump out
- 35:58Speaker 2: at me for any particular reason. And then we have
- 36:02Speaker 2: some whack games going on. The whack is definitely whack
- 36:04Speaker 2: this year. Man, We're gonna have teams facing facing each
- 36:07Speaker 2: other a third time in that conference eventually because those
- 36:12Speaker 2: teams there are only seven teams in the conference, so
- 36:14Speaker 2: pretty much every matchup in that conference is now a
- 36:18Speaker 2: second matchup. So you know, me, I kind of lean
- 36:20Speaker 2: towards the revenge angle as an angle in those second matchups,
- 36:24Speaker 2: but I like to kind of dive into the previous
- 36:26Speaker 2: matchup to see if anything like jumped out at me.
- 36:28Speaker 2: But it really isn't a whole lot there that I
- 36:31Speaker 2: really saw. So again, if you want me to talk
- 36:34Speaker 2: about any of these crap games, I will, But other
- 36:37Speaker 2: than that, I just I didn't really have much to
- 36:39Speaker 2: say about the games man. No strong opinions on them.
- 36:42Speaker 2: We have a run of TV games here at nine pm, though.
- 36:45Speaker 2: First one up, this is gonna be the game. I'm
- 36:47Speaker 2: gonna give you here, this big ten game here.
- 36:51Speaker 1: It's pretty ugly. It's an ugly underdog.
- 36:54Speaker 2: I know yesterday was the day of the favorites, but
- 36:57Speaker 2: we're going with an underdog in this one. I think
- 36:59Speaker 2: we're getting a good spot here to do this. We're
- 37:02Speaker 2: gonna take Washington plus thirteen and a half against Illinois.
- 37:06Speaker 2: I saw this line anywhere between twelve and thirteen and
- 37:09Speaker 2: a half. I saw thirteen's out there. Hopefully it doesn't
- 37:11Speaker 2: matter once you get up into that number range of basketball.
- 37:14Speaker 2: It's not like football where you want to get like
- 37:15Speaker 2: two touchdowns. Hopefully the number doesn't matter too much here.
- 37:19Speaker 2: This is on Fox Sports one if you do want
- 37:21Speaker 2: to watch it. Illinois rank ninth in the country. Now,
- 37:25Speaker 2: Illinois is absolutely legit. I've been talking about how Illinois
- 37:28Speaker 2: is underrated this year because they've changed their style, even
- 37:32Speaker 2: though I think they still have the same coach there Underwood.
- 37:35Speaker 2: I'm not really much of a fan of, but Illinois
- 37:37Speaker 2: has been known as kind of a fast paced team.
- 37:39Speaker 2: They don't really play defense this year. That is not
- 37:41Speaker 2: the case this year. They play slow and they're a
- 37:44Speaker 2: balanced team. They're very good on both sides of the ball.
- 37:47Speaker 2: Ken Bum has them, I think the fourth best team
- 37:49Speaker 2: in the country actually, so they're still actually underrated. Actually,
- 37:53Speaker 2: they're still not that great defensively. They're ken Bum's only
- 37:56Speaker 2: team in the top they're the only team in the
- 38:01Speaker 2: top eight that's outside of the top ten defensively for him,
- 38:04Speaker 2: so Illinois. But he has them as the number one
- 38:06Speaker 2: efficient offense. So yeah, they are still a little bit
- 38:08Speaker 2: lopsided offensively, even though they do slow the game down
- 38:11Speaker 2: a little bit. But maybe that'll help us out here
- 38:14Speaker 2: with Washington here, because Washington actually isn't that much worse
- 38:17Speaker 2: defensively than Illinois.
- 38:19Speaker 1: Washington is better defensively than offensively.
- 38:21Speaker 2: So yeah, they can't exactly score with Illinois, but fiftieth
- 38:25Speaker 2: in defensive efficiency according to Kent Bomb, that's not that bad.
- 38:29Speaker 2: He has Washington in the top fifty, so they're kind
- 38:32Speaker 2: of a sneaky team.
- 38:33Speaker 1: Man.
- 38:33Speaker 2: They're not that bad. They're eleven to nine record looks
- 38:36Speaker 2: real ugly, but they're fairly balanced. They're not that bad.
- 38:40Speaker 1: They're very unlucky.
- 38:41Speaker 2: According to ken Bom at three hundred and thirty second
- 38:43Speaker 2: in luck eighteenth strength to schedule. That's pretty good as
- 38:47Speaker 2: well to face a very difficult schedule, in fact, more
- 38:50Speaker 2: difficult than Illinois by a little bit. Illinois right in
- 38:52Speaker 2: the mid mid tier of luck there, so Washington's definitely
- 38:58Speaker 2: the more unlucky team. So even though I think both
- 39:01Speaker 2: teams are underrated, Washington is massively underrated at this point.
- 39:06Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna want them against Illinois anyway, because Illinois has
- 39:08Speaker 2: looked great recently, They're way up in the rankings.
- 39:11Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna want anything to do with.
- 39:12Speaker 2: All with Washington here. And as far as tempo, like
- 39:15Speaker 2: I said, yeah, Illinois plays slow. Washington is more of
- 39:18Speaker 2: a mid tempo team, but they're not like an extreme
- 39:21Speaker 2: tempo where they're really gonna get frustrated. I don't think
- 39:23Speaker 2: by a slow tempo game. And the thing about the
- 39:26Speaker 2: slow tempo is that might hurt Illinois as far as
- 39:29Speaker 2: trying to cover a big number like this.
- 39:32Speaker 1: So we have all that going on here. The line
- 39:34Speaker 1: looks like it is twelve and a.
- 39:35Speaker 2: Half right now, but yeah, I would still take it
- 39:37Speaker 2: at that. I was surprised that I found a thirteen
- 39:39Speaker 2: and a half there are just some books that are
- 39:41Speaker 2: a little bit off. You might find it. You might
- 39:43Speaker 2: find at thirteen. But any of those numbers I think
- 39:45Speaker 2: should be okay.
- 39:46Speaker 1: Here.
- 39:47Speaker 2: Sixty two percent of the tickets on Illinois, sixty four
- 39:50Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Washington's the money is agreeing
- 39:52Speaker 2: with me on this, and you know me, we gotta
- 39:55Speaker 2: have a situation for me to actually do something with
- 39:58Speaker 2: it usually, and yet we do here. So for Washington,
- 40:02Speaker 2: there isn't really much of a situation here. Yes, they're
- 40:05Speaker 2: traveling to an unfamiliar venue, so that is a little
- 40:09Speaker 2: bit of a concern when you have to go to
- 40:10Speaker 2: a hostile environment that you're not familiar with playing true,
- 40:15Speaker 2: so they're having to travel times, don't hear.
- 40:16Speaker 1: That is one concern.
- 40:17Speaker 2: But the fact that it's a late game it shouldn't
- 40:21Speaker 2: really hurt Washington because they're used to playing games at
- 40:24Speaker 2: this time in the evening over on the Pacific coast,
- 40:27Speaker 2: so it should be all right for them. They are
- 40:29Speaker 2: coming off of a win over Oregon, which won't make
- 40:31Speaker 2: them over confident because Oregon sucks as we know, and
- 40:34Speaker 2: Washington did break a three game losing streak with that
- 40:37Speaker 2: win over Oregon. If you look at Washington's schedule, it
- 40:40Speaker 2: has been difficult their conference schedule. They beat USC on
- 40:45Speaker 2: the road, they played really close at home against UCLA,
- 40:49Speaker 2: They lost to Indiana on the road. They lost to
- 40:50Speaker 2: Purdue on the road only by eight. They beat Ohio
- 40:53Speaker 2: State at home, lost only by ten at home to Michigan,
- 40:58Speaker 2: lost by double digits at home to Mission.
- 41:00Speaker 1: You can state what I mean. Those are really good teams.
- 41:02Speaker 2: And then they lost by ten on the road at Nebraska.
- 41:05Speaker 2: So this Washington team, yeah, I mean, they've played a
- 41:08Speaker 2: gauntlet so far in the Big Ten. They've played all
- 41:11Speaker 2: of the best teams except for Illinois so far in
- 41:13Speaker 2: the Big Ten.
- 41:13Speaker 1: So they're not gonna be intimidated by this.
- 41:16Speaker 2: They've played some of the best teams in the conference
- 41:18Speaker 2: on the road already. And the fact that they came
- 41:21Speaker 2: off that game against Nebraska, had to come back home
- 41:23Speaker 2: and still won against Oregon, that's a decent sign. Although, yeah,
- 41:27Speaker 2: you gotta worry about oh crap, they traveled to Lincoln, Nebraska,
- 41:30Speaker 2: back out to the Pacific coast. Now they have to
- 41:32Speaker 2: go back to the Chicago area.
- 41:34Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 41:35Speaker 2: True, there's zigzagging all over the place, But look at
- 41:38Speaker 2: the spot for Illinois.
- 41:39Speaker 1: Here man.
- 41:40Speaker 2: I think we have a mega mega sandwich spot here man.
- 41:44Speaker 2: Illinois just went into Purdue and pulled off the upset there.
- 41:48Speaker 2: They were five and a half point dogs in that game,
- 41:50Speaker 2: and I talked about that game on the show. I
- 41:51Speaker 2: liked Illinois to cover in that game, even though I
- 41:54Speaker 2: think Purdue was very very good. Purdue is also really
- 41:57Speaker 2: good at home. But if you look at how that
- 41:59Speaker 2: set up Purdue, you had taken a loss for the
- 42:01Speaker 2: first time and I don't know, probably a month or so,
- 42:04Speaker 2: and you know, it has worked so well this year
- 42:07Speaker 2: to fade the team that loses a long win streak.
- 42:11Speaker 1: That's a very good angle.
- 42:12Speaker 2: Losing a win streak can hang you over, man, and
- 42:14Speaker 2: it's happened with almost every team this year when they
- 42:17Speaker 2: take their first conference loss.
- 42:19Speaker 1: That's what it was for Purdue.
- 42:21Speaker 2: It does hang them over. And then Purdue just kind of,
- 42:24Speaker 2: I don't know, they spiraled a little bit or Indiana
- 42:26Speaker 2: just really got up for that game against Purdue. But whatever,
- 42:28Speaker 2: we're talking about Illinois here. Huge win for Illinois at
- 42:32Speaker 2: Mackie where it's very very difficult to win, even though
- 42:35Speaker 2: Iowa State was able to do it, but huge win there.
- 42:38Speaker 2: Now they get into Washington, who I think is just easy,
- 42:41Speaker 2: easy to overlook and up next monster game for Illinois
- 42:46Speaker 2: on what this is? This Saturday? They got to play Nebraska. Man,
- 42:50Speaker 2: Is that Saturday or Sunday? No, it's Sunday. I can't
- 42:52Speaker 2: do math, That's right. How many days are in each month?
- 42:56Speaker 1: It's Sunday.
- 42:56Speaker 2: But they have a huge TV game on Sunday against Nebraska.
- 43:00Speaker 2: And while yes, this is a TV game, it's Thursday night.
- 43:04Speaker 2: I mean there's a pack schedule. There are a lot
- 43:06Speaker 2: of games on tonight. Even though yes, this is one
- 43:08Speaker 2: of the games that gets the bigger billing. But still
- 43:11Speaker 2: I just don't see how Illinois totally gets focused for
- 43:14Speaker 2: this game, man, And you're gonna be asking him to
- 43:16Speaker 2: lay a ton of points here. Obviously they can win
- 43:18Speaker 2: the game without covering here, mega mega sandwich spot here
- 43:22Speaker 2: where they have, yeah, Nebraska on deck.
- 43:24Speaker 1: They just pulled off a huge road up set at.
- 43:26Speaker 2: Purdue, even though it's only a five and a half
- 43:28Speaker 2: point up set, still not massive, massive win. When you
- 43:32Speaker 2: do that, Washington will be my play of the day.
- 43:35Speaker 1: Man. That is a sandwich all right.
- 43:39Speaker 2: Espn U for some reason in the Big South, as
- 43:41Speaker 2: Presbyterian at high Point. High Point is definitely gonna be
- 43:44Speaker 2: a huge favorite in this one. Presbyterian's been decent this year.
- 43:48Speaker 2: They've been alright, they've been competitive ish in the conference.
- 43:52Speaker 2: Sure they'll get up for a game against high Point.
- 43:54Speaker 2: Will high Point be totally up for this game?
- 43:58Speaker 1: Maybe?
- 43:59Speaker 2: I mean, they did just beat Radford. That was a
- 44:01Speaker 2: decent win for them on the road. I think got long,
- 44:04Speaker 2: what up next?
- 44:05Speaker 1: So long? What is the next closest team to them?
- 44:07Speaker 1: The standing?
- 44:07Speaker 2: So there is the possibility they kind of don't take
- 44:10Speaker 2: Presbyterian totally seriously here. So not much of an opinion
- 44:15Speaker 2: on this one. But I guess if I have to
- 44:16Speaker 2: give an opinion on this, I would lean towards taking
- 44:19Speaker 2: the points with the Presbyterian the blue Hose in that
- 44:23Speaker 2: game against high Point. But I don't have a strong
- 44:26Speaker 2: opinion on that one. High point being the oh yeah,
- 44:29Speaker 2: the Panthers. I was like, wait, what's their name again?
- 44:31Speaker 1: I don't know why I didn't remember that? All right?
- 44:34Speaker 2: And then there is another TV game at nine pm
- 44:37Speaker 2: in the Colonial between UNC Wilmington and thousand and if
- 44:40Speaker 2: you look at this game, the numbers should jump off
- 44:42Speaker 2: the page at you, man, like, how do you have
- 44:44Speaker 2: UNC Wilmington, who is eighteen and three overall, seven and
- 44:47Speaker 2: one in conference, and thousand is favored against them even
- 44:51Speaker 2: though they're twelve and four and five in conference. Something
- 44:54Speaker 2: looks way off about that line, But again, the odds
- 44:57Speaker 2: makers are telling you there is not that much of
- 44:59Speaker 2: a gap between these two teams. Thousand must have been
- 45:03Speaker 2: on the wrong side of a lot of luck, even
- 45:05Speaker 2: though Kenbom hasn't really had them very low in his
- 45:07Speaker 2: luck indext But I keep talking about how I think
- 45:09Speaker 2: Towsand is actually under the raidar and the oddsmakers keep
- 45:12Speaker 2: giving them a ton of respect. I think that's something
- 45:15Speaker 2: you got to look at because the oddsmakers have a
- 45:17Speaker 2: ton of money on the line here. They're not just
- 45:20Speaker 2: handing you free money on UNC Wilmington here, you know
- 45:23Speaker 2: what I mean. UNC Wilmington did just beat Hampton. They
- 45:26Speaker 2: had a nice bounce back, so you un see Wilmington,
- 45:28Speaker 2: I guess was one of the teams that didn't really
- 45:30Speaker 2: have the hangover after they took I think their first
- 45:32Speaker 2: conference loss to William and Mary second straight road game.
- 45:36Speaker 2: They still beat Hampton. Do they cover though? Actually yeah,
- 45:41Speaker 2: they did, so that was one of the rare instances
- 45:43Speaker 2: where the team didn't suffer the hangover.
- 45:45Speaker 1: But now UNC Wilmington.
- 45:47Speaker 2: Is facing the third straight road game, and guess who
- 45:49Speaker 2: they play right after this man, Although it's not for
- 45:52Speaker 2: a week, but they played William and Mary, the only
- 45:55Speaker 2: team that's beating them in conference so far. That's who
- 45:58Speaker 2: they play next. So I don't like how the setup is.
- 46:02Speaker 2: I think the scheduling spot does help thousand in this
- 46:05Speaker 2: one man, The scheduling spot is better for thousand. Thousand
- 46:08Speaker 2: just took us a road loss to NCA and t
- 46:11Speaker 2: That's an ugly loss, and I.
- 46:13Speaker 1: Think I might have mentioned that game.
- 46:14Speaker 2: I think that was kind of a sandwich spot because
- 46:16Speaker 2: thousand we had a winner with thousand on the show
- 46:19Speaker 2: against Elon. They got the nice win at Elon. They
- 46:22Speaker 2: caught Elon in a good spot. Tousand was coming off
- 46:25Speaker 2: an ugly game against Drexel where they barely got by.
- 46:28Speaker 2: Thousand had had a big game before that and beaten Charleston,
- 46:31Speaker 2: so thousand has really been easy to predict. Actually, they
- 46:35Speaker 2: had that good game against Charleston, they had a kind
- 46:37Speaker 2: of a sandwich spot. Didn't play well against Drexel, didn't
- 46:40Speaker 2: cover bounce back nicely, caught Elon in a sandwich spot,
- 46:43Speaker 2: I think upset them. Then after that big win, thousand
- 46:47Speaker 2: had a bad game and they lost to NCA and
- 46:49Speaker 2: T So if that trend continues, they're gonna bounce back here.
- 46:53Speaker 2: And they might have already been looking ahead to UNC Wilmington.
- 46:56Speaker 2: That was probably a sandwich spot. They're gonna be in
- 46:58Speaker 2: a sandwich spot in their next game. By the way,
- 47:00Speaker 2: after they played this game, they got Hampton and then
- 47:03Speaker 2: Hofstra right after that, So Hampton sandwich between you and
- 47:07Speaker 2: see Wilmington and Hofstra and man, that looks like a sandwich.
- 47:10Speaker 2: But yes, for this game, I like towsand in this one,
- 47:13Speaker 2: that's the way I would lean in there. So if
- 47:15Speaker 2: people want some TV action, there's a reason why thousand
- 47:18Speaker 2: is favored. Man, they're only one point favorite. I think
- 47:21Speaker 2: probably money line on tousand would be the recommendation for
- 47:24Speaker 2: me in that game, because you know, I listen to
- 47:27Speaker 2: these experts, especially Bill Krakeenberger, one of the best professional
- 47:31Speaker 2: betters of all time. He will tell you all the
- 47:34Speaker 2: things and he does talk about how it's a more
- 47:39Speaker 2: plus ev bet in college basketball when you want a
- 47:42Speaker 2: one to one and a half or two point favorite
- 47:44Speaker 2: to lay the money line instead, although again I think
- 47:47Speaker 2: it does depend on whether or not you actually find
- 47:49Speaker 2: that number that you're looking for in the money line market.
- 47:52Speaker 2: But I think usually you can. Presbyterian is near your home.
- 47:58Speaker 2: Do you go to their games? I thought, wait, I
- 48:00Speaker 2: thought they're in They're in South Carolina, right, although you're
- 48:03Speaker 2: in North Carolina.
- 48:04Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe it's near the border. I don't know.
- 48:06Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 48:07Speaker 2: The Carolina geography kind of throws me off, man, Like
- 48:10Speaker 2: I kind of know where the main triangle is there
- 48:13Speaker 2: of the basketball schools, and I know Wake Forest is
- 48:16Speaker 2: further west than that. That's like basically what I know.
- 48:19Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 48:19Speaker 2: I don't have a good gauge on the geography of
- 48:22Speaker 2: those of those of the Carolinas.
- 48:24Speaker 1: Man. I do know that, like.
- 48:26Speaker 2: You know, Charleston is a coastal town in South Carolina.
- 48:30Speaker 2: I don't know a whole lot more in Myrtle Beach
- 48:32Speaker 2: obviously is I don't know a whole lot more than that, though,
- 48:37Speaker 2: all right, those those states have kind of become flyover states,
- 48:41Speaker 2: to be honestly, you know, flyover or drive through states,
- 48:45Speaker 2: because yeah, I mean the states that I've.
- 48:47Speaker 1: Actually spent longer periods of time it would.
- 48:50Speaker 2: Be Florida, Georgia and then not the Carolina's but then
- 48:54Speaker 2: like Virginia unfortunately have Virginia, Maryland DC ugh and you
- 48:59Speaker 2: know that shit. All right, what else I want to
- 49:04Speaker 2: talk about here? We have some Big Sky and Big
- 49:08Speaker 2: West action in the late night here. Didn't really have
- 49:11Speaker 2: a whole lot to talk about. I'm thinking in these
- 49:13Speaker 2: games here, some of these games are interesting, I guess, well,
- 49:18Speaker 2: Long Beach and Riverside kind of I had some thoughts
- 49:21Speaker 2: on this because Long Beach they just played you see
- 49:24Speaker 2: Santa Barbara.
- 49:25Speaker 1: That was a pretty big game.
- 49:26Speaker 2: You see Santa Barbara looking pretty good this season in
- 49:29Speaker 2: the Big West. They're amongst the top teams in the
- 49:32Speaker 2: Big West right now. Long Long Beach came to within
- 49:35Speaker 2: three of them in their last game, and they already
- 49:37Speaker 2: beat the team that they're playing tonight. You see Riverside
- 49:40Speaker 2: by fifteen at home and they have to go or
- 49:42Speaker 2: excuse they have to play Hawaii next at home. And
- 49:45Speaker 2: then you see San Diego right after that, and those
- 49:47Speaker 2: are definitely two of the top teams in the conference
- 49:49Speaker 2: as well. So this is kind of a sandwich spot
- 49:52Speaker 2: for Long Beach here and it's a little bit of
- 49:54Speaker 2: a revenge spot for you see Riverside. I know Riverside
- 49:57Speaker 2: let me down the one time I tried to play them,
- 50:00Speaker 2: But Riverside, I think it's the right side here. Riverside
- 50:04Speaker 2: is Riverside the right side.
- 50:06Speaker 1: But I am worried a little bit. I don't know.
- 50:09Speaker 2: You see, Riverside just went to UC Davis and played
- 50:11Speaker 2: pretty well as an underdog in that one, but they
- 50:13Speaker 2: did fall short.
- 50:14Speaker 1: They have lost all but one conference game. Is that right? No,
- 50:19Speaker 1: they have two conference wins.
- 50:20Speaker 2: I guess they had a conference win in earlier conference
- 50:23Speaker 2: player or something.
- 50:23Speaker 1: Yeah, cal paly way back.
- 50:25Speaker 2: Some of these conferences have some early conference play before
- 50:28Speaker 2: official conference play starts. But whatever, I do think it's
- 50:32Speaker 2: a sandwich spot for long Beach. I do think that
- 50:35Speaker 2: Riverside is in a bit of a revenge spot here,
- 50:38Speaker 2: or whatever you want to call it, the end season
- 50:41Speaker 2: adjustment spot to the first matchup here. I would take
- 50:45Speaker 2: the points with UC Riverside. Long Beach did move up
- 50:48Speaker 2: from pick them to two and a half. But it
- 50:49Speaker 2: does look like the money is agreeing with me on
- 50:52Speaker 2: Riverside here. Fifty to fifty on the tickets ninety five
- 50:54Speaker 2: percent of the cash on riverside.
- 50:57Speaker 1: That is the way I would lean.
- 50:58Speaker 2: I agree with that that one might be closer to
- 51:02Speaker 2: making my card. Actually, especially seeing that the market agrees
- 51:04Speaker 2: with me on that. I really didn't see a whole
- 51:06Speaker 2: lot that I love today, even though I have some opinions.
- 51:10Speaker 2: But it's in Clinton, South Carolina. First time that you
- 51:15Speaker 2: get into in South Carolina when you're headed to Georgia.
- 51:17Speaker 2: So it's the first town over the border from North Carolina.
- 51:20Speaker 2: You mean, interesting, Clinton, South Carolina, all right, And then
- 51:29Speaker 2: we have you see Santa Barbara and you see San Diego.
- 51:31Speaker 1: That's a pretty big game in the Big West.
- 51:33Speaker 2: You see San Diego, of course, the winner of the
- 51:35Speaker 2: conference last year.
- 51:36Speaker 1: There's still one of the top teams in.
- 51:38Speaker 2: The conference, but they haven't done great in conference play
- 51:41Speaker 2: so far.
- 51:42Speaker 1: This will be a big game for both teams.
- 51:44Speaker 2: Man, you see Santa Barbara, second straight road game, but
- 51:46Speaker 2: they're coming up that bad game against Long Beach where
- 51:49Speaker 2: they barely got through. But they did get through it,
- 51:51Speaker 2: so that should continue some momentum. I think maybe they
- 51:54Speaker 2: were looking ahead to this game, so I think Santa
- 51:56Speaker 2: Barbara is absolutely gonna show up in this one.
- 51:59Speaker 1: You see Santa Barbara, I should.
- 52:01Speaker 2: Say, I gotta stop dropping the UC because you see
- 52:04Speaker 2: San Diego is different from San Diego, the Torreros who
- 52:08Speaker 2: gotta cover for us. The other night, you see San
- 52:12Speaker 2: Diego the Tritons with their with their tried their trident
- 52:18Speaker 2: logo there. I think their mascot is probably like the
- 52:21Speaker 2: god Triton or something. Triton also one of the moons
- 52:25Speaker 2: of Neptune, right, I don't know what the I forget
- 52:29Speaker 2: what the correlation is between Triton and Neptune though, but
- 52:32Speaker 2: probably both have something to do with being of the sea.
- 52:36Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 52:36Speaker 2: But whatever, you see San Diego, they're coming off a
- 52:40Speaker 2: difficult game man against you see Irvine. You see Irvine
- 52:43Speaker 2: is up near the top of the conference. They're a
- 52:45Speaker 2: legit team as well in this conference. That was a
- 52:47Speaker 2: big game, and you see San Diego took a two
- 52:49Speaker 2: point loss in that one. So I do think the
- 52:52Speaker 2: spot is worse for you see San Diego here. I
- 52:54Speaker 2: think it's a spot where they have to play well
- 52:57Speaker 2: two games in a row. Santa Barbara coming off a
- 53:00Speaker 2: bad performance more more so than well, Yeah, I mean,
- 53:04Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about it, but yeah,
- 53:06Speaker 2: they're coming off a somewhat bad performance. Let's say, I
- 53:09Speaker 2: see San Diego is a four point favorite in this one.
- 53:12Speaker 2: Eighty percent of the tickets on them, but sixty percent
- 53:14Speaker 2: of the cash and you see Santa Barber.
- 53:16Speaker 1: So the money is agreeing with me on that one.
- 53:19Speaker 2: I would lean towards taking the points with you see
- 53:21Speaker 2: Santa Barbara on that game as well. So yeah, not
- 53:25Speaker 2: a whole lot else to say about that. And then well,
- 53:28Speaker 2: Montana Portland State, I guess is kind of an interesting
- 53:31Speaker 2: game in the Big Sky because there are two of
- 53:33Speaker 2: the top three teams in the standings. I do not
- 53:37Speaker 2: believe they played yet in conference play. I know they
- 53:40Speaker 2: play again late in conference play. Montana is just coming
- 53:43Speaker 2: off a win at home of Idaho State. Now they're
- 53:46Speaker 2: having to go back out on the road. Montana hasn't
- 53:48Speaker 2: been as good on the road, although of course usually
- 53:51Speaker 2: that's the case. Teams have home court advantage for a reason.
- 53:54Speaker 2: Man Montana's only conference losses have come on the road.
- 53:58Speaker 2: But to Montana State, to Eastern Washington, Montana State is
- 54:02Speaker 2: a good team and maybe the best.
- 54:04Speaker 1: Team in the conference, and.
- 54:07Speaker 2: Eastern Washington's not as bad as their record looks Portland State.
- 54:13Speaker 2: I haven't been sold on them, man, but they still
- 54:15Speaker 2: haven't lost a conference game yet, although they haven't played either.
- 54:18Speaker 1: Montana school yet.
- 54:19Speaker 2: Now they have to, so it's gonna be a little
- 54:21Speaker 2: bit of a step up in class for them. They're
- 54:23Speaker 2: coming in with momentum. But I think if both teams
- 54:25Speaker 2: are gonna show up in this game, I kind of
- 54:30Speaker 2: like Montana here. I mean, Portland State did drop from
- 54:32Speaker 2: four and a half to four. The oddsmakers are telling
- 54:35Speaker 2: you Portland State is actually the slightly better team, but
- 54:38Speaker 2: I don't know if I buy it. Eighty three percent
- 54:40Speaker 2: of the tickets ninety one percent of the cash on
- 54:42Speaker 2: Portland State, I don't think they're better than the Montana
- 54:45Speaker 2: State But actually, yeah, Ken bum as Montana two rankings
- 54:48Speaker 2: spots higher than Portland State, although he does have Portland
- 54:51Speaker 2: State as the better defense. But they're laying points here.
- 54:54Speaker 2: They're the luckier team. According to Kent Bam. They play
- 54:58Speaker 2: mid tempo, Montana likes to speed it up more. But yeah,
- 55:02Speaker 2: you're probably gonna see a somewhat fast paced game in
- 55:04Speaker 2: this one.
- 55:07Speaker 1: But Montana does.
- 55:08Speaker 2: Have the better offense and they are the more balanced team. Yeah,
- 55:12Speaker 2: so I would probably take the points of Montana and there,
- 55:14Speaker 2: and then ESPNU has Hawaii and you see Irvine. Probably
- 55:18Speaker 2: the best game in the Big West to night because
- 55:20Speaker 2: these two teams are atop the conference right now.
- 55:22Speaker 1: Pretty good game. Both teams should show up for it.
- 55:25Speaker 2: They actually already played once in Hawaii won at home,
- 55:28Speaker 2: but only by one. So Hawaii I believe they didn't cover.
- 55:32Speaker 1: In this game.
- 55:32Speaker 2: They must have been a favorite here. Yeah, they are
- 55:34Speaker 2: four and a half point favorites. Irvine played them pretty
- 55:37Speaker 2: well there on the road, so maybe Hawaii will show
- 55:41Speaker 2: up with a bit more of an effort here. But
- 55:43Speaker 2: Hawaii is having to travel back to the mainland here
- 55:45Speaker 2: for this game. They played their last game in Hawaii
- 55:48Speaker 2: against north Ridge, so Irvine has the locational edge here
- 55:54Speaker 2: of course, because they're just staying in California. That trip
- 55:57Speaker 2: to Hawaii started a road trip for them. Actually haven't
- 56:00Speaker 2: been at home since then. But Irvine is coming out
- 56:03Speaker 2: of that big win over you see San Diego, man,
- 56:05Speaker 2: so they're gonna have to play two big games in
- 56:08Speaker 2: a row. Even though, yeah, they should get up for
- 56:10Speaker 2: this game. Hawaii might take them seriously because they almost
- 56:13Speaker 2: knocked off Hawaii at Hawaii and I think the spot,
- 56:16Speaker 2: despite the traveler, this spot is better for Hawaii. I
- 56:19Speaker 2: kind of prefer Hawaii in this one, but Irvine is
- 56:23Speaker 2: up from Pickham to two here.
- 56:25Speaker 1: Yeah, I would slightly lean to Hawaii in that one.
- 56:28Speaker 2: And the oddspeakers are still telling you they are actually
- 56:30Speaker 2: the slightly better team there. But I think the spot
- 56:32Speaker 2: also is more beneficial to them. So and they're used
- 56:36Speaker 2: to traveling, you know, to California because they do it
- 56:38Speaker 2: all the time every year, so it's not really that
- 56:41Speaker 2: much of an issue for them. I think teams travel
- 56:44Speaker 2: having to travel to Hawaii, it's a little bit worse
- 56:47Speaker 2: for those teams. All Right, we got NHL huge NHL
- 56:52Speaker 2: board today. Man, this is gonna be a huge long show,
- 56:55Speaker 2: but hopefully we can get it done in under two hours.
- 56:58Speaker 1: Every hockey team is in play today. I think they're
- 57:00Speaker 1: fifteen hockey games today. It's a super Thursday. I guess
- 57:05Speaker 1: ice Thursday. I don't know what do you want to
- 57:07Speaker 1: call it? Ah, so no, I don't know what we
- 57:10Speaker 1: want to call it. Here.
- 57:11Speaker 2: Flyers are at my Boston Bruins here. Sobs said that
- 57:14Speaker 2: he likes the Flyers. I'm not sure about that. The
- 57:16Speaker 2: Flyers are on a back to back. They're playing a
- 57:19Speaker 2: third game in four days, all in different cities, so
- 57:22Speaker 2: I don't really love that.
- 57:24Speaker 1: I'm pissed that they didn't get us the win last night.
- 57:27Speaker 2: I will be ersen back in net year because Vladar
- 57:30Speaker 2: played yesterday, but I don't know if that matters that much.
- 57:32Speaker 2: It's not like either of them have been particularly good.
- 57:36Speaker 2: Having to play another road game, traveling from Columbus to
- 57:39Speaker 2: Boston and no time off, I don't really want the
- 57:42Speaker 2: Flyers here. The Bruins are coming up in an overtime
- 57:45Speaker 2: win over in Nashville, not a huge win or anything
- 57:48Speaker 2: like that. They have a day off, They're playing a
- 57:50Speaker 2: third game in four days, but all those games have
- 57:52Speaker 2: been in Boston and New York, so less travel. The
- 57:56Speaker 2: main issue for the Bruins that they do have Tampa
- 57:59Speaker 2: Bay up next in they're actually playing that game in
- 58:03Speaker 2: Raymond James Stadium, So so much for you. The Winter
- 58:07Speaker 2: Classic is a dead concept, I guess, because now we
- 58:10Speaker 2: have these outdoor games being played in Florida, and that
- 58:15Speaker 2: one's gonna be at Raymond James Stadium for some reason
- 58:18Speaker 2: in Tampa Bay.
- 58:19Speaker 1: So that's a big game. It's a big weird concept.
- 58:22Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 58:23Speaker 2: I think it's sponsored, has something to do with the
- 58:25Speaker 2: US Navy. I don't know, some bullshit. I don't know
- 58:28Speaker 2: what it is.
- 58:29Speaker 1: But that's the game up next Navy Federal Credit Union
- 58:32Speaker 1: Stadiums series.
- 58:33Speaker 2: Yeah, isn't that just great? So maybe that's a look
- 58:35Speaker 2: ahead because that is Tampa Bay.
- 58:37Speaker 1: It's a big game. It's just such a weird concept.
- 58:40Speaker 1: I don't know. And that game is gonna be on ESPN.
- 58:43Speaker 1: But I don't want. I don't want Philly.
- 58:44Speaker 2: Here either, because of the travel spot and the lack
- 58:47Speaker 2: of rest.
- 58:48Speaker 1: I don't want that.
- 58:49Speaker 2: The Bruins did drop for minus one sixty to minus
- 58:52Speaker 2: one thirty eight here. I don't know if maybe that
- 58:54Speaker 2: means that the Bruins are not using swaymen and net
- 58:56Speaker 2: in this one. I'm not really sure exactly what prompted
- 58:59Speaker 2: that huge movie. Because they have ninety four percent of
- 59:02Speaker 2: tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on them, I'm
- 59:04Speaker 2: not gonna put too much stock into those percentages there.
- 59:09Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, I mean for me, yeah,
- 59:16Speaker 2: I mean, I don't even really have an opinion on
- 59:18Speaker 2: the game, Like this is a complete stay away for me.
- 59:21Speaker 2: I hate this game. I just hope the Bruins win
- 59:23Speaker 2: because I'm a fan. But yeah, I mean, I don't know.
- 59:28Speaker 2: I mean, given that the Bruins have the better rest spot,
- 59:32Speaker 2: you know, I'm still kind of any Bruins of this one.
- 59:35Speaker 2: But no strong opinion here. Yeah, it might be corporates
- 59:39Speaker 2: Salo and Net. Here Bruins kind of alternate between the
- 59:43Speaker 2: two goalies to some extent. Swayman played the last game,
- 59:46Speaker 2: did go into overtime. They might want to use him
- 59:49Speaker 2: on Sunday, so you might have corpus Solo and Net
- 59:51Speaker 2: which would be part of that would probably be the
- 59:53Speaker 2: main reason why the line dropped like that, because Swayman
- 59:56Speaker 2: is significantly better. Pete, what's up Man? Spartanburg, South Carolina?
- 1:00:02Speaker 2: That's I believe where USC upstate is there?
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: I believe right? Did I get that right?
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: Sometimes I remember what city has certain schools in it.
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: LA Kings at Buffalo Kings are coming off a nice
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: win over Detroit. Will they be in a letdown spot
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: here where they're playing this hot Buffalo team. Probably not.
- 1:00:23Speaker 2: And LA did have a postponed game the game of
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: the game they were supposed to play before Detroit, so
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: they had a decent amount of rest there, so they're
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: arrested team coming in here with momentum. Don't really think
- 1:00:35Speaker 2: it's gonna be a letdown, just because Buffalo is a
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: team that's gonna catch your attention to this point, because
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: they've been on fire over the last couple of months.
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: Buffalo's won four games in a row now. But they're
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: coming home from a road trip. And you know, I
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: always talk about this road trip return spot. It's a
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: negative spot. Teams have to return back to family life,
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: they have to get stuffed done at home.
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: It could be a distraction.
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: They might overlook a mediocre Western Conference team here. Man,
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: Buffalo does have Montreal, Florida, Tampa Bay All coming up next.
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: Might consider all those to be bigger games, even though
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: they did just beat Montreal on the road and actually
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: at home not that long ago. But I don't like it, man,
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: it's a return home spot for Buffalo. They're coming off
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: some monster wins. They crushed the Islanders on the road,
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: but that was a win for us, I think on
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: the show. If I'm not mistaken, maybe it wasn't, but
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: they caught the Islanders in a really bad spot of
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: the inner return home spot. Then they obliterated Toronto in
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: their last game, So a team returning over from a
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: road trip that's been on fire offensively.
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: They scored sixteen goals in the last three games.
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this is a team that you want
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: to look to fade in a spot like this. Man
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: the return home spot on its own is also bad.
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: So yeah, I like the Kings in this game. Buffalo
- 1:01:48Speaker 2: down for minus one thirty to minus one, twenty one,
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: nine percent of the tickets, ninety five percent of the
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: cash on Buffalo.
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: They're a very public side.
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: I think this line movement is actually some reverse line
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: movement coming into against Buffalo.
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: I agree with that one. Obviously, I would play the Kings.
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: And we also know the Kings are a better road
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: team than a home team fourteen six and six on
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: the road, although Buffalo is good at home sixteen six
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: and three at home, but the Kings definitely have a
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: huge home road split towards the road games for them
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: this year weird because last year it was the opposite
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: for them. Colorado at Montreal, Colorado coming off another loss,
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: this time to Ottawa ugly five to two. That was
- 1:02:31Speaker 2: yesterday as well, So Colorado's on a back to back,
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: but maybe they.
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: Were looking ahead.
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: I don't know, but this is a really, really good
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: Colorado team, So even though it's a back to back,
- 1:02:41Speaker 2: coming off a game like that, they might bounce back here. Man,
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: try to get back on the winning side of this
- 1:02:46Speaker 2: road trip, try to fix some things. They'd crushed Ottawa
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: the previous time they played them not that long ago,
- 1:02:51Speaker 2: so Ottawa I think had a bit of a revenge motive.
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: I think Colorado didn't really take them seriously either, and
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: they might have been looking ahead, so they might take
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: Montreal more seriously. Montreal does have a better record than
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: Ottawa and they're the better team. Montreal is coming up
- 1:03:06Speaker 2: a big win over Vegas. Man, so even though I
- 1:03:09Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna overlook Colorado obviously, but they're gonna
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: have to put in two huge efforts in a row here,
- 1:03:15Speaker 2: and that was an overtime game against Vegas. They might
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: have to put Montemba back in net here, and he
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: hasn't been very good recently. Doves has been their better
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: goaltender man They've lost the last two games Montabeau played.
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: Lost three of the last four games that he started,
- 1:03:30Speaker 2: and one of the game the game.
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: That they won in that span, they won six to five,
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: so he.
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: Hasn't been very good. He's montem blown recently. I probably
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: have to lean to Colorado in this game, and the
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: money is totally disagreeing with me on that one.
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: I don't know man.
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: Colorado down for minus one thirty, minus one fifteen, sixty
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets on them, sixty nine percent of
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: the casual Montreal. It does look too easy to play
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: Colorado here, but I think the spot is a little
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: bit better for them, So I disagree with the mark
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: in that one, but I don't want to touch that game.
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: Winnipeg at Tampa I was right about Winnipeg in their
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: last game.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: They won against the Devils.
- 1:04:09Speaker 2: Devils in a return home spot that was almost on
- 1:04:12Speaker 2: my card. I kind of wish it was. Winnipeg actually
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: kind of dominated that game. I think they're winning that
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: game four to one. At one point they dominated the
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: game statistically.
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure.
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: Coming up a nice win. But they're not gonna overlook
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: Tampa Bay either. Tampa Bay is really good, even though
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: they do a Florida Dallas up next. Difficult run of
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: games for Winnipeg here, but they're not gonna overlook Tampa Bay.
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: Tampa Bay might overlook them. Tampa Bay just had a
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: shutout win over Utah staying at home, and they have
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: that weird Raymond James Stadium game up next against Boston
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: on ESPN, so there is the potential look ahead there
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: for the lightning there. So yeah, overall in this game,
- 1:04:53Speaker 2: I lean towards Winnipeg in this one, Tampa Bay very public.
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: They've already dropped from minus two o five to minus
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: one seventy eight. I don't know if that might be
- 1:05:01Speaker 2: because they're gonna go with Johanson and net in this
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: one instead of Vassilevsky.
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: They're very public though, ninety five percent of the tickets,
- 1:05:08Speaker 2: ninety six percent of the cash for however much weight
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: you want to put into the percentages in hockey games
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: where the public doesn't really get hugely involved in hockey,
- 1:05:17Speaker 2: but the line has definitely significantly dropped. I think it's
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: a situation where you could do like a make your
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: own plus one puck line type of situation on Winnipeg,
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: part of it on the plus one and a half
- 1:05:27Speaker 2: puck line, part of it on the money line, and
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: see what happens. Be a little bit risk averse there,
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: but yeah, slightly for me to Winnipeg in that one
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: Nashville at New Jersey. Nashville just took that ot loss
- 1:05:39Speaker 2: in Boston. Now they're traveling in New Jersey. Not a
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: very difficult travel spot here, just going from Boston to
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: the New York area. Maybe a little bit of a
- 1:05:48Speaker 2: bounce back spot for Nashville here. Don't know if they're
- 1:05:50Speaker 2: gonna continue using sorrows here or if they'll switch to
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: a newonan who hasn't been as good.
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: I don't think certainly.
- 1:05:58Speaker 2: He wasn't in there in the last game that he played,
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: but he might want. He might be in like a
- 1:06:02Speaker 2: bounce back mode after a bad game like that. But
- 1:06:04Speaker 2: I think this is a more positive spot for New
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: Jersey because they just return home from a road trip,
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: like I mentioned, and they had a pretty bad game
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: against Winnipeg, And as I always talking about, when teams
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: were turned on from road trips, it's a bad spot.
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: It's a distracted spot. More often than not. They can struggle,
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: they have to get back to home life, whatever. But
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: if that does happen, they usually bounce back and play
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: better in the next game. Is now they've done what
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: they need to get done. They just got punched in
- 1:06:28Speaker 2: the mouth.
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: They get back to.
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: It, they focus, they refocus, they fix things. So I
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: probably have to lean to New Jersey in this one,
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: but the money is not agreeing with me. What else
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: is New New Jersey down for minus one forty to
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: minus one thirty three here sixty four percent of the
- 1:06:44Speaker 2: tickets on them, eighty percent of the cash on the Predators.
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: But I would lean towards New Jersey in that one.
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: I think the spot is pretty positive for them, So
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: take from that what you want to the rematch.
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: Of New York New the two teams that played yesterday.
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: They're switching venues here, going from Queens to Madison Square
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: Garden for this one. And of course I always mentioned
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: how bad the Rangers are at home this year. They're
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: terrible in Madison Square Garden six thirteen and four at home,
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: just abysmal. They might they have to be the worst
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: home team in hockey, man, just horrible. There's so much
- 1:07:21Speaker 2: better on the road than at home. But this is
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: a zigzag spot.
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: The Islanders to just beat the Rangers, which I thought
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: the Rangers would win last night, and that didn't happen.
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: So both teams around a back to back here. The
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: Islanders won five to two yesterday and that was without
- 1:07:38Speaker 1: Sarrakan a net, So Ridditch was a net for that one.
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: So the Islanders will have their better goalie in net for.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: This one, Sorak, and so that would worry me if
- 1:07:47Speaker 2: I want to look for the Rangers here, the fact
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: that they're awful at home does worry me as well.
- 1:07:52Speaker 2: Yes it is a zigzag spot though, So again, the
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: Islanders hammered the Rangers last night.
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: The game might not.
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: Have been exactly what it looked like if we look
- 1:08:03Speaker 2: at the stats.
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: Well, actually, I don't know. Yeah, it kind of was.
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: The Islanders outshot the Rangers my twenty in the game,
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: so they were dominant with the shots on goal, They
- 1:08:12Speaker 2: won way more of the face offs.
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: Rangers had more hits, but.
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: Maybe that's just because they got frustrated towards the end
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: of the game. So yeah, that game was actually not
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: really that misleading on the scoreboard there. So if I
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: was gonna really want to play the Rangers here, I
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: would want to be looking for that stat sheet from
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: yesterday to be misleading, like I'd be looking for like
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: empty net goals happening the stats to be closer, but
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: that wasn't the case the Ranger.
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: The Islanders dominated them in that game. Man. Now, do
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: the Islanders have a big game up next is a
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: question to answer here. They do not.
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: They played Nashville, so no, so they might still be
- 1:08:47Speaker 2: focused here on this game against the Rangers.
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: So I worry about it. Man.
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: I'll lean to the Rangers just because, yes, it is
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: the Zigzag, but I do not love it. You're getting
- 1:08:58Speaker 2: him as a home underdog at the very least, but
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: you probably should be because they're that bad at home,
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: and the oddsmakers are actually telling you that the Islanders
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: are this much better than the Rangers in this venue.
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: Crazy.
- 1:09:11Speaker 2: The Islanders rough for mind is one ten to minus
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: one thirty two. But yeah, the public is on that
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: side eighty seven percent of tickets and only fifty eight
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: percent of the cash. So the market read is in
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: agreement with SOB on this one. I mean, yeah, I personally,
- 1:09:26Speaker 2: I even though yeah, I agree, I have a lot.
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: Of concerns with it.
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: So saying away, I mean, I probably like that one
- 1:09:34Speaker 2: better than the Philadelphia one, for what it's worth, but
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: both those games I just don't Yeah, I just don't
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: have a read.
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: Really, I don't have a great read on them.
- 1:09:45Speaker 2: I think my read is better on the Rangers though,
- 1:09:47Speaker 2: just because there is at least the zigzag component there so,
- 1:09:51Speaker 2: which is always you know, when you just played that
- 1:09:53Speaker 2: same team and everything went wrong, you're the team that
- 1:09:55Speaker 2: has the adjustments to make with the team that won.
- 1:09:57Speaker 2: Everything went well for you, so you have no a
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: job to make. So that's why the zig zag does
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: work more often than not. And yeah, you're probably getting
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: a little bit of line value on the Rangers there,
- 1:10:06Speaker 2: all right. Chicago at Pittsburgh. The way Chicago lost this
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: game against Minnesota on Tuesday was absolutely brutal.
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: They went into Minnesota and they had a three nothing
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: lead against Minnesota and they wound up losing the game
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: in a shootout.
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: That is as brutal as it gets. Man.
- 1:10:24Speaker 2: As a big underdog in this game in Chicago did
- 1:10:26Speaker 2: outshoot Minnesota, out face off them. Although Minnesota out hit them.
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: Minnesota was the more physical team. But that's brutal man.
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: I've seen some stats about how Minnesota is like high
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: up in the standings, just like because they have so
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: many overtime losses like this, Minnesota team might be kind
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: of overrated like they were last year.
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:10:44Speaker 2: We'll see, but I think it's gonna be tough for
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: Chicago to bounce back off the way that they lost
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: that game to Minnesota, and they had that game one.
- 1:10:52Speaker 2: It's gonna be difficult for them, man. And they might
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: be switching back to Soda Blooming Net too, because they've
- 1:10:57Speaker 2: typically gone two with Night and then a game with
- 1:11:01Speaker 2: Soda Blooms. That's probably gonna be the case here, so
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: they're lesser goalie will be.
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: In net here.
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: Pittsburgh coming into this game, though, they're returning over from
- 1:11:09Speaker 2: a road trip, so that's not good. They just went
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: out to the Pacific Northwest and they swept the road
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: trip four wins on the road, although really the only
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: good team at all that they played was Edmonton. The
- 1:11:19Speaker 2: rest of those teams suck, but they did crush Edmonton,
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: and they didn't use Skinner.
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: In that game.
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: Skinner got them to win in the other three games.
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: They'll played pretty well in the other three games. But
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: it's a return home spot. And you know, I always
- 1:11:32Speaker 2: talk about this when teams return home from road trips,
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: they could be distracted.
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: They have to get back to home life.
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: Yeah, Pittsburgh get three days off here to settle back
- 1:11:40Speaker 2: in at home, but that might hurt their momentum. Man Like,
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: when you're on a win streak like this, you do
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: not want to have a bunch of days off here.
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: So I think that's a problem.
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: And they do have an ABC game on Saturday against
- 1:11:51Speaker 2: the Rangers, so I know it's the Rangers, but it
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: is still a TV game. And are you really gonna
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: be that excited to play the Chicago Blackhawks here?
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: Probably not.
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: So the spot is actually really bad for Pittsburgh here,
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: even though I don't think it's good.
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: For Chicago by any means.
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, this is a game where it's one
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: of those games where I might actually look to an over,
- 1:12:11Speaker 2: but I would worry that Pittsburgh will start slow because
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: they've had too many days off, you know what I mean.
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: So that's the concern with an over there, Like if
- 1:12:18Speaker 2: both teams are gonna be like kind of fatigued, then
- 1:12:21Speaker 2: I would probably be looking for the over total is
- 1:12:24Speaker 2: sitting around. It's six juice to the over, basically eighty
- 1:12:27Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety two percent of the cash on
- 1:12:29Speaker 2: the over. So there's that information for what it's worth
- 1:12:33Speaker 2: Pittsburgh dropped for minus one seventy to minus one sixty five.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: They have eighty six percent of the tickets and ninety
- 1:12:38Speaker 2: four percent of the cash that's in the money line
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: market there. I as brutal as that loss for Chicago was.
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: I think I have to lean to Chicago because the
- 1:12:49Speaker 2: road trip return is so bad and it would be
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: one of those make your own plus one puck line
- 1:12:54Speaker 2: situations or whatever there. But I don't want anything to
- 1:12:56Speaker 2: do with it. Utah at Carolina. Utah coming into this
- 1:13:03Speaker 2: game off beating Florida, and they played Tampa Bay the
- 1:13:06Speaker 2: game before that, so they're playing a third game in
- 1:13:08Speaker 2: four days, a fourth game in six days, all in
- 1:13:11Speaker 2: different cities, and they play Dallas next too, So a
- 1:13:13Speaker 2: really tough stretch of games here. And now they're not
- 1:13:16Speaker 2: gonna overlook Carolina. But when you're coming off of already
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: playing Tampa Bay and Florida and now have a third
- 1:13:22Speaker 2: game in four days, all in different cities, and you
- 1:13:24Speaker 2: just beat the returning champs Florida, I think it's gonna
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: be a bit difficult to have a full effort again
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: in a game like this. They will have Vamelka back
- 1:13:32Speaker 2: in net because they actually beat Florida with Vanachek and net,
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: so their better goalie will be in net here. For Carolina,
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: they just beat Ottawa, very easy win for them, and
- 1:13:41Speaker 2: they've had four days off. They go out to Washington next,
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: but I don't know if that's really a big game
- 1:13:47Speaker 2: because Washington's really been struggling, so I don't know Carolina's
- 1:13:51Speaker 2: very rested here. They're in a spot where they might
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: show up because they just haven't played for a while,
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: but they might start slow because they've had too much
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: time off. Carolina has dropped for minus one ninety to
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: minus one fifty eight here, so maybe when I see
- 1:14:04Speaker 2: a huge move like that, I think usually it's more
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: personnel related, like they must be switching goalies or something.
- 1:14:11Speaker 2: Maybe we're not getting we're not getting the bussy in
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: net in this game.
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: I don't know what the case is.
- 1:14:16Speaker 2: There n per tickets ninety seven percent of the cash
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: on Carolina, so they're gonna be a public side. But
- 1:14:23Speaker 2: I probably do lean to the Carolina side to this one.
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: It would be like a make your own minus one
- 1:14:28Speaker 2: puck line situation probably on that one where if the
- 1:14:31Speaker 2: line continues to.
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: Drop, maybe a money line on that.
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: But Carolina is just a way more rested team coming
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: into that one, Matt, so I probably just have to
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: lean that way. Washington had Detroit, Washington coming into this
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: game off of getting crushed by Seattle.
- 1:14:46Speaker 1: Terrible loss for.
- 1:14:47Speaker 2: Them there, but remember that was a win for us
- 1:14:49Speaker 2: on the show because Washington was coming off of brutal
- 1:14:52Speaker 2: overtime loss to Edmonds in the game before that, where
- 1:14:54Speaker 2: Washington had the game one pretty much in regulation and
- 1:14:57Speaker 2: blew it and lost in ot and then they had
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: to try right. Carolina Islanders all up next, so and Philly.
- 1:15:03Speaker 2: So that was a sandwich spot. We got it with Seattle.
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: But now this might be the spot where maybe Washington
- 1:15:09Speaker 2: does show up again because that was part of the sandwich. Now,
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: they took an ugly loss in that bad sandwich spot
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: and it was kind of explainable. Probably they'll show up
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: for a game that gets a good team like the
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: Red Wings. The Red Wings they're in a decent spot
- 1:15:23Speaker 2: as well, though they did just return home from a
- 1:15:25Speaker 2: road trip and lost the game. And as I will
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: continue to mention, returning home from road trips bad spot.
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: You have to get back to home life. It could
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: be a distracted spot. They didn't really pay attention to
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: the La Kings. The Kings are good on the road.
- 1:15:39Speaker 2: They beat the Red Wings there, so the red Wings
- 1:15:41Speaker 2: after taking a loss like that in that return home
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: spot could be a positive spot for them when they
- 1:15:45Speaker 2: might show up for a game like this. This game's
- 1:15:48Speaker 2: on Hulu, but they do have Colorado up next, so
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: there is maybe the possibility of look ahead here for Detroit.
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: And maybe Detroit doesn't get that excited to play Washington
- 1:15:59Speaker 2: here because Washington hasn't played that well recently. So I
- 1:16:03Speaker 2: will lean to Washington in this game. Detroit down for
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: minus one twenty to minus one eighteen. The market does
- 1:16:08Speaker 2: seem to agree with me on this one ninety two
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, eighty two percent of the cash
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: on a very public Detroit side looks way too easy
- 1:16:15Speaker 2: to lay it with Detroit here, man and the oddsmakers
- 1:16:17Speaker 2: are telling you these teams are about even power ratings wise,
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: believe it or not. Detroit basically just getting whole ice
- 1:16:24Speaker 2: on the line and nothing else, and they're very public
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: with less than the money on them in starting to
- 1:16:28Speaker 2: see reverse live boomit. So yeah, I lean to Washington
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: in that one Florida at Saint Louis, let's see here,
- 1:16:39Speaker 2: and that was the first game of a Hulu doubleheader tonight,
- 1:16:42Speaker 2: and probably the better of the two, definitely the better
- 1:16:45Speaker 2: of the two.
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: Florida coming into this game off that lost to Utah.
- 1:16:49Speaker 2: Florida was in return home spot there and they were
- 1:16:51Speaker 2: playing a third game in four days and fourth game
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: in six days, all in different cities.
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: That wasn't easy to do. Although now they're still playing
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: another fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: so that's still not that great. But they are going
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: out on the road for a game.
- 1:17:08Speaker 2: Maybe leaving home after kind of an ugly loss would
- 1:17:11Speaker 2: be a good thing. Maybe they will be focused to
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: play Saint Louis here at Saint Louis Is coming off
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: a couple of really tough games against Dallas, actually two
- 1:17:20Speaker 2: games against Dallas in a game against the Kings Sandwich
- 1:17:23Speaker 2: in there, and they lost every one of those games
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: by one. They almost beat Dallas in the first game,
- 1:17:28Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, had to turn round play the next
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: night and took La into a shootout. And then on
- 1:17:33Speaker 2: Tuesday they lost by one to Dallas again. And this game,
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: let me see, they came back from down three to
- 1:17:42Speaker 2: nothing in this game to tie the game late, only
- 1:17:44Speaker 2: to then lose it with like a minute left in regulation.
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: Another brutal loss for Saint Louis, even though they should
- 1:17:50Speaker 2: get up for a game against Florida.
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: I think you're looking at a Florida.
- 1:17:54Speaker 2: Team that might be focused, and they're the better team here.
- 1:17:57Speaker 2: So even though Saint Louis might get up for it,
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: I think Florida is the right side in this one.
- 1:18:01Speaker 2: But they're kind of out of that range where I'd
- 1:18:03Speaker 2: want to play the money line on them now. They're
- 1:18:04Speaker 2: up for minus one forty five to minus one fifty eight,
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: so maybe make your own minus one puck line maybe
- 1:18:11Speaker 2: makes sense in that one, but it's a low total
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: at five and a half, so i'd worry about that.
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: I don't know, man, Maybe a money line in Florida
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: still makes sense in that one, even though it's a
- 1:18:22Speaker 2: little bit expensive at that point you're laying it on
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: the road, but it's I'm staying away from it. Of course,
- 1:18:28Speaker 2: Calgary at Minnesota, Calgary coming into this, I mean, Calgary
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: just can't get a win right now.
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: Man. They did just take Anaheim into overtime.
- 1:18:36Speaker 2: And now they've had three days off, so that might
- 1:18:38Speaker 2: help break this losing momentum because they've lost four games
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: in a row, so having extra days off.
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: Should help you going out on the road.
- 1:18:46Speaker 2: They should be focused on Minnesota, even though that was
- 1:18:48Speaker 2: kind of a brutal loss to Anaheim.
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: That they took it.
- 1:18:51Speaker 2: I thought Calgary is the right side in this game.
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: Calgary actually outplayed Anaheim statistically all over this game. They
- 1:18:59Speaker 2: had fourteen more shots, they won almost sixty percent of
- 1:19:03Speaker 2: the face offs, and had more hits too. So Calgary
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: was kind of the better team in this game, and
- 1:19:07Speaker 2: they led to nothing early. They never trailed until the
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: final score in the game. They kept having leads in
- 1:19:14Speaker 2: the game. Chris Crider, Massachusetts Man my man who is
- 1:19:21Speaker 2: friends with the son of one of my coworkers at
- 1:19:23Speaker 2: my first company. He tied the game in regulation and
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: it was an overtime loss. That's a brutal loss for Calgary,
- 1:19:31Speaker 2: man really, so, although yes, they were the better team
- 1:19:34Speaker 2: in the game, so they were better than they looked
- 1:19:36Speaker 2: in that game. They won't overlook Minnesota, but Minnesota they
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: might show up with some intensity in this game because
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: they just had that bad game against Chicago. And that
- 1:19:46Speaker 2: was coming off a big game against Detroit, a couple
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: of big games in a row.
- 1:19:49Speaker 1: Against Detroit Florida. So I don't know.
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: They were kind of in a difficult spot against Chicago
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: and they still escaped with the win, and they came
- 1:19:58Speaker 2: back from down big as big favorites, and I talk
- 1:20:01Speaker 2: about that one. A big favorite escapes a lot of times.
- 1:20:04Speaker 2: They will play better in the next game. They will
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: have gust of sinnback and net for this one. I
- 1:20:09Speaker 2: think maybe not though, because they have used wallstet multiple
- 1:20:12Speaker 2: games in a row as well, and they do have
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: Edmonton on deck, and that is the concern of Minnesota
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: might be looking ahead to Edmonton here. That's one thing
- 1:20:19Speaker 2: to be concerned about. SAB has Calgary and this one.
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: Man Minnesota down for minus two twenty to minus ninety
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: tickets on them ninety five percent of the casual on them.
- 1:20:32Speaker 2: That drop on the money line might actually mean that
- 1:20:34Speaker 2: it is gonna be Wallstet in net for Minnesota on
- 1:20:37Speaker 2: this one, So that might be why the line has
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: moved to that extent. I kind of prefer Minnesota on
- 1:20:45Speaker 2: this one, even though they have the look ahead. I
- 1:20:47Speaker 2: kind of disagree with Calgary here. Minnesota coming off and escape,
- 1:20:52Speaker 2: like I said, is a big favorite.
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: Calgary coming up.
- 1:20:54Speaker 2: In absolutely brutal loss as an underdog on the road,
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: or no, that was at home.
- 1:21:00Speaker 1: Actually Calgary is a favorite, excusing at home.
- 1:21:02Speaker 2: Nevermind they're a small favorite at home, but still brutal
- 1:21:05Speaker 2: loss against a superior team to them. So yeah, I
- 1:21:08Speaker 2: don't want to touch that game. And we still haven't
- 1:21:10Speaker 2: gotten to my hockey game yet. I do have a
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: hockey play. Like I said, of course it is gonna
- 1:21:14Speaker 2: be one of.
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: These late games, and it's not this one either. San
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: Jose at Edmonton.
- 1:21:18Speaker 2: San Jose just beat Vancouver whatever, they're coming into this
- 1:21:23Speaker 2: game now against Edmonton. They should show up with focus
- 1:21:25Speaker 2: here against Edmonton San Jose. I mean people are talking
- 1:21:29Speaker 2: about them now. The record looks good, so San Jose
- 1:21:31Speaker 2: is not exactly a team that's gonna be overlooked.
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: Now.
- 1:21:35Speaker 2: For Edmonton, they're coming up of a very satisfying seven
- 1:21:38Speaker 2: to four win against Anaheim. Though they've been playing these
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: high scoring games. They beat Washington six' five the game before.
- 1:21:44Speaker 2: That they do Have minnesota on. Decks they still actually
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: might look ahead to that because that's still a bigger
- 1:21:49Speaker 2: game Than San. Jose so With edmonton scoring all these
- 1:21:52Speaker 2: goals and maybe having the look ahead, HERE i THINK
- 1:21:56Speaker 2: i would lean To San. Jose in this, Game edmondon
- 1:21:59Speaker 2: dropped all the way from its two to, fifty you,
- 1:22:00Speaker 2: know minus one eighty. One so again there must be
- 1:22:02Speaker 2: like a goaltender change or something, here BECAUSE i don't
- 1:22:05Speaker 2: know why the line would move to that. Extent, otherwise
- 1:22:09Speaker 2: eighty percent of the, tickets eighty one percent of the
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: cash On, edmonton they will be a public. SIDE i
- 1:22:14Speaker 2: would probably lean Towards San jose in that. One it's
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: not a strong opinion though at, all like it would
- 1:22:19Speaker 2: be like a plus one make your own puck line
- 1:22:22Speaker 2: on that one. Again in my, opinion for, me this
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: next game, up this is my.
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: Play let's do. It we're going right back to. It.
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: Man this is as ugly as it. Gets.
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: Man we got to play on the ugliest team in,
- 1:22:33Speaker 2: hockey AND i think they let me down the last
- 1:22:35Speaker 2: time we tried to do. It we're taking The Vancouver,
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: Canucks canucks Against, ducks and hope it doesn't. Suck i'm
- 1:22:42Speaker 2: writing poetry on the fly. Here HOPEFULLY i don't say
- 1:22:45Speaker 2: fuck when all is said and done, here and we're
- 1:22:48Speaker 2: gonna try to buck this trend Of vancouver losing every game.
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: Recently But anaheim there streak just did get. Bucked they
- 1:22:58Speaker 2: just had an eight game WIN i think it's their
- 1:23:00Speaker 2: seven game win streak and they just lost Ed. Edmonton
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: that's a pretty brutal, loss. Man it was on a
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: back to Back. Edmonton you still get up for a
- 1:23:08Speaker 2: game like. That they did have whoso in net in that,
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: one Not Hussy, hussy who's. So so they will have
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: A dostal back in net in this, one so they
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: will have their better goalie back in net here for this.
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: One but, still that's a brutal, loss.
- 1:23:26Speaker 2: MAN i always talk about it when a team loses
- 1:23:28Speaker 2: along win streak like, this a lot of times it
- 1:23:30Speaker 2: will be hung over in the next. Game it was
- 1:23:32Speaker 2: a big game for them Against. Edmonton this game was
- 1:23:35Speaker 2: also closer than it looked like on the, Scoreboard SO
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: i dug into this box. Score if you look at
- 1:23:40Speaker 2: what happened in this, Game anaheim was within one goal
- 1:23:43Speaker 2: in the third.
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: Period they cut it to five to. Four after they
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: were losing five to, two they cut it back to
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: five to, four and it was that way until the very,
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: end and then they give up two empty net. Goals
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: so the score was not what it looked.
- 1:23:55Speaker 2: Like, yes it does Mean anaheim did play pretty well
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: in the, game and they were better than they looked
- 1:24:00Speaker 2: on the.
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: Scoreboard that's, true but it was just such a brutal
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: way to. Lose.
- 1:24:04Speaker 2: Man, yes they had more, hits they had more, faceoffs
- 1:24:07Speaker 2: they had more. Shots they actually Outplayed edmonton in the,
- 1:24:09Speaker 2: game although more shots partially because they were. Losing so,
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: yes you could argue That anaheim was better than they
- 1:24:14Speaker 2: looked in the. Game BUT i don't think we're gonna
- 1:24:17Speaker 2: get be getting any line value here going Against excuse,
- 1:24:20Speaker 2: Me we're not getting any live value On anaheim in this.
- 1:24:22Speaker 2: Game let me put it that, way because they're Playing vancouver,
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: here SO i don't. Care everybody Knows anaheim is better Than,
- 1:24:28Speaker 2: vancouver so nobody's gonna care That anaheim actually happened to
- 1:24:32Speaker 2: be better than they looked in That edmonton. Game What
- 1:24:34Speaker 2: i'm looking at is the fact that they put they
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: almost won the game At, edmonton brutal way to lose that.
- 1:24:39Speaker 2: Game now they got this, game they've had their win streak.
- 1:24:42Speaker 2: SNAPPED i don't think they care About. Vancouver they've already
- 1:24:45Speaker 2: won the road. Trip they're three to one on the road,
- 1:24:47Speaker 2: trip and they come back home and they Play vegas.
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: ON espn On.
- 1:24:52Speaker 2: Sunday that is a monster look AHEAD i think to that,
- 1:24:55Speaker 2: game that's a huge, Game NATIONAL tv game On, sunday massive.
- 1:25:00Speaker 2: GAME i think it's a look ahead. Spot SO i
- 1:25:02Speaker 2: think we have a sandwich spot. HERE i think they
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: might look right past This vancouver. Team it's been awful
- 1:25:07Speaker 2: and can't win a. GAME i think you know you're
- 1:25:09Speaker 2: gonna get that f for it out Of, vancouver at
- 1:25:10Speaker 2: least because they've lost so many games. Recently they've lost
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: fourteen to fifteen games probably or something like.
- 1:25:16Speaker 1: That. HORRIFIC i get. It but they're staying at home.
- 1:25:20Speaker 2: Here they've been at home Since january, seventeenth and they've
- 1:25:23Speaker 2: only won one. Game they've got to get something done, here,
- 1:25:25Speaker 2: man and maybe they'll be able to do it. HERE
- 1:25:28Speaker 2: i don't know if we do we have a play
- 1:25:29Speaker 2: on them in that. WIN i don't remember if we.
- 1:25:31Speaker 2: DID i think we've taken a loss or two On vancouver,
- 1:25:33Speaker 2: recently but hopefully it doesn't happen. Here they're coming up
- 1:25:36Speaker 2: an ugly five to two loss at home To San.
- 1:25:38Speaker 1: Jose they're still staying at.
- 1:25:40Speaker 2: Home they've had a day off between every one of
- 1:25:43Speaker 2: these games, recently so it's, been you, know day on day,
- 1:25:47Speaker 2: off day on day. Off they haven't had a back
- 1:25:48Speaker 2: to back in a long long, time so the rest
- 1:25:52Speaker 2: spot is fine for. Them they're not having to. TRAVEL
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: i think they're gonna want to get a win here
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: on this, awful awful home stand before it, ends with
- 1:26:00Speaker 2: one more game to go after, This vancouver is my play.
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: Here.
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: Man we don't see the percentages yet on. This anaheim's
- 1:26:06Speaker 2: up for minus one thirty to minus one. Forty BUT
- 1:26:10Speaker 2: i think the spot is horrible For, anaheims so we
- 1:26:13Speaker 2: will be on The. CANUCKS i know how ugly it, Is,
- 1:26:15Speaker 2: MAN i get, it but that's WHAT i. Do Sometimes
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: i'm SOMETIMES i try to be the streak. Breaker dallas
- 1:26:22Speaker 2: At vegas probably the best hockey, day hockey game of the,
- 1:26:25Speaker 2: day excuse, me or of the. Night the best hockey
- 1:26:28Speaker 2: day maybe, two because it's.
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: All the teams are. PLAYING i Believe. Dallas they just
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: Beat Saint louis.
- 1:26:35Speaker 2: Twice close calls in both of those, games, Though, man
- 1:26:38Speaker 2: and they had a lot of days off between those,
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: two so they're pretty well rested. Here they are traveling
- 1:26:43Speaker 2: From Saint louis To, vegas, though so they're changing time.
- 1:26:46Speaker 2: Zones BUT i think there's no way they Overlook vegas
- 1:26:48Speaker 2: here since they they don't have this game surrounded by anything.
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: Bigger SO i think you're gonna get a Focused dallas
- 1:26:54Speaker 2: team in here coming off not playing too well Against Saint.
- 1:26:59Speaker 2: Louis and now For, vegas, yeah they've lost two games
- 1:27:01Speaker 2: in a, row but they're returning home from a road.
- 1:27:03Speaker 1: Trip.
- 1:27:04Speaker 2: Man they took them up to Eastern canada and The East.
- 1:27:07Speaker 2: Coast that's not. GOOD i don't think For vegas this
- 1:27:11Speaker 2: is gonna be one of the longest Road, like that's
- 1:27:14Speaker 2: one of the longest distances they've had to travel to
- 1:27:17Speaker 2: travel home from a road. Trip SO i don't like,
- 1:27:19Speaker 2: it even though, yes they should focus On dallas ideally
- 1:27:22Speaker 2: Because dallas is a good. Team but return home spots
- 1:27:25Speaker 2: are always almost always, negative, MAN i mean it's always a.
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: NEGATIVE i, mean some teams can adapt to, it and
- 1:27:32Speaker 2: you're not gonna win every single game fading these. Teams
- 1:27:34Speaker 2: BUT i think you either have to fade that team
- 1:27:36Speaker 2: or pass on the. Game you, know return home spots
- 1:27:40Speaker 2: is very. Difficult you're having to travel multiple time. Zones
- 1:27:43Speaker 2: readjust get back. Home you have stuff to do at.
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: Home it becomes a.
- 1:27:46Speaker 2: Distraction SO i Like dallas in this. Game dallas looks
- 1:27:52Speaker 2: like they're taking the. Money vegas down for minus one
- 1:27:54Speaker 2: thirty to minus one, fourteen sixty seven percent of, tickets
- 1:27:57Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash On. DALLAS i agree
- 1:28:00Speaker 2: With dallas in that, one LIKE i. Said and then
- 1:28:02Speaker 2: the final game for some reason is On hulu Between
- 1:28:05Speaker 2: toronto And.
- 1:28:05Speaker 1: SEATTLE i don't know about this. One. Man this is
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: an ugly. GAME i don't like the game at.
- 1:28:11Speaker 2: All But toronto is on a five game losing streak
- 1:28:14Speaker 2: and they've lost pretty ugly in a lot of these. Games,
- 1:28:17Speaker 2: Man maybe it's gonna be good for them to just
- 1:28:19Speaker 2: go out on the, road because that was a home.
- 1:28:20Speaker 2: Stand they lost all five games on the home. STAND i,
- 1:28:23Speaker 2: mean they played mostly good teams or pretty much all
- 1:28:27Speaker 2: good teams on that home, stand but couldn't get a.
- 1:28:29Speaker 2: Win maybe the best thing for you is to just
- 1:28:31Speaker 2: go out on the road and step down in class
- 1:28:34Speaker 2: and play a beatable team Like. Seattle you, Know seattle's
- 1:28:37Speaker 2: worse than all of those teams they just lost. To
- 1:28:40Speaker 2: going out of the road should be a good. Thing
- 1:28:42Speaker 2: although it is a late Night Pacific coast. GAME i
- 1:28:44Speaker 2: do worry about when These East coast teams go west
- 1:28:47Speaker 2: that first game where they have to adjust to the
- 1:28:49Speaker 2: times on to play a late night game on their biological.
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: Clock that is a little bit.
- 1:28:53Speaker 2: Worrisome BUT i think it's mostly a positive to just
- 1:28:56Speaker 2: get out of, home try to break that losing. Momentum
- 1:29:00Speaker 2: things have been going horrible for you at, home just
- 1:29:01Speaker 2: forget about. It go on the, road play a road,
- 1:29:04Speaker 2: game you know WHAT i, Mean focus on. Hockey SO
- 1:29:06Speaker 2: i think it is mostly a positive For. Toronto here For,
- 1:29:09Speaker 2: seattle they just Crushed washington five to, one so they're
- 1:29:13Speaker 2: probably feeling pretty, good and they got to Play vegas up.
- 1:29:16Speaker 2: Next they gotta start a roadrop and Play. Vegas so
- 1:29:18Speaker 2: even though they're hosting A hulu game.
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: Here.
- 1:29:22Speaker 2: To, me this spot Is toronto or Pass. Man that's
- 1:29:26Speaker 2: the WAY i would go in this. Game the line
- 1:29:28Speaker 2: did flip From seattle plus one hundred minus one oh, seven,
- 1:29:31Speaker 2: though so the money's coming out In.
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: SEATTLE i don't agree with.
- 1:29:34Speaker 2: That seventy three percent of tickets ninety one percent of
- 1:29:37Speaker 2: the cash On.
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: Seattle, YEAH i don't like.
- 1:29:39Speaker 2: It the oddsbegagers are actually still telling You toronto is
- 1:29:42Speaker 2: still the better team Over seattle by not Giving seattle
- 1:29:45Speaker 2: full whole ice.
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: Here so, YEAH i Like toronto and that. One IF
- 1:29:48Speaker 1: i was gonna play, it that's the WAY i would.
- 1:29:50Speaker 2: Go and then we have THE nba to finish the
- 1:29:54Speaker 2: show off, Here i'll, Go i'll do a quick break.
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: Here i'll be right. Back i'll give the uh the board.
- 1:30:01Speaker 2: HERE i don't have ANY nba plays, though so UNFORTUNATELY i,
- 1:30:04Speaker 2: apologize but it's just the way that it.
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: IS i don't like the.
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: Board i'm skipping THE, nba But i'm still going to
- 1:30:09Speaker 2: talk about, it AND i will be right back to do.
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: That all, Right i'm, Back what is up? Everybody all?
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: RIGHT nba to finish this off.
- 1:31:16Speaker 2: Here fairly long, show but it won't it won't go
- 1:31:19Speaker 2: two hours. Here we do have a decent amount OF nba,
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: here eight, GAMES i, think maybe, nine whatever it, is.
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i don't have a great opinion on any of. These,
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: man they're all evening.
- 1:31:29Speaker 2: Games sacramento At philadelphia is the first game. Up oh,
- 1:31:33Speaker 2: God sacramento is on another losing. Streak they've been awful again,
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: recently even Though sabonis is back, now but they've lost
- 1:31:40Speaker 2: six games in a. Row they just got pretty much
- 1:31:43Speaker 2: killed by The. Knicks but you gotta think at this,
- 1:31:46Speaker 2: point you know you're probably gonna get an effort out
- 1:31:48Speaker 2: of The kings more often than.
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: Not it's just they're not that.
- 1:31:51Speaker 2: Good they're gonna be a big, underdog and pretty much
- 1:31:54Speaker 2: all these games on the, road they're gonna try to
- 1:31:56Speaker 2: get a win on the road on the road. Trip
- 1:31:58Speaker 2: at this, point you know they do A boston. Next
- 1:32:01Speaker 2: they're not gonna Overlook, philadelphia. Though when you're, losing you'll
- 1:32:03Speaker 2: show up and try to, win unless you're coming off
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: like a really close, game huge efforts something like, that
- 1:32:09Speaker 2: which is not the. Case philadelphia did just Beat, milwaukee
- 1:32:12Speaker 2: Although milwaukee Without, Yannis milwaukee's really struggling right. Now looks
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: LIKE i don't even know how Hurt giannis really, is
- 1:32:19Speaker 2: to be, honest because it looks like they're trying to trade.
- 1:32:21Speaker 2: Him he wants out because That milwaukee team's. Losing Doc
- 1:32:25Speaker 2: rivers is losing control. There it's bad In. Milwaukee philadelphia
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: doesn't have any big game up. Next they Got New orleans,
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: Next SO i don't, know, MAN i, mean it's a
- 1:32:36Speaker 2: very very difficult. Read the money is coming in on
- 1:32:38Speaker 2: The sixers for what it's, worth you, know it might
- 1:32:41Speaker 2: be probably it's a situation where it's JUST i, mean
- 1:32:45Speaker 2: The kings are more traveled right. Now sixers are definitely
- 1:32:49Speaker 2: the better team, obviously and if you're gonna get focused
- 1:32:51Speaker 2: out of the better, team which you might hear because
- 1:32:52Speaker 2: they don't have anything else to focus, ON i.
- 1:32:55Speaker 1: Guess i'll agree with The sixers.
- 1:32:57Speaker 2: Here they're an eleven and a half point favorite, number
- 1:33:00Speaker 2: tickets seventy two percent of the cash on, Them so
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: the money is saying The sixers here might be one
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: of those spots where it's just the better team just
- 1:33:09Speaker 2: comes in and wins pretty. Easily BUT i don't want
- 1:33:11Speaker 2: anything to do with. It we do have a couple
- 1:33:13Speaker 2: of games On. Prime one of them is awesome and
- 1:33:15Speaker 2: one of them is. TERRIBLE i don't know why this
- 1:33:19Speaker 2: is the Other prime, Game, LIKE i think we'd rather
- 1:33:21Speaker 2: see a number of these other. GAMES i guess they're
- 1:33:24Speaker 2: only two games at, Seven so they had to choose
- 1:33:26Speaker 2: one of these, games and they Chose Milwaukee, washington.
- 1:33:30Speaker 1: Oh, God milwaukee with No jannis And.
- 1:33:34Speaker 2: Washington, Uhugh milwaukee just lost To. Philadelphia LIKE i, said
- 1:33:40Speaker 2: things are spiraling For milwaukee right. Now and are they
- 1:33:43Speaker 2: really going to get up for a game Against washington
- 1:33:45Speaker 2: right now when they have all this stuff going.
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: On it's kind of. Turmoil giannis might be. Gone we
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: don't even. KNOW i don't, know. Man they got AN espn.
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: Game Against boston coming up On sunday AT Td garden In.
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: Boston might if you look ahead as. WELL i don't.
- 1:34:01Speaker 2: KNOW i don't really see them Taking washington seriously, Here
- 1:34:03Speaker 2: washington did just break a long losing streak Beating. Portland
- 1:34:07Speaker 2: decent win For. Washington they were like seven and a
- 1:34:09Speaker 2: half point dogs in that. GAME i, think even though
- 1:34:11Speaker 2: they were at. Home washington is just that. Bad portland's
- 1:34:15Speaker 2: actually not that bad right. Now that was a nine
- 1:34:19Speaker 2: game losing streak That washington just busted. Up and USUALLY
- 1:34:22Speaker 2: i would, say, well when a team busts a losing
- 1:34:24Speaker 2: streak like, that you want to look to play on
- 1:34:26Speaker 2: them in the next. Game but in this, CASE i don't,
- 1:34:29Speaker 2: know because that was an upset AND i usually like
- 1:34:31Speaker 2: to fade teams coming off an upset of any sort
- 1:34:33Speaker 2: of magnitude like, that and they have The lakers on,
- 1:34:36Speaker 2: deck so that's pretty big as.
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: Well but the one thing that might keep.
- 1:34:39Speaker 2: The focus, well first of, all they do have some
- 1:34:41Speaker 2: new momentum, here but they're also hosting a game On Amazon,
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: prime WHICH i don't think This washington team. Is they're
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: not used to, getting you, know having a big game
- 1:34:49Speaker 2: like this at home that people are actually gonna, watch
- 1:34:52Speaker 2: so that.
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: Might keep them focus in the.
- 1:34:54Speaker 2: Game the money is Saying washington, here The bucks down
- 1:34:58Speaker 2: from three to two here on the, line it does
- 1:35:00Speaker 2: look really easy to play the box Here andy lay
- 1:35:03Speaker 2: the points with them even Without. YANNIS i, mean the
- 1:35:05Speaker 2: public is really never gonna want The. Wizards fifty per
- 1:35:10Speaker 2: tickets seventy one percent of the cash on The. Wizards
- 1:35:12Speaker 2: of the money is indicating on The, wizards AND i don't.
- 1:35:15Speaker 2: DISAGREE i, MEAN i just think both teams are in
- 1:35:17Speaker 2: bad spots.
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: Here but with the turmoil.
- 1:35:19Speaker 2: For The bucks and it being a look ahead and
- 1:35:21Speaker 2: Maybe washington staying grounded focused with some new, momentum getting
- 1:35:26Speaker 2: to play a home game On, prime maybe that's. Enough so,
- 1:35:29Speaker 2: Yeah i'll Lean, washington BUT i don't love It houston At.
- 1:35:33Speaker 2: Atlanta houston coming into this game. Off they played last
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: night and they lost To San, antonio and it looks
- 1:35:41Speaker 2: like they lost bad by, twelve but the game was fairly.
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: Close man for most of.
- 1:35:48Speaker 2: IT i Like San antonio in the game generally just
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: to get kind of that revenge. Spot But houston did
- 1:35:54Speaker 2: shoot terribly in the, game Though houston was actually the
- 1:35:57Speaker 2: better team in the. Game San antonio had more free
- 1:35:59Speaker 2: throw in the. Game houston had seventeen more field goal,
- 1:36:03Speaker 2: attempts so but they shot thirty nine percent from the,
- 1:36:05Speaker 2: field While San antonio shot fifty four.
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: Percent so there were some outliers.
- 1:36:09Speaker 2: Here as far as the game looking too good For San,
- 1:36:13Speaker 2: Antonio houston was not bad in the, game and the
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: rebounding at battle was even in the, game And houston
- 1:36:19Speaker 2: was winning the majority of this.
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: Game they had a big lead throughout the middle of this.
- 1:36:23Speaker 2: Game it looked like they were gonna easily get the,
- 1:36:25Speaker 2: win and then everything flip flopped and Then San antonio
- 1:36:28Speaker 2: wound up winning by double. Digits houston had a couple
- 1:36:31Speaker 2: of late stretches where they just couldn't.
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: Score it's just, crazy but.
- 1:36:35Speaker 2: The game wasn't exactly what it appeared on the. Scoreboard
- 1:36:39Speaker 2: but that does mean it was a pretty big game For.
- 1:36:42Speaker 2: Houston and now that's what they're coming off of and
- 1:36:44Speaker 2: they have to go travel To atlanta for a single
- 1:36:47Speaker 2: game Against. Atlanta that seems pretty ugly to. Me, man
- 1:36:51Speaker 2: and they do Face dallas next ON. ABC i know
- 1:36:54Speaker 2: it's Just. Dallas they, suck but They're houston is technically
- 1:36:58Speaker 2: in A texas sam which here they are playing a
- 1:37:01Speaker 2: third game in four days with travel from yesterday to.
- 1:37:04Speaker 2: Today for whatever, reason they have this game scheduled year
- 1:37:08Speaker 2: going To atlanta for one.
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: Game it's a weird.
- 1:37:10Speaker 2: Spot man could argue it's a sandwich spot with Their
- 1:37:15Speaker 2: texas rivals surrounding. IT i don't love the spot For
- 1:37:17Speaker 2: atlanta either, though because they're on a back to, back
- 1:37:20Speaker 2: traveling back home and they just beat The celtics last
- 1:37:23Speaker 2: night on the.
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: ROAD i mentioned THAT i talked about the game.
- 1:37:25Speaker 2: YESTERDAY i leaned To atlanta in that game plus the
- 1:37:28Speaker 2: points bad game for The. Celtics it wasn't a great
- 1:37:31Speaker 2: spot for The. Celtics atlanta's got some, Momentum they've won
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: four games in a. Row coming back home, here both
- 1:37:39Speaker 2: teams on the back to, back BUT i think with
- 1:37:41Speaker 2: little prep, TIME i think the home team might actually
- 1:37:44Speaker 2: have a little bit extra advantage. Here houston coming off
- 1:37:47Speaker 2: that big game from last, night and, YEAH i Know
- 1:37:49Speaker 2: atlanta did pull off a huge upset as well last,
- 1:37:51Speaker 2: night BUT i don't.
- 1:37:53Speaker 1: KNOW i think there are more.
- 1:37:53Speaker 2: Factors that are negatives For houston, Here SO i lean
- 1:37:57Speaker 2: to The hawks in this. One but it's Again i'm staying.
- 1:37:59Speaker 2: Away houston down from five to three and a. Half
- 1:38:02Speaker 2: so the market is kind of indicating on The hawk's.
- 1:38:06Speaker 2: Side here we see fifty nine percent of the tickets
- 1:38:08Speaker 2: and cash on The.
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: Rockets this is The hackets. Game, ah there we.
- 1:38:13Speaker 2: Go so, YES i leaned slightly towards taking the points
- 1:38:17Speaker 2: of The hawks and that, one and the public is
- 1:38:20Speaker 2: probably just gonna be On. Houston although bounced back from last,
- 1:38:22Speaker 2: Night houston's a team with a better. Record houston's not
- 1:38:25Speaker 2: that good on the road though they're below five hundred
- 1:38:27Speaker 2: on the. ROAD i Know atlanta hasn't been great at home,
- 1:38:30Speaker 2: either But houston is definitely a lot better at home
- 1:38:33Speaker 2: than on the. Road miami At. Chicago this feels like
- 1:38:39Speaker 2: one of those Play it feels like it's gonna it's
- 1:38:41Speaker 2: destined to be one of those playing matchups.
- 1:38:44Speaker 1: Again it seems like it is every, year and it
- 1:38:46Speaker 1: seems like it's gonna be.
- 1:38:47Speaker 2: Again both these teams probably wind have been in the
- 1:38:50Speaker 2: playoff play in games. There miami coming up that loss
- 1:38:55Speaker 2: yesterday To orlando that was a win for us on the.
- 1:38:59Speaker 2: Show miami having to go To chicago now on a
- 1:39:03Speaker 2: back to, back that's not that easy to, do having
- 1:39:05Speaker 2: to travel with no time off like, That so the
- 1:39:08Speaker 2: spot's not great From miami here though they did lose.
- 1:39:12Speaker 2: Yesterday chicago also lost In, indiana but it's a lot
- 1:39:15Speaker 2: easier to travel back From indiana back home To chicago,
- 1:39:19Speaker 2: here so both teams are on back to.
- 1:39:21Speaker 1: Back chicago did play on the.
- 1:39:22Speaker 2: Twenty six AND i Think miami didn't play prior to
- 1:39:25Speaker 2: yesterday since the twenty. Fifth, yeah but yesterday was a
- 1:39:27Speaker 2: return home spot of, course which is the main REASON
- 1:39:30Speaker 2: i Faded miami. Yesterday those return home spots are really really,
- 1:39:33Speaker 2: ugly and, yep we got another winner with one of.
- 1:39:36Speaker 1: Those so, Yeah, miami they are the more traveled.
- 1:39:41Speaker 2: Team right now Because chicago over this span has mostly
- 1:39:44Speaker 2: been at home and they just had to take that
- 1:39:46Speaker 2: one quick trip To, indiana so, YEAH i Prefer chicago
- 1:39:50Speaker 2: in this. Game let's see what the market is doing
- 1:39:54Speaker 2: here where we. AT i, mean both teams coming up
- 1:39:57Speaker 2: pretty ugly, losses so that thing kind of negates. Itself
- 1:40:00Speaker 2: oh it's on the extra board the writing. Games maybe
- 1:40:03Speaker 2: it was this game like a.
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: Postponement oh it.
- 1:40:05Speaker 2: Was this game was postponed On january, Eighth SO i
- 1:40:08Speaker 2: don't know what the deal was, there but that must
- 1:40:10Speaker 2: be what this game.
- 1:40:11Speaker 1: Is because they're playing three games in a.
- 1:40:13Speaker 2: Row so after, This miami And chicago play Twice Saturday
- 1:40:18Speaker 2: sunday In.
- 1:40:19Speaker 1: Miami this is.
- 1:40:19Speaker 2: Bizarre, again this really looks like a, PLAYOFFS. Seri it
- 1:40:23Speaker 2: looks like one of the playing round robin type of. Things,
- 1:40:26Speaker 2: man it's so. Ridiculous they're playing three games in a
- 1:40:29Speaker 2: row because of this Postponed Heat bowls playing three games
- 1:40:34Speaker 2: in a, row so it gives us an opportunity to
- 1:40:36Speaker 2: maybe zigzag whatever happens.
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: Here.
- 1:40:38Speaker 2: Man BUT i like the bulls in this. One The
- 1:40:42Speaker 2: heat did initially move from plus one and a half
- 1:40:44Speaker 2: to minus. Two maybe there's some personnel change that's causing.
- 1:40:48Speaker 2: That because the money looks like it is agreeing on
- 1:40:49Speaker 2: the bulls fifty two percent of the tickets seventy percent
- 1:40:52Speaker 2: of the cash on the.
- 1:40:53Speaker 1: BULLS i agree with. That let me see what happened
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: in this.
- 1:40:58Speaker 2: Game you, KNOW i think it might Be Tyler hero
- 1:41:01Speaker 2: because he was supposed to come back today and he might,
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: not so maybe or ACTUALLY i guess, no maybe he.
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: IS i think that might be.
- 1:41:07Speaker 2: Why, yeah so the heat might have been plus one
- 1:41:10Speaker 2: and a half without, him but now the fact that
- 1:41:12Speaker 2: it's up to, two that's probably Because hero is coming.
- 1:41:16Speaker 2: Back and you know what if he, DOES i, mean
- 1:41:18Speaker 2: that's the guy who runs your, offense you know WHAT i,
- 1:41:20Speaker 2: mean he's been out for a couple of. Weeks that
- 1:41:22Speaker 2: would make it a reverse injured player spot For miami as. Well, right,
- 1:41:26Speaker 2: so when you have one of your star players coming,
- 1:41:28Speaker 2: back one of your key, players the line will adjust
- 1:41:31Speaker 2: because it has to compensate for.
- 1:41:33Speaker 1: That but the line usually over.
- 1:41:34Speaker 2: Adjusts the team has to, work you, know they have
- 1:41:37Speaker 2: to work into their new.
- 1:41:39Speaker 1: Roles they have to work the player. Back he has
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: to work back, in you.
- 1:41:41Speaker 2: Know so it's not like they like coalesce immediately right
- 1:41:45Speaker 2: away once the guy comes. Back, so, YES i think
- 1:41:47Speaker 2: If hero is, playing it is a reverse injured player.
- 1:41:49Speaker 2: Spot as well For, Chicago so that would have me
- 1:41:52Speaker 2: lean a reverse injury players spout On. MIAMI i means
- 1:41:55Speaker 2: that would have me leaning To chicago even harder in this,
- 1:41:58Speaker 2: game if that is what is happening, there Which i'm
- 1:42:01Speaker 2: That i'm not that hard on this, game.
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: Though so there is.
- 1:42:06Speaker 2: That although the reverse injur of player spot does make
- 1:42:08Speaker 2: me Like chicago more and puts me almost in a
- 1:42:11Speaker 2: position WHERE i want to make a play on it.
- 1:42:15Speaker 1: Just for that, reason But i'll still stay off of.
- 1:42:17Speaker 2: It and these Reverse edie player spots are tough for
- 1:42:20Speaker 2: me BECAUSE i feel like a lot of TIMES i
- 1:42:22Speaker 2: can't give him out as a play in the morning
- 1:42:24Speaker 2: because we just don't know the news, yet you know
- 1:42:25Speaker 2: WHAT i.
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: Mean BUT i.
- 1:42:27Speaker 2: Would probably wait because it hasn't been officially announced yet
- 1:42:30Speaker 2: The hero is, playing and if he, is this line
- 1:42:32Speaker 2: might move up a little bit more on the heat
- 1:42:34Speaker 2: and then you'll get more value on the.
- 1:42:36Speaker 1: Bulls so that's probably WHAT i would.
- 1:42:37Speaker 2: Do in that game IF i was gonna play it at,
- 1:42:41Speaker 2: All and then If hero is not coming back yet,
- 1:42:43Speaker 2: today THEN i might just THEN i would probably just
- 1:42:45Speaker 2: say stay off of. It BUT i Think i'm staying
- 1:42:48Speaker 2: off of it. Anyway charlotte At. Dallas charlotte has won
- 1:42:51Speaker 2: four in a. Row, charlotte they're playing pretty decently man
- 1:42:55Speaker 2: over the last month or. So, again kind of a
- 1:42:57Speaker 2: sneaky team here under the. Radar they're on a back
- 1:43:00Speaker 2: to back now, though so they just played yesterday At.
- 1:43:03Speaker 2: Memphis they got the. Win they're actually a favorite on
- 1:43:06Speaker 2: the road At. Memphis Morantless, memphis but they're playing a
- 1:43:11Speaker 2: third game in four and a's now on different. Cities
- 1:43:13Speaker 2: that's not that easy to. Do and they got a
- 1:43:15Speaker 2: prime game Against San antonio up next On. Saturday that
- 1:43:19Speaker 2: is a big, game so that's a potential look ahead For.
- 1:43:22Speaker 2: Charlotte they had To San, antonio SO i don't love
- 1:43:25Speaker 2: that For. Charlotte For dallas, here they played yesterday, too
- 1:43:29Speaker 2: but they stay they're staying at. Home they lost In,
- 1:43:31Speaker 2: minnesota big. Game BUT i don't know if this game
- 1:43:34Speaker 2: was really. Close let me, SEE i should have probably.
- 1:43:37Speaker 2: LOOKED i think MAYBE i, Did yet it wasn't very.
- 1:43:38Speaker 2: Close the game is pretty much.
- 1:43:40Speaker 1: Over down the stretch.
- 1:43:42Speaker 2: There But dallas does have that huge game Against houston
- 1:43:45Speaker 2: next and then they Have boston and Then San antonio
- 1:43:48Speaker 2: twice and The houston game is A tv game AND abc.
- 1:43:51Speaker 2: Game LIKE i, said so they do have a huge
- 1:43:52Speaker 2: look ahead here as. Well both teams, Do so this
- 1:43:57Speaker 2: game's got to be a stay away from me as,
- 1:43:58Speaker 2: well both teams on the back to.
- 1:44:00Speaker 1: Act LIKE i said of The, hornets of the team with,
- 1:44:02Speaker 1: travel but The hornets are getting the money.
- 1:44:04Speaker 2: Here they're actually a road favorite from four to four
- 1:44:07Speaker 2: and a half, here and who's gonna want to lay
- 1:44:08Speaker 2: points with The hornets man on the? Road but The
- 1:44:11Speaker 2: oddsburgers are telling you that The hornets are the significantly
- 1:44:14Speaker 2: better team at this, point getting a lot of respect
- 1:44:16Speaker 2: from the, market and because of their, record because they
- 1:44:18Speaker 2: were so bad early in the season and have been
- 1:44:21Speaker 2: so bad in recent. YEARS i think the public still
- 1:44:23Speaker 2: hasn't caught on to The hornets.
- 1:44:25Speaker 1: Being a good. Team but they are a pretty good.
- 1:44:28Speaker 2: Team fifty percent of, tickets eighty five percent of the
- 1:44:31Speaker 2: cash on The.
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: Hornets the money is agreeing on The hornets as.
- 1:44:34Speaker 2: WELL i Guess i'll agree with that BECAUSE i think
- 1:44:37Speaker 2: that look ahead That.
- 1:44:40Speaker 1: Dallas is in it does mean more To houston.
- 1:44:43Speaker 2: There BUT i love it at all, Man so that's
- 1:44:46Speaker 2: a stayaway as. Well brooklyn At Denver denver still Without.
- 1:44:50Speaker 2: Jokich Here brooklyn coming off covering against The Phoenix, suns
- 1:44:54Speaker 2: WHICH i did lean To brooklyn in that. Game thought
- 1:44:57Speaker 2: it was kind of a weird spot for The. Suns
- 1:44:58Speaker 2: but Now brooklyn's coming up that near.
- 1:45:03Speaker 1: Called. IT i don't, know is in a near? Miss
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: is that what we call?
- 1:45:05Speaker 2: It brooklyn almost pulled off the upset as a big underdog.
- 1:45:08Speaker 2: There now they're coming off of that and having to
- 1:45:10Speaker 2: go into, elevation SO i don't know How brooklyn's gonna handle. That,
- 1:45:14Speaker 2: Man maybe not a great, spot even though it Is,
- 1:45:16Speaker 2: denver so you're normally not gonna look at. It you're
- 1:45:18Speaker 2: normally not gonna Overlook, denver but it Is denver Without.
- 1:45:22Speaker 2: Jokic denver just lost at home To, detroit though that
- 1:45:26Speaker 2: was a big game Against, detroit even Though detroit was
- 1:45:29Speaker 2: a road favorite. There denver again Without, jokic not great for,
- 1:45:32Speaker 2: them but maybe a more difficult spot actually For denver
- 1:45:38Speaker 2: because that was a big. Game although they're not having
- 1:45:41Speaker 2: to travel And brooklyn is not used to going into,
- 1:45:43Speaker 2: elevation so there are a lot of things that kind
- 1:45:46Speaker 2: of go both ways in this. Game SO i really
- 1:45:48Speaker 2: don't like this game at, All Aaron gordon is gonna
- 1:45:50Speaker 2: be out until. Tomorrow it looks LIKE i Guess denver
- 1:45:54Speaker 2: rest of plate. Tomorrow valency unis played in the last.
- 1:45:57Speaker 2: GAME i think he is playing, tonight although he's a
- 1:45:59Speaker 2: game time decision And murray is also a game time.
- 1:46:02Speaker 2: Decision it looks like he will play as. Well SO
- 1:46:05Speaker 2: i think Just gordon And jokic are, out just, Them
- 1:46:11Speaker 2: and looking at the line, here where are we? At
- 1:46:13Speaker 2: The nuggets will still be a favorite obviously against The.
- 1:46:16Speaker 2: Nets the other're up to seven and a half from
- 1:46:18Speaker 2: five and a. Half so even this injury Depleted nuggets
- 1:46:22Speaker 2: team is still that much of a favorite at home
- 1:46:24Speaker 2: against The. Nets and the money is actually coming in
- 1:46:26Speaker 2: On denver eighty four percent of the, tickets ninety six
- 1:46:29Speaker 2: percent of the cash On.
- 1:46:30Speaker 1: Denver so the money indicating On, DENVER i don't know about, that.
- 1:46:35Speaker 2: Man, yeah, definitely there are huge negatives for both teams.
- 1:46:40Speaker 2: Here the total is really low at two p nine
- 1:46:43Speaker 2: and a. Half it's the LOWEST nba total THAT i
- 1:46:45Speaker 2: can remember, seeing and who knows how.
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: Long that's a crazy low.
- 1:46:49Speaker 2: Total, Yeah so the money is saying The, nuggets that's
- 1:46:54Speaker 2: what the market read. SAYS i don't really have an
- 1:46:56Speaker 2: opinion one way or the, other SO i GUESS i
- 1:46:57Speaker 2: would lean with the.
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: Market, there BUT i can't make that a play or.
- 1:47:01Speaker 2: Anything detroit just played yesterday and Beat. Denver LIKE i,
- 1:47:05Speaker 2: Said detroit did not cover as a favorite, there but
- 1:47:08Speaker 2: that's still pretty big when you go Into denver and beat.
- 1:47:10Speaker 2: Them now they're gonna go down To. Phoenix they did
- 1:47:13Speaker 2: just Beat phoenix at home not that long, ago although
- 1:47:15Speaker 2: it was only by. Three but tomorrow they have AN
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: espn game Against Golden. States that is maybe a look ahead,
- 1:47:21Speaker 2: there even though it's Butlerless Golden state, there SO i don't,
- 1:47:26Speaker 2: know maybe a potential look ahead. There maybe the spot
- 1:47:28Speaker 2: sets up better For phoenix. Here phoenix is staying at.
- 1:47:31Speaker 2: Home they just barely got By brooklyn in the last,
- 1:47:34Speaker 2: game so they might have been looking ahead already to
- 1:47:37Speaker 2: this game Against.
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: Detroit.
- 1:47:39Speaker 2: Again it is a little bit of a quick revenge
- 1:47:42Speaker 2: spot For phoenix for losing At detroit or. Theo phoenix
- 1:47:45Speaker 2: played well in that game and only lost by. Three but,
- 1:47:48Speaker 2: YEAH i would have to lean to The suns in this.
- 1:47:50Speaker 2: Game this is one of the clearer pictures for me
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: in THE. Nba this GAME i have a clearer read
- 1:47:57Speaker 2: ON i would lean to The suns in this, one
- 1:47:59Speaker 2: plus the points the market is agreeing with me on this.
- 1:48:02Speaker 2: Too The pistons are four and a half boy, favorite
- 1:48:05Speaker 2: seventy percent of, tickets fifty six percent of the cash on,
- 1:48:07Speaker 2: them so they were public side with less of the
- 1:48:09Speaker 2: money on.
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: THEM i do agree With phoenix in that.
- 1:48:12Speaker 2: One and then the final, game the best game of
- 1:48:14Speaker 2: the night Is Oklahoma city At minnesota On Amazon. Prime,
- 1:48:18Speaker 2: Now Oklahoma city did just lose To minnesota.
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: On december.
- 1:48:23Speaker 2: Nineteenth they've already played a couple of times this, year
- 1:48:25Speaker 2: BUT i think that Was minnesota getting their revenge On Oklahoma,
- 1:48:29Speaker 2: city which Is Western conference final. Revenge minnesota finally got
- 1:48:32Speaker 2: a win Against Oklahoma city since, then Since Oklahoma city
- 1:48:36Speaker 2: eliminated them for the playoffs last. Year that was a
- 1:48:40Speaker 2: big game For. Minnesota it was At. Minnesota this game
- 1:48:43Speaker 2: is also At. Minnesota minnesota won that game by, five
- 1:48:45Speaker 2: for what it's. Worth but now you've got An Oklahoma
- 1:48:48Speaker 2: city team here that's coming in maybe in revenge mode
- 1:48:50Speaker 2: here and coming off some ugly games at home where
- 1:48:53Speaker 2: they lost To indiana And toronto and then didn't Beat
- 1:48:56Speaker 2: New orleans by that.
- 1:48:57Speaker 1: Much now they're going out on the.
- 1:48:58Speaker 2: Road they do Play, denver BUT i think it's still
- 1:49:01Speaker 2: gonna Be denver Without. Jokic this is A minnesota team
- 1:49:04Speaker 2: that again did just Beat Oklahoma, city SO i don't
- 1:49:07Speaker 2: Think Oklahoma city is gonna Overlook minnesota. Here and they're
- 1:49:10Speaker 2: coming off some ugly, games SO i Think Oklahoma city
- 1:49:13Speaker 2: is going to show up, here although obviously so Will.
- 1:49:16Speaker 2: Minnesota minnesota just had to go down To dallas for a,
- 1:49:19Speaker 2: game which is, weird and they're on a back to.
- 1:49:21Speaker 2: Back they're playing a third game in four day as
- 1:49:23Speaker 2: a travel between all the games and having to travel
- 1:49:26Speaker 2: back from that game Against, dallas SO i think the
- 1:49:29Speaker 2: spot is better For Oklahoma city in this. GAME i
- 1:49:31Speaker 2: would lean to The thunder in this, game although the
- 1:49:33Speaker 2: money is kind of disagreeing with me on. This they're
- 1:49:36Speaker 2: up from five and a half to, seven sixty eight
- 1:49:38Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and sixty five percent of the
- 1:49:40Speaker 2: cash on The, thunder so the money is disagreeing with
- 1:49:43Speaker 2: me on The thunder in that.
- 1:49:44Speaker 1: One but that is the way THAT i read the. Situation.
- 1:49:47Speaker 2: Man we can look at the previous game and see
- 1:49:50Speaker 2: what the number was in this. One let me see
- 1:49:52Speaker 2: what was? It it was five and a. Half, yeah
- 1:49:55Speaker 2: so you, KNOW i don't know if there were some
- 1:49:58Speaker 2: injuries coming to play there For Oklahoma, city but, YEAH
- 1:50:01Speaker 2: i mean maybe. Seven there's not a whole lot of
- 1:50:03Speaker 2: line value left here.
- 1:50:05Speaker 1: With The oka c.
- 1:50:06Speaker 2: Side looking at the injuries, HERE A caruso is still
- 1:50:09Speaker 2: out For okay, see but for the most, part they're
- 1:50:12Speaker 2: pretty much attacked besides, that and Then minnesota is totally
- 1:50:15Speaker 2: intact as well for the most.
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: Part so that's. That that's gonna do. It, man that's the.
- 1:50:21Speaker 1: Show we're in under two.
- 1:50:22Speaker 2: Hours so they go only two plays today college Basketball
- 1:50:26Speaker 2: washington plus the points in a sandwich spot there plus
- 1:50:29Speaker 2: anything between twelve and a half thirteen and a half
- 1:50:31Speaker 2: should be, GOOD i think hopefully in that. One, also
- 1:50:34Speaker 2: we're gonna be fading the public in that, one SO
- 1:50:36Speaker 2: i don't really think there's a rush to jump on that.
- 1:50:38Speaker 2: One BUT i don't, know we'll, see BUT i think
- 1:50:40Speaker 2: it's gonna be one of the more public games of the,
- 1:50:42Speaker 2: night and they're only gonna be On illinois That vancouver and.
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: Working for. Here maybe it's. CHROME i don't know what's
- 1:50:53Speaker 1: going on. Here, yeah there it.
- 1:50:55Speaker 2: Is, sorry, well, yeah Stream yards is messing up for, me,
- 1:50:59Speaker 2: man but they Were maybe MAYBE i just. GLITCHED i don't.
- 1:51:02Speaker 2: Know but we Have vancouver on the money. Line that's
- 1:51:06Speaker 2: the other play today in. Hockey that's gonna do. It
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- 1:51:40Speaker 2: predy being my pick this. Week we went live On.
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- 1:51:46Speaker 2: with that. Show that's gonna do it for, now and,
- 1:51:49Speaker 2: Yeah i'll be back tomorrow. MORNING i suppose for The friday,
- 1:51:52Speaker 2: slate which is usually a lighter. Slate it's really light
- 1:51:55Speaker 2: in hockey. Tomorrow there is one GAME i think that's
- 1:51:57Speaker 2: gonna do. It peace for, now you.
- 1:52:00Speaker 1: GUYS m