Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 18: Week 13 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 18: Week 13 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls.
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: At your favorite time of week. You get to download
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: the crazy she shenttle in with Scottie and market and
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: you go talk some college football. I'm marking, I'm here
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: in the college football podcasting studio and Scotty's at home.
• 0:14
  Speaker 3: Brother.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: How the hell are you, man?
• 0:15
  Speaker 3: I'm good. Just been on the road this week, getting
• 0:18
  Speaker 3: ready a little more playoff football. He won, so Chase
• 0:21
  Speaker 3: gets another gets another round in the playoffs. That's always fun. So, uh,
• 0:27
  Speaker 3: it'd be a be a good time the Uh. The
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: boys have got a got a chance to win this week,
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: but I'd call them two and a half point underdogs
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: going on the road.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: I love that. Talk to me about last week. What
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: were your takeaways there? First off, let's start in college Station.
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah album bought that comeback baby, There.
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: Was a lot going on there. Marcel Reid in the
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: first half looked like he was running the wrong play
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: in Techmobile every single play. He could have thrown five
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: interceptions in the first half of ten if the South
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Carolina defensive backsport squeezed it. Yeah, and then you got
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: the the weird you know, running in the tunnel with
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Nick Harper as he was after he scored a touchdown
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: with the DPS.
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: Okay, I can we take a time that guy ot
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: be fired. He should just remove from game day. You
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: don't think that guy has got an attitude?
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: What do you think?
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: Right? That's what that guy was all amped up like
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: he was playing. Get that guy. That was completely inexcusable.
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: Those kids shouldn't have to move. Those kids are coming
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: down the tunnel the mind and on. They're trying to
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: win a football game. And those kids are winning on
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: the road. They've had a rough year, and you get
• 1:44
  Speaker 3: some douchebag doing that. That is everything bad that a
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: that an officer in uniform can do. That guy summed
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: up every stereotype for every good cop out there. It sucked.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: And that guy candidly DPS on a fire. That's the truth.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: But let's talk about the game itself. Mike Elko maybe
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: the best adjustment coach in America. I mean, the guy
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: has done a phenomenal job with the program, but to
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: get those guys together. And I didn't hear what he said,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: but somebody had mentioned it to me. I had somebody knew.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Somebody was at the game and they said, look, guys,
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: don't look at this like we're down twenty eight points.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: It's like, we're down four plays, we need four plays,
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: and we're right back in this thing. And by the
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: end of the third quarter they were in. Yeah, and
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: Bieber was he had no answer at that point, just no.
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: You could tell he had because he came out peacock
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: in at the beginning of the second half and kind
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: of tried to get the crowd going and then it
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: just the wheels literally fell off the wagon in that
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: one for him.
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: I'm go'll tell you, I can't I can't wait to
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: find out what he said. I feel like I'll be
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: able to find out what the conversation was at halftime.
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: I cannot wait to hear exactly what he said to
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: his football because you know, some of it was diving
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: into the I mean, we've seen the four plays like
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: he talked about, because at the end of the day,
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: that was the truth. They're explosive. I'm gonna tell you
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: two things. First Off, Marcel Reid, I think minus just
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: a major meltdown in Austin where he throws four picks
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: or something like that, he got himself on the podium
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: and in New York, in my opinion, he got it.
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: That's a Heisman type moment. And as bad as he
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: was in the first half, he was that good in
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: the second half. The other thing I will say is
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: that shows you that this Aggie team really does have
• 3:37
  Speaker 3: a high end upside. And I don't care that they've
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: missed some of the best teams in the league. You
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: can only play your schedule. Those guys are talented and
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: that they came out and played the way they played
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: was great. And I want to compliment Marcel Reid on
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: one thing. That guy's you see a tweet after the game,
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: where's ex post? I guess I don't even know if
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: we call them tweets anymore. When he comes out and
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: says first half's on me or my bad in the
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: first half, I can't even remember how he actually phrased
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: it and just addressed it. But as soon as the
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: game was over, like he posts that like an hour
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: after the game's over. Kudos to that kid for saying,
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: you know, because it was on him, he didn't play well.
• 4:23
  Speaker 3: And I think that is that's the kind of thing
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: that social media gets used so much for trolling and
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: things like that. A post like that gets the fan
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: base behind you, even if they come back and lost.
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: That that's the kind of things that makes a fan base.
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: You endear yourself to a fan base by just the ownership.
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: I thought it was pretty cool. Thought it was actually
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: fairly mature of him because it also eliminates all that
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: you go from because you're inevitably these kids are getting
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: piled on when they play, you know, in social media,
• 4:57
  Speaker 3: they play poorly, they're getting pounded. And here's a guy
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: that by posting that, he takes away everything you can physically,
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: all of a sudden, you're the bad guy. If you posted,
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: if you say you were terrible in the first half,
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: you got one hundred thousand Aggie fans piling on you like,
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: hey man, he took ownership, you're the problem blah blah
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: blah blah, and and totally deflected. So kudos to him
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: for the management part. I don't think he's developed enough
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: to know that, but that's exactly what he did. Let's
• 5:25
  Speaker 3: move on to my next quarterback, Simpson, you cost me
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: big money because the guy who got on the podium
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: replaced your ass at the podium. Yeah, Alabama was awful.
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: It was all Alabama mistakes. That wasn't an Oklahoma win.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: That was an Alabama loss. I mean the big six,
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: the kick return that yeah, I mean at halftime, Oklahoma
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: had twenty points. I think they legitimately scored. A had
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: one drive that resulted in three points. That was a
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: legit drive and you got to be better than that
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: at home. Kayling de Boor is fast turning into the
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: Mario Crystal Baull of US out Distra Conference. I mean,
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: he is creating ways to the bottom line is he's
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: losing games he shouldn't and this is two years in
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: a row that they've lost games they had no business losing,
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: and they had no business losing that game at home.
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: He better beat Auburn or Buddy, you ain't found the
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: wrath of a fan base like your ass will find
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: the wrath of a fan base on Saturday. But I
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: thought that was incredibly, incredibly fascinating, both those games, both
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: those quarterbacks. And Simpson is still very good even though
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: he made some really bad plays. He's still having a
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: great year. Still a good player. But he did cost
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: himself and cost me some money on that Heisman deal
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: a chance to win the Heisman. So but although I
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: still think jeremih Smith's the most talented player in the country,
• 6:52
  Speaker 3: and he should win it. I know, say it's complete
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: in eighty percent of his passes, but when you're throwing
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: it to the dudes he's thrown it to, it ain't
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: real home hard to complete eighty percent. Those guys don't
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: drop anything. So and they are by far the best
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: team of the country who's played a really really soft schedule.
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: By the way, yes they have played almost no one
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: in their schedule, to be honest with you.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: But the other thing too is and I'm not going to.
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Argue about people's schedule because that's.
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you play who's on there, You play who's on there.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: That's right, that's what you got. But the one thing
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: that I'll say about this, if you're looking right now,
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: the bet I'm gonna make when where I put this
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: podcast is I just found a Georgia tend to one ticket.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: This has been a real quiet season for Georgia. Nobody's
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: talked about them. They're most likely going to get in
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: and they may even secure I don't know if they're
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: going to secure a buy or not in the first round,
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: but it's a team you don't want to play. They
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: are moving in a positive direction. And they've been there before.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Coaching staff's been there before, they've had players that have
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: been there before, so they know what's coming. And you've
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: got a lot of new folks that are going to
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: be in this tournament this year. But I think Georgia
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: ten to one is a good bet for the national championship.
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: I couldn't agree more. I look, I've told you all Georgia,
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: I said Kirby Smart preseason had the love where he
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: was sitting that nobody was talking about it. And here
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: they come, and they're they're starting to play really good
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: football and more importantly, really figuring out who they are.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: They gas Can Texas, I mean put boot to ass
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: in Athens. I mean that was that was it? I
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: mean it was bt a as the young kids, uh
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: as the young kids say that was it in Athens?
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: I mean it was. It was extremely impressive to to watch.
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: How about Texas Tech Mark, I know you were there.
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: Those dudes are rolling and I don't know what that defense.
• 8:45
  Speaker 3: They are quietly the team that I don't think anybody
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: wants to play, and they are sitting in such a
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: great spot they are very likely with because the SEC
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: still got some big games and you got to you
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: got an SEC championship game. It's gonna give somebody a loss.
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: And I know they say, oh, we're not gonna penalize you.
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: They're not gonna kick you out of the tournament. But
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: are they gonna adjust seating. It's very possible Tech is
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: gonna land at that twelve spot and get Jmu or
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: somebody like that first round. Man. I just I think
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: this is setting up really really well for Texas Tech.
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: That defensive line is nasty. You win games at the
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: line of scrimmage. The game hadn't changed that much. You
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: win at the line of scrimmage. They fixed the line
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: of scrimmage and that's why Tech is doing what they're doing.
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: So last week was really interesting. You taw Baylor, We
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: talked about that a little bit too.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: That was a that was a that was a that
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: was just a complete ass.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: It was just like, yeah, they're a mess Baylor defensive pleas.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, they had the leading passer in the country
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: when you look at yards and uh, and they've got
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: one of the worst defenses in the country, which is
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: interesting because David Brandon obviously was brought in to be
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: a defensive specialist. But I think he would have getten.
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: I think he would get fired if they had an
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: athletic director. But currently that guy's on some kind of
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: a weird leave of absence.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: So now if you go back to where we set up,
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: and I'll.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: Just hit this real quick. You know, we did a
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: podcast back in July, I think, and we were looking
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: at long shot positions to create some hedges to get
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: ready for the National Championship, and we took some long
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: odds in there. We're gonna land with the butt. I
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: think we're gonna have eight teams that from that podcast
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: that are gonna make the tournament. And so you should
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: land with some nice hedge positions. I mean, I've got
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech at one hundred and twenty to one, and
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: so they get in. It's gonna be real easy to
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: bet the other side of that thing when you're looking
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: at one hundred dollars to win twelve thousand, you know.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: And so that's where we are with a couple of
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: these positions. I got a long spot on Oregon things
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: of that, I got Georgia, but I like Georgia ten
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: to one. I'm gonna come back in on them because
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: now you're kind of trying to get to the position
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: of where you want to set yourself up to make money.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: It's not just hey, who are we cheering for to
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: win it? Who thinks the best team? It's about trying
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: to make the money. And if you can take a
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: Georgia position today at ten to one for whatever your
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: unit size is, you're gonna get an opportunity to play
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: off the upther side of that. If you think you
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: need to with a really big window, try that you
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: can make some money there. And so so start looking
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: at some of these lines, Start looking at these positions. Uh,
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame. You can still snag them at ten to
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: one in a couple of places. Uh. You know, they've
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: got the name brand ability to get in the tournament,
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: but that could be the biggest name brand left out
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: of the tournament depending on what goes on. Uh, Miami
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: get lower the ACC is terrible.
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: Uh, but if Miami wins. If if Miami wins the ACC,
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: that's the best sentiment for them. But they need help
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: to get to the sec ACC Championship right now. Yeah,
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: oh yeah, they're gonna have a ton of help. What
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: the hell are you gonna do with Miami And say
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: let's say Georgia Tech wins out. Let's just take chalk
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: and just say Georgie Tech wins out, and they win
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: the league, all right, And then you got Miami sitting
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: there with a win over Notre Dame in the exact
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: same record. Right now, I think it's entirely possible Miami
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: goes in and lays a third at Pittsburgh next week.
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: But we'll talk about that next week. The but let's
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: just for fun, say that happens. How do you take them?
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: I mean, how do you how do you take I
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: don't think you can, because at the end of the day,
• 12:24
  Speaker 3: head to head automatter. When it comes down to who's
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: in and who's out, head to head automatter, if they
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: have the same record head the head should matter. So
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: I think that is a gonna be a fascinating deal
• 12:37
  Speaker 3: to watch, as bad as the ACC is, man, that
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: could be wild if they go ten and two and
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: Notre Dame's in and the ACC's left looking, even though
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: I think Crystal Ball would deserve it. For losing games,
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: you shouldn't lose. They gotta they gotta quit losing games.
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: They shouldn't lose. But again, I think it all may
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: be a point because they may go leay a egg
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: next week. Uh, they hadn't done real well when it's
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: fifty degrees and below traditionally for the Hurricanes, and my
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: guess is Pittsburgh on Thanksgiving weekends probably gonna be below fifty.
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, the odds of Miami to get in now,
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: based on and they're probably the best team in the
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: ACC quote unquote is eighty to one. I mean, so
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: you could take a pretty big swing at it if
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: you think they're gonna get it. I mean, you can
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: almost take a unit and split it between Miami and
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame because one of those two teams is gonna
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: get in, assuming they both went out, and it's just
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: gonna be what name brand do they want to jam
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: in that spot? Is my personal opinion. And again I'm
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: not here to tell you who's the better team and
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: argue schedules and all that other bullshit. I'm talking about
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: creating a position that you can play into when there's
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: only twelve teams left in the country that we get
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: to bet on. And so if you want to take
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: a hack at it, you can catch you some Miami.
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: You can still catch them at eight eighty to one.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: You can still get a pretty good number on a
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame that's out there. You can still get Texas
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: Tech at fourteen to one. It's pretty readily available in
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: most books, and so there's still some numbers out there.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Notre Dame is down there. This will give
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: you the idea where Vegas thinks it is. Notre Dame's
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: down to ten to one, nine and a half to
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: one to win the national championship, so Vegas thinks they're in.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: And so you know, that's what I'm telling you, start
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: looking at it because after next week you're not gonna
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: have much less to do. And it's getting hard. And
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna say this now and then we're gonna jump
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: into this week. It's getting really hard to bet Bowl games.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: I mean we made we made a fuck ton of
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: money betting Bowl games the first eight nine years we
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: did this. But now you don't know who's gonna play it.
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: Until the starting in the portal. I mean, you got
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: ten guys that you know hit the portal. It's just oh,
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: it's brutal.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: Well, look last year, last year, Marshall had to drop
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: out of their Bowl game because their entire team went
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: into the portal.
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, they fire the coach.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: And I was on the other side of that.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: I was like, I was a this game, and they're like,
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: now we got to back out. We got thirty eighth
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: guys playing, you know, and so it's like we're done.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Scott, that's all behind this. Let's move on.
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: We got to tom My Big Week in college football.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: A couple of games in there. You got this is
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: that weird spot in November where almost every SEC team
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: plays an FCS team or someone way below. But you've
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: got a couple of games in there. Let's dive in
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Friday night. A couple of games you got there. Florida State,
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: n C State, lne's five and a half or getting
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: five and half over under here sixty and a half.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: This is kind of one of those games that win
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: or get fired type situation for me. I mean, Dave Dorn,
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: I think in NC State's done really well. He's got
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: a really young team, but I think he may be
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: getting kind of worn out there. And then I don't
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: know what they're gonna do with Mike Norvel. You know,
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: if if Florida State wants to play, I think they
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: could come out and beat the dog at n C State.
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: But I can't get behind this because every time I
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: feel like I do, I'm on the wrong side of it,
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: which would makes sense because Florida's five and five against
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: the spread.
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm the same way. I feel like North Carolina
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: State's got gas can last week. So you wonder, is
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: this team mailing it in? But here comes Florida State,
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: and look, they are still the marquee brand in this league,
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: and that is a that's still a big game for
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: pretty much anybody that they show up on the schedule for.
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: I just don't know what you're gonna get out of
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: either one of these teams. It feels like if Florida
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: State goes up there and plays well, they're going to
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: crush them, and this ought'll be an easy place to
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: make money. But you're on the road to a home dog.
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: You're an average football team that really depends on the
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: quarterback running the football. That kid may throw the ball well,
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: and he may not be able to hit the broadside
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: of a barn. I mean truly, he may not can
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: throw it in the ocean standing with the waves hitting
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: his feet. I mean it is he is all over
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: the map throwing the football. So you just don't know
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: what you're gonna get, and so I don't want any
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: part of this game. I'm a hell. I'm not even
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: going to watch. I'mna be watching high school football, all right.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: Let me give you a game I am involved in.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: Hawaii is coming over to the Ninth Island. Play UNLV line.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Here's plus three over under sixty four and a half.
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: Hawaii and the Flying Timmy Changs are seven and three
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: straight up, seven and three against the number. You and
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: lv's eight and two straight up and only five and
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: five against the number. UNLV quietly could go ten and two,
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: nine and three. I think Dan mull will probably get
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: a job. He probably already.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: Knows he has a job.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: I think, yeah, yeah, and so. But he's done it quietly.
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: It's been a great year and they've done well. Their
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: defense is terrible, and we've talked about this time and
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: time again. This Hawaii team has improved. You've got eight
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: guys that are on this Hawaii team, including the quarterback
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: that played at Bishop Borman right there in Las Vegas.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be indoors, it's gonna be on a fast track.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: Give me the Flying Timmy Changs. Plus three and I
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: like over sixty four and a half in this one
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: You like the Changers, huh? I kind of do too.
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: This team is just so bad on defense for UNLV.
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: I mean it is. They are so terrible on defense
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: and so good on offense. And that is what makes
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: me think you're probably right about the over. But if
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: you're gonna bet it, I think you gotta take. I
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: think you gotta take Hawaii.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: You gotta take a little piece of it. Next game,
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: I want to go to Scott. I'm gonna correlate these two.
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: Ohio State is at home hosting Rutgers. They're laying thirty
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: one and a half over under. Here's fifty four and
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: a half. Another game I want to talk about is
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: Michigan going on the road to play Maryland and the
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: fighting Mike Likesley's out there. You're the turtle baby again.
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: Big game next week, Michigan Ohio State are gonna get played.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna take one unit, split it half. I'm gonna
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: take Rutgers plus thirty one and a half and I'm
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: gonna take Maryland. I'm gonna buy it up to fourteen.
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: The fact that Maryland came out and said, Mike Likesley
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: as our coach and endorse the guy. Makes me believe
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: that you know that team's still playing hard for him.
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: Uh but if you look at both of these rosters
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: for Michigan, they got some injuries. Bryce Underwood, the freshman
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: quarterback they've got. He is great, but he literally throws
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: the ball like he's trying to throw it through a
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: brick wall. Every time you let it, that go out
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: of his hands, and I just don't know what it's
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: gonna go here. I think you'll get a lot of
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: fight from this Maryland team. Rutgers, they need one more
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: win to go bowling. Ohio State's banged up man Jeremy
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Smith's banged up Carlo the other wide receivers, banged up
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: Cardel Tate, and then saying, I can't imagine you'd leave
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: this kid in the game and worry about them getting
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: hurt too long in this one. So give me Rutgers
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: plus thirty one and a half and give me Maryland
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: plus thirteen and a half. I'm gonna buy to fourteen.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: I think Rutgers is just a good enough team to
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: hang around in this That's the number, and I'm gonna
• 19:46
  Speaker 3: say bettis now while you're getting the hook, because thirty
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: one and a half is a hell of a lot
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: better than thirty one, because I could easy see this
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: game be in thirty eight, seven, forty five to fourteen,
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: you know, easy sleeping and falling estates never in danger.
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: They dominate the game. They just sleep walk through it.
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: Oh but the only one by thirty one take this game.
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: I agree with you. I think thirty one and a
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: half is a big number here with Michigan on deck,
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: and I will tell you. I'll go so far as
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: to tell you I think Maryland's going to give Michigan
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: all they want. Yeah, I like that line, give me,
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: give me the Terrapins. Even though I have just bet
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: against Mike Likesley his entire career as a whole, I've
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: made a whole lot more money betting against him. But
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: come on, Mike, I need you, baby, I need you,
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: just one time, Just one time.
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: Work for me, baby, I mean Mike Likesley. I would
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: love to sit down with that guy and have a
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: candid conversation about So it's like, so, walk me through
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: how it was in New Mexico when your son got
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: arrested driving a university car for getting a DW.
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: Yeah, driving a university on car, but.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: Now here you are the head coach of Maryland. I
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: mean it's got to be a story. Let's hear it. Anyway,
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Moving on Temple tu Lane, Temple's getting eight to half
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: case of Keeler moved up from Sam Houston State's gone
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: to Temple. He's done a good job here. Tu Lane
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: currently in JMU were the odds on favorite in that
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: G five position to get in. I kind of think
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: Tulane's got the best shot just because the Conference of
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: thrends and where it's set up that they're eight and
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: two straight up, but they're only four or five and
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: one against the number. I kind of like Temple getting
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: eight and a half points in this one. I think
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: Temple could be a live dog here.
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: Well. I like this number for a couple of reasons.
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: First Off, Auburn's completely blowing the coaching search. If SOMEWHEREW
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: is not the next coach at Auburn, like this ought
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: to be the easiest job search in the history of
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: job searches. He's from the state of Alabama. He coached
• 21:51
  Speaker 3: a D one football team in the state of Alabama
• 21:53
  Speaker 3: to great success. He is a very solid guy. He's
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: a defense first guy, which is every time Auburn's been
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: worth a damn. That's who it is. Man. When your coach,
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: he's looking for other jobs. And trust me, he's looking
• 22:08
  Speaker 3: for other jobs. I can There ain't no way he's
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: at two lane next year. I don't think there's any
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: chance he's at too Lane next year, whether it's Auburn
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: or somewhere else. Because if Kiffin Lee's there ain't no
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: doubt Old Miss is gonna be after summer. All so,
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: I just think there's no chance he's back. It's relative,
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: it matters. I don't know that we get our best shot.
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: Two Lanes look really bad on the road a couple
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: of times. It's just they haven't played clean football away
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: from home, and they've been much better at home. I
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: guess numbers too big. That's the bottom mine. Give me Temple,
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: I love it, love it.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Give me Dallas BYU traveling out to Cincinnati, b WY.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: You bounced back last week and beat the dog at
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: a TCU in Cincinnati. We made You've gotten exposed that
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: they're not that good coming in here. Lana Short number
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: two and a half on the road, Boys and Special
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Underwear have the inside track to get themselves back into
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: the Big twelve championship game, where they would probably rematch
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: with Tech if they don't lose to West Virginia next week.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: I think by used to play here. I think they're
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: gonna come in, They're gonna run the ball, dominate that
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: and I think, you know it'll play into their position.
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: But defensively, I think Byu is gonna step up here
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: really make Cincinnati struggle. Uh, And I like Byu to
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: cover a short number. You got anything with me on
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: that one?
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: Yeah. I said it all year that Cincinnati was gonna
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: win just enough games that they couldn't fire Scott Saddlefield,
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: and that's exactly where we're gonna end up. This team's
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: probably better than their record. I bet Cincinnati fans are
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: pissed of where they're at. They very easily probably should
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: have won that Nebraska game to start. That's one game
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: for sure, But at the end of the day, I
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: think by You just comes in and gets it done.
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: I think they're gonna play bully ball with these guys.
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: I agree, and I've watched them play in person, and
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: they're a physical budge and I think they're gonna wear
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati down in that one. Uh, let's go a little
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: snake in the toilet, baby Florida at home. Tennessee's got
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: to travel down to games. We'll play here. Line's four
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: over unders fifty seven and a half. The one thing
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: you can say about this Florida team is they haven't
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: given up with BILLI Goanzalees coaching these guys. They get
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: the big wide receiver back, the freshman kids supposed to
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: be coming back in this one. But the thing that's
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: interesting to me is you look at this line. Seven
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: and three against three and seven. Public's going to be
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: all over Tennessee if I had to guess in the spot.
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: But they're having to go down to the swamp. Tennessee
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: has Bandy on deck next week, which is a much
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: bigger game than it normally is. And I just think Tennessee,
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: I think Florida can hang around. I'll take Florida plus four.
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: I think the Gators are going to hang around. Look,
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: they played really well, I mean played really well at
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss last week. Very easily could have won that
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: football game. Bad interception when they were driving to take
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: the lead late in that ball game was the difference
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: in the ball game. And it was just he tried
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: to throw across his body running. Just a poor decision
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: on him part. But the team's playing hard for Billy
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: Gonzales and uh, not to be confused with someun belt Billy,
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: but we have BILLI Goanzales. He does have. He has
• 25:12
  Speaker 3: been doing a good job with this team. But I
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: agree with you, this is a This is kind of
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: a big deal at Tennessee Vandy game looks large. And
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: I'll give you one more here. I think you've got
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: a snake in the toilet game with Kentucky and Vandy.
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: I think to see. I think it's the exact same thing.
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: I think both of these games. Man, they better be
• 25:31
  Speaker 3: ready to play well because I think they're gonna get
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: both of that other team's best shot. And do what
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: do we get from the favorites? Is the It is
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: the key in this and the key in this ball game.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: I ain't Florida's got the best chance to win this game. Look,
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: they hate each other and this is a rivalry. Uh
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: And I ain't Florida's gonna give it all they got
• 25:52
  Speaker 3: and then they got Florida State next week. They're gonna
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: go out punching and I think I think that's what
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: we get like this game. I agree with you, this's
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: got a chance to be sneaky, doesn't see. Better be ready, buddy,
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: they better be ready.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Let's go Chop Chop, gator Baby. Washington State traveling back
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: across the country. This is their second trip to Virginia
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: this season. Never mind the fact that they also had
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: to travel to Old Miss to play game. They've done
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: really well in those games, didn't win, but did cover
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: in both of those spots. This is a game. I
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: think they're running into a bad position. They matching JMU,
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: who's nine to one straight up seven and three against
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: the number Jamie's laying thirteen and a half. I think
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: Bob Chesney knows exactly what he's got. I think he
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: knows he has to win and he needs some style points.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: Even though Washington State isn't a quote unquote Power League
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: team anymore, there's still a little bit of that perception.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: And I think JMU puts the hammer down on Washington State.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: And also, this is a weird bodyclock game. This game
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: kicks off at one o'clock Eastern, which is ten am
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: in the pulues where these guys are going to be
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: coming from. And that's a bad spot for me, and
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: so give me JMU minus thirteen and a half. I
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: like this splick quite a bit.
• 27:04
  Speaker 3: I like JMU here too. Lain't a lot of chalk,
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: but I like JMU. Even though Washington State has done
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: well in those travel games, they've caught those teams looking
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: past them. Virginia. I mean, oh miss was sleepwalking. I mean,
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: I mean it was bad. They looked so bad. There
• 27:21
  Speaker 3: were so much more talented, just mistake after mistake lethargic,
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: hella crowd. I don't even think ever left the grove
• 27:28
  Speaker 3: the You know, they didn't care. Their team didn't care.
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: They got lucky to get out of there with the
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: winds just because they were sleepwalking. That's not going to
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: be the case with JMU this weekend. I think they
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: get a full shot and they play hard. They know
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: they're right here on the verge of the playoff, and
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: I ain't they put wood out there on wazoo.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: Do travel to Chapel Hill, folks, if you've never been
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: to this part of the country. These two campuses are
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: about eleven to fifteen miles apart. You can drive on
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: a two lane road right from Duke's door, and you'll
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: end up right there walking into North Carolina's campus. Beautiful
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: place to play football. Duke's defense is ass complete. Ass
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: They're giving up twenty nine once a game they have
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: not played well. This team is so far from where
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: we thought they were gonna believe when they played Illinois
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: early this season, North Carolina four and six could even
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: make it to a bowl game. My man, Bill Belichick
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: this week was spotted going to an adult cheer competition
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: for his twenty four year old or twenty six year
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: old girlfriend.
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: Has anybody fallen any farther than Bill? But hey, look,
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: if this whole deal with his twenty four year old
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: girlfriend does not show you that it is undefeated and untied,
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: nothing is ever going to show you. I mean that, dude,
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: is that an adult cheering competition has a set? Man,
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: You only show up with those of your watching your grandkid.
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: I mean, he's old enough for to be his grandkid,
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: but it's not. It's his girlfriend. But you know what
• 29:02
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna do. I want to bet on the old
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: bastard this year, this week. I can't believe that I'm
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: taking this game, but I am. I think you're I
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: think You just said it one hundred percent right. You
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: and I were talking earlier and you said, when they
• 29:15
  Speaker 3: scored twenty, they win every game they've scored twenty points
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: they've won. I don't know how you don't score twenty
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: on this tech on this duke. Defense. As bad as
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: they're playing right now, they were awful, really really bad
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: on defense in that Clemson game, even though they won.
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: They've been terrible against Yukon. They were terrible last week.
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: I think we get another terrible defensive performance in a
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: rivalry game. I ain't Bill Belly gets it done in
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: this ball game, and I cannot believe, cannot believe that
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: I'm taking this game.
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: It's gross. I mean, by seven to might's won twenty.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: Coastal Caroline team's kind of been up and down. We
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: played a couple of weeks ago. Didn't go well for us,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: getting twenty four and a half against South Carolina team
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: that just absolutely fell apart last week, and I kind
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: of wonder how much bounced they've got left in their step.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: They also have Clemson on deck next week and they're
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: three and seven. They can't go to a bull game.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: I playing Coastal and for you know, rolling in and
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: their turquoise from the dirty myrtle. I don't think they're
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: gonna get up for this one. Give me Coastal plus
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: twenty four and a half in a dirty spot Saturday afternoon.
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: I will tell you. And look you got You're getting
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: a hook here too. And I like this. I like
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: this hook a lot because again, thirty eight to fourteen
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: and you cover, you know, I do. I think that
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: South Carolina's gonna win. Yeah, probably, but man, this has
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: just I mean egg city written all over it. But
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: traditionally this is where Shane Biember's made his hay, I mean,
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: is in games like this. So I think they're gonna win.
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: But Coastal has been a lot better. They've been a
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: lot better since they made the quarterbacks whitch. And so
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: I think there's enough in this tank to cover what
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: is a big, big number for a team that is
• 31:12
  Speaker 3: floundering big time.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma be at home, hosting early game against Maszoo. Lying
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: here seven and a half over under forty one and
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: a half. Look Oklahoma eight and two straight up. They
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: have a pathway to get themselves into the College Football Playoff,
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: which is good for ventables. This was a hard fucking schedule,
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: and when you roll into your quarterback has something wrong
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: with his hand midway through the season, and you're still
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: able to navigate what you've got. And if just lean
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: on this defense, run the ball, and just go out
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: and win dirty, greasy games. And that's what he's been
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: doing all season. Miszoo, with the backup quarterback Zolars, he's
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: not gonna be able to get it done. I don't
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna try to lean on a mite hardy
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: to run the rock and against this defense, it's just
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: not good. Had they lost last week, I would probably
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: be looking at this game a little bit differently. But
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: the fact that Oklahoma can see it and say, damn it,
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: we can get in. I think you're gonna get a
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: full effort from these guys. I wanna buy the hook,
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: get it down to seven, But I think Oklahoma.
• 32:13
  Speaker 3: I think the guys ik it's my favorite game of
• 32:16
  Speaker 3: the week. I don't know how Missoo's gonna score because
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: after watching them last week against Mississippi State, that look
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: Harty's great and he's a good player, and that offense,
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: and let me tell you something, that tight end from Missouri,
• 32:30
  Speaker 3: Oh you talk about a dog. I'm a guy that
• 32:32
  Speaker 3: loves to watch the game, and I love tight ends
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: and always have. It's just a position that that that
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: I played some you know, I just like watching it
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: because I think there's such a valuable tool in an
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: offense that guy gets at. There are NFL gms that
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: cannot wait to get a hold of that guy. You
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: don't see many dudes get after blocking the way that
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: guy gets after blocking. I mean he gets after. They're
• 33:01
  Speaker 3: a really good football team, and I like drinkuts. I'll
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: be honest. I think he does a really really good job.
• 33:07
  Speaker 3: I think his kids love him. But I just don't
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: know how they're gonna score because they're not gonna be
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: able to run the football. If they couldn't have run
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: the football on Mississippi State last week, they don't beat them,
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: and they know their quarterback can't do some things and
• 33:21
  Speaker 3: this Oklahoma defense is gonna pressure him, and Missisippi State
• 33:24
  Speaker 3: can't pressure the quarterback. This is a completely different team
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: and State was in that game. They gave up two
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: pick six's and had seven plays inside the five and
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: didn't score. And that ain't happening this week. This is
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: my favorite game of the week. I think Oklahoma's going
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: to drill them. Do I think it's only gonna be
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: twenty four to seven or something. Yeah, that's probably about
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: what I think it's gonna be. So Unders probably a
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: really good play, but man, I think they are going
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: to hammer them because I don't know how Missoo's gonna
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: move the football.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: I agree with you. I'm give me the Sooners.
• 34:01
  Speaker 3: Baby.
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: We'll lay in one of our ten games we got
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: on the board this week next and I want to
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: go to Utah laying seventeen and a.
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: Half all the Before we leave this game, one thing
• 34:09
  Speaker 3: I will tell you about this game. Make sure that
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: Penn State transfer is not going to be back before
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: you bet this game, because he went through warm ups
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: last week, so there's a chance that's true plays, so
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: there's a chance he plays. This bet is all based
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: on the third team kid being the Quarterbacksolers or whatever
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: it is, So do not take this bet if he's back,
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: because I think they're a different football team if that's
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: the case, because they're gonna be able to throw the
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: football and they're gonna trust him to throw the football
• 34:40
  Speaker 3: down the field. So just keep an eye on who
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: the quarterback is in this ball game. That's that's the
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: key for this bet.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: Moving on, let's go up to Salt Lake the afternoon
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: game that we've got here, they're Utah hosting Kansas State.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Seventeen and a half's the number. Utah's eight and two.
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: They still have a chance to get in the Big
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: twelve Champampionship. They're getting a lot of love from the
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: committee as well. Utah is also eight and two straight
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: up with the only two games they didn't covered, with
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: two games that they lost. Things that I had uncovered
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: about this is interesting this week. You know, the running
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: back for Kansas State is out, so they're really relying
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: on every Johnson to try to get things done. He
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: struggled all season long. They started really slowly. This kid,
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: I don't think can beat you with this arm. He
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: wants to run. And where this is going to be
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: interesting is Utah plays at one of the highest percentages
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: of man coverage in the country, and so over eighty
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: percent of passing downs they're in man. And so when
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: you look at that, I don't think the passing windows
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: are going to be there for every Johnson to get
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: comfortable with it. You've got a heavy blitz package from
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: Utah's defense, that's there. I don't think he's going to
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: be able to run the ball against this team. The
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: offensive line for Kansas State hasn't performed well all season,
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: and so it's a big number. But when Utah beats people,
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: they beat people. They're averaging forty one points a game
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: and they're only giving up fifteen give me the oots
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: Land seventeen and a half.
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: Yea, this is more of a vote against k State.
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: I mean, look, look how bad they were last week
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: against Oklahoma State. I mean they were terrible. I think
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: that's why this is the only reason this line's as
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: big as it is. They're going on the road again
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: to Utah, back to back road games. I agree with you.
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: I think they get drilled.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: Baylor traveling out to the desert to play Arizona. Man
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: Brennan has done one hell of a job turning this
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: Arizona team around, and next week they get the chance
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: to come back from last year when they just absolutely
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: got embarrassed in that Arizona State game the Territorial cuple
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: believe they call it. But this Baylor defense is terrible.
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: I think Arizona is going to run the rock. Nor
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: Vicina's gonna have a huge day Land seven. Give me
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: that Baylor's defense is a mess. The Arizona passing defense
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: is actually really good. And the other thing too, you know,
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: because Baylor's God's team. But there's a safety that plays
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: for Arizona, Scott, whose first name is Genesis, and so
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: you know he's a little blessed as well. And so
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: give me there's little wildcats. A minutus seven of this one.
• 37:04
  Speaker 3: I love it. I agree with you six and a
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: half in my book. So it's bouncing around six and
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: a half, seven I and a half, it's it is, man,
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: if you can get it six and a half. I
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: think that is definitely a great play. But Arizona is
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: looking better. They looked good last week. I thought they
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: might get get caught up by my man Scott Sadderfield
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: couldn't close the deal last week. I couldn't get it
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: done and uh and and didn't cover at that. But
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: I think Arizona. I think Arizona goes up there and
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: comes home and gets the gets a w against Baylor
• 37:37
  Speaker 3: and covers. This is what I think is a short number.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: Arkansas plus eight and a half travels to Austin. This
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: is an old old Southwest Conference rivel, I'd love to
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: see this game get rolling again. Getting eight and a
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: half Texas over under. He's fifty eight and a half.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: You know, Texas coming in last week after just getting
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: pants against Georgia. This Texas team is seven and three
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: straight up. But to me, they're more with their against
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: the spread record is, which is two and eight. This team,
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: I think has been through Gaizy all year. The defense
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: isn't nearly as good as I thought it was going
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: to be in arch Banning. You don't know what you're
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: gonna get. Last last week in that Georgia game, they
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: got beat that kind of knocked them out of college
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: football playoff. Then on top of that, they've got A
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: and M next week on a short week that they'll
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: be playing on Friday against an Arkansas team that's two
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: and eight without a coach. Do you think they're really
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: fired up to play this game? They're not skuy to
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: know who is Bobby Petrino, Yes.
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: Sir, fifty seven and a half is the over under.
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: I mean, I mean, may this made me scratch my head.
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: I'm like Mississippi State was moving the ball on these people,
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: made no mistake on one thing on the Hogs. They
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: got a ton of close losses. Yeah, I mean a ton.
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: This team is so close to being a seven and
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: five football team and people don't realize it. And at
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: the end of the day, that's who Texas is. Iikis
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: games more closely matched than people realize. Dalen Green is
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: healthy and plays well, They're gonna cover this number. That's
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: the bottom line. I think this is a close game.
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: I agree with you give me the Hogs in that one.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: A couple more we got out of line USC Oregon.
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: I think USC will be the most public dog right here.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: They're eight and two straight up, they're five and five
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: against the number. Lincoln Rally gets to stay on the
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: West coast, which he's bitched about having to travel to
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: the Midwest against this Oregon team. Problem is with this
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: USC team is I think they're kind of banged up
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: and I really think the physicality of Oregon is gonna
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: wear them down. Line opened at seven and a half.
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: It's popped all the way to nine and a half.
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna have a ton of public support
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: on USC in this game at plus nine and a half,
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: because nobody remembers what Oregon's done except for their last
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: game against Iowa that they couldn't pull the margin out
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: on them. So if I'm playing it, I'm playing Oregon
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: minus nine and a half. But I haven't got down
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: on it yet.
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I want to. I'm with you. I want to
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: watch the book numbers see if this is a big
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: see where this is a big, big game it does.
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: S C is one of those teams that big money
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: comes in on on the public and so I'm gonna
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: be interested to see where that number was. This will
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: be a Saturday decision for me. But if I take it,
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: I'm taking order.
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: You have any interest in the Louisville s m U
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: game minus two and a half?
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: In that one kinda I wish I could go, I
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: really do. But uh, I think s m U is
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: probably the play in that game. There's it feels like
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: they're still fighting for something even though they're not fighting
• 40:35
  Speaker 3: for anything. Does that Does that make sense? I mean,
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: Brohm is they're basically the exact same football teams. But
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: I like, I like SMU in this game at home.
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: I think this is gonna be a I think that
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: Louisville's got some injuries and and and that's why they're
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: not the team that they were earlier in the year,
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: and I think s m U. I candidly, I think
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: they're gonna win this game and cover uh.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: With North Texas traveling down to Houston to play Rice
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: laying seventeen and a half in a Saturday night matchup
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: with North Texas and Rices, North Texas is nine and
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: one against the number. Rice team is much improved. If
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: you haven't watched them play yet, They're smallish, they run
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: the ball a lot, and they kind of just take
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: the air out of it. But this North Texas team
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: again has got a shot to play in the tournament,
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: but they need to finish out strong. Don't want to
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: lay an egg here, and this Rice defense can't keep
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: up with what North Texa's is gonna do. I'm gonna
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: lay the big number with the screaming Eagles, seventeen and a.
• 41:33
  Speaker 3: Halfs Yeah, this seems this seems like you know what
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: My only concern is is when I looked at it,
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: I thought, Hell, this is no brain. They're gonna drill Rice.
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: That's honestly what I thought. That always scares me when
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at a seventeen and a half and I think, Hell,
• 41:48
  Speaker 3: that's they're gonna kill these guys, you know, So that
• 41:52
  Speaker 3: that's my only concern. I agree with you, I like
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: I like North Texas here. I think they get it done.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: A couple more that you got. This is Scott Kentucky, Vanderbilt,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: Kentucky getting nine and a half against Vandy again, Vandy's
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: looking ahead. They've got Tennessee out there. I just don't
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: know how excited they're going to be to play a
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: five and five Kentucky. What do you think?
• 42:14
  Speaker 3: I agree with you at Kentucky's just kind of mad.
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: But and this is more of a rivalry game than
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: people think. So I this is a game I'm not
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: going to bed home because Diego Pavia is one of
• 42:27
  Speaker 3: those guys that just he figures out it. Guy's a dog.
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: He just plays man, He just plays. He is not impressive.
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: You look at him. You don't know how he does it.
• 42:37
  Speaker 3: He's not fast yet he's always running in open space.
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: I mean, it's just the kids, just gritty and it's
• 42:44
  Speaker 3: just a just a dog. He just gets it done.
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: And so that's what scares me about this game. But
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: it feels like Kentucky's gonna be able to keep this
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: within the number because the defenses are both the better
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: sides of this ball.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: Iowa laying sixteen and a half against Mission State. This
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: Michigan State team's bad. I was on them a couple
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: of times. I think they've quit. I think Iowa just
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: grinds these guys up into nothing. If this, if you
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: I looked up and saw that this game was twenty
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: seven to three in Michigan State was never in the game,
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised. I'm gonna lay it with Iowa
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: before it goes to seventeen.
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: I like it. Iwa man, We've liked them arow year.
• 43:21
  Speaker 3: This is the team they had. They've just had a
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: pretty tough schedule. Is the only reason this team's not
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: right there. They just stay very easily. Could have beaten Oregon.
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: You know this, this is this is a pretty good
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: This is the best of the next tier teams in
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: the Big Ten.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: You're gonna lay twenty one and a half for LSU
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: against Western Kentucky. You gotta any interested in this morning?
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: Man? I actually like Western Kentucky here. I don't know
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: that LSU could beat anybody by twenty one and a
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: half anymore. I mean, look that defense is gonna give
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: Western Kentucky all kinds of problems, but at the end
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: of the day, this is still a team that wins
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: football games. I know. The talent is a complete disparity.
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: Twenty one and a half just seems so much for
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: a team that is floundering the way LSU is floundering.
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I would agree with that, that you're gonna make
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: a play. That would be my play there on the
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: other thing got left on the boards. Guy, it is
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: Utah State Presno State. Give me Bronco menden Hall plus three.
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: I am unimpressed with this Presno State team. I just
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're that good. I think what Utah
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: State's been putting together. They're eight and two. Straight up,
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: you're getting three points. Give me Bronco menden tal Baby,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: I'll take that one. I'll do you one better. I'm
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: gonna give you a Bronco Menden Hall Temple underdog parlay.
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: I think we got a shot, baby, I think we
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: got a shot.
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: I agree with you. I like Utah State here. I
• 44:43
  Speaker 3: think Bronco is gonna get it done. I think Utah
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: State's pretty good football team. Nothing against Presno State, but
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: I like Temple. I like Temple, and Utah is my
• 44:52
  Speaker 3: underdog Parlay. So Temple and Utah State underdog Parlay. I
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: do have a little bit of love for Washington. I
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: think they're gonna beat up La going on the road,
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: you know, going on the road. I just think Ucla
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: is just a wounded football team. But Washington has not
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: been good on the road. But if I start gambling
• 45:11
  Speaker 3: late night now I got a little momentum on Saturday,
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: I'll probably get on Washington too.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: I may give me.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: I may throw a little Hawaii in there, plus three
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: on the money line and make me a little round
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: robin little Hawaii. I like that in Utah State. Yeah,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: then you can carry over from Friday end of the Saturday.
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: I like it.
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: I'm excited Oklahoma.
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: I agree with you. If he doesn't play, I think
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: that's probably one of my favorite games on the board.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: I really like Arizona the truck Baylor in that spot
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: that's there. And so it's one of those sleepy Saturdays. Man,
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: you've got the SEC that's playing the non cons that
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: are not very good good games anyway, But it's always
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: these types of weekends that something weird happens and so
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: you don't ever know when somebody's gonna lay a complete
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: egg and maybe ruin their whole season, or if vice
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: first of May, their whole season. So I'm excited about it. Folks,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: end us up on Twitter, give us some reviews, some rating.
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: We appreciate everything. We love y'all, and we will talk
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: to y'all next week