Latest / The Mark Simone Show / Mark interviews Pollster John McLaughlin.

Transcript

Mark interviews Pollster John McLaughlin. · The Mark Simone Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Maksim live from the WR Life Back studios. Well, let's
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: talk to the best pollster in the world. Now. First,
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: you got these public polls, you know that you see
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: in the news, you see on TV, the media polls,
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: the college bulls, they're all just junkler a couple hundred people, real,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: cheaply done. The dead serious polls that the candidates use
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: are very, very sophisticated, deadly accurate, and the best to
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: all of them is John McLaughlin. You can check out
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: his website. It's McLaughlin online dot com. But this is
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: who real candidates use, president's prime ministers use, and he's
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: with us. Now, John McLaughlin, how you doing Mark.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: I'm doing well, and I'm doing well because as long
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: as Donald Trump's president, uh well, I'm always going to
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: be able to listen to you say those those poles
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: were deadly accurate, which they were.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Hey, just explain to us this past week you had
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: this Democratic primaries, the big nutshob kook left wing social
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: What is this trend and where will it end?
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Well, it's it's within the Democrat Party. These big government
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: socialists are taking over and it's in reaction to the
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: success that that president Trump has had we have. I mean,
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: the Republicans are mainstream. President Trump has transformed the Republican
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: Party into this party of working class homeowners, capitalists, people
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: who want to run some wall businesses and farmers, etc.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: You've got this great heartland coalition that we created back
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen for him to win the first time
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: and has expanded where we won the popular vote in
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: twenty twenty four and we swept the battle around states.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: And in reaction to it, the Democrats have gone nuts.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: They've terranged and we just put out a poll that
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: the President retruthed that last night where is job approols
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: kicked back up to fifty forty six percent disapproved. It's
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: a thousand like voters who tend to vote this November.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: And it's so he has some success because on Iran,
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: most Americans from what they see or read, they support
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: what he's doing with the ceasefire deal. And what's amazing
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: is you've got seventy six percent. There's a message gap
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: because seventy six percent approved that everyone must never have
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon, and you've got another seventy five percent
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: say we got to require a RAND to stop funding
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: international terrorism against Israel and other nations. But if you
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: go to left wing cable channels, or you don't get
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: your information from any news source other than you know,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: like if you don't hear from the writer's certed people
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: like to listen to your show or have fair journalism
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: with Newsmax or Fox News, et cetera, they're not getting
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: that information that this is what it's about. And it's amazing,
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, you know so. But the President Trump, he's
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: getting it out and he's getting his supports started to
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: tick back up. The difference too, is the Republicans for Congress.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: While President Trump's increasing his support, Republicans are losing to
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: the Democrats in the generic vote for Congress forty six
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: to forty three. So there's Trump voters who are not
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: voting for Republicans who may not vote in November. They
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: may have to show up, which is a disaster for
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: the midterms because he had one hundred and fifty five
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: million people come out, and you know, in twenty twenty
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: four vote for President Trump has seventy seven million. But
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: midterms you only get like in twenty eighteen, one hundred
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: and eighteen million people, or in twenty twenty two, you
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: had one hundred and twelve million people. So if the
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: Trump voters, they'll come out. These socialists who have taken
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: over literally a few thousand votes. I mean, the Mondamine's candidate,
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: Chevity should beat Espayatte and the Bronx and Harlem by
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: a mere three thousand votes because you only had about
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: sixty thousand people voting in the or I forget the number,
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: but it's about that. It's it's it's a small number
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: of people that turn out in primaries. So the socialists,
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: these big of the socialists understand that that they can
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: take over the Democrat Party because the Democratic Party, the
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: establishment is so weak, and that's how Mondami got elected.
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: He got elected in the primary. And they they're running
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: these primaries, you know, and they're you know, the Landers
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: beat Goldman. I mean, it's amazing when you think about it,
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: and I mean, the anti Semitism, the message of Prohamas
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: anti Semitism is unbelievable that that, you know, Landers himself,
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: who happens to be dealers and beat Dang Goldman because
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: he was too pro Israel and wasn't uh anti Israel enough.
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: And then you got to shows she once heard this,
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: but they're they're these socialists. Their agenda the Democratic socialists.
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: They they want to legalize prostitution, they want to league
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: which is bad for you, and trafficking. They want to
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: legalize hard drugs. They want to shut down jails. Chevy,
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: I think from somebody commits murdered, they shouldn't have to
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: go to jail because she wouldn't answer the question four times.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: They're really radical, extreme Democrats. Yeah, and it's not just
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: happening in New York. You know, you got l s
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: a Ed in Michigan, you got Tolerico in Texas, You've
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: got Platner and Maine. You've got really extreme Democrats winning primaries.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah. As you say, in the mid term type elections,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: you got low turnout. And the problem is Democrats and
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: they're really good at turnout. They've got their best ground
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: game of Republicans don't have it in a lot of places,
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: especially in New York. How is that ever going to
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: get fixed?
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: Well, well, well Trump fixed it because we you ended
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: up having to build a lot of organizations where you
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: had these nonprofits that are able to identify voters and
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: get them out. But Trump had aggress who's you know
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: group that came out from He had an agenda where
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: he wanted voter ID proof of citizenship before you vote.
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: You want to have his Trump tax cuts renewed, no
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax tax
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: credits for senior citizens. He wanted to secure the border.
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: I mean, he hasn't make America story on our military,
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: make sure our reign doesn't get nuclear weapons. He had
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: an agenda that people were passionate about to go out
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: and vote. Plus you had Joe Biden and Kalla Harris
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: on the other side. But you know, when you think
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: about it, like here in New York, the only way
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: we're going to stop the socialists is to elect Bruce
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: Blakeman as governor because the tail is wagon they're going
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: on hopeful because I mean Bruce is like he's cut
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: taxes and he got re elected in a Democrat county.
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: Big he cut taxes. He's got a tax cut playing
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: for New York. He's going to cut utility.
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Bills in half because there's so much regulation and waste there.
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: You know, he's going to make our life more affordable.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Plus he'll keep us safe because like NASA Stavis County
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: in the country, because he hired hundreds of law enforcement officers.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: Back we want when we win. But you're the pollster
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: right now, where does it stand? How does it look?
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: By the way, don't believe the fake poles like Siena
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: Sana Institute must get.
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: Money because they do register vos. They only had twenty
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: two percent. Republicans were normally twenty five to thirty percent,
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: so there's any point skew there.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: They also had forty percent for New York City. It
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: was only thirty two percent four years against Zelden from
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: New York City, so there's a sixteen point skew. But
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: don't believe those state poles. Blakeman's within within about eight
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: nine points. That was our last poll.
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: And Huckel.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: The bottom line where we had in common with those
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: other poles.
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: Is the posters don't like Kathy Hockel. They think she's
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: too weak. They don't think she'll stand.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Up to the Donnie her can't. She's supposedly she endorsed
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: the established, the Democrats with the King Jeffreys against Man
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Donnie's candidates. They got steamrolled. Nobody came out for them.
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: They don't like them.
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: We can't afford New York New York is this job
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: leaving those businesses leaving? I mean, it's like Manami's talking about,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: it can hover homes of property from people he wanted
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: into ten percent property tax like in New York City.
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're going to have a clear contrast between
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: the what Bruce Bludman wants to do to keep New
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: York affordable and safe versus Ukalhem Mandonaleie what they're doing
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: for the state.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Hey, John McLaughlin, the world's best poster. People must
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: ask you all the time, what's going to happen in
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: the midterms. Isn't it really too early to say? No?
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: Well, it is in some degree it is. That could
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: be things that change. But right now it's a contest,
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: and you've got about forty districts where they're in play
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: for Congress to the House, and there's fourteen absolute toss
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: ups and I could decide. So you know, a little
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: like I'm talking about the mood or the country is
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: the generic ballot, It's like, if it moves a couple
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: of points, it could represent dozens of congressional seats and
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: maybe three or four really contested Senate seats where you're
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: looking at the Senate is also in play. And by
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: the way, Chuck Schumer in my national poland if you
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: want to find the results, it's at MacLaughlin online dot com. Yeah,
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: but the on our website.
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: But Chuck Schumer is a twenty nine favorable, like forty
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: four on six unfevorable. He's like he's the leader of
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: the Democrats in the Senate. So here he is twenty
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: nine favorable, forty five unfavorable, and he's really disliked. And
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: that's President Trump's main opponent.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, the guy who shuts down the government, the
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: guy who stoles all the legislation, the guy who any
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: you know voter id to make sure we have honest elections.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: He's the guy who stopped on this. And he's from
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: New York. And by the way, if there was a
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: primary in New York, he'd lose by twenty points to Aos.
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: If if she decided to primary, he'd get trust so
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: he'd be he'd be the next one to get run
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: over by Mondonne.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: Wow.
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: But that yes, you know, but that's is it too
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: early now? It's it's I mean, there's still a lot
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: at stake in there's there's a contrast election that has
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: to be has to be defined where this is what
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: the Democrats stand for Tula Rico and Texas. You know,
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: he doesn't think God's it's thinks there's six genders and
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: God's non binarian. And you set this guy Platinum with
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: the Nazi tattoo up and up in Maine and you
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: got you know, I mean, there's serious issues at play.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: And the Democrats they don't want to just repeal the
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: tax cuts. They want to the Trump taxes. They want
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: to raise taxes. So how should you win on an
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: affordability issue when you want to raise taxes about seventeen
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars the person on every American?
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well we'll see, but keep polling and Everyodey should
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: help Bruce Blakeman. We want to see him become governor.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: And if you want a donator and go to Blakeman
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: from New York dot com and help him out. John McLoughlin,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: great stuff. Now your website has got a lot of
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: information on it and polling. Uh McLachlan online dot com,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: McLachlin online dot com. John McLachlin, thanks for being with us.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: Mark, thank you and keep up, keep up for great work.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: And uh, you know, I really enjoyed the I really
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: enjoyed the praise about the past, Paul's game. Right, yeah,
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: we got to work on the next.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Set, all right, Okay, keep working, keep up the great work,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: and we'll talk to you soon. Thanks for being with us,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. Take care. Uh hey, don't forget coming
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: up at noon. Buck Sexton and Clay Travis, they got
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: a great show for you today. Then you got uh,
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: you know, the single most listened to radio show in
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: America is Sean Hannity every day three to six. You
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: got Jesse Kelly six o'clock and the very funny Jimmy
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Fayala was what a wonderful show. If you haven't heard it,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: start listening nine to midnight. And we got Curtis Saliwa
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: every morning, Curtis Sliwa, Larry Mente every morning six to ten.
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Right here on sevent ten, w or