Latest / Strictly Business / The Asset Class: Alastair Herbertson
Transcript
- 0:00You're listening to Strictly Business Podcast with Lindsay Williams.
- 0:05The 2026 SONA, that's the State of the Nation Address for the Republic of South
- 0:10Africa,
- 0:10was delivered by the President Cyril Ramaphosa recently and it was generally
- 0:15well received.
- 0:17With me now is Alistair Herbertson, Managing Director, Emerging Market,
- 0:19Alternative Credit at 91 in Cape Town.
- 0:22Let me read something to you first, Alistair, before we go into the points
- 0:26that you want to cover.
- 0:28The 2026 SONA was a strong statement on the turning point in South Africa, it says
- 0:32here,
- 0:32for an improved future in many areas, highlighting, and a quote from the
- 0:37President now,
- 0:39we are leaving behind an era of decline and turning towards an era of prosperity
- 0:43and growth.
- 0:45Our economy, he goes on to say, is growing again and this growth is gathering pace.
- 0:49Very, very optimistic opening.
- 0:50Did you find that, Alistair?
- 0:52I did think that the recent Sona, the Sona presented in February was...
- 0:56much more positive and actually captured a lot more results that were achieved
- 1:03through the course of the year.
- 1:05So instead of being aspirational in terms of what needs to be done or what's going
- 1:07to be done,
- 1:09it really did capture what has been achieved,
- 1:10what have we seen coming from the work we've done in the last couple of years.
- 1:15Yes, and that all goes back to, I think, Voolindlela,
- 1:19the initiative that is now going into phase two.
- 1:23And one of the things that's been so important, and I've recently conducted an
- 1:30interview with one of your colleagues on this matter, is infrastructure.
- 1:32Infrastructure seemed to be front and centre of the SONA.
- 1:35I think it's been a long-running theme within the SONA speeches that
- 1:42infrastructure is critical
- 1:44for giving the economy the opportunity to grow.
- 1:44Because it's only through a growing economy that we can hope to create the
- 1:48jobs.
- 1:48And it's only through creating jobs that we can hope to address.
- 1:52poverty in the country.
- 1:53So this is certainly one of the key aspects of the Sona series.
- 1:58Did the President talk about participation from the private sector, which is, of
- 2:02course,
- 2:02so important and has been lacking in the past?
- 2:06He did bring that up.
- 2:07There has been a lot of discussion around how the private sector can contribute,
- 2:13facilitate,
- 2:15support the government in its efforts to build infrastructure.
- 2:17But of course, This is a massive undertaking.
- 2:20There is a huge amount of infrastructure required,
- 2:23and it ranges from what is typically publicly provided infrastructure right
- 2:29through to what we see as economic
- 2:31infrastructure being used by our businesses.
- 2:33So there is always a role, and certainly we think that there's a strong opportunity
- 2:38to invest in
- 2:40infrastructure across that whole spectrum.
- 2:42One of the things that has been, again, phrased front and centre, over the years
- 2:47has been energy stability.
- 2:49And when you think of energy stability, you think of load shedding.
- 2:51I haven't heard the phrase load shedding for a long time.
- 2:53I have heard about problems on the railways and in ports.
- 2:58And I'm increasingly hearing, and this is something that I'm saying now,
- 3:01water is the new electricity because water shortages are now a fact of life in many
- 3:07parts of South Africa.
- 3:09I think water is a very important aspect or consideration that we have to be
- 3:14worried about.
- 3:16because it has been neglected for many years.
- 3:17It's been neglected for longer than the electricity sector was neglected.
- 3:21And unfortunately, it actually takes longer to resolve the water sector when we
- 3:26apply our minds to it.
- 3:28So it's going to be a long-running concern and constraint on the economy.
- 3:30So I do think it's important that it's been highlighted as a new prerogative or a
- 3:36new aspect to consider.
- 3:38Yes, and apart from that, there's the digital element of the sonar speech,
- 3:43digital expansion and spatial.
- 3:45planning, they were all highlighted in the SONU.
- 3:46Which of the sectors within the infrastructure umbrella are the most
- 3:51important to you, would you say?
- 3:53I'm going to give you a very broad answer to that is that they are all critically
- 3:56important.
- 3:58So if we look at the factors of production, you know, it's the energy, the
- 4:03waters required, the technology, the understanding,
- 4:05the knowledge that people have, the actual people in labour,
- 4:06that every component is important and it doesn't work if it goes out of balance.
- 4:12truly important is making sure that we never neglect one of the sectors such that
- 4:19it becomes a bottleneck
- 4:21and prevents the rest of the economy from growing.
- 4:22So I think that it's almost more important to make sure that we balance the
- 4:28investment across the board.
- 4:30And speaking of investment, it's not just the government, of course, and this is
- 4:35where 91 comes in the SA Infrastructure Fund.
- 4:37When you sat down after the speech and went through it, were you encouraged that
- 4:41this
- 4:41This vision from the president might actually aid your fund and at the same
- 4:48time your fund could aid his vision.
- 4:50So the fund has been a number of years in the making.
- 4:51It's been operational now since last year.
- 4:54And what we have found is that there are definitely strong opportunities to invest
- 5:00into infrastructure.
- 5:02I think we're seeing the government now focusing on what's important for the
- 5:05government to do,
- 5:07which is creating a stable governance framework,
- 5:08mitigating the crime that we see in the country and giving the law and justice an
- 5:15opportunity to just
- 5:17let the private sector grow and expand at a rate that will contribute to the
- 5:20economy.
- 5:20So yes, I'm very excited with the new Sona.
- 5:24Okay, say that to me.
- 5:25I'm a private investor, or I'm an institutional investor.
- 5:28What makes the South African infrastructure space at the moment
- 5:32potentially so exciting?
- 5:34So we've always seen that infrastructure has had a pretty stable return profile,
- 5:39whether that's in the debt or the equity space.
- 5:41And that's because of the nature of infrastructure.
- 5:44It's long lasting.
- 5:45So for all of our clients who are looking for a stable return over many years,
- 5:50who might not want the volatility of sort of a high growth sector,
- 5:55this definitely gives a more stable, longer term investment opportunity.
- 5:59And it's in line with what is the government's prerogative.
- 6:03The government has decided that this is where they will be in focusing the growth
- 6:09in the country.
- 6:11So we think it's an opportune moment to become an investor in infrastructure in
- 6:13South Africa.
- 6:15Alistair, very good.
- 6:17Thank you very much for your time and your optimism.
- 6:18Alistair Herbertson is Managing Director, Emerging Market Alternative Credit at 91
- 6:24in Cape Town.
- 6:26The views and opinions expressed in these podcasts are those of Lindsay Williams and
- 6:32various contributors and do not reflect the policy,
- 6:34position or opinion of any other agency, organisation,
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- 6:41assumptions made on the analyses are not reflective of the position of any other
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- 6:57Please do not hold us to them in perpetuity.