Latest / The Bob Lefsetz Podcast / Roger McNamee
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Welcome, Welcome, Welcome back to the Bob left Fess Podcast.
- 0:12Speaker 1: My guest today is writer, musician, investor Roger macum. Roger,
- 0:18Speaker 1: it is so good to be here with you, Bob. Okay,
- 0:20Speaker 1: so Roger, how are you coping with the COVID nineteen era, So, Bob,
- 0:24Speaker 1: After a two weeks where I was really trying to
- 0:27Speaker 1: figure out which way was up, I decided to adopt
- 0:30Speaker 1: a full zen program, and I am now one with
- 0:34Speaker 1: the quarantine and it's really working for me. Okay, let's
- 0:38Speaker 1: go a little bit deeper. You're one with the quarantine.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Do you leave your domicile almost never. I'm lucky to
- 0:45Speaker 1: live in a semi rural area where I can go
- 0:48Speaker 1: for walks and get out without going near anyone else,
- 0:53Speaker 1: and that is pretty much where I am. I'm really
- 0:55Speaker 1: lucky because where we live, one of my bandmates chose
- 1:01Speaker 1: to shelter with us, and so we have been able
- 1:04Speaker 1: to play music every day, and we do a live
- 1:07Speaker 1: stream that's on our websites, on Facebook, on Twitter, and
- 1:11Speaker 1: YouTube every single day and that has made the whole experience.
- 1:16Speaker 1: It's given it a focus that's really been for me
- 1:21Speaker 1: at least wild change from three and a half years
- 1:26Speaker 1: of activism where I was on the road seven days
- 1:29Speaker 1: a week and you know, banging my head against a
- 1:32Speaker 1: wall trying to protect democracy from internet platforms. So let's
- 1:36Speaker 1: go back to the band. Why don't you uh tell
- 1:39Speaker 1: give us the U r L for those who are
- 1:41Speaker 1: unfamiliar to so they can live stream. So everybody should
- 1:44Speaker 1: understand that when I was in high school, I was
- 1:46Speaker 1: in a really really sorry When I was in college,
- 1:48Speaker 1: I was in a really cool band, but the lead
- 1:52Speaker 1: songwriter in the band didn't want to go for it,
- 1:55Speaker 1: and so I was one of these people who was
- 1:58Speaker 1: like completely left at the altar and felt crushed about it.
- 2:01Speaker 1: And I went and got a real job because I
- 2:03Speaker 1: had what was a ridiculous amount of student loans for
- 2:06Speaker 1: that period, and I felt like I couldn't afford to
- 2:09Speaker 1: take a risk starting from scratch, but I always wanted
- 2:12Speaker 1: to play, so I kept playing you know, happy hours
- 2:15Speaker 1: and small band things all the way through. And then
- 2:17Speaker 1: about twenty years ago, I decided that I had gotten
- 2:21Speaker 1: far enough in my day job career that I could
- 2:24Speaker 1: afford to try to get serious and convert the industry
- 2:28Speaker 1: group I was in from a garage band into something
- 2:31Speaker 1: real and then it evolved into a full time band
- 2:33Speaker 1: called Moon Else. Uh T Bone. Burnett put us together,
- 2:37Speaker 1: recorded the first album, and the notion was he'd just
- 2:41Speaker 1: done Oh Brother Ware Art Thou and it was a
- 2:43Speaker 1: huge hit, and so he was going to do a
- 2:45Speaker 1: series of albums of Americano music in different styles. So
- 2:51Speaker 1: the notion was reinterpreting them, and he did three at
- 2:54Speaker 1: the same time. We were supposed to take the sound
- 2:56Speaker 1: of the Hate Ashbury and reinterpret it, and then he
- 2:59Speaker 1: got h Elvis Costello to do kind of I think
- 3:02Speaker 1: a New York folk thing, but what he really got
- 3:05Speaker 1: was Alison Krauss and Robert Plant to do Raising Sand,
- 3:10Speaker 1: which of course became huge, and we and Elvis were
- 3:14Speaker 1: completely forgotten in the mix. I mean, we got the
- 3:16Speaker 1: album done in all, but you know, Raising Sand sucked
- 3:20Speaker 1: all the oxygen out of the room, and that forced
- 3:22Speaker 1: Moon Else, which at the time included Jack Cassidy from
- 3:25Speaker 1: the Jefferson Airplane, included Geez Smith, included people who have
- 3:30Speaker 1: been part of the Grateful Dead extended family. That band
- 3:35Speaker 1: essentially had to focus on finding another way to get attention,
- 3:39Speaker 1: and beginning in two thousand and eight, we focused on
- 3:43Speaker 1: Facebook and Twitter, So we did the first live shows
- 3:47Speaker 1: on on Twitter, and then we did we we figured
- 3:51Speaker 1: out how to use Facebook to build an audience, and
- 3:53Speaker 1: we got the hundreds of thousands of people with ridiculously
- 3:56Speaker 1: high levels of engagement as the band gradually figured out
- 4:01Speaker 1: what it's, what its thing was, and you know, we've
- 4:06Speaker 1: been at it now thirteen years and now we're called
- 4:10Speaker 1: Full Moon Eilis because last summer we added Lester Chambers
- 4:15Speaker 1: and his son Dylan from the Chambers Brothers and the
- 4:18Speaker 1: Tea Sisters, who are three sisters who sing tight harmony
- 4:21Speaker 1: to what was basically a hippie band. You know. So
- 4:24Speaker 1: we were really good instrumentally and our vocals were We're
- 4:28Speaker 1: good enough but not great. Now we've added these unbelievable
- 4:30Speaker 1: vocals and we've just recorded new album and we were
- 4:33Speaker 1: about to begin our first tour of theaters, right it
- 4:37Speaker 1: was supposed to start basically March one, and you know,
- 4:41Speaker 1: we had like I want to say, seventy shows set
- 4:43Speaker 1: up for this year, two thirds of the theaters, and
- 4:47Speaker 1: it was going to be really excited because Full Moon Elis,
- 4:49Speaker 1: you know, the notion of bringing back the Chambers Brothers
- 4:52Speaker 1: psychedelic gospel and the fantastic harmonies of the Tea Sisters
- 4:57Speaker 1: on top of what we were doing. People were really
- 4:59Speaker 1: groo it on him, and of course, just like everybody else,
- 5:03Speaker 1: you know, we got shut down and uh, we've missed
- 5:07Speaker 1: all but one show from our and but we have
- 5:12Speaker 1: this album ready to go, and so we're going to
- 5:14Speaker 1: just try to launch an album. And if you go
- 5:16Speaker 1: to moon Alis dot com you can get the first
- 5:18Speaker 1: two songs, which include a new version of Time Has
- 5:21Speaker 1: Come Today with Lester now at age eight, on the
- 5:24Speaker 1: lead vocal as he was on the original and h
- 5:28Speaker 1: T sister song called Wo Wo that it's just it's
- 5:31Speaker 1: really hot and you can check those out if you like,
- 5:35Speaker 1: but it's you know, we're just like everybody else. So
- 5:36Speaker 1: we've we've resorted to pushing the technology really hard and
- 5:41Speaker 1: seeing what you can do with live streaming with multiple
- 5:44Speaker 1: locations and you know, we haven't solved the latency problem,
- 5:48Speaker 1: so we can't all play at the same time, but
- 5:50Speaker 1: we've been able to have all of us on screen
- 5:53Speaker 1: at the same time using a thing that's better than zoom,
- 5:57Speaker 1: and uh, with people playing from all locations but not together. Okay,
- 6:02Speaker 1: you know, this brings us to the question if you know,
- 6:04Speaker 1: the music business at large, recording end of it is
- 6:07Speaker 1: sort of solved with streaming not deeply affected by COVID nineteen,
- 6:11Speaker 1: but the touring business has been brought down to zero.
- 6:15Speaker 1: Do you have any insights on how you would address
- 6:18Speaker 1: this problem that may be able to move it forward.
- 6:20Speaker 1: I mean, Bob, we have spent our time doing almost nothing,
- 6:24Speaker 1: but so you know, we, like a million other people,
- 6:28Speaker 1: had the idea of how about driving movie theaters? Right,
- 6:30Speaker 1: and so we studied the economics, we started talking to
- 6:33Speaker 1: people who own theaters. Now do we begin doing this
- 6:36Speaker 1: some other more ago? And uh, you know, the problem
- 6:40Speaker 1: is the experience for the fans, right, I mean, you know,
- 6:43Speaker 1: the audio would be really imperfect. You can't get that
- 6:49Speaker 1: many people into them. The production costs are pretty high,
- 6:52Speaker 1: and so is it doable? Absolutely? Uh? Is it gonna
- 6:56Speaker 1: be hard? Yes? And you know the question of when
- 7:00Speaker 1: comes back? I think it's really super difficult because, let's
- 7:05Speaker 1: face it, we've mostly been hearing wishful thinking out of Washington.
- 7:09Speaker 1: And you know, as somebody made a professional career in
- 7:13Speaker 1: the daytime studying technology and studying economics, and you know,
- 7:19Speaker 1: I pretty good at reading the news and The thing
- 7:23Speaker 1: that really concerns me is that, you know, one, we
- 7:26Speaker 1: have no leadership in the country, and so our response
- 7:30Speaker 1: to this literally couldn't have been worse. And yet there's
- 7:34Speaker 1: no solution on the horizon. I mean, it might take
- 7:38Speaker 1: multiple years to get a vaccine that works in enough
- 7:41Speaker 1: supply to actually protect the country. So we're stuck for
- 7:45Speaker 1: a while. And what does that mean for live music?
- 7:48Speaker 1: I mean, we're going to have to find new models
- 7:51Speaker 1: because until then, when people get close together, there's a
- 7:54Speaker 1: really high risk of getting sick. And in my mind,
- 7:58Speaker 1: folks who are older, and our audience includes a lot
- 8:01Speaker 1: of you know, older folks, they're going to be really
- 8:05Speaker 1: hesitant about what they do. And uh, we we haven't
- 8:10Speaker 1: got that figured out yet, but we're going to keep
- 8:12Speaker 1: trying until we do. Okay, let's segue to the COVID
- 8:16Speaker 1: nineteen And it's important because the wind ever, the facts
- 8:20Speaker 1: don't really change, but the spin does. That we're recording
- 8:23Speaker 1: this Thursday, May fourteenth, Starting today, we wave a magic
- 8:28Speaker 1: wand you're in charge. What should we be doing in
- 8:31Speaker 1: the US or maybe worldwide to fight COVID nineteen. Well,
- 8:36Speaker 1: in my mind, the United States as biggest failing right
- 8:38Speaker 1: now is that we don't cooperate with the rest of
- 8:40Speaker 1: the world about anything. So we dropped out of the
- 8:44Speaker 1: International Confederation to develop a vaccine that is insane. So
- 8:48Speaker 1: on day one, I would get back into that and
- 8:51Speaker 1: I would go to everyone around the world and I
- 8:54Speaker 1: both listened to what they've learned, and I would adopt it.
- 8:58Speaker 1: Our problem was we spend two months in a form
- 9:02Speaker 1: of quarantine which slowed the spread of the disease without
- 9:07Speaker 1: actually shrinking it. So every other country went to a
- 9:10Speaker 1: more harsh form of quarantine. Well, let's let's just go back.
- 9:14Speaker 1: We stopped the spread, but we didn't shrink that. Please
- 9:17Speaker 1: amplify that from my audience. So essentially, the way to
- 9:20Speaker 1: think about this is if you look at New Zealand,
- 9:23Speaker 1: or you look at Taiwan, or you look at South Korea,
- 9:27Speaker 1: they implemented measures immediately, they tested immediately, they went to
- 9:34Speaker 1: social distancing immediately before there was widespread infection, and the
- 9:40Speaker 1: result of that behavior was that they stopped the thing
- 9:43Speaker 1: from spreading and made it possible to resume economic activity
- 9:47Speaker 1: after a couple of months. In our case, we waited
- 9:52Speaker 1: for almost two months after the first case before we
- 9:55Speaker 1: did anything significant. And then when we implemented our quarantine,
- 9:58Speaker 1: we did it in such a way that it was
- 10:00Speaker 1: already too late in the Northeast, and we didn't think
- 10:06Speaker 1: about elements of our economy like meat packing facilities, like
- 10:14Speaker 1: retirement homes, prisons where people are tightly packed and where
- 10:21Speaker 1: the normal behavior did not have public health standards that
- 10:26Speaker 1: would be resistant to a communicable disease like COVID. And
- 10:30Speaker 1: so the result is we are still having outbreaks at
- 10:33Speaker 1: exactly the time we're trying to reopen the economy. So,
- 10:36Speaker 1: you know, they talked about this rate of infection called
- 10:39Speaker 1: are not and you want to get that thing significantly
- 10:42Speaker 1: below one in order to get the actual spread of
- 10:45Speaker 1: the disease. Now that's how many people one person infects
- 10:48Speaker 1: can In fact, right, we started out I think around three,
- 10:52Speaker 1: you know, now we're down to just slightly over one.
- 10:56Speaker 1: And the result is we're sort of stable with twenty
- 10:59Speaker 1: to of thousand people a day being diagnosed and between
- 11:04Speaker 1: fifteen hundred a day dying. Well I'm sorry, but you
- 11:09Speaker 1: can do the man. I mean, you know, if you're
- 11:12Speaker 1: going to have let's say an average of two thousand
- 11:14Speaker 1: people a day dying, that's sixty people a month, right,
- 11:19Speaker 1: So that's bigger than Vietnam every single month. And you
- 11:24Speaker 1: know that means that by this time next year, if
- 11:28Speaker 1: it persists, of this time next year, you literally have
- 11:31Speaker 1: more people dead in a year than died in the
- 11:33Speaker 1: Second World War. And so that's not a solution, right.
- 11:38Speaker 1: We have to find a way to get the numbers
- 11:40Speaker 1: so that you know they're like everybody else, which is
- 11:43Speaker 1: to say that there are some days you have next
- 11:45Speaker 1: to no new infections and nobody dying, and we haven't
- 11:49Speaker 1: done any of the things to do that are testing
- 11:51Speaker 1: is woefully inadequate. We started so late that we missed
- 11:54Speaker 1: the window when this level of testing would have made
- 11:59Speaker 1: a difference. Now we need the testing to be five
- 12:01Speaker 1: times is great to produce the same effect that this
- 12:04Speaker 1: part would have done if we've done it three months ago.
- 12:07Speaker 1: And so I find all of that obviously alarming, because Bob,
- 12:12Speaker 1: you and I are not spring chickens, right, we are
- 12:14Speaker 1: in the portion of the population that needs to be
- 12:17Speaker 1: super careful, and many of our favorite people in the
- 12:21Speaker 1: music business are also, and obviously to the extent that
- 12:26Speaker 1: anybody has had any past health history, you know, if
- 12:29Speaker 1: you've ever had hypertension or heart disease or lung disease,
- 12:34Speaker 1: or you're a smoker or overweight or whatever. I mean,
- 12:37Speaker 1: those things just make it a lot more dangerous if
- 12:40Speaker 1: you've and god forbid, you've ever had cancer. And so
- 12:44Speaker 1: you know, to me, we've had a massive failure of
- 12:50Speaker 1: you know, public health administration in this country and there's
- 12:54Speaker 1: no sign of fixing that until best case, January of
- 12:57Speaker 1: next year, right, which is like, wow, you know that's
- 13:01Speaker 1: just okay, Just so I know what would happen theoretically
- 13:04Speaker 1: on January one next year. It wouldn't be January. Fe
- 13:07Speaker 1: be January right when you change presidents. Okay, but let's
- 13:11Speaker 1: I don't I don't want to make this false equivalences.
- 13:13Speaker 1: But since we the pass is locked in stone, if
- 13:16Speaker 1: hypothetically you were in charge today, what would you do?
- 13:20Speaker 1: So the first thing that I would do is that
- 13:23Speaker 1: I would I would simply there there too two paths.
- 13:27Speaker 1: I would take, one relative the economy and one relative
- 13:30Speaker 1: to the to the the coronavirus. And keep in mind,
- 13:34Speaker 1: I'm just a citizen. I have a professional analyst, so
- 13:38Speaker 1: I have Oh yeah, but the reason you have a
- 13:40Speaker 1: long history in tech, and just like with many people
- 13:43Speaker 1: saying about climate crisis, climate control in there there depending
- 13:48Speaker 1: on tech solutions. So your viewpoint is important. So to
- 13:52Speaker 1: be clear, I do not I think the tech industry
- 13:54Speaker 1: is grossly overstated what it can do on this. Relative
- 13:58Speaker 1: to the pandemic. We have got to find a way
- 14:00Speaker 1: to increase the testing by a factor of five, like immediately.
- 14:04Speaker 1: And we need to culturally and this notion that the
- 14:10Speaker 1: pandemic is part of the culture wars, this notion that
- 14:15Speaker 1: somehow people's liberty is being infringed upon because we're asking
- 14:21Speaker 1: them not to kill grandmother, grandfather or someone else in
- 14:25Speaker 1: their household. That I mean, we have you know, the
- 14:28Speaker 1: first thing I do is try to bridge that gap
- 14:31Speaker 1: politically and because we have to work together on this.
- 14:34Speaker 1: This is this is a situation where the country is
- 14:39Speaker 1: threatened in a way it has potentially never been threatened
- 14:42Speaker 1: in its homeland, certainly not since the Civil War. And
- 14:47Speaker 1: you know, we have to start doing the right thing.
- 14:49Speaker 1: But on the economy, I think it's really simple. Trump
- 14:51Speaker 1: has focused all of his energy on protecting his friends,
- 14:54Speaker 1: basically billionaires, large corporations, and that is insane. We have
- 14:58Speaker 1: got to have focused the energy on the people who
- 15:02Speaker 1: work in our economy and on the small businesses on
- 15:04Speaker 1: which it depends. And you know the thing that I
- 15:07Speaker 1: would do is I would I would sit there relative
- 15:10Speaker 1: to Congress and go here is the deal. Okay, we
- 15:13Speaker 1: need to have something that guarantees an income to every
- 15:17Speaker 1: single American for the duration of this crisis, and it
- 15:23Speaker 1: should be uncontestable, and we need to have billionaires paying
- 15:28Speaker 1: their share. From a taxpoint of view. You need to
- 15:31Speaker 1: have corporations recognizing that they're not going to be allowed
- 15:35Speaker 1: to use the pandemic as an excuse to harm employees
- 15:40Speaker 1: or to harm customers. And you know, the reality is
- 15:44Speaker 1: we're paying a price here because for forty years we
- 15:47Speaker 1: deregulated our economy in a way that shifted all the
- 15:51Speaker 1: power and most of the wealth to a tiny fraction
- 15:54Speaker 1: of the population. And you know, ideas that worked pretty
- 15:59Speaker 1: well in the eighties became a disaster by two thousand
- 16:03Speaker 1: and a train wreck. Recently, and my very strong opinion,
- 16:09Speaker 1: having spent a career looking at this stuff, is that
- 16:12Speaker 1: our economy right now looks like an authoritarian regime. You
- 16:17Speaker 1: have a small number of monopolies that dominate every industry,
- 16:20Speaker 1: and that contributed to magnifying the damage to the pandemic.
- 16:24Speaker 1: If you look at it, we had been firing employees
- 16:27Speaker 1: and shifting production of low cost things outside the US
- 16:32Speaker 1: for forty years, to the point where today you cannot
- 16:34Speaker 1: make cotton swaps in order to do a test. Right.
- 16:38Speaker 1: We've lost the ability to things that are absolutely essential
- 16:41Speaker 1: to the economy because we were so focused on optimizing
- 16:45Speaker 1: shareholder value in the short run, and our supply chains
- 16:48Speaker 1: are really fragile. Our health care system is a train wreck.
- 16:51Speaker 1: It is not designed for any kind of public health disaster.
- 16:56Speaker 1: In fact, the entire economy has no margin for everything
- 17:00Speaker 1: is so efficient that any disruption at all breaks. And
- 17:04Speaker 1: that is what's going on. That is why they are
- 17:06Speaker 1: thirty three million people that are explicitly unemployed. But the
- 17:11Speaker 1: reality is it's probably much much bigger than that. And
- 17:15Speaker 1: you know, you look at this and you just go.
- 17:18Speaker 1: The thing that I would be all over on day
- 17:20Speaker 1: one is a new new deal that we've got to
- 17:24Speaker 1: get out there and recognize that all of the people
- 17:27Speaker 1: that live in this country deserve to be treated better.
- 17:31Speaker 1: And so I would follow that up. For example, is
- 17:34Speaker 1: I mean I would reverse everything Trump has ever done
- 17:36Speaker 1: on immigration, and I would absolutely recognize that the people
- 17:42Speaker 1: whose jobs are on the front line. So these are
- 17:45Speaker 1: the people who work in healthcare, the people who work
- 17:47Speaker 1: in retail point of sale, particularly like grocery stores and pharmacies,
- 17:52Speaker 1: the people who work in u meat packing and other
- 17:56Speaker 1: food supply things. Those are essential abs, we say, but
- 18:01Speaker 1: we treat them like they're not, and that's insane. These
- 18:04Speaker 1: jobs need to be paid better. In fact, we need
- 18:06Speaker 1: to look at the whole ecounty. We need to recognize
- 18:08Speaker 1: that part of the reason we're here is that we
- 18:11Speaker 1: cripple public education, right, and so are are too many
- 18:16Speaker 1: people in our population have lost critical thinking and they
- 18:20Speaker 1: can't see facts as facts. They can't appreciate why expertise
- 18:25Speaker 1: really matters. And so I would love, you know, to
- 18:29Speaker 1: use the current environment to reset the whole economy and
- 18:34Speaker 1: to sit there and say, look, our goal should be
- 18:38Speaker 1: to get back to you know, we hold these truths
- 18:42Speaker 1: to be self evident. You know, everybody's created equal, right,
- 18:46Speaker 1: I want to form a more perfect union, and you
- 18:49Speaker 1: really want people to be able to pursue their lives
- 18:53Speaker 1: without fear. And you sit there and you look at
- 18:56Speaker 1: that poor situation where a jogger in Georgia is hunted
- 19:01Speaker 1: down and killed in broad daylight. And you said, you
- 19:05Speaker 1: see these guys in Michigan, armed to the teeth with
- 19:08Speaker 1: heavy weaponry, who are claiming that somehow their rights are
- 19:12Speaker 1: being infringed. I'm going the whole world is upside down.
- 19:16Speaker 1: It is backwards. And if you know, if you made
- 19:19Speaker 1: me president for a day, my goal would be to
- 19:24Speaker 1: try to remind people that we actually have shared interests,
- 19:31Speaker 1: that we you know, this notion that each one of
- 19:35Speaker 1: us is an independent like Marlborough man and not depend
- 19:39Speaker 1: on anybody else. I mean, that's ridiculous, and you can
- 19:41Speaker 1: see that in this pandemic. Okay, let's before we let's
- 19:46Speaker 1: just step focused on the other half for a second
- 19:48Speaker 1: before we leave it behind. How should we be fighting
- 19:51Speaker 1: COVID nineteen irrelevant of the economic effects. So here's the thing.
- 19:56Speaker 1: I'm no doctor, but I can tell you about the
- 19:57Speaker 1: tech part. Everything that you've heard it about contact tracing
- 20:02Speaker 1: using smartphones is nonsense. Everything you've heard about using surveillance
- 20:08Speaker 1: is nonsense. And here are the problems. So this notion
- 20:13Speaker 1: that a smartphone can be used to create automatic automated
- 20:18Speaker 1: contact tracing fails. For the following reasons. The core technology
- 20:22Speaker 1: and the smartphone that you would use to figure out
- 20:24Speaker 1: whether you got close to people who had symptoms or
- 20:28Speaker 1: people who actually were infected with COVID is bluetooth. And
- 20:32Speaker 1: the problem for this application with bluetooth is that while
- 20:37Speaker 1: it can get you within roughly six ft, it doesn't
- 20:42Speaker 1: recognize walls, So you can be within six ft of
- 20:46Speaker 1: somebody but nowhere near them relative to the disease. Because
- 20:50Speaker 1: there's a wall between you and the way the systems
- 20:55Speaker 1: are set up, it's very hard for them to keep
- 20:57Speaker 1: track of how long you are close to somebody. Right,
- 21:02Speaker 1: That's what Apple and Google are trying to create. They're
- 21:04Speaker 1: trying to create something that would would fix that. But
- 21:07Speaker 1: the fundamental problem is you're going to get massive numbers
- 21:10Speaker 1: of false positives, and that's going to require a ridiculous
- 21:16Speaker 1: level of processing. Because with a country of three and
- 21:19Speaker 1: thirty million people, if you get you know, if half
- 21:22Speaker 1: the things you get are false positives or two thirds
- 21:24Speaker 1: of the ones you get are false positives, that number
- 21:26Speaker 1: would be staggering. But it's going to be more like,
- 21:29Speaker 1: are gonna be false positives? And so let's assue for
- 21:34Speaker 1: by some miracle, just say to be inherently in the
- 21:39Speaker 1: way the phones are designed. This is an unsolvable problem,
- 21:42Speaker 1: or could Google and Apple come up with a solution
- 21:45Speaker 1: to this issue. Even enough time, you can come up
- 21:47Speaker 1: with a problem. But with the time constraints were under,
- 21:51Speaker 1: you're not going to get there fast enough, which is
- 21:54Speaker 1: a big reason why Google and Apple are radically narrowing
- 21:58Speaker 1: the scope of what they're trying to do. So the
- 22:01Speaker 1: second piece of the problem is artificial intelligence, which is
- 22:05Speaker 1: certainly artificial but not intelligence. The current state of artificial
- 22:09Speaker 1: intelligence is so grossly oversold that it will not help
- 22:12Speaker 1: you to solve the false positives problem. In fact, if
- 22:16Speaker 1: you look at it, all these people claiming that they
- 22:18Speaker 1: can create these uh heat based cameras to identify people
- 22:23Speaker 1: are sick. That is all utter nonsense, okay. And all
- 22:28Speaker 1: these people who say, well, I can look at a
- 22:30Speaker 1: picture of you and identify whether you have COVID or not.
- 22:33Speaker 1: I mean that is I don't know what language we
- 22:37Speaker 1: can use here, but that you can use any language
- 22:39Speaker 1: you choose. Bullshit. Okay, it is just not So doesn't
- 22:44Speaker 1: mean you can't get there eventually, but the current state
- 22:46Speaker 1: of the technology, it was not designed for that, and
- 22:49Speaker 1: so it's not going to get you there quickly. So
- 22:51Speaker 1: here's the thing that I believe really matters. When I
- 22:55Speaker 1: look at the tech industry my big problem and I've
- 22:58Speaker 1: spent you know, I've been there since night teen two, right,
- 23:01Speaker 1: so from when the Space program was the most important thing,
- 23:03Speaker 1: before PCs were the dominant stuff. So I've watched the
- 23:06Speaker 1: whole thing and I've had a front row seat. And
- 23:08Speaker 1: technology has so much promise, but the industry is out
- 23:11Speaker 1: of control and it fundamentally it it's driven by this
- 23:19Speaker 1: passion to take advantage of the weakest elements of human
- 23:23Speaker 1: psychology because the technology allot should do that. That's what's
- 23:26Speaker 1: wrong with YouTube and Facebook and is just just before
- 23:29Speaker 1: we go because now we're going down a very deep avenue.
- 23:31Speaker 1: But let me let me just fine. Fine, So they've
- 23:34Speaker 1: got that thing, but the other part, the enterprise products
- 23:37Speaker 1: all they're eliminating jobs. And I say, COVID is a
- 23:41Speaker 1: perfect opportunity to fix that problem. Because contact tracing is
- 23:46Speaker 1: actually best done by human beings enabled and empowered by
- 23:50Speaker 1: a small amount of automation. So the thing that Apple
- 23:53Speaker 1: and Google can do is, you know, empower a huge number,
- 24:00Speaker 1: you know, hundreds of thousands, maybe even millions of people
- 24:04Speaker 1: who are physically going and meeting people who have symptoms
- 24:08Speaker 1: and doing that contact tracing. It would have been so
- 24:12Speaker 1: much easier to do this when you're dealing with hundreds
- 24:15Speaker 1: or low thousands of infected patients. But here we are
- 24:18Speaker 1: in a million and a half. And so you know
- 24:21Speaker 1: you've got this problem that the contract tracing thing, the
- 24:24Speaker 1: scale of it is simply staggering. But here's the good news.
- 24:27Speaker 1: We have tens of millions of unemployed people and here's
- 24:31Speaker 1: an opportunity to put them all to work and to
- 24:34Speaker 1: use technology to enhance that. So the big piece I
- 24:37Speaker 1: would give our listeners to think about relative to technology today,
- 24:41Speaker 1: and COVID provides the perfect case in point, is that
- 24:45Speaker 1: we should not trust the technology can solve all our problems.
- 24:50Speaker 1: It's not a silver bol and we first certain should
- 24:54Speaker 1: not believe the promises given by the people who run
- 24:56Speaker 1: tech companies. There. They aren't all horrible people, but they
- 25:00Speaker 1: are relentlessly optimistic and the culture of the industry is
- 25:06Speaker 1: not what it needs to be. Tech is today where
- 25:11Speaker 1: the chemicals industry was in nineteen sixty when they spewed
- 25:14Speaker 1: toxic fumes into the air. When they poured mercury into
- 25:17Speaker 1: fresh water, when they left mine residue on the side
- 25:20Speaker 1: of the hill. They were profitable because they were destroying
- 25:24Speaker 1: the economy and the sorry. They were destroying the environment
- 25:27Speaker 1: and public health. The tech industry, the profits of Google
- 25:30Speaker 1: and Facebook are grossly overstated because they're destroying democracy, public health,
- 25:35Speaker 1: privacy in the economy. And so I look at this
- 25:38Speaker 1: and I go, COVID is the moment. This is the
- 25:41Speaker 1: pivot where we can sit there and go. Tech is
- 25:44Speaker 1: so important that like chemicals in nineteen sixty, like pharmaceuticals
- 25:50Speaker 1: in nineteen o six when we passed the Pure Food
- 25:52Speaker 1: and Drug Act, and just like the building trades after
- 25:56Speaker 1: the Chicago fire, when we realized we really needed to
- 25:59Speaker 1: make the people who build houses responsible for what they built.
- 26:03Speaker 1: That that you have to make tech accountable. And this
- 26:06Speaker 1: is a great opportunity to do that because we all
- 26:08Speaker 1: know how important it is in our lives. And the
- 26:11Speaker 1: future of tech could be so bright and it can
- 26:15Speaker 1: be so constructive. But if he keeps doing what it's
- 26:18Speaker 1: doing now, I mean, I look at Amazon. I'm so
- 26:21Speaker 1: frustrated because Jeff Bezos said he's going to take the
- 26:24Speaker 1: four billion dollars of profits he would otherwise make in
- 26:27Speaker 1: the Jeune quarter. He's going to push him all into
- 26:29Speaker 1: COVID stuff. And my question what's he going to put
- 26:32Speaker 1: it into. Is he going to proctect his employees. Is
- 26:34Speaker 1: he going to change the work rules in the warehouses
- 26:37Speaker 1: so that it's healthier to work in an Amazon warehouse?
- 26:41Speaker 1: Is he going to pay his people more? Because if
- 26:44Speaker 1: he was going to do all those things, that would
- 26:47Speaker 1: be huge. What I fear is that he's going to
- 26:50Speaker 1: spend a ton of money on computer solutions that he
- 26:52Speaker 1: can then sell to governments, and he's going to still
- 26:55Speaker 1: treat the employees really badly. And if that's true, that
- 26:58Speaker 1: will be a missed opportunity, completely tragic. Okay, we're segueing
- 27:03Speaker 1: into a whole thing in terms of if we know
- 27:06Speaker 1: that tech is not going to solve the problem, and
- 27:09Speaker 1: assuming there's no vaccine on the immediate horion horizon, you're saying,
- 27:13Speaker 1: put the unemployed people to work to do contact tracing
- 27:16Speaker 1: very slowly. How would you close down the spread of
- 27:20Speaker 1: the virus? Or maybe you don't. I don't know, Bob,
- 27:24Speaker 1: I wish I knew the answer to that. The one
- 27:26Speaker 1: thing I do know is that there is a silver
- 27:29Speaker 1: line with this whole thing. If you and I stay
- 27:33Speaker 1: physically isolated, we can come through this thing. Right. We're
- 27:39Speaker 1: in a position where you can do your job. I
- 27:41Speaker 1: can do my job in an isolated way. And that's
- 27:44Speaker 1: a lucky thing, right, because otherwise we're in h the
- 27:49Speaker 1: peer group of those with the greatest risk. Anybody in
- 27:52Speaker 1: that situation who has that opportunity is blessed. My core
- 27:57Speaker 1: question is what do you do about the people who
- 27:59Speaker 1: can't or to do that, whose jobs do not allow
- 28:02Speaker 1: them to be isolated, who's lack of political power this
- 28:08Speaker 1: means they have no protection, and so my focus is
- 28:11Speaker 1: on those people. And I would simply note that Amazon
- 28:14Speaker 1: employees have begun to push back, and not just the
- 28:18Speaker 1: people in the warehouses, right, Even salaried people who work
- 28:21Speaker 1: in headquarters have had some pushback, and I think that's
- 28:25Speaker 1: really excited. Citing teachers, We've had more teacher strikes in
- 28:28Speaker 1: the last two years that I think the prior twenty
- 28:30Speaker 1: put together. It's you know, it's time to have work
- 28:36Speaker 1: action everywhere in the economy. People in healthcare, people who
- 28:41Speaker 1: work in meat packing plans, people who work in prisons.
- 28:45Speaker 1: They have way more power than they realize, and it's
- 28:49Speaker 1: incumbent on all of us to help them. You know,
- 28:52Speaker 1: there were days when people didn't buy from Facebook, didn't
- 28:55Speaker 1: buy from instat cart to protest against their labor practices.
- 28:59Speaker 1: We need to have more of that kind of stuff.
- 29:01Speaker 1: We need to if if we always take the convenient path,
- 29:06Speaker 1: the country's gonna just keep going right off the Cliffic's
- 29:08Speaker 1: going off now, Okay, now, Naomi Klein wrote a whole
- 29:11Speaker 1: book called The Shock Doctrine talking about these big moments
- 29:15Speaker 1: in national history, and then they basically say, the powers
- 29:19Speaker 1: that be, the government and the corporations ram through things
- 29:23Speaker 1: to their advantage. You're delineating a lot of things that
- 29:26Speaker 1: would benefit the public. How do we make sure that
- 29:30Speaker 1: this crisis does benefit the public as opposed to the
- 29:33Speaker 1: fat cats. So at the moment, we're doing a terrible
- 29:38Speaker 1: job of that, right because Trump's whole stick is he
- 29:43Speaker 1: has the people he supports, and he really doesn't care
- 29:46Speaker 1: about anybody else. And the Democrats in Congress have moderated
- 29:53Speaker 1: some of his worst instincts, but because of McConnell in
- 29:58Speaker 1: the Senate, they have of not being able to do
- 30:03Speaker 1: what needs doing, and that I find incredibly distressing. And
- 30:09Speaker 1: if the pandemic gives Trump the ability two manipulate the
- 30:20Speaker 1: presidential election or two implement voter suppression techniques that are
- 30:27Speaker 1: as effective as the ones that we're employed in, you know,
- 30:34Speaker 1: we're going to have to work really hard to get
- 30:37Speaker 1: past this. I mean, job one has to be ending
- 30:41Speaker 1: the Trump presidency, and that there is I mean, the
- 30:46Speaker 1: fastest development of a vaccine in history, I believe was
- 30:52Speaker 1: the for the months and I think it took four years.
- 30:56Speaker 1: And my understanding is that it's not uncommon for a
- 30:58Speaker 1: vaccine to take twenty so more. I mean, AIDS has
- 31:01Speaker 1: been thirty years and we still don't have one. Uh.
- 31:04Speaker 1: And so I'm looking at this and just saying we're
- 31:09Speaker 1: going to be living with this for a while, and
- 31:12Speaker 1: it is essential that we followed naomi clients brilliant observations
- 31:18Speaker 1: about these moments and not waste this opportunity to get
- 31:21Speaker 1: it right. So I would look at everybody and say,
- 31:23Speaker 1: our job is not to go back to what the
- 31:27Speaker 1: world was before, because the world before actually sucked for
- 31:31Speaker 1: most people, right it massive income inequality, really unfair labor practices,
- 31:37Speaker 1: incredibly predatory business practices by large companies and our goal
- 31:44Speaker 1: should be to move forward to something much better. And
- 31:48Speaker 1: you know, I say this as somebody who's I spent
- 31:50Speaker 1: my whole life as a capitalist, But the truth is,
- 31:53Speaker 1: we haven't had capitalism in this country for at least
- 31:55Speaker 1: a decade because the world is dominated by monopolies. And
- 31:58Speaker 1: if you think back history, monopoly is associated with monarchy,
- 32:04Speaker 1: with authoritarianism because it creates balance it's easy to control
- 32:09Speaker 1: for an authoritarian whereas capitalism and democracy are really tightly aligned.
- 32:15Speaker 1: And I believe that the United States is a failed
- 32:19Speaker 1: democracy in many dimensions. And you can argue about how
- 32:23Speaker 1: far down the failure uh spectrum the country is, but
- 32:29Speaker 1: it's in my mind. You know, you've had to presidential
- 32:33Speaker 1: elections in the last twenty years where the loser of
- 32:36Speaker 1: the popular vote became president and that is clearly not
- 32:43Speaker 1: an outcome that is consistent with any normal view of democracy. Okay,
- 32:53Speaker 1: so let's talk about politics for a second, because it
- 32:55Speaker 1: leads into another topic. Uh In, Bernie Sanders gave Hillary
- 33:02Speaker 1: Clinton a real run for her money in the primaries.
- 33:07Speaker 1: We had Bernie Sanders on the left, we had Elizabeth
- 33:11Speaker 1: Warren on the left. Needles to say the ultimate nominee
- 33:14Speaker 1: at this point in time is Joe Biden. My personal
- 33:18Speaker 1: analysis is that once it appeared that Bernie Sanders was
- 33:22Speaker 1: going to be the nominee, the d n C and
- 33:26Speaker 1: the media, ie the New York Times primarily conspired to
- 33:31Speaker 1: make sure that didn't happen. So my questions are secondarily
- 33:37Speaker 1: how important is the media too? Can a candidate of
- 33:43Speaker 1: a what is seen as left today be successful? And see?
- 33:49Speaker 1: Are though those the people we should be running and
- 33:52Speaker 1: would they be embraced? So, Bob, I am so much
- 33:56Speaker 1: more close to politics in this country than I would
- 33:59Speaker 1: have been before I became an activist. You know, when
- 34:02Speaker 1: I started my campaign in basically the end of to
- 34:09Speaker 1: it really early to make the world aware of what
- 34:12Speaker 1: happened in the election, how Facebook and Instagram in particular,
- 34:16Speaker 1: and Twitter and YouTube were manipulated to distort the outcome
- 34:22Speaker 1: of our presidential election. And I tried to warn people
- 34:25Speaker 1: to prevent that from happening again. And what wound up
- 34:29Speaker 1: happening is I spent a huge amount of time in Washington.
- 34:31Speaker 1: I got to know a ton of people and learned
- 34:35Speaker 1: a lot about how our process works when it's working well,
- 34:38Speaker 1: and what its failure modes are, so my read of
- 34:41Speaker 1: what happened this time is very different from yours, not
- 34:45Speaker 1: that in the end it matters either way, but let
- 34:48Speaker 1: me just suggest an alternative hypothesis which I think actually
- 34:51Speaker 1: explains the facts slightly better. Uh. And So the first
- 34:57Speaker 1: signal that I had there was something wrong with Facebook
- 35:01Speaker 1: and democracy occurred in January when I saw a hate
- 35:05Speaker 1: speech from Facebook groups that were notionally associated with Bernie Sanders,
- 35:11Speaker 1: and they were hate speech against Clinton. And what struck
- 35:15Speaker 1: me was how rapidly these memes were spreading, and how
- 35:20Speaker 1: many of my friends were spreading them, and how you
- 35:24Speaker 1: went from one person to a dozen people in a
- 35:27Speaker 1: matter of days, which suggested somebody was spending money to
- 35:30Speaker 1: get my friends into these groups. And I don't know that,
- 35:32Speaker 1: I can't prove that that was true. But it turned
- 35:36Speaker 1: out there was a a group of people outside the
- 35:40Speaker 1: Sanders campaign but tightly affiliated with them, who were really
- 35:45Speaker 1: clever in their use of Facebook and Instagram and Twitter,
- 35:50Speaker 1: and who essentially supported that campaign really aggressively against Hillary Clinton.
- 35:59Speaker 1: Now it turns out what really pushed me over the
- 36:01Speaker 1: edge in was breggsit because that was the first time
- 36:04Speaker 1: I realized, oh, my God, the ad tools at Facebook.
- 36:07Speaker 1: The same thing that you know you can use to
- 36:09Speaker 1: sell records or tickets to a concert could be used
- 36:12Speaker 1: to destroy the outcome of the general election of major country.
- 36:16Speaker 1: I mean, that was like, that scared the crap out
- 36:18Speaker 1: of me. And so you know, when I went to
- 36:20Speaker 1: Zuckerberg and Sandberg in October, it was because I was
- 36:24Speaker 1: convinced that the business model, the algorithms, and the culture
- 36:28Speaker 1: of Facebook, we're allowing bad guys too harm innocent people
- 36:33Speaker 1: into harm democracy. So I set out to inform the
- 36:36Speaker 1: world and prevent that from happening again. And what was
- 36:39Speaker 1: tragic about was that the exact same forces that we
- 36:46Speaker 1: saw in We're back in size and had a huge impact.
- 36:51Speaker 1: And the the thing that really was so frustrating for
- 36:57Speaker 1: me was that pull people in the press, they acknowledged
- 37:02Speaker 1: there's a real primary, and they acknowledge there is what
- 37:04Speaker 1: is called a donor primary, where you know, it's about
- 37:07Speaker 1: whose money can you get? Right, And the thing that
- 37:09Speaker 1: that Bernie and had Warren did so well is to
- 37:12Speaker 1: convert fundraising from a batcat thing to a masses of
- 37:17Speaker 1: people thing using social media. Now, that same Bernie Sanders
- 37:22Speaker 1: group that did the UH Facebook stuff in never went away,
- 37:30Speaker 1: and they got really good and they built up their network.
- 37:33Speaker 1: They had, I want to say, something like Facebook pages,
- 37:38Speaker 1: and they were amplified by roughly four hundred Facebook groups
- 37:43Speaker 1: which would have in many cases thousands of people in them.
- 37:47Speaker 1: And they were all in for Bernie and a big
- 37:51Speaker 1: part of their effort, and I worked with researchers at
- 37:54Speaker 1: George Washington University. Uh was the beginning in the summer
- 37:58Speaker 1: of nineteen they decided to clear the field for Bernie,
- 38:01Speaker 1: and they made very quick work of Senator Harris and
- 38:06Speaker 1: then turned their sights on Warren and beginning in October,
- 38:10Speaker 1: focused on the one issue where Warren's position was identical
- 38:14Speaker 1: to Sanders and somehow made people think there was something
- 38:18Speaker 1: wrong with Warren. Right issue was becoming the front runner,
- 38:21Speaker 1: and they were amazingly effective at getting it. We're talking
- 38:24Speaker 1: about healthcare, Yes, Medicare for all. So the point was
- 38:29Speaker 1: where they were really affected was getting the breath to
- 38:32Speaker 1: position Warren as somehow with a dangerous position without saying
- 38:36Speaker 1: the same about about Burnie. The key thing is there's
- 38:40Speaker 1: nothing in American law that makes this illegal. Okay, this
- 38:44Speaker 1: is hardball politics. It's how the game is played. It
- 38:48Speaker 1: was amazingly successful, and I was with the folks at
- 38:53Speaker 1: George Wasshing University try to call attention to fact that hey,
- 38:56Speaker 1: this is going on, we should at least be talking
- 38:57Speaker 1: about is this the right way to conduct to Democratic primary?
- 39:01Speaker 1: So they cleared the field because I think the Sanders
- 39:06Speaker 1: people correctly thought that Warren was the biggest threat and
- 39:09Speaker 1: Harris was the second biggest threat. I think they thought
- 39:11Speaker 1: Biden would just peter out. Now, my perception of what
- 39:14Speaker 1: happened is not that the d n C did anything.
- 39:16Speaker 1: In fact, my impression of the DNC is honest to god,
- 39:20Speaker 1: I'm amazed they can get dressed in the morning because
- 39:23Speaker 1: I watched them. You know, we tried to get them
- 39:26Speaker 1: to pay attention to disinformation a couple of years ago,
- 39:29Speaker 1: and they just had no interest. Their focus was making
- 39:32Speaker 1: sure they were not embarrassed by a hack again. And
- 39:36Speaker 1: uh so, I literally don't think they could possibly have
- 39:39Speaker 1: tilted this divide. I think what happened was that the
- 39:41Speaker 1: most important constituency in the Democratic Party, black people, particularly
- 39:47Speaker 1: black women, decided that all that mattered was beating Trump.
- 39:52Speaker 1: They would deal with a guy who was hopeless in
- 39:54Speaker 1: every other respect as long as it could be Trump.
- 39:56Speaker 1: And the guy who had consistently the best numbers against
- 39:58Speaker 1: Trump was Biden, and they knew him well from the
- 40:02Speaker 1: Obama administration, and they decided in South Carolina they're going
- 40:05Speaker 1: to go there, and that just tipped the whole damn thing.
- 40:08Speaker 1: I think the d n C was every bit as surprised.
- 40:11Speaker 1: In fact, people I know around that thing express complete
- 40:15Speaker 1: and utter shock by what happened. Because if you look
- 40:18Speaker 1: at I mean remember the movie, the Peter Sellers movie
- 40:21Speaker 1: being there. Sure, well, I look at Biden, I'm going
- 40:25Speaker 1: that's Chauncey Gardner. I mean, you know, I look at Biden.
- 40:29Speaker 1: I just go. You gotta be kidding. Now. The one
- 40:32Speaker 1: good thing is the guy's a weather vane, right, So
- 40:34Speaker 1: I'm really hopeful that Warren and Harris are going to
- 40:38Speaker 1: play a really big role in his administration. Stacy Abrams, Right, Uh,
- 40:44Speaker 1: But the first thing, you should gotta get him elected.
- 40:47Speaker 1: And you know, as much as you know he's not
- 40:52Speaker 1: my guy, you know what, I want to go forward,
- 40:57Speaker 1: not backward, right, But it's really essentially getting elected. He's
- 41:01Speaker 1: the guy we have, right, And to me, the great
- 41:04Speaker 1: tragedy is that the d n C organized what was
- 41:09Speaker 1: demonstrably a ridiculously bad primary process for picking a candidate,
- 41:16Speaker 1: and in the end it was decided on cosmetic stuff
- 41:20Speaker 1: as opposed to like who would be well prepared. I mean,
- 41:23Speaker 1: can you imagine how different the thing might have been
- 41:26Speaker 1: if the pandemic has started three months earlier, right, Because
- 41:30Speaker 1: in that context, Warren probably would have emerged differently than
- 41:35Speaker 1: she did, because I mean, she looks like the kind
- 41:40Speaker 1: of people who have been successful around the world, right.
- 41:42Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at it, whether it's Germany
- 41:45Speaker 1: or New Zealand or any of those other countries in
- 41:48Speaker 1: Europe that have women prime ministers, there is this incredible
- 41:53Speaker 1: thing that the you know, I want to say, eight
- 41:55Speaker 1: of the ten countries they are most successful in finding
- 41:58Speaker 1: the pandemic have a minutes their chief executive. And that's
- 42:04Speaker 1: I don't think that's a fluke, right, And you know,
- 42:07Speaker 1: women technocrats in politics have a really good track record,
- 42:11Speaker 1: and you know, but we're not going to get to
- 42:14Speaker 1: run that experiment right where we are where we are,
- 42:16Speaker 1: so we we got to play with the horse we've got. Okay,
- 42:19Speaker 1: before we get back to the political thing, uh, talking
- 42:22Speaker 1: about income, inequality, etcetera, globalization has gotten a bad name.
- 42:27Speaker 1: My viewpoint would be that globalization is inevitable. It's just
- 42:32Speaker 1: that they left out the people who would be screwed
- 42:34Speaker 1: by globalization. What's your viewpoint on that? So I am
- 42:38Speaker 1: totally with you, and if you don't mind, I'm going
- 42:41Speaker 1: to go past where you are, okay. So I love
- 42:44Speaker 1: globalization because it's a peacemaking phenomenon that when you have
- 42:51Speaker 1: interlocking economies, it's really hard to go to war. And
- 42:57Speaker 1: the flaws of globalization really can be reduced to the
- 43:03Speaker 1: ancillary choices that were made with it. So if you
- 43:06Speaker 1: think about the fact that we allowed the tax law
- 43:10Speaker 1: to be used to encourage outsourcing of manufacturing to other countries,
- 43:21Speaker 1: which caused whole communities to disappear in the United States
- 43:25Speaker 1: economically whole basically whole states. And if you think about
- 43:32Speaker 1: the choices we've made relative to optimizing our globalization strategy
- 43:39Speaker 1: to ensure that there would be a hundred thousand different
- 43:42Speaker 1: products at Walmart at the lowest possible price. There are
- 43:45Speaker 1: lots of ways you could have optimized the strategy, but
- 43:48Speaker 1: we basically say we're going to optimize in a way
- 43:50Speaker 1: that you know goes to all this Huxley, We're gonna
- 43:54Speaker 1: give people the soma of consumerism. People can take away
- 43:58Speaker 1: their job. And it's like, if that is those things
- 44:02Speaker 1: are not linked, those are choices. And we have a
- 44:08Speaker 1: thing that started really well, went way off the tracks
- 44:12Speaker 1: because we forgot something about capitalism that really matters, which is,
- 44:17Speaker 1: for capitalism the work, someone has to set the rules
- 44:21Speaker 1: and enforce them, and traditionally that's the federal government. And
- 44:25Speaker 1: Reagan comes in says the government is the problem. And
- 44:27Speaker 1: the Republicans set about making government ineffective. And it took
- 44:32Speaker 1: them forty years, but they succeeded to the point where
- 44:35Speaker 1: today government does not have the ability to meet the
- 44:39Speaker 1: needs that people incidently expect from it. And exactly the moment,
- 44:44Speaker 1: the technology is creating a new set of needs for
- 44:46Speaker 1: which the government does not have the budget or the
- 44:48Speaker 1: skills to provide support. And we have got to break
- 44:54Speaker 1: the back of the libertarian philosophy that there is nothing
- 44:59Speaker 1: useful the government does, because if you're looking at it
- 45:02Speaker 1: right now, the absence of a thoughtful government response all
- 45:10Speaker 1: by itself explains why the United States has the worst
- 45:14Speaker 1: outcome from COVID in the entire world. Okay, you know,
- 45:20Speaker 1: in the news right now. Moving into the social media
- 45:23Speaker 1: sphere is the whole plandemic documentary okay, which doesn't seem
- 45:31Speaker 1: to be able to be killed in terms of video,
- 45:33Speaker 1: keeps popping up. Give us your viewpoint on that. So
- 45:37Speaker 1: the first piece, let me just remind our audience how
- 45:41Speaker 1: the business model of YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, and in a
- 45:46Speaker 1: slightly different way Twitter work. These sites are all dependent
- 45:52Speaker 1: on our attention. They sell ants. They're only twenty four
- 45:58Speaker 1: hours in a day. They need keep as much of
- 46:00Speaker 1: our attention as possible. For YouTube, Facebook, and Instagram, they
- 46:08Speaker 1: have used surveillance what Shoshana zoo Boff at Harvard calls
- 46:11Speaker 1: surveillance capitalism. Two. Build a dossier on every single person
- 46:17Speaker 1: that is, for all intents and purposes, a data voodoo
- 46:23Speaker 1: doll that is a complete representation of our digital lives,
- 46:26Speaker 1: every touch point, not just the things you have on
- 46:28Speaker 1: Facebook and Google, but every time you use a credit card,
- 46:31Speaker 1: every time you travel, every time you use your phone,
- 46:34Speaker 1: every time you move with the phone in your position.
- 46:36Speaker 1: They know everything. They know what you do minute by
- 46:39Speaker 1: minute the whole day. They know where you are, who
- 46:41Speaker 1: you're with. They use that in order to identify content.
- 46:47Speaker 1: It will activate your emotions. Well, guess what. For most people,
- 46:53Speaker 1: the surest way engage people emotional is to appeal to
- 46:59Speaker 1: flight or fight. Right, it's you can't help, but survivally,
- 47:03Speaker 1: you have to react. Even if you don't like the content,
- 47:05Speaker 1: you still have to pay attention. It's the same reason
- 47:07Speaker 1: why you have rubber necking when there's an accident. So
- 47:12Speaker 1: what kind of content does that? Hate speech, disinformation, and
- 47:17Speaker 1: conspiracy theories. So an algorithm that is designed to maximize
- 47:22Speaker 1: attention will, over the course of time, wind up promoting
- 47:27Speaker 1: hate speech, disinformation, conspiracy theories far more than other kinds
- 47:31Speaker 1: of content. So conclusion number one, YouTube, Facebook, Instagram. Their
- 47:38Speaker 1: business is hate speech, disinformation, and conspiracy theories. And so
- 47:42Speaker 1: when something comes along and you look at their reaction,
- 47:46Speaker 1: their basic reaction is first order responses, Oh, it's free speech,
- 47:52Speaker 1: We're not going to interfere. If the pressure doesn't go away,
- 47:55Speaker 1: they go, well, we have this tool so people can
- 47:58Speaker 1: report it, and you know, if enough people report it
- 48:01Speaker 1: will do something. Then the third level response is, uh, oh,
- 48:06Speaker 1: I'm sorry, but that doesn't violate our terms of service. Yes,
- 48:10Speaker 1: it's objectional, what doesn't If it still won't go away,
- 48:13Speaker 1: they will eventually remove either the piece of content or
- 48:17Speaker 1: the person who put it up. So they got rid
- 48:20Speaker 1: of Alex Jones. Why did they do that because the
- 48:23Speaker 1: pressure was really huge, and even though Alex Jones was gigantic,
- 48:28Speaker 1: he was a tiny fraction of all the hate speech, disinformation,
- 48:31Speaker 1: conspiracy theories on those platforms and they were able to
- 48:34Speaker 1: protect all the rest of it for a period of
- 48:37Speaker 1: time by getting rid of him. So they take down plandemic,
- 48:40Speaker 1: But what do they not do. They do not eliminate
- 48:44Speaker 1: the ability of someone to advertise and share the link
- 48:48Speaker 1: to plandemic in an ad, and they do nothing to
- 48:51Speaker 1: prevent it from being spread inside groups on Facebook, so
- 48:56Speaker 1: you wind up having people promoting it in places and
- 48:58Speaker 1: other people just sharing it inside groups. So it's they
- 49:03Speaker 1: don't actually want to get rid of it because that's
- 49:06Speaker 1: the thing that drives their business. This is the same
- 49:08Speaker 1: basis on which Google, Facebook as corporations, and Twitter have
- 49:15Speaker 1: had two standards, one for real people and the other
- 49:20Speaker 1: for people who are conservatives right. Twitter famously said they
- 49:25Speaker 1: couldn't eliminate white supremacy hate speech because doing so would
- 49:30Speaker 1: require them to shut down a bunch of Republicans. They
- 49:35Speaker 1: obviously do not enforce their terms of service on Trump
- 49:39Speaker 1: for anything. And Facebook has done the most amazing thing.
- 49:45Speaker 1: A reporter named Judd Lego discovered that Trump was advertising
- 49:52Speaker 1: with blatant falsehoods that violated the Facebook terms of service.
- 49:57Speaker 1: He calls them on it, and so what did Facebook do?
- 50:01Speaker 1: They change their terms of service last summer and now
- 50:07Speaker 1: it's okay to lie in a political act. Now I
- 50:11Speaker 1: look at all these things and I just go why.
- 50:17Speaker 1: And here's the thing. There are three billion people who
- 50:22Speaker 1: actively use Facebook products. Roughly similar number actively use Google products,
- 50:27Speaker 1: so have almost half the worlds population. They're more than
- 50:32Speaker 1: twice as big as any country. Neither Google nor Facebook
- 50:37Speaker 1: acknowledges responsibility to any country. They're bigger than any country.
- 50:41Speaker 1: They go, but you can't regulate us. And yet they
- 50:45Speaker 1: do have a problem. They don't have armies and they
- 50:48Speaker 1: don't control currencies, so they lack the two things that
- 50:52Speaker 1: sovereign nations have. So they have to cooperate to sub degree.
- 50:58Speaker 1: They will always aligned with power. There's a famous story
- 51:04Speaker 1: about how Twitter in particular and Facebook also we're used
- 51:08Speaker 1: during the Arab Spring to help get those people together.
- 51:11Speaker 1: How they were used to help organize the Women's Arch,
- 51:13Speaker 1: how they were used to help them organize the March
- 51:15Speaker 1: for Our Lives, how they were used in Black Lives Matter.
- 51:19Speaker 1: The part of the story that people don't focus on
- 51:22Speaker 1: it closely is that these companies aligned with the powerful,
- 51:27Speaker 1: such that when something like the Arab Spring or the
- 51:30Speaker 1: March for Our Lives of the Women's March happens, the
- 51:33Speaker 1: people on the other side, particularly authoritarians, can use the
- 51:37Speaker 1: exact same technology to replect, to suppress any kind of resistance,
- 51:43Speaker 1: and Facebook in particular has been a huge enabler of
- 51:46Speaker 1: that in countries like Myan mar in countries like Cambodia
- 51:50Speaker 1: and the Philippines, where you know, the authoritarians have inflicted
- 51:59Speaker 1: great harm on innocent people. So what drives me insane, Bob,
- 52:05Speaker 1: is this week's big stories. Facebook has something called the
- 52:09Speaker 1: Oversight Board, and in theory, it's going to police. It's
- 52:13Speaker 1: academics and journalists who are going to police hate speech,
- 52:18Speaker 1: disinformation and conspiracy theories. And I'm pulling my hair up
- 52:22Speaker 1: because people are trying to debate whether the people on
- 52:24Speaker 1: this board are the right people. And I'm going to
- 52:27Speaker 1: hang out people. This entire discussion is ridiculous. The oversight
- 52:34Speaker 1: board requires human moderation. Humans look at the content. It
- 52:39Speaker 1: fails for two reasons, and our audience will get one
- 52:42Speaker 1: of them instantly. One of them is latency. There's a
- 52:46Speaker 1: lag between when something gets put up and when a
- 52:50Speaker 1: human can review it and agree and take it down.
- 52:53Speaker 1: During that lag is when all the harm takes place, right,
- 52:56Speaker 1: because when the thing gets put out, the damage is instantaneous.
- 53:00Speaker 1: So what Facebook uses was what I call algorithmic amplification.
- 53:04Speaker 1: It blows this thing out to literally three billion people,
- 53:08Speaker 1: and there's nothing you can do with human moderation to
- 53:13Speaker 1: keep pace with that. So the other problem is the
- 53:16Speaker 1: problems scale right that you know you're gonna have forty
- 53:20Speaker 1: moderators patrolling a thing with billions of posts a day.
- 53:24Speaker 1: I mean, that's hopeless. And so what we need to
- 53:27Speaker 1: do is to stop pretending like Facebook is seriously trying
- 53:31Speaker 1: to solve any of these problems. If they want to
- 53:34Speaker 1: do that, they wouldn't be treating Trump the way they
- 53:36Speaker 1: are in the selection. They wouldn't be you know, they
- 53:41Speaker 1: wouldn't be aligning themselves so tightly. They'd be sitting there saying,
- 53:45Speaker 1: wait a minute, when this is done, we have to
- 53:47Speaker 1: live somewhere. Employees have to live somewhere. Do they want
- 53:50Speaker 1: to live in an authoritarian country? I mean that it's
- 53:56Speaker 1: to my mind, that's what's wrong with all of this
- 53:58Speaker 1: stuff right now. Because these companies are so big, they
- 54:03Speaker 1: have to align with power, and they are inherently authoritarian
- 54:07Speaker 1: in their own decision. Right because the founders of Google,
- 54:10Speaker 1: the founder of Facebook have absolute control over those platforms, right,
- 54:15Speaker 1: shareholders have no voice. And so in that situation, authoritarians
- 54:21Speaker 1: are going to align with authoritarians and just make them comfortable.
- 54:24Speaker 1: And I'm sitting I've spent three and a half years
- 54:29Speaker 1: trying to go, hey, hello, we got a huge problem here.
- 54:33Speaker 1: We gotta do something about it. And you know, I'm
- 54:35Speaker 1: not some dude who just walked in off the street.
- 54:39Speaker 1: I spent thirty eight years in Silicon Valley. I was
- 54:42Speaker 1: at Kleiner Perkins when they made the first investment in Amazon,
- 54:45Speaker 1: when they made the first investment in Google. You know,
- 54:48Speaker 1: I was one of the early advisors from Mark zucker
- 54:50Speaker 1: Bergen and Cheryl Sandberg. I mean, I saw all this stuff,
- 54:53Speaker 1: and look, I'm not the perfect messenger, duh. You can
- 54:56Speaker 1: tell because it didn't want But I did my because
- 55:01Speaker 1: and I took three and a half years of my
- 55:03Speaker 1: life to do nothing else because I thought it was
- 55:05Speaker 1: that important. And here we are. Now. The good news
- 55:09Speaker 1: is the cavalry sort of has arrived because a lot
- 55:12Speaker 1: of people who really know way more about how this
- 55:14Speaker 1: stuff works than I do have come into the game.
- 55:17Speaker 1: You know, Shoshana Zooboff is an amazing person. Becca Lewis
- 55:20Speaker 1: relative to white supremacy at Stanford. You know, the list goes.
- 55:23Speaker 1: You know, there's Joe Donovan who does disinformation, and I
- 55:28Speaker 1: mean there's just tons of people who have come in now,
- 55:30Speaker 1: and so the real experts are in the game and
- 55:33Speaker 1: that makes me feel like we got a shot. But man,
- 55:37Speaker 1: we got a lot of work to do. But okay, well,
- 55:39Speaker 1: we know, like any business, there's outside and inside, and
- 55:42Speaker 1: you have had the privilege, unlike these researchers, to literally
- 55:45Speaker 1: be on the inside. So let's start with Zuckerberg and
- 55:49Speaker 1: Cheryl Sandberg. Since you were an early investor and an advisor,
- 55:54Speaker 1: do they understand the problem you're obviously, especially someone like Zuckerberg.
- 55:59Speaker 1: A lot of these tech people, uh I will say,
- 56:02Speaker 1: are not fully rounded people. Okay, where you're thirty years older, etcetera.
- 56:08Speaker 1: Do they literally understand the issues. So I think the
- 56:13Speaker 1: challenge here, Bob, is that the founders of Google and
- 56:17Speaker 1: Facebook have a different philosophy. So I'll start with Mark
- 56:24Speaker 1: at Facebook. Mark believes that bringing together the whole world
- 56:29Speaker 1: onto one network that he controls is the single most
- 56:33Speaker 1: important thing any human being can do, and that it's
- 56:36Speaker 1: a much better idea than the United States of America,
- 56:39Speaker 1: or France or Italy. And he believes that haven't gotten
- 56:46Speaker 1: this far, we should let him finish the job. The
- 56:50Speaker 1: founders of Google believe that if they can gather all
- 56:58Speaker 1: the data in the world, they can make everything a
- 57:01Speaker 1: million times more efficient. So one thing that both Mark
- 57:06Speaker 1: and Larry and Surrogey share is the engineering philosophy that
- 57:11Speaker 1: efficiency is the value that you want to optimize for, which,
- 57:16Speaker 1: by the way, if you're making a motor, that's obviously true.
- 57:19Speaker 1: If you're making a small piece of software, great, But
- 57:22Speaker 1: when you're applying it to a country, then you have
- 57:28Speaker 1: to ask the question, is efficiency consistent with the values
- 57:32Speaker 1: of that country? And I would simply observe that Western
- 57:35Speaker 1: democracies we're valued. We're sorry, We're established on the principles
- 57:41Speaker 1: of the Enlightenment. Specifically, two things, free will, self determination,
- 57:48Speaker 1: and another word for that, and the other one is democracy.
- 57:52Speaker 1: Now think about it. Self determination is inherently inefficient. You
- 57:58Speaker 1: decide what you're going to wear today, You decide what
- 58:00Speaker 1: you're gonna eat today, You decide where you're gonna go.
- 58:03Speaker 1: I make my own choices. If everybody does that, you know,
- 58:07Speaker 1: that's immensely inefficient. Would be so much more efficient if
- 58:09Speaker 1: everybody wore the same clothes, if everybody ate the same things, right,
- 58:12Speaker 1: you just be able to optimize everything a lot better.
- 58:17Speaker 1: And you think about democracy, You go, whoa democracy is
- 58:20Speaker 1: all about forcing compromise, right, be so much better if
- 58:25Speaker 1: you could just sit there and go, these are the rules.
- 58:27Speaker 1: Everybody has to obey them. And the thing happened last week.
- 58:31Speaker 1: It was an amazing step for our side in that battle.
- 58:37Speaker 1: Google has been following the a path of developing products
- 58:45Speaker 1: that's a little bit like the Apollo program to go
- 58:48Speaker 1: to the Moon, where you know, you broke down each
- 58:50Speaker 1: of the steps necessary to go to the moon, and
- 58:52Speaker 1: Gemini and Apollo had to do each one, advancing to
- 58:55Speaker 1: the next only after they've successfully accomplished going to Earth orbit.
- 58:59Speaker 1: Rande of Alot Earth orbit spacewalk and Earth orbit, go
- 59:02Speaker 1: to the Moon, go around it, do a rendezvous, and
- 59:06Speaker 1: lunar orbit to a spacewalk in lunar orbit, then you
- 59:09Speaker 1: go down to the Moon without landing, and then finally
- 59:11Speaker 1: you go to the Moon. So they've been building up
- 59:13Speaker 1: towards something they call smart cities. They have an alphabet
- 59:16Speaker 1: division called Sidewalk Collapse. They just going to impose this
- 59:20Speaker 1: notion of efficiency on the city and they have been
- 59:25Speaker 1: for the last few years trying to do the very
- 59:27Speaker 1: first moon landing, if you will, in Toronto and something
- 59:32Speaker 1: called water Front Toronto. There was going to be a
- 59:35Speaker 1: development where they were going to essentially take over control
- 59:37Speaker 1: of all the city services and make everything really efficient
- 59:41Speaker 1: through a combination of surveillance and them controlling the information streams.
- 59:46Speaker 1: And they sold this thing to the city on the
- 59:48Speaker 1: basis of, Hey, we're going to finance this massive development
- 59:52Speaker 1: and we're going to give you some great data for
- 59:54Speaker 1: running the city. And for a long time they didn't
- 59:57Speaker 1: talk about what the gotchas were. And I played a
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: very small role in the campaign to expose those gotches,
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: and they were things like, oh, if there's a problem,
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: you complained to the city government. But the city government
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: can actually fix the problem because Google has total control.
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: Google is going to own a lot of the land,
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: so they're gonna make a lot of money on the
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: real estate. Maybe that was a fair deal, but they're
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: also going to own all the data, and they were
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: going to be able to take any data they wanted
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: and you could not push back on it. Well, I
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: mean that's way past that's past the matrix, right, I mean,
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: that's really creepy stuff. They were forced to withdraw their
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: bid last week because of a tsunami of opposition, but
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: the day before they started a new thing because Governor
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: Cuomo New York appointed Eric Schmidt to help redesign public
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: education in New York. And it's like, I just want
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: to sit there and go, you have got be kidding.
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: I mean, this is insane. And you know it's when
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: you look at this thing. Technology could be used to
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: empower people, to give them greater rights of self determination,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: to give a better form of democracy, and instead it's
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: being used to exploit all the weak elements in our society,
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: all the weak elements in our psychology. And it doesn't
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: have to be that way. That is a choice, that
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: is a that is a sociopathy that has become endemic
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: and silicon volley over the past decade, and you see
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: it in things like Uber and Airbnb and we Work
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: and Palenteer and now more recently with Banjo and clear
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: View AI. The people who are basically using surveillance, stealing
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: your right you know, your photos and all that, and
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: using it in really creepy ways and going it doesn't
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: have to be this one. This is a choice. And
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: our job is to use the pandemic to force change.
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: And you know, we gotta take our little victories like Toronto,
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: but we somebody needs to send out the governor of
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: New York and go. Billionaires are not going to be
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: our path out of this. They are the problem. Expecting
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: Bloomberg and Gates and and Eric Schmidt to suddenly become
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: committed two super high taxes on the rich and bringing
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: up the rest. That does not seem like a good back. Okay,
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: let's talk. And I'm really talking about the reality more.
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: Most of the political debate to what degree was Russia
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: and their disinformation employed on social media to affect the
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: outcome them in Brexit and to affect election outcomes in
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: the US. So the thing that we've focused a lot
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: on Russia. We had a Muller report here, there was
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: analysis in the United Kingdom. Their impact was huge and
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: in the United States. My hypothesis, and I can't prove
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: this because I'm not connected in that world well enough
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: to have real data, but my hypothesis is that without
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: the Russians, Trump could never get nominated. That essentially, they
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: had spent from to the beginning of sixteen millions of
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: dollars sewing discent in America over a set of issues
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: like white supremacy, like guns, like anti vax where they
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: were trying to divide Americans, and Trump just picked up
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: all their themes and the other whatever was sixteen Republicans
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: were running on conventional Republican things, and so he ignited
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: a you know, a populist wave that got him nominated.
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: A similar thing happened in the United Kingdom and the
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: run up to Brexit. But the piece that people have
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: not focused on enough here is the role that the
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: campaigns themselves played. Thanks to something called Cambridge Analytic, we
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: know that that the Leave EU campaign for Brexit used
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: Facebook data two essentially distort people's understanding of what Brexit
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: was about. And to tilt the skills in their favor.
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: The thing people have not focused on enough is how
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: that same data was used by the Trump campaign, with
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: Facebook employees as the active agents of doing it two
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: suppress the votes of suburban white women, p people of color,
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: and idealistic young people in a set of states, ten
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: states in particular, as well as to essentially activate emotionally
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: and increased turnout of people already like Trump. It didn't
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: move one vote from Clinton to Trump, but that wasn't
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: the goal. The goal was to suppress people who might
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: vote for clone and engage everybody else. And it clearly
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: worked because if you look at this, particularly, people of
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: color and young people did not turn out in the
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: way the models suggested they should, and the numbers are
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: particularly telling of the states that Trump needed to win. Now,
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: the Russian hack of the Democratic National Committee and the
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: Russian hack of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee may also
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: have figured. No one has ever actually told us how
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: that data was used, but it meant they had the
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: complete Clinton campaign playbook and the Democratic playbook and every
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: congressional district, and they focused in particular intense states and
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: a set of congressional districts where the data said that
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: they could win, and they turned a ridiculous percentage of
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: them and won the election thanks to seventy votes distributed
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: over three states. So I look at this and go
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: The Russian thing was absolutely essential, But so was Wiki leaks.
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: So was the New York Times, which both promoted her
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: emails as a giant story and didn't report on Trump
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: being investigated by the FBI a few weeks before the election.
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: So was Coomey. But I think in the file analysis,
- 1:06:37Speaker 1: the voter suppression done by the Trump campaign, the highly
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: targeted voter suppression, was decisive because you know, Jill Stein,
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: her votes alone were enough to determine the outcome in Wisconsin.
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: And you know, they're like ten things that had to
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: happen for Trump to win it. He got all ten. Okay,
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: So let's talk about today, um, in terms of media.
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: One thing we know about the Internet, it was it
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: allowed other stories to come out now. But we have
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: these giant, powerful media operations, and if we were to
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: go on right now, and I do it multiple times
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: a day, the stories featured on the Fox News website
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: are completely different from the stories featured in the WAPO.
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: In the New York Times. Do we throw our hands
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: up in the air. Is there any way to get
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: the populace to agree on facts, especially in a world
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: where facts are fungible. So, Bob, one of the things
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: that's driving crazy is that we didn't learn from so
- 1:07:48Speaker 1: major media. And here I would put all of the networks,
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: plus the New York Times, Politico, ax eos uh and
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: some parts of the Watch Shi Post have all essentially
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: behaved as though Trump is normal and as though we're
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: having a normal political process. Now, if you ask stuff,
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: why would they do that? Well, it's really obvious. I mean,
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: the guy who runs CNN talked about Trump and said, look,
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: he may not be good for America, but he's great
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: for CNN. And that's the problem. The incentives of journalism today, Look,
- 1:08:33Speaker 1: I mean, they're just there. They drive them to normalize Trump.
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: And the New York Times had what more new subscriptions
- 1:08:43Speaker 1: this past quarter, more digital subscriptions rather up to four million,
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: but they had like half a million in one quarter exactly,
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: which is like greater than the sum of like all
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: subscriptions to like local newspapers side of New York and
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: d c uh. I mean, it's insane. Right, and the
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: journalism is now dominated by Twitter, so everything, you know,
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: the way they find their stories, the way that they
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: decide what's important is all about what trends on Twitter,
- 1:09:13Speaker 1: and that's really easily gained. And the right has been
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: brilliant a gameing and clearly the willingness of Fox two
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: act as an amplifier of the far right, irrespective of
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: the danger to public health and society, is magnified this
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: and made it intractable. But we have to also note
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: that the hollowing out of newspapers by Google and Facebook,
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: by essentially taking away whatever economics they still had, has
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: been horrific. It's been you know, the the role that
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: Facebook and Google and Twitter have had and in undermining
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: the economics of these things is something we have to
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: pay attention to. Now. I've spent the last couple of
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: years quietly trying to build an idea for redesigning the
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: economics of local news, really all news, but starting with
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: local news. And technology plays a really huge role in that.
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: But it requires a different philosophy than one of the
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: people have had. But at the end of the day,
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: when you hear somebody say, I just want to teach
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: everybody news literacy. I'm going to hang on. We've got
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: to be realistic. This is going to take a generation,
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: and it's going to have to start in kindergarten. We
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: have to go back and make public education about teaching
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: people how to think. And we have to have you know,
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: we have to say this stuff matters to us. I
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: just don't see a silver bullet pop. That's the pro problem. Okay,
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: let's just go back. Do you think there's a trend
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: now in Australian and other countries of making Google and
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: other outlets pay for the news. Do you think that
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: is gaining power? I do believe it's gaining power. But
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: the problem is that it doesn't fix the problem. If
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: the incentives of these guys are to promote Trump as
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: normal because he sells lots of subscriptions, then just having
- 1:11:17Speaker 1: a little bit more subscription money isn't going to help.
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: You know, we have that. We have to change the
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: demand side. People have to want facts. I think you're
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: running a really interesting experiment on COVID because every major periodical,
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: all the ones with paywalls, have put their COVID stuff
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: out for free. Their most valuable stuff has been out
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: there for free, and two things have come from that.
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: One is that the people have done that have seen
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: a massive explosion in their subscriptions. So there is a
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: portion of the market willing to pay for it, but
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: that is a very small portion of the market. A
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: far larger number of people have decided that COVID is
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: a part of the culture wars and have therefore resisted fact,
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: they've resisted expertise. They have said, you know, I'm going
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: to bring my gun to the state House in Michigan
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: because I want to get a haircutter. I want to
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: get my nails done. And I'm sitting there going you
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: have got to be kidding me. I mean, that is
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: not a problem solvable by news media in the current model.
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: That's a problem that you have to make a new
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: generation people. And by the way, the way we're handling COVID,
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: there's a really good chance that Darwinian processes are gonna,
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: you know, essentially raise the cost of ignorance to a
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: degree that makes people Okay, well, you know, let's talk
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: about this education. We've been privileged, you and myself uh
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: to have education that focused on analysis. I remember being
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: in my first college course and the guy said, we're
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: never going to discuss the reading in class. If you
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: don't under in the reading, you shouldn't be here. So
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: what is the environment we live in? Certainly with Betsy
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: devas head of education, we have a great number of
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: people moving towards parochial and home schooling. We have money
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: taken from public schools. We have public schools where essentially
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: books and certain thoughts are banned. Then we have what
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: remains of the upper middle class and those above them
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: rigging the system such that they get the best education,
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: whether it be in private school, then allowing them to
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: get in good universities. You know, there are a lot
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: of tentacles here. How do we address this? And the
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: other thing I must say, which goes back to education,
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: to what you were saying earlier about Reagan, etcetera. With
- 1:13:46Speaker 1: the money and the government. As soon as you say
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: because the right is defined debate, we have to spend
- 1:13:53Speaker 1: more money, they immediately tune out. So I think that this,
- 1:13:58Speaker 1: you know, we can date that client in public education
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: probably to the sixties. Right that things like the Civil
- 1:14:09Speaker 1: Rights Act where and the things that followed from it,
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: like bussing, caused a backlash against what I think had
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: been the central premise of publication public education America, which
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: is bringing up you know it basically teaching everyone to
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: be a good citizen. And the opposition two civil rights
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: laws started a pushback, and you know, simultaneously you saw
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: the rise of egypt evangelical Christianity, which is really about
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: you know, creating a version of Christianity that could keep
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: black people prob And you know, I think sadly a
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: lot of these things are basically about white supremacy trying
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: to impose its view on policy and everything that follows it.
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: Whether it's you know, imposing on a woman's right to choose,
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: whether it is about how much money we invest in
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: in public education and what is taught there. Those are
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: all battles that I think stem from this, this underlying
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: desire of a certain group of white people to retain
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: privileges over everyone else, and that you know, after a
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: long period of progress, you know, into the sixties and
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: maybe even into the early seventies, you know, we've been backsliding,
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: and initially very slowly and then much more rapidly. And
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: I mean it's hard to know what the driver of
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: it is, but it's possible that the fact that the
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: country has not faced an existential crisis since the Second
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: World War and depression immediately before it. That you know,
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: those things receding into the background caused people not to
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: appreciate the value of cooperation and promoting fairness for everyone.
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: You know that essentially forgetting that causes to prioritize our
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: individual rights and our infant individual autonomy and our convenience.
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: And you know, this happened at a time when the
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: economy was getting more and more driven by the needs
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: of consumers, and so you went from you know, mass
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: market products to mass customization to everybody needs to have
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: their you know, bespoke items. That whole trend has put
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: us where we are today. And with COVID, it seems
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: to me that you have exactly the kind of issue
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: and you layer climate change on top of that, and
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: you have exactly the kind of issue that threatens everyone
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: and where there's no place to hide. You know, your
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: gated community is not going to protect you against climate change.
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: I mean, I live in California. A wildfire could burn
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: my place down. Probably not today because it's overcast, but
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: you know, at some point this summer, and it doesn't
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: matter where you live in California, wildfires are a huge
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: threat and they are a function of climate change. And
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: it turns out that infectious diseases like COVID are also
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: a function of climate change. And we haven't had an
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: honest conversation by climate change in this country. Well, well, well,
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: how is COVID related to climate change? So as the
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: temperature rises, infectious diseases, uh, just seemed to prosper. And
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: you know, it's like, I mean, climate change is also
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: contributed to the you know, the play of locusts and
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: you know the h crack atla. I mean, it's just
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: like we have gotten ourselves into the psycho where we're
- 1:18:11Speaker 1: so focused on our consumption that we've forgotten to leave
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: something for the next generation. We've forgotten to leave something
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: for our leader years. And you know, again the connections
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: to all these things. They are better people to make
- 1:18:24Speaker 1: those cases than I but those people are out there
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: making them constantly. Well, this brings a connection. You were
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: talking about dedicating three and a half years your life
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: to raising the alarm of the abuse of social media,
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: both by those using the systems and those running the systems.
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: We've been talking about climate change essentially for fifty years.
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: All of a sudden, we have this woman on the spectrum,
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: a girl on the spectrum, Greta Thunberg, and she literally
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: pushes the message much further, showing the power of the individual.
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: Uh are you do you? Are you still optimistic or
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: you worn out with your work? Or have you achieved
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: or is it somebody else who needs to do that? Yes, so, Bob,
- 1:19:08Speaker 1: I look at Greta Tunberg with ah. I mean, you know,
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: she is in many ways for her movement what Martin
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: Luther King was for his And what if if I
- 1:19:24Speaker 1: had a chance to meet Greta, I would say, Greta
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: the biggest barrier to climate change action in Western democracies
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: is the power of the power that internet platforms like YouTube, Facebook, Instagram,
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: and Twitter give to the most angry, dissonant voices in society.
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: That they give disproportionate political power to those people, and
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: they basically prevent action on essential issues like climate change,
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: like vaccination, like COVID. And we need to force changes
- 1:20:07Speaker 1: in the business model. We need to end algorithm amplification,
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: We need to provide better privacy rights, not because those
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: things will uh you know, not to punish Facebook and Google,
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: but simply because we cannot operate as a society under
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: the terms that these guys have created force. And you
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: asked me how I'm doing, and I will tell you.
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: I started this conversation by saying that I am one
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: with the quarantine. I the quarantine for me came along
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: in a moment in time when without realizing it, I
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: really needed to take a rest, and in my head
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: I was already there that you know, I could see
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: that my voice was not as effective as it was
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: your wire going, and then other voices were doing a
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: better job of my work than I was, and so
- 1:21:06Speaker 1: I was thinking, Okay, this is great, But I was
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: also in this routine of just doing it and the
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: where people would call and I would always respond. Now
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: with the quarantine, all that has stopped because other issues
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: are more paramount and people's attention, and I don't know
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: what I'm going to do after quarantine. It's possible focus
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: on the local news thing, because in my career I
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: also was very deeply involved in a lot of news
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: organizations and so and I would involved with things like
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: Wikipedia and AH just a lot of things that that
- 1:21:45Speaker 1: could contribute to making this uh to creating a new
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: ecosystem for for local news and it may be that
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: I wind up just getting stuck back into the same
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: thing I was doing. But I'm going to look around
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: and see what the highest value thing is. Because when
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: Tristan Harris and I first joined forces in early you
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: can count on one hand the number of people were
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: speaking publicly about the issues we were talking about. There
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: are a ton of researchers who were working on the issues,
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: doing great work, but they were buried inside organizations that
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: did not amplify them, and so their voices were not
- 1:22:25Speaker 1: being heard in the right place. And because Tristan and
- 1:22:28Speaker 1: I were coming out of the valley, we had an
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: ability to get access and amplify early on UM. But
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: now those those really great researchers and the people who
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: are the domain experts, they have access to the amplifiers
- 1:22:42Speaker 1: and so UM, it's not as important for me to
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: do that. And thank God, because you know, I need to.
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: I need a break. I need to. I mean, this
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: was gonna be the year Bob. I was already there,
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: because this was the year we had this amazing album, right,
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: and we were gonna be playing theaters, right, and I
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: was going to be, you know, playing guitar behind Lester
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: Chambers playing guitar behind Dylan Chambers playing guitar and the
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: Tea Sisters to audiences that were just totally grooving on it.
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: And you know, we had this review, this thing that
- 1:23:14Speaker 1: took you through this this microcosm of you know, what
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: the psychedelic music experience delivered back in the day, uh,
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: in a way that was freshened up. And you know,
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: I really want to do that. Now I can't do
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: that at all, right, and so you know it's like,
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: what are we gonna do? I mean, we're gonna put
- 1:23:40Speaker 1: out this album, right, and we put two songs. You
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: go to mons dot com. You can check out two
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: of the songs, and we're gonna put out one every
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: two weeks and then hopefully about a month from now,
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: we'll put out the whole album. But I mean, how
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: are you people even gonna find it? I have no idea.
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: We're probably gonna give all the money to charity. We're
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: trying to pick which one because it's like the country
- 1:23:58Speaker 1: is broken, and the numbers and music for an album
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: for a band like ours are not great enough to
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: justify us keeping the money. But to Second Harvest or
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: you know, Sweet Relief for two. You know, artists Rescue
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: or one of those organizations helping people in our world,
- 1:24:21Speaker 1: it might really matter. And you famously got together with
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: Bono formed Elevation and Partners. But in our previous discussions
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: you said your first aligned with Bono because you wanted
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: to change some of the infrastructure of the music business. Ultimately,
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: people were not receptive. Since you're still in the music
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: business and it's now twenty years past the initial turmoil,
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: how do you feel about the status today? The other
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: thing of being, of course, people who are younger than
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: us don't understand. They say, yeah, classic rock. But in
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: the sixties and seventies, if you wanted to know what
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: was going on, you listen to a record, and because
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: there wasn't this in committee quality, if you were a
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: musician who was very successful, you as rich as anybody
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: in America and people knew your name. The only person
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: with that kind of mind here today is Trump. Even
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: though the media is saying everybody knows Drake, everybody knows
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: Taylors with that is not true. So what's your general
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: assessment of the music business today. Well, to me, the
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: most profound thing is that the industry has acclimated itself
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: to streaming. You know, everything has renormalized. You know, nobody
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: spends the well. Very few people are still having the
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: argument about the fairness of the economics of streaming. I mean, honestly,
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: I look at it and I just go, you have
- 1:25:43Speaker 1: got to be kidding me. But again, nobody's listening to me.
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: They weren't listening to us eighteen years ago when we
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: came in with another idea. Um. You know what's really
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: weird is the industry is still dominated by the same
- 1:25:56Speaker 1: executives were there then, and the same artists who are
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: the biggest grossing live acts are still the biggest grossing
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: live acts. So it's like the generation that you and
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: I grew up and still dominates the economics of the
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: live business and the industry in some ways is just
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: gonna sunset out with the people that they grew up with, right,
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: And there's still a new artist thing that's on streaming, right,
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: which is where the hip hop guys are happening, and
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: where uh, you know, all of the pop things are happening,
- 1:26:32Speaker 1: And there you've hit a new equilibrium. I don't happen
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: to think it's fair to the artist, and uh, I
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: would like to believe that one of these days I'm
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: going to figure out a way to break that. But
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: the contracts are very ah, very well crafted from the
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: point of view of of labels, and and the truth
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: is that the labels do provide real value for breaking artists.
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: You know, there are people who can do it on
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: their own on YouTube, and but that's still a very
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: very small number. And so when I look at this,
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: the thing that was beautiful about the world I inhabit,
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: which is where people live in the live world, is
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: that the club and small theater environment was really vibrant.
- 1:27:24Speaker 1: There was a lot going on, a lot of venues,
- 1:27:26Speaker 1: a lot of people turning out. Ticket prices weren't high,
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: but they were good enough to keep bands going and
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: to keep people in the business. You know, here in
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: the Bay Area, what Phil Lesh did at Tear Up
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: a Crossroads and Bob Weir did at Sweetwater created an
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: ecosystem for developing new bands that would then make all
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: their money on the road. And I hadn't seen anything
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: like that since you and I were kids. And here
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: in San Francisco, where from basically the early seventies when
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: Journey came up, until these guys started those two clubs,
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: the industry. It was about national acts coming and playing
- 1:28:02Speaker 1: the big vegant venues. The local papers didn't care about
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: local stuff. And it was different than l A in
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: that respect. And you know, you had Bobs s gags
- 1:28:11Speaker 1: doing slims, but that was all by itself. And then
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: all of a sudden, now you have this, this, this
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: whole thing. It was really beautiful. But all of that,
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: all that may be killed off by the pandemic and
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: we're gonna have to do a restart. I mean, the
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: buildings will still be there, but who's going to run?
- 1:28:30Speaker 1: You know, how long is it going to be before
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: people want to be jammed into a tight space. I
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: don't know the answer to those questions. And you know,
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: we were very early on streaming on Moonalysis streamed every
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: show for more than ten years, and uh, you know,
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: but streaming is not the same experience. It's way better
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: than nothing, way way better than nothing, but it's it's
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: nothing like being in a live show. And you know,
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: it may be the best we got for now, you know.
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: I mean, I've been watching a ton of you. I
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: watched Richard Thompson the other day. He was doing something
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: for the Royal Albert Hall from his home and it
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: was like it was beautiful. I love Richie Thompson and
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: he's like three songs in it. He plays a song
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: and he comes to maybe I don't know, four or
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: five measures, and he stops, and I'm going, this is
- 1:29:21Speaker 1: what I love about streaming. You're watching people in the
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: home and it's okay to stop. It doesn't have to
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: be perfect, and it's completely authentic. And Bob, you have
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: been the voice of authenticity from the beginning, right, you
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: are my guru on authenticity. Well, you know, it's your
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: mistakes and your imperfections that make you beautiful, that draw
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: people to you. And my point is you have always
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: been on that and I've always appreciated I think everybody
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: who reached your newsletter and all of us who listened
- 1:29:48Speaker 1: to you. You know, whether we were there before, we're
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: there now, right, And streaming is all about that, right.
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: You know, there's no way to cover the mistakes, there's
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: no you know, you're not able to have a click track,
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: or you probably don't have a click track. You probably
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: don't have all the support. You know. You go and
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: see these great big bands and there's four guys on
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: stage and you just count up a number of instruments
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: that are being played. It's like nine, right, and you go,
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: huh gosh, that's interesting, you know, and you see these things.
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: I mean, you were at the Grammys were Pink did
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: that thing with the act and dropped in the lad
- 1:30:25Speaker 1: and all that, and afterwards she goes, well, that pretty
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: much puts the light to why you need a lip sync?
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: And I'm going, you go, girl, I mean that was
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: that was maybe the single most impressive live thing I've
- 1:30:35Speaker 1: ever seen. Right, We're watching uh Lady Gaga when she learned,
- 1:30:40Speaker 1: you know, she what was the Jazz standards. She'd spent
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: like a year learning how to play before she did
- 1:30:44Speaker 1: I think at a Grammy. I mean, you know, it's like,
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: you see the people for whom this craft really matters, okay,
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: and they have flourished in recent times not because the
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: big dollars in the business supported, but rather because the
- 1:31:01Speaker 1: big dollars in the business create an environment where authenticity
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: and where craft could flourish around the edges. And I
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: mean every once in a while in the mainstream, but
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: always around the edges. And that makes me really happy.
- 1:31:18Speaker 1: I don't know what's going to happen with that. I mean,
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: I'm involved with a lot of local music production. I
- 1:31:23Speaker 1: play a minor role in the Hartley Strictly Bluegrass Festival.
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: I do. I help the city put on a Summer
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: Souls to show every year. Um, you know, I've been
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: involved with a bunch of the local clubs and none
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: of that's happening, right, none of it. And so I
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: don't know how long this lasts. I don't know how
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: long it takes us just to get the opportunity to
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: start again. And who's going to be around and how
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: are the fans going to feel if this goes on
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: two or three years? Right, I don't know. Now, Sarah
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: Ken's your do you know who that is? Everybody needs
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: to get her books. She is brilliant, Okay, right, she
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: just had a presentation and she said two very interesting things.
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: First thing she said is we're all sitting at home
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: thinking that there's some power somewhere that's gonna take care
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: of this, take care of us, and really it doesn't exist.
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: And she also said she doesn't have hope and we
- 1:32:22Speaker 1: shouldn't have hope. We you know, you do your best
- 1:32:25Speaker 1: to help for your children, You and me don't have children.
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: But my question is do you have hope and how
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: do you view the future for society at larger as
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: opposed to you the individual. So here's the thing. I
- 1:32:38Speaker 1: had massive hope after that it would be possible to
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: educate people the Trump's behavior would be so obviously detrimental
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: to society that that would bring people out of the
- 1:32:56Speaker 1: stupor the soma, if you will, of consumer them and
- 1:33:00Speaker 1: and convenience. When Trump got away with suppressing the Malla report,
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: my hope was reduced. When he got away with the impeachment.
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: My hope was further reduced. When he was successful at
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: making a pandemic into a culture war issue, my hope
- 1:33:30Speaker 1: was reduced even further. I strongly agree with Sarah that
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: hope is the wrong thing to be focused on here.
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: I think it makes more sense to be piste off
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: and to go you know, this is not my America.
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: I'm not putting up with this bullshit one minute longer,
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: and I'm going to do something. Now here's the thing.
- 1:33:53Speaker 1: I can't tell your listeners to do that. I can
- 1:33:56Speaker 1: only tell them what I chose to do. And you know,
- 1:33:59Speaker 1: in the summer of I realized that something I had
- 1:34:03Speaker 1: been involved in was playing a really awful role in
- 1:34:08Speaker 1: undermining democracy. And I didn't really understand it because I've
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: been out of Facebook at that point for h seven years,
- 1:34:18Speaker 1: and so I had to do a lot of studying
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: to get up to speed to figure it out. But
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: by early seventeen it was really obvious to me that,
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: you know, I had to do one or two things,
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: either to say this is somebody else's problem, which is
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: the American way, or I went nope, I played a
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: role in this thing. I'm going to drop everything. I'm
- 1:34:36Speaker 1: going to focus on this because my value system, in
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: the way I was brought up, requires it. And I
- 1:34:45Speaker 1: think each of us reaches that point at a different
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: you know, under different circumstances. I reached mine. You Know,
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: what I am hopeful is that the pandemic will get
- 1:34:58Speaker 1: a majority of America to do that. I took tremendous
- 1:35:03Speaker 1: hope from the mid terms when the very groups most
- 1:35:08Speaker 1: suppressed in turned out in record numbers and delivered the
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: House of Representatives for the Democrats. And my point is,
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: I am hopeful, but I don't prioritize that. I think
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: each of us must do our part. I think this
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: is like a war effort, and we need to suspend
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: our dreams for the duration, right, because whatever path we
- 1:35:35Speaker 1: were on, I mean, if Trump didn't kill it, the
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: pandemic is killing it. So stop focusing on that. Let's
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: focus on things that will, over time make our lives better.
- 1:35:49Speaker 1: Let's look for inspiration to those people who did that
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: in the past. And I get mine from the Civil
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: rights movement. My my mentor in my activism, man named
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: Clarence Clarence Jones. Clarence was Dr King's attorney and speech writer.
- 1:36:06Speaker 1: And Clarence is ninety years old, but he takes a
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: lot of time to teach me how to be an activist.
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: And my parents were bit players and civil rights me
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: when I was a kid, so I already had a
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: great deal of comfort with a lot of the methodology.
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: But you know, I was suddenly I was gonna be
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: out front, right, and I had to learn to where
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: to dress up for every meeting, bring my toothbrush right,
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: do all the things, you know, treat everybody with respect,
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: don't make it personal, right, all the things that they did,
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: you know, to deal with people like Bull Connor. And
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: here's the thing, I'm just one dude, okay, And I'm
- 1:36:44Speaker 1: flawed and I've got limitations, and i haven't been that successful.
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: But what I can tell you is that there you
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: feel better if you're involved. Even when it doesn't work,
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: it's worth doing. It's worth fighting the good fights. And
- 1:37:02Speaker 1: those of us who grew up, you know, with Neil
- 1:37:07Speaker 1: Young singing for Dead in Ohio, right, those of us
- 1:37:11Speaker 1: who grew up with Buffalo Springfield, doesn't there's something happening here.
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: And you know, listening to Paul McCarney to Blackbird right, um,
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: listening to the Chambers brothers tell us time has come today.
- 1:37:29Speaker 1: And I mean everybody's got their list of people who
- 1:37:33Speaker 1: had a call to action. And if not now when
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: I mean seriously, if this doesn't motivate you to get
- 1:37:45Speaker 1: off your ass and and like push back, what will
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: I mean you and I, I mean my wife and I.
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: We like going to demonstrations, right, We like marching. There's
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: something very therapeutic about joining with other people to express
- 1:38:03Speaker 1: political views. Where are the margins now? Right now? Social
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: distancing makes that difficult, But what are the analogs? What
- 1:38:11Speaker 1: are the things that we can do to express our discomfort?
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: Because if we're always going to optimize everything for convenience. Hell,
- 1:38:21Speaker 1: Trump's not our biggest problem. Climate change is going to
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: kill us because convenience is just destroying the account of
- 1:38:26Speaker 1: destroying the environment. And you know, we're going to have
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: to decide that something matters more than our joy in
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: the moment. And you know, here's the thing that was
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: my choice. Everybody gets to make their own. And the
- 1:38:39Speaker 1: thought experiment I asked you to engage in is I'm
- 1:38:42Speaker 1: not asking anybody who's listeners to believe that I know
- 1:38:46Speaker 1: what I'm talking about, but I am asking you to
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: do a thought experiment. Imagine what if what Magna says
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: it's correct, how would I behave differently? Would I do
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: anything different? And if you would, then do that. If
- 1:39:03Speaker 1: you wouldn't, then that's the answer. But you know, I
- 1:39:10Speaker 1: I mean, Bob, one of the things I love about
- 1:39:11Speaker 1: you is that you're you're You're unafraid to put ideas
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: on the table, and when you're wrong, you have a
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: whole newsletter of the feedback, right And you and I
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: had a huge conversation at one point about why your
- 1:39:33Speaker 1: perception than Apple post Steve Jobs was somehow inferior and
- 1:39:38Speaker 1: my view that no, the world was different. You needed
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: a different set of skills, and you know, Apple was different,
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: and there were things you didn't have that you didn't
- 1:39:47Speaker 1: have before, but they weren't it wasn't relevant the way
- 1:39:50Speaker 1: it would have been before. And that oh, by the way,
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: this definition of what counts as innovation or using the
- 1:39:58Speaker 1: wrong metrics that we're looking there. That what Apple has
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: been doing around privacy, what Apple has been doing around
- 1:40:03Speaker 1: payment systems, what Apple has been doing around uh, you know,
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: things like that. Those are forms of innovation that are really,
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: really profound and really important. And so you know, I
- 1:40:17Speaker 1: love you like a brother because there are times when
- 1:40:20Speaker 1: I want to throttle you. And the best part is
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: we can have that conversation and by the way, you
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: straighten me out half the time you're right, and so
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: that's what's cool. Well, the great thing is we can
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: have on an analytical conversation as a result of the
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: era we grew up and in the educations we experienced
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: and achieved and the people we hung with. So you
- 1:40:43Speaker 1: and me, I could go on till the end of
- 1:40:45Speaker 1: time to really addressing the issues, but I think we've
- 1:40:49Speaker 1: come to the end of the feeling we've known. Will
- 1:40:50Speaker 1: certainly check in with you again, you're a great uh
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: temperature taker of what's going on. But Roger, always great
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: to talk you. Thanks so much for your ins and
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: about the one thing that we should also do is
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: we should you should establish a list through your newsletter
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: of artists who need our help, okay, because there are
- 1:41:11Speaker 1: a ton of artists out there who have no financial
- 1:41:13Speaker 1: support right now. There are a ton of people in
- 1:41:15Speaker 1: band crews who are currently unemployed, their stage hands who
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: are unemployed. And we've got to find a way to
- 1:41:22Speaker 1: get way past where music cares goes and you know
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: where a sweet relief well you know, yeah, somebody emailed
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: me they had a benefit in Philadelphia and they raised
- 1:41:33Speaker 1: a hundred grant and they gave out grants of just
- 1:41:36Speaker 1: a couple of grant all these people. This analogizes to
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: the country at large. There's no organization in terms of
- 1:41:45Speaker 1: giving people. It's one thing if you know, someone had
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: a heart attack, they lost their house, but a lot
- 1:41:49Speaker 1: of people they just need to buy food. It's and
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: as I say we're talking earlier, everyone's saying, well, when
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: are we opening? When we opening? And you and me
- 1:41:56Speaker 1: both no, we're not opening soon. No, And we've got
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: to support people and so you know, I've got to
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: deal with my band, my crew, the post artists. It's
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: going to keep them and pay money. This is my
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: opportunity to give back. But there are a lot of
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: other people who need our help and we've got to
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: find a way. And one of the things is, for
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: better worse, your newsletter is one of the has the
- 1:42:15Speaker 1: greatest reach in the music business for the demographic that
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: you and I inhabit, and a lot of folks there
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: and who And I'm just saying, if we keep a list,
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: then people can select the ones that they want to
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: support and help out right. And you know, it's a
- 1:42:28Speaker 1: it's an affinity thing. The great thing about music is
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: you know you can like one artist and not like another.
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: And I think we can use that to help people out. Okay,
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: well that's certainly food for thought. Anyway, Thanks again for
- 1:42:40Speaker 1: doing this, Roger. I love your brother. Take care and
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: stay well, and everybody out there, please stay well. Our
- 1:42:45Speaker 1: first job is to survive this there, that's for sure.
- 1:42:47Speaker 1: Until next time. This is Bob left th