Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Losers | MLB & WNBA & World Cup 3rd Place | 7/18/26

Transcript

Saturday BEST BETS | Losers | MLB & WNBA & World Cup 3rd Place | 7/18/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chips, the black coffee on
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 3: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 4: Don't you fade from the floor, your name, steal me
• 0:39
  Speaker 4: something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: No hold on, hold on nothing nice, No.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: Now, what's up, everybody?
• 1:28
  Speaker 5: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports for Saturday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 5: July eighteenth. We lost the play yesterday on the show,
• 1:37
  Speaker 5: which I'm not happy about. With Game one in Tampa
• 1:41
  Speaker 5: Red Sox, I'm happy that the Red Sox swept the
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: doubleheader and then won eleven games in a row, but
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: I was pretty surprised by that result.
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: It was.
• 1:48
  Speaker 5: I know it was a ten to nothing Red Sox win,
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: but the bullpen for Tampa did give up a lot
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: of that. I think it was three nothing at the
• 1:55
  Speaker 5: end of five, so it wasn't as crazy as it
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: looked on the final score. In the verse, five. But
• 2:02
  Speaker 5: whatever it was, you know, it was the wrong play.
• 2:04
  Speaker 5: And most of the teams that were in the dreaded
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: return homeless.
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: Spots yesterday did lose too.
• 2:10
  Speaker 5: And the play that I almost put on my card
• 2:13
  Speaker 5: won easily the under in Miami Milwaukee, So isn't that
• 2:17
  Speaker 5: just great? Then I was correct about three out of
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: the four WNBA games too, So I hate it, man,
• 2:23
  Speaker 5: I just picked the wrong game. And yeah, I don't
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: know what else to say about that. We have to
• 2:29
  Speaker 5: move on to today. That's all there is to do.
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna have a.
• 2:32
  Speaker 5: Couple of baseball plays here on the board. They're both
• 2:34
  Speaker 5: gonna be totals, and then I do have a WNBA
• 2:38
  Speaker 5: play for today as well.
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: And I'm not going to give.
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: Out a play in the World Cup third place match,
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: although I will talk about it.
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: Charles, what's up?
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: Thanks for hanging out. I mean, I just I don't know.
• 2:51
  Speaker 5: I just don't really care who wins that game. It
• 2:54
  Speaker 5: doesn't even.
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: Matter, all right.
• 2:57
  Speaker 5: At Pittsburgh and Cleveland, they're gonna have a double header
• 3:00
  Speaker 5: here because yesterday's game got postponed due to air quality
• 3:07
  Speaker 5: because the Canadian wildfires are smoking out the Great Lakes region.
• 3:13
  Speaker 3: Of the US and up here to some degree as well.
• 3:16
  Speaker 5: It's still ridiculous to me though, that they can't even
• 3:19
  Speaker 5: play a baseball game, Like what are we doing here?
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: Man? Like it just baseball games get.
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: Canceled and for whatever reason now, for like any reason possible.
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: Oh there's smoke in the air. We're gonna cancel the
• 3:31
  Speaker 5: game now, just whatever. Man, This the first game here
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: is the same matchup that I handicapped yesterday. Cleveland is
• 3:41
  Speaker 5: in a return home spot, so you know, it's still
• 3:43
  Speaker 5: a bad spot for Cleveland even if it's a day later.
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: They still have some distractions possibly with coming back home
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: and whatever. This pitching matchup is interesting, I mean, it's
• 3:56
  Speaker 5: hard to figure out really. Of course, no relief pitcher's
• 3:59
  Speaker 5: got you he was yesterday because these teams were still off,
• 4:02
  Speaker 5: so we have rested bullpens. Pittsburgh's is not a very
• 4:05
  Speaker 5: good bullpen. Twenty third, Cleveland is seventeenth. Cleveland is the
• 4:09
  Speaker 5: better bullpen. Pittsburgh is the way better offense than their
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: number two. They're also better at home, though, and they're
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: on the road here. Cleveland is twenty ninth. Offensively, have
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: no idea if Jose Ramirez his back or not. At
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: this point, Pittsburgh is going with Jared Jones. Jones, as
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: I pointed out yesterday, I think he's better than his
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: ra looks, and if you look at what he did
• 4:31
  Speaker 5: two years ago, he was a solid pitcher.
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: He's been derailed by injuries. Of course, he missed all
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: of last.
• 4:38
  Speaker 5: Year four point three seven e RA one point one
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: four whip this year, that whip is pretty good. He's
• 4:44
  Speaker 5: also been better on the road this year three point
• 4:46
  Speaker 5: nine to four roady array, although his opponent batting average
• 4:50
  Speaker 5: is actually not better on the road.
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: As I pointed out yesterday, though, we have.
• 4:54
  Speaker 5: To kind of figure out how he's gonna respond to
• 4:56
  Speaker 5: his last start, because he had a perfect game through
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: six innings. It's the Braves and the manager took him
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: out of the game, So how is he gonna respond
• 5:05
  Speaker 5: to that? Like I like to tread really lightly with
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: a guy that loses a no hitter or a perfect
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: game late in the game, because I think that could
• 5:13
  Speaker 5: like hang them over into the next game. With Jones,
• 5:17
  Speaker 5: I'm not sure so sure that that's gonna happen. Like,
• 5:19
  Speaker 5: he only threw seventy seven pitches, He did not give
• 5:22
  Speaker 5: up anything in the game and the manager took him out,
• 5:25
  Speaker 5: So maybe he's just itching to get back out there
• 5:28
  Speaker 5: and pitch well and prove something again, you know. So
• 5:31
  Speaker 5: I could see that going both ways for him. I
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: could see him being hung over after that, or I
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: could see him really being.
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: Motivated after that. I don't know which way it's gonna go.
• 5:39
  Speaker 5: But obviously that was his best start of the season.
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: He was pretty good in his last two starts. He's
• 5:45
  Speaker 5: got a low hit rate so far the season is
• 5:47
  Speaker 5: walk rate is fine as well. Strike got rate is
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: relatively high, So I mean, his numbers across the board
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: don't look too bad here. Cleveland only has two hitters
• 5:57
  Speaker 5: will face him, but they have done damage Bailey and
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: Hoskin four twenty nine average, fifteen hundred ohps one to
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: one strike out walk ratio. It's such a small sample size.
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: I don't think there's that much to take away from that. Like,
• 6:10
  Speaker 5: I think this shouldn't be that bad of a matchup
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: for him against this offense. Gavin Williams is pitching for Cleveland.
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: He's having a good season.
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: He's the more proven pitcher of the two.
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: Three point eight one ERA one point one five WHIP
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: three e RA at home.
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: He's been good at home.
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: Eleven strikeouts in his last start against Minnesota, so he
• 6:31
  Speaker 5: was dealing in that start. He's been pretty good, uh,
• 6:34
  Speaker 5: pretty much most of the season. All that was one
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: of his best starts of the season. He's got a
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: low hit rate on the season, his walk rate isn't
• 6:41
  Speaker 5: too bad. He's got a lot of innings and he's
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: got a lot.
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: Of strikeouts too.
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: Guys like this, I mean, he's young still, so you
• 6:49
  Speaker 5: got to watch his inning count like as the season progresses.
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: Like I think, once these.
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: Guys get to about one hundred and fifty innings, if
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: they haven't done that before, you might just start like
• 6:57
  Speaker 5: worrying about that. Not yet though, and these guys are
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: coming out of the All Star breaks, so they should
• 7:02
  Speaker 5: all be relatively rested here because they haven't pitched for
• 7:06
  Speaker 5: a while. His numbers against Pittsburgh twenty three at bats.
• 7:09
  Speaker 5: It's a small sample. Five hitters have faced them. Most
• 7:12
  Speaker 5: of it is Brandon Lowe really, who does have a
• 7:15
  Speaker 5: home run off him to sixty one batting average overall,
• 7:18
  Speaker 5: nine hundred ohps six to one strike out walk ratio. Again,
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: it's a small sample size. The numbers aren't great, but
• 7:25
  Speaker 5: I could see both pitchers pitching well here. The money
• 7:29
  Speaker 5: is seemingly indicating towards the under, which was kind of
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: the way I was leaning yesterday. It's a low total
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: of seven and a half oddsmakers kind of telling you
• 7:37
  Speaker 5: they think it's gonna be a low scoring game. A
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: lot of Cleveland home games tend to be low scoring.
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: They don't hit well. Pittsburgh doesn't hit as well on
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: the road. At least fifty five percent of tickets fifty
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the over here money is
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: also backing Pittsburgh sixty three percent of tickets on Cleveland,
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: fifty four percent of the cash on Pittsburgh.
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: I could see the argument for it just.
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: Being that could be a close pitching matchup, and it's
• 8:02
  Speaker 5: about the situation with Cleveland still being in a return
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: home spot here. The thing I would say is, if
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: you're gonna play Pittsburgh, I would say you should do
• 8:09
  Speaker 5: it in the first five innings because they do not
• 8:11
  Speaker 5: have a bullpen advantage here.
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: But I think maybe the under is the better way
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: to look at it.
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: You could go under first five innings, but you're probably
• 8:18
  Speaker 5: looking at a three and a half there. That would
• 8:20
  Speaker 5: just be the way to get Pittsburgh's bullpen out of there,
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: because I don't really trust them. But at the very
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: least they're rested here though, And as I pointed out yesterday,
• 8:28
  Speaker 5: teams that are coming up these extended breaks, the offenses
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: can be a little bit slow to start too, So
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: just somebody keep in mind. I think we did see
• 8:37
  Speaker 5: more lower scoring games than higher scoring games yesterday for
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: the most part, so I think that kind of remained true,
• 8:43
  Speaker 5: although you can't really just look at one day to
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: know that.
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, we saw the sky looked like fire.
• 8:52
  Speaker 5: You gotta get on Twitter, man, Like the entire sky
• 8:57
  Speaker 5: was orange for like two days here, but you could
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: you could still play.
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: A baseball game.
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: It wasn't like the smoke and stuff was already like
• 9:08
  Speaker 5: kind of gone from here before the.
• 9:10
  Speaker 3: Red Sox played yesterday.
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: Though, all right, Minnesota and the Cubs, this game or
• 9:16
  Speaker 5: this series, I mean, feels like we might be able
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: to find some overs that could happen here.
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: Yesterday's game didn't.
• 9:22
  Speaker 5: Chicago did lose in the return home spot, what else
• 9:25
  Speaker 5: is new? Like I said, most teams in that spot
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: yesterday did lose, which means it could be a bounce
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: back spot now, because when a team loses in that
• 9:32
  Speaker 5: return home spot, a lot of times they bounce back
• 9:35
  Speaker 5: and they play better in the second game back home
• 9:38
  Speaker 5: because now they're focused again. Whatever they had to do
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: at home, they kind of got it out of the way.
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: They didn't look good in the first game. They can
• 9:45
  Speaker 5: tend to bounce back here. I'm not gonna you know,
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: I'm not going to bank on the Cubs actually doing
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: that here, but just generally that is something to look
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: at as a situation. The Cubs used four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 9:57
  Speaker 5: Minnesota also used four. SODA's bullpen is very bad. They're
• 10:02
  Speaker 5: twenty ninth out of thirty, although their ERA is actually
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: a lot better than the A's right now, so maybe
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: they're the third worst bullpen, but they're still bad. Like,
• 10:11
  Speaker 5: you know, you don't want anything to do.
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: With these guys.
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: The Cubs are thirteenth. Their bullpen has actually struggled recently,
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: although I think they're probably a little bit better than that.
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: Cubs are fourth in offense, so they haven't really had
• 10:22
  Speaker 5: issues with that. Minnesota has been pretty good offensively as
• 10:26
  Speaker 5: well at eighth, which is why I said, this does
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: kind of feel like it could be an overconducing matchup here.
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: Yesterday's game, though, went way under the total because it
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: was one of those Wrigley wind blowing out type of
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: totals and it did not really even get close to
• 10:38
  Speaker 5: the total there. Taj Bradley is going to pitch this
• 10:41
  Speaker 5: one from Minnesota. He's been pretty good recently. He's having
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: a good season generally. He had like one bad stretch
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: where I gave out a couple of plays on him
• 10:51
  Speaker 5: during that bad stretch. Three point five to ninety ra
• 10:53
  Speaker 5: one point two to whip pretty good. He's a little
• 10:56
  Speaker 5: bit worse on the road. Four point oh six, Roady Ray.
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: He's pitching well though, like his last few starts have
• 11:02
  Speaker 5: all been good.
• 11:04
  Speaker 6: Well.
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: He's given up two or few runs.
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: And five starts in a row, so yeah, he's definitely
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: in a groove right now. Though a lot of those
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: are against bad offenses, so maybe you have to dial
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: it back a little bit. But he's got a high
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate recently. He looks good right now. He's got
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: a high strikeout rate on the season, a low hit rate,
• 11:20
  Speaker 5: so that does tell you he has talent. He has
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: the ability to fool hitters. His main issue has always
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: been the walks. His walk number is a little bit high,
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: so he's got some control issues, but generally he looks
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: pretty good.
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: His numbers against the Cubs are.
• 11:35
  Speaker 5: Kind of mediocre, and twenty seven at bats two fifty
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: nine average, seven to ninety two o ps is allowed
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: as a little bit high ten to two strikeout walk
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: ratio is not bad, you know. I mean, what I
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: would say about this is he's pitching better now than
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: he has in his career so far. So we're getting
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: possibly the best version of Bradley the way that he's
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: pitching right now. So he might be on the better
• 11:58
  Speaker 5: side of these numbers here, So I might lean more
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: towards him pitching well here than not. Matthew Boyd is
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: pitching for the Cubs. He's been injured for most of
• 12:08
  Speaker 5: the season. When he's pitched, he's been mostly alright. Four
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: point five YRRA, one point two eight whip. Mediocre numbers there,
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: I know. And he hasn't been as good at home
• 12:18
  Speaker 5: five point zero four home RA, but it's a small
• 12:20
  Speaker 5: sample size. He came back from injury in late June.
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: He's made four starts since then. He's allowed four or
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: fewer eared runs in all of them. Only one of
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: them came at home, but it wasn't a particularly good
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: one against a bad San Diego lineup. That might have
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: been one of those games that was in one of
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: those high wind environments, though I think it probably was,
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: So maybe we don't really take that much away from
• 12:41
  Speaker 5: that boyd. I mean, he's been good like the last
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: couple of seasons, so I kind of think that he
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: will like I would lean more towards him being a
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: decent pitcher right now, is what I mean to say.
• 12:54
  Speaker 5: He's got exactly one hit out per inning, which you'd
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: want that to be lower. Though his walk rate is
• 13:00
  Speaker 5: not too bad, but given the amount of hits, you know,
• 13:03
  Speaker 5: of course that drives his whip up a bit. His
• 13:05
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is all right, more than one per inning.
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: That's not bad. Against Minnesota he has not really been
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: that good though, but they only have four hitters who
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: have faced him twenty three at bats. The majority of
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: it is all coming from Josh Bell, who's had some
• 13:18
  Speaker 5: success off him. They have a three forty eight average
• 13:20
  Speaker 5: eight seventy four oh ps six six strikeout walk ratio.
• 13:26
  Speaker 5: And you know, so even though it is a bounce
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: back spot for the Cubs. It looks like the matchup
• 13:30
  Speaker 5: in the starting pitching probably favorites Minnesota a little bit here.
• 13:35
  Speaker 3: The bullpens certainly does not.
• 13:36
  Speaker 5: Though looking at the market read here on this the
• 13:40
  Speaker 5: money is back in Minnesota. Like the money's backing Minnesota
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: and the over for what that's worth, the totals at nine.
• 13:48
  Speaker 5: I could see the argument for the over just being that,
• 13:51
  Speaker 5: you know, I mean, both pitchers maybe could be hittable
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: enough that we get to the bullpens and then the
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: thing goes over.
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: Although I don't know man.
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: Obviously Boyd doesn't have good matchup numbers, but it is
• 14:02
  Speaker 5: a small sample size. Fifty three percent of tickets, eighty
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: three percent of the cash on the over. But the
• 14:08
  Speaker 5: money indicating on Minnesota might be where I would look
• 14:12
  Speaker 5: in this game. The Cubs seventy two percent of the tickets,
• 14:14
  Speaker 5: but fifty seven percent of the cash on Minnesota. Nobody
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: really wants Minnesota here, even though it is a bounced
• 14:20
  Speaker 5: back spot for the Cubs. They're about minus one forty
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: something or so. I think Minnesota in the first five
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: might be worth a look. I think Bradley might be
• 14:28
  Speaker 5: able to outpitch Boyd here. He's got the somewhat better
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: matchup numbers here. He looks to me in somewhat better
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: form than Boyd right now as well, and he's the
• 14:37
  Speaker 5: younger pitcher that has higher upside. Obviously I would cut
• 14:40
  Speaker 5: their bullpen out of the equation, but I could see
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: the argument from Minnesota in the first five and you
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: would get them as an underdog if you did that.
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: The White Sox in Toronto. Toronto returned home yesterday and
• 14:52
  Speaker 5: they lost. So yeah, another team that returned home. They
• 14:55
  Speaker 5: were returning over the Pacific Coast, very difficult spot for them.
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: They lost badly twelve to four. So it could be
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: a bounce back spot again. When you have that return
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: home spot and you lose, the more embarrassing the loss,
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: I think, the.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: More likely it is you're gonna be able to bounce back.
• 15:10
  Speaker 5: The problem is, if you want to bet Toronto here,
• 15:12
  Speaker 5: you got to back Shane Bieber, and he does not
• 15:15
  Speaker 5: look like he's back man, So I would be very
• 15:18
  Speaker 5: hesitant to do that. Toronto, they have a decent bullpen.
• 15:21
  Speaker 5: These four guys out of the bullpen yesterday. They did
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: not use their closer Viarland. They have the better of
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: the two bullpens, though the White Sox bullpen hasn't been
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: that bad really either. They use three guys out of
• 15:33
  Speaker 5: their bullpen. The Blue Jays have the eleventh ranked bullpen,
• 15:36
  Speaker 5: the White Sox are eighteenth, but there isn't that much
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: of a disparity between the two. Blue Jays are slightly better,
• 15:43
  Speaker 5: the White Socks are the better offense. They're tied in
• 15:45
  Speaker 5: ninth with Milwaukee. Toronto has struggled basically all season at
• 15:49
  Speaker 5: the plate. They're twenty six, not very good. They could
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: use Boba Schett right now, maybe, although his offense hasn't
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: been good either. With the Mets, Chicago is going with
• 15:58
  Speaker 5: Davis Martin here having a surprisingly good season, but he's
• 16:02
  Speaker 5: been worse recently. So I thought there might be some
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: regression coming from him, because you know, he's twenty nine,
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: and he was pitching at a really high level from
• 16:10
  Speaker 5: out of nowhere early the season.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: So I was like, yeah, I.
• 16:13
  Speaker 5: Don't know if that's gonna be totally sustainable. He's got
• 16:16
  Speaker 5: a three point four to one ERA one point two
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: nine whip, still not bad. He's not as good on
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: the road at all though, four point seven to two
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: ROADYRA so that's not good. Martin really hasn't been good
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: over his last couple outings, so not a good sign.
• 16:31
  Speaker 5: It was against Cleveland and the Red Sox, I mean,
• 16:33
  Speaker 5: not exactly elite offenses there. His team has lost four
• 16:38
  Speaker 5: of his last five games. He got shelled by the
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: Yankees a little while back, but I was willing to
• 16:42
  Speaker 5: give him a pass for that because that's just not
• 16:44
  Speaker 5: an easy task after going to the Bronx and pitch
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: but and he actually was okay and the two starts
• 16:50
  Speaker 5: after that. But generally, I don't know, man, he's not
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: in good form right now. His walk rate's gone up.
• 16:56
  Speaker 5: He's got a reasonable hit rate here. His walk rate
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: is not too bad, but it's getting a little bit
• 17:01
  Speaker 5: higher here. His strikeout rate is a mediocre as well,
• 17:05
  Speaker 5: So I don't know. I think he is more of
• 17:06
  Speaker 5: a mediocre pitcher. He does have decent numbers against Toronto though,
• 17:10
  Speaker 5: twenty seven at bass two fifty nine average six seventy
• 17:13
  Speaker 5: one ops allowed seven of five strikeout walk ratio.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: That's not a good ratio.
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: But the rest of those numbers aren't too bad and
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: he might be able to outpitch Shane Bieber.
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: I mean Bieber, he's been.
• 17:24
  Speaker 5: Great really throughout his career, but he's been completely derailed
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: by injuries. And last year he came back from injury
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: after missing a lot of time, and he looked good
• 17:34
  Speaker 5: last year when he was out there, but he got
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: injured again and he has not returned to form at all.
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: Where I keep saying I think he will because he's
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: only thirty one, so he's not really that old. I
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: keep thinking he's going to be back in for him
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: at some point. He is not right now though seven
• 17:48
  Speaker 5: point six four ERA two point zero four whip. He's
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: been better at home, although that's relative. A six e
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: RA is not good. He's not going deep into his
• 17:59
  Speaker 5: outings so far. He's only made four starts so far,
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: but Toronto's lost three of them. He wasn't really that
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: great against San Diego last time out. His walk rate's
• 18:07
  Speaker 5: been really high, He's given up a lot of hits
• 18:10
  Speaker 5: to his strikeout rate looks like it's.
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: A little bit down.
• 18:12
  Speaker 5: There's really not a lot to like about what he's
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: shown so far, so that's not good. I mean again,
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: I think at some point he might bounce back and
• 18:20
  Speaker 5: start pitching better, but we have no idea when that's
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: going to be the White Socks only have two hitters
• 18:25
  Speaker 5: of have faced him. Ben and Tendy has absolutely destroyed him, though,
• 18:29
  Speaker 5: and gree Chuck has basically done nothing against him, so
• 18:32
  Speaker 5: there's not a whole lot to take away from that.
• 18:34
  Speaker 5: I know, it's thirty at bats of four hundred average
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: allowed one fifty three ozh ps. It's like all coming
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: from Ben and Tendy though. Five strikeouts one walk here.
• 18:42
  Speaker 5: I mean, if you want to go player props and
• 18:44
  Speaker 5: go with Ben and Tendy to go over his hits
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: plus run runs plus RBIs, you know you could have
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: at it.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: I mean, he does well.
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: Against Bieber, even when Bieber was good, But I don't
• 18:55
  Speaker 5: I don't know that this means that Bieber is necessarily
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: going to be really bad against the entire White Sox
• 18:59
  Speaker 5: line up because most of them haven't even seen him,
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: which is kind of interesting because Bieber spent most of
• 19:05
  Speaker 5: his career in the White Sox Division on Cleveland, so
• 19:09
  Speaker 5: it's kind of weird. They really don't have many guys
• 19:12
  Speaker 5: remaining from a few years ago that have seen Bieber,
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: so I found that to be a little bit odd.
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: I'm not doing anything with this game. This game's pretty
• 19:20
  Speaker 5: hard to predict for me. The money is back in
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: Toronto here in the bounce back spot. They're a home underdog.
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: White Sox are minus one sixteen or so on the
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: road here, sixty seven percent of the tickets on them,
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: seventy one percent of the cash on Toronto. The money
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: is also on the over eight and a half or
• 19:36
  Speaker 5: whatever that's worth. But money seems very strong on Toronto here.
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: But you just saw what I showed you with Bieber, Like,
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: do you really want to back him right now? Like
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: he's not really showing any signs of being back right now,
• 19:50
  Speaker 5: So I would not be able to do that. I
• 19:53
  Speaker 5: might lean to the White Sox in the first five
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: just because I think they have the better of the
• 19:57
  Speaker 5: match up there with Martin over Bieber, he has the
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: better matchup numbers against Toronto two. So White Sox first
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: five maybe a slight lean there. Wouldn't really want to
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: deal with their bullpen, even though it's not a bad bullpen,
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: they don't really have an advantage there. So yeah, I
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: mean it's a difficult game to figure out. Cincinnati A Colorado.
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: Colorado return home from a road trip and lost yesterday. Again,
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: what else is new that was happening all across the
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: board yesterday, and not in the game that I gave
• 20:26
  Speaker 5: out a play on.
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: So that's just great. Red's won the game seven to two.
• 20:30
  Speaker 5: I mean, Colorado is not a good team, obviously, but
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: I thought Colorado had a chance to do something yesterday.
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: They were actually a favorite, and they had one of
• 20:38
  Speaker 5: their talented young pitchers on the mound, and they still
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: didn't get it done.
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: They used three relief pitchers yesterday. These are two bad bullpens.
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati only used two, so I made they're rested, but
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: I would not back these bullpens. Colorado twenty eighth and
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: bullpen Red's twenty fifth. Not a whole lot better there.
• 20:57
  Speaker 5: Rockies have had the better offense their fifth. The Reds
• 21:01
  Speaker 5: are twenty first, tied with the Red Sox now the
• 21:04
  Speaker 5: two Red teams. Rhett Louder is pitching for Cincinnati. I
• 21:08
  Speaker 5: have no idea how deep he's gonna go into this outing.
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: He was starting for most of the season and then
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: they were using him out of the bullpen the last
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: couple of times he pitched, so I really have no
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: idea how many innings he's gonna go in this one.
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: They might be going with more of a bullpen game here,
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: which obviously is not good, although either way I don't.
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: Think it's good. Like if they leave him in, is
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: that really even good? Probably not.
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: Louder has a four point nine to one, one point
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: five to four whip is really ugly. He's been really
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: bad on the road six point seven to five Roady Ray.
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: None of that is good.
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: I know his last appearance was out of the bullpen
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: because I had that game on for a little while,
• 21:44
  Speaker 5: or he actually was it two starts to go, I forget.
• 21:47
  Speaker 5: I saw one of these games recently, and I know
• 21:49
  Speaker 5: he was pitching out of the bullpen. So unclear how
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: many innings he's gonna go. He's gone more than five
• 21:55
  Speaker 5: innings only a couple of times this year. He was
• 21:57
  Speaker 5: doing it more early in the season. I have no idea,
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: but I lean towards not getting a whole lot out
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: of him here. He's got a high hit rate, a
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: high walk rate. I mean, these are bad numbers here.
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is not particularly good either. Numbers against
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: Colorado not much. Only Willie Castro has ever faced him.
• 22:16
  Speaker 5: He's one for two with an RBI single and a
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: strikeout against him. But I lean towards Louder not pitching
• 22:22
  Speaker 5: well here, even though he does have an unfamiliarity advantage here,
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: I'm just not sure that's gonna be enough. And of course,
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: in Colorado, you gotta gauge how much of a fly
• 22:32
  Speaker 5: ball pitcher is he.
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: Louder is not really an.
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: Extreme fly ball pitcher, so he doesn't exactly line up
• 22:39
  Speaker 5: horribly specifically in course field, but I still don't expect
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: much out of him here. Colorado's going with Tomo Yuki Sugano,
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: who is coming off the injured list. I keep calling
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: to the disabled list. Oh, we can't use that terminology anymore, Sugano.
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: He's he's been mediocre.
• 22:57
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's probably been better than expected, having to
• 23:00
  Speaker 5: pitch of course field four point eight ERA and one
• 23:03
  Speaker 5: point three to two whip. Not great, but not exactly
• 23:07
  Speaker 5: like we need to get this guy out of here
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: right now. He's actually been better in course field four
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: point one four home y ra so kind of crazy.
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: He's been better at home.
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: Hasn't been good recently, but he was maybe dealing with
• 23:20
  Speaker 5: an injury, which is why he went on the injured list.
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: Here the disabled list, two of his.
• 23:25
  Speaker 5: Last three starts were pretty bad, but one of them
• 23:27
  Speaker 5: was in the A's stadium, so I'm willing to give
• 23:30
  Speaker 5: him a pass for that. The other one was at Minnesota.
• 23:33
  Speaker 5: A lot of high scoring games happened in Minnesota too,
• 23:35
  Speaker 5: although of course Colorado is very score heavy as well. Obviously,
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: his overall numbers, I mean, they're not great. Obviously, he's
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: got a high hit rate. His walk rate's not bad though,
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is very low, and he does not strike
• 23:48
  Speaker 5: out anybody. And he is a fly ball heavy pitcher,
• 23:51
  Speaker 5: which is why we thought he was gonna do really
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: bad in course field, but he really hasn't. He's been
• 23:56
  Speaker 5: okay in course field this year, although his home run
• 23:59
  Speaker 5: rate is still a bit high. Here, what are we
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: gonna get out of him here? I have no idea.
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: And you know, I talk about guys coming back from
• 24:06
  Speaker 5: the injured list like a lot of times. I actually
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: like backing a veteran pitcher coming off the injured list
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: because they're usually ready to go, they're pumped about it,
• 24:15
  Speaker 5: they get excited to be back out there. I don't
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: know what's gonna happen with Sugano because he's he's definitely
• 24:20
  Speaker 5: a veteran professional pitcher. But he spent most of his
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: career in Japan, and this is only a second season
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: in Major League baseball, so I don't know. But I mean,
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: he's kind of been through it all at this point,
• 24:32
  Speaker 5: so who knows his numbers?
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: Think it's the Reds, she really when he's.
• 24:39
  Speaker 5: Even though it's not a huge sample, they have no
• 24:41
  Speaker 5: extra base hits against him, one fifteen batting average three
• 24:45
  Speaker 5: twenty two OPS four to three strike out walk ratio.
• 24:50
  Speaker 5: I mean, the ratio there isn't good, but the rest
• 24:52
  Speaker 5: of those numbers are pretty good, so he might be
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: able to match up okay against Cincinnati Here on the surface,
• 24:58
  Speaker 5: I first saw this and the game looked like an
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: over to me, though, But the total is ridiculous.
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: It's thirteen.
• 25:04
  Speaker 5: I mean, it seems pretty unplayable at thirteen, really, even
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: though I know when the oddsmakers put up a high
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: total like that, they're telling you something with that number.
• 25:14
  Speaker 5: The money is all coming in on the over too,
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: sixty nine percent of tickets on the under, seventy seven
• 25:18
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the over. I would not
• 25:21
  Speaker 5: play the under, I'll tell you that, but I don't
• 25:23
  Speaker 5: I don't really want to play the over here either,
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: you know, there is the potential that there are fewer
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: runs scored earlier in this game.
• 25:31
  Speaker 3: Money's also backing Cincinnati, which.
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: I I don't really see that sixty two tickets seventy
• 25:39
  Speaker 5: two percent of the cash on Cincinnati. I don't like that.
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: They're a favorite on the road, a small favorite to me.
• 25:45
  Speaker 5: It looks too easy to play Cincinnati, Like nobody's gonna
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: want to play Colorado here. I think there might be
• 25:52
  Speaker 5: maybe a look towards Colorado because they're in a bounce
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: back spot after losing in the return home spot yesterday.
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: I think Sugano might actually have the upper hand and the
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: starting pitching over Louder, and we have more of a
• 26:05
  Speaker 5: you know, we have more matchup stats to use for
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: us Sugano there. So Colorado first five actually is probably
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: what makes the most sense to me in that game.
• 26:12
  Speaker 5: I think that's what I would do if you forced
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: me to play this game. Colorado is possibly a slight
• 26:18
  Speaker 5: underdog in the first five. That's probably what I would do.
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: I would not back either team's bullpen, though.
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: The Mets.
• 26:26
  Speaker 5: I don't know what's going on with the Mets. They
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: should be way better than they are. Yeah, it'll be
• 26:33
  Speaker 5: the d l whatever, all right, next game is going
• 26:36
  Speaker 5: to be one of my plays Philly and the speaking
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: of the Mets, Mets and Philly, I'm gonna take this
• 26:46
  Speaker 5: game over the eight and a half here.
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: I think this is the way to go with this one.
• 26:51
  Speaker 5: It is not any leat starting pitching matchup, but I
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: think we have some situational angles here as well. The
• 26:57
  Speaker 5: teams did not play yesterday, so that is somebody keep
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: in mind. So the bullpen's arrested, but I'm still gonna
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: take this over because I think when you fade the
• 27:05
  Speaker 5: starting pitchers and they it can kind of domino into
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: the bullpens. So I never really go over in the
• 27:11
  Speaker 5: first five Philly's bullpen hasn't.
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: Really been that good anyway.
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: But yeah, these teams for whatever reason, were off yesterday.
• 27:18
  Speaker 5: I gave out a winner the day before that on
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: the Mets. It was my only play on that Thursday,
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: with not a lot going on, I gave out the
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: Mets as a play there. They won the game, so
• 27:29
  Speaker 5: that was a return home spot for Philadelphia. That was
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: part of the handicap there. Also thought Philly would be
• 27:34
  Speaker 5: a little bit distracted because of the All Star festivities
• 27:37
  Speaker 5: in Philly, and they had I think five guys on
• 27:40
  Speaker 5: the All Star team. So the Mets you know, took
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: that game. Could be a bounce back spot for Philly.
• 27:47
  Speaker 5: Now that they lost that game to the Mets back
• 27:49
  Speaker 5: at home, they might bounce back and show up, you
• 27:53
  Speaker 5: know better in game two here. Obviously Philly has the
• 27:56
  Speaker 5: better starting pitcher pitcher here, but I'm gonna fade both
• 27:59
  Speaker 5: these guys here as far as the bullpen's, like I said, yeah,
• 28:03
  Speaker 5: they're rested. The Mets bullpen there ain't ninth, but their
• 28:06
  Speaker 5: era is at four right now, so they haven't been
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: quite as good recently. Going into the All Star break,
• 28:10
  Speaker 5: they really weren't pitching that well. Philly has not really
• 28:13
  Speaker 5: been that good out of the bullpen. They're twentieth. They
• 28:16
  Speaker 5: have a mid for Zra, So I'm okay with fading
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: these bullpens here in this spot like this. But again,
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: it's mostly about the starting pitching just not lasting that
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: long into this game. I know the Mets have been
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: bad offensively. They're twenty eighth, but they've at least climbed
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: out of the complete seller offensively. Philly is twenty fourth,
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: but these teams both have more talent offensively, than what
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: that would tell you. And Philly has been better at
• 28:39
  Speaker 5: home at least hitting, and they should be able to
• 28:42
  Speaker 5: get something against Sean Maniah, who is not really that
• 28:45
  Speaker 5: good four point five to six ERA one point three
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: to two whip for him Manaia. He's basically in the
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: Mets rotation because they got a bunch of injuries and
• 28:54
  Speaker 5: stuff and they just don't really have a choice. I mean,
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: he was mostly being used as a long relief man
• 28:59
  Speaker 5: for them for a while. He's been, you know, serviceable
• 29:02
  Speaker 5: as a starter, but he's not great. He is actually
• 29:05
  Speaker 5: a little bit better on the road four point three ROADIRA,
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: but I'm not sure that's gonna be enough. His last
• 29:10
  Speaker 5: two starts were both reasonably good. I'll give him that,
• 29:14
  Speaker 5: really his last three starts, but he's not really going
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: too deep into these games, and I don't fully trust
• 29:20
  Speaker 5: him in a spot like this. He did pitch here
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: in Philly back in mid June, and he was okay
• 29:26
  Speaker 5: in that start, but he lasted only five and a third.
• 29:28
  Speaker 5: He was really inefficient with his pitches in that one
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: at least, although he held them to tour and runs. Overall,
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: he's got exactly one hittle out per ending, his walk
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: rate is okay and a strikeout rate is actually okay
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: as well. So y guys, numbers aren't too bad across
• 29:43
  Speaker 5: the board, and I know he's in okay form right now,
• 29:45
  Speaker 5: but I think Philly might be able to get to
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: him because they're really familiar with him. They have one
• 29:48
  Speaker 5: hundred and thirty two at bats against him, two ninety
• 29:51
  Speaker 5: five average and eight forty six ops, so Philly's lineup
• 29:55
  Speaker 5: has definitely been able to get to him. Thirty three
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: to nine strikeout walk ratio is actually good Manaiah, but
• 30:00
  Speaker 5: the rest of these numbers are not very good, and Manaiah,
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: throughout his career, he has kind of struggled with his
• 30:06
  Speaker 5: walks more than he has this year, so I think
• 30:09
  Speaker 5: that he'll be I think he's gonna give up enough
• 30:13
  Speaker 5: that we can get this thing over, and we're also
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: gonna fade Jesus Lozardo, even though I know Lozardo has
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: been in really good form three point five one ERA,
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: one point two to two whip. He's been pretty good
• 30:22
  Speaker 5: this year at home, though not good six point six
• 30:27
  Speaker 5: Homie Ray, So yeah, he's been significantly worse at home,
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: So I think he's fadable at home. Part of the
• 30:33
  Speaker 5: reason I think he was good recently is because almost
• 30:35
  Speaker 5: all of his recent starts came on the road, so
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: that'll help. Although his last home start was good, it
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: was against Miami. But I think he might struggle a
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: little bit here. Man, he's been on fire and I
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: know he's in good form, but I think he might
• 30:50
  Speaker 5: get thrown off because he just pitched in the All
• 30:53
  Speaker 5: Star Game. And the reason why I think I want
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: to fade him here is that was his first All
• 30:59
  Speaker 5: Star Our game that he was named to in his career.
• 31:02
  Speaker 3: So I think that that is a spot where.
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: You want to fade a guy coming off of that,
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: because that can be a big distraction the first time
• 31:09
  Speaker 5: he get named to the All Star Team. I think
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: if it's like a guy that's been named to the
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: All Star Team a whole bunch of times, I don't
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: think it really affects him anymore. But for Lozardo, that
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: was the first time getting named to it and he
• 31:20
  Speaker 5: got to pitch an inning. He pitched a clean inning
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: in the All Star Game at home. By the way,
• 31:26
  Speaker 5: I think that's bad. I think it's gonna be a
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: distraction for him. I think it might be a little
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: bit of a let.
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: Down or a hangover spot coming out of that.
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: So I don't like that he did pitch here in
• 31:36
  Speaker 5: the stadium against the Mets back on June twenty eighth,
• 31:39
  Speaker 5: and or sorry he pitched at the Mets. Sorry my mistake.
• 31:42
  Speaker 5: He was at the Mets, and he did have a
• 31:44
  Speaker 5: lot of walks in that game. Although he held him
• 31:46
  Speaker 5: in a one run in five innings. His wildness was
• 31:48
  Speaker 5: a bit of an issue there. And overall he's actually
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: had some issues against the Mets. They have one hundred
• 31:53
  Speaker 5: eleven at bats against him, two to eighty eight average,
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: seven to eighty one ohps, so the Mets have actually
• 31:59
  Speaker 5: had the upper hand and hitting against Lozardo, twenty strikeouts
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: twelve walks also not a good ratio, though a lot
• 32:05
  Speaker 5: of those walks are on Soto. But yeah, I think
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: both offenses actually have the edge in this one. I'm
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: gonna fade both starting pitchers here. I think you've faded
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: them both here. There's a little bit of a situational
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: angle there to fade Lozardo. The money seems like it
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: agrees with me, at least for now. Sixty percent of tickets,
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: seventy seven percent of the cash.
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: On the over. That is what we're gonna go with.
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia is pretty heavily favored here at minus one sixty something.
• 32:30
  Speaker 5: They're very public as well, eighty eight percent of tickets,
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: ninety two percent of the cash. I know, I said
• 32:35
  Speaker 5: it's a bounce back spot for Philly. Lozardo is better
• 32:38
  Speaker 5: than Manaiah. I don't think I want to back Lozardo
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: in a spot like this though, for all the reasons
• 32:43
  Speaker 5: I just stated, so, I'm staying off the side there. Also,
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: I think the price is probably too high on Philadelphia there.
• 32:50
  Speaker 3: But yeah, over is the play in that one.
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: It's a reasonable total at eight and a half too,
• 32:55
  Speaker 5: all right. Tampa Bay and Boston on ESPN Red Sox
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: have an eleven game win streak now and they won
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: both games yesterday. Jake Bennett was awesome, dude in that game.
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: I gave out that playing on Tampa and in that
• 33:08
  Speaker 5: first game, Bennett, I mean, yeah, he was excellent in
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: the game. What else can I say? He was one
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: of the main reasons the Red Sox won that game.
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: Game two was weird in that, like all the runs
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: in Game two scored early in the game, and then
• 33:22
  Speaker 5: the bullpens pitched well in that game. I don't know
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: what to make of that, but what we ken say
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: is the bullpens are not in a good rest scenario
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: here because basically everybody came out of the bullpen yesterday. However,
• 33:32
  Speaker 5: the good thing for the bullpens is they didn't have
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: to pitch for a few days, you know what I mean.
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: So the bullpens, even though they got used yesterday, some
• 33:40
  Speaker 5: of these guys are probably gonna see action again today.
• 33:43
  Speaker 5: The Red Sox used seven relief pitchers in the doubleheader yesterday,
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: and Tampa Bay I think US five or six. Yeah,
• 33:50
  Speaker 5: they use actually they only use four, So Tampa Bay's
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: bullpen's a little bit more rested. But the Red Sox
• 33:55
  Speaker 5: are the better bullpen in general. They're like second in bullpen.
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: They have the third best bullpenning ray right now. Tampa
• 34:02
  Speaker 5: Bay is ranked seventh, but their bullpenning array is not
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: really that good, so I think they're probably a little
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: bit worse than that. But you know, I don't think
• 34:10
  Speaker 5: there's a huge bullpen edge for the Red Sox given
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: that they used everybody yesterday. Tampa's been the better offense
• 34:17
  Speaker 5: for the whole season. They're at twelve but this Red
• 34:19
  Speaker 5: Sox pitching staff has shut down opposing offenses this season. Man,
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: even with all the injuries the Red Sox have, the
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: Red Sox offense is starting.
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: To climb up a little bit.
• 34:29
  Speaker 5: They're twenty first, obviously, they put up a decent amount
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: of offense. Yesterday they're tied with the Reds. This game
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: looks like it might have some more offense. I mean,
• 34:38
  Speaker 5: we have a high total here. Ian Seymour is pitching
• 34:41
  Speaker 5: for Tampa Bay. He's kind of a converted reliever, but
• 34:44
  Speaker 5: he has actually pitched pretty well this season. Some of
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: these numbers are coming out of the bullpen, but he's
• 34:50
  Speaker 5: been decent as a starter. Four point five to ninety array,
• 34:53
  Speaker 5: one point one to six whip. That whip is pretty good,
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: indicates his the ra should be better than it is.
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: He's been significantly worse on the road though, five point
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: eight to seven Rodeo and Tampa is worse on the road,
• 35:04
  Speaker 5: although the Red Sox have actually been worse at home
• 35:07
  Speaker 5: this year, but Tampa is much better at home. So
• 35:10
  Speaker 5: both teams are in their worst home road splits. But
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: Ian Seymour is in the bad of his home road
• 35:15
  Speaker 5: split here. He wasn't good in his last start at
• 35:19
  Speaker 5: home against Seattle either, but he was really pitching well
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: the couple starts prior to that. He had three really
• 35:24
  Speaker 5: good starts in a row pretty much prior to that,
• 35:27
  Speaker 5: with a ton of strikeouts against the Yankees. But maybe
• 35:30
  Speaker 5: he's fallen out of for him. I mean that game
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: against Seattle was not good overall. He does have a
• 35:36
  Speaker 5: low hit rate. His walk rate is reasonable, it's not
• 35:39
  Speaker 5: too bad. A strikeout rate is high too, so he
• 35:42
  Speaker 5: has been fooling hitters. So at least there is that.
• 35:45
  Speaker 5: The Red Sox also, they've had no success off him.
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: Red Sox have eighteen at bats and they have no hits,
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: seven strikeouts, one walk, and that's it.
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: Zero average in fifty three ohps.
• 35:59
  Speaker 5: So Seymour has done well against the Red Sox at least,
• 36:01
  Speaker 5: but it's a small sample. Red Sox is going with
• 36:04
  Speaker 5: Patrick sand Evolve because the Red Sox have no other
• 36:06
  Speaker 5: option right now. I don't think he's good man, I
• 36:09
  Speaker 5: really don't. I mean, you look throughout his career, he's
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: been mediocre at best. Like his whip is really not
• 36:16
  Speaker 5: good throughout his career. I know he pitched fine last
• 36:18
  Speaker 5: time out at the White Sox not really that easy
• 36:21
  Speaker 5: of an undertaking.
• 36:22
  Speaker 6: Mr.
• 36:23
  Speaker 5: Kami was still out of the lineup then, though he
• 36:25
  Speaker 5: didn't make He did not make it five innings in
• 36:27
  Speaker 5: that game, but he pitched well enough and the Red
• 36:29
  Speaker 5: Sox got to win. The bullpen gave up nothing behind him.
• 36:33
  Speaker 5: I don't know what he's gonna do here, though, man.
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: I mean again, he's only in the rotation because half
• 36:38
  Speaker 5: the Red Sox rotation is hurt right now. So it's
• 36:41
  Speaker 5: unfortunate because some as he gets Tampa Bay, they are good.
• 36:44
  Speaker 5: In twenty eight at bats, they only have four guys
• 36:47
  Speaker 5: to have faced him. Seven strikeouts, two walks, one seventy
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: nine average five ninety oh ps.
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: I still don't trust Sandoval though. I don't like it, man.
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: I think if I was gonna play this game, probably
• 36:59
  Speaker 5: i'd be looking at Tampa in the first five.
• 37:01
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 37:03
  Speaker 5: I think Seymour should be able to outpitch Sandoval here.
• 37:06
  Speaker 5: He's the more trustworthy of the two pitchers. He's got
• 37:08
  Speaker 5: the better stuff, he's more proven at this point, even
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: though I know he's kind of a converter reliever.
• 37:13
  Speaker 3: In this battle of lefties.
• 37:15
  Speaker 5: Here, Red Sox are favored and about minus one twelve,
• 37:18
  Speaker 5: maybe even a little bit higher than that, I guess
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: now the Red Sox.
• 37:23
  Speaker 3: What I will say, which.
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: I kind of mentioned yesterday, was that one thing is
• 37:27
  Speaker 5: the public might have a tendency to want to look
• 37:29
  Speaker 5: towards Tampa Bay a little bit here because Tampa Bay
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: has the way better record.
• 37:32
  Speaker 3: So it's like, why are the Red Sox favored? You
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: know what I mean?
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: And I keep telling you, well, the oddsmakers are telling
• 37:37
  Speaker 5: you the Red Sox are not that much worse than
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay. However, I think I would fade the Red
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: Sox in this spot. Seventy one percent of tickets, sixty
• 37:47
  Speaker 5: four percent of the cash on the Red Sox, so
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: it looks like the Red Sox are actually the public
• 37:51
  Speaker 5: side here, even though I don't think it totally makes sense,
• 37:54
  Speaker 5: Like the line looks a bit misleading, so I wouldn't
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: have expected the public to be that heavily on them whatever.
• 38:01
  Speaker 5: Man the way I look at it, I think Tampa
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: Bay in the first five might make the most sense there,
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: and then just avoid what might happen with the bullpens,
• 38:09
  Speaker 5: because the Red Sox still might have a bit of
• 38:11
  Speaker 5: a bullpen edge there. But I'm not gonna touch that game, Garrett,
• 38:15
  Speaker 5: what's up? You're tailing that over all?
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: Right? The Braves are they back? I don't know. I
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: mean they're a decent team.
• 38:22
  Speaker 5: I don't know what you're gonna get out of the
• 38:24
  Speaker 5: Braves in this one Texas at Atlanta. The Braves won
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: in the return home spot yesterday fifteen to one. Although
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: I mean it was Chrissale against cal Quantra, Man, I mean,
• 38:33
  Speaker 5: I expected it to be much lower scoring. But I
• 38:37
  Speaker 5: didn't think that the Braves were gonna lose the game,
• 38:40
  Speaker 5: which at first they didn't. But I mean, you should
• 38:42
  Speaker 5: not lose when you have Chrisale on the mound and
• 38:44
  Speaker 5: they do not have Krisale on the mound this time.
• 38:47
  Speaker 5: After a game like that, you know, maybe there is
• 38:49
  Speaker 5: some value on Texas after that. However, Texas they used
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: three relief pitchers yesterday. Their bullpen has not been good recently.
• 38:58
  Speaker 5: Atlanta only used one. Atlanta has the number one bullpen
• 39:00
  Speaker 5: in baseball still Texas, They've been a good bullpend the
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: last couple of years, but right now they're not pitching well.
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: Texas is fourteenth right now. Yeah, I mean, I don't know, man,
• 39:11
  Speaker 5: I expect Texas to get better again out of the bullpen,
• 39:13
  Speaker 5: buter right now, they're not really that good. Atlanta's twelfth
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: in offense right now, tied with the Rays. Texas is seventeenth.
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: Texas actually hits better on the road and Atlanta does
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: not hit as well at home, so keep that in mind.
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: The starting pitching matchup is I think pretty unpredictable.
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: Texas has McKenzie Gore on the mound.
• 39:33
  Speaker 5: He's a decent pitcher, He's got decent strikeouts up, but
• 39:36
  Speaker 5: he always has wildness issues. He's got a four point
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: six to three ERA, one point two to nine.
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: Whip isn't really that bad.
• 39:43
  Speaker 5: He's not good on the road, a five point eight
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: to one Roadie Ray, so he's in the worst of
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: his home road splits here. I mean, he hasn't been
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: particularly good recently, although his walk rate has actually been
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: low recently, so there is that. So his wildness has
• 39:57
  Speaker 5: actually gotten a little.
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: Bit under control.
• 39:59
  Speaker 5: But it looks like he changed something and he became
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: more hittable, which is also not good.
• 40:05
  Speaker 3: Overall, he is still fairly unhittable.
• 40:08
  Speaker 5: He's got a low hit rate on the season, his
• 40:11
  Speaker 5: walk rate is too high, as I said, and his
• 40:13
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is also high, so he does strike guys
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: out at a decent rate. Numbers against the Braves, they've
• 40:19
  Speaker 5: seen a lot of them because he was on Washington
• 40:22
  Speaker 5: for a while. He has eighty six at bats against them.
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: His numbers are pretty much in the average territory against them,
• 40:29
  Speaker 5: two fifty six batting average allowed seven to seventy three ops.
• 40:32
  Speaker 5: So the Brave. I would say the Braves have like
• 40:34
  Speaker 5: a slight edge against him, but it's not really that much.
• 40:38
  Speaker 5: Twenty four strikeouts, eight walks against him. So I mean, Gore,
• 40:43
  Speaker 5: he is capable of pitching well, but he is in
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: the bat of his home road splits here, Atlanta probably
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: has a slight advantage against him. So yeah, I would
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: lean slightly against Gore here, but Atlanta's going with Owen Murphy,
• 40:57
  Speaker 5: who we have no idea what you're gonna get out
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: of this. He's twenty two years old, he's already had
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: Tommy John surgery. I looked at his scouting men and
• 41:06
  Speaker 5: he's been good so far. But he's only made two appearances.
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: He had a one inning relief appearance that gave up
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: a run against the Mats, and then he had one
• 41:16
  Speaker 5: other appearance where he had three completely clean innings against
• 41:19
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis. Both of those are out of the bullpen,
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: So this is gonna be his first major league start.
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: I have no idea what you're gonna get out of
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: him here, man. I have no idea how many pitches
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: he's gonna throw. I don't know if they're gonna have
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: him on a short leaseh here. Honestly, I have no
• 41:34
  Speaker 5: idea what the Braves having a good bullpen. I think
• 41:38
  Speaker 5: Murphy's probably gonna be on a short leash here, man,
• 41:40
  Speaker 5: Like if he starts showing signs of not pitching well,
• 41:43
  Speaker 5: they're probably gonna go to the bullpen. So I have
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: no idea what you're gonna get in this game. Although
• 41:48
  Speaker 5: obviously his overall numbers look good so far two point
• 41:51
  Speaker 5: twenty five ERA, point twoy five WHIP, He's only allowed
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: one hit in four innings so far, four strikeouts, no walks.
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: I looked at his minor league numbers, and what I
• 42:00
  Speaker 5: can tell you is in Triple A this season, overall
• 42:05
  Speaker 5: pretty decent numbers, but he has he has had walk
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: issues in Triple A this year, and his strikeout rate
• 42:10
  Speaker 5: was actually good, which is not really what I expected
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: to see because I know he's gone through tom at
• 42:15
  Speaker 5: John surgery and his velocity went down after that. He
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: does not throw that hard, which I thought that he
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: might not because he's not really a big guy.
• 42:24
  Speaker 3: He's not a heavy pitcher.
• 42:27
  Speaker 5: So he throws like mid like load to mid nineties
• 42:29
  Speaker 5: on his fastball, and he has like a very typical
• 42:32
  Speaker 5: pitch mix of fastball, slider, curveball change. I don't know
• 42:36
  Speaker 5: what else to say about him, man, He does have
• 42:38
  Speaker 5: an unfamiliarity edge here because he's new in a major
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: league baseball so obviously Texas has never faced him before.
• 42:46
  Speaker 5: Does that give him an advantage over Mackenzie Gore?
• 42:49
  Speaker 3: It might. I don't know, though, Man. I mean Atlanta,
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: I mean, Atlanta.
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: Looks way too easy to play here. You're getting them
• 42:57
  Speaker 5: bit basically a Pickham price here. It looks way too
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: easy to play Atlanta at that price. The money is
• 43:03
  Speaker 5: heavily back in Texas here seventy percent of the tickets
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: on Atlanta ninety three percent of the cash on Texas.
• 43:10
  Speaker 5: I mean, I might, actually, I might still slightly lean
• 43:13
  Speaker 5: towards Atlanta, just because I think Gore maybe at the
• 43:17
  Speaker 5: disadvantage here, and you might be able to get enough
• 43:20
  Speaker 5: out of Murphy plus the Atlanta bullpen and get you
• 43:22
  Speaker 5: the win there. I would not actually want to bank
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: on it, though, that that would not be one that
• 43:27
  Speaker 5: I would actually put money on. Even if I would
• 43:29
  Speaker 5: slightly lean that way, I would not do it.
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: And the market read is completely against it.
• 43:34
  Speaker 5: So total is also high at nine, where I thought
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: yesterday's game looked like it was gonna be low scoring.
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: I have no idea what you're gonna get in this game.
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 43:42
  Speaker 5: One other way to play this, by the way, to
• 43:43
  Speaker 5: take the Murphy question mark out of the equation, you
• 43:47
  Speaker 5: could play Atlanta over their team total, although I don't
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: know if I really want to do that either, because
• 43:52
  Speaker 5: the money's coming in against them, and Atlanta scored fifteen
• 43:55
  Speaker 5: runs yesterday and they're typically not as good at home
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: this season hitting, So I don't know if i'd really
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: want to do that, And you're gonna be probably asking
• 44:03
  Speaker 5: him to score five runs. I guess if you do,
• 44:06
  Speaker 5: that's something in that realm. Obviously it's certainly possible, but
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: not something I would really want to do. I'm not
• 44:12
  Speaker 5: really a team totals guy anyway. Maybe I should be.
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: I don't know. Baltimore and Houston.
• 44:20
  Speaker 5: Houston return home from a road trip yesterday and they
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: lost three to two.
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: Where that was a game where I did.
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: I think I had a slightly towards the under in
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: that game yesterday in the first five, which probably hit.
• 44:33
  Speaker 5: Houston had used three guys out of the bullpen yesterday,
• 44:36
  Speaker 5: Baltimore used five.
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: I don't love.
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: Either bullpen here. They're both kind of in mediocre territory
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: here out of the bullpen? Where are they at?
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: I don't even see them?
• 44:46
  Speaker 5: Where are they? Houston is nineteenth. They started off the
• 44:49
  Speaker 5: season really bad, as we know. Baltimore is actually tenth,
• 44:52
  Speaker 5: but their era is not really that good. So I
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: still consider these to be mediocre bullpens. Houston fourteenth offense,
• 45:00
  Speaker 5: Baltimore's sixteenth, so they're both mid tier offenses as well.
• 45:04
  Speaker 5: Baltimore is going with Trevor Rodgers. Rogers really good for
• 45:08
  Speaker 5: Baltimore last year, started off really bad this year, but
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: he started to pitch better recently. He's got a four
• 45:13
  Speaker 5: point four to eighty or one point three to one whip.
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: I know those are mediocre numbers, but he's been better recently.
• 45:19
  Speaker 5: As you can see, Baltimore's won four starts in a
• 45:22
  Speaker 5: row of his he's been pitching a lot better. He's
• 45:24
  Speaker 5: allowed one or fewer earned runs in all four of those,
• 45:26
  Speaker 5: and he was not facing weak offenses either. I mean,
• 45:29
  Speaker 5: we're talking about Dodgers, Nationals, Cubs, Reds in Cincinnati where
• 45:34
  Speaker 5: he had some walk issues in that one. In the Reds,
• 45:36
  Speaker 5: I know they haven't been hitting that well, but whatever. Rogers,
• 45:39
  Speaker 5: he's basically been good since the beginning of June. He
• 45:41
  Speaker 5: hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any outing.
• 45:45
  Speaker 5: He's got a low ish hit rate on the season now.
• 45:47
  Speaker 5: His walk rate is i would say, still slightly high.
• 45:50
  Speaker 5: Strikeout rate is low, though he's not striking guys out,
• 45:53
  Speaker 5: which does worry me a little bit with him. Numbers
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: against Houston are pretty solid though, in thirty five of
• 46:00
  Speaker 5: that's one seventy one average allowed, five twenty three oh ps,
• 46:03
  Speaker 5: sixteen to three strike out walk ratio. Not bad numbers
• 46:06
  Speaker 5: there at all. Rogers, Yeah, I mean, he's pitching well
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: right now, so he might match up pretty well here
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: as well. He's got good matchup numbers there, so I
• 46:15
  Speaker 5: would lean towards Rogers pitching well. Houston's going with Spencer Aarraghetty,
• 46:19
  Speaker 5: who's kind of done the opposite of Rogers. Ra Getty
• 46:22
  Speaker 5: was pitching well early in the season, but I warned
• 46:25
  Speaker 5: about it because he's too wild, dude. He walks way
• 46:28
  Speaker 5: too many guys, and he's been a lot worse recently.
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: He's got a four point five year Ray one point
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: three to three whip. So both guys have similar overall
• 46:35
  Speaker 5: numbers on the season, but they're different pitchers though. And
• 46:40
  Speaker 5: Araghetty he strikes out way more guys, but he walks
• 46:42
  Speaker 5: way more guys and he's heading in the wrong direction.
• 46:45
  Speaker 5: He is better at home though, three point two to
• 46:47
  Speaker 5: two home he Ray, so he's been very good at home.
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: At his walk rate, I mean, this is a major,
• 46:52
  Speaker 5: major concern. Two of his last three starts he had
• 46:55
  Speaker 5: five or more walks. That is not gonna get it
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: done at all. That is not good. More walks and
• 47:02
  Speaker 5: innings pitch and both those he had one good start
• 47:04
  Speaker 5: at home in between those two though both those starts
• 47:07
  Speaker 5: were on the road, and he pitched well against Tampa,
• 47:09
  Speaker 5: but at home in between the two. But he's you know,
• 47:13
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's not really a good form right now.
• 47:15
  Speaker 3: Man. He's got a low hit rate. He's been very,
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: very hard to hit.
• 47:18
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is pretty good, although not as good
• 47:20
  Speaker 5: as you might think, and his walk rate is really high. Again,
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: that's his main issue is the walks. Like again, he's
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: got to do something to fix that. Numbers against Baltimore
• 47:30
  Speaker 5: are actually pretty good and thirty four at bats two
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: poh six average, five twenty nine oh ps allowed, twelve
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: strikeouts and no walks. Believe it or not, so Baltimore
• 47:40
  Speaker 5: has not been patient against him.
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: What do we do with this game?
• 47:45
  Speaker 5: I mean, based on the matchup numbers, it does kind
• 47:47
  Speaker 5: of look like an under. I think I would only
• 47:49
  Speaker 5: go first five under, though if I was gonna do that,
• 47:52
  Speaker 5: I do not want to deal with the bullpens here.
• 47:54
  Speaker 5: The total is nine. The money looks like it does
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: agree on the under. Fifty eight percent of tickets ninety
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: cash on the under. That is probably what I would
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: do first five under in this one, and I agree
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: with Baltimore as well, a Houston fifty four percent of
• 48:08
  Speaker 5: tickets on them. I know they're in a bounce back
• 48:10
  Speaker 5: spot because they lost in the return home spot, but
• 48:12
  Speaker 5: it was a close game and Rogers, like I said,
• 48:15
  Speaker 5: he's in the better form right now, so he's trending
• 48:18
  Speaker 5: in the better direction. So I would prefer to back
• 48:20
  Speaker 5: Rogers here seventy mister Rogers seventy two percent of the
• 48:24
  Speaker 5: cash on Baltimore with fifty four percent of tickets on Houston.
• 48:28
  Speaker 5: Baltimore looks like they're a slight favorite. It's like close
• 48:32
  Speaker 5: to a Pickham price there. Again, I'm just giving you
• 48:36
  Speaker 5: all the info, man and telling you what I think. Obviously,
• 48:39
  Speaker 5: you could disagree with me if you want. You know,
• 48:41
  Speaker 5: there are many ways to attack these games. So yeah,
• 48:46
  Speaker 5: I think I got nothing else on that one. But yeah,
• 48:48
  Speaker 5: I think I would prefer the first five under over
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: the Baltimore side. I think if you do play the
• 48:52
  Speaker 5: Baltimore side, I was gonna say, maybe you go first
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: five innings with him, But Baltimore might have the bullpen
• 49:00
  Speaker 5: as well, so I could see an argument for first
• 49:02
  Speaker 5: five or full game on Baltimore. The next game up
• 49:06
  Speaker 5: would be my other play. I have two baseball players.
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: This is gonna be the other one. And I'm mad
• 49:15
  Speaker 5: that I did not put this on my card yesterday
• 49:17
  Speaker 5: Miami Milwaukee. I felt pretty strongly about the under yesterday
• 49:21
  Speaker 5: and it hit, and I'm gonna give it out today.
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: In this one, I'm gonna go under. And of course,
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: watch this one lose after yesterday's one, and I was
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: very very close to adding it to the card yesterday
• 49:32
  Speaker 5: and didn't.
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: I'm pissed.
• 49:34
  Speaker 5: We get an eight on this one, which is fairly reasonable,
• 49:37
  Speaker 5: I think, so I'm gonna go under eight here. I'm
• 49:40
  Speaker 5: gonna back the bullpens, even though Milwaukee did use five
• 49:44
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday, but again, they're really rested, dude, so
• 49:47
  Speaker 5: obviously they could use some of these guys again today.
• 49:51
  Speaker 5: Miami used four, but again coming out of a break,
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: the bullpens are still relatively rested, so that's not too bad.
• 50:00
  Speaker 5: We're also looking at two pretty good bullpens here, which
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: again obviously that's part of the reason I'm backing them
• 50:05
  Speaker 5: is the bullpens are actually good. Miami is fourth, although
• 50:08
  Speaker 5: I don't think they're quite that good.
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: The Brewers are eighth.
• 50:11
  Speaker 5: I think the Brewers are definitely like a top several bullpens,
• 50:15
  Speaker 5: so I'm fine with that, and I like to start
• 50:17
  Speaker 5: of pitching here.
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: We're gonna back Max Meyer, uh for the Marlins here.
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: Meyer has been very good this season two point five
• 50:24
  Speaker 5: eighty ray, one point one to one whip. He's been
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: only a little bit worse on the road two point
• 50:30
  Speaker 5: twenty nine Roady Race or two point nine to two.
• 50:33
  Speaker 3: Excuse me, Roady.
• 50:34
  Speaker 5: I Ray is still good though he's still pitching pretty
• 50:37
  Speaker 5: well right now. Now, he's been a good forum him. Mean,
• 50:40
  Speaker 5: he's allowed two or fewer runs and all but one
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: start going all the way back to mid May, and
• 50:46
  Speaker 5: he's only allowed more than more than two in runs
• 50:48
  Speaker 5: four times all season. He's only allowed more than more
• 50:51
  Speaker 5: than three twice. Obviously, he's having a good season. And
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: he was named to the All Star team for the
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: first time. But and I know I said that that
• 50:59
  Speaker 5: could be just distraction and you get named to the
• 51:01
  Speaker 5: All Star team. But I think it's worse for Lozardo
• 51:03
  Speaker 5: because Lozardo's a little bit older, he's had a more
• 51:07
  Speaker 5: established career, and he got to do it in his
• 51:09
  Speaker 5: home stadium, and he pitched. Lozardo actually pitched, whereas Meyer
• 51:13
  Speaker 5: did not. So I don't think it's going to affect
• 51:15
  Speaker 5: Meyer as much. He got named to the All Star team,
• 51:18
  Speaker 5: but I'm fine with backing him here because he didn't
• 51:21
  Speaker 5: pitch in the game. I think the Marlins probably just asked,
• 51:25
  Speaker 5: you know, the National League manager or whatever to just
• 51:28
  Speaker 5: not play him or whatever, because he was scheduled to
• 51:31
  Speaker 5: pitch the first game out of the All Star Break
• 51:33
  Speaker 5: or the second game out of the All Star Break,
• 51:35
  Speaker 5: so the wishes were respected. So he's pitching on well,
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: nobody's pitching on normal rest here, but he's pitching in
• 51:44
  Speaker 5: his next turn in the rotation.
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: So I'm fine with that.
• 51:48
  Speaker 5: Like, I don't think it's gonna be that much of
• 51:49
  Speaker 5: a distraction just because he was named to the All
• 51:52
  Speaker 5: Star team and obviously he was there. Against Milwaukee, he's
• 51:56
  Speaker 5: been pretty good. They only have thirteen at bats against him.
• 52:00
  Speaker 5: You want to average seven forty seven ops. I know
• 52:02
  Speaker 5: that's getting a little bit high, mostly because Vaughn has
• 52:05
  Speaker 5: a home run against him. That's the only extra RaSE
• 52:07
  Speaker 5: hit against them. They have three strikeouts in one walk.
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: I think Meyers should be able to pitch well here.
• 52:13
  Speaker 5: And I'm also going to back the mystery man Shane Drohan,
• 52:17
  Speaker 5: who still has no picture on ESPN.
• 52:20
  Speaker 3: Drohan is pitching well, dude.
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: A three point h nine era one point two whip
• 52:24
  Speaker 5: is maybe not as good as you'd expect with that era,
• 52:27
  Speaker 5: but it's still not bad. He's been a little bit
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: better at home three point zero three home e ra.
• 52:33
  Speaker 5: He's pitching well. He's a lot more than three runs
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: only once all season. Granted he was coming out of
• 52:38
  Speaker 5: the bullpen early in the season, but since he's been.
• 52:41
  Speaker 3: A starter, they've ramped him up a little bit.
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: He's basically going full starters workload now, and he's doing well.
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: You know, he looks good.
• 52:49
  Speaker 5: He's got a pretty low hit rate here, his walk
• 52:51
  Speaker 5: rate is not horrible, maybe slightly high there, and his
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is reasonable as well. It's a decent strikeout rate.
• 52:59
  Speaker 5: And he might have a little bit of an extra
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: edge here because Miami's never faced him before, so I
• 53:04
  Speaker 5: think that could be an extra advantage to him. Again,
• 53:07
  Speaker 5: these young pitchers that have never been seen before by
• 53:10
  Speaker 5: the opposing offense, they can have a little bit of
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: an extra advantage there. Meyer, by the way, before him,
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: off of him, Meyer has all good numbers across the board.
• 53:18
  Speaker 3: Low hit rate is, walk rate is you know, I mean,
• 53:21
  Speaker 3: it's not excellent, but it's it's still not bad.
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: And his strikeout rate is high as well. Also, I
• 53:27
  Speaker 5: forgot these teams have actually hit pretty well. Miami is
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: seventh in offense. But like I said, I think there
• 53:32
  Speaker 5: are numbers are skewed a little bit right now because
• 53:34
  Speaker 5: of their recent road tripp where they played an in
• 53:37
  Speaker 5: course field and in the A's stadium, and Milwaukee has
• 53:40
  Speaker 5: ranked ninth right now, tied with the White Sox. But
• 53:43
  Speaker 5: you know me, I prefer good pitching over good hitting,
• 53:46
  Speaker 5: and I think that's what we got here. Under is
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: gonna be the play in this one, And I know,
• 53:50
  Speaker 5: I'm really pissed I didn't add it yesterday. The money
• 53:53
  Speaker 5: looks like it's completely disagreeing with me on this. I
• 53:55
  Speaker 5: don't really get it. Fifty two tickets on the under,
• 53:58
  Speaker 5: ninety two percent of the cash on the over.
• 54:01
  Speaker 3: Maybe I should be worried. I don't know.
• 54:02
  Speaker 5: The money is also backing Milwaukee seventy two tickets eighty
• 54:06
  Speaker 5: three percent of the cash on Milwaukee at about minus
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: one thirty something.
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: Here, I don't.
• 54:11
  Speaker 5: Really have a good gauge on the side. I mean,
• 54:15
  Speaker 5: maybe the money is kind of backing on Meyer being
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: a little bit distracted because of the All Star Game.
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: I still, you know, I'm not as worried about it
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: because he didn't He did n't pitch in the game,
• 54:26
  Speaker 5: so I'm less worried about that.
• 54:30
  Speaker 3: Yeah, So I don't know. That's my take on the game.
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: As far as what happened yesterday, though it was an
• 54:36
  Speaker 5: under Milwaukee did actually win the game, even though they
• 54:39
  Speaker 5: were in the return home spot. Milwaukee did win two
• 54:43
  Speaker 5: to one. But yes, I'm still pissed. I didn't add
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: that because we could have had a split day yesterday
• 54:47
  Speaker 5: one and one, and I think it would have actually
• 54:50
  Speaker 5: been a slight win because the the loser was at
• 54:53
  Speaker 5: an underdog price.
• 54:54
  Speaker 3: So I'm pissed I should have added it.
• 54:56
  Speaker 5: I was just a little bit worried about al Contra
• 54:59
  Speaker 5: and again, watch this game. Now go over the total.
• 55:01
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna be so pissed when that happens. You know
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: it's gonna happen.
• 55:06
  Speaker 3: Mac could do.
• 55:06
  Speaker 5: What's up man, Yes, Drohan the Mystery Man, Bob's Burgers,
• 55:11
  Speaker 5: I'm also watching it right, I'm catching up on it.
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: I had to watch Bob's.
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: I watched every episode up through twenty twenty, and then
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: I kind of lost. I don't know, I just stopped
• 55:22
  Speaker 5: watching a lot of those. The lockdowns threw me off.
• 55:24
  Speaker 5: Man that you think that would make me tend to
• 55:27
  Speaker 5: watch these shows more, But that wasn't the case. Like
• 55:29
  Speaker 5: I stopped watching those shows in twenty twenty. So now
• 55:31
  Speaker 5: I'm trying to catch up on Bob's Burgers. I'm in
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: season twelve now, and it's starting to get a little
• 55:37
  Speaker 5: bit worse.
• 55:37
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 55:38
  Speaker 5: I gotta say it's it's not horrible, it's not bad,
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: but I don't know, it seems less funny. And I
• 55:44
  Speaker 5: know they fired Jimmy Pesto at some point around that
• 55:48
  Speaker 5: time just because he was at January sixth, and you know,
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: you know how these people are in Hollywood and whatever,
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: and that's fear. You can't do any of that, man,
• 55:57
  Speaker 5: it's a whatever. It's it's a thought crime.
• 56:01
  Speaker 3: I hate that.
• 56:02
  Speaker 5: I'm not at the point where they've replaced him on
• 56:04
  Speaker 5: the show yet, but it's it's absolutely ridiculous that they
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: replaced him.
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: Pesto was a good character, dude.
• 56:09
  Speaker 5: He's Bob's main nemesis, and you're gonna replace him again
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: just because of your politics and because Pesto, the actor
• 56:16
  Speaker 5: whoever voiced him, was at January sixth.
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: I mean, give me a break, man, there were a
• 56:21
  Speaker 3: ton of people there.
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: Oh that means he's a criminal now because he was
• 56:25
  Speaker 5: at a location and maybe walked into a public building.
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: Give me a give me a break, dude.
• 56:31
  Speaker 5: I don't know if I'm allowed to say that on
• 56:33
  Speaker 5: the show here, but yeah, Bob's Burger's. It's a funny
• 56:37
  Speaker 5: show man. I gotta say. John Benjamin is hilarious. He's
• 56:40
  Speaker 5: a He's a really good voice actor Dan Mints as well.
• 56:44
  Speaker 5: By the way, Dan Mintz, the voice of Tina on
• 56:47
  Speaker 5: the show, go find find his stand up comedy. There's
• 56:51
  Speaker 5: not that much of it out there. He needs to
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: know more, dude. His stand up comedy is awesome. It's
• 56:55
  Speaker 5: like it's all these like monotone one liners and it's
• 56:59
  Speaker 5: so good, Like a lot of it is so clever.
• 57:01
  Speaker 5: He's one of the most underrated stand up comedians.
• 57:04
  Speaker 3: Dan Mins.
• 57:09
  Speaker 5: Yes, correct, I think I follow Jimmy Pesto.
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: That actor.
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: His wife is on Twitter and she's been defending him
• 57:18
  Speaker 5: and taking up his cause on Twitter. I'm pretty sure
• 57:20
  Speaker 5: I follow her. She's she's pretty cool as far as
• 57:23
  Speaker 5: I can tell. All Right, So those are my only
• 57:27
  Speaker 5: plays in baseball. I do have a w NBA play
• 57:29
  Speaker 5: as well. Gotta get through this, man. The show's taken
• 57:33
  Speaker 5: a while. San Diego at Kansas City. Kansas City won
• 57:36
  Speaker 5: the game yesterday. I did not think that was gonna
• 57:39
  Speaker 5: happen return home spot. They're not a good team pitching wise,
• 57:43
  Speaker 5: and they won the game anyway in a high scoring
• 57:47
  Speaker 5: battle seven to six. I don't know if they're gonna
• 57:49
  Speaker 5: be able to repeat that here. Maybe the high scoring
• 57:52
  Speaker 5: aspect is repeatable. Kansas City used four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 57:55
  Speaker 5: Their bullpen is very bad. San Diego used four as
• 57:59
  Speaker 5: well well. San Diego their bullpen is the better of
• 58:02
  Speaker 5: the too, although they haven't been that good recently.
• 58:04
  Speaker 3: They're at twelve. I still think they're better than that.
• 58:07
  Speaker 5: Though Royals are dead last and their era is better
• 58:10
  Speaker 5: than the A's. They're a bad bullpen though they're one
• 58:13
  Speaker 5: of the bottom bullpens.
• 58:15
  Speaker 3: As far as the offense is concerned. Kansas City, they're eighteenth.
• 58:18
  Speaker 5: They've been not a great offense, but they are better
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: at home, especially since the walls have been moved in
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: this year in the stadium in Kaufman Stadium. San Diego
• 58:28
  Speaker 5: has been atrocious offensively. They're dead last thirtieth, so they
• 58:33
  Speaker 5: do not really have an offensive edge against anybody. Griffin
• 58:36
  Speaker 5: Canning is pitching for San Diego, probably not a good thing,
• 58:41
  Speaker 5: usually not. He has not been good. A six point
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: four to seven e RA one point six whip. That's
• 58:47
  Speaker 5: even worse considering the fact that San Diego has a
• 58:49
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly ballpark and he's still not pitching well even there.
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: He's even worse on the road though, seven point.
• 58:55
  Speaker 3: Four road e RA. Yeah, that is not good obviously.
• 59:01
  Speaker 5: I mean you could maybe make the argument he's pitching
• 59:04
  Speaker 5: a little bit better recently, but he's not going deep
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: into these games.
• 59:08
  Speaker 3: Not great, man.
• 59:09
  Speaker 5: I mean, his hit rate is a bit high, his
• 59:11
  Speaker 5: walk rate is very high. His strikeout rate is actually
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: not bad. It's like one per inning basically.
• 59:17
  Speaker 3: So that's not bad.
• 59:18
  Speaker 5: But yeah, the walk rate is really really bad, and
• 59:21
  Speaker 5: he's been too hitte Bulim. However, you probably wouldn't have
• 59:24
  Speaker 5: guessed it. Kansas City actually doesn't hit him well. In
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: thirty seven of bat's one eighty nine average five point
• 59:29
  Speaker 5: fifty five ops allowed eight to two strikeout walk ratios. Canning,
• 59:35
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't want to trust him. I mean, he's not
• 59:37
  Speaker 5: a good pitcher. He's obviously not good on the road,
• 59:39
  Speaker 5: but he might have a little bit of a matchup
• 59:42
  Speaker 5: edge here. Kansas City is going with Randy Dobnak, who
• 59:46
  Speaker 5: is a converted relief pitcher.
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: I don't like it. I don't like it.
• 59:51
  Speaker 5: I know he's got these glasses that make him look
• 59:55
  Speaker 5: kind of cool, kind of like a nerd.
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 59:57
  Speaker 5: He's got long hair and a beard, which I like.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: I don't know what we're gonna get out of this guy, man.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 5: I mean, he hasn't pitched much this year at all.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 5: He's given up some runs at home four point five.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 5: Homie Ray has a one point eighty six overall the RRA,
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 5: but a one point three to four whip is not good.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 3: But he's only made two appearances. He had a four.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 5: Inning appearance against Tampa Bay and a five and two
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 5: third inning appearance against the Mets. He was not great
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 5: against Tampa Bay. He was pretty good against the Mets,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 5: although he walked too many guys in that outing.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 3: I don't know what we're gonna get out of him, man.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 5: They actually let him go ninety five pitchers in that one,
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 5: so he might actually go a starter's workload here. I
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: believe both of those games are out of the bullpen, though. Yeah,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 5: so he worked out of the bullpen in both games,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 5: so I would be aware of that because Kansas City
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: might do something weird here. They might like throw an
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 5: opener in front of him, you know, So just something
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 5: to be aware of here that he might not actually
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 5: start the game. So, if you're gonna play this game
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 5: in any capacity, I would pick Canning must start for
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 5: San Diego, but I would not pick a royal starter here. Well,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 5: actually I might not pick either star here because Canning
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: has actually had an opener come in in front of
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 5: him some of the time too. Although I think it's
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 5: more likely that he's gonna start this game than not.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: Dab Knock might not start, though I have no clue
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 5: what's gonna happen with Kansas City, however, I mean, just
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 5: on the surface, I mean, this game looks like it's
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 5: gonna be an over.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't trust either of these starters.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 5: I know Canning does have good matchup numbers here, but
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 5: I think the over might be the better way to
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 5: play this game. Still, the money seems like it agrees
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 5: with that fifty two percent of tickets on the under
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: ninety three percent of the cash on the over. The
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 5: totals eleven, though, which just seems insane for a Kansas
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: City game. But I know they move the walls in,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 5: so it's gonna be more hit or friendly, but eleven
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 5: may be a little bit extreme. But again, it looks
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 5: like there are gonna be some runs in this game.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: I don't like the pitching here. I don't like Kansas
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 5: City's bullpen either. San Diego's bullpen has been underperforming, so
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 5: I think there are more indicators towards an over here.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 5: And I would not disagree with San Diego either. They're
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 5: getting the money as well. They're a small road favorite.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 5: It almost looks too easy to play them, though, which
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 5: is one concern that was my concern yesterday with San Diego.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: Even though it looked like they had the situational edge
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 5: that started pitching edge, it looks too easy to play
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 5: in them because Kansas City has a bad record. The
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 5: public's not gonna want Kansas City. The money, though, is
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 5: back in San Diego sixty six percent of tickets eighty
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: two percent of the cash on them at a small price,
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 5: and the public might have less of a desire to
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 5: back Griffin Canning at the very least. I mean, I
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 5: don't even want to really back him, but I think
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: if you asked me to pick a side in this one.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 3: I would pick San Diego.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: I would play San Diego if I was gonna play
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 5: a side in that one, I think they have the
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 5: better starting pitching situation, to believe it or not, in
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: that one, and they have the better bullpen still, so
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: I would lean San Diego there, but I think the
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 5: over might be the better way to approach that game.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis and Arizona. Arizona was in a return home
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: spot yesterday and they lost. I thought that that was
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 5: a bad spot, dude. I was kind of tempted to
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: look towards Saint Louis yesterday. They won, although they barely
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 5: won it was five to four, But that spot for
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 5: Arizona was quite bad, dude.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 3: They were coming up a.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 5: Ridiculous sweep of the Dodgers, plus having a return home
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: with the break in between. The break could have stopped
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: their momentum to so that was a decent spot to
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 5: look towards Saint Louis there. Also, I didn't love the
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 5: pitching matchup enough in that one, but Saint Louis got
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 5: the win yesterday.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis's bullpen is.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 5: Not particularly good. They used three guys out of the
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 5: bullpen yesterday. Arizona has the better bullpen out of the two,
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 5: they use five guys out of the bullpen, though Arizona
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 5: is ranked fifth in bullpenal. Though I don't think they're
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: that good, they're better than Saint Louis, though Saint Louis
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 5: is twenty first. I think Saint Louis is kind of
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 5: a more mediocre bullpen. Though Arizona has not hit well
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 5: this season, they're twenty fifth. Saint Louis is at twentieth,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 5: so they've kind of fallen off offensively as well.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis is going.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 5: With dustin May May. I mean he's had an okay season.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 5: He was pitching well for a while and then had
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 5: an injury come up, and he hasn't really been as
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 5: good recently. He's got a four point five to five
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 5: YRA one point two to six women, and I don't
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 5: think he's really that good in general anymore after he's
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 5: had injuries already, like in his career. Although he hasn't
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 5: been that bad this season, he has not been good
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 5: on the road though, five point nine to four Rodeo race.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 5: So he's much better at home where it's more pitcher
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 5: friendly in Seattle or sorry in.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis, excuse me.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 5: In both both Seattle and Saint Louis, but May pitches
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 5: for Saint Louis. May you could tell that he took
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 5: an injury I think in that Atlanta game, and he
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 5: pitched on schedule basically after that, actually on short rest,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 5: and he actually was good against Milwaukee, but had a
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 5: short outing there, threw a lot of pitches, though he's
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 5: kind of inefficient.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 3: Then last outing he wasn't really that good against the.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 5: Braves, although his two of his three bad outings recently
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 5: came against the Braves though, so I don't know what
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 5: you can really take away from that, but he walked
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: a bunch of guys. He seems like he's a bit
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 5: out of form right now, though he has not made
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 5: it five innings since that really good start that he
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: had where he had a one hit complete game against
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 5: San Diego. He basically hasn't been good since then. So
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 5: maybe that career effort threw him off too.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 5: He does have a pretty low hit rate on the season.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 5: His walk rate's not bad either. Strike out rate is
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 5: actually okay too, so his overall numbers are really not
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 5: that bad. Numbers against Arizona are pretty good, and sixty
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 5: five at bats one fifty four average, four to sixty
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 5: four ohps, fourteen to four strike out walk ratio. So
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 5: if May is gonna bounce back, it may be in
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 5: a matchup like this, although he doesn't. Again, he doesn't
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 5: do well on the road, though, but this matchup looks
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 5: like it's.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 3: Okay for him.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: Brandon Fott is pitching for Arizona. I don't know what
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 5: happened to this guy.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 3: Man. He was decent for a while. This season has
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 3: been a struggle for him.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 5: Four point seventy RA, one point three to two whip
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 5: five point two eight homye ray, So he hasn't pitched
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 5: that well home, although his opponent batting average at home
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 5: is actually better than it is on the road. What
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 5: to know about Fot, though, is they actually sent him
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 5: to the miners and he came back up. He was
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: in the minors for most of the month of June,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 5: and he's made three starts since coming back up, but
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 5: he's actually been fairly good. He's gone at least five
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 5: innings in all three, and he's allowed two or fewer
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 5: and runs in all three, and he's only walked one
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 5: guy in that entire stretch. He hasn't been striking guys
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 5: out though, but he's pitched better, and I was thinking, well,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 5: he pitched against San Francisco.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 3: San Diego, I mean, is that really that impressive.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 5: Well, he followed that up pitching pretty well against the
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: Dodgers last time out, and he actually got a win
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 5: in that game in that series where.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: They swept the Dodgers.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 5: So I don't know, Man, maybe sending fot to the miners,
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 5: maybe he figured something out, maybe he's more motivated coming back.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's been an okay pitcher in his career,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 5: better than what he's shown this year.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 3: At least.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 5: His hit rate is right around one per inning on
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 5: the season, which isn't great. His walk rate is okay,
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 5: his strikeout rate is not that good though, doesn't really
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 5: strike guys out right now, which is a little bit
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 5: of a concern.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 3: But he's actually been pretty good against Saint Louis.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: They only have six hitters who have faced him forty
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: five at bats tho it was a decent sample and
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 5: they have not really done a whole lot against him
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 5: two hundred average, five to sixty seven OPS, twelve to
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: two strike out walk ratio, So this game might be
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 5: a first five under dude, I don't like the bullpens here,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 5: but yeah, I mean Arizona could be in a bounce
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 5: back spot because they did lose in the return home
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 5: spot yesterday. That was a close game. But I think
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 5: first five under maybe makes the most sense here. The
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 5: money's back in the over though, the totals nine in
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 5: the full game, sixty three percent of tickets on the under,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 5: sixty one percent of the casual on the over.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 3: But again I might look towards the first five under.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 5: I think Fot may have at least fixed something when
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 5: he was in the minors May. I mean, I know
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 5: May hasn't been a good form recently, but he matches
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 5: up well at least against Arizona. Arizona's hitting hasn't been
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 5: very good. Arizona's a slight favorite. They're getting the money
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 5: fifty three percent of ticket sixty percent of the cash
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 5: on Arizona. I mean, May has had the better season,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 5: but FOT is actually in the better a current form
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 5: over the over the recent starts, so something to keep
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 5: in mind there. So it looks like the money is
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 5: kind of backing the current form plus the possible bounce
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 5: back spot for Arizona.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 3: There it looks like that's where the money is going there.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 5: If you're gonna play Arizona, maybe you go full game
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 5: with it because they might have a bullpen edge there.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 5: But I don't know, man, or maybe you just focus
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 5: on starting pitch. I don't I don't even know, man.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: I don't really see a huge edge for them with
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 5: the starting pitching. Obviously, I'm not playing the game. So oh,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 5: I forgot to talk about game two. Sorry, my mistake,
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh Cleveland Game two. I'll take a break and I'll
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 5: do it when I come back. I usually talk about
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 5: the doubleheader back to back on my apologies. I'll talk
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 5: about it when I come back. But this one actually
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 5: almost made made my card. I do have an angle
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: in this one. I'll be right back, yep. Inside, I
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 5: want to kill myself. We're on OHN seven, run over
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 5: the last two days after tonight, it.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 3: Was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 3: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 3: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 3: just don't want to do this anymore.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 6: I have never seen anything like this, man, with the
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 6: slump continuing two straight losses, not a good day at
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 6: all Own four that.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 3: Have not had a good season.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 6: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on. The slump continues.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 3: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 3: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: on with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 3: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 3: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is, but
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what day it is anymore? Men,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 3: Back with you after the worst day that I could.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 6: Possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 6: I die, at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 6: it did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 6: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 6: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 6: about this anymore slump series.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: The slump discontinues, The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 5: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 5: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 6: All right.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh Cleveland Game two. As I already mentioned, Pittsburgh has
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 5: the way better offense than Cleveland, but Cleveland has the
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 5: better bullpen. So somebody keep in mind I always mentioned
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 5: with game twos, I tend to lean overs in game
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 5: twos because the bullpens tend to get used in game one.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 5: So game two I think has a little bit more
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 5: of a tendency to go over. But again, you don't
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 5: really know until game one happens. Really, and yesterday, if
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 5: you had the over in that Red Sox Tampa game two,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: it was looking like a sure thing.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, you had.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 5: Eight runs in the first like three or four innings
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 5: of that game, and then no more runs scored, and
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 5: I think the game actually wound up going under kind
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 5: of ridiculous, or it landed right on the total.
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 3: I forget this game.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 4: Though.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 3: My angle would be to look towards Pittsburgh here.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 5: I like Practice and Ashcraft, dude, I think he has
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 5: the advantage here. I think if we're gonna play game two,
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 5: I would play Pittsburgh in the first five innings here.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 3: I like Ashcraft. He's had a good season three.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 5: Point four to nine ERA one point one to one whip.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 5: Did he get named to the All Star team?
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 3: Hold on, I'm.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: Guessing he didn't, but let me say he did. Oh god,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 5: all right, so Ashcraft did get named to the All
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: Star team, so I'm gonna keep in mind. I don't
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 5: think he pitched, though, But again he was a first
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 5: time All Star, so again I would say, you know,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 5: that could throw a guy off a little bit like mentally.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 5: Although I know I'm backing Max Meyer today to get
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 5: us an under, I would still lean towards Ashcraft here
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 5: as well. He's been good on the road three point
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 5: two nine ROADYRA, three point four to nine YRA on
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 5: the season. I think I might have said that already
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 5: one point one to one whip good stuff wasn't good
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 5: in his last outing against Milwaukee, and actually two of
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 5: his last three outings actually weren't that good, and that
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 5: he gave up some runs against Philly and Milwaukee, but
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: his strikeout walk ratio is still good in those games,
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 5: so I think he got a little bit unlucky. It
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 5: was like everybody that he put on basse scored in
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 5: those games, so seems a little bit luck oriented.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 3: Ashcraft has been good, dude.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 5: He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate, like just good numbers across the board, and
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 5: Cleveland basically has never seen him. Only Bailey has ever
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 5: faced him before. He is one for two with a
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 5: two RBI single, no strikeouts, no walks. But this is
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 5: a bad lineup. I think Ashcraft should be able to
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 5: handle them. And again he has an unfamiliarity edge. These
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 5: young pitchers when they are good and they're going up
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 5: against an offense that hasn't seen them before, usually the
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 5: pitcher as the edge. So I like how Ashcraft sets
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 5: up there, even though it was his first All Star nomination.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 5: Whatever you want to call it. Logan Allen is pitching
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 5: for Cleveland. That's the name I haven't heard in a while.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 5: Logan Allen has actually pitched once this season back in May.
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 3: Was it a relief appearance. I don't know.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 5: I think yeah, it was a relief appearance. Logan Allen.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 5: He was in the starting rotation for Cleveland last year.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 5: It really has not been great, dude. He's got some
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 5: really mediocre numbers throughout his career three seasons in the majors,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 5: so there's not really a lot to love about him.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 5: He made one appearance, like I said earlier this year,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 5: and he was actually fairly good. He went four innings
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 5: allowed nowhere and runs on five hits against Washington, a
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 5: pretty good offense.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: This was in Cleveland back in May.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 5: Seventh, strikeouts, one walk, so overall he's got a zero
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 5: er and one point five whip.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 3: I don't know what to take away from that. I mean,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 3: probably nothing.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think what there is to look at
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 5: is just throughout his career he's been really mediocre. His
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: walk rate, I think has been a real problem throughout
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 5: his career.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 3: So that's something to keep in mind.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 5: Yeah, like his walk rate's been way too high, and
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 5: he isn't really that great of a strike up pitcher either,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 5: so that's basically what you usually get out of him.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 5: Numbers against Pittsburgh vone not too bad. They have twenty
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 5: four at bats against him, two fifty average six twenty
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 5: five ops. So he might pitch well here because they
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 5: haven't seen him in a while and they haven't really
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 5: had success against them. But I don't really see it.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 5: I think Pittsburgh first five is the way to play
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: this one. You might even get them at an underdog price.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 5: They're an underdog in the game, although some of that
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 5: has to do with the bullpen. Obviously, Pittsburgh does not
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 5: have a bullpen advantage, which is why I'm saying first
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 5: five you might have to play them as a favorite.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 5: It looks they are actually a favorite now. They're about
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 5: minus one fifteen now, so they're gonna be a favorite
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 5: if you play them.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 3: In the first five. But that's what I would do
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 3: if I was gonna play this game.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 5: I would play Pittsburgh in the first five in game
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: two here of the doubleheader, backing Ashcraft, uh, fifty two
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets eighty three percent of the cash on Pittsburgh.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 5: I might pick Ashcraft must start and not pick a
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 5: Cleveland starter, because they might put an opener in front
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 5: of Allen. They might do something weird. I have no idea, uh,
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 5: but yeah, I mean that's what I would do if
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 5: I was gonna play at fifty two percent of tickets
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 5: eighty three percent of the cash on Pittsburgh, and the
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 5: money is back in the over at least slightly in
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 5: the game at a total of eight, but first five
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh is what makes the most sense to me.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 3: There. Yes that I'm just using that as intermission.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 6: Now.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 5: Bangers and Mash is one of the only good uh
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 5: like British dishes. Man, they don't have many, but bangers
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 5: and Mash is good all right for those who are
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 5: not acquainted with it is sausage with usually like a
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: mushroom gravy and mashed potatoes.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 3: Good stuff, all right.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 5: Next game is Dodgers and Yankees on Fox, so they're
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 5: primetime night game. Do you think more people are gonna
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 5: watch Yankees Dodgers or Giants Mariners that are also on
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 5: Fox at the same time. Which one of those games
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 5: is gonna get more audience more of an audience? I
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 5: have no idea, and I think it's gonna be regional too,
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 5: So if you're on the West Coast, you're gonna get
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 5: the West Coast game.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 3: Enjoy.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 5: Yankees lost the game yesterday two to one, and pretty
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 5: brutal in a return home spot.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 3: There.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 5: It was a two run homer by month Sie Cole
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 5: was pitching well and he got hit for that home
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 5: run late in the game in the seventh Pretty crazy man.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 5: Two to one was the final yesterday Yankees in a
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 5: return home spot. Maybe they'll bounce back in this one.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 5: I mean again, teams that lose in that first game
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 5: back a lot of times will do better in the
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 5: next game. The Yankees only use three relief pitchers. Dodgers
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 5: used three as well. These are both pretty good bullpens.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: Yankees are tied for the best bullpen in array with Atlanta.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 3: They've been good. They're number three.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 5: The Dodgers not much worse at six, although they're Eerray
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 5: indicates they're a little bit worse than that, So Yankees
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 5: have a little bit of a bullpen edge there. Dodgers
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 5: are number one in offense, Yankees number six. Two good offenses.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 5: Dodgers have been a good offense on the road. Yankees
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 5: have been a good offense at home. Which is it
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 5: makes it even a bit more surprise than the game
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 5: was solo scoring yesterday, although the pitching matchup in yesterday's
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 5: game I think was better than this.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 3: Actually Sasak pitch for the dog for the Dodgers.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 5: Is you're telling me the Yankees did not hit Sasaki
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 5: in the game yesterday?
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 3: Is that really what happened? That's not a good sign.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 6: Man.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 5: If the Yankees couldn't hit Sasaki, I mean, he's sassake.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 5: He does not pitch, he does not pitch well on
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 5: the road, and he has been a head case.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 3: Dodgers are going with em Att she in this game.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 3: I think looking at.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 5: These two starters, they're both okay starters. They think she
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 5: and they're both probably better than you think they are.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 5: Shean I think has more upside here. Although his season
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 5: has been not great four point eight one ERA, but
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 5: his whip isn't too bad one point two four. He's
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 5: been a bit worse on the road though, five point
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 5: h five road era. You know, I mean, it's been
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: a mixed bag from him. Recent forum has been kind
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 5: of mediocre. You look at his overall numbers, though, I mean,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 5: there's nothing.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 3: Really bad here.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 5: Like his hit rates pretty low, his walk rate is
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 5: pretty low, strike got rate is high. He's given up
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 5: too many home runs and that's really kind of been
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 5: what's gotten him.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 3: Could be an issue.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 5: I mean, they're the Bronx. Yankee stadium is a fairly
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 5: home run friendly. He is a flyball pitcher, so that
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 5: might wind up getting to him here. But I do
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 5: think he's better than people think that he is. Yankees
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 5: only have one hitter who's faced him, of course, it
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: is Ryan McMahon because he was on Colorado.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 3: Before going to the Yankees.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 5: He's two for five with a double off she and
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 5: with two strikeouts, no walks. There's not really a lot
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 5: to take away from that. She and Will have an
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 5: unfamiliarity edge here, at least against the Yankees lineup, though
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 5: they haven't really seen him, so he might have a
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: little bit of an edge there. Ryan Weathers is pitching
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 5: for the Yankees. He's been decent four point one five ERA,
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 5: one point two to four WHIP. He's been a little
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 5: bit better at home four point one home. His opponent
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 5: batting average at home is actually worse. He was decent
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: in his last start against Washington, pretty good. Actually, Washington's
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: a good offense, so that was pretty good. Weathers struggled
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 5: in the two prior.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 3: Starts, though.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 5: He's been a little bit all over the place. Overall,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 5: decent numbers here, though fairly low. Hit rate, walk rate
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 5: is low, strikeout rate is high, and he does not
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 5: allow as many fly balls. However, he has a lot
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: of decent amount of home runs here though, so both
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 5: pitchers have been a little bit susceptible to the home run.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 3: His numbers against the Dodgers.
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 5: They have way more experience against him, because he's been
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: around for a bit in the National League for a while.
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: With Miami.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 5: He's got sixty seven at bats against him. His numbers
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: are not really that good, two fifty four average allowed
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 5: is all right. Eight forty three ops is not good,
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 5: though thirteen strikeouts ten walks also not good. So the
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 5: Dodgers' offense has been able to hit weathers here.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 3: I mean the Dodgers are a public side, though I
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 3: believe it.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 5: Or not, you usually are not gonna get the Yankees
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 5: as an anti public type of play.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 3: The Yankees are about a Pickham price here.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: I'm not sure i'd want to back them, though I
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 5: know it is a bounced back spot here. I think
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 5: she and like I said, he has the better upside
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 5: here and the better matchup numbers here, just he's unfamiliar,
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 5: so the matchup stats are better. Seventy one percent of
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 5: tickets seventy two percent of the cash on the Dodgers,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 5: I worry about them being too public here. I think
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 5: I would lean Dodgers first five, though I mean the
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 5: Yankees probably do have a bullpen edge. Dodgers' first five
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 5: makes some sense to me there, and just focusing on
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 5: a starting pitching edge, money is back in the over
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 5: nine in the game. I mean I could see, and
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 5: I mean I was sort of kind of making an argument,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 5: or I was kind of making an over argument for
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 5: a while there you could make the argument, I mean
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 5: both pitchers might be a little bit susceptible and like
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 5: I said, a little bit susceptible to.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 3: The long ball. There. Do what you want with that info.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 5: But I think Dodgers first five maybe makes the most sense.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 5: And you know, the over I guess could be a consideration.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 5: George Costanza giving batting tips to the Yankees. He gave
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 5: them those what was it wool uniforms or whatever, and
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 5: they were just sweating in the summer out in the
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 5: out in the outfield there. I think yesterday's games were
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 5: all night games, though, so it would have to be
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 5: a day game for that to really be a problem.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 3: San Francisco and Seattle.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 5: I don't know what's going on with Seattle, man, I
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 5: don't know how Seattle lost seven or nothing with Bryce
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 5: Miller on the mound yesterday. Miller has been great. I
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 5: don't know what happened in that game. And I still
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 5: don't think San Francisco is a good team. I still
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 5: don't think their offense is good. I don't know what
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 5: that was yesterday. Seattle was in a return home spot
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 5: and travel across country though, so I did tell you
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 5: the situation favored San Francisco yesterday because they were staying
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 5: on the Pacific coast and Seattle lost that game seven
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 5: or nothing. But another thing that I will say on
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 5: the show is that when a team loses in that
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 5: return home spot, and I've said it today too, they.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 3: Tend to bounce back in the next game.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 5: When a team gets shut out at home, very embarrassing loss,
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 5: they tend to bounce back in the next game. So
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 5: Seattle has some situational advantages here. You could argue they
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 5: have the better starting pitcher going to Seattle used four
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers. I think they have the better bullpen as well.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 5: San Francisco only used two, but their bullpen's been shaky
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 5: this season. San Francisco's twenty second out of the bullpen.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 5: Seattle is sixteenth, but their numbers are really not bad.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 5: I mean, their era is definitely better than that, so
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 5: I think their decent bullpen Seattle. Seattle not good offensively
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 5: twenty seventh. I don't know what's going on with their offense,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 5: still struggling like that in the Giants are eleventh, but
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 5: I do not think there's that much of a gap
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 5: between these two offenses. Again, I still think San Francisco's
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 5: numbers are skewed from a couple of explosive games. I
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 5: still don't think it's good. I mean, they look bad
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 5: at home in the recent home stand offensively, so I
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 5: still am gonna stick by that. Logan Web is pitching
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 5: for Sar Francisco. Generally a pretty good pitcher, a three
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 5: point eight six ERA one point one six Whip. He
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 5: was bad at the start of this season, but he's
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 5: obviously turned it around. He's not quite as good on
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 5: the road, a three point nine to nine Roady Ray,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 5: although this is a pitcher friendly ballpark here. Web's last
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 5: two starts were not good. But what I will say
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 5: about those one of them was in cors Field and
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 5: the other on was against Toronto, and both of those
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 5: teams had really good matchup numbers against him, which I
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 5: pointed out on the show. For whatever reason, Colorado and
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 5: Toronto's offenses both basically shell Logan Web. So I think
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 5: might be able to bounce back here. Even though he's
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 5: not really as good on the road. This is a
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 5: very pitcher friendly environment, and he does have good numbers
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 5: against Seattle. They only have twenty two at bats against them.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 5: Six of their hitters have faced him to twenty seven
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 5: average six thirty eight ops, so he's had the upper
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 5: hand against them. Six to three strikeout walk ratio is
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 5: not really that good though, but I think Web might
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 5: bounce back and pitch better here. Seattle is going with
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 5: Brian Wu, who I think is better than his RA
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 5: makes him look four point two to three ERA. I
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 5: don't know what's going on with that. He's been good,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 5: uh since he's been in the league. One point seven
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 5: whip is still good. He's been really good at home
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 5: two point one home RA, so he pitches a lot
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 5: better in the pitcher friendly environment here at home. He's
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 5: mostly been good, dude. I know he's had some shaky starts,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 5: pretty much all of them have come on the road,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 5: though he's been a lot better at home. He's got
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 5: a low hit rate on the season is still pretty low.
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 5: His walk rate is low, he doesn't really walk guys.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is pretty decent as well, So overall
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 5: Wu is still a good pitcher, dude, because ERA should
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 5: be lower than it is. Numbers against the Giants, though,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 5: are actually not really that good. In twenty seven at bats,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 5: they have a two to ninety six average against them,
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 5: they haven't really hit him for power though. Seven forty
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 5: one ohps is a little bit below that threshold there.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 5: And then I forgot to look at the command numbers.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 5: Strike out walk ratio is three to zero for WU
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 5: against US San Francisco. By the way, ESPN's actually updated
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 5: the Battle versus Pitcher stats to default to the current opponent.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 5: They actually had updated it before yesterday, I mean, which
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 5: usually they don't. When you're going into a new series,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 5: usually they have an updated, but I think it was
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 5: because of the All Star break they.
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 3: Got it done. What do we do with this game?
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 5: I mean, it looks like it's an under, dude, I
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 5: mean I think that's the way I would look. But
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 5: you're looking at a pretty low total here, and maybe
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 5: you don't want to trust San Francisco's bullpen. A couple
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 5: of books still have a seven out there juice to
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 5: the under not too heavily, so you might be able
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 5: to find a seven juice to the under at a
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 5: decent price.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 3: There.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 5: Money is backing the over though, seventy one percent of
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 5: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on the over.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 3: But I think this game looks more like an under
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 3: than anything else.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 5: Maybe you could go first five under, although you're at
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 5: least getting on that key number seven on the full game,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 5: because that's the seven is key in baseball because you
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 5: got to break a tie three to three tie, so
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 5: all the odd numbers are key.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 3: First five, you're gonna be looking into three and a half.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 5: But that might happen in this game, and this is
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 5: a good starting pitching matchup, just generally. Seattle's also getting
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 5: the money seventy two percent of tickets ninety one percent
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 5: of the cash on them at about minus one thirty
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 5: something here. Now, like I said, Seattle's in a bounce
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 5: back spot. Potentially here. WU has the better home road
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 5: splits here as well, but he does not have the
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 5: better matchup numbers.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 3: So that concerns me a little.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 5: Wu is in better form right now than Web, though,
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 5: so we will see. But I think the under makes
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 5: more sense than anything else. Washington at the A's, the a's,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 5: oh boy, the A's continued. They're losing ways or I
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 5: thought at least the break would be a little bit
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 5: of a negative momentum stopper, But then again, they were
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 5: returning home from a road trip. They were horrible yesterday.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 5: Washington beat them twenty three to four. Does that mean
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 5: this should be a bounce back spot for the A's.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 5: I think it should be. I mean, you lose twenty
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 5: three to four at home in a return home spot,
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 5: it's got to be a bounced back spot. I mean,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 5: I've been saying this all show. I mean those both
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 5: set up to be a bounce back spot. Embarrassing loss
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 5: at home plus a return home spot. It was a
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 5: really bad game. The A's have got to turn this
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 5: thing around.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 3: Man. They've lost whatever this is now, I.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 5: Think fourteen of their last fifteen games and they're on
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 5: like a ten.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 3: Game losing streak.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 5: I mean, this is ridiculous. They got to turn this
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 5: thing around. They might be able to do it here.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 5: I think they do have a starting pitching edge in
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 5: the game.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 3: At the very least.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 5: Their bullpen has been awful though. As I pointed out
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 5: earlier in the show, this is not a good bullpen.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 5: They used four guys yesterday. Washington's bullpen not that much better.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 5: They'll they only use one guy out of the bullpen.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 5: Washington is twenty sixth in bullpen. Their Bullpenny ra is
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 5: one of the four that's above five. But the A's
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 5: are also one, and they have the highest bullpeny RA
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 5: in baseball. They're at twenty seventh and Whip they are
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 5: a really bad bullpen. Both bullpens are obviously fatable. Washington's
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 5: been a really good offense this year. They're number three.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 5: The A's are pretty good offense, but they've fallen to
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 5: fifteenth in the offensive rankings here based on ops.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 3: But they're still a capable offense for sure.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 5: And this is a offensive pitching. This is an offensive environment.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 5: I should say Washington's going with Zach Lttel.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 3: Now.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 5: I would be aware that they put an opener in
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 5: front of Zach Lytell a lot, So if you're gonna
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 5: play this game, you might not want to specify Washington
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 5: starting pitcher. I would specify Gain starting for the A's, though,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 5: because he's gonna be a decent part of this handicap.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 3: Littell is probably gonna pitch here.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 5: It's just that they might put an opener in front
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 5: of him, and he's actually been better with an opener
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 5: in front of him. But I still don't think he's
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 5: a good pitcher. His overall numbers are not horrible. He's
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 5: pitched better recently. He's got a four point nine y
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 5: array one point three to one whip. He's actually been
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 5: better on the road four point one five roady array,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 5: But I would worry a little bit about him in
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 5: this environment. He's coming out of a decent outing against
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 5: the Yankees. He pitched well against Pittsburgh the start before that,
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 5: so he's pitching well against some good offenses recently recently,
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 5: so he's not in bad form right now. He's got
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 5: a somewhat high hit rate here, his walk rate is
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 5: actually low.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 3: He doesn't walk guys.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 5: He doesn't strike anybody out, though he pitches to contact,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 5: he doesn't fool anybody. And his main issue is home runs,
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 5: and you know that's not a good thing when you're
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: pitching in the A's. Very home run could do some
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 5: stadium littell. I think might have the highest home run
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 5: rate in baseball, and he's an extreme fly ball pitcher,
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 5: so that is not good.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 3: I don't think he's really gonna do that well here.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 5: The A's have a very limited sample size against him
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 5: twelve at bats, but what they have done against him
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 5: is good for them. Four seventeen average, one thy forty
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 5: five ohps, two to one strike out walk ratio only
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 5: three other guys have seen him, but Littel is not
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 5: a mystery.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 3: You know.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 5: He just throws pitches over the plate and he gets hit.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 5: That's pretty much what he does, so I don't think
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 5: you really need to be familiar with him to know
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 5: what you're gonna see.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 3: JT. Ginn is pitching for the A's.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 5: He's been not bad three point six seventy r a
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 5: one point two to five whip. He's actually only slightly
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 5: worse at home three point seventy five homy array of
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 5: his home opponent batting average is a lot worse than
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 5: it is on the road. He was really bad in
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 5: his last outing at the White Sox, but gain, I mean,
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 5: he's overall not too bad and he actually pitches had
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 5: the style that he pitches actually is not that bad
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 5: for this stadium. His overall numbers, he's got a low
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 5: hit rate. His walk rate is too high, though he's
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 5: got to get the under control man. That walk rate
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 5: that's gonna hurt you, regardless of what stadium you're in.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is not really that high, but he
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 5: is more of a ground ball pitcher. His fly ball
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 5: rate is not that extreme, so he doesn't allow that
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 5: many home runs.
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 3: So he actually is reasonably suited.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 5: To pitch in a stadium like this, and Washington basically
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 5: hasn't seen him.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 3: Only me has ever faced him.
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 5: The honey alcohol Curtis need over one with a strikeout
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 5: against Gen I think I would, dude, I would lean
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 5: to the A's here in the first five. Obviously there's
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 5: no way you could back their bullpen, but they could
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 5: be in a bounce back spot, and I think I
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 5: would back again over Lattel here. I think you're getting
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 5: the better match up here.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 3: Back again.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 5: The money seems to agree with this. Fifty eight percent
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 5: of tickets on Washington. I mean the public, no one
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 5: is gonna want the A's and they're favored. Who's gonna
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 5: play the A's is a favorite when they've lost so
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 5: many games recently, they've fallen off a cliff and Washington
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 5: actually is a decent record. No what, he is going
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 5: to back the A's as a favorite here fifty eight
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets on Washington. Ninety three percent of the
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 5: cash on the A's total is getting money towards the
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 5: under actually, believe it or not, it's a public over
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 5: with less than the money on it. Totals eleven. I
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 5: mean I could see the arguments. I could see more arguments.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 3: For an over than an under. I mean, these are
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 3: bad bullpens.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 5: You have at least one pretty shaky starting pitcher here,
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 5: so I think an over makes more sense than an under.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 5: But again, if I was gonna play this game, a's
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 5: first five would be the way I would play it.
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 5: And you're probably looking at I know the price is
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 5: gonna be a bit higher on the a's in the
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 5: first five because you're taking the bullpen out, but you're
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 5: probably looking at about minus one thirty something. I would
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 5: guess that is what I would do. And then Detroit
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 5: and Anaheim. Anaheim returned home yesterday and they lost two
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 5: to one.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 3: What else is new? It was a close game.
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 5: I was correct about the first five under in that game.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 5: That was one of my leans. And I leaned to
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 5: Detroit in that game too, and I was right about
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 5: that too, although it was a close one. Detroit they
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 5: used only one guy out of the bullpen yesterday. It
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 5: was Montero, who is a long relief man, so their
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 5: bullpen is pretty well rested.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 5: Anaheim not so much. They use four guys and their
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 5: bullpen is not good. Anaheim is twenty fourth and bullpen
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 5: Detroit is fifteenth. Detroit definitely has a bullpen edge here,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 5: and they're more rested offensively Detroit. Actually, I think it's
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 5: above the A's or excuse me, above the Angels right
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 5: now to nineteenth yep, and Anaheim is twenty third.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 3: So just some things to keep in mind.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 5: Here could be a bounced back spot for Anaheim though,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 5: after they lost in the return home spot yesterday. But
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 5: I don't know, man, do you want to try to
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 5: fade tark Schooable here? I don't think i'd want to
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 5: do that. I know the thing with schoolbl has been
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 5: Oh Schoolble is not really as good anymore because he
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 5: was injured.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 3: Whatever, Yeah, I don't think so.
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 6: Then.
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 5: I don't know which one between Buster and mad Dog
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 5: was arguing that the Detroit should not trade Schooble, but
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 5: whichever one was arguing that is correct. I mean Detroit
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 5: is not out of this thing at all. They're in
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 5: a wide open division, dude, I mean they could easily
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 5: still win their division.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 3: There's still a good team. Schoolbol is back.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 5: No, they should not trade him, and the Red Sox
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 5: should not trade Sonny Gray. The Red Sox are in
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 5: the last wildcard spot right now after winning eleven games
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 5: in a row. The Red Sox and Detroit are both
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 5: better than the records. Look, no, these teams should not
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 5: be sellers right now. Schooble is still good. He's got
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 5: a three point zero nine ERA point nine to five whip.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 5: He's been better on the road, a two point four
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 5: road ra. I don't think it matters too much though.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 5: He's just he's good either way.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 3: I don't care.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 5: He's come back from injury. You know, he's still pitched
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 5: pretty well here, man. I mean, I don't think that
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 5: we should say that he's like, you know, like significantly
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 5: warsa all of a sudden. No, that does not appear
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 5: to be the case. He's got a low hit ran
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 5: on the season, really low walk rate. His strikeout rate
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 5: is still high. He's still been able to do it
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 5: recently too, So I don't really see much of a
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 5: drop up here against Anaheim.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 3: He's been good. I know that's not a surprise.
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 5: Fifty five at bats one sixty four average, six oh
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 5: seven ops sixteen to three strike out walk ratio. Grayson
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 5: Rodriguez is pitching for Anaheim. It's been a struggle for him, man,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 5: he's trying to come back from injury. He looked like
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 5: he was decent when he was on Baltimore and missed
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 5: all of last year with an injury, and he has
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 5: not been able to bounce back from that. He's got
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 5: a seven point five to five y Ray one point
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 5: seven to four whip that is not good. However, I
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 5: don't think he's this bad, like. I think he's better
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 5: than these numbers would suggest. He's not been good at
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 5: home at all, though he's actually pitched pretty well on
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 5: the road this season, but at home not good. Nine
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 5: point five eight homye Ray, that's not good. His last
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 5: two starts have been a bit of a red flag.
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 5: He only has one strikeout over those last two starts total.
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 5: That is not good, although he at least went five
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 5: and a third last time out against Minnesota, but his
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is down not good. He's got a high
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 5: hit rate, he's got a high on his strikeout rate
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 5: is a bit low. Yeah, these numbers, he's not back
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 5: right now, man, He's he's I don't think he could
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 5: really back him right now.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 3: He does have good numbers against Detroit in.
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 5: His career, though, in thirty four at bats one forty
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 5: seven average, allowed four to eighty one ohps. Obviously that's good.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 5: Fifteen strikeouts six walks isn't really that good, but yeah, overall,
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 5: good numbers against Detroit. And he actually did face Detroit
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 5: this year and it was his one It was his
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 5: best start he pitched in Detroit, where Detroit is better.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 5: He went five innings to give a one run on
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 5: two hits, two walks, five strikeouts. That was his best
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 5: start of the season. So do what you want with
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 5: that info. But he might actually match up well here
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 5: against Detroit, even though that does mean they recently saw him.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 3: But you know, I mean schoolble.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 5: Obviously you're gonna have to pay way too much of
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 5: a price if you want to back Detroit.
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 3: Was schooball on the mound minus one ninety. You can't
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 3: do that. And the public is all over it.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 5: Ninety five percent of the tickets, ninety one percent of
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 5: the cash on Detroit. So the money is fading Detroit.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 5: The money is backing the over pretty strongly here at
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 5: over eight. I mean, I don't know, man, I mean
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 5: the way the money's looking, I mean, I don't know.
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 5: I guess you could take a shot with Anaheim in
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 5: the first five. There's no way I would do it, though,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 5: I mean, you're still at a disadvantage. Even if you
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 5: think maybe g Rod has a decent match up here
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 5: and maybe he can somehow hang in this game, I.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 3: Still wouldn't do it.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 5: I mean, you could take Anaheim on the run line
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 5: in the first five. There's no way I would back
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 5: their bullpen. But you know you're putting money on them
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 5: to be basically tied or better at the end of
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 5: the first five. Yeah, I mean, it's it's a difficult
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 5: to ask for that. So, yeah, there's no way I
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 5: would do that. But I gave you my two baseball plays.
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 5: That's baseball for.
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 3: The day, WNBA. There are three games.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 5: I will give out a play on the later of
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 5: the three games, they're all night games.
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 3: The game that's probably gonna gonna.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 5: Get all the attention is the CBS and Paramount Plus
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 5: game that's first up at eight New York at Indiana.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 5: So you got the two of the best teams in
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 5: the East facing off here. Indiana, of course with Kaitlyn Clark.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 5: Kaitlan Clark was excellent in the last game, and it
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 5: was not a good game for Indiana. And it was yesterday.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 5: So Indiana is on a back to back, so you
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 5: know they're at a They're in a bad rest situation here.
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 5: They're playing a third game in four days, which is
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 5: pretty rare in the WNBA. All of those games are
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 5: at home, so they're not having to travel. That's still
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 5: not good. However, I told you last I was right
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 5: about the Seattle cover yesterday. I was right about three
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 5: of the four sides in the WNBA yesterday and did
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 5: not give any plays out. Unfortunately, Indiana almost lost the
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 5: game to Seattle yesterday, and Caitlyn Clark had a historic performance.
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 5: She was the first WNBA player to ever have forty
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 5: plus points and ten plus assists in a single game.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 5: That's what she did yesterday, forty five points and and assists.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 5: Did not have that many rebounds, so that it's not
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 5: really what she does. Caylen Clark really really good game
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 5: for her yesterday. What's Indiana gonna do after that? I
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 5: have no idea.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 5: Clark maybe could be in a little bit of a
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 5: personal letdown after that, but I don't see Indiana.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 3: Overlooking the liberty.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 5: You know, the problem is that Indiana's not rested because
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 5: they had to play yesterday, but they could maybe focus
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 5: more here on New York because again, like I talked
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 5: about yesterday, between these two games of the back to back,
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 5: I felt that they would overlook Seattle and focus more
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 5: on New York. So they didn't play well against Seattle yesterday,
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 5: and a lot of times what a big favorite almost
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 5: loses like Indiana yesterday, they come out with a better
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 5: effort in the next game, So they might do that.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 3: But again I got my.
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 5: Issues with it because they're very unrested here and the
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 5: Liberty they have an extra rest component to this because
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 5: they had a game postponed.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 3: I mean, what is the deal with that? Dude? Like
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 3: I think the league is rigged against Caitlyn Clark.
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 5: Dude, Why the fuck was the Liberty game on Thursday postponed?
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 3: What is that at Dallas? What the fuck was going on?
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 6: Like?
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 3: Why was that game postponed?
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 5: I honestly have no idea, Like, it can't be weather related,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 5: right because you're playing in an arena indoors. I have
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 5: no idea what that was. But the Liberty haven't played
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 5: since last Sunday, so the Liberty have a massive rest
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 5: advantage here and they're coming off three straight losses too,
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 5: by the way, and one of those, the last game
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 5: they played was a loss against Toronto, and I gave
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 5: out a winner on that on the show.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 3: By the way, Toronto covered and won outright.
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 5: So the Liberty are in a bounce back spot and
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 5: they've had extra rest, and they've lost five of their
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 5: last six games, seven.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 3: Of their last nine.
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 5: And you know, one of the best things when you're
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 5: playing badly, one of the best things is to just
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 5: go into a break and you can fix things and
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 5: it can disrupt your losing momentum. So there's a lot
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 5: of positive for New York here, man. And I know
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 5: this one is not the one that made the cut
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 5: for me, but I like New York in this one.
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 5: That's the way I would play this. They just have
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 5: too much of a rest advantage. But you're gonna pay
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 5: for it, Like, if you're gonna play New York, you're
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 5: gonna have to lay points with them as a favorite here.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 5: And part of it is because of the rest. They
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 5: have a huge rest advantage. But the situation, I think
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 5: it's very positive for them, even though it's still sort
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 5: of a bounce back spot for Indiana here. This is
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 5: a huge bounce back spot for the Liberty here, and
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 5: again the reason why they lost to Toronto.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 3: It was a bad spot.
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 5: The Liberty were going to back to back in that
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 5: game actually, and having to travel, and they just played
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 5: a huge game against Minnesota close the game before that,
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 5: and they had a revenge game against Dallas that was
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 5: supposed to happen after that, so you can explain why
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 5: they didn't win against Toronto. So yeah, if I was
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 5: gonna play this game, I would play the Liberty. They're
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 5: getting the money, They're a two and a half point favorite.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 5: It's pretty likely if they win, they're probably gonna cover that.
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 5: Even though I think the line is a little bit
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 5: too high fifty per tickets, seventy percent of the cash
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 5: on the Liberty. The Liberty are probably the better team
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 5: out of these two teams, and the osbangers are telling
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 5: you that. I don't think it's normally enough to justify
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 5: them being a two and a half point favorite here.
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 5: So obviously the huge rest edge is definitely being factored
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 5: into that line. But yeah, I would still only play
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 5: the Liberty in that one. It's a high total by
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 5: the way, and a public over, but some money coming
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 5: in on the over as well. In fact, the total
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 5: is shot up five points. And that's the way Indiana plays.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 5: Man if Indiana's going to control the pace at home
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 5: with Caitlin Clark in the lineup, Indiana plays fast with
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 5: Caitlin Clark in the lineup. So they play a lot
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 5: of high scoring games with Clark playing.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 3: Tired of ball.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 5: Yes, in that Seinfeld episode, the WNBA is a league, dude,
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 5: somebody explained to me why, Yeah, I think they're against
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 5: Caitland Clark. Somebody explained to me why that game was
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 5: postponed for the Liberty in their last game. I seriously
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 5: have no idea. And they'd already a rest edge anyway,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 5: even if they played. That game was on Thursday, so
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 5: they still have one day extra of rest, so it's
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 5: it's ridiculous, dude. By the way, the Liberty they're starting
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 5: a road trip here too.
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 3: Oh no, they're not. They're in the middle of a
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 3: road trip. My mistake, My mistake.
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean that's still not really a bad situation.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 5: Portland at Minnesota. Minnesota is a huge favorite. Obviously, they're
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 5: way better than Portland. I know Portland has looked okay
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 5: like their record isn't that bad. But I don't think
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 5: they're as good as their record looks.
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 3: Portland.
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 5: I think they got a decent offense, They're not very
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 5: good defensively. Minnesota is like an elite defensive team. They're very,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 5: very good, and they've they've done what they've done this
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 5: season without.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 3: Their best player.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 5: Collier is still not back, and right now it looks
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 5: like she's scheduled to come back in their next game.
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 5: I don't know when that's gonna happen, but obviously I
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 5: wouldn't rush her back in this game because you're probably
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 5: gonna win anyway. Minnesota is staying at home here, not
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 5: a bad spot for them. They're on a four game
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 5: win streak. They have had some easy games, well some
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 5: lesser opponents recently, let's say, but this is another lesser opponent.
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 5: They don't only have anything to look forward to other
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 5: than the fact that it's a road trip. But it's
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 5: against Seattle.
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 3: They suck. I don't really see this being a bad spot.
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 5: From Minnesota here, but you're gonna lay too much of
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 5: a price probably with Minnesota. Whenever you're gonna play Minnesota.
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 5: Portland's coming off of a big win over Washington, which
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 5: might actually put them in a little bit of a
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 5: more of a letdown.
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 3: That was an upset.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 5: I mean, Washington was a big favorite in that game.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 5: Portland went into Washington and beat them up, which I
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 5: liked Portland in that one. If I remember correct, they
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 5: Portland was coming up of lost to Connecticut. I'm guessing
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 5: Washington was in some sort of bad spot. But I'm
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 5: gonna talk about that next. When I talk about the
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 5: Washington game.
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 3: Portland, They're not gonna overlook Minnesota though. That's the thing. Minnesota.
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 5: They played at Minnesota already earlier this year and they
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 5: lost badly by thirty three points. Obviously, Minnesota can win
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 5: this game and still cover without winning by thirty three.
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 3: This is a read for me. Man, the money's back
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 3: in Portland.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 5: Fifty percent of tickets, sixty seven percent of the cash
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 5: on them, Minnesota about minus.
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 3: Thirteen and a half here.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 5: I don't know. I mean, like I said, I think
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 5: Portland's not as good as the record looks. Portland is
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 5: coming off an upset. Minnesota I think is in kind
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 5: of the better situational spot, just staying at home with
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 5: no big games surrounding this.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 5: I might lean a little bit more towards laying the
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 5: points of Minnesota there. But that game is the game
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 5: that I have the least opinion on. I just don't
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 5: have much on it. The next game will be my
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 5: play Washington at Golden State here, and I know Golden
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 5: State's good at home, and I know the Western Conference
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 5: has been really good and they dominate the Eastern Conference
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 5: this year. I'm still gonna give at Washington plus nine
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 5: and a half as a play here. I like a
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 5: lot of aspects to this Washington. They're a good defensive team,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 5: and this total is incredibly low. One forty eight is
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 5: where this total is right now. I think that's as
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 5: low as you're gonna see in the WNBA. And it's
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 5: because both these teams have really good deep fenses. And
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 5: these two teams played not too long ago and it
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 5: was a really low scoring game. Yeah, like it was
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 5: sixty two to forty nine or something like that with
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 5: a Golden State win. Both teams just couldn't shoot at
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 5: all in the game. So yeah, I expect this game
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 5: to be higher scoring than that last game, probably, but
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 5: because that was just ridiculous. But the thing I like
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 5: about this is, you know me, I like taking points
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 5: with an underdog when it's expected to be a low
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 5: scoring grind because every point is worth more and you're
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 5: getting nine and a half, almost double digits with the
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 5: lowest total you're gonna see probably, Like I said, I
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 5: think probably in the league this year, this will be
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 5: the lowest total you'll see.
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 3: So I like that.
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 5: That means you're getting extra value with every point. And
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 5: what's supposed to be a low scoring grind between two
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 5: teams that know how to play deep fense, I like that,
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 5: and we're gonna take We're gonna play the spot here.
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 5: This is a spot to fade Golden State, dude. And again,
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 5: I know they're good at home. I know the Western
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 5: Conference is way better than the East. Golden State's really
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 5: good at home. Ten and three Golden State. I think
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 5: they're really good in the first half at home because
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 5: teams like haven't really been able to figure them out
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 5: playing them in the first half. But I think what
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 5: can mitigate that a little bit is these two teams
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 5: just played back on July sixth, and like I said,
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 5: Golden State went into Washington and beat them sixty two
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 5: to forty nine. There wasn't really much to see as
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 5: far as this game being an outlier, both teams shot
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 5: horribly in the game. Washington went to the line more,
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 5: but so you know, that was a bit of a
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 5: skew where that's probably not gonna happen again. Golden State
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 5: will probably get to the line more in this one.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 5: But what's interesting is Washington dominated the rebound battle, so
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 5: that's a good indicator for Washington here. They won the
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 5: rebound battle by eleven in the game.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 3: That's pretty good.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 5: So it looked like they were dominating in the paint
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 5: and Washington had a big time negative turnover disparity. They
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 5: were minus eleven and turnovers. That's unlikely to happen again. Like,
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 5: I don't think Golden State's only gonna have six turnovers
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 5: this time. You know, that's really really low, and seventeen
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 5: is pretty high for Washington too, so I expect the
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 5: turnover battle to be less skewed than that, even though
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 5: Golden State probably still wins the turnover battle at home,
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 5: but I think it's gonna be less skewed than that.
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 3: So at least there's that.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 5: But looking at the schedule, Golden State's in a return
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 5: home spot, and you know, I like fading teams in
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 5: that spot, and it is a long one, dude. They
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 5: were on the road since Saturday, July fourth, so they've
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 5: been on the road for two weeks, and they were
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 5: in the Eastern time zone for most of it. Now
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 5: they're going from like the Central times on. I guess
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 5: Indiana's at Central or East. I forget all the way
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 5: back home. Although it's not a late late game. It's
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 5: eight thirty PM, so at least there's that, So that'll
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 5: mitigate that a little bit. But that's good for us too,
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 5: because Washington is having to also travel to the west,
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 5: so I think I'll negate that a little bit. As
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 5: far as the fact that just both teams have to
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 5: adjust to the Pacific time zone again here, so I
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 5: think that's gonna be a wash. But you know, I
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 5: don't like teams are turning on from long road trips.
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 5: They've been away for a while. They got stuff to
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 5: do at home. Golden State is incredibly hot right now,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 5: and I know we're stepping in front of a train.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 3: They swept that road trip.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 5: They won eight straight games here, had some wins against
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 5: some good teams in there too. I think they might
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 5: have Atlanta's number, though, I mean, three of those wins
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 5: were against Atlanta, and yes, I know they had that
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 5: win against Washington in there, but they might overlook Washington
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 5: here in the return homespunding, Golden State's coming off a
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 5: nice win to finish the road trip.
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 3: On Wednesday. They went into Indiana and they beat Indiana.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 5: It's always big when you beat Indiana with Caitlyn Clark there,
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 5: which I'm pretty sure she was playing in that game.
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 5: Big win for Golden State there. I'd like this better
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 5: if they had a bigger game up next, but they don't.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 5: They're playing Washington twice in a row because that's how
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 5: the WNBA does this. They try to limit the travel
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 5: by having teams played the teams that are on these
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 5: like long distance trips. They'll play the same team twice
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 5: in a row to get it out of the way. Washington, though,
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 5: they're in a better spot here in my opinion. I
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 5: know they're traveling cross country and they have one fewer
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 5: day off than Washington than Golden State does. Washington's returning
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 5: over from a long road trip, dude, or excuse or
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 5: a Golden State excuses returning over from a long road trip.
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 5: That's why we're fading Golden State. Washington's starting a road trip,
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 5: and no, I like teams starting road trips better. I
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 5: think it's more of a focused spot for them.
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 3: So I like that.
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 5: And they're coming off a bad loss, which I just mentioned.
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 5: They lost horribly by nineteen points. They just lost at
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 5: home to Portland as a decent sized favorite. Washington was
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 5: a six and a half point favorite in that game.
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 5: And you know, I like playing on teams to bounce
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 5: back after they have bad losses at especially at home
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 5: as a favorite, So I think Washington's in a nice
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 5: bounce back spot here. They shot terribly terribly in that game.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 5: They shot thirty percent from the field. They had all
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 5: amost the same amount of field goal attempts as Portland,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 5: but Portland shot at least in like a normal range.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 5: They shot what was it, I'm sorry, I just clicked
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 5: on a link by accident forty three percent. Washington was
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 5: only ten percent from three point range as well. Washington
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 5: did dominate the free throw battle, though, and they dominated rebounds,
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 5: which does tell you they should have won this game.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 5: If they dominated the rebounds, that's usually a sign you
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 5: should win the game. They did have a turnover issue,
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 5: so again, that does look like a concern that they're
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 5: just turning the ball over a lot. Hopefully they can
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 5: clean that up. But they also again they only hit
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 5: two threes in the game. They had an outlier of
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 5: a bad shooting game there. Portland was plus twenty four.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 3: Is what that is?
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 5: I think from three point is that right? Yeah, they
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 5: hit eight more threes. That's ridiculous, you know, I mean
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 5: that was basically the difference in that was more than
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 5: the difference in the game right there, the three point
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 5: outliers there. So yeah, I mean, Washington, they should be
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 5: in a bounced back spot here.
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 3: I like it.
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 5: I think you're gonna get a deep defensive grind here.
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 5: The money looks like it's on Golden State, but they
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 5: are public, and we'll see what this looks like at night.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 5: Eighty three percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 5: cash on Golden State at nine or nine and a
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 5: half here. Yeah, I mean, I think they're gonna be public.
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 5: So I think we are still fading the public by
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 5: doing this.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 3: Washington. I think they're a decent team.
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 5: They're pretty competitive, really, uh, even though Golden State's good,
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 5: But you're getting a lot of points and what's supposed
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 5: to be a defensive grind of a game, and you know,
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 5: we're getting a good situational spot, so Washington will be
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 5: my play there plus the points, and then we do
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 5: have the third place game in the World Cup is happening,
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 5: which I know, who cares. It's on Fox at five
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 5: pm Eastern, it's in Miami, whatever. It's France and England.
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 5: By default. This is a letdown game, you know what
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 5: I mean. It's a dream crusher game, you know what
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 5: I mean? Because both these teams just had their dream crush,
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 5: so it's like, what do you do with this game?
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 5: Both You don't know what the mental state of either
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 5: team is gonna be. I think it's gonna be worse
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 5: for England though, I mean, how do you get back
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 5: up off the mat if you're England and you were
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 5: winning one nothing against the Returney Champs Argentina at the
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 5: eighty three minute mark and then you lose the game
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 5: in regulation. I don't really think England's gonna be able
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 5: to get back up after that. Whereas for France, I
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 5: mean it was more of the case that they were
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 5: expected to win and Spain is good and Spain played
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 5: really well against France. Spain was excellent at possessing the
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 5: ball there. They were excellent defensively, excellent at keeping the
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 5: ball away from France in the game. It was a
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 5: legitimate win for Spain. They outplayed France in that game.
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 5: But France, I mean, I know, you know, they were
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 5: expected to win by basically everybody, the public. They were
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 5: in the championship game four years ago. They expected to
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 5: be there again. So it is still a dream crusher
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 5: spot for France. So it's still possible that they are,
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 5: you know, kind of hanging their heads here after that loss.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 5: But that game wasn't really close, dude, you know what
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 5: I mean, Like it was just bad for France, Like
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 5: they could get nothing going, and the whole game looked
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 5: like Spain was gonna win the game pretty much. So
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 5: I like France in this one. If I was gonna
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 5: play this game, I considered it. But I'm a little
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 5: bit worried still about the dream crusher. But France is
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 5: the better team.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 3: England.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 5: I think their situation is worse coming off of what
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 5: they just came off of.
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 3: They almost England almost.
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 5: Pulled off the win over the returning champs, even though
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 5: England was actually slightly favored in that game. France was
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 5: a bigger favorite against Spain and suffered the loss there.
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 5: France is at minus one fifteen on the three way line.
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 5: That's probably the way I would play it, you know,
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 5: just to take France to win in the first ninety minutes.
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 3: You know, I think they can get it done.
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 5: You could play them to win the game too, which
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 5: is gonna be a to win third place, but you'll
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 5: pay more for that. You probably have to pay like
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 5: minus one sixty, minus one seventy something like that. I
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 5: think this is a nice price, though, minus one fifteen
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 5: for a team like France that they've won most of
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 5: their games in regulation. They certainly are capable of doing
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 5: that if they try. Maybe these teams will still try
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 5: somewhat because they don't like each other. I mean, these
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 5: countries have had a lot of wars throughout history. They
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 5: don't like each other, so we'll see. The over under
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 5: is also interesting. At three and a half. The oddsmakers
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 5: are telling you they're expecting goals in this game, which
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 5: makes sense because if you think about it, it's a
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 5: third place game.
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 3: It's kind of meaningless, you know what I mean.
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 5: It's it's like you know, it's a participation trophy type
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 5: of deal, you know what I mean. So I don't
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 5: really think these teams are gonna play intense deepens here,
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 5: so the over makes sense. But I thought you might
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 5: still get a two and a half on this maybe
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 5: juice to the over.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 3: It looks like you're not getting that. You're getting the
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 3: three and a half.
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 5: That's pretty difficult to ask for four goals in the
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 5: first ninety minutes, even though I think it will be
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 5: higher scoring. I think if you're gonna play on this
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 5: game to be higher scoring, I think what you should
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 5: look for is both teams to score.
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 3: But I mean that's.
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 5: Probably gonna be a public play, but I think that
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 5: would be the way to look at it. I think
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 5: both teams probably do at least score one in the
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 5: first ninety minutes here, although I know that's gonna make
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 5: France's job more difficult to win on that three away
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 5: line there. But yeah, I think both teams to score
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 5: might be a way to look You're probably paying a
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 5: price for that too, though. You're probably gonna be paying
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 5: at least minus one eighty for the both teams to score,
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 5: so that gets a little bit dicey. Too, you know,
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 5: so there aren't really that many great ways to attack
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 5: this game.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 3: I still think the best way to attack this is to.
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 5: Just play France on the three away line though, play
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 5: against England and what I think is the worst of
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 5: the two letdown spots.
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 3: That's what I would do.
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 5: That's gonna do it, and then we'll talk tomorrow about
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 5: the actual World Cup final, which I'm pissed about, and
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 5: you know me, I am rooting against Argentina. You know,
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 5: I got nothing else to say about it. But that's
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 5: gonna do it. For the show that plays today. Are
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 5: over eight and a half in Mets Philadelphia and baseball
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 5: under eight in baseball in Marlin's Brewers, and we're gonna
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 5: take the Washington.
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 3: Mystics plus nine and a half in w NBA. That's
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 3: gonna do it. Bou France, Yeah, I don't know.
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 5: I mean Imbope with the stuff that he was talking
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 5: about recently against what was it Paraguay's congresswoman or whatever,
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 5: and Bope was just he was just being like a dude.
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 5: He was trying to crack down a free speech like
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 5: what she said is it does classify as free speech.
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 5: And I don't really believe in free speech for members
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 5: of like a federal government. But when it's something like that,
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 5: and she wasn't using it as you know, like a
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 5: tyrannical thing, and Bope is trying to use what he
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 5: said as tyranny, like basically trying to outlaw speech.
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 3: Fuck that. Yeah, fuck that.
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 5: No, we're not doing that. So whatever that's gonna do it.
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 5: Thank you, sir, Thanks everybody for hanging out. Learn its
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 5: own on Twitter, Learn its own on Instagram, Like, subscribe
• 1:58:03
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• 1:58:07
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  Speaker 5: join as a member here. I don't know exactly what
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna do for member content yet. I mean I
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 5: was thinking about, like should I do like live streams
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 5: and like recapping the day and just talk, just shoot
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 5: the shit about what happened during the day.
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 3: I've been thinking about that.
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 5: It would be a lot of content, though it might
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 5: be something I don't really want to do every single
• 1:58:29
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• 1:58:33
  Speaker 5: would be a lot on my play if I were
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 5: to do that. But you know, if I did something
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 5: like that, maybe it would be worth it for memberships
• 1:58:38
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  Speaker 5: like I could make it a members only thing but
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  Speaker 5: pricing structure is gonna be different, so I don't know,
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 5: but yeah, check it out. I think at least we're
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 5: gonna get some ad revenue on this thing now. Hopefully
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 5: listen on audio app Spotify Speaker. There's some ad revenue
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 5: going on over there too.
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 6: Uh.
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 3: Covered in yuc is my yuke channel on YouTube. What
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 3: else do I have? I can't do it. I cannot
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 3: do commentary with clips.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 5: If you play a clip at all of any sporting event,
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 5: YouTube will take it down.
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 3: I'm not doing that.
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 5: YouTube took down the last Loser cast because of a
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 5: copyright infringement from the UFC. It happened like immediately too. No,
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 5: we cannot play clips of any sporting events. We can't
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 5: do it. It's fucking bullshit. What else was I gonna
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 5: say here? Covered in yuke my yuke channel on YouTube,
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 5: I do. I do have one that I haven't put
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 5: up that I did the other day. My voice is
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 5: still fucked.
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 3: What else I've been thinking of doing?
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 5: Like live streaming on this show too, where I live
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 5: watch some sporting events, which, of course you also can't
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 5: show the live event while you're doing it. You gotta
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 5: have one of those score overlays and just talk about
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 5: it and react while you do it. But that would
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 5: take a lot of time too. I don't really want
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 5: to do that either. No, sir, b C, what's up, man?
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 5: This is not a political show. I'm not gonna do that,
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 5: even though politics seeps into this a little bit when
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 5: I get angry, but I'm not gonna do that. This
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 5: is this show is about trying to win sports betting man,
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 5: and about sports in general.
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 5: Padreon dot com, slash Learn to Toe if you want
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 5: to support me that way, and Loser cast every Tuesday night,
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 5: and the New York Giants g Spot podcast is out there.
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 3: It'll probably be back at some point.
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 5: Football season is starting soon, so I will have some
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 5: more football preview content coming up soon.
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 3: We'll see how that goes. I guess that's gonna do
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 3: it for now.
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 5: Peace and let me know you know what you think
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 5: some member content should be. I guess we'll do some
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 5: like member shout outs and stuff. I guess maybe I
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 5: could do that, at least for now, while membership is
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 5: low at zero. Right now, shout out to no one
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 5: in peace.
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 4: Your name steal mean something to somebody for show.
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: Put the glass.
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 2: Down, baby, look at me now, hold on, hold on
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 2: nothing nice, now, hold.
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 4: On, hold on.
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: Let me for you.
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 4: That bites hard, but it don't get the crown. Hold on,
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 4: hold on and stay with me now