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Your Companion For NFL Week 14 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: I am Chadwoman and I am going to be joined
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: by my companion, my companion professional better Simon Hunter. I've
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: also decided this week, Simon, I think you'll appreciate this
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: when I bring you on. We need a vomitorium Hall
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: of Fame because there's so much about betting that is disgusting.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: We put ourselves in a position where because we have decided,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: and this is a theme over the course of the year,
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: like we had gotten away from our principles, we had
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: gotten away from who we are. We were making emotional decisions.
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: We were making decisions like by outsmarting ourselves sometimes and
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: by we I mean me. But we decided we were
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: going to make the right choices and like when we
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: saw big numbers we knew were wrong, no matter how
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: oast the other side was, we were going to do it.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: And we did that. This week. We bet the Washington
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: football team. Talked about betting the Jets will get to that.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: We bet the Eagles. All right, these are the teams.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: These are teams like that getting to the Volmatorium Hall
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: of Fame that are so disgusting and cost betters who
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: are right in ways that are full on puke inducing,
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: and Simon, you'd think that the Jets we had discussed
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: on Sunday morning, and we'll get to our text shame
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: decision making. I had them on the money line. I
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: had him get to spread, had him on the money line,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: and I had him as a money line parlay with
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the Washington football team. Naturally, you think they would be
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: the first team inducted. But no, We're gonna give it,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Simon to the Philadelphia Eagles. They are the first members
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: of the Volatorium Hall of Fame because they are so
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: fucking gross. Carson Wentz's gross. He gets benched. They roared
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: back to cover the game. They are covering the game.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: It was an eight and a half point spread. It was.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: They have a drop pass on a third and ten
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: in Packer's territory. They don't convert. Then then they give
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: up a seventy seven yard touchdown run. Hey Chad, I'm sick.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: I'm sick. It's more sick is that we had him
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: in the contest and they were on the right side. Yeah,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Dawn six. He had the ball and threw that past
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: for first down. He drops it and then I think
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: either through an interception or I don't know if they
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: punted or what like you just said the next the
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: next series, they were driving at through interception, trying to
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: run the clock out. And we've seen running backs time
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: and time again just fall down and bounce. But Aaron
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Jones is playing for a new contract. He needs those touchdowns,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: he needs these numbers, so he wasn't going down. He
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: busted off seven year run and just cut us down
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: right and there, so that that back door. That was
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: a fun ride. But like like we always say, Chad,
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: we try not to dwell in the past. Here the
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Eagles are terrible and you're not gonna let me take
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: him this week. But I once again, I'm gonna love
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: the Eagles this week. Well we're gonna have to, and
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: like if we're sticking by our principles. You know, I
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: got a lot of feedback this week, and I appreciate
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I appreciate getting more d MS from our listeners because
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: I think people knew I was sad that you were
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: getting all the d M s and here I am,
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: you know, just a guy, and I wasn't getting any
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: d M s um and the Eagles were sick. It
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: was gross. It was disgusting. It did make me moan
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: on a puke, like to get back in and cover
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: that game, and then to give it away on a
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: drop pass, and then that that Aaron Jones seventies seven
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: yard touchdown run like where he just like zigged and
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: zagged and had a couple of shots to tackle him
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: and you just missed them. And it was just last Simon.
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: We all know the right side is the winning side.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: So we did not get at credit for the game
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: we did him, but a three and two weeks. We're
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: always happy with three and two weeks. And as our
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: fans know, um this very show. Just last week, we
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: both talked about how much we love the Washington Football
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: team money line. So I don't know what other people
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: got it. As soon as I got off the show,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: I got it at like three nine and then three fifty,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: and then by kickoff it was down to two forty.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: So it's still a great value. But we're just so
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: sharp chat. I don't know why you part layd with
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: the Jets when I'm trying to tank, but most of
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: us part layd with the Browns or I had a
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: part lady with the Eagles. I had a part lady
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: with the forty Niners THO didn't come through, but the
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: Browns and the Washington money line parlay. That's gonna cover
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: me for the next three weeks. So it's it's Stuffy
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: went with the Jets. But I'm telling you and and
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: this is not I don't say this, uh with any
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: lack of seriousness. I'm pained by sort of my decision
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: making on Sunday mornings right now. And I know what
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: all the right decisions are on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: and I'm getting this Sunday and and this week was better.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I made better decisions based on what I truly believe
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: is a better But I'm still like, not like the
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: Washington money line, I just didn't bet it. I don't
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: know why. I don't know why we talked about it.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: I loved it, and I just sort of im I
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: think I got so sort of caught up in the
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: Jets and I'm like, oh my god, the Jets are
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: totally gonna win this game. It's like I had a
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: vision of the Jets winning this game even when they
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: were down you know, what was it fourteen? I'm like,
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: in this game, I had no doubts I had no
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: doubts until Derrek Card had the ball with thirty five
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: seconds left, and then I'm like, oh, this is when
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: they're gonna lose the game because because lucky for you, Chad,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: you're not stick in the head. You need to be
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: stick in the head. To bet Washington on Tuesday, like
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: when we were just when we were talking about it
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: felt filthy, but it was just a pure situation. We
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: we even broke it down where they're coming off extended
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: rest Washington playing a team that just played a divisional
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: game on a short week and that they're undefeated, so
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: what do we know. Teams just don't go and defeat it.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: So they were due for a loss. So yeah, I
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: felt gross betting it. But obviously once the game start,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I think they're down fourteen nothing. I was just like
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: all right, ripping up that ticket. But it worked out. Man,
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: that was I think it was some crazy stat They
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: were seventy eight and one at home if they're leading
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: by fourteen, and man, Washington, COVID, COVID shocking all these records. Alex,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: as we've said in the podcast and and Matt Mitchell,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: we might need like a drop for this. Alex Smith
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: professional football Quarterbackack Melbo one of the biggest stuff. Yeah,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: what a weekend for chat you your boy Colt McCoy
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: get to win. I mean, look at that money line.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: If you would have done that Alex Smith money line,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: that would have paid. I bet that. Unfortunately had the
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: Seahawks and a couple of teasers, um, so I didn't
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: touch the Giants moneyline. But wow, man, that defense that
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: was That was seriously one of the best games of
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I know people aren't watching it because it was so
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: ugly by the under for a decent amount of money
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: and that the Yhaks game, and I was locked in.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I was like, wow, this this is gonna happen. They
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: could not move the ball against that team, so pretty
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: pretty shocking that the Giants went up to Seattle and
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: just one outright, So you're right, we did go three
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: and two. We went three into two. And normally I
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: do like to come in the pod and marail against
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: you for not listening to me, But in truth, I
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: do have to give you credit. From Sunday morning, I
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: do have to give you credit for flipping us from
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Tennessee to Cleveland. That was a great call and you
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: had us put in the paths, which was an amazing call.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: We all thought that game would be about in game coaching.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: It turns out it was just about like pregame preparation, right,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: that was that was a master class and a dunce
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: class in pregame preparation. Um So because of that, because
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: you made those two fine decisions, I'm okay that you
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: ignored me on the cults uh and tried tried to
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: get me to you came down. You said it's down
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: to Houston and New England. I'm not betting Houston, so
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: we had to go with But like, I'm just and
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: I'm okay with that because while it was the right side,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: I end up being the right side. It was yucky
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: and it was a lucky right side. Yeah, that was
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a that I mean, that was heartbreaking that they kept
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: showing um Watson on the bench with like a towel
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: and it set after the game and it's just like, god, man,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: I wish so bad. I know you do two of
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: the Obviously should Chicago drafting him, but anyone but Houston
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: because that loss is on him. He fumbled at the
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: two yard line the end of the game, like he
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: shouldn't want it, but you just can't you see how
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: much that got cares and like how much he puts
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: into it and he just has nothing around him. It's
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: just they've they've failed Watson in so many ways. But yeah,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: it was it was a It was a tough day
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: because we started we should have started three and now,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: like you texted me, we should have won the Jets,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: we should have won the Colds, and we would have
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: just been sitting on the gravy train heading into this Monday,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: And sadly I didn't listen to you. But luckily we
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: still went three and two, still in the top forty
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: in the competition. With three weeks ago, we saw good
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: bye week could take a lot of guys haven't used
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: um I mean they have used their bye weeks, which
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: doesn't sound like that's good for us, but it actually
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: is because like we talked last night, we took our
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: bye We've we moved up thirty spots so we can
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: take a bye week and us are coming weeks and
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: all these guys have horrible weeks. Who knows, man, we
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: can make in the top ten again. We can get
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: back there. Uh here's what I love is you know
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: me so well on Sunday morning. On Sunday afternoon when
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: we're doing our regular sort of mid afternoon text chain. Uh,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: you texted me how happy were you we when watching
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: fumbled on the one, because then you knew I could
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: lord it over you, that I had the cults. And
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: I responded fucking thrilled. Yeah, that was one of many
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: bad beats for the weekend. I mean we talk all
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the time. That's that's just the right side of the
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: winning side. It doesn't matter all the day that you
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: put in. It doesn't matter if they should have drove
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: the field and square touchdown there and one by one
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: the right side to winning side. He fumbled the Colts.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: You're understanding, right man, that was the right side. All right,
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: we'll listen. Uh. We're in this together, brother, as I
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: as I told you on Sunday, you are my companion. Uh.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: And a reminder to everybody else. Reminder to everybody else. Uh.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter is a professional better and he's been joining
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: the pot every week and together we have entered the
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Draft Kings Pro Football Pickup National Championship. We're entering our
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: five best picks every week to try to win one
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: million dollars. Also this week, we are bringing back the
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: cash Fuel Free is That Pays contest from now to
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: the end of the season, only a few weeks left.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: We're giving a lucky listener one dollars for every game
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: we win each week, and we are giving an equal
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: amount to the charity of the winner's choice. Last week's
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: winner won four hundred dollars. We also gave four dollars
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: to make a wish to be eligible go review of
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the podcast using the phrase Simon says, be my companion,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: All right, companion, and if we like it and randomly
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: choose it meeting Matt Mitchell will randomly choose it, you
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: will win the money everything we're discussing today. You want
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: to see our record, you want to see our picks,
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Go to the Action Network gapp It's free, it's award winning.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: Download it. It's awesome. You can see that we went
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: three and two this week. You can see that on
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: the year, including the one week that we submitted picks,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: even though we had to buy, we are thirty seven
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: and twenty eight on the year for a winning percentage
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: of If we only included sim in the weeks that
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: we entered the contest would be at which is ridiculous.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: It is. And we also we give out stuff on Twitter.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: Chad does the show Someday mornings. He posts on Twitter
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: that gives out winners. I give up picks. Some weeks
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I'll give out round robins, Like this week, I just
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: did totals that went. Um I think I went six
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: and our five and no and totals I posted a Twitter,
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: So yeah, man, it was. It was a profitable weekend
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: for the guys. Lots of ways to follow us and win.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: We got the big balls better the week we got
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: the hornets nest. You are still alive in Survivor. Dude, dude,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: we had to do too this week. Um. I don't
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: know if a lot of people do it this way,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: but this pro one I do. It's it's hardcore, man,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: And like these dudes are assholes. A lot of these
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: guys are older and they don't want to split the pot.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: So like say there's five of us left and we
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: could all split it right now for like seventy eight
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: grand each. They're grumpy. They're just like, nah, I'm gonna win.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: Keep it going. So we had the Vikings in the radar.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: This is our two teams, and they both back like
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: last minute won those games, and all these guys got
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: knocked out on Seattle and Pittsburgh. So it's good man.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: We're down to like five or six guys now, and
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: it's it's once again, we gotta pick two guys this week.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: The teams we haven't used. So it's getting tough here
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: in these final weeks. Well, listen, let's go through some
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: games and we'll talk about your survivor pick. The one
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: thing I do want to do is I want to
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: talk a little bit for a minute about the Cowboys
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: and the Ravens. We didn't talk about it last week.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: People asked me about it. I apologize. There just wasn't
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: a lineup when we recorded the podcast. Uh, and so
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: I didn't have it. The line came up later that day,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: at least as far as I could tell um, there
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: wasn't a lineup. I didn't see it in Action Network.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: So they are playing tonight, So people who listen to
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: the podcast, you know, in the in the hours between
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: when it's loaded and when this game happens. Uh, Baltimore
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: was an eight point favorite. Uh eight o'clock tonight on Fox.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Do you have a take on this game? Yeah? I
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: tweeted out that was adding all the NFC East teams
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: this weekend. It should be a fun weekend. Right now,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: it's it's two and one. Feeling pretty good with the
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: Cowboys here. It's just situational play. It's a big number
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: against a team that they got guys coming off COVID list,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: they aren't in a short week. I know how bad
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: the Ravens need this game, but the Cowboys haven't played
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: for like twelve days, so maybe they'll come out sluggish
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: and the Ravens they'll come out quick and they'll get
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: an early lead. But I just like this same reason.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: It's Pittsburgh not winning their game. It's just second half.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: You saw how they wore down. It's such a short
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: turnaround late in the season. That's a huge number, and
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: some books have it up to nine and a half
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: now with the Cowboys. So if it's this big, I
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: get it. The sharper side or the public must be
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: coming in heavy on the Ravens. But I have to
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: play the Cowboys here. It's just such a good situation
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: where you have to play with this number. I want
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: everyone to know that my drink of choice today is
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: a mach a team. I'm a huge fan of Macha.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: I buy the cans of powder whish, get up, put
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: it in the water. But this time, my wife, who
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: makes fun of me for everything I eat and drink,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: she feels it's all a little too precious. And my
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: kids call me a bird. Um. She bought these Matcha
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: tea bags. She's an architect and one of her clients
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: is a health nut and like convinced her about all
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: these things that she should be eating and drinking, and
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: so she bought these Matcha tea bags. And I'm like,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: oh my god, you got these tea bags. And she's like, yeah,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: it turns out it's amazing for you. I'm like, I've
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: literally been saying this for like five years. Chad Millman
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: got something right. Well, I got an idea, said I'm
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: gonna nail you some bird milk and gets you jack
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: because you're pretty skinny. Man, I really think you could
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: use some bird milk. I don't even know what bird
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: milk is. Yeah, I know, it's a generational thing. See
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: how you just called me skinny and you called me
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: old and like the one joke? All right, Thursday Night,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: our favorite football team, the New England Patriots. Oh my god,
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: this is a no brainer. This is a no brainer.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: They are five point underdogs on the road at the Rams.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: We know they stayed in l A this week because
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: they played it so far on Saturday or a Sunday,
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: so we know they're in l A. So we know
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: they're getting in quality practice time. This is very interesting
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: to me, very interesting to me. This came open six
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: and a half, it's now five. Our data is showing
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: the bets on the Patriots of the money on the Rams.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: Yet the line has moved down, so it's not it's
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: a line that's moving in the direction of the bets,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: not the money, which is interesting. Yeah, it's it's true that,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: like normal, in a normal situation, I would um, I
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: would take the Rams here because it's a short week
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: and it's a Thursday night. But the Patriots blowout. That
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: wasn't all about, like we were just saying, it wasn't
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: just the coaching. That the special team's performance by the
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Chargers in the history of the Charge of the Ball,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: it's great. I was when the worst special team's performances
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: ever that's ever been since they've kept data. So not
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: too scared that the New England just blew the team
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: out and now they're playing the Rams, and we've seen
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. He knows how to stop the Rams. We've
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: seen it timetime again Miami Floria running the same defensive
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: scheme as the Patriots shut the Rams down. So like
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the number, I like that, it's so big. It's gonna
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: be the public side the Patriots eventually, because how do
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: you not take this after the win they've just had.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: But I'm with you, man, I'm cool with taking the
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Patriots here. It is gonna be a public side. It's
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be a massive public side. I don't know that
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: we put it in the contest. And one thing I
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: should point out, and people were asking me about this
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: on Sunday and Twitter, like the contest lines lock sometime Thursday,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: and so when people ask us what are the numbers
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: we're putting in, and we tell people on Sunday, we're
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: we can make our decision on Sunday, but it's got
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: to be based on the lines that locked on Thursday.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: So that's why that happens. I'm gonna feel bad if
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: like the line opened at six and half and by
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: the time the line locks it's a four and a half,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: then I'm not gonna want it. Yeah, And I tell
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: people too with our contest picks, just tease them. If
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: you're like that obstused with the number we got and
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: you don't feel comfortable taking the number as is, just
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: tease it. Most of the times we lose, we lose
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: by half a point or point, so I don't know it.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: We do get the best of numbers, but most of
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: the time this year it's has hasn't a matter. It's
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: actually gotten this in trouble. So I would say, don't
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: worry too much about the number we got. If you're
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: that scared, just tease it. But normally whatever number we take,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: whatever number closes that, we still cover that closing number,
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: So don't get too upset about it. People. Yeah, you're right,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: by the way, like we have so outsmarter ourselves on
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: the number so many times this year. It's but by
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: the way, it's why we didn't take the Cardinals this weekend,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: and thank god we didn't. But we didn't like it
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: because we moved from three to two and a half
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: and it just hasn't come into play. All right, Let's
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: get onto the early games for Sunday. The Texans are
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: visiting the Bears, they are one point favorite. Right now.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: This is a trash Bears team. It's a trash Bears team.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: It's a trash organization. I say that with a bias.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: Shield your eyes. This team is officially trash. Ryan Pace
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: should probably be fired, Matt Negan should probably fired. Mr
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Rubisky should be let go. They kind of gotta blow
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: the whole thing up and start over because it's just
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: it's going nowhere. The play calling was terrible. Um, when
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: the when the Bears were down thirty, were up thirty
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: to twenty against the Lions, I said to my kid, like,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: this is exactly where Matthew Stafford wants him. The Lions
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: are gonna win this game. My other fear was that
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Trubisky was gonna play so well the Bears decided, Oh
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: my god, he's as good as Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Let's just resign him. So um, I'm taking the Texans
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: here in minus one. Bears fans be a little happier.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: At least don't have Carson Wentz locked up for the
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: next four years. I like that. By the way. Another
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: reason why the Eagles are the initial entrenched into the
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Volnitorium Hall of fame that is cross. It's awful. I mean,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: especially to the tweets coming out right now, like Eagles
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: fans are so bitter, like the fact that we passed
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: on DK Metcalf and Justin Jefferson for and we have
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: by receivers are just terrible. Like alshon Jeffrey, he's been
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: back for four games now, we're paying him twelve million
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: a year this year. Here's three catches and like ten drops,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: like it's just all falling apart. But yeah, to this
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: game with the Bears. I'll take the Bears again. I
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: know it's awful. I might be the last guy doing it,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: but home dog, how do you not take the Bears
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: defense against the Texans. The Texas don't have anyone on defense,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: at least the Bears. We know they have some players
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: on defense lit'll be able to get stopped. So let's
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: take the better defense and take the Bears here. I
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: don't even know if we're gonna put our picks in
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: this week, because we do have to choose by one
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: of the next two weeks, and it's hard to stay
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. Yeah, right, exactly in a million years, I
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: cannot take the Bears in the spot that's why you
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: take the Bears people. You're that from a Bears fans.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: This we fade the emotion. Do not get wrapped up
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: in the emotion. We should have known Josh Allen was
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: gonna have the game of his life as soon as
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell is just like they haven't won on a
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: Monday Night in twenty two years. It's like, damnit, why
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: did I fall into that trap? I should have known
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: all the Bills fans are off of it. We should
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: have known. We should have known, Josh Allen Man. Matt
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Mitchell is the newest Action Network video star. He did
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: a video about how much he hates Cliff Kingsbury after
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: we did the podcast and it got like forty five
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: thousand views. And then he was part of the video
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: yesterday that Darren Ravel and he did for our Points
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Bet Fade Ravel partnership in which they each had to
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: eat dog food because the Cleveland Brown scored more than
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: four points and that videos got like it was amazing.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: I mean the fact that Darren we love him Darren,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: but he is so soft. He put like a little
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: spoon in his mouth and immediately spread it out. Matt
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Mitchell went bare hand put his hand into their can,
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: scooped out the dog food and literally put it on
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: his tongue and ate it. So there, and you guys
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: let him slide on that one. Matt Mitchell's when it
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: really took the punishment that this week. Hey, Simon, thanks,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: I did end up eating a pretty good amount of
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: dog food yesterday and it's just totally totally disgusting. And
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: if anybody wants to hear my two minute rants on
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: how much I despise Cliff Kingsbury the dog food of
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: late season coaches, I will attach it to the end
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: of this episode. So enjoy. Alright, Vikings are at the box.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Vikings are six and a half point dogs. Here. This
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: is a really interesting game. We love what's that, don't?
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: We love Minnesota here? We love Minnesota. That's what I mean. Yeah,
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: it's it's maybe it's gonna bite us, but Minnesota the
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: dog complaining in a competitive one PM game. Um, we
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: know the Buccaneers haven't been right since the Dealion has
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: had a couple injuries against the wrong and just the
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: way this schemes it out, Minnesota can beat to the
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: deep ball. Tampa Bay is on the worst deep ball
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: teams in the league, they get beat on big plays.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: So right there, we got a team that likes to
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: run it and a team likes take deep shots playing
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: against a team that's their two weaknesses. So we'll take
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: these big points with the Minnesota and and uh as
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: long as it doesn't go below four and a half four,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I'm happy to take Minnesota competition. So for the record,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: the line right now, it's six and a half. Like
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: I said, the bets are coming in in Minnesota. The
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the box. So simon, you
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: are going against your professional brethren right here. Yeah, stepping
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: into a trap with the public here. But it does
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: feel like it's too hot. And if this someone was
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: down a little bit, yeah, I'd be on the Buccaneers.
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: But at this big of a number, I can't lay
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: that many points of the Buccaneers. I agree with you,
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: by the way, I've loved this Vikings team. Or year
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: you did, you have to, we both got on him.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: I think to win the Super Bowl that's dead. Yeah,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: that's dead. You know what though, it's why not? Because
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: they might make the playoffs. And if you look at
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: the NFC, I think anyone who gets in has a shot,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: you know, what I mean, like the Saints aren't so dominant,
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: the Packers aren't so like. It's not like you can't
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: figure out the Packers. Yeah, it's it's definitely different than
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: last year with forty n and the Chiefs. Especially this
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: time of the year, we all kind of knew the
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: writing was on the wall. These were the two best
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: teams in football, where all these teams of holes. Even
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs have holes. I mean they play some of
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: these teams that play against You see how a little
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: three and out here you keep my homes off the field.
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: They can't get a rhythm. The Chiefs can be beaten.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: And the same NFC who feels great about the Green Bead.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: I know it would be great if they got the
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: one seed. But just in like that Eagles game, they're
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: just one of these teams. They don't they don't they're
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: not like great teams just shut teams down. They don't
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: give them any type of will to come back in
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: the games. We see it time to time again with
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Green Bead. They like the Jaguars can back on. They're
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: just not a great team. They're very good team, but
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: they're not great. So I'm with you that the Vikings
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: make it anything can happen, especially in fact they played
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Green Bay twice this year. You love when you're getting
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: a dog in the playoffs that's played the same team twice.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: So I still believe in Minnesota, I'm with you all right.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: You see how you know what I did there? I
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: turned you back around, Titans. Titans are seven and a
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: half point favorites on the road at the Jacks. All
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: the money, all the bets coming in on the Titans. Uh.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Look the Jacks for better for worse. They've been covering
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: like they have made it very uncomfortable for people the
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: past couple of weeks. So having a hard time like
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: truly understanding. I mean, I don't want to bet this game.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: I want to skip it. But I don't why the
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: money is all coming in on the Titans right now.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: I think they're just thinking that the Titans just got
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: embarrassed and blowing out at home, going on the road
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: playing a divisional game against the team they're far superior. Then,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Like you just said, the Jacks keep covering. And I
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: tried to go against it last week with Minnesota and
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: it did not work. That Jags were in that game
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: the entire time. And yeah, things that bounced their way.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: They literally had an interception bounce out the guy's hands
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: into the end zone to their own guy for a touchdown.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: Like the Jags just running hot. So I can see
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: what the public is coming on the Titans. But if
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: it's seven and a half, I have to take the Jaguars,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna feel great about it, but I'll
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: take them. But we'll definitely not have this in the competition.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Oh god, now, oh goodness. Now, Cowboys on the road.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: Three point favorites against the Bengals. Bets and money coming
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: in on the Bengals right now. I mean, obviously we
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: can't make a decision on this game until the Cowboys
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: played tonight. But let's say the Cowboys come out of this,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: and you know you said you're betting the Cowboys. Let's
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: stay they show well against the Ravens. Three point favorites
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: on the road. Just so people can get some kind
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: of inkling of what you're thinking here. I hate to
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: do it because I hate the Cowboys, but this slant you.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: Before four and a half, the the Bengals, they got
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: they got their covered. We talked like that's the Giants.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: That was everything went right they backdoor. Did they got
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: that number? How do you not take the Cowboy? Was
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: an Andy Dalton revenge game too, He's coming back to Cincinnati.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: It's I just don't see how since you can score. Um,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: I know Dallas has a bad defense, but man, that's
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: that's interesting. You said the public is coming in on
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: since I thought they were for sure coming on Dallas
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: in the short number. But I'll take usually i'll take
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: a home dog here, but i'll take the minus three
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: that's sitting at right now. I have to go back
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: to my principles here. And if I've got a dog
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: of more than three points against a team that's been inconsistent,
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: there's just no way I'm doing in a coach where
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's are good. There's no way I'm
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: taking the Cowboys. Come on, look at me, look at me.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: At some point, you would expect Millman will show some
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: signs of nerves. Hasn't done any of that so far. Tonight.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: You know him right? You know, it feels like it
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: feels like you're wrong. It's the public play, though, the
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: public play. Since it doesn't that scare you, I guess
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: that's true. It's rare that the public play is also
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: the home dog. That's just because that's how bad Dallas
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: is though, that's why that's that's a fair bet, all right,
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: So you might be on the right side here, hopefully
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: all right. Cardinals, Oh god, ah, Cardinals two and a
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: half point favorites on the road against the Giants, and
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: like Matt Mitchell hates Cliff Kingsbury, the Giants d looks amazing.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is going to be back. Is that accurate?
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Do we know? I think we're gonna realize we even
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: cares at this point because if we're if we're betting
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: on the Giants, we're simply betting the defense. And I
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: should have known better. I should listen to people what
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: they were saying. That Kyler wasn't right. He's still hurt,
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: and once again in that game he was awful, was
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: not running the ball, couldn't make completions. I hate, I
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: hate to take the Giants here because I know it's
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be such a public side, but we have to
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: take them there. There. The defense match up so well
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: against the Cardinals, and I don't feel great about it.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: The fact that they just had this huge win up
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: in Seattle. Now they're coming home playing against a team
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: that just got blown out at home. But I can't
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: take the Cardinals until I find out what the deal
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: is with Kylie. I can't put money on them. Again. Well,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: I agree with you, like to me the side you
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: take care of the Giants, not the Cardinals in any way.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: And I know maybe that's a little that might be overreactive. Uh,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: and sort of we're going against the Bilow sell High
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: principles here, but we're still getting a home team with
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: a really good defense, a really good defense, and they've
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: been a good defense a year. Uh. Getting the points
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: like that, that's sort of you know, if we're talking
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: about our principles, that to me at weighs a Bilow
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: so high. Yep, same page, thinking like a wise guy.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Broncos on the road at the Panthers three and a
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs against Teddy Covers. I gotta take the Broncos,
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: but I hate it. But dude, we are so gonna
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: put it in the fucking by this week. We don't
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: like any single game game I don't know, because it's
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: one of those I already can see what's gonna happen.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: But Panthers, I don't know, it's I like them better
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: as a dog, and I would like to get better
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: if they were at two and a half or three.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: The fact that it's three and a half, I know
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: that a bunch are trying to suckt me in here
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: and get me to take the Broncos, and it's gonna work.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: It's just I can see it's been a field goal game.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Both these teams have glory and weaknesses and big strengths.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: But the Panthers, I just I don't know this team.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: They're very inconsistent. Like we saw in the Bikings game,
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: they had two defensive touchdowns and they still let the
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: Vikings come back and win that game. So another coming
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: off of bye week, and the Broncos just had the
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: game of the year against the Chiefs. But I had
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: to take the Broncos. They're just that's a bit. That's
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: a big number for the Carolina team. That's just not
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: that good. Here's what you basically just said. You like
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: the Panthers more if uh, I think you said the
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: game was on the road and they were two and
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, that's basically what you said. See,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: you'd essentially like it if the line were five and
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: a half points different. No, I would like it better
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: if they're favor like only two and a half favorite
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: or three, I'd feel more people taking them. But the
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: fact that the hooks they're just if I know that
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: they're stuck immune with the hook. But I just feel
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: like the Broncos are gonna be safe side. That's an
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: interesting choice, Like most people, and you're right, like this
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: is a very public side right now. Most people would
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: be like, give me the team off the bar with
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: a quarterback who always covers. I guess a team that
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: we we just want to sell high. Yeah, we all
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: know that bron because they're just absolutely arry one dry
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: Lock isn't good. But well, you know what's interesting though,
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: Like I thought the stats that they had on Sunday
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: night for Drew Lock about the amount that he throws
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: down field. He's not accurate and he makes bad decisions,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: but he also is being put in a position where
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: he's throwing the ball so much further than anybody else.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Like I do think that obviously has an impact. And
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: maybe if he gets a better offensive coordinator, maybe if
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: they get better strategy, then next year he improves a
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: little bit because he's not being forced to throw the
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: ball so far down feel He's not. He's just dumb.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: He has checkdowns, he doesn't hit the checkdowns. Like I
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: watched plenty of film on the Broncos. There's so many
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: times he is Philip Lindsay who anytime he touches the ball,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: he could break off at yard catch and he's gonna
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: take a deep shot to know a faint and double coverage.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: It's it's more about Drew is just not He's still
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: a wondering quarterback. He locks in on guys. So I'm
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: with you. I mean, the weapons they have, they're like
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Jerry Judy. Some are saying he's the best route running
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: the league. And he's a rookie, um no a fan,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: one of the best tight ends in the league. So
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: I like, I like all the weapons around him. And
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: this was a big year for June. He has not
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: lived up the expectation. So a couple of weeks here
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: he could flip the narrative on them. So I like that.
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: It's three and a half. I'll take that number. Signon. Uh.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: This is the last game in the early slave the
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Chiefs the Dolphins. We have not walked into the Hornets nest.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: We have not made our big balls better the week.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: This is the hornets Nest game this week, we're walking
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: to walking into hornets and is taking the Dolphins here,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: but we have to take them. We're walking into the
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: hornets Nest. I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest, all
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: right now, be my companion. The last week, I was
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: enraged when I saw two. I was gonna start because
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: I had a decent amount of money on Miami. I
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: had them in our competition for us too, and I
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: switched him out because I'm an idiot for the Eagles.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: Two is not good. He makes so many mistakes that
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: he's a rook you. I can't fault them like people
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: want him to come out and be like Herbert. We
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: saw Herbert happened last week. He had a rookie week
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: where you just have complete meltdown. That's always gonna be
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: the scary part of playing Miami. But this is such
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: a great play here where the Chiefs just played a
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: really tough divisional game, now traveling across country down to
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: Florida to play the Dolphins, and the Dolphins are catching
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: seven a half and it's a little telling where the
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: sports book are saying the Dolphins aren't as good as
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: people think they are, and this is a big number
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: for a team that's gonna be making the playoffs and
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins, but I'll take it. I might be the
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: public side taking the Dolphins this week, but I'll take
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: it at seven and a half. Well, you're not right now,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: Like right now the money and the bets are coming
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: in on the Chiefs. But I agree with you, like
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: this is too big of a number for a team that,
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: other than two h m hmm, is basically fundamentally sound,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: and they played the kind of defense I think that
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: can match up pretty well with the Chiefs, and so
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: I do want to see I'm like, I'm excited to
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: see this game. It is a Hornets Nest game because
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: you do have to sort of really decide. Okay, I'm
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: okay with tah And to me, it's about Brian Flores,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Like I just think I think he's going to make
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: the right coaching decisions and put together a kind of
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: game plan, especially defensively, that can give Patrick Mahomes a
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: little bit of trouble. We saw it against the Broncos,
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: We've seen it twice against the Raiders. Like the Chiefs
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: can be taken out of the rhythm a little bit,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: and the Dolphins I think have the kind of defense
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: that can do that. Also, look, I'm gonna like a
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: team that is, you know, a seven and a half
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: point home underdog. It's the definition of gross to go
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: with the seven half point home underdog that is going
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: against the Super Bowl champs. But like, they're a playoff team.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: It's not like they're the Dolphins of two years ago.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: This is two years ago. This game had been seventeen
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: and a half, I would have taken the Dolphins. So
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: now they're playoff team. At seven and a half, I
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: gotta take the Dolphins. Yeah, And like you just said,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: their defense does exactly what Chiefs do well. So they
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: have a great secondary hopefully the Dolphins, they like the
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: run of the ball, and they got healthy guys back
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: now on that offense. So, like we were just saying,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: if they can control this clock and have a couple
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: of three Now with the Chiefs, I love this number
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. I love it. That is the
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: Hornets nest. All right, all right, let's get onto the
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: uh late games, four o'clock games, four or five games.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: Coats at the Raiders, you know where I'm gonna be
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: on this. I got like the Cults are two and
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites. As much as I love a
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: short home dog, I don't love a short home dog
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: when it's the Raiders. And I'm not gonna make the
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: Devils are big balls better the week I promised, so
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: for this week, Las Vegas Raiders, big balls better the week.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: Shut up. No one to take their Raiders. Everyone knows
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: they should have loss of the Jets. People are gonna
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: be coming on the Colts. They're just gonna look at
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: the score box and see how well they played in
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: the fact that they want in Houston. We talked to
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: that in text. While I didn't want to take the Colts,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: I didn't like the folk. Rivers to his turf toe chat.
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: I've know you've broken every finger on your body, but
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you're at turf toe. But it's
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: one of those things. Every time you step on your
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: big toe and pivot or anything step into a throw,
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: it's shooting paint up your leg every time. So Rivers
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: he played terrible last week and it didn't matter. I mean,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: his weapons are that good. He just gets to his
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: guys and they do all the work. For him. But
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: this week with the Raiders. I love that we're buying
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: low on the Raiders coming into this game, and the
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: fact that, like you just said, they're catching points at home.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: I'll take the right. I'll take the Raiders every time here,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Big Bow Better the week. I can't believe you're doing
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: this to me, the last biggest Raiders. I feel like
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: I have faded the Raiders every single week this year,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: and actually we've done so profitably. How is that possible?
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: They're like a play in their playoff team? Yeah, but
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: like they don't cover. I don't know. I just feel
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: like every week I'm against the Raiders and I always
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: feel good about it. All right, So our Hornets Nest,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: we've gone back to back. Hornets Nest is gonna be
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: Dolphins plus seven and a half against the Chiefs, and
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: then Big Balls Better the week is gonna be Raiders
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half against the Cult, which makes
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: this next game, Jets visiting Seattle. This is so sad.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: Jamal Adams is going to make minced meat a Christmas
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: pie of Sam Donald and it's gonna be so upsetting
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: for the Jets their thirteen and a half point dogs
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: because this was their shot. They took their shot, it
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: didn't work. They gave it all up on an unprecedented
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: all out eight men blitz that has never happened with
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: this much time left in the game in this scenario.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Uh Stucky and Colin Wilson talked about it on the
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Action Network podcast earlier this week that they went through
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: the data and there had never been a play call
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: like this where where a defense had sent more than
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: six pass rushers on a play like that where the
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: Jets lost of the Raiders. So kudos to the Jets
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: for finding an unbelievably ostentatious way to take that game.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: It was honestly the right move. Who cares if you
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: guys go in sixteen. I know, I know a lot
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: of Jets fans in my life. They don't care. They
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: just want the end goal, which is a quarterback at
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: the number one pick. So if it's Trevor Lawrence, they're
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: all gonna be happy. They just at this point they
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: don't care. Like so, yeah, that was embarrassing, but we've
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: all been saying it's going right according to planning for
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: the Jets. They're still on pace to be on sixteen.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: So in this game, I usually take the Jets, and
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: the fact that the Seahawks haven't played well at home
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: without the fans, you've really seen a kind of effect
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: on them. But I can't do it. I can't take
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: the Jets after what you just said. They played such
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: a close game playing a Seahawk team. I just got
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: embarrassed at home. The Jets defense is nowhere near the
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: same level as the Giants defense, So it's scary. It's
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: a back door number. But I just I can't see
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: them not covering this game by fourteen. So it's thirteen
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: a half right now. I had it at fourteen. Uh,
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: it's if it's not fourteen, I'm gonna take the Seahawks,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay in the fourteen. I'll take the Seahawks.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: The Jets have been a backdoor team. Remember earlier in
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: the year we talked about this, like the Jets found
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: ways in garbage time to score points, whether it was
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: ruining a total or ruining the side. So you know
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: that's buyer beware. Yeah, And what we really talked about was, um,
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: these teams always regressed to a mean or they progressed
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: to it. I mean, so the Jets and the Cowboys
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: when they start to their own six against the spread
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: and the Jags. Even the Jacks had a bad run
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: of not covering spreads. Now the Jags have covered I
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: think four weeks in a row. The Jets have covered
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: a bunch of weeks. Um, Cowboys, they still cover here
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: and there. It's just one of those things. Eventually, the
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: line biggest catch up to these numbers. So yeah, it's
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: a little scary taking a big, big number like this
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: or the Seahawks, but I gotta do it. Packers Lions,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: Packers seven point favorites. We've talked about it, like they're
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: not a dominant team. So the Packers going on the
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: road and Darryl Bevil's second game as interim head coach,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: do they cover as more than a touchdown favorite? Oh god, yeah,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: Like I like it better at seven and a half. Um,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: I hate it, but we have to, like you just said,
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: we have to take the lines in the situation divisional
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: game at home catching more than a touchdown or a touchdown.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: We we know how bad the lines are before people
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: turn us into us. We get that the lines are terrible,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: but situational play. Packers off the back to back covers,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: now playing Detroit that they just had a huge comeback.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: When I'm right there with you, like like the lines
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: this week. There, they're gonna get blown out. We're gonna
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: feel like when this game out right, So I like
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: the lines this week. Yeah, you gotta take the lines.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: It's gross. But we do gross things as better as
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: we we stick by our principles, and sometimes sticking by
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: your principles, I mean doing gross things. Gross gross games
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: give you winners, buddy. What's the good phrasing here? Gross
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: equals most gross equals great gross games. Oh I got it,
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: I got it. Gross games equals gross profits. No, no
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: profits are gross. I will take all the ugly money
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: in the world, no gross profits like you know in
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: a business like gross profits. Thanks for coming around. Thanks
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: coming around on my side. It'll educating going on there?
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: All right? Falcons minus two and a half? Uh, the Chargers?
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: What then do you do with the Chargers? Like these
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: are the two teams that like, this is the Volnitorium
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: game of the week. Yeah, it's awful, but I have
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: to take the Falcons. It's just if it it's under
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: a field goal. What do we know about the Chargers?
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: They lose close games? So the Charge we get three
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: and a half at home, I'd love to take it,
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: but I have this number of minus three. The fact
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: that's two and a half. I'm gonna take Atlanta. Dude,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I'm telegraphing here for all of our listeners. But this
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: is a skip week, Like every single time we're talking
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: about a team, I gotta take this. I know. I
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: wish I could come with a fake like this is
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: my play of the week. I love it. I love it,
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: I love it. But we had a big ball. We
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: had a big balls better the week than the Raiders. Yeah,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: I love that one. But you're not gonna love all
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: the games we picked. Man, That's what being a pro
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: it's I talked about the time. I might have bet
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: all the games, but I'm gonna have three or four
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: games I load up on, or three or four totals
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: I loaded up on. So I don't feel good about it.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: But this is this is a good number of Atlanta.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I have zero confidence, but I'm taking Atlanta.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: My favorite football team, the Washington football team, with professional
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: quarterback Alex Smith traveling across the country as three point
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: dogs on DraftKings against the forty Niners, probably gonna be
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: played in Arizona. I would imagine such a good defensive line.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: They they looked great. But I feel like this is
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: when you gotta sell the Washington football team as much
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: as I hate it, yeah, exactly and not loving this
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: whole situation with forty Niners having playing Arizona. I definitely
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: think that affected the last game nine. I mean, joshwn
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: played out of his mind and that was all Josh
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Allen that whole game. But should they should be more
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: comfortable now it's week two, They've been there, the football
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: team coming off the win of wins. They're all on
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: twitters like putting laugh out out at the Steelers and
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: being cocky. You know they're five and seven. This is
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: a great under game too. But yeah, I'm right there
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: with you. Forty nine minus three and a half. I
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: just I could see the defense of the forty Niners
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: bouncing back after such a bad week last week. Robert
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: Sela is playing for his head coaching career to go
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: to the Detroit Lions. He's got to have a good
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: showing this week. See, I still can't believe he didn't
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: get a job last year where he was the only
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: guy that even slightly shut down the Chiefs. Remember the
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Chiefs were losing fourteen to ten heading into the fourth quarter,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: and then my home's just had a magical playing on
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: the third down. The complete shook that game. I can't
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: believe you didn't get a job off for last year. Like,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: I know the way the league's going where it's pretty
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: stupid nowadays to hire a defensive coach as your head coach,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: just because it's all offense. Now, if you have a
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: great offense, it's it's usually gonna overstep a great defensive coach.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: So I love the guy, and you're exactly right. He
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: he he needs a couple of wins here to get
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: his name back in the run and give me a
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: head coaching again. It's gonna be interesting. The there's a
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: bunch of state legislators in in Michigan who sent a
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: letter of the Lions to have him beat their head coach.
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: If i'm him, I'm like, oh, why do you guys
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: do that? Like what owner is gonna go hire someone
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: that politicians are begging them to hire, especially in the
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: state like Michigan that has not figured out Flint Michigan's
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: water situation. It feels like they have more pression issues.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: They should be worried about them. The head coach of
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: the Troit lines, Jesus, it's true. Uh Saints, Is this
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: the week Drew Brees back seven point favorites against the
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia vomitoriums? No no, no, no, no, no no no.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: I like it. I love it. Uh yeah, it's it's
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a classic. No one's gonna bet the Eagles because that
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: me and for the guys that still have money left
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: from Detton on the Eagles. Um, I would love it
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: phil Hell again because that'd be a fun matchup him
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: Bress hurts if it is hurts being the starting starting
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: quarterback for the Eagles. But yeah, we'll pass on it
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: because it's too much unknown. We don't know who if
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Drew Brees is playing, we don't know if Carson wants
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: it's playing. So I'm not even gonna touch this number
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: right now. It's one of these few games I won't
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: today after the podcast. By the way, as you were saying,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: I'm going to be one of the four people that
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: bets the Eagles. Swear to God, that's happened on the
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: Action Network website where I track all the betting percentages
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: and the money percentages. Um, the Saints bet percentage lit
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: up and increased because as you were talking, someone came
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: in and beout the Saints. It might have been Matt Mitchell.
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: He's the only one here in this live and he
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: might have heard you were bet in the Eagles, so
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: he came in on the Saints. That's good to hear though.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: I like that. I mean, it makes me feeling better
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: about the Eagles. Of the publics and keep coming in
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: because no one, like you just said, no one wants
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: to bet the Eagles this week. This is the This
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: is why I had to keep betting on. They're just
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: an ugly team that finds way to cover, and last
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: week didn't work out for me. Hopefully this week it does.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: The Buffalo Bills are making their second straight appearance in
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: prime time, this time Sunday Night, hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: There are two point favorites the Steelers. Um, this is
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: a Bilow Cell high, except the Steelers kind of looked
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: like the less than outstanding undefeated team that we all
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: thought they were, and the Bills look good, like not
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: just oh my god, they're back good, but it looked
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: like all cylinders were hitting to me against a really
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: really well coached team. The Bills make me want something.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: Sound through your hands uping sound, throw your hand back
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: to south from now the Bills. I'm making it happen. Now,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: stand up, not Tramona. Yeah, I might be stepping in
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: front of it here with Pittsburgh, but like you just said,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: I had to take him here. That Josh Challen is
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: what he's always been. He's inconsistent. He has moments are brilliants,
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: games are brilliance, but we haven't seen him put together
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: four or five great games in a row where he's
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: just really good not turning the ball over. So Pittsburgh
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be really mad playing against a Buffalo team that
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: just had a huge win. I'm prime time. I well
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: the fact that the public is coming in on Buffalo.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Everyone's down Pittsburgh. Everyone thinks they're frall. It's because they
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: lost a game. They're eleven on one. They only can
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: beat the teams put in front of them. Yeah, they
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: have some weaknesses. They can't run the ball, they passed
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: too much. The defense keeps losing guys in important positions.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, it just feels like once the
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: public leaves the team. That's why I usually to get
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: it on. So with the Steelers here, I paid him
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: last week. This week I'm probably come back in on
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: the Steelers. What do you have this game power rated at?
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: I had it at a pick. So the fact that
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: I moved just one point one and a half point
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: not that much value. But the public keeps coming in
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: on this, that the noise keeps coming out of Pittsburgh.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of injuries, so probably go up
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: to plus three, So I would wait on that in
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: this number. I love that you basically you said everything
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: that was bad. Uh, the Steelers have a horrible run
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: pass ratio. Yeah, they keep using their best players. Yeah,
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: there are injuries abound. Uh, they're going on the road
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: for whatever that means. In bills are getting healthy here
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: because the public, because the public loves the bills, you
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: gotta go in on the steward. Yeah, it's profitable. I
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: like Matt Mitchell asked me why the hell wasn't my
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: bed in Denver on Sunday night with that big number,
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: and I simply said, I'm a coward and I should have. Yeah,
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: you're just a goddamn color. I won't have songs of pitches.
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: We're afraid to fight staining up this place of honor here.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: God damn coward, it's the right side whenever the public
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: comes in. Really had me on one side, especially these
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: prime time games. It's been working out for you, just
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: to fade him. So that was my mistake, not taking Denver.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: So this week, I'm not gonna let it happen again.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: I don't care if it is not good, they don't
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: look good. I'm taking it all right. The last prime
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: time game of the week, the last game of the week,
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: the Monday night game between the Ravens and the Browns
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: in Cleveland. Uh. Public coming in on Cleveland largely because
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: we haven't seen what Cleveland can do tonight on Tuesday night.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: So what's your take care, let's pick. I love it.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: I would love it. I would be even better too
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: if the Ravens were just lose this game tonight, because
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: I want to get crazy value on the Ravens. But
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Ravens always scheme and matchup well with the Browns. The Browns,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: uh was it last year? They gave him one of
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: the only two losses they had. They went to I
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: think it was like two or three. They went to
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: Baltimore and beat the crap out of them and kind
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: of threw us off the scent that the Ravens are
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be really legit last year and they just went
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: on a crazy run and pretty much one of all
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: the games where this year, first game, first week of
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: the year, the Ravens played them, and the Ravens put
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: it to him. And we know the Browns have improved,
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: but the Browns are coming off the biggest one of
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: the year for them. They just beat a playoff team
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: on the road, and I I cannot do it. I
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: cannot put money on the Browns after that kind of went.
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: They have to have all letdown game here. So I
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: do like the Ravens in this position. Since we've been talking, um,
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell slacked me and let me know that Jalen
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: Hurts has officially been named the starter for the Philadelphia
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: Eagles this weekend. I heartbroken. I I loved Carson, I
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: loved his upside, but but he's never bounced back from
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: these injuries. If this is an Eagles fan, if we
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: trade him in the off season to the Jets or
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay or whoever, I'm sad, but Carson, He's just
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: not You have to be really mentally tough to be
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: a quarterback here in Philadelphia. People are just super negative
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: in this area. People when Doug Pierson fired, Right, this
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: man has taken us to the playoffs three straight years.
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: I want us to super Bowl. Okay, let's le that'd
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: let you know what kind of people I'm dealing with
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: here in Philadelphia. Like they're just cut throat, man, They
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: just they just want the best every time. So that's sad,
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: But they have to let her to play the rest
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: of the year. We're not going to make the playoffs.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: It looks like this division is either they mean the
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: Giants for Washington. So I'm not I'm not. I'm not
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: gonna say it's the end for Carson in Philadelphia, but
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: it kind of feels like if Hurts just wins two
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: games here at the next three or four, that's that's
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: it for Carson. So back to that game, I guess
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: I would take the seven half now that I do
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: know it. It's because you have a full week for
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: practice and he'll be the number one going into the
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: whole week. But I'm where that we're not putting in
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: the competition. I'm done putting the Eagles in our competition.
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: Good by the way, I love how you say. You
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: love how you say. That's the kind of people we're
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: dealing with here. Is if you're like you're some part
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: of like the organization, or you're above it all because
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: you're professional, better and you're more rational, whatever the case
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: may be, that's what we're dealing with here. Well, listen,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: I grew up on w i P like Philly sports
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: talker radio, and it's probably been a solid I mean,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: it might be the Super Bowl's last time I risten
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: listen to the radio, just because it's never ending negative
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia fans. Man, people, they're just negative people here. So
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: you get what I'm saying. It's a lot to deal
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: with here in Philadelphia. I get it. I get it.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: Right now, we've got to get to your survivor pick.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: But right now, uh well, actually, let's get to your
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: survivor pick, and then let's let's run through the games
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: that we've flagged. Another indication of why I think there
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: should be the buyer week for us is because I
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: do see, like, so far, only five games that we
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: felt even remotely comfortable enough about discussing. So I feel
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: like we're we're finding an answer for ourselves. But let's
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: talk survivor for a second. If you gotta put in two,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: who are you putting in? So this is a tough
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: week with a survivor because it's like you just said,
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: I have to do too, and it's getting low here.
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: So the one I've been saving for this week, it
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: was the Seahawks, so we got them locked in against
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: the Jets. This next one's tough, man, I gotta take
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: a team here that I don't feel good about and
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: no one likes. So I guess I have to do Titans, man,
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: because they're playing the Jaguars. I just don't know. I
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: just can't see them dropping this game. That Titans. This
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: is like again they desperately need against a team that's
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: trying to kind of tank. I know the Jacks are
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: not really trying to thank they're trying to win too,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: but they're just not good. So from my two picks
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: this week, I'm going Seahawks and the Titans. The Ox
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: and Titans. So here's the roundup, folks. If we put
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: our picks into the contest for draftings this week, and
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: again we need one more bye week, uh bacond place um,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: and then we got to finish out the season, so
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: it's very possible that we choose Week fourteens to buy.
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: I will keep everybody updated either way. I will put
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: picks into the app of what we would normally do,
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: just so you can keep track of it. Right now,
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: we're on the Vikings plus six and a half. Uh.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: We are on against the Box. We are on the
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Giants plus uh two and a half against the Colts.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: We're in the Dolphins plus seven and a half against
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs. We're on the Raiders plus two and a half. Um,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: who are the Raiders playing? You know? The Raiders are
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: playing the Colts. Who are who are the Giants playing? Again?
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Giants playing playing in Arizona. John's playing the Cardinals. Raiders
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: two and a half against the Colts. Lions plus seven
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: and a half against the Packers, Our Hornets Nest. We
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: are walking into the horsese and nest because we are
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: companions foreshadow. We knew the phrase pays you and I simon,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: we are companions Hornets Nest, Dolphins plus seven and a
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: half against the Chiefs. Big ball better the week run
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: the Raiders plus two and a half. Terrible call by assignment,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: but we'll go with it. And uh your two survivor
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna be the Seahawks and the Titans. Lock
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: it Up, Lock it Up. It is that time of
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: the week. Who's gonna win our three hundy three hundy
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: that we are also going to match last week. We
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: as fans to rate and review the podcast those two
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: did and use the winning phrase in the review. We're
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: eligible to win up to five dollars. We have loads
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: and loads reviews. In a second we will reveal our winner.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: But a reminder, we are doing another phrase that pays contest.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: The winner earns one hundred dollars for every win Simon
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: and I have in that week's contest. This week contest,
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: that's why we're gonna put pixel in the app regardless,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: we will match that number with a donation to the
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: winners favorite charity. Right now, go rate and review the
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: podcast using the phrase Simon says, be my companion, and
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: we will randomly choose the winner to get that cash.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: RELLI Matt Mitchell's going to choose it, which is why
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: you guys keep shamelessly tagging him in the reviews. Speaking
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: of the winner of last week's contest, Dr Wilke oh
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: four d R Wilke Oh four. Dr Wilke reach out
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: to Matt Mitchell Matt dot Mitchell at Action network dot
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: com for your prize. Here is your review, which I
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: loved five stars Insider information. I listened to the show.
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: Here's the best prods. I mean, you're gonna love this.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: I listened to the show two to three times a week.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: I don't even listen to it once a week. It
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: helps me get through work on the assembly line parentheses.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, So therefore I'm an insider. I even drink
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: the official drink of insiders, cucumber water. Also eligible. When
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: the time comes to bet, I big balls. Bet every
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: bet with a teaser parlay. This is made for a
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: stressful and unsuccessful season. Maybe one day I'll listen when
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Simon says bet like an insider. But I love this
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: show the inside and education that Simon brings to the table,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: Chad's amazing survivor picks. These guys hit a fifty. Enough said,
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: and shout out to the producer Matt Mitchell for allowing
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: me to get a little closer to the black and
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: give back to the community. Hashtag. Simon says bet like
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: an Insider. Dr wilk even though I kind of was
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: a loser in this review. I like it. I like
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: it a lot. Yeah. I like that we know we
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: have a doctor working the assembly line. This is uh,
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: this is a truly great time to be in America.
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: I am wondering if that's like is it? Is it?
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: D R. Wilke. Is his name like David Robert wilk
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: And I'm just looking at it like Dr Wilke, d
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: R w I okay, oh four. I love the guy.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: I love this guy. I love that he's listening two
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: or three times a week. He could be the sole
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: reason why centnership is going up if you can get everybody.
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: What he should do is get everybody on the assembly
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: line listening and they can all listen to it together
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: and they can talk about it. It It could be like
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: what they talk about and they can buy that assembly
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: line after we give out all these winners. Fuck yeah,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: stick it to the man, Hayden. Before we sign off here,
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: I am going to attach a two minute rant about
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury, recorded before they kicked off against the Rams
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: on Sunday. Hey, guys, I want to talk to you
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: today about Cliff fucking Kingsbury. Now, I am not an
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: analyst with the Action Network. They Action Work has people
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: who are elite at handicapping games. That's not me. I'm
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: elite at finding audio clips of Chad Noman and then
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: using those clips out of context like this, Dad, Dad,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: I have an erection now. Uh. One of the reasons
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: I'm so untrustworthy as an analyst is because I let
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: deep seated personal animosities cloud by judgment, particularly against coaching,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: is particularly Cliff fucking Kingsbury. I never end seasons betting
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: on Cliff Kingsbury because at the end of a year,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: things like personnel management and scheme updates, coaching becomes extra
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: important and Cliff Kingsbury fucking sucks and all of that ship.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Um And how do I know that, Well, let's just
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: look at how he's ended every season. He's been a
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: goddamn head coach who started in twenty thirteen. Okay, here
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: we go, he lost five of his last six. The
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: next year at four of five, the last fifteen, he
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: lost four six. Twenty sixteen he lost six of eight. Um,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: and including his Bowl game, but that really doesn't count
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: because he had a he had a awful quarterback. Oh no,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: that was Patrick fucking Mahomes was his quarterback, and he
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: still lost six of his last eight. Twenty seventeen, he
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: also lost six of his last eight eighteen, he lost
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: five straight. Twenty nineteen, He's in the goddamn NFL for
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: some reason, and he lost seven of nine. And then
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: this year, if it weren't for a fun Hail Mary,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: he would have lost the last four. So um, I'm
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: sure you're thinking, surely this is also kind of fucking coincidence. Yeah,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: here's another coincidence. When you put your gentles in a
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: piano and slam the lid coincidentally, it will hurt. So
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: I'm not telling you if you like fucking Arizona today
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: to bet the Rams. I'm just saying, maybe don't bet
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: the game at all. Maybe Arizona, like every Cliff Kingsbury
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: fucking team, is sliding into the fucking abyss to end
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: the season. Or maybe that was all just a crazy coincidence,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: So do whatever the funk you want. Have a great time,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Happy holidays, all right. This has been the Favorites from
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: the Action Network. I am Chad Millman. He is Simon Hunter.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: Download the podcast at Apple, podcast, Spotify, wherever you get
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: your podcasts until next time, I love you.