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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems gone clear the lifting. What's going on everybody?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Hope y'all having a great week. We are back talking
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: some fights. UFC Fight Night five pm Eastern at the
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: Meta Apex. As you can see, we are sharing the
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: stone like always, twelve fights on tap this Saturday. Again,
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: five Eastern is the start time. I hope you guys
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: had a good profitable week last week. I didn't, but
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: it was the one am card over here and there
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: was overlay, and I said I wasn't gonna be up
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: watching any of course, the baby woke me up ten
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: minutes before lock, so I was able to catch the
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: first four fights, and I mean they were pretty good
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: fights as well. Then I had to go to bed,
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: woke up for the co main event. Needed some Zang
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: Ming Yang or whatever, and that dude is absolutely cheeks.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Then a field that beat his ass and then singing
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: you Dong. Got the job done in the main event,
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: but was not needed in the for dfs. That's one
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: thing I got right, but it was not profitable. Overlay
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: was there, though, which is always nice to see. Excited
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: to talk about this one. I think it's a solid card.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: Ten of the twelve fights are expected to finish, which
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: is always good. Some pretty big names on it. I
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: wish it was thirteen instead of twelve, but if we
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: keep all twelve, I think it's a solid card. I'll
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: just say salad, not great for DFS, not terrible. I'll say, salaid,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this card? How are we doing?
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: Big Marley?
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: I think it's a it's an all right card. There's
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: a couple of fights. I'm interested in watching a couple
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: of clear fights. I want to play in DFS, But
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: as long as it's profitable, I like it.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, you can't. Could be the worst card ever.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: If I'm making money, it's uh, it's something I like
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: to see. Next week is the big UFC Freedom card.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: But man, just so disappointing that they're only rocking with
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: seven fights like for DFS. I wonder what DraftKings is
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: gonna do if they're gonna make it like the Captain Showdown,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: because it's about like usually six seven fights on that
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Captain Showdown mode. If you guys play that like, it's
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: not really it's called like televised, it's not really two
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: big A prizes. But they do have the contest every
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: single week. I hope they do that, to be honest,
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: because the captain paying a different one point five x
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: your salary, making kind of like an NBA NFL showdown
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: would be the best approach for sure. So hopefully you
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: just went out.
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: I don't know if that was many or you.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I'm back cool. Uhh uh oh, I'm scared. That's not good. Good,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: that's not good. But yeah, hopefully they do that. I'm
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: not going to waste too much time because that's scared
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: the living daylights out at me. What's going on in
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: a d Hope you're doing well? Ax? Yeah, only seven
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: fights for next week? That is bad. Yeah. Shoot, I
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: am definitely scared. I don't know why that happened, but
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: hopefully we are good for the rest of the show.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Any broadside OVERV for you, Big Marley before we go
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: fight by fight.
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: Now, I think we're We've come off of a few
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: cards in a row where we really haven't had to
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: target the main event. But I think we're back to
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: targeting the main event. I'll probably be close to, if
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: not all in on this main event.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: I could not agree anymore. That was actually the first
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: thing I wrote up in my write ups. I've been
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: underweight plenty of main events this year, probably more than
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: almost any year at least, so it feels like and
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: this is not one of the weeks where I'll be underweight.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: So you can see both guys average over two takedowns
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: per fifteen, over four significant strikes. Expected to finish price
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: eighty three hundred and seventy nine hundred. That is a
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: fight tough to get away from. But again my broad slate,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: eight or ten of the twelve fights are expected to finish,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna see some big scores. If Bomb, Theme
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: or ballall put up like eighty nine, probably not enough,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: but we'll get there when we get there. What's up? Alan,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: appreciate you hanging out, Hope everybody is doing well. All
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: we ask like Bun subscribe, but it helps us out
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: a ton. We are going to kick it off with
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: the first fight of the night, one of the two
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: fights expected to go the distance. Actually, I want to
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: say first I put the money line odds up on Monday,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: and then the inside the distance lines I put up Wednesday,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: except so ballall through Bryce Mitchell, the first four were
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: out on Monday, so these were on Monday, and then
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: all of these run Wednesday. So when I'm talking about
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: line movements, that's what we're looking at all of the
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: twelve fights for money lines Monday, so a lot of
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: a couple of days to see where the line movement went.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: The inside the distance not as much. SO wanted to
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: touch on that right away. First fight of the night.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: Kaitlyn So's a minus three hundred taking Ariana Carnelosi plus
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: two to fifty plus one sixty for this fight to finish,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Sosa plus two twenty five inside the distance Carnelosi plus
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: five fifty. Talking some line movements, Sosa open minus three
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: hundred two days later was minus two forty five, So
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Carnelosi took money to start, and then Sosa has got
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: buy back now at the original minus three hundred number.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: This is a rematch from twenty nineteen where Carnilosi kod
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: Sosa in the third round. Now find yourself as a
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: big dog again, one of the two fights expected to
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: go to the distance. What do you plan on doing?
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: I think I'm not really looking to get to this
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: fight at all. I thought about putting it as a
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: one star BRA on this card. With twelve fights, I
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: feel like you can use either side just to get different,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: but I don't really think either side makes a lot
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: of sense.
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: Carnelosi some of the most power.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: In the division, and maybe she could get another knockout,
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: but if she's not getting a knockout, I just really
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: don't like her. And it's a minute skills and I
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: think that Susa is the better minutes minute fighter everywhere.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: I would get take Susa in a fifteen minute striking match,
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: and I think she could do even better in a
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: grappling match against Carnilosi. I just don't think she is
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: a high enough work rate to outscore an eighty nine
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: hundred dollars salary, so I would rather just pay up
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: for other favorites instead of getting SUSA. So my plan
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: is to get different on this one, but I am
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: picking Susa to get the win, probably a thirty twenty
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: seven where she might not even hit a ten x.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: I kind of. I mean. The chalky take is that
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: this will probably be the lowest owned fight on the car.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: It'll be one of the lowest owned fights. I will
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: play some Soza though a HERB, which doesn't mean too much,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: but her money line value for eighty nine hundred is
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: good at minus three hundred and inside the distance. Prop
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: plus two twenty five isn't great in the upper tier,
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: but when you're comparing that to her ownership, that's thirty
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: percent likelihood to finish, and I expect her to be
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: twenty percent on this card. So when I am playing
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: the main event, when I'm playing e Wu right here,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: who's gonna be very popular at nine K If I'm
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: getting really chalky, I will include Sosa in the pool
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: and be fine getting different that way, because I do
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: think Carnelosi is like twenty two percent takedown defense. Sosa's
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: doesn't wrestle much, but it'd be a very easy path
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: if she does choose to do so, and she's plus
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: four to fifty by knockout Carnelosi plus seven hundred. I
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: just think at this point in their career, Sosa is
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: better wherever the fight goes. He doesn't take too much
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: to get overweight to her. I'll probably be around the field,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: maybe slightly overweight again anytime, and finishing prop is higher
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: than their ownership. I do try and think about it
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit, So I don't like Carnelosi much at all.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: She's seventy three hundred if she wins seventy might be enough.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: I do not plan on getting much though, so's a
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: low owned. I will play some to get different, but yeah,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: in a vacuum. This was one of the worst fights
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: on the card. Again, only two fights expect to go
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: to the distance. The other one is Bryce Mitchell Santiago
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Luna and most people, as you guys know, Bryce Mitchell
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: a very good DFS player, I mean big Marley has.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: This is a five star fight, the only other one
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: to go the distance. So yeah, this fight not very appealing.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: Keep rolling another woman's fight, we have Jasili Chavez. Yeah,
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Jasila Chavez minus three fifty taking on unis see Dubin
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: plus two to eighty five minus won thirty five for
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: this fight to finish, Chavez plus one oh five inside
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the distance, Dubin plus five seventy five. So you can see.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: On Monday it was Chavis was minus four hundred, so
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: she actually opened minus nine hundred. Four minutes later was
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: minus four hundred. Monday was minus four hundred still and
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: now she's minus three fifty, so some money is coming
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: on Dubin. Dubin had the Contender Series fight where she
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: was a plus one thousand dog two years ago. And
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: then got a knockout, got into the UFC, lost to
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: Carly Judie in round one. She's fought cans Chavez. I
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: don't really know how good she is. She's making her
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: debut off a Contender series as well. I'll let you
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: talk about this fight again first and then I'll get
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: my take quot. Yeah, what are you doing?
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of interested in the Chavez side of this one,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: and that's why I don't want to play SUSI. I'd
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: rather find four hundred dollars more to get to Chavez,
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: who might not get too much ownership either, not as
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: low as Sosa, but I think she could get a
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: little bit overlooked just being ninety three hundred dollars and
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: being a woman. But Dubin, I feel like she needs
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: to land something big early. I mean, that's how she
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: got her Contender Series knockout out. I would imagine it's
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be the same thing here. Chafez, I think took.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I think it was Contender Series for her as well.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: She got knocked down in the first round, but then
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: I just think the longer this fight goes that Chavez
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: just gonna be the better striker. She's gonna be throwing
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: punches and bunches, and she hits hard as well, and
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: I think the longer it goes, the strikes are gonna
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: start to add up, and she could put Dubin away
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: really in any round. But I think second or third
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: round TKO is quite possible for Chavez in this one,
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: and I think she's gonna have a decent amount of
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: strikes leading up to that as well. So I do
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: like Chavez. I'll probably be overweight to her. I doubt
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: I'll have more than twenty lineups, so I doubt I'll
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: get to Dubin. If I was playing one hundred and fifty,
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: I'd get a little bit of Dubin on this card,
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: just because she would be a possible zero dupe type
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: of lineup, and if she wins it, I would imagine
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: it's a ninety plus point score.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna play both sides of this fight. Actually, this
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: one might be one of the lowest owned fights on
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: the card, like that first fight. I think Carnelosi sows
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: a little low rouned. This could be like the second
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: lowest owned fight or the third lowest owned. I'm gonna
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: probably be overweight this fight, maybe even overweight. Both sides A,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: it's not very hard. Everything you said with Chavez, I agree.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Dubin doesn't look to be very good. Not that Chavez
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: might be very good, but I think she could have
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: a lot of volume. Plus one h five to finish
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: is good, and you can easily go like a Costa
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: or Marcus McGee and drop down to Chavez and leave
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: two hundred v five hundred as one way to get different.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: She also has to be capped to an extent because
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: e WU is three hundred less and it'll be a
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: lot lot more popular. So I'm gonna play some Chavez
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: for sure, good sized dog plus one or good sized
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: favorite plus one oh five inside the distance. Dubin, on
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: the other hand, again, she has fought bad competition. It's
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: a low level fight though, like I chav is at
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: seven and oh, I don't think like her future is
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: very bright in the UFC. Like when you get really
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: low level fights like this and you haven't seen him
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: in a while, one of them can make a lot,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: like really big improvements. You can look at a whole
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: different fighter. I remember like Karina Silva, she came to
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: the UFC, didn't I couldn't really see much tape and
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: she looks like a whole new girl. So there's a
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: lot of variance in it. Dubin's been taking money, and
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: most importantly, it's just when I'm looking at the lower tier.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I don't like match Nell, I don't like John Yannis.
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Then there's Dubin. I don't like Tom Nolan, so right away,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: I don't want to x out like the four cheapest ones.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Dubin's my favorite in that range, and I think she's
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: the most likely to be optimal in a decision as well.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: This fight is more likely to go to decision than
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: most fights on the card. If it does and she
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: scores forty, there's a chance that's optimal. Now I'm not
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: banking on that, but she's taking money, she has that out.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: She's only sixty nine hundred. I don't like the people
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: in her range. I will probably be overweight on this
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: fight because I do not expect much ownership and can
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: use it in chalk your teams, we'll keep rolling. Next
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: fight on the card Joe Anderson, Brito and Jordan Levitt
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy one is Brito plus one forty six
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: is Levitt minus one thirty For this fight to finish,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Brito plus one twenty five inside the distance, Levitt plus
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: four fifty. The odds have not changed too much on
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: this fight, props wise, money line, anything like that. Three star.
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: You have a little more stars on the Brito side.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: How do you see it going down? Both guys very low, foloume,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: but both guys average over three takedowns per fifteen minutes.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm just not Elevitt guy, So I'm
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: hoping Brito knocks him out early. I do think Brito's
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: better than him everywhere, But Levitt is a tricky grappler,
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: and if he gets Brito down, I think he could
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: have success in top control, maybe possibly grind out two
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: rounds that way, or grab a neck and get a
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: submission score, a bigger score that way.
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: I just don't think it's very likely because I think.
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: Brito is the stronger guy, the better wrestler, So if
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: he can just use that wrestling in defense and keep
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: this fight on the feet, I think he's the much
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: better striker. I think he's much more powerful, and I
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: do like him to get a knockout at some point,
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: So that's my pick. I will get some Brito, but
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: I'm nervous about him probably not wanting to wrestle too
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: much and going into where Levitt wants to play. And
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: he's not a high volume striker, so you're really relying
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: on the whole knockout for the majority of your points.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna get too much Brito for that reason.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: But I'm picking him to get a knockout, so I'm
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: gonna get some Brito. And then Levitt is just in
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: that range of underdogs that I do want to play.
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: I'm just not gonna get too much of them because
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: I don't like them. I just don't think he's gonna
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: win the fight either. And I also think if he won,
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: he could he could score right around ten x and
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: possibly not be on the optimal lineup. So I like
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: other underdogs more, but I'm gonna be in that upper
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: range of underdogs, just mixing all of them in.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: That makes sense. I have the same thought process when
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: it comes to Brito about I'll play some plus one
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: twenty five inside. The distance is good, But I am
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: worried because I mean, I don't think he wrestles like
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: even though you see it, I think Levitt's way more
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: likely to wrestle. I think Levit could win round one,
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Brito could knock and like be on top. Brito hardly
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: score anything, knock him out in round two and not
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: be optimal decision round three, Like, there's plenty of pass
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: where he's not optimal. And Jordan Levitt, on the other hand,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: if he wins, like I think he more than likely
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: will be optimal seventy six hundred. He's had a big
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: disadvantage on the feet, so I think he's gonna have
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: to wrestle and I want that seventy six hundred. Levit
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: is definitely my preferred play in this one for DFS.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: I like how he's only plus one fifty on the
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: money line. That's good value right there. And if he wins,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: like he has nothing on the feet but light kicks,
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: so he is going to try and wrestle, push him
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: against the cage. I do think he is the better
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: wrestler in this one. Brito, no doubt stronger. Like if
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: you're someone that picks fights based on appearance, I mean
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: you're gonna go all in on Brito. You would never
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: pick Jordan Levitt. But we do know, like if you're
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: in a bar and you're picking one of these two,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: you're not picking Jordan Levitt. But many of you guys
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: know that is not necessarily how MMA works. But yeah,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: I prefer the one case savings on Levitt. I need
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: dogs on this card. He's gonna wrestle. If he wins,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: he will score. We'll keep Rollingeah. I appreciate everyone hanging
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: out just to us a favorite hit that like hit
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: that subscribe. It helps us out a lot. Next fights.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: I'm really excited for this one in real life. It's
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: actually one of my favorite real life fights on the card.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Chelsea Chandler and pon the Ketcha where a Chelsea Chandler
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty four, ketch Awhere a plus one oh
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: four minus one twenty five for this fight to finish,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: ketch Awhere a plus twoh five inside the distance Chandler
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: plus excuse me two fifty. So the lower or the
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: slight underdog and ketch Awe has the better inside the
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: distance prop. You have this as a four star, which
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I like to see on Monday or on Wednesday, which
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: was yesterday. This fight was minus one fifteen to finish.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Now it's minus one twenty five. Both girls have taken
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: some money on their own individual inside the distance prop.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at This is kind of striker versus wrestler
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: like Chandler. As you see point eighty seven takedowns per
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: fifteen minutes. It's not showing that she's a wrestler, and
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't necessarily say she is, but it's clear as
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: day like her game plan should be get a takedown,
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: use your big frame and stay on top, and ketch
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Aware is probably not getting up and on the flip side,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: ketch Aware has pretty rare one shot power in this division.
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: She'll eat four to give one, but her one is
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: pretty good. I always say she hits like a dude
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Amandalaimos in her like Lamos definitely hits harder. There's levels,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: but I always enjoy Catchawaeara fights. They're usually fun. She'll
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: fight for the dollar. I'm pumped to watch it, and yeah,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I plan on being overweights if you do fade the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: main event Mohammed bomb theme. I think this is a
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: fight you probably want to get to, hoping Chandler wrestles
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: a lot or Ketchawear gets a knockout, But what are
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: your thoughts?
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I love this fight for more so for DFS
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: than for real life.
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: Chandler.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: I do think is just a better, more well rounded fighter,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: and I think you're right it would be smart for
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: her to look for takedowns, especially in round one. She
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: needs to wrestle in round one because Catchawears should be
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: so much better and more dangerous while she's fresh. But
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: if Chandler wrestles round one, I think she could strike
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: with Catchawear in rounds two, in rounds three and probably
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: be fine. So Chandler's my pick to win. She's my
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: overall minute winner. She could score well in a decision,
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: but catch Aware can knock her out in the first
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: round and score one hundred plus points, and I can
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: definitely see that happening. So I want a handful of
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: my Chandler lineups. I just want to duplicate and throw
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: and catch Aware as well. I want the Catchawair lineups
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: where I can't afford Chandler two. So this is definitely
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: gonna be a fight. I thought about making it a
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: five star, actually, but with the main event there right
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: in the same range, I don't know that my lineups
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: are gonna end up that way, but I could change
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: it to a five star. So check out the site,
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: you know tomorrow Saturday, after I build my lineups and
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: I'll change it if if my lineups reflect a five star,
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: I'll vote on this.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: It's a perfect segue. Was about to hit up the
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: marketing anyway, ship a nation dot com. This is our
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: home page right here, Big Marley's talking about his fight rankings.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: This is where you can find all of his stuff.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: You also can find it on the stone like we
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: were showing. Now it'll be updated. Everything is highlighted as
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: you can. Like on the stone, you'll be able to
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: see the core, overweight, underweight, FAE tags, rejections, ownership, core
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: reports for both sites. Slate play on tier rankings breaks
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: down upper tier, mid tier, lower tier. Also do have
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: education video. Big Marley and I did last summer talking
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: MMA for an hour and a half MMA DFS. That
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: is multiple ways you can get in with us. If
• 19:17
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  Speaker 1: first month sabersim and the discord is included if you
• 19:30
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• 19:33
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• 19:34
  Speaker 1: cheaper five days for nineteen dollars also gets you all
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: of the content saber SIM and the discord. If you
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: say that you only play MMA and you want just MMA,
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: we do have single sport options as well. Single sport
• 19:46
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• 19:50
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• 19:59
  Speaker 1: sports like so you cannot find this deal anywhere else.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: We would love to have you less than a dollar
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: a day. I think you would enjoy it. And the
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: discords a lot of fun people. Uh, if you want
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: to watch fights and sweat it with people, they're always
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: in there doing that. What's up, y sm Hope you're
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: doing well. Great to see h camer Miller, Bealal, the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: decision machine Muhammad. We will get there for sure, but
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: hey balall indecisions can definitely score, that's for sure. Next
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: fight on the card, Bruno Silva and Edgar Charez minus
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: one seventeen Bruno Silva minus one O three Charres minus
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: one fifteen for this fight to finish. Chara is a
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: slight dog plus two hundred inside the distance, which is
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: better than Bruno Silva's plus two eighty five. If you
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: see on the stone, what stands out to me is
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: a chars has taken some money since Monday was minus
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: one thirty five now minus one seventeen. The under or
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: the excuse me, the over has taken the little money
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: was minus one twenty five now minus one fifteen. And
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: then both guys land less than four significant strikes per minute.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: But Silva does have two takedowns per fifteen minutes. I
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: said in the sleigh plan if there was a if
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: I had a even with the field tag, this would
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: be the one. I definitely don't want to go too overweight.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: I'd rather go underweight than overweight. But I think both
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: sides have a clear path. I mean plus two hundred
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: inside the distance for Charas at seventy eight hundred, which
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: could go off as a coin flip like he's dangerous.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: He just doesn't do much, but when he does, he
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: is dangerous. And Bruno Silva on the other side, can
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: wrestle in this one also has power himself. Looked really good,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: I mean complete robbery against Charles Johnson last time out,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: whereas Egar Charez won a split decision against Felipe Bunez,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: so Silva coming off a loss in quotes, Charis coming
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: off a win in quotes, but the stock Bruno Silva
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: stock is a lot higher than Charres his last fight.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: I was surprised to see these odds. I expected Charis
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: to be a slight favor, but the market definitely is
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: looking at that last fight. I want to throw it
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: to you first on how would you price this fight?
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: And then what are you doing for a DFS?
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: Uh yeah, I think is priced right.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: I would have had Silva right around where he is,
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit higher even as a favorite. But
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: I just think he's just a better, more well rounded fighter,
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: and he's the more likely aggressor, the one pushing forward,
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: the more likely wrestler. I think he has more one
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: punch power. But Chyra is just a tricky guy. He's
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: quick and he's nasty with submissions. He's not really a
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: wrestler where he's gonna dictate where the fight play takes place.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: But he'll just capitalize off of the other person going
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: for takedowns and getting a submission from the bottom.
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: Like he's just a tricky fighter.
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: He could get a finish on the feet or the matt.
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: So, I don't know.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: I think he's more likely to finish maybe, but Silva
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: is my pick to.
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: Be the minute winner.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: I think he is the better fight or overall. So
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: the way I'm gonna play this one is probably the
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: same as you. I would rather be underweight to the field,
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: but probably get close to it, and I'm gonna start
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: with Silva as my preferred play.
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: If I need that six hundred dollars, I'm okay going
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: down to Chyres.
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: But I do like the main event more also like
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Chandler catcha Wear more. So my mid range focus is
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: going to not only those two fights, but Bryce Mitchell
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: Luna as well. I'm all over the mid range this week.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: I still know that this is going to be the
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: fight that makes it in there with it.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: Totally agree with all that I would rank all of
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: those fights, all three of those that you mentioned, ahead
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: of this one as well. I wouldn't be Actually, I
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: probably expect ownership though Silva Charis to be the lowest
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: owned of all of them. Cumulatively. I think if the
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: line keeps moving, Charres might be a little higher on
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: than an individual in one of those fights if he
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: goes off as a coin flip er a slight favor,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: but I do think this is probably the lowest owned
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: of all of them. Still minus won fifteen to finish. Again,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: it's even with the field or underweight play more so
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: than an overweight play for me, another fight that's not
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: a fight. I love Marcus McGee minus four to fifty
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: taking on John Yannis plus three to fifty, minus one
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: seventy for this fight to finish, minus won forty inside
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: the distance for McGee Yannis plus seven hundred. McGee was
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: open minus one twenty five to finish now minus one forty.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: McGee in round one open plus two to fifty now
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: plus two twenty five. It's just SE's ninety five hundred
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: dollars and he averages point three to one takedowns per
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: fifteen minutes with a plus next to his name in
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: the round one category's thirty percent to win in round one, which,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: to be honest, his ownership is probably lower than that,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: so when you say it like that makes it maybe
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: a little appealing. But I don't even think all round
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: one wins for McGee are optimal, so you have to
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: bake that in as well. I do not like this
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: fight much. I think McGee is better than Yannis everywhere,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: so I don't want to play too much of him.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Ninety five hundred is a little steep for the McGee side,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: who's not a great DFS player. I'm gonna throw it
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: to you though, Like Yannis is a striker, McGhee he
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: can wrestle, Like does he do it in this fight,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: because I think that's what you need if you play
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: him at ninety five hundred.
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: I would probably set his takedown propit like one and
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: a half, but if he is winning the striking, I
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: don't know that he.
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: Would look to wrestle.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: So I would think we would need Yiannis to be
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: having some moments on the feed make McGee think twice
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: and then go for the takedowns. But that's what we
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: would need, is either the early knockout or him to
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: go to the mat and start racking up points there.
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: But ninety five hundred.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: Dollars, I just don't want to really want to risk
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: you that much, So I'm gonna be underweight to McGee.
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: Don't really want to x him.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: Out, but I like cheaper people more so I would
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: rather go down to Chabz for two hundred dollars less
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: and probably less ownership as well to get me different.
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: So I just don't think I'm gonna get too much
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: McGee on this card. Giannis would be kind of the
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: same as Duben for me. I doubt I get to
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: them with twenty or less. But if I'm making one
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: hundred and fifty, i'd keep them in my pool, probably
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: limit them at ten fifteen percent match or something like that.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: Agree, I agree, I not gonna play much Giannest if
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: I'm playing over twenty teams, maybe capa at ten percent.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: If I got zero fine less than twenty, I don't know.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe in the fifteen to twenty mark. If I got
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: to sprinkle one or two. I don't want much Giannas.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: So that's why I'm gonna play Dubin. I definitely prefer
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Dubin down below. But yeah, I prefer Chavez, like you said,
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: for two hundred less, almost in a vacuum when we're
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: talking upside, but definitely when I know I can leave
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: two hundred off of McGee teams to eliminate dupes that way.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: So we see this fight very similar, all right, the
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: minus one thousand fights to finish the only five star
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: excuse me, two five stars, the only non main event
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: five star. Oh, I take that back. You have Bryce
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: Mitchell Luna. I'm tweaking, all right. The first of three
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: five star fights, Big Marley has e Wu Barneski minus
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: three seventy taken on junior top a plus two ninety
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: five minus one thousand for this fight to finish, e
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Wu minus three fifteen inside the distance top of plus
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: three forty inside the distance Ewu and round one minus
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: won sixty five. And that money or that prop has
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: got hammered. It opened plus one thirty e Wu and
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: round one now minus one sixty five, and he's only
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: nine k. Like if we flip McGee and e Wu
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: prices again, it goes based on money line. That's how
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: why it is where it is. I would still like
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: e Wu more than McGee four five hundred more so
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: that just shows how underpriced he is. With that being said,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, we haven't projected over fifty percent right now,
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: and I do think that's accurate. He will be the
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: chalkiest fighter on the card. I think the main event
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: will be the chalkiest fight cumulatively. But I think they
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: eat into their ownership, each other's ownership more, whereas Ewu
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: just gets a bunch here. I love Ewu. Where I
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: will disagree a little bit. You have Tafa as a
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: one star. I'm probably gonna be overweight Tafa. It's kind
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: of like sidricas Dumas. I always overweight him and I
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: always lose. But it's like, all right, you get the
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: most leverage on the card in a fight minus one
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: thousand to finish under one and a half is minus
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: three forty and it opened minus two hundred. So another
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: prop that's got steamed. If Tafa wins, I don't see
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: how he scores bad. Half the field's dead and he's
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be relatively low owned himself. So yeah, I'm gonna
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: play Tafa. Does Ewu wrestle early and often or does
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: has he fell in love with his hands? And you
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna try and strike and knock out Tafa?
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I would think, Well, I got a one star
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: Tafa five star Iwu because he was my favorite play
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: on the card. I do think he could beat Tafa
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: in a striking match. I think he could knock out
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: Tafa before Tafa.
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: Ever gets started.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: But yeah, why not take this guy down and he's
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: a fish out of water on the ground, So it
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: would just make a ton of sense to go for
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: your first takedown in the first fifteen seconds, and I
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: would imagine the five would be over within another minute
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: or two after that. He was super aggressive early tafas
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: so bad on the ground. I think Iwu could just
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: beat him anywhere in round one, and I feel he's
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: kind of like my Petrowski from last card, but will
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: get him cheaper on this card.
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: So I think that sixty seconds is once again in play.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: So give me Iwu.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: I'll be I'll be overweight, He'll probably he'll be the
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: highest one guy on the car.
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: I'll be overweight.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I will probably be overweight as well, at least
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: with the field, but he will be the chalkiest fighter
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: on the card. I do agree. I do want to
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: be overweight junior Tafa, though again, more times than not,
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: that is just money burned. But when you win, how
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: much do you win? How many of people are dead
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: with Iwu when they lose all that good stuff, which
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: will force me onto some junior Tafa like our man
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Sheets shout out to Sheets. I would be surprised if
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: he was underweight Tafa. With that being said, I could
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: be wrong, and Sheets does drop his slate overview and
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: his thoughts almost every single week in the Ship in
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Nation discord. So again another reason to get in there.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: Very sharp people talking all sports at all times of
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: the day. Next fight on the card, the highest price
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: fighter ninety eight hundred Alessandra Coasta minus six hundred taken
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: on Matt Chanel at plus four twenty five minus six
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: hundred for this fight to finish, Coast to the best
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: inside the distance prop on the slate minus four to
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: twenty five Matt Schanell plus eight hundred, but he does
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: not have the best round one prop. He's still a
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: dog at plus one twenty five to win in round
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: one is Coast. I'll let you start. What are you
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: doing in this one?
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: I'm loading up Luna's my favorite underdog.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, Coast to Chanel.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: Shit, sorry, I'm not actually doing too much with this
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: one at all, because ninety eight hundred dollars. I feel
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: like he's gonna have to get a knockout in the
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: first sixty seconds to make the optimal on that one.
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: Because let's say it's one hundred and ten points from
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: him at ninety eight hundred dollars, I just don't even
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: know how likely he is to make it, especially how
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: how much I want to load up on that mid range.
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: I think people under him could outscore him, so I
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: doubt I get to any Coasta. I really don't want
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: to play Schnell either, but at sixty four hundred dollarsman,
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: I'm almost more likely to play him if I really
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: need someone that cheap. I think Schnell skill wise can
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: hang with Coasta. It's just that he has a real
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: questionable chin. Coast is better everywhere, Coast is powerful, and
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: he probably will test that chin and knock him out
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: at some point. But if it's if it's after round one,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: I feel like it's a wrap for the optimal lineup
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: on Coasta.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: So I'm just.
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: Gonna not x him out. But I really doubt I
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: get to any Coasta.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: I am very much in agreement with you. It's nine
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: to eight hundreds just way too much. Even a first
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: round knockout one to ozh five I probably I don't
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: think it's optimal on this card. It could be, I mean,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: if he gets a quick win bonus, I don't see
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: that really happening multiple knockdowns. Is always live against Matt Chanel.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: He does fight for the dollar his chin. I mean
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: he's already retired, He's got it like Manchanell's never going
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: to be closed as a favorite in the UFC ever again, though,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: I think it might be time to hang it up
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: at thirty six years old and save the brain. Coasta
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: very well rounded, he can win in any single way,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: but the price tag is what gets me off him.
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Do you think are you so you're gonna play more
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: McGee than you will Coasta?
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I think I would.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think so too. I think I would just
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: rather leave the three hundred and help McGee out scores
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: him in a vacuum to eliminate a lot of dupes
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: that way, But I don't love either. I prefer going
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: down to the e Wuz, the Chavez and more of
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: the upper tier that way. All right, now, you're faate
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: one of your favorite fights, Bryce Mitchell minus won twenty nine.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: Take it on Santiago Luna plus one oh nine. Let's
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: see if this loads. Plus one twenty five for this
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: fight to finish the second of two fights. Luna the
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: slight underdog with a slightly better inside the business profit
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: plus two eighty versus plus two ninety for Mitchell. Round
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: one props on both guys are plus six seventy five.
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, man, seeing a twenty one year old Santiago
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: Luna just two fights into the UFC being almost a
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: coin flip against Bryce Mitchell is definitely a lot of
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: respect that people are giving him. I see you have
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: more stars on him, so it looks like you probably
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: are picking him. So I'm really curious to see just
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: your real life take on this fight. And then DFS,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: it looks like you're loading up.
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, man, I like Luna a lot.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: I think this kid's gonna fight for a title one day.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: Twenty one years old right now, and he looks like
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: he could be in his prime. Like he looks really
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: good on the feet, throws punches and bunches, he's really
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: fast and is is entries on his takedowns look really
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: good too. Like he's a solid wrestler as well. And
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: if he can use that wrestling to keep Mitchell on
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: the feet, then Mitchell is just in trouble. Mitchell cannot
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: strike with Luna. I think this fight would be real over,
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: real fast if Mitchell realizes that.
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: He can't wrestle.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: But because Mitchell can't strike with Luna, he's gonna have
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: to wrestle from the jump, and he is a nasty wrestler,
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: nasty grappler. I'm sure at twenty one years old, Luna
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: hasn't grappled with too many guys like Mitchell. So I
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: do think Mitchell is alive to just completely maul Luna
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: on the ground, maybe even put up one hundred and
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: twenty plus points if it was a decision mauling. So
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: if Mitchell wins, he's gonna score well for sure, and
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: he's only eighty five hundred dollars. If he wins, I
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: think he outscores Costa, but I think Luna knocks him
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: out in the first round. I just think Luna is
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: the real deal. I like this kid's hands a lot,
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: and I think he knocks him out before Mitchell even
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: gets a chance to wrestle. Luna will be my stone
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: underdog on the play. So a lot of my lineup
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: I'm probably not gonna go too mini lineups. I was
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: thinking maybe i'd even five five five this card, starting
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: with most likely A.
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: Luna and EMU, and I go from there.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: All Right, that's a very very confident take on Luda.
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: Did you already bet him?
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: No, I've been thinking about it, but it was I've
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: been like, well, if I do a five five five,
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: that's kind of almost my.
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: Bet right to your bety.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: It just sucks when Luna is like one of your
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: only winners and you still don't cash and Luna gets
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: the job done. But I totally get it.
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I probably will actually unless he like
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: moves to the favorite I do like him at plus
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: money side, imagine I will.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean he has taken money, as you can see.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: On Monday when I put these odds up, it was
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty eight Mitchell now minus one twenty nine
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: to a little bit. But Bryce Mitchell actually opened minus
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: two fifty on May twenty eighth, which is when a
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: lot of these odds did come out minus two fifty
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: now down to minus one twenty nine. You are definitely
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: not alone with a lot of Luna. Man, I think
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: you actually switched my pick. I did not feel confident
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: at all in either. I just thought when Bryce does
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: get him down, he floats so well on top. But
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: your confidence, I'm gonna I'm gonna switch my pick and
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna roll with my man Big Marley in this one. Luna. Yeah,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: I think Bryce Mitchell was originally supposed to fight someone else.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: He was supposed to fight Victor Henry. But I don't
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: think Luna stepped in too late. Do you know the
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: exact date?
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: No, I don't, But also twenty one years old, Like
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't be worried about his gas THINGK.
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: I would just be more worried about have.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: You really trained with guys who can wrestle and grapple
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: like Bryce Miller Mitchell. But man, I'm just a big,
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: big believer in this look kid, I'm just gonna keep
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: riding the way. But I think I was all in
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: on him in his first two fights so far. I'd
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: imagine those one.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Well ten days notice for Santiago Luna. So yep, Yes
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: he did all right. Three fights left. Far As Zeump
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: taking on Tom Nolan ZM minus three hundred Tom Nolan
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: plus two fifty minus one fifteen for this fight to finish,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: ZM plus one twenty five inside the distance Nolan plus
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: six hundred far As Ziem. I give the most flowers
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: too when I think of the most improved, like NBA
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: does a most Approved Award and all that. I think
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: as far as Zem in the UFC, this guy, I
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: mean this might be crazy to sound like the lightweight
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: division is the best or one of the best, and
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: I think he might be top He could be top
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: five when it's all said and done. Like this dude.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Caman is a striker, very boring point striker. He was
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: a good striker, but he won decisions and boring. Once
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: Claudio Poyas took him down like seven times, he realized,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: I have to wrestle. I have to know how to wrestle.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: I have to know it a grapple, otherwise you can't
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: do anything. He can wrestle and grapple. Now he's been
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: doing his last three fights and he still can strike.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: The light kicks are nasty. He has good fight IQ.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: He's not the best for DFF. He's gotten better for
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: sure with his wrestling upside. But man, when you're talking
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: real life, like I don't plan on having any Tom
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: Nolan in twenty entry in below. I think those people
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: are paying the rake. He's minus three hundred is zeum,
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: which feels steep. He opened minus one to eighty five though,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: and I think he could be like minus three seventy
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: five in this fight. I've been on the ZUM train
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: for a couple fights now, and he just made it
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: look really easy. I think he dominates Tom Nolan however
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: he wants to. Does he score enough at ninety one hundred,
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I do think he's gonna be
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: pretty low owned, especially with EWU one hundred less. Then
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: I'll take a chance that maybe he does wrestle a
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: little bit. So I'm definitely gonna play some. I'm not
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: going to play Tom Nolan. I think ZM is top
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: five potential, like my far As zem is your Santiago Luna,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: but not for DFS, because again, he can be boring
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: that way. But I think ZM roles however he wants.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: I think he's a major major problem for this whole division.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: And yeah, props to him for talk about working hard
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: and changing and adapting to the current sport. You have
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: to wrestle, you have to grapple, you have to know
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: how to do it all, and he sure does so. Yeah,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: I'm excited to watch them put on another masterpiece. Doesn't
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: mean he's gonna do it for DFS, but I'll play
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: some at ninety one hundred because I think he dominates.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: So what do you see?
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just completely agree with everything you said. I
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: think he can fight for a belt as well. I
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: just changed it to a five star Zum one star
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: Nolan as you were talking, moved it to a three
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: star on the fight as well, because I do think
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: Zim could put up a big score if he wants
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: to wrestle, because yeah, he is the most improved. He
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: came in here as a guy like dam let's look
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: to take him down. He sucks on the ground, and
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: now now it's like you better hope Zium doesn't take
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: you down. Zium is really good everywhere. He's tall, long,
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: hard to deal with. I yeah, he's a full package.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Give me Zeum, I'll be overweight. I'd imagine to Zem
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: just for the skills. And I think that this is
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: like a levels type of fight. Nolan's aid fighter, but
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: he's just not on Zim level.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, if this fight was a year ago
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: or two years ago, we're looking at a coin flip fight.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: Tom Nolan might even be favored, which I mean Tom
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: Nolan came into the UFC with a lot of hype
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: and he's really disappointed since coming into the UFC. So yeah,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: but I you got to just with the times. ZM
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: showed us who he is. Nolan's kind of shown us
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: who he is. And yeah, I think levels fight for sure,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: ZM by whatever he wants in this one. All right,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: two fights left. This one's gonna be some fun. Brendan
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Allen taking on Edmund Shabazi and Brendan Allen minus won
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: seventy six Shabazi and plus one fifty one minus two
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: twenty for this fight to finish, Allen plus one hundred
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: inside of distance Shabazi and plus two seventy five. As
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: you can see, on Monday it was minus two ten
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: plus one eighty and now it is minus one seventy six.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: So Edmund Shabazian has taken some money. And at open
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: Brendan Allen was minus three fifty so a lot of
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: money has come in on Edmund since been. The stone
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: doesn't really show it, and you're just looking at these numbers,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: But I'm looking at this as a wrestler, grappler and
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: Allen versus a striker and Edmund. Now that's discrediting Brendan
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: Allen a little bit. Brendan Allen can strike, There's no
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: doubt about that. I think he's more a lot more
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: likely to win a striking match against Edmund than Edmund
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: is to out wrestle and outgrapple Brendan Allen. But the easiest,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: easiest path is definitely to wrestle if you are Brendan
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Allen and for Edmund to keep it on the feet.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: But I mean, thirty year olds old Brendan Allen dominated
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: to Ritter, very talented fighter, twenty eight year old Schabazian,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: the golden Child, Golden boy whatever, came in with a
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: lot of hype at a very young age. This is
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: a high level fight. If it finishes, both guys have
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: a lot of upside. Seventy four hundred. Edmund I am
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: definitely playing, has not got upside in any round, has
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: taken a lot of money. Brendan Allen I'm definitely playing
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: because if he wrestles early and often like we saw
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: against the Ritter, he has a bunch of upside. But
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: that being said, Edmund will get a decent on owners
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: or Allan. I think we'll get a decent amount of ownership.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: And with Edmund getting this line movement, maybe his creeps
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: up a little bit too, but I'm still playing both sides.
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: Great real life fight, good DFS fight. What do you think?
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: Yeah, no doubt.
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: Kind of look at Shabazian similar to Cashierra, where he's
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: really live for that hundred plus points if he does win,
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: because he's the better striker and he's much more dangerous
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: as well in round one. But after round one Alan
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: can strike with Shabazi and Alan could maybe even win,
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: you know, more than half of this fight on the feet.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: But why even take that chance when you should have
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: a big, big advantage on the ground, And not only
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: are you gonna have that big advantage, it's just kind
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: of risk free.
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: You're not gonna get hurt there either.
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: You just live to see another day, probably get your
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: hand raised, make twice as much money. So it just
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: makes a ton of sense for Alan to look to
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: wrestle early in this fight. The only reason I think
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: he wouldn't is because he believes in a striking. He
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: wants to show it off against people who thinks that
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Shabazi is better, and Allen's fought just a better competition
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: over his career, So wouldn't shock me if we're like, damn,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: come on, Alan, why are you not shooting, but I'm
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: still gonna play a good amount of Allen and I
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: think Shabazian has just as much upside as any other
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: underdog on this car, so I'll play Shavazi and as well.
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: I thought about making this a five star too, so
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: it's another one where after I make my lineups, I
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: might adjust this one to a five star if that's
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: what my lineups are dictating.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: There you go again. All of this the stone will
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: be filled out to this tomorrow when we put it live.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Ownership will be here, Projections will be here, point per dollar.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: All four of these tags you will see with every
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: single fighter will be tagged what they officially weigh in at, projections, ownership,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: core reports, late playing tier rankings, everything you need to
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: be successful in MMA DFS, and again, if you do
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: want to get in with us, if you're playing all
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: the sports, the best deal right now usually ninety nine
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: dollars now forty nine dollars for the first month bottom left.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: If you want to just get in for the weekend
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: because the NBA Finals is going on, MLB is going on,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: PGA Showdown, NASCAR, MMA, NHL, you can get in as
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: low as nineteen dollars for five days with Sabersim and Discord,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: and there is single sport options as well. Single sport
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: MMA less than a dollar day if you are playing
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: and can only get cheaper if you play every single
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: slate all year. The annual deal is definitely the best
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: to check out. We would love to have you most
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: definitely do get in the Discord if you do join.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: Let me make this a little bigger. And we are
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: down to our last fight of the of the night.
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: It's the main event. It's a mid tier fight, very
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: closely lined, the closest line fight on the card, and
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: wow is the line has flipped. I'm looking right now.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: It depends on where you're looking, and you should always
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: price shop like FanDuel. I'm seeing minus one thirty plus
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: one h two the favorite. Bet online. I'm looking at
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen Bomb Theme minus one oh seven blall.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: If you're betting, always price shop MMA like right now,
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: though that's a huge difference. One book a minus one
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: thirty favorite, the other one minus one oh seven twenty
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: three cents is a lot when you are betting. I'm
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: going bet online though, Bomb Theme a small favorite as
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: the cheaper fighter minus one thirty for this fight to finish,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: Bomb Theme plus one seventy inside the distance, Ballall plus
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: three hundred. As you can see when I put this
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: fight up on Monday, it was minus one twenty three Blall.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: So Bomb Theme's taking money. He's four hundred dollars cheaper.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: You have more stars on the Bomb Them side. Big
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: difference when I'm looking at the stone. A lot of similarities.
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Obviously two inches in height, not too big of a difference,
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: but nine year age difference with Baall at thirty seven
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: and bomb Them at twenty eight nineteen and one. Bomb
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Theme looks like you have them winning. What do you
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: see in this one?
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of one of those like who does
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: UFC one win type of thing where you got Bonfim
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: on his way up and Muhammad on his way out.
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: But I just expect a big score from either one
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: of them. Bonfime is gonna be the more dangerous fighter
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: in general, He's gonna be the better striker in the
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: early rounds, and he's just a more tricky submission grappler
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: as well, even if he's on the bottom. But Blal
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: is gonna be by far the better wrestler. He's gonna
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: put up the way better pace. He's gonna have way
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: better cardio and after round two, I think he could
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: strike with Bonfime, and if Mohammad wins, He's gonna put
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: up a big score. Balle actually has like the biggest
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: ceiling on the card by by twenty plus probably, but
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: I think he gets knocked out or submitted in the
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: first or second round. So my pick is Bonfime. I'm
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: gonna be heavier on Bonfime, but I don't trust it.
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: I haven't bet him. I don't trust it that much.
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: And I do think Blaal could put up just on
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Monster where you absolutely need them. So I'm just gonna
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna be all in on the fight in general,
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: and hopefully a lot of my Balole teams will also
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: just be duplicated and have bomb theme as well.
• 47:12
  Speaker 3: I'll be all over that mid range this week. Yeah,
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: give me.
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: Bomb theme the takeover, and uh get himself a title
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: shot one day as well. That's like three people I
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: think that I see future title shots coming with.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: That's a pretty stat card. If we look back at
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: this card in ten years or whatever it is, and
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: you see, like, yeah, multiple guys on a fight night
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: card fighting for a title that should excite some people.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm on the other side. I'm picking Ballall.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't feel the most confident. I don't
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: love it. Two reasons. I think when it comes to wrestling,
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Ballall is the much better wrestler is, takedown defense is elite.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: Ballall has a chance to land eight nine takedowns, where
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: I do not think Bomb Theme does. And I just
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: can't get that Nicholas Dolby fight out of my head
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: against Bomb Theme where Bomb Theme dominated around one and
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: wrestled had no cardio going into round two and Delby
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: knocks him out at the end of round two. Now,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: this is a five round fight. Ball has plenty of
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: five round experience Bomb Theme does not. I think the
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: cardio advantage is on the Ball side. I think he
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: can push a pace. He is outgunned on the feet,
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: there's no doubt about that. But man, Ball is so tough.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: I think I picked Actually no, I picked Ian Gary,
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: but I picked him against Jack Della. If I'm picking
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: him against Jack Della, obviously I was wrong in that fight.
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: I still think he's the same guy. I'm picking him
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: against Bomb Theme. I almost want the line to keep
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: moving against me to hope that ownership just continues to
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: wide because like you said, for dfs, like if ball wins,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: he's gonna score. There's no way he doesn't score. I
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: very well might have one hundred percent of this fight
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: twenty in below. I probably do, because yeah, I'm with
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: you with bombfing the money coming in on Bomb theme
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: if he is more popular. I think my favorite way
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: to do it to play Bomb theme is like just
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: leave four hundred on most lineups if I have forty
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: percent Bomb theme, Like if twenty of those is just
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: ballall down to Bomb theme, I left four hundred. I
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: left the rest of the build the same. I think
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: that is the way to do it again, especially if
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: he continues to take money. If I know Bombfime comes
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: in higher row than balal Muhammad, I'm worried about getting different.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Like I mean, if you play Bomb theme, if you
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: play e Wu, you're already starting to get in a
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: very familiar thing. You can play him together. But leaving
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: that four hundred to allow others to play ballall instead
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: is definitely something I'll be looking to do that way.
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: So phenomenal fight to Target gonna definitely be looking at
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: line movement to see where this money continues to go.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I'll probably have close to one hundred percent,
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: if not one hundred percent, but I'm on the ball side.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: Confidence is very low though, Big Marley, that is all
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: twelve fights. I'm excited for this one. You talked about
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: three potential champions or at least fighting for a title,
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: so that's pretty cool. Any final thoughts before we get
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: on out here.
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: Now, I'm be glad we don't have to wake up
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: at four am or anything for this car. It's a
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: profitable one. Good luck to you title, good luck to
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: everybody listening.
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: Let's ship it.
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: I hope we did have to get up that early
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: because that would be a better chance at overlay, and
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: overlay is one of my favorite words that to hear.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: I don't think we get at this card, but yeah,
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I'm excited. Five pm Eastern at the APEX. Fingers crossed
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: we keep all twelve fights because if we do, should
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: be a solid card. Ten of the twelve are expected
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: to finish. Thank you everyone hanging out watching live and
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: watching on playback again, Like Bun, subscribe button on the
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: way out helps us out a ton and we'd love
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: to see you in the discord headovershiping nation dot com
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: for all the different packages, we have good stuff, bing Marley.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: You enjoy your weekend. Everyone be safe, good luck for
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Big Marley on titled tone.
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: And then still hands and then still the ants and
• 51:16
  Speaker 4: then still hands must hanns