Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / CEO James Stone on New Book: Five Easy Theses (Correct)(Audio)
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- 0:03Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh Rio to Washington,
- 0:08Speaker 1: d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve hundred to San Francisco,
- 0:13Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine to the country, US Exam General one nineteen
- 0:17Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio Plus Appen Bloomberg
- 0:21Speaker 1: dot Com. This is taking Stock. I'm Kathleen Hayes. My
- 0:25Speaker 1: co host Pim Fox is on assignment this Friday afternoon.
- 0:29Speaker 1: Could it be as easy as five easy faces to
- 0:32Speaker 1: give us common sense solutions to America's greatest economic challenges.
- 0:37Speaker 1: We're gonna be speaking now with James Stone, new York
- 0:40Speaker 1: Times best selling author about his new book, where I
- 0:43Speaker 1: especially talked to him about financial reform, What's wrong with
- 0:45Speaker 1: the banks? This from a man who has been there
- 0:47Speaker 1: and done that. He's worked in the financial services industry.
- 0:50Speaker 1: His critiques and ideas are going to be oh so interesting.
- 0:54Speaker 1: He's always also interesting. He's in the newsroom. His name
- 0:56Speaker 1: is Charlie Pellett, and he's got a Bloomberg Business flash
- 0:58Speaker 1: and I thank you very much, Athlene Hayes. We're looking
- 1:01Speaker 1: at a down day here with the Dow, the SMP
- 1:03Speaker 1: nestak all declining, We are brought to you by van
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- 1:09Speaker 1: munies target tax exempt income by maturity and credit quality,
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- 1:17Speaker 1: dot com slash Muni van Eck access the opportunities. Stocks
- 1:23Speaker 1: are retreating SMP heading for the steepest drop in two months,
- 1:27Speaker 1: amid caution over tepid global growth and a series of
- 1:30Speaker 1: looming events with the potential to spur renewed market turbulence.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Right now, we've got the SMP five hundred index down
- 1:37Speaker 1: one a down twenty four points, a drop there of
- 1:39Speaker 1: one one percent, to two thousand ninety one down. Industrials
- 1:43Speaker 1: down one eight a drop of nine tenths of one percent.
- 1:47Speaker 1: Nastac is down seventy two, a drop there of one
- 1:50Speaker 1: and a half percent. Murray Gunn is head of technical
- 1:53Speaker 1: analysis at h S b C Securities in London. He's
- 1:57Speaker 1: looking for what he calls a market melt. Once the
- 2:00Speaker 1: market starts moving up, you're going to see a bit
- 2:03Speaker 1: of a scramble, I think for people to get in
- 2:05Speaker 1: to the market. The one issue we have at the moment,
- 2:09Speaker 1: the one potential problem is the fact that on balanced
- 2:12Speaker 1: volume has not passed its previous peak, SOEL really would
- 2:16Speaker 1: like to see on balanced volume move up above that.
- 2:19Speaker 1: But if we move about twenty one thirty four on
- 2:23Speaker 1: the SMP five hundred, there's a potential target for twenty
- 2:28Speaker 1: sixty three in terms of an Elliott waves what we
- 2:30Speaker 1: call wave equality target. And right now the SMP of
- 2:34Speaker 1: gold up five eighty, the ounce twelve seventy eight, a
- 2:37Speaker 1: gain of point four percent to thirty two on Wall Street.
- 2:40Speaker 1: Now let's look at other news from around the world
- 2:42Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. Thank you, Charlie from the Bloomberg Newsroom.
- 2:47Speaker 1: I'm Scarlet Food. Although how Speaker Paul Ryan called Donald
- 2:50Speaker 1: Trump's attack of a federal judge a textbook definition of racism,
- 2:54Speaker 1: he is still supporting the Republican presumptive nominee. I believe
- 2:57Speaker 1: that he's certainly better than Hillary Clinton. These are the
- 3:00Speaker 1: choices that we have. And here's the question I asked,
- 3:04Speaker 1: do I believe that these principles and these policies that
- 3:06Speaker 1: flow from those principles have a better chance of making
- 3:09Speaker 1: the law with Donald Trump and Hillardy Glinn. Absolutely. I
- 3:12Speaker 1: do believe that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell tells Bloomberg
- 3:16Speaker 1: Politics Trump's attacks on ethnic groups and other Republicans need
- 3:20Speaker 1: to end. He says Trump needs to pick an experienced
- 3:23Speaker 1: running mate because quote, he doesn't know a lot about
- 3:25Speaker 1: the issues. Fans line the streets of Louisville to say
- 3:28Speaker 1: a final goodbye to hometown hero Muhammad Ali. Cleon Robertson
- 3:32Speaker 1: was a high school classmate him, also running through the
- 3:36Speaker 1: hall uh Patton on the going down the hallways. Ali
- 3:42Speaker 1: was seventy four when he died. Last week. A memorial
- 3:45Speaker 1: service is being held to honor the three time heavyweight champ.
- 3:48Speaker 1: Former President Bill Clinton is among those expected to speak.
- 3:51Speaker 1: Police are investigating the fire bombings of two Staten Island
- 3:54Speaker 1: churches in the same week as possible hate crimes. Police
- 3:58Speaker 1: say a man toss a malta of cocktail Thursday at
- 4:01Speaker 1: the First Central Baptist Church on Staten Island, setting the
- 4:04Speaker 1: exterior wall of the church and its awning on fire.
- 4:07Speaker 1: On Sunday, a Molotov cocktail was thrown through a window
- 4:10Speaker 1: of St. Paul's Memorial Episcopal Church, causing a small fire.
- 4:14Speaker 1: Both churches are in the Stapleton neighborhood. No arrests have
- 4:17Speaker 1: been made global news twenty four hours a day, powered
- 4:20Speaker 1: by twenty journalists and more than one fifty news bureaus
- 4:24Speaker 1: around the world. From the Bloomberg Newsroom, I'm Scarlet Foo Charlie,
- 4:30Speaker 1: and we thank you and again recapping s some P
- 4:32Speaker 1: five hundred index down twenty four points to two thousand
- 4:35Speaker 1: ninety one. Drop there of one. I'm Charlie Pellett and
- 4:40Speaker 1: that's a Bloomberg Business Flash. This is taking Stock with
- 4:45Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes and Grim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. The biggest
- 4:51Speaker 1: economic challenges facing America could be solved with five easy
- 4:56Speaker 1: feces some common sense solutions, so writes James Own, founder,
- 5:00Speaker 1: chairman and CEO of the Plymouth Plymouth Rock Group in Boston.
- 5:05Speaker 1: He joins us today from there, I just have to
- 5:07Speaker 1: quickly know. First of all, I want to say welcome Jim.
- 5:10Speaker 1: It's great taddy on the show. Thanks glad to be
- 5:13Speaker 1: with you. I also want to let our our our
- 5:15Speaker 1: listeners know a little bit about your background. You you
- 5:18Speaker 1: taught economics, You got your PhD in economics at Harvard.
- 5:20Speaker 1: You were the Massachusetts Insurance Commissioner from seventy to seventy nine.
- 5:24Speaker 1: You were Chairman and Commissioner of the CFTC, the Commodity
- 5:27Speaker 1: Futures Trading Commission, you found the Plymouth Rock. I could
- 5:29Speaker 1: go on and on, but you are a guy who
- 5:30Speaker 1: really knows business. You're not just you're you know, you're
- 5:34Speaker 1: not You're not only an academic. And I think that's
- 5:36Speaker 1: one of the things that makes this book so powerful.
- 5:38Speaker 1: What drove you to write it? Well, I felt I
- 5:40Speaker 1: had some unfinished business from my time in Washington. I
- 5:44Speaker 1: didn't convince people when I was there of the dangers
- 5:47Speaker 1: of derivatives and over financialization of the economy, and so
- 5:51Speaker 1: this book was a chance to link my three careers
- 5:54Speaker 1: and take another crack at convincing people. Well let's start
- 5:58Speaker 1: there then, because you're an not the only person who
- 6:01Speaker 1: tried to convince uh, the world that there were dangerous
- 6:05Speaker 1: and derivatives. And you're up against the likes of Alan Greenspan,
- 6:08Speaker 1: you know, the former Fed gereman. There's a lot of
- 6:10Speaker 1: things right, but this is one thing he didn't recognize,
- 6:12Speaker 1: nor did Larry Summers, who became Treasury Secondary Uh, you know,
- 6:16Speaker 1: nor did many other regulators in Washington. What is your
- 6:19Speaker 1: common sense solution and why do you say there's still
- 6:21Speaker 1: so much risk in the financial system. Well, the financial
- 6:25Speaker 1: system didn't really get improved after the last crash. You know,
- 6:31Speaker 1: after the crash, the big lessons were learned, and the
- 6:36Speaker 1: big lessons are simple, which is less leverage and more disclosure.
- 6:41Speaker 1: I think Dodd Frank was a step forward, but it
- 6:43Speaker 1: didn't solve either of those things. And today the largest
- 6:47Speaker 1: banks have bigger derivative open positions than they had before
- 6:51Speaker 1: the crash, and the ten largest banks have two hundred
- 6:54Speaker 1: trillion in open derivative positions, three times the world's GMP.
- 6:59Speaker 1: So one of the things that you describe, that you
- 7:04Speaker 1: suggest has to do with a meaning fair reserve requirement
- 7:10Speaker 1: for derivatives. How would that work? Every time a derivatives
- 7:15Speaker 1: position is opened. Uh, you've got some counterparty risks, some
- 7:20Speaker 1: basis risks, some liquidity risks, some human error risk. You've
- 7:24Speaker 1: always got some risk. And so today that a bank
- 7:30Speaker 1: or other holder these derivatives doesn't have to record these
- 7:34Speaker 1: derivatives in any way that causes a reserve because they
- 7:36Speaker 1: met them against one another. But the netting doesn't get
- 7:40Speaker 1: rid of any of those risks that I just listed.
- 7:43Speaker 1: It does get rid of some risk of market movement,
- 7:46Speaker 1: So netting, you know, is a partial thing and not
- 7:49Speaker 1: a complete thing. They should have to put up reserves,
- 7:52Speaker 1: and if you had to put up even a fairly
- 7:53Speaker 1: small reserve, even a very small reserve, against these huge numbers,
- 7:59Speaker 1: you wouldn't have the positions and we'd be better off
- 8:02Speaker 1: if the banks didn't have them by a lot. A
- 8:05Speaker 1: couple other let's a couple hit on a couple of other.
- 8:09Speaker 1: Five thesis besides, what needs to be done to make
- 8:11Speaker 1: banks are really safe? And institutions that really a grease
- 8:16Speaker 1: the wheels of commerce instead of pulling the wheels off
- 8:19Speaker 1: of it. So security, what would you do with so security? Well,
- 8:23Speaker 1: social security, unfortunately, is going to need to be changed
- 8:27Speaker 1: in a way that nobody really likes. But it is
- 8:31Speaker 1: inevitability because the current eligibility age was set when people
- 8:36Speaker 1: live to be in their sixties, and now people lived
- 8:39Speaker 1: to be roughly eighty. Um. If we make great progress
- 8:44Speaker 1: in cancer, which I think we will, people will live
- 8:46Speaker 1: routinely into their nineties, We're going to have to raise
- 8:50Speaker 1: the eligibility age. And the sooner we do it, the
- 8:53Speaker 1: less painful it is because we can do it gradually,
- 8:55Speaker 1: and too many politicians want to wait until there's a crisis,
- 8:58Speaker 1: you know, speed up the brick wall, and then say,
- 9:01Speaker 1: crisis crisis, we've got to fix it. But then you've
- 9:04Speaker 1: got to fix it quickly and disruptively. We should fix
- 9:06Speaker 1: it now. So you want everybody wants fiscal balance, But
- 9:13Speaker 1: the way you look at fiscal balance is different from austerity.
- 9:17Speaker 1: So that's been a very contentious issue in Europe the
- 9:20Speaker 1: past several years. May people say those those solutions to
- 9:23Speaker 1: their crisis helped make even worse problems for countries like
- 9:26Speaker 1: Greece and others. What do you mean by fiscal balance
- 9:28Speaker 1: in the United States? Yeah, if you want to have
- 9:31Speaker 1: a lower deficit, if you want to come close to
- 9:35Speaker 1: balance in the budget, or even balance it the whole
- 9:37Speaker 1: way you can do that. Fiscal policy ought to be
- 9:41Speaker 1: used stimulus when you need it, and um to have
- 9:45Speaker 1: no deficit when you don't need it. But the best
- 9:48Speaker 1: way to fix it is to get rid of tax expenditures.
- 9:52Speaker 1: Appropriations get a lot of attention every year, they get
- 9:56Speaker 1: argued about, but our budget is full of tax expendatures
- 10:01Speaker 1: at his deductions that really don't do any good. And
- 10:05Speaker 1: although it's going to sound controversial, I would get rid
- 10:07Speaker 1: of the home interest deduction. I think that's a terrible
- 10:10Speaker 1: piece of public policy, and I'd get rid of the
- 10:13Speaker 1: corporate interest deduction. If you got of those two deductions,
- 10:17Speaker 1: you don't have to change appropriations, you don't change stimulus.
- 10:20Speaker 1: You would immediately balance the budget because those equal about
- 10:24Speaker 1: the deficit. The trouble with the home interest deduction is
- 10:28Speaker 1: that the bottom third of the population, the people you
- 10:30Speaker 1: want to help most are rankers. They get no benefit
- 10:33Speaker 1: from it. The next third don't itemize, they get no
- 10:36Speaker 1: benefit from it. It's only the top third and its
- 10:39Speaker 1: subsidizes the biggest home. All right, well, James Stone, thank
- 10:41Speaker 1: you so much for joining us today and giving us
- 10:44Speaker 1: I tasted your very erudite, very interesting new about five
- 10:48Speaker 1: easy pieces, common sense solutions to America's greatest economic challenges.
- 10:54Speaker 1: I'm Kathleen Hayes. This is taking Stock on whom the radio.
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