Latest / The Mark Simone Show / Mark interviews John Carney, editor of Breitbart Business News.
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The Mark Simone Show continues on sevent ten. Wor Well,
- 0:07Speaker 1: we bring you the smartest people around John Carney, the
- 0:10Speaker 1: business editor at breit Bart Bright Breitbart Business Digest is
- 0:14Speaker 1: something you should be reading every day. You know Breitbart
- 0:17Speaker 1: dot com, But we go to Breitbart dot com, go
- 0:19Speaker 1: to the Business Digest. Smartest people Scott Bess and Larry Cuddler.
- 0:24Speaker 1: It's the first thing they read every morning, Breke Bart
- 0:27Speaker 1: Business Digest. And when you go to Breitbart dot com,
- 0:30Speaker 1: go to Newsletters, click on that and then sign up
- 0:33Speaker 1: for the Business Digest. It's free. It'll come right to
- 0:36Speaker 1: your email every day. John Carney, how you doing very good?
- 0:40Speaker 2: Thanks for having me Mark.
- 0:42Speaker 1: Hey, I'm watching the Morning Joe. Apparently the whole economy
- 0:46Speaker 1: is in ruins, the brink of recession. The inflation numbers
- 0:51Speaker 1: came out, it's disaster. What's the real story.
- 0:55Speaker 2: So, yeah, we're not anywhere near on the brink of
- 1:00Speaker 2: in fact, the numbers that came out yesterday, Yes, inflation
- 1:05Speaker 2: picked up, and that's not great. Mostly it's gasoline because
- 1:10Speaker 2: of the strait of Hermos. But the thing that's really
- 1:12Speaker 2: striking about it is that it hasn't actually taken away
- 1:17Speaker 2: from spending elsewhere in the economy. One of my fears
- 1:20Speaker 2: personally was that because people were having to put so
- 1:24Speaker 2: much money into their gas tanks that it might they
- 1:27Speaker 2: might start to pull back in other spending. But we're
- 1:30Speaker 2: not seeing that. The personal they called the personal consumption expenditures,
- 1:35Speaker 2: but basically consumer spending really showed that people continue to
- 1:41Speaker 2: spend money all across the economy and that so far
- 1:46Speaker 2: we're actually not seeing as much damage as even you know,
- 1:50Speaker 2: I'm pretty bullish on this Trump economy, but this was
- 1:54Speaker 2: better that I thought it would be. You know, I'm
- 1:57Speaker 2: not surprised, you know, Morning Joe, the rest of it.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Then I saw a poll recently fifty five percent of
- 2:03Speaker 2: Democrats think we already universe sessions. So of course, you know,
- 2:07Speaker 2: like you're going to see that kind of stuff in
- 2:09Speaker 2: the legacy media.
- 2:10Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I guess like when you read the New
- 2:12Speaker 1: York has finished, everybody's left. I'm looking at the housing numbers.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Rentals are up through the roof, condo sales are through
- 2:19Speaker 1: the roof.
- 2:20Speaker 2: So you can't you can't walk down Sixth Avenue in
- 2:23Speaker 2: Midtown like well, you know, it's the streets are so crowded.
- 2:26Speaker 2: New York's not there.
- 2:27Speaker 1: No, Now we got a new FED chairman, When does
- 2:31Speaker 1: he actually start to do anything?
- 2:34Speaker 2: Yeah, so he's in office. Uh, he's hopefully right now
- 2:40Speaker 2: rearranging the parking spots and putting Jerome Powell you know
- 2:45Speaker 2: at the furthest Away parking spot, you know, just he
- 2:49Speaker 2: The thing that one of the things people don't realize
- 2:52Speaker 2: is that the chairman of the FED actually does a
- 2:54Speaker 2: lot more than just interest rate policy. You know, yes,
- 2:58Speaker 2: he's part of the Federal Open Market Committee, but there
- 3:01Speaker 2: are thousands of people who work for the FED, including
- 3:04Speaker 2: a lot of economists. They have really important jobs. One
- 3:07Speaker 2: of the things I hope he's doing right now is
- 3:11Speaker 2: checking who are these guys? Right? They are instrumental in
- 3:15Speaker 2: formulating economic policy in the United States, and we really
- 3:20Speaker 2: need to find out. Larry Tublo quotes this poll that
- 3:26Speaker 2: showed that something like ninety percent of the political donations
- 3:30Speaker 2: from FED employees go to Democrats. That's a big problem.
- 3:35Speaker 2: It shouldn't be like that. We need he So I
- 3:38Speaker 2: hope that when you know that, one of the things
- 3:40Speaker 2: Kevin's doing right now, you know, there's not another meeting
- 3:43Speaker 2: for a little while. You know about interest rates, but
- 3:47Speaker 2: what he should be doing right now is taking a
- 3:49Speaker 2: look at the personnel at the FED and making sure
- 3:52Speaker 2: that they haven't been doing anything like locking out Republican economists.
- 3:57Speaker 1: Now, the awful FED chairman, Jerome Powell has not step down.
- 4:01Speaker 1: He looks like he's going to remain on the board.
- 4:03Speaker 1: What actual power influence can he have on that board.
- 4:08Speaker 2: So the thing is that the FED chairman is really
- 4:12Speaker 2: only to lead by consensus. He has to bring people around,
- 4:15Speaker 2: and it's one of the reasons why former chairmen never
- 4:19Speaker 2: stay on the board. Powell is the first guy to
- 4:22Speaker 2: do this in sixty years. The reason why they always
- 4:26Speaker 2: lead is to let the new chairman lead the board.
- 4:29Speaker 2: Powell will have a vote on the interest rate policies,
- 4:32Speaker 2: He will have an influence over the other people who
- 4:35Speaker 2: are on the FED. I don't think it's really responsible
- 4:37Speaker 2: for him to stay on, but I'm not sure it'll
- 4:41Speaker 2: make that big of a difference right now. Look, as
- 4:43Speaker 2: I said in the beginning, the inflation numbers are going up.
- 4:48Speaker 2: The FED is not going to cut interest rates. As
- 4:51Speaker 2: long as the inflation is on the way up, they're
- 4:55Speaker 2: going to have to come down. I don't think we're
- 4:57Speaker 2: going to see that for quite a few months. So
- 5:02Speaker 2: if I'm Kevin Warsh, what I would be doing right
- 5:05Speaker 2: now is laying out the groundwork for how he thinks
- 5:08Speaker 2: monetary policy should be. Don't worry about whether you can
- 5:11Speaker 2: cut interest rates at this meeting or the next meeting.
- 5:14Speaker 2: That's actually doesn't make that big of a difference. The
- 5:17Speaker 2: longer term approach the Fed cakes is really what's going
- 5:20Speaker 2: to shape the economy. Everybody obsesses, right, will they cut
- 5:22Speaker 2: this meeting or is it going to be September, November, December. Look,
- 5:28Speaker 2: what really matters is the long term path of interest
- 5:31Speaker 2: rates and the long term policy of the Fed. That's
- 5:34Speaker 2: what Kevin Worre should concentrate on and we can worry about.
- 5:36Speaker 2: You know, when they cut interest rates, that's probably not
- 5:39Speaker 2: going to happen.
- 5:40Speaker 1: I explain that a little to people because people think
- 5:42Speaker 1: that's the most important thing, interest rates raising your Look,
- 5:45Speaker 1: it's not the most important thing.
- 5:48Speaker 2: No, it's not. And the especially the timing of when
- 5:52Speaker 2: they raise it or when they lower it. What really
- 5:55Speaker 2: matters is whether the Fed. One of the big problems
- 5:58Speaker 2: the FED has had over the life I would say
- 6:01Speaker 2: two decades, is that they've really been suspicious of economic growth.
- 6:06Speaker 2: Whenever the economy really starts to take off, the FED
- 6:08Speaker 2: worries that that somehow will be inflationary. Of course that's
- 6:12Speaker 2: not true at all. And by the way, they missed
- 6:15Speaker 2: the actual inflation problem we had, which happened under Joe Biden. Right,
- 6:18Speaker 2: so they've got it wrong. They let inflation get under
- 6:22Speaker 2: control under Joe Biden. Under Donald Trump in the first term,
- 6:25Speaker 2: they saw they started raising interest rates because growth started
- 6:27Speaker 2: to pick up. They need to break out of this model.
- 6:29Speaker 2: Economic growth doesn't cause inflation. That's the long term reform
- 6:34Speaker 2: we need is a model that doesn't say, right now,
- 6:37Speaker 2: the FED thinks we could grow at one point eight
- 6:38Speaker 2: to two percent, that's like the maximum they think is
- 6:42Speaker 2: the safe pace for the economy to grow. That's pathetic.
- 6:46Speaker 2: We can grow much faster than that, and the FED
- 6:49Speaker 2: should not be tuning its policies to hold back growth
- 6:52Speaker 2: the way they have for twenty years now.
- 6:54Speaker 1: Yeah, John Connie Bright Business Digest talk about AI for
- 6:59Speaker 1: a second. There's a lot of people that think everybody's
- 7:01Speaker 1: going to lose their job, that AO is going to
- 7:02Speaker 1: wipe us all out job wise. What's the real story.
- 7:06Speaker 2: So I don't think that's true. At all. I maybe
- 7:10Speaker 2: a year or two ago I might have been a
- 7:12Speaker 2: little worried about this, but partly because you had all
- 7:14Speaker 2: these guys working on AI saying, oh, you know, we're
- 7:17Speaker 2: going to take everybody's job. In fact, in history, one
- 7:20Speaker 2: of the things that happens is when you increase the
- 7:23Speaker 2: productivity of workers, which is one of the things AI does,
- 7:27Speaker 2: you actually make more demand for workers because they can
- 7:30Speaker 2: get more done. So I actually think that there's going
- 7:33Speaker 2: to be there's an economic Tournament's a paradox for this
- 7:37Speaker 2: where when part of the thing is is that when
- 7:40Speaker 2: you increase people's ability to produce more goods and services,
- 7:45Speaker 2: that actually doesn't decrease the amount of people you need doing.
- 7:49Speaker 2: It increases the amount of people because each person is
- 7:52Speaker 2: more productive. So I think we're actually going to see
- 7:56Speaker 2: a lot of demand for workers because of AI. Not
- 8:00Speaker 2: the jobs will shift, exactly what people will do doing
- 8:03Speaker 2: will shift. Frankly, a lot of people's jobs will be
- 8:06Speaker 2: made better because some of the drudge work that they
- 8:09Speaker 2: don't like to do right now will be actually being
- 8:13Speaker 2: done by a digital AI assistant for them. But they're
- 8:17Speaker 2: the actual work. A lot of people have in their
- 8:20Speaker 2: mind this image of the economy where there's only so
- 8:23Speaker 2: much work to be done, and if enough of it
- 8:25Speaker 2: is done by robots or computers, then we won't do anymore.
- 8:28Speaker 2: I guarantee you that's not the way the economy works.
- 8:31Speaker 2: If it was, we would have stopped working four hundred
- 8:34Speaker 2: years ago when we you know what, we got really
- 8:38Speaker 2: good at farming. Instead, what we did is we had
- 8:40Speaker 2: an industrial revolution, so you can you know, work will continue,
- 8:45Speaker 2: and I hate to break this tumor. Human beings will
- 8:48Speaker 2: never run out of work to do. I mean, we're
- 8:50Speaker 2: just always going to have to work, and that will
- 8:53Speaker 2: be But that's also good because it means we keep
- 8:56Speaker 2: coming up with new things that make our lives better.
- 8:59Speaker 1: Very encouraging. John Carney brilliant as always and bright bart
- 9:04Speaker 1: Business Digest. It's Monday through Friday, right that it comes out.
- 9:08Speaker 2: Monday through Friday, and you know, every now and then
- 9:10Speaker 2: we'll come up with a weekend special if something really
- 9:15Speaker 2: big is happening, and on Friday, as we do something
- 9:17Speaker 2: really cool, I call it the Weekly Wrap. It's a
- 9:19Speaker 2: little more lighthearted. We're going to talk in today's Weekly
- 9:23Speaker 2: Wrap about the two hundred and fifty dollars Trump bill
- 9:27Speaker 2: that they're talking about putting out and Treasury Secretary Bessett
- 9:31Speaker 2: is giving a big speech out in California today. You're
- 9:33Speaker 2: going to be able to read about that at bright Bart.
- 9:35Speaker 2: It's going to be a fun one today.
- 9:36Speaker 1: It's worth putting out that bill. Just drive those Trump
- 9:39Speaker 1: haters crazy.
- 9:40Speaker 2: Yes, I can't wait to walk into like a liberal
- 9:44Speaker 2: coffee shop. Pay for my coffee tifty dollars.
- 9:50Speaker 1: Amazing. Everybody subscribed to bright Bart Business died just I'm
- 9:54Speaker 1: telling you, Larry Cudlows, Scott Bessant, the presence the first
- 9:57Speaker 1: thing they look at every day. It's free. It'll write
- 10:00Speaker 1: your email. Just go to Breitbart dot com then go
- 10:02Speaker 1: to where it says newsletters, click on and open up
- 10:05Speaker 1: that and go to Business Digest and sign up for that.
- 10:08Speaker 1: John Carney, great stuff, Thanks for being with us.
- 10:11Speaker 2: Yes, have a great weekend.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Mark all right, take care. Hey, Yeah, it's going to
- 10:15Speaker 1: be a great weekend. Beautiful and sunny. Hey, if you're
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