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NCAAB Best Bets Saturday 2/14/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: My browins hat man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Everybody's towed back with you, toadstool sports.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: It's Saturday. This is the college basketball edition.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: No other sports to really talk about today, so it's
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be college basketball. I'm going to give about four plays.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I think I'm being pretty selective here. Hopefully these are good.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: A couple of them I think are quite strong. The
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: numbers are holding pretty steady on these games. I think
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: the numbers are not going to really get away from
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: us on these games.
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: We're gonna get into it.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Man one and oh yesterday with UNLV, they were getting
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: smacked in that game. They were down twenty three I
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: think in the game, and they we only needed them
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: to cover the ten and a half because that's where
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: the line was. As I did the show, that's what
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: I gave it out at. Stayed pretty much right at
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: that number. Not only did they come back, but they
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: got right back into that game, tied the game late
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: the game went into overtime and they wound up winning
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: the game in overtime, outright win for.
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: Un l V. Baby, that was big. I watched the
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: end of it.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of regulation and most of overtime,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: so that was yeah.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: I enjoyed it. Yeah. I don't know.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: UNLV has that one guy, that small guard they have
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: who was hitting those shots. That guy's good. I forget
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: what his name. He had some long name, like some
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: double last name. I forget what his name is.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: He was good, though. I don't know the names of
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: these players too well.
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: But and the goggles guy for Boys A Meadows or whatever.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: He wasn't wearing his goggles. Man, what's up with that?
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: Come on, man, anyway, let's get into him.
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: I did talk about briefly. I know the NBA All
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: Star stuff is going on. We got the three point contests.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: I kind of recommended Lillard in that one, just because
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: he's been there, he's done it before, He's got the
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: second best odds to get it, I think. So you
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: can go back and see how I analyzed it yesterday.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: The dunk contests, I basically don't have anything for it anyway,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: But I was talking about the three point contests. I mean,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: for a Lillard, the actual all star stuff. I have
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: nothing on. All right, let's get into college of basketball. Man,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Let's take no more time here, Let's jump into it,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: and let's go ESPN Noon number twenty. Clemson at number four, Duke.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Duke is a double digit favorite in this game. Duke
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: may show up for this game because, as I pointed
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: out last week, when our last game, when we faded
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: to Duke on the show and they didn't cover, they
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: played Pittsburgh, they didn't cover. It was a win for Duke,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: but I pointed out part of that handicap was Duke, Well,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: they were coming off the big game against North Carolina.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: They did lose as a favorite, but I thought Duke
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: was gonna be looking ahead to this game because Clemson
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: was I believe the only team in the conference to
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: beat Duke last year. With Duke not avenging that loss,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Duke played them once at Clemson they lost.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: So this is actually a potential legit revenge spot for
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: Duke just because of that, because they probably remember that
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: when you're a team like Duke and you have very
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: very few losses, you remember who beat you. So I'm
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: gonna have to lean to Duke in this one. Duke
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: is up from an eleven and a half point favorite
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: to a thirteen point favorite. I think you're probably getting
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: to a point where there's not really a lot of
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: line value there. Fifty four percent of the cash on
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: Duke fifty to fifty on the tickets. Seems like the
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: public is kind of digging that line's a little big
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: as well. I think it probably is a little bit
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: too big. But these two teams both also play slow ups.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I should probably bring up mister Palm Ken Palm here.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: Duke is definitely the better team. As we all know this.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Both teams are in the rankings right now, but Ken
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: bomb as Clemson actually outside of the rankings. They're very
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: legitimate defense, but not that good on offense. Duke is
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: good on both sides of the ball. Legitimately, both teams
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: are gonna try to slow the game down, though, so
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: a slow paced game perhaps is.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: Gonna happen here Clemson.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: I believe it's much better on defense, is what I
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: just said, than offense. So you have two legit defens
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: this year. I think an under makes sense in this
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: game too. The total to drop, though, from one thirty three,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: well only from one thirty three and after one thirty three,
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: so I think there might still be some room to
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: play the under in this game.
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: I think it will be a low scoring game.
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Clemson is coming off a loss of Virginia Attack as
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: a favorites. I think, you know you're gonna get focused
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: out of Clemson here. You're gonna get focused out of
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: both teams in my opinion. So Clemson did lose a
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: four game win streak. Sometimes that'll hang you over, but
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty ugly loss at home as a favorite.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech a decent sized favorite. Clemson was in that game,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: so I expect them. I think they were already looking
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: ahead to this game. I expect them to show up,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: but I expect Duke to show up as well after
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: kind of a lackluster performance against Pitt in the last game.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: I'll just bring it up for.
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: Solid solidarity, whatever the word is. Yeah, that's all I
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: have to say about that. ESPN two at noon, TCU
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: at Oklahoma State. This is not one of my plays,
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: but you kind of know what I would say about
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: this or what I'm about to say about this.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: TCU is coming off a huge win.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: They just beat Iowa State at home and they took
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: down one of the top five teams in the country.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: Huge win for TCU.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: They were I think seven point underdogs in that game.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: It seemed like maybe they should be bigger underdogs than
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: that because tc you has not had a good season.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: The bracketologies have them like sort of close to being
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: a bubble team, and that win over Iowa State will help.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Although I still have them outside of the tournament in mind,
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: I have them not even that close. Really, they're gonna
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: have to do more than beating Iowa State. But this
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: can be a letdown spot now, man, because they beat
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Iowa State, huge win. They got UCF on deck, and
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: UCF is a tournament team, so they might actually be
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that game as well. For Oklahoma State. Now,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: they did already beat Oklahoma State once. CCU beat Oklahoma
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: State at home by three. TCU were eight and a
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: half point favorites in that game though, So I do
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: talk about that how sometimes when a team in the
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: first matchup, if they were at home and they were
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: a big favorite and they almost got caught, a lot
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: of times they will show up in the next game
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: for that reason and they might show up anyway again
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: because Oklahoma State is a tournament bubble team as well,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: so I think both teams kind of want this game.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: It's just I mean, that's why I have.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Hesitations about it, because TCU is in a major letdown spot.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: But that is the only real part of the handicap here.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I would lean Oklahoma State for those reasons, but there
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: are a lot of like reservations that I have about it.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: I think TCU could, you know, potentially still wind up
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: focus for multiple reasons on this game. Like I just described,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: the spot is still better for Oklahoma State, though in
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: my opinion, they just went out to Arizona lost both
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: games out there. They're back home now they do have
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Kansas on deck, but I don't see.
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma State overlooking this.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: They got to get some wins here for their tournament resume.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: They did lose the game already to to TCU on
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: the road, even though they played played them pretty close.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Oklahoma State in this one. I apologize.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I've had like no sleep. I'm like out of it, man,
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: I was handicapping late last night and now I'm doing
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: the show on almost no sleep. So I apologize. Oklahoma
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: State's off from a pick them to one and a
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, eighty two percent of the tickets, seventy
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash, so they're looking public, which
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: that is the other thing that worries me about this
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: is that Oklahoma State could be a public side, Like
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: if you look at the number here, look at the
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: team's records. Oklahoma State has the better overall record at least,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: so the public might be tempted to actually play them
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: in a pick the winner scenario. So that wouldn't like
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: keep me off the game if I thought it was
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: sort of strong enough situation. I don't, but I will
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: lean to Oklahoma State just because it is a major
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for TCU c W. At noon, Georgia Tech
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: is at Notre Dame in the ACC. Two teams that
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: are going nowhere. Georgia Tech has lost six games in
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: a row. They just lost at home to Wake. They
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: got Virginia on deck. But I think if you're on
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: you're in this slide.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Like Georgia Tech is.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I just don't think you're gonna really overlook anybody. So
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: I think they'll show up, but I think Notre Dame
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: might show up as well. Just to try to get
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: a win. But Notre Dame is coming off a tougher game.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: They went to s They lost by eight. Not a
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: bad performance from Notre Dame in this one. They were
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: double digit underdog, so they covered in this game. They
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: were fairly close towards the end of this game as well,
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: so Notre Dame did play. It's tougher game here, So
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean to Georgia Tech.
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: Just for that reason.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame's up from a seven point favorite to a
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: But I would take the.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Points probably in that one, if I was gonna do
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: anything with it. But not a strong opinion at all.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: California at Boston College on the ACC network at noon.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: CAL playing in a weird venue, of course, unfamiliar venue
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: to them. M Cal is already out in the Eastern
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Times now because they just played at Syracuse. But I
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: think that was the bigger game of the two. I mean,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna play Syracuse, be seen. Neither of those
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: games are that big, but Syracuse is the bigger of
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: the two games. Cal was an underdog against Syracuse and
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: they took them to overtime.
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: I think they were only.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Like, Actually, I think they might have been about a
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: five point underdog in that game. Syracuse wound up covering
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: the game even though it went to overtime or maybe yeah,
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: double overtime. Actually, so CAL is coming off a double
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: overtime game and now having to go to BC. I
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: think it doesn't make it that easy for them. Man,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: when they come back home, they got to face Stanford.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: CAL did already win at Stanford, but that is still
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: a rivalry game when they come back home, though they
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: do get the week off before they play that game.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: But Cal, you know, they might overlook PC, even though
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: CAL is on a slide here where they're probably gonna
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: try to win a game, but so will b C.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: BC is at the very least they're coming of a
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: loss to Stanford.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: Stanford was a small favorite in that one. BC.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: I mean they're staying at home for a third straight game.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: At least to me, I think the spot does set
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for BC. I would probably
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: look towards taking the points with them here, But very
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: very weak opinion for me on that one.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: Cal's a three point favorite.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Ninety tickets ninety nine percent of the cash on cal
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: That number is obviously not accurate, but that's the way
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: I would leaning in that one.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: At Navy at cold game in.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: The battle for the Patriot League. Man, these teams actually
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: have not played yet this season, and they're the top
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: two teams in the Patriot League.
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: CBS Sports has this game at noon.
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: Colgate I think might have more motivation coming into this
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: one because if they lose this game, they're not gonna
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: be able to compete for the regular season championship in
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: the Patriot League anymore. They have to win this game
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: for that to be the case. If Navy loses, they'll
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: still be in the driver's seat for it. So there
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: is a little bit extra motivation on the Colgate side,
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: I think, and I think Navy might not be quite
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks very very pretty record
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: from Navy, but they're coming of an easy win over
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: buck Now, I mean.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna overlook Colgate, but it is the third.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Road game in four games for them, second straight road
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: game Colgate. The setup is a little bit better for
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: them because they're staying at home or econously, they're coming
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: back home. They just went to holy Cross and they
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: actually didn't do well. I think Colegate was looking ahead
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: to this game. They only got by holy Cross by four.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: I think they were about eight eight and a half
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: point favorites in that one at holy Cross.
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Holy Cross is a bad team, and you know, I
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: talk about when a.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Big favorite barely escapes like that, Sometimes it's because they're
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: looking ahead, but either way, it usually means they're gonna
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: show up with focus in the next game. So I'm
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: gonna look towards Colgate in this one if I was
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: gonna play the game. It also looks too easy to
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: play Navy with basically just to pick the winner number
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: here with they're much much prettier looking record what Colgate has.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: But the osmakers are telling you Navy is not that
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: much better than Colgate. I think Ken Bomb kind of
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: bears that out too by having Navy a pretty lucky team.
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: Forty fifth in luck, so they've overperformed a bit. Now.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: They are the better defense, though, So that's one worry
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: with a pick the winner type of situation like this.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: You know, I do like the better defense a lot
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: of the time. More often than not, I like the
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: better defense, and Navy is the better defense. Colgate is
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: actually lucky as well at sixty eight than Lock, so
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: both teams are lucky. I'm gonna stay away from it,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: but I'll slightly lean to Colgate in the game. Navy
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: has actually moved up from pick them to one to
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: that point favorite, so you're getting Colegate as an underdog there.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: It's not a strong opinion for me at all, though.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: ESPN you it knew and has Samford at East Tennessee
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: State in the socone. This is a second meeting. Samford
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: actually gave Ease Tennessee a run for their money when
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: they played at Samford. East Tennessee only one by one,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: so it is a road revenge game for Samford technically
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: because they lost the home game. But a lot of
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: times if one of the teams was significantly better than
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: the other, like East Tennessee is this year and they
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: almost lost the game, then sometimes that team will take
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: that team seriously the next time. So in this case, well,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee they're only three and a half point favorites
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: in that game though, but Samford did give them a
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: run for their money, so it's possible East Tennessee will
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: actually take them seriously this time because they only be
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: them by one. Sanford's on a four game win streak.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: They're coming off two nice wins against Mercer and Wafford.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: So now Sanford's basically playing the top three teams in
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: the conference in three straight games. That's not easy to
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: do them, man, So I actually do think the setup
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better of reesed Tennessee.
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee just beat Chattanooga. Now they do have Furman
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: on deck. Furman is probably the fourth best team in
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: this conference this year. I don't know the East Tennessee
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: is necessarily gonna be looking ahead to that game though
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: they have not played No yeah, excuse me. They did
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: play Furman once. They actually only beat them by four.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: And because Furman is yeah, is running decent in the
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: standings right now at fourth, maybe East Tennessee.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: Would have the look add to that. But I think
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: the spot sets.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Up a little bit bet of Reees Tennessee in this
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: one in my opinion, so I would probably lean towards them.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: They're up from five point favorite to a six point favorite,
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: so it looks like there was some live movement on
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee. I would not just agree with it, but
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: it's not a strong opinion for me. Ucla at number two,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Michigan at twelve forty five Eastern CBS.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: Very strange start.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Time for this one. UCLA coming in from the Pacific Coast.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Of course, Ucla, it's gonna be an unfamiliar venue for them.
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: Men's that's not great for UCLA, like these specific coast teams.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know, having an early start time. I think, well,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: it's not as bad as a an East Coast team
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: going out west to play a late game. It's late
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: on their biological clock, but it's still not exactly the
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: best spot for UCLA. Early start time, unfamiliar venue, they're
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: coming off. Just getting by Washington. Ucla didn't cover in
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: that game. They won by four as four and a
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: half way favorites. Maybe they were already looking ahead to Michigan,
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: but I think because Michigan's been so good this year,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: I think you pretty much know you're not gonna get
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: line value, usually laying points in Michigan. Now, Michigan did
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: just have a scare in their last game against north Western.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: They went into Northwestern, Northwestern was actually winning that game
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: by double.
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: Digits in the second half.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure believe it or not, even though Michigan
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: want a winning by twelve.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: I think there was like.
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: A twenty four point swing within the second half in
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: that game, which just crazy. That game was a lot
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: closer than the final score down the stretch man like
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Northwestern was still within I think two possessions with four
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: minutes to go in that game or something like that.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: So Michigan did sup for a scare, which doesn't mean
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: maybe they will show up in this game, because when
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: a big favorite has a scare like that, they a
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: lot of times will show up better in the next game.
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Although Michigan is Purdue and then Duke on deck, so
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: they play a huge Big ten matchup and then they
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: have Duke after that, which is another huge game and
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: a weird out of conference game. There's some random out
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: of conference games, man, I think there are a couple
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: today too, So you could make the argument Michigan's gonna
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to I'm not gonna do anything with
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in in Ucla.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: For what it's worth, Michigan is down from sixteen and
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: to a half to sixteen, huge favorite, but you could
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: make the argument maybe Ucla is gonna be able to
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: muddy this game up a little bit and play it slow.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's what UCLA does.
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: They play a slow style of game, and usually they
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: focus on defense. Both defenses I think are I mean, well,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: I don't want to say both defens are necessarily legit,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: but Ucla, I mean, they're a balanced team this year.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: They're good, They're fine on both sides of the ball,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: but they do still play really slow. Michigan is obviously
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: legit on both sides of the ball. Michigan is actually
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: the number one defense now according to ken Bum. It's
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: been back and forth between them and a couple other teams.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: So you know, I mean, you could maybe make a
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: case for an under in this one.
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: The total is pretty.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: High, higher than you maybe expect because that's because Michigan
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: plays fast. The totals at one fifty two and a half. Now,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: sometimes the better team will will dictate the tempo. Maybe
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Michigan will be able to dictate the tempo and run fast.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they want to over exert themselves either,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: because they have that huge Purdue game on deck. So
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty tough call as far as what's gonna
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: happen in this game. Fifty six percent of the tickets
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: around Michigan sixty eight percent of the cash on UCLA.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: I apologize, I'm not at my best this morning, man,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna give up my plays anyway. I would
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: probably agree with that and lean towards UCLA plus the points,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: but no strong opinion for me on that. The next
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: game is a strong opinion.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Let's go.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: You probably know what it's gonna be. Best bet number one.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the six and a half with Iowa State.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: I was worried the line is gonna get out of
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: control because they didn't move to seven. It would think
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: it was moving through the seven. But there are six
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: and a half's out there at some of the main books.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: If you lay seven, I think that's all right. I
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: probably wouldn't want to lay seven and a half on this,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: just because you want to make sure you still get
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: at least enough line value on this.
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: And this line is high.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: This is a number five Iowa State hosting number nine Kansas.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Now the oddsmakers are telling you Iowa State's still the
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: better team, but they're probably skewing the number a little
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: bit because they know that the spot is really bad
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: for Kansas. But I'm not sure that they skew.
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: The number enough. Man, to be honest, this.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Is this This game screams Iowa State to me for
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: so many reasons.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: This game's on ABC at one pm Eastern.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Uh. First of all, we know that Kansas has that
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas is in a major letdown spot. They just beat Arizona.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: They beat the number one ranked team in the country.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I thought Kansas would win that game. And even though
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Kansas was without their best player, who is projected to
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: be one of the top NBA draft picks, Peterson. I
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: think it's his name, Kansas did that without him. So
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: if he comes back, I still like display because it's
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: like Kansas will be thinking, well, if we could beat
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Arizona without him, we're gonna be just fine with him, right.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: But that's the type of win that can really really
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: put you in a letdown spot.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: So I yeah, that's where you start the handicap. This
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: is a major letdown spot. And it was even bigger
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: because Kansas had not knocked off a number one ranked
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: team since like the nineteen fifties.
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: I think at home.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: I think that means they'd never done it at Allen
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Field House. That was a huge win for Kansas. Man,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: the crowd was going crazy. There was no court storming,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: but the crowd was going insane. Now they got to
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: go to Ames, Iowa. It's a very very difficult venue
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: to play in. And Kansas, by the way, they played
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: at Iowa State already earlier this year and they beat
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: them by twenty one at Kansas. So this is also
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot for Iowa State. Iowa State is not
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: going to overlook Kansas. We know this, and we know
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: that for numerous reasons, which we'll talk about in a minute.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: But Kansas there is the potential they won't take Iowa
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: State as seriously as they should because they beat them handily.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: But if you look at what happened in this game,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: and this is a major outlier of a game, Iowa
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: State actually had more field goal attempts in the game,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: they had more possessions, but they shot thirty seven percent
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: from the field. Kansas shot fifty one percent and shot
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: fifty from three point range. So I mean there's got
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: to be some expected regression there. Iowa State's not gonna
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: shoot that poorly.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: From the field.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: Again, unlikely that Kansas is gonna be able to hit
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: fifty percent three pointers again, and this game was very
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: very close statistically besides those shooting major shooting outliers, the
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: game was much much closer than it should have been.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, the game was much much closer than it
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: looked on the scoreboard. Excuse me, and I was stayed
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: by the way. They were actually a road favorite in
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: that game. They were a three and a half point
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: road favorite. So this line might actually you could make
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: the argument this line is a little bit short, although
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: I guess now we know Kansas is better than we
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: thought they were then. But if that line was three
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: and a half and that one, that would mean this
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: line should probably be closer.
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: To like nine.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: You know, you know, I think it is possible that
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: even though I said I don't, I wouldn't want to
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: play this like above seven, I think maybe you could
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: make the argument there is still a little bit of
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: lie value left there. But seven kind of the key
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: number in college basketball because teams stop intentionally fouling at
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: the three possession threshold.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: But either way, it's a situation where you had the.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: Road favorite lost the first matchup outright, So that is
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: a situation where you do want to lay the points
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: more often than not. With that team in the second matchup.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: So we have that going for us too.
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: But it gets even better because Iowa State had a.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: Horrible game last week. I told you they went to TCU.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: They lost the game at TCU. Now, they did lose
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: a five game win streak. Sometimes I talk about when
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: a team loses, the win streak will be hung over
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: into the next game. There is no way that Iowa
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: State's gonna overlook Kansas, man, I don't think. And the
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: last time Ioa State was at home, they only beat
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: Baylor by three, which was not the greatest result either
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: of the Iowa stated they kind of just packed that.
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: Game in early.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: They were winning that game more handily than that, So
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: they won that game more easily than it does look
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: like they did, but they still got a little bit
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: of a scare at.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: The end of it.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: So this game has Iowa State written all over it.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: To me, man, we're doing it. We're laying the points
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Iowa State. The number looks like it has moved up
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: from five and a half to seven with juice, But
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I looked right before I started the show, there were
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: six and a halfs a multiple books the big books,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: and seven's were pretty abundant as well. Kansas looks like
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be a public side because everybody saw them
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: knock off the number one team and they already blew
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: out Iowa State.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: So it looks really really easy to.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Take a ton of points with Kansas. Fifty five percent
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: of tickets are on Kansas, fifty seven percent of the
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: cash on Iowa State. So it looks like a pros
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: versus Joe's type of scenarios setting up here where the
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: public are going to be on Kansas. So Kansas is
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: setting up to maybe be a public underdog in this one.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: So I like it even more because I like taking
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: those anti public favorites because you know you're getting the
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: better team and fading the public simultaneously. Ken bumb is
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Iowa State seventh best in the in the country, fifth
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: best offense. He's got Kansas at eleventh. That's not bad either,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: fifth best defense excusually for Iowa State, ninth defensively for Kansas.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: But where Iowa State is a big edge is offense.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Their top twenty offense, Kansas is outside the top forty
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: according to kem Bums.
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: That's the major difference.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Iowa State is actually the slightly better defense too, but
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: they're the considerably better offense. Both teams play kind of
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: a mid tempo if you want to call it that,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: maybe slightly on the slower side. And Kansas is also
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: the luckier team according to ken Bum's Luck Index year
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: top one hundred in lock. Iowa State is outside the
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: top one hundred, so ken Bum's numbers have some some
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: things going for them for Iowa State there as well.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: So everything lines up pretty nicely in that one man.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Iowa State is the first play all right, Big Ten
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: Network one PM Northwestern at number seven. Nebraska. I think
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Nebraska is a bit overrated. Ken bombs them at fourteenth
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: and a somewhat lucky team.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: I keep pointing that out.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: He's got Northwestern is a very very unlucky team.
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: The problem with Northwestern is the spot, obviously, because as
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: I said, Northwestern, they just played Michigan and Northwestern had
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: a huge lead in the in the second half in
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: that game, they were winning by double digits and they
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: wound up losing the game.
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: That's a brutal loss for Northwestern. Man.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: They had Michigan almost on the ropes there, and then
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Michigan came all the way back and won by double digits. Again,
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the game is a lot closer than that final looks,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how Northwestern is gonna respond off
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: of that. Now, there are some things to like about
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Northwestern here that, as I told you, kem Bom has them,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: is a very underrated team. They're a lot better than
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the record would suggests that they are. They're already lost
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: at home by nineteen to Nebraska, so Nebraska might not
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: take Northwestern seriously, and Nebraska themselves are coming off a
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: huge game as well. Nebraska just lost to Purdue at
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: home in a crazy game that went to overtime, wild game.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: Nebraska had a huge comeback in that game, they were
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: losing I think by twenty maybe even more, came back
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: and could have won the game, sent it into overtime,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: and wound up losing. So Nebraska is in a pretty
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: brutal spot here coming off of that as well. Man,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: So this game, both teams are in pretty bad spots.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: Although I think I would probably have to lean towards
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Northwestern if I was gonna play it,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: just because I think that's where the line value probably exists.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Nebraska down from fourteen to thirteen, so there has been some.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: Movement against them.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: Ninety two percent of the tickets and eighty three percent
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Nebraska, so they are a very
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: public team with less of the money on them. So yeah,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with Northwestern there, but I don't want it.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: Number seventeen Saint John's at Providence at one pm on
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: TNT and true team being now first look at this
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: the public might wind up being on Saint John's here.
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: They're down from seven and a half to seven. They
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: got seventy one percent of the tickets around Saint John's
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: only fifty four percent.
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: Of the cash.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: But I actually think the public might be right in
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: this game. Now Saint John's they're coming up and win
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: over Xavier, and it was not a good performance. It
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: was the Patino battle of course again there son versus father.
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, inside, I want to kill myself.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Rick Patino not saying that right now because he has
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: swept the season series against his son Richard. But Saint
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: John's didn't do well in either game against Xavier.
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Xavier took them to the limit both times, and I
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: believe they took them into overtime and maybe both games. Yeah,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: but they definitely did in this most recent game. So
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Saint John's had a scare as a big favorite. And
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: you know I talk about when a team has a
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: scare as a big favorite, a lot of times they
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: will show up with a lot more effort in the
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: next game. Saint John's were sixteen and a half point
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: favorites in that game. And remember it was a horrible
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: spot for them because they were coming up beating Connecticut.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Huge win for Saint John's there, and they had this
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: Providence game on deck, which I said was part of.
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: The sandwich spot there. I'll explain that in a minute.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: But I was telling you the problem that Saint John's
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: is going to show up for Providence, well, and I'll
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: mention it right now. I guess the reason for that
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: is Saint John's has one conference loss on the season.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Guess who that loss was to. It was to Providence
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: at Saint John's or at Madison Square Garden or whatever.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: So Saint John's only conference loss to this point was
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: a bad loss at home. It's huge favorites to Providence,
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: so I think they were looking ahead to this game.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I actually think they have this game circled man. Saint
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: John's has Marquette next. They already beat Marquette in embarrassing
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: fashion that killed Marquette, so I don't think they're gonna
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to Marquette. I think Saint John's wants
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: this game, so I do not agree with the market
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: read in this one. I would lay it with Saint
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: John's if I was gonna play this one. Ultiple things
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: going for it. The big favorite that almost lost in
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: the prior game, and it's it's a revenge spots, as
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: you know, Like I said, it's a it's a situation
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: where a team was a huge favorite at home and
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: lost and now they get the chance to avenge that loss,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: and it's their only loss in conference play. And I
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: talk about that too. When you know, when a team
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: has one loss in conference play, they will show up
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: usually unless there's something else going on with the situation.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: More often than not, they're gonna show up and play
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: and try to get that revenge in that game. Providence
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: also is terrible defensively, so that's kind of the one.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: The major issue there.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: The Providence could score, but their defense is got awful.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: Providence is coming off a tough game at Seaton Hall.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: They played pretty close at Seaton Hall. I think they're
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: probably four four and a half point dogs in that one.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: I would guess. Let me see, Yeah, four and a half.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: So Providence is coming off a bigger effort game in St. John's.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: This because again Saint John's almost lost as a big favorite.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: Providence.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's coming off a big performance against Seaton Hall
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: and falling short. So yeah, I would lay the points
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: with Saint John's in that one if I was gonna
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: play it.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Charles, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: SEC Network one PM. Texas A and M at number
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: nineteen at Vanderbilt. Texas A and M has started falling
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: down in the SEC standings like I said they would.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: They're playing pretty well under Bucky McMillan, I think, first
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: first year head coach with Texas A and M. But
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: the wheels are kind of coming off the Texas A
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: and M team, which I thought they would. I don't
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna miss the tournament or anything, but they're
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: falling off a bit. But maybe this is a spot
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: to maybe start looking towards Texas A and M. Because
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M they just lost at home to Missouri,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: and A and M was coming off losing a wind
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: streak to Alabama and then in the next game they'd
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: gotten blasted by Florida, but they might have been looking
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: ahead to Vandy Man, So I don't know. I think
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M maybe kind of got caught, but
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: they lost as like a seven to seven and a
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: half point favorite at home to Missouri, So I think
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: you will get a better effort out of Texas A
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: and M this time going to play Vandy.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Vandy's a pretty.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: Good team, though ranked nineteenth, Ken Bomb actually has them
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: thirteenth and has a pretty balance.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: They're pretty good on both offense and deepfense.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Vandy's coming up a bigger game, though they were actually
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: an underdog at Auburn. I'm pulled off the upset, but
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: I told you I did like Vandy in that game.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: I wasn't buying the unranked favorite aspect of that game.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: I liked the spot better for Vandy because Vandy was
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss as a seven and a
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, I think to Oklahoma in the prior game. Well,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: now that's Texas A and M that's coming off the
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: ugly loss as a seven and a half point favorite,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would probably into Texas A and M
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: in this one man Vandy coming off the nice upset win.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: They only have Missouri on deck, which I don't think
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: is a big deal, But I think we might actually
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: be getting A and M with some line value here.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Now Vandy's a six and a half point favorite, they
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: might hit seven. They've gone up from five and a half.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: We got sixty percent of the tickets and eighty nine
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Texas A and M. Texas
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: A and M, you know, they've gone from being a
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Deesus sized favorite in one game to being an underdog,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: a decent underdog, in the next. So I do a
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: lot of times I will like to look for that shift,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: right like when a team's a big dog one week
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: and now or they were a big favorite one week
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: and now they're a big dog the next week. So
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: they went from being a basically like a public favorite
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: one week and they didn't get the job done at
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: all to now being possibly sort of an anti public
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: underdog the next week. It's an angle that I like
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: in every sport, but I talk about it more in
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: like NFL because it's easier to see, like week to
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: week when you have a big shift like that, or
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: you know the inverse one team goes from being a
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: big underdog to them being a big favorite.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: I like to look to fade that.
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: Team, but in this case, I would look to be
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: on at Texas A and M. If I was going
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: to play that game, I'd probably take the points there.
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: All right, let's keep going, man, Long Island at New Haven.
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: The thing about this game is Long Island is coming
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: off not playing that well at Wagner. They won by ten,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: but this game, Long Island is the best team in
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: the Northeast Conference, which isn't sane much. But Long Island
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: was really really bad shooting in this game. They had
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: one to three pointer in the game. They shot eight
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: percent from three point range. They came close to losing
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 34:34
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: I know they won by ten, but Wagner was really
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: giving them some problems. Man, it was a three point
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: game with a couple of minutes ago. So Long Island
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: is coming off of an escape and they're playing New
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Haven here in the last time they played New Haven
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: at home. Long Island didn't do that well in this
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: game either. They were nine and a half point favorites
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: and they only won by five and new Haven gave
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: them a little bit of a scare multiple times in
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: the second half in that game, so Long Island might
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: actually take them seriously this time. So I would probably
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: be leaning towards Long Island in this one.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: New Haven is coming up a.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: Pretty tough game against Central Connecticut. Central Connecticut is probably
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: the second best team in this conference. They were the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference last year. New Haven only
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: lost them by five. I assume new Haven was a
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: dog in this one. Yeah, they were three and a
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs. They actually didn't cover, but it was
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: a tougher performance from new Haven in that one. So
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: I would probably be leaning towards Long Island in this one.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: They were seven point road favorite, though with a low
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: total of one twenty eight and a half. So I'm
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: not really that keen on laying these road favorites with
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: very small with very low totals like that, you know,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: in these ugly games. So but if I had to
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: lean in that one, that's the way I would lean.
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: I just thought there was maybe a little bit of
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: an angle there in that one.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: Chicago stayed at Lemoyne.
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: I thought that maybe I had some sort of angle
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: in this one. Chicago State's on a nice role three
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: wins in a row, even though they're a really bad team.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know how they've done this, to be honest.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: They're playing Leamoye. Lamoyne's been one of the better teams
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: in the conference this year. Lemoyne beat Chicago State at
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: Chicago State by fifteen already, so Lemoyne might not take
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: them seriously. Leamoyne just beat Mercy Hurst, who is one
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in the conference, although I think
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: Lemoyne probably didn't cover this one.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: They're only two and a half point.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: Favorites though, so it was still a pretty big win
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: for them getting by Mercyhurst. And they got Central Connecticut
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: on deck and Central Connecticut beat Lemoyne at Lemoyne by
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: ten points, so I think they might be looking ahead
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: to Central Connecticut for those reasons. So I think Chicago
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: State might still be the way to look to continue
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: their momentum. They're getting seven points here down for seven
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: and a half, so you wouldn't need them to win
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: the game this time. They just need to cover as
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: a big dog. That's the way I would look in
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: that one. As ugly as that is, total low in
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: the one, but yeah, Chicago State would be in my
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: opinion in that one, plus the points of course Leamoyn
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Central Connecticut also because Central Connecticut's kind
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: of one of the better teams in the.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: In the conference.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: So all right, Furman at VMI in the SoCon, I'm
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: gonna skip some of these games because I got to
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: get through all these games. They are way too many games.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: It's a Saturday. I'm already dying here. I'm gonna have
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: to take a break at some point. Furman is coming
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: off three big games, well two big games. They had
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: a huge game against East Tennessee, fell just short.
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: Uh, then I faded them.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: If you remember on Super Bowl Sunday, I gave out
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: UNC Greensboro against them. They got the outright win over them.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Then Furman could have had a bounce back after that,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: and they did not. They went to Mercer. It was
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: a tough game and they lost by five at Mercer.
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: So now they're coming up of all that and they
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: have East Tennessee on deck. So I would only be
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: able to look towards.
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: Vm I here Man.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Furman has this game sandwiched in between probably two, well
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: two of the other top three teams in the conference,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: which I think is accurate, Mercer and East Tennessee State.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Furman coming up the big game against Mercer,
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee State in revenge on deck and then Wafford
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: actually right after that. Wafford in second place in the conference.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: So this is like clearly the down spot in the
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: schedule for Furhman. And they already beat vm I by
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: twenty one at Furman, so I don't think they're gonna
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: take vm I seriously at all. VMI has been bad
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: though we tried to go with them against UNC Greensboro.
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: They couldn't cover that.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: But if I was gonna play the game, I would
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: have to play vm I in this one.
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: Man. They are back at home in this one at the.
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: Very least, and they're gonna be a pretty decent sized
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: dog at home here coming up another ugly loss. So
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: it would be vm I for me if I was
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: gonna play at Furman. Down from thirteen and a half
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: to thirteen. You're getting points at home, getting double digit
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: points at home in this one with vm I at
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: the very least, and total is in the one forty,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: so it's not high.
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I like I would lean to vm I
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: and that one.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: Like I said, all right, I'm checking my list here
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: because they do have my other.
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: Leans that I was gonna talk about while I go
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: through all this.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: All right, Uh Pitt at North Carolina at two pm
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: on ESPN number eleven North Carolina. Pitt covered against a duke,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: but they still lost by double digits. So Pitt might
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: show up in this game too. It might be a
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: worse spot for North Carolina. Now, North Carolina, they just
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: lost a five game win streak with that loss to Miami.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: I gave up Miami as a winner on North Carolina
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: did lose Wilson here to injuries you can see here,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: so pretty big loss for he broke his hand, So
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: pretty big loss for North Carolina there. But it does
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: put them in an injured player spot. So you know me,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: like I kind of will lean towards teams that lost
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: like a star player sometimes because they'll play harder a
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: lot of times knowing that they have to with that
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: guy gone. And sometimes you get a little bit of line. However,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna get much line value with
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: North Carolina in a game like this. I think the
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: injured player there also doesn't work as well in college basketball.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: It works better with like quarterbacks in the NFL, and
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: it works better with star players in the NBA for
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: the most part. Now, North Carolina could still be in
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot here, man, because they're coming off those
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: two big games against Duke and then Miami.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: It was still a big game for.
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: North Carolina against Miami last time, man, Miami probably well
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: not probably, but Miami as of now is going to
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: be a tournament team, and North Carolina has a big
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: game of deck against one of their rivals, NC State.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: So this you could definitely make the argument this is
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: still a sandwich spot for North Carolina. I think that
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: might overshadow the any injured player spot here, because again,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna really get much line value
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: when it's college basketball with North Carolina.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: North Carolina is still an overrated team.
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Pitt if I was
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: gonna play this North Carolina down from twelve to eleven here.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: So the money seems to be agreeing with that. Ninety
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are very public still and only
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash. North Carolina is nowhere
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: close to the eleventh best team in the country. Man,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: that's just the way that it is. Ken Bom has
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: them outside the top thirty. I think, oh no, he
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: has them twenty eighth now. But still, yeah, I would
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: go against North Carolina if I was gonna play that one.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: All right, Oh, what else do we want to talk
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: about here? ACC Network at two pm? Florida State at
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. Not the greatest ACC game of the Florida
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: State might not be quite as bad as the record looks.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: They've been playing competitively, but the problem is they just
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: did that at home against Virginia. Florida State had Virginia
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: on the ropes. Man, they almost pulled off the upset
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: against the ranked Virginia team. That would have been a
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: huge win for Florida State, and they fell just short,
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: losing three and lost a three game win streak of
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: the process.
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: So I think you could make the argument there's.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: A hangover spot now for Florida State coming up that
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: huge performance. Yeah, Virginia Tech has a good record, so
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: maybe you'll still show up for that game.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: But Florida State team that's going nowhere.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Like Florida State, that was a huge game for them
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: against Virginia.
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: Man, But for Virginia Tech.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a big road up set against Clemson,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: so they're coming off a huge win as well, and
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: they have Miami on deck, who is at least a
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: probably again Yeah, I mean, I guess I'll say probably
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: probably there'll be a tournament team. So Virginia Tech is
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: kind of in a sandwich spot here. So what do
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: we do with this game besides leave it alone? I mean,
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: it's one of those games where I say over might
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: make sense in the game if both teams are kind
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: of in bad spots and they might not be totally focused.
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: It can show up on the defensive end.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: But the total has already gone up from from one
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty and a half to one hundred and
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: fifty seven, so there's like there's no value left in.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: That little man.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's gone up from five to six and a half.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: I could see the argument for it because Florida State
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: is coming off almost pulling off a huge upset. You know,
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: I guess, I man, I guess I wouldn't disagree with
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: fading Florida State there and with laying the points of
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. But you know, I can't do it because
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I think Virginia Tech is in a sandwich spot of
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: their own there, so that is definitely stay away. And
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: you know me with my not doing totals the c
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: W at two, we have SMU at Syracuse, not not
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: the almost interesting game. SMU is coming off beating Notre
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: Dame and not doing that well and doing so so
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: maybe they will show with focus.
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: But the problem is SMU having.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: To go up from Dallas up to Syracuse, New York,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: and with Louisville on deck, I don't know if if
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: SMU is really gonna show up for this game. Man,
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: even though SMU didn't do that well against Notre d
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: in their previous game, don't know if the.
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Spot's that great for them.
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Syracuse is coming of an overtime game though, but they
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: are staying at home. They beat Cal It was a
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: decent win for Syracuse, though Syracuse did have the worst
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: record even though they were actually the favorite in the game,
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: so they did. You could see it go in two ways,
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: Like a lot of times, a favorite, if they don't
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: do that well and they get taken into overtime, they'll
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: show up focused in the next game.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: But maybe they don't know.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: They were that heavily favored, or they didn't feel like
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: they were because Cal has the better record and whatever.
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: It was a tough game. Still, it went into overtime.
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: Syracuse also has Duke and North Carolina in their next
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: two games, Duke on Monday, so not really a great
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: setup for Syracuse necessarily. Here the money has come in
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: on SMU up from two to two and a half.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with SMU in this one. I think the
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: fact that SMU just kind of barely escaped against Notre Dame,
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: I think if you put more weight into what just happened,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: because that is what affects you more physically, I guess
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: I'll lean towards SMU, But no play for me in
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: this one. Seventy five percent of tickets, one hundred percent
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: of the cash on SMU. Obviously, that is not accurate.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports two pm, North Dakota State at North Dakota.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: They get a TV billing. I mean it's a decent game.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: I mean in the Summit League, we got first place
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: versus third place in the Summit going on here, and
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: it's a rivalry. These teams play again at the very
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: end of the season, so they haven't played yet this season.
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State's coming up an easy win over a Omaha,
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: so I.
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: Think both teams will show up for this game.
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: North Dakota is coming up bouncing back and beating South
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Dakota after North Dakota lost to Denver.
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: Both teams are gonna show up for this one.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: I think North Dakota kind.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Of considers themselves to be the little brother here because
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State is almost always one of the better
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: teams in the Summit League. North Dakota State is up
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: from five to five and a half though, so some
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: of the money is coming on North Dakota State. I
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: think you might have to pay attention to, like who
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: do these teams play next. North Dakota State does play
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: celth Dakota State next. They already beat South Dakota State once.
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: South Dakota State is way down this year, so maybe
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: they'll show up for this one.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: The money has come in a little bit.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: It looks like on North Dakota State total is low,
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: fairly low, really low for Summit League game because this
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: is a conference that's known for offense. I kind of
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: lean more towards taking the points in that one, though.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: With North Dakota.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: I think just putting more weight into a game like that,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: being the little brother essentially there. So that's the way
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean, but I don't have a strong
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: opinion on that in any way. All Right, what else
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: do we have here? A lot of these games I
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: just don't care about that much. Let me see if
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: you want to talk about some of these other games.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: I can a Wagner at Stonehill. I talked about this already,
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: because Wagner is coming up that game where they played
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: Long Island really close. That was a big game for Wagner,
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: and they're actually in a Long Island sandwich. I don't
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: know if that's a sandwich with all the alcohol in
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: it or what it is, but.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's some Italian sandwich of some kind.
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: But Wagner has Long Island again next after they just
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: played Long Island close, So they have this stone Hill
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: game sandwiched in between two games against the top team
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: of the conference. That's because of a postponed game earlier
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: in the season that changed the schedule Wagner. They did
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: lose the stone Hill however already, though, so they might
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: not overlook stone Hill just because they lost at home already.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: To Stonehill by nine, so that might keep them in
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: check a little bit here, but they are still into
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Long Island Sandwich here man Like I said, so I
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: would probably have to lean to stone Hill here.
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: Stone Hill's coming out of.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: A really ugly loss at Chicago Stage who is not
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: a good team, So stone Hill might be in more
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: of a bounce back mode here.
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: I would lean Hill, but not really a strong opinion.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: It was on my list of games to talk about
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: my leans, though Stonehill's up to a three point favorite.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you want to lay any sort
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: of points in a game like that with a total
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: in the one twenties, but I would lean to stone
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: Hill slightly in that one. It's a party sub yeah,
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: maybe the stupid rich people on the Hampton's buying the
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: party subs.
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know, alright, what else do we have here? Again?
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, I can talk about some of these other
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: games if you want me to, but I'm trying to
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: skip them for time, you know, especially because a lot
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: of these games are just not really very interesting. Liberty
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: at UTEB on ESPN two. I don't know why this
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: gets a TV billing. Liberty is still undefeated in the
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: Conference USA MAN and they only have three losses on
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: the season. They're probably gonna be a hyped team if
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: they make the tournament, but I think they're gonna have
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: to win their conference to win the tournament man or
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: to get into the tournament.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: Liberty is escaping in a lot of games. They've had
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of close calls, and they're coming of another
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: one at New Mexico State. Maybe that means they'll show
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: up with a little bit more more focus here, but
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't because they're playing UTEP. It was one
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: of the worst teams in the conference, and they already
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: beat UTEP at home once pretty easily by eleven, so
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: Liberty might not take UTEP seriously.
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: And it's a fourth road game in five.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Games, which doesn't really make it easy either. UTEP did
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: just pull off an upset at Jacksonville States. That was
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: a nice road win for UTEP there. So even though yeah,
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: I think UTEP will show up for Liberty here, it's
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: a tough spot for them just because they're coming off
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: another game where they're coming up a game where they
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: pulled off an upsets.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: They have to play the underdog role multiple games in
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: a row.
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it has come in fading Liberty,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: though they're down from seven and a half to seven. Here,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: the seven looks really easy to lay with Liberty with
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: this huge record. Disparity between the two teams total is
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: low in the one thirties, so there are some things
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: that make it look like you should take the points here.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure. I know that Liberty is an
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: overvalued team, but Liberty coming up that game against New
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: Mexico State, they were favored in this game, I think, Yeah,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: so they actually didn't cover, So they're actually coming off
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: of an escape against New Mexico State. So I actually
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: probably slightly lean towards Liberty in that one. Not a
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: strong opinion though. All right, next up, let me see
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: here La Tech at FIU. Let me see I had
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: some opinion on this. Yeah, loa Tech is uh. This
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: is also in Conference USA. LA Tech is coming up
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: two pretty nice wins against Sam Houston and then upsetting
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Missouri State on the road. Sorry, justin beating two of
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: the decent teams in the Conference USA that are around
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: them in the standings, and they have a big game
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: on deck against Jacksonville State, who is one of the
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: better teams in the conference and a team that already
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: beat Louisiana TACH once there ahead of Louisiana Tech in
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: the standings, So this could be a sandwich spot playing
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Florida International here, who's not a great team in the conference.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: This will be the first time these teams play this year.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: Florida International is coming off losing at home to Delaware.
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: That is an ugly loss. Man, I'm sure FIU is
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: favorite in that one. Delaware's one of the worst teams
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: in the conference, if not the worst. Yet, Florida International
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: were eight and a half point favorites and they lost
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: the game outright, so you know, I talk about that
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: when you have a substantial favorite that lost the game
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: out right, a lot of times they will show up
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: focus in the next game. They do have Liberty on
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: deck which might be a concern, and then Missouri stayed
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: in sam Eustas. They do have some bigger games on
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: deck two. But if I was gonna play the game,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I would have to go FU in this one.
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: Let me see Louisiana Tech. Where are you at?
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: There are too many Techs there they are. FIU is
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: a four point favorite in this game, but Yeah, that's
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: what I would do. I would lay it with FU. Also,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: there's no way that the public is gonna want to
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: do that. They're gonna see, wait a minute, how am
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: I getting points with Louisiana Tech, who has the better
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: overall record and the better conference record, but I'm getting points?
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: Well, the oddsmakers are telling you not to believe the
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: records there. They're telling you one team is overperformed a bit,
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech. Ken Brom probably bears that out too, although
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: I don't want to go into that much detail in
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: a game and I'm not playing, but he's got Lo
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: Tech as the fortieth luckiest team in the nation, and
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: for who were talking about FIU, he has them three
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: hundred and eleventh in luck f IU and they play
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: fast and Louisiana Tech plays slow, So if VIU speeds
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: it up, it could throw Louisiana Tack out of.
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: Their comfort zone.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: And yeah, Florida International has been the underperforming team. Ken
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: Palm does concur with that as well, So you're getting
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: an undervalue commodity with FVIU there. If you do play it,
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do. I would I would lay
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: it with Florida.
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: International in that one. All right, next best bet.
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: This is the only all my other games are in
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: big conferences, which I already gave out one of them
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: on Iowa State.
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: This is the only small conference game I have.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Charleston's Southern plus three and a half
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: at Radford.
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, people are gonna look at this.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it doesn't look that he's gonna
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Radford here, But this is all
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: about the spot.
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: Both teams have similar records. Surefine, whatever.
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: Radford is actually up from three and a half, you
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: might be able to find a four on this out there.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: I think it's mostly three and a half's out there though,
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: But this is all about fading Radford. Man, look at
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: the spot that Radford is in. Radford just played the
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: two top teams in the conference, Winthrop. They played both
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: teams for the second time, Winthrop and then high Point,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: and they played both of them really close. They took
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Winthrop to the wyre and only lost by two. So
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: that was the second time Radford took Winthrop right to
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: the wire.
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: That was at home this time.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: Then they had to go on the road and face
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: high Point and they were huge underdogs. High Point the
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: team that dominated the conference last two years, although they
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: only won the conference last year, high Points the best
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: team in the conference.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: Radford were fourteen and a half point underdogs in this
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: game at high Point, and even though they lost by nine,
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: this game was basically right to the wire. The game
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: was within two in the final minute basically of the game.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: It was a two point game after Radford I believe
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: it hit three to cut it back to two with
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: a minute to go. Basically, so Radford went all out
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, and they basically took High Point
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: right to the limit. And now they're coming off of
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: those two huge games. I don't see them having a
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: whole lot left in this one.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: I know they only have Gardner Web next. That's not
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: a look ahead. Garter Webb is disgustingly bad this year,
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: but it's still I think a double hangover spot for
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Radford here. And they already beat Charleston's Southern shortly before.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: They played those two games.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: They went on the road and beat Charleston's Southern by nine,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: So this is a road revenge angle here for Charleston Southern.
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Charleston Southern in this game. Were only one and a
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs, so they did not cover. But if
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in this game, Radford shot
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: well from three point range forty three percent from three.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Charleston Southern lost the turnover battle at home, so maybe
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: they can clean that up, but they had a horrible
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: shooting game.
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: Charleston Southern actually.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Tied in the rebounding battle, and they actually had more
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: field goal attempts in the game, but they lost because
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: they only shot thirty eight percent from the field. You
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: gotta think there's gonna be some sort of positive regression there.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: Radford probably won't hit that high of a percentage from
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: three this sun. They also, I don't think they take
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: that many threes. Charleston Southern takes more threes, and they
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: were just ice cold from three point range in that game,
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: so maybe there'll be some positive regression there too. Twenty
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: two percent was pretty low from three point range, but
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: just overall, they're missing their shots, so there might be
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: some positive regression and sore for Charleston Southern coming into
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: that game too. So I like Charleston Southern in that
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: one man plus the points, that's what we're gonna do
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: and looking at ken Bum, there's some things to like
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: about this too. Charleston Southern more of a balanced team.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: They do play fast, but they're also really really low
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: in the Luck Index. They're the eleventh unluckiest team in
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: the nation according to Kent Bum. So Charleston Southern is
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: actually underperformed a bit according to kem Bum, whereas Radford.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: Radford's also unlucky, but not as unlucky. Radford does play
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: fast as well. I think both teams play fast, but
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I believe with Charleston Southern you're getting the better defense
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Radford two sixty two according to Kempum. Defensively, they're a
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: bit more skewed towards the offense. Yes, Charleston Southern is
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: worse on offense, but they are the better defense technically
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: getting points. They're about They're close like twenty rankings spots
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: better defensively than Radford. So Charleston's Southern better defense getting
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: points all right, but yes, I like that side. Villanova
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: at Creighton two thirty pm and Fox Big East game here.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: It's a big game. Villanova is near the top of
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: the conference. They're the last team considered to be a
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: tournament team right now in the Big East. Villanova is
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: coming off a close call against Marquette. Man, they did
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: not play well against Marquette. They were nine to a
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: half point favorites and the only one by three. So
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I talk about that when a team has
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: a scare is a big favorite, a lot of times
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: they'll show up with more intensity in the next game.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: They don't have anything big on deck. They got Xavier
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: Villanova playing Creighton here. They actually lost at home to
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: Creighton too, so there's no way they're gonna overlook Creighton here.
• 57:51
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, it'll be a big game for Villanova.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Villanova's only got three conference losses. One of them was
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: at home to Creighton, and the only other two team
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: they lost to her to Saint John's in Connecticut. So
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: Creighton is the only team below them in the conference.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: They've lost to him. They lost to them as a
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: home favorite. You know, I like that angle too, when
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: a team is a favorite. They were only a four
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They lost the game out right, man,
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna show up with a bigger
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: effort this time. So I do like Villanova in this one,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: even though it might look too easy.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Creighton.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they're coming off a bad game against DePaul. They
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: only I mean they lost. Excuse me, I had one there.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: This Creighton team just isn't really that good this year though. Man,
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: they do have Connecticut on deck and then Saint John's.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook Villanova. They probably won't,
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: but you're getting the better team Villanova in what should
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: be a focused spot for multiple reasons. I would have
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: to lean Villanova here, although the money is not agreeing
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: with me. Villanova is a three and a half point favorite.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: It does look too easy to lay the points.
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna disagree with that.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of the tickets around Villanova, so their
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: public side only seventy one percent of the cash. Public's
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: not always wrong, though, Man, I'm not gonna like, I'm
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: not gonna play a game like this, but I think
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: there are more reasons Selene towards Vanova on that one.
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: The total is in the one.
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: Forties there all right?
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: ABC at three pm, Big game between number twenty five
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: Kentucky and number fourteen Florida in the SEC. Kentucky they're
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: coming off season sweeping Tennessee, so They're coming up a
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: pretty big win man against Tennessee.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: This is a huge game against Florida two.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: But the spot is a little bit iffy, I think
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: for Kentucky because it's gonna be a second big game
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: in a row. I think Florida might be playing with
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a chip on their shoulder coming
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: into this because I believe in the Todd Golding era,
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: he's Florida's coach right now. I believe Florida is zero
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: to four against Kentucky. I believe they have not beaten
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: Kentucky under Todd Golden. As crazy as that sounds, Kentucky
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: has had their number every time. So maybe there's a
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: matchup thing. Maybe Kentucky matches up well against them. And
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: of course, if you want Florida hear you're laying a
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: ton of points. That's kind of the problem.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: With Florida here. But Florida's just kind of rolling right now.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: They just had an easy win against Georgia Kentucky coming
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: up that huge comeback. By the way, Tennessee was blowing
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: Kentucky out of that game, and Kentucky had to make
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: a huge comeback against a physical, defensive Tennessee team.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: That's not easy, man.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: So I do think I would have to lean towards
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: Florida in this one if I was gonna play the game.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: The money seems like it agrees.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Florida is up from eleven and a half to twelve
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: and a half, fifty four percent of tickets, sixty percent
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in Florida. Again, I think Florida
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: might take Kentucky a little bit more seriously just because
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: of the recency. They've struggled against them recently. But again,
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: there could be a matchup problem. Maybe maybe Mark Pope
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: just knows how to deal with Florida.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: And of course, yeah, a team that's beating a team
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: four times in a row now they're getting twelve and
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: a half points, you know, so you don't even need
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: them to win the game that something. But I think overall,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: I probably would have to lean to Florida on that
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: one if I was gonna play it. All right, Big
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: Ten Network at three pm, Penn State at Oregon. This
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: is an ugly one between maybe the two worst team well,
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even think Oregon's the.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: Worst team in the Big Ten man. Oregon's sitting at
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: the bottom of the standings. They're lower than Penn State.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: But I think probably Oregon's probably better than Penn State, Rutgers,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: and Maryland in my opinion, not better than Northwestern. But
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: if you look at well, actually, I don't know, maybe
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: Ken palm Out will tell us, Yeah, Northwestern is probably
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: better than Oregon. Let me see where does he have
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: Northwestern at. I'm just curious. Yeah, he has a Northwestern
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: way better than them. Very underrated team, but Northwestern is.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: But if you're gonna look at this game, you're gonna
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: notice that Oregon has this horrible, horrible record, even worse
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: than the awful Penn State, and Oregon is laying six
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: and a half points. But why is that, Well, it's
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: because the osmakers are telling you Oregon is massively underperformed.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: Obviously, they're not a good team.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna argue that they are, but they're better
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: than the record makes them look, to the extent that
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are giving them that much respect in the number.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: The public's gonna want nothing to do with that. They're
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: gonna think that line makes no sense. But when a
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: line makes no sense, the odds makers are doing it
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: for a reason man, and for Penn State. Penn State
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: just upset Washington on the road. Man, I think they
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: were double digit underdogs in that game. Yeah, Washington's not
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks. Penn State were twelve
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: and a half point dogs in that game and they
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset. So I don't see them having
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: much left after that, Man, and Penn State played close
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: against USC at home the game before that too. I
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: think Penn State might be all out of steam. They're
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be in a letdown spot here. Third road game
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: of four games. I know, yes, now they're used to
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: playing on the Pacific coast like adjusted to the time zone.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: But so that was a pretty monster upset for them
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: against Washington. So it would be for me or leave
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: the game alone. Oregon's lost a bunch of games in
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: a row. They're coming back home from having to go
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: to Indiana and losing both games. They actually played pretty
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: well against Purdue though, believe it or not, on the road. Now,
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: Oregon's back at home. Last time they were at home,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: they lost badly to Iowa. I like when teams return
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: home in college, and they lost their last home game,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: because that will focus them a little bit more because
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: they want to get a win in front of their
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: home crowd. So this game would be Oregon or pass
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: for me. Oregon's up from five and a half to six.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: I would lay it if I was gonna play it,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: although it is very difficult to lay points like that
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: with a hideous Oregon team that really does not play
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: well offensively.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: They offend me. That's that's how offensive they are.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: All right, keeping track of like what game I wanted
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: to talk about next as far as like Lean's and whatever.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: All right, we.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: Got TNT True TV at three pm our Quet at Xavier.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: This is an ugly Big East game. Man, Marquette did
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: just play well, man.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: They almost upset Villanova.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: But if you look at the rest of what's going
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: on in this situation, Marquette lost at home, I think
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: to Xavier.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: All right, wait did they No? They won? Excuse me?
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: They won by one.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: So maybe Marquette will take Xavier seriously though, because Marquette
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: were five and a half point favorites at home against
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: Xavier and they almost lost the game. So that is
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: an angle to use where maybe Marquette will show up
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: because of that. But they're coming off that big game
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: against Villanova they do with Saint John's on deck, but
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: you know already what Xavier did in the last game
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Man as huge underdogs again, they took Saint John's to overtime.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Man on the road. This time they have Villanova on deck.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: So that's a huge sandwich spot really that Xavier's in.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: They haven't played Villanova yet this year. Even though I
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: know they lost at Marquette. They gave Marquette a scare
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: so I actually think there's there's more to like in
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: this game about Marquette or there's less to dislike about
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Marquette in this game. I should say the spot is
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: just worse for Xavier and Man after they put in
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: that huge effort in the Battle of the Batinos and
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off a double digit upset. I would I
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: would only be able to look at Marquette in this one.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: The number seems like it is agreeing with me. Xavier
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: down from three and a half to two here, so
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: you've lost some value on the number there. But I
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: would take the points of Marquette if I was gonna
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: play that one.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: Kyle, what's up? Man? Uh?
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: I had to go early, ish Man, I mean, this
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: is Saturday college basketball like this is a it's too
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: huge of a show, so I can't Yeah, I can't
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: have this show ending like you know, afternoon or whatever.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: So I have to get it done. Man Monroe in.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: Texas State this game, I can't believe I actually considered, uh,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: you won Monroe in this game, but that is the
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: way I would lean in this one. Texas State's coming
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: off a big game. They just beat Troy.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: That's a huge game.
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: Troy is still the best team in the Sun Belt,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: even though they're behind app State in the standings. Now
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: that is a big win man for Texas State, who
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: has not been that good on the season. Now they're
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: playing you on Monroe, who I believe they already beat. Yeah,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: they already beat you woman Row on the road, although
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: they only beat them by five, So that's one thing to.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: Maybe be concerned about that.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Texas State were ten and a half point favorites in
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: that game and they only won by five. But it
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: was still a road win, so you could take it
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: both ways. It's for me, it's hard to gauge that.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: Like I like when in the second matchup when a
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: home team had a scare in the first matchup, when
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: the road team had a scare. It's still won the game.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: It is still like a road revenge angle I think
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: where it's like, oh, you know, like Texas State might
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: be thinking, well, we already beat UOMAN Row on the road.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: Of course we could beat them easily at home, right,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: That might be their mindset here. And Texas State is
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: South Alabama on deck, and that's a big game too.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: They're in third place in the conference, so it's a
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot plus road revenge for you All Monroe here.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: So the only way I could look at this game
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: is to play UW Monroe. My reservations would be mainly that, yeah,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: Texas State did fail to cover as a big, big
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: favorite against you All Monroe, and JULL Monroe is absolutely atrocious.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: So that is the other thing.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: You Monroe is coming off getting blown out by Arkansas State,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: But Arkansas State is probably.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: The most underrated team in this conference.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: They're in the middle of the pack in the conference,
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: but they are actually pretty good as far.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: As the Sun Belt is concerned.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: You Monroe does have Troy on deck, but when you're
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: Ull Monroe and you have one conference win, you're not
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: really overlooking anybody. Man, So it would be U all
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: Monroe in this game or pass on the game. Texas
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: State did move up from a twelve point favorite to
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: a thirteen and a half point favorite. But yeah, I
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Juol Monroe if I was
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: gonna play that. But you want to see how bad
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Eule Monroe is. Ken Bam has them in the bottom.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: He has them whatever, that is the eleventh worst team
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. He has them unlucky though.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: He has them as one the unluckiest teams too. So
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: there you go.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: Out of the bottom ranked teams, they're the unluckiest out
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: of all of them at the very least. So that's
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: something that Uel Monroe can hang their hat on. I
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: never sleep correct, Alright, what else do we have going
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: on here?
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: I mean, we have these.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: Ugly American East games here. I don't think I had
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: a whole lot going on with that. Njat is overrated though, man,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I'll just keep pointing that out. I'm looking to see
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: what I had next for like my next leaning I
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: was gonna talk about here. Cellthlabama and Arkansas State at
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: three PM is probably the most interesting game in the
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt today. Cellthal Obama beat Arkansas State by four
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: at home already, but I think this is gonna.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: Be a big game for both teams.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State, by the way, was actually a road favorite
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: in that game, believe it or not, a four and
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: a half, So this is a situation where the road
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: favorite lost the first game on the road, So that
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: would have me leaning towards Arkansas State. I do think
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: State is an undervalued team as well, Like I was
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: pointing out, they're a good team. Man South Alabama coming
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: off a road game, we get Southern Miss. Southern Miss
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: not a very good team though, Arkansas State coming up
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: a much easier game though, beating yel Monroe at home,
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: So I think the spot sets up better for Arkansas State.
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: Here we got Arkansas State actually in revenge mode, and
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: it's revenge mode losing from losing as a road favorite
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: in the prior game.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: And you might be getting a little bit of line
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: value now they're up.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: From seven to seven and a half here, and there
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: were four and a half on the road. Like if
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: there were four and a half on the road, maybe
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: that line wasn't totally accurate and maybe it was a
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: little bit too high, but even so, like this line
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: should probably be Like I don't even I don't know,
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: like maybe even like nine nine and a half, so
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State and the line just dropped a little bit
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: out of six and a half. But I would only
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: be able to lay the points of the Arkansas State there.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: I think they're the better team.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: The Osburgers are telling you they're the better team than
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: might be some slight line value there, believe it or not.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: And if the public looks at this game, they're only
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: gonna want to take the points with South Alabama, Like
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: how am I getting seven points with the team with
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: the better record?
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: But again, those types of things can be misleading. I
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: will point out that in the Whack, we're gonna start
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: having third conference meetings because that's a conference with only
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: seven teams in it, so the teams are all gonna
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: start playing each other for the third time, which is insane.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: We do have, I guess, a TV game in the HBCU,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: the historically black colleges and universities, whatever the hell it is.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: People are gonna get mad at me for saying, like, uh,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: what did I say a colored something like that?
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: Yesterday? Dirty sock? What's up? Man?
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: I watched some of that game last night, the late
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: game there while I was doing the handicapping, I had
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: it on. Uh, this game is not interesting to me though.
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: Florida A and M at Jackson State. This is actually
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: at Jackson State. This one's not in California. It's on
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: HBCU Go, so there is actually a streaming service. I
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: guess for just the black collegist. I'm historically black collegists.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: I have no idea, dude. Florida A and M just
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: broke a four game losing streak with a win, so
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: that could give them some momentum coming into this one,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: and they already lost at home to Jackson State, so
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: I'd be looking in Florida A and M's direction in
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: this one. Florida A and M were actually seven and
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites in that home game that they
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: lost too, so that would have me even more looking
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: towards Florida A and M in this one.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: I talked about how Jackson State they battle testing themselves
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: outside of conference. They face a real gauntlet outside of conference.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: They are coming up an ugly loss to Pine Bluff, Arkansas.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: Pine Bluff is one of the better ish teams in
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: this conference. I don't think they're actually that good though
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: Southern and Bethune Cookman are action the two best teams
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: in the Swack, so that's kind of an ugly loss
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: given that Arkansas Pine Bluff is overrated. Jackson State lost
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: that game by twenty one points.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: So they might show up in this game.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: Two Plus, they get to host this game, which is
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: like kind of an event. But I still think I
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: would probably have to lead to Florida A and M
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: in this one. It's not anything that's really on my radar,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: but talking about it because it.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: Is a streaming game.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: Florida A and M dropped from one and a half
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: to one here, but the Oswegers are telling you that
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: the better team by lining them as a road favorite here.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: But I know Jackson State their overall record doesn't look
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: good at all either because they face a really, really
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: difficult out of conference schedule.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: So that's what's going on in that game.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Florida A and M, though
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: probably I would lay the money line. Actually, yeah, is
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: that Robotustin and fried Chicken?
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah? I don't know, man check might have to check
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: it out.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: See if you can find a stream of that game
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: that's uh mirroring that stream or something, you know what
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, you probably I don't know, because it's such
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: a an off the beaten path game and one of
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: the worst conferences in college basketball. But you could usually
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: find a stream somewhere for like every game. And I'm
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: not so I shouldn't recommend that. I mean, in theory
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: you probably can do that. I'm not recommending it though.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: You shouldn't do that, don't. Yeah, yeah, get off my back. YouTube,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: all right, the Big three thirty games, Georgia at Oklahoma.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: Let's see here they'll be Hennessy adds on that channel.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: By the way, Georgia coming off getting blown out by Florida.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: And I think it was a little bit misleading to
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: not just because I did give out Georgia as a
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: play in this one, but look at what happened in
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: this game, man, Georgia shot thirty five percent then from
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: the field, they had nine more field goal ats Empson
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: Florida did, but they shot horribly from the floor. Florida
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: was over fifty percent from the floor. That's basically what
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: did Georgia in. There was just a kind of it
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: was kind of a major shooting outlier type of game.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: The I know Florida is good on deepfense. I'm not
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: going to deny that, but Georgia, they're usually a very
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: good offensive team. Georgia is and they just had a
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: horrible shooting game in the game. The game, at least
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: I think should have been closer, even though Georgia did
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: lose the rebounding battle too, but that was a little
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: bit of a misleading result. Now we got Georgia coming
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: off of a blowout loss and lost four or five,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: so I think you will actually get a focused Georgia
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: team in my opinion coming into this. And I don't
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: like the spot for Oklahoma. Oklahoma They're going nowhere this year.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: They did break a long losing streak, and a lot
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: of times I do like when a team loses a
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: losing streak because they'll break that losing momentum and show
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: up focus in the next game.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: Four excuse me, eight long in a row, I think
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: is what they had there.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: The problem is the win that they had was against
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: vandy Man on the road. That was a big upset
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: win for Oklahoma. They were like seven and a half
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: point underdogs in that game, so they pulled off a
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: huge upset there. So I think they might be in
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here man, Oklahoma not really going anywhere.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: They got Tennessee at Texas A and M on deck.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: Those might be bigger games too. I would have to
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: lean to Georgia in this game.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: I considered it as.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: Maybe a play, but there just wasn't enough going for it.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in in Oklahoma, but I don't agree
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: with that. I would take the point or points with Georgia.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma's up from pick them to one sixty percent of
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: the tickets ninety percent of the cash on Oklahoma. Money
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: is coming in Oklahoma. I yeah, I mean, I disagree
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: with it. I would lean towards Georgia, but again I'm
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: staying away from that. I'm gonna take a break and
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: then come back after I get more water.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: Empty on my nose. And I don't use that.
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: You guys saw that whole thing with that baby company
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: that somehow was just putting out.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: All this like like basically like pedophilic content with their ads.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you said, I don't know how
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: nobody noticed that for so long and it finally blew up.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: Maybe because the epsteam files are.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: In in the limelight now, people decided, hey.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: Look at this.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: And decided to shed light on it. That stuff is disgusting, man.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: But they had like a I don't know, like a
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: snotsucker thing for babies. That's what that's me. I need
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: one of those for myself, is what I'm thinking. But yeah,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: Liberty versus.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: UTEP, not really.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: I mean it looks way too easy to play Liberty
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: in that game. Obviously, Liberty is nowhere near as good
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: as their record looks, but given what the spot looks
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: like in that game, I mean, Liberty is coming off
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: almost getting upset by New Mexico State, and I think
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: UTEP played a close game against I think they actually
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: upset somebody, right, Jacksonville State maybe so, I think the
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: spot is actually slightly better for Liberty, But from a
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: numbers perspective, like it looks way too easy to play
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: Liberty in that game. So that's the problem with it,
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: Like situation would have me slightly you need to Liberty there.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: There's no way I would touch that game from a
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: side perspective, noticing Air, yeah, the number one luckiest team,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: there are gonna be spots to fade them. Well, one
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: of the spots to fade them was the prior game
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: I did.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: I did mention that as a lean I liked New
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: Mexico State in that game, and they did cover.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: That was I think kind of the spot to fade them.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: Like Liberty, this isn't really a spot to fade in
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: them because now they're coming off a scare, correct, ken
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: bum aslam is the luckiest team in the country.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're not as good as they look. There's still
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: the best team in.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: That conference, though that conference is absolutely terrible. The next
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: best team in that conference. I don't even know how
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: far down they are in Kenbom's rankings. Sam Houston is
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: the next best. Sam Houston is a bit of an
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: undervalue team.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: There is that.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: I was talking about that, but now they're kind of
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: on the radar because they started winning games. But I
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: was talking about earlier in the season how Sam Houston
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: was way underrated. Liberty is overrated. But yeah, they are
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: still the best team in that conference. But there definitely
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: is a chance they don't. They don't win that conference tournament, man,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: and then they would be out of the tournament if
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: that was the case.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: All Right, I will be right back and then I
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: will get to I still have two more plays. I'm
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: gonna go through the rest of the board here. We
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: don't have a ton left at least, I don't know.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: And hopefully it's not another hour, but we'll see. What
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: was the last game I talked about?
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma? All right, I'll be back in a second.
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Well we're good game this it'll end
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: like probably a ten.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: Thirty my time. At the latest. Liberty is eating man.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they they're they're the team now because they have
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: the they're the Jerry Fallwell team. They're the they're the they're.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: The Christianity Inc.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 4: Team.
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: So yeah, that's that's what's going on with them. They're
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: probably a huge Zionist school. All right, I'll be back
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: in a second.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: What are you all right? Mist of her? You like
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: to worry, well, Josh, I am a little worried.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 5: My Celtics are playing a very important basketball game tonight,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 5: and I really want them to win.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: It's like you said, the most important thing is that
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: they tried their hardest and they have fun.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: No, the most important thing is that they win. I mean,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 5: we're not talking about kickball here, where there's absolutely nothing
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 5: at stake. We're talking about the National Basketball Association.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 4: They have to win. To understand, they're tearing down the
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 4: Boston Garden at the end of this season, so this
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 4: is their last chance at glory. They will not lose
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 4: because I won't.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: Let them lose.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 4: Do you understand, Don't cry don't cry out.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: It's just being silly, all right.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm not going to get a copyright strike for that.
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: That is Celtic Pride.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: Everybody go check that movie out. I don't know where
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: you can even find it now. It's got to be somewhere.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Decent movie, way funnier than critics will give give it
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: credit for.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: All Right.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: Peacock four pm, Kansas State at number three Houston. Houston
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a huge favorite in this game. Kansas
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: State having a pretty bad season. They'll probably show up.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: For this game.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just lost by almost thirty at home
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: to Cincinnati. You know, they'll at least probably get up
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: for this game. It might be a game or Houston
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: just kind of goes through the motions, you know, Houston,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: they play slow. They got a big game on deck
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: with Iowa State and then Arizona and then Kansas so
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: they got a gauntlet here.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: Two of those games on the road too.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: I don't think Houston gets out of those three games
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: without taking another loss, so they might be looking ahead.
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: So this is probably just get in, get out for Houston.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think they're gonna lose the game,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points with Kansas State if
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: I was gonna look at this game.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: We know Houston they play slow.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: Again, like I said, it's a game where they just
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: don't even have to put in a full effort to
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: win this game. They're up to a twenty three and
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: a half point favor from twenty two total is low
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: one to forty six. Kansas State doesn't want to play slow,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: so it might be frustrating.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: For them to have to do it.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: But again, I think if it's a slow game, I
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: mean Houston could like they're probably gonna not even get
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think Houston gets to eighty in this game,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, even though Kansas State might
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: give up some points every now and again. Again, I
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: think it's a game where you used to could just
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: take their foot off the gas by the end of it,
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: win by double digits.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: Not cover that type of game.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: cash on Houston.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: They're definitely a public side.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: I would fade them in that game from a point
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: spread perspective.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: Yes, that's what I thought. They're yeah Zionus and they
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: have that.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: Like fake adoption scam thing that's going on there where
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: they're scamming young women into giving up their babies. Whatever's
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: going on there. There's been a little bit of an
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: expose on that. Cassandra Fairbanks is working at Cassandra Fairbanks
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: is working on that. I mean Cassandra McDonald. Wait, what's
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: her name now? I forget whatever, whatever her name is now,
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: formerly Tim Poole's booker. You know what I'm talking about.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: She's good, she's awesome. Actually, four pm, Fox Sports one
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: Colorado at number twenty two BYU.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: Colorado at least.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: Is used to playing in a game, in playing games
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: in elevation, which is what they're doing here. Colorado coming
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: up a disgusting thirty four point loss.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: To Texas Tech.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: I know Texas Tech is good, but a thirty four
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: point loss to anybody, I think you're gonna be pretty
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: mad about that. It is the third third road game
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: in four games for Colorado, although I kind of expect
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: them to show up though after a horrible game like
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: that for BYU. They just ended a losing streak with
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: the win over Baylor, though, and that game was not
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: the greatest game.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: For BYU Baylor.
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: I think Baylor had a huge comeback in the game.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: I think BYU might have taken their foot off the gas.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: So there are some positives for BYU here because they
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: didn't have the greatest game against Baylor. Sometimes they'll refocus.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: A team will refocus after a performance like that. BYU
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: ended a four game losing streak where you could kind
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: of see why they lost those games. I mean they
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: lost to Arizona at Kansas, then they got into a
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot and I gave out Oklahoma State as a play,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: and then they had to play Houston. I mean they
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: weren't expected to win those three games, and then the
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: other game of the game that they lost as a
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: favorite was a sandwich spot. So you know, BYU is
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: not as bad as that run makes them look. Now
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: they did break out of that, but the problem is
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: they do have Arizona and Iowa State on deck here,
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: so those are huge games on deck. So I probably
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: would have to lean towards Colorado in this game. BYU
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: is up to a fifteen and a half point favorite
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: from fourteen and a half eighty nine percent of the
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: tickets and only sixty five percent of the cash. BYU
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: looks like a public side with less of the money
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: coming in on them. Lean to Colorado for me, but
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: no strong opinion really. Number twenty four Louisville against Baylor,
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: and this game is not at Baylor. It's gonna be
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: in Fort Worth, Texas. Baylor is in Waco, So this
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: game is like a I don't know if you want
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: to call it a semi home game for Baylor because
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: it is still not that far away from their campus,
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: but whatever you want to call it, it's yeh, semi
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: home for Baylor, I guess is what we want to
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: call it. Louisville looked way too good in their last game.
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: They put up one hundred and eighteen points and one
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: by forty one against nc STAGE, who's a pretty good team.
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: This Louisville team they are, Yeah, I mean they're a
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: team that they live and die by the three. So
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: if they're making a ton of three is they're gonna
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: absolutely destroy you. If they're missing their threes, they're gonna lose.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: So this Louisville team is a high variance team. It's
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: a team that I usually would not want anything to
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: do with it, Like, I just don't want anything to
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: do with their games, and I don't hear either, but
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with the team. It
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: just put up one hundred and eighteen points and one
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: by forty one. I don't want to do it against
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: what is going to be probably another tournament team in
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: NC State, and Louisville has another projected tournament team on
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: deck with SMMU. Although they did already beat SMU once
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: there's the potential.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: They overlook Baylor here.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: Man, this is kind of a weird spot for an
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: ACC team to have to I mean, at least these
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: ACC teams do you know, play play at SMU. Although
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: Louisville didn't play at SMU yet, they're making a trip
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: out of it. They're staying in Texas after this game
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: and playing SMU, So Louisville hasn't made.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: This trip yet. So it is a weird trip.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: Because they played you know, SMU at home already, So
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: it is a weird trip for an ACC team now
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: to go out here to the Dallas Fort Worth area.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: Baylor.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: The problem I have with Baylor is Baylor just putting
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: a couple of big efforts in a row.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: They play at Iowa State and by you really tough, well,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: not really tough, but they made huge comebacks in both games.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: Baylor was losing both games, and they made both games
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: close by the end of it. So I don't know
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: if I could trust Baylor in this game.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: I just I don't know if I can Baylor. I mean,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: they probably realized at this point they're not gonna make.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: The tournament whatever.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: I guess they'll still show up for a game against Louisville,
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: but it's not I can't make it a play. There's
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: no way I'll lean to Baylor plus the points.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: But coming up those.
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: Two big games where they were able to play two
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: ranked conference opponents close, I just don't know exactly what
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have left here, man. But yeah, the spot's
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: not good for either team here. Jeff, what's up, man?
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: You think Baylor's gonna show up? Yeah, it's gonna be difficult.
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: I'm giving what that spot is. I'll agree with Baylor,
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: but this is not gonna be on my card, not
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: nowhere close to my card. Louisville's six and a half
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: point favorite sixty one percent of the tickets, only fifty
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash. You might get seven on
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: Baylor if you do like Baylor. The total is extremely high,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: mostly because of Louisville at one hundred and sixty three
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, an under might be worth
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: a looking a game like this because both teams are
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: coming off really high scoring games. But that was a
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: product of Louisville hitting a million threes in their game
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: and Baylor getting you know, pushed to a like getting
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: their pace pushed high by b Yu by us like
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: all offense too. Man, So I think an under might
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: be worth a look in that game, and the public
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: will have nothing to do with an under in a
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: game like that. All right, what else we got going
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: on here? I'm gonna I gotta consult my sheet here.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: Still all right? Wyoming at Colorado State. I did list
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: this game as being something to talk about. Oh yeah,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: Wyoming just played really close against Utah State, and they
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: were coming off San Diego.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: State too, and they played San Diego State to within nine.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: That game wasn't that close, but they came off of
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: that and they played Utah State, who's the best team
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: Wyoming took Utah State right to the limit.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: They lost the game by two points after Utah State
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: got a little bit too comfortable.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: Wyoming came all the way back and got it to
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: it within a two point margin in the final minute
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: of the game. So I think Wyoming could be in
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot after that. Man, They're playing Colorado State,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: who's looking way down this year, even though they're actually
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: above Wyoming in the standings.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: Now in the conference.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: But Wyoming already beat Colorado State right before those two
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: games I just mentioned at home by eleven, So there's
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: the potential they might not pay attention to them. They
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: got Fresno on deck, and Fresno actually beat Wyoming in Fresno,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: So I don't like the spot for Wyoming here.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit of revenge for Colorado State, maybe
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: an overlook spot for Wyoming and Wyoming coming up that
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: huge performance to try to get back in that game
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: against Utah State. For Colorado State, they're coming out of
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: an easy win over air Force, although that is kind
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: of a revenge game because those teams are geographic rivals.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: But it's such a one sided rivalry. Air Force is
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: such ass I don't think it really matters. So I
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: like Colorado State in this game. Man, It's not on
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: my card, but this one was listed as one of
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: my stronger leans. Colorado State's up from four and a
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: half to five and a half here. I would look
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: to lay it with Colorado State if I was gonna
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: play it. The osmakers are telling you they're actually the
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: better team, even though their record is only slightly better.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: The osmakers are telling you it's a little bit better
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: than that, so or that they are a little bit
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: better than that.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: ACC Network four pm.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: Stanford at Wake Forest weird spot Stanford. They're already out
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: on the East coast though they just beat BC on
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: the road.
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: Not a big win or anything going down to Wake.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: But if you look at the line in this game,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: Wake is a four and a half point favorite, even
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: though they're a five hundred team overall and Stanford as
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: a way better record than that. The public's gonna see
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: that and only want to take the points. Man, It's
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: one of those games where the odds makers are telling
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: you something different than what the records would tell you.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: They're telling you that Wake is maybe even the slightly
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: better team here. So I again I listened to what
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling me more than anything else, because
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: records can be misleading, final scores can be misleading. All that,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: Wake just broke a five game losing straggle the win
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: over Virginia Tech or excuse me, Georgia Tech.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: So not an impressive win Georgia Tech.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: So I think that might end their losing momentum and
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: that I do think Wake might show up in this game.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: The one problem is they do have Clemson on deck,
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: so there's the potential look ahead there.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: But I would lean to Wake in this game.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: It's not a strong opinion or anything, but Wake is
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to four. There, That's
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one. Miami at
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: NC State on ESPN two. Miami is in a letdown spot.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: I gave you, guys, Miami as a play against North Carolina.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: They did get helped out by North Carolina having that
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: major injury to Wilson, but even without that, I think
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: Miami was in line to win that game anyway.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: It was a good win for Miami.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Man knocking out one of the blue bloods highly ranked
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: UNC team, even though I think UNC is over ranked
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: by a pretty significant amount. But Miami could be in
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: a let down spot off a big win like that.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: The problem is they might still try to show up
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: because it's not against.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: The State's an opponent. You're gonna overlook.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: NC State's ahead of Miami in the standings right now.
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: Both teams look headed for the tournament right now. So
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: this game isn't exactly It's not really a game where
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: I'm like running to the window to fade Miami, you
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Even if I do lean against
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: them here, Miami's got Virginia Tech on deck, which is
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: not a bigger game really because they're looking like they're
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: probably not going to make the tournament. NC State should
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: be in a bounced back spot because they just got
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: embarrassed by lieus of them. But they got North Carolina
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: on deck. NC State just lost a six game win streak,
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: and you know I talk about that when a team
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: loses that winning momentum and it gets snapped, sometimes they
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: will actually be hung over in the next game. So
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: there are some things I don't like about the spot
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: for NC State here. I'll lean that way because it
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: is primarily a letdown spot from Miami. Plus NC State
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: did get embarrassed in the last game, so I'll lean
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: in n c State, but it's not that strong of
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: an opinion for me. NC State's a five and a
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. It looks like they are getting some
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: of the money fifty four percent of the cash on them,
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: fifty to fifty on the tickets. And ken Bum, I'm
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: pretty sure does that NC State as the better team.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: He's got them just outside of the top twenty five
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: and he's got Miami forty first. So that's what we
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: got going on in that game. CBS Sports at four pm.
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: In the Colonial, we got the best Colonial matchup of
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: the day, HOSTRA in UNC Wilmington.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: Two of the best teams in.
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: This conference, maybe the top two teams in the conference,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: although Hoster's in third place. I've been telling you Hostra
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: is an underrated team. I mean, they had a really
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: weird stretch conference play where they lost five games in
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: a row. They've been a very streaky team, but now
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: they're back on a win streak.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: But they just beat Charleston on the road.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: Man, So what's Haster gonna have left after that small
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: upset at Charleston. I mean, they're not gonna overlook you
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington, but having to play two huge road games
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: in a row doesn't set up that well for host
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: right here. Man For UNC Wilmington, they're coming out of
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: an easier and win over Elon, unfortunately, because I gave
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: out an Elon as a play in that one, because
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: Wilmington had played Charleston the game before that and had
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: this game on deck. But given how the spot sets up,
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean Wilmington in this one.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: The money is disagreeing Wilmington down from three and a
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: half to two and a half, fifty percent of the
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: tickets and fifty three percent of the cash on Hofstra. Now,
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: Wilmington does play slow, and the total is pretty low
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: to indicate that. In the one thirties money is saying Hafstra.
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of disagree with it, just based on the spot,
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: although I do think both teams will at least show
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: up mentally for this game. And the Oswegers are telling
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: you Howstra is actually slightly better than UNC Wilmington is
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: because Wilmington is not getting full home court on the line,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: and I don't disagree with that.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: It's just I don't know.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: If I love that spot. So that's what we got
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: going on there. I will point out that. Hold on,
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: I'm looking for the next game. I was going to
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: talk about here, Where the hell is it?
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know, that's weird. I had a game. Oh
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: there it is. I was gonna say, I had a game.
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: Listen, I was gonna talk about I will say the
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: Portland at Northern Colorado. If you look at this game,
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: everybody's gonna think to taking the points of Portland State
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: makes it Portland State, not Portland Big Sky. Portland State
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: the Vikings. They have the best record in the Big Sky.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: Their conference record is way better than Northern Colorado's. So
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: I think the public is gonna be tempted to take
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: points with Portland State, like, how are they getting three
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: and a half here? Well, the oddsmakers are telling you
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado is not that much worse than Portland State.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: And I've been telling you Northern Colorado has.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: Been one of the most underperforming teams, if not the
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: most underperforming me team in the Big Sky. So I
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: do lean towards Northern Colorado and this one. Portland State
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: already beat Northern Colorado once I think two. Uh yeah,
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: they beat them at home by three, so I guess
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a revenge modive there. I
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: don't think Portland's I think Portland State might have been
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: favored by I don't know, maybe three and a half,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: maybe two and a half in that game, So it
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: wasn't really an outlier type of result or anything like that.
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: For Northern Colorado.
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: They just beat Sacramento State, not a big deal on
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado's on a nice little run though, getting back
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: to playing some better basketball in Portland State did just
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: only beat Northern Arizona though, not a big deal. But
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in a row, though,
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: so that's not that easy. So I would lean Northern
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: Colorado in that one, all right. Lipscomb and Queens in
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: the Atlantic Sun probably the best game in the Atlantic
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: Sun today. It's an interesting one. Lipscomb is still one
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in this conference. Queens has been
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the conference too, although
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: maybe overperforming a little bit. Lipscomb just had a two
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: game losing streak to a couple of the other top
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference and bounce back with a win
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: of re Easter Kentucky. Now they're playing Queens. I don't
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: believe they played Queens this year. I think this is
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: the only time they play this year. So they're going
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: on the road though, but they did end a losing streak,
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: so maybe they do a momentum going into this game
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: against Queens. Queens is coming off a much bigger game
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: because they just played Austin p So even though they're
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: staying at home, they're playing two of the best teams
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: in the conference in two straight games like this, and
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb I think still is the better team here, so
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: I would be leaning towards Lipscomb. In that game, Queens
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: dropped from two and a half to one and a half. There,
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you Lipscomb is still the better
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: of the two teams. Queens not getting full home court,
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: and that is the way I would lean in that one.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: Let's keep it going, man, I gonna skip some of
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: these games here. Four point thirty pm. We do have
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina at Chattanooga. I like Western Carolina and this one.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina actually lost at home to Chattanooga by eight
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: earlier this year, and Western Carolina, I believe was favored
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: in this game, yeah, one and a half, but still
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: they lost at home, so it's a little bit of
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: a road revenge angle. And the setup for Western Carolina
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: is not bad because they did just end a three
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: game losing strig of the win, so that might end
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum for them, although one problem I would
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: have is that it was a decisive win.
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: They won by almost forty points against the Citadel.
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: I know Citadel isn't good, but when you beating any
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: team by forty, you might be feeling a bit high
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: on yourselves.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: But they only have You want to see greens Brough
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: up next to that. They did lose to them too, But.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: And I guess because this is a third road game
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: in four days before games, that does worry me a
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: little bit as well. But I think the spot is
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: better for Western Carolina and for Chattanooga.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: I think the spot is really bad.
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga actually, even though they lost by twelve against East Tennessee,
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: losing for the second time in the season East Tennessee,
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: they played really well at home against them.
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: In a TV game Arler this year.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: But you know, Chattanooga gets up for East Tennessee because
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: they're the top team in the conference, and they're like
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: an insane big brother to them. But this game was
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: a lot closer than the final score. It was a
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: four point game with like three minutes to go, so
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga was in that game late. No, I do not
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: want to do anything with my book marks. Shut up
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Firefox Chattanooga. Yeah, the spot isn't great for them, man.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: They already beat Western Carolina on the road, like I said,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: and they got Mercer on deck. Even though they did
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: just beat Mercer not that long ago, Mercer is still
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: near the top of the conference standings. So I would
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: lean Western Carolina and this one. It's not on my
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: card or anything, but that's the way I would lean.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga did drop from a two point favorite to a
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. Osmiker's telling you Western
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: Carolina is the better team based on the what the
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: line is here, even though they have the somewhat worse record,
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: So the public probably will want nothing to do with
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina on that one, But that is the way
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: I would lean. Chattanooga is having a down season, man,
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina is probably not as bad.
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: As the record makes them look this year. Zach, what's up? Thanks?
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: For hanging out.
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: You waited until I talked about the Queens Royals to
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: talk about the Royals.
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 2: Good move. If so.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: Southeast Louisiana at Northwestern State at four thirty PM. I
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: like Southeastern Louisiana in this game. This is the second
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: meeting in the Southland. Northwestern State already went on the
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: road and beat Southeastern Louisiana as an underdog. Actually, southeastn
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: Louisiana was seven and a half point favorite in that game,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: So this is a road revenge angle right out.
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: Of the gate for Southeast and Louisiana.
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: If we look at this now, Northwestern State's a one
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: point favorite here up from a pick them Like, why
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: would they be a one point favorite when they were
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point underdogs. Man, it seems like
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: the line is a bit too skewed based on what
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: the teams have done since then alone. Northwestern State lost
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row until their most
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: recent game they beat Lamar on the road, But the
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: problem is that was an upset win over Lamar. So yes,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: Northwestern State did end a losing streak, and sometimes that
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: we'll give a team momentum moving forward because you break
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: out of that like funk that you're in. But that
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: was a big win on the road against Lamar. It
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: was a six and a half point road upset. Now
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: they're playing a Sea Law team that they already been
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: on the road as big underdogs. And up next Northwestern
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: State has to play MacNeice. Man, that's a big game.
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: MacNeice I still think is the best team in the conference.
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: And McNeice already embarrassed Northwestern State once this year, I
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: believe on their home floor to where was that game?
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: Where is it.
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 4: Now?
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: I don't see, Oh yeah, there it is. No, it
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: was actually at MacNeice. But still I think Northwestern State's
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: actually in a sandwich spot here based on that Selaws
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: coming in off winning two games in a row. They
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: beat Incarnate word, no big deal coming into this game
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: with a little bit more momentum. I like Southeastern Louisiana
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: and that one. Osmakers are telling you the slightly better
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: team by giving them by the line only being close.
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: To a pickham here.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: Both teams have pretty ugly records though, But yes, I
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: like Southeastern Louisiana and that one, plus the point New
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: Orleans and Youse to Christian I I feel like I'm
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: talking about too many games. Hopefully I can get this
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: done and not too much longer. Houston Christian's coming off
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: playing McNee really tough.
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: Man. He's sad.
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: Christian were like sixteen and a half point underdogs in
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: that game, and they're a little bit of a don't know.
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: I was gonna say they're an in rival, but I
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: don't think they are.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: I think MacNeice is in Louisiana. Yeah, that's right, they're
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: in Lake Charles. I don't know why I keep thinking
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: they're in Texas.
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: They're not.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: But that was still a huge game for Houston Christian
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: Man going on the road and as sixteen a half
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: point underdogs, they lost by four. They played McNeice really close,
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: so I think they could be in a letdown, moad
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: a hangover mode.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: After that.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: They're playing a New Orleans team they believe it or not,
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: already beat on the road by nine in what I
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: assume was an upset. So I think the spot's not
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: very good for us to Christian coming into this one. Man,
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: they're the last place team in the conference right now too,
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: and they almost beat Power ratings wise, the best team
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: in the conference still MacNeice, so to me, it looks
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: like a big time hangover spot for them for Northeast.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: For excuse me, New Orleans. New Orleans just got a
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: decent win over Texas A and M Corpus Christie. But
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: I just don't know if they're gonna overlook a Euston
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: Christian team that came into their place and beat them.
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: And again the spot is just so bad for Houston Christian.
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: New Orleans would be the only way I would play this.
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: I think you could probably still get a good money
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: line on New Orleans and this one, if that's what
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: you want to do. They're up from a pick them
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: to a two point favorite there. That's the only way
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: I could look at that game. U Team Martin and
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville might be the best game in the Ohio Valley.
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: Utam Martin just lost another game. They lost some win
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: streak and maybe that lost some morehead State then hung
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: them over into the next game.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: It was a little bit of.
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: Revenge for Lindham would as well. Lindham would beat them.
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: Maybe now is the spot where U Team Martin bounces
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: back here, But I don't know, man, because they're playing
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: an SAU Edwardsville team. They did already beat although they
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: only beat them by six at home, and U Team
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: Martin were seven and a half point favorite, so I
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: guess technically they got a little bit of a scare
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: out of that game, so maybe they will show up
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: with more focused They do have SEMO on deck though,
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: or a pretty good team as well, though SIU Edwardsville
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: is actually ahead of SEMO right now in the standings,
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: so one game behind you, T Martin.
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: Maybe you Martin will show up for this.
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: SAU edwards will just beat Simo in a very satisfying win,
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: beating them by almost twenty so they're coming up a
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: pretty big game as well.
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: A nice performance.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: Rolling into this game on four wins in a row,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get up for the game as well against
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Martin.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be an interesting game.
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: From a handicapping respective, it's difficult to gauge. We don't
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: really see percentages on this yet. The total has gone
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: up seven points, although from an extremely low one twenty
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: one and a half to one twenty eight and a half.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: Expected to be a real ugly low scoring game. I'm
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: hiccupping now. The line is a pick them in this one.
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: So the Osbrek is telling you you Te Martin is
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: actually the better team, which I agree with. I would
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: probably lead to you Team Martin to finally bounce back
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: after the two straight losses there. And on the other
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: end of that, SEMO is coming up that blowout loss
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: to SIU Edwardsville.
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: Now they're playing lynden Wood.
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: Who they actually lost to at home already, so it's
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: a bit of a road revenge angle for CMO here
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: Now, one problem is they did lose a win streak.
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: They lost a six game win streak with that loss
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: to SIU Edwardsville, So sometimes losing a win streak will
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: hang you over I know they have ut Martin on deck,
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: but I still don't think they're gonna overlook lynden Wood
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: Man and coming off an ugly loss linden Wood coming
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: off the huge win over U Team Martin. With Tennessee
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: State on deck, who's actually in second place in the conference,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: and maybe they'll overlook CIMO a little bit because they
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: already beat CIMO once. CMO just dropped down to the
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: standings a little bit. That Ceutheast Missouri State. By the way,
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: that's the way I lean in this game. Southeast Missouri State.
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: I would take the points in that one. Linden Wood
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: is a two point favorite in that one, but yeah,
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: I would fade linden Wood in that game.
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: Next up, five pm, Fox, Best bet number three out
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 2: of four. Let's go. This one might be my favorite one. Man,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: I love the spot.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus two and a half here, Man, we're gonna
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: fade Purdue. Public is gonna be all over Purdue, man,
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: especially based on what we saw recently out of these teams.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 2: Purdue ranked thirteenth in the country.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: Iowa unranked, but if you look at ken Bom, he's
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: got Purdue, yeah, ninth, So Purdue actually slightly under ranked.
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: But Iowa almost.
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: As good defensively as Purdue is. Yeah, Purdue has the
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: better offense, but he's got Iowa twenty third in the country. Man,
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: So ken Bom as Iowa as a legit team. They're
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: pretty good on both sides of the ball. Believe it
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: or not, Iowa actually better on offense and defense. Both
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: of these teams are. So, Yeah, Purdue is the better
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: team on both sides of the ball, But Iowa I
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: think they can hang here, especially at home. And when
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: you see what the spot looks like, wo boy, this screams,
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: Iowa man, the hawk guys.
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: Iowa plays slow.
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: I know Purdue also plays slow, so probably gonna be
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: a slow game. Points maybe at a premium here. Total
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: has gone up a little bit to one forty two.
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: And by the way, Iowa was getting like all the
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: money here fifty four percent of tickets on Iowa.
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: Even that surprises me.
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: I expect Purdue to be kind of a public side
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: here eighty percent of the actual money on Iowa. Though
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: Purdue up from a one and a half point favorite
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: to a two point favorite. There were some two and
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: a half's out there as well, but two and a
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: half or two either way, I think is still fine here.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: Now again, ken Bum is saying there's not much of
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: a gap between these two teams. Both teams are good,
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: Iowa debatably a little bit more balanced. But the other
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: thing I like is that Purdue is a fairly lucky
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: team at one oh three in the country. I was
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: more unlucky at two hundred and fifty fifth in luck.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: So ken Bam is telling you that Iowa was actually
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: underperformed a little bit, and Purdue may have over performed
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit, even though I know I talked about
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: how Purdue is. I think they're a legit team. They
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: have a very experienced backcourt, et cetera. Iowa, I mean
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: there's still they got a lot of experience playing together
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: as a team. I think too, because I think hall
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: and brought over some of his guys that have been
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: playing under him for a bit, So I think there
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: is still some of that like carry over from Iowa.
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 2: But we're deep into the.
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: Season now, man anyway, so that like chemistry from one
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: season and the next doesn't matter as much. It might
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: matter again once we get to the tournament. But look
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: at the spot that we're looking at here. These teams
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: already played, and Purdue one by seven at home against Iowa. Now,
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: I know Predu didn't cover the number. I know, so
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: you could make the argument that, well, because Purdu didn't
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: cover that number, that means they're gonna take Iowa. Seriously,
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. Purdue almost cover that number. I
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: think there were maybe about a ten point favorite here,
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: which I know that, yeah, ten and a half the two, Yeah,
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: I mean the two might be slightly low on Purdue here,
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: but still I love the spot for yow Man.
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: The oddsmakers may have skewed the number a little bit.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: But first of all, yeah, we do have it being
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge angle. So I think
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: Purdue maybe still just won't take Iowa that seriously. But
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: look at the spot that Purdue was in. They just
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: had a huge game against Nebraska, a roller coaster overtime
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: game where they went on the road got revenge against Nebraska.
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: I think it was actually was it revenge or no,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: it was the first time that my mistake was I
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: was thinking of Illinois. It was the first time Purdue
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: played Nebraska. My mistake the only time they played them.
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: But still it was a huge game.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: Purdue was winning that game by like twenty something points,
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: I think, blew the entire lead and then still won
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: an overtime.
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: That was a monster win for Purdue.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing a fourth road game in five games,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game. They're actually playing a sixth
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: road game in eight days. So they're traveling all over
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: the place, which included Pacific Coast travel as well, not
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: that long ago. And they have to play Michigan next
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. I think, so that is a huge game
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: on deck. They're in a massive sandwich spot. Man and
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: It gets even better for Iowa because Iowa is coming
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: off a horrible loss to Maryland, and I know Iowa
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: lost a six game win streak. Sometimes when you lose
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: a wind streak, it'll hang you over into the next game.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: But that is a disgusting loss. They went on the
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: road to Maryland.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe they were looking ahead to Purdue, but you got
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from a loss like that. I think
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: Iowa might have been a ten point road favorite in
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: that game, and losing the game outright is insane against
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: a team as bad as Maryland is. When you come
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: off a game that's that bad of a performance, I
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: think you might have already been looking ahead. I think
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: you're gonna bounce back. I was back at home here.
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: They actually didn't play very well the last time. The
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: last couple of times they were at home, they failed
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: to cover, so I think I was gonna want to
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: show up here.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: It might be worrisome that it's a trend, because you know,
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: they lost at home to Illinois, didn't cover at home
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: against Rutgers, didn't cover at home against USC didn't cover
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: at home against Northwestern. So little bit of a worrisome
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: trend of Iowa not covering.
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 2: But guess what.
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: Iowa was favored in all those games against well against
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: Northwestern Rutgers in USC. They were fail all of those.
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: They're not favored in this one. They're an underdog, so
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: we only need them to play their slow style here
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: get the job done. I think they will win the game,
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: but that's what we're going with. The spot is very
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: very good to play Iowa here. Man, it checks like
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: almost all my boxes. So that sounds almost sexy, but yes,
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: Iowa is the It is a sexy play. Or actually
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: it's not because Iowa plays such an ugly style, but yes,
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: Iowa is the play there, all right. Grand Canyon at
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: San Jose State. I lean San Jose State in this one.
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: Not a play for me. But first of all, Grand
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: Canyon already beat San Jose State. Obviously, San Jose State's awful.
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon beat them at home by eighteen. But now
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: look at the spot for Grand Canyon. They've played tough
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: at home against New Mexico, who's third in the conference,
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: and they got San Diego State on deck. Man, so
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: they're basically in a sandwich spot that's gonna be a
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: TV game. They did already beat San Diego State once
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: if I want at home. But so San Diego State
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: is basically the class of the Mountain West. Again, they're
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the conference. Again, that's
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: a huge look ahead spot. They might look right past
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: San Jose State in this one man. And for San
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: Jose State, they're coming off of they're on.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 2: A huge losing streak. They've lost six games in a row.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: They did cover at UNLV, and I told you I
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: thought they would because I thought UNLV would be looking
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: ahead to last night's game against Boise. We got that
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: nice outright win with the UNLV last night, am I
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: other on Lean also got there Quinnipiac easy outright win
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: from Quinnipiac there, so.
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 2: They go.
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: Should have added it would have been a two and
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: oh day instead of one to zero. But you know,
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: I'm being selective, and UNLV looks like it wasn't gonna
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: be a win for quite a while, looked like it
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: wasn't gonna be a cover. But anyway, San Jose State, Yeah,
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: they covered against UNLV, but I still think the spot
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: is better for them. It's a bad spot for Grand
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: Canyon when you're losing all these games like San Jose
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: State is I think you're gonna show up. Grant Canyon,
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: for some reason is up from a nine point favorite
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: to an eleven and a half point favorite. You might
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: get twelve in this game, and it's probably gonna be
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: an ugly lower scoring game. Total really low in the
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: one thirties. I would take the points with San Jose
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: State in that one. All right, let's keep going. Man
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: skipping some of these games here. A lot of these
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: games are pretty uninteresting here. Let's keep going. We do
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: have the Battle of Idaho. I don't know if it's
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: a big deal, but it is a rivalry Idaho State
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: and Idaho both these teams not doing well at this point.
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: Though in the Big Sky. It is a revenge game,
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: I guess for Idaho because Idho State won the first
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: game in Pocatello, I believe, is where they play, so
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: kind of on the other side of the state from
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: where Moscow is, which is where University of Idaho is.
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: But I think Idaho State will still show up because
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 1: they've lost like eight games in a row or whatever,
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: so I don't see them not showing up for this game,
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: even though they do play the two.
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 2: Montana team on deck and that's a big deal.
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: Maybe the game does mean more to Idaho because Idaho
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: did lose the first matchup on the road. I think
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: they might have even been a slight favorite in that
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: game on the road, because they are a pretty big
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: favorite in this one. Idaho's lost three games in a row,
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: but they were on the road for all but that
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: most recent game against Weeber, and I told you I
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: liked Weber in that game because Idaho was coming off
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: a couple of big games against the Montanas and they
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: had this revenge game on deck against Idaho State. They
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: do have Portland stayed up next, but I don't see
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: Idaho overlooking this game. Public's probably not gonna want to
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: lay six and a half with an Idaho team. It's
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: barely above five hundred. But you know, as Bikers is
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: telling you, they're the better team by enough that they're favored.
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: But like this at home, I would lean to Idaho
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: in this game. The money seems like it agrees.
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 2: They're up from.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: Five to six here, fifty to fifty on the tickets,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash on Idaho.
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 2: I agree with Idaho.
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: In that one, Youdaho, that's what that would be my
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: lean one would be Idaho.
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 2: All right, New.
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: Mexico State at Jacksonville State. Of course, I already talked
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: to him. On New Mexico State, they almost pulled off
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: an upset against Liberty. That would have been a huge upset.
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: That was a huge game for New Mexico State. So
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: now I think they might be in a spot where
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: they overlook Jacksonville State. They're playing four road games in
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: a row in the last five games, so I don't well,
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook Jacksonville State because
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State is third in the conference standings right now.
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: But that was a huge game against Liberty. Man, I
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: think it's a hangover spot. The travel is not exactly
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: good on New Mexico State, you know, again, another road
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: game for them and having to go to Alabama. That's
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: where Jacksonville State is. Believe it or not, I have
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: to play this game. It's a weird spot for New
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: Mexico State. I believe they already beat Jacksonville State if
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly when I was looking at this game.
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: Am I wrong about that?
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 2: No? My apologies, I'm wrong. They played later in the season.
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: They play again so this is not a second meeting,
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: but still simply I think kind of a hangover spot
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: for New Mexico State out of that huge game against Liberty,
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: and the spot's positive for Jacksonville State because they just
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: had an ugly home loss to UTEP. I think they
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: were just not paying attention. UTEP caught them. Jacksonville State
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: wasn't a huge favorite in that game, but still, when
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: you're a favorite against a bad team at home and
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: you lose the game, I think you're showing up in
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: the next game. So it's a rare spot where I
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: actually would lean against New Mexico State here because I
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: think New Mexico State is one of the more underperforming
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: teams in all of college basketball. But I would lay
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: it with Jacksonville State probably money line in that one.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: They're a two point favorite, right now, Yeah, that's probably
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean in that one, all right,
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: Steven F. Austin and ut Real Grande Valley in the Southland.
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: This is a very inddressing line. Real Grande Valley, believe
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: it or not, is favored in this game. Like what
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: public better is going to come in and look at
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: this and see this mediocre record? Rio Grande Valley team,
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: even though you have in third place in the conference,
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: laying one and a half against Steven F.
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 2: Austin, who has the best record in the conference.
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: Though I've told you MacNeice is actually better than steveen
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: of Austin. But this line looks crazy, man, it looks
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: so easy to play Stephen F. Austin actually an underdog
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: as the team with the way better record.
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 2: So there's something.
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: Going on with that line, man, where it looks way
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: too easy. As far as ken Bond is concerned, He's
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: got Stephen F. Austin eighty fifth in the country. He
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: does have Real Grounded Valley one hundred and thirty sixth though,
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: although he has Rio Grande Valley Unlucky three hundred and
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: sixth in luck and for Steven F. Austin, he has
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: them still pretty unlucky though at two hundredths. So it's
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: not exactly something that I want to get involved in here,
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, it isn't.
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Rio Grande Valley they're an okay team.
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, I mean, even to me,
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: this line just seems a little bit crazy, uh to me,
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know even I think the line might be
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit, a little bit off. This is very strange.
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: Steven of Austin. I don't think the spot is bad
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: for them though.
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 2: That's the thing.
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: They're coming up barely getting by East Texas A and
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: M at home. I think stevehen Have Austin paid absolutely
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: no attention to East Texas A and M. They only
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: beat them by four as huge favorites in this game.
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: They might have been twenty point favorites here sixteen and
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: a half. I don't know, so whatever, but that was
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: a bad performance. With CEM of Austin only winning by
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: four against a very weak opponent, there is a huge favorite,
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: so they might actually be focused in this game against
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: Rio Grande Valley. They already beat Real Grande Valley at
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: home by thirteen, but because they're third in the conference,
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're actually gonna overlook Real Grande
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: Valley the vocos here in this one. Real Gronde Valleys
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: won a bunch of games in a row. They won
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: eight games in a row. They're coming off of a
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: road upset and win over Nickels.
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 2: I think that was an.
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: Upset, so there, the spot is actually worse for Real
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley here, having to play a second straight big
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: game off a road up set like that, and maybe
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: Real Grande Valley looks a little bit too good with
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: this recent run that they've had, So I actually don't
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: love Rio Grande Valley in this one. I probably actually
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: lean to Stephen of Austin in this one. A Real
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: Grande Valley did flip from a one point dog to
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: a one point favorite. But I don't get it. I
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: don't see it. I don't know if there's like an
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: injury or something, but given the spot, I would probably
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: lean to Stephen of Austin. But you know me, like,
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 1: there's no way I would want to do that because
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: it looks so easy to play Stephen of Austin, and
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: nothing is that easy. So it's a complete stay away
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: from me. Why is it the Courtney Love play of
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: the day. I don't really get that. CBS Sports at
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: six pm we got VCU at Richmond. Here. It's an
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: interesting game. This is gonna be. I think Richmond considered
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: the considers them to be the little brother to VCU
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: in Virginia because VCU is the best Virginia team in
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: the A ten. At the very least, these teams already
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: played once a VCU won by eight at home. I
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: believe VCU didn't cover that number. Richmond played them pretty tough.
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: Richmond played them close. So maybe VCU will take Richmond
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: seriously because Richmond did give them a game at Richmond
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: or excuse thee at VCU. Richmond is coming of an
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: easy win over Lasal. Not a big deal there. They
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: only have George Washington on deck. If if they had
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis on deck, it would be a major look ahead.
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: But that's not their next game and they haven't played
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis yet. Saint Louis winning in another laugh for
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: last night, by the way, at Horrible loyala Chicago team
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: VCU again. I think they actually might show up for
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: this game because that wasn't a good performance against Lasal.
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: They didn't perform that well against Richmond the last time
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: they played them. Richmond is coming on a nice win
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: over George Mason. Now it broke along losing streak for Richmond.
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: Richmond had lost six games in a row. So sometimes
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: when you break a losing street, it'll give you a
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: new momentum moving forward. But that was a big win
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: over George Mason, who was one of the teams near
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: the top of the conference. So I've been telling you
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: George Mason is not as good as obviously not as
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: good as Saint Louis, but also not as good as VCU.
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: That has turned out to be the case. They're the
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: most overrated team in the conference besides Saint Joe's probably,
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: But Richmond got that win. Now they're playing two big
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: games in a row here, so I don't love how
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: it sets up for Richmond, to be honest, even though
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: they are sort of the little brother here, I would
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: actually probably lay it with VCU if I was gonna
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: play it, VCU up from seven to seven and a
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: half of the line seems like maybe it's a little big.
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: What was Richmond when they were at home or what
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: was VCU? Excuse me when they were at home? We
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: see they were twelve and a half. So yeah, I
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: guess that line's not that far off. So yeah, uh,
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: I would actually probably lean.
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 2: To VCU in that one for all those reasons.
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: VCU, you know, not playing well in that first game
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: is huge favorite swave and a half point favorites against Richmond.
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 3: So sticky, stinky, Sticky bandits, the stinky Bandits, the stinky
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 3: play would be would be well.
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess that that line does stink in
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: the the ut Real Grounde Valley game, but that's not
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: really a stinky game.
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 2: Like those teams are decent teams, all right.
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won six pm West Virginia at UCF. Kind
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: of a weird spot for West Virginia have to go
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: down to Florida. West Virginia is coming off a decent
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: performance at home against Texas Tech, so they're coming up
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game. At the very least. They lost
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: by seven at home to Texas Tech, pretty respectable. I
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: think the game wasn't really that close, though Texas Tech
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: might have taken the foot off the gas a little bit.
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: UCF just got blown out on the road at Cincinnati,
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: so I think it's gonna be better for them come
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: back home. U SEEF can't afford to like lose many
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: more games here because they're gonna be on the tournament
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: bubble man.
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 2: Instead of being definitively in the tournament.
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think U s F is that good, but
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: I think the spot here does set up a little
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 1: bit better for them. They're down from four to three
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: and a half here, but I would probably lay it
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: with UCF in that one, I think you Seef is
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: gonna speed the game up to or at least try to.
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 2: They play a.
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: Somewhat fast, but way faster than now West Virginia does.
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: But U SEF is really really lucky according to kem
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: Bomb fourth in lock, so not exactly a team you
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: really want to get involved in. But again, yeah, not
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: too many thoughts on that game. Really, all right, let's
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: keep going.
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: MacNeice is that East Texas A and M. I did
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: mention that McNeese is. I mean, this is a game
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: that's it doesn't really matter. But MacNeice did barely get
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 1: by Houston Christian in their last game, so they didn't
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: play a good game.
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 2: And that one they.
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: Already blew out East Texas A and M by almost
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: almost forty points though, so one O two to sixty six,
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: so they might not take East Sex's A and M
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: that seriously.
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: Their next opponent is also a team they blew out
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: in Northwestern State, so I don't know. Maybe they will
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: show up with focus this time because their last game
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: was bad ever East Texas A and M. Though remember
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 1: they actually played Stephen F. Austin really close. So East
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M is coming off a monster effort
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: as a huge underdog. Now they have to play another
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: really good team that might actually be in a focused
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: spot because they almost lost as a huge favorite. So
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to MacNeice in that one.
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: The money's not agreeing necessarily. McNeice did drop from fourteen
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: to twelve, but we do see seventy five percent of
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: the tickets and only fifty seven percent of the cash
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 1: on East Texas A and M. I don't really think
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: East Texas A and M is actually a public side
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: like that that wouldn't make much sense. But if they are,
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's hilarious and you'd be fading a public
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: home underdog there by taking McNeice. But I would have
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: to lean to McNeese in that game.
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 2: Not a play from me.
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: LSU at Tennessee at six pm Eastern on SEC Network.
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 2: LSU. They're on a bad stretch.
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: Right now and they just got blown out at home
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: by Arkansas. I think they might show up at least
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: try to salvage something on the season and play well
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: for a game against Tennessee. Tennessee bounce back from that
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: blown game against Kentucky. They went on the road and
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: they beat Mississippi State. Not really a big deal there either,
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: So this game doesn't set up really poorly for either team.
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: Tennessee does not have a big game on deck either,
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: they only have Oklahoma, so it's not a bad spot
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: really for either team here. Probably you'd be getting maybe
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit of line value. Looking towards the LSU side,
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: Tennessee's up from thirteen to fourteen Tennessee, and we know
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: they play slow and focus on defense, although I think
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: their offense might not be that bad this year, Ken Bomas,
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is still ranked by the Way at eighteenth, so
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: he's saying they should be ranked. There's still better defensively
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: than offensively Tennessee is, so covering a number.
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 2: Like this not as easy for them to do.
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty low total in the one forties, eighty
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on Tennessee.
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: There'll be a public side. I'll lean LSU slightly in
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: that one for those reasons. But yeah, not a game
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: that I'm interested in by any means. Yeah, but Tennessee
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: is a little bit undervalued though, according to Ken Pump,
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 1: So there is that, But in that spot, you know,
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of it. Six thirty pm
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: on ESPN U or excuse me on ESPN one of
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: the big games of the day, Number sixteen Texas Tech
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: at number one Arizona. Texas Tech is coming up like
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 1: a forty or no thirty four point win against Colorado
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 1: monster win. Usually I would not want to play on
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: a team after blowout like that, but I think Texas Tech.
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech is gonna show up for this game against Arizona.
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: Though this is a huge game. Texas Tech is a
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: very competitive team, man, I mean we're talking about a
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech team. I mean, look at their losses this year. Illinois, Purdue, Arkansas, Houston, Houston.
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: Oh no, they beat Houston once, then the letdown spot
• 2:08:23
  Speaker 1: off of Houston, they lost to UC YF That was
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: their worst loss of the season, but it was in
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot, and then their other loss was to Kansas.
• 2:08:31
  Speaker 1: So Texas Tech has been losing to mostly good teams.
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 1: So the Arizona is, of course a very good team
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: and one of the best teams in the country still,
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: but I think the spot is bad for Arizona because
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: what have I been preaching all year. Man, when a
• 2:08:44
  Speaker 1: team loses a long win streak, they tend to be
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: hung over in the next game. And when a team
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: goes this long undefeated and they lose their undefeated status,
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: which I know Miami, Ohio continued theirs last night with
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 1: another win. But when a team has lost their undef
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: status like this this late into the season.
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 2: We saw this happen with Vandy.
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: With Nebraska, the team has lost the game again the
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: next game, and you know Duke didn't cover in their
• 2:09:10
  Speaker 1: game when they lost their huge win streak. It keeps happening, man,
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: when these teams lose these win streaks, but especially the
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 1: teams that have lost these deep undefeated runs, they're essentially
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: losing the same game twice. And I think that might
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 1: be what happens with Arizona here. I'm not necessarily saying
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: they're gonna lose the game, but I like Texas Tech
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 1: to cover this number. That was a big game for
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: Arizona two at Kansas, huge emotional game for both teams.
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing another emotional game. Whereas Texas Tech had
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: a very easy effort game in their game against Colorado.
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: It's Texas Tech or pass for me in this one.
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's kind of coming in on Arizona,
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: but I don't agree with it. Arizona down from nine
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: and a half to nine, fifty four percent of tickets,
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the cash coming in in Arizona.
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with the money there on Arizona. I
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: would take the points. Texas Tech, you get nine to
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. I mean a team losing their
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: undefeated status that late into the season. It's the only
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: move fading them. Alexander, what's up man? You're on Clemson
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: plus the points. It makes sense from the perspective that
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be a lower scoring game or points
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: or at a premium. But I like Duke in that
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: game of you. I have talked about it early, and
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: it was the first game that I talked about. You
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: can go back and see my analysis on it. But
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: it's a huge revenge game for Duke in my opinion,
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 1: because Clemson was the only team in the ACC that
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: beat them last year, and Duke didn't get revenge on
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: them or anyth because they only played once. So I
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: think Duke has had this game circled all year. So
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: I like Duke in that game slightly. Let me see
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 1: ESPNU at six thirty pm. Have it in Yale, kid,
• 2:10:53
  Speaker 1: It's Yale at Harvard this time. Both teams played last night.
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 1: The IVY does a lot of these back to back
• 2:10:59
  Speaker 1: Friday Saturday games. Yale had an easier time beating dort
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: Meth last night, and they're playing a third straight road game,
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: including going out of IVY territory to play Howard, so
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: the spot I think sets up a little bit more
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 1: iffy for Yale. However, this is a road revenge spot
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: for Yale because they lost at home to Harvard already,
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: so Yale probably does have this game circled. However, Harvard
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 1: is gonna show up for this game too, and Harvard
• 2:11:26
  Speaker 1: did not play well last night. They barely got by
• 2:11:29
  Speaker 1: Brown last night. Is a big favorite, seven and a
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, so I think the spot, the setup
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: in this game actually is better for Harvard. So I
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: actually don't dislike Harvard in this game.
• 2:11:40
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: Yes, I know Yale has the road revenge mode of here,
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: but based on how the spot sets up, based on
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 1: what these teams did last night, and Yale with the
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: travel as well, I kind of lean to Harvard plus
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: the points here. Yale's a five point favorite there, low
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: total in the high one thirties. It'll be an intro
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: one men, but I probably slightly need towards taking it
• 2:12:02
  Speaker 1: with Havevid, Yeah, Havevid, Havid Yead.
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 2: Six thirty pm, ESPN two. We have the.
• 2:12:11
  Speaker 1: Basketball edition of the Egg Bowl. I think it is
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 1: what this is, the Battle of Mississippi.
• 2:12:17
  Speaker 2: It is.
• 2:12:19
  Speaker 1: Two point zero because these teams play it already and
• 2:12:22
  Speaker 1: the road team actually won miss Mississippi State lost at
• 2:12:26
  Speaker 1: home to Old Miss by one point in the earlier game,
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: so I think for that reason you might see Mississippi
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 1: State show up with more effort this time because they're
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be the avenging road underdog here. I think in
• 2:12:38
  Speaker 1: both cases the home team is favored by about three
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: and a half, so these teams are pretty evenly matched
• 2:12:43
  Speaker 1: according to the odds makers. Mississippi State is coming into
• 2:12:46
  Speaker 1: this game off of a game against Tennessee that wasn't
• 2:12:49
  Speaker 1: exactly that close. They've lost three games in a row,
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: so I do expect them to show up here. I
• 2:12:54
  Speaker 1: think Old Miss will show up as well. They've lost
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: a ton of games in a row, six games in
• 2:12:59
  Speaker 1: a row. Whatever that getting blown out by Alabama on
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: their home floor in the last game. They're staying at
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 1: home now, so the spot actually might be slightly better
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: for ole Miss. Here they dropped from four to three
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 1: and a half, seventy per tickets, ninety percent of the
• 2:13:14
  Speaker 1: cash on Old Miss.
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's on Old Miss.
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, even though the spot is slightly better for
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 1: ole Miss based on what these teams did in the
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: last game, I kind of lean towards Mississippi State in
• 2:13:28
  Speaker 1: the avenging Road Dogging, But it's that game is very,
• 2:13:32
  Speaker 1: very hard for me to predict.
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 2: Man, I got nothing on that game, really, all right.
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: You see Santa Barbara and cal Poly cal Paully, they
• 2:13:42
  Speaker 1: just beat you see Irvine, Man, that was a huge
• 2:13:45
  Speaker 1: win for cal Paly. You see Irvine as one of
• 2:13:47
  Speaker 1: the best teams in this conference in the Big West.
• 2:13:49
  Speaker 1: It was only a five and a half point upset.
• 2:13:51
  Speaker 1: But so that seems it just seems like it's a
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: big game. You know, when you beat one of the
• 2:13:56
  Speaker 1: top teams in the conference that cal Pauly does have
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 1: top team in the Big West, Hawaii on deck.
• 2:14:02
  Speaker 2: They have to travel to Hawaii, so there is the
• 2:14:05
  Speaker 2: possibility they might overlook.
• 2:14:07
  Speaker 1: You see Santa Barbara here, but you see Santa Barbara
• 2:14:09
  Speaker 1: is near the top of the conference as well, and
• 2:14:11
  Speaker 1: you see Santa Barbara totally embarrassed cal Poly by forty
• 2:14:16
  Speaker 1: points at you see Santa Barbara. So I don't think
• 2:14:19
  Speaker 1: they could possibly overlook them here in this game. But
• 2:14:22
  Speaker 1: it's still not a great spot because they're coming off
• 2:14:24
  Speaker 1: another They're coming off of a big win in the
• 2:14:26
  Speaker 1: prior game, and for you see Santa Barbara, they're coming
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 1: off of an easier win at U see River Cyber.
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 2: They didn't do that well.
• 2:14:32
  Speaker 1: They were coming off a winner you see Irvine in
• 2:14:35
  Speaker 1: the prior game. They might not take cal Poly seriously
• 2:14:38
  Speaker 1: because they annihilated them in the last game. But I
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: don't know, man. You see Santa Barbara drop from six
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 1: to three and a half. I might lean towards laying
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: the points in that one, man, even though it looks
• 2:14:49
  Speaker 1: like the money initially did come in taking the points
• 2:14:53
  Speaker 1: in that one. I don't like these teams coming off
• 2:14:55
  Speaker 1: big games.
• 2:14:56
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 2:14:56
  Speaker 1: This is the way that it is, even if that
• 2:15:00
  Speaker 1: is another big game. Getting close to the end sort
• 2:15:03
  Speaker 1: of eight PM Peacock Big East Georgetown at number six Yukon.
• 2:15:09
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum does have Yukon at eighth, so the ranks
• 2:15:12
  Speaker 1: makers are kind of getting them right now. Georgetown, they're
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 1: coming up a pretty big performance at home against Villanova.
• 2:15:19
  Speaker 1: They lost by seven, played pretty well in that game.
• 2:15:22
  Speaker 1: So Georgetown's gonna have to play two big games in
• 2:15:25
  Speaker 1: a row now, which might be difficult for them, and
• 2:15:27
  Speaker 1: then ended a win streak for them.
• 2:15:29
  Speaker 2: So I talked about it.
• 2:15:30
  Speaker 1: When a team loses a win streak, they can be
• 2:15:32
  Speaker 1: hung over into the next game for that reason. Now
• 2:15:34
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't overlook Yukon. But Georgetown is having to play
• 2:15:38
  Speaker 1: two big games in a row. This game is in Stores,
• 2:15:40
  Speaker 1: Connecticut this time, so it's Yukon's rowdy on campus crowd
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be at this game the on campus venue, so.
• 2:15:49
  Speaker 2: It'll be a rowdier crowd. Probably.
• 2:15:52
  Speaker 1: Yukon's coming up the easier performance against Butler, they failed
• 2:15:56
  Speaker 1: to cover. I was correct about Butler, and that one
• 2:15:59
  Speaker 1: did not add it to my card. It was close,
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 1: Butler only covered by like one and a half points,
• 2:16:04
  Speaker 1: two points whatever it was there. However, I think Yukon
• 2:16:09
  Speaker 1: will show up, not just because that game wasn't that
• 2:16:11
  Speaker 1: great for them against Butler, but look at what Yukon
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: did the first time they played Georgetown.
• 2:16:16
  Speaker 2: They barely got by them.
• 2:16:18
  Speaker 1: At Georgetown, Yukon were eleven and a half point road favorites.
• 2:16:22
  Speaker 2: And only one by two.
• 2:16:24
  Speaker 1: So Yukon might take Georgetown seriously because Georgetown just Georgetown
• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: played them really really close earlier in the season.
• 2:16:33
  Speaker 2: Gave them a huge game. So I like Yukon in
• 2:16:36
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 2:16:36
  Speaker 1: Man, that's the way that I would have to lead
• 2:16:38
  Speaker 1: in this one. Let me see here, Yukon's sixteen and
• 2:16:44
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety
• 2:16:47
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on to Yukon. There'll be
• 2:16:49
  Speaker 1: a public side. Looks like maybe some of the money's
• 2:16:52
  Speaker 1: coming in on them.
• 2:16:52
  Speaker 2: Two.
• 2:16:53
  Speaker 1: I know it's difficult to lay a huge amount of
• 2:16:55
  Speaker 1: points there. I mean, I'm not adding it to my
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 1: card or anything.
• 2:16:58
  Speaker 2: With the lowts totally.
• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: Ukon plays slow total in the one thirties. But I
• 2:17:03
  Speaker 1: would have to lay it if I was gonna play it.
• 2:17:07
  Speaker 2: A peacock.
• 2:17:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Fox on Fox at eight pm. We
• 2:17:14
  Speaker 1: have a non conference game, a couple of those today.
• 2:17:17
  Speaker 1: Like I said, we have three non conference games today.
• 2:17:20
  Speaker 1: They'll all get TV spots Number fifteen Virginia at Ohio State.
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 2: This is a pretty interesting one.
• 2:17:26
  Speaker 1: I've been talking about how I don't totally buy Virginia
• 2:17:29
  Speaker 1: at this twenty one and three record, although looking at
• 2:17:33
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb, he's got them where does he have them
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 1: at twentieth?
• 2:17:35
  Speaker 2: So he's got.
• 2:17:36
  Speaker 1: Them a little bit worse than what the rankings makers
• 2:17:39
  Speaker 1: are telling you where they have them at fifteenth. Virginia's
• 2:17:43
  Speaker 1: played a pretty weak schedule, man, and that's the problem
• 2:17:45
  Speaker 1: I have with Virginia. But coming into this game, they're
• 2:17:47
  Speaker 1: coming off almost getting upset by Florida State. That was
• 2:17:51
  Speaker 1: a bad performance for Virginia, So they might show up
• 2:17:54
  Speaker 1: better in this game after a bad game like that,
• 2:17:56
  Speaker 1: And they don't have a big game on deck or
• 2:18:00
  Speaker 1: tax so Virginia might show up. This game is in Nashville,
• 2:18:03
  Speaker 1: by the way, it's the Nashville Hoops Showdown, so I
• 2:18:07
  Speaker 1: don't know if the venue is better for one team
• 2:18:09
  Speaker 1: or the other. I mean, it might be a little
• 2:18:11
  Speaker 1: bit closer to Columbus, is it.
• 2:18:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Probably it is.
• 2:18:17
  Speaker 1: Ohio State coming into this one off of beating USC
• 2:18:20
  Speaker 1: not a big deal there. I think they'll show up
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: for this game as well. Usually I like teams that
• 2:18:24
  Speaker 1: are coming off of scare like Virginia is here, but
• 2:18:27
  Speaker 1: Ohio State they're on the bubble right now.
• 2:18:29
  Speaker 5: Man.
• 2:18:30
  Speaker 1: In my most recent bracketology, which I put out on Thursday,
• 2:18:33
  Speaker 1: I have Ohio State outside of the tournament now. I think,
• 2:18:39
  Speaker 1: so bad times for Ohio State right now. They're gonna
• 2:18:42
  Speaker 1: need a win like this to try to pad their
• 2:18:43
  Speaker 1: tournament resume. Man, So I think Ohio State might actually
• 2:18:46
  Speaker 1: give you more of an effort in this game for
• 2:18:48
  Speaker 1: that reason, And they aren't underdog here, and the money
• 2:18:51
  Speaker 1: seems to be very much indicating on Ohio State. Virginia
• 2:18:54
  Speaker 1: is a four and a half point favorite, fifty fifty
• 2:18:56
  Speaker 1: on the tickets, seventy nine percent.
• 2:18:57
  Speaker 2: Of the cash on Ohio State.
• 2:18:59
  Speaker 1: I guess I will agree with it, but I still
• 2:19:02
  Speaker 1: could see Virginia showing up in that game, man, after
• 2:19:05
  Speaker 1: a scare that they just got. But it also looks
• 2:19:07
  Speaker 1: too easy to lay four and a half with a
• 2:19:10
  Speaker 1: team like Virginia that's ranked and that has a record
• 2:19:12
  Speaker 1: like that. So there is that too, and it's one
• 2:19:16
  Speaker 1: of the spotlight games, so the public.
• 2:19:18
  Speaker 2: Might have money on that one.
• 2:19:19
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at eight Memphis at Utah State very strange
• 2:19:23
  Speaker 1: game here. Memphis having to go to Utah State kind
• 2:19:26
  Speaker 1: of a weird travel spot for them. Memphis did just
• 2:19:28
  Speaker 1: lose that in North Texas, which I thought they might
• 2:19:30
  Speaker 1: have thought they might be looking ahead to this game.
• 2:19:32
  Speaker 1: But even if Memphis shows up, I don't know, man,
• 2:19:35
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a difficult venue for them to have
• 2:19:37
  Speaker 1: to go to Utah State. They're coming up an easy
• 2:19:39
  Speaker 1: win over Fresno staying at home.
• 2:19:42
  Speaker 2: I believe this game is at Utah State.
• 2:19:44
  Speaker 1: It is, so it's a true road game from Memphis here.
• 2:19:49
  Speaker 1: Utah State does have Boise on decks, so there is
• 2:19:51
  Speaker 1: the possibility they're looking ahead to that. But again, very
• 2:19:54
  Speaker 1: weird travel spot for Memphis here. Utah State lanth thirteen
• 2:19:59
  Speaker 1: and a half, seventy five percent of tickets, ninety six
• 2:20:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Memphis based on what these
• 2:20:05
  Speaker 1: teams did in the last game, Memphis coming off kind
• 2:20:07
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss or Utah State, I mean kind
• 2:20:10
  Speaker 1: of looking.
• 2:20:10
  Speaker 2: Ahead maybe to Boise.
• 2:20:12
  Speaker 1: I guess I would slightly lean towards taking the points
• 2:20:16
  Speaker 1: with Memphis, but I really don't love it, man, So
• 2:20:19
  Speaker 1: it's a stay away from me for sure.
• 2:20:22
  Speaker 2: All Right, Let's keep going here. What else we got here?
• 2:20:25
  Speaker 1: I know I forgot to mention Oral Roberts in their
• 2:20:27
  Speaker 1: last game, but it was just hilarious that they were
• 2:20:29
  Speaker 1: like a six point favorite even though they were a
• 2:20:31
  Speaker 1: winless team.
• 2:20:32
  Speaker 2: Of course, they were playing UMKC and.
• 2:20:34
  Speaker 1: Or Roberts finally got their first they were winless team
• 2:20:37
  Speaker 1: in conference. I should say or Roberts finally got their
• 2:20:39
  Speaker 1: first conference win, beating the even worse UMKC Kansas City.
• 2:20:45
  Speaker 1: But I got nothing to really say about that game. Otherwise,
• 2:20:49
  Speaker 1: some of these games, I just don't have much. Let
• 2:20:51
  Speaker 1: me see, I only have one other additional lean here.
• 2:20:53
  Speaker 1: Oh no, I don't have any. I already talked about
• 2:20:55
  Speaker 1: the rest of them.
• 2:20:57
  Speaker 2: I have one more.
• 2:20:58
  Speaker 1: Play somewhere in here, and that's it, man, I'm to
• 2:21:00
  Speaker 1: talk about the TV games. I don't know if there
• 2:21:02
  Speaker 1: are any other games that are that interesting here. Auburn
• 2:21:05
  Speaker 1: is at number twenty one Arkansas at eight thirty pm
• 2:21:07
  Speaker 1: on ESPN.
• 2:21:09
  Speaker 2: Auburn coming into this one. I have lost to Vandy.
• 2:21:11
  Speaker 1: I know Auburn lost is a home favorite, and a
• 2:21:14
  Speaker 1: lot of times I like teams that lose is a
• 2:21:16
  Speaker 1: home favorite.
• 2:21:17
  Speaker 2: To bounce back.
• 2:21:17
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, because Vandy's a good team,
• 2:21:20
  Speaker 1: a ranked team. That was a pretty big game for Auburn,
• 2:21:23
  Speaker 1: So they're playing a couple of big games in a
• 2:21:25
  Speaker 1: row here, might be difficult for them, whereas Arkansas is
• 2:21:28
  Speaker 1: coming off beating LSU. Easier game, easier win for them.
• 2:21:32
  Speaker 1: I know they do have Alabama on deck, but I
• 2:21:34
  Speaker 1: don't know man. And then the other thing about Arkansas
• 2:21:37
  Speaker 1: is they actually lost ugly at Auburn earlier this year.
• 2:21:41
  Speaker 1: Arkansas actually lost by twenty two points at Auburn earlier
• 2:21:45
  Speaker 1: this year, so there's a revenge mode of here for Arkansas.
• 2:21:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Auburn for that reason,
• 2:21:50
  Speaker 1: so I would have to lean to Arkansas in this game.
• 2:21:53
  Speaker 1: Arkansas has gone up from six to eight and a half, though,
• 2:21:56
  Speaker 1: so you're losing some value in that through that key
• 2:21:58
  Speaker 1: ish number of seven teams stop potentially fouling. For the
• 2:22:02
  Speaker 1: three possession threshold, seventy nine percent of the cash and
• 2:22:05
  Speaker 1: tickets on Arkansas. I would lay it, even though they're
• 2:22:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be a public side. That's the way I would
• 2:22:10
  Speaker 1: lean in that game.
• 2:22:12
  Speaker 2: ESPNU at eight.
• 2:22:13
  Speaker 1: Thirty has Marshall at Georgia Southern in the Sun Belt
• 2:22:16
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly the most enticing game. Georgia Southern was
• 2:22:20
  Speaker 1: up near the top of the standings earlier this season,
• 2:22:22
  Speaker 1: but they're not a very good team. Marshall is coming
• 2:22:25
  Speaker 1: off barely getting by Old Dominion. That was not a
• 2:22:28
  Speaker 1: good performance from Marshall. Old Dominion's not very good, so
• 2:22:32
  Speaker 1: Marshall might show up with a better performance here. But
• 2:22:34
  Speaker 1: they got South Alabama and Apps stayed on deck, and
• 2:22:37
  Speaker 1: those are two big games with South Alabama two days
• 2:22:41
  Speaker 1: from now, so they have two of the top teams
• 2:22:45
  Speaker 1: in the conference on deck. So that's the problem. They
• 2:22:47
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead. These two teams haven't played yet
• 2:22:50
  Speaker 1: this year. They do play at the end of the season.
• 2:22:53
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern's coming off three straight losses year they got
• 2:22:56
  Speaker 1: blown out at home by app State, So I think
• 2:22:59
  Speaker 1: the spot might actually be a little bit better for
• 2:23:01
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern just because of the look ahead spot that
• 2:23:03
  Speaker 1: Marshall is in. Marshall dropped from three to two and
• 2:23:06
  Speaker 1: a half. I guess I would probably lean towards taking
• 2:23:08
  Speaker 1: it taking the points with Georgia Southern, but don't have
• 2:23:12
  Speaker 1: a great opinion on that one. South Carolina at Alabama
• 2:23:15
  Speaker 1: on the SEC Network at eight thirty pm. South Carolina
• 2:23:19
  Speaker 1: on a big losing streak, five losses in a row.
• 2:23:22
  Speaker 1: They got blown out by Missouri at home in their
• 2:23:24
  Speaker 1: last game. Likely they're gonna try to show up for
• 2:23:26
  Speaker 1: a game because I mean, you're in a rut like
• 2:23:29
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, You're gonna try to show up and save
• 2:23:31
  Speaker 1: yourself some embarrassment, man, try to put in a good
• 2:23:34
  Speaker 1: performance against a good team Alabama. I mean, they're coming
• 2:23:38
  Speaker 1: into this off of three straight wins, but their last
• 2:23:41
  Speaker 1: win was an unim I mean it was I don't
• 2:23:43
  Speaker 1: want to say unimpressive, but it was against a pretty
• 2:23:45
  Speaker 1: bad Oh Miss team.
• 2:23:48
  Speaker 2: It was a road win.
• 2:23:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's pretty impressive when you beat anybody really
• 2:23:51
  Speaker 1: on the road by nineteen, any conference foe like that.
• 2:23:54
  Speaker 1: So they are coming up with that, and then they
• 2:23:56
  Speaker 1: do have Arkansas on deck, so there is a potential
• 2:23:59
  Speaker 1: they overlook South Carolina here because they're a bad team.
• 2:24:02
  Speaker 1: The teams haven't played this season. This might be the
• 2:24:05
  Speaker 1: only time they play. I would probably lean towards taking
• 2:24:08
  Speaker 1: the points of South Carolina. No real strong opinion at
• 2:24:12
  Speaker 1: all for me on that game, though. Alabama's up from
• 2:24:15
  Speaker 1: sixteen and a half to seventeen and a half, ninety
• 2:24:17
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets and ninety eight percent of
• 2:24:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on Alabama, so some of the money on them,
• 2:24:22
  Speaker 1: but they look like they're gonna be a public side.
• 2:24:24
  Speaker 1: I would probably fade them all right. Next up, my
• 2:24:28
  Speaker 1: final play of the day, and I gotta get the
• 2:24:36
  Speaker 1: Instagram videos on. Unfortunately, the Instagram dude, I forgot to
• 2:24:39
  Speaker 1: get the Instagram video out yesterday.
• 2:24:42
  Speaker 2: I just got busy. So people gotta watch.
• 2:24:44
  Speaker 1: My show Man or just follow me on Twitter. We're
• 2:24:47
  Speaker 1: gon we're gonna be on the Texas money line here.
• 2:24:51
  Speaker 1: I found it at just straight up a minus one
• 2:24:53
  Speaker 1: ten pick them price. They're about a minus one favorite
• 2:24:56
  Speaker 1: at some spots in this one. But I think you
• 2:24:58
  Speaker 1: can find a good money line on this. So we're
• 2:25:00
  Speaker 1: going to Texas money line.
• 2:25:01
  Speaker 2: At Missouri here. I don't like the spot for Missouri.
• 2:25:05
  Speaker 1: First of all, Missouri, they've won three games in a row,
• 2:25:08
  Speaker 1: but they just pulled off a road upset at Texas
• 2:25:11
  Speaker 1: A and M. Still a big deal beating Texas A
• 2:25:13
  Speaker 1: and M because they were near the top of the
• 2:25:15
  Speaker 1: SEC for so long.
• 2:25:16
  Speaker 2: Missouri's not that good.
• 2:25:17
  Speaker 1: They were seven and a half point underdogs in that
• 2:25:19
  Speaker 1: game that was a pretty nice upset for Missouri here, man,
• 2:25:23
  Speaker 1: and what was the tight game, tightly contested game Missouri
• 2:25:28
  Speaker 1: did massively out rebound Texas A and M. Texas A
• 2:25:30
  Speaker 1: and M is not the same Texas A and M
• 2:25:33
  Speaker 1: team that they were the last couple of seasons. They're
• 2:25:35
  Speaker 1: not the slow down, ugly offensive team. And our Texas
• 2:25:39
  Speaker 1: A and M scores a lot and doesn't play defense
• 2:25:41
  Speaker 1: now and they play fast Bucky ball, if you will,
• 2:25:47
  Speaker 1: with a Bucky McMillan there, whatever their coach's name has been. Anyway,
• 2:25:49
  Speaker 1: Missouri is coming off the big upset now they're back
• 2:25:52
  Speaker 1: at home, but up next they got Van dy Man
• 2:25:55
  Speaker 1: and then Arkansas and then Tennessee. So there's the possibility
• 2:25:58
  Speaker 1: they overlook Texas because Texas this is middle of the
• 2:26:01
  Speaker 1: pack in the conference, and I think Texas is.
• 2:26:03
  Speaker 2: A very under the radar team.
• 2:26:05
  Speaker 1: As I've kept saying, we'll look at kembamb in a minute,
• 2:26:07
  Speaker 1: Texas is one of the more undervalued teams in the
• 2:26:10
  Speaker 1: entire country, man, But they're easy to overlook. These teams
• 2:26:14
  Speaker 1: did not play each other this year, yet I think
• 2:26:16
  Speaker 1: this is the only time they play. Looking at what
• 2:26:19
  Speaker 1: Missouri's done at home this year, they really have not
• 2:26:22
  Speaker 1: been that impressive, to be honest. They beat Mississippi State
• 2:26:25
  Speaker 1: by five, Oklahoma by one.
• 2:26:29
  Speaker 2: Auburn by ten. That's a right win.
• 2:26:30
  Speaker 1: They did beat Florida at home, that was their best,
• 2:26:32
  Speaker 1: their best conference home win, but other than that, it's
• 2:26:35
  Speaker 1: not like they've been great at home. As far as
• 2:26:39
  Speaker 1: Texas is concerned. Texas comes into this game off of
• 2:26:43
  Speaker 1: beating Old miss They got three wins in a row,
• 2:26:45
  Speaker 1: they got momentum.
• 2:26:46
  Speaker 2: This game is not surrounded by anything.
• 2:26:48
  Speaker 1: Really, I think they'll show up, even though, yes, it
• 2:26:50
  Speaker 1: is kind of a weird travel spot for Texas a.
• 2:26:53
  Speaker 2: Single road game there.
• 2:26:54
  Speaker 1: But Texas is not exactly unused to playing in Missouri.
• 2:26:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, these teams played each other when they were
• 2:27:01
  Speaker 1: in the Big twelve and whatever, So I think it's fine.
• 2:27:04
  Speaker 1: But also I think Missouri is an overrated team. Man,
• 2:27:07
  Speaker 1: Missouri is up to one one and a half now. Actually,
• 2:27:10
  Speaker 1: you can probably get Texas at a plus at plus
• 2:27:14
  Speaker 1: the points now, So yeah, if you're getting Texas plus
• 2:27:17
  Speaker 1: one and a half, do that, obviously, I might mark
• 2:27:20
  Speaker 1: I'll score it as that if that's what the line
• 2:27:22
  Speaker 1: is now. Sixty two percent of tickets ninety two percent
• 2:27:25
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Texas. Looks like the actual money
• 2:27:28
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Texas side. And I think
• 2:27:31
  Speaker 1: it's also kind of a misleading line here, like it's
• 2:27:33
  Speaker 1: basically a pick the winner price. But people are gonna
• 2:27:36
  Speaker 1: see Missouri as the somewhat better record in there at home.
• 2:27:39
  Speaker 1: It looks really easy to play Missouri, but I'm telling
• 2:27:42
  Speaker 1: you that's not the way to do it. Ken Baum
• 2:27:45
  Speaker 1: has Texas thirty fourth in the country and he has
• 2:27:47
  Speaker 1: them as a bomb twenty team in luck. They're top
• 2:27:50
  Speaker 1: ten in offense. They're not a very good defensive team,
• 2:27:53
  Speaker 1: so yeah, that is a concern. They have kind of
• 2:27:55
  Speaker 1: a weird profile where they play slow but they don't
• 2:27:58
  Speaker 1: play good defense. But they're an under value commodity man
• 2:28:01
  Speaker 1: to face a difficult schedule, and again ken Bam is
• 2:28:05
  Speaker 1: telling you they're a lot better than their record looks.
• 2:28:07
  Speaker 1: They're very unlucky. We'reing to kem bomb. There are almost
• 2:28:10
  Speaker 1: twenty ranking spots higher than Missouri, and Missouri their defense
• 2:28:14
  Speaker 1: is nothing to write home about either. So it's not
• 2:28:16
  Speaker 1: like we have to worry not much about Texas having
• 2:28:18
  Speaker 1: a weak defense because Missouri's is not significantly better Texas
• 2:28:22
  Speaker 1: has a significantly better offense though, so Texas offense is
• 2:28:27
  Speaker 1: where the biggest gap is between these two teams. Missouri
• 2:28:31
  Speaker 1: is very lucky too, at twenty eighth in the country,
• 2:28:33
  Speaker 1: So kem Bam is telling you the massively overperformed.
• 2:28:36
  Speaker 2: Their schedule has been a bit weaker.
• 2:28:37
  Speaker 1: Than Texas's has as well, so they're a little bit
• 2:28:39
  Speaker 1: less battle tested and Missouri they're gonna try to play fast.
• 2:28:44
  Speaker 1: Texas is gonna try to play slow, but sometimes it
• 2:28:46
  Speaker 1: is easier to slow the game down, and maybe Texas
• 2:28:49
  Speaker 1: will be able to do that in this one. Totals
• 2:28:51
  Speaker 1: at one fifty and a half. I think the oddsmakers
• 2:28:53
  Speaker 1: kind of just don't know which way it's gonna go,
• 2:28:56
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna go with Texas here, man. I think
• 2:28:58
  Speaker 1: we're getting value on Texas. I think we can get
• 2:29:02
  Speaker 1: one and a half on this now. Like I said,
• 2:29:05
  Speaker 1: but yeah, it's kind of a numbers play but also
• 2:29:08
  Speaker 1: kind of a spot player. I think Missouri is in
• 2:29:10
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. But also I think the numbers are
• 2:29:13
  Speaker 1: indicating like Texas is just an undervalued team right now.
• 2:29:16
  Speaker 2: Man, So I like how that sets up.
• 2:29:18
  Speaker 1: Texas will be my final play Big ten Network at
• 2:29:21
  Speaker 1: nine pm, Minnesota at Washington. Both these teams are in
• 2:29:25
  Speaker 1: bad spots. Minnesota, excuse me. Both these teams are in
• 2:29:28
  Speaker 1: good spots.
• 2:29:29
  Speaker 2: Excuse me.
• 2:29:30
  Speaker 1: Minnesota just lost at home. Is a big favorite to Maryland.
• 2:29:33
  Speaker 1: That's a bad loss. Minnesota were double digit favorites in
• 2:29:37
  Speaker 1: that game. You know, I talk about when a double
• 2:29:39
  Speaker 1: digit favorite loses, I like them to refocus in the
• 2:29:42
  Speaker 1: next game. However, having to go out to the West
• 2:29:45
  Speaker 1: Coast to an unfamiliar venue go play in Seattle, that's
• 2:29:48
  Speaker 1: not really that easy of a thing to do for Minnesota.
• 2:29:51
  Speaker 1: And they're getting a Washington team that is also coming
• 2:29:54
  Speaker 1: off a loss as a home favorite. They were double
• 2:29:56
  Speaker 1: digit favorites in their game against Penn State and they
• 2:29:59
  Speaker 1: lost the game, and they're staying at home, so I
• 2:30:01
  Speaker 1: think they should be focused as well. So it's a
• 2:30:04
  Speaker 1: spot where I think both teams should be focused. But
• 2:30:06
  Speaker 1: I think Washington sets up a little bit better just
• 2:30:08
  Speaker 1: because of the unfamiliarity of the venue for Minnesota and
• 2:30:11
  Speaker 1: the travel spot. I'll lean to Washington, but I think
• 2:30:15
  Speaker 1: both teams set up to bounce back in this one.
• 2:30:19
  Speaker 1: Washington's a five and a half point favorite eighty three
• 2:30:21
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on Washington.
• 2:30:25
  Speaker 1: Maybe an underworth considering that one. I mean, both teams
• 2:30:28
  Speaker 1: play kind of ugly. It's the total is low.
• 2:30:32
  Speaker 2: In the one thirties. Usually want to go under when
• 2:30:34
  Speaker 2: the total is low because the Odsigers are kind of
• 2:30:36
  Speaker 2: telling you it's going to be an ugly game.
• 2:30:40
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean, and both teams might show up focus,
• 2:30:43
  Speaker 1: which usually kind of shows on the defensive end because
• 2:30:47
  Speaker 1: both teams just had bad losses.
• 2:30:49
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of what I'm thinking. In that game.
• 2:30:52
  Speaker 1: They eighty three percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of
• 2:30:54
  Speaker 1: the cash on Washington, so the money does seem to
• 2:30:56
  Speaker 1: be indicating on Washington. I don't disagree, but I think
• 2:30:59
  Speaker 1: both teams are in good spots there. Texas brisket, yeah, but.
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 2: That's not well.
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 1: The sandwich spot that the Missouri is in is is
• 2:31:11
  Speaker 1: not a Texas sandwich. They're playing Vandy next, so I
• 2:31:15
  Speaker 1: don't know what type of sandwich they're in there. It's
• 2:31:19
  Speaker 1: a I don't know, because it's it's half Texas, half
• 2:31:22
  Speaker 1: Nashville in that one or not Nashville. Where's vand I
• 2:31:26
  Speaker 1: forget where Vandy is. It's half Texas half Tennessee. Montana
• 2:31:31
  Speaker 1: State at Montana should be a pretty good game on
• 2:31:34
  Speaker 1: the late slate here. It's not gonna be televised, though
• 2:31:38
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be on ESPN.
• 2:31:39
  Speaker 2: Plus.
• 2:31:40
  Speaker 1: Montana coming off losing the Eastern Washington at home not
• 2:31:43
  Speaker 1: a good game for Montana, so they were probably excuse
• 2:31:47
  Speaker 1: Montana State excuseually lost at home to Eastern Washington. I
• 2:31:51
  Speaker 1: know Eastern Washington is not as bad as the record looks,
• 2:31:53
  Speaker 1: but I think Montana State probably was looking ahead to Montana.
• 2:31:58
  Speaker 1: Montana State did already win the first game at home
• 2:32:00
  Speaker 1: against Montana.
• 2:32:01
  Speaker 2: This is the second meeting.
• 2:32:03
  Speaker 1: They beat Montana by nine at home, so there is
• 2:32:06
  Speaker 1: I guess a little bit of a road revenge motive
• 2:32:08
  Speaker 1: from Montana here. I think both teams are gonna show up,
• 2:32:11
  Speaker 1: though Montana State obviously was looking ahead had that kind
• 2:32:15
  Speaker 1: of ugly loss.
• 2:32:17
  Speaker 2: Against used to Washing.
• 2:32:18
  Speaker 1: Montana did win against Idaho and I think they actually
• 2:32:22
  Speaker 1: covered barely. I thought they might not cover in that one,
• 2:32:25
  Speaker 1: but they should be focused as well coming into this
• 2:32:27
  Speaker 1: game against Montana State. Montana is actually a two point
• 2:32:32
  Speaker 1: favorite here, so Montana State being listed as the better team,
• 2:32:37
  Speaker 1: you know, I know, it's a little bit of revenge
• 2:32:41
  Speaker 1: for Montana here, but I don't know. I kind of
• 2:32:43
  Speaker 1: lean to Montana State because the osmakers are telling you
• 2:32:45
  Speaker 1: they're the better team here and they're coming off the
• 2:32:48
  Speaker 1: uglier loss, or they're coming off the uglier game in
• 2:32:51
  Speaker 1: their most recent game that loss is a favorite, whereas
• 2:32:53
  Speaker 1: Montana did actually win and cover in there. So those
• 2:32:58
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that Baptist at Utah Tech. Utah
• 2:33:01
  Speaker 1: Tech is coming up a nice upset win against Utah Valley,
• 2:33:07
  Speaker 1: So pretty big win for Utah Tech. I think they
• 2:33:09
  Speaker 1: probably consider themselves to be a little brother against Utah Valley.
• 2:33:12
  Speaker 1: At this point in Utah there were nine and a
• 2:33:15
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs and one and I think Utah Valley
• 2:33:18
  Speaker 1: is still the best team in this conference.
• 2:33:19
  Speaker 2: So Utah Tech is coming up that big game.
• 2:33:22
  Speaker 1: Now they're facing the team that is a top the
• 2:33:23
  Speaker 1: conference now, Cal Baptist, and it is a double revenge spot.
• 2:33:27
  Speaker 1: It's a third meeting which is only happening in the whack,
• 2:33:32
  Speaker 1: which is whack because there.
• 2:33:34
  Speaker 2: Are only seven teams in here.
• 2:33:35
  Speaker 1: Now. Utah Tech did lose both meetings already against Cal Baptists,
• 2:33:39
  Speaker 1: both on the road by twelve and by nine, So
• 2:33:42
  Speaker 1: you got to think they should show up here, But
• 2:33:44
  Speaker 1: the problem is it could be a major letdown spot
• 2:33:46
  Speaker 1: off of beating Utah Valley. So I can't do it, man,
• 2:33:50
  Speaker 1: I can't do either thing with Utah Tech. I can't
• 2:33:52
  Speaker 1: fade them in the letdown spot because cal Baptists might
• 2:33:56
  Speaker 1: overlook them after beating them twice. But I can't really
• 2:33:59
  Speaker 1: do it. I just can't do anything with the game, man.
• 2:34:01
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptists on a huge win street that won like
• 2:34:03
  Speaker 1: nine games in a row, but they have a big
• 2:34:06
  Speaker 1: game on deck against Utah Valley, so they might overlook
• 2:34:09
  Speaker 1: Utah Tech for that reason too.
• 2:34:11
  Speaker 2: So the spot is not good for cal Baptist here.
• 2:34:15
  Speaker 1: They're up from two to three here, and the money
• 2:34:17
  Speaker 1: looks like it is kind of coming into cal Baptist
• 2:34:19
  Speaker 1: right now. I kind of don't really agree with it
• 2:34:22
  Speaker 1: because it is double.
• 2:34:23
  Speaker 2: Revenge for Utah attack.
• 2:34:24
  Speaker 1: I know it's a huge letdown spot for Utah Tech too,
• 2:34:27
  Speaker 1: but cal Baptist does have the look at it as well.
• 2:34:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Although sometimes the game that you
• 2:34:33
  Speaker 1: just played is more indicative of what's gonna happen, and
• 2:34:35
  Speaker 1: cal Baptists just have an easy win over Southern Utah
• 2:34:38
  Speaker 1: was maybe the worst team in the conference.
• 2:34:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 2:34:41
  Speaker 1: It's a game that I am not going to touch obviously,
• 2:34:45
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I go back and forth on
• 2:34:47
  Speaker 1: that game quite a bit. I don't really want to
• 2:34:48
  Speaker 1: even give out an opinion on it because it's such
• 2:34:50
  Speaker 1: a close call in that game. CBS Sports at ten PM.
• 2:34:56
  Speaker 1: We're getting into the Degenerate hours. No eleven PM. More
• 2:35:00
  Speaker 1: midnight games tonight though. No Hawaii Degenerate special because I
• 2:35:04
  Speaker 1: think Hawaii is in California right now. Nevada at San
• 2:35:09
  Speaker 1: Diego State is this game. It's a good Mountain West game.
• 2:35:12
  Speaker 2: Man. Nevada coming into this game of beating Fresno, no
• 2:35:16
  Speaker 2: big deal there. These two teams already did play.
• 2:35:19
  Speaker 1: Nevada lost at home to San Diego State, so it
• 2:35:21
  Speaker 1: is a road revenge spot for Nevada coming into this one.
• 2:35:24
  Speaker 1: I think they were probably a small favorite in that game.
• 2:35:27
  Speaker 1: I can look real quick, where's that game at?
• 2:35:31
  Speaker 2: Let me see.
• 2:35:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Nevada is a one half point favorite there. But yeah,
• 2:35:37
  Speaker 1: it should be road revenge for them. But San Diego
• 2:35:39
  Speaker 1: State it sets up okay for them because they're just
• 2:35:42
  Speaker 1: coming off a winner for air Force. But they did
• 2:35:44
  Speaker 1: beat an air Force by thirty four points, so I
• 2:35:47
  Speaker 1: guess that's it was on the road, so I guess
• 2:35:49
  Speaker 1: that's kind of satisfying. San Diego State doesn't have a
• 2:35:52
  Speaker 1: revenge game against Grant Canyon on deck, though, so maybe
• 2:35:55
  Speaker 1: they consider that to be a little bit of a
• 2:35:57
  Speaker 1: bigger game, even though Nevada is right behind them in
• 2:35:59
  Speaker 1: the standings. All of that, you know, being said, I
• 2:36:02
  Speaker 1: would lead to Nevada in this one. But san Diego
• 2:36:04
  Speaker 1: State's an eight point favorite and getting the money. It
• 2:36:07
  Speaker 1: looks like sixty seven percent of tickets ninety six percent
• 2:36:10
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I think the line has
• 2:36:13
  Speaker 1: moved maybe a little bit too much in their direction though.
• 2:36:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, if Nevada was favored at home, you'd expect
• 2:36:18
  Speaker 1: San Diego State to maybe be like a six point
• 2:36:21
  Speaker 1: favorite year.
• 2:36:22
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 2:36:22
  Speaker 1: I think the line maybe some of the move is
• 2:36:24
  Speaker 1: warranted because you do have to adjust the power ratings
• 2:36:28
  Speaker 1: based on you know, based on results, like you just
• 2:36:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to overadjust.
• 2:36:32
  Speaker 2: But maybe this has been a little bit of an
• 2:36:33
  Speaker 2: over adjustment.
• 2:36:34
  Speaker 1: And San Diego State likes to play, you know, these
• 2:36:37
  Speaker 1: kind of low scoring defensive battles, so although they actually
• 2:36:43
  Speaker 1: play a faster tempo. They're not a good offensive team.
• 2:36:45
  Speaker 1: They play defense mostly, so could be one of those
• 2:36:50
  Speaker 1: games the low total in the one forties, low one forties,
• 2:36:52
  Speaker 1: So taking the point, it's kind of makes sense for
• 2:36:54
  Speaker 1: that reason too. I lean to Nevada in that one,
• 2:36:59
  Speaker 1: all right, And then we have an ESPN huge game
• 2:37:03
  Speaker 1: between number twelve Gonzaga and Santa Clara at Santa Clara.
• 2:37:08
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara is actually a head of Gonzaga in the standings,
• 2:37:11
  Speaker 1: so maybe Gonzaga will be playing with a chip on
• 2:37:13
  Speaker 1: their shoulder here because Gonzaga is always the top team
• 2:37:16
  Speaker 1: in this conference pretty much, and they don't want to
• 2:37:19
  Speaker 1: surrender that.
• 2:37:20
  Speaker 2: So it's probably like, who the hell is Santa Clara.
• 2:37:22
  Speaker 1: It's not even Saint Mary's, who's usually the main competition here.
• 2:37:25
  Speaker 1: But Santa Clara is having an excellent season and they
• 2:37:27
  Speaker 1: are legit, man, they're good. Ken Bom has them in
• 2:37:31
  Speaker 1: like the top forty or so teams in the country.
• 2:37:35
  Speaker 1: They're definitely legit. But Gonzaga might, you know, just have
• 2:37:40
  Speaker 1: a little chip on their shoulder. Santa Clara wants to
• 2:37:42
  Speaker 1: prove themselves, no doubt about it. They've already beaten Saint Mary's.
• 2:37:46
  Speaker 1: It would be they would definitely love to beat both
• 2:37:48
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's and Gonzaga and the course of one season,
• 2:37:51
  Speaker 1: that would be awesome for them. But I don't think
• 2:37:53
  Speaker 1: Goodzaga is gonna overlook this game either, man. I think
• 2:37:56
  Speaker 1: they're basically who the hell is this team? That's not
• 2:37:58
  Speaker 1: even Saint Mary's. It's ahead of us in the standings.
• 2:38:00
  Speaker 4: Now.
• 2:38:01
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga had that blip against Portland State coming off the
• 2:38:04
  Speaker 1: big win over Saint Mary's. The bounce back nicely with
• 2:38:07
  Speaker 1: two blowout wins. They're coming into this game with momentum,
• 2:38:10
  Speaker 1: though it is a third road game in four games
• 2:38:12
  Speaker 1: for them. Santa Clara coming into this off of beating
• 2:38:16
  Speaker 1: Seattle at home, so they're staying at home. Sets up
• 2:38:19
  Speaker 1: fine for them too. But I don't know, man. The
• 2:38:23
  Speaker 1: money is all coming in on Santa Clara, though Gonzaga's
• 2:38:25
  Speaker 1: up from the three and a half point favorite to
• 2:38:27
  Speaker 1: a four and a half point favorite. Fifty four percent
• 2:38:29
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on Gonzaga, eighty percent of the cash
• 2:38:32
  Speaker 1: on Santa Clara, though, I mean, I can't disagree with
• 2:38:36
  Speaker 1: the market really looks that strong, So it is strongly
• 2:38:39
  Speaker 1: indicating on Santa Clara. I guess I'll agree with taking
• 2:38:42
  Speaker 1: the points there in that one. Gonzaga not quite as
• 2:38:45
  Speaker 1: good as they were, you know, Saint last year, where
• 2:38:47
  Speaker 1: they were an unbelievably underrated eight seed. They were an
• 2:38:50
  Speaker 1: eight seed in the tournament last year even though they
• 2:38:53
  Speaker 1: were the tenth best team in the country according to Campbell.
• 2:38:57
  Speaker 1: Though they're actually the tenth best team again right now.
• 2:39:00
  Speaker 2: Santa Clara thirty eight.
• 2:39:01
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara's legit man, Gonzaga is still the better team.
• 2:39:05
  Speaker 1: Significantly better on defense, Gonzaga is than Santa Claras, that's
• 2:39:09
  Speaker 1: the one big edge that Gonzaga has. Gonzaga's pretty lucky
• 2:39:12
  Speaker 1: according to ken Bum at thirty fifth in luck, whereas
• 2:39:16
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara is more of a mid tier luck team.
• 2:39:19
  Speaker 2: So we'll see.
• 2:39:19
  Speaker 1: I would like to see Santa Clara make the tournament, man,
• 2:39:21
  Speaker 1: it'd be crazy to see a team that's not Gonzaga
• 2:39:25
  Speaker 1: or Saint Mary's somehow getting into the tournament. Gonzaga's gonna
• 2:39:28
  Speaker 1: get into the tournament anyway. Santa Clara has an at
• 2:39:32
  Speaker 1: large case though, and then Saint Mary's is playing at
• 2:39:35
  Speaker 1: Pacific in the other ten to thirty PM game on
• 2:39:39
  Speaker 1: ESPN two Saint Mary's coming up of beating Pepperdine at home.
• 2:39:43
  Speaker 2: No big deal there. These teams haven't.
• 2:39:45
  Speaker 1: Played each other this year, and I think this is
• 2:39:47
  Speaker 1: the only matchup. But Pacific has been pretty sneaky competitive
• 2:39:51
  Speaker 1: this year. Man, They've been not a bad team. I
• 2:39:54
  Speaker 1: think they might actually be the fifth best team in
• 2:39:56
  Speaker 1: this conference this year, behind the obvious four that I've
• 2:39:59
  Speaker 1: been talking. They might be better than San Francisco. Now,
• 2:40:02
  Speaker 1: Pacific is coming off kind of a lackluster game where
• 2:40:04
  Speaker 1: they barely beat Loyola Marymount was having a bad season.
• 2:40:08
  Speaker 2: Pacific only one by six.
• 2:40:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much they were favored by in
• 2:40:12
  Speaker 1: this game five and a half, so they actually technically covered,
• 2:40:15
  Speaker 1: but wasn't a great performance. And then they're staying at home.
• 2:40:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe they were looking ahead to Saint Mary's here. I
• 2:40:20
  Speaker 1: would lean to Pacific in this game. Saint Mary's an
• 2:40:23
  Speaker 1: eight and a half point road favorite. You know, they
• 2:40:25
  Speaker 1: played these slow games, laying points on the road. Not
• 2:40:28
  Speaker 1: really something I'd want to do with them. Total is
• 2:40:30
  Speaker 1: low in the one thirties. Eighty three percent of tickets
• 2:40:33
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on Saint Mary's. So
• 2:40:36
  Speaker 1: the money is saying Saint Mary's, but I disagree, and
• 2:40:40
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it.
• 2:40:41
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 2:40:41
  Speaker 1: That's the whole rundown today. So yeah, hopefully, uh, hopefully
• 2:40:47
  Speaker 1: we get some wins today. That's gonna do it one
• 2:40:49
  Speaker 1: more time. My players are Iowa State minus the points
• 2:40:53
  Speaker 1: six and a half or seven on that, Charleston Southern
• 2:40:56
  Speaker 1: plus the points.
• 2:40:57
  Speaker 2: I think three and a half.
• 2:40:58
  Speaker 1: You might be able to find a four out there,
• 2:41:00
  Speaker 1: Iowa plus two to two and a half mostly too,
• 2:41:03
  Speaker 1: some two and a half's out there, and Texas on
• 2:41:06
  Speaker 1: the I give it out on the money line here,
• 2:41:08
  Speaker 1: but well, really, like I said, I think they're actually
• 2:41:10
  Speaker 1: an underdog now like one and a half, so better
• 2:41:13
  Speaker 1: for us.
• 2:41:14
  Speaker 2: You can get them as a dog. That's gonna do it.
• 2:41:16
  Speaker 2: Thanks to everybody for hanging out.
• 2:41:18
  Speaker 1: I know I went a little bit earlier because I
• 2:41:20
  Speaker 1: want to get this done earlier in me because I
• 2:41:21
  Speaker 1: know it's gonna be a three hour show college basketball,
• 2:41:25
  Speaker 1: so at least we don't have NBA or NHL to
• 2:41:28
  Speaker 1: worry about here, but enjoy you know, the NBA All.
• 2:41:31
  Speaker 2: Star garbage as well.
• 2:41:34
  Speaker 1: Only the three point contest is really interesting to me
• 2:41:36
  Speaker 1: at this point. But I don't have a good read
• 2:41:39
  Speaker 1: on that one either though, So I gave up my
• 2:41:42
  Speaker 1: opinion on that mostly yesterday.
• 2:41:44
  Speaker 2: If you go back and watch that, that's gonna do it.
• 2:41:46
  Speaker 2: Learn a Toe on Twitter.
• 2:41:47
  Speaker 1: You can subscribe to me there if you want to
• 2:41:49
  Speaker 1: throw me some support. You get some bonus yuke posts
• 2:41:52
  Speaker 1: there as well. I've only done one so far though.
• 2:41:56
  Speaker 1: Learned a toad on Instagram as well. I'll put out
• 2:41:58
  Speaker 1: the short form version of these plays as well over there, Like,
• 2:42:02
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here, man, give me likes, give
• 2:42:04
  Speaker 1: me subscriptions.
• 2:42:05
  Speaker 2: Let's boost this thing up.
• 2:42:07
  Speaker 1: Want to blow this thing up somehow, man, I think
• 2:42:10
  Speaker 1: I go into the most detail for any handicapping show.
• 2:42:12
  Speaker 1: So at least there's that. People seem to not want
• 2:42:14
  Speaker 1: to listen to me. But let's boost this thing up somehow.
• 2:42:17
  Speaker 2: Give me you know, replies as well on here. That
• 2:42:19
  Speaker 2: all helps.
• 2:42:20
  Speaker 1: Listening on audio helps, reviewing on audio helps. Spotify and
• 2:42:24
  Speaker 1: Apple covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 2:42:28
  Speaker 1: I think I have that pretty much up to date now.
• 2:42:30
  Speaker 1: Did a new tribute cover for James Van Derbeek rip
• 2:42:35
  Speaker 1: Man didn't even realize he had cancer. Man seemed like
• 2:42:39
  Speaker 1: a good dude. He's, you know, a father stays with
• 2:42:42
  Speaker 1: his wife, raises his kids. You know, Vanderbeek, he's he's
• 2:42:46
  Speaker 1: probably like one of the few Hollywood personas not you.
• 2:42:51
  Speaker 2: Know, not on the Epstein list and with whatever, like
• 2:42:55
  Speaker 2: not one of those.
• 2:42:55
  Speaker 1: Guys, which is probably why he never got you know,
• 2:42:57
  Speaker 1: any like great real great gigs there. But I covered
• 2:43:00
  Speaker 1: the Dawson Dawson's Creek theme.
• 2:43:02
  Speaker 2: Song Paula Cole. So there you go. You can check
• 2:43:05
  Speaker 2: that out. Coal shout out to Cole as well. Yes, correct, Yes.
• 2:43:15
  Speaker 3: He's.
• 2:43:17
  Speaker 1: He's I don't know what what on he's Uh, I
• 2:43:19
  Speaker 1: don't know. He's continuing his bloodline. Yes, anyway, and so
• 2:43:26
  Speaker 1: is Cole. By the way, what else was I about
• 2:43:28
  Speaker 1: to say?
• 2:43:30
  Speaker 2: Oh?
• 2:43:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, covered in Yuke, yes, pedroon dot com slash and
• 2:43:33
  Speaker 1: learned to Toad. You get some bonus Yuke stuff there.
• 2:43:35
  Speaker 1: That's pretty much up to date now. I think it's
• 2:43:37
  Speaker 1: completely up to date, actually except for uh, well, I
• 2:43:41
  Speaker 1: did a Beatles cover yesterday too. That was a request
• 2:43:44
  Speaker 1: uh from some I forget who it was from somebody.
• 2:43:47
  Speaker 1: So that's up there on Twitter, but nowhere else yet.
• 2:43:50
  Speaker 1: That'll be up soon somewhere or not somewhere, but on YouTube.
• 2:43:54
  Speaker 1: Man on the Patreon feed, but yes, Pedron or if
• 2:43:57
  Speaker 1: you just want to throw me some support there that
• 2:43:58
  Speaker 1: helps me as well.
• 2:44:01
  Speaker 2: And then what else we got because I need to
• 2:44:03
  Speaker 2: live too, man.
• 2:44:05
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens when my money finally frees up,
• 2:44:07
  Speaker 1: which is happening at the end of the month, So
• 2:44:10
  Speaker 1: we'll see if I go full time professional better which
• 2:44:16
  Speaker 1: sounds badass, man, if you'll ever want to do that
• 2:44:19
  Speaker 1: full time. And then what else we got?
• 2:44:22
  Speaker 2: Oh forst Loser Cast. We'll be back on Tuesday.
• 2:44:26
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it, man, Loser Cast Tuesday night, the
• 2:44:29
  Speaker 1: new comedy podcast.
• 2:44:31
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys, long show, but we're done at
• 2:44:34
  Speaker 2: a decent time here peace.