Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 03/12/26

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NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 03/12/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear. We lift on what's going on? Everybody?
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: Happy Thursday with my man Rio again talking hoops in
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: the room, Mike a little closer. Eight games on the slates.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: This one not quite as easy in the sense of
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: you gotta be waiting around if you're playing today. Seven
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: Eastern all the way to nine thirty Eastern are the
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: eight games. I can see the different lock times here.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: We'll go game by game like always, injury report. There's
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: a bunch on there, like usual, Rio, how you doing
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: on this fine third afternoon?
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Doing all right?
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: I just got the slave planned up nice and early today,
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: so anybody that's in discord can read that. Now be
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: it nut Not looking forward to the slate. There's a
• 1:12
  Speaker 3: lot of injuries stuff to go through, a lot of
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: potential blowouts, a couple of fun games towards the end
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: of the night that should be pretty fun to watch,
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: and then maybe there will be some fantasy appeal there.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: But all in all, pretty gross slate in my opinion. Yeah,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, Happy Memphis Day again.
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: Matt and I had this on Monday on a smaller slate,
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: four or five games that was. This is eight games,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: a lot of Memphis always love doing these shows with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Nobody better in the business.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: And yeah, if you don't like the Memphis chalk or
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: you think it's fragile this and that, you definitely aren't
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: afraid to make stands.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: There.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: They mentioned some good real life games Denver, San Antonio,
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: Boston and Oka. See yeah, definitely two awesome ones tonight.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: If you want to watch some hoops March Madness tournaments
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: are starting there, watching some little golf action.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: Lot going on in.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: The sports world, and again we have a lot of
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: sports up here that we offer. MLB is going to
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: be back before you know it too, MMA, me and
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: Big Marley gonna have our show tonight. Sheets was already
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: in the Discord saying it's a great GPP card, NASCAR,
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: PGA showdown, NBA, NHL, we would love to have you
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: at the Nation Shipnation dot com can get in for
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: the day five days for nineteen dollars. That includes discord,
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: that includes sabersim and then if you do just want
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: NBA only, check out Rio's Slate Plan, Rios Core Report,
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: MAT's Core Report, The Stone, Our DVP rankings, all that
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: good stuff, education videos. Some people ask try and find
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: a process, of course, that's what we preach education. We
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: have for five sports an hour plus on all of them.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: We would love to have you. Who do we got
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: in chat to say hi to my lanes?
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: What's going on? I know you're a man.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: I can't remember the name that was that was there
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: before YouTube or whatever started tweaking.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: But you're always in here? Do you remember Rio by chance? Uh?
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: What do you mean? Like it's the it's not my lanes.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: It was the same, like it was an og.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: This guy's always in the chat and they had to
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: you know how YouTube and stream yard like now that
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: they changed the ath thing like.
• 3:09
  Speaker 3: Some people's names were changed. Oh yeah, well maybe he
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: could tell us. I'm not sure I remember.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: You're always in here though, wins a lot in here,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: Mighty Ricky other Keith Vape Yeah yeah, I was gonna
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: say Keith, Yeah, okay, yep. Good to see Rose, Michael name,
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: Jake Longleaf, Rodney Deacon pair by Juice, mister LFG.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: Good to see everyone.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: All we asked slight but on subscribe but and helps
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: us out a ton we know any like broad slap
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: besides Memphis is getting jammed and then yeah, kind of
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: pick your spends and stuff.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I wanted to bring us up because this is kind
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: of not funny.
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: But I didn't get screwed by Patrick Baldwin Junior actually
• 3:46
  Speaker 3: got screwed by Ryan Cockburner, who was ruled out after lock.
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: I mean those like the biggest ropidope that's ever been
• 3:53
  Speaker 3: pulled against me. Just he got downgraded to probable, which
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: is just a weird thing to happen before a game
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: start and then listen available and then listen out. So
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: Danny missed, questionable, miss doubtful, just like absolutely I.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: Have been seeing that one. Morikaw.
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you're in the Gulf streets, but
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: thirty nine percent, yeah, you know, I mean one of
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: the hot Yeah, that's crazy, one of the highest owed
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: that I've pretty much ever seen.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Like Scottie of course has got.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: There occasionally, but for a player or something like that,
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: thirty nine percent, you wake up and he w D.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it's it's been tough out there in the
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: DFS streets.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Bakerl Management, Baker Management.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: We preach because yeah, the most random stuff completely out
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: of your control can happen, and you can be drawn
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: dead before this late starts and it might not even
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: be your fault.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, anything else for broad slide, I guess I
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the Memphis stuff is obviously going to be kind
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: of dominating your optimizers, but I.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Could see I could see them kind of failing a bit.
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: They are doing a really good job of tanking right now,
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: and I think this would be a huge game for
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: them to lose.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's that's it.
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: I mean, we'll kind of break it down as we
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: get further along the slate, but yeah, nothing really else had.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: Sorry, Michael, I know Rubin and reminding people all from
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: everyone tilted earlier hit the like button support of channel.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we appreciate that.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Rodney, all right, I say we get right into it's
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: eight games, no time to weigh his first game of
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: the night, Phoenix Suns and the Indiana Pacers eight and
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: a half total two twenty three and a half or
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: eight and a half point spreads in this one. Phoenix
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: our favorites two twenty three and a half total, A
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: little rough. Dylan Brooks out still, Mark Williams out, Grayson
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: Allen questionable on the other side for Indy. I mean,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: it's always brutal with them right now, there's no Siakam no,
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: Quinton Jackson, and then we have Nie Smith, Subach and
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: them hardcore and TJ McConnell all questionable.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: Zubach Man, he's he's on the Q take his he
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: hasn't played a game yet for him as he no,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: this would be his first game. Why are they just
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: ran in and listening questionable?
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: Do you think obviously we're gonna get this news before
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: lock with it being the first one that locks. But
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: I mean you were just saying that you thought he'd
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: just be out all year. I don't know why they'd
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: bring him back with they're actively trying to lose. But yeah,
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: big underdogs are the Pacers getting no ownership, and the
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Suns if you want to spend the book, maybe Jalen Green,
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: but looks like a pretty.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Bad DFS game. Yeah.
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: I don't really know why they upgraded him. I don't
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: know if they planned to play him, but clearly I
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: think that he will eventually suit up for them, probably
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: just because it's a home game, Probably want to get
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: him one under his feet. But they are on the
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: front end of a back to back. They play the
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: Knicks tomorrow, so I don't know if they would rather
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: play their guys tonight against Phoenix, which is a game
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: that they probably could win if they were fully healthy
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: or a Knicks team.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: So I'm just not really sure.
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: He just got to wait for just to see who's
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: in and out for the Pacers, but I would expect
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: a I mean, Cam Jones would be kind of interesting
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: if like Nemhard and TJ McConnell and all those other
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: Q tags were out, because I think that they would
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: probably play him a ton of minutes. And he's not
• 6:58
  Speaker 3: a great permit producer, but I'm just kind of looking
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: for pivots off of this Memphis stuff, So he's kind
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: of a guy that caught my eye if he.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: Does get the start with all those guys out.
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: But as the stands right now, not interested in anything
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: on Indy, probably just in Max one if these guys
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: are in Final zero. I do like the matchup for
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: Devin Booker and Jalen Green in particular, and to a
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: lesser extent, Colin Gillespie. Pacers have the fourth worst net
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: rating of this season, the second worst over the last
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: two weeks, their bottom two in defense, bottom three in offense,
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: and their bottom two in pick and roll defense this season.
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: Devin Booker Jenn Green two of the top pick and
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: roll scores in the NBA this season, So those are
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: really the only two guys I'm looking to matchup wise
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: in this game.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Jen Green shot it a little bit more efficiently.
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: The last game kind of went you know, he's red
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: hot in the first half, then went cold in the second.
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: But nice to see that the usage has been really
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: really strong for him with the On Brooks sideline, and
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: then Devin Booker just has a pretty solid floor ceiling
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: combination with the assists. If you can kind of get
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: that double double bonus, then it could have been cooking
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: last game because I had a ton of Booker and
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: he was looking like as on his way to massive
• 8:05
  Speaker 3: to a massive game, but your Milwaukee Bucks could not
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: keep the game closed, so I lost some of his run.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: You call it. You got that one right.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: I'm glad you full circle to bring that all back.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: You nailed that one that the Suns were not favored
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: enough of that.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, but yeah, I don't. I don't know it.
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: Like I like to match up a good bit for Phoenix,
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: but not sure if it's really enough for me to
• 8:31
  Speaker 3: go out of my way to play these guys early
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: when we could get some stuff opening up later.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean stuff could be opening up later, even
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: if we knew nothing open up. Though, Like, avoiding this
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: game isn't the worst thing by any means. I think
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: you're probably playing Booker or maybe the Gillaspie mid tier stuff.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: And moving on the Cam Jones take.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that was I mean, if he starts, there's no McConnell,
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: thro then in the back court McConnell and who is
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: the other one?
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Hard? Yeah, then he'd be one of the only Paul
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Handler's back there. But I mean it's so hard.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: I hate playing these tanking teams that still do have
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: a lot of bodies, and that is what India is
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: right now. Yeah, seven pm Eastern, same time. Another big
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: favorites in this one Bisson's fourteen and a half over
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: the seventy six ers two twenty two and a half
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: total on the Philly side, no mb'd Maxi or Paul
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: George and then we also have no Ubre, Bona, Broom
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: and Drummond questionable. I mean, dude, like who's playing in
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: this one. I mean that's really big for the front
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: court if they miss Drummond with Bona already out as well,
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: even with them as big underdogs. On the Detroit side,
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: Azure Thompson is still out. No Carris Lavert. I mean yeah,
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I think Detroit side you're either playing Caid, I guess
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: maybe Durhan, but you're not going to value on the
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: Detroit side.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: And Philly.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a big que tag for Drummond for some
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: of these frontcour guys. So do you have any lean
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: on this? Obviously look at it before Lock.
• 9:56
  Speaker 3: Uh No, I don't really have a lead, but he's
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: been playing really bad and has not even really been
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: playing much, so I feel like he's probably out for
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: this one. So that does kind of raise the interest
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: a little bit on the Philly side of things, because
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: they're basically have no true center on the ross. Really
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: it would be Barlow starting at center and then Jabari.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Walker would get the back.
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: They'd probably be splitting like most of the forty eight
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: between those two guys. Maybe trying to Watford a little bit,
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: But I think he's more of like a guard forward
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: hybrid because they kind of look at him more as
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: like a ball handlert guy that can take off some
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: playmaking off of the other guys.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: So I do kind of think that.
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: Jabari Walker is interesting in the sense that this game
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: is probably gonna blow out, and I don't really think
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: that they're gonna be playing Barlow deep in a blowout.
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: I feel like it'd probably be Walker. Any have small
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: four power forward eligibility, so pretty good there. But in
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: terms of the guys that you'd be spending up for
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: in this game, the Edgecomb, Grimes and Pain, they just
• 10:54
  Speaker 3: feel overpriced for how likely this game would would be
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: to blow out. I'd be saying the max two rule
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: of those three guys, and if I played two of them,
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: then I'm probably telling the story that this game does
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: stay close. I probably want to consider going to like
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: Cad or Duran. That probably be the only way that
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: you're really getting like a true ceiling minutes wise from
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: those guys on the other side of the game. I'm
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: not really buying it to the Campaign huge game last
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: time out. I mean that was like a ninety nine
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: percent of outcome for him basically was perfect from the floor.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: And I guess what they said about VJ.
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: Edgecombe Nick Nurse said about him being like the lead
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: handler wasn't really true because Campaign led the team in
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: touch time. Yes, I don't know, I don't really have
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: a lot of good things to say about these guys'
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: spend ups. I just think that they're all a little
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: bit too expensive. I'd be okay with Grimes as a
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: standalone play because I feel like his minutes are pretty safe,
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: Like we've seen him play thirty six minutes even when
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: they're getting blown out, and we saw what he did
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: towards the end of last season where he was just
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: taking a ton of shots. I feel like we could
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: see something like that happening here. But they're gonna be
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: mix again. Guys like Justin edwards Dale and Terry Tyres
• 12:02
  Speaker 3: Martin will probably mix in as well. They might even
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: throw Kyle Lowry on the court a little bit. Marsh
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: On boat Champ is available, So they're not like as
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: thin as Indye could be or as thin as Memphis
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: already is. So I don't really think that it's a
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: spar you need to be going overboard with your exposures.
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: But I do think that the Barlow and Jabbar Walker. Actually,
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: I would just say Walker and Watford are probably the
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: two guys I'm most interested in right now, especially if
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: Drummond were have missed then I think those guys are
• 12:30
  Speaker 3: really good.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure.
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Walker's ownership will really creep up to anywhere meaningful
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: because yeah, it doesn't seem like you think he'll start right,
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: they'll play them backup five, get that run and then
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: any blow out run and projections Again, we talked about
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: a lot right now, but it's a lot tougher to
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: nail stuff like this down. It's more more of a
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: guessing game. It's a completely different DFS game in my opinion,
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: almost from like October November, where projections mean so much
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: and they're so locked in. Where now it's I mean,
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: it's a lot of guests where knowing rotations, if the
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: game's closed and if it's not is some of the
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: biggest questions right now. So right, long story short, he's
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: probably not gonna start. Still a good play regardless. Yeah, yeah,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: I don't think. I don't think it would start. I
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: think the starting lineup would be the three guards, so VJ. Grimes, Payne, Barlow,
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: and then the fifth starter is probably Watford or it
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: might be like yeah they wouldn't they need more size.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: I think it'd be Watford, Okay, I mean Durren Arcade
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: on the other side, do they fall down the list
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: a bit.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: I mean spent. There's a lot of spens on the light,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: that's for sure. Yeah, pretty far down.
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: I think Duran could definitely smash here, just with how
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: small the front court is on the other side of
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: the game. But I don't know, minutes have been pretty gross.
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: They've just been blowing teams out, so I'm not super
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: interested there.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: All right, keep it rolling. Two games that aren't too
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: appealing to start it off. Next game on the slate,
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: the Washington Wizards a fourteen and a half point underdogs
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: to the Orlando mad two thirty three and a half
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: total in this one on the magic side, no Franz,
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: no Anthony Black, Chase Richardson questionable Washington, no Keishan George.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: That is the only injury news there. I mean, yeah,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Washington was a team that.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: We were playing for a little bit, but now, like
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: Trey Young's back, I mean, they're as healthy as it
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: gets as we've seen Washington lately, which means rotation is
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: gonna be really big. I mean, I just couldn't imagine
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: clicking anyone on Washington at this current time. Orlando applied
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: for a lot of points. They are big favorites, though, Yeah,
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: I'll let you take this one if. I mean, Paulo
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: has been good, there's no doubt about that. But there's
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: some other plays that are showing to be relatively solid
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: value ownership in check no Franz, no Black. Obviously some
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: usage to go around. So I assume you have the
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: same take on Washington hit that little circle with the
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: line through it.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: But what about Orlando.
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely agree with that on Washington on clicking them tonight. Yeah,
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: I mean, there's nothing to say about the match. I mean,
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: it is great for Polo, Baine, Sugs and Window. We
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: just saw what Bam did to the front court and Washington.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Bringing that up. I mean that if you want to
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: speak out anything like that, you can with that.
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: No, I think it's been talked about enough, so I
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: think we're good. But yeah, I mean, Polow, the issue
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: is that these guys played a ton of minutes last
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: night in a really close game, and they're projected to
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: blow out Washington by what fifteen and have fourteen points,
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: So I guess it's closer than some of the other blowouts.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: But yeah, just I don't think Washington can keep it
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: close with any team right now.
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: I think Bain and Polo are the two guys that
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: really stand out for me if I'm choosing somebody on
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: Orlando of the starters, just because Suggs got up to
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: thirty two minutes last game, and he's not really a
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: guy that I think they want to push into a
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: back to back against Washington, so I feel like i'd
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: be lower on him.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: Same thing for Wendell.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: He played thirty five minutes last night, so more than
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: probably that's like some of the most he's played in
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: a game this season, And so those two.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Out for me.
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: But I'm fine with Bain and Paulo because I just
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: think that their matchups are too good to overlook here.
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: Baine in particular, been shooting the ball great lately last
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: ten games seventy percent of true shooting percentage elite numbers
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: said it last time that these guys played yesterday. That's
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: just elite numbers for a guy that is not a
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: big man because he's actually taking three so usually lower
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: efficiency numbers there, But seventy percent is really good for him.
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: Twenty six points per game over his last ten, so
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: just really good form for Desmond Bain, and he can
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: get it going anyway. Here, like the three point shots
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: been good. He's one of the best transition scorers. Washington
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: is terrible there. They have no rim defense, so I
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: think that Bain pretty insulated here, should be very efficient
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: at the minute. Soit he's out there and that's safety
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: for Paulo. Shot volumes a little bit lower last game,
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: which was kind of what would you expect against Evan Mobley,
• 16:52
  Speaker 3: but he went fifty for twenty one against Washington last
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: time they faced, so I like him as suspended for sure.
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: I think that I might be bumping up some of
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: these bench guys a little bit because I think that
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: just with the back to back and Suggs and Wendell
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: particularly playing more minutes than usual, you probably see Javon
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: Carter get up to like mid twenties tonight.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: I would think.
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: That move Wagner probably plays a little bit more than
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: he usually would like maybe in like the eighteen minutes
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: minute range versus thirteen last night. And then some of
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: the guys that would get blowout would be like Jeded Howard,
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: he'd be backing up Desmond Bang so it'd be Maxi
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: one of those two guys, Maxwan of Penda and Paolo
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: and yeah, it's probably it, But I do think that
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: Mo and Jevon Carter are in play here because they
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: could be playing more minutes than usual regular rotation and
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: then also get that blowout run.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: But like depend this stuff, does that feel a little
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: too much on an eight game?
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: So relative to Memphis, yeah, yeah, probably be, it'd be.
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: I'd probably be more inclined to play with Jet Howard
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: because I think that he's gonna be playing regular minutes
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: and I wouldn't want to go overboard these guys at all.
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: Probably like a max two of any of the bench guys,
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: I'd be a max two of Paulo Bay Suggs Max one
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: Mo and Wendell Carter, max one of Da Silva and Penda.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: You'd be fine getting three.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, sounded like your three favorites, maybe Paulo, Mo,
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: and then pick someone else.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: You'd be fine with three.
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: I think it makes sense, like I could see three
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: guys getting there tonight, like Paulo get in there in
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: thirty four minutes, and then maybe Javon Carter plays like
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: twenty six to twenty eight. Mo plays like eighteen and
• 18:36
  Speaker 3: is really efficient in those minutes. So I think I
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: think three is Okay, all right.
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you like Orlando definitely more than the field.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: I would say that's a spot again, so much concentrated
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: ownership going to Memphis. We're gonna get to this next game.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: Danny Wolf like, it's a pretty similar slight to what
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: Matt and I talked about on Monday, and then you
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: find the spend, So it looks like Orlando could be
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: a spot to help get a little different. Let's keep
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: a rolling the next game. Talking about with the Brooklyn
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Nets and the Atlanta Hawks. I'm fifteen and a half
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: point favorite to the Hawks over the Nets. Nothing changes
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: so far. We have eight and a half, fourteen and
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: a half, fourteen and a half, fifteen and a half.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: It does get a little better throughout though, But yeah,
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: obviously that's the NBA right now, with teams wanting to
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: win in some teams wanting to lose. Two twenty six
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: and a half total. On the Brooklyn side, no MPJ
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: and no Day Run Sharp, no Ego Demon, no Troary,
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: no Zier Williams. On the Atlanta side, two big Q
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: tags Ison Daniels and Jonathan KAMINGA. Yeah, I guess like
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not in tune to see if it's what I
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: see Towing and Knee. I know Kminga's been questionable, so
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: if there's any bit of doubt, like why would these
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: guys even suit up at all? Which could open up
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, Jail Johnson is still playing a lot of
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: minutes in close games, so is Dyson. He had a
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: great game against Dallas. CJ did solid, So maybe this
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: is another spot at ownership right now. Like if both
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: these guys are in, it obviously looks tougher. But I
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: mean you'll definitely see bumps for the CJS, jenl John
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: and Naws depending on Daniel's incoming a cute tag other
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: side for the Wolves or for the Wolves for the Nuts.
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: Danny Wolf is a strong play twenty seven minutes back
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: to back games. But yeah, if at least Drake Powell's
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: not shown ownership, you called that last time he was.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what he came in at, but
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: just a really bad point per minute guy. Can we
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: go to like your boy oh sha Abaji old Utah
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: Jazz or anything else.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: On the on the net side, Yeah, I don't know.
• 20:27
  Speaker 3: If you've looked at Sabers projections, they have basically like
• 20:32
  Speaker 3: the entire team projecting for five x value. Yeah, so
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: they would be flooding optimizers. I'd be lying if I
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: said I knew what they're gonna do with their rotation.
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: I really just don't know. There's two guys I know
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: for sure are gonna be playing good amount of minutes
• 20:46
  Speaker 3: and we'll be starting, and that would be Danny Wolf
• 20:48
  Speaker 3: and Ben Saraf. So those are two guys I feel
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: the most confident in. But then like behind, I don't
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: even know if Terrence Man he hasn't really been playing.
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: We've seen Oshai b DMP before. I still don't think
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: Drake Powell was really into consideration because he's not a
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: good permanent guy. Jalen Wilson might even be back in
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: our lives, he might be starting, and then like EJ.
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: Liddell's backing up Claxon, now Tyson ETN should be backing
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: up Ben Saraff. It's just really gross. I think that
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: I'm just gonna be overweight on Danny Wolf and Ben Saraff,
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: and then I probably will get a good amount of
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: josh might not if those minutes are true, Like there's
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: a chance might not could start tonight too, And he's
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: actually been a decent permanent guy in the past when
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: he was with Minnesota and Boston earlier this season, so
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: i'd i'd be fine with him. But again, I think
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: it's a situation where I wouldn't want to get too
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: overboard with my exposure. You're gonna get a ton of
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: these guys in Optimizer just because they all project so great.
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: But one hundred and five implied total, Like there's just
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: a lot of a lot of systemic risk here overall
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: for the team. We see that time and time again
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: with some of these teams that just are super thin
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: and don't score enough points even be viable. But yeah,
• 22:02
  Speaker 3: I think Jaalen Johnson, like he should have no resistance
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: scoring the ball here. It's just the pricing thing, like
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: he's almost eleven k now a game where they're fifteen
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: and a half point favorites, Like do we really need
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: to get up to him? Like same thing for a Congu.
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: He's not cheap anymore. The Alexander Walker's been pretty expensive
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: most of the season. I don't really think that even
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: like Dyson and Kamina being out does enough for these
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: guys like maybe Resa che As gross as it sounds,
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: he's only three point a k.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know.
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: I think that Jalen you can make a case for
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: like he could definitely I could see him going for
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: a triple double in like three quarters tonight and paying
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: off his price tag.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: But I just don't really.
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: I think it's like a Max two of Atlanta and
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: then probably like Max three of Brooklyn for.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Me, okay, And I mean it sounds like almost Max one,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: assuming Dyson kaminga play on the Atlanta side that Brooklyn side.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, like you mentioned, there's just so much value
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: on this late like when we get to the Memphis
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: stuff and then a couple of one other spots. Even
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: if it not gets you twenty points or nineteen or
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: a bogie gets you a twenty one, which is really
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: like really solid at that number, it's not guaranteed to
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: be optimal by any means. Like if there's only a
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: couple of Memphis guys outproduced, they're expected what Bagley looks
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: pretty solid for forty two hundred. There's other spots where
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: these guys you almost want like six x is how
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: I'm looking at it. And maybe even more than that,
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure minute Man, not whatever is going to
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: be thirty seven percent I guess maybe if he starts,
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: But even then there's just the Memphis guys have so
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: many I don't know, I guess what are your thoughts
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: looking at Memphis Quick jumping ahead. They're a lot more
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: thin are than Memphiside, and they're projecting for a lot
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: of ownership. But right now only Cam Spencer and Small
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: two of the guards are projected from more ownership than Mannah,
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: do you see it going that way?
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: We do?
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: I think mine it's going to be that high owned. Yeah, yeah,
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: probably if people just kind of blurnly fall projection. So
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: I do think that he's going to project pretty decently
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: because he does.
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: But then you're like Prosper Jackson, Rupert's obviously he's has
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: center eligible too, so like Jokicic and Wemby, feels like
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: the front court's pretty strong. But yeah, I mean, if
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: he starts. That's why I asked you. You you're more
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: in tune, feel little.
• 24:20
  Speaker 3: It's just he's got good positional so like small forward,
• 24:23
  Speaker 3: power forward, just playing a small forward down low and
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: kind of take whatever he gets here.
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: I think that he does make a lot of sense.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: All right, Danny Wolf definitely looks strong, but yeah, he's
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: gonna be one of the more popular value plays on
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: the slate.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: All right, we're done.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: These first couple of games not very great so, I mean,
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: as you can see though, seven to seven thirty Eastern,
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: all the ones we've talked about backloading more just naturally
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: the games I think are a little more appealing, great
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: real life games in this Memphis Dallas game looks pretty strong,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: so I don't want to be too too overexposed for
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: these first couple.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: A lot of big favorites. It gets better though.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: This next game, the Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heats,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: one of the closer spreads. Still six in that point
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: favorites of the Heat though, two thirty four and a
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: half total. Bucks side no KPJ and then Bobby Portis
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: and Sims are both questionable. On the Miami side, no Norm,
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: no Andrew Wiggins, no Djoevich. Tyler hero is questionable. I mean, yeah, bam,
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: he goes from one of the chalkiest on the sligh
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: just absolutely nukes it now showing three percent ownership Tyler
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: here questionable take is big and okay, let me see
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: Kevin Porter Junior's questionable. I don't know if I set
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: out if I did, I Misspokes so KPJ. Sims and
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: Bobby Portis. I'll q not a game getting much of ownership,
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: but it could be one of the few competitive games
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: on the night with a big totals.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: So yeah, maybe a little peel.
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I just don't really get what the
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: Bucks are doing right now. To be honest with.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: You, you don't know what they're doing. I mean they're toast though.
• 25:49
  Speaker 3: Yeah, they're not gonna make the play in right like
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: they're pretty muche. No, they're they're done, So why you
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: even play Gianni's thirty two minutes last game.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: I just don't really what.
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: If Jannis wants at the end of the day, they
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: better just be talking like Giannis has been heard a
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: decent bit. Maybe he wants to just get out there
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: and play some basketball. Maybe he's done in Milwaukee.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: I would hope that they're smart enough to really talk
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: to you honest and be like I mean, if he
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: wants to play, let him play. If he doesn't, obviously
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: you're hurting your own potential future trade value all this stuff.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: But if there's any bit of helpe Gianna stays and
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: he wants to play. I think you just let the
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: man run the show. But yeah, I don't know. Yeah,
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: that's that's probably what it is. I would imagine.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Definitely surprised to see the spread as close as as
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: it is.
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: But I guess Vegas doesn't really believe in Miami as
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: much as I do. But I think that they should
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: win this game pretty easily. I've been picking against your
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: Bucks every time we've done a show for the last
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: two weeks.
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: You have these guys the Heat. It was the exact
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: same spread at home for the Bucks. It was six
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: and a half without Giannis. I want to say because KPJ.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: That was the gag. Yeah, game, KPJ went to the
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: locker room, rolled his ankle, came back, absolutely went off.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: So at home, no Yiannis. There might have been injuries
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: on the Miami side. I'm I know Hero was playing.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: I thought bam was that's that was really interesting that
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: that's what I saw right away to six.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: And a half at home and how Yannis.
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: Is in Yeah, yeah, I just feel like the like
• 27:18
  Speaker 3: Miami should be well equipped enough to slow down a
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: player like Giannis. With all the size that they do,
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: they can throw out there with like where and Bam
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: in the front court. Uh, they've been one of the
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: better room defenses in the league this season. BAM's done
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: a good job against Giannis in the past as well.
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm not really buying Giannis's spent up option tonight,
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: and that kind of gets me off of the entire
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: Bucks as a whole. Unless some of these Q tags
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: were to miss. If Portis and sam As miss again,
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: then I'm kind of fine going back to Miles Turner
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: at five point four K. I'd be fine with Usman
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: Jing and Kyle Kuzma at their respective price tags. KPJ
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: just takes off all the upside on Ryan Rawlins, which
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: has already kind of been minimize with the honest back.
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: So it's just kind of a gross situation for Milwaukee.
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: But yeah, some of these Bucks are these Heat are
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: definitely in play. I feel like hero is gonna be
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: back tonight. I felt like it was just a like
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: a maintenance thing the last time that he missed, but
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: they ruled in Larsen and coloe Ware and then didn't
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: really update Tyler Heroes. Maybe he is truly injured, but
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: if he were to be in I don't think that's
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: a pretty good spot for him. Bucks have become such
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: a massive three point final at this point of the season.
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: They are or their bottom four in defensive rating. I
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: believe they're dead last in three point defense over that
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: stretch as well, so a really good spot for some
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: of these three point shooters.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Tyler Hero would be the main guy. He's second on.
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: The team in above the break threes, which is where
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: the Bucks are giving up a ton of three pointers,
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: so good spot for him. I honestly think that colo
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: Ware is kind of interesting here as well. He played
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: a ton of minutes. Again, he missed that game but
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: the most recent one, but I think over the last
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: two seasons, so basically last year he started in each
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: of the three games against the Bucks that Giannis played.
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: He went for forty one DK points and thirty six
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: d K points. Played a ton of minutes in the
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: first two, and then was kind of it probably just
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: played bad in the last one. Only played fifteen and
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: a half minutes in that one. Sorry nineteen he played
• 29:16
  Speaker 3: nineteen minutes. But yeah, played a ton of minutes in
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: the first two games. So I feel like he's kind
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: of interesting because you really need a lot of size like,
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: if your honest is close to full minutes, again, you
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: definitely want to get as much size on the court
• 29:25
  Speaker 3: as you can. So he makes a little bit of
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: sense to me tonight. And then I think Fontechio is
• 29:31
  Speaker 3: in a better spot than Myron Gardner. I just don't
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: really see the need for a guy like Gardner here,
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: But you just don't.
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: I don't.
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: You honestly don't need Ftechio either. A three point a K.
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: There's gonna be better value plays that open up. I
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: think BAM is just way too expensive now, Like that's
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: nine point nine K is.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: Crazy, even if you're all missus. Yeah, I think that's
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: just too much.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Obviously, the matchup you go from the easiest matchup there
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: is and everything they did to get him that obviously
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: we're not even gonna talk about that too, A very
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: difficult matchup with Giannis and the paints. Obviously, you pick
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: on Turner a lot though, you said that a lot
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: of people have hyped up my Miles Turner's defense in
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: the past or paint presence, but you said that's a.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: That's not sticky.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: Indiana was just good ten defense that way, hey, And
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: it wasn't Miles Turner doing anything special special last year.
• 30:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he was, like he's always been a
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: pretty solid shot blocker. But yeah, it doesn't necessarily make
• 30:24
  Speaker 3: you like a good rim protector.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Very true.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: I saw the crazy stats some of them dropped in
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: discord about Rudy Gobert that the swaps from when he
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: was on Utah and their defensive rating and versus the Timberwls.
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's don't don't don't let some of those people
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: in our discord see that they're gonna fucking blow a fuse.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: People don't like big old Rudy. I don't know. KPJ.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: Becks seems tough at the price tag with Gianni's back
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: as well, do you agree?
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I wouldn't take him out of the playpool just
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: because I feel like when he returns, Doc just plays
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: him in and he does have really good upside of
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: like the multi stat up sides, So I wouldn't take
• 31:06
  Speaker 3: him out of the playpool. But I'm not necessarily like
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: running to play a guy off of an injury tag.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: That's truly questionable. Man. Kuzma got the job done last game,
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: no doubt about that. So almost got.
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: Done for me too, but actually not really because I
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: didn't have enough Bam, but I had had him in
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: a couple of good lineups.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: Bang yeah without Bam at gigs, that was Yeah, you
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: didn't even matter to look at the leaderboard at that point.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the game of the night
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: in terms of DFS. Definitely not real life. But all
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: we care about is DFS four and a half point
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: favorites of the mass maps over the Grizzlies. What total
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: wise two thirty eight and a half closest spread on
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: the late tied for the closest, with the next one
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: one of the highest totals. As far as for Dallas,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: nothing new, No clay on the Memphis side, al right,
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: here we go, No KCP, no Scottie Pippen, no Santiel Dama, Ty,
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: Jerome et Ceder both doubtful, and Cam's and Walter Clayton
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: and then Cam Spencer is questionable. So it's almost like
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: who do they have? And yeah, they're thin. This is
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: why we talk about like Memphis is gonna get jammed heavy.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: They don't have quite eight guys?
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: What they have? Nine?
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: Right, one, two, three, four or five, six, seven, eight
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: nine eight?
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: They have nine?
• 32:19
  Speaker 3: No, they just don't have this Tyler Burton guy in
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: the playpool.
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: Playpool, Okay, nine guys, I mean, yeah, you can see
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: it right now. The price is five point a K
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: five five five to one going out, or I guess
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: Taylor Hendrick is five K.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: But I mean you just can't spend money. They're finn
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: These guys are forced into minutes.
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: It's really similar to the situation on Monday, and this
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: game is supposed to be relatively close.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: Not that that even matters. I don't think too much,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: but I mean, what are they doing in this one?
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: Rupert was pretty solid last the last time out on
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Monday at low ownership. Now he's projected to be pretty
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: chalky small got there in garbage.
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: Now he's sixty five percent.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: I'll let you take this away like you can play
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: Gigi Jackson and prosper together, right. Is there any rules
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: you make? How many is too many? You can't ignore
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: this game?
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I don't know.
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: This one's really difficult because pretty big game in terms
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: of the tanking standings. The Mavericks are one game ahead
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: of Utah right now, so a loss here would be
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: pretty big for them. They've, like Dallas, has been playing
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: games pretty straight up, even with the injuries that they've
• 33:26
  Speaker 3: dealt with, like they're still playing flag and nause and
• 33:29
  Speaker 3: PJ like thirty minutes. Gafford's been playing more than usual,
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: like around mid twenty, so we like with that in mind,
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: I feel like they are in a pretty good spot here.
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: I feel like they are more likely to play the
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: game straight up than Memphis is. The issue is that
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: Memphis could only have eight guys again with only seven
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: guys that are rosteruble on DraftKings, so you definitely need
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: to get to these guys. Yeah, I mean, like Joan Small,
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: I feel like if, especially if Cam Spencer's I just
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: don't see how you don't play him honestly, like a
• 34:00
  Speaker 3: five point five K. He's basically the only guy that
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: they have that is like a true point guard, so
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: he'd be a guy I'm kind of locking in singuntree
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: if Spencer. If Spencer were to mess I feel like
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: he's fine regardless because he's still only five point five K.
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: There was only four guys that played thirty plus minutes
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: last game. It was spent Or it was Small, Repair, Mayshack,
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: and Prosper. They didn't have Hendricks in that game, so
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: a little bit. They have a little bit more depth
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: on the front court, but I'm like, Small is the
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: best play in this game for sure. On the Memphis
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: side of things, I'm a little bit less inclined to
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: play Gigi just because they don't really play him enough,
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: and he's the most expensive also not necessarily elite from
• 34:46
  Speaker 3: a permanent standpoint, so I think you can get away
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: from playing him at chalk Oh Max a little bit
• 34:50
  Speaker 3: tougher because he's running the center spy right now, basically
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: the only guy that they have that's close to a
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: center to'll be fine with him. But yeah, I think
• 34:57
  Speaker 3: it'd be a Max two of Gigi, Jackson, Taylor, hendricks
• 35:03
  Speaker 3: and Omas. I wouldn't really group in Javon Small if anybody,
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: probably be like a Max two of Wells Hendrickson or sorry,
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: Wells Repair in Mayshak and yeah, Repair, I feel is
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: pretty good. They're gonna play him a tone until his
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: contract is up. Yeah, So nothing really to add there.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: I'm just kind of those are good rules.
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: People asked, I don't someone asks a fever six or
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: fever like a great rules? Would you make these in
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: one fifty? I guess Yeah, what's your take on this.
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: When you're saying that, are you saying that for one fifty?
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: I always the more teams you play, obviously, the more
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: lax you should be, especially when you are using sabersim
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: with the correlation stuff. Now later in the year, I
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: think adding more rules can do you can benefit you,
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: but just i'd be aware. I'm curious to hear your
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: answer because I can't remember what you replied to. But
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, one hundred and fifty teams a lot of teams.
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: If you make twelve rules and eleven of them are money,
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: and they can all be money, but one of them
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: doesn't work out, like you, you just blocked yourself right
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: there from a chance to ship with being really tight
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: on a lot of rules.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: So yeah, what are your thoughts on that?
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, I said rules for almost every team,
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: but I think as we get deeper to the season,
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: a little bit looser on the rules. So it wouldn't
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: like normally be like a max one of group pair
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: and wells and mayshek or something like that.
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: But but if you're saying it like that's for one fifty,
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: like yeah, that's really okay, all right?
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Like people always ask like how many x team
• 36:33
  Speaker 3: is too many. It's like you could play fore Memphis
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: guys tonight in single entry realistically because they have so
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: little people. But that's unlikely nuts to win exactly like
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: a one to fifty max. Yeah, it's unlikely to be optimal. Yep, yeah, exactly.
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: How many people in your contest, the payoff structure, all
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: that some of the most important things in dfs. That's
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: why depending like the sims are really powerful at Sabersim
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: and a lot of that's taken in.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Is it thirty five percent in first place?
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: I mean that this week the Millie on DraftKings for golf, Like,
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: you're not winning the Millie, You're I mean second place.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: You're not not happy, But it's just it's so top
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: heavy and you have to build accordingly based on how
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: top heavy it is, how many people and all of that,
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: because the less people, the farther away from the perfect
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: line are more than likely you'll need to be. So Yeah,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: I'm glad you answered that. Yeah, we'll get to the
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: flags that point guards mall Ford eligibility yet.
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Flag is a pretty solid spend up tonight.
• 37:29
  Speaker 3: Really have no issues playing him. I think the minutes
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: are going to be kind of captain like the low
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: thirty range moving forward, but he is trying to win
• 37:36
  Speaker 3: the Rookie of the Year. I think that Dallas definitely
• 37:38
  Speaker 3: wants him to win it. He's had a really good
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: usage since coming back from injury thirty four percent over
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: his last four games, and this is like a clear
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: smash spot for him. He'll be able to get whatever
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: he wants against team. So no issues with flag at
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: all here. Don't necessarily want to get too crazy with
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: the dallastuff because they are pretty healthy, But I do
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: think Gaffred and Bagley are in pretty good spot here
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: at their price tags. Gafford has three straight double doubles,
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: so he looks pretty good playing mid twenties minutes and
• 38:06
  Speaker 3: looks like he's in like pretty solid form. And then
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: Bagley's just gonna be backing him up, so you'll get
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: like twenty three minutes twenty three to twenty five split
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: between those guys. So both very much in play here.
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: Not really into like PJ or Nazi Marshall as much.
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: I think that there's probably gonna be better options opening
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: up at those positions. I'm really just flagging in the
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: two bigs for Dallas for.
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: Me, all right, easy enough, two games left, two of
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: the best real life games. I mean, man, I hope
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: we gets I mean, I hope actually had helped me
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: that night when the ref throughout Jalen Brown.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: But I hope we don't get no Shenanigans with that.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: And I hope I mean this, This Jokis Wemby matchup
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: lives up to the hype for real life and for
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: DFS because two of the better spends in my opinion
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: for in that point favorites are the Spurs over the
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: Nuggets two forty and a half total, So right there,
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: the closest game spread game on the slates, the highest
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: total on the slates. Yeah, big one for both teams.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: Denver side eron Gordon questionable, Peyton Watson out on the
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: Spur side, Harrison Barnes and Wemby questionable. I mean, I
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: didn't watch the game that did he come on his
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: ankle back, come down on his ankle bad? Is it
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: like a real que tag to the team or is
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: he going to be good to go? Because I really
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: want to see Wenby okicch. I didn't see it, but
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: apparently he did go to the locker room with the
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: ankle injury. I don't know when it was, but yeah,
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: they Mitch Mitch Johnson said it was a true fifty
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: to fifty for him to play tonight, So yeah, bumped.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: I thought it was more of like a maintenance thing
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: because I definitely was excited to play him tonight in.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: This game, hoping that he plays.
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: But I have to imagine that there's some sort of
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: limitation on him on his minutes because they've been.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Involved in some really.
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: Really physical games lately and they've been playing some really
• 39:49
  Speaker 3: good opponents and it doesn't end here. So yeah, I'm
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: excited about this game for sure, but a little bit
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: worried about spinning up for Wenby at eleven K in
• 39:57
  Speaker 3: a game that there's a chance he could be managed.
• 40:00
  Speaker 3: But on the Denver side of things, a ton of
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: interest in Jokic for sure. He's done really good against
• 40:06
  Speaker 3: Wemby over the last two seasons. He's averaging thirty nine
• 40:09
  Speaker 3: point two points per seventy five averaged just under seventy
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: DK points per game, only played thirty minutes last night,
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: another triple double. Yeah, Jokic is a top spind up
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: for me. At twelve point five K. I think that
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: he should be fairly easy to get to as well
• 40:21
  Speaker 3: with all the value that we have tonight, and Moore
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: could even open up. So I'm very very good with Jokic.
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: Jamal Murray a little bit tougher for me to get to.
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: He's always good in these really tough matchups, but I mean,
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: this is one of the harder ones. Safon Cassa one
• 40:35
  Speaker 3: of the best on ball defenders in the league, so
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: I'd be a little bit less inclined to go there
• 40:41
  Speaker 3: and more get into Jolkic. But I also do think
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: that some of these secondary guys we saw have pretty
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: good games last night. Christian Brawn or Brown, Tim Hardaway
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: Junior against ok See Cam Johnson last night finally got there.
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: I think these guys are in play because the way
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: to beat San Antonio if Wemby is in is with
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: per air shooting. So you definitely need these guys to
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: step up in a pretty big way. So I'd be
• 41:03
  Speaker 3: okay get into one of these secondary guys if Aaron
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: Gordon would to miss, but it'd be a max one
• 41:07
  Speaker 3: of anybody not named Yokich or.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: Murray for me.
• 41:11
  Speaker 3: On the Spurs side. He already said what I said
• 41:15
  Speaker 3: about Wemby. I think that he'd be if we had
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: like clarification that he'd be playing full minutes and I
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: no limitation, I would definitely play him. He's been really
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: good against Jokic average sixty two DK points per game
• 41:26
  Speaker 3: against the Nuggets over the last few seasons. So not
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: to really to say there, but I do think that
• 41:31
  Speaker 3: Fox and Castle are in pretty good spots here, just
• 41:33
  Speaker 3: because Nuggets are a team that I don't really view
• 41:36
  Speaker 3: as very good defensively, especially around the basket. Jokicic doesn't
• 41:40
  Speaker 3: really give a ton of effort trying to block shots
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: or defend at the basket because he's just too valuable
• 41:45
  Speaker 3: to get into any sort of foul risks. I think
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: that both Castle and Darren Fox are in pretty good
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: spots here. Castle in particular, I think is pretty good,
• 41:52
  Speaker 3: kind of the same reasons I liked Im and Thompson
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: last night. He actually was fine from a permanent standpoint.
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: The Rockets just could keep it close because they are
• 42:01
  Speaker 3: the worst three point shooting team in the league. But yeah,
• 42:05
  Speaker 3: I think both Castle and Fox are pretty good here,
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: and especially if when we were to miss them, both
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: would see a pretty big usage bump, So I'm fine
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: with them.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, would you be fine playing both of them and Jokic.
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: Uh Castle Fox plus Jokic. Yep, yeah, I like that idea.
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: I mean, this is a massive team total or game
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: total to forty is at the biggest yeah. Yeah, and
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: the closes spread you'll definitely need. You're probably gonna need guys,
• 42:32
  Speaker 3: like at least one or two guys in this game.
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: I would imagine somebody has a pretty good night here
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: in this game, probably multiple people.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: Dang that uh that Wemby being a real cute tag though, Like,
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: as you can see, if we don't get the news
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: or any hints about anything, five of the or six
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: of the eight games are already gonna be locked. And yeah,
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: if you do have two v twos like you have
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: spends in these lay games, as you can clearly see,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: so it's a lot easier when you're handbuilding if you
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: do want to try and get Wemby, at least have
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: two spots open they three and mess around where you're
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: not giving up too much projection with a three v
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: three swap or something like that.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Easy obviously Wemby center yokicch center.
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: So you have the money to go up to Jokic
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: and then try and find somewhere that you can drop
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: your other two pieces or something to make it work.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: But because if I mean, if I don't know people,
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be lower own than he otherwise would if
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: they came out right now and said he was playing.
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: But yeah, he's probably not gonna be twenty percent the
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: more I think about it, don't you agree? People aren't
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: gonna just try and assuming we don't get the news,
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: like maybe cut in half ten percent and that that
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: could be a little more appealing with Chalk Memphis and
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: the same Danny Wolf, Like if you're playing the same
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: build as everyone else, Wemby.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Might be a way to get a little different with it. Yeah,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I agree with that.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: All Right, last game of the slates before we do
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: go there, just want to let everyone know appreciate everyone
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: hanging out. First of all, two seventy six watching on
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: March twelve, on this eight game mediocre NBA slate.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I'll say, hey, marsh Madness.
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: Right around the corner of course, going on this week NHL,
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: going on MLB writer on the corner, PGA the players
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: mass surprises. If you do want to join us at
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: the Nation covering all these sports above. Ship nation dot
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: Com Join the Nation bottom left, and then multiple different
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: options to get in the daily pass for nine dollars,
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: get you Save or SIM, but no discord all of
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: the content though better deal for five days nineteen dollars.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: You get Discord, you get Saber SIM, you get NBA content,
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: you get MMA content, at NASCAR content, NHL content, and
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: PGA Showdown content. So for nineteen dollars that is a
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: lot of value you get throughout the weekend. If you
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: just want NBA content to close out the year, you
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: can go to single Sport NBA and check us out.
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Shout out to Rio, shout out to Matt ham Our.
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: NBA team does a phenomenal job in the Discord all
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: the time is real as well, a lot of moving
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: pieces in NBA. And yeah, it's impossible to update the
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: sleigh plan constantly get in the discord for the most
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: breaking news and how Reo reacts to certain stuff, Ardis
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: and all of that good stuff. So we'd love to
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: have you ship a Nation dot com. Plenty of different
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: options to join. Last Game of the Night another great
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: one in terms of real life, OKAC Thunder and the
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: Boston Celtics let me refresh quick DraftKings sportsbook. We're looking
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: at seven to that point favorites of the Thunder two
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: fifteen and a half, A very low total in this one.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: For injuries on this one on the OKC side, Jalen Williams,
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: who continued, who's been out is out, heart and sign
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: is still out. I mean, man, talk about a game
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: for the other Jalen Williams though absolutely dominated for Boston,
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: though no Tatum, no Vooch, and Derek White is questionable.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: Seven and a half. So on this LAFE, I guess
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: it's relatively close, but I don't know. These guys should
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: be playing their full lotman of minutes. It's a low
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: total in this one. Two good defensive teams, but yeah
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: without Tatum, Vouch and possibly Derek White and Jallen Brown
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: got a lot of extra rest in the second half
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: of that one.
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Came out right on Twitter.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: That's what you gotta do, right when you get adjacted,
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: hop to the Twitter streets and get a viral tweet.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that Derek Wyq takes important.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: This is a game that's not getting too too much ownership,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: and I think you're gonna have interest sense. I mean,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: these minutes I think are under projected for the most part.
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say that I agree with that. A
• 46:17
  Speaker 3: little bit surprised to see the spread what it is.
• 46:20
  Speaker 3: But the Celtics are just a very well rounded team
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: and probably have one of the best coaches in the NBA,
• 46:26
  Speaker 3: if not the best, So I definitely think that they
• 46:28
  Speaker 3: can keep it close. How this teams matchup is honestly
• 46:32
  Speaker 3: very similar. Both teams are like above average to elite
• 46:37
  Speaker 3: with their room defense. I would say probably more so elite.
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: Boston is first in defensive room frequency. The Thunder have
• 46:45
  Speaker 3: been like pretty much the best room defense all season long,
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: and both teams give up more three pointers.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: That's kind of the way you want to beat them.
• 46:52
  Speaker 3: Boston is bottom five and three point defense okay, see
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: is bottom seven over the last two weeks. So definitely
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: need the perimeter scoring guy to get there if you're
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: gonna keep it close if you're Boston. So I definite
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: think that there is a little bit of upside if
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: you can find the right guy that gets hot here. Obviously,
• 47:08
  Speaker 3: Jaylen Brown is gonna be in a pretty big spot
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: here usage wise, with no Tatum. Like you said, he
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: got the basically got half a night off after he
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: got ejected. Did you see Joe Mazzulla's quotes about that
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: after it too. It's pretty funny because it was not
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: it was not.
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: The principle something like that. It's yeah, I did see that.
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: I can't remember the exact boarding, but related to school
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: and stuff.
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that was fun Yeah, that's funny. He's he's a jokester,
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean he's gonna have like, oh yeah
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: he was. Yeah, big UFC fan. I mean, ninety three
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: hundred is pretty cheap for what we're getting, like just
• 47:48
  Speaker 3: what we what we have been getting from Jaylen Brown
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: this season without Tatum. So I feel like I'm interested
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: in him in the sense that he's cheaper than he
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: should be. I will say, though, this is a really
• 47:58
  Speaker 3: really tough matchup for him because he's gonna to see
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: lou Door Crusoe's back. They just have really good rip protection,
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: so he's gonna be tough for him to get to
• 48:05
  Speaker 3: the basket here. He's done pretty poor against the Oka
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: see over the last couple of seasons. But I would
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: say that it's a different version that we've seen from
• 48:14
  Speaker 3: Jalen Brown and highly motivated to like definitely feel like
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: he's the type of guy that will kind of show
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: out a little bit after what happened in the last game,
• 48:23
  Speaker 3: So definitely have interest in Brown tonight. Here at nine
• 48:26
  Speaker 3: point three K, the Derek White news is very big
• 48:29
  Speaker 3: because I think that they would probably have to go
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: back to Pritchard in the starting lineup unless they feel
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: confident in like I mean, I don't even know who.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: They would go with, probably Harper Junior or Lugo.
• 48:42
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so, I mean those guys would definitely be in
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: play as value plays. You need perimeter shooting, and Ron
• 48:49
  Speaker 3: Harper is actually a pretty decent shooter side, I think
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: that he'd be a decent option three point five K
• 48:54
  Speaker 3: if he is starting. I feel like Derek White or
• 48:57
  Speaker 3: Peyton Pritche is in a good spot regardless in the
• 48:59
  Speaker 3: sense that they need some secondary scoring and need three
• 49:02
  Speaker 3: point shooters out there as much as they can get.
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: So I feel like he's in a pretty solid spot.
• 49:05
  Speaker 3: And you could say the same for Houser and shirement
• 49:07
  Speaker 3: that they need that scoring from the outside. Not really
• 49:10
  Speaker 3: inticated here at six point on o K crazy price
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: sege for him, but Vooch has done for the season,
• 49:14
  Speaker 3: so he will be playing more minutes.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know.
• 49:19
  Speaker 3: I think that you could definitely get into Boston here,
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: but similar to the Nets in the sense that they
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: have a really low team totals, I don't want to
• 49:25
  Speaker 3: get overboard with it. I'd probably be a max two
• 49:28
  Speaker 3: of Brown, White and Pritchard if White is in, and
• 49:31
  Speaker 3: that probably don't want more than one of these bench
• 49:34
  Speaker 3: guys or the secondary options like the Houser all the
• 49:37
  Speaker 3: way down to Harper would be a max one of
• 49:40
  Speaker 3: those guys.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: And more than likely we won't know about Derek White
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: injury news, so you can't click that. But I feel
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: like Pritchard's a pretty solid play in the sense of
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: like he could get a really big boost and beyonder,
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: like people just would be able to swap if that's
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: the case, And man, what fourteen hundred and Yokich Webb,
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: you're about fourteen hundred. Again, you don't need to plug
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: in White to start, but it would be something like
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: that if you are trying to look to play Wemby
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: if he is in, but have swaps available, it'd be
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: something with the Boston stuff.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, but I like Prichard. I mean, worst
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: case Derek White's.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: In and I mean there's no Tatum Novus, Like, they're
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: still gonna need Pritchard to play a big role in
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: this game if it's gonna stay close and only can
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: go up from there.
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: So yeah, that's what I was gonna say, Like he's good,
• 50:25
  Speaker 3: he's in played now and he can only get better
• 50:28
  Speaker 3: if White is out.
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So I like that quite a bit for Okay seaside.
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Okay man, Yeah, he's crushing. I mean they might
• 50:39
  Speaker 3: just stick with him as a starter because hard Stun's
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: still out and he's just been playing so well. But
• 50:44
  Speaker 3: I would imagine he does come down to earth a
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: little bit with chet Beck. Yeah, but I mean Shay
• 50:51
  Speaker 3: is definitely in play as a spend up to night
• 50:53
  Speaker 3: eleven point two K. He's been great against the Celtics
• 50:55
  Speaker 3: over the last few seasons. They've actually been putting Jalen
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: Brown on Shay over the last few I'm not sure
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: they'd want to go that route tonight because of the
• 51:05
  Speaker 3: offensive load that Jaylen Brown need to carry. But yeah,
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: I mean Shay has averaged twenty six point six points
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: per seventy five against Jalen Brown on basically ninety percent
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: true shooting, just really really good numbers for him average
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: just under fifty nine d K points per game against
• 51:20
  Speaker 3: the Celtics over the last three seasons, so very good
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: fantasy output from Shay. I'm definitely fine with him as
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: a spend up. I think it's pretty thin after that.
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: But I do think that Aj Mitchell is in play.
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: I mean, good to see him return. Last game played
• 51:34
  Speaker 3: twenty nine minutes off the bench, and he's probably gonna
• 51:37
  Speaker 3: be playing mid twenties on the low end, and close
• 51:39
  Speaker 3: to thirty if the game is close and they need him.
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: I mean, a really good permanent producer. And he's also
• 51:44
  Speaker 3: fighting for a six.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Man of the Year. The odds have really shifted in
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: his favor in a big.
• 51:50
  Speaker 3: Way over the last week or so, so I definite
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: think that he's gonna make it a push towards the
• 51:54
  Speaker 3: end of the season. I would say that the matchup
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: is great for guys like Dort and McCain and Isaiah,
• 52:00
  Speaker 3: but I just don't know if there's enough upside for them.
• 52:03
  Speaker 3: Boston is dead last and above the break three point
• 52:06
  Speaker 3: defense uh frequency, so guys that shoot basically anywhere but
• 52:11
  Speaker 3: the corners would be Joe Dort and McCain, but Shaye
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: does actually get up some as well, so it's pretty
• 52:18
  Speaker 3: good spot for him regardless of be I like Shaye
• 52:21
  Speaker 3: and aj Mitchell tonight on the okay s side, you.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Like Yoki's quite a bit better though, right.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: Obviously different positions when you're playing Shaye the Memphis Guards
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: like and stuff. But if you had to pick one,
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: it's Jokic clearly. Yeah, yeah, I think so, But.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: It's Shae over like Cade yep, basically everybody that's priced
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: above ten k.
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm trying to try to look at ways to
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: get different, like Paulo is another one that stood out
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: earlier that you said Peyton Pritchard stood out. I mean,
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely eating the chalk with Jokice Wemby. Concern with
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: him is.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: A que tag.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: It's just it's gonna be so concentrated as most March
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: slates will at the end of the day. But it's
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be probably three Memphis four Memphis people are gonna
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: plug in Jokich if they don't go jokicch you pick
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: two spend ups from there and whoever you land on.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: A book or whatever.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: It may be that way, But I mean, yeah, having
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: a tool like Sabersim on top of our projections, our ownership,
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: Rio's breakdown, the slate plan, upper tier, mid tier, lower tier,
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: the stone and just being in discord because we're gonna
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: get funky starting lineups, so we're gonna get someone that's
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: ruled out that does mess around with the slate what
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: Drummond's questionable without Bona and a depleted front court for
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: seventy six ors. So right now, this ownership does get
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: updated throughout the projections do as well.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: And yeah, there's so many CE tags on this slades.
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: Moving pieces and hopefully that changes a little bit from
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: what I'm looking at like right now at to very
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: concentrated and pretty clear chalk build or at least kind of
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: chalk roster construction.
• 53:57
  Speaker 3: I want to circle back to this real quick, so
• 53:59
  Speaker 3: I forgot to answer it. But the OKC and Boston
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: game is.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: The one that's nationally televised, not Denver and San Antonio.
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: All right, and doort is in.
• 54:10
  Speaker 3: I think you probably saw the Tatum thing where they said,
• 54:13
  Speaker 3: I don't know if you saw an underdog. They said
• 54:15
  Speaker 3: Jason Tatum out injury management and then had like lou
• 54:18
  Speaker 3: Door too.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: That's funny. Uh Yeah, good stuff.
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: Fifty five minutes talking all eight games, same thing on FanDuel.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: All of our content will be up again. The Slave
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: Plan already up nice and early. If you are remember
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: check that out again. Daily passes can just rewind like
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: ten to fifteen minutes ago. If you go to ship
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: a nation dot com and click Join the Nation, you'll
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: be able to see all of our packages. Many of
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: them include Saber sim and the Discord. And yeah, a
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: lot of sports going on right now, and MLB will
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: be back before we know it's and I know Rio
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: is excited for that after a massive year last year.
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: But yeah, final thoughts for me before we get on
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: out of here. Uh No, not really excited to watch.
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: The Spurs and Nuggets game for sure. I think that'll
• 54:59
  Speaker 3: be a fun one and definitely will have guys in it,
• 55:01
  Speaker 3: so hopefully it's closer than the.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Game last night. I just can't believe. Houston just terrible.
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: I was talking about that. Toronto's terrible too.
• 55:11
  Speaker 3: It tired of people saying that their contender in the
• 55:14
  Speaker 3: East they got damn near blown out by the fucking Pelicans.
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: You want to make any predictions right now or do
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: you want to wait another week? Or something in terms
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: of because we're not we don't do playoffs shows. We're
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: in the discord and we're at content Slate playing core
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: plays like you got to be a member to get
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: all the good stuff, and I mean the playoffs is
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: a lot of fun.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: It's actually one of my favorite times for DFS.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: Projections definitely matter, but there's also a lot of wiggle
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: room with them as well because projecting minutes is so big,
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: and these coaches will wrote like it can be game
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: to game. You can watch one game and see XYZ
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: made this adjustment and it worked, and then I mean
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: the next game you see a projection site not even
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: just kind of copy and paste.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: From before, and it's completely different.
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: So I think it's the most I know ball like
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: watching ball translates to good success in DFS in the playoffs.
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: But anything, any predictions or anything you want to make
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: right now, well, the first thing I'll say is, yeah,
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: I definitely agree with that.
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: I think we have a pretty solid team for playoffs
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: come playoff time because our guy little Neck, who's been
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: doing showdowns stuff for us all year long, will definitely
• 56:17
  Speaker 3: be more involved when it comes to playoff time, and
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: he's definitely been very, very sharp when it comes to
• 56:22
  Speaker 3: rotations for the playoffs. So excited to talk through stuff
• 56:25
  Speaker 3: with him in a few months. I don't really know who,
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: like it matters who lines up with who in the
• 56:33
  Speaker 3: East in terms of like first and secon round matchups.
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: But I feel like it's like the top four teams Detroit, Boston,
• 56:41
  Speaker 3: the Knicks, and Cleveland that I think Boston's got to
• 56:45
  Speaker 3: be the favorite.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: I kind of I'm choosing them to come out of
• 56:48
  Speaker 3: the East. I just don't I don't think Detroit has
• 56:50
  Speaker 3: enough shooting. I don't think Cleveland is great defensively, and
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: then the Knicks have I mean, they're just so wishy washy.
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: I just don't really believe them up.
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: NICKI to do it nothing, Yeah, I would say, uh,
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to find a sleeper.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: I don't really think there's much out of the East. No,
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: it looks tough. Can the Hornets. Can the Hornets get
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: in and make some noise?
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: I think they'll give a If they're lined up with
• 57:21
  Speaker 3: the Pistons in the first round, I definitely think they
• 57:23
  Speaker 3: could give them a run for their money. Like it's
• 57:25
  Speaker 3: gonna be a It's not gonna be a sweep like
• 57:27
  Speaker 3: it might be I want to see.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, down below that's the team i'd want to see
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: least I think.
• 57:31
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel like the Sixers got to be a
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: team to look out for. You, Like, if they can
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: get healthy, which is a big if because now you
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: have four starters out.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the only problem.
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: It's like, man, but yeah, if they're all healthy, I
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: mean then you do get they have the talent that way,
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: but do they have the chemistry, like have they played
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: enough together or something like that to to do it deep?
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: I do like Charlotte Nicks coming out, Yeah, come out
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: with championship bound. What about West Western Conference Lakers are
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: shot rockets.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: It's okay, see your san Antonio.
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: No, you're you're gonna write off the Nugs as it
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: goes on Kis's legs and just the team around him.
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: He's just gonna be asked to do much. Their defense
• 58:13
  Speaker 3: is not good enough, they can't get healthy. I don't
• 58:16
  Speaker 3: know if the timber Wolves, no, absolutely not. I mean, yeah,
• 58:22
  Speaker 3: that's the chalk answer. I'm trying to find some sleepers.
• 58:25
  Speaker 3: I don't I can't see the Suns, the Clips, the Warriors,
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: any of those teams. Yeah, it's It's like, I don't
• 58:30
  Speaker 3: really think that there's a like a dark horse coming
• 58:33
  Speaker 3: out of the West.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: I feel like it's man, the Spurs are. The Spurs
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: are gonna be a problem for so long. Yeah obviously, okay,
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: see is too We've known that, but yeah we might
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: get that matchup for quite some years.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Cool. Uh yeah, that's that's all I got. Anything else
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: others will get on out here. No, Yeah, I think
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: I think that's it. I don't think the Spurs are
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: over it.
• 58:55
  Speaker 3: I think Pistons you can make the case for it,
• 58:57
  Speaker 3: but I don't think the Spurs are.
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: Could be in the last two weeks. Oh yeah, it's
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: been impressed.
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: I mean when you have one like they play well
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: as a team and then you got this freaking nature
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: with Castle that plays defense and they got shooting around. Yeah,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: they have the complimentary pieces. Harper's big big for them
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: in the back court.
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: I agree.
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: I think I think Spurs are probably if I had
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: to pick, I picked them to win it right now.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: But we'll see. It's gonna be a lot of fun
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: Cup playoff time. But enjoy this right now. Still a
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: games still, the prizes are big ship a nation dot
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: Com hit the like, hit the subscribe on the way out.
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: We appreciate it a ton for Rio. I'm titled town,
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: be safe, good luck tonight, last.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Spend thy minesday the mother has plenty. The day the
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: p