Latest / Financial Survival Network / West Red Lake Pre-Feasibility Study Projects 255% IRR with VP Gwen Preston
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: It is sort of a worst case scenario study from
- 0:03Speaker 1: that perspective, but yeah, it's still generated results that we're
- 0:08Speaker 1: going to be producing almost seventy thousand ounces of gold
- 0:11Speaker 1: a year over the six years of full production that
- 0:13Speaker 1: are in this study, and those ounces are going to
- 0:17Speaker 1: generate seventy million dollars Canadian in free cash flow over
- 0:21Speaker 1: those on.
- 0:22Speaker 2: Average over those seven years.
- 0:24Speaker 1: And the IRR, the internal rate of return on this
- 0:27Speaker 1: thing is two hundred and fifty five percent.
- 0:30Speaker 2: The Financial Survival Network now, more than ever, the Financial
- 0:39Speaker 2: Survival Network.
- 0:41Speaker 3: Welcome.
- 0:42Speaker 4: This is Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lets.
- 0:46Speaker 4: We are getting an important sponsor update from West red
- 0:50Speaker 4: Lake Gold's VP of Communications, Gwenn Preston. Gwent. It's great
- 0:54Speaker 4: to have you back on the show. Hey, the big
- 0:57Speaker 4: news you're released your preliminary feasibility study, which we're talking
- 1:03Speaker 4: pre call should be called the worst the absolute worst
- 1:06Speaker 4: case scenario, and in this case, the worst case scenario
- 1:10Speaker 4: looks pretty good.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Yes, I love that capture.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I mean worst case scenario in that you use the
- 1:17Speaker 1: you know, the independent consultants who do these mind plans
- 1:21Speaker 1: use extreme conservatism, right, so the cutoff price that they
- 1:25Speaker 1: used to determine which tons were economically viable to mine.
- 1:29Speaker 2: That was one thy six hundred.
- 1:31Speaker 1: And eighty dollars sixteen eighty reserve price cut off for
- 1:35Speaker 1: determining which tons are economic to mine. I mean, that's
- 1:38Speaker 1: one thousand dollars below the current gold price. So that's
- 1:41Speaker 1: as a starting point, really conservative, and then you apply
- 1:44Speaker 1: that so that squeezes down the amount of tons that
- 1:46Speaker 1: you can mine from the amount that you have nowhere there,
- 1:50Speaker 1: squeezes it down to just the highest grade small areas,
- 1:53Speaker 1: and then you apply a conservative gold price to the
- 1:57Speaker 1: financial model. You apply a twenty two hundred dollars long
- 2:00Speaker 1: term gold price to the financial model, which.
- 2:02Speaker 2: Squeezes things down again.
- 2:04Speaker 1: So yes, it is sort of a worst case scenario
- 2:07Speaker 1: study from that perspective, but yeah, it's still generated results
- 2:11Speaker 1: that we're going to be producing almost seventy thousand ounces
- 2:14Speaker 1: of gold a year over the six years of full
- 2:17Speaker 1: production that are in this study, and those ounces are
- 2:20Speaker 1: going to generate seventy million dollars Canadian in free cash flow.
- 2:25Speaker 2: Over those on average over those seven years.
- 2:28Speaker 1: And the IRR the internal rate of return on this
- 2:31Speaker 1: thing is two hundred and fifty five percent, which is
- 2:34Speaker 1: of course, a crazy number in the grand scheme of
- 2:38Speaker 1: mining studies, where usually you're desperately trying to get about
- 2:41Speaker 1: thirty percent.
- 2:42Speaker 2: And if that just reflects.
- 2:44Speaker 1: That we did the We bought an asset that was
- 2:46Speaker 1: mostly built, and then we raised a hundred million dollars.
- 2:49Speaker 2: We raised and spent one hundred million dollars last.
- 2:51Speaker 1: Year, so that the denominator in the IRR, the amount
- 2:56Speaker 1: left to spend that number is really small. That's why
- 2:58Speaker 1: you end up with a really hot rate of return
- 3:01Speaker 1: because we're pretty much done the spend.
- 3:03Speaker 2: We're turning this mine on very soon.
- 3:05Speaker 1: It really nice to get this study out the door
- 3:07Speaker 1: so we can talk about production, even if it is
- 3:10Speaker 1: a very constrained version of what we are actually going
- 3:14Speaker 1: to do.
- 3:15Speaker 4: Yeah, and imagine if it showed the most likely scenario
- 3:20Speaker 4: that IURR would go astronomical exponential.
- 3:25Speaker 2: I think. So, I mean we are going to mine.
- 3:28Speaker 1: We very much expect to mine higher tonnage than is
- 3:31Speaker 1: in this on a daily basis.
- 3:34Speaker 2: Higher overall tonnage.
- 3:36Speaker 1: So we expect it to be a bigger mine on
- 3:38Speaker 1: a daily basis that lasts longer.
- 3:40Speaker 2: The grade might be a bit lower than what's in
- 3:42Speaker 2: this because these red lag systems have a really high
- 3:45Speaker 2: grade core to the vein, and then they do have
- 3:47Speaker 2: a halo, so call it.
- 3:49Speaker 1: Another meter of width a half meet on each side
- 3:52Speaker 1: that averages three or four grams per ton. That three
- 3:55Speaker 1: or four gram per ton halo that got excluded from
- 3:57Speaker 1: this study because it was an economic based on that
- 4:00Speaker 1: sixteen eighty.
- 4:01Speaker 2: US gold price. So we it'll be slightly lower grade,
- 4:05Speaker 2: but it'll be more.
- 4:06Speaker 1: Times and you'll daily end over the life of mine,
- 4:11Speaker 1: and that will economically work out better.
- 4:14Speaker 2: So we're going to produce the number of ounces that
- 4:16Speaker 2: we state or more, and we.
- 4:19Speaker 3: Expect hopefully that the costs will be a bit lower
- 4:22Speaker 3: as well, because that wider mining approach long hal stoping
- 4:26Speaker 3: instead of the cut and fill that's really focused on
- 4:28Speaker 3: the narrow stuff, is about half the mining costs.
- 4:31Speaker 2: So there's a lot of potential upside in all of
- 4:34Speaker 2: these numbers.
- 4:35Speaker 4: Yeah, and then even without the upside, two hundred and
- 4:39Speaker 4: fifty five percent IRR. You know, hedge funds in the
- 4:42Speaker 4: New York City would kill for that kind of are
- 4:45Speaker 4: in fact, they've been known to. But we look at
- 4:52Speaker 4: operation date Q two that's still on track.
- 4:56Speaker 1: Yeah, So in Q two well, I guess in Q
- 4:59Speaker 1: one in March, we're going to turn on the mill
- 5:02Speaker 1: so that.
- 5:02Speaker 2: We can process the bulk samples.
- 5:04Speaker 1: And then so that'll process the bulk samples, which is
- 5:07Speaker 1: really important, we'll be able to compare the tonnage and
- 5:10Speaker 1: grade that we say we're going to deliver to the
- 5:11Speaker 1: tonnage and grade that we actually delivered for those bulk
- 5:14Speaker 1: samples from a few parts of the mine, and then
- 5:17Speaker 1: we will roll into production mining. Now we want to
- 5:20Speaker 1: we want to say that it's sort of near the
- 5:21Speaker 1: end of Q two that we're guaranteed to be doing it.
- 5:25Speaker 1: But that's that's absolutely the timeline that we're in.
- 5:29Speaker 4: That's pretty exciting to see project like this given up
- 5:33Speaker 4: for dead, resurrected and made operational and profitable. Pretty good.
- 5:40Speaker 4: Any are there any obstacles you see in the path.
- 5:45Speaker 4: It's just a question of doing the work. Now. Is
- 5:48Speaker 4: there anything potentially that we should be aware of?
- 5:52Speaker 1: You know, really the key obstacle was making sure that
- 5:56Speaker 1: we had the money in place so that we could
- 5:58Speaker 1: do the work. Like you said, the other thing is
- 5:59Speaker 1: just getting the work done, and that was the other
- 6:02Speaker 1: big achievement that you and I discuss pre call that's
- 6:05Speaker 1: happened since the last time I was on the show,
- 6:07Speaker 1: which is that we closed the deals to put the
- 6:11Speaker 1: money in the bank so that we are funded to
- 6:13Speaker 1: get this thing into production.
- 6:14Speaker 2: So that was we did a.
- 6:15Speaker 1: Financing in the fall, but then at the beginning of
- 6:18Speaker 1: this year we closed a debt facility with Nabari.
- 6:21Speaker 2: That's a thirty five million US debt facility. We've pulled
- 6:25Speaker 2: the first.
- 6:25Speaker 1: Fifteen million of that, still twenty million available on that,
- 6:28Speaker 1: and that is the amount of money that we need
- 6:30Speaker 1: to get this thing up and running.
- 6:32Speaker 2: So that's the real That was the biggest.
- 6:34Speaker 1: D risking step perhaps, I mean, the study is important
- 6:37Speaker 1: because we want everyone to have a base case for
- 6:40Speaker 1: what we're doing. But having the money in the bank
- 6:43Speaker 1: now we can really put our heads down and just
- 6:45Speaker 1: focus on making sure things like the mining at site
- 6:50Speaker 1: ramps up in terms of rate and maintains accuracy. Like
- 6:54Speaker 1: that's the kind of thing that is really essential in
- 6:58Speaker 1: success at a high.
- 6:59Speaker 2: Grade underground goal mine.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Your miners have to mine in exactly the right places,
- 7:02Speaker 1: and they have to do it with enough efficiency that
- 7:05Speaker 1: you're doing the meters a day that your mind plan
- 7:08Speaker 1: calls for. And so this test mining that we're doing
- 7:10Speaker 1: right now. That's the stuff we're going to put through
- 7:13Speaker 1: the mill in March. This test mining is amazing for
- 7:15Speaker 1: that it is truly practicing before you do. So like
- 7:19Speaker 1: the miners are practicing on mining in this the range
- 7:22Speaker 1: of environments that's there, close to old stops.
- 7:25Speaker 2: Not close to old stops, narrower areas, wider areas.
- 7:29Speaker 1: We're practicing it so that we know exactly the right
- 7:31Speaker 1: approach to be safe first and then accurate and efficient.
- 7:34Speaker 1: So just ramping up that meterage and making sure that
- 7:38Speaker 1: things are happening on site with the kind of like
- 7:41Speaker 1: I say, accuracy, reliability and efficiency that they need to
- 7:45Speaker 1: that's really fundamental in a new mind. So that's the
- 7:48Speaker 1: biggest obstacle for us as a team over the next
- 7:51Speaker 1: few months.
- 7:53Speaker 3: Right.
- 7:53Speaker 4: So it's just basically bringing all the details together and
- 7:56Speaker 4: this will market Change's sixth success full mind restart, which
- 8:01Speaker 4: has got to be some kind of record out there.
- 8:04Speaker 2: It probably is.
- 8:05Speaker 1: I wonder if there's anybody anybody else between builds and restarts.
- 8:09Speaker 2: He's yeah, he's absolutely done a lot. He is. He's
- 8:12Speaker 2: at the Mind sight right now.
- 8:13Speaker 1: We were in Toronto last week marketing this prefeasibilities that
- 8:16Speaker 1: he and he flew to the mind side and he
- 8:18Speaker 1: sent me a picture of himself from inside. You you
- 8:20Speaker 1: fly to red Lake from Winnipeg and it's about a
- 8:23Speaker 1: forty five minute flight on a very very small airplane
- 8:27Speaker 1: that's run by a company called bare Skin Airlines, And
- 8:30Speaker 1: he sent me a picture from the inside of the plane,
- 8:32Speaker 1: which seats about sixteen people. I think, you know, one
- 8:35Speaker 1: person per side on each side of the aisle. He
- 8:39Speaker 1: was the only person on the plane and it was
- 8:40Speaker 1: minus three celsius inside the plane.
- 8:42Speaker 2: And he, despite all of that, was very excited to
- 8:46Speaker 2: be heading.
- 8:46Speaker 1: To Red Lake because he loves being on site and
- 8:49Speaker 1: making sure that this operational readiness is building up.
- 8:53Speaker 4: Yeah, he's very much a hands on operator, and I
- 8:56Speaker 4: guess thank goodness for Canada's bush pilots that kind of
- 9:02Speaker 4: make the industry work. So we're going to look for
- 9:06Speaker 4: Q two later in Q two start to production. But
- 9:10Speaker 4: everything is happening now. Hey, we'll see you in Vancouver
- 9:15Speaker 4: at VRICK. Everybody go over to Westredlakegold dot com sign
- 9:20Speaker 4: up for notifications. They're coming fast and furious, and the
- 9:25Speaker 4: ticker symbols in the US w l R GF and
- 9:30Speaker 4: of course in Canada wr LG Gwen. We'll see you soon.
- 9:34Speaker 4: Thanks so much.
- 9:35Speaker 2: Nice to see you, Kerry, We'll see you next week.
- 9:44Speaker 2: The Financial Survival Network