Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 17 Gambling Picks, God Tier Ravens, Tomlin Ain't Dead, Chiefs Stink
Transcript
- 0:00Three for the Money is brought to you by the Trend Center app. This is the best tool for sports
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- 0:43Upgrade your sports betting research today. Okay let's get into the show.
- 1:03Okay okay okay we're here we're back and Christmas is over.
- 1:10We are currently recording on Tuesday because of some scheduling conflicts so the lines that we
- 1:17give out today may probably definitely will change. But Merry Christmas from all of us
- 1:26it is week 16 or is it week 17? 17. Oh god okay. Yeah the end is nine. Yeah I am ready for the
- 1:37playoffs though. I am ready to not see bad football. Bad football teams play. I'm ready for that to
- 1:45not happen anymore. Just me personally. But we're gonna let's let's recap last week. It was Christmas
- 1:59we had Saturday games Sunday games multiple Monday games. But this week we don't have we don't have
- 2:04any Monday night games which is kind of weird. And I don't know how many do we only have one Saturday
- 2:12game? Yeah I believe so. Weird I don't know. But I think it could rock. Could rock. Could rock.
- 2:21Before we get into it what were our records from last week? Someone not me so I don't have to talk
- 2:29about it immediately and bring the room down. Okay Chris what did you do? I had a pretty good week.
- 2:39It started out terrible Thursday and whatever Christmas Eve Eve whatever day that was I was
- 2:46terrible. But then Christmas Eve and Christmas day that's pretty good. I went like I went seven to
- 2:51eight and five overall. So not a bad not a bad Christmas for your boy. I don't think that feeling
- 3:00is shared amongst the rest of you. But Sean how did you do? Yeah you're correct in that statement.
- 3:11Started off Thursday going oh and two. Christmas Eve Eve I was I went I swept the board
- 3:19which I was like great good moments I'm going into Christmas Eve and then I won one bet out of
- 3:29eight that I had. Oh yeah seven or eight I think.
- 3:38Yep and luckily on Christmas Eve I texted the group chat and I was like hey I need a
- 3:46I need a pick for the Sunday Night Football game. What do you got? And Chris responded with Patriots
- 3:53plus seven and a half and I was like adding it but I can't count that on my official card.
- 4:01And then Christmas I just got smoked. I went one in three. The only saving grace was the Over
- 4:08in the Ravens 49ers game. It wasn't a very holly jolly Christmas if you ask me but whatever.
- 4:18We're moving on. We're getting to the point where we're about to bring bets into the new year.
- 4:25So let's hope some of that luck transfers over to this week. But Will what did you how did you do?
- 4:35So without getting into specifics I ended up going three and nine.
- 4:42Saturday didn't win a bet. Sunday won a couple. Christmas didn't win a single bet.
- 4:51Oh god it was so bad. I was trying to focus on good tidings and chestnuts roasting on an open fire
- 5:02on this Christmas day rather than me throwing money in the trash. So yeah I'm choosing to
- 5:14put that aside. Put the aside of me having two bad weeks in a row. We're going to put that away
- 5:21and we're going to lock it in a chest and we're going to throw it away and we're never going to
- 5:25we're never going to think about it ever again. We're going to return to confidence
- 5:29because that's what I was doing last week. I was betting scared. I was like am I bad am I good this
- 5:35I was bad. All right we're back. We're officially back. I'm calling it. I'm betting on it.
- 5:43I'm betting on me being back. Okay week 17. Let's get into it. First game only one Saturday game
- 5:51Saturday night football. This game could be awesome. It has very high potentials of being awesome.
- 5:58Talking about Lions Cowboys Cowboys at home favored by six currently it is Tuesday.
- 6:06Lion could possibly change. Yeah the Cowboys lost the fraud bowl but it was close.
- 6:18That one just kind of seemed like a couple different things go a different way than they
- 6:22could have pulled out the dub. I don't know I still think they're a more complete team than
- 6:28Miami but I don't know shows what I know I guess excuse me. Lions locked up the division. They
- 6:37seem like world beaters with also doing something stupid every game. So I don't know are there
- 6:45world beaters. I don't know. I think we'll find out. But anyway Lions Cowboys Cowboys
- 6:51favored by six. Chris what do you think about this game. Well like you said in the beginning of
- 6:57describing it this game should rock. I hope it rocks. I'm taking over 53 and a half. I believe
- 7:03last week Sean read a stat that the Detroit Lions are averaging over 30 points a game when they
- 7:08play inside. Is that correct. Yep that is correct. And the Dallas Cowboys play inside. So
- 7:17Michigan over 30 again. Correct. Statistically speaking. Statistically speaking. So yeah and
- 7:24the Cowboys we know what they do at home. They just they score. That's just what they do. So I
- 7:29think this game could rock both teams 30 honestly. So I'm taking over 53 and a half. Will what are
- 7:36you taking. I'm taking the same exact thing over 53. Oh my god. I am I'm retiring the prime time
- 7:49under this at this point in the season. It it's done. It's done its thing. And where it's it's
- 7:58leveling back off. We're moving on. We're not taking prime time under is anymore.
- 8:05That doesn't mean prime time overs but are you done just like blindly betting them. Are you
- 8:12never going to bet a prime time under again. I'm done. Blinding betting them. OK. This season.
- 8:18Yeah I know not like for the rest of your life. You said ever again it's like well I meant this
- 8:25season ever again this season. Yes because we are slowly going into when all the games are
- 8:33prime time and I'm surely I'm sure as hell not going to be betting the under and every single
- 8:37game. Yeah. Taking over 53. This this I didn't want it was tough picking aside. So obviously I
- 8:47didn't with the Lions there. I mean they can put up points there inside. I do think that
- 8:57the Cowboys are a more I don't know put together team. I don't know but they they're definitely
- 9:04I definitely still think that they're one of the best teams in the league. They could be frauds but
- 9:11still. So six is kind of a lot for the Lions but also the Lions could easily just do something
- 9:22stupid. And you know when they do something stupid that's probably like a pick six or
- 9:29or fumble recovery for touchdown something stupid. So I'm choosing points. I'm choosing over 53.
- 9:38Sean what do you got. I also have the over but as I said last week this will be since the Lions
- 9:48are playing indoors for the remaining remainder of the season I will be taking their team total
- 9:53over 23 and a half as well. This was hard picking aside but I think
- 10:06okay if these teams were to face each other in the playoffs I would hammer Detroit.
- 10:13I would hammer Detroit but interesting since since this is well if if it's at the playoffs it
- 10:19it's at Detroit. Yeah. Yeah. So it's on the road with the Cowboys but I I'm not betting
- 10:27prime time unders anymore. They've lost four in a row. They're on a two and eight losing streak
- 10:33in their last 10. It's all over for me over 53 and a half. It's high. Let's have some fun on
- 10:39Saturday night. Hell yes. I took all 10 of those those two and eight bats did not go away. I know
- 10:48you did. I put that I put that little stat in there just in case you were going to take the under
- 10:55again. No I'm I'm done. I was really I was really hoping to persuade you out of it but
- 11:02you don't have to watch this. Okay. Okay. Next game dolphins at Ravens Ravens beat the Niners.
- 11:12Does that mean the Niners are not the best team in the league. Who's to say Niners are still very
- 11:19good. I didn't end up watching the rest of that game. I was on the East Coast time zone
- 11:26so I fell asleep on the couch and I'm a stick but I did watch the first half and Ravens they just
- 11:35seemed to be able to make the play. That's that's just what it's and that's what the Niners
- 11:41felt like felt like they could do throughout the season. But Ravens at home in Baltimore
- 11:50favored by three and a half. I'm taking Ravens. I think that this is this is one of the better
- 11:57teams that the dolphins can play and this is they got up for last week against the Cowboys.
- 12:03I don't I'm not sure. That was still a close one.
- 12:05I don't think they're even smoke them but definitely like more than a field goal right here. So
- 12:13taking minus three and a half. They just seem really well put together. It doesn't really seem
- 12:18like they have any glaring holes. I don't know. That's just what the way I see it.
- 12:23Sean what do you what do you see here. Well I want to start off by saying this is
- 12:29absolutely crazy to me. This game has not been flexed. This is being played at
- 12:34noon. Yeah what a travesty. This is a fight for the one seed. And this is this game is
- 12:43being playing being played at noon. This is the most important game of the weekend I think.
- 12:49And it makes me sad that not all of America is going to be able to watch it. That just makes
- 12:54me sad incredibly sad. But I really hope the NFL comes to their senses before this releases. But
- 13:02anyways Ravens are on a short rest week flying back from California to play the Dolphins at home.
- 13:10Dolphins finally got a decent win against a winning team. I think this one will be tight.
- 13:18Could be a very defensive minded game. I do want to lean Dolphins plus three here.
- 13:25But for right now I'm just going to take the under at 47. But check back on Sunday to see the
- 13:33official pick. I may double dip. Not sure yet. But under 47 is my official play for the moment.
- 13:40Chris what you got. This game makes me nervous because all week I've been like the Ravens are
- 13:49going to beat the hell out of the Dolphins. Like it's just it's going to happen. The Ravens are
- 13:57just a much better team. The Dolphins I still I know they beat the Cowboys. I still think they're
- 14:01frauds. But now as we get closer I'm like the Dolphins you know like they could pull one out.
- 14:09Like the Ravens are as high as a team can be right now almost. I'm sticking with it. The
- 14:15Ravens minus three and a half. Miami is Miami still only beat one good team all year. And to
- 14:22ask them to do it again on the road in Baltimore. They'll probably be freezing cold. That seems
- 14:28like a tall task. So give me Ravens minus three and a half. I don't love it as much as I've loved
- 14:34it like well the last like two or three weeks. I'm like oh the Ravens are going to stomp the
- 14:38Dolphins. And I'm like yeah they'll probably win by four or five points. But that'll be good enough
- 14:44to cover. So Ravens minus three and a half. This game also makes me nervous for the under
- 14:49because was it two years ago when the the Dolphins came back from that crazy game. I believe it was
- 14:58two years ago. And I think it was in Miami though but two literally threw for like almost 600 yards.
- 15:06Yes. That was in Miami. Yeah. Yeah it was in Miami. But yeah it makes me nervous for the under
- 15:12but it will be cold. Baltimore weather isn't great. So maybe it'll be a little bit rainy but
- 15:20I'm a little I'm with you. I'm a little nervous on my pick as well.
- 15:25Yes. Dolphins got to go into Baltimore. They're probably going to get mugged on the way in.
- 15:32Just see what happens. Just see what happens. Ravens minus three and a half.
- 15:37Okay. Next game. Big playoff implications. Steelers at the Seahawks. I feel like
- 15:46the Seahawks never play like a regular ass game. It's always it's always kind of weird.
- 15:53Steelers beat this shit out of the Bengals. Handedly quite handedly. The Seahawks beat
- 16:00the Titans who aren't who have got nothing to play for by three points came back from that.
- 16:10Excuse me. Great job. Yeah. Good job. Ravens are favorite by three and a half points in Seattle.
- 16:19Seahawks. Yeah. Is that what I said? I said Ravens. Fuck.
- 16:24Seahawks. Too many birds. Yeah. Too many stupid birds. Seahawks minus three and a half at home.
- 16:36Chris. What do you think about this game? Well I didn't really know what to make of it in my stupid
- 16:44dumb brain. So I went to the good folks over at Trent Center and dug up a little little stat.
- 16:49Since 2015 teams who are playing the Seahawks when they are dogs between three and eight and a half
- 16:59are 31, 13 and three against the spread. Six, two and two in their last 10.
- 17:06Steelers plus three and a half is the play. Like you said the Seahawks never play in a normal game.
- 17:13So this could easily come down to a field goal at the end to win it and they win by three or less.
- 17:17So give me Steelers plus three and a half and let's keep riding Mason Rudolph.
- 17:26Sean, what are you taking? I'm also taking the Steelers plus three for completely different
- 17:32reasons but I do love that stat from our friends over at Trent Center. I don't think the Steelers are
- 17:39very good. Still even after they're pretty impressive win on Thursday or last Thursday but
- 17:48Mike Tomlin just finds ways to win in December and Seattle obviously the better team especially
- 17:57being at home but is anyone going to be surprised that the Steelers can keep it close and keep Tomlin's
- 18:04500 record alive? Not really and also the Steelers play the Ravens in Baltimore week 18
- 18:15and I can see that record still being very much intact this season
- 18:20but I'm just going to lay the points to be safe. Steelers plus three and a half.
- 18:26Oh you okay? Yeah I hit my knuckle on the side of the table. Were you slamming your hand to agree?
- 18:34Like yes. Celebration. Sure yeah. Was it just like fixing my headphones or anything?
- 18:42I do agree with you obviously. Cool. Well what you got? I am also on the Pittsburgh Steelers here.
- 18:51Like I said Seahawks never play like a real normal ass game. I did a little bit of digging
- 18:57and it seems that the Seahawks in the majority of their wins this season against teams with
- 19:06like a pulse they're only winning by like max three. Like if you look at all their record for
- 19:12this season it's like they're winning these games by three sometimes two sometimes four points so
- 19:19it's an average of three and I mean are Mike Tomlin underdog stats dead? Not yet. He's still a head
- 19:29coach. I'm taking the Steelers plus three and a half here I think. Yeah who has the who's leading
- 19:38that division? The Steelers division the AFC North. Ravens. Oh right. The team that's leading the AFC.
- 19:45Sorry. It's been a long weekend. Hey.
- 19:57Sorry. I forgot the teams for a second. Anyway I've taken pit. Next game.
- 20:03Bangles at Chiefs. Chiefs lost to the Raiders.
- 20:06Was that Christmas? Yeah that was yesterday. Hilarious. Yeah hilarious.
- 20:15Just Patrick Mahomes just giving away the game and it was hilarious seeing the the TikToks after
- 20:23of Mahomes like being like this to his receivers teaching them how to catch the ball. It was
- 20:31pretty funny. Well I mean okay even Travis Kelsey tried to grab a couple of catches by one hand
- 20:41and it's like hey let's not try and get on ESPN tomorrow let's just catch the damn ball
- 20:48and oh god but it was funny that they lost. Yes. Chiefs are favored by seven at home.
- 20:57The line feels correct. It feels correct to me but this game has me in a pretzel like I don't
- 21:08want to bet on the Chiefs because they are not the Chiefs that we have come to know.
- 21:15But I also don't want to bet on Jake Browning. I don't want to bet on that guy again.
- 21:21I got no faith in him anymore. He crossed me. Gosh I do not know. I don't have a pick. I was hoping
- 21:31that you guys could perhaps guide me in your okay. Sean go. Well Chiefs Kingdom is in absolute
- 21:44shambles. The throne is collapsing and it's hilarious but Patrick Mahomes has absolutely
- 21:53no help at receiver. He has literally nobody but Travis Kelsey to throw to.
- 22:00So it really isn't that surprising to me that they're not like a 12 win team at this point in
- 22:08the season if not if not you know more wins but Patrick Mahomes they still can't cover these
- 22:17spreads larger than three. The Bengals need to win both remaining games to have a chance at the
- 22:23playoffs and if the Chiefs play anywhere near as bad as they did on Christmas this could be close.
- 22:31I'm taking the Bengals plus seven. Chris do you have a pick or I have the Bengals plus seven written
- 22:41down. Okay and I'm just thinking like man like the Chiefs got to get right at some point right.
- 22:49I mean I think they'll win. Yeah but like the Bengals stink like Browning's I mean
- 22:56I know it's only been one game but he looked terrible. He also didn't have his best receiver
- 23:06out there. Is he playing is Chase playing this week. I'm not I don't know I don't I'm not sure
- 23:12yet I mean they practice hasn't even happened yet so. Yes that's fair. What's the total in this 44.
- 23:20I don't know I didn't even look. I looked at it earlier today I'm pretty sure it's 44 I just want to see
- 23:30that's my B. I guess I should have been more prepared. It just I don't know I can't see what is
- 23:40correct in my brain or for what is the outcome for this game. I think it's 44 and a half so give me
- 23:51that under. Neither offense is very good right now so that's also a fair pick. Yeah I don't I don't see
- 24:01and the Chiefs defense is good like the Raiders didn't complete a pass in the second half.
- 24:07Yeah that was crazy. That's hilarious so give me yeah give me under 44 and a half.
- 24:17Okay I'll probably end up taking that under. I just I it's very difficult for me to take
- 24:23either side here because she's just sliding is not playing good ball right now and Bengals are
- 24:29just a product of their situation. It's they could easily you know keep it close but it's I don't
- 24:38know it's just just a crap shoot. Well last game on the on the slay we'll really really dive in here
- 24:46is Sunday night football Packers at the Vikings Vikings are currently favored by one and a half.
- 24:52I feel like that line will change. I did hear that TJ Hawkinson is out for the
- 25:01remainder of the season so that is tough. Chris what is what is what do you pick here near.
- 25:13I know prime time unders are on life support right now but I'm taking under 46. This is the
- 25:21definition of loser leaves town loser is eliminated from playoff contention so both defenses are
- 25:26going to be playing with their hair on fire. They're not going to let anything get by them.
- 25:30Yeah give me under 46 just for that like this is the season on the line for both teams so
- 25:36defenses will come to play under 46. Sean what do you got. Yeah this is a playoff game. Yeah this
- 25:44is a this is a playoff game both teams seven and eight one gets back into the wild card race.
- 25:52Doesn't mean they'll they'll make it but this is a playoff game. Loser will be eliminated.
- 25:59The winner could be two but not this is a long way to go before we we can decide that you know
- 26:05like I'm going to take the Vikings here Vikings minus one and a half Vikings one by two touchdowns
- 26:14in Lambo earlier this season without Justin Jefferson but also they didn't have Nick Mullins
- 26:20as they're starting quarterback but Justin Jefferson should be back this week so I like the
- 26:28Vikings here at home so give me the Vikings minus one and a half. Well okay I did a little digging
- 26:38found a couple trend center stats and I am taking Green Bay Moneyline I think yes this is
- 26:48I Packers are kind of on a slide they barely beat the Carolina Panthers last week
- 26:55but I think missing TJ Hawkinson is massive and I don't I don't think Justin Jefferson
- 27:01ever came back from his injury right he's I'm pretty sure he's back oh he played last week
- 27:09he did this yeah yeah oh okay um I just this is this is a divisional game divisional dogs on the road
- 27:21pretty good I'm taking Green Bay Moneyline here this is this is easily like I don't know
- 27:28do I ball in the hand of someone that can win you a game is it Nick Mullins probably not
- 27:38is it is it uh Jordan Love probably not but you definitely want that more on Jordan Love
- 27:47he's like won them games this year yes I say one of those guys has won a football game this year
- 27:54yes yes so I think that Green Bay Moneyline is is the play here um I the under does look
- 28:09very tasty but I don't want to take it because I'm afraid I'm afraid of of unders now I'm I'm scarred
- 28:19but that is the slate that's the main slate what we're talking about well hold on hold on I got
- 28:27one more thing um I I respect your Packers pick they just they wronged me on Sunday they wronged
- 28:36me I had Packers minus four they were up what uh at halftime it was like 23 to 10 so they were up
- 28:47by 13 and then they and then in the fourth quarter it's 30 to 30 against the Carolina Panthers
- 28:57and yeah they won but they didn't cover the spread so they they were they wronged me so
- 29:04I respect your pick but personal personal reasons I will not be taking the Packers
- 29:11I respect your decision based on those those factors I would definitely do the same in your
- 29:17position okay that's the main slate um let's get into our surefire double unit plays of the week
- 29:25uh I lost mine last week I think I lost mine in the week before too uh did not go very good for me
- 29:31obviously um but you know what we're back we're back winning our double unit plays you got to win
- 29:38those to stay afloat and this one is brought to you by the great folks over at the trend center
- 29:44okay found this absolute gem of a stat okay they uh the trend center has these um these trend scores
- 29:55that that rate each trend on a scale of one to 100 100 obviously being the best that you can be in
- 30:02zero is don't don't bet this obviously um this one has a trend score of 100 since 1989 you would be
- 30:14up 82 units taking this trend this is late season underdogs all right the play is giants
- 30:24plus six and a half after week 16 underdogs with spreads under eight and the total is between 40 and
- 30:3249 are 164 74 and six since 1989 that is insane plus 82 units you're a hundred dollar better you got
- 30:4582 grand eight that you have you have eight grand exactly you don't have you don't have 82 thousand
- 30:55dollars exactly you didn't say that that's exactly what I said Sean okay anyway why are you
- 31:04well why are you just repeating what will is saying will in his math yeah Jesus giants plus six and a
- 31:14half is the play against the Rams um yeah Tommy DeVito he's gonna go out with a bang he definitely did
- 31:22not show up against the Eagles uh that well um but is he gonna play I don't know oh yeah Tyrod finished
- 31:30that game yeah Tyrod was kind of the hero in that game he was swinging yeah yeah all right
- 31:37a little more confidence here a little more confidence here taking the giants plus six and a
- 31:42half Chris what is your play all right well well much like you my surefire play of the week is also
- 31:49brought to you by the great folks at Trent's Center uh is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the
- 31:55New Orleans Saints under 42 and a half this isn't as a deep dive of a stat this is just the last
- 32:02two years but the last two years NFC South the Vision Games are 21 and 12 towards the under
- 32:11eight and two in the last 10 and also the under a six and one in the last seven between these two teams
- 32:17so like what more do you need and it's also a little more of the same in the same vein as the Packers
- 32:27Vikings under this isn't actually it pretty much is loser lose town well if the Bucks lose they're
- 32:34still in it but the Saints lose they're done so I think both defenses are gonna come to play just
- 32:40yeah let's get it let's get an under let's cash yet another surefire play so Sean what are you taking
- 32:45um I will also be taking uh something in the in the Bucks Saints game um I'm going to take the
- 32:54Buccaneers minus three here Bucks are red white lava hot Baker Mayfield cannot be stopped Bucks
- 33:04sweep this series and put the Saints out of playoffs now I've mentioned it a few times but
- 33:10I have a future for the Saints to not make the playoffs and man this would cash both
- 33:19and not both but you know what I mean but it would be double it would be yes it'd be double so
- 33:26this is almost this is a triple unit essentially almost almost yeah well if it wins yeah yeah
- 33:33yeah pretty much yeah let's go yeah let's go Bucks minus three hell yes the bake show is back
- 33:41okay what is the rest of our cards um who wants to go first I went first on the surefire
- 33:49Chris you go first okay actually I do want to go first because I want to talk this game out
- 33:54real quick okay the Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals should the Eagles be favored by
- 34:0211 and a half against any NFL football team right now uh I mean the Cardinals just did get their
- 34:11ass smacked with a wooden paddle I know but the Eagles they're like they're like honestly
- 34:19like just like not good right now it's not like oh they're rough patch they're not a very good
- 34:23football team right now 11 is a lot and it's at home right yeah I think so
- 34:35yeah I don't know I have Cardinals written down here and it's Cardinals plus 11 in my notes
- 34:41Philly shouldn't be double digit favorites against anyone so now but the more I look at it I'm like
- 34:46they gotta get like a big win against someone yeah like um well who's leading that division
- 34:56is it the Cowboys of the Eagles are they tied it's the Eagles currently yeah
- 35:02I don't I just don't know well thanks to our good friends at turn center there are
- 35:08three stats on the Eagles all with above 80 percentages for the Eagles minus 11
- 35:14and and nothing for the Cardinals so do with that what you will
- 35:21scratched it out and it is now Eagles minus 11 or is 11 and a half now I don't know
- 35:29either one I'm taking it um all right so that's situated that was good talk good to talk it out
- 35:36all right the rest of the ones I'm sure about uh Niners mangers over 49 uh San Francisco's pissed
- 35:45they they're gonna put up some numbies in this game and I mean the commanders are god awful but
- 35:52I think San Francisco can get uh five touchdowns in this game I think pretty easily so if I just
- 36:01need if I just need two from the managers I'll take it so over 49 uh Raiders plus three against
- 36:08the Colts Antonio Pierce might be my favorite coach of all time this guy rocks um and I hate the Colts
- 36:17so Raiders plus three plus they they're just so fun the Raiders are so fun right now they're a fun
- 36:22team like they're smoking you can't really say that about them in the past no actually probably
- 36:28very seldom you couldn't even say that about the Raiders like six weeks ago yeah honestly
- 36:38they just had to get rid of that wet blanket the head of the head coach
- 36:42so if they don't make Antonio Pierce like I have no emotional stake in this team whatsoever if they
- 36:49don't make him the head coach like I what's the point of watching football yeah I agree he he deserves
- 36:56that job they're gonna probably hire fucking Frank Reich again it's on to like a 12 year contract
- 37:02you know the Davis family but yeah so Antonio or I'm gonna say that Tony appears plus three
- 37:10hey that's the same thing it's the same thing Antonio Pierce plus three against the Indianapolis
- 37:16Colts all right all right serious all right Falcons plus three against the Chicago Bears Falcons
- 37:26need to win this game to have a chance to make it into the playoffs and I don't believe in the
- 37:32Bears like cool they're they're scrappy they're scrappy but they're beating like I know the Falcons
- 37:38are not a very good team but the Bears are just being bad teams and the Falcons they have something
- 37:45to play for the Bears have nothing to play for it'd be better for the Bears to lose this game actually
- 37:51yeah sure yeah so yeah and then yeah that's it and then Giants plus six and a half that will
- 37:57gave out and I'll be writing that as well because that stat was perfect so yeah that's the car
- 38:05who wants to go next I'll go all right okay I got the bills minus 12 at home you know looking
- 38:14to strengthen their playoff chances oh shit who they playing yeah yeah Pat's oh god yeah like
- 38:23just one more one more Bella check beat down probably his last season in New England just
- 38:31love it um I also have the Cardinals Eagles under 49 uh that's just too damn high
- 38:37that's just too damn high um and especially we're going back to uh a little thing we discovered
- 38:46last season but these these large spreads of you know 10 or more unders are I don't know I don't
- 38:53have the exact number on it but they were good they were good I added Giants plus six and a half
- 39:01uh thanks to Will and Trent Center plus I've uh did I say minus my bad Giants plus six and a half
- 39:10um I also have the Raiders Colts under 44 and a half uh both teams still have a chance to win this
- 39:18their respective divisions I think this will be a really tight defensive game um I also have the
- 39:2649ers minus 13 and a half uh they're just pissed off they're just pissed off they're playing a bad
- 39:33team and Chris you said they're gonna score five touchdowns easy easy and that's the card for right
- 39:41now oh hold on well give yours I'm gonna look up the something okay uh so the rest of my card um I
- 39:50have the over in the Dolphins Ravens game I'm double dipping that game uh last time they played uh it
- 39:58was I believe 42 to 39 um I looked that up before the show obviously um and then the time before that
- 40:07was like 50 to 10 in like 2019 it was insane um yeah I think I I'm betting this over I'm betting
- 40:18this over over 47 um I hope it's uh I hope it's a really good game um and then my only other pick
- 40:27is Falcons Bears under 37 and a half uh Bears have been playing pretty good defense um the Falcons
- 40:36always find a way to not score a lot of points um they pretty not not smart very incompetent um
- 40:45but they do they do need to win obviously um so I think the Falcons D will play better obviously um
- 40:54so under 37 and that is my card um yeah all right do we have any closing thoughts? Christopher?
- 41:02I am adding 49ers team total over 30 and a half I think that's I think that's a good one I've
- 41:11I've said multiple times I get five touchdowns easy so I kind of have to take it yeah kind of
- 41:16what's that what are the is that their set team total um I mean on five touchdowns no that's
- 41:24under half Kings it's the only one without a plus sign okay so it's like minus 105 or whatever
- 41:32it's minus 120 okay weird okay yeah so yeah over 30 and a half well that's six and no that's not
- 41:39that's that's five touchdowns yeah you need five it's at least five or four in a field goal but yeah
- 41:48yeah it's at least five math no one said we were a math podcast yes
- 41:58and uh I mean the commanders have the 32nd rank defense in the league so
- 42:02so now I played the worst game of the year last year last week he was so they so covered though
- 42:12yeah yeah what was the line was I don't know either but I know they lost they lost okay they lost but
- 42:19I I pretty sure they covered because I saw like a a trend center thing for um the 49ers
- 42:27manneders game that was like uh if the team covered the spread it's like if the team failed to cover
- 42:39the spread which is the 49ers and then the team covered the spread in their previous matchup
- 42:46it's like so that was obviously the manneders so I'm pretty sure they they covered they did yeah
- 42:53they the chests were two and a half point favorites which is very surprising
- 43:02just just I know the commanders that's just such a it's just such a home spread like that's just such
- 43:08a like a home team like yeah we'll give you we'll give you a field goal someone's gotta be favored yeah
- 43:15yeah cool well I think that's it then we kind of covered everything from last week
- 43:26pickings are a little bit slim at least on my end just because it seems that
- 43:32you know we're at that point in the season where this team needs to win in order to make it to the
- 43:36playoffs or you know this guy's this this team's fighting for their playoff lives this guy's got
- 43:41to lock up the one seed so it's a lot of um other factors that kind of come into kind of come into
- 43:51each game here um so the slate that we chose is like all right all of these games actually matter
- 43:59all the rest are you know matter less you know um like I don't know I mean I guess the titans game
- 44:09kind of matters because we're playing the Texans and matters for one team yes it matters for one team
- 44:16that is the same thing for the the Eagles game you know they gotta they have to beat them in order
- 44:23to stay competitive in the division maybe lock up the one seed in their in their division yeah I'm
- 44:28just looking at this the slate there aren't any games where it's two mathematically eliminated teams
- 44:35well I like I I think there's how many teams are actually eliminated I don't think it's really like
- 44:45that many considering how late we are in the season yeah the Broncos aren't eliminated are they
- 44:51I don't believe so somehow they are I was thinking Broncos chargers because I'm pretty sure I mean
- 44:59if they're not technically mathematically eliminated there are there might as well be the
- 45:03chargers because they glow give me one second here so there's one two three four six seven
- 45:15there's only eight teams that are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention in week 17
- 45:22how are they they are the New York Jets the New England Patriots the Tennessee Titans the Los
- 45:28Angeles Chargers the New York Giants Washington Commanders Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals
- 45:35no one from the NFC North is mathematically eliminated and no one from the AFC North is
- 45:41mathematically eliminated so yeah and all those teams that are eliminated are playing teams that
- 45:47aren't so that's yeah very interesting to see in week 17 yeah um I think it's really surprising
- 45:55that the Bears aren't eliminated yet because they just keep winning like what they're what the hell
- 46:02are they doing there are there a six-win team I know but in week 17 like it's I mean it's crazy
- 46:09that they're not eliminated yet the Seahawks have that last seed don't they and they're seven and eight
- 46:15right yeah seven and eight or something they're only a game they're a game back
- 46:20so as it stands the current playoff picture is Ravens at the one Dolphins Chiefs Jags Browns
- 46:33Bill's Colts 49ers Eagles Lions Bucks Cowboys Rams Seahawks that inside it's gonna be so fun
- 46:45yeah yeah I mean there's it's all gonna be fun but that that's awesome
- 46:55one two three four yeah I mean I think both sides could be fun honestly I mean yeah they
- 47:01have the same amount of teams that the five teams that aren't eliminated yet that could still get in
- 47:07but I love this time of year I think it's great when just stupid analytics and stupid stats just
- 47:16come down to deciding who's in and who's out and why they're not mathematically eliminated yet I love
- 47:22it yeah yes it is parts of it are electric definitely if if you were to rewind the season
- 47:34and tell me that the Tennessee Titans would be worse than the Chicago Bears I might have I might
- 47:42have slapped you I don't know if you guys put that together yet but I guess I know I guess I kind of
- 47:52knew it but I hadn't really thought about it yeah like I know I know the Bears have more wins than
- 47:59the Titans but I hadn't really processed it yeah I don't know maybe I shouldn't have said that
- 48:10leaving notes oh we suck so whatever okay well hold on real quick okay just as as the playoff
- 48:21standing stands I could very much see it being exactly what it is right now yeah we're like
- 48:31nobody like really sneaks in it's it's I think it's pretty much set in stone at what it is
- 48:40who's the team like the next team up I guess you can say in the NFC like below the Seahawks
- 48:47Vikings where are they seven and eight I mean they win Seahawks lose yeah I mean that's really
- 48:58that's really kind of it though like yeah everyone other than that I think it's just kind of like a
- 49:03battle of seeding yeah other other than the Texans and Colts like I could see the Colt I could see
- 49:12the Texans being in more than the Colts at this point just because you know Antonio Pierce and
- 49:19where the Texans have to play the Titans the Raiders are they're 11th so but they could
- 49:28what's crazy is that they could still win that division can they yes yeah they beat the Chiefs
- 49:34they can still win this division who do they play next week next week the Raiders play the Broncos
- 49:43which is a which is another great matchup because the Broncos beat the Chiefs dude if the if the
- 49:52Raiders win and the Raiders already beat the Broncos week one if the Raiders I'm saying this
- 49:58right now the Raiders win this week next week they're my surefire barring like and barring an
- 50:05injury to someone good if they if it's like winning in they're easy yeah I think yeah I
- 50:17yeah that might be a double unit play just not as a sure that might be more than double unit
- 50:23responsible I don't know week 18 is gonna be crazy but we're gonna get through week 17 first
- 50:32yeah I guess I don't look at it so yeah don't look at it just let things play out yeah player games
- 50:42um I think that's it yeah I think that's it um crazy shit this week um definitely
- 50:49a lot of shit could happen uh yeah that's gonna be it for us please check out trend center app
- 50:57using the link in our bio get a free two week free trial um for the premium regular free trial is
- 51:04is uh three days or two days I can't remember anymore I think it's three three it's three yeah
- 51:11uh super super great um Christmas just happens so that means NBA is you know back officially um
- 51:20and you know tons of games to go off of fade the pistons uh forever it seems like it seems
- 51:28like they are the worst team ever never they have to win eventually but yes they have two
- 51:35they have already won twice well they won their first two games well
- 51:44well I mean the the bobcats won seven games and that was the worst season by an NBA team
- 51:55and the charlotte bobcats before they renamed themselves the hornets after the first hornets
- 52:01left that's such a better name yes it is the charlotte bobcats were a cursed franchise
- 52:09so our cursed name current charlotte hornets are not doing so hot either so well currently the
- 52:18currently the pistons are only down by two against the nets so this could be the day
- 52:23you heard it here folks could heard it here first the pistons won
- 52:34they lose my 30 now that we they snapped a 27 game winning losing streak
- 52:43it seems like you get like a free five piece or something at wing stop for every piston oh yeah
- 52:50every every person in Detroit is currently starving
- 52:56they are they are malnourished beyond repair please paste please
- 53:05so yeah check out trend center super awesome super great for for doing research um yeah uh
- 53:13check out all the other links in our bio follow us and everything really helps us out like comment
- 53:17subscribe anything that you do with this podcast really really helps us out um and gets us gets us
- 53:24to the people the people because that's that's what we're about we're about the people um
- 53:30if anything um but yeah we'll see y'all next week hope y'all have a merry christmas there's three
- 53:38of us now let's take some more