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NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Sunday 2/22/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my bruins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat man. I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die at least
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. To the slump,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it. All these losses stay
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: with me, they fester. Jerry, what's up everybody? It's towed
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: back with you. This is Toadstool Sports. It is Sunday,
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: February twenty second. I apologize. I was going to talk
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: about the hockey game and it's already on because it's
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: in Italy, it's on early. US has already have won nothing.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: I have my Schizo hockey jersey on here. This is
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Hella book Winnipeg Jets. He plays for Canadian team with
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: a maple leave low go. But he's the US goalie,
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: So like, what do you want me to do? Man? Now,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: if I should have talked about this game on yesterday's
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: show or something, I completely forgot about it, I would
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: have said that I liked Canada in this game, just
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: because they looked bad in the previous game. They had
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: to come back from down two to nothing to beat Finland.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: The US had like an easy win overall Slovakia, So
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: the US looked good. Now. The one caveat to that
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: is that the US has the way better goalie. This guy,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: Hella Book Bennington, I think is the Canadian goalie. He sucks.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: The Blues suck. Canada is all offense, and you know,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: I like defense and goaltending. So the US may very
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: well win this game. Although I might say, like it
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: might make sense to make a live bet on the
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Canada money line right now because they were the favorite
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: coming into this game, so like a very small favorite
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: and now, or like a plus one seventy underdog or something,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: so you know, live betting purposes. Maybe it makes sense.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: They're down one nothing right now and we're the favor
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: coming into it, so maybe a live betting opportunity on Canada.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: Yesterday horrible obviously some complete bullshit there. I think it
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: was one four and one. Ducaine did not get there.
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: They were in position to maybe make a run and
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: cover that thing, but that never happened. I thought it
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: was a great spot. I mean, what can you do.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think statistically the game was as bad as
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: it looked. Old Dominion should have been a cover. I mean,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: that was a push for me at the five. I'm
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: sure a bunch of people didn't even get the best
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: number on that. Although you gotta have as many outs
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: as possible man line shop. That line was five at
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: some places. That should not have been a push. Though
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion was winning the entire game like outright for
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: the most part. They well, they felt behind in the
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: second half and then they got back to within the number.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: They were covering late in the game too. I think
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: they were down two pretty late in the game, but
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: they were winning outright at halftime. It looked good for
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion for most of it. It was close to
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: a wire to wire cover for them, and they pushed.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: That's some bullshit. Missouri State didn't have a good first half,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: but they did get within the number, getting close near
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: the end. They were like teetering right on the number
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: for most of the game, So that want to be
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: kind of a toss up. New Mexico State can absolutely
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: get fucked. They dominated that game statistically. New Mexico State.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: They had like twelve or thirteen more field goal attempts,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: but guess what happened. They didn't go to the free
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: throw line at all. Yet again, New Mexico State has
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: another game, even though they're at home, they have another
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: game where the other team gets to the free throw
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: line way more than they do. It just is It's
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: so insane, dude. How can you be the team that
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: doesn't get to the free throw line when you're the
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: team that's up like four or five the into the game.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking, Okay, they're gonna get to the line a
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: couple times here at the end of the game and
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: cover this thing. No, didn't happen. They were up I
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: think they were up nine at half times, so that
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: was looking pretty good. It was looking like they could
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: run away with it. New Mexico State. They're never gonna
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: cover another game, dude, because they never get to the
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: fucking free throw line. I don't know what is up
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: with this team. So they won and they didn't cover,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: even though they completely dominated the game statistically. I'm fucking pissed.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: And then San Francisco also was a loser. I'm pretty surprised.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were hanging in there into the second
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: half and then they did not do well in the
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: later portion of the game. I thought it was a
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: horrible spot for Santa Clara. I don't know what that
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: was and then to make matters worse, I was right
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: about like a bunch of the other games that almost
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: made my card Cincinnati, that was an easy, outright win Ucla.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: With the outright win, Ucla became I think it was
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: only the sixth time this season that a team had
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: given up a twenty to nothing run and still won
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: the game. Ucla falls into that category, and they came
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: back from like a twenty point deficit. I watched the
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: end of that game. It was insane and should have
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: been on my card, even though it looked like they
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: were gonna get run out of the building early. Yeah,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: and then I was correct about I believe I was
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: correct about the under in the Duke Michigan game. I
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: was correct about Duke Houston. I don't know what to
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: fucking tell you about that. Dude. You're an absolute, fucking
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: insane person if you actually thought that Houston was gonna
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: lose that game. They had all the momentum in the
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: second half too, they had swung the game in their favor.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: They're winning the game, and then they went in an
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: eight minute scoring drought, which is almost impossible. I think
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: that's the first time they've done that in the Kelvin
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Sampson Era. Even though they're not known as an offensive team,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: eight minutes without scoring is fucking ridiculous. They were forty
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: six and one at home, by the way, on a
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: forty six and one run in the last forty seven
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: home games going all the way back to like two
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: years ago. So yeah, that's some fucking stupidity. That's some bullshit.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Let's get into today. I'm done with the shit. I'm
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: gonna have a few plays today own by the way,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Spreaker cancel my account for no reason because of spam.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: So I'm off the audio platforms now with this channel
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: unless I find another way to do it or I
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to do, dude, I don't know
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: what to do about that. I have to find another
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: like uploading service, and then I don't even know how
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: to do that because I don't know. It would wind
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: up having to be a new podcast on the audio
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: platforms or something. It's absolutely insane that their automated systems
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: can flag you as a spammer. What am I the
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: only person that posts an episode every day? Probably not? So, like,
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: what the fuck? I, dude? I have no idea Spreaker
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: and people use that to make money, and they have
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: an automated system that will literally delete your entire account,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: and they might owe you money still because you monetize.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: It's it is so egregious. Fuck them, Fuck Spreaker, all right,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: And if I wind up getting my account back, that
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: will go this podcast will go out through them. I
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: don't care. All right, let's get into today. We got
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games here. I'm not gonna talk about
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: all of them college basketball. There's a lot of NBA
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: today too. I'm gonna give up three plays, one College
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: of basketball to NBA ESPN two at noon as UAB
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: at Memphis in the American This game is not really
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: something I want to part of. Although UAB did lose
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: at home to Memphis by ten earlier this year, so
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: there is a road revenge angle here for UAB. But
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four games, which
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: is not easy. They've had a run of Tulsa, Tulane, Temple,
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: though I don't think Tulane and Temple are as good
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: as their records look, but still they're playing a difficult
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: stretch run here. They did just win at Temple in
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: their last game, which I believe was a small ish upset.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Let me say one and a half. Yeah, so that's
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: what they're coming off of Memphis. I think it's still
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks. They're coming off three road
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: blowout losses, but now they're back at home, where at
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: least I believe they have been better at home. Yeah,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: primarily they've won at home. They actually only have one
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: home loss in conference play this season, which wasn't a
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: great one. It was to Tulane, I believe, let me see,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: I forget where that is. Yeah, to Tulane, but on
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: a three game losing streak, losing a couple of their
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: most recent games and blowouts. I think there are some
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: things to like about the Memphis side here, but the
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: money is coming in a UAB in that road revenge angle,
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Memphis down from five to four and a half. Fifty
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets on Memphis, sixty five percent
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on UAB. I'm not so sure I
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: totally agree. Uh, Like, looking at this line, like, do
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: you really think the public is laying the points with
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Memphis even though I know they have the name recognition
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: and whatever, but they have a below five hundred record.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Uab's record is way better there's a reason why Memphis
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: is laying four and a half. The oddsmakers are telling
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: you they're actually the better team here, so I don't
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: really think that the public would actually be on them.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: So a lot of conflicting indicators on that game, you know,
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: act accordingly, which in my case is yeah, we're not
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: doing anything with that game. But I think the situation
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: sets up a little bit better from Memphis. The number,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: you know, seems to look really, really suspicious, and that
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: would lead you to looking at Memphis as well. But
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: one part of the situation that doesn't is the road
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: revenge angle for ua B. Like I said, and the
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: market read is all over UAB. I don't get it totally,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: but you know, maybe the road revenge angle is that strong.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: But I'm not doing anything with that game. CBS Sports
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: at noon BU at Lehigh. BU is coming off a
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: ridiculous winning over Colgate. They almost won by thirty points.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I think Colgate is just dead, dude. Like Colgate was
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: coming up that huge game against Navy, I'm pretty sure
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: where they fell short, and that was their one chance
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: to stay in the running for the regular season title
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: in the Patriot. Huge game for Colgate against Navy. So
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: Colgate came out just as a completely deflated team. BU
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: took advantage of it and had a massive blowout win.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: That makes them look really good. But now they're going
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: on the road to play lee High. They do have
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Holy Cross up next, which is a Massachusetts rivalry. At
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: the very least of the BU is the better team
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: and already beat holy Cross in Worcester earlier. BU did
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: losing home to Lehigh though earlier this year, so there
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: is the potential they still kind of take Lehigh seriously here.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: But Lea is coming off a blowout loss to Navy.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: They looked horrible. I thought Navy might be in a
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. After Navy pretty much just sealed the regular
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: season title. They don't really need to do anything at
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: this point until conference tournament time. Lei got smoked in
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: that game by twenty whatever points in that one. So
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: you are looking at kind of similar to what I
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: said with Illinois and UCLA yesterday. You're looking at two
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: teams that were on opposite ends of massive blowouts in
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: their last games. So whenever I see that, I kind
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: of have to lean against the team that won in
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: the blowout, which was BU. They're up from one to
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: one and a half. Here, I would probably take the
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: points at Lehigh. Again. I know it's a road revenge
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: angle for BU, but that's not everything. And when they're
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: coming off smoking Colgate like they did and LEI is
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: coming off a ridiculous blowout loss, I would have to
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: look towards lee High in that game plus the small
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: amount of points. CBS at one pm. Ohio State at
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: number fifteen, Michigan State. Ohio State is coming off a
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: nice win man over Wisconsin and they had a pretty
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: tough game against Virginia the game before that. So Ohio
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: State's playing three big games in a row, having to
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: go out on the road for this. That was a
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: pretty big win against Wisconsin. Although you know, you're probably
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: gonna have to get more effort out of Ohio State
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: in these games because they're a bubble team, and you
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: know I'm talking about, well, a lot of times these
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: bubble teams are overrated, but when they're the lesser team
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: and they're getting a ton of points, I don't really
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: think they're overvalued, you know. So if you think you're
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: gonna get an effort out of that team and they're
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: getting a ton of points, then you know, it might
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: make sense to lean in their way. Michigan State coming
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: off a blowout win over UCLA, but maybe more importantly,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: they have a huge game against Purdue on deck, so
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: there is the potential. They don't totally take Ohio State. Seriously,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I know Ohio State's coming off a big win, so
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: I don't really want them either here. Both teams are
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: in bad spots. Michigan State does play slow, so there
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: is the potential that you know, because of that, because
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they play slow and they're a lot better on defense
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: than offense, that you know it's gonna be more difficult
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: for them to cover a big number like this, although
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: of course they had no problem doing that against UCLA.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Total is in the one forties, which isn't high. Michigan
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: State dropped from ten and a half to nine and
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: a half year, sixty eight percent of tickets eighty one
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Michigan State. This is a
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: tough read for me as well. The market is saying
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: Michigan State. You know, I I guess I'll lean a
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: little bit towards Michigan State just because Ohio State is
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: gonna have to put in a massive effort in two
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: straight games, and we'll see if they're gonna have three
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: straight games, and we'll see if they're actually gonna be
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: able to do that. But yeah, I don't really want
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: any part of that, so we will say, Zach, what's up,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. Yeah, well, the US is also
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: pretty gay. So all right, let's see here Iona and Merrimack.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Interesting game in the matt Ac Conference. Iona did just
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: beat Saint Peter's, which was a pretty decent win. They
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: did beat Merrimack by one at home, so I guess
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: debatably there's a little bit of a revenge angle here
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: for Merrimack. But because of that game wasn't really an
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: outlier or anything. I don't think there's much of one.
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: You could argue that Iona's in the letdown spot here,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: but I think they will still focus for game against Merrimack. Now,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: for Merrimack, they've already clinched at least a share of
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: the regular season title and the matt Act and they're
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: now three games ahead of the nearest team, Saint Peter's.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: After Merrimack just beat Sianna. So Merrimack I think could
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: just be on cruise control here, So I think the
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: letdown spot might be worse for them. They're coming up
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: beating maris Quinnipiac Siana in an overtime game, or I
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: thought Sienna would cover that one man, And when you're
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: an underdog and you send the game into overtime, that
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: probably tells you. I was on the right side of
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: that one. It wasn't a play for me, but I
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: leaned that way, and they wound up not covering an
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: overtime because they intentionally fouled and whatever some kind of
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: bullshit there. But Merrimack got that huge win, So I
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to Iona in this one, even
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: though it is Merrimack's final home game, so you know,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: there might be that aspect of it where the home
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: team gets up for their final home game but they're
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: laying seven and a half. Dude, I mean, this Merrimack
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: team is still not a very proficient offensive team. They
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: don't play fast either. Seventy five percent of the tickets
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: on Merrimack, fifty one percent of the cash on Iona.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: I do agree with that market read. I would lean
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: towards Iona in that game. Plus the points probably gonna
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: be a slow, ugly game. The Eastern time zone is
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: clearly the best time zone, Like, what the fuck are
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: you talking about? You want to get up and have
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: stuff going on at nine am? No, the Royal suck ass.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Let's let's be real about it. Green Bay at Detroit Mercy.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Green Bay won their previous game. They had a big
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: upset against Oakland. Nice win for green Bay, and that
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: was without our man Doug Gottlieb here was suspended for
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: that game because of bashing the refs. He'll be back
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: in this game, and I'm not sure that's a positive,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: to be honest, green Bay. I mean, they played a
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: good game without him, an upset one of the top
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference, Oakland. Now they're playing a third
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: straight road game. They're playing Detroit Mercy. Who Detroit Mercy
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: is not as good as the record looks. I know
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: that is the case. They're not very good, but green
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: Bay did already beat them by thirteen at home. Green
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: Bay does have a revenge game against Youngstown in their
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Senior Day game next, so I see this is maybe
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: an overlook spot for green Bay. Here man, I would
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: probably lead to Detroit Mercy here. Gottlieb being back might
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: throw some things off for green Bay. I don't know
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: that it's a good thing. I mean, dude, if you
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: win at Oakland without him, maybe Gottleeve should just not
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: come back. Even though green Bay is actually having a
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: pretty decent season, Detroit Mercy's won three games in a row.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They did beat Milwaukee in their
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: last game, not a huge deal really though. This is
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: their final home game in fact, so this is actually
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: senior day for them, So I would lead to Detroit Mercy.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: The number is not agreeing with me on that. I
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with that number. Ninety four
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Detroit or ninety four percent
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety one percent of the cash Wisconsin.
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: Green Bay flipped from plus one and a half to
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: pick them here, So the money is disagreeing with Detroit
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: in a pretty major way. They're actually they look like
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: a public home underdog. But you got to be kidding me.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: You really think the public is coming in on a
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Detroit Mercy team. It's sitting at five hundred against a
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: green Bay team it's above five hundred. I don't agree
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: with that. I don't think the public is coming in
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: on Detroit Mercy. Definitely, not to that extent. That doesn't
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: make any sense to me. I lean to Detroit in
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: that one. I don't get it, Hindi. And what's up, Kyle,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out everybody? All right? What
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: other games that I want to talk about? Rice Tulane?
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: This game almost makes my card. Tulane coming off a
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: nice upset road win against North Texas. They're coming off
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: three wins in a row against Temple, UAB, North Texas.
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Nice road upsets for Tulane two in a row, UAB
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: in North Texas, and they have huge games remaining. The
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: remaining schedule after Rice is Tulsa, USF, South Florida, Temple,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: and Memphis. So all the remaining games are bigger than
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: this game against Rice. So this does look like a
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: stand how much spot to me? Rice is coming into
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: this game off of a home loss as a favorite
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: to East Carolina, so that's a pretty ugly loss. It
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: was a road revenge game for East Carolina, a bad
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: loss for Rice. There might you know, be good for
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: them to just go out on the road, go, you know,
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: go over to New Orleans, whatever, figure it out. I
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to Rice in this game, although
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: now the money looks like it's not agreeing with me
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: on that one either. Tulane's a five point favorite. I
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: could only play Rice in this one. This one was
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: very close to making my card. Eighty eight percent of
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on Tulane.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Rice in that game.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: I think it's a horrible spot for Tulane. The only
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: thing is do they really consider that win over North
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Texas to be that big of an upset. Tulane is
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: just a very overrated team, man, that's the thing. So
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: there were six and a half point dogs in that
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: game at North Texas, but it might not feel that
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: way because they have a better record than North Texas.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: So that's the thing. Like, do they really feel like
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: that was an upset? I don't know. But at the
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: very least, they got a huge game on deck against Tulsa,
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: So Rice would have to be the way to lean
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: in that one. ESPN You at two PM. Robert Morris
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: at Right State in the Horizon. Robert Morris is working
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: their way up in the conference. Here. Right State is
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: the best team in the conference right now, power ratings
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: wise and record wise. Robert Morris is coming off a
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: blowout win over Oakland though that was a big win,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: nice win for Robert Morris, and they actually already beat
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: Right State at home, so this might be a bit
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: of a revenge game for Right State. I know Right
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: State is the better team here slightly, but I think
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: you know, and the of the team with the better records,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: So like Robert Morris might get up for this game,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: is what I mean to say, because they know they're
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: facing the team it's in first place, but they're already
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: beat them once. They're coming up another big win against Oakland.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I think the spot sets up better for Right State here.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Right State will take Robert Morris here after losing to
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: them on the road. This is their final home game
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: as well for Right States, so they might get up
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: a little bit more for that. You celebrate the seniors.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: Right State's coming up an easy win over IU Indy,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: who is not a good team at all. I like
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Wright State in this one. The money seems to not
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: agree with me on this one either. Seventy five percent
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: of the tickets only sixty eight percent of the cash
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: they're laying four, which I think is about right because
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: about right about Right State they are the better team.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Right State in that one.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: So that's that Royals and Red Sox are playing at
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: nine to eleven. Nothing's gonna top the best Royals Red
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: Sox game that I ever went to, which was John
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: Lester's No Hitter. I was at that game. A nothing
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: could top that, even though the game itself was boring otherwise.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: It was like a nine to nothing Red Sox win,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: but it was a no hit or baby part of history,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: all right. Saint Peter's at Siana is a pretty interesting one.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: These teams are both fighting for positioning in the matt
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Ac Conference. Saint Peter's coming off a loss to Iona
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: that wasn't a great loss. They're playing a third road
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: game in four games. But I kind of think they
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: will show up after a loss to Iona. They did
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: beat Cianna earlier this year at home by probably right
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: about what the spread was. Uh, but I don't know
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: if this is really a revenge Anclear here. Cianna is
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: coming off some big games here man, where they've had
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: a run of Saint Peter's Quinnipiac, Maris Merrimack. They had
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: to travel between every one of those games. They had
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: that overtime game where they blew it against Merrimack, very
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: very difficult to get back up off the mat after that,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: and this is not their final home game either. Still,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: you might consider it to be big because you're playing
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: a team that's above you in the standings. But the
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: way this scheduling sets up, I kind of have to
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: lean to Saint Peter's in this one. And what do
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: you know, the market agrees with me on that. Actually,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's probably did cover the first game. They're probably
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: about a one point favorite. Uh, because Sianna is a
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: six point favorite here, So the market is telling you
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: they are the better team, which I don't disagree with.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: But fifty three percent of tickets on Sianna sixty two
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash at Saint Peter's. I agree with
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's plus the points in that when it is
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: a low total too, so it makes sense how to
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: take the points there. There's a fight going on in
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: the hockey game right now. Uh yeah, hell yeah, fighting. Yeah.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: But the one caveat I will have here is that
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at these, you know, conference records
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: and see, oh, Saint Peter's has the better conference record,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: and they're getting a ton of points here, So the public,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: you know, might consider Saint Peter's in the game for
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: that reason. But yeah, I do lean to Saint Peter
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: in that one because of the situational set up. Lester, Yeah,
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: he was good. I yeah, I was able to go
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: to multiple John Lester games. I did go to a
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: playoff game in the World Series winning twenty thirteen season
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: for the Red Sox. I went to the first playoff
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: game and my company let me do it, the second
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: company that I worked for, the coolest company that I
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: worked for. I was like, I got a ticket to
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox game today. They're like, go, man, just go.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: I'm like all right. It was an afternoon game. I'm
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: like all right, So I just left the office went
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: to the game. Yeah, I had an early early day
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: that day, early exit. Lester was not good in that game,
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: but the Red Sox offense came back and won the
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: game anyway, even though Lester was not good in that
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: one against Tampa Bay all right thousand at Drexel CBS Sports,
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: two pm Eastern. This is interesting because if you look
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: at the line, the line kind of tells you what
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: you need to know here, Like the public's gonna see
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: that Drexel has the better conference record and the overall
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: records was similar. Yet thousand is a road favorite. Well
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: why is that? It's because the oddsmakers are telling you
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: thousand is actually the better team here. Drexel has overperformed
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Thousands underperformed of it. Thousand, I think is kind of
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: one of those deepfensive teams that people don't like to
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: the public doesn't like to bet on tousand. All right,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Thousands had a week off. They last played against mod
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Meth and they lost. They are playing a third road
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: game in four games, which isn't that easy. But I
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: think they might bounce back here now. They might take
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Drexel seriously as well, because thousand they were like seven
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites at home against Drexel and
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: almost lost the game. So I think for that reason
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: they might take Drexel seriously. Fuck Firefox for putting all
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: those fucking hints up there. I gotta turn those off,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: Like fuck you. I'm gonna use your browser the way
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: I've always used it. Suck my cock, all right, Uh, Drexel,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: They're coming up a win over Northeastern. Not appressive. Northeastern
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: has been awful this year, but Drexel did play more
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: recently in the middle of the week, and they're having
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: to travel between those games. You might argue they have
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: bigger games on deck because they have a revenge game
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: against Campbell and then they have Hofstra to finish the season.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: The Campbell game is also their final home game, and
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: then they have Hostra, who is one of the best
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. So I do like thousand in
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: this one, although the money seems to disagree. Sixty tickets
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on Drexel, I don't
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: agree with that. I would lean thousand. They're minus one
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: and a half. It would be money line for me
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: on thousand. All right, Fox Sports won at four. Oh,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: this is my game. Let's do it best bet. We're
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: gonna lay the two and a half with Wisconsin. We're
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: gonna fade Iowa after Iowa storm the court man, We're
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: gonna lay it with Wisconsin. I know Wisconsin's the ranked team.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: They're only ranked twenty fourth, though, and I know when
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: you get back into the rankings a lot of times
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: as a target on your back, I know that really
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: both these teams are jocking for tournament positioning, though, so
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think either of these teams are safe totally
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, although I do expect them both to
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: get in. But Ioways coming up a monster window. Wisconsin
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: is up to three. Now I would find the best
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: number you can. I would not disagree with the money
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: line either. If you find a money line on Wisconsin
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: that's like in the minus one forties, I would do
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: that because I do worry a little bit because I
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: know Iowa is gonna try to slow the game down,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: but Wisconsin is a fast paced team. They speed it up.
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: So that's what we need. We need Wisconsin to speed
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: this thing up, and then I think they can win
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: by margin here if they throw Iowa out of what
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: they want to do here. Wisconsin eighty three percent of tickets,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on them, so I
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: think they're a public side. But the actual money is
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: in agreement with Wisconsin on this one. Ken Bum only
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: as this being like a one or two point finish
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: for Wisconsin, So I do worry about that a little bit.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: They are the luckier team there. They are the luckiest
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: all right. I don't know if I'm gonna go see
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: Ben Folds again because I don't have that much money
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: that I can work with right now. But I've seen
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: him the last like four times he's been in Boston.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: That song is horrible, but yes, but he is good.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin is lucky, though Iowa is significantly less lucky. So
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: there is that. And Iowa is the better defense and
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: the slow team, and you know, I usually like that.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: I like the defense, I like the slower teams. I
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: like going with Kim Pump's luck index, but in this one,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: this is all about the spot man in Iowa storm
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: the court. They had a huge win over Nebrass, who
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: is considered to be one of their primary rivals because
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: they played them at the end of the season too.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: That was a monster win for Iowa, dude. And now
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: they're having to play a third ranked team in a row.
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: They're going back out on the road where Iowa on
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: the road. It's been really a mixed bag, dude. I mean,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: they played well against Purduel on the road, beat Indiana
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: on the road, but they also lost to Minnesota on
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: the road. They got killed by Michigan, stayed on the road.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: They lost at Maryland, so you know, they're a roller
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: coaster on the road. They did beat both Pacific Coast
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: teams on the road, Oregon and Washington, Washington probably being
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: the more impressive of those two. But yeah, Iowa was
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: just they're good, but they're kind of all over the
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: place and they're coming off of court storming where by
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: the way, I don't know what that was with Hoiberg.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: He like took a swing at one of the Iowa
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: fans who got close to the handshake line, which you
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: probably shouldn't do as a fan, but it was, you know,
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: during the chaos of the court storm. But hoy Or
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have done that either. And then I think he's lying.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: He basically said that he was trying to like I
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: don't know what he said, like he was trying to
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: take the fans cell phone away because the cell phone
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: was gonna mess with his pacemaker. I'm like, okay, dude,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: does that mean Hoiberg doesn't have a cell phone? I
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: mean maybe, but that like that's it's just such a
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: crazy explanation. It makes no sense. I think he was
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: lying out of his ass, to be honest, because that
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: would that would mean that he can't have a cell phone,
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: and like nobody around him canna have a cell phone.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Makes no sense anyway, I was coming up a huge
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: win over Nebraska. I think they could be in a
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: bad spot here. Wisconsin, I think is in a bounce
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: back spot because they just lost pretty ugly at Ohio State,
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: and Wisconsin was coming off some huge games leading up
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: to that. I get upsetting Illinois and then crushing Michigan State,
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: so Wisconsin was kind of in a letdown spot there.
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a bounce back spot here now.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: They've been pretty good at home as well. They beat
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: Michigan State here. Like I said, the last bad game
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: really the only bad game they had at home. Well,
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: I guess you could argue the loss to Purdue, but
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: Purdue is really good. They did lose to USC at home,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: which is kind of an oddity, but other than that,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: they've been pretty strong at home. We're gonna go with
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin here in this one man, and hopefully they can
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: win by enough to get that thing done. All right.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: The remaining games here, UTSA at Tulsa's on ESPN News.
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Don't know why the college basketball ends in the afternoon
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: on Sundays. By the way, Utsa just played FAU fairly
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: competitively at home, so I don't know what they're gonna
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: have left in the tank here. Third road game in
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: four games too. It's a big game, still playing Tulsa,
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Maybe you'll get an effort out
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: of Utsa. For Tulsa, the question is that they're gonna
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: put enough of an effort to win thing by margin.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: Maybe they I mean maybe they will because they're coming
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: off kind of an ugly game against Charlotte where they
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: bounce back with a win. Tulsa has been playing not
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: as well recently. They lost three games in a row,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: although to three competitive teams South Florida, UAB Wichita, two
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: of them on the road. They bounce back with a
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: win against Charlotte, didn't cover, but that might give them
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: some momentum coming into this one. They do have Tulane
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: on deck, but I don't really know if that's that
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: much of a cause for a look ahead. I don't
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: believe they played Utsa this year. They're an easy team
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: to overlook those. So that's the thing is how much
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: of an effort will you actually get out of Tulisa here.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: They're up to a twenty two and a half point favorite,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of ticket seventy eight percent of the cash.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: You know, based on the spot, I would probably lean
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: towards laying the points in that one, but I don't
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: want any part of it. And then we got espnu
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: as FAU at North Texas at four pm. FAU ended
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: a six game slide with a win over Utsa. Like
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: I said, non impressive win, but kind of just like
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: with Tulsa, they just ended a losing streak with a
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: non impressive win. So I think that's good because it
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: ends that losing momentum. It could propel you forward. I
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: don't believe they played in North Texas this year, but
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: they are playing a third road game in four games,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: which I guess isn't that easy the staying in Texas.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: So they're going from San Antonio up to Denton, which
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: is a pretty decent length of a trip there. North
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Texas did just lose at home as a favorite against Tulane,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: so they might be in bounced back mode here. Tough
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: call here the money is coming in an FAU North
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: Texas's minus two and a half. We know North Texas
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: likes to slow the game to an absolute crawl, like
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: not quite as slow as they used to be, but
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: still really slow. FAU tries to speed the game up,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: so there is a pacing disparity here. The money is
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: coming in an FAU, though for what it's worth, fifty
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: on FAU. I don't have a good read on this
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: game at all, but the money is saying FAU for now,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: although North Texas might be able to frustrate them by
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: slowing it down. I think both teams are in positive spots,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: but I do agree that FAU is the slightly better
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: team there. All right, I'm gonna go to NBA in
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: a second. I will take a quick break. I'll be back.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have two plays here in the NBA. I'm
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: gonna try to get the whole board up here. I
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: think this is the whole board. Yeah, Calves Thunder, I
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: think is the first game. All right, I'll be all
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: right back, Alright, let's get into this NBA here, Calves Thunder. Now,
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: the first thing that you're gonna notice about this game
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: is the Thunder or a home underdog, which seems absolutely
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: ridiculous because the Thunder they're the best team in the NBA. Dude,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: power ratings wise, are the best team in the NBA.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: When are you ever gonna see them as a home underdog?
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Probably never, And this is because of injuries. Of course,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: Sga is out, Carusoe looks like he might be out.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: But is that enough that the Thunder should be a
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: four and a half point home underdog. I don't really
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: think so. I mean, I don't know. The public is
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: probably gonna look at this and actually want to take
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: the Thunder, but this line, there's no way that I
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: could lay this with the Calves Like this just seems
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: really really ridiculous. It seems like the line is just
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: way out of whack here. I know it looks suspicious,
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: but I just think this line has moved way too
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: much in that direction. I think it's because of recency
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: and because of injuries, Like you're never gonna get the
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: Thunder as a home dog man, and there's still a
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: deep team and they are good at home. Uh sixty
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: three percent of ticket, seventy one percent of the cash
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: on the Calves. Taking a look at the scheduling, the
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: situational setup. This is at one pm on ABC. By
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: the way, the Calves are coming up a pretty competitive
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: game against the Charlotte Hornets where they definitely did get
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: tested there. They're playing another road game here, they're playing
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: a third game in four and a's all in different cities,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: and they do have a huge Eastern Conference matchup next
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks. I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: a TV game against the Thunder, But I don't know, man,
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: do you take the Thunder at least slightly more lightly
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: when they don't have their star player there? I don't know.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: The Thunder are just kind of going through the motions.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: They've only played one game coming out of the All
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: Star break and they easily got by Brooklyn at home,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, they had a much much
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: easier game. So the Thunder have like a rest advantage here,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I would say, and they have a travel advantage here.
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't really like the Calves in this one, man.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking it with the Thunder
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: in that one, even though the line looks absolutely sauce,
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: but we know why, like the line has to be
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: that way because of the Thunder injuries. But still it
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: just seems a little extreme to me. And it seems
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: like recent bias as well, because the Calves have won
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: so many recent games. They're on like a twelve and
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: one run, which I hate as a Celtic fan. Fuck
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: the Calves Brooklyn at Atlanta. This is a yeah, this
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: is a miserable game. Brooklyn came out of the All
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Star Break and lost two games already. Actually they lost
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: at Cleveland and at Oklahoma City in blowouts. Those are
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: back to back nights, and now they're playing a third
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: road game four games, which is not exactly easy. Although
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: they're stepping down to class to face Atlanta. At least
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: Cleveland and okayc Are both way better than Atlanta. Obviously,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Atlanta lost coming out of the All Star Break as well.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Actually know they beat Philadelphia first, my mistake. Then they
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: lost to Miami on the back to back to a
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: much more rested Miami team that had Hero back. So
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Atlanta is coming off a blowout loss and they are
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: staying at home. I think the spot actually does set
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: up better for the in this game. The money is
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with it though. They're up to a nine
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite eighty two percent of the
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: tickets and only sixty nine percent of the cash, so
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's signaling on the nets here.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: I don't really love it though, you know, I mean
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean the other way in that one.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: I think Atlanta probably gets the job done. Really, I
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: don't think they lose the game outright, at least I'll
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: tell you that. But it's a tough read. Toronto at Milwaukee.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Toronto just beat Chicago the other night on the road,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: you know, not a horrible win there. Giddy was back.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: But Giddy, dude, I told you, dude, I forgot to
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: mention the Bulls last night. That's right. I forgot to
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: rant about the Bulls. The Bulls were winning the game
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: at the end of the first quarter. They were covering
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: the entire first half, and then they had a horrible
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: third quarter and that completely did them in. The Bulls.
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed off, dude, the Bulls. I mean, statistically, in
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: that game, it looked like they probably could have covered
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: that game. I'm not happy about it at all. I
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: was right about Giddy playing a lot better in that game.
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: Giddy had like twenty seven points, so he was back,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: played much better than the first game when he came back.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: Still couldn't get it done with the Bulls. I'm pissed anyway.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: The Raptors have been off since that game on Thursday
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: against the Bulls where Giddy did not play well and
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: didn't play that many minutes. Toronto does have Oklahoma City
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: and then San Antonio on deck, so there is the
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: possibility they overlook this Bucks team that's been sneakily winning
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: some games here. Either won three games in a row,
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: though the only one one game coming out of the
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: All Star Break, even though they went into the All
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Star Break beating the Thunder on the road. So I mean, yeah,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: if Milwaukee can go into okay See and beat them,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: yet the Cavs can. But still very very strange result there.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: I didn't think the Bucks would do as well as
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: they did against New Orleans even now they're stepping up
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: to play Toronto. They got Miami on deck. I don't, dude,
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I want to do with this
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: game besides absolutely nothing. Obviously, the money is coming into
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: the Bucks. Excuse me on the Raptors for what it's worth.
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: Raptors down from three and after three, but sixty of
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: the tickets seventy five percent of the cash on Toronto,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: maybe just because I think they do have a little
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: bit of a rest edge there, and we're still talking
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: about a Milwaukee team that is in shambles. I mean,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: they're playing decent, got to give them credit for that,
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: but you know they're without Yannis whatever. So I don't know, man,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: Toronto trying to make a playoff push here. I don't
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: know the money, says Toronto. I got no reed on
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: the game at all. Denver at Golden State ABC, three
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: point thirty pm Eastern. This is the second of the
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: ABC doubleheader. This game probably, I mean both these games.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately for ABC and for the viewers, the home teams
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: are both very injured. Golden State is gonna still be well.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: We know they were at Butler for the rest of
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: the season, but they're also without Curry. Still. Denver is
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: without Gordon, and I believe Murray is a game time decision.
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: We'll see if he plays or not. I don't love
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Denver in the spot though. I mean, Denver just beat
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Portland by fifty four on the road. I mean, come on, man, now,
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four games. If
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: you beat anybody in the NBA by fifty four, you're
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be over valued coming into the next game. Man,
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: you put up one hundred and fifty seven points, and
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: now you're facing this mash unit of a Golden State team,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: and then Denver. After this, they have an ESPN game
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: against the Boston Celtics, then they play the Thunder and
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: then Minnesota. So all three of those games are bigger
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: than this game against Golden State. So it'll be a
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: road revenge game, I think for Boston. So here's hope.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: And with that one. The Celtics are on a very
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: difficult road road swing right now, which I don't love.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: Golden State. They did just lose to the Celtics coming
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: out of the All Star Breaking. That game was way
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: out of hand. The Celtics packed it in early in
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: that game. Man, the game was completely over. The Celtics
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: were up by almost thirty in that game, the only
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: one by eleven. I think the Celtics just completely stopped
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: playing pretty much, which is what they do. It's not
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: a good thing because you can back to where the
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: Celtics because when they get up by a huge margin,
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: they just stop trying. The Celtics do make huge comebacks
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: when they're way behind though, so I don't know, but
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: they will blow big leads. But anyway, Golden State did
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: lose by double digits. They haven't played since Thursday. They're
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: staying at home. I gotta like Golden State in this one. Man,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but the Nuggets are up
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: to a six and a half way favorite because of
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: how injured the Warriors are. We will get Jokic from
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets in that game. He is playing eighty seven
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash on
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets. They're a very public side. And why wouldn't
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: they be with the Warriors being very injured and the
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: Nuggets putting up one fifty seven in their life. But yeah,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: I mean that's something you gotta just fade if you're
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: gonna play the game. So I lean to the Warriors
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: in that one. That's one where I actually have a
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: decent opinion on it, and I have kind of an
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: opinion on the next one. Dallas in Indiana. Dallas, they
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: played pretty close against Minnesota. Man, I was watching some
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: of that game. I know they lost by eleven. A
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: lot of eleven point losses here going to eleven, but
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Dallas was in that game, Dude. That game was like
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: tied with probably six minutes to go. They played really competitively.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: In that game against Minnesota. That was a good performance
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: from Dallas. So I just don't know what they're gonna
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: have left now, coming off that and having to go
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: to Indiana. They only have Brooklyn next, so they don't
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: have a look ahead. But they might be a little
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: bit gassed after that game against Minnesota. We don't know.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know when Cooper Flag is coming back because
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: he did not play in that game. He is not
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: playing tonight. It looks like they're thinking he might come
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: back in the next game. We'll see. Gafford is a
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: game time decision for Dallas, but they won't have Flag tonight.
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: For Indiana, they're coming up back to back losses to
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: the Washington Wizards. Absolutely ridiculous that Indiana could not zigzag
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: that this Washington team is bad. Dude, to come out
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: of the All Star Break and lose back to back
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: nights to Washington, losing twice, you gotta think Indiana is
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: gonna give you some effort. Now they're back at home.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: I know it's technically a road trip return, but it
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: was only from playing two games in Washington. It's only
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: from one location where they were out there just Thursday
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: and Friday, So I have to lean to Indiana in
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: this game if I was gonna do anything with it.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Money is all over the Pacers here for what it's worth.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: So that is in agreement with me. MAVs down from
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: two and a half to two sixty percent of the
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, eighty seven percent of the cash on
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: the Pacers. I agree with the Pacers in that game.
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: Two injured teams there. Charlotte at Washington. Charlotte is a
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: double digit road favorite. Man, when would you ever think Charlotte,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: who's still below five hundred, they're double digit road favorite.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: You know, it might be going a little far on
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: that one. Charlotte's coming up with two really competitive games
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: coming out of the All Star Break, losing to Houston
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland by a combined nine points, And I think
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: is what that is? Can I do math anymore? Yeah?
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: So Charlotte just played two really good teams, very competitively,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: and now they're, yeah, they're stepping down in class or
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: they're having to go on the road to play Washington,
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: coming up two max effort games, and they're really close
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: in that game against Cleveland. So I would not really
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: want to lay the points to Charlotte here. Washington is
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: on a little bit of a role. At least they
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: got some confidence at least with two wins over Indiana
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: and they are staying at home, so there is that
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: at least. So I probably would have to lead towards
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: taking it with the Wizards in this one. I don't
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: want to do it, but the Hornets are twelve point
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: favorite fifty percent. To take a sixty seven percent of
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: the cash on them seems a bit much to be
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: laying with this upstart Hornets team here, especially coming up
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: those two huge games, So I'm not doing anything with it.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: My Boston Celtics are playing at the La Lakers here
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: on NBC and Peacock. Unfortunately, they're getting a full strength
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: Laker team and the Celtics are not at full strength
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: because they don't have Jason Tatum, although he is starting
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: to practice, so we'll see what happens with that. Celtic's
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty satisfying win against Golden State. Now
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: they have had two days off and they're already adjusted
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific time zone. You know you're gonna they're
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for a game against the Lakers. Yeah,
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: and you know you're getting the better defense with the
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Celtics here. Lakers. The one thing they don't do well
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: is defend. But the Lakers do have a full team here.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: The Lakers, I don't know what happened in that game
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: against the Clippers, because I saw that game like midway
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: through it. I headed on for a little while and
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: they're blowing the Clippers out and then they only won
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: by three, So I don't know. That result doesn't look good,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: but they might have started looking ahead to Boston. I
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: thought the Lakers are absolutely to cover against the Clippers,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: shocking that they didn't with the lead that they had
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: in that game. The spot does set up better for
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: the Lakers here. They're staying at home, coming off a
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: kind of lackluster result there. Celtics looked a lot more
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: impressive in their win on the road at Golden State.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Celtics are a two point favorite here, so the odds
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: makers they're really telling you, you know that the Lakers
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: just aren't that good and it's mostly because of their deepfense.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: So odds makers aren't telling you the Celtics are good
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: enough if they're a road favorite without Jason Tatum against
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: a full strength Laker team, which is crazy. But the
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: Lakers are getting the money fifty four percent of tickets
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash. I don't disagree with
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: the Lakers and that one. Unfortunately, you know, I'll root
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics, but well, you know, it remains to
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: be seen what they can really do in this one.
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: It'll be a very it's a very clean handicap in
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: that one. Like I said, the only the only player
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: on the injury report is Jason Datum. So all right,
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia and Minnesota. We'll see if Joel Embiid plays for
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia here. They've lost both games out of the All
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Star Break. They're looking not great right now. They'll probably
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: make at least like the playing tournament, but Philadelphia is
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: not going far this year. Man Paul George will come
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: back at some point, I think prior to the playoffs.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: He is suspended right now, so he's not playing. Embiid
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: might play in this game. He did not play in
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: the game against New Orleans. So Philadelphia, they came out
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: of the break, They lost in home to Atlanta, they
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: lost on the road to New Orleans. Those are ugly,
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: ugly losses, but at least after that you might get
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: an effort out of the Sixers coming into this game
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota, although Minnesota's coming off kind of an if
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: the performance against Dallas as well, where they didn't really
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: play that well coming out of the All Star break,
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: I think they might have been a little bit cold.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: They finally turned it on late and beat Dallas by
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: double digits, but that game was close. So will they
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: put in a performance here? They might. The money is
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: coming in on the t Wolves. They're an eight and
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, fifty six percent of tickets, fifty
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on the t Wolves. I
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: know earlier in the season the t Wolves did have
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: their struggles against winning teams, But you know, I guess
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: I'll probably agree with the market and lead towards the
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves there. But no strong opinion for me on that.
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: I think both teams will give you at least an
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: effort there. And we still don't know if Embiid is
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: gonna play or not. But what else is new? Oh boy,
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: we got a tiede hockey game in the third period
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: over there. I told you, man, you know, you could
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: have moneylined Canada when they were down one. Nothing would
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: have been a nice, nice little steal perhaps there, All right,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: next up, we're gonna go right back to exactly what
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: we did last night to take the Chicago Bulls. I
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: left the banner in the system ten and a half. Now,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: the oddsbeakers are telling you the Knicks and the and
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: the Pistons are both equally good by lining them the
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: same at Chicago. And Dude, I still think the Knicks
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: are slightly better than Detroit. But I still think there's
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: a spot play where you just gotta fade the Knicks here. Man,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: Both these teams are on back to backs. But look
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: at what the Knicks did last night, Dude. Coming off
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: a big game at least emotionally against Detroit where they
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: didn't play well and loss, they had another really bad
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: game for most of the game against Houston. Well, early
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks were winning against Houston, and then Houston
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: had a massive third quarter pretty much or middle of
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: the game, and the Knicks were losing that game by
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: eighteen points in the fourth quarter, and they wound up
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: winning the game with a furious comeback. And now they
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: have to go to Chicago after that. I just don't
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: know what the Knicks are gonna have. Man, know they're
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: really gonna give you enough of an effort to cover
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: a double digit road spread here after those two games,
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: and after doing that against Houston last night in a
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: massive comeback. And what makes it worse for them is
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: they have a monster game on deck against the Cleveland Calves,
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: which is gonna be a big Eastern Conference matchup there
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: on Peacock on Tuesday. So this is a sandwich spot
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: from the Knicks here. Man. I know the Bulls played
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: last night, but they're staying at home and they packed
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: that thing in early. Man, Giddy gave us a good
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: performance last night. Like I said, he put up twenty
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: seven the Bulls. They played well for a half and
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: then they collapsed. They still only missed the cover by
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: like five points, so you know, take that for six points,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: I guess, So take that for what it's worth. But
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: the Bulls are staying at home here, so they are
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: gonna be the less traveled team. They still haven't won
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: since January thirty first, so I think you know you're
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: gonna get an effort out of the Bulls here. At
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: the very least, they'll be the less tired team. Because again,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: look at what these two teams did last night, and
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: I think both teams played around the same time of
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: night too, where the Knicks had to put in a
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: massive effort late in their game, whereas the Bulls were
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: based be done at the end of the air game,
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: so they did not put in a huge effort at
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: the end of their game, you know what I mean.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: So the rest advantage I think does go to the Bulls.
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: They're not having to travel here, and as I pointed
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: out yesterday, the Bulls, even with last night's lost, there's
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: still above five hundred at home, and the Knicks, by
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: the way, they're five hundred on the road. They are
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: much better at home than on the road. So we
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: have a huge home road split here where the Bulls
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: are way better at home than on the road, and
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are actually horrible on the road compared to
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: what they are at home. So the Bulls home record
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: is actually better than the Knicks road record, straight up,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. So we will take the Bulls.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Yet again, the money looks like it's disagreeing with me,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: and I don't know why tickets on the Bulls sixty
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the Knicks. I clearly
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: do not agree with that at all. So we will
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: take the Bulls two more games here Portland at Phoenix.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: This is the other best bet. Let's do it. And
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: I know, kind of like what I said with the Cavs,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: it looks very very strange that you're gonna have the
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: road team laying points like this in Portland, But I
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: think we have to do it in this one. Man,
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay it with Portland. Uh, They're getting the
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: money here there. They might go off a four point favorite.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: I might start looking money lined at some point though,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: because I don't know, I don't know how many points
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: I really want to lay with the Blazers here. The
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: Suns are still pretty good at home, but we're gonna
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: be dealing with a very injured Suns team here. Tickets
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the casual on the Blazers, just
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: you know. I know we're dealing with some injuries with
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Phoenix now the way that the injury report sets up,
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: So the money is coming into the Blazers for what
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: it's worth. I know the Suns are good at home,
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: the Blazers aren't that good on the road, but this
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: is absolutely a spot play. Now. First of all, Devin
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Booker best player for the Suns. He actually got hurt
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: in the Spurs game and he only played nine minutes
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: against the Spurs, and then he did not play last
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: night against Orlando. So Booker last night was the injured
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: player theory spot where the star player went down. He
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: didn't play in last night's game. So you know, a
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: lot of times you get a huge effort out of
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: a team when the star player. The first game the
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: star player is down. That was last night for the Suns,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: So a lot of times after that, then the team
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: won't do as well the next game. Now a little
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: bit of a wrench gets thrown in because one of
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: Phoenix's other best players Brooks, the other dB not douchebag
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: Devin Booker and Dylan Brooks. Brooks broke his hand last
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: night in the game against the Magic, so he's out now.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that this is gonna give us
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: another injured player theory spot with Phoenix here where oh
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: they have to step up their effort, you know, a
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: huge effort because you'll only have so much in your
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: tank man. And how could Phoenix with this shortened roster
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: now without like two of their best players, Like we're
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: looking at a cluster injury situation. Now, how could they
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: really give you a full game of effort here? Coming
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: off a double overtime game last night where they beat
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: Orlando in the first game without Booker, and now Brooks
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: is out too. I almost said Brooker now now I
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: can't even talk. Brooks is now out to and he
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: actually missed most of the game. He broke his hand
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: early in the Orlando game. That game went to double
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: overtime last night. Man, So Phoenix, coming out of the
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: break they had to play at San Antonio on Thursday,
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: came back going and played a double overtime game. Now
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: they get a Portland team, who, by the way, they
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: beat on the road on February third. They beat Portland
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: on the road, so Portland probably will take this game seriously.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: And Phoenix has the Celtics and the Lakers up next,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: which I think they might consider to be bigger games. Man,
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: this is a Phoenix team that these injuries are gonna hurt, Man,
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: because they could be headed to the play They should
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: be headed to the playoff, but that's gonna suck. Phoenix
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: has had a surprisingly good season and now these injuries
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: might hurt them. But look at what we have going
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: on on the other side, which is why I absolutely
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: have to give out this play. Portland was on the
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: losing side of that Denver game where they lost by
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: fifty four points. I mean, you absolutely know you're gonna
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: get an effort. Man. That was the first game out
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: of the All Star Break for Portland. They went into
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: the All Star Break on a pretty positive note, so
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: I think they just were completely cold. They just did
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: not have it out of the All Star Break. But
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: when you give up one hundred and fifty seven points
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: and lose by fifty four, you gotta know that team's
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: gonna give you a much much better effort in the
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: next game. So I expect that here they get to
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: leave home too, because that game happened at home. Might
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: be a good thing to just get out of there
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: for a game go to Phoenix. I know they have
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: a big game against Minnesota on deck, but you're not
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook anybody when you just lost by fifty something points,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: especially you're not gonna overlook a winning team like Phoenix either.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: So the spot sets up really really nice for the
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: Trailblazers in that one. So I just think we have
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: to do it. Portland is the play there, and then
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: we finished with the other team that played to double
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: overtime last night, Orlando. They had to play to double
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: ot last night at Phoenix, and now they're having to
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: go to LA to play the Clippers, and they played.
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: They're playing three road games in four days, all in
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: different cities, changing time zones, I believe, actually for the
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: Phoenix one, although I don't know they don't even I
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: don't think time exists in Arizona. But they played two
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: overtimes last night, dude, and now they're having to travel
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: and they got the Lakers, Houston, and Detroit all on deck.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: Pretty bad spot in my opinion for Orlando here. Don't
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: know what they're gonna have left. But the Clippers. I
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: don't exactly want the Clippers right now either, because they
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: did make that huge comeback against the Lakers. They played
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: two big games coming out of an All Star break,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: but man, they beat Denver in the first game and
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: then they came close to the Lakers, their primary rival,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: in the next game. So I just don't know if
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: the Clippers are really gonna have that much left in
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: the tank. Although the better thing for the Clippers is
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: they didn't play last night and they're not traveling they're
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: staying in LA. They've been in LA for the entirety
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: of that stretch after the All Star breaks, so the
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: spot is still better for the Clippers. I would still
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: lean to the Clippers here. I would lay it with
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: them if I was gonna play it. They're down to
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: a two and a half point favorite, sixty one percent tickets,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash on the Magic. Don't
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: know what really moved this number, because the Magic we
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: know they're still without Franz Wagner. He's been out for
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: a while. He's not coming back for a while. Sugs
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: last I saw it was a game time decision, and
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: I believe Suggs didn't play last night. I'm pretty sure
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: he did not in the Suns game. So if the
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Magic do go with Sugs, he will at least be
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: fresh tonight, and he is their second best player with
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: Wagner not there. But yes, the Magic are a public
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: side on er tickets only fifty eight percent of the cash.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: The public doesn't really like the Clippers because they don't
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: have a good record, So I do lean Clippers in
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: that one. That's gonna do it. Man the place today
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: one more time. A Wisconsin and College basketball minus the points,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: or if you can find a good money line, you
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: could go with that too, Bowles plus the points in
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: the NBA and then the Portland Trailblazers minus the points.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: Let's get back on the winning side today, man, let's
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: do it. Get some wins today. Watch the end of
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: this hockey game. It seems like it's gonna come to
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: a crazy conclusion. I don't know, is it still tied?
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I have my skitso uniform on for
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: it with the Winnipeg Hella book here plays for Canadian team,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: but he's you know, he plays for Canadian the NHL team,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: but he's the goalie for the US because he is
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: an American. Man, so they go. I don't know. I'll
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: watch the end of the game though I feel I
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: feel obligated to do it. That's gonna do it, man,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Learn a tote on Instagram, learn a tone on Twitter.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: You can go some subscribe to me there. It helps
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: me out. Man. Throw me some support, like subscribe to
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: the channel here, give me good replies here on YouTube.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: Somebody disliked my video the other day. Man, give me
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: a break. You try to do what I do, baby,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: and then what else. Uh well, I would say I'm
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: on the audio platforms, but I gotta deal with spreaker
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: right now, deleting my account for spam just because I
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: put on an episode every day, So I gotta figure
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: that shit out. So I might still be on audio.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: I'll let you know. I guess tomorrow covered in you
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: because my yuke channel on YouTube. You can check that
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: out Patreon dot com, slash and learn to toad and
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: you can give me some support there and then uh
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: learn learn learn to toad again, Yes, learn to toad.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: Loser Cast is what I meant to say something with
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: an l. Loser Cast will be back on Tuesday. I
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: believe we will have another guest. Actually I don't know.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: There's some band or about other guests. I don't know.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we will on this one, but
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: we will have another episode on Tuesday night. That's gonna
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: do it. I appreciate it, guys. Peace for now, let's
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: get some wins. Go hockey.