Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 570 - 9/1/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 570 - 9/1/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems go with Josh Appelbaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 570 of The All.
• 0:18
  Systems Go sports betting podcast.
• 0:21
  Powered. By rhythm, I'm your.
• 0:23
  Host Josh Appelbaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:31
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
• 0:33
  guys. But not just any day.
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  It's the first day of September. That's right, once you turn the
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  page August to September, you know that football is basically
• 0:43
  here. So there's another chance for me
• 0:45
  to remind you. That it is time.
• 0:47
  The time is now to join the Applebaum.
• 0:50
  NFL Survivor contest with Splash Sports so I've been doing this
• 0:54
  for. Two years going on right now,
• 0:56
  you've heard me talk. About it.
• 0:57
  Quite a bit. But a little little.
• 0:59
  Special incentive here if you sign up for the Applebaum NFL
• 1:03
  Survivor Contest. Again, standard Survivor.
• 1:05
  Pick one team a week. Can't use them again.
• 1:07
  But one advantage with this one is that you don't have that
• 1:10
  special or kind of crazy like Thanksgiving 3 days late or
• 1:13
  Christmas, you know, multiple game slate.
• 1:15
  Every week is just standard. So sometimes with those, you
• 1:19
  know, big Survivor contest like at Circa, you know, those are
• 1:22
  their own weeks, which makes it a little bit harder.
• 1:24
  But a standard survivor $50 entry fee you.
• 1:27
  Could do up to. 25 entries. If you're feeling Cray, you know
• 1:30
  little Cray Cray want. To put down there's.
• 1:32
  Nothing wrong with that by the way, as many as 25 signups here,
• 1:36
  but. 50 bucks you're in the contest, you can win up to
• 1:39
  45,000. But if you sign up before the
• 1:41
  end of the day today, before midnight today, Tuesday,
• 1:45
  September 1st, you sign up for the Applebaum.
• 1:48
  Survivor, put in your 50. Bucks You will then be entered
• 1:50
  into a raffle where one lucky person will win a free entry to
• 1:53
  the three. $1,000,000 Survivor contest with Splash Sport so.
• 1:58
  Normally that is $100 entry fee. Again, if you sign.
• 2:01
  Up for my survivor. You pay your 50.
• 2:04
  You'll be in that raffle. You can get a free entry into
• 2:06
  the three. $1,000,000 contest. So I've been tweeting about
• 2:09
  this. I made some videos while I was
• 2:10
  on Cape Cod. You might have seen those on
• 2:12
  Twitter. I already missed the Cape
• 2:14
  thinking about what a great week that was on the beach.
• 2:16
  I'm already missing lobster rolls and chilling with the fam.
• 2:19
  But anyway you can win 45K up to 45 K then you can.
• 2:23
  Win up to three. Million with both contests so
• 2:26
  sign. Up now, before the end of the
• 2:28
  day. To the Applebaum Survivor
• 2:30
  Contest again, you can always go to my Twitter page at Josh under
• 2:33
  Score. Insights.
• 2:34
  You can send me a direct message on Twitter.
• 2:36
  You can also just click the. Sign up link inside the body.
• 2:39
  Description of the podcast, so sign up for Survivor.
• 2:43
  I also want to mention that I. Have a college football play for
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  you? It's a play that I've been kind
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  of. Looking at.
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  It's not the most heavily bet game, It's not the most popular
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  game. It's pretty gross.
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  It's pretty. Disgusting, I'm not going to
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  lie. But if you've bet sports long
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  enough, those gross ones are the ones you use.
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  You kind of end up. Loving the most.
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  So this is a. Super lopsided game.
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  But we got some crazy RLM. We have some incredible.
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  Splits and we also happen to have a.
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  Green Star recommended rhythm play and.
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  This team is getting points, Rhythm says.
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  They should be favored. To win the game so stay tuned
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  for that and then of course we get right back to MLB another 3
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  pack of sweats here for it tonight guys got a couple of.
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  Short faves a bigger fave going. To try to go.
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  Two in one. Eek.
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  Out of winning night. Now looking back to.
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  Last night, guys. Just gross.
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  Couldn't catch a break. I tell you what, sometimes
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  baseball you love it. Sometimes you can't stand it.
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  Maybe this is a sign that we should wind down baseball a
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  little bit. I'm not going to quit baseball,
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  but I just feel like it's been a little bit more erratic than
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  usual. Maybe out there.
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  You agree, but O and 3 -, 3 units.
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  So literal strikeout. We walked him to the plate, you
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  know, strike looking, strike swinging, strike swinging.
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  Boom. Just terrible.
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  O and 3 -, 3 units. The Braves, with that massive
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  steam, lose 7 to 3. The Rays grade at home.
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  They lose at home 3:00 to 2:00 to the Mets.
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  The one that really hurt was the Diamondbacks, because the
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  Diamondbacks we got some really good closing line value.
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  I got them plus one O 7. You might have got them plus one
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  O 5 plus one O 3. They closed at like. -1 O 5.
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  So it was almost a pick em game. We got plus money CLV.
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  They lose 2 to one to Philly and you don't really annoys me.
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  There was a situation they're down 2 to one I.
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  Think it was like the 7th or maybe it was the. 6th 7th
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  inning. They get 2 guys on, nobody out
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  bunt them over, bunt them over. I don't know why.
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  More teams don't do this. Tori Lavello, He used to be a
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  Red Sox assistant coach, bench coach for Alex Cora.
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  But two guys on, nobody out, bunt them over.
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  Second and third one out, get him on, get him over.
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  Get him in. What does he do?
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  He lets Lars Nupar hit. He flies.
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  Out. Next two guys struck out or
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  whatever. You don't get a single run.
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  But first and second nobody out play to move him over, get him
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  in tie the. Game So anyway D backs, Rays,
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  Braves all let us. Down we're.
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  Not going to let. That cloud revision or.
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  Make us chase or double down or triple.
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  Down. Nope.
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  Same day. As any other day risking 1 unit
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  trying to get back into the green.
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  So that being said, I want to start off with some MLB and then
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  going to finish up with a college football play that is
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  right up my alley. Right up.
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  Our alley as data-driven betters along with a really sharp rhythm
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  edge as well. So going to the MLB.
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  Slate for today. We are locked and.
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  Loaded. Let's talk about. 3 bets.
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  That have jumped. Out in terms of sharp moves that
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  that. Fit our model.
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  So I want. To start off with a relatively
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  early game, 6:40 PM Eastern Time, we got the San Diego
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  Padres visiting the Cincinnati Reds.
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  Let's talk. Line moves.
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  Bet split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
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  one. So the dads come in 73 and 65
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  took last. Night's series opener 5.
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  Nothing came through as a -1. 45 road favorite.
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  Rematch for tonight, pods are going with the righty Randy
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  Vasquez. He is 10 and six with a four
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  point O2. ERA Reds who are. 65 and 73,
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  They're going with the lefty Nick Lodolo.
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  He's three and three with A5. .24 ERA now.
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  What do we see across the market?
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  Will this game open pods list around a short -125 road
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  Favorite since the around a plus one O 5 home dog and short
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  number here on the chalk. Again a little bit of plus money
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  on the home dog. Where do the sharps move this
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  number? They moved it.
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  Further toward the Padres. Padres has gotten steamed up a
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  little bit -125 up to -135 I've even seen a couple.
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  Shops hover around -140 even -145 so it's.
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  Clear the line is. Moving towards San Diego.
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  San Diego at DraftKings, around 70% bets.
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  Nearly 80. Percent dollars, so good low
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  bets, higher dollar split. In favor of.
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  The Padres. So we're starting to build a.
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  Case line move splits. Now we get into our system
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  matches. Well First off just a non
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  division. Favorite lack of familiarity
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  typically benefiting. Quote UN quote the better.
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  Team, but in particular if you're a non division Rd.
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  favorite off a win taking in line movement in your favor.
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  So your non division lack of familiarity.
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  Rd. Favorite.
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  We have a buy low because. Public likes home teams.
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  Off a win momentum line movement you got.
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  The market in your. Favor that system, which matches
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  with the pods is 94 and 5961. Percent this year. 5% ROI Pods
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  also have done very well against bad teams.
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  When they play a below 500 team, they've gone 41 and 25.
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  A 62% win rate, 16% ROI. That is the best in baseball
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  against. Below 500 teams.
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  Padres again, not great. Offensively, but they're
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  actually. Better than Cincinnati hitting
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  two 38315 on base 588. Runs scored, you look over at.
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  Cincinnati only hitting 2/28 with a 307.
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  On base percentage. And 570 runs scored.
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  Vasquez has pitched well in August.
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  Hope that continues into September for today.
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  But in five starts last month, he only gave up eight runs in 28
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  innings pitched. That's a 2.57 ERA.
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  He's also been better on the road 3.86 ERA than at home. 4.18
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  ERA. Meanwhile, Ladolo he got.
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  Roughed up in August, he made four starts, gave up 14.
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  Runs and 16.1 innings pitch. That is a 7.71 ERA.
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  Also he's been worse at night 5.62.
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  Than during the day 4.82. Padres also.
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  If we got to sweat this one, knock on wood, they have the
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  better bullpen. Era of 3.48.
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  That's the fifth best in baseball 4.69.
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  For the Reds, that ranks 25th, so.
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  Pods won last night. But tonight they got the line
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  move in their favor. We got.
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  Some good system matches, hopefully Vasquez greater than
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  Lodolo. Better offense, Better.
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  Bullpen as well. So I laid it here with the
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  Padres guys. I got San.
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  Diego -135 at Caesar's. Definitely shop around, a lot of
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  books closer to -140 even -145. Let's go Dad's 7:40 PM Eastern
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  Time. Let's look at a.
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  Interleague. Showdown Miami Marlins visiting.
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  The Kansas City Royals. Now Marlins come in dead 569 and
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  69. Just dropped.
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  Three or four against the Nationals, however, lost that
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  series finale 6 to 3 as a -1. 15 road favorite, meanwhile.
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  Royals 62 and 76. Not a great record, but they've.
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  Actually played pretty well. Over the last month or so, just
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  took two or three against the Guardians.
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  Couldn't complete the sweep though.
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  They lost that series finale 11 to 1.
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  As a + 165 road dog. Tonight's.
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  Interleague series opener Marlins.
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  Are going with the righty Tyler Phillips.
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  He's three and six with a 3.59 ERA.
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  Royals, meanwhile, going with the.
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  Righty Randy Dobnack. He is 2 and two with a 1.92 ERA
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  now. What have we seen across the
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  market? Will this game open KCA?
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  Very short, nearly a pick em but a short -110 home favorite.
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  Miami around a + 100 Rd. Dog and Sharps, believe it or
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  not, have laid it with the Royals even though they have the
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  worst record. Royals have moved up -110 up to
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  -1. 20 That's notable. Especially because we got a
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  great split on the Royals 66% money line bets, 88% money line
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  dollars. So a great, you know, modest.
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  Public support. Heavy.
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  Sharp. Action split in.
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  Favor of the Royals. With that line move as well
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  system matches one would be interleague favorite, so lack of
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  familiarity. Benefiting quote UN quote the
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  better. Team historically, not by the
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  record one loss, but by who's favored tonight?
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  Home favorites who are -140 or less who missed the playoffs the
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  previous year? Facing an opponent who also
• 10:26
  missed the playoffs the previous year.
• 10:28
  Royals would match this one. That system is 155 and 101.
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  That's a 61% win rate 10. Percent ROI this season.
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  Dobnac. Pitched very well since.
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  Joining the rotation. He's made ten starts, and seven
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  of those ten starts he's given up 1 earned run or less so.
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  Let's hope he pitches well again tonight, meanwhile.
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  Phillips last four starts Marlins are O and four he has a
• 10:50
  5.83 ERA on the road, 2.12 at home.
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  So he's good at home, bad on the road, he's on the road.
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  Tonight also hopefully KC. Rest advantage.
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  Hope, let's hope that benefits them because they were off
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  yesterday. Marlins, meanwhile, played the
• 11:04
  Nationals. Now at the Nationals.
• 11:07
  Ballpark. Now they're going to the Midwest
• 11:09
  to face KC. And in that situation, arrested
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  home favorite coming off the day off facing an opponent who.
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  Played the previous day. 41 and 1870%.
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  Eighteen. Percent ROI this year matches
• 11:22
  with KC lastly. Royals 36 and 30 at home.
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  Again, they're big below. 500 team, but they're actually above
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  500 by 6 games at home. Marlins, meanwhile, they're dead
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  even 69 and 69, but they are 27 and 40.
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  Two on the road. That's the sixth worst.
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  Road record in baseball. So again.
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  Seems crazy because Royals have the worst.
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  Record or worst? Record than the Marlins, but the
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  lines moving toward the Royals Rest first tired advantage.
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  Hopefully. Dobnack greater than Phillips.
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  Rest first. Tired as well.
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  As I mentioned Home Rd. I'm taking a shot.
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  Here on the Royals. Guys I got Kansas City -115 at
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  Caesars shop around, most books now around -1. 20 I will.
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  Add there is a big big big 50% sharp mush edge on the Royals
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  from our friends at Juice Reel and also popped open rhythm.
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  So a rhythm recommendation also. Lighting up on the Royals.
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  So can I take a shot here on? KC Let's see if they.
• 12:17
  Can get a win at home. It'd be a nice one because it's
• 12:18
  a short number. Again, I got Royals. -115 most
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  books now. -120. Now, let's stay up late, go to
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  the West Coast, let's go to Hollywood. 10:10 PM Eastern Time
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  first. Pitch We got the.
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  Cardinals visiting the LA Dodgers now.
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  Cards come in 68 and 70 on the year.
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  Just dropped two or three against the.
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  Pirates. They lost that.
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  Series finale 5 to 4 as A + 110 home dog.
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  Meanwhile, the Dodgers, 82 and 55, just took two or three
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  against the Tigers. They won that Series finale 6 to
• 12:47
  1 as a -150. Road favorite.
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  So tonight's series opener. Cardinals.
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  Are going with the. Righty Michael Mcgreevy.
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  He's 5 and 93.86 ERA Dodgers, meanwhile.
• 12:58
  Going with the lefty Eric Lauer. He is 8 and six with a 4.78.
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  Era what? Have you seen across the market?
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  This game open Dodgers around a -, 175 home.
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  Favorite Saint Louis? Around a + 155 road dog and wise
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  guys. They're not afraid of the chalk.
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  They're laying it here again. Dodgers aren't -250 they open.
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  -175 But now they are up to around -1. 90 So we've seen.
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  This line move further toward the Dodgers tells us smart money
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  has laid it with the Dodgers. At DK, 90% bets, 93% money.
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  At circa, 71% bets, 98% money. So looks like wise guys are
• 13:35
  saying hey. This would be an expensive
• 13:37
  number for any other team, but for the Dodgers is actually not
• 13:40
  that bad when both teams are coming off a day off.
• 13:43
  Which is the case here. Take the home favorite, that's
• 13:45
  80 and 47 this season, 63 percent, 6% ROI.
• 13:50
  In particular, when LA is -200 or less and they're facing a
• 13:54
  below 500 opponent, get a load of this.
• 13:57
  They are 23 and six this season. 80% win rate, 20% ROI when a
• 14:03
  bank on the Dodgers. Hopefully having the better.
• 14:05
  Bats hitting two. 58335 on base, 670 runs scored.
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  Saint Louis hitting two. 4315 on base, 610 runs scored.
• 14:16
  Lauer 7 and two, 3.51. ERA at night versus one and
• 14:20
  four, 7.84. ERA during the day.
• 14:23
  So he's been much better at night, at night tonight.
• 14:26
  Meanwhile, Mcgreevy. At night three and seven, 4.71
• 14:30
  ERA versus. Two and two 2.81 ERA during the
• 14:33
  day, so I know it's a bigger number.
• 14:36
  But I jumped on dodgers -180. Five at the score.
• 14:39
  Remember, as always, it's. Bet first, bet to win so.
• 14:42
  If you're riding. Dodgers with me, they're mostly
• 14:44
  around -190 That means you are not risking 1.9 units to win one
• 14:48
  unit, you're risking just your one unit trying to get a little
• 14:51
  bit more than 1/2 unit back. Like for example, yesterday the
• 14:54
  Braves had massive steam move. They should have won that game,
• 14:58
  but they're. -186 -, 190 they lost that game so that's the
• 15:02
  whole point of bettras first bet to win.
• 15:04
  We don't want teams to lose when we bet on them.
• 15:07
  But we know that betting is hard.
• 15:08
  Anything can happen. So if you had just done bettras
• 15:12
  first bet to win like I always suggest, you lost the unit on
• 15:15
  the Braves. If you bet to win, you lost, you
• 15:17
  know, 1.9. That's the whole point.
• 15:19
  Of trying to protect. Yourself from from from losing
• 15:22
  plays that could be even worse if you bet to win.
• 15:25
  But I laid it with the Dodgers here guys -185 at the score.
• 15:28
  Again, a lot of books now -190. So Padres, Royals, Dodgers.
• 15:33
  Let's try to get. Two out of three and get back in
• 15:36
  the green. Now let's go over to college
• 15:38
  football. Because I mentioned yesterday,
• 15:40
  now that we have college football back in our lives,
• 15:42
  we're going to talk college. Football, we're going to try to
• 15:44
  pick. Off good numbers earlier in the
• 15:46
  week, we are going to late for wait for late moves as well.
• 15:50
  Because I think it's important again to see where the late.
• 15:52
  Action is breaking. But the goal.
• 15:54
  Is to. In my opinion.
• 15:56
  Really try to get good numbers and try to combine the market
• 16:00
  with a good edge like rhythm. So I've been.
• 16:02
  Working a lot with rhythm you might notice on rhythms you know
• 16:05
  TikTok or Instagram or Facebook you might see my ugly mug on
• 16:08
  there been. Pumping out some videos with.
• 16:10
  My guy wags but it got me thinking like you know, what am
• 16:14
  I? Going to do cuz I'm I put out
• 16:15
  these videos now and there was one game that really jumped out
• 16:18
  to me. And again, it's a game.
• 16:19
  That you probably wouldn't expect, but it's coming up on
• 16:22
  Saturday night. It's September 5th, it's 10:30
• 16:26
  PM Eastern Time. It's out in Vegas.
• 16:29
  Or in. Particular Reno, Reno, NV, where
• 16:33
  Nevada, the Wolfpack are hosting Western Kentucky.
• 16:37
  Now the reason why I picked this game is because it's super sharp
• 16:39
  in the market, but it's also a sharp rhythm play.
• 16:43
  So let's set the stage here. Western Kentucky.
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  They went nine and four. Last year, Nevada went. 3:00 and
• 16:49
  9:00 So Western Kentucky is the way better team.
• 16:52
  Right. Well, their win total 6 1/2 it's
• 16:54
  over -180 so they're expected to win seven or more.
• 16:57
  Nevada's win totals 4 1/2 it's under -145 S Nevada.
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  Again, not expected to be as good as Western Kentucky.
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  But what is the betting market saying for this game?
• 17:08
  This is really interesting now. Western Kentucky opened around a
• 17:12
  three-point Rd. favorite. Some books open as high as -4
• 17:15
  1/2 - 4 - 3 1/2. So basically it was Western
• 17:19
  Kentucky, you know, between -3 and -4 1/2.
• 17:22
  Depending on the book. Public says that line is way too
• 17:25
  short. Western Kentucky is the way
• 17:27
  better. Team Nevada stinks.
• 17:29
  So we are seeing right now a. DraftKings 83.
• 17:32
  Percent of spread bets, laying it with Western Kentucky as
• 17:37
  fast. As they can.
• 17:38
  Loading up betting the the house, the mortgage which you
• 17:40
  should. Never do, but I'm just proving
• 17:42
  the point. They are just.
• 17:43
  The most easy layup play like the public looks at the entire.
• 17:46
  Slate coming up on week. One here, Week 0.
• 17:49
  Whatever they call it now, I guess it's week 1.
• 17:52
  And they're saying easy winner is Western Kentucky.
• 17:55
  Why is this line so short? How is this only around a field
• 17:58
  goal if Western Kentucky went nine and four?
• 18:01
  Last year and Nevada went 3:00 and 9:00.
• 18:03
  But here's where it gets good. Even though 83% of spread bets
• 18:07
  at DK are on Western Kentucky, we've seen this line fall fall
• 18:11
  down to 2 1/2. So think about it.
• 18:14
  Take a step back. If more than 8 out of 10 bets
• 18:16
  are on the Hilltoppers at -4 1/2 -. 3 1/2 - 3, why is this line
• 18:22
  down to 2 1/2? Why are the?
• 18:23
  Odds makers dropping the. Number to make it easier for the
• 18:26
  public to. Cover when they're already.
• 18:28
  Hammering Western Kentucky to begin with.
• 18:30
  So this is a classic, classic reverse.
• 18:32
  Line move Nevada looks. Sharp as a tack.
• 18:35
  Everybody playing Western Kentucky, lines dropping toward
• 18:37
  Nevada. Not only are they super.
• 18:40
  Contrarian in a 10. 30 game. This is, you know, quasi late
• 18:43
  night Hawaii Chase game. It's going to be heavily bets on
• 18:46
  CBS Sports Network. But if we go to Circa, 55% of
• 18:50
  bets are on Nevada spread, 96% of the money.
• 18:54
  So again, Circa is based in Vegas, Nevada is in Reno, you're
• 18:57
  both in Nevada. This is like local sharp money.
• 19:00
  Looks like it to me. Going with Nevada here and the
• 19:03
  points. Now here's where it gets even.
• 19:05
  Better so. All that being said, everybody's
• 19:07
  on. Western Kentucky lines dropping
• 19:09
  toward Nevada when I opened. Rhythm and I went.
• 19:12
  To this Nevada. Game I saw a.
• 19:14
  Green Star smart signal on Nevada plus 2 1/2 but the
• 19:19
  recommendation. Was also sharp lit up on.
• 19:22
  The money line. What's really interesting is
• 19:24
  that this dude, this wasn't like, you know, hey, take the 2
• 19:27
  1/2 because Rhythm has Nevada plus 1 1/2.
• 19:30
  Rhythm actually has Nevada favored in this game.
• 19:34
  Rhythm has Nevada -0.1. So I guess you could, you know,
• 19:38
  technically it's favorite, you could say a pick em game.
• 19:40
  But the whole point is that Rhythm is saying this is like a
• 19:43
  coin. Flip game.
• 19:44
  We can still get 2 1/2. Again, it opened as high as 4
• 19:48
  1/2. This is sharp play.
• 19:49
  This is what I like to. Do I like to?
• 19:51
  Start with the betting market. Identify Sharp.
• 19:53
  Games based on. You know the splits the line
• 19:55
  move. And then?
• 19:56
  Also align it with rhythm and the fact that rhythm is saying,
• 19:59
  yeah, Nevada should actually be favored in.
• 20:01
  This game and the lines. Moving in their direction and
• 20:04
  you can still get 2 1/2. I got to take Nevada here guys
• 20:07
  now. Here's the thing.
• 20:09
  I'm going to wait. For a three if I can't get a
• 20:12
  three. I'll go 2 1/2 with Nevada, but
• 20:14
  you are seeing most books still juice up the Western Kentucky
• 20:18
  side. So -2 1/2 -, 115.
• 20:21
  You are seeing Caesar's. Plus 2 1/2 minus one O 8 Nevada
• 20:25
  FanDuel. Plus 2 1/2 minus one O 5 Nevada.
• 20:28
  So I was thinking of maybe buying it up plus 3 -, 120 but
• 20:32
  I'm just wait it out. I've identified this as a sharp
• 20:34
  bet. Markets moved it down to 2 1/2,
• 20:37
  but it's so critical. To get these key.
• 20:39
  Numbers. Because if Nevada loses by
• 20:40
  three, all those plus 4 1/2 + 4 + 3 1/2 early sharps win.
• 20:46
  We. Lose if we get 2 1/2.
• 20:48
  So let's, you know, put a little pin in this game.
• 20:50
  Let's little give, give it a in a little circle.
• 20:52
  Let's circle it. Let's highlight it.
• 20:54
  Let's say to ourselves, OK, Nevada's sharp.
• 20:56
  Now let's try to get the. 3 So I I've identified this game.
• 20:59
  I haven't bet it yet. I'm going to bet it if I can't
• 21:01
  get a three you. Look at it one of two ways.
• 21:04
  One, you know, I'll take the 2 1/2 because that's the only
• 21:07
  thing available, but it almost makes you say like in a way, I
• 21:10
  don't want it to go back to three because that tells me that
• 21:13
  there was. You know some.
• 21:14
  Buyback in Western Kentucky, so it's almost like.
• 21:17
  You kind of. Want it to stay 2 1/2 and take
• 21:19
  the 2 1/2 because that means the odds makers.
• 21:21
  Really refused to give out the +3 to Nevada backers, so Nevada
• 21:25
  again. Sharp line move.
• 21:27
  Insanely contrarian. Sharp RLM rhythms got them. -0.1
• 21:32
  So if you want to put the. 2 1/2 now Nevada plus 2 1/2 Hey.
• 21:36
  I'm very close on doing that. Myself, I'm just going to give
• 21:39
  it a day. Let's see if we can get the
• 21:40
  three because key numbers. Are important you lose by three
• 21:44
  you want to. Push instead of lose.
• 21:45
  By three and lose at 2 1/2. But Nevada, first sharp bet for
• 21:49
  this weekend that I'm going to play.
• 21:52
  So that about does it for episode. 570 of the all.
• 21:55
  Systems go. Sports betting podcast powered
• 21:57
  by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 21:59
  where we wrap things up and. I always.
• 22:01
  Start first by saying. Thank you.
• 22:03
  Thank you for tuning in. Thank you for.
• 22:04
  Listening. Thank you for grinding in the
• 22:06
  arena with me through the ups and downs, the three and O.
• 22:09
  Days the O and three days again. Sometimes it's as Billy Walters
• 22:13
  would say, it's either chicken or feather day.
• 22:16
  You know chicken, you eat, you know, eat good.
• 22:18
  It's a good night. Feather, you got nothing.
• 22:20
  To eat you got nothing. That was a great.
• 22:23
  He mentioned that when he was on the podcast with Joe Rogan.
• 22:25
  He mentioned in his book as well, so unfortunately a feather
• 22:28
  day yesterday. We know that sports betting is
• 22:30
  hard. We keep grinding long term.
• 22:32
  I keep showing up, you keep showing up.
• 22:34
  I love this community that we've created.
• 22:36
  So thank you for listening now if you.
• 22:38
  Have a second You want to help me grow this pod?
• 22:40
  Please give it a five star review.
• 22:41
  Spotify, iTunes rate and. Review, retweet or like the pod
• 22:45
  when I put it out on Twitter. Recommend the pod to.
• 22:47
  A friend? Any or all?
• 22:48
  Those things be very much appreciated Next if you enjoy
• 22:52
  the. Style of sports betting
• 22:53
  breakdown data. Driven, sharp contrarian plays
• 22:56
  You want to learn more about data-driven betting?
• 22:59
  Then I'd love for. You to go to.
• 23:00
  Amazon.com Type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook or the
• 23:04
  Everything guide to sports betting.
• 23:05
  Those are the two books that I've written.
• 23:07
  Very proud of both but if you want to grab.
• 23:08
  One or both from. From Amazon for you or for that
• 23:12
  friend of yours who wants to get into betting and you know
• 23:14
  doesn't know what difference between a teaser.
• 23:16
  And a money line. I'd love for you to grab a copy.
• 23:19
  And then you'll bring it to the sports book.
• 23:20
  I'll meet you there. I'll buy you a beer.
• 23:23
  I'll sign the book for you, give my my old John Hancock and then
• 23:26
  we will sweat some games together which will be a lot of
• 23:28
  fun. Next, have you downloaded?
• 23:31
  Rhythm and Juice reel yet my 2. Favorite sports betting apps?
• 23:34
  Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for game
• 23:37
  bets and player props. Juice Reel.
• 23:39
  So many great features. You can sync up your sports
• 23:41
  books. Get a running report card of
• 23:43
  your action. Get the Robo Jackson.
• 23:45
  Best bet pics, sharp mush indicators, arbitrage play shop
• 23:49
  for the best. Line futures and if you want to
• 23:50
  support the pod. I would love for you again, you
• 23:53
  go to you go out to dinner, you tip your your your server if
• 23:57
  they treat your right, if you go to the the BA and they treat
• 23:59
  your right, they fill up your your water when.
• 24:02
  It's low. They're nice.
• 24:03
  To you, they recommend a good cocktail.
• 24:05
  You know you're low on your beer.
• 24:06
  They get you a new one. You tip your your bartender,
• 24:09
  your bartender. So if you want to tip your
• 24:11
  podcast. Host support the team I would
• 24:13
  love for you to sign up for a week or more of.
• 24:15
  Best bets on juice rail? You'll get every play I make as
• 24:18
  soon as I make them. It goes right to the All Systems
• 24:21
  Go Juice Rail page. That costs you $9.99 a week so.
• 24:25
  10 bucks a week. Or $24.99 for a month. 25 bucks
• 24:29
  a month and again you get the plays early.
• 24:31
  Hopefully beat some closing lines next.
• 24:33
  You have a live odds page. Well, if you don't have one, you
• 24:36
  need one. You got to be able to track the
• 24:37
  market. Pick off good numbers again.
• 24:40
  I'm waiting for Nevada plus three on my odds logic live odds
• 24:44
  page. I got all the books they update
• 24:46
  in real time. I can wait and look for a book
• 24:49
  giving me the three, even though none are right now.
• 24:52
  But it's the best live odds page around.
• 24:54
  It's going to make your life a lot.
• 24:55
  Easier. I'm not going to guarantee any
• 24:57
  winners. No such thing as guaranteeing a
• 24:59
  winner, but. You got to be.
• 25:00
  Able to track the market in real time, you got to know.
• 25:02
  What the line opened at? Where is it now?
• 25:04
  Like for that Nevada game, it's 2 1/2.
• 25:06
  But did it open, you know? Western Kentucky -1 1/2 and it's
• 25:09
  up to 2 1/2 or is it 4 1/2 four. 3 1/2 Three down to 2 1/2.
• 25:14
  Again, that's just a huge piece of info that you need to know.
• 25:17
  Before you bet the game. So if you haven't done it yet.
• 25:20
  Give Odds logic a shot. Just go to oddslogic.com.
• 25:25
  Josh 123 that's. Going to give you a 7 day free.
• 25:28
  Trial. And 50% off your first month of
• 25:30
  service. So how about does it for?
• 25:32
  Episode 570 of the ASG Pod as always guys, two final thoughts.
• 25:37
  One whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 25:40
  River and Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods
• 25:42
  or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 25:45
  Boston Plain Ridge Park Casino. MGM Springfield or the.
• 25:48
  Nash in my neck of the woods on the.
• 25:50
  Border of Massachusetts in new. Hampshire, around the desert,
• 25:53
  where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
• 25:55
  his number runners. With lowest juice possible is
• 25:58
  found at the South point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
• 26:01
  jumping in the stadium swim pool.
• 26:02
  When you cash a big ticket at Circo, wherever it may be,
• 26:05
  you're going to walk up to me, you're going to show me D.
• 26:07
  Backs Rays and Braves. We're not going to, we're not
• 26:10
  going to smash, you know, our foot through the, you know, the,
• 26:13
  I don't know, the entrance door, you know, and break the glass.
• 26:17
  We're not going to, you know, go crazy, go nuts.
• 26:19
  We're just going to RIP up those tickets.
• 26:21
  We're going to recycle them. We're going to get back in the
• 26:23
  green here for tonight, guys, again, some of you win, some of
• 26:26
  you lose, some of you throw away.
• 26:27
  Sometimes that happens, but guess what guys, we got another
• 26:30
  opportunity tonight to get back in the green.
• 26:32
  So whether it's an O and three day like last night or.
• 26:35
  Three and O or two and one or one and two.
• 26:37
  A winning day, losing day winning.
• 26:39
  Week losing, week hot. Streak cold.
• 26:40
  Streak or just grinding? We just got to stay even keeled.
• 26:44
  We can't get too high when things are good.
• 26:45
  We can't get. Too low and things are bad.
• 26:47
  We're going to play the system matches.
• 26:49
  We're going to bypass. The games with red flags we're.
• 26:51
  Going to be disciplined with our bankroll management.
• 26:53
  And we're going to grind long term.
• 26:56
  We're looking for games. As always, that fit our model
• 26:59
  against the public with the house, with the pros flat bet.
• 27:02
  Avoid. Parlays and get that.
• 27:03
  CLV If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports
• 27:07
  bettors. So I hope everyone has a great
• 27:09
  Tuesday night. Welcome to the month of
• 27:11
  September. It's about.
• 27:12
  To get crazy in here, but we wouldn't have it any other way
• 27:14
  because sweating football pro in college is the absolute best.
• 27:18
  It's pretty much here. So again, join the Applebaum
• 27:21
  again. Last call.
• 27:22
  You can you can sign up for the Survivor up until that Sunday
• 27:26
  week one of the NFL. But if you want.
• 27:28
  That possible entry into the $3,000,000 contest You.
• 27:31
  Want to get an opportunity to win that raffle?
• 27:34
  Sign up tonight before midnight again, Last call Applebaum
• 27:37
  Survivor contest to get that free entry or win that free
• 27:40
  entry. I can sign up on my Twitter page
• 27:43
  at Josh under score Insights. But good luck everybody.
• 27:45
  Have a great Tuesday. Night.
• 27:46
  I'll see you. Tomorrow for a big.
• 27:48
  Wednesday edition. That'll be a episode 571.
• 27:52
  Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by
• 27:55
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 27:57
  great Tuesday night.