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NHL + NBA + MLB World Series + NCAAF Best Bets Saturday 10/25/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four, I
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookens, the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March Hape, is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what day it is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you better off
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: dead Saturday Morning edition. But I haven't slept, man, Well
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: basically I haven't. If that wasn't obvious already. Thanks for
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: everybody who hung out during the College Football Show last night,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: and another long ass show, not as long as the
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. I think the board is a
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: little bit smaller. I give up five college football plays.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: I will repeat them at the end of the show,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: but if you want the analysis, you can go back
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: and check that out. We're gonna have some I'm gonna
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: tradition as as tradition. Now, I'm gonna take my headphones
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: off after I checked my audio, make sure that the
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: audio is all right. I feel free, man, I feel unencumbered.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Three and one on the show yesterday. We're on a
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: really nice hot streak, man, over the past like five
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: or so weeks, six weeks maybe, even oh man, I'm
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: also coughing, got something in my throat. I don't know
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: what's going on here, but yeah, three and one yesterday
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: the Celtics first game of the night last night, they
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: blew it. They were winning by eight at the end
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: of the first quarter, had one of the worst second
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: quarters you'll ever see, I think, getting out scored forty
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: two to fourteen in the second quarter. Never were able
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: to come back. They kind of got back within the
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: single digit range. I think they did get back within
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: the single digit range there near the end, didn't get there.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: We got the law. We took the loss on that one,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: but the rest of the place all won fairly easily.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: The Detroit Pistons wound up winning outright in overtime. Uh
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: so we'll take that one. Obviously. They were I think
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: covering the spread pretty much wire to wire in that one.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: It got a little I think it got a little
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: bit clos where I think they were losing by almost
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: the spread a couple of times in there. I don't know.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: I didn't watch it that closely. And then Lakers and
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: the Blazers both wound up just with blowout wins by
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: the end of it. After those games looked a little
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: bit closer earlier, or it looked like they were not
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be blowout wins at least for us earlier, but
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: they wound up being blowout wins. So we'll take all that.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: We'll move on to today. I'm gonna give out three
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: additional plays on the show here today, two in hockey,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: one in the NBA. So that's, uh, that's what's gonna
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: happen here, Charles, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. You
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: drank scissor? Yeah? Was it purple drank basically like dime
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: atap that type of stuff? Or was it was it
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: like robe atussin, Uh, well, actually you gotta drink night
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: quote really like I just remember Lewis Black back before
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: he was a progressive pansy, like Lewis Black is comedy
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: now isn't even comedy. It's just like it's literally just
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: just political propaganda, just looking to score political points. Like
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: it's not he's not even trying to be funny, but
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: he used to be funny and he did. Or just
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: remember he had that one joke it was like, uh,
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I forget exactly what it was, but
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: something about taking night quill and it's like, why what
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: do you take robot us and you non narcotic sissy pansy. Yeah, yeah,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: the second quarter. Celtics need to fix a lot of shit. Man,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: they didn't look that bad in their first game. Jeffrey,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out the Yeah, the
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: Piston whisper. I continue to be that man. Dude, whenever
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: I take the Pistons as an underdog, you better pay
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: attention because they went out right almost every time I
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: do it. Ah, So yeah, I dude, the Pistons always
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: come through, like in a spot that's like a good
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: spot for them or a bad spot for the other team.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: It was Nike. Well, oh hell yeah, I have some
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: as well. I take it when I'm sick at least
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: or when I think I'm getting sick. Yeah. Lewis Black
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: he was good back in the day. I saw him
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: live once with Dennis Miller. I was the headliner on
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: that show This is back when I was in like
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: high school and Jim Gaffigan was the opener of that one,
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: and nobody knew who Gaffigan was at that point, and
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: he was good. And I actually met Gaffigan after the show.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: I got him to sign something. I forget what I
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: had him sign. I had him sign something. So I
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: do have a Jim Gaffigan signature somewhere. I don't even
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: know where it is though at this point it's probably
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: somewhere at my parents' house. But yeah, and Jim Gaffigan
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: is completely blown up since then, and I've seen him
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: multiple additional times, including if you watch Gaffigan's special from
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I believe last year. I don't know if it's his
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: most recent or not, but he filmed a special in Boston.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: I was there in the audience and I was like
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: right near the front, and I was really really tired
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: because I had just been to the Celtics Mavericks game
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: one of the NBA Finals, and I literally rushed from
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: from TV Garden all the way down to the Wilber
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Theater to get to the gym because I had the
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: JYM gave the Gaffagan ticket. I was like, man, I
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: was like, I'm gonna do both, because the Celtics game
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: was an afternoon game. I'm like, I'm gonna do both.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be able to make it down there. It's
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: actually a straight shot on the subway. It's it's like
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: the one situation where public transportation does actually get the
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: job done. When you're on one single subway line that
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: just takes you literally from one place that you that
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: you're at to the next, Like the Orange Line in
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Boston like just has stops. Like one is right at
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: the at North station, basically right at the TV Garden,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: and then the other one is like right near the
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: Wilbur Theater. So I was like, hell, yeah, let's do it.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: I I came in and I didn't even realize Gaffigan
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: was taping a special. I just knew I had a
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Gaffigan ticket. I'm like, all right, I'm going I come
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: in and they're like making sure they checked everything. They
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: told me I had to take my hat off. I'm like,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: what is going on here? Like they're like, yeah, you
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: can't wear hats during this he's filming a special. I'm like, what,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: all right? So I think you guys can probably I'm
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: sure you guys can see me. I was at one
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: of the tables like up front, and I was probably
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: a sleep like during some of it, to be honest,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: which Gaffigan was not bad at that show though, Like
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: it was my fault. I was just doing way too
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: many events in a short period of time. Man, No Rest,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: No Sleep. It wasn't my favorite Gaffigan set, but I
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: did think he was funny. I enjoyed it. Gaffigan used
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: to play college football. I know he went to Indiana,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: all right. I mean, I know he's from the state
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: of Indiana. I don't know what college he actually went to.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: He is from the state of Indiana. Originally I should say, yeah, sign.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: He did not sign a hot pocket. I think I
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: think I got him to sign a business card, actually,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: because I didn't have anything on me. Hey, Jim, I'm
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: not gonna buy one of your one of your albums.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Just sign this business card, please. I think that is
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: what I did. I don't know, dude, I was. I
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: was in high school. I didn't have any money. I
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: don't even know how I got that ticket. I went
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: with like a few of my friends from high school.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember him. Man and Dennis Miller. He
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: gets a bad rap, dude. A lot of people don't
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: like Dennis Miller's comedy. I kind of do. It's like,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's intellectual comedy. I think it's good,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: it's clever, it's funny, all right, but my friends, my
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: friends were going just to see Lewis Black really yeah,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: the Alpha toe move. And that was because we didn't
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: we didn't know who Gaffigan was. Yet. Let's get into today, man,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: I don't want this show to be too long here.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: Been talking for a bit here. Let's do hockey first,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: because it is it is in the afternoon, some of
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: it is. My two players are in the evening though,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: so in the afternoon. I'm not gonna talk about every
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: one of these games as I usually do not, but
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Islanders at Philadelphia. I do think the Islanders might be
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit overvalued at this point because they have
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: won four games in a row now and that culminated
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: in them crushing Detroit on Thursday seven to two. And
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: if you look at the box score, I mean, they
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: weren't any net goals in it, but it might have
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: been a little bit misleading, especially in that Detroit was
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: the more physical team. They doubled the Islanders hits. I mean,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the Islander is not necessarily known as a physical team,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: but when you have that much physicality, usually you're not
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: going to lose the game seven to two like Detroit did.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Detroit outshot the Islanders. That was because they were losing
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: by five goals, like they were losing five to nothing
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: in the game, so I think they just started firing shots,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: So I won't take that much away from that. The
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Islanders did have their backup goaliean Net too, Ridditch, so
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: they will have Sorok and back in net in this one.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: But I do think it is a little bit of
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for them this time. Although they are
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, and I do talk about when
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: a team starts a road trip, usually they are focused
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: because they want to get the road trip off on
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: the right foot. Don't know if they're gonna look ahead
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: to Boston here, because my Boston Bruins have been playing
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: so terribly recently. I don't know. The Flyers still think
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: probably are not gonna get that much attention paid to them.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a tough loss though to Ottawa. That
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: was a game where I gave out a plus one
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: puck line basically against on Philadelphia against Ottawa there, so
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: that wound up being a push as far as my
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: bet was concerned on the show. Difficult game for Philadelphia too.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: They were almost able to be Ottawa. They're coming back home.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: It was only a single game road trip though, so
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: it's not like they were away from home for that long.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: So I don't think it's a typical like return home
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: spot or anything like that. I'll slightly lean into Philadelphia
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: on this one, and the money is agreeing with that.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: I just don't really have a strong, like situational handicap
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: on this one. The Islanders are seventy one percent of
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only fifty eight percent of the cash. Philadelphia
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: seems like they're still a little bit under the radar.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: They're up on the money line from minus one thirteen
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: and minus one sixteen. If I was gonna play the game,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: I would play the Flyers on the money line in
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: that one. But again, I don't think it's a strong
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: situation there. Dennis Miller on Monday Night Football, No, I
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: didn't think he was that bad either. But my favorite
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Monday Night Football and analyst was of course John Gruden.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: H dude Gruden. He was the best dude just because
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: he was just like I don't know if he did
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: it intentionally or not, but he's always like homo erodec
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: and just talking about how he just loves all these guys.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: This guy, Toucher and Rich back in the day, the
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: Boston Sports morning show, Toucher and Rich. They used to
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: be on WBCN way back in the day, which was
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: a music it was an alternative rock station. Then they
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: wound up going because they talked about sports a lot.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: They went over to ninety eighty five The Sport and
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: they were doing their show for a while until they
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: had a falling out, and now Rich no longer is
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: with the show. But they had a good dynamic to
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: two of them because Toucher was like he was drunk
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: a lot, but he was like the funny guy. He
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: was legitimately funny on the show. Rich was like the
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: more like the straight man type of character, kind of
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: a typical comedy duo. And Rich was like the producer
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: and stuff, so he did a lot of solid production stuff.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: But they loved Gruden and back in the day, one
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: of their games that they would play back in the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: day was the John Gruden This Guy Challenge, and they
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: would play it like every Tuesday after one of the
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: John Gruden Monday night games. They would compile a bunch
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: of audio from John Gruden, they'd have a caller call
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: in and they'd play audio from John Gruden saying this
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: guy or just saying something really homo erotic about some
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: player and the caller I think I had to guess
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: who the player was that he was talking about, or
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: something like that. It's something along I can't remember, but
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I enjoyed it. It was definitely pretty funny back in the day.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: All Right, Colorado at my Boston Bruins. Bruins, they suck.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're a huge underdog here, but is this
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: a spot where Colorado might overlook the Bruins. Possibly? Colorado.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: They still don't have any regulation losses, but they've played
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: two overtime games in a row, losing both of them
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: to Utah, who is off to a really good start
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: this year on the road for Colorado there and then
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: they went into a shootout on Thursday at home against Carolina.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Carolina one of the better teams in hockey as well.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Colorado actually had Minor in net there, not a minor,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: but minor. That was the first time they didn't use
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: Wedgewood in net. Who's been there just grinder of a
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: goal is so it will be Wedgewood again in net
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: this game, I would imagine. But Colorado coming off that
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: tough loss to Carolina might be a little bit of
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for them. They might overlook the Bruins too,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: because they did just beat the Bruins in Colorado back
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: on October eighteenth. And by the way, I did see
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: some stats on this that early in the hockey season,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: when you have a situation like this, when a team
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: beat a team on their home, like when a team
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: won at home against another team, and then they have
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: a revenge scenario that lines up like shortly after that,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: and the team that lost on the road is now
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: at home. That home team in revenge actually does pretty well,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: So the Bruins are in that spot, so they're actually
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: in a pretty historically advantageous spot. I like the road
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: reversal revenge better, though, where a team beat a team
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: on the road and then that team gets a chance
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: at also beating that team back on the road. I
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: like that better than the home revenge angle. But the
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: home revenge angle is strong, and the Bruins are in
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: that angle here, and they're getting a big underdog price.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Colorado is coming off a very difficult game. They're ravel here.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Although I usually say you want to start the road
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: trip off on the right foot, but maybe they do
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: overlook the Bruins here. They got new jersey up next.
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: Carolina was a big game for them. They already beat
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: the Bruins once pretty handily. I do think the Bruins
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: are actually the right side in this one. The Bruins
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: they use Corpas, Salo and net last time, so it
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: will be swaying back in net this time. They're coming
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: off just an ugly loss to Anaheims seven to five,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: that was horrendous. Bruins are not traveling, They're staying at home,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: and this is the last game of this three game
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: home stand here and they're own two, so little bit
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: of motivation there as well. I think trying to just
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: salvage the home stand and get a win here. Not
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: saying they're necessarily gonna win this game, but I would
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: play the Bruins probably on the puck line or something,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: or find a way to like make your own plus
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: one puck line, put a little bit on the puck line,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit on the money line, something like that,
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: depending on how big the price is. Colorado is getting
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the tickets fifty percent of the
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: cash on Boston though, so the money is coming in
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: on the Bruins. Colorado's all the way up from minus
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: one sixty nine favorite to a minus one ninety six favorite,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: very very heavy road favorite here Man and the spot
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: I think is better for the Bruins. So that is
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean in that game. But
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: I don't want to give it out as a play,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: but I do think it's a decent way to look
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: is to look towards the Bruins in that game. Gavigan
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: was a Georgetown Oh he played football at Georgetown. I
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: think they're like a decent FCS team, if I remember correctly,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: teammate of Jim Schwartz, so I believe correct me if
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong. But Jim Schwartz, I believe is still defensive
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: coordinator at Cleveland. Am I right about that? His defenses
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: are always pretty strong man? To be honest, I think
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Schwartz should become their head coach. Although I think Schwartz
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: wasn't very good when he was head coach of Detroit,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: I believe back in the day, but I don't know.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Schwartz is a defensive mind to coach and a very
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: good DC though Anaheim at Tampa. I'm just gonna point
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: this out because Anaheim's four two and one on the
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: season and Tampa's won four and two this season and
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: Tampa's own three at home. So I mean, I think
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of still knows that Tampa is the better team,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: but the records are saying I mean, the records kind
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: of make you question it. Like I think maybe the
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: public is gonna come in on this and see that
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: they're getting Anaheim as like a pretty substantial underdog, is
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: the team with the way better record and actually maybe
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: not want to do anything with Tampa. So I mean
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: that has been looking towards Tampa in this game, just
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: because it's one of those situations where the odds makers
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: are telling you something completely different than what the records say,
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: where the odds makers are telling you despite the fact
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: that Tampa's off to this really bad start, they're still
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: the better team. I'm just not sure I necessarily see
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: a situation for although Anaheim has been on the road
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: for a while now, they do a Florida up next,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: so is it possible they overlook Tampa. Maybe Anaheim will
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: have Dostel back in net here because Marazak played in
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: their life against Boston. Two backup goalies facing off in
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: that game, so Anaheim will have they're starting goalie back
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: in net for this one, and I don't think either
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: goalie for them is really that good. I don't think
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is even good. I don't think the record really
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: tells you what they really are. I mean, look at
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: their wins. Their wins are against San Jose in overtime, Pittsburgh, Nashville,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: and Boston. I mean, they haven't been anybody actually good,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: So I think this record is misleading. I don't think
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is actually that good. In fact, I think they're bad.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: They are playing a fourth straight road game here, so yeah,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: probably not the easiest spot for them, necessarily, Tampa Bay
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: staying at home off of pretty ugly loss to Chicago.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tampa was a big favorite in that game,
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: but you could kind of sort of figure out what
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: happened there because they did return home from a road trouble.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: Though they did a four days off coming home from
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: that road trip, but still a return home from a
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: road trip and you've been away for a while, sometimes
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: you can be distracted. I think maybe they took Chicago
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: lightly to I think if you dig into this box score,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: it was Tampa Bay actually did outplay them in some
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: phases of the game, they had over sixty percent of
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: the faceoffs went Tampa's way. They actually outshot Chicago as well,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: so Tampa actually kind of outplayed Chicago. They just didn't
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: win on the score there. So I think you're probably
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: gonna see a little bit more of a pissed off
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay team here. Probably Vasilevski will be a net
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: again for Tampa. I'm not entirely sure about that. He's
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: at least he's the predicted starter here, at least for now,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: although sometimes that site can predict these things wrong, especially
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: you don't know, like because these games are gonna be
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: later in the day too. I think Tampa's probably the
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: side you want to look for in this one, although
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: it looks like Anaheim is getting some of the money
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: right now, fifty three percent of the tickets are fifty
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: two now actually fifty eight percent of the cash. Tampa
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: down from minus one ninety nine on the money line
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: to minus one eighty four on the money line. I
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: would probably like make a Tampa Bay minus one line
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: in this one if I was gonna play it with
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: some portion of it on the Tampa Bay minus one
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: and a half puck line and the other portion of
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: it on the Tampa Bay money line is probably the
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: way that I would look to play that game. I
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: think Tampa probably wins that game. That would be my opinion.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Mark Lawrence has free plays on Oklahoma, Fresno, and Mississippi State.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: SMU is in a bad spot. Oklahoma is one of
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: my plays. Indeed, I agree with him on Fresno State,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: even though it looked like the market was disagreeing with
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: me on that one. I slightly leaned to Fresno State,
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: and I actually do not agree with Mississippi State. I
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: think that's against Texas, right. I actually lean towards laying
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: the points with Texas in that game. And I do
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: have a play against SMU as well. So I agree
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: with with Wake. Wake is one of my plays. Vassilevsky.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: Jordan Peterson is talking about him. I don't I don't
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: quite follow that one. I'm gonna give a out a
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: play on Buffalo, Toronto and Vegas, Florida. So you get
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: two early evening games from me Utah at Minnesota. Utah
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: is just on a roll right now. Man. Probably they're
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: not as good as this record looks. Six and two,
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: but It's kind of cool to see the Mammoth off
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: to a six and two start. I kind of want
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: to go to Mammoth Jersey, man. I mean, people are
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: complaining about this mascot. I still don't know why. I mean,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of badass. I like it. It
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: reminds me masted On. I don't know. I mean, it's
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: certainly not the worst name they could have come up with,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: the Mammoth. It sounds it does sound bad ass. The
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: Mammoth are on a nice run here with five wins
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: in a row. They didn't have a letdown after that
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: overtime win over Colorado. It was a huge win. They
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: started this road trip off with a win over Saint
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: Louis as well. Now they gotta go to Minnesota, and
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: maybe they're gonna overlook Minnesota a little bit, man, because
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is still kind of a mediocre team. Mammoth have
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: to go play Winnipeg tomorrow and then they have Edmonton
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: after that, so those are kind of bigger games. So
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: I think the spot isn't really great for Utah in
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: this one. Minnesota. However, they're turning home from a road trip,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: and you know, I I just can't really bring myself
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: to be on a team that's returning on from a
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: long road trip, even though I do think that Minnesota
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: will have reason to show up for this one because
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: it is Utah coming in and Utah has been good
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: so far. Their next game tomorrow is against San Jose,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: so if they're gonna overlook one of those teams, I
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be San Jose. So maybe a spot
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: to look towards San Jose tomorrow because Minnesota plays Winnipeg
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: after that. But Minnesota, they were on the road since
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: Tuesday the fourteenth. They're coming back home after a long
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: road trip. There are typically distractions involved in that because
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: these are family guys. You know, you've been away from
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: home for a while. You do wind up with the
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: stuff that you have to take care of back and home,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: in addition having to play a hockey game. They've had
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: two days off, which maybe helps alleviate that, but it
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: also might even make you kind of settle back in
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: at home a little bit too much. So I don't know.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota had a really poor road trip, the only one
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: one out of the five game, but teams don't typically
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: bounce back in that first game back from a road trip, dude,
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: the first game back from a road trip tends to
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: be a negative, regardless of how well the road trip went.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Minnesota, though both teams
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: are in bad spots. Though, like I said, so, I mean,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I have to leave this game alone. But seventy two
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Utah and fifty nine
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Minnesota. The public will of
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: course be on the team with the better record, especially
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: getting them as a slight underdog. Minnesota down from minus
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: one twenty one to minus one fifteen on the money line,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: It's an interesting game. I'm to try to handicap for sure.
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I would want to do
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: with this one. I mean, the money is saying Minnesota.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that I could quite do it. Man.
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe I'll just slightly agree with that, because
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: I think maybe Utah is just a little bit overvalued
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: right now. Remains to be seen. I didn't want to
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: talk about every one of these games, but man, Saint
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: Louis is at Detroit, and plus, I gotta finalize my
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: picks as well and get my final videos out on Instagram.
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: College football videos are already out though, so Saint Louis,
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: they had that loss to Utah. Like I said, they're
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip. When you start a road trip,
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: that can usually kind of be like a reset. Starting
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: a road trip I think is usually a positive regardless
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: of what you're doing at home, because either you were
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: winning at home and you get to carry that momentum
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: out on the road with you, or you lost at
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: home and you want to just get out of there
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: and just focus on hockey. And that's the case with
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis here. I think they will show up for
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: this game against Detroit. Detroit. They're coming in off a
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: loss to the Islanders. They're actually returning home from a
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: road trip, but they only went to Buffalo in New York.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: But they are playing a third game in four days now,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, which is not that easy to do.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Although the road trip wasn't a very long road trip,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: they did lose really embarrassingly seven to two, and that
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: was with Talbot INNT might be Gibson in at this time.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Detroit has been kind of alternating
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: between the two of them, like they're about even so,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we expect in this one. It's
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: a very very difficult game to handicap for me. Man.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think probably Saint Louis is in the
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: somewhat better spot though, because they get to just go
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: out on the road here, and it looks like Saint
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Louis is the market read as well as Detroit's down
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: for minus one eleven to minus one oh nine on
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: the money line, eighty nine percent of the tickets, only
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash. So Detroit is actually
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: a pretty public, very small home favorite here where the
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are actually telling you Saint Louis is the better
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: team because they're not even giving Detroit a full home
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: ice on the line here. So Saint Louis is being
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: lined as actually the better team here, and they're an
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: anti public underdog in a fairly positive spot. So I
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: think Saint Louis is the is the is the right
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: side there? Talk about all the games usually I do not,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: but most of these games are actually fairly interesting. Columbus
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: at Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh could be in a letdown spot. I mean,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: that's kind of my first instinct here. Also, my instinct
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: is also that Pittsburgh is not as good as their
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: six and two record would indicate. I mean, looking at
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: their wins, they're not horrible wins. I mean they were
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: able to beat the Rangers on the road. The Rangers
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: are struggling right now. They beat Anaheim on the road.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, excuse me. They beat La on the road.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: That's better than Anaheim. LA is not that bad. They
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: beat the Islanders at home, I think in a game
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: where probably Pittsburgh shouldn't have won the game. I gave
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: up the Islanders as a play in that game, and
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: the Islanders did outplay them. Beating San Jose, I'm not
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: gonna put much stock into that. Beating Vancouver decent win.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: Vancouver not great this year though, I don't think. But
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: then Pittsburgh did just get a win over Florida on
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Florida a little bit down this year maybe, but still
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: Florida gets a lot of name recognition, man. So that's
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: a big win for Pittsburgh winning on the road against Florida.
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: And now they have to come back home again. Pittsburgh
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: has been all over the map here, man. They went
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific coast like last week. Bas We
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: came back home from one game on Tuesday, and then
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: they had to go all the way back. They had
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: to go out on the road again, I mean all
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: the way to Florida. Now they're coming back home again. Yeah.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, not a great schedule for Pittsburgh here, man
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: just moving all over the place. So I think the
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: spot is better for Columbus in this game. Columbus is
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss to Washington, but it was yesterday,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: so they are playing on a back to back. It
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: was a letdown spot for Columbus though, because they had
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: beaten Dallas the game before that, which was a huge win.
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: They just I think couldn't keep up the effort yesterday
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: against Washington. They use Grieves in net yesterday, so it
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: will be Elvis back in net this time. I don't
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: know if that really matters, because I don't think either
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: of them are that good. But generally I think it
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: is a bounce back spot here for Columbus. They aren't.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are in the back to back though,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: which is really my only concern with this. I do
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: think it's a letdown spot for Pittsburgh. The money is
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me on Columbus. Pittsburgh up for minus one
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: twelve to minus one seventeen. Of the money line ninety
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, fifty eight percent of the cash on Columbus,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: So the money coming in on Columbus. I do not
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: disagree with it. Typically, I'm gonna avoid playing teams on
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: back to back, although I am doing it in the NBA,
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: as you'll see in a minute, So you might know
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: what my NBA play is based on. That Ottawa at Washington.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: Interesting game here as well. Washington is coming off that
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: big win over not a big win, but a blowout win,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: I should say, over Columbus. They're traveling back home after that.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: They're on a back to back. They do have Dallas
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: up next, So is it possible that Washington overlooks Ottawa.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: They might. I know Ottawa, they're kind of upstart. They
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: made the playoffs last year. They're not a bad team. Really,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: the spot to me sets up a little bit better
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: for Outawa, though. I mean, Autawa's coming off a close
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: call against Philadelphia. I don't think they're gonna be overconfident
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: off of that win. And now they get to go
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: to Washington, which is a game I think they'll be
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: focused on. I lean to the Autawa and this one.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: The money is slightly in disagreement with it for now,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: but Washington is public seventy two percent of the tickets,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash. Washington up on the
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: money line for minus one twenty five to minus one thirty.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play the game, though, I would
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: take Ottawa as the money line underdog there Montreal at Vancouver.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Vancouver is returning on from a road trip, so I mean,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: I got to point out again it's not a very
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: good spot returning on from a road trip, even though
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: they finished the road trip in a very bad fashion
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: losing to Pittsburgh and Nashville. But they've been on the
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: road for over a week. Again, you take a long
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: road trip like this, you have to get settled back
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: and home. They do have Edmonton up tomorrow, too, so
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: it is possible they actually even overlook Montreal and Edmonton's
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: even kind of a bigger game because they already lost
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: to Edmonton earlier this year, so it's also a revenge
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: game against Edmonton. If revenge really matters in the early season.
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: It matters a little bit when you kind of remember
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: what you just did against that team. So this is
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Vancouver. The problem is, I don't
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: think the spot's great for Montreal either, although Montreal is
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: already out in the in Western Canada already, but they
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: played Edmonton to within one goal two days ago, so
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: that worries me a little bit about Montreal as well.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: The spot is worse for Vancouver though, so I would
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: still lean to the Canadians in this game, the Montreal
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: Canadians and not the Vancouver Canucks. The Canadians versus the Canadians.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Montreal. They're coming off a tough loss to
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Edmonton as well, so that puts them in not really
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: exactly a positive spot. And the market Reid is actually
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: saying Vancouver, which is kind of crazy to me. The
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: public is on Montreal, I mean, I guess just because
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: they have the better record right now, seventy seven percent
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: of the tickets only seventy six percent of the cash
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Vancouver up for minus one eleven and minus one thirteen
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I would lean to Montreal in
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: this game, though, I mean, that would be my opinion.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: In this one. You'll probably get Montembau and Net again
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: because he had multiple days off prior to playing last time,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: so Montreal should have their better goalie a net in
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: this one, although and imagine Vancouver probably will as well.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: They'll have Demco in net for this one, I assume
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: because he didn't play two games ago. But they've been alternating,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: so it's maybe possible that that's not actually correct. Actually,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: for some reason, this site says it's gonna be DoBeS
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: in this one from Montreal, so maybe that's actually part
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: of the reason why the money is not coming in
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: on Montreal. So I don't know, man, I mean, I
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: guess if you want to play this game, you gotta
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: kind of just keep an eye on it, I guess,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. The Kings are at Nashville. Nashville
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: just gotta win over Vancouver, and they're off to a
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: better start than what they looked last year, at least
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: this Nashville team. I think they did underperform last year.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: Being in Vancouver a pretty big deal though. I mean,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: just because they are Vancouver, is it possible they overlook
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: the Kings in the spot, maybe because they do have
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Dallas up after this, So I don't know, man, I mean, Nashville,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: maybe they're not really in a position to overlook anybody,
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: but the Kings sitting at the same record as Nashville
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Kings are in a bad spot though they're off beating
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: Dallas in overtime, and they played two straight overtime games,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: winning both of them on the road against Saint Louis
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: and Dallas. So to me, that looks like a letdown
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: spot for the Kings as well. And I actually think
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: the Kings are in the worst spot out of the
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: two out of these two, so I would actually lean
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: to Nashville in this game based on that, just because
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: I think being Dallas is a big deal. LA up
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: for minus one nineteen to minus one twenty eight on
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: the money line, though we don't see the percentages yet
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: on this, looks like some early money did come in
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: on the Kings, but I would have a slight disagreement
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: with that and lean to Nashville Carolina at Dallas. Dallas
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: is on a four game losing streak, man, so they're
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: sitting at three to three and one now, and I
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: think that they're better than that record when indicatd I
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: think Dallas is really really good still despite what this
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: recent stretch looks like. They did lose an overtime to
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: the Kings, but I think they're gonna be focused on
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, maybe they were even looking ahead to
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: this because Carolina is one of the best teams in hockey.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna get a good effort out
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: of Dallas here. Carolina, they're coming off winning in Colorado
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: in a shootout, and now they're finishing a road trip
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: that's already been a very successful road trip. They're already
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: four and one on the road trip. Yeah, I mean,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: you will typically be focused when you go in to
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: face Dallas, but coming off that shootout win over Colorado,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: which is a big deal, and then when they get
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: back home, they got to face Vegas. Who is the
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: only team to have beaten Colorado or excuse me, to
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: a beaten Carolina so far this year is Vegas, So
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: that's actually a quick revenge game against Vegas. So, as
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: insane as it is to say, I actually think Carolina
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: might overlook Dallas in the spot. So I actually think
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Dallas is the side to look at in this game.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: But the money is disagreeing with me. Fifty five percent
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: of the ticket seventy percent of the cash on Carolina
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: Dallas down for minus one to fifteen to minus one
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: o nine on the money line. Here, I think you're
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: getting a cheap price with Dallas, though, I think they're
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks right now. I think they're
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: definitely one of the top or one of the more
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: like top teams in the league. Still until I see
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: something otherwise, which I haven't seen yet. In my opinion,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Spot doesn't look as good to me for Carolina right now.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: So I actually lead to Dallas slightly in that one.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: And then Edmonton is at Seattle. Edmonton coming off that
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: win over Montreal, I mean, beating Montreal is starting to
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: become a big deal again. So that was a pretty
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: big game. It was a kind of typical Edmonton game
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: with a ton of goals scored. Edmonton is actually returning
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: home for a road trip and now they're going back
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: out on the road again, so kind of ridiculous scheduling
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: for Edmonton. They come back home for one game and
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: they go back out on the road. They did not
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: use Skinner and net in that game. These pickerd so
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: it will be Skinner, who is there better of their
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: two goalies in net in this one. So they will
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: have Skinner in net in this one. They're starting a
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: road trip with momentum at least, so maybe they will
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: still be focused on this. Seattle off to decent start
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: this year at four two and two. Seattle just beat Winnipeg,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: though to finish your road trip, they shut out Winnipeg
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: on the road, and now Seattle's are turning on from
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: road trips. So the spot doesn't look good to me
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: for Seattle man. Although Edmonton is typically a team that
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: will draw your focus though, like in the return home spot,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: that might be one thing that might help you not
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: be distracted is the fact that it is Edmonton as
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: your opponent there, but coming off a shutout win over
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg and returning home from a road trip that you've
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: been on for like eleven days or whatever, it's a
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Seattle because they do have to get
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: back to home life and whatever. So I do have
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: a slight lean to Edmonton in this game as well.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of the ticket seventy one percent of
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on Edmonton's the cash seems to agree with it,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: even though they are the somewhat public side as well.
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: But you gotta lay a price for it. Seattle is
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: not good man. Edmonton's up for minus despite what the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: record makes it look like they are. They're not good.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: Seattle up for minus one sixty six to minus one
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: seventy eight on the money line. It's a bit of
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: a price to lay, though, so if you do it again,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: you should find a way to like split puck line
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: and money line on that one. It would be my
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: opinion as far as how to play that game with Edmonton. Yeah,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say about the game.
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: But Seattle doesn't have a slightly better record than Edmonton
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: right now, so it might look a little weird that
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Edmonton has favored that heavily. But the osmangers are telling
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: you what you should think, that Edmonton is the better
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: team there. Best bets time, let's do it. Even though
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about baseball yet, and I do I
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: haven't done I have not talked about NBA yet either.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: First play is going to be a split bet on
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Toronto on the maple leafs. I'm gonna recommend making it
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: a split bet here partially on the minus one and
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: a half puck line at plus one sixty or whatever
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: you can get on that, in the other part at
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty on the money line. On this run
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: line calculator here, I figured out the amount to risk here,
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: So usually you put a bit more money on the
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: on the heavier side of it, on the favorite side
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: of it, because you're having to put more at stake
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: to win less on that side. But the way this
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: comes out, it comes out to like almost a normal
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: like bet size for me. So I just figure it
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: out like to win the same amount that I would
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: normally play to win. So that's just the way the
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: splits come out there, where it's not quite two thirds
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: of the bet on the money line in this case.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: But I think it's one of those revenge spots that
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: I talked about with Boston a little while ago. I
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: think you have an even stronger angle here because Toronto
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: is a home favorite here and Toronto just lost at Buffalo,
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: and I don't think Toronto is as bad as this
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: three and four three four and one record makes them look. Yeah,
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: they're on a back to back, but obviously so is
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Buffalo because both these teams both played each other yesterday.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: Toronto went into Buffalo and they lost the game. If
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: you look at what happened in this game, though, Toronto
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: outface off them in a pretty major way fifty eight
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: point three percent of the face offs and the hits
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: were just insane in favor of Toronto. Toronto out hit
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: Buffalo thirty to eight. So it's like, you look at
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: these stats, and Toronto had more shots too, partially because
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: they were losing, But you look at the stat sheet,
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: it's like, how did Toronto lose this game? I honestly
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: have no idea Toronto was the better team in this game,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: and they somehow lost the game. They gave up a
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: short handed goal late in the game. They were never
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: really getting blown out though, so they weren't really ever
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: in like desperation shot mode either. So they did outplay
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: Buffalo in that game. So right now, I think Toronto
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: is actually a little bit under the radar. Right now,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home from that one bad game. They're
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: trying to break a lost street here where they've lost
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: three games in a row. Now they had lost the
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: New Jersey of the game before them. But I think
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: this is a good spot to get a win here, man.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, Buffalo is still not good, even though they
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: actually have a slightly better record than Toronto. Right now,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: they're not the better team Buffalo. I mean, they have
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: some decent wins so far this year. They played well
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: against some decent teams. But yeah, I mean this has
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: revenge let down written all over it. Buffalo is playing
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days and a fourth game
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: in six days, where they actually went to Montreal back
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: on the twentieth, then came back home for two games,
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: and now they're going back out on the road to
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: Toronto on a back to back. So of course, again
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: both teams on the back to back, but Buffalo has
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: had the more tightly packed schedule out of the two
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: teams recently as well. The money is coming in on
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: the Toronto side in this one, even though the money
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: line for whatever reason plummeted for minus one seventy one
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: and minus one forty nine, so you get a better
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: price on Toronto, but the actual money looks like it
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: is on Toronto. Sixty nine percent of the tickets, ninety
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Toronto. And that is
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: where I'm going with this one. I think it's one
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: of those quick revenge spots. Yeah, I'm gonna go with it.
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: And then we don't really know who the starting goalies
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: are gonna be yetting this one of though, actually we
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: do kind of know. Now it looks like we're gonna
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: get two backup goalies in this one, So I'm okay
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: with that because I still think Toronto is just the
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: better team. So they've already confirmed it's gonna be and
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: net for them, so it won't be Stolars in net
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: for Toronto this time. And Ellis looks like he is
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: going to be the goalie for Buffalo because it is
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: the back to back. Yeah, I know, the one game
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: that Ellis played was a win against Detroit, but he's
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: only played once this year, man, so I don't know
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: if we can really gauge anything from that, Like there's
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: a reason why Ellis has only played one game this
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: year so far as far as Toronto. Though as far
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: as Primo playing, he played one game in Toronto did
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: win that game as well, so I guess you know,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: you could say the same about Primo as well. He
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: only played one game and it was a game against
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: a lesser opponent in Nashville. But still, I think that
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: at the very least, that the goalie situation just kind
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: of negates itself. So Toronto is the play in that one. Nate,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. The Sabers are hot.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: I think the the I think that the saber will
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: cool off here, man, I think we're done for forging
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: a new weapon here. The new saber, it'll cool off,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: and I think it'll get broken in this one. And
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: then my other play. Jeffrey is not gonna like this one,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be the Florida Panthers on the money
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: line here against Vegas. People are there's no way that
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: people are gonna want to do this, man. Vegas is
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: a slight favorite in this one. They still haven't lost
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: in regulation. Florida's below five hundred, but they are three
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: and one at home, so Florida's still been a good
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: home team this year. They've had a lot of road
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: games this year and they haven't been good on the road.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: But I think they're being a little bit undervalued actually
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: at this point, even though the returning champs. I know
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: they got injuries, but I think Florida is actually better
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: than they look at this point. And I don't like
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: the spot for Vegas. Vegas is coming up that really
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: good win over Carolina. That's a huge win for them, man,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: And now they're starting a road trip. I know when
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: you start a road trip, usually you are focused to
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: start a road trip, but The other problem I have
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: with Vegas right now is that they won four games
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: in a row and now they've had four days off.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: So you're gonna argue, well, maybe, yeah, that means Vegas
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: is rested. Yeah, but I think it is gonna start
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: turning into rust at some point, man. This is what
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: I talk about with like football buys. When you have
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: a huge win streak like that, the last thing you
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: want to do is stop playing because it could stop
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: your momentum. So I don't think that's a good thing.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: The fact they've had that many days off, I don't
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: think it's good. I don't like it. Vegas has actually
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: had a pretty easy schedule so far too, So yes,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: they're good, but I don't think they're quite as good
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: as their record looks. I mean, their wins are against
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: San Jose, Calgary twice, Boston and then Carolina was their
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: only really good wins so far. So Vegas has not
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: really been tested yet, even in their losses to Seattle
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: in LA not really tested. I mean those teams are
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: not great really, So yeah, Vegas is gonna have to
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: step it up here, man. And this one, Florida has
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: faced the more difficult schedule Florida is more battle tested.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: I mean I've at least played Detroit, New Jersey. I
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: mean those teams are off to good starts. I mean
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Autow was on a terrible team. I know this isn't
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: like the biggest gauntlet, but Florida has also played a
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: ton of road games. Like I said, they played five
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: road games in a row in the in the middle
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: here and that's where all their losses came except for
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: one of them. So and I believe their only home
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: loss was yeah, their most recent one, so you can
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: kind of explain that. So Florida started out three and zero,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: not beating anybody that good except Audit was pretty decent.
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: They lost a revenge game to Philadelphia. Philadelphia was in revenge,
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: which I think I gave out Philadelphia as a play
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: in that one. Lost at Detroit, at New Jersey. You
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: can kind of forgive them for those. They did lose
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: at Buffalo, they beat Boston in Boston on a Boston mistake.
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: And then their last game, and they can kind of
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: explain why they lost it because they were returning home
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. Bad spot. When you return home
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: from a road trip, man, as I always say, you
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: can tend to get a little bit unfocused there, and
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think they were focused for this Pittsburgh team.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: It's not really that good. They took the loss, but
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: now Florida is in a positive spot because when a
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: team returns home from a road trip and they don't
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: do well and they get distracted in that first game,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: they tend to do a lot better in the second game.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: And I think they might have already been looking ahead
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: to this and maybe taking Pittsburgh light. They realizing they
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: had a big game against Vegas next, So I think
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get a full effort this time out of Florida.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: So I like it. Man. As far as the goaltenders,
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: we don't know yet. All the last I saw, yeah,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: as we can still see, it looks like the Florida
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: looks like they have Beebroski at least slated to be
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: their goalie here, and he is their top of their
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: two goaltenders, And it looks like Vegas actually is predicted
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: to have their backup goalie or their second string goalie,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: which is Schmid because Hill was their h top string goalie,
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: although they kind of bring them both into the mix,
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: so that remains to be seen, but I like Florida.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Vegas is a public side here. Sixty eight percent of
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only fifty five percent of the cash. Vegas
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: up from minus one to one to minus one thirteen
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: on the money line, so you can get a little
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: bit of a better price on Florida. The line creeps
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: up a little bit like that, but the public is
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: on that Vegas side. I like Florida. That's the other
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: play there. Hopefully we continue to do well here in
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: this one. Ellis is a fourth or fifth goalie. Yeah,
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: dude again, Yeah, Buffalo's goaltenders they're not good. I think
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: they're worse than the Maple Leafs goalies. Florida sucks. Well,
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: you keep saying that, but this is a spot that
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: definitely pretty much screams to play Florida in this one.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: And I Florida's again. They're not as bad as their
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: record looks. And I am not a Florida fan because
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: they keep beating the Bruins. So the only thing I
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: like about them is they have marshan underdog. Bet well,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: that's a small underdog. And then the Maple Leafs are favorite.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: Mark stone Is on Vegas. Yeah, he's good for sure, Zach,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: what's up man, Thanks for hanging out. Devil's Devils are
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: not actually playing today, right or where they? I don't know.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: I talked about every game. I don't think they were
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: playing today. Islanders fired their goaltending coach. Interesting, all right,
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: that's good to know. So I don't know if that
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: means there's gonna be a little bit of a fire
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: coach phenomenon there with the Islanders. Is that gonna mean
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: that the Islanders is gonna be better? I don't think
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: it's like the spark that you get when you fire
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: your head coach. Though maybe their goaltending will be a
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: little bit better in this one. But I still like
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia in that game based on the situation. Let's go
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: to the NBA. We only have five games here. I'm
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: gonna try to go rapid fire. Just briefly here. Chicago
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: had Atlanta Chicago. They beat Detroit in their home opener
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: in an upset, pretty big win, just because Detroit was
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: good last year. Chicago now going out on the road,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: but I think they will still be focused for Orlando
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: to Chicago, said two days off. Orlando has been a
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: good team recently too. Orlando's on a back to back.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: They played yesterday and they lost to Atlanta. As a
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: home favorite, they're staying at home. They haven't exactly impressed yet,
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: not covering either game as a road favorite so far.
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: So I can kind of see arguments for both teams here,
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: although the rest situation definitely does favorite Chicago in this one,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: and the money looks like it's coming in on the
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Magic though they're down from seven to six, sixty five
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: percent tickets eighty two percent of the cash on Orlando, though,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: I could see the argument that Orlando's in a in
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: a bounced back spot because they didn't play well really
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: in either home game so far, so even though they
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: aren't a back to back, I usually don't want to
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: play on a team that's in a back to back,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: although I'm going to, like I said, but and not
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: this one. But I mean, I could see some arguments
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: from maybe looking towards Orlando, like you could argue maybe
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: the Bulls are in a little bit of a letdown
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: spot here, but the Bulls do have a rest advantage
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: at the very least, so the market says Orlando. I'm
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: kind of unsure about it. Okase is going to Atlanta here,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City is coming off that double overtime game, but
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: they're actually coming off two double overtime games, beating Houston
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: and then escaping against Indiana as well, so they actually
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: basically escaped two games his favorite so far. So they've
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: played four overtimes since Tuesday, and now they're going to Atlanta,
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: and they do have Dallas up Nextuse, I know Dallas
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: is off to a really ugly start, but maybe Oklahoma
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: City will overlook Atlanta a little bit here. Man, It's
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: not the easiest spot, even though you could argue that, well,
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: the Thunder didn't play up to their standards right as
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: a favorite there, and I told you I liked Indiana
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: and that revenge spot that was one of my plays.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: Indiana did cover for us in that one. Maybe they
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: could have won the game outright. But still, Oklahoma City's
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: played so many periods of basketball so far that I
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: think they're going to be tired, man. So I don't
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: love the spot for Oklahoma City here, even though, yeah,
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: you could argue that because they almost lost as a favorite,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: they're going to show up focus. I don't know, man.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: And Atlanta is on a back to back. They're playing
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days. They're coming back home
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: from an upset win in or Orlando yesterday. So Atlanta's
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: not exactly in the greatest spot either, although you got
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: to think they're going to focus with the returning champs
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City coming into their place. The money's coming in
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: on the Hawks, the Thunder down from six and a
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: half to six sixty nine percent of the tickets on
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: the Thunder sixty six percent of the cash, though on
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: the Hawks. The market is saying to play the Hawks.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I would use the market as
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: like the deciding factor. When I think there are conflicting
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: situational factors, I kind of default to leaning with the
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: market in a case like that. I mean, I could
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: definitely see that that the argument is going to be
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: that Oklahoma City is very, very tired right now. That
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: argument does make sense to me, But I can't get
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: there with Atlanta either. Charlotte at Philadelphia. Philadelphia could be
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot here, man. I mean, they pulled
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: off the upset against the Celtics. I know it's a struggling,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: kind of depleted Celtics team here Philadelphia beating the Boston though,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: it's still a big deal for Philadelphia. This is gonna
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: be their home opener, but I think they might overlook Charlotte, man, maybe,
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: and they do over Orlando up next. Orlando, a team
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: that's made the playoffs last couple of years, seeing as
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: a better team than Charlotte. So I think Charlotte actually
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: is a little bit under the radar right now. Man.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: Charlotte actually looks like they might be improved. We don't
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: know yet. They're coming off a blowout win and they're
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: open or over Brooklyn, which I think really what that
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: will do is just it'll give Charlotte confidence moving forward.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn is really bad, so we'll see how much meaning
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: that game really has. But starting a road trip off
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: of that kind of confidence building win, I actually think
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better for Charlotte. And this line
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: just kind of looks crazy, man. The fact that the
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Sixers are only a four and a half point favorite
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: against Charlotte, who was really really bad last year. Sixers
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: down from six and a half to four and a half.
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Fifty two percent of the tickets and seventy seven percent
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Hornets. I'll agree with the
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: money in that one. I would lean to the Hornets
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: in that one. I do think it's a bit of
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Philly. Not gonna be my play,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: but I don't disagree with the market in that one.
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: I think Charlotte maybe the right side there. And you
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: gotta look at to see if there are injury issues
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: here with Philadelphia, you always do. Paul George is still out,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: so he already missed the first game. That's really the
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: main thing is George is still out, so there's not
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: really anything else to see there. But as I mentioned,
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: and B did not look good in that Celtic game. Man,
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: he looks like he can't jump anymore, so he does
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: not look So we will see. Jeffrey, you like the
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: under in that one. I will. Yeah, Edgecomb had a
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: ridiculous game in that first game for Philadelphia's That's another
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: reason why you kind of got to expect a little
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: bit of regression from Philadelphia. For that reason, Philadelphia shot
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: kind of out of their minds from three point range,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: including Edgecomb in his NBA debut. He's a good shooter.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I agree, I think there should
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: be some regression there. Maybe it'll come into play on
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: the total the money's coming in the over in that game,
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: but at this point, the line's gone way up from
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: two thirty one and a half to two thirty six
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: and a half, eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety seven
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over, money continuing to
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: come in on the over. But I kind of agree
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: with you that. Like you see two teams that both
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: put up high point totals in their first game. Yeah,
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really gonna disagree with an under
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: in that one. You you won on the under in
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: the MAVs game yesterday. Yeah, hell yeah. Man. I mean
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: I'm I don't do NBA totals really, so I don't
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: really know a ton about it, but I could pretty
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: much say that. Yeah, I mean, I think this line
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: has gone too high on this Charlotte Philadelphia game. Uh,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: it is really high, and I think some of that
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: is just based on recent say, the fact that both
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: those teams scored a lot. I'm gonna skip Indiana Memphis
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: for now. Phoenix Denver. I don't even know if it's
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: that much worth talking about. Denver lost their first game
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: two Golden State in overtime on the road. This is
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be Denver's home opener. Part of me thinks Denver
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: is gonna show up for this, even though yeah, they
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: do have Minnesota up next a big game as well,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: which actually is that a revenge game? Let me see
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: what a Denver? I forget? Who did what in the postseason? No,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Denver lost to Oklahoma City. Of course they did. That's
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: all right. Denver lost to Oklahoma City in the playoffs
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: last year. But yeah, Denver does have Minnesota coming up next.
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: But I don't know that they actually overlook a team
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: in their home opener though man Denver's home opener a Denver.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: They might be a little bit pissed too, because they
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: usually actually dominate Golden State. Jokic usually just destroys Golden State,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: and Golden State was able to beat them in overtime. Still,
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: it's a big game, though, So I could see taking
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: this game either way, right, Like, I could see Denver
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: maybe being in a bounce back spot just because they've
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: dominated Golden State recently. But you could argue that was
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: also a big game and it was a hard fought
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: game that went into overtime, and it could be a
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: hangover spot too. So I don't know which opinion I
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: would even take here. Phoenix is on a back to
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: back though, and they're having to go from La into Denver.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: So that doesn't like a good spot to me. With
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: no rest, they have to go from the Pacific Coast
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: into Denver. They lost. The Clippers had a nice bounce
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: back last night. They were able to cover after I
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: think losing in a blowout in their first game, right yeah,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: to Utah. So I was correct about my lean, and
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: I think SOB got that one right as well. I
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: think on the Clippers, he said he was going first quarter,
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: and I actually think the Clippers didn't turn it on
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: until later in the game. So I do think the
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: spot is pretty bad for Phoenix. Eighty four percent of
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on the Nuggets though, and only eighty
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash although they're roup from twelve
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: and after thirteen. Don't know what I would want to
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: do with this game, to be honest. The money is
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: saying to take the points with the Suns. I don't
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: know if I see it man back to back again
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: with just kind of a weird travel spot nugget home opener,
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: losing to a team that they usually dominate. I might
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: slightly disagree with that when it maybe lean towards laying
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: the points. But of course the Nuggets can come in
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: and win this game. They can win without covering, obviously,
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: and maybe they just won't really take the Suns that
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: seriously because the Suns don't have Durant anymore. And whatever,
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. My play as the best bet
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: segment continues, is Memphis as a pick them or I
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: think they're minus won in a lot of spots out
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: there right now, either way, whatever you can find, or
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: a money line play. I like the grizz in this one.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: I think it's a terrible spot for Indiana. Memphis has
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: flipped from one and a half point dog to a
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: pick them. Fifty percent of the tickets on the Pacers,
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash coming in on the Grizzlies,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the Grizzlies. And one of the
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: things that the Pacers like to do is they like
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: to run the floor. And like I said, I thought
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: that was gonna continue to keep the thunder tired. After
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: a double overtime game for the Thunder, I just thought
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: the Pacers were in a like huge revenge spot too
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: playoff final or NBA Final revenge mode for the Pacers.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: But because the Pacers like to play fast. I don't
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: think that that's gonna be that helpful to them here
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: because the Grizzlies also do that, so they're not really
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to like throw Memphis off as far
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: as they're pacing. And I just think this is a
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: terrible spot for Indiana, man. And that was the game
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: they wanted on Thursday against Oklahoma City, and they almost
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset, they almost got their Finals revenge,
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: went into double overtime, and they have to come away
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: with falling short in that game. And now they go
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: out on the road to face Memphis. To me, it
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: seems like a brutal spot. Man. They do have Minnesota
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: up next. I don't know if they're gonna look ahead
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota as well, because Minnesota is better than Memphis is.
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but this just looks like a really
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: really bad spot to me for Indiana. They're still without
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Hal Burton, of course, so Indiana a little bit shorthanded
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: right now. Memphis did they did have a Morant in
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: the lineup yesterday. Some Moran played. Some Moran doesn't hurt,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: So just somebody keep in mind Morant will be there again.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: As I mentioned, Yes, Memphis is on a back to
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: back here, but I think this is a get right
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: spot for me Memphis. Man, if they got absolutely embarrassed
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: by the Miami Heat yesterday, I actually didn't think it
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: was that bad of a spot. The money was all
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: over Miami in that game, and I didn't even really
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: agree with it. So Sab I think had Miami yesterday,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: so good for him. Miami was an easy win on
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: that one. But Memphis is now coming off that game
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: they got absolutely just embarrassed on their home floor. Man.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: They lost by whatever that is, thirty two points. They
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: give up one hundred and forty six. I know Memphis
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: is not a defensive jug or not, but still, I mean,
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: you play a game that poorly, you're gonna want to
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: bounce back in the next game. I know it's a
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: back to back, but I think the spot is still
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: way worse for Indiana. I think Memphis is gonna show
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: up for this one, man, and maybe they didn't really
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: show up yesterday. So yeah, I like Memphis in this one.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: They have not been impressive so far, though they did
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: somehow get the cover in that first game against a
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: New Orleans team that I thought was actually primed to
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: cover that number. Moran's had a terrible shooting game, by
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: the way. That's the other thing you'd take away from this.
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in this game, you're
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: gonna get some regression back to a mean here man,
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: because Miami shot fifty three point nine percent from the
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: field and forty seven point five percent from three point range.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: That's absurd, Like, you're not gonna see I really highly
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: doubt that you're gonna see Indiana shoot that well in
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: this game against Memphis here, and especially shoot that well
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: from three. That was an outlier type of spot there
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: from Miami. I don't think that's gonna happen again. Memphis
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: had a really poor shooting game too, forty percent from
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: the field, twenty eight point nine percent from three. That's
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: an outlier too. I don't think that's gonna repeat itself either.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: So there's a lot of room for some like progression
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: basically from Memphis here after that outlier bad shooting performance. Uh,
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: I think that they couldn't possibly shoot as badly as
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: they did in that game in this game today or tonight.
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: They did get dominated on the boards, But now you're
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: looking at a team in in Indiana that does not
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: have a guy like out of bioh. So Indiana is
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna be able to I think, dominate Memphis on
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: the boards as much as as much as the heat
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: We're able to do, And of course a lot of
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: that was because Zach ed he was hurt, but he
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: still is, so we do have to keep that in
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: mind that Zach Edy is injured. Memphis does have a
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: lot of injuries, but obviously so does Indiana. Both these
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: teams are really injured, and Indiana, in addition to Halliburton,
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: they're without Nemhard right now and McConnell as well, so
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: they have a lot of guys who are in the
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: rotation that are that are out here. Man. So I
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: actually think Memphis is the team that's less injury decimated, obviously,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: because I mean, Haliburton is a huge injury for Indiana.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: So that's what we got going on there. And I
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: assume Haliburton is still out right. He's not listed on
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: the injury report, but I think that's because he's out
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: for the whole season. If I'm not mistaken, right, I'm
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: pretty sure Haliburton's not because he wrecked his leg. He
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: basically had a Jason Tatum injury. I think they were
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: both out for basically the whole So Memphis is the
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: right play. The money's coming in on that side. I'm
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about World Series. Then we'll get out of it.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: We'll get out of here. I should say Suns plus
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: five sixty on the money line. Yeah, I would not
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: do that. I think Denver will at least have enough
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: focus to win that game. Yeah, McConnell is still out.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: As we just saw plenty of the underdogs. Yeah. I
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: was on all underdogs in the NBA yesterday and three
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: of them won outright, although two of them are really
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: tiny underdogs though. The Lakers. The Lakers they think went
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: off at like a one and a half point underdog.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: I gave them out a two and a half. And
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: then Portland I think actually went up to about a
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: two point underdog, and I gave them out as a
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: one point underdog. All right, baseball, Before I get out
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: of here, I mean, we had just a crazy game yesterday.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Man La was winning the game two to nothing yesterday.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Early Snell was off to a good start in the game.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: He loaded the bases in whatever it was the fifth
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: inning or whatever and everything went to hell. And I
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: think Toronto scored nine runs in that game, and I
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: think LA probably I mean I talked about this last night.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: I was trying to gather my thoughts. I think LA
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: probably pulled Snell too early in that game. To be honest,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: I think he might have been able to limit the
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: damage more than their bullpend did. The bullpend really did
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: not do well for LA, including Emmett Shehan who was
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: a young, very talented pitcher who I like. They didn't
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: do well in that game. Man, So LA just wound
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: up being a lost game for them. They lost eleven
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: of four. I mean, LA is still the better team,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: though I think there's still a favorite to win the series.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Probably neither team has a good bullpen. Toronto used more
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen yesterday, and they did use Domingas I
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: think too early on, because I think he's one of
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: their like last men out of the bullpen, him and
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: a Hoffman, I believe, though they didn't use Hoffman yesterday,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: but they did use Domingaz, so maybe a little bit
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: of a concern there where Toronto actually went to the
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: bullpend pretty early on. They used at least one of
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: their like back end relief men, whereas I think the
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: Dodgers that didn't exactly use like their best relievers yesterday.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: So I think the Dodgers' bullpen is actually in somewhat
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: better shape coming into this game. Their team overall through
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: fewer pitches as well, their bullpend throw way fewer pitches.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: Dodgers bullpen through fifty six pitches, Toronto's bullpen yesterday through
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: ninety one. So Toronto's bullpen is the more used up
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: bullpen of the two, and I actually think they might
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: be the slightly worse of the two bullpens anyway, So
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers do have a bullpen edge coming
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: into this one. The Dodgers probably gonna be really angry
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: after that game. Yes, Toronto is better at home, so
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: that's somebody to keep in mind. Toronto very good home team.
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: Dodgers kind of a mediocre road team. Dodgers did just
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: lose Snell. They didn't lose Snell, but they lost the
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: game that Snell started, so they had to take a
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: loss with one of their better starters on the mound.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: I think they right the ship, though in my opinion,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: I would lean to the Dodgers in this one. Uh
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: They're up for minus one forty to minus one forty
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: three on the money line here, still lyned as a
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: road favorite, and the osmakers are doing that for a reason.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: The public, I think, is not really gonna want to
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: do that with the Dodgers, especially after seeing that they
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: got killed yesterday and now Toronto has basically their best
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: starter on the mound tonight, So I think the public
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: doesn't really want much to do with the Dodgers right now.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent of the tickets eighty five percent of
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the Dodgers here, So the
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the Dodgers. I'm not gonna disagree
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: with it. The total's gone up a little bit, eighty
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets on the over, ninety three percent
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. The total up a
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: little bit from seven and a half to seven and
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: a half. Juice to the over, even though I know
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: yesterday's game was like almost misleadingly high scoring, I would
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: not want to play an under in this game. I mean,
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: I thought yesterday's game might have been a decent spot
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: to go under, and it looked like it was trending
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: towards an under until all hell broke loose pretty much,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: but that's kind of what you get when you have
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: two bulp and aren't really very good. So I would
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: definitely worry about trying to play an under in this game.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: There's no way I would do that. If I was
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I would go Dodgers, probably money
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: line full game here, because I do actually think they
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: have a bullpen rest ed yere and I actually think
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: they have the better starter on the mount in Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: Good season for him two point four to nine ERA,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: point nine to nine whip. He was actually better on
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: the road two point one to three road ERA. He's
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: been good in the playoffs one point eight three ERA.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: So I think the pressure won't get to him now
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: that he's up pitch really well throughout the playoffs in
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: three starts eighteen to four strike a walk ratio in
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. He is coming off a complete game, though,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: so I think that's one thing that maybe you have
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: to be a little bit concerned about. Complete game against Milwaukee.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: We he only allowed one in run, So I mean,
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: is that gonna hang him over a little bit coming
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: into this one? Maybe, But he's had a lot of
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: days off. Dude. He hasn't pitched since the fourteenth, so
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: he is gonna be really rested. So that makes me
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: less worseorried about the fact that he threw one hundred
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: and eleven pitches in that one. Uh Dodgers going real
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: old school here, and you saw it down the stretch.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: He was thrown over one hundred pitches fairly regularly, so
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: it's not like totally like out of the realm of
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: possibility for him. Against the Blue Jays, they only have
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: two hitters I've ever seen him before, and they're only
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: a combined one for three France and kinder Filefa, who
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: has the only hit off him, which is a single.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: France does have a walk. They have two strikeouts one
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: walk off him, so Yamamoto is almost completely unfamiliar to
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: the Blue Jays too. I think that's another edge for
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: Yamamoto because he's unfamiliar to the opposing hitter. So I
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: do think that gives him an edge in this one.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: I talk about that a lot. When the starting pitcher
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: is unfamiliar to the opposing hitters, the hitters have to
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: kind of figure him out on the fly, So I
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: think that gives him an edge Kevin Gossman, like I said,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: is pitching for Toronto here. He is their best starter.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: He had a really good run down the stretch. He
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: pitched really well down the stretch this season, three point
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: five ninety one point six whip. He's the more experienced pitcher,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: and yes, experience is a factor. Experience does matter when
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: it comes to a World Series. Although Gossman hasn't got Gossman,
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: whatever his name is, he hasn't pitched a World Series before,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: but he obviously has more playoff experience than Yamamoto does.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: Is Yamamoto doesn't have really that much. Gossman was worse
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: at home though this year three point eight six ERA
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: at home, and he has not been as good in
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: the playoffs as Yamamoto has. Gossman hasn't thrown as many
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: pitches though, but he has a two ERA in the playoffs,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: which is good. But his strikeout walk ratio is not good.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: Twelve to nine strike out walk ratio for Gossman. That's
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: not that great of a sign man. He's been a
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: little bit out of control coming into the playoffs here.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: In his last couple starts to finish the regular season
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: were if he as well, so I don't think he's
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: in the greatest form right now. His numbers against the
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: Dodgers one hundred and fifty six at bats, they have
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: a lot of experience against him. Forty five to sixteen
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. That's too many walks as well.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: Two thirty seven batting averages in that bad that's low,
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: but seven fifty seven ops is getting into the higher
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: range here. So the Dodgers, they've been able to hit
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: Gossman a little bit. They've hit him all right, at
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: least for power. So you got Yamamoto who has the
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: better home road splits, he has the unfamiliarity edge. He's
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: been better recently, so I mean he's in better form
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: right now. I should say a lot of things kind
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: of going for Yamamoto in this one man. Should we
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: do it? Should we play the Dodgers in this one man?
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm also tempted to say playing the Dodgers
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: to win the World Series is actually a decent look
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: as well right now, because you're gonna get them at
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: a better price. I think this might be the best
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: price you'll get on the Dodgers to win the World
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: Series and get them at a smaller favorite price. Here.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: I'm tempted to go to go Dodgers in this one. Man,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: I am, let's see Otani eatingless home run I mean
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: his home runs. I don't know, man, I mean he's
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: a really good hitter. Though you think Yamamodo is gonna
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: cry well that? I mean. The umpires are definitely a
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: factor here. But if you think that the umpires want
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: to extend the series and get more baseball because it's
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: more money than they probably want the Dodgers to win
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: this game. The Blue Jays are a selective team, that
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: is true. The Jays are a really good offense. So
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: are the Dodgers. I mean, the Dodgers are really good,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: like they just the Dodgers hit really well, and Toronto
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: is a very patient offense that also hits well. You
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: added Colorado, sob what's up? Man? You're on Colorado plus
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: the points. You're on the Blue Jackets money line. What
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: did I say about the Blue Jackets and the Blues Grizzlies? Yes,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: I am on the Grizzlies. That's one of my plays,
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: blue Jackets and Blues. I forget what I said about
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: those games. What did I say about those games? I
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: don't know. You can go back and listen to what
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: I said about those games. They're not plays for me.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I don't remember if I agreed
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: or disagreed on those. You have a Blue Jays ticket there.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: You think the Dodgers win. I agree with you. The
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: you think the baseball wants you think baseball wants the
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays. You bet Otani to get a home run
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: last night, Charles, you gotta win on that. I don't
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: like the home run props. As you know, you never
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: get good enough odds on it. You know what, though,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do this. I don't care. I think this
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: sets up a lot better. This is the type of
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: play that I usually am going to make. We can
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: get it at minus one forty on the money line. Here,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: we're doing it. We're going all out today. Well, we're
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: gonna wind up with eight plays today. Here you go.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: We'll get involved in the World Series. My bab dude,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: My baseball playoffs have been really good. One of my
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: five to one and one in the playoffs so far.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: I know, famous last words, but we're gonna do it.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: Dodgers money line, fuck it. We'll have a play on
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers as well. I I talk myself into it.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: Let's do it, and that's gonna do it. Man. Thanks
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: for hanging out guys once again. All my plays today
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: college football Oklahoma minus five, Wake Forest plus three and
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: a half, Iowa State minus two and a half, Missouri
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: plus three, South Carolina plus eleven and a half. Hockey.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: We got a split bet on the Toronto Mape beliefs,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: partially on the puck line, partially on the money line.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: We got Florida Panthers money line. NBA, we got Memphis
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: pick them or if you can find a plus one
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: like SOB did Dodgers money line in the World Series,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Learn it tote on Twitter, learn
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: it ote on Instagram, Lake, subscribe to the show here.
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: Let's keep boosting this thing. I've been hot, man, so
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: let's keep going with this. Actually, we have nine plays today,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: not eight. Nine. We have five football plays, not four.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: I'll be back tonight to talk NFL. It's a shorter
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: NFL board this time, but it'll still be probably at
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: least an hour show, so come back for that. I
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: only have one play that I'm almost definitively gonna give
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: out though, but come back for that. At around midnight.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: I learned it to one on Instagram better off dead,
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: like subscribe here go give me a good review on iTunes, Spotify, whatever,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Apple and Spotify. Listen over there. That helps me out
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: as well. Covered in Yuke on YouTube, my Yuke channel
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: and Patreon dot com. Slash undertow and you get some
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: bonus content. You can request Yuke covers and get a
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Yuke Patreon feed or Spotify feed. That's it. That's gonna
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: do it. Uh, you guys are all mad at me.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: I know, Uh, Jeffrey's mad at me for the Dodger
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: play there, the Blue Jays will be No, I don't
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: think the Blue Jays will be happiness but the first
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: two because they'll loose home field advantage if they lose
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: either one. But during an underdog in both games, there's
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: still an underdog for the Seriously, you gotta think it
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: was pretty likely. Yeah, I'm a motor relies on the umps.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: Like Snell is a really good picture man. I will
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: not partake in your Snell hatred. He's really good, yamamoda.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: The only concern is that he might be you know,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: the question is is the pressure gonna get to him?
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Thank you Charles. Thank you, sir, Thank you Jeffrey. I
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: appreciate it. Thanks for coming back, Thanks for hanging out man,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: food fighters reference there. Thank you, sir. Nate. What's up man, Nate,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: you're a Stars fan. I forget what I said about
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: the Stars today. I think I said I did lean
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: to the stars today, but I forget. We're gonna look
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: to the stars, toad Breakers. You're not gonna break me, bro,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. I appreciate it. I'll be back
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: tonight for NFL. Thanks peace for now, guys,