Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 8 with Scooch, Darren Rovell, and Simon Hunter

Transcript

NFL Week 8 with Scooch, Darren Rovell, and Simon Hunter · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network. Guy,
0:14
Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman. Another big week in met fell. Later
0:21
Speaker 1: on in the show, UM, we're gonna have Simon Hunter
0:25
Speaker 1: and Damn Ravelle on and we're gonna talk about our
0:27
Speaker 1: attempt to win one point five million dollars which had
0:31
Speaker 1: been started had been going really really well until this
0:34
Speaker 1: past weekend. I'm gonna find ways to blame Darren for this. Uh.
0:38
Speaker 1: But first up, it's time for the Man, the Myth,
0:44
Speaker 1: the Legend from New Orleans representing BOYD Gaming all their
0:49
Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada and throughout the country.
0:52
Speaker 1: Mr Bob scoot g boom bad, what's going on my man? Uh?
1:16
Speaker 1: Listen for all of you who are listening to this show,
1:18
Speaker 1: don't forget you can listen to Scooch and I in
1:22
Speaker 1: a crazy rundown of everything that's happening in the NFL
1:27
Speaker 1: on Sundays from twelve to one. Download the Radio dot
1:30
Speaker 1: Com app search for you Better you Bet. Listen to
1:33
Speaker 1: it on Radio dot Com for you Better you Bet.
1:35
Speaker 1: It's the Action Network countdown to kick off, and it is,
1:38
Speaker 1: like Scooch tell me, it's not the most exciting hour
1:42
Speaker 1: of your week. It really is, and there's I don't
1:45
Speaker 1: think there's any show like it really that you have
1:48
Speaker 1: kind of live action from the sports book going on
1:51
Speaker 1: at the same time that we're kind of breaking down
1:52
Speaker 1: the game, so it's kind of real time. I mean,
1:57
Speaker 1: that's uh, the hour goes by so fast, so as
2:00
Speaker 1: I'm trying to break down the games and and move
2:02
Speaker 1: lines at the same time, it's, uh, it's a great hour.
2:05
Speaker 1: It is a great hour. I've usually got my uh
2:08
Speaker 1: ODDS screen up. I've got the odd screen that I
2:12
Speaker 1: use sports Insights dot Action network dot com. Sports Insights
2:16
Speaker 1: is like what you get if you're at the highest
2:20
Speaker 1: level of subscription for Action Network, and this screen is
2:24
Speaker 1: basically like a real time trading terminal that Wall Street
2:28
Speaker 1: traders would use when they're examining the markets. Only I'm
2:31
Speaker 1: seeing every line and I'm seeing how much money is
2:34
Speaker 1: coming in on each game, and it lights up when
2:37
Speaker 1: a big bet comes in, when the percentages are about
2:39
Speaker 1: to change. I'm watching what you're doing in real time,
2:41
Speaker 1: so you can start talking about a line change and
2:43
Speaker 1: I see it changing, and then we get excited and
2:45
Speaker 1: you know you're taking fifty bets and talking about why
2:47
Speaker 1: it's moving the line. It's an amazing show. It's exactly
2:50
Speaker 1: what I've always wanted to do. Like, honest to god,
2:52
Speaker 1: I feel like it's the exact perfect pregame show, whether
2:56
Speaker 1: you're interested in betting or not, just because, uh it's
2:59
Speaker 1: an entire the new way to look at the games,
3:01
Speaker 1: and so um go check it out. Scooch. Last night
3:06
Speaker 1: was Monday Night football and the Patriots were playing the Jets,
3:09
Speaker 1: and all week people have been telling me like, hey,
3:12
Speaker 1: you gotta take the Jets. It's plus ten, that's what
3:14
Speaker 1: the wise guys are doing. And my theory on that was,
3:17
Speaker 1: h yeah, for sure. Tell me what happened to you?
3:25
Speaker 1: Uh well, we we tried to stay high on it
3:28
Speaker 1: all week long. We let the wise guys take take
3:30
Speaker 1: the Jets for as much as, uh you knows, as
3:33
Speaker 1: much as they wanted. Basically, we dipped down the nine
3:36
Speaker 1: and a half a few times, but but kind of
3:38
Speaker 1: stayed at ten. We actually put ten and a half
3:40
Speaker 1: on our parley card and kept that up all week,
3:43
Speaker 1: so it wasn't um, it wasn't disastrous for us. We
3:46
Speaker 1: kind of balanced things out because of that. But kind
3:49
Speaker 1: of the you know, the role of thumb is you
3:50
Speaker 1: always have to take a double digit dog at home,
3:54
Speaker 1: and the Jets kind of looked good coming off of
3:56
Speaker 1: the win against Dallas. But we've often talked out it
4:00
Speaker 1: is you have to throw all the rules out the
4:01
Speaker 1: window when you talk about the Patriots. They just kind
4:04
Speaker 1: of defy all the other sports betting rules that have
4:07
Speaker 1: kind of been profitable over the years. And uh and
4:10
Speaker 1: I often said, you don't make a living bet against
4:12
Speaker 1: the Patriots. You don't make a living bet against the Patriots,
4:16
Speaker 1: especially against bad teams. I mean, I think that's the thing.
4:18
Speaker 1: And we actually talked about this on the radio show
4:21
Speaker 1: on Sunday. If you're going to bet the NFL, you
4:25
Speaker 1: have to bet on bad teams. You've got a bet
4:27
Speaker 1: on Washington plus ten. You've got a bet in the
4:29
Speaker 1: Bengals plus four and a half. You've got a bet
4:30
Speaker 1: in the Raiders plus five and a half. Like you've
4:33
Speaker 1: got certain values prescribed against every team, and if those
4:36
Speaker 1: values are out of whack according to the line that's
4:40
Speaker 1: been posted, then you bet those numbers. And numbers are
4:43
Speaker 1: always out of whack when it comes to bad teams
4:45
Speaker 1: because bookmaker is gonna shade the team that is higher profile.
4:49
Speaker 1: The Patriots are a different story. Like if they're playing
4:52
Speaker 1: the Chiefs or whomever, it's a different conversation. But if
4:55
Speaker 1: they're playing a bad team, they don't play down like
4:58
Speaker 1: they don't they don't get sucked, you know, they don't
5:01
Speaker 1: make mistakes that other teams make. They don't get lack
5:03
Speaker 1: of daisical um. If the Patriots are playing a black
5:06
Speaker 1: playing a bad team, bet the fucking Patriots. It's really
5:12
Speaker 1: true because they don't know any other way of playing.
5:14
Speaker 1: They don't change the game if they're up twenty thirty points,
5:17
Speaker 1: they don't change their style of play in the fourth quarter.
5:21
Speaker 1: They have one mode, they have kind of one method,
5:24
Speaker 1: and they don't put that. They don't take their foot
5:26
Speaker 1: off the gas pedal. And that's kind of why people
5:29
Speaker 1: have loved to bet on this team over the years,
5:31
Speaker 1: is because no matter how many points they're laying, you're
5:34
Speaker 1: always live. Even if it's the end of the game.
5:36
Speaker 1: And when normal teams are trying to run some clock down, uh,
5:39
Speaker 1: they're throwing downfield and then they're going to get the cover. Well, unfortunately,
5:43
Speaker 1: we got a little bit of time before we can
5:45
Speaker 1: get back to the Patriots, because oh no, we got uh,
5:47
Speaker 1: they'll play this weekend. I was looking forward on the
5:50
Speaker 1: board and to confine it for a second. All right,
5:52
Speaker 1: let's get to the first game on the board Thursday night.
5:55
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, Lizzo's Minnesota Vikings are fifteen and
5:59
Speaker 1: a half point favorites over the Washington Redskins at home. Look.
6:04
Speaker 1: I think that the game that the Vikings played against
6:06
Speaker 1: the Alliance was statement making. I was all over the
6:10
Speaker 1: lines in that game. The wise guys love the Vikings.
6:13
Speaker 1: I was scolding them. It's one of the few times
6:15
Speaker 1: I'm wrong. And uh, they came through and they look
6:19
Speaker 1: amazing and one of the few teams in the NFL
6:22
Speaker 1: tops and yards per play allowed and tops and yards
6:25
Speaker 1: per play gained, uh, top four and both. I believe
6:29
Speaker 1: the only team in the NFL that's true for they
6:30
Speaker 1: are turned into a really good team that's getting a
6:33
Speaker 1: lot of public sentiment. Am I right? Yeah? I was
6:36
Speaker 1: actually kind of high on the Vikings earlier this year,
6:38
Speaker 1: and they let me down a couple of times. That
6:41
Speaker 1: game against the Bears, I I really thought that they
6:43
Speaker 1: would That was the one that surprised me the most.
6:46
Speaker 1: But we didn't downgrade their ranking, and I still kept
6:49
Speaker 1: them up pretty high. Uh. Going into that Giants game,
6:53
Speaker 1: we were high on on the vikings. And then last
6:55
Speaker 1: week I think you and I were on different sides
6:57
Speaker 1: of that game. I really uh favored the vikings and
7:00
Speaker 1: were I was the first one to go to three.
7:01
Speaker 1: If you remember, we were doing our our Sunday show
7:04
Speaker 1: and everyone was at two and a half on the game,
7:06
Speaker 1: and I was the first one to go to three
7:07
Speaker 1: on the vikings because not only were we getting money,
7:10
Speaker 1: but I also wanted to try and draw some more
7:13
Speaker 1: Lions money on that game. And how did that work
7:15
Speaker 1: out for you? Well, I mean we still end up
7:19
Speaker 1: getting beep because the wise guys were on the vikings.
7:21
Speaker 1: But I know you don't like this saying, but I
7:24
Speaker 1: saved us money by not losing as much as we
7:26
Speaker 1: could have. I'm sure your bosses love it. Guys, I
7:30
Speaker 1: did so well this week. We could have lost so
7:32
Speaker 1: much more money, But because I'm a genius, I saved us.
7:39
Speaker 1: That's how good our bookmaker I am. Meanwhile, you did
7:42
Speaker 1: a nice job of telling me how it went last week. Um,
7:45
Speaker 1: can you tell me how it's going this week? Uh? Well,
7:49
Speaker 1: you know, the Redskins came through for US. That was
7:52
Speaker 1: another real big game for US for US last week
7:55
Speaker 1: against the US and barely getting the cover. There's ten points.
8:00
Speaker 1: So here they are now they're on the road, they're
8:02
Speaker 1: not at home. Vikings are are about the same rating
8:06
Speaker 1: right now as as the forty Niners, maybe actually just
8:09
Speaker 1: a half a shade higher, maybe maybe a point higher.
8:13
Speaker 1: So the line is pretty similar, except you know that
8:16
Speaker 1: now the Redskins are are on the road here, um,
8:20
Speaker 1: we're getting a little bit of Redskins money from the
8:22
Speaker 1: sharp guys. The public obviously is on the Vikings at
8:26
Speaker 1: about a three to one ratio. Thursday night, high profile game,
8:30
Speaker 1: it'll be just like the Monday night game where the
8:32
Speaker 1: where the public will be all over the double digit favorite,
8:35
Speaker 1: and we'll hope to draw a little wise guy money
8:37
Speaker 1: from the sharps on the Redskins. We dipped it up
8:42
Speaker 1: to sixteen just for just for a brief second or
8:45
Speaker 1: two and took a few thousand dollars, And now fifteen
8:48
Speaker 1: and a half looks kind of stable. Would you say
8:51
Speaker 1: that the Vikings are you're a top rated team in
8:54
Speaker 1: the NFC if they are rated higher than the forty Niners. Uh,
9:00
Speaker 1: I actually don't have the forty Niners ranked as the
9:03
Speaker 1: highest team. I still have the Saints, uh favorite over
9:07
Speaker 1: the uh if they play on a neutral field, I
9:09
Speaker 1: have the Saints higher than forty Niners. So, but I
9:12
Speaker 1: had the Vikings. UH, so forty Niners would be third
9:15
Speaker 1: behind the Saints and Vikings. Wow, that's news right there,
9:19
Speaker 1: we're breaking news. That that that uh breaking news. That's
9:25
Speaker 1: that's my that's just my rankings. Well, listen, your bookmaker
9:29
Speaker 1: of the world. So yep, you know I'm gonna gonna
9:34
Speaker 1: follow what you're doing. Probably gonna have to bet the
9:37
Speaker 1: Redskins though. You know why. It's why. If you're gonna
9:41
Speaker 1: play in the NFL, you gotta bet bad teams. Hey,
9:44
Speaker 1: I make a living root for bad teams. Thirty years
9:47
Speaker 1: of rooting for bad teams. You look pretty good too,
9:50
Speaker 1: so it must not be killing you. It's tough, you know.
9:55
Speaker 1: The thing of it is, when you're rooting for these
9:57
Speaker 1: bad teams. It's like, even when they're in the game,
10:00
Speaker 1: k and they get a couple of breaks and they're
10:02
Speaker 1: right there, they're getting seventeen points, fifteen points, and the
10:05
Speaker 1: game's tied at halftime or something like that, there's always
10:10
Speaker 1: a pick six or or a key third and long
10:13
Speaker 1: were they have a penalty that puts the other team in,
10:16
Speaker 1: you know, gives them new life. And you're starting to
10:19
Speaker 1: say why why, But then you realize that that's why
10:23
Speaker 1: they're bad teams. That these key mistakes that you said
10:25
Speaker 1: the Patriots never never make. You never see the Patriots
10:29
Speaker 1: making those kind of mistakes. And if they did, uh,
10:33
Speaker 1: you know that then you'd be able to bet against
10:36
Speaker 1: him once in a while. Yeah, the equal number of
10:38
Speaker 1: times last night you saw Sam Donald fading back against
10:42
Speaker 1: the rush when Tom Brady, tom Brady was stepping up
10:46
Speaker 1: into the pocket. That was everything that there were probably
10:49
Speaker 1: four players where that happened. And Donald throws a pick
10:52
Speaker 1: and tom Brady throws a completion. Yep. The little things
10:57
Speaker 1: that make the difference. But it's your huge Seattle Atlanta.
11:01
Speaker 1: We don't know what Matt Ryan's status is. Do you
11:03
Speaker 1: have that game on the board right now? We do
11:05
Speaker 1: not know, But I mean this line will be anywhere
11:08
Speaker 1: from you know, for Seattle to six Seattle. Uh So
11:15
Speaker 1: I mean this is we just have to wait and see,
11:18
Speaker 1: uh what the status of Ryan is. But what you're
11:20
Speaker 1: saying is Ryan is worth two points against the points
11:23
Speaker 1: but it's not like he's a world beater. Yeah. I
11:27
Speaker 1: think Shop came in and actually got their only touchdown.
11:30
Speaker 1: But I mean it's not a huge when you when
11:32
Speaker 1: the team is playing this bad, as bad as the
11:35
Speaker 1: Falcons are. We've beat this drum all year about how
11:38
Speaker 1: how bad this team is, and and Ryan in particular,
11:41
Speaker 1: and he had a nice line last week when you
11:43
Speaker 1: said he looked like he was eighty five years old.
11:45
Speaker 1: He did look that old when he was walking out
11:48
Speaker 1: of the tunnel. So um, there's not a huge step
11:51
Speaker 1: down even when you go to, you know, a backup quarterback. Here,
11:55
Speaker 1: if Matt Ryan looks eighty five years old, Matt shab
11:59
Speaker 1: looks like he's Moses. Like that's how that's how long
12:03
Speaker 1: he's been around. I swear to god, I don't even
12:06
Speaker 1: know how long has been playing, but I swear to God.
12:08
Speaker 1: Like back in the ESPN the magazine days when it
12:12
Speaker 1: was still in New York and I was an editor
12:16
Speaker 1: in the NFL group. Um, ESPN the magazine used to
12:20
Speaker 1: have a franchise called Next where it was like predicting
12:22
Speaker 1: who the next great stars were gonna be. And Matt Shop,
12:25
Speaker 1: excuse me, had been a backup in Atlanta had played
12:28
Speaker 1: pretty well. We were predicting that he was going to
12:30
Speaker 1: be the next great backup to go start somewhere, and
12:32
Speaker 1: he ended up having a pretty good run in Houston.
12:35
Speaker 1: Uh So I think about that. That was probably two
12:38
Speaker 1: thousand five, two thousand six, maybe like yeah, because I
12:42
Speaker 1: remember I I remember watching Matt Shop when I was
12:45
Speaker 1: at the start Ust and the and the Startus hotel
12:48
Speaker 1: hasn't has been imploded since two thousand seven, so it
12:53
Speaker 1: hasn't even been around for twelve years. And I remember
12:55
Speaker 1: sitting in the office watching Matt Job. I mean, you
12:58
Speaker 1: know what the beauty is scooch. Uh we can look
13:00
Speaker 1: it up. He was drafted in the fourth round, the
13:02
Speaker 1: third round of the two thousand four draft. He's thirty
13:05
Speaker 1: eight years old. He's playing the league for like sixteen years.
13:08
Speaker 1: Oh my god. Yeah yeah, But what does it say
13:16
Speaker 1: how bad the team is if this guy comes in
13:18
Speaker 1: and it's not that big of a step down. That's
13:20
Speaker 1: exactly the point of this little detour here, exactly. Indianapolis
13:26
Speaker 1: Colts five and a half points favorites over the Broncos.
13:29
Speaker 1: Good God, give me the Colts. Give me the Colts
13:33
Speaker 1: for your lungs. This the Broncos, do you Well, I'm
13:39
Speaker 1: just so mad about what they did against the Chiefs
13:40
Speaker 1: last last week on Thursday Night leg That was such
13:44
Speaker 1: a pathetic display. And I know I'm saying this, and
13:47
Speaker 1: I'm making the worst possible mistake. I'm making a recency
13:50
Speaker 1: bias mistake. Like I just saw the Broncos. I lost
13:53
Speaker 1: them to them. I lost a bet on them. Listened
13:57
Speaker 1: to Troy Aikman. Troy Aikman get a poplectic. He doesn't
14:00
Speaker 1: get apoplectic about anything, and he got mad. So there's
14:04
Speaker 1: a reason for all this. Um Cults look pretty amazing though,
14:08
Speaker 1: And I'm still glad I hold the could futures ticket,
14:09
Speaker 1: even though I bet it with Andrew Luck. Yeah, we've
14:14
Speaker 1: been high on the Colts, uh, you know, most of
14:17
Speaker 1: the year, and we've talked about this and last week
14:20
Speaker 1: and uh we really thought that that was a great
14:23
Speaker 1: spot for for the Colts and and they and they
14:26
Speaker 1: won that game against Houston easily. Uh this in this situation,
14:31
Speaker 1: we talk about recency uh bias. We know that the
14:36
Speaker 1: public seeing that game against Houston last week is gonna
14:39
Speaker 1: love the Colts. So we opened them slightly on the
14:42
Speaker 1: high side at six and a half and Siday, it's
14:44
Speaker 1: been all sharp money on the Broncos since then. We
14:47
Speaker 1: immediately went to six. I know some places are going
14:50
Speaker 1: as low as five and a half on this one.
14:52
Speaker 1: We're getting some some money on the Broncos, even a
14:54
Speaker 1: plus six, but it's all it's just sharp money. The
14:57
Speaker 1: ticket acount is about all amost almost tend to one
15:02
Speaker 1: Colts to Broncos right now. So we know that this
15:05
Speaker 1: is gonna be one of the biggest public games on
15:07
Speaker 1: the board. Uh. And you know, none of the recreational
15:10
Speaker 1: betters will be on the Broncos. But the line has
15:12
Speaker 1: come down. So it's one of those games where the
15:14
Speaker 1: line is, you know, going opposite of the way that
15:18
Speaker 1: the ticket count indicates that it should go. Gotta beat
15:22
Speaker 1: bad teams, you can really do. That's the theme here, right,
15:30
Speaker 1: Just got a bad bad teams. Yep, that's it. Hold
15:35
Speaker 1: your nose. I mean, look at the end. I don't know,
15:38
Speaker 1: it depends on when I finally decided to pull the trigger.
15:40
Speaker 1: I might just keep waiting for this thing to come
15:42
Speaker 1: down and try to get the Colts as good a
15:44
Speaker 1: number as I possibly can. Who knows well it will
15:49
Speaker 1: go down? I mean a matter of fact, I could
15:51
Speaker 1: probably see this line going down as low as four
15:54
Speaker 1: and a half. That guy that line gets to four
15:56
Speaker 1: and a half, I am pulling the trigger on the Colts,
15:59
Speaker 1: so Fat asked, I'm taking all your money and beedding
16:02
Speaker 1: it on the Cults. Wow, okay, let's go. Yeah, Well,
16:08
Speaker 1: I feel strong way about this team. Arizona is a
16:11
Speaker 1: nine and a half point underdog to the number one
16:14
Speaker 1: ranked in the NFC, according to Bob Scucci New Orleans
16:18
Speaker 1: Saints Teddy covers. So, actually we got to look and
16:25
Speaker 1: see if Drew Brees is gonna it's gonna be playing
16:28
Speaker 1: in this game. Could this be the week? This could
16:32
Speaker 1: be the week he makes to come back. Um, he
16:34
Speaker 1: has been kind of kind of cleared. He's he's been
16:37
Speaker 1: upgraded to probable or actually questionable. He's not probable, but
16:41
Speaker 1: he's been up upgraded two questionable from doubtful. So there
16:46
Speaker 1: is a slight chance that they bring him back this game. So, um,
16:49
Speaker 1: we're just gonna have to keep an eye on that one.
16:51
Speaker 1: But but yeah, God, Saints are looking good. Uh and
16:54
Speaker 1: they're just rolling along. I mean, the defense was playing
16:57
Speaker 1: well and with or without Breeze, they're they're number one team.
17:02
Speaker 1: This is how much God is on Tom Brady's side.
17:05
Speaker 1: Drew Brees was on the path to become the career
17:10
Speaker 1: touchdown passing touchdown leader. He was a little bit ahead
17:14
Speaker 1: of of Tom Brady. Eventually Tom Brady would have caught
17:17
Speaker 1: up to Drew Brees, but he was ahead of Tom
17:19
Speaker 1: Brady and would have broken it this year. Ah, So
17:23
Speaker 1: God broke Drew brees Is thumb so Tom Brady could
17:26
Speaker 1: catch up and overtake him and then get there first.
17:33
Speaker 1: I didn't know we were going in that direction, but wow,
17:35
Speaker 1: that's something. What do you think of that? Yeah, well,
17:41
Speaker 1: I gotta believe what you want to believe. Okay Scooche, Well,
17:46
Speaker 1: do you believe that the Saints are nine and a
17:48
Speaker 1: half point favorites over the Cardinals with Teddy Bridgewater Andrew
17:51
Speaker 1: Brees or do you believe they're bigger favorites if Drew
17:53
Speaker 1: Brees is playing. I think they're bigger favorites. If Drew
17:57
Speaker 1: Brees is playing. I think the the perception is going
18:01
Speaker 1: to be there, whether or not it's you know, in fact,
18:03
Speaker 1: after this amount of time time off for a quarterback,
18:06
Speaker 1: his age to be that effective to come in in
18:09
Speaker 1: his first game. I think, I think, really that the
18:12
Speaker 1: line shouldn't be too far off as well as Bridgewater
18:15
Speaker 1: has been playing, but it is still Drew Brees and
18:18
Speaker 1: the experience and the perception will mean a couple of points.
18:22
Speaker 1: How uh, how much less is Drew Brees is worth
18:26
Speaker 1: against the point spread now since Teddy Bridgewater has gone
18:30
Speaker 1: on the run that he's gone on. So like, if
18:33
Speaker 1: this game happened like the first game of the year
18:35
Speaker 1: before we saw Bridgewater plays first game for the Saints
18:38
Speaker 1: this year, it would have been about a five five
18:40
Speaker 1: and a half point drop. Now it's only about two. Yeah, wow,
18:48
Speaker 1: so interesting. That's like you're giving me so many things
18:53
Speaker 1: I could write about, tweet about, talk about. That's great.
19:00
Speaker 1: I mean, it would depend on whatever the points Bread
19:02
Speaker 1: was so obviously like a third team. If they were
19:04
Speaker 1: a thirteen point favorite, uh, it could be mean as
19:07
Speaker 1: much as you know, six points, But if if the
19:10
Speaker 1: line opened up a pick um, it might only be
19:12
Speaker 1: like a four or four and a half point adjustment,
19:15
Speaker 1: so you know, the who who they're playing would have
19:18
Speaker 1: made a difference to right, But in reality, like he's
19:20
Speaker 1: gone from being five and a half points to about
19:22
Speaker 1: two points. Yeah, yeah, it's fascinating. That's a field goal.
19:26
Speaker 1: That's a big number. This next game. I almost pains
19:30
Speaker 1: me to talk about it. The Chicago Bears are four
19:32
Speaker 1: point favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers. Like the amount
19:36
Speaker 1: of grief that Mitch Drubisky started getting this week. It
19:39
Speaker 1: feels like the entire world has caught up to what
19:41
Speaker 1: we've been saying for eighteen months about this team. You
19:45
Speaker 1: know what I mean? Like, you know how I feel
19:47
Speaker 1: about Trubisky. You know how I feel about the Bears
19:49
Speaker 1: trading up up to get Mr Rubisky? Uh, Not taking
19:54
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, not taking Deshaun Watson, not taking Christian McCaffrey,
19:58
Speaker 1: trading up, giving up players in the draft to go
20:04
Speaker 1: from three to two to get Mr Bisky? How could
20:10
Speaker 1: the Bears be four pret favorites in this game? They're disgusting.
20:14
Speaker 1: The charges as don't even what. I know what you're
20:19
Speaker 1: gonna say, Go say it. You know I was going
20:23
Speaker 1: to say wise guys, but I I substituted. All the
20:25
Speaker 1: buildings are taking the charges. Milmans are wise guys. The
20:30
Speaker 1: wise guys are Millman's. Now. That's how we were all.
20:33
Speaker 1: So we opened this game six right out of the game.
20:36
Speaker 1: They took the six, they took the five and a half,
20:38
Speaker 1: they're taken four and a half. You're right, this line's
20:41
Speaker 1: going down. Um. I might actually go to four here
20:45
Speaker 1: pretty shortly. And uh, the only thing is that the
20:48
Speaker 1: public is slightly still on the Bears. Not by much,
20:51
Speaker 1: you know, just just a shade. Um, So I don't
20:55
Speaker 1: want to I don't want to go too quickly this
20:57
Speaker 1: early in the week. I'll take another pop up at
21:00
Speaker 1: lost four and a half. I don't think that's a
21:01
Speaker 1: testament to the Bears. I think it's, uh, the Chargers
21:04
Speaker 1: losing the way they did this past weekend, that they're
21:08
Speaker 1: betting the Chargers the way they lost, now that the
21:11
Speaker 1: public being on the Bears isn't about being on the Bears,
21:14
Speaker 1: it's about being against the Chargers. Yeah, yeah, yeah, you're
21:18
Speaker 1: probably right. I thought you were talking about the moments.
21:20
Speaker 1: The moments are always on the right side yea of
21:24
Speaker 1: history and bets. Yes, sir, Jacksonville five and a half
21:30
Speaker 1: point favorite against the flailing New York Jets. Look, this
21:33
Speaker 1: is gonna be one of those where, like Jack's go
21:36
Speaker 1: on the road, they cover for the public. We're all
21:39
Speaker 1: over the Jags on the road and Gardner Minshew is
21:41
Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback being a favorite on the road. Um,
21:44
Speaker 1: wise guys made a bad choice. But you've got a
21:46
Speaker 1: bet a bad number if you want to play in
21:49
Speaker 1: this play in the NFL. Uh. And the Jets look horrible.
21:52
Speaker 1: I mean, my instinct is that there's probably a little
21:54
Speaker 1: bit of a little bit of value on the Jets.
21:56
Speaker 1: They're not going to be as bad as they were
21:58
Speaker 1: against the Patriots. What are the wise guys doing at
22:00
Speaker 1: five five and a half? Um, they're actually they're they're
22:05
Speaker 1: taking We were actually at six and they're so they're
22:08
Speaker 1: taking the sixth, but not not for a lot. So
22:12
Speaker 1: I think five and a half is probably the right number,
22:14
Speaker 1: although I favored the dag Wars and I'd rather be
22:17
Speaker 1: a little high on this. So it's funny how just
22:19
Speaker 1: one game can kind of change your perception of the team.
22:22
Speaker 1: The Jets, you know, they get Donald back, and they
22:25
Speaker 1: look like world beaters against Dallas. In in retrospect kind
22:29
Speaker 1: of looking back, you know, you almost have to wonder
22:32
Speaker 1: if Dallas was kind of looking ahead a little bit
22:34
Speaker 1: to the to the Eagles game as well as good
22:37
Speaker 1: as Dallas looked against the Eagles, and as bad as
22:39
Speaker 1: they looked against the Jets, you know, maybe they took
22:42
Speaker 1: them a little too lightly in that game, and maybe
22:45
Speaker 1: Donald surprised them. But I don't think that that should
22:47
Speaker 1: suddenly change our opinions of how bad the Jets are.
22:50
Speaker 1: And Jacksonville, on the other hand, we were high on
22:52
Speaker 1: them last week. We liked them last week. UH like
22:56
Speaker 1: him again this week. So we're gonna try and stay
22:57
Speaker 1: a little high. I kind of like the Jacksonville Jaguars
23:01
Speaker 1: here too. I've changed my mind. I don't want to
23:07
Speaker 1: talk about it. I don't want to talk about this
23:08
Speaker 1: game for another second. The Los Angeles Rams are twelve
23:12
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against Cincinnati Bengals. Look, tell
23:16
Speaker 1: just tell me, tell me, tell me what's happening. Well,
23:20
Speaker 1: they're everyone's bet in the Rams. But so the sharp
23:24
Speaker 1: guys aren't taken it yet. But I think here's another
23:28
Speaker 1: case where you have to take a bad team. Now,
23:30
Speaker 1: So this game is in London. It's another London game,
23:32
Speaker 1: but it's a ten o'clock Pacific time starts, not one
23:36
Speaker 1: of those early six thirty games anymore starts, thank god.
23:40
Speaker 1: But but the ticket counts about eight to one on Rams.
23:44
Speaker 1: The Sharp guys haven't weighed in yet. Uh. You know,
23:47
Speaker 1: the Rams played probably you know, one of their best
23:50
Speaker 1: games of the year last week, So it's a it's
23:53
Speaker 1: a it's a bad time for for for us for
23:57
Speaker 1: them to be playing the Bengals as bookmakers. You know,
23:59
Speaker 1: you couldn't take a worst team for them to be
24:01
Speaker 1: playing now. Uh So, you know, cutting off of one
24:04
Speaker 1: of their best performances. We know the public is going
24:07
Speaker 1: to be all over the ran, so we shaded this
24:09
Speaker 1: a little bit higher, um, knowing that. Um. So obviously
24:15
Speaker 1: it's not high enough yet for the Sharp guys to
24:17
Speaker 1: get involved. So this game might end up going to
24:19
Speaker 1: four team. Yeah, you're gonna go to fourteen, and even
24:22
Speaker 1: then people are gonna take the Bengals and they're gonna
24:24
Speaker 1: regret it. Yeah, you know, a matter of fact, I'm
24:29
Speaker 1: gonna I'm going to thirteen and a half right now
24:31
Speaker 1: and just change. I heard it. My computer is just
24:39
Speaker 1: acting up on Okay, there we go. Did it work?
24:43
Speaker 1: You know? Accidentally? It actually it actually made the Bengals
24:47
Speaker 1: a thirteen and a half point favors. So about it
24:49
Speaker 1: for a second or two. So I was trying to
24:51
Speaker 1: scramble theirs before before somebody you know gave us a
24:55
Speaker 1: pop on it. Yeah, sometimes that happens. Oh my god,
25:01
Speaker 1: that would have been amazing. Who I root for the
25:07
Speaker 1: narrative and it would have been a great narrative if
25:08
Speaker 1: you got popped because of mistake. That's it, all right.
25:12
Speaker 1: The Detroit lines seven point favorites against the New York Giants.
25:17
Speaker 1: I struggled with this one. That feels a little too high.
25:19
Speaker 1: It feels a scoche, a scoche too high. Hey you
25:24
Speaker 1: know what, I just got a bet on the Bengals
25:26
Speaker 1: just that quick. I'm going back to third. Yeah, so
25:29
Speaker 1: I'm going back to thirteen. How much was it? Uh
25:34
Speaker 1: it was five thousand, so but five thousand from someone
25:38
Speaker 1: you respect. Yeah, so this was this was somebody that uh,
25:43
Speaker 1: we've kind of know over the years. And so ye,
25:47
Speaker 1: by the way, thank god, they like do you think
25:49
Speaker 1: they saw the Bengals minus thirteen and a half for
25:51
Speaker 1: a second? And wait, wait, wait a second, that isn't
25:54
Speaker 1: oct No, they would have bet the Rams if that
25:57
Speaker 1: was the case. I know, but I mean if they
25:58
Speaker 1: saw that line posted and like huh yeah, yeah, they
26:03
Speaker 1: might have. I'm sure they did. And then uh, I mean,
26:06
Speaker 1: they would have known it was a mistake. But yeah,
26:09
Speaker 1: stays happen. The stakes get taken care of. You know
26:11
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. Yep, how would you explain that one
26:16
Speaker 1: in your bosses? Think about how much money I could
26:18
Speaker 1: have won up as if one us if I hit
26:20
Speaker 1: the Rams team and a half, yeah, or you end
26:27
Speaker 1: up winning. You end up winning that game and uh
26:30
Speaker 1: and the Bagel's cover and you're like, yeah, I knew
26:33
Speaker 1: this would happen, genius. You know there was a game
26:38
Speaker 1: I want to go back, and I'm going back forever now,
26:41
Speaker 1: like I don't know twenty five years when something like
26:43
Speaker 1: this happened with the Canadian Football League and we made
26:48
Speaker 1: the wrong team. There was a twelve and a half
26:50
Speaker 1: point favorite, and I forgot which team it was. It
26:53
Speaker 1: might have been, you know, the Stampeders, or there was
26:57
Speaker 1: two teams that were named the same for a while
26:59
Speaker 1: then might have been playing each other for all I know.
27:02
Speaker 1: But anyway, we had the wrong Uh, we had the
27:04
Speaker 1: wrong favorite, and somebody bet the team that should have
27:08
Speaker 1: been favored. They took the plus twelve and a half
27:10
Speaker 1: instead of laying twelve and a half, and somehow the
27:15
Speaker 1: team lost by more than twelve and a half, twelve
27:18
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. They lost anyway, and this
27:22
Speaker 1: guy comes in looking to get a refund on it,
27:25
Speaker 1: saying that, you know, they made a mistake on this
27:28
Speaker 1: and the line shouldn't have been this, and he was
27:32
Speaker 1: looking to get paid on it anyway, even after he
27:34
Speaker 1: took a shot at us and still lost the game.
27:37
Speaker 1: You know what, buyer beware, my friend. Yeah, I guarantee
27:42
Speaker 1: it was the rough Riders playing the rough Riders. That's
27:46
Speaker 1: what it was. Yeah, the Detroit lines seven point favorites
27:53
Speaker 1: at home against the Giants. I think it's a little high,
27:57
Speaker 1: just a Scooch high. Yeah, yeah, So and we did too.
28:01
Speaker 1: We opened it seven seven flat and the first few
28:04
Speaker 1: bets out of the gate, we're on the Giants. So
28:07
Speaker 1: we went to plus seven minus twenty now and now
28:09
Speaker 1: they're laying in the twenties. So I can definitely see
28:12
Speaker 1: this game going down the six and a half. Uh,
28:15
Speaker 1: there's a little bit high, but we are kind of
28:19
Speaker 1: fading a lot of public money on on the Lions here.
28:21
Speaker 1: It's about a four to one ratio, five to one
28:25
Speaker 1: ratio Lions to Giants right now. So even with even
28:29
Speaker 1: with the Lions lost last week. I think public will
28:32
Speaker 1: still be coming in on on Detroit this one. Tampa Bay, Jesus,
28:41
Speaker 1: you have a hard time even saying that they're visiting Tennessee.
28:44
Speaker 1: Tennessee is a two and a half point favorite, but
28:47
Speaker 1: like I guess you bet Tennessee is a short home favorite,
28:51
Speaker 1: like you did this past week against the Chargers. But
28:55
Speaker 1: I'm not doing it with any enthusiasm. Yeah, I think
28:59
Speaker 1: it's just a kind of you play the number two
29:02
Speaker 1: and a half at home Titans, you know, coming off
29:04
Speaker 1: of a win, to change quarterbacks, and you know it's
29:08
Speaker 1: it's probably a little played for the times. But this
29:10
Speaker 1: we're not going to get any action on this game,
29:12
Speaker 1: so it's kind of just stuck right there in the
29:14
Speaker 1: middle of the other early games, which is great. Now
29:16
Speaker 1: we gotta run of interesting games coming up, not that
29:19
Speaker 1: the other ones aren't interesting. I love all my beds equally,
29:21
Speaker 1: but these games are more interesting to me. Philadelphia a
29:26
Speaker 1: one and a half point underdog against the Bills. Boy, boy,
29:35
Speaker 1: have there have the fortunes changed for those two teams?
29:39
Speaker 1: That was not this number even a week ago. No, No,
29:43
Speaker 1: it wasn't. I mean the Bills are obviously overachieving and
29:46
Speaker 1: even even with a lack of offense. I mean, they
29:49
Speaker 1: struggled a little bit last week with with Miami, and
29:53
Speaker 1: you know, we were saying they probably shouldn't have been
29:55
Speaker 1: uh as big of a favorite as as they were.
29:58
Speaker 1: So they're they're ranking since clearly climbed up. The Eagles
30:02
Speaker 1: has dropped a little bit, but not not too much.
30:04
Speaker 1: I mean, you think about this, The Sharp guys were
30:07
Speaker 1: betting the Eagles at plus two and a half in
30:09
Speaker 1: Dallas last week. Okay, they didn't get the win, but
30:13
Speaker 1: now they're getting too against the Bills, which you know,
30:18
Speaker 1: on the face of it, seems like it should be
30:20
Speaker 1: a play on the Eagles. So we know the public
30:23
Speaker 1: is going to kind of see the Bills and say, hey, wow,
30:25
Speaker 1: you know the Bills are only laying two at home,
30:27
Speaker 1: this team's five and one. The Eagles just lost to
30:29
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, so we know this is a public play
30:32
Speaker 1: on the Bills. But I would expect the Sharp guys
30:35
Speaker 1: to kind of throw the last week's game out and
30:38
Speaker 1: be on the Eagles again this week. I don't know, man,
30:43
Speaker 1: very short home favorite. I need a team with an
30:48
Speaker 1: incredibly good defense and a quarterback who can make plays
30:52
Speaker 1: with his feet against a defense that has beaten up
30:56
Speaker 1: and all they gotta do is win the game. You up, Yeah, no,
31:00
Speaker 1: I I could see it. I mean, this is one
31:02
Speaker 1: of the first games if I'm coming in and saying,
31:04
Speaker 1: you know, give me a short home favorite. I would
31:08
Speaker 1: take this one over the Titans like that we just
31:11
Speaker 1: talked about the Titans game. Uh, you know, I would
31:14
Speaker 1: take this one over the Colts or the I mean,
31:17
Speaker 1: this is kind of like a one of those systems plays.
31:22
Speaker 1: I've got a both statement. I just think that the
31:25
Speaker 1: Bills have just had a pretty big kind of run
31:29
Speaker 1: of weekly increases in in the rankings, and at some
31:32
Speaker 1: point you lose a little value. I've got a bold
31:35
Speaker 1: statement about the next game, which one Carolina visiting San Francisco.
31:41
Speaker 1: They're five and a half point underdogs on the road
31:45
Speaker 1: against the team that you say is the third rated
31:50
Speaker 1: team in the NFL. Yeah, they're coming off, Hold on,
31:57
Speaker 1: coming off. You're gonna let me finish, mr Okah. I
32:01
Speaker 1: think the Panthers win this game out right. I don't
32:06
Speaker 1: doubt it for one minute. You know, so, I have
32:09
Speaker 1: been so slow to move the Niners, and that's why
32:13
Speaker 1: I don't have them ranked the top of the NFC.
32:16
Speaker 1: But every week I keep saying they're going to get exposed,
32:20
Speaker 1: and every week they keep kind of proving me wrong. Now,
32:23
Speaker 1: last week, I mean if that they're playing that game
32:25
Speaker 1: in a kind of a driving rainstorm and I couldn't
32:28
Speaker 1: draw as much from it. I mean I I've talked
32:31
Speaker 1: about it all week how the Niners were just super
32:33
Speaker 1: inflated over the Redskins, um, you know as ten point
32:37
Speaker 1: road road favorites, and and every bit of value has
32:41
Speaker 1: has just been drained from the from the forty Niners,
32:44
Speaker 1: and that there was only value in the Redskins. Well,
32:46
Speaker 1: they barely got the cover. So I just might keep
32:49
Speaker 1: taking it on the chin every week with the forty
32:52
Speaker 1: Niners until they win the Super Bowl. I'm just not
32:56
Speaker 1: quite there yet. So um, you know, I I'm at
33:00
Speaker 1: five and a half on on the game. Uh. We're
33:03
Speaker 1: drawn mostly public money on the Niners. But I did
33:06
Speaker 1: get a few thousand on the Panthers from some guys
33:09
Speaker 1: that I that I know, so that are that are
33:12
Speaker 1: pretty successful and betting. Uh, so that's kind of a
33:15
Speaker 1: good indication that we are going to get maybe a
33:17
Speaker 1: little sharp money on on Carolina. Yea, I might do
33:22
Speaker 1: Carolina money line my friend. Yeah. If if nothing else,
33:30
Speaker 1: I'm betting Caroline in this game. That's all I'm saying. Well,
33:34
Speaker 1: you got to take the points. I mean, I've said
33:35
Speaker 1: I've been saying it every week. You know, we keep inflating,
33:38
Speaker 1: inflating that the Niners based on how much money we're getting,
33:42
Speaker 1: and based on the fact that they keep covering UM.
33:44
Speaker 1: Even though they didn't cover last week, they were almost
33:47
Speaker 1: right that they could have easily. They just chose to
33:50
Speaker 1: run the clock out there at the end, which was
33:52
Speaker 1: great for us. But but yeah, I'm just I'm very
33:56
Speaker 1: slow to move in and if that burns me every week,
33:58
Speaker 1: then so be it. But I'm just very slow to
34:00
Speaker 1: move them. Houston is a six and a half point
34:03
Speaker 1: favorite over the Raiders, two teams coming off losses pretty
34:07
Speaker 1: bad losses, looking not very good. Sixty three percent of
34:11
Speaker 1: the money coming of the tickets coming in in Houston,
34:13
Speaker 1: but of the money coming in on Houston, meaning the
34:16
Speaker 1: wise guys are back in the Oakland Raiders again. This
34:19
Speaker 1: is according to the Action Network app. They are we opened.
34:24
Speaker 1: We opened the game seven and we're down to six
34:26
Speaker 1: and a half. UM. I think I think six and
34:30
Speaker 1: a half were probably good because we know that the
34:32
Speaker 1: public money is coming in on the Texans probably won't
34:35
Speaker 1: go back to seven. UM, and if I do, it'll
34:38
Speaker 1: be seven even money. But I think six and a
34:40
Speaker 1: half is probably the right line on this one. Last week,
34:44
Speaker 1: I think Houston's loss that was just a great spot
34:46
Speaker 1: for the Colts, and I think Houston kind of bounces.
34:48
Speaker 1: I've used in just a much better team obviously than
34:51
Speaker 1: the Raiders, but the Raiders haven't been getting a whole
34:53
Speaker 1: lot of support from the public, even as competitive as
34:57
Speaker 1: as they've been playing. UM. I was actually uh both
35:01
Speaker 1: the Raiders last week was a good play against the Packers.
35:04
Speaker 1: I think that was actually my scooter left pick. But yeah,
35:09
Speaker 1: and and honestly, if you if you watch the game, uh,
35:12
Speaker 1: Derek Carr dives for the pylon that would have given
35:15
Speaker 1: him the lead right before the half, and he fumbles
35:18
Speaker 1: the ball. Packers get touch back, get the ball in
35:21
Speaker 1: the twenty and then they scored touchdown before the half,
35:24
Speaker 1: ends a four teen point swing that the Raiders just
35:27
Speaker 1: never recovered from that. And had they I honestly think
35:30
Speaker 1: that had he not fumbled in that and and took
35:33
Speaker 1: the lead into halftime, but they would have gotten the cover.
35:36
Speaker 1: But you know the right side of the winning side, amen, brother.
35:40
Speaker 1: And also you're betting bad teams. Speaking of here's the
35:46
Speaker 1: part of the conversation. New England Patriots at home twelve
35:49
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the Cleveland Browns, Am
35:53
Speaker 1: I crazier? Is this the spot for the Browns? Definitely
35:57
Speaker 1: the spot for the Browns? It is, right, yeah. I
36:01
Speaker 1: mean this line is just like the pregame line. I mean,
36:04
Speaker 1: like last week we probably would have a couple of
36:06
Speaker 1: weeks ago probably would have been looking at maybe ten
36:08
Speaker 1: and a half eleven on this game. Uh, and now
36:10
Speaker 1: you're able to get thirteen and coming off of the
36:13
Speaker 1: you know, the Patriots just annihilation of the Jets and
36:17
Speaker 1: the fact that the Patriots just keep rolling. Uh. You know,
36:22
Speaker 1: it's just we know that this line is about as
36:25
Speaker 1: inflated as you can get. But you've got to have
36:28
Speaker 1: a lot of stones to that that the Browns, because
36:31
Speaker 1: you don't make a living against the Patriots. I think
36:34
Speaker 1: this is the spot. Look, the story the narrative here
36:38
Speaker 1: is the Patriots or world beaters, but there's a secondary
36:43
Speaker 1: narrative developings that they haven't played anybody, and they haven't
36:45
Speaker 1: played any good quarterbacks. And so this is really a
36:49
Speaker 1: referendum on Baker Mayfield, right, because do you believe he's
36:53
Speaker 1: a good quarterback or not? And it is all through
36:56
Speaker 1: the lens of how do you view view the Patriots. Yeah,
37:01
Speaker 1: and if you can put a pass rush on Brady,
37:03
Speaker 1: you put the I think the Giants showed in that
37:05
Speaker 1: in that Giants Patriots game where if you put enough
37:09
Speaker 1: put enough pressure on Brady, you know he's not going
37:12
Speaker 1: to be that kind of accurate short game passor that
37:16
Speaker 1: you saw last night. And um, Cleveland does have a
37:19
Speaker 1: good defense, it's just New England's defense is the best
37:22
Speaker 1: in the NFL. So, like you said, this is this
37:25
Speaker 1: is the real test for for Baker Mayfield. I'm going
37:30
Speaker 1: to be a Baker boy this weekend, Kansas City hosting
37:33
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Packers are four and a half
37:36
Speaker 1: point favorites. Tell me how you came to this line,
37:39
Speaker 1: Scooch and what the wise guys are betting? Well, obviously
37:44
Speaker 1: just no Mahomes. So uh, I think that even with
37:48
Speaker 1: their win against the Broncos without him, I think you know,
37:51
Speaker 1: the public is going to be uh favor in the
37:55
Speaker 1: Packers just I mean, even the average casual fan knows
37:59
Speaker 1: the difference of Matt Moore and Patrick Mahomes and going
38:03
Speaker 1: up against a tough green Bay defense and green Bay's finally.
38:06
Speaker 1: You know, for the last few weeks, I haven't been
38:09
Speaker 1: too high on on green Bay. And like I said
38:11
Speaker 1: last week, my my best pick was on the Raiders
38:15
Speaker 1: against green Bay. Um, but they are starting to, uh,
38:19
Speaker 1: you know, look look a lot better both on the
38:21
Speaker 1: offense and defensive side. And when they get Davante Adams back,
38:24
Speaker 1: they're going to be even better. So um, you know,
38:27
Speaker 1: we just went a little on the high side hoping
38:29
Speaker 1: to draw a little Chiefs money. It seems odd that
38:32
Speaker 1: that's that. I needn't saying that because we've been rooting
38:35
Speaker 1: against the Chiefs all year. Now here I am looking
38:37
Speaker 1: for Chiefs money. I really wish Mahomes would have been
38:40
Speaker 1: in this game. It just would have been such a
38:41
Speaker 1: great matchup with with Mahomes and uh and Aaron Rodgers.
38:46
Speaker 1: I know, it's such a bummer, such a bummer. I
38:50
Speaker 1: don't have anything else to say, just a bummer. But
38:53
Speaker 1: but but no sharp money yet, I mean, everything is
38:55
Speaker 1: just all public money. On on the Packers and uh
38:59
Speaker 1: and if anything, I can probably see the line going
39:01
Speaker 1: up up, you know, being especially being the the late game. UM,
39:05
Speaker 1: with that much money on on the favorite, I could
39:08
Speaker 1: I could easily see this line going up Miami visiting Pittsburgh.
39:13
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is a fourteen and a half point favorite. Boy
39:17
Speaker 1: at a miserable game to end your weekend if you
39:22
Speaker 1: are a football fan, Yeah, who's the quarterback? Duck Hodges?
39:29
Speaker 1: Duck Hodges against Fits Magic? No, I think Mason Rudolph
39:34
Speaker 1: has been Mason Rudolph backs. Well, he's probable, he's not not,
39:38
Speaker 1: not definitely yet, but he's he hasn't been upgrades. Are
39:40
Speaker 1: we playing the NFL and we're playing fucking Dungeons and Dragons?
39:44
Speaker 1: Fits Magic against Duck Hodges? Now we're just making ship
39:48
Speaker 1: up I know, not exactly the marquee matchups, is it?
39:53
Speaker 1: How is ESPN gonna like ESPN struggle to make something
39:57
Speaker 1: out of the Patriots game last night? Now they got
39:59
Speaker 1: to make something out of the Heelers and the Dolphins.
40:01
Speaker 1: Good lord. Yeah, I don't want to talk about this game.
40:05
Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about it. I'll just I'll
40:07
Speaker 1: just tell you that we opened fifteen on the game,
40:10
Speaker 1: and uh it took a lot of money on on
40:12
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. So you have to hold your nose and
40:14
Speaker 1: you have to bet the Dolphins again double digit dogs.
40:18
Speaker 1: You gotta beat bad teams. Yep, that's it. You gotta
40:22
Speaker 1: beat bad teams. All right. You know we're gonna do
40:25
Speaker 1: right now, Scooch, Roulette, let's do it. We both lost
40:35
Speaker 1: last week. Scooch. You had the Raiders, I had the Eagles. Okay,
40:45
Speaker 1: who's going first? I want to go first? Okay, because
40:50
Speaker 1: you're gonna steal my play. Yeah, because I'm taking the
40:52
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, So fuck you, damn it. Okay, that was
40:59
Speaker 1: my play. What are you gonna do? Now? Take the Brownies?
41:01
Speaker 1: I want to take the Dolphins. You want to take
41:03
Speaker 1: a little bit of your own medicine. You gotta bet
41:04
Speaker 1: bad numbers. Go ahead, go ahead, Take the Bengals, Take
41:08
Speaker 1: the Browns, Take the Dolphins. What are you gonna do? Scooch?
41:11
Speaker 1: I love the Dolphins. I'm a huge Dolphins fan. Are
41:14
Speaker 1: you seriously taking the Dolphins? Do you have to? You
41:18
Speaker 1: have to? Wow? Wow, you are a you know what,
41:24
Speaker 1: you are a man who eats his own dog food.
41:33
Speaker 1: You have to take them. Yeah, you're probably right, Scooch.
41:40
Speaker 1: Next week on the podcast, don't forget everyone, by the way,
41:43
Speaker 1: everyone coming up in a minute, Simon Hunter, Drann Revelle.
41:46
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter professional better, Dann revel not so professional better.
41:49
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about who we're going to take in
41:51
Speaker 1: the Westgate Las Vegas Super contest Um next week. You're
41:55
Speaker 1: gonna be in the studio live. Is that next week
41:58
Speaker 1: or the weekendfter? No? So after? Sorry? Sorry people, Sorry
42:02
Speaker 1: for sorry for getting people all excited about that. I'm
42:06
Speaker 1: lot excited for nothing. All right, scoch. We'll talk to
42:09
Speaker 1: you next week. No, you know what. We'll talk to
42:12
Speaker 1: you on Sunday on our show, the Action Network Countdown
42:15
Speaker 1: to Kickoff, which you can get on the Radio dot
42:17
Speaker 1: Com app and radio dot Com. It's honestly better than
42:20
Speaker 1: this podcast. It's what I said. It's better than this podcast. Wow,
42:28
Speaker 1: I can't believe you said that. I I say they're equal.
42:30
Speaker 1: I say it's to pick them. Well, sometimes you got
42:34
Speaker 1: a bet bad teams, you know what I'm saying. Alright, brother,
42:40
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you next. I'll talk to you Sunday. Goodbye.
42:42
Speaker 1: All right, all right, we are back on the favorite podcast.
42:49
Speaker 1: Dann Ravelle is joining me over the phone. We're gonna
42:51
Speaker 1: talk about our picks for the super Contest, which did
42:56
Speaker 1: dismally this past week, and then we're gonna bring on
42:59
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter probe better. It's gonna try to get us
43:01
Speaker 1: going in the right direction again. Darren, listen, you've got
43:08
Speaker 1: to move on. Okay. We can't all wallow in our
43:12
Speaker 1: sadness about what we missed. We've got to look ahead
43:15
Speaker 1: to next week. And I know you've been thinking about it,
43:20
Speaker 1: so I don't want to waste any time. Tell me
43:23
Speaker 1: who's on your board. I I thought about this week
43:27
Speaker 1: more than I have thought about any other week, Okay,
43:31
Speaker 1: and I decided it's time to stop playing these games
43:37
Speaker 1: about you know, what would a sharp guy take, because
43:39
Speaker 1: I'm I'm joke you public and I'm going to stick
43:42
Speaker 1: with it. And that's why I am engaging in three
43:47
Speaker 1: of the top four largest spreads this week. I like
43:53
Speaker 1: Washington plus fifteen and a half against the Vikings. I
43:58
Speaker 1: love Miami fourteen and a half against Pittsburgh. And I
44:03
Speaker 1: love New England minus twelve and a half against the Browns.
44:10
Speaker 1: They're gonna win by that much, so uh, New England. Definitely,
44:14
Speaker 1: they will beat the Browns. The Browns are not that good.
44:17
Speaker 1: Miami is better, uh than people think. They've covered the
44:21
Speaker 1: last two weeks, and Washington from at least a defensive standpoint.
44:26
Speaker 1: I felt very good about their effort against the forty
44:29
Speaker 1: nine years, even though it was a slopfest. Then I
44:33
Speaker 1: like Seattle minus three and a half against Atlanta. How
44:38
Speaker 1: that's not bigger given Matt ryan situation, that seems scary
44:42
Speaker 1: to me. And I have faith in Jacoby Brissett minus
44:47
Speaker 1: six against Denver, who I have no faith in. I
44:51
Speaker 1: think these are really interesting picks. Um, I'm not gonna
44:54
Speaker 1: lie to you. There's a couple on here that I
44:57
Speaker 1: want to avoid. But I think your first you, your
45:01
Speaker 1: first two are sharp plays, like that's what the wise
45:03
Speaker 1: guys are doing. The wise guys are on Washington. The
45:06
Speaker 1: wise guys bet Washington at sixteen the guys guys, the
45:10
Speaker 1: wise guys are on Miami. Um, I disagree. I think that,
45:15
Speaker 1: And I just said this was scooch. I think in
45:16
Speaker 1: New England, Cleveland is a referendum on the on what
45:22
Speaker 1: you think of Baker Mayfield. The Patriots have not played
45:25
Speaker 1: anybody good this year, right, they have played any quarterbacks,
45:27
Speaker 1: they're winning by a lot. Uh So if you think
45:30
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is good, then you're taking the Brows. If
45:33
Speaker 1: you don't, then you're taking the Patriots. That's that's basically
45:36
Speaker 1: what you think. Um, Seattle for me feels a little
45:40
Speaker 1: bit like a stay away. I don't know, I'm just
45:44
Speaker 1: not convinced yet. Uh, but it feels like, say, because
45:48
Speaker 1: it's too good to be true. Um, I guess I
45:53
Speaker 1: just I mean, I know they didn't perform that well
45:56
Speaker 1: this this past week, but I think that was more
45:58
Speaker 1: of a fat who they were playing. I think Russell
46:02
Speaker 1: Wilson is pretty much a I mean, he's a good quarterback,
46:05
Speaker 1: and Atlanta the situation is do yeah. I don't like
46:08
Speaker 1: betting backup quarterbacks who know what they're doing, like Matt
46:12
Speaker 1: Shob and uh Doob had it. He had a great drive,
46:16
Speaker 1: he had a great drive down and Colts minus six.
46:19
Speaker 1: I'd like to hear what Simon has to say on that.
46:22
Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna give you my plays yet. Uh.
46:25
Speaker 1: Let's just get Simon on the phone and see what
46:27
Speaker 1: he thinks of these and um, and then I'm going
46:32
Speaker 1: to weigh in with mine. And now a word from
46:40
Speaker 1: a wise guy. With Simon Hunter, we did what Simon
46:47
Speaker 1: says last week, and we went one and four. It
46:53
Speaker 1: is uh, it was doom and gloom. But then what's
46:56
Speaker 1: the dust subtle? And I looked everything that's going bad
46:59
Speaker 1: for us? We're only eight back of being in the
47:01
Speaker 1: lead for one point five millions. No way, I'm not.
47:05
Speaker 1: I'm not, I swear everyone else. It's everyone thinks this
47:08
Speaker 1: is so easy. It's not easy. I mean, it's it's
47:12
Speaker 1: hard to keep a strong pace because you're overthinking every week.
47:16
Speaker 1: So I'm not too worried. Yet. We got plenty of time.
47:20
Speaker 1: All right, Well, we got plenty of time until I
47:22
Speaker 1: weigh in. I bring you Dann Ravel's you know, House
47:27
Speaker 1: of Slop and and I want to give you some
47:31
Speaker 1: of his plays. I want to get your take. I
47:36
Speaker 1: want to give you some of my ideas, and then
47:37
Speaker 1: we're gonna come to the consensus. Okay, I'll do it
47:42
Speaker 1: what Derel likes. Washington plus fifteen and a half. I
47:46
Speaker 1: avowed we're not rushing into a Thursday night game. Yeah,
47:50
Speaker 1: let's take a break from Thursday. Um. I like, I
47:54
Speaker 1: love the idea because it's current and prime time it's
47:56
Speaker 1: it's a great spot to fade him and he got
48:02
Speaker 1: against his former team, right, So that that's the thing
48:06
Speaker 1: that's worrying me a little bit. It's who's me more
48:08
Speaker 1: of this golf case keenom playing against his former team,
48:11
Speaker 1: or is the Viking is just gonna come out and
48:14
Speaker 1: beat them thirty nothing like? It's this kind of feels
48:17
Speaker 1: a good. Same thing with the Jets on the prime
48:19
Speaker 1: time game. It's like one of those we should just
48:20
Speaker 1: stay away with, stay away from. Agree But speaking of
48:24
Speaker 1: prime time games, what is it, Darren? You love that one? Darren?
48:32
Speaker 1: I want this game. I can't believe that there's so
48:35
Speaker 1: much chalk this week. That's way better than that one. Okay,
48:37
Speaker 1: I'll back you. I'll hear what you have to say
48:40
Speaker 1: about the chalk, because I I didn't see that chalk. Well.
48:44
Speaker 1: Darren also likes Miami plus fourteen and a half. Simon,
48:49
Speaker 1: you would uh that that feels like one of those
48:52
Speaker 1: really good letdown spots for the Dolphins. So I know
48:55
Speaker 1: it's a ton of point. So people are gonna be
48:57
Speaker 1: taking the Dolphins because they played a good close game
48:59
Speaker 1: last week. But I'll wait for the public just to
49:02
Speaker 1: keep hitting the Dolphins and whatever Sharps are taking it
49:05
Speaker 1: early and I'll probably at to get Pittsburgh down at
49:07
Speaker 1: fourteen fourteen and a half. I'll take Pittsburgh because that's
49:10
Speaker 1: just a good a good spot for Pittsburgh playing against
49:13
Speaker 1: a Dolphin team that I don't know how they're not
49:15
Speaker 1: defeated after last week's whilst that I feel like that
49:17
Speaker 1: was their everything game and they couldn't get the win.
49:21
Speaker 1: I feel like, uh, I feel like the Redskins was
49:24
Speaker 1: the everything game and they couldn't get the win. Like
49:26
Speaker 1: to me, I was actually, you know, I'm a little
49:29
Speaker 1: bit on the side of Darren here. I feel like
49:33
Speaker 1: the Dolphins acquitted themselves well against the Bills in a
49:37
Speaker 1: spot where a lot of people thought, you know, they
49:39
Speaker 1: were what seventeen and a half point underdogs, Like that
49:42
Speaker 1: seemed way too much to me. The Bills hadn't even
49:44
Speaker 1: scored seventeen points in three or five occasional game though.
49:47
Speaker 1: That's what makes that a difference. That's a divisional game,
49:51
Speaker 1: so that's why they got I get the Redskins thing
49:53
Speaker 1: was more about the weather, like they that they never
49:56
Speaker 1: had a chance against sad frame that that was a
49:58
Speaker 1: blessing there there was the first team since the nineties,
50:01
Speaker 1: seventies or eighties to cover without scoring a point. So
50:05
Speaker 1: I don't that's why I like both these dogs. Like
50:08
Speaker 1: I think that was a nice week for them last week.
50:10
Speaker 1: I don't know about backing them two weeks in orrow.
50:13
Speaker 1: What about New England twelve and a half against the Browns. Uh.
50:20
Speaker 1: I'm actually seeing some Brown lines already have the plus
50:23
Speaker 1: four team out there. So I guess everyone's pounding the Patriots.
50:26
Speaker 1: But like we said last week, like either you take
50:30
Speaker 1: the Patriots, you just stay away from those sides. Like
50:32
Speaker 1: I like the Browns in the spot, there's just way
50:34
Speaker 1: too many points, Like the look at the look Ahead
50:37
Speaker 1: I think was ten ten and a half. I don't
50:39
Speaker 1: see how the Brown's got three points worse during a
50:42
Speaker 1: bye week. Um, so I can do why you like
50:46
Speaker 1: the Patriots. Why wouldn't you? The Browns look horrible. But
50:50
Speaker 1: I'll be on the Brown side of that one. I
50:52
Speaker 1: love the Browns in that spot. Yeah, that's a lot
50:55
Speaker 1: of points. People like, this isn't the Dolphins, this is
50:58
Speaker 1: Browns are. They're a bad team, but they're still not
51:01
Speaker 1: the worst thing, the second best team in their division.
51:03
Speaker 1: What do you have this radar at I had just
51:07
Speaker 1: said ten, so when I saw I thought it was
51:09
Speaker 1: getting good number last week, and it'll send a half
51:12
Speaker 1: and then the pads absolutely destroyed the jets and this
51:14
Speaker 1: is steaming up now. So it's that some books you
51:17
Speaker 1: can get twelve and a half thirteen, and I'm seeing
51:19
Speaker 1: fourteen and thirteen and a half. So it's just gonna
51:21
Speaker 1: keep going up, it looks like until the sharp start
51:23
Speaker 1: hitting the other side. So it's very possible. By the
51:25
Speaker 1: time this line officially gets posted by the west Gate,
51:28
Speaker 1: we're looking in New England minus fourteen right for the contest.
51:35
Speaker 1: I mean, we can put that aside if Darren feels
51:37
Speaker 1: that good about the paths. But well, the problem is
51:40
Speaker 1: I feel but let's keep Let's keep uh Seattle minus
51:44
Speaker 1: three and a half against Atlanta. We don't know whose
51:46
Speaker 1: quarterback in there. I love that line that if that
51:50
Speaker 1: line stage through in the super Contest, that's what it
51:53
Speaker 1: opens that because they don't know who the quarterback is.
51:56
Speaker 1: Either everyone's gonna take that line, so that's one of
51:59
Speaker 1: those we can ride with everyone in the contest and
52:01
Speaker 1: take Seattle, or we can just try to stay away
52:03
Speaker 1: to get an advantage of right, we need a little
52:06
Speaker 1: game theory there, right that that that's one of those
52:09
Speaker 1: if you guys just want to ride with everyone else,
52:10
Speaker 1: we can just take because everyone takes. That's a horrible
52:13
Speaker 1: line because they're they're hanging that line acting like that's
52:15
Speaker 1: with Matt Ryan, where it doesn't. I haven't seen any
52:18
Speaker 1: reports in Matt Ryan playing. I don't know that I spoked.
52:21
Speaker 1: I just spoked a Scooch when we talked about that game,
52:24
Speaker 1: and he said that the difference between Matt Ryan and
52:26
Speaker 1: Matt shob is about two points. That feels insanely disrespectful
52:32
Speaker 1: and it's not for me. I got it. I got
52:36
Speaker 1: a five and a half. So I mean, like, obviously
52:38
Speaker 1: Vegas is going to weigh the system differently. But I
52:42
Speaker 1: think Matt Matt Ryan has looked down upon, but he's
52:45
Speaker 1: really good. Like I get people saw Matt shop drive
52:47
Speaker 1: the field at the end of that game. That was
52:50
Speaker 1: it was a junk time that was irrelevant. They're playing
52:52
Speaker 1: press coverage, so I'm not buying the shop things, so
52:55
Speaker 1: I would actually be on Seattle on that one alright,
52:58
Speaker 1: last one from Darren Colts minus six. I love it.
53:06
Speaker 1: I mean it's a good it's a good spot, like
53:08
Speaker 1: the Colts. Colts are a really good team and they're
53:12
Speaker 1: playing a really bad team. You're getting less than a touchdown.
53:15
Speaker 1: So I mean, I'll be on the culture. But that
53:18
Speaker 1: might be a trap spot. I mean we got we
53:21
Speaker 1: got embarrassed with the trap spot last week, so I
53:24
Speaker 1: might as one. I even mentioned that now I can't
53:26
Speaker 1: talk about that game? What about all right? So that's that?
53:30
Speaker 1: Those were Darren's picks? Like those picks there? What was
53:37
Speaker 1: that sent? You like my you? You like my pick? Well,
53:40
Speaker 1: it's like you're getting better. Mean, you're getting better as
53:41
Speaker 1: these weeks go along. I'm not. I'm just getting more forceful,
53:45
Speaker 1: you know. I feel like I don't know. I saw
53:48
Speaker 1: the big lines and I was okay, I was fine
53:51
Speaker 1: to sneak him. I I agree in some sense, I don't.
53:54
Speaker 1: I don't like the figuring out on Miami's gonna have
53:56
Speaker 1: a letdown. I like that game a lot. I think
53:59
Speaker 1: the Browns a little bit is the most dangerous of
54:01
Speaker 1: my picks, so I will let that one go easily. Um,
54:06
Speaker 1: And I don't know. I I've never had confidence in
54:09
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, but I'm off that. But I I I
54:13
Speaker 1: really I do like the Dolphins of of my picks,
54:16
Speaker 1: and and obviously if we have the three and a half,
54:18
Speaker 1: where I would like to just take Seattle because I'm
54:21
Speaker 1: not worried about it. I mean, I understand the game theory.
54:24
Speaker 1: I think we're we're not at that point yet. You
54:27
Speaker 1: can argue where at that point all week, but well season,
54:30
Speaker 1: you can say it all season, you do that, but
54:31
Speaker 1: I I just I want to worry about games that
54:34
Speaker 1: I think I can win. First, let me ask a
54:36
Speaker 1: different question, Simon, based forget about forget about game theory.
54:40
Speaker 1: Based purely on ratings, we are the five biggest biggest
54:43
Speaker 1: discrepancies for you, Like where am I seeing the most value?
54:51
Speaker 1: Like we don't want to do that because we tried
54:52
Speaker 1: doing that last week and that about was finding place
54:55
Speaker 1: like good value this week, like for like sharp angle games,
54:59
Speaker 1: is take gonna be Oakland? Like that was a a
55:02
Speaker 1: false game last week. It was like we had three
55:05
Speaker 1: different plays that were twenty one point swings. So if
55:09
Speaker 1: you look at how that final score should have been,
55:11
Speaker 1: we should have covered that number. So now they're getting
55:13
Speaker 1: a ton of value this week Oakland, and then another
55:16
Speaker 1: game that another thing that's gonna a ton of value
55:18
Speaker 1: is going to be um and like we would never
55:21
Speaker 1: do it is the Bengals. Like the Rams, I have
55:25
Speaker 1: them in a nine and a half point faver here,
55:26
Speaker 1: So like I'll be on the Bengals. No one in
55:29
Speaker 1: the right bend, especially if you've met the Bengals last week,
55:32
Speaker 1: you're covering the whole game and they give up I
55:34
Speaker 1: think twenty points in the final five minutes. Is anyone's
55:37
Speaker 1: gonna bet in the Bengals this week? So that's one
55:39
Speaker 1: of those Like the pro these are lines gonna be taken,
55:41
Speaker 1: but these aren't good. These aren't good for a Super Contest.
55:44
Speaker 1: But my game that I really like for the Super
55:47
Speaker 1: Contest this week, that I know that it's gonna be
55:53
Speaker 1: a little bit of a chalk play. I do really
55:56
Speaker 1: like the the Colts here? What what then? Was in
56:00
Speaker 1: all the Super Contest? Let's do this, Let's take the Colts,
56:05
Speaker 1: Let's put Miami in there. I'd say let's take Seattle
56:10
Speaker 1: as an alternative, depending on where the line is. I
56:14
Speaker 1: want the Browns, So Darren, will you permit me to
56:18
Speaker 1: put the Browns in there? So this is what we
56:25
Speaker 1: talked about last week, though, let's not let's not get
56:28
Speaker 1: too cute, meaning but don't forget right like. I'd rather
56:34
Speaker 1: do Green Bay on Sunday night playing a backup and
56:39
Speaker 1: take the Browns. You know what I mean? What's your
56:42
Speaker 1: rating for green Bay? Right now? So I got them
56:45
Speaker 1: for this game in minus six and a half, and
56:48
Speaker 1: I know some books it's still for but I'm seeing
56:49
Speaker 1: a lot of other books already up to five, so
56:52
Speaker 1: it might be up five by the contest, but I
56:53
Speaker 1: still like that value. All right, I'll take I'll take
56:57
Speaker 1: green Bay, So right now, we'll do the Colts Miami
57:01
Speaker 1: green Bay. I want to throw one out there that
57:02
Speaker 1: I love, love Simon, give me the Panthers plus five
57:07
Speaker 1: and a half against the Niners. Ah. I love this
57:11
Speaker 1: from the sense that they're coming off a bye week,
57:14
Speaker 1: so they're gonna be a nice, while rested team playing
57:16
Speaker 1: an undefeated team that's due to do to lose. So
57:21
Speaker 1: I'll ride with you on those points. I love those points.
57:24
Speaker 1: How do you feel about having five and a half
57:26
Speaker 1: of the Panthers there? Let's remember how they were a
57:28
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, right, and how everyone was taking
57:31
Speaker 1: him and then they've all no, Darren, you're not known,
57:34
Speaker 1: You're not remembering how they were a couple of weeks ago.
57:37
Speaker 1: That's not what you do. That's the opposite of what
57:39
Speaker 1: you're supposed to do. That's what gets you in Trump.
57:41
Speaker 1: That's what That's what Joe, that's I'm joke to public.
57:44
Speaker 1: So I remember they did really well a couple of
57:46
Speaker 1: weeks ago. Then they length of the bed, and then
57:50
Speaker 1: and and I do like the idea of of the
57:52
Speaker 1: well rested and the you know, the forty niners are
57:56
Speaker 1: are cocky and the only one nine nothing over the Ridskins.
57:59
Speaker 1: I'm saying, yes, okay, So I have my own methods,
58:02
Speaker 1: Chad of getting to where I need to get, and
58:05
Speaker 1: you don't work to me. Okay. So right now we
58:07
Speaker 1: got the Panthers, the Colts, the Dolphins, and Green Bay,
58:11
Speaker 1: and I feel like we have Seattle as an alternate
58:15
Speaker 1: um depending on where that where that line lands. Um,
58:19
Speaker 1: what's the what's the what's the what? Up up to
58:21
Speaker 1: five or up to four? What? What is the rule
58:25
Speaker 1: for which game? What's our rule for Seattle? We pick
58:29
Speaker 1: it unless it hits what number? Oh, I mean if
58:32
Speaker 1: it's if it's the backup, I'd take it up the
58:34
Speaker 1: six and a half because I'm not seeing any books
58:37
Speaker 1: with the line here. That's what's like. I'm seeing like
58:39
Speaker 1: the line that they did but originally took off the board,
58:42
Speaker 1: which is three and a half. But that might be
58:44
Speaker 1: what I'm working off of, right, So that's what like,
58:47
Speaker 1: I'm hoping that's what if the Super Contest comes out
58:50
Speaker 1: with that, we can ride with everyone else and just
58:51
Speaker 1: take that number. All right, do we need we need
58:56
Speaker 1: one more team, Simon, We're gonna go, Simon says. Simon says, take.
59:04
Speaker 1: Shimon said, its take, so my my favorite alternatives for
59:07
Speaker 1: the ones we have right now. I would hate to
59:12
Speaker 1: do it to Darren, but I do like the Jags
59:14
Speaker 1: at home against the Jeff. I don't like that game.
59:18
Speaker 1: You know what we have to do it, Simon says,
59:20
Speaker 1: we're playing. Simon says, well, we can just put that
59:22
Speaker 1: as an alternative. We're taking that if Seattle doesn't work, right, yeah,
59:28
Speaker 1: because that's that's that's the that's the Attle numbers end
59:31
Speaker 1: up being a good one. Like Darren's right, we shouldn't
59:33
Speaker 1: really be playing the percentages yet, so I'm definitely cool
59:37
Speaker 1: taking the Seattle one. All right. So we got the
59:40
Speaker 1: Jags minus five and a half. We got the Colts
59:42
Speaker 1: minus six, we got Miami plus fourteen and a half,
59:47
Speaker 1: we got I'm sorry, we got Green Bay minus four
59:51
Speaker 1: and a half, and we got the Panthers plus five
59:55
Speaker 1: and a half and maybe Seattle to replace the Jags,
59:58
Speaker 1: depending on what they get. To Desk, I like it.
1:00:03
Speaker 1: Anything is better than us back in a week where
1:00:05
Speaker 1: we go with Michigan. I don't think we'll ever have
1:00:07
Speaker 1: Michigan contest again. No Mitch, no Bengals. Like pretty soon,
1:00:10
Speaker 1: we won't have anyone to choose it all. That's that's
1:00:14
Speaker 1: the best part with you and I will take full responsibility.
1:00:17
Speaker 1: I will take full responsibility for the Dolphins. I feel
1:00:20
Speaker 1: really good about it, and I will own it either way.
1:00:24
Speaker 1: I'll be really cocky when we win, but if somehow
1:00:27
Speaker 1: things don't wind wind up where we need to be,
1:00:29
Speaker 1: I will own it. We'll probably find a way to
1:00:31
Speaker 1: blame you for it. Anyways. Yeah, I'll just say it's
1:00:34
Speaker 1: never a good signed. A professional don't gonna take a
1:00:36
Speaker 1: huge dog. I'll say that much. Simon Hunter, Dan Revel,
1:00:42
Speaker 1: thank you so much for coming on the podcast. We'll
1:00:44
Speaker 1: talk to you guys next week. Alright, folks, I want
1:00:47
Speaker 1: to thank Bob Scucci from New Orleans and BOYD Gaming.
1:00:50
Speaker 1: I want to thank Dann Ravel from the Action Network.
1:00:51
Speaker 1: I want to tink. I want to thank Professional Better
1:00:54
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter for joining me on the Favorites podcast. Downloaded
1:01:00
Speaker 1: Apple Podcast, rate review, Subscribe, Listen to it radio dot
1:01:04
Speaker 1: com search for the Favorites, get it wherever you get
1:01:08
Speaker 1: your podcasts. I am Chad Milman. Love you,