Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / P&L: Venezuela Is Going to Collapse, New America's CEO Says
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg pim L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we
- 0:11Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for
- 0:14Speaker 1: you and your money, whether at the grocery store or
- 0:16Speaker 1: the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p L Podcast on iTunes,
- 0:20Speaker 1: SoundCloud and at Bloomberg dot com. We are broadcasting live
- 0:30Speaker 1: from the Bloomberg ear Ahead Summer at the Park Hyatt
- 0:32Speaker 1: in New York City. Our next guest is No Stranger
- 0:36Speaker 1: to news events or two policy changes in the world.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Joining us now is and Marie Slaughter, the president and
- 0:43Speaker 1: the chief executive of New America Foundation UH, formerly policy
- 0:48Speaker 1: advisor in the U. S. State Department. And Marie Slaughter,
- 0:51Speaker 1: thank you very much for being with us. My pleasure.
- 0:53Speaker 1: You wanted to focus on equality and women's rights and
- 0:58Speaker 1: the workforce, and I'm wondering if you could just give
- 1:01Speaker 1: us a sort of encapsulated version of what your presentation
- 1:04Speaker 1: was about and what you hope to achieve. So with
- 1:07Speaker 1: the greatest thing about being in here was that the
- 1:10Speaker 1: audience was certainly majority men. Often when we have this
- 1:13Speaker 1: conversation as women and I had a very simple message,
- 1:16Speaker 1: which was, we are never going to get to gender
- 1:20Speaker 1: equality unless we change our expectations of men as much
- 1:25Speaker 1: as we've changed our expectations of women, so that all
- 1:29Speaker 1: policies have to be gender neutral. You can't have maternity leave, uh,
- 1:33Speaker 1: and no paternity leave or long maternity leave but short
- 1:36Speaker 1: paternity leave. You have to assume all human beings have children.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Think about same sex couples, for instance, our adoption. But
- 1:43Speaker 1: you also have to assume that you know a man
- 1:46Speaker 1: with children is going to slow down if you assume
- 1:49Speaker 1: that a woman with children is gonna slow down, or
- 1:51Speaker 1: assume a woman has a lead parent at home the
- 1:53Speaker 1: way you assume a man has a lead parent at home.
- 1:56Speaker 1: And finally, you're going to have to change the automatic
- 1:59Speaker 1: as some and uh that you know the person who
- 2:02Speaker 1: works longest works best and actually look at results rather
- 2:05Speaker 1: than FaceTime. You wrote a story an article, uh, why
- 2:10Speaker 1: women still can't have it all in the Atlantic in
- 2:13Speaker 1: two thousand twelve. Um, you have two boys going back.
- 2:17Speaker 1: If you could do it all over again, what would
- 2:20Speaker 1: you have done differently? Let's make it easier? Oh? Nothing, really?
- 2:27Speaker 1: I mean you know, I was a tenured professor and
- 2:29Speaker 1: my husband was a tenured professor. It doesn't get better
- 2:32Speaker 1: than that. And I was a dean, and but Andy
- 2:37Speaker 1: was a tenured professor, so we had that flexibility. So
- 2:40Speaker 1: the only thing, you know, I could have not taken
- 2:42Speaker 1: the job with Secretary Clinton, but I would never say
- 2:45Speaker 1: I should have done that, because even as hard as
- 2:48Speaker 1: it was, it was totally worth it. And um, you know,
- 2:54Speaker 1: I tell young women all the time if they're going
- 2:56Speaker 1: to go work on the National Security Council, I say,
- 2:59Speaker 1: do it. You know you'll love it. It's great for
- 3:00Speaker 1: your resume. But just to understand, you're not going to
- 3:03Speaker 1: see your children, so don't try to do both. And
- 3:05Speaker 1: if your spouse is not willing to be redparent, you've
- 3:07Speaker 1: got a big problem because you really aren't gonna be
- 3:09Speaker 1: able to do both. So I wouldn't change it. Um,
- 3:13Speaker 1: And you know, I have been home as much as
- 3:16Speaker 1: I'm ever home. My kids would say my definition of
- 3:19Speaker 1: being home is different than many people's, but for for
- 3:23Speaker 1: both of them, all the way through the end of
- 3:25Speaker 1: high school. And I wouldn't trade that. Now. You served
- 3:28Speaker 1: as a Director of Policy Planning for the US State
- 3:31Speaker 1: Department from two thousand nine to two tholeven. You were
- 3:36Speaker 1: the first woman to actually hold that position. What did
- 3:39Speaker 1: you learn as a result of your tenure and are
- 3:43Speaker 1: there things that you wish you knew about? What was accomplishable?
- 3:49Speaker 1: What was the real world versus the policy world. Can
- 3:52Speaker 1: you give us some some insight. Yeah, well, so I
- 3:55Speaker 1: learned a lot. So you have to start with a proposition.
- 3:58Speaker 1: Having been a tenured professor, I was fifty years old
- 4:01Speaker 1: before I ever had a boss, because at the academy
- 4:03Speaker 1: you do not have a boss. So getting used to
- 4:05Speaker 1: having a boss, even a fabulous boss like like Hillary Clinton,
- 4:09Speaker 1: took some doing. Um, I would say, I really did
- 4:12Speaker 1: experience something I had read about but not not seen that.
- 4:18Speaker 1: You know, women, anybody will be cut out of a
- 4:21Speaker 1: meeting in Washington, but effectively to be in the meeting
- 4:25Speaker 1: you have to act like, of course, I'm going to
- 4:27Speaker 1: be in this meeting, which I think is harder for
- 4:29Speaker 1: women to do than men. The other thing is that
- 4:32Speaker 1: the you know, this should have been obvious too, but
- 4:34Speaker 1: the in this case young men networks. They weren't a
- 4:38Speaker 1: whole boy networks. They were young men. There were thirty
- 4:40Speaker 1: two year olds through from the White House, through the
- 4:43Speaker 1: Treasury to d O D to State that's where the
- 4:46Speaker 1: information traveled, and information is gold in politics, and so
- 4:51Speaker 1: they just weren't enough women to have that kind of
- 4:54Speaker 1: network so that you always were one step ahead of
- 4:57Speaker 1: your boss. Given your experience an international relations I would
- 5:00Speaker 1: be remiss not to ask you. Looking around right now,
- 5:02Speaker 1: people are worried about a lot of crises around the world.
- 5:05Speaker 1: Which do you think is most imminent and important to
- 5:09Speaker 1: watch and that the U S could potentially help to abeliate.
- 5:14Speaker 1: It's hard to know where to where to start. Uh,
- 5:18Speaker 1: you know, I do so imminent. We are watching the
- 5:22Speaker 1: implosion of the entire Middle East and we are not
- 5:26Speaker 1: going to be able to cabin that. I disagree sharply
- 5:29Speaker 1: with the President on his Syria policy because I think
- 5:33Speaker 1: not just refugees, but we're just incubating another whole generation
- 5:37Speaker 1: of terrorists and we are destabilizing a region that is
- 5:40Speaker 1: very important to us. So I think that that is critical.
- 5:44Speaker 1: The crisis I worry about most is a accidental collision
- 5:51Speaker 1: or incident in the South or East China Sea, where
- 5:55Speaker 1: for domestic political reasons, Japan goes on alert. Japan is
- 5:59Speaker 1: archery d the ally we back Japan, China goes on alert.
- 6:03Speaker 1: China has to feed its nationalist youth, and suddenly it
- 6:07Speaker 1: looks like nineteen fourteen, where nobody really wants to go
- 6:09Speaker 1: to war, but no one can see a way out.
- 6:12Speaker 1: So that's one I worry about. And then the last one,
- 6:15Speaker 1: which we could do much more about, is Venezuela is
- 6:18Speaker 1: going to collapse. And when Venezuela collapses, it's gonna be
- 6:22Speaker 1: bad for energy markets, it's going to be terrible for refugees,
- 6:25Speaker 1: It's could further destabilize Colombia. You know, we we need
- 6:29Speaker 1: to be paying much more attention and doing what we
- 6:32Speaker 1: can to help stabilize that country, preferably with the rest
- 6:35Speaker 1: of the Oias. Thank you so much. This was really
- 6:38Speaker 1: really tremendous. And Maurice Slaughter, a long time UH policy
- 6:43Speaker 1: adviser to the president but also professor and UH now
- 6:48Speaker 1: currently president and CEO of New America, thank you so
- 6:52Speaker 1: much for being with us. We heard a lot of
- 6:53Speaker 1: really fantastic things for the year ahead. I'm hopeful, paim
- 6:56Speaker 1: I've got to tell you a little bit more helpful
- 6:57Speaker 1: than I was when I started. I'm hopeful for your
- 7:10Speaker 1: We are here with an esteemed guest, Valerie Jarrett, Senior,
- 7:15Speaker 1: adviser to President Barack Obama and longtime confidante here at
- 7:21Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Here Ahead Summit to talk about some of
- 7:24Speaker 1: the issues and some of the progress made in workplace issues. Valerie,
- 7:29Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. Thank you,
- 7:31Speaker 1: Lisa and Pim. It's a delight for me to be here,
- 7:33Speaker 1: and I appreciate you putting a spotlight on these issues
- 7:35Speaker 1: that are so important to working families. So what have
- 7:38Speaker 1: some of the biggest surprises been for you as you've
- 7:42Speaker 1: pushed through some of your workplace agenda. Well, frankly, how
- 7:46Speaker 1: easy it is to convince businesses about what's in their
- 7:49Speaker 1: self interest once you show them the data. So, for example, UM,
- 7:52Speaker 1: eight years ago, it was hard to get businesses to
- 7:56Speaker 1: really talk about investing in their workforce in the form
- 7:58Speaker 1: of paid leave, paid sick days, workplace flexibility, affordable childcare,
- 8:03Speaker 1: equal pay. There wasn't fun and center. In fact, I
- 8:06Speaker 1: would venture to guess if I'd been invited to Bloomberg,
- 8:08Speaker 1: that wouldn't have been the topic that you'd wanted me
- 8:10Speaker 1: to address. And I've been so hardened to see truly
- 8:13Speaker 1: a transformation over the eight years in terms of the
- 8:15Speaker 1: awareness and not just with the large companies publicly health companies,
- 8:19Speaker 1: but small businesses who care about their culture and care
- 8:22Speaker 1: about retaining their workforce and recognizing it's not just enough
- 8:25Speaker 1: to get him in the door. You've got to be
- 8:27Speaker 1: able to compete in the twenty one century UM marketplace,
- 8:31Speaker 1: and that's dependent upon recognizing the needs of the century worker.
- 8:36Speaker 1: The President has just signed an executive order having to
- 8:40Speaker 1: do with companies that do business with the federal government.
- 8:43Speaker 1: Wonder if you could just expand on that. Sure, well,
- 8:46Speaker 1: we recognize right now that there's no national paid sick
- 8:50Speaker 1: day requirement UM, and so there's legislation pending called the
- 8:54Speaker 1: Healthy Families Act that would require companies to give their
- 8:57Speaker 1: workforce at least seven days of paid sick time. I
- 9:00Speaker 1: would mention also that we're the only developed country in
- 9:02Speaker 1: the world that doesn't have a federal paid lea paid
- 9:05Speaker 1: sickly policy. So, in light of Congress is failure to act,
- 9:08Speaker 1: the President sign an executive order saying all right, well,
- 9:11Speaker 1: at least if we're spending federal taxpayer dollars, we want
- 9:14Speaker 1: to know that the workers are going to at least
- 9:17Speaker 1: have seven days of paid sick time. And so if
- 9:19Speaker 1: you want to do business with the federal government, then
- 9:21Speaker 1: you're going to have to pay your workers um paid
- 9:24Speaker 1: sick days for seven days. Everybody gets sick, and I
- 9:26Speaker 1: don't know about you, but if I go to a restaurant,
- 9:29Speaker 1: I actually want the worker to be healthy. So this
- 9:32Speaker 1: isn't just that it's good for the worker and good.
- 9:34Speaker 1: If I'm a mom and my daughter sick, I don't
- 9:36Speaker 1: want to get doctor day's work because I want to
- 9:38Speaker 1: stay home and take care of her. I want to
- 9:39Speaker 1: be able to do that. And all too often, particularly
- 9:44Speaker 1: lower wage workers can't afford to choose between going to
- 9:47Speaker 1: work or missing that day's pay, or little losing your
- 9:50Speaker 1: job if you don't show up. So that's what the
- 9:52Speaker 1: executive and we're very familiar as consumers about following the
- 9:55Speaker 1: whole supply chain. In this case, it goes back to
- 9:57Speaker 1: a person. It goes back to a person exactly. And
- 10:00Speaker 1: if you're an employer, you're only going to be as
- 10:03Speaker 1: good as the people who you employ, and recognizing that
- 10:06Speaker 1: you've got to take care of them and invest in
- 10:08Speaker 1: them is not just good for women. This is a
- 10:10Speaker 1: working family issue, but it's also good for business, and
- 10:13Speaker 1: it's good for our economy. We're now competing with companies
- 10:15Speaker 1: all over the world. I just mentioned I was here
- 10:18Speaker 1: several months ago at Spotify, and they just announced twelve
- 10:22Speaker 1: months of paid leave. Twelve months. Why because their headquarted
- 10:27Speaker 1: in Sweden where they offer eighteen months, and they're having
- 10:29Speaker 1: a hard time with their workforce because the ones that
- 10:31Speaker 1: work here are going or wait a minute, look what's
- 10:33Speaker 1: happening over in Sweden. So they're needing to close that gap.
- 10:36Speaker 1: And that's happening all over the world. And so companies
- 10:38Speaker 1: that recognize the importance of investing in their work in
- 10:41Speaker 1: their workforce are seeing the results of that investment. As
- 10:46Speaker 1: the mother of two small children who works full time
- 10:49Speaker 1: and as a husband who some time, I totally understand this.
- 10:52Speaker 1: But I also understand, you know, when you hear about
- 10:54Speaker 1: equality of pay for women, and you hear about the
- 10:56Speaker 1: child care issues, how complicated it is and how they're
- 11:00Speaker 1: so many factors that go into it with respect to
- 11:02Speaker 1: the wishes and sort of whether people are directed by
- 11:05Speaker 1: virtue of getting time off to be the primary caregiver
- 11:10Speaker 1: going forward, what do you think needs to happen. That's
- 11:12Speaker 1: a really good question where one of the steps of
- 11:15Speaker 1: the president has also taken is to require companies um
- 11:19Speaker 1: that are over a hundred have over a hundred employees
- 11:21Speaker 1: to collect data on pay and send it to the
- 11:24Speaker 1: Department of Labor. And it's a tool for the companies,
- 11:27Speaker 1: but it's also a tool for policymakers to try to
- 11:29Speaker 1: figure out whether or not there is a discrepancy and pay.
- 11:33Speaker 1: And if you get to the fact that there is,
- 11:35Speaker 1: then you can go behind the numbers and figure out why.
- 11:38Speaker 1: We've also asked companies to take what we're calling an
- 11:41Speaker 1: equal Pay pledge. We have fifty seven companies around the country,
- 11:44Speaker 1: big companies you know, from Amazon to Google to um GM,
- 11:48Speaker 1: who have taken this pledge. And what the pledge requires
- 11:50Speaker 1: is once a year, look at your data, look at
- 11:53Speaker 1: what are the structural impediments to equal pay and other
- 11:56Speaker 1: impediments to keeping work women in the workplace, and then
- 11:59Speaker 1: make a commitment to try to deal with them. And
- 12:01Speaker 1: what we do with the White House is try to
- 12:03Speaker 1: show what are those best practices and if we're keeping
- 12:06Speaker 1: women in the workforce, half of our horse is now
- 12:08Speaker 1: comprised of women. Women are graduating from college that higher
- 12:11Speaker 1: rates than men. Thank you, I'm familiar with that. But
- 12:14Speaker 1: in a field such as computer science, they're only staying
- 12:16Speaker 1: in three years and the number one reason they give
- 12:18Speaker 1: for leaving the field culture. And so it's also not
- 12:22Speaker 1: just a matter of lease of having these important policies
- 12:25Speaker 1: on your books of your company, but you also have
- 12:28Speaker 1: to create a culture where people feel comfortable to take them.
- 12:30Speaker 1: At the White House, we have three months paid leave
- 12:33Speaker 1: for men and women equal because we think they should.
- 12:37Speaker 1: But just let's for one second. I mean, your job
- 12:40Speaker 1: is incredibly important as it is, you do a lot
- 12:42Speaker 1: of things. If if you were in that position, would
- 12:46Speaker 1: you be able to extract yourself for three months or
- 12:49Speaker 1: kind of a fallacy? No, you could, And that's what
- 12:51Speaker 1: That's why I always give the White House as an example,
- 12:53Speaker 1: because what's more high powered, high pressure than that? Where
- 12:56Speaker 1: do we all think we're indispensable? But we have had
- 12:58Speaker 1: several senior member is in the White House team, including
- 13:01Speaker 1: my own deputy who left for three months, and we
- 13:04Speaker 1: have now created the kind of culture where if you
- 13:06Speaker 1: don't take that three months, then there's pure pressure and
- 13:09Speaker 1: it's like, well what are you doing back here? And
- 13:11Speaker 1: so you reinforce it. You know what happens while you're
- 13:13Speaker 1: going somebody steps up and we all cover for each other,
- 13:16Speaker 1: and we've created the environment where there isn't any resentment
- 13:19Speaker 1: for it because it gives younger people a chance to
- 13:21Speaker 1: move up for a second and get and sometimes that
- 13:23Speaker 1: leads to promotion because people more senior get to see
- 13:26Speaker 1: them in action. So if you can do it in
- 13:28Speaker 1: the White House, and you can do it equally for
- 13:29Speaker 1: men and women, and you work on that culture, and
- 13:32Speaker 1: it takes a deliberate effort, you can't just say yes,
- 13:35Speaker 1: you can do it. You have to model. People can't
- 13:37Speaker 1: be what they can't see. And so when the Press Secretary,
- 13:41Speaker 1: who's a man, Josh Ernist, takes paternity leave, that sends
- 13:45Speaker 1: a message throughout his entire core group that if the
- 13:47Speaker 1: Press Secretary can be out of pockets, so can everybody else.
- 13:50Speaker 1: Just give you a quick twenty seconds here. Eight years
- 13:54Speaker 1: Obama is ending his two terms. You're going to be
- 13:57Speaker 1: ending eight years at the Washington White House. And so right,
- 14:01Speaker 1: what are you going to miss the most? Oh my gosh,
- 14:05Speaker 1: or what are you gonna miss the least? Congress? Okay,
- 14:09Speaker 1: that was a much easier because I'm gonna miss so much.
- 14:12Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna miss the people and I don't
- 14:14Speaker 1: just mean the people with whom I work, but the
- 14:16Speaker 1: people across this country who I have the privilege of
- 14:19Speaker 1: meeting every day from all walks of life, who are
- 14:21Speaker 1: really just trying to do right by their family. And
- 14:24Speaker 1: I've met the most ordinary people who do extraordinary things,
- 14:28Speaker 1: and we try to lift them up by inviting them
- 14:30Speaker 1: to the White House and see them around. Um. So
- 14:33Speaker 1: I will miss just the diversity of my day, and
- 14:36Speaker 1: I'll miss the majesty of coming through those gates every morning,
- 14:39Speaker 1: right every single day for nearly eight years. I just
- 14:41Speaker 1: pinched myself at the privilege of working at the White House.
- 14:46Speaker 1: I don't drink coffee, but I bet it's pretty good
- 14:48Speaker 1: everything else from the White House mess. Maybe mess is
- 14:50Speaker 1: really good. Thanks very much for joining us. A Valerie Jarrett,
- 14:53Speaker 1: senior advisor to President Barack Obama. This is Bloomberg him.
- 15:08Speaker 1: No better person for us to talk to you in
- 15:10Speaker 1: the morning when I could be on my third cup
- 15:12Speaker 1: of coffee than Andrea Ellie, Chairman and Ellie Cafees of
- 15:16Speaker 1: Ellie Cafees, sp a on about his life. I want
- 15:21Speaker 1: to talk to you first before we talk about climate change.
- 15:25Speaker 1: I want to talk first about the fact that you
- 15:27Speaker 1: are four years old when you had your first cup
- 15:30Speaker 1: of coffee. Can you please explain to me how that
- 15:32Speaker 1: how that came about as a mom of a four
- 15:34Speaker 1: year old. Well, I was sipping coffee by the spoon,
- 15:40Speaker 1: not drinking coffee four years old, but I was assisting
- 15:43Speaker 1: my mother preparing the very first espresso. There was no
- 15:47Speaker 1: expresso technology for home at that time, so she was
- 15:51Speaker 1: grinding and dozing and waiting and then tamping. It took
- 15:56Speaker 1: probably half an hour up to forty five minutes to
- 15:59Speaker 1: get the one, and we were probably spoiling, you know,
- 16:03Speaker 1: wasting three of them in order to get the good.
- 16:06Speaker 1: But then the coffee was perfect. So all these has
- 16:08Speaker 1: been completely revolutionized with the first paper pot that my
- 16:14Speaker 1: father was able to innovate at the beginning of the eighties,
- 16:18Speaker 1: and suddenly, uh, with the easy pots and the successful
- 16:23Speaker 1: technology with capsules, these espresso technology became available worldwide and
- 16:28Speaker 1: made the espresso to become global and loved by you know,
- 16:32Speaker 1: consumers all over the world, and made the basically espresso
- 16:36Speaker 1: to become the most you know, enjoyed way of drinking
- 16:40Speaker 1: coffee even by tea drinkers and filter coffee drinkers. Let's
- 16:46Speaker 1: talk about the Elie brand and the reach right now,
- 16:49Speaker 1: because you're here at the Year Ahead Summit to learn,
- 16:53Speaker 1: to meet, but also to share some of the new
- 16:56Speaker 1: programs that you would put together at Elie to draw
- 17:00Speaker 1: b in and to expand the brand when it is
- 17:03Speaker 1: the is the most global coffee brand. Were present in
- 17:08Speaker 1: over forty one hundred forty countries and we do basically
- 17:13Speaker 1: one third of our stays in our domestic country, Italy.
- 17:15Speaker 1: So I feel when I hear in New York, I
- 17:18Speaker 1: feel really I'm at home. And um, it's a family
- 17:21Speaker 1: business controlled by the family. So we grow set finance,
- 17:26Speaker 1: which is a challenge because we are the private company
- 17:30Speaker 1: which grows the more relatively in percentage compared to let's
- 17:36Speaker 1: say other strictly private one. So that means that only
- 17:41Speaker 1: companies which grow more than us are public realist okay,
- 17:46Speaker 1: and we are obsessively focused only on quality. As a
- 17:51Speaker 1: matter of fact, the company was founded upon the dream
- 17:54Speaker 1: of my grandfather, the founder, to offer the greatest coffee
- 17:57Speaker 1: to the world, and this dream became a mission the
- 18:01Speaker 1: lighting lovers of goodness and beauty all over the world
- 18:04Speaker 1: with the best coffee nature can provide enhanced by technology
- 18:08Speaker 1: and the beauty of the arts. This is our mission
- 18:11Speaker 1: and UH we stick to it to such an extent
- 18:14Speaker 1: where we are the only coffee company in the world
- 18:17Speaker 1: offering only one coffee, because if you want to offer
- 18:20Speaker 1: the best, it can be only one. So the famous
- 18:22Speaker 1: really Blend this is it's done with the nine ingredients
- 18:26Speaker 1: of the best Arabbica that we source directly from all
- 18:30Speaker 1: over the world in in in twenty countries. So next
- 18:32Speaker 1: week there will be November one here in New York
- 18:36Speaker 1: the very first international award awarding the best growers of
- 18:42Speaker 1: the nine countries sourcing our our our blend. And then
- 18:47Speaker 1: there will be also the best of the Best awarded
- 18:49Speaker 1: by International jewel So with that, this Illy Blend is
- 18:53Speaker 1: served globally and omni channel you can enjoy in the
- 18:57Speaker 1: hospitality restaurants, cafes, hotels at home through different channels. On
- 19:04Speaker 1: on the air, we are we have been recently appointed
- 19:07Speaker 1: as the official coffee of the United Airlines and UH
- 19:10Speaker 1: and so on the go. We also have this partnership
- 19:13Speaker 1: with Coca Cola for the really ready to drink, so
- 19:15Speaker 1: you can get it everywhere. Well, Andrea, you know I'm
- 19:18Speaker 1: as I hear you talk. I'm kind of torn because
- 19:20Speaker 1: I grew up in a family where my father is
- 19:22Speaker 1: a professor and he spends a lot of his day
- 19:24Speaker 1: tamping down the espresso and grind to get and measuring it.
- 19:27Speaker 1: I mean, this is a very important pursuit in my household.
- 19:29Speaker 1: On the other hand, you know, we hear so much
- 19:31Speaker 1: about burning down the rainforests, and you know, and flattening
- 19:34Speaker 1: areas and and sort of the unsustainability of a lot
- 19:37Speaker 1: of the coffee industry. Can you speak to that? I mean,
- 19:40Speaker 1: how do you deal with that? So it used to be,
- 19:42Speaker 1: it's much better now. Coffee has been uh, let's say,
- 19:46Speaker 1: well negative negative lee known until three decades ago for
- 19:51Speaker 1: deforestation and also harsh working condition in the producing countries.
- 19:56Speaker 1: Situation has dramatically improved, let's say, since the the eighties,
- 20:01Speaker 1: thanks to let's say, the revolution of good MC coffee.
- 20:06Speaker 1: The revolution gour mc coffee made coffee to develop three virtues,
- 20:11Speaker 1: which are pleasure, health, and sustainability. Pleasure. There is much
- 20:16Speaker 1: better quality around, better preparation, better places of consumption, more
- 20:21Speaker 1: variety so people can have fun and enjoy health. The
- 20:25Speaker 1: perception of health has dramatical increase Now not only sixty
- 20:30Speaker 1: of people and the the reverted ratio before before believe
- 20:36Speaker 1: that coffee is good for health. There are several studies
- 20:38Speaker 1: which confirm all confirmed that coffee makes you live longer
- 20:41Speaker 1: and better and even the WORLL The Health Organization did
- 20:46Speaker 1: reclassify coffee from possibly consinergenic to non consumer genny so,
- 20:50Speaker 1: which is a huge achievement. And last, but the least,
- 20:53Speaker 1: sustainability didn't improve. Environmental one, uh, no deforestation any longer.
- 21:00Speaker 1: The last two decades there has been a fifty increase
- 21:02Speaker 1: in production with no more actors, So no more the deforestation.
- 21:07Speaker 1: We can always confirmed that coffee planting contributes positively to
- 21:13Speaker 1: a carbon sequestration. You know, also the water consumption has
- 21:18Speaker 1: been dramatically reduced and the water pollution has been very limited.
- 21:23Speaker 1: So this is all positive. Of course, on average there
- 21:27Speaker 1: can be always negative situations and the social one. The
- 21:31Speaker 1: only thing that we can say is that the human
- 21:34Speaker 1: development index of most of the producing countries in the
- 21:37Speaker 1: last twenties did improve. Is it enough? No, it is
- 21:40Speaker 1: not enough. There's still a lot to do, but the
- 21:43Speaker 1: situation is improving. Can I just give you about twenty seconds,
- 21:47Speaker 1: very short, you're on your way to Boston, home to
- 21:49Speaker 1: Bloomberg twelve. But if you can just tell us what
- 21:52Speaker 1: are you planning to do in Boston. Well, in Boston,
- 21:54Speaker 1: I'm going to have a conversation at the university level
- 21:59Speaker 1: about the coffee culture in Jenna. This is just how
- 22:02Speaker 1: people wear it is and what it's about. What this
- 22:04Speaker 1: is a at the university at Boston and the detail
- 22:08Speaker 1: I will tell you later. I still alright, alright, alright,
- 22:13Speaker 1: but you're gonna be at Boston University. It was that
- 22:15Speaker 1: private say all right, you're gonna learn everything you need
- 22:18Speaker 1: to know about coffee. Thank you very much. We certainly did. Uh.
- 22:22Speaker 1: Andrea Eally he is the chairman of Elie Cafe is
- 22:26Speaker 1: the worldwide. Did you feel like you've got a little
- 22:29Speaker 1: coffee just even being next to someone who has just
- 22:33Speaker 1: experienced it and lived it for so long. I think
- 22:35Speaker 1: he's going to get you a cup of espresso right now.
- 22:38Speaker 1: So yeah, alright, this is Bloomberg Markets. I'm pim Fox.
- 22:41Speaker 1: My co host Lisa Brahma, It's this is Bloomberg. I
- 22:53Speaker 1: want to take a look now at Apple and what
- 22:56Speaker 1: to expect after the bell today when they report earning.
- 23:00Speaker 1: David Garretty CEO at g v A research here with us. Now, Dave,
- 23:05Speaker 1: what are you expecting to see from Apple? At least,
- 23:07Speaker 1: thank you. We're looking today for revenues to be approximately
- 23:10Speaker 1: forty UM billion dollars, which is gonna be down about
- 23:14Speaker 1: nine percent year every year. Earnings about a dollar sixty five,
- 23:18Speaker 1: which is gonna be down about sixteen percent year every year.
- 23:20Speaker 1: In terms of iPhones shipments uh number about forty six million,
- 23:24Speaker 1: which actually is down as well. Note that for Apple,
- 23:27Speaker 1: this is gonna be the third consecutive quarter in which
- 23:29Speaker 1: you've seen actually revenues and earnings down year over years.
- 23:33Speaker 1: You have, but nothing can stop them, right, I mean,
- 23:35Speaker 1: their shares are up almost four percent this year. Certainly
- 23:38Speaker 1: who cares? If we look back over the last six months,
- 23:40Speaker 1: I mean, the stocks up almost thirty percent, while the
- 23:42Speaker 1: S and P five hundred is up you know, roughly
- 23:44Speaker 1: about ten. So clearly people trading what typically has been
- 23:49Speaker 1: sort of the product cycles for Apple, obviously by the
- 23:51Speaker 1: stock ahead of a new phone launched with the iPhone seven,
- 23:54Speaker 1: you know, certainly they've been benefiting here, and not just
- 23:56Speaker 1: from what they've been doing with their own product, but
- 23:58Speaker 1: the fact that Samsung is basically fully recalled the Galaxy
- 24:01Speaker 1: Note seven. I'm just trying to wrap my mind around
- 24:04Speaker 1: the fact that this is a company that at least
- 24:07Speaker 1: has already done or will do forty seven billion dollars
- 24:11Speaker 1: in profit. Right, that's more. I think that GM did
- 24:15Speaker 1: sales for the quarter of like forty eight. That might
- 24:19Speaker 1: be a good year for GM. No. No, this is
- 24:21Speaker 1: a great cash on their balance, like Bolivia has for
- 24:25Speaker 1: their entire condom. I mean, this is I just want
- 24:29Speaker 1: to try to get my mind around the juggernaut that
- 24:31Speaker 1: this machine is because people keep looking and I mean
- 24:34Speaker 1: in relation to the stock, not into the ge whiz.
- 24:37Speaker 1: We're gonna have an iPhone sixteen and it's gonna make
- 24:39Speaker 1: dinner for me. The stock itself, do you think it's
- 24:42Speaker 1: under priced? I think the stock right now still has
- 24:45Speaker 1: some further legs on it and certainly has been assisted
- 24:47Speaker 1: here by Samsung. I mean, we are going into the
- 24:49Speaker 1: strongest period seasonally year end holiday shopping in the Western Hemisphere.
- 24:54Speaker 1: You go to the first quarter of next year, you
- 24:55Speaker 1: have the lunar New Year in China. But you see,
- 24:57Speaker 1: you're talking about the consumer. I'm talking about the stock.
- 24:59Speaker 1: Here's my my my thesis, right is that if you
- 25:02Speaker 1: want to buy into the revolution that smartphones are going
- 25:05Speaker 1: to be with us forever. If you want to invest
- 25:07Speaker 1: in a company who produces a balance sheet and a
- 25:11Speaker 1: profit and loss statement that you can read in English
- 25:13Speaker 1: and understand, there really are not that many out there, right,
- 25:17Speaker 1: I mean Samsung has it, and I'm not saying problems,
- 25:20Speaker 1: no problems, but what else is there? Right? Apple is
- 25:23Speaker 1: still very much your suit, your default way to trade
- 25:27Speaker 1: smartphones on a pure play basis. Clearly though if you
- 25:31Speaker 1: look at some of the things that are being enabled
- 25:32Speaker 1: by the technology, mean, Google remains a far more interesting
- 25:36Speaker 1: company in terms of what it's actually making possible. And
- 25:39Speaker 1: I'm not going to say that the Google Pixel is
- 25:41Speaker 1: going to be suddenly like the new phone that they
- 25:44Speaker 1: came out, correct, and it's not making is that Hawawei
- 25:47Speaker 1: making it for that? That's actually it's a HTC I right.
- 25:50Speaker 1: But but in terms of having the Pixel out, I
- 25:52Speaker 1: mean having the Galaxy Notes seven from Samsung fully off
- 25:56Speaker 1: the market, clearly, consumers want to have a competing product
- 26:00Speaker 1: relative to whatever Apple has two. So in some respects
- 26:03Speaker 1: in this holiday season, it becomes default, perhaps the Google Pixel.
- 26:07Speaker 1: So there's so much optimism here and and and good feeling.
- 26:10Speaker 1: I have to bring it down a little bit and
- 26:11Speaker 1: talk about Twitter. Um. You know, they said that they're
- 26:14Speaker 1: going to plan job cuts, perhaps as much as three
- 26:17Speaker 1: hundred people. Uh, they're expecting to report earnings later this week.
- 26:21Speaker 1: What could they say that wouldn't be regarded as a
- 26:24Speaker 1: catastrophe from the market's point of view. I mean, the
- 26:27Speaker 1: issue around Twitter primarily is just the fact of slowing
- 26:30Speaker 1: user growth, I mean, less engagement. I mean, there's only
- 26:33Speaker 1: so much that you can do historically within the confines
- 26:35Speaker 1: of a hundred and forty characters. Granted they've expanded this.
- 26:38Speaker 1: If you want to start writing novels on Twitter, you
- 26:40Speaker 1: might think about it, but nope, but nobody uses Twitter
- 26:43Speaker 1: for having anything longer than basically sort of a very short,
- 26:46Speaker 1: concise thought. Uh. And obviously, when Donald Trump goes away,
- 26:50Speaker 1: I mean, obviously the Twitter user rates are going to
- 26:52Speaker 1: go down. Um. But the thing that's more important to
- 26:55Speaker 1: look at in terms of Twitter is that they've gone
- 26:57Speaker 1: out to the market in terms of possibly looking the
- 27:00Speaker 1: strategic engagement of sale. Obviously pretty much everybody has walked away. Um.
- 27:05Speaker 1: Clearly the company is sort of saying we need to
- 27:07Speaker 1: retrench and we need to retrench now. And they really
- 27:09Speaker 1: haven't figured out where they gonna go with this. So
- 27:11Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say here ahead of Thanksgiving that we
- 27:13Speaker 1: take Twitter and stick a fork in it, but nonetheless,
- 27:16Speaker 1: until such time as as things to come, well, it
- 27:19Speaker 1: won't last that long. It'll only be in morsel, not
- 27:22Speaker 1: a full meal in any event. In any event, but
- 27:26Speaker 1: the issue for Twitter here is that they've They've tried
- 27:28Speaker 1: to go, they tried to engage, they've failed, and there
- 27:31Speaker 1: has to be a retrenchment. Uh. The question is how
- 27:34Speaker 1: far does this extend going out into two thousand seventeen?
- 27:38Speaker 1: David Carty? Are we're gonna be talking about Twitter in
- 27:41Speaker 1: the next year ahead? I mean we're at the twenty
- 27:43Speaker 1: you know, we're at the Year Ahead Bloomberg Summit here
- 27:45Speaker 1: at the at the bar quiet um. We've got a
- 27:48Speaker 1: variety of guests looking at and are we really going
- 27:50Speaker 1: to be talking about a company that does about two
- 27:52Speaker 1: point two billion in sales, loses half a billion a year,
- 27:56Speaker 1: and has a market capit twelve billion? Oh? Yes, it
- 27:58Speaker 1: just happens to be Twitter. I mean, why do we care?
- 28:01Speaker 1: Would I would only argue that Twitter is something that
- 28:03Speaker 1: you'll be looking at in the rear view mirror in
- 28:05Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen is basically being technology road kill. You're
- 28:08Speaker 1: going to continue to talk about companies like Facebook. Obviously,
- 28:11Speaker 1: Apple is going to have the tenth anniversary of the
- 28:14Speaker 1: two thousands of the iPhone coming out. It's expected that
- 28:18Speaker 1: the next generation of the iPhone, the iPhone eight, is
- 28:20Speaker 1: going to be something more significant. The company has the opportunity,
- 28:23Speaker 1: given Samsung's missteps, to possibly move ahead of Samsung, which
- 28:27Speaker 1: is important from an innovation standpoint. People have been very
- 28:30Speaker 1: critical of what Apple has not been doing in technology,
- 28:33Speaker 1: whether it's around artificial intelligence, whether it's around virtual reality,
- 28:36Speaker 1: augmented reality. There's clearly much wood for Apple to chop,
- 28:41Speaker 1: so to speak. Well, thank you very much, David Garrity.
- 28:46Speaker 1: He is the chief executive of g v A Research.
- 28:49Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not giving up my Twitter again. Don't
- 28:52Speaker 1: give you. You're very good. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg
- 29:00Speaker 1: pien L podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews
- 29:03Speaker 1: at iTunes, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm
- 29:09Speaker 1: pim Fox. I'm out there on Twitter at pim Fox.
- 29:12Speaker 1: I'm out there on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one
- 29:15Speaker 1: before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on
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