Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 320 - 7/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 320 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Tuesday. We are back at it, everyone.
- 0:39I missed you. I was actually away for the last
- 0:42what, four 5-6 days in the beautiful great state of
- 0:46California on the West Coast. Kind of a somber occasion
- 0:49because it was the the funeral and celebration of life for my
- 0:54in law, my basically my mother in law's sister.
- 0:57So my in law aunt, Aunt Kathy, rest in peace.
- 1:01I was never able to meet her, but she sounded like a great
- 1:04woman and I was able to that, you know, kind of celebrate her
- 1:07life. And we went out to, we flew into
- 1:10San Diego. Then we rented a car.
- 1:12Myself, my wife, my mother-in-law, my sister-in-law,
- 1:16her niece, my father-in-law, rented a car, drove up to Santa
- 1:20Barbara. I have never been to Santa
- 1:21Barbara in my life. Man.
- 1:23It was one of the most beautiful places I have ever been to.
- 1:26We went to the Gainey Winery. So if you haven't noticed yet,
- 1:29I'm going to give you a little breakdown of my California trip
- 1:31because there's a lot I wanted to catch up on and I miss you
- 1:33guys and hope everyone had a great few days.
- 1:36Good weekend. And we're we're back to doing
- 1:38what we love, which is breaking down sharp data-driven place.
- 1:41But anyway, rented a car San Diego, about a 5 hour drive up
- 1:44to Santa Barbara. It was absolutely beautiful.
- 1:47We had a kind of a big celebration of life party at the
- 1:51in. So First off, we stayed in
- 1:53solving. If you've never heard of
- 1:55solving, you know, don't don't feel bad.
- 1:57I had never either. But solving was the town kind of
- 2:01in Santa Barbara where my my aunt had lived.
- 2:04And it's this really cute, like Danish town.
- 2:06It's actually, I believe there's a marker that said the Danish
- 2:10capital of America. So a lot of the Danes, Denmark,
- 2:13the European vibes settled in this little town of solving.
- 2:16Super cute, felt like you're in Europe.
- 2:18Excellent ice cream. We went to a really cool brewery
- 2:21there. And then we went to the Gainey
- 2:24Winery in San Ynez, which was amazing.
- 2:27I felt like I was in an episode of the Kardashians or something.
- 2:30These amazing vineyards with wine.
- 2:33And we had this, this really cool spot where we had speeches
- 2:38and looked at all these photos and, and celebrated the life of
- 2:41Kathy. And I'd never been to a West
- 2:43Coast vineyard before. Again, my sister watches like,
- 2:46you know, Real Housewives of Orange County and the Valley is
- 2:49the new show she loves. So I almost felt like I was
- 2:52literally like, like in a, in a movie or something.
- 2:54You had the string lights and the rolling hills, the
- 2:57mountains, the wine, you know, the music.
- 3:00It was just super cool California vibe.
- 3:02And then at the tail end of it, we drove back to San Diego to
- 3:07where we flew out of and came in late last night.
- 3:09But we stopped in Santa Monica because of course, you know, my
- 3:13wife's family, they're all, you know, ironically, they just
- 3:17moved to New Hampshire to be closer to us and to evade the
- 3:20taxes. And it's getting too expensive
- 3:22in California. But they basically Californians
- 3:25born and raised. And I was like, hey, you know,
- 3:28on the on the way home, you know, as we're driving back to
- 3:31to San Diego, like I had all these like, cliche, I'm a New
- 3:34Englander. I haven't done any of these
- 3:36things. My first thing was anyone want
- 3:38to go to the Dodgers game with me?
- 3:39So I threw out the Dodgers game and kind of I was overruled.
- 3:42It would it would take too long. And you know, me and my dad,
- 3:45I'll keep that as a bucket list thing.
- 3:46My dad and I always want to, as Red Sox fans, go to Chavez
- 3:49Ravine. So we didn't do that.
- 3:51But we did stop in Santa Monica and we went to the Santa Monica
- 3:55Pier and it was one of the coolest places I'd ever been to.
- 4:00Obviously I knew Santa Monica from one of my favorite songs,
- 4:02Everclear Santa Monica. And then also, you know, I
- 4:07recently watched and tracked. I'm a big like mobster guy.
- 4:10But Whitey Bulger, who was on the run and stayed in Santa
- 4:13Monica, I think he's got there, stay there for like 5 or 10
- 4:16years before being captured. But went up and down the pier.
- 4:19It was really cool, kind of like Boardwalk with all games.
- 4:22Reminded me of like a West Coast Coney Island, but you had the
- 4:25waves, you had the ocean. We had a great lunch there and
- 4:29also kind of just, you know, took in the whole West Coast
- 4:32vibe. So Santa Barbara, Solvang,
- 4:35Gainey Vineyard, Santa Monica, of course, San Diego.
- 4:39Even though it was a sombre occasion, I had a really good
- 4:41time. Now with that being said, the
- 4:43only downside to my tripped out to the West Coast is that
- 4:47California doesn't have legalized sports betting.
- 4:50Now, they do have sports betting in specific brick and mortar
- 4:53casinos, but those casinos are run by the tribes, the Native
- 4:57Americans, you know, the Indian reservations.
- 5:00And this has been a big point of contention of mine is that every
- 5:03time I go out to the West Coast, I'm not able to place legal
- 5:07wagers. You know, obviously there are
- 5:09other ways I could bet, but I had a lot of people of you guys
- 5:11reach out to me and it really showed me how many of you have
- 5:14signed up to get the the best bet picks available on the Juice
- 5:16Reel app? Again, 499 a week, $4.99,
- 5:20literally a cup of coffee or less.
- 5:23But I wasn't able to post any plays and because there's no
- 5:28legal betting so I don't have my FanDuel or DraftKings or Bet MGM
- 5:31or Caesars or ESPN bet accounts available because they don't
- 5:36have legal betting mobile betting in California.
- 5:38So I had a bunch of you guys reach out saying one are you
- 5:40alive 2 Why aren't you posting your place to the juicer lap?
- 5:43Well, there's your answer. No legal betting in California.
- 5:46So I couldn't update my plays, but I want to say 1 thank you to
- 5:50all of you who are signing up because I, I get the numbers.
- 5:53I know how many people have have signed up, but the fact that you
- 5:55guys been reaching out and saying why aren't you posting
- 5:56the juice reel? It really meant a lot to me
- 5:59because it tells me that you've signed up and hopefully you
- 6:01enjoy them. Whether you're tailing or
- 6:03fading. I really much appreciate you
- 6:05guys signing up. So that's over with.
- 6:07I'm back in Massachusetts. I'm already posting my bets back
- 6:10to the juice Reel app. I just wanted to mention that
- 6:12cuz I had a couple people reach out.
- 6:15But either way, guys, I tell you what family you love them, I'm
- 6:19not going to say you hate them. All families are different, but
- 6:22I was able to really kind of bond with my in laws and a lot
- 6:25of them I've never really met before, like they came to our
- 6:27wedding, but a few and my, my believe it or not, my
- 6:30mother-in-law, she's one of eight children.
- 6:32She's the youngest and Kathy who passed away, she was the oldest,
- 6:36but there are a ton of like in laws and cousins and all these
- 6:39different people I met and really had a had an amazing
- 6:41time. Obviously a somber, very
- 6:43emotional, you know, situation with the funeral and celebration
- 6:47of life and everything, but I think Aunt Kath would be pretty
- 6:50happy with her, her huge family getting together to celebrate
- 6:53her life. So anyway, enough about me.
- 6:55I just want to give you an update because, you know, it's
- 6:57been a while since we did a pod, but I wanted to kind of let you
- 7:01know what's going on on my end. And then of course, we're going
- 7:04to get right back to what we love doing, which is making
- 7:07data-driven, sharp contrarian plays and always remind you guys
- 7:10to like, even though I couldn't post my bets to juice real when
- 7:14I was in California, I still wrote the sharp report for
- 7:16visen.com every single day. So hashtag no days off, but you
- 7:20can always catch that. I'll tweet it out every single
- 7:23day at Josh under score insights.
- 7:25You can always give me a follow on Twitter all, which is now
- 7:27known as X and you can get the plays there as well.
- 7:30But anyway, guys, without further ado, let's let's get
- 7:33back to our groove back to do what we love to do betting on
- 7:36Major League Baseball. So I do have a three pack of MLB
- 7:40plays for you today, guys. I really like the fact that all
- 7:43three, so 2 are pretty short favorites.
- 7:45One is kind of a modest favorite, a little bit more
- 7:47expensive, but all three have good line moves, pretty sharp
- 7:51bet splits. And most of all, all three have
- 7:54good sharp mush edges from the Juice Real app telling us that
- 7:57the sharper winning betters who have downloaded Juice Real and
- 8:00sync up their books, they're kind of with us on all three of
- 8:02these plays. So that being said, let's waste
- 8:04no more time and dive right in again. 3 pack, let's try to go
- 8:072IN1 eke out a winning day. So first, but on the board for
- 8:11me. 6:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch San Diego Padres at the
- 8:15Miami Marlins. Now going into this game we have
- 8:18the Padres 55 and 45. They won yesterday's series
- 8:21opener 2 to one came through as a + 120 Rd. dog.
- 8:25Meanwhile, in the rematch tonight, the Padres,
- 8:28aforementioned San Diego Padres, they're going to go with the
- 8:30ready Steven Kollek. He's three and four with a 4.24
- 8:34ERA. And the Marlins, who are 46 and
- 8:3653, are going to counter with fellow ready Edward Cabrera,
- 8:40who's three and four with a 3.61 ERA.
- 8:42What do we see across the market here?
- 8:45Well, nothing but steam on the fish.
- 8:47Give me the fish here, guys. Miami open this game around a
- 8:50very short -115 home favorite, San Diego a -, 1 O five row dog.
- 8:55And it's always notable to me. Hey, you know, you open as a
- 8:57really, really short favorite, almost like a coin flip,
- 8:59somewhat of a a pick em type play.
- 9:01You know, where does the line flip?
- 9:03You know, is there a situation where the sharps kind of
- 9:05disagree and flip that dog to fave or do they hit the favorite
- 9:09saying, hey, that's a pretty cheap price?
- 9:11Well, we don't. For one thing that the public is
- 9:12on the Padres. And I get it.
- 9:14Padres have a far better one. Loss record above 500 miles are
- 9:18below 500. How do you not take San Diego as
- 9:21a very short Rd. dog? However, even though you're
- 9:24getting nearly 2/3 of bets at DraftKings going with the
- 9:26Padres, the line hasn't moved to a pick more hop the fence and
- 9:29gone to San Diego as a short favorite.
- 9:32It's actually move further toward Miami.
- 9:34So Ding, Ding, Ding right off the bat, reverse line movement.
- 9:37When the betting line goes away from the popular side toward the
- 9:41unpopular side, kind of what the the fishy move.
- 9:43We always look toward the fit the line move.
- 9:45That doesn't make any sense. And you want to have the, you
- 9:47know, kind of the, the awareness and the, I don't know, courage
- 9:51to bet the fishy side. So public is 2/3 of bets on San
- 9:56Diego. Yet Miami became more of a
- 9:58favorite -115 up to -125 DraftKings.
- 10:02Marlins only getting 38% of bets, but 52% of dollars at
- 10:07circa 67% of bets, 99% of dollars on Miami.
- 10:11So low bets, higher dollar split at both DraftKings and Circa on
- 10:14the fish. One system that I have lighting
- 10:16up on, Saint on Miami, short home favorites -122 -. 150 off a
- 10:22loss, playing an opponent who made the playoffs the previous
- 10:25year. Those teams are 40 and 25 this
- 10:27season, or sorry, 40 and 22. A 65% win rate, 13% ROI.
- 10:33Marlins, by the way, not based on a one loss percentage, but
- 10:37based on return on investment in units.
- 10:39One, are the third most profitable bounce back team in
- 10:42Major League Baseball. Off a loss.
- 10:44They are 24 and 24. Only 500 or 50% but a 19% ROIA.
- 10:50Lot of those games they were dogs or favorites playing a very
- 10:52short number. Miami does have some correlative
- 10:55betting as a favorite in a low total game.
- 10:57So total in this game is 8. If your amount of expected runs
- 11:00scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team
- 11:03who's favored to win, they'd also be a non division favorite.
- 11:06So lack of familiarity also benefiting that better team was
- 11:09expected to win. Marlins do have the slightly
- 11:12better bats, nothing huge, but they're hitting 253 as a team,
- 11:1592 homers, 424 runs scored. Padres hitting 24686 homers, 402
- 11:22runs scored. Look at these pictures a little
- 11:24bit. I want to back Cabrera.
- 11:26I want to fade collect. Cabrera has an ERA of three,
- 11:29three-point OO exactly. And three July starts, he's only
- 11:32giving up six runs and 18 innings pitched.
- 11:35He's giving up two or less earn runs in nine of his 12 starts or
- 11:39last 12 starts. Meanwhile, Kollek, he's made six
- 11:42starts his last six starts. Padres are Owen 6.
- 11:45So basically we have the public on the pods, but the line is
- 11:48going toward the Marlins. Really good bet splits, couple
- 11:51system matches. Hopefully the better, better
- 11:53pitcher on the bump. Then lastly, pop opened the
- 11:57juice reel app, noticed a 25% sharp mush edge on the fish.
- 12:03So shop around guys. I'm going Miami here.
- 12:04I got a -124 at FanDuel again, some books -125 even up to -130
- 12:10Let's go Miami next one for you. Another quasi early start, 6:40
- 12:16PM Eastern Time. Let's go to the Midwest.
- 12:19Is is Cleveland Midwest Ohio? I think it is.
- 12:23I'm a New Englander, so I don't know where exactly, but anyway,
- 12:26kind of middle America. Baltimore Orioles at the
- 12:28Cleveland Guardians now going into this game, second game of
- 12:31the series, the Guardians who are 49 and 50, trying to get to
- 12:34500. They had a big 10 to 5 win in
- 12:37last night's series opener, came through as a -145 home favorite
- 12:41for tonight's rematch. The OS, who are 44 and 55,
- 12:44they're going with the ready Brandon Young O and four 7.52
- 12:48ERA. Guardians, meanwhile, going with
- 12:50the southpaw Joey Cantillo, he's one and O 4.17 ERA.
- 12:54So what are you seeing across the market for this one?
- 12:57Well, nothing but steam on the guardians.
- 13:00Give me the guardians in this one guys.
- 13:01They open as a very short or modest moderate -135 home
- 13:05favorite Baltimore around a + 115 Rd. dog.
- 13:09And pros have absolutely pounded the guardians.
- 13:12Steam the guardians up -135 now all the way up to -155 -, 160.
- 13:18I was able to get guardians -152 at FanDuel.
- 13:22Again, shop around. Most other books are closer to
- 13:23160, but at DraftKings, you look at the Guardians, they're
- 13:27getting 74% of bets, 82% of dollars at circa, 90% of bets,
- 13:3399% of dollars. So both books, DraftKings and
- 13:36circa the national public average, Joe DraftKings, the
- 13:39sharp wise guy, desert circa both have a good low bets higher
- 13:43dollar split one way pro and Joe action in favor of the
- 13:46Guardians. Now a couple system matches
- 13:48here, home favorites who won the series opener and Game 2.
- 13:53They've gone 115 and 6464 percent 4% ROI this year.
- 13:58Non division home favorites off a win with Steam $0.05 or more
- 14:01in their direction there 148 and 7766% with a 4% ROI.
- 14:07Home favorites made the playoffs the previous year also taking in
- 14:10line movement in their direction.
- 14:12There two O 3 and one O 666% with a 4% ROI.
- 14:17Home favorites made the playoffs the previous year playing an
- 14:19opponent who also made the playoffs the previous year. 92
- 14:22and 56. 62 percent, 5% ROI. So quite a few systems lit up
- 14:27here on Cleveland. Cleveland does have that
- 14:29correlative betting that we look for favorite low total.
- 14:32So line has really moved toward Cleveland and the total is 8.
- 14:35So if your amount of expected runs scored more likely to come
- 14:38from again, quote UN quote that better team, you'll get the last
- 14:4110. Cleveland's played quietly
- 14:43pretty well through the All Star break and into unofficial
- 14:47second-half. They're eight and two and their
- 14:49last ten they've really pitched well.
- 14:51Team ERA of 3.77. You know all the OS four and six
- 14:54in their last ten team area of 5.63.
- 14:58You dig into these pictures a little bit in particular.
- 15:00I honestly never heard of this guy before today, but Brandon
- 15:04Young, his numbers aren't great overall.
- 15:07Mentioned it before, but he is on the year O 147.52 ERA, but
- 15:12he's made three July starts. He has an ERA of 7.9.
- 15:15He's giving up giving up twelve runs and 13.2 innings pitch in
- 15:18Baltimore's O and five in his last five starts.
- 15:22So guardians are playing well. They got some big steam today.
- 15:25They got really good pro and Joe splits across the market for big
- 15:28system matches lit up on Cleveland and oh by the way, pop
- 15:31open juice reel 12% sharp mush edge in favor of the guardians.
- 15:37So add it all up here guys. I'm back in Cleveland in this
- 15:40one. I got him at -152 at FanDuel
- 15:43again. Shop around, some books now as
- 15:45high as -160 last by the night. Put on a pot of coffee if you
- 15:49like me in New England. And actually, once I do this
- 15:52pot, I have to drive back to see my parents in Western Mass and
- 15:55I'll pick up my dog, my pup. I miss my girl Meadow, so I got
- 15:58to grab her and bring her back home.
- 16:00But anyway, I get to watch this game with my dad, so I'm excited
- 16:03about that. We'll watch the Red Sox.
- 16:05He'll DVR for me, which is always good.
- 16:08You know, the Sox are a huge, like, I don't even know.
- 16:10I think it's Philly like -200 tonight.
- 16:12But anyway, game I'm focused on 9:40 PM Eastern Time Milwaukee
- 16:16Brew Crew visiting the Seattle Mariners.
- 16:19Now the Brewers don't look now 20 games over 560 and 40 on the
- 16:24year they won last night's interleague series opener 6 to
- 16:27nothing came through as a + 110 Rd. dog pitching rematch.
- 16:30Tonight we got the Brew Crew going with the ready Jacob
- 16:33Mesorowski, the talented rookie four and one 2.81 ERA caused us
- 16:38a stir there in the All Star game because he made the team
- 16:40even though a lot of people thought he didn't deserve it.
- 16:44But to grow the game. You know those kids, a young
- 16:46stud. So I get it anyway, Mariners who
- 16:48are 53 and 47, they're going to ready Logan Gilbert.
- 16:51He's two and three with a 3.39 ERA.
- 16:54Now what are we sitting across the market here?
- 16:56Well, this game isn't a huge line move game, but it's kind of
- 16:59a fade. The trendy dog line freeze
- 17:01little bit of RLM, if that makes sense.
- 17:02Because this game opened Seattle around a -, 120 home favorite
- 17:07Milwaukee a + 100 Rd. dog and the public says the wrong team
- 17:10is favored. 65% of money line bets of DraftKings are going
- 17:14with the Brewers. I get it.
- 17:16They got a really good one loss record.
- 17:17They got a good young pitcher on the bump.
- 17:19However, even though you're getting nearly 2/3 of bets on
- 17:22Milwaukee, the line has actually moved a little bit further
- 17:25toward the Marlins or sorry, toward the Mariners -120 up to
- 17:29-125 SA little bit of fade. The trendy dog reverse line
- 17:32movement. Again, if if the, if the big
- 17:34majority of tickets are on the Brewers, why aren't the Mariners
- 17:37down to -115 -, 110, you know, kind of trending toward to pick
- 17:41them. It's actually stay the same.
- 17:42Remove even further toward the Mariners, even though the public
- 17:46is on on the Brewers. So it reminds me a little bit
- 17:48that kind of that Miami Marlins reverse line move as well.
- 17:51But anyway, if you look at circa, only 13% of money line
- 17:56bets, but nearly 50% of the money line dollars are on the
- 18:00Mariners. So good low bets, higher dollar
- 18:02split tells me big majority of wise guys out in the desert.
- 18:05Maybe not overall tickets, but big money in line movement
- 18:08toward the Mariners. Same system that matched with
- 18:11the Marlins also matches with the Mariners.
- 18:13That short home favorite -122 -, 150 off a loss playing an
- 18:17opponent who made the playoffs the previous year.
- 18:20Again, that system is 40 and 2265 percent, 13% ROI this year.
- 18:25Seattle is an interleague favorite.
- 18:27Lack of familiarity benefiting the better team.
- 18:29Also a big correlative betting favorite here because this total
- 18:32is 7 juiced up some books even down to 6 1/2 on the lowest
- 18:36totals of the year. And again, if the line is kind
- 18:40of either staying the same or moving toward the favorite and
- 18:42the total is really low and even trending under, hey, maybe this
- 18:45is a 2. Nothing Seattle win 3 to 1,
- 18:47something like that. Mizarowski, he's been great, but
- 18:51he's made two July starts. He has an ERA of 5.59, giving up
- 18:55six runs and 9.2. And he's pitched and also at
- 18:58home. Kid is unhittable, 0.56 ERA.
- 19:01But he's on the road tonight and on the road he has a 6.52 ERA.
- 19:05Meanwhile, Logan Gilbert, 2.93 ERA and three July starts, only
- 19:09giving up five earned runs and 15.1 innings pitched.
- 19:12Seattle, by the way, four and one in his last five starts on
- 19:15the road, 4.91 ERA. But tonight he's at home where
- 19:18he has a 2.29 ERA. So we have a kind of fade the
- 19:22trendy dog line, freeze reverse line move play toward the
- 19:26Mariners and then also pop open juice reel. 27% sharp mush edge
- 19:32on Seattle. So 27% more of the sharper
- 19:35winning betters. We have downloaded Juice Reel
- 19:37like you guys and synced up your sports books are going with the
- 19:40Mariners. So shop around.
- 19:41I got Seattle -125 I believe it at Bet MGM, pretty much every
- 19:45book is -125 but shop around. I think there's a couple little
- 19:49bit higher closer to -130 but we got the Marlins, the Guardians,
- 19:54and the Mariners. Can we find a way to get 2 out
- 19:56of 3 eke out a winning night? Of course, that is always the
- 19:59goal. So that about does it for
- 20:01episode 320 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
- 20:04powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 20:07where we wrap things up and I always start first by saying
- 20:10thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 20:11out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
- 20:14the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
- 20:17with me. I've had a lot of you guys DM me
- 20:19and say, hey, when's the pod coming back?
- 20:21So I always appreciate that because win, lose or draw, we
- 20:24have created a sports betting community, betting games not
- 20:27based on our heart, but based on our head and what the data and
- 20:30the numbers in the market are telling us.
- 20:32And I'm very proud of that. If you do enjoy the pod, would
- 20:35you please consider giving it a five star review on Spotify or
- 20:38iTunes? That would go a long way to
- 20:39helping us grow the pod. If you want to click the follow
- 20:42button or leave a nice comment under the review section or
- 20:45recommend the pod to a friend, I would also very much appreciate
- 20:48that. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 20:51bedding, data-driven sharp, contrarian bedding and you want
- 20:54to learn more about data-driven bedding or you know someone in
- 20:56your life who could use a few data-driven tips.
- 20:59Well, I would love it if you went to Amazon.com and typed in
- 21:03the everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:05It's the first book ever wrote. It really teaches the
- 21:07data-driven model across all the different sports.
- 21:10It really has different topics. Thinking about how lines open,
- 21:15how they're created, how and why they move, how to read line
- 21:17movement, how to go contrarian, how to identify sharp action,
- 21:20how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
- 21:23line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, chapters on all
- 21:26the major sports. It's great for new betters.
- 21:28It's great for even intermediate better.
- 21:30So we're looking for some system matches.
- 21:33But then also while you're picking up the everything guide
- 21:35on Amazon.com, I would love, love, love, love for you to
- 21:39pre-order a copy of my new book. It's called the NFL Sharp
- 21:43Betting playbook. I look today, it's #8 overall in
- 21:47the sports gambling category on Amazon.
- 21:50It's #1 new release. So I'm pretty excited about
- 21:52that. We are now less than a month
- 21:54away. It comes out the 12th to be
- 21:55honest with you guys, we're like you know, 2 1/2 weeks away.
- 21:59It's insane. But I can't wait for it to drop.
- 22:01If you want to get a leg up and pre-order the NFL Sharp betting
- 22:05playbook, it would make my day, it would make me happy, it would
- 22:07make my publishers happy and you can again support the team and
- 22:11get ready for the upcoming NFL season.
- 22:13So pick up the everything guide, grab the NFL Sharp betting
- 22:16playbook, bring them to the sports book.
- 22:17I'll sign them for you and I'll buy you a beer or truly your
- 22:20ginger ale and we'll sweat some of these games here tonight
- 22:22together. Next to be downloaded rhythm and
- 22:24juice real yet my two favorite sports betting apps.
- 22:27They're all based on data. They help me when they're going
- 22:29to help you win. So rhythm fantastic for their AI
- 22:31backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 22:34Download the rhythm app. They got MLB right now WNBA.
- 22:38Before you know it, we'll have football and basketball coming
- 22:40back on the rhythm app. And we have a lot in store for
- 22:43you as I was able to get coffee and talk about the fall plans
- 22:47with Megan, who is the CEO of rhythm.
- 22:50So we got something in the pipeline.
- 22:51Stay tuned for that then also download juice reel as I
- 22:55mentioned before you can support the pod.
- 22:56I'm going to pass the hat. This pod is free.
- 22:58If you want to support the pod, drop in a $5.00 bill or $4.99 to
- 23:03be exact by signing up on Juice Reel to get the official all
- 23:06systems go best bet picks only on the Juice Reel app.
- 23:09You'll get them as soon as I bet them, I'll bet them in my apps,
- 23:13sports betting apps, they go right to Juice Reel sync it up.
- 23:16You can tail fade, do whatever you like.
- 23:17We can support the pod. Again, it's free and if you feel
- 23:20like I'm giving you basically $5 worth of insights throughout the
- 23:24week, it would mean a lot if you wanted to again sign up for
- 23:27those best bet picks. You also get the robo Jackson AI
- 23:30driven artificial intelligence best bet picks each day, as well
- 23:33as the sharp mush indicators that we mentioned for these
- 23:36plays today, as well as the arbitrage plays.
- 23:39The shop for the best line futures and the basically the
- 23:42cool report card that you get that tracks your performance and
- 23:45kind of lets you know what you're, what you're doing well
- 23:47at, what you're struggling with and where your points of
- 23:48improvement may, may, may, may may reside.
- 23:51I should say, but download rhythm, download juice reel and
- 23:55again give him a five star view in the App Store.
- 23:56You'd make my buddy Ricky gold and Megan very, very happy.
- 24:00Next you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't, man, I don't
- 24:04know how you're you're betting sports each day because it's
- 24:06hard enough to win. But if you don't know what the
- 24:08line opened at how it moved, the current price, pull up the line
- 24:11history, identify steam all all the odds get lit up in red when
- 24:14a team's getting steamed and big money's coming in gives you all
- 24:17the start times, the live scoring, the live in game
- 24:20wagering, all included when you give a shot to odds logic, the
- 24:24best live odds platform around. If you're a better, you need a
- 24:29way to track the data to the lines, how they're moving, track
- 24:32the market and odds logic allows you to do that.
- 24:35So I would love for you guys to give Odd Logic a shot.
- 24:37I use it everyday and I love it. It is the the best and also the
- 24:42most cost efficient because there are a lot of live odds
- 24:45page pages out there that are 250 bucks a month.
- 24:48I know the one that's 699 a month, there's one that's like
- 24:501000 a month. I mean it's crazy, but Odd Logic
- 24:53it's 99 bucks a month if you like it.
- 24:55So it's not a bad price point. And if you go to the specific
- 24:58link, you're going to get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
- 25:01first month. So your first month will only be
- 25:03like 49 bucks. Go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 25:10Again oddslogic.com/josh 123. Lastly the all systems go merch
- 25:16store. It's up and running.
- 25:18I've already gotten a few sales which I'm excited to see.
- 25:21Had someone order a feed the public sweatshirt yesterday and
- 25:24also someone ordered what was it, a dancer?
- 25:27The one who brung you a T-shirt. So I was pretty cool, but you
- 25:30can now get ASG merch. It is pinned.
- 25:34It is a pin tweet to the All Systems Go Twitter page.
- 25:38And I also put the link in the BA description of the pod each
- 25:41day. But I'd love for you guys if you
- 25:42want some swag, some merch to grab a grab a fade the public
- 25:46shirt or reverse line move sweatshirt, whatever the case
- 25:49may be, there's one. This is when the damn game, so
- 25:51you can check it out on the All Systems Go merch store.
- 25:54Sad about dozen guys wrapping up today's pod.
- 25:56Back in the swing of things again.
- 25:57It's great to be back, I must admit.
- 26:00California, it's God's country out there.
- 26:02It's amazing. It's just too expensive.
- 26:04Like I would love to, you know, my goal one day is to get a Cape
- 26:07Cod beach house. It's like a life dream of mine.
- 26:09But man, I'd love to get a California beach house, live
- 26:12there in the winter, get out of the the New England winters.
- 26:15But it's just so damn expensive out there.
- 26:17It's just tough. But anyway, a guy can dream.
- 26:20With that being said, I'll leave you with a couple things, guys.
- 26:23Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 26:26Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 26:28Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge
- 26:32Park, Casino, MGM Springfield, the Nash.
- 26:34Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
- 26:37where Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest as
- 26:40possible is found at the South Point.
- 26:42Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 26:44swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 26:45Circa, wherever it may be, hopefully you're going to walk
- 26:48up to me and show me a few of these MLB winners here for
- 26:50tonight. First one's on me, next one's on
- 26:53you will post about the book. So what some data-driven sharp
- 26:55contrarian plays together as always guys, whether we're hot,
- 26:59cold, coming off a three and O day or an O and three day or
- 27:02somewhere in between, we always keep grinding.
- 27:04Never get too high, never get too low.
- 27:06No, we're up against again. We got to beat razor sharp line
- 27:09set by the odds makers. Got to overcome the juice got
- 27:12overcome. You know, bullpens blowing
- 27:14blowing games for us or a missed kick by on a field goal or the
- 27:17ref screwing us. Hey, but this is This is why we
- 27:20love sports betting. It's not easy, it's challenging,
- 27:22but then that's what makes it more rewarding when you're doing
- 27:25well. It also allows you to have some
- 27:27perspective and not get down on yourself when you're struggling.
- 27:29So we're going to keep grinding like we always do guys.
- 27:32And as always, we're going to look for those data-driven plays
- 27:34that we love and they go a little something like this.
- 27:37Games that fit our model and don't have too many red flags
- 27:41there. There are games that are
- 27:42simultaneously against the public, with the house, with the
- 27:45pros flatbed, avoid parlays and get some CLV closing line value.
- 27:49If we can do that, I'm pretty confident we're going to be
- 27:51successful sports bettors. So have a great Tuesday night,
- 27:54everybody. It's great to be back.
- 27:55I miss you all. And let's see if we can start a
- 27:58little hot streak here in the second-half of the MLB season.
- 28:01But good luck everybody, and I'll see you tomorrow for
- 28:04episode 321 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
- 28:08powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 28:10great Tuesday night.