Latest / Safe As Podcast / E64: How can we move forward from notions of 'human error'?
Transcript
- 0:05Declaring that we found and fixed human error is tempting,
- 0:09and masquerades is a suitable explanation.
- 0:12But what can we learn from complex system failures about
- 0:15how people contribute to safety rather than mend the source of
- 0:19failure? Good, everyone.
- 0:21I'm Ben Hutchinson and this is safe as I proved the analysis of
- 0:25safety and risk research. visitsafetyinsights.org for more
- 0:29research. Today's paper is from Woods and
- 0:33Cook 2002, titled 9 Steps to Move Forward from Error
- 0:38Publishing, Cognition, Technology and Work.
- 0:41This is a discussion paper and provides several maxims and
- 0:45insights on how we can move beyond simple labels of human
- 0:49error. Unfortunately, because this is
- 0:52quite dense, I've had to skip heap, so I recommend checking
- 0:55out the original paper and in classic style I've mixed up some
- 0:59terms like steps and accents. If this offends you then write
- 1:04me an I'll tempered letter on how I've let you down.
- 1:07One, they say to pursue second stories beneath the surface
- 1:12after failure. Explanations often default to
- 1:15first stories, which are overly simplified accounts of the
- 1:19apparent causes framed by hindsight knowledge.
- 1:23This hindsight bias narrows and distorts our view of practise
- 1:26after the fact and hides dilemmas, complexities and
- 1:30difficulties that the practitioners face at the time.
- 1:34This narrows learning by prematurely closing
- 1:37investigations and inquiry, masking pressures that shape
- 1:41performance and obscuring how organisations actually function
- 1:45beneath the surface. First stories feel satisfying
- 1:49but lead to sterile responses that limit learning and
- 1:52improvement. Progress and safety requires
- 1:55uncovering and, in a way, constructing these second
- 1:58stories and some of the next steps show how two try to escape
- 2:03hindsight bias as much as possible.
- 2:06First, stories told after the accidents really tell us very
- 2:10little or nothing about the factors that influence human
- 2:13performance before the fact. They simplify complexity and
- 2:16distort how practitioners normally succeed.
- 2:20The result can be reduced flow of safety, critical information
- 2:24and new complexities. At plague practise, several
- 2:28techniques and even structures in the organisation must be
- 2:31leveraged to try to escape the hindsight bias.
- 2:34This is essential for learning. Three, understand work is
- 2:38performed at the sharp end. Second stories examine
- 2:42interactions of organisational, economic, human, and
- 2:46technological factors. Practitioners constantly manage
- 2:49trade offs and conflicting goals using the tools and resources
- 2:52they have available. According to paper, improving
- 2:56safety depends on investing in resources that support
- 2:58practitioners in meeting the demands and overcoming the
- 3:01inherent hazards in that setting.
- 3:04Progress depends on understanding actual work, not
- 3:07the work that's imagined in procedures or prescribed in the
- 3:09procedures or believed to happen from managers and whatnot.
- 3:14Human performance is, in a sense, a type of adaptation to
- 3:17the complexity of the environment and whatever demands
- 3:20and constraints are placed on them.
- 3:22Re propositions result from this idea.
- 3:25Look for sources of success. Failure occurs in situations
- 3:29that usually succeed. Study as systems deliver success
- 3:32that's find opportunities to fail.
- 3:35Two, look for difficult problems 2.
- 3:39Understand failure. Look at what makes problems
- 3:41difficult. Studying challenging problems
- 3:43reveals brittleness and expert strategies to adapt. 3 Be
- 3:48practise centred. Understand work from the
- 3:51practitioner's perspective. They talk about the
- 3:54psychologist's fallacy, which assumes distant observers.
- 3:58Grasp the true nature of practise.
- 4:01Descriptions of work and actual work both differ.
- 4:05Both must be examined down to the 4th maxim.
- 4:09Search for systemic vulnerabilities.
- 4:12They say that safety is created and sometimes broken in systems,
- 4:15not individuals. The goal is finding
- 4:18vulnerabilities, not blaming people. 3 supporting principles
- 4:22come out of this. One is a systems maximum.
- 4:26Safety is an emergent property of systems.
- 4:29Work practises evolved to cope with hazards and constraints.
- 4:32These adaptations become brutal under change, and precursor
- 4:36events reveal vulnerabilities, but acting on them often
- 4:40requires sacrificing productivity, creating internal
- 4:43conflict 2 Detection and recovery are critical.
- 4:47Systems must continually learn about threats and respond
- 4:50adaptively 3 Safe organisations deliberately search for and
- 4:55learn about systemic vulnerabilities, kind of what we
- 4:57discussed. Four Study how practise creates
- 5:01safety. A frequent fallacy assumes
- 5:04systems are inherently safe and values reflect unreliable
- 5:07people. Second, stories show how
- 5:09practitioners continually create success and create a paper in
- 5:14the face of these threats. Teams adapt tools and procedures
- 5:17to guard against hazards. Safety is constructed, not
- 5:21given, not an inherent feature of most complex systems, and
- 5:26search for underlying patterns. After failure, people focus on
- 5:30surface traits, but progress comes from identifying deeper
- 5:34patterns of coordination and adaptation.
- 5:36On to the next maxim Seven. Examine how change produces new
- 5:41vulnerabilities. Vulnerabilities shift with
- 5:43changes in capacities and capabilities, technology and
- 5:47pressure. Some principles here is safety
- 5:50is a dynamic process. Systems operate in changing
- 5:53worlds. Planned defence is a road under
- 5:56production pressure, creating drift towards failure.
- 5:59Every change can introduce new hazards, even while providing
- 6:02benefits. 2 It's a law of stretch systems under resource
- 6:07pressure. The benefits of change are taken
- 6:10in increased productivity rather than enhanced resilience.
- 6:15Change often increases coupling to boost efficiency, raising
- 6:18complexity and vulnerabilities. 3 Increasing coupling increases
- 6:24complexity. More coupling, as in more these
- 6:27processes are connected, creates new cognitive and collaborative
- 6:31demands and new value modes. And four, they talk of a window
- 6:36of opportunity principle, periods of change, and moments
- 6:40to identify and treat emerging vulnerabilities when it's fresh
- 6:43in people's minds. Last two maxims surrender 8 Use
- 6:48new technology to support and enhance expertise.
- 6:52Technology is often assumed to reduce human variability and
- 6:55breakdown. In practise, they say, pesky
- 6:58details determine whether computerization introduces new
- 7:01value paths. So technology can both help and
- 7:06harm depending on how it fits actual work.
- 7:09They talk about a joint systems principle.
- 7:12People in automation form a distributed cognitive system.
- 7:15Effective technology design requires understanding expert
- 7:18performance and what challenges is it and another principle.
- 7:23There is no neutral in design. Design either supports expertise
- 7:27or hinders. Finally, 9 Tame complexity
- 7:31through new forms of feedback. Failure arises from breakdowns
- 7:35in adaptation to complexity. Resilience requires sensing
- 7:39emerging effects of decisions and policies.
- 7:42In other words, feedback, especially feedback about the
- 7:45future. Better feedback helps counter
- 7:47drift towards failure. Feedback should reveal
- 7:51relationships and patterns, show change in sequence, be future
- 7:55oriented, and reflect context. Finally, feedback across all
- 8:01levels is critical because production pressure continually
- 8:04pushes systems towards reduced margins of safety.
- 8:08So what can we make of the findings?
- 8:10At a high level, we could say always dig past the first story.
- 8:15Design investigations to minimise hindsight bias.
- 8:18You can never fully eliminate it, but try to understand local
- 8:22rationality, why things made sense to people in the moment.
- 8:26Study work at the sharp end. Observe how practitioners
- 8:29usually accomplish tasks in context.
- 8:32Build solutions that fit real practise rather than based on
- 8:35outsider assumptions. Look for systemic
- 8:38vulnerabilities, not scapegoats. Study how practise creates
- 8:42safety. Identify these adaptive
- 8:45behaviours. Work around in everyday
- 8:47recoveries that keep the system functioning despite all these
- 8:50systemic issues. Treat safety as dynamic.
- 8:54Anticipate new vulnerabilities created by chain.
- 8:57Apply technology to augment human expertise and not to
- 8:59replace judgement. That's in feedback.
- 9:02That's integrated, event based, future oriented and context
- 9:06sensitive and support detection and recovery capabilities, which
- 9:11means design the system to reveal precursors and enable
- 9:14early intervention. That's it on Safe.
- 9:16As I'm Ben Hutchinson, please help share, rate and review and
- 9:22checkout Safety insights.org for more research.
- 9:25Finally, feel free to support Safe As by shouting a coffee
- 9:29link in the show notes.