Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 01/12/26

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NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 01/12/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
Speaker 1: Fall systems don't clear.
0:07
Speaker 2: We lift.
0:36
Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody happy Monday afternoon. We're talking some hoops. Hey,
0:40
Speaker 1: we got NFL and hoops on tonight. There we go.
0:43
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a good night over here. Excited. I
0:46
Speaker 1: won't lie. My main screen will one hundred percent the NFL,
0:50
Speaker 1: but maybe my side screen will be some NBA if
0:53
Speaker 1: there is a little sweat just looking at only four
0:55
Speaker 1: games on tap, but we have a seven Eastern, two
0:58
Speaker 1: games at seven point thirty, one game at eight thirty Eastern,
1:01
Speaker 1: and that is it for us. And that is both
1:03
Speaker 1: on FanDuel and DraftKings. So fandel was last year for sure.
1:08
Speaker 1: At the beginning of this year, I'm not quite sure,
1:10
Speaker 1: but they like grouped all the games in. It would
1:13
Speaker 1: normally have been a six game slate, and I think
1:15
Speaker 1: is what we have. Yeah, six game, but it's just
1:17
Speaker 1: for they separated the same as DraftKings with my man, Matt,
1:21
Speaker 1: excited to talk to some hoops. How you doing today,
1:23
Speaker 1: I'm good man.
1:24
Speaker 3: We talked a little before how NFL kind of got
1:26
Speaker 3: us this weekend, but I feel like Fandor was doing
1:29
Speaker 3: the full full ride, the full six gamer even this
1:33
Speaker 3: early is like last week, so a little bit of
1:35
Speaker 3: a change up that they are only doing the four
1:37
Speaker 3: gamer tonight.
1:38
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I was surprised to see that as well.
1:40
Speaker 1: Maybe it has something to do with NFL also going on.
1:44
Speaker 1: Who knows, who knows, but we got go collect in here.
1:47
Speaker 1: Oh see Jason Turner, little neck, William Wins a lot
1:50
Speaker 1: YEP title is doing the double dip today. Splash, Oh god,
1:54
Speaker 1: ja Jake Swalees changed his name to Splash, Oh God.
1:58
Speaker 1: Good to see Clinton here asome to see you as well,
2:01
Speaker 1: speedy hope everybody doing well. Took down the Saturday NFL
2:05
Speaker 1: slate and hit a hundred time. Look at that. Jalen
2:08
Speaker 1: Cocher is the man. Do love to see that? Absolutely
2:11
Speaker 1: went off what's up NBA stream? Yeah, so we're gonna
2:15
Speaker 1: be doing Monday through Friday. We're gonna be talking hoops
2:18
Speaker 1: on this channel Saturday too. A quick hit as well.
2:20
Speaker 1: So yeah, there is NFL today, but because it's only
2:23
Speaker 1: the last NFL Showdown game, we're still keeping with our
2:26
Speaker 1: regular NBA schedule started last week, which is Monday through Friday.
2:31
Speaker 1: Only four to talk about. So again, anytime there's four more,
2:33
Speaker 1: you will see us here three or less you won't
2:36
Speaker 1: to still get Rio's slate plan NBA slate plan to
2:39
Speaker 1: check that out for all members. Core report from our
2:41
Speaker 1: guy Matt Ham and Rio cash reports me the Stone
2:45
Speaker 1: best tool in the business, and of course showdown content
2:47
Speaker 1: slate plan projections ownership from our guy Little Neck who
2:51
Speaker 1: does an awesome, awesome job. First thing that stands out
2:54
Speaker 1: to me, I'll throw a broad slate to you. Obviously
2:56
Speaker 1: a good amount of Q tags that matter, But then
2:59
Speaker 1: I'm just staring at this is one one hundred and
3:01
Speaker 1: thirty imply total for the Calves the nut matchup against Utah. Yeah,
3:06
Speaker 1: can Utah hang? That's a good question, my broad slate.
3:09
Speaker 1: We got a lot of QUE tags and man we
3:10
Speaker 1: got a big boy Cleveland or implied total.
3:14
Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of feel exactly how you do. That's
3:16
Speaker 3: the two Those are the two things that stand out.
3:19
Speaker 3: The Q tags certainly, you know, gonna factor in and
3:23
Speaker 3: loom large on this slate, certainly especially the ones on
3:26
Speaker 3: Dallas because it's the last game. And then Cleveland. Uh,
3:30
Speaker 3: hard to get away from the Calves here. I will say, like,
3:34
Speaker 3: depending on how you think this game plays out, If
3:36
Speaker 3: you don't think Utah can hang with Cleveland. That might
3:39
Speaker 3: be a reason to maybe not spend up out some calves.
3:42
Speaker 3: And I also think, for whatever it's worth, it might
3:45
Speaker 3: not mean anything because they're just not very good. I
3:48
Speaker 3: do think we see an inspired effort from Utah here,
3:52
Speaker 3: more inspired than normal, I should say, after just getting
3:55
Speaker 3: embarrassed against Charlotte a couple of nights ago. Losing by
3:58
Speaker 3: like sixty five points or fifty five points to Charlotte
4:02
Speaker 3: is gonna embarrass anyone. So I think we see Utah's
4:05
Speaker 3: best foot forward here. What does that mean? I don't know,
4:09
Speaker 3: does that matter?
4:10
Speaker 1: I don't know. It just kind of just what I'm feeling,
4:12
Speaker 1: though I like it. Yeah. So, looking at the spreads
4:15
Speaker 1: and the totals for these four games, twelve and a
4:17
Speaker 1: half point favorite of the Caves. The next highest favorite
4:20
Speaker 1: is the Pacers at five and a half, then four
4:22
Speaker 1: and a half for the MAVs, three and a half
4:24
Speaker 1: for Philly, So three of the four supposed to be
4:26
Speaker 1: competitive in terms of the totals though, two forty nine
4:29
Speaker 1: and a half for Utah Cleveland big one right there,
4:32
Speaker 1: two twenty five and a half, two twenty and a half,
4:34
Speaker 1: two nineteen and a half for the others. So I
4:37
Speaker 1: do think it is very important. If Utah does hang it,
4:40
Speaker 1: it feels hard not to see multiple guys in this
4:44
Speaker 1: game getting there. If it does blo out, you could
4:45
Speaker 1: see obviously reduced minutes for the starters, and it busts.
4:51
Speaker 1: The big thing is injuries too. We're gonna go game
4:54
Speaker 1: by game talk injuries, but I'm seeing Brandon Ingram Kawahi, Paul,
4:57
Speaker 1: George m. Bead and them Hard and Daniel Gafford all questioned.
5:01
Speaker 1: But like, that's a lot of very important Q tags
5:04
Speaker 1: now a good amount of those are in that's eight
5:06
Speaker 1: thirty or excuse me, seven to thirty window, only thirty
5:09
Speaker 1: minutes after cavs Utah locks. Obviously I always look at
5:13
Speaker 1: it's like thirty minutes is when I expect to get
5:14
Speaker 1: the news. Plenty of times you do get it before.
5:18
Speaker 1: If something, for some reason, we don't get them hard
5:22
Speaker 1: PG and Beat any of the news, it does make
5:25
Speaker 1: me like this first game a little less just because
5:27
Speaker 1: maybe like an NBAT or a PG or I mean,
5:31
Speaker 1: there's a lot of important ones. If they're out, you
5:33
Speaker 1: will get a lot more value, a lot more stronger
5:35
Speaker 1: plays in those second games as well. So any thoughts
5:38
Speaker 1: on that, assuming we don't get the news, would you
5:40
Speaker 1: back off the first game maybe a little bit or
5:42
Speaker 1: just ride it as is.
5:44
Speaker 3: I don't think you have to back off, but I think,
5:46
Speaker 3: like you put it, it gives you more like reason
5:48
Speaker 3: to back off if that's like what you want to do.
5:51
Speaker 3: And it goes both ways. Also kind of to how
5:54
Speaker 3: you were saying that there's going to open up, you know,
5:57
Speaker 3: if guys are out, it could potentially open up a
5:58
Speaker 3: lot more value.
5:59
Speaker 1: But on the other side.
6:00
Speaker 3: Of things, if just let's say you have Embid and
6:03
Speaker 3: Paul George out, it's all of a sudden gonna make
6:05
Speaker 3: Tyrese MAXI look like an infinitely better play.
6:09
Speaker 1: So I do think that stuff is important to pay
6:12
Speaker 1: attention to.
6:13
Speaker 3: I don't think that there's enough Q tags to where
6:15
Speaker 3: there's just gonna be, you know, plays that open up
6:18
Speaker 3: that are going to become better plays than the guys
6:20
Speaker 3: in the first game. But I do think there's merit
6:23
Speaker 3: to potentially backing off a little bit from the first game.
6:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. We will jump
6:28
Speaker 1: right into that first game first, or man, trisk it.
6:31
Speaker 1: That is absolutely insane minus sixty last game and one
6:35
Speaker 1: NBA game. I mean that should be a fireable offense. Yeah,
6:39
Speaker 1: it's funny too.
6:39
Speaker 3: I saw I saw that stat a couple hours ago,
6:42
Speaker 3: and I saw that his brother J Dubb Jalen Williams
6:45
Speaker 3: was on Instagram like under someone commented that stat and
6:49
Speaker 3: he was like, he didn't even play that bad. Plus
6:51
Speaker 3: minus is a bad stat.
6:53
Speaker 1: It's like, bro, just back off this one. You know
6:55
Speaker 1: what I mean, don't I would not have responded. I
6:57
Speaker 1: wouldn't have responded to that at all. Minus sixty There's
7:00
Speaker 1: no if there's no way other way to put it
7:01
Speaker 1: than that is absolutely terrible. I wonder if you have
7:05
Speaker 1: the number trisk get or if you saw it, man,
7:07
Speaker 1: what's the second worst in NBA history? Because man, that
7:10
Speaker 1: feels like they get up there. They get up there.
7:13
Speaker 3: Like Jdubb himself was like minus forty in an NBA
7:17
Speaker 3: Finals game. So like that in itself, you know what
7:19
Speaker 3: I mean, Like that in itself shows you that, like
7:22
Speaker 3: in these NBA games, when they get tilted like that,
7:24
Speaker 3: some of these numbers get skewed big time.
7:26
Speaker 1: Wow. That that is crazy. All right. We will touch
7:30
Speaker 1: on the first game of the slate, though again on
7:32
Speaker 1: an island at seven eastern. The Cleveland Calves kevaliers minus
7:35
Speaker 1: twelve and that point favorites over the Utah Jazz two
7:37
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half total in this one, really
7:40
Speaker 1: no injury news like Dean Wade's out, but relative to
7:44
Speaker 1: the slate there is no Q tags. There is no
7:46
Speaker 1: big injury news on both sides. It really just comes
7:49
Speaker 1: down to Calves have the nut matchup against Utah very
7:53
Speaker 1: high pace, so at their prices, even though they're healthy,
7:56
Speaker 1: you're gonna have a decent amount of guys grade out
7:59
Speaker 1: pretty well. Almost all Calves as you can see outside
8:02
Speaker 1: the use of Nerki, who project solid point per dollar.
8:05
Speaker 1: I'll let you take it away at Calves in Utah.
8:08
Speaker 3: So yeah, Cleveland side is obviously gonna look like probably
8:10
Speaker 3: the best side on the entire slate. Donovan Mitchell their
8:14
Speaker 3: lead dog, ninety four hundred. It's a nice tag for him,
8:17
Speaker 3: like you're not getting any value on him there. Certainly
8:19
Speaker 3: it's a revenge spot. I think he looks good here.
8:22
Speaker 3: He's projected, you know, depending on where you look for
8:25
Speaker 3: twenty to thirty percent ownership. I think it makes sense,
8:28
Speaker 3: Like I think there are ways around it. On this
8:30
Speaker 3: slate we're gonna talk about a Boston team without Jalen Brown.
8:34
Speaker 3: We have Philly potentially missing guys. We have that Dallas
8:37
Speaker 3: Brooklyn game with a couple expensive spend up options. So
8:40
Speaker 3: I think there are ways around it. But I do
8:42
Speaker 3: think that he projects well in this spot if Utah
8:44
Speaker 3: can hang around which Monday NBA. In the NBA in general,
8:49
Speaker 3: like the spreads, thirteen is thirteen to fourteen. If it's
8:53
Speaker 3: a fifteen point game at the beginning of the fourth quarter,
8:56
Speaker 3: Utah is gonna be playing their guys. So as long
8:57
Speaker 3: as it's not one of these crazy creat blowouts twenty
9:01
Speaker 3: five or thirty after the third, I think you most
9:03
Speaker 3: likely get full run. Certainly, it could get you know,
9:06
Speaker 3: crazy and blowout and then you get less run from
9:08
Speaker 3: Donovan Mitchell. But if you're playing it like Utah keeps
9:11
Speaker 3: it at least semi competitive, I think he looks good here.
9:14
Speaker 3: I think Mobili looks good at seventy nine hundred. The
9:16
Speaker 3: ownership worries me on him though he's projecting for even
9:19
Speaker 3: more ownership than Mitchell. He's projecting to be one of
9:22
Speaker 3: the top eight nine guys owned on the slate. And
9:27
Speaker 3: I don't know, I just I get it. I guess
9:29
Speaker 3: it's seventy nine hundred in this spot, but he hasn't
9:32
Speaker 3: really shown a ton of upside recently. I don't love
9:36
Speaker 3: playing him into ownership. So between the two main Calvs guys,
9:41
Speaker 3: it's gonna be Mitchell for me, even though he's more expensive,
9:43
Speaker 3: and usually the answer to that is Mobili, But with
9:45
Speaker 3: Mobile getting more ownership, and I think there are a
9:47
Speaker 3: bunch of pivots around in his price range, I'm leaning
9:50
Speaker 3: more towards Mitchell in here. I could be topped off that,
9:53
Speaker 3: but that's kind of how I see it. And then
9:55
Speaker 3: the next guy for me that stands out. The next
9:57
Speaker 3: two guys that I think I might like more than
9:59
Speaker 3: either the expensive guys are Jarrett Allen and Money Meryll.
10:04
Speaker 3: Sam Merrill five five or more threes and four straight
10:08
Speaker 3: games he made four threes in the game before that.
10:11
Speaker 3: He's just seeing the hoop really well right now. I
10:14
Speaker 3: like that At forty nine hundred in this nut spot,
10:16
Speaker 3: I like Jarrett Allen a lot. Also at sixty three hundred.
10:19
Speaker 3: He was playing much of the beginning of the season
10:21
Speaker 3: with a couple broken fingers. He's talked recently about how
10:24
Speaker 3: they have healed and he's able to actually catch the ball.
10:26
Speaker 3: Now you're seeing it in his DK scores. He's been
10:29
Speaker 3: a lot better recently, he's still too cheap in this
10:32
Speaker 3: spot at sixty three hundred. So I like Mitchell, I
10:35
Speaker 3: get the Mobile ownership, but.
10:37
Speaker 1: I really like Merril and Alan Moore. How do you
10:39
Speaker 1: see it? I really like that Allen show because he
10:43
Speaker 1: does have power. Oh I was looking at fand to
10:45
Speaker 1: it family has power forward eligibility just center on DK, however,
10:49
Speaker 1: center is I mean, it's fine on this slate, and
10:52
Speaker 1: bid q TA is pretty important, but I think just
10:56
Speaker 1: the leverage it can get you on Mobile. It's not
10:58
Speaker 1: necessarily football the two running backs. But if Jared Allen
11:02
Speaker 1: has a spike game in rebounding, that probably comes with
11:05
Speaker 1: Mobile not having as great of a game. And we
11:07
Speaker 1: do see a big ownership discount right there. So I
11:10
Speaker 1: don't hate the Jared Allen shout for two X less.
11:13
Speaker 1: I do like d Mitch. If this game stays competitive,
11:15
Speaker 1: it feels hard not to see him having a solid game.
11:19
Speaker 1: But again, playing Donovan Mitchell, then it'd be harder to
11:22
Speaker 1: spend on MAXI or you just have to if you
11:25
Speaker 1: plug in too many pieces or too many expensive pieces,
11:27
Speaker 1: in this game and then Beat and Paul George or
11:30
Speaker 1: just one of them are out. It can box you
11:32
Speaker 1: out of some stuff. Now, granted, more value opens up,
11:35
Speaker 1: but just at the point guard position. Oh his shooting guard.
11:39
Speaker 1: I take that back, Yeah, I mean I think there
11:42
Speaker 1: would be enough value where you can plug in a
11:44
Speaker 1: Donovan Mitchell. I don't want to go overboard, like I
11:46
Speaker 1: don't want to play Keyante and d Mitch. I don't
11:49
Speaker 1: want to play Lori marken In. I don't think I
11:51
Speaker 1: don't want too many spends in this first game, because
11:54
Speaker 1: I do want to have some flexibility and spend up
11:57
Speaker 1: options with the very important news that we have like Kawhi,
12:00
Speaker 1: Brandon Ingram and BPG Like, I think some of those
12:04
Speaker 1: Toronto spends, especially MAXI if both or even won a
12:08
Speaker 1: PGM beat open up, like that's the priority I'd want
12:10
Speaker 1: to get to.
12:11
Speaker 3: Yeah, that makes sense. So I feel like kind of
12:14
Speaker 3: both sides of this so on one hand, like Cleveland's
12:17
Speaker 3: getting so much ownership, where part of me is just
12:20
Speaker 3: like man, no one's gonna account for the late news.
12:22
Speaker 3: As far as the Cleveland ownership goes, then all account
12:25
Speaker 3: for the late news. And I just won't load up
12:27
Speaker 3: on Cleveland because everyone's loading up on Cleveland.
12:29
Speaker 1: That makes a lot of sense to me.
12:30
Speaker 3: But the other side of it is no one's playing
12:32
Speaker 3: Utah really Yeah, like marketing is getting a little bit
12:35
Speaker 3: of ownership but nothing crazy at all, and like no
12:38
Speaker 3: one else is getting any ownership after that, So that
12:41
Speaker 3: kind of like that point goes for naught when you
12:44
Speaker 3: talk about Utah. So I see both sides of it.
12:47
Speaker 3: I don't know how I feel about you. You're really
12:50
Speaker 3: spending on them. They're not cheap at all. The guys
12:53
Speaker 3: you want market in eighty eighty five hundred nurkic seven
12:56
Speaker 3: k kyante George is like eighty four hundred eighty four
13:00
Speaker 3: to eighty six hundred somewhere around there. So like you're
13:03
Speaker 3: paying for these guys. There's a lot of opportunity costs there.
13:06
Speaker 1: That said, I think.
13:07
Speaker 3: There's a lot of merit in running it back with
13:09
Speaker 3: a Utah guy or two if you're playing Mitchell and
13:12
Speaker 3: another Cleveland guy, because you certainly want Utah to keep
13:15
Speaker 3: it competitive, and at Cleveland's price tags, you probably need
13:19
Speaker 3: Uta to be semi competitive. So yeah, I think this
13:22
Speaker 3: is a little bit of a tough nut to crack.
13:24
Speaker 3: Just because we don't know the late news yet, which
13:27
Speaker 3: is often an NBA just it's hard to know exactly
13:30
Speaker 3: what to do with this game without having any of
13:31
Speaker 3: that like news.
13:33
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we very well might get like these first
13:36
Speaker 1: two geate like and these are important, Like I'm not
13:38
Speaker 1: as worried about this Dallas Brooklyn stuff just because I'm
13:40
Speaker 1: not expecting to get it with it being an hour later,
13:43
Speaker 1: but within a thirty minute window, like assuming we get
13:45
Speaker 1: all of the Philly Toronto dude and they're all in,
13:48
Speaker 1: then I would definitely like, can you hear me? I
13:51
Speaker 1: just want to make sure you can hear me? Are
13:54
Speaker 1: you frozen? Matt Am I frozen?
13:59
Speaker 3: Oh?
13:59
Speaker 1: Scared not? Let me let me know and check here
14:03
Speaker 1: you on my end? All right, you hear you? You
14:06
Speaker 1: hear me? Am?
14:06
Speaker 2: I in?
14:06
Speaker 1: All right? I think you guys can hear me. I
14:09
Speaker 1: thought I just saw you frozen and I was worried,
14:11
Speaker 1: worried if it was Am I am?
14:12
Speaker 3: I back now, I got you, I got you now, Okay, cool,
14:16
Speaker 3: I'm worried.
14:16
Speaker 1: So if we get the news on and beat MPG
14:19
Speaker 1: all these guys at seven thirty that are in, I'm
14:21
Speaker 1: a lot more inclined than to play the Utah stuff
14:24
Speaker 1: and just hope this game stays competitive. Then I wouldn't
14:26
Speaker 1: care playing d Mitch and Keyante George. Uh, all right,
14:29
Speaker 1: thank you, Reo. Use of Nurkic is my favorite Utah
14:33
Speaker 1: spot though, because again I don't think center is very
14:36
Speaker 1: good on this slate. He's been playing thirty one thirty
14:40
Speaker 1: two minutes. He's been really really good in those minutes
14:42
Speaker 1: as well, and the usage just been higher than I
14:44
Speaker 1: really expected with the Kyante with the Lori marketing. I mean,
14:48
Speaker 1: it's sitting at about like twenty three percent. If you're
14:50
Speaker 1: giving me thirty one thirty two minutes he has to play,
14:53
Speaker 1: I think those minutes. With how big Cleveland is, if
14:56
Speaker 1: this game stays competitive, I think Nurkic could be in
14:58
Speaker 1: for a very solid game. He'd be my favorites. Again,
15:01
Speaker 1: I'm not really worried about that center position. Allen seems
15:04
Speaker 1: pretty contrarian. Other centers getting some ownership are like Claxton, Gafford.
15:12
Speaker 1: Maybe a little Danny Wools shows you.
15:15
Speaker 3: That shows you right there, like how weak center is.
15:17
Speaker 3: When the first guys you list are Claxton and whoever
15:20
Speaker 3: else you in Gaffer, you.
15:21
Speaker 1: Know for sure so I think I think Nurkis is
15:24
Speaker 1: actually a pretty solid play on this lay Tim and
15:26
Speaker 1: Allen not getting too much ownership at center. I don't
15:29
Speaker 1: even know if I believe this twenty four percent any
15:32
Speaker 1: Lenon Lowri or Kiante, if you were spending up for Utah, Like,
15:36
Speaker 1: if this game stays competitive, who do you think it's
15:39
Speaker 1: on the back of more?
15:40
Speaker 3: I think in that with that question, I always leaned
15:43
Speaker 3: Kyante just because I feel like his upside is higher.
15:47
Speaker 3: But you know, I like the idea of game stacking
15:51
Speaker 3: this game and playing you know a bunch of these guys. Again,
15:54
Speaker 3: it goes back to the problem being the price tags,
15:56
Speaker 3: because once you play Mitchell Mobley like, then if you're
16:00
Speaker 3: playing Kyante and or marking in like, then you're really
16:04
Speaker 3: boxed out at any of the other good plays on
16:05
Speaker 3: this slate. I will say, though it's only a four
16:08
Speaker 3: game slate, this game has a crazy high total. There
16:11
Speaker 3: are worlds where like this game goes nuts and then
16:15
Speaker 3: the other three games just aren't good at all, and
16:17
Speaker 3: there's just pieces that you want from them. So I
16:20
Speaker 3: could see a scenario where like a game stack or
16:22
Speaker 3: five pieces some six pieces from this game really plays
16:26
Speaker 3: out well if you talk and be competitive, and if
16:28
Speaker 3: I'm playing Utah, I love the Nurkic call him and
16:31
Speaker 3: Allen really look good to me here.
16:32
Speaker 1: I like it. And yeah, you're Sam Merril shout and
16:34
Speaker 1: he's gonna be unowned. But yeah, guard Ford eligibility last
16:38
Speaker 1: three games twenty nine thirty three thirty one DK points.
16:42
Speaker 1: We know he's always been a sniper. If he gets
16:44
Speaker 1: hot from deep, which he definitely has been lately, and
16:47
Speaker 1: they'll get him plenty of looks. Rio talks about Utah
16:49
Speaker 1: being bad against the three bet against everywhere, it seems,
16:51
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that Sam Merril's shout very interesting
16:54
Speaker 1: on a four game slate.
16:56
Speaker 3: Yeah, you're kind of like paying up a little bit
16:57
Speaker 3: to be contrariing there. The sticker shock at a forty
17:00
Speaker 3: nine dollars, Merrill is going to hit some people, but
17:02
Speaker 3: he's gotten there a bunch recently and this is another
17:05
Speaker 3: good spot for him to get there.
17:07
Speaker 1: Yep, we'll keep it rolling to the next game on
17:09
Speaker 1: the slate. Philadelphia seventy six ers three and a half
17:12
Speaker 1: point favorites over the Toronto Raptors two twenty and a
17:15
Speaker 1: half total in this one. Injuries on the Toronto side,
17:18
Speaker 1: no RJ. Barrett, no Yaka Pertle, no Jacobe Walter, and
17:22
Speaker 1: then Brandon Ingram's questionable. So again right there like quickly
17:25
Speaker 1: and Barnes would look really really strong, probably would be
17:29
Speaker 1: higher own if we get this news like before Cleveland
17:32
Speaker 1: and Utah and people have time to adjust. I think
17:34
Speaker 1: two of the Chalkier guys probably on the slate, which
17:36
Speaker 1: would lower that first game ownership a little bit. Same
17:39
Speaker 1: can be said on the Philly side at bead Paul
17:42
Speaker 1: George questionable. If those guys are both out, you will
17:46
Speaker 1: see Edgecombe, Tyree, Sma, Si Drummond like you'll get some
17:52
Speaker 1: value on this Philly side. Now, even if just one
17:55
Speaker 1: of them are out, I'm curious. I'll throw it to
17:57
Speaker 1: you on that question. Let's say it's just Paul George out.
18:00
Speaker 1: How big of a bump does embiid get if it's
18:01
Speaker 1: just mb get, how much interest do you get in
18:03
Speaker 1: Paul George or do you think you need both of
18:05
Speaker 1: them to be able? So I think.
18:10
Speaker 3: The big one is embiid right, helps everyone, But I
18:12
Speaker 3: don't think we're playing anyone for Paul George being out
18:15
Speaker 3: like he was out last game. He missed a bunch
18:17
Speaker 3: early in the season. It's Embiid, right, Like Embiid is
18:20
Speaker 3: the usage king, like the guy that's gonna eat up
18:22
Speaker 3: all the rebounding equity, et cetera, et cetera. So like,
18:25
Speaker 3: certainly they'll everyone will look better if Paul George's out,
18:28
Speaker 3: But for me at least, and it might be different
18:29
Speaker 3: for other people, the big one's EMBIID because then also
18:32
Speaker 3: then you sort of unlock Drummond, you get to other
18:35
Speaker 3: pieces or I don't think Paul George unlocks.
18:37
Speaker 1: Anything makes sense any What else do you like in
18:42
Speaker 1: this game? Just talking through it, I don't know why
18:44
Speaker 1: you clicked on this next game for phild No you.
18:46
Speaker 3: I thought I froze again for a second, so you
18:48
Speaker 3: kind of tweaked me out, But I'm glad that I didn't.
18:50
Speaker 3: So yeah, So from this game, the Toronto side is
18:53
Speaker 3: obviously gonna look really, really good because we got all
18:55
Speaker 3: those guys out. So the first guy that I look
18:58
Speaker 3: at that's been good recently that I think stands out
19:00
Speaker 3: as probably the top value play at least right now,
19:03
Speaker 3: is going to be Jamal shed coming off a game
19:05
Speaker 3: winner in this very same spot against Philly. He looks
19:08
Speaker 3: really really good at forty four hundred, not priced up
19:11
Speaker 3: for his current role with you know RJ. Barrett, et
19:14
Speaker 3: cetera out, So you know brandon Ingram's missed the past
19:17
Speaker 3: two games. He's questionable again. Shed and all these guys
19:20
Speaker 3: that talk about are gonna look better if Ingram's out
19:22
Speaker 3: because Brandon Ingram's another guy that's gonna eat up a
19:25
Speaker 3: lot of usage, shot volume, et cetera. So we start
19:28
Speaker 3: with Shed. Scottie Barnes, I think looks like a very
19:32
Speaker 3: fine you know, spend medium, spend up, not even that expensive.
19:36
Speaker 3: He's getting about the same ownership as Mobley. I think
19:40
Speaker 3: that I'm fine playing either of them. I like the
19:43
Speaker 3: Barnes pivot off a mobile. I expect mobiley to be
19:46
Speaker 3: more popular. I don't think you have to play either
19:48
Speaker 3: of them. I think Quickly looks good at sixty eight hundred,
19:52
Speaker 3: will look really good if Ingram's out. So yeah, like
19:56
Speaker 3: this game doesn't have the total that the first game does.
19:59
Speaker 3: None of the games on this slate do. But fantasy
20:01
Speaker 3: points come in all shapes and sizes, Like you don't
20:04
Speaker 3: need necessarily need points to get there. Games can get
20:08
Speaker 3: can get real ugly. Fantasy points can be gotten that way.
20:10
Speaker 3: So just because again these games don't have a crazy
20:13
Speaker 3: eye total, I wouldn't shy away from maybe going over
20:16
Speaker 3: on some of these other games and under on the
20:18
Speaker 3: Cleveland game. Potentially, don't saying not saying you have to
20:21
Speaker 3: do that, but I think it's in the cards. So
20:23
Speaker 3: again I think we have to wait on the Philly
20:25
Speaker 3: News to really know what we're gonna want to play there.
20:27
Speaker 3: A little bit of the same for Toronto, you know,
20:30
Speaker 3: we know most of it except for Ingram, but definitely
20:32
Speaker 3: a game I think you're gonna want exposures.
20:34
Speaker 1: To someone get I don't even know if you were.
20:45
Speaker 1: You were talking. Someone called, It went through my headphones,
20:47
Speaker 1: say something. Can you hear me again? All right? Are yeah?
20:51
Speaker 1: Someone calls, So the headphones went to the phone. I
20:53
Speaker 1: thought you were the worst. No, no, sorry, I didn't even
20:56
Speaker 1: know that you didn't hear me. No, you're good. But
21:00
Speaker 1: I do know for sure is Jamal Shehed will be
21:04
Speaker 1: maybe third highest zone on the slate right now, and
21:07
Speaker 1: then for sure if we get brandon Ingram out probably
21:11
Speaker 1: becomes the highest zone and that does take off a
21:14
Speaker 1: point guard spot, which again we talked about the Tyree
21:17
Speaker 1: SMAXI stuff. I still think. I mean, Jamal Shed looks
21:20
Speaker 1: like one of the better value plays regardless of the outcome,
21:23
Speaker 1: on a slate that I don't think there's too much
21:25
Speaker 1: strong value, Like he's projected better than Ryan Demhard, who
21:29
Speaker 1: also is a solid value play for three hundred cheaper.
21:32
Speaker 1: And it seems like the other one that people are
21:33
Speaker 1: gonna want to play is Danny Woolf. That is power
21:36
Speaker 1: forward center eligibility though so Shed looks very strong in
21:39
Speaker 1: that aspect, and I think it was on the Show
21:42
Speaker 1: with You last week we talked about Colin Murray Boyles
21:45
Speaker 1: or we a little bit, not too much, but he
21:47
Speaker 1: went off for like fifty two. He was the leverage
21:49
Speaker 1: off of Paul Reid. Could you get to any Murray
21:52
Speaker 1: Boyles in this spot still showing low ownership.
21:54
Speaker 3: I think he definitely could. I mean he's shown the
21:56
Speaker 3: upside there fifty one hundred again price bag increasing, But
22:00
Speaker 3: with these rookies, there's so much unknown here, Like fifty
22:04
Speaker 3: one hundred looks like a lot because he's been low
22:06
Speaker 3: four k's recently or for most of his career, most
22:09
Speaker 3: of the season, but what if next year he's like
22:11
Speaker 3: an eight K player. And fifty one hundred is like
22:13
Speaker 3: an absolute steal for him. We do not know think
22:16
Speaker 3: there's a lot of merit in just playing off that upside,
22:18
Speaker 3: the unknown upside that is. And as far as Shed
22:20
Speaker 3: goes like, yeah, he's gonna be real popular, don't love that.
22:24
Speaker 3: But as far as like NBA and popularity and chalk
22:26
Speaker 3: plays go, again, this isn't like an all size fits
22:29
Speaker 3: one or all yes size.
22:31
Speaker 1: Fits all rule.
22:32
Speaker 3: But generally, when you get these really really popular value plays,
22:37
Speaker 3: I think those guys are much more hard to get
22:39
Speaker 3: away from than the really popular expensive plays, simply because
22:43
Speaker 3: when you've got really popular expensive plays, there's usually pivots
22:46
Speaker 3: in those guys' price range to get away from that
22:49
Speaker 3: are also really good players. When you've got guys like
22:52
Speaker 3: Shed at forty four hundred, you're just not gonna have
22:54
Speaker 3: as many pivots in that price range that are going
22:56
Speaker 3: to project at nearly the same rate as he does.
22:59
Speaker 3: So I don't think you absolutely have to play Shed
23:02
Speaker 3: if you're playing one fifty, I wouldn't play him in
23:04
Speaker 3: all one fifty. But if you're playing one lineup, I
23:06
Speaker 3: think you just plug him in and move along.
23:08
Speaker 1: If Drummonds out would you have any interest in Drummond
23:11
Speaker 1: at four or five or Bona at four to one.
23:14
Speaker 3: Yeah, So if mbat's out, I think we definitely have
23:17
Speaker 3: to take a look at Drummond at four or five.
23:20
Speaker 3: You know, Bona's going to eat into him a little bit.
23:22
Speaker 3: And I don't think Drummond's going to be a must play,
23:25
Speaker 3: But that's a really really cheap price point for him,
23:28
Speaker 3: And that's that price point is not accounting for mb
23:30
Speaker 3: being out.
23:31
Speaker 1: Yeah, and at a week center position like we talked
23:34
Speaker 1: about as well, you could get more value there then
23:36
Speaker 1: you could spend up on a Tyres maxie maybe if
23:39
Speaker 1: we get the news, like you could more game stack
23:41
Speaker 1: the first game, because you know, you have some more
23:44
Speaker 1: value in this game with Drummond. Obviously Shed's already a
23:47
Speaker 1: strong value. I wonder also like if we do get
23:50
Speaker 1: a PG and Drumming out, like Grinds would get a bump,
23:54
Speaker 1: Barlow would get a bump, Ubra would get a bump. Now,
23:57
Speaker 1: I'd have to see what the projection and ownership is
23:59
Speaker 1: relati of the other guys on the slates, But that'd
24:02
Speaker 1: be two huge guys, I mean obviously, and beat a
24:05
Speaker 1: ton of usage PG solid amount of usage as well.
24:08
Speaker 1: Tyres would be like the the main guy that I'd
24:11
Speaker 1: want exposure to would become Chalky. But maybe that is
24:14
Speaker 1: more intriguing to stack up that first game if you
24:17
Speaker 1: want to fade at Chalk Max. See there's plenty of
24:19
Speaker 1: spend ups in the first game. Hope it stays close,
24:21
Speaker 1: and if it does, I think it's underprojected a little
24:24
Speaker 1: bit by the market. Yeah, we're not playing. We're not
24:27
Speaker 1: playing yesterday's it's Daily Fantasy Sports DFS today. So if Drummond,
24:33
Speaker 1: if it beats out, it's forty five hundred. Yeah, exactly.
24:37
Speaker 3: Even at forty five hundred, he's almost in the territory.
24:40
Speaker 3: When i FM beats in, he starts to become and
24:42
Speaker 3: play like he's getting close to that number. When you
24:45
Speaker 3: start to get the low four k Drummond, you start
24:47
Speaker 3: to just have so many outs for him to get
24:49
Speaker 3: there because he's such a good fantasy producer. I don't
24:52
Speaker 3: know this off the top of my head, and it's
24:54
Speaker 3: hard for me to look up while we're on the show.
24:55
Speaker 3: Do you have any idea that you probably don't either,
24:58
Speaker 3: Maybe someone in chat does. The last time embiid missed
25:01
Speaker 3: was because I think it's gonna go ahead.
25:04
Speaker 1: I think it might have been yesterday, and then we
25:07
Speaker 1: saw nineteen minutes for Drummond thirty two for if I'm
25:11
Speaker 1: seeing this right, Yeah, I see that now, Okay, So yeah,
25:14
Speaker 1: but I don't know what happened within the two uh,
25:18
Speaker 1: Like Bona played so many more minutes. Now I wasn't
25:20
Speaker 1: in like in tune of why he played more minutes.
25:23
Speaker 1: Like if I mean, if that's the split again, I
25:26
Speaker 1: go based off of like Projection always has that updated
25:29
Speaker 1: and accounted for. But I mean, if it's thirty two nineteen,
25:33
Speaker 1: obviously Bona is the guy that pops. I'm not sure
25:37
Speaker 1: before the last time I was trying to find an
25:39
Speaker 1: embid missed and I can't right now, Like if we
25:41
Speaker 1: just go back to like last month, mid December, when
25:44
Speaker 1: thirty two minutes, twenty three minutes even sixteen, like he's
25:47
Speaker 1: a fantasy point per fantasy monster point per minute monster
25:51
Speaker 1: when he gets the minutes, but Bona wasn't nearly as
25:53
Speaker 1: involved back in December when that happened. So yeah, I
25:58
Speaker 1: want to see it starts.
25:59
Speaker 3: And I know why that kind of slipped through the
26:02
Speaker 3: cracks because I covered yesterday's slate. But Philly and Toronto
26:05
Speaker 3: weren't even on the main slate yesterday, So that's how
26:08
Speaker 3: I missed that Embid missed yesterday, and I am I'm
26:12
Speaker 3: with you, I'm with the chat in like hard to
26:15
Speaker 3: trust Drummond certainly after last night because he only played
26:18
Speaker 3: twenty minutes and Bona. You know, the split was not
26:22
Speaker 3: what people thought it would be.
26:23
Speaker 1: But I also think that might have just.
26:24
Speaker 3: Been a one game scenario. And I do think that
26:26
Speaker 3: if Embad's out and Drummonds starting at forty five hundred,
26:29
Speaker 3: he's very difficult to get away from for me.
26:32
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm trying to look. So he started, you
26:35
Speaker 1: played six minutes stints, didn't really do too much. But
26:40
Speaker 1: then he started the second quarter as well, which is
26:43
Speaker 1: what you want to see. The stint to start the
26:45
Speaker 1: third quarter was a little shorter, it was only five minutes,
26:49
Speaker 1: and then he just started the fourth quarter which was
26:52
Speaker 1: like four minutes. Then he came out right away. I mean,
26:55
Speaker 1: maybe Bona was just better. I'm trying to see because
26:59
Speaker 1: at Bona and uh, Drummond didn't share one minute on
27:04
Speaker 1: the court. From what I'm seeing, Yeah, they didn't do one.
27:09
Speaker 1: So I definitely wouldn't play him together if Drummond starts, though,
27:13
Speaker 1: I still think projections are gonna show and that Drummond
27:16
Speaker 1: looks like a stronger play. But maybe in a four
27:18
Speaker 1: game slate, Bona is an interesting pivot depending on what
27:21
Speaker 1: Drummond's ownership does get to. Yeah, people are saying Drummond
27:25
Speaker 1: was terrible last night. That sort of looked like on
27:26
Speaker 1: popcorn machine. Yeah, and you do have the risk of
27:29
Speaker 1: the game though. Yeah, it went to ot and you
27:31
Speaker 1: do have the risk.
27:32
Speaker 3: Like Toronto, especially without peerl it doesn't have like a
27:35
Speaker 3: typical big man like Bona is a little bit more,
27:38
Speaker 3: you know, tweener ish, like.
27:40
Speaker 1: He's also a kind of big big So like I.
27:44
Speaker 3: Personally feel like that was just a one game scenario
27:46
Speaker 3: and Drummond just didn't play well or whatever. They played
27:49
Speaker 3: better with him off the court, And I am like,
27:52
Speaker 3: if mbad's out, I like Drummond at forty five hundred,
27:54
Speaker 3: But I'll put it like this because of the unknown
27:58
Speaker 3: there with how know Bonus certainly back and in the
28:01
Speaker 3: mix to play a lot of minutes. I won't let
28:04
Speaker 3: embid possibly possibly being.
28:06
Speaker 1: Out stop me from playing Allen or Nurkic. I agree
28:10
Speaker 1: with that. I agree with that for sure, Rio is
28:12
Speaker 1: saying that Bono has already had a drumming lately, even
28:15
Speaker 1: overlap in minutes with Embids sometimes, so that makes sense.
28:19
Speaker 1: He didn't overlap with Drummond obviously, which I just looked
28:22
Speaker 1: at it too, But with mb that means for sure
28:25
Speaker 1: in the court a little bit.
28:26
Speaker 3: So I do feel like also that that is a
28:29
Speaker 3: little bit volatile as well though, because yeah, Bona had
28:32
Speaker 3: moved ahead of Embiid as far as like when mbat
28:35
Speaker 3: is healthy, but when embiid is out, like, do they
28:38
Speaker 3: still want that like drumming inside? Maybe not now, but
28:41
Speaker 3: maybe I don't know.
28:43
Speaker 1: Yeah, again, I'm just looking at a small one game sample.
28:46
Speaker 1: Those two did not play or overlap any minutes, and
28:49
Speaker 1: Popcorn Machine only has four guys that played in OT,
28:52
Speaker 1: so I wonder if it was Bona that got the
28:54
Speaker 1: OT run. It's just saying Edgecombe, Grimes, maxi Ubre. I
28:58
Speaker 1: wonder who that fifth is, but it clearly he wasn't drumming.
29:01
Speaker 1: I might just be off the situation.
29:02
Speaker 3: Knowing that Drummond has real upside at forty five hundred,
29:05
Speaker 3: doesn't seem like a lot of other people are gonna
29:07
Speaker 3: play it, So I don't think there's that much opportunity
29:09
Speaker 3: cost in not playing it, But would anyone be surprised
29:13
Speaker 3: if Drummond starts and puts up forty DK points tonight?
29:15
Speaker 2: No?
29:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think we'd have spent enough time on
29:19
Speaker 1: Drummond versus Bona. But if EM beads out, you get
29:22
Speaker 1: value plays at the center position. I would want to
29:26
Speaker 1: see what projections and ownership looks like anything else on
29:29
Speaker 1: like the like just say there's no Brandon Ingram. Are
29:32
Speaker 1: we looking at a Grady Dick and a Baje? Do
29:35
Speaker 1: we just not even need it? With Shed? You already
29:39
Speaker 1: mentioned Sam Merrill. Again, the value is not great on
29:43
Speaker 1: this late assuming everyone's in, but it's the NBA. I
29:46
Speaker 1: assume some of these Q tags will be out and
29:48
Speaker 1: some value will open. So what any open on Toronto
29:50
Speaker 1: If no Ingram obviously still no bear.
29:53
Speaker 2: Well.
29:53
Speaker 3: The other problem is not only is the value not great,
29:55
Speaker 3: but neither are the spend up options, So like, yeah,
29:57
Speaker 3: I feel like unless we've got really really good value,
30:00
Speaker 3: I don't want to play it. And both ag Bajie
30:03
Speaker 3: and Dick are pretty volatile fantasy performers, so I'm not
30:07
Speaker 3: dying to get either of them, I guess Dick would
30:09
Speaker 3: be the preferred option, like Boji is just not it.
30:13
Speaker 1: Oh shay O Baji. All right, we'll keep it rolling
30:15
Speaker 1: next game. Honest, he was Kansas, Yeah he was, Yeah,
30:18
Speaker 1: he was. That's what I was thinking of. Right when
30:20
Speaker 1: I see him, I always think of I knew that's
30:22
Speaker 1: what you're thinking. All right, we'll keep it rolling next game.
30:25
Speaker 1: On the slates, Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers five and
30:28
Speaker 1: that point favorites of the Celtics two twenty five and
30:30
Speaker 1: a half total on this one. Injuries on the Boston side.
30:34
Speaker 1: Sam Houser questionable, Jalen Brown doubtful. So we're gonna have
30:37
Speaker 1: some popular plays in this game. No Jalen Brown, and
30:40
Speaker 1: the Houser news is by no means like nearly the
30:43
Speaker 1: most important on the slate. But already down Jalen Brown.
30:46
Speaker 1: That'd be another wing, so that could open up some
30:48
Speaker 1: minutes and some usage to go around Indiana side. Nope,
30:52
Speaker 1: Bendings at Mather and still Andrew Demhart is questionable. That's
30:56
Speaker 1: some pretty big news again this this seven thirty window,
30:59
Speaker 1: very important injury news with MB and them Hard Brandon Ingram,
31:04
Speaker 1: Paul George hoping we get the news before seven Eastern
31:07
Speaker 1: it will make life easier. Otherwise, maybe you're a little
31:09
Speaker 1: more inclined to backload it. At least I probably keep
31:11
Speaker 1: ownership down a little more in the first game relative
31:14
Speaker 1: to if all these guys were ruled in. Yeah, take
31:17
Speaker 1: it away, just sorting by value point per dollar the
31:20
Speaker 1: first what seven first, the eight guys are all on
31:25
Speaker 1: the Boston side. Indiana will have very little ownership. Take
31:28
Speaker 1: this one away.
31:29
Speaker 3: Yeah, Indiana won't have a lot of ownership. I guess
31:31
Speaker 3: unless Andrew Nemhart's questionable again, right, he was questionable, missed
31:35
Speaker 3: a game, then questionable played the game, and now.
31:37
Speaker 1: He's questionable and unknown.
31:39
Speaker 3: So certainly I think it's easy to say if he's out,
31:42
Speaker 3: I think we just look at TJ McConnell. But as
31:44
Speaker 3: far as the Boston side goes, to your point, the
31:46
Speaker 3: Houserd news is important because the trickle down effect is real.
31:50
Speaker 3: To what you were saying, If he's out, all of
31:52
Speaker 3: a sudden, it opens up even more wing minutes with
31:54
Speaker 3: Jalen Brown being out, so then you get guys like
31:57
Speaker 3: Hugo Gonzalez, who's in play right now. He would look
32:01
Speaker 3: like a much better play if Howser's ot. If Howser
32:03
Speaker 3: is out, Jordan Walsh would look better. So pay attention
32:07
Speaker 3: to at Houser news because I do think that those
32:09
Speaker 3: guys would start to look pretty pretty good if he
32:13
Speaker 3: is out. You know, it goes without saying, kind of
32:17
Speaker 3: burying the lead that Derek White is gonna look amazing here.
32:20
Speaker 3: Great matchup against Indiana, who is not good defensively. He's
32:24
Speaker 3: eighty four hundred, should have the ball in his hands
32:26
Speaker 3: a ton. I mean, you're taking out one of the
32:28
Speaker 3: top three usage leaders in the NBA and Jalen Brown,
32:31
Speaker 3: So it just opens up so much for Boston here.
32:34
Speaker 3: Derek White, Peyton Pritchard, Anthony Simon's all guys that are
32:38
Speaker 3: gonna get ownership that I'm very very interested in. I
32:42
Speaker 3: think Indiana kind of looks like Utah here. It's like
32:46
Speaker 3: we want a lot of Boston.
32:47
Speaker 1: Do we want to.
32:48
Speaker 3: Play Indiana with them? I think they look similar and
32:51
Speaker 3: I do like some pacers here. They're all of a
32:54
Speaker 3: sudden playing a little bit better. At won a couple
32:56
Speaker 3: games recently after they lost like thirteen in a row,
32:59
Speaker 3: so again talked about them hard. If he's in, he's
33:02
Speaker 3: in play. He had a Monster Game on either yesterday
33:05
Speaker 3: the day before, might have been yesterday Monster game. Siakam
33:10
Speaker 3: price tag is up for him. Doesn't feel comfortable paying
33:12
Speaker 3: eighty nine hundred, but it's not gonna feel comfortable for anyone.
33:15
Speaker 3: So he looks like a very intriguing GPP pivot off
33:19
Speaker 3: of the Evan Mobley Scottie Barnes of the world. Those
33:24
Speaker 3: guys are gonna project better, certainly from a points per
33:27
Speaker 3: dour perspective, but all of a sudden you get a
33:30
Speaker 3: little bit of a wonky game environment here and Siakam
33:32
Speaker 3: outscores them, and it's not gonna outsize or surprise anyone
33:36
Speaker 3: on a one game sample size. Aaron neth Smith, who's
33:39
Speaker 3: playing good Ball, I think I like Indiana more than
33:41
Speaker 3: the field. They're not getting any ownership. They look like
33:44
Speaker 3: Utah here, but their price tags are even better. So
33:47
Speaker 3: I like Indiana more than the field. I understand why
33:50
Speaker 3: the field is not getting to them. And then I
33:52
Speaker 3: think Boston, it's kind of the usual suspects of Jalen
33:54
Speaker 3: Brown being out, And then pay attention to the howser news.
33:58
Speaker 1: I don't mind me some of them hard, but so
34:01
Speaker 1: would you rather play him Kiante LORI like, how are you?
34:05
Speaker 1: How are you ranking them?
34:07
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think on the surface, I'd rather play
34:10
Speaker 3: one of the Utah guys, but I think there are
34:13
Speaker 3: scenarios where like I kind of back off of Cleveland,
34:16
Speaker 3: and if I'm playing more of this game, then I
34:18
Speaker 3: watch Siakam there like in a one v one. I'm
34:21
Speaker 3: with you, I think the Utah guys are more fairly priced,
34:25
Speaker 3: Like Siakam should not be the most expensive out of
34:27
Speaker 3: this whole crew. There's no reason for him to be.
34:30
Speaker 3: But again, I think he'll be like the lowest owned
34:32
Speaker 3: of all of them. And I think that again we're
34:36
Speaker 3: talking about like a couple projection points. Again, you get
34:38
Speaker 3: a little bit of a weird game in this Boston,
34:40
Speaker 3: Indiana game, which wouldn't surprise me.
34:42
Speaker 1: Then Siakam scores more.
34:43
Speaker 3: So Yeah, I like those guys a little bit better
34:45
Speaker 3: if I'm just like choosing a last guy in. But
34:48
Speaker 3: I think there are certainly ways I get to Seakam
34:50
Speaker 3: if I'm playing more of this game.
34:52
Speaker 1: For sure, And I mean this game kind of like
34:54
Speaker 1: Gocleck said, getting one hundred percent and ninety five percent
34:56
Speaker 1: of Prichard and White, the two chalkiest guys on the slow.
35:00
Speaker 1: If you sort just by ownership alone, it's really not
35:03
Speaker 1: even close. When we're sorting by the average our ship
35:06
Speaker 1: and nation and sabersim. And that will happen when Jalen
35:09
Speaker 1: Brown is doubtful, I did see just got hit with
35:11
Speaker 1: thirty five k fine, I'm still seeing doubtful for back.
35:14
Speaker 1: If it changes, he gets a midday upgrade or whatever
35:17
Speaker 1: it may be. Obviously the slate changes, Richard's ownership goes down,
35:21
Speaker 1: White's ownership goes down, projection all that. But right now,
35:24
Speaker 1: with the news we have is doubtful, we're gonna talk
35:26
Speaker 1: about it like that. Yeah, I mean, if Howser's out
35:29
Speaker 1: this Hugo Gonzales, then then more and more value keeps
35:32
Speaker 1: opening up, and then you could fit the first game
35:35
Speaker 1: if you want to go d Mitch Kante Lorie like,
35:38
Speaker 1: you can fit whatever you want. The stud's a lot
35:40
Speaker 1: easier that way. Again, even more value could open up
35:44
Speaker 1: with Philly stuff as well. Can we get to any
35:46
Speaker 1: of these Anthony Simon's cad Jordan Walsh, assuming Howser's out,
35:53
Speaker 1: any of these guys as value plays or like pretty
35:56
Speaker 1: much their value pivots outside of hughgo Gonzales or mid
36:00
Speaker 1: tier pivots at the fifty two to five K. But
36:03
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just trying to think of any ways
36:04
Speaker 1: that we can not play one of Prichard White or
36:08
Speaker 1: like who can eat into these guys where they're fifty
36:10
Speaker 1: percent plus, I mean, were they're not on the Winner.
36:13
Speaker 3: No, I kind of loved them all together.
36:14
Speaker 1: But that's a good point.
36:15
Speaker 3: Like Simon's definitely in play. I think you can play
36:18
Speaker 3: him honestly with both of White and Pritchard because Boston
36:23
Speaker 3: is not priced for Jalen Brown to be out, so
36:25
Speaker 3: all these guys are too cheap. So I think you
36:26
Speaker 3: can play like any combination of them together. But I
36:29
Speaker 3: think really Simon's works as a pivot mostly off of Prichard.
36:32
Speaker 3: We've seen Simon's get hot plenty times in the past.
36:35
Speaker 3: All of a sudden, he gets hot. He's eating into,
36:38
Speaker 3: in my opinion, mostly Pritchard. I think White is just
36:40
Speaker 3: gonna have so much usage here it's gonna be hard
36:42
Speaker 3: for him not to get there. Certainly, you could throw
36:44
Speaker 3: out the same argument there though, playing Simon's and Prichard
36:47
Speaker 3: and not playing Derek White, like not spending up on
36:50
Speaker 3: the expensive Celtic. There's certainly merit for that also, So
36:53
Speaker 3: Simon's definitely has a role on this slate. He doesn't
36:56
Speaker 3: look as good as Prichard or White, but hardly anyone's
37:00
Speaker 3: going to look as good as Richard or White. So
37:02
Speaker 3: I think mostly you're playing Simon's with those guys, but
37:05
Speaker 3: I think he works as a tournament pivot off of them.
37:08
Speaker 3: Cada in play, but just nothing changes with Kada for me,
37:11
Speaker 3: So he would be in play here with brown in.
37:13
Speaker 3: He's in play with Brown out. But I think I
37:15
Speaker 3: like those other centers we talked about more.
37:18
Speaker 1: That makes sense. Yeah, I mean it's not very often
37:20
Speaker 1: you see a sixty nine hundred dollars guy or projected
37:23
Speaker 1: for forty and a half DK points obviously going to
37:26
Speaker 1: lead to a lot of ownership. I'd be more willing
37:27
Speaker 1: to fade Derek White if picking just because of that
37:31
Speaker 1: fifteen hundred dollars difference. And yeah, but like were talking
37:34
Speaker 1: about Lori Keionte, just two examples we keep going back to,
37:37
Speaker 1: but showing a lot less ownership right in that same
37:39
Speaker 1: price range as well. Anthony Simon, he's a hooper. Minutes
37:43
Speaker 1: are down. He has to be efficient with a shooting.
37:46
Speaker 1: But yeah, he definitely has that ability, So I like
37:49
Speaker 1: that call a little bit as well. Point guard shooting
37:51
Speaker 1: guard eligibility. And I will say I should say, if
37:54
Speaker 1: Sam Houser plays, I think he's a very strong play
37:57
Speaker 1: thirty eight hundred. I mean he probably shooting six seven
38:00
Speaker 1: in this game. Very good price take there, Boston. It's
38:04
Speaker 1: hard to ignore these guys, that's for sure. Yeah, really
38:07
Speaker 1: hard to ignore. I'm sorry, go ahead, no, no, no,
38:09
Speaker 1: I was gonna keep moving anything else in that game. Nah.
38:12
Speaker 3: I was just kind of agreeing with your point, Like,
38:14
Speaker 3: really hard to get away from this game. And Howser
38:17
Speaker 3: definitely in play because I think his ownership is probably
38:19
Speaker 3: a little bit newtered with the questionable attack all day.
38:22
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that as well. Last game of
38:26
Speaker 1: the Nights. Appreciate everyone hanging out. All we ask is
38:28
Speaker 1: like button and subscribe. Button helps us out a ton
38:30
Speaker 1: bring new shows on this channel every single day. Yeah,
38:34
Speaker 1: next thing you know, NASCAR will be back, so we'll
38:36
Speaker 1: get some quick hit on NASCAR on Sundays as well.
38:40
Speaker 1: The Brooklyn Nets and the Dallas Mavericks tip off for
38:43
Speaker 1: the late game and late game for the DFS lates,
38:46
Speaker 1: there's still is two later games if you are playing
38:48
Speaker 1: the Knights Layton showdown, but three net point favorites other
38:51
Speaker 1: MAVs two nineteen and a half total in this one.
38:53
Speaker 1: Injuries on the Dallas side PJ. Washington, Brandon Williams doubtful,
38:58
Speaker 1: no ad Daniel Gafford questionable that gaff for again, I'm
39:03
Speaker 1: not backloaded because this game is an hour after the
39:06
Speaker 1: other three games. Like I'm not gonna try and guess
39:09
Speaker 1: wrong or whatever and then be screwed. But that gaff
39:12
Speaker 1: for news is pretty important on this late with already
39:16
Speaker 1: down some big guys in the front core PJ obviously
39:20
Speaker 1: no Lively and Anthony Davis Brooklyn side. What no Cam Thomas,
39:25
Speaker 1: no Igor Demon And that is all I'm seeing there? Yeah,
39:29
Speaker 1: I guess just before you even break down the game,
39:31
Speaker 1: are you kind of seeing that the same thing where
39:32
Speaker 1: you can't like you're not really worrying about these qu'es
39:35
Speaker 1: tags as much because you have no wiggle room assuming
39:38
Speaker 1: we don't get it, or how are you handling I
39:40
Speaker 1: guess the gaffer Q tag and then break down the game.
39:42
Speaker 3: No, I think that's I think you're one hundred percent
39:45
Speaker 3: right here. It's not only that we don't have a
39:47
Speaker 3: lot of wiggle room. It's also that's just like I
39:50
Speaker 3: don't see a ton that's gonna open up that we're
39:53
Speaker 3: gonna like be dying to roster no matter how you
39:55
Speaker 3: look at it, outside of like maybe Moosa cisea if
40:00
Speaker 3: Gafford's out, But like that seems pretty flimsy in a
40:04
Speaker 3: state with other at least good centers we've talked about,
40:08
Speaker 3: So like, yeah, like I'm definitely not setting my rosters
40:13
Speaker 3: like in with some delusions of grandeur that there's gonna
40:16
Speaker 3: be tons of spots opening up from this game. I
40:18
Speaker 3: do think that it's worth paying attention to, and as
40:21
Speaker 3: you said, the Gaffer news is important, but I just
40:24
Speaker 3: I think the other three games offer so much in
40:27
Speaker 3: terms of potential value that it's really really hard to
40:30
Speaker 3: hold back roster spots.
40:32
Speaker 1: Assuming that and beads in and we don't have any
40:34
Speaker 1: more center value open up. How crazy do you think
40:37
Speaker 1: it is to play or I guess how many teams
40:39
Speaker 1: would you need to play? Like a CC just plug
40:41
Speaker 1: them in at thirty three hundred, And I'd more kind
40:46
Speaker 1: of be wanting to do it in the util because
40:48
Speaker 1: I think then you can just go one hundred more's
40:51
Speaker 1: d Russ and he at least projects for five points more.
40:54
Speaker 1: So I guess I'm kind of talking myself into a
40:56
Speaker 1: little more.
40:56
Speaker 3: Let's see, i'd probably personally, yeah, i'd want like a
41:00
Speaker 3: two for two maybe like that I could stop to
41:03
Speaker 3: but I do think that to your point, like there
41:05
Speaker 3: are outs d Ross, ste Low, and Powell.
41:09
Speaker 1: Like, yeah, yeah, if they're in the util, I don't
41:12
Speaker 1: hate it because he's already going to be super low
41:14
Speaker 1: and in centers. And again, if you're playing him at util,
41:17
Speaker 1: you like you're already playing another center, which is limits
41:20
Speaker 1: the appeal a little bit. But man like if you
41:24
Speaker 1: if center bus which very very well could on this
41:26
Speaker 1: late and you get no Gafford, I think see, I
41:29
Speaker 1: think you'd want to have CC in your lineup at
41:31
Speaker 1: thirty three hundred, again assuming and beats in, but the
41:35
Speaker 1: risk probably just outweighs the reward.
41:38
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know. Like the way you're putting it,
41:41
Speaker 3: You're like you're gonna need say if the efforts out.
41:44
Speaker 3: I don't know about that, but I do agree with you.
41:47
Speaker 1: I do agree with your premise at the ownership. At ownership,
41:51
Speaker 1: I love it you would like you would love to
41:53
Speaker 1: have it by no means would you need it.
41:55
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's exactly how it put it, and I could.
41:57
Speaker 1: Marcus Robinson like, I'm like, any time you're getting a
42:00
Speaker 1: wide receiver too at point seven percent or like three percent.
42:05
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just it's news driven obviously, but there
42:08
Speaker 1: just always will be way under owned relative to what
42:11
Speaker 1: they would be owned if they had if you had
42:13
Speaker 1: that news.
42:14
Speaker 3: Exactly to the point that you're making. If we found
42:16
Speaker 3: out right now that Gafford we're out, ssay would be
42:19
Speaker 3: much higher on than if we find out Gafferd's out
42:22
Speaker 3: at seven thirty or whatever. So just because of that,
42:26
Speaker 3: I think it does make sense to potentially do exactly
42:29
Speaker 3: as you're saying now. I don't think you're starting your
42:32
Speaker 3: lineups like putting CISA in at utail, but I do
42:35
Speaker 3: think that that's a viable route, and like I would
42:38
Speaker 3: want CSA based on everything we've said, if Gafferd's out
42:40
Speaker 3: and Gafford is so volatile, not going to be surprised
42:43
Speaker 3: if he's out. So that's a really really good point.
42:47
Speaker 3: I'm glad we talked that out because it makes me
42:49
Speaker 3: like doing that even more for the main Dallas guys.
42:52
Speaker 3: I think it's kind of the usual suspects. We saw
42:54
Speaker 3: this last game Cooper Flag eight k uh. He busted
42:59
Speaker 3: last game fifteen or sixteen Fantasy points. He was like
43:03
Speaker 3: ninety percent in the higher dollar tournaments that day. I'm
43:06
Speaker 3: sure he'll be really really high owned today. Hard to
43:08
Speaker 3: get away from him. You can roster him at five
43:10
Speaker 3: different spots, you know, no ad, so the usage is
43:13
Speaker 3: gonna be there. He can fill it up in a
43:14
Speaker 3: lot of a lot of different avenues. So Cooper Flag
43:18
Speaker 3: looks like the top Dallas piece. And then you get
43:20
Speaker 3: to all the Klake Thompson, Max Christie's of the world.
43:24
Speaker 3: You know, all these guys are going to be in play.
43:25
Speaker 3: It's hard to know. It's kind of hard to differentiate
43:28
Speaker 3: between these guys, like before the slate starts. But I
43:31
Speaker 3: think if you're playing one fifty, you want exposure to
43:33
Speaker 3: all of them. If you're playing minimal lineups to kind
43:35
Speaker 3: of just choose your favorites from the Brooklyn side. I
43:39
Speaker 3: see Reo has already thrown it out in chat. Danny
43:41
Speaker 3: Wolf point forward night. Yeah, I think he's gonna have
43:44
Speaker 3: the ball in his hands a ton here. Four k
43:46
Speaker 3: really cheap price point for a guy that again can
43:49
Speaker 3: fill it up in a lot of different areas. So
43:51
Speaker 3: I think Wolf does look really really good. I don't
43:55
Speaker 3: love like the forty or forty five or thirty five
43:58
Speaker 3: percent ownership depending on where you're looking that he's projecting for,
44:01
Speaker 3: but I like it a lot more than the same
44:04
Speaker 3: ownership Nick Klaxon is projecting for. So I'm willing to
44:07
Speaker 3: eat the Wolf Chalk at that price point, willing to
44:10
Speaker 3: get away from Claxton at that price point. Powell, I'm
44:14
Speaker 3: kind of indifferent towards like, if you need the value, fine,
44:17
Speaker 3: I doubt he like breaks the slate Noah Clowney. I
44:20
Speaker 3: feel similarly towards Michael Porter Junior. I'm interested in like
44:24
Speaker 3: he's a spend up option that I don't think it's
44:26
Speaker 3: a ton of love. I think he comes in, you know,
44:28
Speaker 3: probably fifteen twenty percent owned, and I certainly think there
44:32
Speaker 3: are routes to him getting there. This game can is
44:36
Speaker 3: likely to stay competitive. Neither of these teams are very good,
44:38
Speaker 3: and he's been really really good this year. So eighty
44:41
Speaker 3: seven hundred again a little bit of sticker shock, but
44:44
Speaker 3: his play has been deserved of it. So I like
44:47
Speaker 3: Porter Junior here as kind of the alpha who's gonna
44:50
Speaker 3: have the ball in his hands a ton. This game
44:52
Speaker 3: is ugly, though, Like I don't exactly know what to
44:54
Speaker 3: make of this game, Terrence Man, There's like so many
44:58
Speaker 3: plays that are okay to good in this game that
45:01
Speaker 3: I don't love any of them except Wolf.
45:04
Speaker 1: I agree, I don't like Cooper. Flag would be my
45:07
Speaker 1: favorite outside of Wolf because I but like, yeah, he's
45:10
Speaker 1: gonna get ownership. You're painting a real price because I
45:12
Speaker 1: struggle with Clay Tom. I mean I said it, I
45:15
Speaker 1: think the one night and then he knuked, but then
45:17
Speaker 1: he did what he usually did the game after, like
45:19
Speaker 1: right wide range of outcomes. But when he's getting some ownership,
45:23
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily believe just the seven percent ownership. It
45:26
Speaker 1: depends like if all these Q tags are ruled in,
45:29
Speaker 1: people are gonna go to Dallas, gonna go to Clay,
45:33
Speaker 1: gonna go to some Christy, a little Ryan Demhard, Like
45:35
Speaker 1: we just don't have really great value on this shed
45:38
Speaker 1: and it's Danny Wolf and pretty much after that it
45:41
Speaker 1: seems like nobody. So people will go to these guys
45:44
Speaker 1: if they want to pivot a little bit.
45:46
Speaker 3: And I am a little bit worried about like if
45:48
Speaker 3: you're playing single entry higher hour stuff, like a lot
45:52
Speaker 3: of lineups are gonna have Derek White, Peyton Pritchard, Jamal
45:57
Speaker 3: Shed Cooper Flag, and Danny Wolfe. Yeah that's five guys
46:02
Speaker 3: right there. I don't really want to be playing three
46:04
Speaker 3: v threes, so I'm likely to get off one or
46:07
Speaker 3: two of those guys. Not sure who it is yet.
46:09
Speaker 1: No, I like that. Yeah, I struggle with some of
46:13
Speaker 1: this map stuff. I think this ownership's wrong. I think
46:16
Speaker 1: this may be the ownership if like some of these
46:18
Speaker 1: guys are ruled out. I think you can pretty much
46:20
Speaker 1: double everyone in this value range because I think again
46:24
Speaker 1: you need Bali to make rosters on your slate, and
46:26
Speaker 1: I just wouldn't like Ryan Emhart would be my favorite,
46:29
Speaker 1: I think, but he just point guard eligible, which I
46:31
Speaker 1: don't love. But I don't love Clay, I don't love
46:34
Speaker 1: Chris c. I guess d Russ is chief. Someone mentioned
46:37
Speaker 1: Revenge Game, like, yeah, he always can chuck it, so
46:40
Speaker 1: I guess I don't hate him. But what's his upside?
46:42
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on Sharp versus Claxon? If Clason's
46:46
Speaker 1: really gonna be like thirty percent and Sharp's all the
46:48
Speaker 1: way down there obviously pretty much the same price, but
46:52
Speaker 1: Canny outscore him in a vacuum, Like, is there any
46:54
Speaker 1: merit to playing him in very chalky teams? I don't
46:59
Speaker 1: hate it.
46:59
Speaker 3: And he is a little litle bit cheaper too, so
47:01
Speaker 3: you get a little bit of salary, you know, salary
47:05
Speaker 3: help there by spending down on Sharp. It's just tough
47:08
Speaker 3: because Sharp isn't as cheap as he normally would be
47:10
Speaker 3: in this situation. So I think you're overpaying for Sharp
47:15
Speaker 3: to get away from Claxton. And in that scenario, I'm
47:18
Speaker 3: more than likely just to get away from Claxton and
47:20
Speaker 3: play someone else instead.
47:22
Speaker 1: Yeah, which I think Clowney Noah, Clowney's pretty strong at
47:25
Speaker 1: fifty two hundred. Sure's power forward eligibility, but I think
47:28
Speaker 1: that's a way to do it as well. And I
47:30
Speaker 1: like your MPG shout. If people are spending over Ak,
47:33
Speaker 1: they're not clicking. I don't even believe like that nineteen percent.
47:36
Speaker 1: I don't think they're clicking Michael Porter's name. But yeah,
47:39
Speaker 1: it's not a game I love like. The first game
47:42
Speaker 1: is obviously way better. I like Philly Toronto more and
47:45
Speaker 1: then this in the Boston game. My least favorites, just
47:48
Speaker 1: in a like an environment aspect. Obviously, Boston with the injuries,
47:53
Speaker 1: you're going to be forced to play some of them.
47:55
Speaker 1: But I don't love this game, and I won't be
47:57
Speaker 1: really waiting on news. If Gafford's ruled out, great you
48:00
Speaker 1: could play some CSA. Otherwise, just have a plan if
48:02
Speaker 1: you do. Plug that in for sure.
48:04
Speaker 3: And I see Scooters asking the single entries tonight are
48:08
Speaker 3: two hundred ish people still don't love the three v
48:10
Speaker 3: three or four v four approach with the chalk and
48:13
Speaker 3: I'm like, no, I don't. I mean, I really don't
48:16
Speaker 3: love it. I think there are ways around it. I
48:18
Speaker 3: don't think you have to get off of any of
48:19
Speaker 3: those four or five guys, but I do think that,
48:23
Speaker 3: you know, it's probably the optimal route to build, at
48:26
Speaker 3: least as of right now, just because you don't want
48:28
Speaker 3: to be holding hands with so many people. My big
48:30
Speaker 3: problem with all these guys getting ownership, I guess except
48:35
Speaker 3: for Wolf, like take what I said earlier, whenever you've
48:39
Speaker 3: got shocky players on much more apt to get away
48:41
Speaker 3: from the more expensive ones because there's more pivots in
48:43
Speaker 3: the expensive players price range. And I think that's true
48:46
Speaker 3: with Flag and White. In this instance, the problem is
48:49
Speaker 3: that both those guys are underpriced for their current role.
48:52
Speaker 3: You've got White under price for Brown being out, and
48:55
Speaker 3: Flag still isn't priced correctly for Ad being out. So
48:58
Speaker 3: both those guys, at least projection wise, are going to
49:00
Speaker 3: project really well. Now, Wolf is the one guy that
49:03
Speaker 3: doesn't really fit in there. You know, Kaushett is under
49:06
Speaker 3: price for his current role too, and certainly Pritchard is,
49:09
Speaker 3: but Wolf probably is two because you've got guys out
49:12
Speaker 3: for Brooklyn and he's going to be playing a different
49:14
Speaker 3: role tonight. So all five of those guys are getting
49:16
Speaker 3: ownership for a very good reason, making it hard to
49:19
Speaker 3: get away from any of them.
49:21
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I would also say to this, so two
49:23
Speaker 1: hundred people, obviously that's a small is it the payout structure?
49:28
Speaker 1: Two thousand to first, five hundred a second and one
49:30
Speaker 1: hundred to third, which I don't think it is. But
49:33
Speaker 1: if so, then I would like playing the chalk even less.
49:36
Speaker 1: Whereas if it's very balanced like that two K one
49:39
Speaker 1: point three one k like that, then I'm more likely
49:43
Speaker 1: to play some Now I do know though in the
49:45
Speaker 1: smaller we talk about a lot two hundred people in
49:48
Speaker 1: that tournament, the chalk will be way chalkier than it
49:50
Speaker 1: will in the flagship and project that way, So you
49:54
Speaker 1: have to eat chalking NBA. There's no doubt about it.
49:56
Speaker 1: Just yeah, trying to find the fine line. If I'm
49:59
Speaker 1: playing a four v four a twinter man tournament, sure
50:01
Speaker 1: I don't hate it, but maybe I don't want the
50:04
Speaker 1: four chalkiest guys or whatever five chalkiest guys on my team.
50:08
Speaker 1: To start it off with four it would be I uh,
50:12
Speaker 1: maybe it would just be like, all right, I'll play
50:14
Speaker 1: White Pritcher Chalk, but then I'll fade one of shed Wolf,
50:19
Speaker 1: and then Mobiley's getting a lot, so I won't play him,
50:21
Speaker 1: and then I'm going to like the seventh, eighth highest
50:23
Speaker 1: like something like that. So you always have to look
50:26
Speaker 1: at ownership and your cumulative ownership. But the second you
50:30
Speaker 1: start playing guys that are like seven percent or less
50:32
Speaker 1: and you get to those really really low owned guys
50:35
Speaker 1: where you're the only one that has them pretty much,
50:37
Speaker 1: then you can even eat more chalk a round since
50:39
Speaker 1: that's your difference makers. So it really depends, yeah, so much.
50:43
Speaker 1: So many variables go into it.
50:45
Speaker 3: Yeah, The problem is a lot of times, those really
50:47
Speaker 3: low owned guys are low own for a reason. They're
50:49
Speaker 3: not gonna be sta great plays. But again, that doesn't
50:51
Speaker 3: mean there aren't diamonds in the rough and the you know,
50:54
Speaker 3: you have the ability to find those good plays. And
50:56
Speaker 3: I'm with you more or less like you have to
50:58
Speaker 3: eat chalk and NBA like you don't want to be
51:01
Speaker 3: in an on an island in NBA. It's just a
51:03
Speaker 3: matter of like, yeah, the big problem is kind of
51:06
Speaker 3: what you were saying. Most tournaments on DraftKings these days
51:09
Speaker 3: are so top heavy that it does encourage you to
51:12
Speaker 3: be more different than you would be if they weren't
51:15
Speaker 3: so top heavy.
51:16
Speaker 1: To your original point, for sure, and it's a four
51:19
Speaker 1: game slate we're talking versus the nine game slate. The
51:21
Speaker 1: smaller the slates more you have to focus on ownership
51:25
Speaker 1: there so, but at the end.
51:26
Speaker 4: Of the last pivots there are also to that point, yep,
51:29
Speaker 4: so there's not going to be those one, two, three,
51:32
Speaker 4: four percent guys like on a main slate with ten
51:34
Speaker 4: games in the NBA, you can find a random.
51:37
Speaker 1: Stud that's three percent that obviously still has sixty point
51:39
Speaker 1: upside for whatever reason that is.
51:42
Speaker 3: Yeah, there are pluses and minuses to both. Like when
51:44
Speaker 3: you have the ten games slates, like you're able to
51:47
Speaker 3: play really really good plays at low ownership. The problem
51:50
Speaker 3: with those big slates is there's always random guys that
51:53
Speaker 3: you don't even think about that are gonna go off
51:54
Speaker 3: and someone's gonna have them. You kind of have the
51:56
Speaker 3: opposite problem on slates like this, you.
51:58
Speaker 1: Know, yeah, exactly, like you have such a great team
52:01
Speaker 1: and then yeah, there's you have to beat out this
52:03
Speaker 1: one percent whoever it is that just went for sixty
52:08
Speaker 1: Malachi Brandam or Murray Boyles that you needed last week
52:12
Speaker 1: for Paul Reed, Like, you just can't win without them,
52:14
Speaker 1: and it makes it tough that way. So yeah, but
52:17
Speaker 1: single entry two hundred people, you have a lot more
52:19
Speaker 1: wiggle room and out's not hitting the optimal than you
52:22
Speaker 1: do in the flagship. Of course, any final thoughts on
52:27
Speaker 1: this late before we get on out of here again,
52:29
Speaker 1: all of our content will be up Rio slate playing
52:31
Speaker 1: Corps projections ownership of course.
52:34
Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty grimy Monday Night slate, but that's what us,
52:37
Speaker 3: the NBA dfs lovers enjoy, So let's get after.
52:40
Speaker 1: It absolutely and again, if you do want to join
52:43
Speaker 1: us at the Nation we'd love to have you. You
52:45
Speaker 1: can see the big PGA earlier Bird special that will
52:48
Speaker 1: end in two days. Most of you might play PGA,
52:50
Speaker 1: but obviously you're probably playing NBA. So I think the
52:53
Speaker 1: better deal for you if you go to join the
52:55
Speaker 1: nation right here. We do have a daily pass, but hey,
52:58
Speaker 1: you can get in for five days for nineteen with
53:00
Speaker 1: Sabersim with the discord and that I'll get you. PGA
53:04
Speaker 1: this week starts on Wednesday, Thursday. It's almost always Thursday.
53:08
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a day early this week,
53:10
Speaker 1: but we'll have no it's Thursday. They're doing the Wednesday show.
53:14
Speaker 1: Definitely huge, huge contest for PGA. The best team in
53:18
Speaker 1: the business over here. Also get your NFL if you
53:20
Speaker 1: sign up today for tonight and it gets you close
53:23
Speaker 1: to Saturday. But yeah, it gets the NBA all throughout
53:27
Speaker 1: the week, NHL all throughout the week. College football is
53:30
Speaker 1: next Monday. Excited for that. NBA of course, going on PGA.
53:34
Speaker 1: MMA will be back before you know it. We would
53:36
Speaker 1: love to have you five days for nineteen dollars, a
53:39
Speaker 1: daily pass four nine dollars or if you want all access,
53:42
Speaker 1: if you know you'll be here for a month. Multiple
53:44
Speaker 1: different options right there, all include discord and save or
53:48
Speaker 1: SIM that'll do it. Good luck in your NBA contest
53:51
Speaker 1: if playing NFL, good luck in those as well. We
53:54
Speaker 1: will be back tomorrow myself in Rio talking some hoops.
53:58
Speaker 1: Be safe. Good luck for matt On tits.
54:18
Speaker 2: Hast hast hasty still