Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Super Bowl LX BIG Prop Bets, Parlay of the Day, NBA, CBB & More!

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Super Bowl LX BIG Prop Bets, Parlay of the Day, NBA, CBB & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

0:00
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in to the best betting show ever
0:03
Speaker 1: on the Wednesday, also known as the Calm before the Storm.
0:08
Speaker 1: Joe and are alongside Art to Caesar, Double r one
0:11
Speaker 1: l Steve Merrill. He'll be joining us a little bit later.
0:15
Speaker 1: We've got updates galore for you here. We also have
0:19
Speaker 1: some best bets today, great college basketball card, great NBA card,
0:23
Speaker 1: the final big night of the NHL before we get
0:28
Speaker 1: to the Olympics, and Art before we dive into that.
0:35
Speaker 1: Speaking of the Olympics, it's an interesting time of year, right,
0:39
Speaker 1: We're about to say goodbye to football coming up on Sunday.
0:44
Speaker 1: But you and I were just laughing. Pitchers and catchers
0:47
Speaker 1: are reporting in seven days, which means Major League Baseball
0:51
Speaker 1: is just around the corner. The Olympics. I don't know
0:54
Speaker 1: what kind of action you guys get at the Westgate there.
0:57
Speaker 1: I know there's total gold medals, total metal count seems
1:02
Speaker 1: to be something popular among the public looking that way here.
1:07
Speaker 1: But what is coming up here in the foreseeable future.
1:10
Speaker 1: We all know about March Madness, but it feels like
1:13
Speaker 1: we got a lot of other things happening over the
1:16
Speaker 1: next month or so.
1:18
Speaker 2: Yeah, we definitely do Obviously college basketball will take you know,
1:21
Speaker 2: it'll be front and center. I mean, obviously you have
1:24
Speaker 2: conference tournaments coming up leading into March Madness. There's a
1:27
Speaker 2: bunch of conference tournaments that are actually in Vegas, so
1:30
Speaker 2: there's a real good buzz in town when that happens.
1:34
Speaker 2: You know, NBA will go on their All Star break,
1:36
Speaker 2: They'll be all for a week, like you said, NHL
1:38
Speaker 2: off for a handful of weeks here, So yeah, it
1:41
Speaker 2: really starts to become We start to look towards spring,
1:44
Speaker 2: we start to get geared up for the playoffs in
1:46
Speaker 2: the big sports. You mentioned baseball. We put up our
1:49
Speaker 2: win totals and make the playoffs yesterday, So we try
1:52
Speaker 2: to have that available for Super Bowl weekend, figuring there's
1:56
Speaker 2: gonna be a ton of people in town, a ton
1:58
Speaker 2: of people looking to bet some major League baseball stuff.
2:01
Speaker 3: So that's why we put that up this week.
2:03
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love that baseball is here. We're all baseball classics.
2:07
Speaker 1: So we got a lot going on here with the
2:10
Speaker 1: show and in the betting world over the next month.
2:13
Speaker 1: Just because football goes away art doesn't mean that the
2:16
Speaker 1: profits have to stop.
2:18
Speaker 4: Here.
2:18
Speaker 1: Still a lot of ways to get some action including
2:21
Speaker 1: the waste Management open this week. I would imagine, like
2:25
Speaker 1: you do every year, the whole cross sports you know,
2:29
Speaker 1: parlays and those things happening, everything tied in to the
2:33
Speaker 1: big game on Sunday, and the waste Management opened not
2:36
Speaker 1: and actually not a bad way to look at it too,
2:39
Speaker 1: if you can get any action on that.
2:42
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, the crossboard props have I want
2:45
Speaker 2: to say, they've died down a little bit. They aren't
2:47
Speaker 2: as popular as they were maybe five ten years ago,
2:51
Speaker 2: but we still have a nice little sheet or two
2:53
Speaker 2: on that. Try to connect as much as we can to.
2:56
Speaker 2: Like you said, the waste open, the NBA a little
2:59
Speaker 2: bit of NA so we try to incorporate as much
3:02
Speaker 2: as we can on that. And those are ones that
3:05
Speaker 2: I think people just try to have a lot more
3:07
Speaker 2: fun with. Even even the sharps don't really bet those shows,
3:10
Speaker 2: you know, it's not like it's a real sharp market
3:13
Speaker 2: for that. So those are more talking points I would say.
3:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, and here it is, keep it simple for you,
3:18
Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler, with whoever you like to win the game? Done, Okay,
3:22
Speaker 1: cash the ticket, it's good, it's good to go. All right,
3:25
Speaker 1: There's no point even discussing it here. All right, let's
3:28
Speaker 1: talk about the Super Bowl moves if any so far?
3:32
Speaker 1: Art you still figure you're about a day or so
3:35
Speaker 1: away from really start. I don't necessarily the volume, I
3:40
Speaker 1: guess more than anything else, right, you're gonna really start
3:43
Speaker 1: to see the amount of bets pick up. But as
3:47
Speaker 1: far as the big you know, the six figure wagers,
3:50
Speaker 1: the kinds of bets that move these lines here, still
3:55
Speaker 1: what a couple of days away?
3:57
Speaker 4: You think?
3:59
Speaker 2: Still a couple of days. So wait, don't get me wrong.
4:00
Speaker 2: We'll get some stuff tomorrow from the public, you know.
4:03
Speaker 2: But I think once you hit Friday, people have gotten
4:06
Speaker 2: into town. You start to see a little bit of
4:09
Speaker 2: buzz in the sports book, people lining up, people signing
4:13
Speaker 2: up for the app, people trying to, you know, figure
4:15
Speaker 2: out what's going on with the big game. That's really
4:18
Speaker 2: going to hit Friday. I would say, Friday afternoon you'll
4:21
Speaker 2: really start to rock and roll. That bet ticker will
4:23
Speaker 2: be on fire with bets left and right. And you're right,
4:26
Speaker 2: I mean, listen, the fifty hundred thousand dollars bet coming
4:30
Speaker 2: off the street could come at any time, It could
4:32
Speaker 2: come today. It just you know, depends when that person
4:35
Speaker 2: feels they want to come in and make the bet.
4:37
Speaker 2: As I mentioned yesterday, we're minus five forty five and
4:40
Speaker 2: a half, still the highest.
4:42
Speaker 3: Like I said, I've.
4:42
Speaker 2: Seen on our money line plus two dollars if you
4:45
Speaker 2: want to take a shot with New England there. But
4:49
Speaker 2: really hasn't been much movement here over these last couple
4:52
Speaker 2: of days side in total.
4:53
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting because I'm still seeing art. We're still
4:57
Speaker 1: seeing I'm seeing more foreign and a halfs across the
5:01
Speaker 1: board than we did yesterday.
5:02
Speaker 4: Still a handful of fives.
5:04
Speaker 1: Like you guys at the West Gate seeing a lot
5:07
Speaker 1: more forty fives too than we did yesterday across the board.
5:11
Speaker 4: How regional do you think this is? Too? Art?
5:14
Speaker 1: Because I gotta imagine the East Coast sports books probably
5:18
Speaker 1: shaded a little closer to New England because they got
5:21
Speaker 1: to figure that that's where the money is coming in,
5:23
Speaker 1: and maybe, you know, you guys on the west side
5:26
Speaker 1: here a little more shaded towards Seattle. Is there a
5:29
Speaker 1: big regional difference you think in this game with these numbers?
5:33
Speaker 5: There could be?
5:34
Speaker 2: And I think there where you're probably gonna find that
5:36
Speaker 2: is the money line, you know, maybe a lot lower
5:39
Speaker 2: you know, the plus one eighties plus one eighty fives
5:42
Speaker 2: on New England, and like I said, we're sitting two dollars.
5:44
Speaker 2: That's a big difference. You know, fifteen to twenty cents
5:47
Speaker 2: on a money line is a huge difference. So maybe
5:51
Speaker 2: that's some you know, there's something to that. Like I
5:54
Speaker 2: said when I talked about the money line yesterday, for us,
5:56
Speaker 2: it was just a price discovery thing.
5:59
Speaker 3: What is going to be the high point? And nobody
6:01
Speaker 3: has taken that yet.
6:02
Speaker 4: I don't know.
6:02
Speaker 3: Do we even get higher? Do we dare go to
6:05
Speaker 3: fifty two ten? I don't know.
6:07
Speaker 2: I mean, I think we'll see over these next couple
6:09
Speaker 2: of days what happens. Obviously, too, we have to monitor
6:12
Speaker 2: the market. Of course, we have to worry about the
6:14
Speaker 2: bets that are coming in. But we don't want to be,
6:16
Speaker 2: you know, sitting there at an astronomical number that no
6:21
Speaker 2: one else is at and give people, you know, a
6:23
Speaker 2: chance to kind of buy off a number or whatever
6:25
Speaker 2: the case may be. So we don't want to be
6:27
Speaker 2: crazy where we're sitting there at plus two twenty and
6:30
Speaker 2: everyone's at plus one to eighty and obviously the bets
6:32
Speaker 2: will dictate that and kind of you know what our
6:35
Speaker 2: position is, but really hasn't been much yet.
6:38
Speaker 4: Yeah.
6:38
Speaker 1: No, And would you say it's still one percentage of
6:41
Speaker 1: Seattle tickets to New England tickets right now?
6:44
Speaker 4: What do you think you're seeing.
6:46
Speaker 2: Still five six to one? I mean Seattle, Yeah, Seattle
6:49
Speaker 2: is still there. I think the one thing that I've noticed,
6:52
Speaker 2: and maybe early we thought it wouldn't be this way.
6:55
Speaker 4: We kind of thought.
6:56
Speaker 2: Maybe New England would be a little bit sharp, but
6:59
Speaker 2: we haven't seen that yet. It feels like the sharp
7:03
Speaker 2: and the public are both lining up on Seattle. It
7:06
Speaker 2: feels that way. I'm not saying it's one hundred percent
7:09
Speaker 2: that yet, and you know, when we do our show Friday,
7:12
Speaker 2: kind of maybe have a little bit more grasp of
7:14
Speaker 2: what's going on as far as that goes. But it
7:17
Speaker 2: just feels that way to me because you know, we're
7:19
Speaker 2: sitting here at five and once again, these are dead numbers.
7:22
Speaker 2: You know, what's the really the difference between four.
7:24
Speaker 3: And a half five five and a half.
7:25
Speaker 2: But you know, like you said, we're one of the
7:28
Speaker 2: only fives out there, and we really haven't had many
7:30
Speaker 2: people who we respect come and grab that five or
7:33
Speaker 2: come and grab the plus two dollars on the money line.
7:36
Speaker 2: So it makes me think maybe New England's not going
7:38
Speaker 2: to be the sharp side.
7:40
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's it's interesting.
7:43
Speaker 1: I think the next couple of days are gonna tell
7:46
Speaker 1: us everything we need to know, but I'll still stand
7:48
Speaker 1: by it hard. I think if you're thinking over in this,
7:53
Speaker 1: I wouldn't wait because I don't see this going down,
7:56
Speaker 1: Like I don't see you getting a better number here.
8:00
Speaker 1: But if you hold off, I think forty five is
8:03
Speaker 1: the low level. And I think if you think that
8:05
Speaker 1: we're getting some points in this game, which we very
8:08
Speaker 1: well could art, I mean, it's not out.
8:10
Speaker 4: Of the round.
8:11
Speaker 1: We just watched the Rams light up this Seattle defense,
8:14
Speaker 1: and you know no reason to think that that Seattle
8:17
Speaker 1: can't have success offensively either. So I don't know I
8:21
Speaker 1: would jump on the over now. I don't know that
8:23
Speaker 1: i'd wait any longer. But at the same time, if
8:25
Speaker 1: I'm looking at an under, I can probably afford to
8:28
Speaker 1: wait a couple of days at least until you get
8:30
Speaker 1: that big push from the public.
8:33
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely, I mean, you know our total, that's
8:35
Speaker 2: the one that's really moved open. Forty six and a half,
8:38
Speaker 2: not as low as forty five. Now we're forty five.
8:41
Speaker 3: And a half.
8:42
Speaker 4: I'm with you.
8:42
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get closer to our opening number
8:46
Speaker 2: by kickoffs. If you really like the under, maybe just
8:49
Speaker 2: wait till round kickoff an hour before.
8:52
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see forty six again. Maybe even Eh, yeah.
8:55
Speaker 1: I agree, I think there's still some opportunities, So tune
8:58
Speaker 1: in guys here. Of course, Art will be back tomorrow
9:03
Speaker 1: and Friday. We'll give you everything you need to know
9:05
Speaker 1: here about what the odds moving is. If Art even
9:09
Speaker 1: whiffs a bit of a line move, he's gonna let
9:12
Speaker 1: you He's gonna let you know about it here first.
9:15
Speaker 1: So go ahead and hit that like button, hit that
9:17
Speaker 1: subscribe button. Guys, make sure you drop your favorite props
9:22
Speaker 1: in the comments section. If you want to know what
9:25
Speaker 1: kind of action Art is getting on any of these,
9:28
Speaker 1: go ahead and drop them in here, Art, because no
9:31
Speaker 1: doubt you gave a handful of them yesterday, These big
9:34
Speaker 1: prop moves, these big moves here by, and you're saying
9:38
Speaker 1: a lot of sharps are so far here in the
9:40
Speaker 1: prop betting market, So lay it out for us.
9:43
Speaker 4: What kind of other props are we looking at here
9:45
Speaker 4: on the move.
9:47
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely everything I gave out yesterday, today, Thursday, and
9:50
Speaker 2: Friday will be all sharp action. Listen, we know the
9:53
Speaker 2: public's gonna dominate these props and they'll bet against all
9:56
Speaker 2: the sharp stuff. But that's fine. We'll find booking to
10:00
Speaker 2: the sharp action. Kenneth Walker under seven and a half
10:04
Speaker 2: yards on his first catch. They took under minus one
10:07
Speaker 2: thirty Seattle players to have a catch under six and
10:10
Speaker 2: a half minus one fifty. The sacks both teams individually,
10:15
Speaker 2: New England under two and a half sacks minus one
10:18
Speaker 2: forty they took over Seattle sacks over three and a
10:22
Speaker 2: half plus one thirty Matt Collins. They bet twice under
10:26
Speaker 2: twenty nine and a half under twenty seven and a
10:29
Speaker 2: half receiving yards. And this has gotta be my favorite
10:32
Speaker 2: one because the sharp spent it twice and the numbers hilarious.
10:36
Speaker 2: Jake Bobo under half a yard receiving they laid under
10:42
Speaker 2: minus one forty and laid one sixty, basically saying the
10:46
Speaker 2: guy's not gonna have a catch or anything in the game.
10:49
Speaker 2: I mean, obviously, I guess he could have a catch
10:50
Speaker 2: for negative one yards, but it was hit twice at
10:54
Speaker 2: minus one forty and minus one sixty. I think sitting
10:57
Speaker 2: at half a yard is that's one of my favorite.
11:00
Speaker 1: I love that I didn't even know he was still
11:03
Speaker 1: in the league. That is fantastic, Jake Bobo, All right,
11:07
Speaker 1: let me ask you this because I saw in the
11:09
Speaker 1: comment section the last couple of days. You know, we've
11:13
Speaker 1: talked about what some of these classic spots for prop bets,
11:18
Speaker 1: the classic prop bets. Every year we talked about over
11:22
Speaker 1: or under right, the shortest touchdown?
11:25
Speaker 4: Right? Was it over a yard and a half? Under
11:27
Speaker 4: a yard and a half. And you know.
11:29
Speaker 1: That bet has become very popular among the public over
11:33
Speaker 1: the last couple of years. Hence the minus one sixty
11:36
Speaker 1: right that you are looking at right now, I mean
11:39
Speaker 1: that that was never minus one sixty years ago, but
11:43
Speaker 1: now it's become extremely popular. What about the amount of
11:50
Speaker 1: people to throw a pass in the game at two
11:53
Speaker 1: and a half?
11:54
Speaker 4: Right?
11:54
Speaker 1: We've gotten this has also become art right, pretty popular
11:58
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years. You know, it hit
12:00
Speaker 1: last year just because picket came in and relief because
12:04
Speaker 1: the game was such a blowout, But right, I mean
12:07
Speaker 1: so and then and it hit over two and a
12:08
Speaker 1: half last year?
12:10
Speaker 4: What is that now? Has that become also a very
12:13
Speaker 4: public bet.
12:15
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Picket coming in and doing that killed us
12:17
Speaker 2: because we needed we needed.
12:19
Speaker 4: To be under there.
12:21
Speaker 3: Yeah we did.
12:22
Speaker 2: Now listen, when you when you deal almost five hundred props,
12:25
Speaker 2: not one prop is gonna you know, threw the day
12:28
Speaker 2: for you.
12:28
Speaker 3: But listen, we remember it because we were taking this
12:31
Speaker 3: stupid pickert coming in and doing this.
12:33
Speaker 2: But yeah, you're right, that's a huge one because you
12:36
Speaker 2: know every year that number is gonna be two and
12:38
Speaker 2: a half. Yes, it's a two and a half number,
12:40
Speaker 2: And it just depends what's your clientele gonna do with
12:44
Speaker 2: the number. Are they gonna bet it over, They're gonna
12:46
Speaker 2: bet it under, So you'll see extreme juice to either
12:50
Speaker 2: side depending on how it gets bet. Obviously, you're always
12:53
Speaker 2: gonna have you know, is there a wide receiver pass,
12:55
Speaker 2: is there a running back pass? And then you have
12:57
Speaker 2: what you had last year? Is there a blowout? Does
13:00
Speaker 2: a quarterback get hurt? And someone got to come in?
13:02
Speaker 2: So that two and a half number is such a
13:04
Speaker 2: fun neat numbered deal because you get varying opinions and
13:08
Speaker 2: it gets bet on both sides.
13:10
Speaker 3: For the most part.
13:11
Speaker 1: I would just like to remind people that I believe
13:16
Speaker 1: there's somebody related in this game that was part of
13:22
Speaker 1: a trick play that scored a touchdown when he was
13:26
Speaker 1: oh ye have Vrabel? Wasn't he part of a play
13:29
Speaker 1: in fact in which all sorts of shenanigans happened with
13:32
Speaker 1: the Patriots and he ends up getting a touchdown and
13:36
Speaker 1: throwing the touchdown. So do not be shocked if Rabel's
13:40
Speaker 1: got a little something up his sleeve there and we
13:42
Speaker 1: get an over two and a half people throwing an
13:45
Speaker 1: actual pass in this game.
13:48
Speaker 4: Another popular one art.
13:49
Speaker 1: I gotta ask you about, and this one's become really
13:53
Speaker 1: popular over the last couple of years. The game to
13:57
Speaker 1: be tied after zero zero at any point, Right, that's
14:01
Speaker 1: another one. Now, last year it was twenty four to nothing,
14:04
Speaker 1: and while that there went that bet that prop had
14:08
Speaker 1: got blown up.
14:08
Speaker 4: But over the years that that seems to be.
14:12
Speaker 1: You know, this is gonna be one of the biggest
14:14
Speaker 1: spread games that we have seen in the Super Bowl
14:17
Speaker 1: since I believe it was Pittsburgh and Arizona which landed
14:22
Speaker 1: at seven and Pittsburgh didn't.
14:24
Speaker 4: Cover that line either. But you know, the.
14:27
Speaker 1: Market thinks this is gonna be very one sided. I'm
14:30
Speaker 1: wondering if that bet correlates one way or the other
14:33
Speaker 1: where people are like, nope, it's pretty much like we
14:36
Speaker 1: got last year. It's gonna be you know, it's gonna
14:38
Speaker 1: be seventeen to nothing. They're never gonna be tied after
14:41
Speaker 1: zero zero.
14:43
Speaker 2: That is another very popular and a prop that sees
14:46
Speaker 2: really good two way action. Now most of them see
14:48
Speaker 2: pretty good two way action. It's rare that you're really
14:51
Speaker 2: buried on one side of a prop. But you're right, Joe,
14:54
Speaker 2: I mean, talk about a big spread, and even a
14:57
Speaker 2: team covering a big spread. I don't think a few
15:00
Speaker 2: or more favorite has covered since the Colts, Yeah, against
15:03
Speaker 2: the Bears. That's twenty years ago, you know, and it
15:07
Speaker 2: feels like these last handful of years, all these spreads
15:10
Speaker 2: have been pick them minus one, you know, minus one
15:13
Speaker 2: and a half.
15:13
Speaker 3: They've basically been toss up games.
15:15
Speaker 2: So obviously we're living in a different a little bit
15:18
Speaker 2: of different world where we're well over a field on
15:20
Speaker 2: that game. But that game early, the sharps hit and
15:23
Speaker 2: then you know, the public comes in and does what
15:25
Speaker 2: they do with that brow.
15:26
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gonna be fun though, That'll be because if
15:28
Speaker 1: you think it's gonna be close. That's a pretty good one.
15:32
Speaker 1: And there's more relations too with the tied at the
15:34
Speaker 1: half and then Seattle wins or you know, the Patriot.
15:38
Speaker 1: There's a lot of different combos in those props.
15:41
Speaker 4: That are great. So what are your favorite prop bets?
15:46
Speaker 1: Guys going into them dropping in the comments section for
15:49
Speaker 1: us and we'll review them over the next couple of
15:51
Speaker 1: days see if Art has any insights into those. While
15:55
Speaker 1: we also got to get we got a huge college
15:57
Speaker 1: basketball slate tonight. Love some of these games tonight on
16:00
Speaker 1: the card are at the NBA. Also trade deadline yesterday. Boy,
16:06
Speaker 1: that was fun. You got you got a lot of
16:10
Speaker 1: i mean Harden now playing for the Calves who happened
16:13
Speaker 1: to be playing the Clippers tonight, which is also interesting.
16:16
Speaker 4: So there's, you.
16:17
Speaker 1: Know, still a lot of people waiting to figure out
16:19
Speaker 1: what happens with Giannis.
16:21
Speaker 4: Is he traded? Is he not? So still a lot
16:24
Speaker 4: of uncertainty.
16:25
Speaker 1: But some great games here tonight and the final NHL
16:28
Speaker 1: slate art before the Olympics, so that Olympic break. What
16:33
Speaker 1: are you seeing anything in the book where you're seeing
16:36
Speaker 1: some early money?
16:37
Speaker 2: Absolutely got it for all three sports. NHL ruins took
16:41
Speaker 2: money overnight plus one twenty five, now plus one fifteen.
16:45
Speaker 2: That's at Florida they're playing the Panthers NBA. They laid
16:49
Speaker 2: minus one with the Wolves at Toronto now two and
16:52
Speaker 2: a half. Took under the Celtic Rocket game two sixteen
16:55
Speaker 2: now to thirteen. Took under in the thunder Spurs game
16:59
Speaker 2: under two twenty six and a half now two twenty
17:02
Speaker 2: two and a half, So a big move there. College
17:04
Speaker 2: basketball VMI plus ten and a half at home against
17:08
Speaker 2: Wafford now nine. They laid seven and a half with
17:11
Speaker 2: Michigan State on the road at Minnesota now eight.
17:14
Speaker 1: And a half.
17:15
Speaker 2: Took plus one and a half with Saint Joe's at home.
17:18
Speaker 2: They were a short dog against GW now pick them
17:22
Speaker 2: and a couple of totals firm. In the East Tennessee
17:25
Speaker 2: State they took over one forty three now one forty six,
17:28
Speaker 2: and took a big under total under one seventy one
17:31
Speaker 2: in the Oakland Cleveland State game now one sixty nine.
17:37
Speaker 1: I'm laughing here, bit I just gotta ask are we
17:40
Speaker 1: at one eighty yet?
17:41
Speaker 4: With Alabama and Texas A and M.
17:44
Speaker 1: Because all I kept seeing was this thing being bet
17:47
Speaker 1: overnight up, and I mean it was one seventy was
17:51
Speaker 1: it one seventy one and a half? And now I'm
17:54
Speaker 1: seeing close to what one seventy nine, one seventy eight
17:57
Speaker 1: and a half? Uh, we had a one eighty at
18:00
Speaker 1: this year? I can't, for I don't think we have.
18:04
Speaker 2: I think early in the season, Joe, when we had
18:08
Speaker 2: who was the team?
18:08
Speaker 3: Are you Indianapolis?
18:10
Speaker 4: I you, yes, okay, and maybe one of them remember
18:13
Speaker 4: their total?
18:13
Speaker 2: Their totals were whacked out correct, they were like they
18:16
Speaker 2: were like almost one ninety.
18:18
Speaker 4: Yep, that's crazy, right, you know?
18:21
Speaker 2: And then and then I think people started to realize
18:23
Speaker 2: that they were like a crazy fast paced first half
18:26
Speaker 2: game and then like lost steam in the second half
18:29
Speaker 2: because I remember putting up some second half totals where
18:33
Speaker 2: you know, your second half total would be close to
18:34
Speaker 2: like a hundred, and then you'd realize, like they score
18:37
Speaker 2: like seventy points in the second half. So they were
18:39
Speaker 2: the one who really has died down since that first
18:42
Speaker 2: like I don't know, ten days of the season.
18:44
Speaker 4: Kind of crazy sec battle.
18:46
Speaker 1: At this point, we're still approaching one eighty h in
18:50
Speaker 1: a spot because I tell you that the total for
18:54
Speaker 1: the total for Alabama Florida this past week and was
18:57
Speaker 1: bet up six or seven points before the tip, and
19:02
Speaker 1: the only reason it went over was because Alabama is.
19:05
Speaker 4: Fouling late in the game for some reason.
19:07
Speaker 1: Down thirty, and then they're chucking up half court threes
19:12
Speaker 1: and Florida drops one hundred. Autumn, if Alreda doesn't drop
19:15
Speaker 1: one hundred on that game stays under. But tonight A
19:19
Speaker 1: and M and Alabama is simply the highest total on
19:22
Speaker 1: the board, it'll likely get to one hundred and eighty
19:25
Speaker 1: points in that one as well. Is anybody running to
19:29
Speaker 1: back the Knicks art yet in this spot or in
19:32
Speaker 1: the future market your boys from New York who really
19:35
Speaker 1: seem to have put it together here are this is?
19:39
Speaker 1: Certainly it looks like whatever that player's only meeting was
19:42
Speaker 1: seems to have worked wonders for the Knicks here lately.
19:46
Speaker 3: Yeah.
19:46
Speaker 2: I mean, when we look at our Eastern Conference future book,
19:49
Speaker 2: like Cleveland it is, it is, And Cleveland's a team
19:55
Speaker 2: now obviously they just made the trade, but their team
19:59
Speaker 2: that people have stopped betting. Obviously, people if they got
20:02
Speaker 2: on Detroit early, they were lucky to get really good numbers,
20:05
Speaker 2: but now no value in Detroit anymore.
20:07
Speaker 3: Knicks always take money.
20:09
Speaker 2: And you know, we had mentioned I don't know, maybe
20:11
Speaker 2: six weeks ago about maybe the value on Boston and
20:14
Speaker 2: Boston always takes money as well.
20:15
Speaker 3: So it's kind of that.
20:17
Speaker 2: Cluster of teams that have taken the bulk of the
20:20
Speaker 2: money to win the East. And they're obviously very popular
20:23
Speaker 2: too in the win the whole thing, you know, win
20:26
Speaker 2: the NBA Championship future market. But yeah, I look at
20:30
Speaker 2: a team like the Knicks where we're gonna have liability
20:34
Speaker 2: on them regardless. They're kind of like the Lakers, not
20:37
Speaker 2: as popular, but you know, I mean every year, even now,
20:41
Speaker 2: they're still betting the Lakers at fifty to one. I mean,
20:44
Speaker 2: the Lakers take money regardless of who's on the team.
20:48
Speaker 3: It's the it's the Lakers. They bet the uniform.
20:51
Speaker 2: And every year, if you're a sportsbook and you have customers,
20:55
Speaker 2: you're gonna have liability on the Lakers to win.
20:57
Speaker 4: The championship always.
20:58
Speaker 2: It's just the way that every year, it doesn't matter
21:01
Speaker 2: if you know, if you're dealing them at four to one,
21:04
Speaker 2: you're dealing them at fifty to one, you're going to
21:06
Speaker 2: have liability on that team to win the NBA championship.
21:09
Speaker 1: The by low cell high aspect is crazy with some
21:14
Speaker 1: of these teams here where there are especially coming out
21:17
Speaker 1: of the West too, where it's so yeah, dominant across
21:21
Speaker 1: you know, any one with OKC being the favorite, any
21:24
Speaker 1: one of the top fourteen. You know, Denver is on
21:27
Speaker 1: a couple of game losing street. But you think Denver
21:29
Speaker 1: is not going to be a problem for OKAC or
21:32
Speaker 1: anybody else.
21:33
Speaker 4: I mean, you go down the list.
21:34
Speaker 1: Thank goodness, everyone thinks okay C's gonna win the championship
21:38
Speaker 1: for the next twenty years, but you know there is
21:40
Speaker 1: a good chance somebody is going to take them down.
21:43
Speaker 1: I think Boston also, you're probably seeing a lot of
21:47
Speaker 1: love in the mar right, it's another one of those
21:49
Speaker 1: teams given the recent history that are you're always going
21:52
Speaker 1: to have liability on them in a future market too.
21:54
Speaker 2: No, you're always gonna have liability in Boston, There's no
21:57
Speaker 2: doubt about it. They're always going to be in that
21:58
Speaker 2: little cluster of maybe three, four or five teams. But
22:02
Speaker 2: you know, get back to Denver, Joe, I think there's
22:04
Speaker 2: probably still value on Denver. Denver to me seems like
22:08
Speaker 2: if there's one team in the West I'm gonna trust
22:11
Speaker 2: to really push Okac and to probably beat Oka. See
22:15
Speaker 2: it's that team. Yeah, I mean, you know, the Spurs
22:18
Speaker 2: are probably a year away. I don't know if I
22:20
Speaker 2: trust Houston. You know, Minnesota, Okay, but it's Denver. They
22:25
Speaker 2: have the best players. So why can't they beat Oklahoma
22:28
Speaker 2: City in the seven game series?
22:29
Speaker 4: They can? They pushed them last year.
22:31
Speaker 1: I'm with ya, and I still think and now that
22:33
Speaker 1: they you know, they just got them back, they still.
22:35
Speaker 4: Don't have Aaron Gordon.
22:37
Speaker 1: So yeah, by low Sell high right now might be
22:40
Speaker 1: a good by low point here on the Denver Nuggets.
22:45
Speaker 1: All right, Speaking of the Nuggets, I had them last
22:48
Speaker 1: night getting I believe it was six, five and a
22:51
Speaker 1: half six in that game last night against Detroit, and
22:56
Speaker 1: then they they turned the ball over at three times
22:59
Speaker 1: in the final thirty seconds and gave Detroit ten three points.
23:02
Speaker 1: And I wanted to scream, But hell of a second
23:05
Speaker 1: half last night. There art also hell of a game
23:09
Speaker 1: by my pick there for the parlay of the day yesterday,
23:13
Speaker 1: I told you I didn't understand the line movement in
23:16
Speaker 1: the Sixers Golden State game with Steph Curry being out
23:19
Speaker 1: and everyone was betting it as if Steph Curry is
23:22
Speaker 1: entire family, like he had been cloned, and it was
23:24
Speaker 1: gonna be six Steph Curry's playing Philip. I didn't understand
23:28
Speaker 1: what the hell that line was doing, But Philly wins
23:31
Speaker 1: my double digits. Anyway, that was our half of the
23:35
Speaker 1: parlay of the day yesterday. Got a lot of choices
23:38
Speaker 1: on the board here today, Art, what is one of
23:40
Speaker 1: the ones you're looking at.
23:43
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to the NHL and I'm gonna take
23:46
Speaker 2: Winnipeg got home. Winnipeg's at home against Montreal. It's a
23:49
Speaker 2: pick up minus one oh five minus one ten basically.
23:52
Speaker 2: And listen, you know this is a lot of teams
23:54
Speaker 2: last game because I believe there are some NHL games tomorrow.
23:57
Speaker 2: Ye if I'm not mistaken, so is this is probably
24:00
Speaker 2: most teams last games tonight. And I think Winnipeg before
24:04
Speaker 2: the break gets it done at home.
24:06
Speaker 1: Oh all right, So I actually I don't hate that
24:10
Speaker 1: at all, Art. I also don't hate the idea here.
24:15
Speaker 1: And it's a tough spot for both Denver and New
24:18
Speaker 1: York here, but it feels like maybe an under could
24:23
Speaker 1: be in play here tonight. The Knicks, outside of beating
24:26
Speaker 1: up on Washington last night, Art, they had been pretty
24:29
Speaker 1: good at the under, not giving up a whole lot
24:31
Speaker 1: of points because why committed to the defense to the
24:35
Speaker 1: end here Denver. That was a lot of energy they
24:39
Speaker 1: gave out yesterday there against that Detroit team. Feels like
24:42
Speaker 1: this could be a lower scoring game. The Knicks have
24:45
Speaker 1: owned Denver by the way, Art, it feels like over
24:48
Speaker 1: the last couple of seasons, and why because they were
24:52
Speaker 1: able to slow them down. I don't think we're getting
24:54
Speaker 1: the two twenty four and a half. I'm looking at
24:56
Speaker 1: the under with the Knicks and Denver here tonight, Art,
25:01
Speaker 1: and you, my friend, got a lot going on for
25:04
Speaker 1: the rest of the week here. But the important thing
25:07
Speaker 1: is we get to talk baseball sooner rather than later.
25:10
Speaker 4: So will you have you'll.
25:12
Speaker 1: Have some baseball win totals and things for us moving forward?
25:16
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I said we put out to make the
25:19
Speaker 2: playoffs and our season win totals yesterday. You know, I
25:23
Speaker 2: think by Friday, you know, we have a couple of
25:26
Speaker 2: days of shelf life. If there are some major moves,
25:30
Speaker 2: some sharp stuff that I see over these next couple
25:33
Speaker 2: of days, on Friday, we'll have like a little MLB
25:36
Speaker 2: thing we'll talk about it. We'll throw out a couple
25:38
Speaker 2: of teams seen some that have seen some support early
25:42
Speaker 2: or you know, whatever the.
25:43
Speaker 3: Case may be, and we'll talk a little baseball Friday.
25:46
Speaker 1: I cannot wait, Art, and I am going to be
25:49
Speaker 1: at that Panther and Bruins game tonight.
25:53
Speaker 4: Nice, and I'm gonna be in the box.
25:55
Speaker 1: Remember in the playoffs last season where that that kid
25:58
Speaker 1: took a shirt off and like he was a rally crow.
26:01
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's the bar.
26:02
Speaker 1: I'll be right in between both benches, Art, so I'll
26:05
Speaker 1: be the one that says f Boston on. It should
26:08
Speaker 1: be a lot of fun. We're gonna be very popular
26:10
Speaker 1: in that era. It should be a good time. But Art,
26:13
Speaker 1: hopefully I'll be back in one piece at tomorrow. And
26:16
Speaker 1: you're telling me the Sharps are already betting the Bruins,
26:19
Speaker 1: which is not making me happy at all. But we'll
26:22
Speaker 1: see you tomorrow. Man, still countdown has begun. The calm
26:25
Speaker 1: before the storm always a pleasure, Art, enjoy your day,
26:29
Speaker 1: my man.
26:29
Speaker 4: We'll talk to you again tomorrow.
26:31
Speaker 3: Joe, see you boys tomorrow, all right, Art.
26:34
Speaker 1: To caes are always a pleasure. But you guys know
26:38
Speaker 1: what time it is I teased it earlier. It's double R.
26:42
Speaker 1: It's one L. It's Steve Merrill in the house to
26:45
Speaker 1: finish up the show with us here today, and Meryll,
26:49
Speaker 1: we got well, we got one hockey, we got one NBA.
26:52
Speaker 4: We need one college game.
26:54
Speaker 1: If you'd like to partake in our parlay of the day.
26:59
Speaker 4: What are you looking at here today? Man?
27:01
Speaker 5: Yeah, we'll go one of the spotlight nine o'clock Eastern games.
27:04
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give you two free nine o'clock Eastern TV
27:06
Speaker 5: games in a moment in the college basketball breakdown. But
27:08
Speaker 5: I'm gonna use a different one here for the parlay pick.
27:10
Speaker 5: And that's the Utah Utes game number seven forty four
27:14
Speaker 5: at home against Arizona State. Two teams on extended losing runs,
27:17
Speaker 5: two teams that are struggling. But I like the altitude
27:20
Speaker 5: edge and the home court edge for Utah They would
27:23
Speaker 5: open around. Pick them there now minus one, straight up
27:25
Speaker 5: win situation. Still, I like the Utes at home tonight,
27:28
Speaker 5: Utah Utes minus one in college hoops.
27:30
Speaker 1: Ooh, the utah Utes. Little Birdie told me you might
27:34
Speaker 1: be straying my alma mata coming up. But that's all right,
27:38
Speaker 1: William and Mary, you got a pretty big game coming
27:41
Speaker 1: up tomorrow, Merrill. Just remember it goes around comes around. Here,
27:45
Speaker 1: my friend, and listen, we got some breaking news across
27:49
Speaker 1: the board in the NBA here before we talk about
27:52
Speaker 1: some of these best bets today. Number one, I'm seeing
27:56
Speaker 1: SGA has just been ruled out indefinitely with it was
28:00
Speaker 1: an oblique injury. It's saying abdominal something along those lines.
28:05
Speaker 1: And of course, let the overreactions begin, Merrill, because now
28:10
Speaker 1: I am seeing San Antonio as a four point favorite.
28:14
Speaker 1: They were a two point dog and now they are
28:17
Speaker 1: a four point favorite on the news of SGA being out,
28:22
Speaker 1: And of course everybody's leftovers apparently go to the Washington Wizards.
28:28
Speaker 1: Anthony Davis four thousand draft picks, a lot of players
28:31
Speaker 1: nobody's heard of swapping hands there, but he will no
28:35
Speaker 1: longer be Dallas's problem, and I think that's a good
28:38
Speaker 1: thing there, Meryl.
28:40
Speaker 5: Yes, she had what like a finger injury magic last night.
28:43
Speaker 5: Now it's oblique or something, but yeah, big move there.
28:45
Speaker 5: They went from a two point favorite for a four
28:47
Speaker 5: point dog. And as you know, you know, normally you
28:50
Speaker 5: play the short handed teams. Attention to that matchup is
28:52
Speaker 5: it's like the fifth time they've played this season, because
28:55
Speaker 5: they played in the playoff game as well, or the
28:57
Speaker 5: tournament game, whatever it's called in San Antonio. Hand okay,
29:00
Speaker 5: see two of their first three losses earlier this year,
29:02
Speaker 5: they match up really well against them, so we'll see
29:05
Speaker 5: if they still, you know, coming a little bit complacent.
29:08
Speaker 5: One thing I noticed in those losses earlier this year
29:10
Speaker 5: is that they shot terrible from three point range. I
29:13
Speaker 5: think SGA was like three for seventeen combined in a
29:15
Speaker 5: couple games. So hard to say it's addition by subtraction
29:19
Speaker 5: when you're losing the MVP, but we do often see
29:21
Speaker 5: see him step up in this spot and like you said, Joe,
29:23
Speaker 5: you're getting a full touchdown and line value.
29:25
Speaker 1: Now, we had a big time, guys, and don't forget
29:28
Speaker 1: you know, we saw this yesterday last night, Merril, which
29:31
Speaker 1: was kind of laughable. My best bet on the show
29:34
Speaker 1: yesterday was somebody please explain to me how we knew
29:37
Speaker 1: Steph Curry wasn't playing and yet Golden State got bet
29:41
Speaker 1: up to five five and a half point favorite at tip.
29:44
Speaker 1: We knew Embde likely wasn't going to second of a
29:47
Speaker 1: back to back. You know, I got the whole three
29:49
Speaker 1: games and four nights thing. But my goodness, that the
29:53
Speaker 1: overreaction to the news. Sometimes in the NBA, there is
29:57
Speaker 1: just no better edge. Just waiting to see which guy
30:01
Speaker 1: gets hurt and gets ruled out and just go the
30:03
Speaker 1: other way, maryl. It seems to be a winning proposition
30:07
Speaker 1: every year in the association, and.
30:09
Speaker 5: We talk about it all the time, and it works
30:11
Speaker 5: best in that first game scenario. And the reason it
30:14
Speaker 5: works is because it is kind of last minute, Like
30:16
Speaker 5: you're saying, teams don't have time to adjust, and these
30:19
Speaker 5: guys are all college all Americans. I mean, the backups
30:22
Speaker 5: in the NBA can score in their sleep. And there's
30:24
Speaker 5: only one basketball in the court, which means these guys
30:26
Speaker 5: don't get the opportunity when the superstars are out there,
30:29
Speaker 5: but when they can step up. The one I still
30:31
Speaker 5: talk about was that wager talk today about a month
30:33
Speaker 5: ago on Monday, it was the Sixers against the Nuggets
30:36
Speaker 5: and the Nuggets were already shorthanded. I gave them out
30:39
Speaker 5: at like plus twelve with no yokiics, and then they
30:41
Speaker 5: ruled out Murray and maybe Gordon. A couple other guys
30:43
Speaker 5: got ruled out. It went highs like seventeen that night,
30:46
Speaker 5: and they won the game outright. I think it was overtime,
30:48
Speaker 5: but they still want an outright as a seventeen point dog.
30:51
Speaker 5: And you look at that box score, you don't even
30:53
Speaker 5: recognize the names, but guys having twenty thirty points. So
30:57
Speaker 5: that's why it works. It continues to work, and you
30:59
Speaker 5: keep thinking, well that continues to work, it won't work anymore.
31:01
Speaker 5: But they're moving the lines six points. They just moved
31:04
Speaker 5: to six points in the OKC game. That's why it
31:06
Speaker 5: continues to work. But a lot of times it doesn't matter, like, okay,
31:09
Speaker 5: see if they covered it, they'll probably win the game
31:11
Speaker 5: out right. If they cover, otherwise the Spurs will probably round.
31:14
Speaker 5: It just isn't a lot of in between. It doesn't
31:16
Speaker 5: seem like it ever ever comes close to the numbers.
31:17
Speaker 5: It's either an outright dog winner, the line move didn't matter.
31:21
Speaker 1: It didn't or it didn't make a difference. Absolutely crazy
31:24
Speaker 1: across the board here. But we'll have an NBA rundown
31:27
Speaker 1: for you coming up. Steve's gonna run down a couple
31:30
Speaker 1: of games in college of basketball. We talked to Art earlier.
31:34
Speaker 1: Steve not a not a whole lot, obviously, he's expecting
31:38
Speaker 1: more volume coming up over the next few days at
31:42
Speaker 1: the sports books. One of the questions I asked him
31:45
Speaker 1: was if he thought maybe this game we'd start to
31:48
Speaker 1: get some regional movement, meaning maybe the books in the north,
31:53
Speaker 1: the northeast, right maryl might be shaded a little more
31:56
Speaker 1: towards New England, knowing that the public light is going
32:01
Speaker 1: to look that way. But it feels like out west
32:03
Speaker 1: it's gonna get a lot of Seattle love there in
32:06
Speaker 1: the books. It's no doubt Seattle appears to be the
32:09
Speaker 1: public favorite, he said, five to one. Right now a
32:13
Speaker 1: ticket count in favor of Seattle, but not a whole
32:17
Speaker 1: lot of the sharp bets or the bets that are
32:20
Speaker 1: going to move the line one way or the other
32:21
Speaker 1: just yet, but a whole lot of public love for Seattle.
32:25
Speaker 1: Have you noticed the regional difference in books yet? Meryl
32:29
Speaker 1: would sometimes would standalone games like this.
32:33
Speaker 5: This game's so big, it's hard to imagine, you know,
32:35
Speaker 5: there'd be a huge regional bias. But I do think
32:38
Speaker 5: maybe we're seeing that a little bit in Vegas right now.
32:40
Speaker 5: I do feel the Seahawks of the public side in
32:42
Speaker 5: this game. But I don't know if it's like in
32:44
Speaker 5: an eighty percent rate like the Westgates reporting, then it
32:47
Speaker 5: makes sense that the early money in Vegas might be
32:49
Speaker 5: a little bit more West Coast oriented with Seattle than
32:52
Speaker 5: an East Coast team. But I think this weekend Seattle
32:55
Speaker 5: does look like the public side. So there again, if
32:58
Speaker 5: you're going to play this game, probably hurry in my opinion,
33:02
Speaker 5: to take plus four and a half. In New England,
33:04
Speaker 5: I think you'll find more fives available, and there are
33:05
Speaker 5: some fives out there right now. Four and a half though,
33:08
Speaker 5: I just don't think it's gonna drop down to fours.
33:10
Speaker 5: If you like Seatley probably played the four and a half.
33:12
Speaker 5: Now you like New England, I would wait, you're probably
33:14
Speaker 5: gonna get a five. Maybe a five and a half.
33:17
Speaker 5: Five is not a real key number though, so in
33:19
Speaker 5: the big overall scheme of things, it's probably not gonna matter.
33:22
Speaker 4: We also was consensus is Meryl.
33:24
Speaker 1: I think if you're leaning towards an over I don't
33:28
Speaker 1: think you're getting below forty five if you can get
33:30
Speaker 1: it now. So maybe we know what's gonna happen come Friday,
33:33
Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. The public's not running to the window
33:37
Speaker 1: to bet an under so maybe now would be the time,
33:40
Speaker 1: sooner rather than later. If you're looking at an over,
33:43
Speaker 1: and if you're thinking the under, I don't think there's
33:45
Speaker 1: any rush here.
33:46
Speaker 4: I think you'll get the better number closer to kickoff.
33:50
Speaker 5: Yeah, forty five is a semi key number. Forty six
33:52
Speaker 5: is what we call a dead number, very unlikely to
33:55
Speaker 5: land on forty six, But forty five does come into
33:57
Speaker 5: play in the circa right now in Las Vegas has
33:59
Speaker 5: a forty five. Most other books around the world and
34:02
Speaker 5: in the US have forty five and a half. So
34:04
Speaker 5: if you do like the over, i'd probably grab the
34:06
Speaker 5: over forty five if you have one available. I doubt
34:09
Speaker 5: it gets much lower, And I agree with you, Joe.
34:10
Speaker 5: I think this weekend they'll probably be more over bets
34:12
Speaker 5: coming in. Although I do have a feel and the
34:14
Speaker 5: sharp money is on the under here, and that's why
34:16
Speaker 5: it initially moved lower from forty six, and the sharp's
34:19
Speaker 5: obviously bit heavier, But I feel like they've already hit
34:22
Speaker 5: this game. If you like the over, forty five is
34:24
Speaker 5: probably the best you're gonna get.
34:26
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree on that one there, Meryl.
34:29
Speaker 1: All right, we got some best bets here today to
34:33
Speaker 1: talk about in a lot of places we can go.
34:35
Speaker 1: I'll be at that Panther and brewing game tonight. Merrill there,
34:40
Speaker 1: and it's not good because he had told me that
34:42
Speaker 1: he's getting nothing but sharp brewin money tonight here, which
34:46
Speaker 1: is great.
34:47
Speaker 4: So I'm really gonna hate this game.
34:48
Speaker 1: Tonight, But we got plenty of college hoops, plenty of
34:52
Speaker 1: NBA action here. I'll kick it all for us because
34:56
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna look at a game tonight where
35:02
Speaker 1: a little revenge on their mind, and that is with
35:06
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall taking on Nova here tonight. The Pirates lost
35:10
Speaker 1: the first go around to Villanova. That game was back,
35:14
Speaker 1: I believe, right around December twenty third, and Nova just
35:18
Speaker 1: shot lights out from three. And we all know Seaton
35:21
Speaker 1: Hall is not going to outshoot anybody from the perimeter.
35:25
Speaker 1: But what they will do is be extremely physical and
35:30
Speaker 1: they will make it a rock fight, which makes covering
35:33
Speaker 1: numbers like Nova right now lay in seven to seven
35:35
Speaker 1: and a half a little more difficult here. Also, they
35:39
Speaker 1: didn't have their big man in that first game, did
35:44
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall, But they'll have him back tonight and with
35:48
Speaker 1: revenge on their mind. And you know holloway Man, he's
35:52
Speaker 1: all about making it very very difficult for you to
35:55
Speaker 1: get points in the paint, and if you have a
35:58
Speaker 1: variant night where the three aren't dropping at a forty
36:02
Speaker 1: three percent clip like they were in that first game.
36:05
Speaker 1: I think this game is gonna be a lot closer
36:08
Speaker 1: than maybe Nova fans want to admit.
36:11
Speaker 4: This game is in Villanova.
36:13
Speaker 1: They did beat Seton Hall in Newark, but I think
36:16
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall will keep this game certainly close enough in
36:20
Speaker 1: order to be able to who knows Merrill even possibly
36:23
Speaker 1: pull out the outright upset here tonight.
36:28
Speaker 5: Very very interesting, Joe Vernari, I like where you're going
36:30
Speaker 5: with that. I'm gonna I'm gonna look at the best
36:32
Speaker 5: bet here in the NBA tonight, look at the totals
36:34
Speaker 5: play for you. Let's you know, a lot of uncertainty
36:36
Speaker 5: of the NBA this week, with the All Star Game
36:38
Speaker 5: coming up, the trade deadline tomorrow, but I think that
36:41
Speaker 5: often leads to playground style mentality, and we could take
36:44
Speaker 5: advantage with some overs for that reason. And one over
36:47
Speaker 5: I do like tonight is the over in the late
36:49
Speaker 5: game between Memphis and Sacramento. Rizzley's and Kings over up
36:53
Speaker 5: and over two thirty one and a half. We've seen
36:55
Speaker 5: a little bit of money coming on the over in
36:56
Speaker 5: this game. It opened around two twenty nine and a half.
36:59
Speaker 5: Now I up to two thirty one and a half.
37:01
Speaker 5: I agree with the sharp money move there at ten
37:02
Speaker 5: o'clock Eastern in this late night game. Very little defense
37:06
Speaker 5: in this one to night and I like the offense here.
37:08
Speaker 5: And we look at the recent games for these squads.
37:11
Speaker 5: Sacramento just played a game against those Wizards, who are,
37:14
Speaker 5: as you said, on a shopping spree. They allowed one
37:17
Speaker 5: hundred and sixteen in that game. They barely got over
37:20
Speaker 5: the total two twenty seven and a half. But they
37:22
Speaker 5: are very mediocre offense. They look for a better offensive
37:24
Speaker 5: output tonight. Their defense has been dicey though they've given
37:27
Speaker 5: up forty seven percent shooting or worse in four of
37:29
Speaker 5: their last five games. I just don't see that getting
37:31
Speaker 5: much better tonight. I don't think Memphis will be playing
37:33
Speaker 5: much defense this evening either. They've given up forty nine
37:36
Speaker 5: percent shooting or worse now in four straight games. So
37:39
Speaker 5: two teams have been very suspect defensively. Not sure how
37:42
Speaker 5: focused there'd be tonight. I look for a playground mentality.
37:45
Speaker 5: Lots of offense Memphis Sacramento over two thirty one and
37:48
Speaker 5: a half. That's a ten o'clock Eastern on Wednesday night.
37:51
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I don't see a whole lot of defense
37:54
Speaker 1: being played in that game at all. Here, people, I'm
37:56
Speaker 1: with you there, Merrill. All right, some best bets here's
38:00
Speaker 1: night one, College one NBA, before we dive in to
38:04
Speaker 1: the rundowns and go down the list of what else
38:07
Speaker 1: is happening here, Meryl. A lot going on here this week,
38:10
Speaker 1: right the Colm before the storm, super Bowl, best bets, props,
38:15
Speaker 1: whatever you may have, College hoops, NBA, Oh yeah, pitchers
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Speaker 1: and catchers reporting in a week, Merrill. Always a good
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Speaker 1: time of year, the Olympics. What do you got locked
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Speaker 1: and loaded going on over at wager talk dot com
38:29
Speaker 1: for US tonight?
38:31
Speaker 5: Yeah, three plays, three different sports, all available right now
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Speaker 5: on my page. I do have my advanced super Bowl selection.
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39:34
Speaker 1: All right, Steve, there you go, all right, Time for
39:37
Speaker 1: our NBA rundown coming up. I should tell you also
39:41
Speaker 1: locked and loaded NBA here tonight.
39:44
Speaker 4: We cashed with Denver last night.
39:47
Speaker 1: How I don't know that second quarter was absolutely nauseating
39:51
Speaker 1: against Detroit, but usual Detroit fashion, they just play with
39:55
Speaker 1: their food and let teams hang around. So that was
39:58
Speaker 1: a good winner for uslast night tonight, locked in loaded.
40:01
Speaker 1: NBA also got a couple of college basketball best bets
40:06
Speaker 1: that are ready to go plenty of value on his
40:08
Speaker 1: board here tonight to visit wager talk dot com my page,
40:13
Speaker 1: as well as that five percent Super Bowl best bets
40:17
Speaker 1: is ready to go over on our page. So Merril,
40:20
Speaker 1: let's do this. We've got NBA rundown first, and let's.
40:26
Speaker 4: Run down with it right now.
40:27
Speaker 1: We've got the let's face it, the New York Knicks
40:30
Speaker 1: tonight here taking on those Denver Nuggets, both on the
40:33
Speaker 1: second of a back to back. We're starting to see
40:36
Speaker 1: some Denver money hit the marketplace, but we're seeing a
40:38
Speaker 1: ton of over money. From two twenty three and a
40:42
Speaker 1: half last night, I'm seeing two twenty six and a
40:44
Speaker 1: halfs maybe even to twenty seven. So maybe a little
40:47
Speaker 1: less defense, a little more offense here tonight. Minnesota. Also,
40:52
Speaker 1: nobody wants to better them or trust the Meryl because
40:54
Speaker 1: it looks like Toronto is getting love. Minnesota opened up
40:58
Speaker 1: a three, three and air point favorite and we're seeing
41:00
Speaker 1: ones right now, so Toronto is getting the look. Also,
41:04
Speaker 1: New Orleans at Milwaukee. Milwaukee made more three pointers in
41:09
Speaker 1: that game last night than they've made in the last
41:11
Speaker 1: two months. Chances of them doing that again in New
41:14
Speaker 1: Orleans probably none. But are we really laying five five
41:18
Speaker 1: and a half with New Orleans tonight? Is what you
41:20
Speaker 1: got to ask yourself. Boston is playing nobody, that's right, nobody.
41:25
Speaker 1: Second of a back to back here tonight. Houston is
41:28
Speaker 1: now a seven point favorite. They were a four four
41:32
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. But now no Jalen Brown.
41:35
Speaker 1: That might be a problem here, Okasee. We told you
41:39
Speaker 1: with SGA out that line has gone through the roof
41:42
Speaker 1: Memphis and Sacramento. Steve told you I'll be looking for defense.
41:46
Speaker 1: Look at the over in that one. And then of
41:48
Speaker 1: course Cleveland and the Clippers.
41:50
Speaker 4: Awkward.
41:52
Speaker 1: Now all of a sudden, you've got James Harden. Wait
41:54
Speaker 1: till he gets a load of the strippers in Cleveland, Meryl.
41:57
Speaker 1: You got James Harden there wearing a clip Cleveland uniform tonight.
42:01
Speaker 4: Darius Garland's hurt, so it doesn't really matter.
42:03
Speaker 1: But interesting spot here for the Clippers at home. We've
42:08
Speaker 1: seen a little love for Cleveland early on. It's only
42:11
Speaker 1: up to two though, and it hasn't moved a whole lot.
42:13
Speaker 1: The total is starting to creep up here a little bit.
42:16
Speaker 1: Something tells me Kawhi Leonard might might show up in
42:20
Speaker 1: a big way for this game tonight. So Merrill, there
42:23
Speaker 1: is our NBA rundown here. But that's gonna be a
42:27
Speaker 1: little weird, isn't it? With Cleveland and the and the
42:29
Speaker 1: Clippers here tonight?
42:32
Speaker 5: Yeah? What can go wrong when you pick up James Harden?
42:34
Speaker 5: It's worked so well for all the other franchises, so
42:37
Speaker 5: including when he was the sixth man at OKC they
42:39
Speaker 5: blew the two nothing lead against the Heat and Lebron
42:41
Speaker 5: as you recall, what over.
42:43
Speaker 1: A decade ago possibly go wrong with that? Good luck Cleveland,
42:47
Speaker 1: you wanted them, and well you've you got them. We'll
42:50
Speaker 1: see how that goes there.
42:52
Speaker 4: All right, Meryl, it.
42:53
Speaker 1: Is time here for the college basketball rundown. You got
42:56
Speaker 1: a couple of games that you're gonna preview. It is
42:59
Speaker 1: up to what's going on tonight.
43:03
Speaker 5: Look at two of your national TV games at nine
43:05
Speaker 5: o'clock Eastern tonight in college hoops, Free plays and analysis
43:08
Speaker 5: in both TV games for you in just a moment,
43:10
Speaker 5: quick reminder of my two official best bets My strongest
43:13
Speaker 5: plays to n I one, College one NBA are both
43:15
Speaker 5: available on my page, along with my Super Bowl best
43:17
Speaker 5: bet Locked and Loaded. Steve Merrill Wager Talk dot com.
43:21
Speaker 5: You get there, quicker, WT dot Buzz, slash sm Let's
43:24
Speaker 5: look at your first national TV game at nine o'clock Eastern.
43:27
Speaker 5: This is on Fox Sports one BYU at Oklahoma State,
43:30
Speaker 5: and BYU currently about a seven point favorite at open six.
43:34
Speaker 5: It's and bet up to seven total dropped a bit
43:36
Speaker 5: from one sixty nine down to one sixty eight in
43:38
Speaker 5: most spots, But I agree with that move on BYU.
43:40
Speaker 5: If you're going to play it, I would lay it
43:42
Speaker 5: tonight with the Cougars. You know, I always love to
43:45
Speaker 5: play with Cougars. But this is a good spot here
43:46
Speaker 5: for BYU. There's seventeen to h straight up this year
43:49
Speaker 5: as a favorite, so they will likely win this game tonight,
43:52
Speaker 5: and while the line might look a little bit inflated,
43:54
Speaker 5: it's for good reason because this is an extreme focus
43:57
Speaker 5: spot for BYU. After losing three of their previous four games,
44:00
Speaker 5: they started sixteen and one straight up this year. Tough
44:03
Speaker 5: loss at Texas Tech has a good team, not a
44:06
Speaker 5: great loss against Arizona, but that was still the number
44:08
Speaker 5: one undefeated team in the country and they only lost
44:10
Speaker 5: by three at home, and then a tough loss of Kansas.
44:13
Speaker 5: I thought it was a good bounce back spot at
44:14
Speaker 5: Kansas Saturday. They are down big early, they made a
44:16
Speaker 5: nice run in the second half, ended up losing by eight,
44:19
Speaker 5: their worst defensive showing of the season, though, that's another reason.
44:22
Speaker 5: I look for them to be extremely motivated tonight. So
44:24
Speaker 5: definitely could take a look at BYU minus is seven
44:26
Speaker 5: if you do feel this line has become a little
44:28
Speaker 5: bit inflated. We could also look at a team total
44:31
Speaker 5: Oklahoma State under eighty eighty and a half. I really
44:34
Speaker 5: like these college team total has been doing well with
44:36
Speaker 5: them this year. The free videos problem is some sportsbooks
44:39
Speaker 5: don't offer them, and the reason being is because they're
44:41
Speaker 5: very beatable. So I do like the Oklahoma State team
44:44
Speaker 5: total under eighty eighty and a half. Otherwise, if you
44:47
Speaker 5: don't have access to team totals, BYU minus seven makes
44:50
Speaker 5: a lot of sense as well. That's at nine o'clock
44:51
Speaker 5: eastern on Fox Sports One. All right, let's look at
44:55
Speaker 5: your other game at nine eastern on National TV. On
44:57
Speaker 5: the Deuce on ESPN two Oklahoma Kentucky. And here we've
45:01
Speaker 5: got Kentucky currently about an eight and a half to
45:03
Speaker 5: nine point favorite totals Holden steady today right around that
45:06
Speaker 5: one fifty three range and on the surface Kentucky. Two
45:10
Speaker 5: teams heading in opposite directions. You know, Oklahoma started the
45:12
Speaker 5: season one to zero beat Mississippi. They've lost eight straight
45:15
Speaker 5: conference games since, they're zero to eight run in conference play,
45:19
Speaker 5: and it doesn't get any easier on the road against
45:20
Speaker 5: a Kentucky team that underachieved this season. Off to a
45:24
Speaker 5: very mediocre five and four start, and then after they
45:27
Speaker 5: lost their first two conference games, they were just nine
45:29
Speaker 5: and six overall, zero to two in the SEC. They
45:32
Speaker 5: have since gone six and one straight up in the
45:34
Speaker 5: last seven games, the early loss coming at Vanderbilt and
45:37
Speaker 5: blowout fashion.
45:38
Speaker 4: What do they do?
45:38
Speaker 5: They bounce back with a road dog win at Arkansas
45:42
Speaker 5: on Saturday that was a best bet winner for my
45:44
Speaker 5: clients on Saturday. The problem is, this isn't a great
45:48
Speaker 5: scheduling spot here. I definitely like Kentucky as the better team,
45:50
Speaker 5: but it's not a great scheduling spot here. After the
45:53
Speaker 5: two tough road games and the underdog win, They've also
45:55
Speaker 5: got to look ahead next this Saturday against Tennessee. However,
45:58
Speaker 5: if you're going to play it, the only way I
46:00
Speaker 5: would play is to lay it with Kentucky minus the nine.
46:03
Speaker 5: And there are some matchup edges here as well. Oklahoma
46:06
Speaker 5: takes a lot of three point shots. The Kentucky defense
46:09
Speaker 5: has been fantastic against threes this year, barely giving up
46:11
Speaker 5: thirty percent from three point range, So just don't see
46:15
Speaker 5: Oklahoma hitting the threes tonight. Both teams do score down
46:18
Speaker 5: low from two point range. Both teams are excellent with
46:20
Speaker 5: offensive rebounds, so here again I lean Kentucky. I'm worried
46:24
Speaker 5: about Oklahoma's three point shooting. Just take Oklahoma out of
46:27
Speaker 5: the equation and we'll look at a Kentucky team total
46:30
Speaker 5: up and over. So even if they come a little
46:32
Speaker 5: bit flat, I think the offense will still be there.
46:34
Speaker 5: Kentucky team total over the eighty one is worth a look.
46:37
Speaker 5: Otherwise I would lay the eight and a half to
46:39
Speaker 5: nine does concern me a bit though this could be
46:41
Speaker 5: a bit flat spot, and if it does show on
46:43
Speaker 5: the defensive end, I think Kentucky will still do some
46:45
Speaker 5: scoring here, but I would lean Wildcats. I do not
46:47
Speaker 5: trust the Sooner squad that has lost eight straight in
46:50
Speaker 5: the SEC. They go a couple TV opinions for you
46:53
Speaker 5: tonight at nine eastern on Fox Sports one and ESPN two. Now,
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Speaker 5: don't forget if you're playing these free play videos, I
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Speaker 5: com once again, get there quicker, wt dot Buzz, slash
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Speaker 5: sm and don't forget. If you're liking these free play videos,
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Speaker 5: thumbs up, like positive comment below and I will keep
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Speaker 5: them coming. Who do you like tonight in the Wednesday
48:27
Speaker 5: college hoops card? Comment below? Let's learn it, earn and
48:30
Speaker 5: win together. Include some analysis and when you want to
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48:42
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Speaker 5: on x and Instagram at Steve Merrill two RS one
48:46
Speaker 5: L M E R R I L at Steve Merrill
48:49
Speaker 5: on exit Instagram, and always stay tuned here on wager
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Speaker 5: Talk TV because you know there's free play videos coming
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Speaker 5: up each and every day right here on this channel.
48:57
Speaker 4: That's it, Merril.
48:58
Speaker 1: A lot going on here week, a lot to be
49:01
Speaker 1: excited about. And yeah, tomorrow as well, we'll have Art
49:06
Speaker 1: to Caesar back. We'll get to figure out more of
49:09
Speaker 1: the the prop betting that that he is getting at
49:13
Speaker 1: the West Gate.
49:13
Speaker 4: We'll see if there's any line movement.
49:16
Speaker 1: Of course, we'll have much more on the college basketball
49:20
Speaker 1: slate NBA as we get ready to head into the Olympics.
49:23
Speaker 1: May are you doing dabbling in the Olympics curling? Maybe
49:26
Speaker 1: I do enjoy a good curling match. I like to
49:29
Speaker 1: dabble every now and then, rab a swifterer out of
49:31
Speaker 1: the hallway closet.
49:33
Speaker 4: And yes, exactly it started.
49:36
Speaker 5: That's how it gets started, is with the swifter and
49:38
Speaker 5: then then it leads up to the bigger ice. Yeah,
49:41
Speaker 5: it's funny. Every year at the Olympics, I don't really
49:43
Speaker 5: focus on it. Then it kicks on and I'll start watching.
49:45
Speaker 5: It's kind of like the World Cup. I'll start watching
49:47
Speaker 5: a little bit of it and I get hooked as
49:49
Speaker 5: a as a sports fan. But from a handicapping perspective,
49:52
Speaker 5: probably it won't likely dive in just because the juice
49:56
Speaker 5: isn't worth the squeeze. You hear that that, you know,
49:58
Speaker 5: that's saying a lot of times because I'd have to
50:01
Speaker 5: like literally educate myself about these sports for hours and
50:04
Speaker 5: hours of researchs for what two or three bets. If
50:07
Speaker 5: there's any value, its just But there are guys, Look,
50:10
Speaker 5: there's guys that do very well with them. There's gonna
50:11
Speaker 5: be some cameras a wager talk that do it as well.
50:14
Speaker 5: There is a niche and hey, look these lines are soft.
50:17
Speaker 5: I'm sure Art will tell you the same thing. These
50:18
Speaker 5: aren't solid, sharp numbers, right and there their limits are
50:21
Speaker 5: gonna be lower than the Super Bowl, for example. But
50:23
Speaker 5: as a handicapper, it's hard to justify those hours and
50:27
Speaker 5: hours of research to maybe come up with, you know,
50:29
Speaker 5: one or two plays. But there are people that do
50:31
Speaker 5: it in more power to them.
50:33
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sure a lot of the hockey cappers will
50:36
Speaker 1: be all over there's Olympics, and.
50:38
Speaker 5: I was gonna say it, that's crossed my mind. I
50:40
Speaker 5: was gonna say, I do dabble with the basketball because
50:42
Speaker 5: I followed that closely in the Summer Olympics. So yeah,
50:45
Speaker 5: hockey would be kind of the comparison and the Winter Olympics,
50:48
Speaker 5: and guys that cover hockey a wager talk definitely will
50:50
Speaker 5: be dialed in.
50:51
Speaker 1: It'll be all over that, yes, and I'll be watching
50:54
Speaker 1: to see if Lindsey Vaughn would a torn acl at
50:58
Speaker 1: forty one years old and she's like, I'm still doing it.
51:02
Speaker 1: If she meddles out, might be the story of the
51:05
Speaker 1: decade for sure.
51:06
Speaker 4: There that she can thank.
51:08
Speaker 1: Tiger Woods work all right, Meryl, outstanding stuff as always.
51:12
Speaker 1: Don't forget Art to Caesar bringing baseball win totals this
51:17
Speaker 1: week is all just got him post it up there.
51:19
Speaker 1: We'll have all that information for you, just another reason
51:22
Speaker 1: to hit the like subscribe button. And of course don't
51:25
Speaker 1: forget drop those prop bet questions in the comments section.
51:30
Speaker 1: Art's gonna get to him. He'll tell you what's going on.
51:33
Speaker 1: Any questions you guys may have want to know where
51:35
Speaker 1: the market's heading with him, drop him in, and of
51:37
Speaker 1: course we'll get back to you again. To mar So
51:39
Speaker 1: double R one L, Steve Merrill, enjoy it.
51:42
Speaker 4: Brother.
51:43
Speaker 1: You are back again tomorrow as we look to finish
51:46
Speaker 1: out the week without Prez. Who is skiing somewhere near you?
51:51
Speaker 1: I guess, and it's definitely not in Milan, I can
51:53
Speaker 1: tell you that. So Meryl again tomorrow. Yeah, he's you know,
51:58
Speaker 1: he's out there addressing up like it's business time. So
52:02
Speaker 1: good luck to the guys he's rooming with. We'll see
52:04
Speaker 1: again tomorrow, though, guys here on the best betting show ever.
52:07
Speaker 4: Oh god,