Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | NBA Crunch Time | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/12/26

Transcript

Sunday BEST BETS | NBA Crunch Time | MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/12/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: gonna start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth. I think who
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumpy, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody is towed back with you with toad
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: stool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: I can't even talk right now. It is Sunday, April
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: twelve three, and oh day. On the show yesterday, every
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: single win was easy. So there you go, all three
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: small underdogs with the win. Washington Capital's complete domination in
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: that afternoon game. You look at the stats, that game
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: was not close at all, even though they were down
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: to a one goal lead a couple of different times,
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: wound up winning six to three. I think probably an
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: empty net near the end. I wasn't fully paying attention
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: to it, but they had way more shots in that game.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: They were the only team that showed up in that game.
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: If they had not won that game, it would have
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: been a complete BS loss on that one. Obviously the
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: right handicap there. The other hockey game kind of similar,
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: Columbus clearly showed up with a ton of intensity there.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: They got the win pretty easy also by three goals,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: I think five to two maybe, and then the Cleveland
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: Indians scored in the first inning and then never trailed
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: after that, even though it was still one nothing. I
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: think in the middle of the game, they attacked three
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: more runs on late in the game. If you played
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: it first five inning, you got the win. If you
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: played a full game, you got the win. Didn't really matter,
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: so we got the win with Cleveland there. The bullpen
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: actually was pretty good for Cleveland. The Braves showed that
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: they're a human at least in the bullpen yesterday.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Move on today. Today, the board is a bit tricky.
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: There's a huge NBA board today, So I just spent
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: all the time handicapping all this, which is why I'm
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit later than usual. And this is probably
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: gonna be a long show, and I'm gonna try to
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: make it not that long. I don't know how I'm
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: gonna do that. I'm gonna give out two baseball plays
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: and hope that they hit, and then we're gonna have
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: one hockey play. I'm gonna have one NBA play as well,
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: and we're trying to pick really be picky about the
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: NBA here and try to find a spot that actually
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: makes sense with a number that actually makes sense to
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: play it. Josh, what's up, dirty sock? What's up, mister Pinsey?
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: What's up? What?
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: Oh? It's yeah, goat backwards? Yeah, I've never even thought
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: about that. All right, Yeah, I'm togue. All right, let's
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: talk about baseball here, first man. Baseball is the sport
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: that's starting first anyway today, So nothing starts until one
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: thirty five pm. There's a little bit of afternoon hockey,
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: and all the basketball is tonight. Arizona and Philadelphia is
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: the first game up. These teams have split the series
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: so far, I believe, yeah, one in one, so you
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: know me, I like to potentially look to teams that
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: are trying to avoid a sweep.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: We don't have that going on here.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Arizona still think their bullpen is pretty much garbage on
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: the Philadelphia hasn't been that good either.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I don't actually wait, I gotta I gotta look, man.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: I don't want to talk out of my ass here,
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: because I'm just remembering last year pretty much. Arizona used
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: two relief pitchers yesterday. Philadelphia used a ton more. They
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: used five, although they use a few for smaller amounts
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: of pitches, but they used Duran, who I think is
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: their closer. Duran not not to be confused with the
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: with Jaron Duran. Joan Duran there, however you pronounce his name.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: So there is a little bit of a rest disadvantage
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: in the bullpen for Philadelphia, although Arizona I'm pretty sure
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: is the lesser bullpen. Looking at the bullpen whip, I
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: don't even see where Arizona is right now. Shockingly, they're
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: actually seventh, which is way less bad than you would think,
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: although I still think this bullpen is pretty bad. Philly
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: is actually second, so I don't know what I'm talking
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: about it. So yeah, I'm gonna give Philly overall a
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge, but the lack of rest kind of negates.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: That a little bit. Maybe it's a little bit of
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: a wash in the bullpen there.
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: Arizona has actually not been hitting well, surprising, I mean,
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: Philly actually kind of hasn't either. Philly seems like they
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: probably do have the better offense though, and starting pitching,
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: I kind of want to give the edge to Philadelphia here.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: Although Zach Gallen is the more proven pitcher for Arizona,
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: He's got a three ERA so far.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: One point three to three whip is a little bit
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: too high.
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: Nine to six strike a walk ratio is concerning. It's
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: not a high strikeout rate in fifteen innings. It's not
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: a good walk number either, so there are some concerns there.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: He's been better since his first start, though, where you
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: have four runs against the Dodgers. He's only given up
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: one ear and run in two starts since then, so
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: he is pitching better more recently. His numbers against Philly
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: are okay, one hundred and thirty seven at bats, thirty
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: one to fourteen strike up walk ratio. That is not
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: very good, but two forty eight average allowed that's fine.
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: Seven to sixty eight ops. Anything higher than seven point fifty,
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: like I say, is a little bit on the higher side.
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: So he doesn't exactly do great against Philadelphia. Andrew Payner
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: is pitching for Philly. I don't know what we're gonna
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: get out of him here.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: He was really good in his major league debut against
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Washington eight to one strike up walk ratio. Then he
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: didn't have a good start in his next outing against
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: a weak hitting San Francisco team, So I gets the
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: lesser offense in a pitcher friendly park. He did way worse,
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: but it was his first road start. I mean, maybe
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: give him a pass for that. I think Payner is
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: actually going to be good. Like he's a young, talented pitcher,
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: and it's just that he needs to overcome these injuries
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: that he's had that have plagued the start of his
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: career or basically delayed the start of his career. Really,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: I tend to think he is going to bounce back,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: even though you look at it, four point eight two ERA,
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: one point six to one whip. Those are bad numbers,
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: but it's such a small sample size. It was one
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: bad start, and of course Arizona's never seen him before,
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: so I think he does have an advantage there. These
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: talented young pictures, as I always say, when they haven't
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: been seen by that opposing lineup, that's usually an advantage
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: to the picture. Philadelphia is taking the money here. They're
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: up from minus one eighteen to minus one thirty eight,
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the tickets seventy three percent of
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Phillies. I will agree with the Phillies,
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: although I do worry a little bit about the bullpen.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: Even though Arizona's bullpen is pretty much fadable in every
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: game just because they're not.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I really don't think they're good, although they have been
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: better that you would think this year. Like I said,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: if you want to avoid phill their bullpend.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Because they use too many of the relievers yesterday, maybe
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: I would agree with doing that as well. First five
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: innings on Philadelphia doesn't make sense to me in this
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: game as well, So maybe that is actually the better approach.
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: You just go with the starting pitching advantage that Philly
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: seems to have there, and it's still an under the
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: radar advantage because nobody knows who pain or is yet.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: Sar Francisco at Baltimore Baltimore. These two teams split, with
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: Baltimore winning yesterday, so again probably it means both teams
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: will be motivated here to try to get this win
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: to win the series. As far as the bullpens are concerned,
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: I think San Francisco has the better bullpen, even though
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: it hasn't totally shown yet.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: Where are they at I don't.
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: Even know where they're at here, dude, I still don't
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: have the lay of the land here. Baltimore actually has
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: had the ninth best bullpen so far. Giants twenty first,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: But I don't even know if I buy that really,
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: because it's the same, like, very similar personnel to last year.
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: I don't see the Giants having this much of a
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen drop off here, So I don't think the gap
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: is that strong between the two bullpens like it looks.
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: I will give Baltimore a better offense, obviously their top
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: seven right now, the Giants are a bottom four offense.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's unreasonable to say San Francisco only
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: these two relief pitchers. Yesterday Baltimore used four or five
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: excuse me, So San Francisco, I will give them the
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge here. I mean we're trying to gauge like
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: a small ish sample size. Still, as the season goes on,
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: maybe we do have to adjust a bit, but they
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: do have the more rested pen here.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: Adrian Houser is pitching for the Giants.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: Three point nine to seventy rora so far looks pretty good,
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: one point five to nine whip not so good. Hasn't
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: struck a lot of guys out seven strikeouts, three walks,
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: but his problem has been he's been too hittable, really,
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: fifteen hits in eleven and a third, So that's really
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: been the main issue. Although his strikeout stuff hasn't really
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: been good either, but he hasn't been wild. It's just
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: it seems like he's just putting a lot of pitches
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: over the plate and that's not really what you want,
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: and Baltimore obviously can hit those. He has not well,
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: he's been okay against Baltimore. I guess I'll say thirty
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: eight at bats, ten to two strikeout walk ratio two
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: eighty nine average is definitely too high, but because he's
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: allowed no extra base hits, six.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Or fourteen OPS is still pretty low.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: So they have a lot of singles off of him,
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: which is kind of hard to figure out, Like does
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: that mean their offense actually does well against him or
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: does it not. I tend to think OPS matters a
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: little bit more, and Baltimore has not hit him for
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: power at the very least. Still, it's a small sample size.
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: Cade Povich, you want to talk about small sample sizes.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: He's pitching for Baltimore.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: He's only made one appearance so far, and I believe
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: it was a relief appearance against Pittsburgh, but he did
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: pitch a starter's workload.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Five and two thirds.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: He's on like a regular starters rest now, so he
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: has joined the rotation, which.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: Is where he was the last couple of years.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: He's never really been good for Baltimore though, like it
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: seems like he was this guy that had this upside, like, oh,
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: he's maybe gonna turn into something good. Maybe he still will,
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: but that hasn't shown yet. Three point one eighty R
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: in that one start so far this year looks good.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: One point two to four whip maybe not so much.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: The real problem here is he had more walks than
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: strikeouts two strikeouts, three walks, and he's not really a
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: strikeout pitcher, but that is too many walks. But again,
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: first start, you kind of have to you don't want
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: to weigh that too heavily because maybe he was a
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: little bit nervous again first start of the season. San
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: Francisco not a strong offense. They only have sixteen at
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: bats against him, the majority being Devers. When Devers was
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: on the Red Sox in his division. They're only four
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: for sixteen off of four strikeouts, one walk, so two
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: point fifty average five forty four ohps.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: It's difficult to gauge, like what you think is gonna
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: happen here.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could make the argument that Povich should
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: do well here when he's not doing paternity tests for people.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: The chant for him should be should be who's your Daddy?
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: Instead of the Padro Martinez Yankees chant.
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Baltimore, you could argue
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: that Povic does have an advantage in that he's just
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to the opposing hitters more so than hawser Is.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Maybe there's a little bit more upside there because he's
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: younger than Hauser as well. But the money is definitely
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: indicating on Baltimore. They're up for minus one o five
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: to minus one twenty one, fifty four percent of tickets,
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: eighty percent of the cash on Baltimore.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna disagree with it.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: I might consider making it first five innings, But then again,
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: so far this season, Baltimore's bullpen has actually outpitched the
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: Giants bullpen, so you can do with that information what
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: you want. But then again, as I said, Baltimore used
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: more of their leavers yesterday, so I would probably go
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: Baltimore first five here instead, just leave the bullpen's out
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: because it is more of a question mark there. I
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: would say Oh, still, I don't want to play the
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: game because I think the starting pitching is also a
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: question mark here. So yeah, I don't have a good
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: read on that game. Really, next game up will be
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: one of my plays, though. We're gonna go first five
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: innings on this with the Minnesota Twins. Even though I
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: know they won yesterday against Toronto. Maybe you could argue
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: Toronto's gonna bounce back, but Toronto has not been impressive
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: so far this season.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Man, they really haven't.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: I know, yesterday they had to face Joe Ryan and
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: that's not the case today, so they're facing a lesser pitcher.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: But I think we have a little bit of something
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: under the radar going on here. We're gonna be on
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: a pitcher that has no name recognition, people don't think
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: he's good, and maybe with good reason, up against a
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: pitcher who's gonna be in the Hall of Fame, but
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: I think might not have a whole lot left at
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: this point.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think they're a good team, but
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: we're looking at the spot year.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take their bullpen out of the equation.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: Even though they only had two relievers pitched yesterday, Toronto
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: only had one, so Toronto does have a little bit
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: more rested bullpen. Both of these bullpens have been awful
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: so far this year, but Minnesota's has been particularly bad,
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: second worst in Major League Baseball arranged by Whip. So
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: I'm just gonna exclude Minnesota's bullpen. I don't want to
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: deal with the risk there. Even though Toronto's bullpen has
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: been bad too. Offensively, Toronto probably does have the better offense,
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: even though they're slightly behind Minnesota and OPS right now,
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: I think they do have the better offense, so the
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: Minnesota has not hit that poorly so far this year.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: But what we're looking at really is a starting pitching
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: matchup here, man, and I know these teams are trying
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: to win the series here. Motivation is probably gonna be
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: on both sides. But Taj Bradley, maybe Minnesota and They're
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: pitching coaching has found something with him, man, because he
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: looked like he had like good stuff at various points
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: when he was with Tampa Bay. His twenty twenty four
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: season was actually pretty solid, and it was an improvement
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: over the previous season such that it looked like he
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: was gonna take the next step forward. And then it
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: didn't really happen, and they traded him away last year
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: and then he wasn't good on Minnesota. But this season
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: he has been really good one point eight RA and
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: one point eight whip as well.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: He's faced Baltimore and Kansas City.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: Detroit him in not the most powerful of offenses, but
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: I mean Kansas City has been hitting okay. Detroit's not
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: that week of an offense, although I know they haven't
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: been hitting that well so far this year. Baltimore is
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: a decent offense and overall he has a really cool
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: looking twenty two to four strikeout walk ratio in sixteen
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: to two thirds innings and fewer than one hit allowed
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: per inning as well, and he's only allowed two earned
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: runs over the course of those three starts, going at
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: least six innings in each of his last two with
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: a thirteen to one strike out walk ratio in the
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: two starts in April. So he is in really good
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: form right now. He looks good right now. I know
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not good against Toronto, so I do
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: worry about that a little bit, but I'm gonna flip
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: to the other side of this in a minute. They
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: have fifty nine at bats against him. They're familiar with
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: him because he was in their division. I get that
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: twelve to two strike out walk race. You're two seventy
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: one average allowed eight o four oh ps. Usually I'm
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: not gonna be on a pitcher that has numbers like that,
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna fade Max Schurzer here man. And again,
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: I think the public is just gonna play Shures are
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: in this one. The Blue Jays were in the World
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Series last year. Shres was a Hall of Fame pitcher.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: His numbers look good this season three point three eighty
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: r right, one whip, but he.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Might have some issues here. Man. His last start.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: Was shortened, so that might kind of throw off his
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: rhythm or whatever. He hasn't really gone deep like pitch
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: count wisely to either start so far. But his last
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: start it wasn't just because the Dodgers were kind of
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: hitting him.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Okay, he got sick.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: Or something, so I don't even know how healthy he
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: is at this point, but he did have to get
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: pulled from that start early, which, yeah, maybe that means
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: that he's rested here, I guess, but I don't trust it, man,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: I just don't.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: And against Minnesota his.
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: Numbers are really bad, like worse than you would expect.
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: Even when Schurzer was better, like earlier in his career,
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: he still didn't do well against these guys. In sixty
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: eight at bats, fourteen to seven, strike a walk ratio
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: three twenty four, average allowed one forty two oh ps.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: These are bad numbers. So he has the worst matchup
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: numbers here. I think he's overvalued in the market, and
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: I think Bradley is in the better form.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: So let's do it. We're gonna we're gonna go with
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: the more.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: Talented, younger pitcher here the money or sorry, not the
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: more talented, but the younger picture here that has more
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: a higher ceiling.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: Right now, let's put it that way. Yeah, but yeah,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: sures are obviously great career, probably better than what Bradley's
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: gonna have.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: You know, obviously that's the case. But we're looking at
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: who are these pictures right now? Toronto down for minus
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: one twenty one fifteen, fifty three percent of the tickets
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: on them, fifty five percent of the cash on Minnesota.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: The money seems like it agrees with me. Now you
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: can get Minnesota as an underdog if you want to
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: play the full game. Again, I told you my concerns
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: with their bullpen. I'm taking it out of the equation
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: and we have basically a pick them price in the
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: first five innings, so I'm doing that instead.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up?
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Royals talk about them in a minute, Jeff,
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: what's going on?
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Springer?
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I don't even I don't put much
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: weight into one guy going down for a baseball lineup.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they can only really do so much.
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: I mean it, a single player other than a starting
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: pitcher matters way less in baseball because like one guy
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: is only gonna get like four or five at bats
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: like pretty much in a game. So that can only
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: do so much in a game. So I don't really
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: put much weight into that. I don't even think Springer
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: is their best hitter in their lineup at this point,
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: So I just don't really give a shit if he's
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: in the lineup or not. I don't think it really
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: has any effect on the line at all. So but yeah,
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: something to know. Uh, Yeah, I mean that if anything,
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: that makes Toronto a little bit a bit, a little
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: bit less potent on the offensive side. So, but he's
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: also an old man at this point, so I don't
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: know and I don't know it was Springer included in
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: those Bradley numbers.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's four for fourteen, so actually, all right, that
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: is a good point. Then he's one of the hitters
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: that hits Bradley well. So all right, I'll take back
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: what I said a little bit there, even though yes,
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: he'd only get a certain number of at bats. Yeah,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: if you take him out of this equation here, you're right,
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: Bradley does have better numbers against most of their other hitters,
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: and it's really down to kind of just vlad Guerrero
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: and Sanchez of.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Both hit him well.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: All right, Anaheim at Cincinnati, these two teams have split
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: as well, with Cincinnati winning yesterday. So these teams are
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: trying to win the series here as well today, and
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: I believe one of these series.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Is continuing tomorrow.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: This is not it though, bullpen wise, Cincinnati's had a
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: decent bullpen so far. Anaheims is bad, even though they
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: don't look that bad at nineteenth. I'm gonna give Cincinnati
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: a bullpen edge here, although we have to look at
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: what they did yesterday and Cincinnati, who's whatever. This is
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: five relief pitchers, which isn't great. Anaheim only lose three,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: so maybe that makes it a little bit more of
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: a wash, But I really think Anaheim's bullpen is pretty lousy.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: As far as the offense is concerned, Cincinnati's offense has
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: definitely struggled so far this year.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: They're in the.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: Bottom three on offense, which is really not good, la
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: or excuse me. Anaheim is more like middle of the
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: pack there, So Anaheim you could definitely argue they have
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: the better offense here. Right now, we have Jose Soriano
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: pitching for Anaheim, notoriously very good on the road and
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: not so good at home, but he's been good either way. Like,
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: he's been really good this season. Three starts, point four
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: five ERA, point six to five whip. Obviously that's unsustainable,
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: but twenty one to six strike a walk ratio in
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: twenty innings, only seven hits allowed. He's only allowed one
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: run over this entire span. He faced Houston the Cubs
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: in Atlanta, so he's not facing like the weakest hitting
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: lineups here either, And he had one good start at home,
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: where he usually doesn't do well, So Soriano's off to
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: a good start. He's in really good form right now,
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: probably not a guy wh would want to fade right now,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: especially on the road where he pitches better. Even though
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: this is a hitter friendly ballpark. He has decent numbers
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: against Cincinnati and thirty one at bats eight to four
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is not good two twenty six
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, seven h one ops.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: Still, I think those numbers are pretty good.
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: He is going up against Andrew Abbott, who is not
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: a bad pitcher, not really a guy that has like
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: stuff that blows you away. A three point one to
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: eighty R so far this year is good, but his
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: whip is definitely too high one point four to one,
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: so he is putting too many guys on base. He's
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: not really a strikeout guy, like I said, eleven strikeouts
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: and seventeen innings. The six walks is really kind of
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: the issue. He's walked multiple guys in each of his
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: last two starts, so his form is.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: Not too good right now.
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: Like it's Pittsburgh and Miami as well, so I mean,
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: I know those teams are off to hot hitting starts though,
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: so I think Streano is maybe the more trustworthy pitcher
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: right now and in the better form right now. Abbott
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: has not really been seen much by Anaheim though they
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: will only have two hitters I've ever seen him before,
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: and they're zero for two with two walks off him
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: and no strikeouts, so not a whole lot you can
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: gauge from that.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: You could say that Abbot does have a little bit of.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: An advantage, maybe because he's unfamiliar to the opposing lineups.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: Anaheim is taking the money, and I do agree with
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: Anaheim here minus one oh seven here now seventy four
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on them.
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: It's another one where I might consider going first five
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: with Anaheim here, but then again, they do have a
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: little bit of a bull pen rest edge here right now,
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: although I don't think they're the better bullpens, so maybe
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: first five does make more sense and just ride the
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: hot Siano who is better at home here. I wouldn't
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: really disagree with an under in this game either, although
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: I'd probably keep that first five innings because I just
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: don't really trust these bullpens. Even though Cincinnati has been okay,
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: eight and a half is where that number is.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: It's flipped to juice to.
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: The under, although we see sixty one percent of tickets
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: to seventy two percent of the cash on the over.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: I know it's a hitter friendly ballpark at Cincinnati, but
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: I think first five under based on the pitching matchups
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: specifically makes some sense here. But still I think probably
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I prefer Anaheim first five innings money line there, which
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit more of a price, but
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: that's the way that it is.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: The A's at the Mets.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: This is pretty insane where the A's have won four
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: games in a row against the Yankees and the Mets,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: and they're potentially on the verge of sweeping the Mets
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: here and have outscored them by a combined fifteen to
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: six score in these two games. That has me looking
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: towards the Mets, like right off the jump here, because
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: the Mets are the better team here at home and
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: now they're trying to avoid a sweep. Now, I did
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: tell you that the A's hitting was gonna start doing better,
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: and they've jumped all the way up to thirteenth offensively,
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: I mean, their offense does have talent. The A's pitching
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: is really where their weakness is. Like their offense was
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: good last year. They have a lot of those same
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: guys so yeah, I knew their offense would start coming around.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Not sure that I would really say that it's better
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: than the Mets.
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: Their neck and neck here tied in ops right now,
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: although I think the Mets offense is probably still a
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: bit better, not by much though. For the bullpens, the
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Mets used a lot of guys yesterday. I think it
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: might have been an extra inning game.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: No wait, it wasn't. It was a blowout. What am
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I saying? But the Mets? Yeah, probably because it was
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: a blowout. The Mets used five relief pitchers yesterday.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: The A's used four, and I don't think the A's
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: bullpen is any good at all either. Twenty sixth right
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: now in whip the Mets middle of the pack, kind
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: of eleventh.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: But you got to agree.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: I think that the Mets have the better bullpen here,
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: but a little bit less rested. You know, maybe potentially
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: you want to just avoid both bullpens here. Aaron Savali
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: is making the start for the As. He has a
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: two point seventy RA so far, one point one whip,
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: so he's pitched well so far when you look at that,
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: he hasn't put too many guys on base. His problem
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: is again the walks, but it was really it was
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: one start against the Yankees where he walked four guys,
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: so maybe that's not that much of a concern. But
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: he's allowed way fewer than one hit per innings, so
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been hit that much, although he has allowed
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: two of them runs so far. So when he has
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: allowed contact, it has been kind of hard. He's kind
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: of hard to gauge right now. Man up against the
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: Mets here in eighty four at bats, fifteen to nine
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio is not that good. Two fifty
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: average allowed. His fine seven to seventy five ohps is
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: a little bit high. So the Mets I've been able
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: to hit him a bit mediocre numbers, really, I would
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: say there and I think pretty clearly Freddy Peralta is
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: the better picture here. Though people might look at say, oh,
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: he has a four point eight ERA.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: That must mean he's the worst of the two pitchers.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: No, anybody that follows baseball nose peralta very strong, solid pitcher,
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: better than Savalli. One point one to three whip on
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: the season, that's fine.
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: He had.
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: He's had some struggles with wildness this month, though, so
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: that's kind of the issue his current form is not
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: that good.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Twelve to five strike out walk race.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: The strikeouts are there more than one per inning, but
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: the walks are definitely too high, and he hasn't gone
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: that deep into these starts, so he's.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Gonna have to turn it around.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: I think he will, but I'm worried about it right now,
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: just because his form isn't really that good. But maybe
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: this might be one of these starts where he does
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: come out to do well because the A's only have
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: twenty eight bats off him, no extra base hits, four strikeouts,
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: no walks, two point fifty average allowed, five hundred oh
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: pm allowed. So I do still think the Mets are
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: the right side here, but the money is not agree
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: with me on this one. But I think they're gonna
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: be extra motivated to avoid the sweet Plus they're the
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: better team. Plus they have the better pitching throughout this game,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: so I and you could debate they have the better
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: hitting too.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: So I just.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Don't see the real argument for the A's here man,
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: other than the line is too high, like the price
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: is too high on the Mets. Is the only argument
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: that I could really see for that They're up to
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty five eighty nine percent of the ticket,
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the cash on them, and again, yeah,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: like I'm gonna disagree with the market on that one.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Mets in that game, but
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: it would have to be like a run line slash
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: money line split situation.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: I would go full.
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: Game Mets on that one to avoid the sweet Plus
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: you get the bullpen advantage with them, So that would
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: be my opinion in that game. But the money is yeah,
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: disagree with me, and that worries me. Miami at Detroit, Yeah,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: you want a pitching matchup, this is it.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: Detroit is on the verge of a sweep, so it
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: is possible they overlook Miami here. Now that Detroit is
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: kind of right of the ship, they do have a
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: divisional series up next against the Royals, so there is
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: a potential look ahead there for Kansas City. I was
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: excusing for Detroit looking ahead to Kansas City. Maybe a
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: little bit extra motivation on the side of Miami. Miami
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: started off hot, but they've you know, I think They're
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: not quite as good as they looked early in the season,
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: but they still have the fifth best bullpen whip. Detroit
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: is somewhere in the middle of the pack here, so
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: you could make the argument that Miami has the better bullpen.
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: I think it's close. Like I said when I gave out.
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: Detroit as a player the other day, Miami is also
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: still top five in offense in ops.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: Again, I think that might regress a little bit.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Detroit is middle of the pack, but I think the
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: gap is not that wide between these two teams, and
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Detroit is going to be a favorite here, but part
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: of that is also because they have school ball pitching.
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: Detroit only is one relief pitcher yesterday, and it was
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: a long relief man. Miami is three, so I think
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: Detroit you could make the argument they do have a
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge here.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: Though Sandy al Contra is pitching from Miami, he might
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: be back dude point seven to four r a point
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: five to eight whip.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: If you look at like the Cy.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: Young odds right now, he's like third in the NL,
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: behind like Skens and I forget who, well, who's like
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: the other elite pitcher in the NL. I forget, But
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: I'm like, does Alcondre really deserve to have odds like that?
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, because he's trying to come back
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: from Tommy John surgery. He did start showing signs of
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: that at the end of last year and this year again,
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: he's been really good in these first three starts. Eighteen
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: to four strikeout walk ratio. That's a good ratio. But
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: I'm concerned that the strikeout rate is still not that
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: high in twenty four to third and he's pitched, you know,
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: his strikeout stuff seems like it's a little down still,
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: So that does concern me a little bit.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: Although he is pitching really well.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: He's been basically unhittable though, along ten hits over that span.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: But again, I'm gonna dial it back a little bit
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: because he's faced Colorado, the White Sox, and Cincinnati who
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: hasn't been hitting well, so he has not faced particularly
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: good offenses so far.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it's impressive what he's doing so far. Up.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he's in good form. I think the jury is
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: still a little bit out on him. But yes, he
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: is in good form, and yes, I think he is
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: going to probably pitch well in this game. His numbers
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: against Detroit are good. In fifty seven career at bats,
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: twenty to zero strikeout walk ratio.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: That is quite good.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: One seventy five batting average allowed, four to thirty nine
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: ohps allowed, So those are good numbers. Obviously, his history
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: against Detroit is good. He's going up against schooable. I mean,
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know if we have much to say here.
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: Two point five five yard ray, one point oh eight whip.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: I mean we know.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's probably the favorite to win the AL
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: side young again.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming he won it last year. I don't even
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: really pay attention to it. He's clearly the best.
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: I think he's the best starting pitcher in baseball, probably
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: the best in the AL. I mean, I guess it's
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: between him and Crochet probably. He's got a sixteen to
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: two strike a walk ratio so far this year in
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: three starts. Struggled in his last outing though, he didn't
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: make it five innings against Minnesota, but I think that's
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: more of a blip. And he hasn't even pitched at
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: home yet, so I mean, we don't need to be
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: labor this. I mean, we know Schooble is an elite
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: pitcher against Miami, good numbers as expected, eighteen at bats,
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: so they haven't really faced him that much. Five zero
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: strike at walk, Raceime won sixty seven. Average allowed the
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: ops is a little high at six sixty seven because
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: he has allowed two of them runs to them to
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: a Roberto or Nandez and Augustine Ramirez or Augustine Ramirez
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: however he pronounce his name whatever. Yeah, I mean, I
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: like the under in this game. If that wasn't going
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: to be obvious. Problem is, it isn't six and a
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: half juice to the under here, and we have fifty
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets and only fifty seve percent of
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under now, so that does worry me.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: The under there are obvious there are obvious arguments for it, right,
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: like you have pretty rested bullpens here.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: The starting pitching matchup could be elite in this game.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: But you know me, even.
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: Though the professionals, as I said yesterday and that game
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: hit seven by the way, the Cubs game, as I said,
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: with that game, this is a more elite starting pitching
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: matchup here, though the professionals will tell you six and
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: a half is the oddsmaker's trying to detract you from
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: playing the under, and that if you like the under
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: you should still play it. I don't do it, though, man,
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: I just don't seven is such a key number in
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: baseball that you wind up in a three to three
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: tie situation could become a problem there. Man, I still
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: would lean that way though, like I would not want
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: to play this game over, like I would lean to
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: the under. And the money is indicating on Miami. With
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: Detroit up to minus one eight eight, I think you
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: know you're gonna pay a tax for school ball because
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: everybody knows that he's the best pitcher. Sixty four percent
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on them, fifty two percent of the
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: cash on Miami. Yeah, if Alcondra could duel him there.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: Miami has a bullpen that could potentially keep them in
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: this game as well, if it's gonna be that low scoring, Yeah,
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: it makes sense to maybe be looking towards Miami on
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: the run line here, just to stay in a close
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: game and maybe keeping the starting pitching matchup close. If
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: I was gonna do it, I might do it full
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: game though, and try to take advantage of Miami's potentially
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: better bullpen here still, although again they're a little bit
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: less rested than Detroit is. But nothing extreme there. The Mets,
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: I mean the man, I lean to the Mets, like
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: I said, but I would not want to put my
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: money on it.
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: The I mean, it.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: Looks like just such a square play and the money
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: is indicating completely against it, so I would not want
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: to do that.
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: I don't.
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know if the a better way to play
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: the Mets here. I mean the money in that one's
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: coming in towards the under, so I mean, as to
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: go under their team total, They're a good offense, though
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: it seems a little bit risky to do it that way.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: Mets over their team total, I guess is a possible
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: way of looking.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: At that game.
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, you're gonna get the a's bullpen in the
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: equation and they stink, so maybe that's maybe that's the
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: better way. I don't know, all right, I mean, I'm
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: selective for a reason, though I don't I don't like
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: when my leans do better than my actual plays, though,
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: like that should not be what happens.
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: I should be weighing these correctly.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: Next game up is a game I'm gonna play, and
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be a square in this kind in.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: This game, so you know what I'm doing here, But
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: I have good reasons for this.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: We're gonna play in the new York Yankees, if you
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: want to play the money line at minus one fifty.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: I considered that here. I know it's a bit juicy,
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: you could do that. I think you're paying kind of
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: at tax for the Yankees here, But I don't see
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: the Yankees losing this game. I'm gonna do a split
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: bet run line money line at minus one and a
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: half run line at plus one twenty, and the other
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: part of it. It's it's like a sixty forty split
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: here pretty much. Or well, I could show you what
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: the numbers are. I still have it up here. If
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: I do it out of one hundred instead of three hundred,
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: actually sixty eight.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: It's not quite sixty forty.
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: Because you put you like, yeah, you have to risk
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: more than one hundred to make a hundred on this,
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, The books charge you. But
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: you get it down to a minus one fourteen price
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: on the minus one. If you do it this way.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: You could just find the minus one run line out there.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: But the best I saw was minus one twenty on it.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: So this is a cheaper way of doing it. But yeah,
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: it winds up being about sixty eight of the one
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: hundred on the money line. Part of it, and then
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: whatever you can win with that forty five in this
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: math equation here, then you data amount on the the
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: plus money side of things on the run line, if
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: that makes sense, so that you're making your own minus
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: one run line here. So if they win by exactly one,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: it'll be a push. That's how that works out. But yes,
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: we're gonna do this here. First of all, the Yankees
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: are trying to avoid a sweep, so they're not gonna
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: overlook Tampa Bay. They're still the better team here over
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay. Yeah, they would like to get
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: a sweep over the Yankees, sure, but you got the
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: better team here, one of the best teams in baseball
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: trying to avoid a sweep here. And that's just kind
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: of the start of this hand There's another part of
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: this handicap that I really liked, and I'm gonna talk
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: about when I talk about the start of pitching. But yes,
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: I think the Yankees are in a highly motivated spot here,
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: and yeah, I know you can. You definitely can make
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: the argument you're paying too much. It looks like the
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: money's agreeing with me. And actually, if we find a
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: better money line on this, I might switch this to
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: a money line play.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: I will.
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: I'll put it in the description because I wouldn't disagree
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: with playing the money line here if it's like I
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: would want it below minus one fifty though, because that's
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: just I don't like to lay that much juice, especially
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: with the public team. But you see eighty nine percent
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety three percent of the cash on the
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: Yankees here.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: I'm getting worried here. Man.
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: The money is fading me now on this Minnesota Toronto game.
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: That is concerning me a lot.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: I don't even want to be on it anymore, to
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: be honest, But the money is agree with me on
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: the Yankees here. Now that's the start of the handicap.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: We look at the bullpens here. Tampa Bay's bullpen has
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: been atrocious this year, and they use a lot of it.
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they use six relief pitchers yesterday to get through
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: that game. The Yankees only used three, and they only
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: use Hill for one pich. So I think the Yankees
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: have a very large bullpen advantage here, even though the Yankees,
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: you know, last year their bullpen wasn't that good. It's
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: middle of the pack right now based on Whip their
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: ERA does look better than that, though, but Tampa Bays
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: has been a disaster for the most part, one of
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: the worst bullpen eras right now. Though the whip is
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than that, but still really bad.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: So the Yankees, I think, do have a pretty sizeable
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge right now here. And the Rays have been
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: the better offense, which is shocking to me because I
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: don't think their offense is that good and I think
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: both of these teams have weak hitting at the bottom
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: of their lineups. I'm not convinced that the Yankees are
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: the worst offense here. I don't even think they are.
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna kind of take all those stats with
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: a little bit of grain of salt here and we
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: get Cam Schlittler on the mount here. He's got a
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: one point six to two ERA and a really low
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: point four to eight whips so far. In fact, he
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: has no walks on the entire season so far in
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: three starts. The Yankees have one, all of them in
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: sixteen to two thirds in he he's only allowed eight
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: hits and he has twenty two strikeouts. I mean, these
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: are like borderline elite numbers here. It's just that he
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone too deep into these games, but it seems
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: like they're kind of keeping him on a pitch count
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: and they've let him go more pitches in every outing,
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: so they're kind of ramping him up, and I think
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: they're gonna let him go deeper.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Into these games.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: And he's been good against Tampa Bay in the past
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: and twenty five at bats eight to two strike out
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, two hundred batting average, five seventy nine ops allowed,
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: So he has done well against Tampa Bay in a
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: limited sample size. He's going up against Drew Rasmussen, and
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: I know Rasmussen is pretty good. One point eight whip
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: or one point eight eer whip would be awful. One
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: point eightdra a point eight whip he's good, yeah, no
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: doubt about it. But he is the guy that is
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: on like an inning count, like they literally just pull
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: him after five innings regardless of what he's doing.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: And yes, he's done well so far.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: It was impressive that he was able to pitch well
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: against Milwaukee. He's got a ten to one strike out
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: walk ratio so far. All that's good. I agree with
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: all that. And if you look at his numbers against
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: the Yankees, those are also good.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: So what am I doing here? Like, you know, I
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: should be playing an under here? Right?
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: Sixty three at twenty two to eight strike out walk
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: ratio against the Yankees, one seventy five batting average allowed.
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: In five thirty seven ops.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: He has really good numbers against the Yankees, no doubt
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: about that. But I think Schlitzler is gonna outlast him
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: in the game. I think we get the bullpen edge here.
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: I think we get the motivational edge. I think we
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: get the hitting edge. And I'm gonna detro I'm gonna
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: like downgrade Rasmussen in this game as well, because look
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: at his game log. The last time he pitched was
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: April first, So that's gonna throw him off of his schedule.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: But also why is that the case?
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Why did he not pitch when he was supposed to
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: do on like April seventh or whatever it would have been.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: So, first of all, the pitchers, you know, their creatures
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: have habits.
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: When you throw them out of there, like you know,
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: out of their rhythm here and put them on like
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: a different rest, sometimes that will affect them negatively and
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: that's not good. But why did he miss his start here?
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: It wasn't an injury. And I'm gonna tell you, we're
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: gonna we're gonna take something from the UFC handicapping that
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: it's a big thing in the in the fights you
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: have see him boxing. We're gonna fade the baby in
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: this starting pitching matchup here. I think it works in
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: anything that's heavily focused on the individual.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Jurrasspus his wife just.
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: Had a baby. That's why he missed the last game.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: He's been on paternity leave. And I think that's a
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: massive distraction. You have a new baby. You know, basically
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: you're not getting any sleep. You have to deal with
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: the baby, you gotta deal with whatever's going on at home.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: I think it's a major, major distraction here. So we're
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: gonna do that here. We're gonna fade Rasps it's baby,
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: and we get these other advantages I already talked about
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: Yankees is the play in this one. Actually I like
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: this one a lot.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: Actually, it's not often we get to do this, and
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: it's not often that I sometimes I don't even know
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: when these pictures have babies, but in this case, we
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: do know. So we're doing it. Fade the baby, Yankees
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: is the play. Fuck off, Fuck the Yankees. I hope
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: they lose anyway. Don't come in here praising the fucking Yankees.
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: They're fucking evil empire, evil organization, basically fucking cloud. Dude,
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: mister Pinsey, you're in you're additionally a clown because you're
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: not even from New York. So why the fuck do
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: you even root for the Yankees. Like, I'll at least
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: respect people that root for the Yankees because they're from
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: New York and that's just what you do, all right, fine,
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: But if you root for the Yankees for like no
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: other reason other than the fact that, oh they've won
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: the most world series whatever, fuck right off with that shit.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: Fuck the Yankees, square play. It means that, uh, basically,
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: it means that it's a public side, and like it
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: looks like you're being baited into that play, and it
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: looks way too easy to make that play. Although the
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: Yankees might be kind of a square side in this
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: one too, but uh, well, I guess I would say,
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know, it's hard to say what it really means,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: but I guess if the professionals are on the Yankees,
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: it's not really a square side.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: I think It's like it's a side where basically the
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: public is on it and the professionals are not. I
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: guess I would say, all right, fine, I'll give you
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: a pass for that. Then if you inherited the fandom
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: from your father, that's fine.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: But fuck the Yankees first five under. I don't really
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: disagree with that.
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: The money is somewhat coming in on the under total
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: seven and a half in that game, eighty percent of
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: the tickets on the over, eighty four percent of the
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: cash on the under.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: A lot of money.
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: Looks like it's indicating on the under in that game.
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree, but again I told you why. I
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: don't like Rasmussen in that game, So that kind of
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: keeps you away from wanting to play that game as
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: an under, and I like you. I would not include
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: the bullpens either. Tampa Bay's bullpen is trash right now,
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: all right, White Sox and Royals, Man, this I want
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: to get this show done.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: Man. This is yeah for Zach. The Royals.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: They're on the vergeon of Sweet Peer and what did
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: I just tell you? They have Detroit next, So Kansas
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: City could definitely be looking ahead here and they could
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: overlook the White Sox who or actually it's not a
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: sweet my mistake, they've won two of three. Sorry, my mistake,
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: but still it's there's a potential after shutting out the
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: White Sox two games in a row, maybe they do
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: look ahead to Detroit here who is the next team
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: that they play? So you know, maybe the White Sox
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: have some sort of motivational edge year. We're gonna look
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: at the pitching in a minute, though, as you could
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: probably already tell just looking at it, I don't like
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: the White Sox chances with that starting pitching matchup they
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: have there, if you even want to call it a
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup. As far as the bullpens, the Royals
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: bullpen has been a disaster so far, which kind of
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: surprised me because they were pretty good last year. White
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: Sox have also been bad, so we have two bad bullpens.
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: The Royals offense has been the better offense here. The
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: White Sox are dead last in ops. The Royals are
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: based in the bottom third, but not as bad. Yeah,
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: but the Royals have a better offense than the White
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: Sox at least, so you know, I'm gonna give the
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: Royals an offensive edge in this one. Because the White
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: Sox are pretty much trash on offense. White Socks only
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: US two relief pitchers yesterday, but I don't trust their bullpen,
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: and I think their bullpen is gonna be doing a
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: lot of work here. Plus Kansas City only US one
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: relief pitcher yesterday. Based on what happened last year, I
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: think Kansas City probably has the better bullpen here.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: Even though they've been a disaster this.
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: Season, I still trust them more than Chicago's bullpen here.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: Grant Taylor is also getting the start for the White Sox,
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: so they're going with a bullpen game here.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can look at his numbers and whatever,
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: but he's gone basically one inning in every one of
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: his outings, so he's gonna be an opener in this game.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: And he last pitched three days ago, so you know,
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: he's not getting a starter's workload here. So that means
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: you're getting this trash White Sox bullpen for the majority
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: of this game. That doesn't look good to me. His
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: numbers against the Royals also stink, for what that's worth.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: They're eight for fifteen off him, although no extra base hits,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: four strikeouts, no walks, Still with no extra base hits.
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: They still have a one thousand and sixty seven OPS
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: five point thirty three average off of small sample size.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: But he has not had success against the Royals, and
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: the last time out when he pitched against them for
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: about an inning or an inning in a third, he
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: escaped not allowing any runs I think, but he allowed
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: like two hits put multiple guys on base.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Still not good.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Noah Cameron, off to a pretty
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: good start this season one point six to ninety R
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: one point one to three whip. Pretty talented, you know,
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: young lefty pitcher here. I don't think he's like the greatest,
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: although I did say that he is the second best
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: starter in the Royals rotation behind uh Reagan's, which maybe
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: I'll stick by that, although I think their story rotation
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: is actually kind of good to be honest, I think
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Waka is solid and goes under the radar.
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: I think Lugo is.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: Better than than the professional betters like like to claim
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: he is. Cameron has attended to strike out walk ratio
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: so far hasn't gone too deep into these starts, but
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: still he's been pretty good so far. But against the
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: White Sox he has not been good in twenty seven
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: at bats two to one strike out, walk ratio three
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: seventy average, allowed nine to eighty five ops. It's you know,
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: it's a very small sample. Like, I don't think Cameron
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: is really gonna be that bad in this game, would
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: be my guess, Like I think the Royals have some
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: advantages here, I would lean towards the Royals here still,
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: even though they might have that look ahead component to this.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: But I just don't see how a White Sox bullpen
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: game is gonna be able to outplay Noah Cameron. Plus,
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: you know Kansas City's bullpen that I think has more
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: room for improvement here. Uh down from minus one ninety
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: one seventy four on the money line for Kansas City
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: here they're a public side though ninety three percent of
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: the ticket ninety nine percent of the cash on them.
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's an accurate number, but I would
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: probably lean towards Kansas City in that one. I don't
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: even know what the best approach would be, like, I
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: guess maybe just Kansas City run line split the bet
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: run line money line. I don't want to play the
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: game though, I don't have any other baseball players on
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: this board. So we have two after noon plays here,
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: and I'm already getting really worried about the Twins play,
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: which is really about current form and which pitcher is
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: the more overrated one an overvalued one? Washington at Milwaukee Milwaukee,
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: they're on the verge of getting swept and the lost
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: four games in a row. I still don't think Washington
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: is a good team. I think Milwaukee is gonna show
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: up with focus here. Man, you do not want to
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: get swept at home by the Washington Nashital's all right,
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: So I think Milwaukee is going to have an effort here.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: You're gonna have to pay a price for it, though.
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: But as far as the bullpen's, Washington's bullpen is really
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: really bad.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: I think I just gave away what some of my
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: plays are there.
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: Washington used three relief pitchers yesterday, but there's still they're
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: a train wreck of a bullpen. Milwaukee on these two
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: relievers and they use them for a very small amount
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: of pitches. So Milwaukee pretty clearly has a bullpen advantage here.
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: They've been an okay bullpen. Where are they at? They're
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: like middle of the pack Milwaukee is Washington is in
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: the bottom four. So yeah, Milwaukee pretty clear bullpen advantage.
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee has been sixth offensively based on the ops here.
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: Washington has been third though, But still I don't know
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: if I still don't know if I buy these early
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: season numbers with Washington.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Man, they're hitting well right now.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: But Milwaukee at the very worst, Milwaukee can match Washington
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: offensively and started pitching. I think we do have an
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: advantage with Milwaukee here as well. Zach Lttel is pitching
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: for the Nationals. Three point six era looks good, one
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: point five whip doesn't look good at all. He is
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: putting too many guys on base, and you look at
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: his numbers seven to five strike up walk ratio.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: That's a problem, dude, which kind of.
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: Surprises me because Lttel usually what he does is puts
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: he puts too many pitches over the plate. Usually he
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: gets hit too hard, which he has a lot of
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: two of them runs this year too.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: Both at Philadelphia.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: But usually he doesn't walk that many guys, and this
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: season he's walked way too many, like a seven to
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: five strike up walk ratio. Again, that is pretty untrust
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: forth the stuff here, man, So I don't trust Latel here.
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: Although his numbers are actually good against Milwaukee, had sixty
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: six at bats, thirteen to four, strike out walk ratio
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: one sixty seven average allot four to seventy two.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: Oh ps.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that does give me some hesitation as far as
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: wanting to fade Lattel here. But I think people might
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: overrate him because of his era, and people are gonna
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: look on the other side with Brandon Woodruff and see
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: that he has a five point nine to one ray
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: and think that he's worse than Lattel.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: He's not. He is definitely better than the Tell.
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: He does have a one point three to one whip,
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: so I know those numbers are bad so far, but
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: really it's such a small sample size. It was one
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: questionable start against the Red Sox, which somehow the Red
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: Sox still lost that game. I'm gonna give him a
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: little bit of a pass for that. It was kind
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: of a blip. I think if you look at Woodroff,
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: his career numbers are really good. He bounced back really
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: nicely last year from coming back from injury after he
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: missed like an entire season. He's a good pitcher. He's
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: definitely better than the Tell. We have this matchup of
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: the of the two red beards here. They both have
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: red beards, the Pirate. It should be the Pirates if
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: they're both red beard woodroof against the Washington pretty good numbers,
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: thirty six at bats, sixteen to zero, strike a walk,
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: Razio really good, one ninety four average allowed six thirty
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: nine ohps. Is higher than you would think because he
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: has allowed three home runs to them. But still I
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: think that's a little bit more fluky, kind of a
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: small ish sample size. But I think you get the
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: motivation and you get the advantage and basically every aspect
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: of that game with Milwaukee. So I like Milwaukee to
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: get that game. Uh they're a huge favorite though, up
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: from minus one seventy to minus.
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: Two point fifteen.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: Still, I think if you play it, I think you
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: gotta lay the run line with Milwaukee. That's probably what
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: I would do in that game, ninety three percent of
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: tickets and cash on them. I think you want to
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: take advantage of everything in that game, including the bullpens
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: and whatever.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: So that's probably what I would do.
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you wanted to go Milwaukee over their
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: team total, maybe that makes sense when the money is
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: hitting the under in that game and based on the
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: fact the latel matches up well against Milwaukee. I do
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: see the arguments for the under, and it's a pretty
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: strong market read on the under there. So I would
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: go first five innings if I was gonna go under
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: in that game, though, because the bullpens, especially Washington is you.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Don't want to include that in and under.
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: You know, but the total has dropped to eight juice
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: to the under, seventy nine percent of tickets on the over,
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: six of the cash on the under. I lean under
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: first five innings, but I still probably prefer Milwaukee to
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: win that game.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: That's and run line is probably the way I would
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: go under first five and in which game I would
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: not do that?
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: In the In the White Sox Royals, I would not
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: do that. Yeah, no way.
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: Like Noah Cameron, he still has bad numbers against the
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: White Sox and the White Sox are going with a
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: bullpen game. If that's the game, If that's the game
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: you're talking about, there's no fucking way I would do that.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: Boston at Saint Louis my Boston Red Sox. They did
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: win yesterday, so this is the rubber match in the
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: series here. I forget I gotta figure out one of
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: these series is continuing tomorrow, and I forget which one
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: it is. Actually, I can look right here. I guess
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: Houston and Seattle, I think is what it is. I
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: think that's the only one. Yeah, yeah, I believe that's right.
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: Houston and Seattle is the only Yeah. Weird that they're
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: going through the weekend and playing on Monday.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Very weird anyway.
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: Red Sox got the seven to one win yesterday against
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis. You know, I don't know if I love
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox in this one, even though it is
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: a the rubber match here, so probably both teams will
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: show up here. Saint Louis has had a pretty bad
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: bullpen this year. Their bottom several bullpen. Red Sox have
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: a bullpen edge them in middle of the pack, but
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: pretty clearly have the better bullpen here, although if we
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: look at the bullpen rest scenario, the Red Sox did
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: use four relief pitchers yesterday, which is not great, but
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: so did Saint Louis, so got it tilt the scales
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: towards the Red Sox for the bullpens there. Red Sox
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: offense has not been doing too well. They're somewhere kind
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: of middle of the well, they're sort of middle of
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: the pack, bottom third ish right now. Still think there's
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: a lot of room for offensive improvement there, and the
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: Red Sox should fire Alex Korra because they clearly have
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: some offensive talent on the team.
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis has been the better of.
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: The two offenses so far this year, which is pretty shocking.
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: But I don't think they're that good in the middle
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: of the pack here. I'm not even ready to say
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: that Saint Louis even has the better offense here. But
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: Brian Beao is pitching for the Red Sox, and you
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: know I don't like him. Nine e ra two point
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: five whip. These are horrible numbers, Yeah, I mean his
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: underlying metrics. Like people think that he's good based on
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: his surface numbers that you've seen, like basically just his
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: era over the last year or so. But I could
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: tell you his whip was too high, puts too many
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: guys on bas His underlying metrics are terrible. The advanced
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: analytics guys hate him. He has a seven to seven
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio so far and is allowed more
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: hits than innings pitched and one run an inning. You
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: can't do or yeah, more than one run in any
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: but one earned run in any you can't do that, man,
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: Even though I know it was against Houston and Milwaukee
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: and those are two of the top offenses so far
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: this year. So he's actually getting to step down in
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: class to face Saint Louis here, but he's still in
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: horrible form. I don't trust him at all against Saint
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: Louis's numbers are not terrific and seventeen at bats though,
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: so it's a small sample. Two thirty five average is
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: pretty good, but eight sixty six ops that's a high
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: ops that he's allowed. They're four to one strike out
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is fine, but I don't trust Bao. I
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: don't trust Andre Paillentte for Saint Louis either though, even
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: though people are gonna look, oh, he has a one
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: point eighty r he must be good.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: No, he's not.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: One point three. Whip is pretty lousy. He puts too
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: many men on base. In fact, he has more walks
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: than strikeouts, which is really damning. Seven walks five strikeouts,
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: that's not good. I know he's only allowed two runs.
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: I know he shut out the Mets for five innings.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: You can't put this many guys on base and get
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: away with it. Although he hasn't allowed that many hits,
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: but I don't think he's a very good pitcher. Red
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: Sox have twenty six at bats against, a four to
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: four strikeout walk ratio, two sixty nine average and eight
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: twenty eight ops, so Red Sox have decent offensive numbers
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: against him. This I mean, I think the way to
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: look at this game is to go over the total.
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: Even though the Red Sox do have a decent bullpen,
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: you got at least one bad bullpend here. The bullpend
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: rest scenario is not particularly good. I don't like either
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher here, so I think over the total is
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: the move here. The total is nine, which is pretty high.
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: It's high for a reason, especially in Saint Louis, which
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: is kind of more of a picture friendly ballpark. We
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: have fifty three percent of tickets and ninety four percent
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the under. Though the money coming
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: out in the under makes no sense to me at all,
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: I lean over here. I think that's actually the better
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: way of playing this. The money is indicating towards Saint
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: Louis as well. Don't really have a huge disagreement with that,
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: I mean I think Bao does sock so Red Sox.
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: You know, Bayo on the road probably should never be
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: a favorite. They're down for minus one twenty five to
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty one. The Red Sox are fifty to
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: fifty on the tickets, fifty two percent of the cash
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: on Saint Louis money, indicating.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: On Saint Louis.
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: Still, I think the stronger opinion for me is over
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: the total there. Like I said, uh, Pittsburgh at Chicago
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: at the Cubs, this is crazy, dude. We saw six
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: and a half as the listed total in these games
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: the first two games of the series, and now we're
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: seeing a twelve and a half. Like, seriously, you're telling
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: me the wind has that much of a dramatic effect
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: in this stadium, and usually you see it go between
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: like seven and ten and a half. Basically, now we're
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: seeing six and a half to twelve and a half.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: That's insane to me.
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: So obviously this means the wind is blowing out in
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: Wrigley here, and that Lake effect wind is strong. So
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: do it that information what you want, but obviously this
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: means the wind is blowing out. Although we see sixty
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: one percent of tickets and only sixty percent of the
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so the money is kind of
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: fading that initial move towards the over there. But when
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: a total is that high, as I always say, it
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: is high for a reason, maybe it is over adjusted though.
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: Now the Cubs are trying to avoid a sweep here,
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: so as what I think is the better team the
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: Cubs at home in a situation where they're t to
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: avoid to sweep, I think you do have a motivational
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: edge on the side of the Cubs here as well,
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: and that might be the way to look in this game. Ohough,
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: the Cubs have been struggling so far, and they used
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: five relief pitchers yesterday, so I don't like to see that.
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: It might have been an extra inning game Pittsburgh used
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: even more. Pittsburgh used six, although they only use soda
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: for one pitch, but still that is a pretty burned
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: out Pittsburgh bullpen there. So the bullpens, you know, the
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: bullpens are pretty fadable in this game here, So I
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: would not want to be in an under in this game,
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: I'll tell you that much. Looking at the bullpens here Chicago,
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: the Cubs have been This is offense, my mistake. Cubs
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: have not hit well so far this year. Pittsburgh has
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: had the better offense. Cubs bottom third, Pittsburgh basically top third.
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: I expect those numbers to kind of move back towards
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: some sort of mean though, Like I don't think the
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: Cub's offense is like, way way worse than Pittsburgh's, but
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: that has been the case to start the season for
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: the bullpen numbers here, the Cubs are middle of the
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: pack here.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Pirates swear they they're also middle of the pack.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: So we have two kind of mediocre bullpens here, so
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: you don't like to see that they're both unrested. Bubba
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: Chandler pitching for the Pirates, I've been singing his praises, man,
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: because he looked good last year. I thought he was
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: just kind of shaky because of the nerves in his
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: first outing, but he didn't even allow a hit. He
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: walked a ton of guys though, but we still got
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: to win with our play on Pittsburgh and that one
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: against the reds Now. The problem is he's coming off
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: an all an equally shaky performance, actually a worse performance
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: against San Diego, which is not good because they haven't
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: been hitting well at all, So Chandler really worries me
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: Looking at his numbers last year, he looked good. He
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: does have ten strikeouts in eight and two thirds innings
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: so far this year, but ten walks that can't happen.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: You cannot walk that many guys. I mean, he's been
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: very difficult to hit pretty much, but the walks are
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: just insane. You cannot do that. His three point one
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: two whip or three point one two whip would be
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: so bad. Three point one two era looks good, but
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: one point seven to three whip. I can't trust him
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: right now, man, even though I did trust him in
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: his first outing. I think he's gonna get better again.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: I think he has a lot of talent, to be honest,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: and we saw that last year. Maybe he will start
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: improving here though, because the Cubs only can fort I
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: was ever faced it before. He's zero for two of
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: the strikeouts, so Chandler should have an extra advantage here
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: and that he hasn't been seen before. And he still
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: is a talented young pitcher. He's going up against a
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: much more familiar pitcher in Jamison tie On. He's off
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: to a good start to the season though two point
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: five to three ERA, one point two.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: To two whip in two starts.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: His strikeout walk numbers aren't that great though, seven to
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: four not a high strikeout rate really, but overall his
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: numbers are pretty decent. Hasn't allowed that many hits either,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: So yeah, tie on. I mean, he's been good for
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: years at this point, Like he's a solid pitcher to
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: throw in like the middle of your rotation, you know.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: I don't have too many concerns with him. Pirates are
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: familiar with them. One hundred and three at bats, seventeen
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: to seven strike a walk ratio. That's not a good ratio,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: but two thirty three average a lot six twelve ops allowed,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: so he has pitched pretty well against them for the
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: most part. So that does give me hesitation towards looking
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: at an over here, because I think the starting pitching
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: matchup actually looks good. But what that does mean is
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: maybe there's some serious value going under in the first
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: five innings in this game. I don't want anything to
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: do with the bullpens, but under first five innings kind
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: of makes sense to me in this one.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: You'll probably get a big total on that one.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know it's probably gonna be six, maybe five
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: man maybe five and a half, but that's still pretty
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: big for given what this pitching matchup is. But then again,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: you do have to worry about the home run ball
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: with the wind blowing out and whatever, and that could
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: wreck you. But I do think there are arguments for
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: a first five under here. Cubs are minus one twenty
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: nine on the money line with some money indicating on them,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: even though they drop for one thirty five, eighty three
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and ninety percent of the cash
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: on them. I like I said, I don't disagree with
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: the Cubs in this game though, even though Chandler, I mean,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: he could pitch well here, he's got talent, he's unknown
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: to the Cubs, so I can't really do it. But
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna slightly lean to the Cubs here just because
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get an extra You're gonna get
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: extra motivation out of them, and Chandler really has not
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: been in good form with all those walks, So I'll
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: agree with the Cubs in that game. Don't want to
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: put it on my card though, Bubba Chandler, Yeah, he's
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: from the South Man, He's from North Carolina, so he's
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: got a very southern name, North Carolina. A lot of
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: good pictures come out of North Carolina. I'm pretty sure
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: Colorado at San Diego this San Diego is looking to
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: get a four game sweep here, so they might overlook
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: Colorado at this point.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: Maybe they start looking ahead.
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: They play Seattle next after a day off, which you know,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: maybe they do look ahead to that. Seattle's starting to
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: play like people thought they would. Colorado hasn't put up well.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: Colorado really did put up a fight in the first
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: two games of the series, and then yesterday. I don't
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: think they did quite as much. But the first two
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: games were a lot closer than they looked on the
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: score bore. The first one went into extra innings, it
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: was a walk off Grand Slam for San Diego, and
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: then the other game was tied.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: In the ninth inning.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: I think the second game, although yesterday's game I think
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: got a little bit more out of control for Colorado.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: Colorado is still not a good team. They used three
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday San Diego used three as well or four.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, but Adam only pitched. I only had four pitches,
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: so he might pitch again. I think you have to
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: give the Podres the bullpen edge here. I'm looking at
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: offense right now, though their offense has started climbing after
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: they were at the bottom, complete bottom, like a couple
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: weeks into the season. But finally we're seeing some life
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: out of the Podres.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's because.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: They're playing against the Rockies, but they've moved up to
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: on the fringe of being kind of a middle of
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: the pack offense, which is maybe more what you expect
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: out of them. Colorado has actually been good offensively this year,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: but they've started to drop a little bit.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: They're now ninth. I don't think their offense is that good.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: Maybe it's a little bit better than San Diego, so
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's that significant. Colorado's sixth in bullpen whip,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: which I don't really buy that. San Diego's right behind them,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: but I think san Diego pretty obviously has the better bullpen.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: They did use a little bit more of theirs yesterday,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: but I give San Diego a bullpen as I mean,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: Plus they have the best closer in baseball with why
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: do I forget his name already, Mason Miller, and he
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: did not pitch yesterday, but if things go well for
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: San Diego, they shouldn't even need him. But as you
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: can see these, I'm already starting to have problems with
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: wanting to fade San Diego here, even though motivational. Yeah,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: they could look right past Colorado after beating them.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: Three games in a row.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: You're probably gonna get extra effort out of Colorado here,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: but I don't know if we could do it in
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Man. San Diego is a pretty clear well. I think
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: they have the bullpen edge.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's clear, but I think they
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: do have a bullpen edge slightly, although maybe maybe it's
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: not enough. Maybe I take that back. Maybe there are
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: some reasons to still lean Colorado here. Kyle Freeland is
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: pitching for Colorado. He's actually been good this season so
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: far two point three ERA, one point zero nine whip.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Based on his career numbers and the fact that he
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: pitches in course field.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna continue.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: But he gets to pitch in San Diego here, which
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: is much more pitcher friendly, and their offense still hasn't
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: been that good, but they've hit.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: Him pretty well. They are very familiar with them.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: One hundred and ninety four at bats against him, thirty
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: five to seventeen strike a walk ratio, way too many walks,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: although a ton of them are Machado and Bogart, so
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: maybe he kind of pitches around those two guys. Two
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: eighty four average allowed, seven eighty five ops allowed, not
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: really good numbers there. Kind of looks like you kind
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: of expect San Diego will be able to get to him.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: Nick Pavetta is pitching for San Diego. His era looks bad,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: five point five to four, one point three to eight whip.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, his numbers are not good so far, but
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: I think pretty clearly he's the better pitcher over Freeland here.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: He had a really bad start to open the season
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: against Detroit, and he's settled down fine since then this
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: month and two starts one point eighty ra thirteen or
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: sixteen to three strike out walk ratio, five hits allowed
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: in ten innings, so he has obviously settled down.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: He was really good at home last year.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: I don't expect Pavetta to pitch poorly here, but his
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: numbers against Colorado are surprisingly bad. But some of this
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: might be a course fields, so you kind of have
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: to take it with a little bit of a grain
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: of salt because I think some of these numbers, yeah,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: are in that bad pitching environment. Fifty at bats twelve,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: three strike at walk rations fined three sixty batting average allowed,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: one thousand and seven ops allowed.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, maybe maybe you can't fully.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Trust Pavetta, but I do think he does have an
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: edge against Freeland here. Minus two twenty five is what
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: San Diego is up to here. Maybe that is too
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: heavy a price to lay with San Diego though, I mean,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: they're not like an elite team here.
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: Ticket's only fifty eight percent of the cash on San Diego,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: so the money is indicating against them.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: It's a low total.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: It's seven and a half as well, because it is
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: a picture friendly park, there is the potential that both
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: pictures do well. Although I worry about the matchup numbers.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: Like I said, you know what, I think the better
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: way is actually to agree with the market here, and
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: the better approach is to lean towards Colorado and grab
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: them on the plus one and a half run line
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: here full game.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: Actually, that is.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: Probably what I would look to do there, to try
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: to put in a big effort here and try to
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: avoid the sweep, but.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away from it.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm really worried about this Minnesota first five now.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not liking it at all. I think the Yankees
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: is the better play here. I think I fucked up
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: with this Minnesota play. I hate this year. When the
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: market completely shifts like that, that's gonna be a loser.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: So yeah, act accordingly there.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: The Broncos owners now own the Rockies partially. I mean, yeah,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: there's potentially for the Rockies to get better.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: How could they be? How could they how could they get.
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: Worse from being historically bad, It's like impossible for them
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: to not get better. They're better already right now. But
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: there's still a last place team in this division. In
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: my opinion, they're tied right now with the Giants, but
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: I think Colorado is going to wind up in last
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: place again.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: Houston and Seattle. Houston is on.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: A bad slide. They've lost six games in a row.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: They haven't been hitting as well. Last two games they
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: did actually hit better again, but they're pitching failed them
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: as well in the last couple of games. Seattle is
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: a pretty good pitching team, but you know, Houston might
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: put in a bit of extra effort here because they've
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: already lost two games in the series. But again, I
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: did say these teams are playing tomorrow too, so this
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: is not the sweep avoiding spot yet, but still Houston
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: might have a little bit extra motivation here. As far
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: as the bullpen's, Seattle clearly has a better bullpen, but
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: they did use five relief pitchers yesterday. Houston I think
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: used a bunch too. Yeah, Houston used five. Houston's bullpen
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: has been a train wreck. They're dead last in bullpen.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: I think in both ERA and WHIP they've been absolutely awful,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: and Seattle has been a top few.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: Whoops, I'm not looking at bullpen's.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: Seattle is a top three bullpen right now in WHIP
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: and probably also an ERA. But I like to look
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: at WHIP obviously because that tells you how many people
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: they're putting on base, and it eliminates the luck factor
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: a little bit.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: As far as hitting, Houston has been really good.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: Still hitting their number two in hitting, Seattle is the
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: second worst.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: But I do think that there's room for those to
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: regress a little bit.
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: Like, Yeah, I think Houston is the better offense, but
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's as crazy as what those numbers
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: make it look like it is. Cody Bolton is pitching
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: for the Astros here. Michael Bolton folks.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: A great name. Great name. I don't know.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: I was gonna make an office space reference, and your
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: name is Michael Bolton. Cody Bolton, I mean, he's kind
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: of a converted reliever. Hasn't really gone deep into these
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: starts here did go did almost go five innings at
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: Course Field in his last outing, and he pitched okay,
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: So I'll give him credit for this three point six
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: eight era so far this year one point two to
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: three whip. I mean, those numbers are not bad, so
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: you know, it's not like he's been horrible. But I
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: don't really fully trust him because again, he's a converted reliever.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know, he's twenty seven. He's kind of he's
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: kind of a mystery, really, but he's pitching in a
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: pitcher from the park.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: Seattle has not seen much of him.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: Still, you're probablyly gonna get like three four innings out
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: of him, though, would be my guess, although they have
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: been ramping it up, so maybe it is possibly he
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: makes it five innings here. Seattle's unfamiliar with them. Only
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: Donovan and Raley have ever faced him before. Over they
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: are one for one with a Raley double and a
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: Donovan walk off of him, So those are there only
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: at bats off of him. Still, he is he does
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: have the unfamiliarity going for him at least, But I
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: think I would trust Logan Gilbert in this matchup a
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: lot more for Seattle, even though his numbers don't look
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: good so far five point four ERA and one point
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: two to six whip. We know who Gilbert is, dude,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: Like he's been a good pitcher in Seattle's rotation. He
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: always he pretty much always pitches better at home, so
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: he has that going for him here in this game.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: His numbers are a bit skewed because he had a
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: bad start against the Yankees, which wasn't home, but I mean,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: you know it's the Yankees. I think you can give
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: him a pass for that eighteen to three strike out
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: walk ratio this season. That means he does have his
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: command right now. I mean, like those are good numbers,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: good ratio. He's a lot of few, too many hits
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: eighteen and sixteen and two thirds that it's not great.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: Against Houston, his numbers are all right in one hundred
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: and sixty four at bats.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: They've seen a lot of them.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: Forty two to twelve strike at Walker Race, youre two
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: thirty two average allowed, seven h five ops allowed. Those
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: numbers are fine. Like, I'm not gonna say he's bad
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: against them. I think I prefer Gilbert in this game. Actually,
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in on Houston, and you know, the
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: argument for it would be that Houston's gonna have extra.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: Motivation to avoid the sweep here.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: But I still don't see how you could trust Bolton,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: who might exit the game early, and then you get
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: Houston's bullpen up against Gilbert plus Seattle's better bullpen. I
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: just don't understand it. I think I'll lean to Seattle here,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: but the money is not agree with me. Seattle up
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: to minus one fifty eight for minus one forty five,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: fifty one percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: cash on Houston, money pretty strongly indicating on Houston.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: This is part of the reason why I also hate
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: baseball handicapping. Man, Like, I disagree with the market pretty often.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: You know, I'm strongly disagreeing with it in the game
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: that I do have. Yeah, I don't like I just
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: don't like it Texas at the Dodgers. The Dodgers are
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: on the verge of a sweep peer, so maybe they
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: overlook Texas here, and maybe Texas comes with some motivation here.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: But the Dodgers are so good that I thought Texas
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: had a decent shot really winning both of the games
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: so far, and it didn't happen in either one, so
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe it still is the case here. I
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: think they have a decent shot to win this game too,
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: and maybe actually even better than the previous two, because
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: I think you do have a situation where maybe the
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: Dodgers do overlook them. Maybe they're gonna look ahead to
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: playing the Mets starting tomorrow, and the Mets are not
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: off to a good start this season, but that's still
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: probably a pretty big series in the Dodgers' mind because
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: everybody just we pretty much know the Mets are good,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. As far as the bullpens
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: are concerned, Dodgers use four relief pitchers just today, Texas
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: used three. I think Texas probably does maybe even have
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen here, even though if you look at
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: the bullpens so far, the Dodgers been good. Fourth and
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: bullpen Whip. Texas is not far behind at eighth, and
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: I actually think they probably do have the better bullpen.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: They have a better bullpen ERA Dodgers. I mean, if
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: you look at what happened last year, their bullpen wasn't
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: that good, and they have made some changes, but I
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: don't think it's significant enough that they're better than Texas,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: who had like a pretty much elite bullpen last year.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: Almost So.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: Dodgers clearly do have the better offense, though I think
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: that's not in question. Uh, Texas has been middle of
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: the pack offensively and they're kind of going down. So
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: I think, yeah, Texas the one doubt, like the one
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: thing they don't have, Like, yeah, they just don't have hitting.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know how else to word it, but I
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: think Texas does have a starting pitching advantage here and
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: probably the biggest one that they've had in the series.
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: They got Jacob de Gram pitching.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: He's off to another pretty good start this season three
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: point seven two ERA point eight three whip.
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: He did have to pitch.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: Off schedule a little bit because I think he was
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: sick or something, but he's been good. Thirteen strikeouts, one walk,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: nine to two thirds innings fewer than one hit all
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: out per he allowed a home run in each outing.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: But other than that, he's good. I mean, dude, he's
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: gonna make the Hall of Fame. I mean, he's not
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: past his prime yet. Well he's bad. Well, yes, he's
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: past his prime.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: He's not.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: He's not old enough that he's like, you know that
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: he's reached a point where he's just not pitching well
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: anymore anymore. Even I think Scherzer has reached that point,
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: and you know, Verlander obviously has. But I'm not gonna
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: say that about de Grom or Sale yet. Sale pitching
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: today as well. By the way, de.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: Grom good numbers against the Dodgers.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: They have a lot of at bats against, some one
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: hundred and thirty eight at bats, although the vast majority
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: of it is Freeman and Rojas. Thirty eight to thirteen
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio is not terrific for him, but
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: to ten batting average a lot five ninety four ohps
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: good numbers.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: For him generally.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, we just we know he's a good pitcher, Like, yeah,
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think we need to say much more about that.
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Roki Sasaki, who has not been
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: good this season seventy r a one point five to
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: six whip. He's still it seems like he's not that
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: mentally tough, trying to, you know, get used to pitching
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: in the major still, even though he's been over here
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: for a couple of years now. Nine to five strike
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: out walk ratios so far this year, that's not good.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: He just got tagged for six runs against the Washington
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: Nationals in his last outing, multiple walks in both outings,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone deeper than five innings in either. He's he's
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: just not a very trustworthy pitcher right now. His numbers
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: against Texas are good, though small thirteen at bat sample size,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: two to two strike out walk ratio is not good,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: and Higashioka is a home run off, I mean the
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: Japanese on Japanese crime there uh one fifty four batting
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 2: average allout overall, six fifty one ops overall. Those are
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: fine numbers for Sasaki in the matchup. But I think
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: pretty clearly you got to give the edge to de
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: Gram here.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: I like Texas in this game.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: I almost want to add this to my card, Sasaki
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: or the LA down for minus won twenty seven to
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: minus won twenty three here fifty two percent tickets on them,
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of the cash on Texas.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking about it. I mean, I think.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: Pretty clear starting pitching edge here for Texas. LA might
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead on the verge of sweep here. LA
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: looks way too cheap to play them like. It looks
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: like the books are kind of inviting you to play
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: La here, even though the public kind of knows to
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: Graham is better.
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: But you know, should we add this?
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, the money's agreeing with me on this, and
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: it's not agree with me on that Minnesota play.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: Do we add all these plays here? Do we have
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: five plays today?
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: Am I?
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: I'm getting a little bit out of control here. I
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: think I might do it. I like this one, hold on.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, I had my eye on it when I
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: first handicapped this stuff. But yeah, the money is strongly
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: indicating on the Blue Jays, So I am really really
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: concerned about that one. But it is full game at least,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: let me see Texas full game first five. You have
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: to take them as a favorite. You can give them
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: as a decent underdog full game. And I'm not convinced
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers have the better bullpen so full game. I
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: think it's fine here, fuck it, let's do it extra
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: play here.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: There you go.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with Texas Rangers plus one twelve on
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: the money line.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Full game.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: That's the best bet. There you go, classic pitching versus
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: hitting man. All right, last game is the NBC Peacocks
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: Sunday Night game.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: Not used to it not being ESPN.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: Cleveland and Atlanta, both teams are gonna show up him
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: and I believe. According to mgoo last night, if you
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: guys are subscribed to If you guys are Patreons of
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: Tyler Yankee Libertarian Podcast Review, I was on his members
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: only show last night with McGoo. Gotten a huge argument
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: with Magoo, not over sports, though over politics. He is
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: too bluepilled. But he did mention that Cleveland and Atlanta
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: both have not lost a series all season, which I'm
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: gonna take his word for it.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: Atlanta did have a.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: Split series in a four game series they went two
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: and two, but I'll take his word for it. Neither
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: team has lost a series yet, so I think both
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: teams are gonna show up here.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: We got the win with Cleveland yesterday.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: It was a shutout, so maybe there is kind of
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: a bounce back factor here for the Braves after getting
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: shut out at home, and maybe not though, because it's
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: gonna be a tough pitching matchup here.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: I think both pitchers are pretty good here.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: The Braves are still on top of the bullpen standings here. Yeah,
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: I mean they're a good bullpen. I don't know if
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: they're really this good, but yeah, they're a good bullpen.
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is actually pretty good as well.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: They're in the top half right now.
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: They haven't been great, but I still think they're a
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: pretty solid bullpen based on what we saw last year,
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: and we rolled with that yesterday. Cleveland re relief pitchers
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: broad done only for one pitch yesterday, though they didn't
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: really have to use their better relievers or whatever. I
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: don't believe, because it was a game that was a
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: little bit out of hand by the end of it
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: though it was three nothing going into the ninth inning.
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: I think Braves used four relief pitchers yesterday. Still, yes,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: I think you or sorry, that was the as what
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: am I doing here? Braves also used four though Braves,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: you know, their bullpens less rested here. Still I think
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: you know, Yeah, I don't know. I think the bullpens
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: are a bit of a wash here. Hitting wise, Atlanta
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: has had the better offense, and I think that is
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: the case the third fourth Offensively right now based on ops,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is middle of the pack fifteenth, but yes, I
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: think the Braves probably have the better offense. Tanner Biby
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: is pitching for Cleveland here. Three point two ninety ra
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: pretty good so far. One point three to two whip
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: is a little bit high, but we pretty much know
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: who he is at this point, even though his season
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: last year didn't really go that well. But he's a
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: good pitcher. I mean, I think Cleveland still considers them
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: their ace.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: And he is good.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: Maybe he's not total ace material, but I think he's
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: a good pitcher.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: This season, you know, a few too many guys on base,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: mostly via the walk fourteen to five strike out walk ratio,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: too many walks. He hasn't gone deep into games really though,
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: which is kind of an issue. You want to see
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: him go deeper into these games. Man hasn't made it
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: five innings since his season opener, so that's a little
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: bit questionable. Numbers are really good against the Braves, though
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: in twenty nine at bats, they have one hit albe Az,
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: however you pronounce his name, has one double off him
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: and that's it. Seven strikeouts, one walk, yeah, thirty four
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: average allowed, one thirty six ops allowed. That's some good
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: stuff from Biby. So he has really good matchup numbers.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: But he is going up against Chris Sale, who is
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's still elite, but he is
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: still very good. And they keep, you know, rubbing it
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: in my face that he was on the Red Sox,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: which when is this video from? Oh my god? But yeah,
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: Sale is still pretty good, dude. He kind of looks
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: like my man cole Man. You guys remember Cole from
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: Tower Gang. Cole is a Braves fan as well, but
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: Sale has a very similar looking beard.
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: Right now.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: They're both pretty athletic right now. Yeah, I don't know,
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: Cole looks like Sale right now. Sale this season three
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: point nine to forty are a point eighty eight whip.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: That is a really good whip.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: He struggled in his last outing, that was his only
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: bad outing so far.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's a blip. I mean, he's Chris Sale.
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: I mean we know he's good unless he's completely falling off,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: which of course that does happen. Fast sometimes. I don't
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: think it's happening to him yet though he's thirty seven.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: I think it's a blip against Anaheim there on the road.
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: I think he's gonna bounce back. His two home starts
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: are both really good. He's back at home. Overall, he
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: has a sixteen to five strike out walk ration, only
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: nine hits aloud at sixteen innings.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: He's done well.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: The home runs a little bit of a concern, allowing
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: too against Anaheim, but again I think that was just
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a blip there on the radar.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: Good numbers against Cleveland overall, but that's kind of what
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: you'd expect. They haven't seen that much of them, really,
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: fifty two at bats, eleven to four strike a walk
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: ratio two fifty average, allowed six to fifty ops.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: Not a lot of their hitters have faced him, is
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: what I meant to say.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: Six hitters have faced him. I think this game looks
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: like an under to me. That is probably the way
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: I would lean the bullpens. You know they're a little
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: bit unrested, which is a little bit of a question.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: You do still get under seven and a half year,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: as the key number looks like you do have to
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: pay a little bit for it. Under seven kind of
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: makes sense to me. Still, if you want to go
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: first five innings and just focus on the starting pitching,
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: you could do that too, probably looking at a three
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: and a half. If you do that, seventy four percent
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety nine percent of the cash on the
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: under I agree under in this one, the braves are
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: shot all the way up for minus one to fifty
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: five to minus one eighty six, seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of the cash on the braves. I
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: don't have a strong opinion on the side, to be honest,
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: you know, I could.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: See the arguments for it.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: Sale probably still more trustworthy than baby. But you know,
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: with sale on the mound, you're paying too much for Atlanta,
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: I think, which is why the line has gone up.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: Like I think maybe minus one fifty five was cheap,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: but minus one eighty six not so cheap. Like again,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: everybody knows sales really good, so like you're gonna pay
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: a tax when he's on the mound pretty much, so
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: you'll find me not really playing on these teams that
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: have the elite starter there unless like we sawhow get
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: a really good number on it.
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: So that's it for baseball here.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go to hockey next, which is it's a
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: small hockey board today. I'm gonna take a break and
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: then we're gonna talk about NBA. But I think NBA
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: is gonna be quick, even though there are a ton
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: of NBA games. I think I'm gonna breathe through it
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: because it's just it's just stupid NBA. Last game of
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: the regular season, hockey, not yet. There's well, there's one
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: more day of hockey. I think tomorrow. I'll be right back.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: All right, hockey, let's do this. I got one play
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: in hockey. I do have some opinions in hockey as well.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna close some of this baseball stuff here, all right,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: all right, First game up is TNT, HBO, Max, True
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: TV Afternoon Hockey at three pm. It is Pittsburgh and
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: Washington again. But we're flipping venues, so Pittsburgh. We took
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: Washington yesterday and we got the win, pretty easy win
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: at Pittsburgh. So now there is kind of a zigzag
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: component here. You know, maybe Pittsburgh is gonna show up
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: with a little bit more effort after that yesterday. Make
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: some adjustments, but the motivation is still on Washington here,
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: so I'm still gonna lean to Washington here. I don't
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: want to make a play on it this time of
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: the We won on their last two games. But yeah, Pittsburgh,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, they still really don't have anything to play
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: for it.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: They're locked in.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: I think they're pretty much locked into the two seed here.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: They've clinched a playoff spot. They can't catch Carolina. They're
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: twelve points behind them because Carolina won yesterday too. Pittsburgh
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: there are four points ahead of Philadelphia. There are two
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: days left of hockey, but I think they might not
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: be able to fall behind Philadelphia at this point. So, yeah,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh really does not have much to play for other
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 2: than the fact that maybe they do want to play
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: a little bit better than they did yesterday and make
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: some adjustments against what Washington did. Washington's still trying to
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: make the playoffs, though, and I believe the only way
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: that Washington can make the playoffs is to overtake the Flyers.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: So they're three points behind them right now. I think
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: that's the only way they could do it at this point.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: Because the Senators and the Bruins both clinched playoff spots.
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: They're both wild cards because they're in this better division
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: to both in the Atlantic, I'm pretty sure. So it's
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: a very very weird scenario going on here where there's
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: only one playoff spot left still available here and it's
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: going to be either Philadelphia, Columbus, Washington, or the Islanders.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: It's insane, dude. It is insane. Four teams fighting for
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: one spot. But Washington will still be clearly motivated for
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: that reason. I'll still lean that way, but I don't
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: want to play it. And they're all the way up
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: for minus one to fifteen and minus one sixty four.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, we got them as an underdog yesterday, but
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: everybody obviously knows that the only team that has anything
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: to play for now. It looks like maybe Pittsburgh is
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: gonna rest players as well, and maybe they have a
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: worst goalie playing today or something. I lean Washington, but
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna play it at minus one sixty four, uh,
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of tickets ninety four percent.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: Of the cash on them.
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: If you want to do a split bet puck line,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: money line, go ahead, but I'm not gonna do it.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: Boston at Columbus is at the next game. No Montreal
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: and Islanders, I'll talk about next, but this is actually
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: my bet. So we're gonna take the Islanders here. As
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: you could probably figure that out. We faded Montreal yesterday,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: and I know Montreal didn't have a good game.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: You can make the argument they're gonna.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: Want to bounce back from that, but they've already clinched
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: a playoff spot. Now they're traveling to New York and
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: the Islanders are not traveling. So the Islanders played yesterday too,
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: but the Islanders have a travel advantage here looking at
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: the standings. Of course, like I said yesterday, Montreal is
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: already locked into a playoffs. Well they're they've already clinched
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: a playoff spot. But yes, they could jockey for positioning
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: with Tampa Bay. But I don't know how much that's
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: really gonna motivate them here, man, the Islanders are gonna
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: be clearly the more motivated team. We're getting them at
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: a really cheap price here, and even though everybody must know,
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: like they're trying to get into the playoffs here and
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: they're whatever it is, three points back of Philadelphia for
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: that final spot, and the Islanders failed yesterday so I
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna get e an extra motivation here because
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: they're coming off getting shut out at home. Like I said,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: they're staying at home, so that's an advantage. They got
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: shut out by Ottawa. That is an ugly loss, but
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: Ottawa was fighting for a playoff spot too, man, so
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: they ran into another motivated team here. I think you're
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: gonna gonna get an all out effort from the Islanders here,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: and man, that's what I think. Montreal doesn't really have
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 2: a ton to play for. The Islanders are up to
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: minus one twelve. I think that's still a reasonable price
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: for them here. Sixty five percent of tickets on Montreal,
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash on the Islanders.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: I like it. I agree with the Islanders.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: I think it's a bounce back spot for them after
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: a horrible game yesterday. Teams that lose in a shutout
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: at home like that usually are a good player in
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: their next game as well. Like I said, so we're
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: doing it. Motivation is on that side as well. It's
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: a pretty reasonable price. Islanders is my one play. NHL
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: Network has Bruins at Columbus here.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: Bruins lost again yesterday, yet they.
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: Clinched a playoff spot anyway, They had enough of a
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: lead that it didn't matter, and they did not even
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: get a point, didn't take it into overtime. The Bruins
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: had a one nothing lead in the third period and
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: did not even get a point in the game. But
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: it doesn't matter. They're in the wildcard now. So the
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: Bruins probably celebrated a bit because they missed the playoffs
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: last year. I don't think they care which wildcard they are, really,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: like they know they're gonna have to face one of
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: these one seeds. Although you know what, I actually think
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: they should care because I would much rather face Buffalo
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: than Carolina. Carolina is just, yeah, like Carolina is a force.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: I would much rather play Buffalo. So I don't know
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: how it's gonna work out, but we'll see. But yes,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: the Bruins are locked into a wildcard spot. We don't
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: know which one it's gonna be yet, so they don't
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: have a ton of motivation. They could be in a
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: letdown spot. But the hilarious thing is they lost yesterday.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: But even so I think it's still a bad spot
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: because that was a huge game still against Tampa Bay,
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: and now they have to travel to kolomb for this game.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: Why would they want to do that? So, yeah, I
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: don't like the Bruins here.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm almost considering now adding another play here on Columbus,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: but Columbus has had a big win yesterday. I think
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: I'll stay away from it. But nice win for Columbus
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: yesterday against Montreal. We got the win on that. Well,
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: you know what, I'm gonna stay away from it because
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: one problem is Columbus is returning on from a road trip,
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: so I don't love that all though it was kind
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: of a quick ish road trip, still took them to
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: Buffalo Montreal and they're still traveling back from Montreal, so
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I love that. And that was
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: a big win for them yesterday. But clearly the team
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: that has the motivation here because they're two points out
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: of the last playoffs spot. The only playoff spot that's
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: available Columbus, so they still have motivation here where was
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: the Bruins don't really?
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: So I agree with Columbus here.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: They're up for minus one thirty five to minus one
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: forty five, so you are paying a little bit of
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: a price for them, But I would still lean that
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: way fifty four percent of tickets and fifty one percent
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Bruins, so they were a
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: public underdog. It looks like in this case, you know,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: I want no part of those public underdogs man, which
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: kind of includes Montreal as well. So yeah, we are
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: playing the Islanders. I'm gonna stay off of this one.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: But this is my second strongest opinion. I like Columbus
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: in that game, all right, Ottawa at New Jersey. Ottawa
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: clinched the playoff spot yesterday, so they don't really have
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: a ton to play for here.
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're locked into a wildcard spot.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Like Bruins and Senators are both eight games eight
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: points back in Montreal, so they're locked in to the wildcards.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: It's just a matter of which wildcard are they gonna get.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: And I don't think that's a motivating factor really. Autawa's
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: won four in a row, nice shutout of the Islanders yesterday.
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to New Jersey, not a huge.
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Travel spot, but still I think they could be in
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: a letdown mode after that.
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: Ol Mark did play again. In that game, they got
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: a big win, clinch to playoff spot. Yeah, to me,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: it looks like a letdown spot. They have their final
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: home game coming up actually on Wednesday, so hockey does
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: continue through the middle of the week. As far as
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: the regular Sea and the Devils, they don't have anything
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: left to play for. They did just get a big
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: win yesterday themselves in Detroit, though, and they're having to come.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: Back from that.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: They eliminated Detroit from the playoffs with that win, so
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: they probably feel good about that. They took out an
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: original six team. So I don't know if New Jersey's
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: gonna have well, I don't know. I don't know what
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: their effort is gonna be here, but I think it's
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be better than Ottawa's because Ottawa is gonna be
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: They're gonna start looking ahead to playing in the playoffs
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: man New Jersey. This is their final home game of
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: the season. I would lean New Jersey here, Ottawa down
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: for minus one to forty to minus one twenty five,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of tickets on them, fifty four percent
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Devils. I agree lean to
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: the Devils in that game, but not a strong enough
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: opinion for me there. I think both teams are in
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: somewhat questionable spots there. But yeah, the final home game
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: might motivate New Jersey over the top there.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: Vancouver at Anaheim.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: Vancouver, we know they're out of it, so they're just
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: trying to play spoiler. But they played yesterday and they
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: beat San Jose. That was a nice win. I think
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: it was an overtime win as well, so they got
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: to kind of spoil San Jose. Did they eliminate San Jose?
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: Let me say no, San Jose is still live. The
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: Blues and Seattle both got eliminated yesterday though, but still
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: that's a nice win for Vancouver. Yeah, I think they're
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: gonna try to show up here. But a third game
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: in four days and different cities, and again NHL made
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: a team go from LA up to San Jose and then.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: Down to Anaheim.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: It's just bizarre, Like, why wouldn't you schedule a team
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: to play LA and then Anaheim and make the trip easier.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: It makes no sense. We see this constantly in hockey.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: I think, yeah, ideally they're gonna want to get up
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: for this game. But Anaheim is one of the only
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: teams that didn't play yesterday, so Anaheim is a huge
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: restaed year.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: They haven't played since Thursday.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: They beat San Jose as well, and they crushed them,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: which was a big win, but they ended a six
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: game losing streak and Anaheim still has not cluched a
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: playoff spot, so they clearly have motivation here and it's
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: their final home game and they've been better at home.
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: And while yeah, they have a big game on deck
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: against Minnesota whatever, they're gonna make sure they make the playoffs. Man,
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: they're sitting in this weird spot where they're the only
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: team in the top three of a division in the
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: Western Conference, kind of like where the Flyers are that
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: hasn't clinched a playoff spot, and they got to deal
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: with the Kings who are right behind them two points,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: Nashville three points behind them, and then Winnipeg at San Jose.
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: Probably not gonna make.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: It, but they're still not eliminated yet. But Anaheim needs
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: to play because they need to get into the playoffs here. Man,
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: although granted they have you know they can make it,
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: because really it's down to we're pretty much down to
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: three teams fighting for two spots almost here, So Anaheim, Kings,
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: and Nashville, two of those three teams are gonna get
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: in basically at this point. But Anaheim does have motivation
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: and the extra rest here, so I would lean to
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: Anaheim here. But they're a massive favorite. They're minus three hundred.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: I don't see how you could really play them in
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: this game. The total is really high. It's headed towards seven.
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you really wanted to try to take
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: a shot with Anaheim over their team totally, you'd probably
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: be looking at them to need to score four goals
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: in maybe even five in the game.
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I would want to do that.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: That's insane.
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: Uh, seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety two percent of
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: the cash on Anaheim.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe the puck line does make sense.
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I just don't really see much
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: of an angle of an attack angle of attack there.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: You couldn't moneyline parlay Anaheim with some other favorites there
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: to get the price down on it, and you need
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: all of them to win, of course, and book screw
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: you on parlay. So I don't love that either, but
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: I do lean Anaheim, So do with that information what
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: you want to.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: And then Utah at Calgary.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: Utah didn't do well yesterday, even though I thought maybe
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: they would still show up potentially against Carolina, but Utah
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: had clinched a playoff spot the game before that, so
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: they weren't in a particularly motivated spot. This spot is
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: also not particularly motivated going to Calgary Utah I had
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: already been looking ahead to the playoffs. Now they've already
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: clinched and they're I think guaranteed a wildcard spot too,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: So they don't really have a whole lot to play
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: for here. There's no way they can't any of the
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: other teams in their division, Minnesota being twelve points ahead
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: of them. So yeah, Utah is really just kind of
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: playing out the stretch and men, I don't think they
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: care if they drop to the lower wildcard or not.
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: So not a particularly motivated spot for them. Calgary played yesterday,
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: but they were turning over from a road trip, so.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: Not a great spot for them either, a long road trip.
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: They have been away since March thirtieth, so that's not good.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: I talk about these long road trips and teams returned home.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: It's a bad spot, dude. They can get caught. They
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: have stuff to do at home. Maybe they get up
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: for a playoff team like Utah, but they do have
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: two home games left and one of them is against Colorado,
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: This doesn't seem like.
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: A very good spot to me for Calgary at all.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: The return home spot could be a distraction. Like I said,
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: it's a third game in four days, fourth game in
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: six days, all in different cities. They were in Dallas,
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: they're in elevation in Colorado, they're in Seattle. Yeah, I
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: don't love the spot for either team. I think it
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: over makes sense here. The total did go up to
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: SI so that we see seventy one percent of tickets
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of the cash.
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: On the over here.
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: But when you have two teams that really just don't
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: have a ton of motivation and they're both coming in
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: off of playing yesterday, I think it affects the deepfense
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: more than anything else.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: So that's probably what my opinion would be here.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 2: Utah is a pretty heavy favorite, down from minus one
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: sixty five to minus one sixty sixty seven percent of tickets,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of the cash on Utah. I don't have
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: a good feel for the side here. I wouldn't want
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: to do anything with the side in this one. But
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: you know, the the money is indicating kind of against
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: the over here.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: But I still think that's the only way I would
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: look at that game is to go over all. Right, NBA,
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: we have a huge NBA board today. It's the final
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: game of the season.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: But you gotta look at the standings here, you know,
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is this is it like there are
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: there are only certain teams that have motivation here, and
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: the Celtics are clearly not one of them. So we
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: have an ESPN game at six pm which is between
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: the Celtics back cups and the Orlando Magic here. Now, yeah,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: the Celtics are a deep team whatever, and you have
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: to factor in. You know, the number is crazy on
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: Orlando here, but obviously we know Orlando is the only
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 2: team that's motivated here.
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: Orlando is trying to avoid the play in. They still
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: have a chance to get into the.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: Top six here. That's a huge motivator. The Celtics have
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: nothing to play for. Celtics are locked into the two seed.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: They're benching their starters here obviously, because the Magic are
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: a twelve and a half point favorite on the road.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: Can you lay twelve and a half here on the road.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: Against the Celtics. I don't think so. I mean, that
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: line is insane.
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: You know, maybe the Celtics backups will get out there
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: and play well enough to not get blown out of
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: this game. I mean, I have no idea of fifty
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: four percent of tickets to sixtemn percent of the casual
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: on the Magic, though money coming in on the Magic.
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, obviously at that opener at three and a half,
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: that would have been a nice value on Orlando. But
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 2: I don't There's no way you can lay twelve and
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: a half. You just can't do it. I think the
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: Magic are gonna win the game. Obviously, the Celtics have
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: no reason to show up. Obviously at that number, the
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: Celtics are playing none of their starters probably in this game.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: But yeah, it's just, yeah, the game is a total
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: pass for me. Really really difficult to find a way
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: to attack that.
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: Game at all.
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: You know, Orlando over their team total. Maybe the total
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: went all the way up to two twenty one juice
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: to the over, so the money has come in on
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 2: the over. Maybe you could find an angle to attack
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: it with Orlando going over their team total because they'll
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: be motivated and show up. But that does also mean
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: that their defense might show up. Seventy eight percent of
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: tickets only seventy three percent of the cash on the
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 2: over there, But I don't know if i'd want to
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: do that, Like, oh, let's fade the Celtics backups, like
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: it seems almost too obvious to go Celtics under their team.
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: Total, though maybe that will hit. I don't know.
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: I just I don't like the game. But I said
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: I was gonna breeze through this. Let's try to do that.
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: Washington at Cleveland Cleveland, I.
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: Don't think they have anything to play for either.
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're locked into the four seed, so Cleveland has
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: literally nothing to play for either. There's still a favorite
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: because Washington is trash. Washington's already guaranteed the best lottery
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: odds though, so Washington might have reason to actually play
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: better in this game. Washington, Washington has no negative motivation
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: in this one. Maybe they'll show up and try to
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: beat Cleveland. Cleveland's still a double.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: Digit favorite here.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: Cleveland did just lose a win streak losing to Atlanta.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: None of these teams played yesterday, but you know Cleveland again,
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: they're laying double digits here and they are not a
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: motivated team here. But it looks like they're resting some
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: of their guys, because they're down from seventeen and a
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: half to ten and a half here, so I'm guessing
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: probably Mitchell is being rested here. You got to check
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: in and if you really want to play this game,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: I think you're crazy, but you got to see who's
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: in and who's out. Jared Allen has been kind of
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: injured and whatever, so he might not be playing either.
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of ticket sixty four percent of.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: The cash on the Cavs still though at ten and
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 2: a half a team with no motivation here, Yeah, I
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: would lead to take the points of the Wizards.
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: In that one, but do I want to do it? No?
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: And you lost seven points of value on it, so yeah,
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: that's a stay away. The next game up will be
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: my play, though, call me crazy. We're going to take
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: the points with the Indiana Pacers plus fourteen against Detroit.
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: Detroit has had nothing to play for for a while,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: and I know they've still been playing fairly well, but
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, come on, man, they're guaranteed the one seed
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: Cad Cunningham came back. I think Jalen Duran is not
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: playing in this game, by the way, and he's one
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: of Detroit's best players, so I believe he's out.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: Of this game.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: And Detroit's coming off of a pretty satisfying win against
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: a Charlotte team that they might have to play in
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: the first round of the playoffs. That was a nice
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: win for Detroit, and now all they have left is
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: they're going to Indiana. I just don't see where the
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: motivation comes from here to blow Indiana out as the
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: road team here, you know what I mean?
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah again, Yeah, Like, I just don't I don't see any.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: Motivation here for Detroit here, and I think it's kind
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: of a sandwich spot because that was kind of a satisfying.
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: Win over a.
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: Pretty hyped up Charlotte team that's been really hot, and
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: with the playoffs on the horizon, I think it's basically.
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: A sandwich spot.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: And for Indiana, after having a bad season, you know, Indiana,
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: they're more of kind of a proud basketball team, you know.
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, they were in the fucking finals last year,
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: so I.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: Think you're gonna get an effort out of them in
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: their final home game.
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: They just lost a home to Philadelphia.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: It looks like they didn't, like just totally throw that
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: game away, So I think they are playing.
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: With motivation here.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: You know, based on the recent results here, they've won
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: a few recent games, so it looks like they're not
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: totally packing it in, and they get to play Detroit
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: in their final game.
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: They're not playing again after this.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: I think that is a motivator for some of these teams,
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: which you could say the same thing about Washington whatever.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: But I think Indiana's is a better team though. And Indiana,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: I mean whatever, they're gonna get one of the top
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: two or three lottery spots, Like I don't think that
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: is I don't think that means they're gonna stop trying
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: to play here, you know what I mean. I think
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: it's just whatever for them. And actually I don't even know,
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: like what are their t what are their tiebreakers against
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: the Nets? Does it even matter? But they did beat
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: them twice, so they do actually have the tiebreakers. So
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: if Indiana wins, which is unlikely, they could actually overtake
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 2: the Nets if the Nets also lose, which is actually
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: very likely that the Nets will lose. I don't know
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: how likely it is that Indiana wins. Probably they're not
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: going to, but we're taking them to cover the spread here. Again,
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: we're getting a ton of points in a team that
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: you know has a decent, you know, like a proud
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: history in a basketball area of the country that still
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: seems to be playing with motivation against a totally unmotivated
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 2: team that.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: Has things to look forward to.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: It looks like it's mostly thirteen and a halves out
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: there now. Fourteen I saw it like one or two books.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: Thirteen and a half does not much of a difference.
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: I'd still do it.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: Seventy take sixty two the cash on the piston, so
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: the money's agreeing with us here, will take Indiana plus
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 2: the points, and that is my only play in NBA
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: Atlanta at Miami. Whoops, I lost the standings here.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: Let's bring it back up this game.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: I think Atlanta is locked into the five seed because
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: I looked. I think they have the tiebreaker over the
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: Toronto Raptors, and they did win their division already, but
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: I don't think that really matters as far as playoff seeding.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: But I think Atlanta is locked into the five seed.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: I don't think Toronto could overtake them now, so I
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: don't think Atlanta has anything to play for. Miami, I
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: believe could jump Charlotte. I think I think Miami has
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 2: the tie breaker against Charlotte. You can correct me if
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: I'm wrong about this. I believe Miami is a tie
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: breaker against Charlotte, so they do have something to play for,
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: and that they could move ahead of Charlotte, which would
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: mean that they'd host this playing game, which is which
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 2: is better than not hosting it.
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: You get the home court advantage.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: So Miami has a little bit more motivation here, and
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: I think that's reflected into the line because Miami is
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: a four and a half point favorite. Here, they were
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: gonna be a six point dog. Now they're a five
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: point favorite. I think probably that means the Hawks are
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 2: resting guys in this game because they don't have anything
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: to play for here, sixty two tickets, eighty eight percent
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the heat. And by the way,
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: even if the Hawks could drop to the six, I
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 2: don't even think they give a shit about that. They
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: they give a shit if they could drop into the planes,
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: but I'm pretty sure they cannot. So actually, let's make sure.
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: Let's make sure of that real quick. Against Orlando. H
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: the beat Orlando, The beat Orlando, The beater Orlando. Yeah,
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 2: they swept Orlando for.
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: Four to zero.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: So yeah, the worst I think the worst in Atlanta
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: could do is fall to the six Actually, I don't think.
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: I don't think I even looked at what their tiebreaker
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: is against Toronto, to be honest, But I think falling
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 2: to the sixth they don't care, And in fact, I
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: think they might prefer that, because you might prefer an
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know. They probably don't prefer that because four
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: or five, the winner of that is gonna get Detroit,
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 2: and I think you'd rather face Detroit than the Celtics
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: or Knicks. But anyway, I just don't think that's gonna
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: be a motivator for Atlanta here, and it looks like
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: they're resting guys anyway based on this number. So but
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: I would still lay it with the Heat probably if
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play this game. I'm not gonna do it.
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna recommend it, but the money is indicating
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: on the Heat. But again, at five, I think maybe
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: it's a little bit too high of a price. There
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: cash on Miami. I agree with Miami, though Charlotte at
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 2: the Knicks, the Knicks have nothing to play for. I
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: think the Knicks are resting guys. They're locked into the
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: three seed. Now, Charlotte has something to play for because
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they can move into the top
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: playing game. They might be able to, actually, but they
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 2: definitely at least are trying to hang on to the
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 2: home court against Miami here. Charlotte, I think might still
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: be able to overtake Philadelphia too, though I'm not sure
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: about that. But Charlotte does have some motivation here really,
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 2: the Knicks arresting everybody because the the the number is
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: all the way up from seven and a half to
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: fourteen now with the Hornets, and the Knicks look like
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: theresting everybody. But the money is hilariously coming back in
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: on the Knicks sixty percent of tickets on the Hornets.
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 2: You have to be kidding me that the public is
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: laying fourteen with the Hornets, or maybe that was including
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 2: when the Hornets were seven and a half. I don't know, man,
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: I don't think the public is playing the Hornets here
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: at that price. The Knicks have sixty percent of the cash,
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: but I would not take the points with the Knicks though,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: even though the number is obviously ridiculously high, So there's
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: no way I'm gonna lay it with Charlotte here, but
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: then the only team that has any motivation here, So
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 2: do with that information what you want to. But yeah,
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: I mean again, I think it's an over adjustment. Like
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 2: with this Orlando line at Boston, Charlotte at the Knicks,
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: the line I think has been over adjusted. So they
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: give you I don't know, I don't even want to
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: give an opinion on the sides in those games because
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: the the value on the number is on the unmotivated side,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. I hate that Milwaukee at Philadelphia.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia does have motivation.
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: There.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: I think they can maybe I don't know if they
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: can host the top playing or something like that, but
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 2: these teams are all in a cluster right now. Actually,
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia can still get out of the playing because they
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: don't have this PB next to them Peanut Butter.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: They're not stuck in Peanut Butter.
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 2: They're not in the play and they're not guaranteed to
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 2: be in the playe yet, So Philadelphia could actually get
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 2: into the sixth seeds still here. So Philadelphia does have
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: motivation here. But against the team like Milwaukee that has
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: nothing left to play for, you know you're gonna be
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: paying way too much of a price with the Sixers,
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: and Joelle Embiid is out, which I forgot to mention
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: that Philadelphia he's missed their last couple of games because
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 2: he had his appendix out and it looks like he's
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 2: gonna be out for who knows how long. So Philadelphia
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: is without Embiid again, and it's not for it's not
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 2: for a knee injury this time. It's for having his
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 2: appendix out, which it seems to me like you'd recover
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: from that, but again, like it might be a situation
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: where like you can't play again until your stitch is healing,
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean something like that. So I
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: don't know, uh, but Philadelphia will be without Embiid here,
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: So keep that in mind. They've dropped from sixteen to fifteen,
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of tickets eighty two percent of the
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: cash on the Sixers. I would take the points of
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: the bucks if I was gonna play this. I think
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: the line is too high on a Sixers team that
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: everybody knows what they're playing for.
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: I think the line is just too high. Do I
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna lose the game? No?
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 2: Uh, but you know, I think the number is too high.
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn at Toronto kind of the same deal here. We
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 2: know what Toronto's motivation is. They're trying to make sure
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: they don't fall into the play in. They're trying to
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 2: keep themselves in one of the top six spots here.
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: That is their motivation.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn is asked, and maybe Brooklyn is probably the second
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 2: worst team in the NBA to Washington here, will they
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: show up for a final game against maybe because again,
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: these teams like Milwaukee Brooklyn, they're not playing again after this.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: So sometimes you do see teams just get motivated for
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: that last game just because it's their last chance to
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 2: do anything. And you know, guys that you know might
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: be playing for contracts or whatever, it's the last chance
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 2: to show something.
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: Toronto, of course, we know what their motivation is.
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: They just got killed by the Knicks too, which was
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 2: a really ugly result. I meanwhile, probably another reason why
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't want to really play on the Knicks here,
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: even though they're getting a ton of points, is because
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 2: they're coming out that could win.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, but Toronto, this is a ridiculous line.
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: Like I mentioned that thunder line not too long ago,
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: that it was twenty four and a half or whatever.
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 2: It was the largest line in NBA history. I think
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 2: this line is almost that heavy, twenty three.
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: And a half. Like, do you think the Raptors should.
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: Be twenty three and a half against any other team
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: in the NBA? I mean, I know this is this,
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 2: This is Adam Silver's NBA man where he added these
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 2: stupid playings. You have teams, dude, Teams have been eliminated
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 2: from months now, which has led to like horrible basketball
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 2: where you have no teams that are fighting to get
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: into you know, you don't have any team it's fighting
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 2: to get into the playoff picture at all versus being
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: left out, you know what I mean. All the teams
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 2: that are gonna be out have been out for like
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 2: over a month. It's just so uninteresting. Fuck Adam Silver.
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: But also you could see it reflecting on all these
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 2: ridiculous double digit lines that you see for the last
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: month or two of the season. It's just it's such
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 2: a horrible product. But anyway, twenty three and a half,
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 2: that number is too high. Uh, sixty percent of the
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: tickets here and Toronto's not even good at covering as
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 2: a favorite at home generally, So twenty three and a half.
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, come on, sixty percent of tickets on the raptors,
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of the cash on the nets. Low
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: total to it, two nineteen and a half. I would
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 2: take the points of the nets if I was gonna
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 2: play it.
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: I don't want to. But obviously Toronto's a motivated team.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 2: You know, it wouldn't shock me if they wind up
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: if they want up covering still here because the NBA
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 2: is is that lopsided some extent, but that number clearly
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: there's no value on it.
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: It's it's a ridiculous number.
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 2: Chicago had Dallas, both teams finishing the season here. Dallas
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 2: is turning over from a road trip, so possibly you
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 2: could argue it's a bad spot here.
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: They've only been away since.
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 2: Tuesday, though they played their last game in San Antonio,
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 2: so they're staying in Texas here, and you know the
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 2: road trip. He took them into the Pacific Coast, but
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 2: it really wasn't that far of a road trip. And
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 2: it's their final game of the season, final home game,
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: so it's not necessarily a game we're.
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: Gonna overlook the Bulls.
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 2: Both teams are coming off kind of blowout losses, though
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 2: Bulls just lost their final home game. I don't know
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 2: what the motivation is gonna be in this game, man,
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, I wouldn't want to try to figure out
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 2: the side here. And the MAVs are a six and
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 2: a half way favorite. It looks like that's probably the
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 2: case because they are playing with a little bit more
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 2: motivation than the Bulls are. But eighty five percent of
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on the MAVs.
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 2: Bulls might be resting some guys here too, whereas the
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 2: MAVs might not be, so that might be part of
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 2: the reason. But I'd probably go over in this game. Again,
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 2: it's one of those games where neither team is gonna
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: show up with intense, deepfense, probably because neither team's going anywhere.
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 2: But the total is up to two forty eight and
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 2: a half from two forty five and a half, so it.
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: Is a pretty high total there.
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 2: But I still think I would lean that way towards
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 2: the over in that one.
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: Memphis at Houston.
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: Houston's a double digit favor here, but I'm not sure
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 2: if Houston can improve their seeding now the Lakers won
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 2: their division. Now, I don't know, because Houston's one game
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 2: behind the Lakers. I don't know. I don't know if
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 2: they can I can look real quick, I don't know
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 2: if they can actually overtake the Lakers. Now Houston might
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 2: be locked into their seed. Yeah, the Lakers beat Houston
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 2: two out of three, so the Lakers have the tiebreaker.
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 2: Some Houston can. Houston's locked into the five seed. Some
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 2: that sucks because that means they don't get home court
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 2: against the Lakers. So Houston doesn't have anything to play
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: for here. Neither does Memph. Memphis at least it's their
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 2: final game of the season. The money looks like it's
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: coming in on Houston anyway, though, down from sixteen and
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 2: a half to thirteen and a half. Don't really understand
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 2: why the money is coming in on them. They haven't
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 2: been that good at covering at home really, even though
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 2: generally they're good at winning at home, but not really
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 2: covering sixty eight percent of tickets eighty five percent of
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Rockets. I would probably fade the Rockets,
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 2: So I probably lean towards taking the points. Might be
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 2: another game we're gonna over makes sense to twenty five
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 2: and a half, it went down by a point. Sixty
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 2: on the over. I know the Rockets are a good
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 2: defensive team. This is a game it looks like it's
• 1:57:37
  Speaker 2: gonna lack defensive intensity, so the over makes sense to
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: me in that game. Again, it's these boring final regular
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: season games. Man New Orleans at Minnesota is another one
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: of those. Minnesota is locked into the sixth seed, which
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 2: has been the case for a while, so Minnesota, they're
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 2: resting guys, they're trying to get healthy. Anthony Edwards has
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 2: missed some time here. It looks like Trey Murphy is
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 2: not play from New Orleans anymore.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: I think he's out.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, well this is the last game of the season,
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 2: but he's out for the rest of the season. So
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 2: some I'm gonna keep an eye on with New Orleans there,
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 2: but Minnesota looks like everybody is out. Naz Reid is out,
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: Gobert is out, Anthony Edwards is out. Yeah, So Minnesota
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 2: is not playing a lot of their guys here, and
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 2: they're coming off a pretty good win at Houston. By
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 2: the way, So Houston's coming off that tough game where
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 2: they took a loss, but that was also a satisfying
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 2: win for Minnesota, and Minnesota's returning on from a road trip,
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 2: so I don't love the spot for that reason either,
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 2: although they were only away since Tuesday the seventh, but
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 2: could be a letdown spot plus the return home spot,
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 2: plus they're looking ahead to the playoffs already, So yeah,
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 2: I would.
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: Lean to New Orleans in this one.
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 2: New Orleans seems like they are actually playing with effort
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 2: down the stretch here, partially because they don't have a
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 2: first round draft pick. They just they just got killed
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 2: by Boston, but they have been playing with with some
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 2: out of intensity here. Maybe they will because this is
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 2: their last game of the season. It is a very
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 2: low number on Minnesota, but again it's because it's all
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 2: backups for Minnesota. The money's agreement with me on the Pelicans,
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: but you did lose a ten and a half number
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 2: that was out there at some point.
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: It's down to five and a half, seventy two percent
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only fifty eight percent of the cash on
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: the Tea Wolves.
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 2: I would still lean to the Pelicans. I mean, the
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 2: Tea Wolves have zero motivation here. Nobody's playing for them.
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 2: I know it's reflected in the line, but it wouldn't
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 2: actually it wouldn't surprise me if the Pelicans won this
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: game outright, so I'd probably take the points in that one.
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: I don't want to put it on my card though.
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City, neither team has anything to play for.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is locked into the seven, so they'll be hosting
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: the first playing game there or the top playing game.
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City guaranteed the one seed already, so that's been
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 2: the case for a while. No motivation on either side here,
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 2: Devin Booker, I forgot to mention has actually been out
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 2: for Phoenix, so I have no idea if he's back
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 2: or not. No, he's not playing in this game, so
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 2: they're resting them up for the play in probably okay
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 2: See has a lot of guys not playing here, Heart
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 2: and Steam a few of these other guys not playing.
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 2: So that's why Oklahoma City is a small favorite in
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 2: this one, still a favorite at five and a half,
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 2: eighty two percent of tickets ninety three percent of the
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 2: cash on Okasee. You know, I kind of agree with
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City in this one, to be honest, Like their
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 2: backups are just so good, like compared to other teams
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 2: and the Suns or resting players too and neither team
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 2: has any reason to show up here. The money's coming
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: in in the under in this one, though, though usually
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 2: when you have two teams with no motivation, I would
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 2: say over. But it's a very low total of two
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 2: thirteen and a half and money coming in heavily on
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: the under, with sixty four percent of tickets on the
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 2: over ninety four percent of the cash on the under. Yeah,
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't love trying to figure out the
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 2: total year I might slightly lean to the Thunder, but
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 2: this I think this is a pretty unplayable game, though,
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 2: But y'all was slightly into the Thunders because their team
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: is just that deep. Denver at San Antonio is an
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 2: ESPN game, and you know it's supposed to be a
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 2: good game.
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: But this game I don't think matters either.
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: San Antonio, we know they're locked into the two seeds,
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 2: so they don't have anything to play for Denver. I
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 2: don't know if they can fall to the four, but
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but they probably care because they probably
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 2: want to avoid the Thunder in the second round if
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 2: they can help it. Let me see what what what's
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 2: I didn't look at the tiebreaker against the Lakers. The
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 2: Lakers actually have the tiebreaker against Denver, so Denver could
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 2: actually Denver could actually fall to the four seed. And
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 2: maybe again, maybe they do care about that, so maybe
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 2: Denver does show up here.
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: Maybe San Antonio doesn't.
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 2: Denver just beat Okay see though you know, it was
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 2: an Okay Sea team that had nothing to play for,
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 2: but that's still very satisfying and they won kind of
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 2: in a blowout.
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: That's still a satisfying win. There. Oh, dude, did I
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: forget to put the ticker on all all game?
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 2: I apologize man, all show. I mean, yeah, I'm an idiot. Dude,
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 2: I forgot to put the ticker on. I'm such an idiot.
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 2: But yeah, there's the ticker. We'll let it run for
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 2: the rest of the show there. But yeah, we're on
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 2: a fifteen to four run on the show here, san Antonio.
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 2: They literally don't have anything to play for staying at
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: home here, but they've been winning games anyway despite having
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 2: nothing to play for. Wemby might be not I don't
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 2: know if he's playing or not in this game. He's
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 2: a game time decision. It looks like obviously that's something
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 2: to keep an eye on. And Castle because those are
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 2: two really good players there for the Spurs. Obviously, Wemby
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 2: affects the game in a major way. The Spurs are
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 2: an eleven point favorite, though, which that leads you to
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 2: believe the Nuggets are just not playing anybody. Sixty tickets,
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent of the cash on the Spurs. I'd
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 2: probably take the points with the Nuggets here, but it
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: looks like the Nuggets are just kind of throwing this game,
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 2: which makes no sense because the Lakers are probably gonna
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 2: win against the Jazz.
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're doing here, man, But Jokicic
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 2: is looks like he's questionable if that if that number
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 2: is eleven, It was like Jokic might not play if
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 2: that number is eleven on the Spurs. I don't know, man,
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 2: this is a game to really you gotta like look
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 2: at the injury report because Jokicic and Wemby, those are
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 2: huge pieces in this game. Obviously, Utah at the Lakers.
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 2: As I just mentioned, the Lakers still have a chance
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 2: to like they could actually get the three seed, as
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 2: insane as that sounds. They can get the three seed here,
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 2: which I think they probably do want that because I
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 2: think they want to avoid Oklahoma City, especially.
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: When the Lakers are injured.
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know the Lakers don't have Luca here,
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 2: they don't have Reeves here, but they're playing a Utah
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 2: team that doesn't.
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: Have a lot of guys playing for them either.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 2: Utah is coming up a big win, well a blowout win,
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 2: I should say, against Memphis where we barely got the
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 2: over right in that game. I still think Utah is
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 2: gonna show up in this game though, in the final
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 2: game of the season, get to play the Lakers here,
• 2:04:05
  Speaker 2: you know, spoil their season, maybe by forcing them to
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 2: have to have to run into the thunder in the playoffs.
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 2: So though you're probably gonna have to run into the
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 2: thunder anyway in the playoffs. Sixty four percent of tickets
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 2: on the Lakers, ninety two percent of the cash on
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 2: the Jazz, Lakers fourteen point favorite money is indicating.
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: On the Jazz. I don't really disagree with it. Probably
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: the price is a little.
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 2: Too high on the Lakers, but they are the only
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 2: team that has any real motivation in that game. Golden
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 2: State at the Clippers. Golden State is locked into the
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 2: last playing spot here, so they know they're gonna be
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 2: on the road. It's just a matter of which one
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 2: of these teams do they want to play. And I'm
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be honest, I think they probably want to play
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 2: Portland and not play the Clippers.
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 1: So Golden State might.
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 2: Actually, like, in effect, throw this game against the Clippers
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 2: and let the Clippers jump ahead of Portland, you know
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 2: what I mean, because they think Golden State would.
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: Rather play Portland here. I would.
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 2: I think the Clippers that, even though Portland just blew
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 2: out the Clippers.
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: But maybe Golden State doesn't think that way. I don't know.
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 2: Golden State did just lose the Sacramento which was ugly,
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 2: but Golden State just doesn't have anything to play for
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 2: really here until they play in the playing because they're
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 2: locked in. Clippers had a game that meant something against
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 2: Portland and they got annihilated. I don't know what happened
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 2: in that game against Portland. I think I still think
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 2: the Clippers are better than Portland. I don't know how
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 2: that happened in that game. But I'm gonna lean to
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 2: the Clippers in this one.
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 2: Coming off that ugly game, they're still playing to try
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 2: to leap frog here. Let me see, although they're gonna
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 2: probably need Portland. They're gonna need Portland to lose as well.
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 2: They will need that to happen. But then again, you
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 2: know when a team doesn't control their own destiny. I
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 2: like that the Clippers are six and a halfway favorite.
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 2: The money's not agreeing with me, though, they're down for
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 2: eight and a half. But again, when the Clippers, it's
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 2: not just win and you're in. Basically, it's you have
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 2: to win and you also need the Blazers to lose
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 2: for the Clippers to jump into that top play. I
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 2: think that lets you play a little bit looser. I
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 2: like the Clippers in this game, fifty five percent of
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 2: tickets on them, but eighty percent of the catch on
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 2: the Warriors. I don't agree with that. Warriors have nothing
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 2: to play for here man. So yeah, those are my
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 2: thoughts on that game. Gotta look at the injury report.
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 2: Of course, looks like Curry is back and playing in
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 2: every game. It looks like it looks like he is
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 2: playing here. Draymond Green is on the injury report as
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 2: he always is. And then of course the thing about
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 2: the Clippers though, is that this is why they're playing
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 2: at the same time as Portland. But it's highly unlikely
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 2: Portland's gonna lose to Sacramento. Sacramento just beat Golden State,
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 2: nice win for them. Sure they might show up to
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 2: try to play spoiler here against Portland, Portland trying to
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 2: maintain that spot in the top playing game, Portland coming
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 2: off a very satisfying.
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: Win over the Clippers, though, to maintain their.
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 2: Lead over the order to get their lead back over
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 2: the Clippers, I should say I would not lay the
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 2: points to the Blazers here, though they're laying seventy. I
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 2: think that price is way too high because everybody kind
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 2: of knows that the only team with motivation here, the
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 2: only team, but you know the that's factored into the
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 2: number to the point where, yeah, they're just laying too
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 2: many points in my opinion, and in the spot that
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 2: I just talked about as well, seventy eight percent of ticket,
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of the cash on the Blazers, I
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 2: would fade them. I would take the points with the Kings.
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Man really long show here. The
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 2: plays here are Minnesota Twins first five, which I hate.
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 1: Now Yankees split.
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 2: Bet run line money line though, if you find a
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 2: run line money line that's below minus one fifty. I
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 2: think playing the money line works in that game. We're
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be on the Rangers money line as well. Texas Rangers,
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 2: New York aren't playing today anyway. And then hockey we
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 2: do have the Islanders money line. NBA, we have the
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 2: Indiana Pacers plus the points.
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it.
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 2: Learn it tod on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram,
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 2: check me out at all the places, Like subscribe to
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 2: the channel here, like I said there it is, maybe
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 2: I should well nom I learned to toad tag is
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 2: right there, So I was gonna say, should I put
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 2: that in the banner? Probably not, because it's right there anyway,
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 2: But yes, like subscribe, you'll get the notifications when I
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 2: go live.
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: What else do we have to say here? We're on
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 1: audio as well.
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 2: Listening over there help So we've got a nice little
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 2: jump in the listenership over there, so that does help
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 2: as well. On Sprinker and on Apple and Spotify. Give
• 2:08:23
  Speaker 2: me good reviews, tell more people about it, man, word
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 2: of mouth, spread it around. Covered in you because my
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 2: yuke channel on YouTube, which might be moving, maybe I'm
• 2:08:31
  Speaker 2: gonna consolidate everything into one channel. I still don't know
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 2: yet got to figure everything out Patreon, dot com, slash
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 2: and learn to toad, and I know I haven't been
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 2: keeping up with it. I'm almost kept up with the
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 2: yuke feed that's there, but I opened it up to
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 2: every level and I said, I'm gonna do some streams
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 2: for the mid tier there, which I gotta do. I
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 2: gotta do it because you know, that's what people are
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 2: gonna pay extra for, so I do have to do
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 2: that once in a while. Maybe it'd be like a
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 2: you know, once a month thing or something.
• 2:08:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 2:08:57
  Speaker 2: I gotta, I gotta figure it out, but I have to,
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 2: like my voice at least needs to kind of be
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 2: there for me, even though it's just gonna be like
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 2: a yuke jam. But anyway, I'm rambling. Loser casts will
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 2: be back on Tuesday as well as you can check
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 2: that out. And I was on a couple of podcasts
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 2: last couple of days on This is Comedy with Hindian,
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 2: So I don't know when that's dropping, but that'll be
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 2: I think it's already dropped, and I think it's on
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 2: my channel here as a collaboration, so you can find
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 2: it in that tab.
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: It's audio only. I think then.
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 2: I was on with Tyler Yankee on a members only
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 2: show last night, Like I mentioned, so you can go
• 2:09:31
  Speaker 2: find that if you subscribe to him, you'll be able
• 2:09:33
  Speaker 2: to find it. But do he puts out good content
• 2:09:36
  Speaker 2: and that's gonna do it Man Loser casts on Tuesday.
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: I didn't mention that, I think I did.
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 2: I appreciate it, guys, peace, Let's get some wins, keep
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 2: the hot streak going in peace until tomorrow