Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 11/11/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Systems going clear, you lift.
- 0:02Speaker 2: On what's going on? Everybody, Happy Tuesday? Ready to talk
- 0:34Speaker 2: some five game NBA slates before we get into anything.
- 0:37Speaker 2: First things first, Happy Veterans Day if you are a
- 0:40Speaker 2: vet's current military service anything, very very thank you much
- 0:46Speaker 2: awful English, but thank you very much for your service.
- 0:50Speaker 2: Everything you guys do, lay down your life. The true heroes.
- 0:53Speaker 2: So I wanted to say that we got Sean in here,
- 0:55Speaker 2: we got little Neck, Denny Romey, Ramo, Ramo wins a lot,
- 1:00Speaker 2: Jason Turner, Michael w Rob g, kid Line and Jordan
- 1:04Speaker 2: appreciate everyone hanging out again like Bun subscribe button. Oh
- 1:07Speaker 2: we asked for Rio bringing in Hebrew cheet at one
- 1:10Speaker 2: of the best. Usually you will see him above you
- 1:12Speaker 2: on the leader board. How are we doing today on
- 1:13Speaker 2: this Tuesday?
- 1:14Speaker 3: Doing great?
- 1:15Speaker 4: Yeah, Happy Veterans Day to everybody that has served and
- 1:18Speaker 4: is serving right now. I appreciate your sacrifice for our
- 1:22Speaker 4: country for sure. Yeah, doing pretty well though. Yesterday it
- 1:25Speaker 4: was probably the most exciting day in NBA this season.
- 1:29Speaker 4: I mean there's so many game winners in close games,
- 1:31Speaker 4: a couple overtimes, a lot of really big time performances.
- 1:36Speaker 4: Think one that probably got overlooked. Was my guy Ace
- 1:38Speaker 4: Bailey get the start and had a pretty sick dunk
- 1:41Speaker 4: over Aunt last night towards the end of the game.
- 1:42Speaker 4: That was if you haven't seen it, go watch that
- 1:44Speaker 4: because I was a crazy dunk, like a little reverse
- 1:47Speaker 4: jam over ant. Very impressive. But yeah, this late is interesting,
- 1:53Speaker 4: I guess to say the least, it's I don't know,
- 1:55Speaker 4: two games that looked pretty good and a bunch of
- 1:57Speaker 4: other ones that looked just okay.
- 2:00Speaker 3: How do you like this slate?
- 2:03Speaker 2: Not much? I mean I do like the hour and
- 2:04Speaker 2: a half window. After that, it's it's all over, So
- 2:07Speaker 2: that part I enjoy. In terms of it, yeah, I mean,
- 2:10Speaker 2: like you're talking about your boy Ace Bailey, he's in
- 2:13Speaker 2: play a little bit Boston Philly. The Boston stuff will
- 2:15Speaker 2: be Chalky, some Brooklyn, some Utah. Like you said, it condenses.
- 2:19Speaker 2: It feels like so a five gamer. It feels almost
- 2:21Speaker 2: even smaller than a five gamer. But I mean you
- 2:25Speaker 2: get two late swaps three technically that's not always my favorite.
- 2:30Speaker 2: So I don't know. I don't love this slade either,
- 2:31Speaker 2: to be honest, any broad Slate overview anything you you
- 2:35Speaker 2: want to talk about. I mean, we're sharing sabersim our
- 2:38Speaker 2: partner optimized over here, just sorting by salary, two players
- 2:41Speaker 2: above ten K Shane and Maxy. Sorting by ownership, you
- 2:45Speaker 2: have five K Flapowski, nem Hard, nurkicch Clowney. So that's
- 2:49Speaker 2: looking like the chalk anything besides, just like it seems
- 2:53Speaker 2: like a condensed slate for teams wise that we're targeting.
- 2:57Speaker 4: Uh No, I mean, I would just say that at
- 2:59Speaker 4: this point of the season and we're starting to get
- 3:00Speaker 4: some actionable data from these teams, start to get a
- 3:04Speaker 4: little bit more of like a larger sample. So I
- 3:05Speaker 4: think that this is kind of where us at Shiba
- 3:08Speaker 4: Nation for sure, is start to kind of find our footing. Yes,
- 3:12Speaker 4: I'm excited to just play more NBA DFS, I guess,
- 3:17Speaker 4: and see how we can do the rest of the season.
- 3:20Speaker 2: Yeah, let's let's get into it. I'm Rice is in here,
- 3:23Speaker 2: Scooter's in here. Take down William. Yeah, Michael, you're right.
- 3:26Speaker 2: The Packers freaking stink. Rio's Patriots though, absolutely do not stink.
- 3:31Speaker 2: And yeah, yesterday's late, we're talking. Ace Bailey definitely got overshadowed.
- 3:34Speaker 2: I mean, kid stole the show for sure, but d
- 3:38Speaker 2: Mitch Kanka nipple. I mean, come on, man, con is
- 3:40Speaker 2: the freaking man. We talk about it every Tuesday. But yeah,
- 3:44Speaker 2: it's it's a fun time in the NBA, There's no
- 3:46Speaker 2: doubt about it. A lot of young stars. We'll get
- 3:49Speaker 2: into the first game of the night though, again like Bun,
- 3:50Speaker 2: subscribe helps us out a ton. Actually, I'll say right
- 3:53Speaker 2: up top, you can see five days for nineteen bucks
- 3:56Speaker 2: using the coach ship nineteen no better time to get
- 3:58Speaker 2: in rio. Like he says, is season goes on. The
- 4:00Speaker 2: more dada you get even better. The slate playing gets
- 4:04Speaker 2: because you can use this year's stuff over last. No
- 4:06Speaker 2: one dives in deeper. You get him on the core
- 4:08Speaker 2: report as well with Ed Ballman one of the better
- 4:10Speaker 2: players out there. Got Matt and Ham. I'm on the
- 4:13Speaker 2: cash report the Stone of course, like we have for
- 4:15Speaker 2: all sports and Little Neck does our slate plan Monday
- 4:18Speaker 2: through Friday for Showdown good prizes there is to definitely
- 4:21Speaker 2: check that out. First game of the nights. Let me
- 4:24Speaker 2: zoom in the Memphis Grizzlies and the New York Knicks.
- 4:27Speaker 2: I have to pull up DraftKings for the over under
- 4:29Speaker 2: and the spread. But for the injury report, we have
- 4:31Speaker 2: nothing on the Memphis side to worry about. Mitch rob
- 4:34Speaker 2: is questionable. For the Knicks. It's looking at about two
- 4:38Speaker 2: twenty twenty one according to Saber him about eight point favorites.
- 4:43Speaker 2: But again, I don't have DraftKings up yet. Take it
- 4:45Speaker 2: away Rio, Nicks and the Grizzlies.
- 4:47Speaker 4: Yeah, don't really have a ton of interest in this game.
- 4:50Speaker 4: I think there's two main areas of weaknesses for these teams.
- 4:53Speaker 4: On defense that should be the spots that these teams
- 4:56Speaker 4: look to attack. From Memphis, it's mainly been their pick
- 4:58Speaker 4: and roll defense. It's been really bad. They're bottom five
- 5:01Speaker 4: in pick and roll defense this season. And for the Knicks,
- 5:04Speaker 4: their three point defense has been bad, but otherwise they've
- 5:07Speaker 4: been really good in pretty much every other category. I
- 5:09Speaker 4: think that the main reason we see from these Mike
- 5:12Speaker 4: Brown defenses, they put two on the ball and that'll
- 5:15Speaker 4: leave some of these secondary scoring options open a lot
- 5:18Speaker 4: of the times. With that being said, I mean, Jaw's
- 5:21Speaker 4: looking like a semi chalky option on the slate seen
- 5:25Speaker 4: around like twenty percent. That's probably gonna be something that
- 5:29Speaker 4: come underweight on. I just really don't like the matchup
- 5:31Speaker 4: for him. He's shooting the ball terribly right now, they'd
- 5:33Speaker 4: have a pretty good game against Dallas. But that's a
- 5:35Speaker 4: much easier matchup just with the way that Dallas has
- 5:38Speaker 4: no really good on ball defenders and really weak rim defense.
- 5:42Speaker 4: And you look at the two games that JAW has
- 5:43Speaker 4: played versus the Kings, which is when they had Mike Brown.
- 5:46Speaker 4: You only put up twenty six point three and twenty
- 5:48Speaker 4: three point three DK points in those games. So probably
- 5:51Speaker 4: gonna be a guy that I'm looking to fade or
- 5:53Speaker 4: just get pretty underweight on at this projected ownership. After that, though,
- 5:58Speaker 4: I think that I don't really know what's going on
- 6:00Speaker 4: with Jared Jackson junior right now. He hasn't had a
- 6:02Speaker 4: good game at all this season, but he does lead
- 6:04Speaker 4: the Grizzlies and catch and shoot scoring, so I guess
- 6:07Speaker 4: like it's an okay matchup for him. I don't mind
- 6:10Speaker 4: him seeing kat on defense either, if that's who they
- 6:12Speaker 4: put on him, I think that he should be able
- 6:14Speaker 4: to take advantage of that matchup, but maybe just a
- 6:17Speaker 4: wait and see approach for him. I do think that's
- 6:19Speaker 4: a pretty good matchup though, So if there were to
- 6:20Speaker 4: be a time for him to kind of hit in
- 6:23Speaker 4: a decently big way probably be in this spot, but
- 6:25Speaker 4: I prefer just going down to Cedric Coward in Santi
- 6:28Speaker 4: al Dama and maybe even actually that's probably it. Yeah,
- 6:32Speaker 4: just those two guys. That's the main catch and shoot
- 6:34Speaker 4: guys on offense. For the Grizzlies. You could look to
- 6:37Speaker 4: camp Spencer because he's cheap enough and he's a really
- 6:39Speaker 4: good permanent guy. But I don't really think that I'm
- 6:42Speaker 4: gonna need to go there tonight. For the Knicks. Like
- 6:46Speaker 4: I said, the pick and roll matchup is really good
- 6:48Speaker 4: for the guard, So Jenn Brunson is in a good
- 6:50Speaker 4: spot here, but nine K, you know, priced pretty much
- 6:53Speaker 4: exactly with Kat. I probably would just prefer Cat overall,
- 6:55Speaker 4: just because he's a better permanent scorer. The Grizzlies are
- 7:00Speaker 4: allowing the fifth most Fantasy points to opposing power forward,
- 7:03Speaker 4: so it's a pretty good spot versus struggling defense for Cat,
- 7:07Speaker 4: so I do prefer him to Brunson. I think the
- 7:09Speaker 4: og is probably the guy like the most. He's just
- 7:11Speaker 4: been really good this season, really consistent, averaging thirty six
- 7:15Speaker 4: point three DK points and he's top thirty six Drafkings
- 7:17Speaker 4: points in five straight games, so he looks like a
- 7:20Speaker 4: pretty good option versus team that could be turnover prone.
- 7:23Speaker 3: I think you could use mckill.
- 7:24Speaker 4: Bridges as a pivot off of og different position, but
- 7:27Speaker 4: saing price tag, and he's in a pretty good spot
- 7:30Speaker 4: here as well, with the Grizzlies are allowing a good
- 7:32Speaker 4: amount of fantasy points to opposing shooting guards, and then
- 7:34Speaker 4: a Mitchell Robinson misses, which I think he should probably
- 7:37Speaker 4: gonna see Landry Shamit get the start. He'd be an
- 7:40Speaker 4: option at three point three k, pretty decent price for
- 7:43Speaker 4: somebody that could be starting and playing upwards of twenty
- 7:46Speaker 4: five minutes, and then Josh Hart would see some more
- 7:48Speaker 4: minutes as well.
- 7:50Speaker 2: What was your thoughts on Josh Hart? He grades out
- 7:53Speaker 2: as like you said, he's fine, but you just touched
- 7:56Speaker 2: him at the end. He grades out as the best
- 7:58Speaker 2: point for a dollar play the Knicks.
- 8:02Speaker 4: I don't really have much to add to him, Like
- 8:03Speaker 4: he's probably gonna play up for twenties minutes, which is
- 8:06Speaker 4: enough for him, a guy that does a little bit
- 8:08Speaker 4: of everything. But yeah, I don't really have like a
- 8:12Speaker 4: strung take of him being a good or bad play
- 8:14Speaker 4: at all.
- 8:15Speaker 2: Okay, I mean Memphis side just looks awful like Max one.
- 8:18Speaker 2: If I was playing like single entry handbuilds, I wouldn't
- 8:21Speaker 2: click on more than one and probably wouldn't click on
- 8:23Speaker 2: any of these guys. Yeah, I mean the Knicks guys
- 8:25Speaker 2: though applied for like one hundred and twenty points. He
- 8:28Speaker 2: liked OG quite a bit. Kat always has big upside
- 8:30Speaker 2: at nine k. All these guys are relatively low owned.
- 8:34Speaker 2: Two like I think when we get to the popular
- 8:38Speaker 2: spends like Jalen Brown, I think we'll be more popular.
- 8:42Speaker 2: Mpg's price is getting up there. It's the more middling builds.
- 8:45Speaker 2: I don't think many are going to go to Shay route.
- 8:46Speaker 2: If they do spend up Max he has will get
- 8:49Speaker 2: some ownership, but I think the balance build not having
- 8:52Speaker 2: to fully punt, so even if Shaman does get the start,
- 8:54Speaker 2: he probably wouldn't be too highly owned. And if you
- 8:58Speaker 2: do want a jam in Shay or something up top,
- 9:00Speaker 2: can get on a different build that way. But you
- 9:01Speaker 2: like OG a lot, I think Cat's pretty interesting. Do
- 9:04Speaker 2: not like the Memphis side. Next game on the slates
- 9:08Speaker 2: Toronto Raptors and the Brooklyn Nets nine and halt or
- 9:11Speaker 2: nine and a half spread in this one, again with the
- 9:13Speaker 2: Raptors favored two thirty two and a half total injuries
- 9:16Speaker 2: in this one. On the Toronto side, Bajie is out,
- 9:20Speaker 2: Sondro is questionable. Not sure how much that means. On
- 9:23Speaker 2: the Brooklyn side, we are looking at Cam Thomas and
- 9:28Speaker 2: day Ron Sharp both out terns of ownership in this game.
- 9:31Speaker 2: Sorting by Sabersim, A couple guys Clowney, Claxton quickly, MPJ.
- 9:36Speaker 2: This game is getting decent amount of ownership. Like I said,
- 9:38Speaker 2: I think like I think this number could be too
- 9:40Speaker 2: low on MPJ, probably on Clowney Claxon just being center
- 9:44Speaker 2: might be right, but this game's going to get some ownership.
- 9:46Speaker 2: Nine to half point favorites the Raptors. What are you doing?
- 9:49Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it's a really good spot for the
- 9:50Speaker 4: Toronto side to put up a really big score here
- 9:53Speaker 4: versus the worst defense in the league. Their bottom two
- 9:56Speaker 4: in rim defense, Brooklyn is bottom ten or so in
- 9:59Speaker 4: three point defense, and they allow the most transition points
- 10:02Speaker 4: for game on defense as well. Toronto's top four and
- 10:04Speaker 4: transition scoring the season, So a really good spot for
- 10:07Speaker 4: them to get going out there. For Toronto, they're improving
- 10:10Speaker 4: a bit on defense, but it's mainly just the rim defense.
- 10:13Speaker 4: That's going to be their area of weakness with the
- 10:14Speaker 4: off the Purtle down low. I definitely have a lot
- 10:17Speaker 4: more interest in the Toronto side than I do the
- 10:19Speaker 4: Net side. I know that the Net side is getting
- 10:20Speaker 4: a lot of ownership because they are pretty thin and
- 10:23Speaker 4: we need some value on the slate. I just don't
- 10:26Speaker 4: really think that it's a great spot for anyone in particular,
- 10:29Speaker 4: but the Toronto side. These guys are in a really
- 10:31Speaker 4: good spot. I think it's mainly Scotty Barnes, Barrett and
- 10:33Speaker 4: Quickly are the guys that I'm looking to. Barnes is
- 10:36Speaker 4: obviously the guy that you're looking to for the most
- 10:38Speaker 4: upside on the on the Raptors side for sure, one
- 10:41Speaker 4: point three to five Fantasy points for a minute. He's
- 10:43Speaker 4: first in assist percentage and second in usage, and he's
- 10:47Speaker 4: one of the top transition in rim scores for the Raptors.
- 10:50Speaker 4: Here and then Barrett, I would say, is not too
- 10:53Speaker 4: far behind from Scotty Barnes. For me, he's always been
- 10:56Speaker 4: one of the top transition scores in the NBA, and
- 10:58Speaker 4: he's leading the Raptors in the category this season. Really
- 11:01Speaker 4: good spot for shooting guards as well against this Nets
- 11:04Speaker 4: team that allows the second most DraftKings points per game
- 11:06Speaker 4: two opposing shooting guards, and then Quickly, coming off of
- 11:09Speaker 4: three strong outings top thirty five DK points and three
- 11:12Speaker 4: straight games adding a little bit of the purfals as well,
- 11:15Speaker 4: six assists or more in each of those three games.
- 11:18Speaker 4: I think five or more rebounding each of those three
- 11:19Speaker 4: games as well. The Nets are the best best pick
- 11:23Speaker 4: and roll defense in the league, but Quickly's only again
- 11:26Speaker 4: about twenty percent of his offensive positions in pick and roll.
- 11:29Speaker 4: He's third in transition scoring for Toronto, third and catch
- 11:32Speaker 4: and shoot points per games, so I think it's a
- 11:33Speaker 4: pretty good spot for Quickly as well. Don't really like
- 11:37Speaker 4: Ingram right now. He's just not really adding enough upside
- 11:41Speaker 4: to his game. At this price, sex I'd probably look
- 11:43Speaker 4: to get away from him. But those three that I
- 11:45Speaker 4: mentioned I think are the best options for Toronto, and
- 11:47Speaker 4: then the price is starting to get up down there
- 11:50Speaker 4: for Protal where it makes them a little bit interesting.
- 11:53Speaker 4: It's a really good matchup, like I said, with the
- 11:54Speaker 4: Nets allowing a ton of rim points this season, so
- 11:57Speaker 4: I think this is probably the spot where I'm going
- 11:59Speaker 4: to be playing a little bit of Yaka Purdle because
- 12:01Speaker 4: I do think that he could pop off in a
- 12:03Speaker 4: pretty big way in this matchup, and his last game
- 12:06Speaker 4: it was just an injury management thing. It wasn't like
- 12:08Speaker 4: he picked up another injury, so we could see like
- 12:10Speaker 4: twenty six twenty seven minutes from him. And he's always
- 12:13Speaker 4: been a really good permantent guy. So I think that's
- 12:14Speaker 4: a good price tag for Perdle. And then it's hard
- 12:17Speaker 4: to overlook MPJ and Claxon. I think that I prefer
- 12:21Speaker 4: Claxon here. He's just been adding a little bit more.
- 12:24Speaker 4: I mean, obviously the role has 've tacked in a
- 12:26Speaker 4: pretty big way for MPJ. He's been third on first
- 12:29Speaker 4: in the team in usage with Cam Thomas off the court,
- 12:32Speaker 4: adding a little bit of playmaking eleven point four percent
- 12:35Speaker 4: of sist percentage, eleven percent rebounding rate, so pretty solid numbers.
- 12:40Speaker 4: But it is a pretty tough matchup for him with
- 12:41Speaker 4: Scottie Barnes on him. So I probably just LeAnn Claxon
- 12:45Speaker 4: for the price tag. I think it's a really good spot.
- 12:46Speaker 4: Like I mentioned, always like to attack Yaka Purdle. He
- 12:49Speaker 4: has a nineteen percent usage rate in twenty four percent
- 12:51Speaker 4: of sist percentage, so a slightly better role for Claxon
- 12:54Speaker 4: than it is for versus MPJ. He's averaging one point
- 12:58Speaker 4: two nine Fantasy points per minute as well in those
- 13:00Speaker 4: minutes without Cam Thomas on the court, and then with
- 13:02Speaker 4: no day Ron Sharp as well. They probably give him
- 13:05Speaker 4: a little bit more minutes. I think they'll probably have
- 13:07Speaker 4: Danny Wolf backing up Nick Claxon. Not sure how much
- 13:09Speaker 4: they want to see him, but yeah, I think Claxton
- 13:12Speaker 4: is probably the best option for the Brooklyn side tonight,
- 13:16Speaker 4: and then all these other guys, they're gonna play enough
- 13:19Speaker 4: to probably be viable. The range of outcomes for Noah
- 13:23Speaker 4: Clowney is really wide. I mean, he's just he kind
- 13:26Speaker 4: of reminds me of like a Jabbari Walker type where
- 13:28Speaker 4: he can put up like a pretty solid score one
- 13:31Speaker 4: game and then next game he goes one for nine
- 13:33Speaker 4: from the field and barely plays at all. So that's
- 13:35Speaker 4: definitely within the range of outcomes for him. I would
- 13:37Speaker 4: say that if the ownership starts to get up as
- 13:39Speaker 4: we get closer to lock, I'd look to get away
- 13:41Speaker 4: from it and probably just lean intoesire Wins a little
- 13:43Speaker 4: bit more, because I think that those two guys are
- 13:45Speaker 4: the ones that negatively correlate. I would definitely be Maxwell
- 13:49Speaker 4: and Zaiyere and Clowny tonight, and then I probably would
- 13:52Speaker 4: lean Zaire. And then if you're playing the blowout game,
- 13:55Speaker 4: Drake Powell is going to be the guy that plays
- 13:57Speaker 4: for MPJ when the game gets out of a hand.
- 13:59Speaker 4: Sold one of those two guys. You're probably not getting
- 14:01Speaker 4: any right now, but if you want to bump them
- 14:03Speaker 4: up a little bit, and in case we'll blowout, he'd
- 14:05Speaker 4: be the guy that gets to blow a run. And
- 14:07Speaker 4: then Max One, Igor Demon and Tarry Smartin as well.
- 14:10Speaker 4: Those guys are backing are doing the point guard duties.
- 14:14Speaker 4: And then Danny Wolf Max One him and Nick Claxon
- 14:16Speaker 4: as well.
- 14:18Speaker 2: Do you see yourself getting any like Wolf Powell? Like
- 14:21Speaker 2: it's it's a five games, not two or three. You
- 14:24Speaker 2: still nine and a half points, You're you're willing to
- 14:26Speaker 2: make that a part of your portfolio a little bit.
- 14:29Speaker 4: I think Wolf for sure, just because he's been priced
- 14:31Speaker 4: and it's easier for like a power forward center type
- 14:34Speaker 4: to get Fantasy points and it would be for a guard.
- 14:37Speaker 4: So I don't mind playing some of him.
- 14:39Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense, and it kind of like like
- 14:41Speaker 2: it gets you on a different build. Like you said
- 14:43Speaker 2: right now, the like stone, like the three K value
- 14:45Speaker 2: isn't really good. A lot of people will be living
- 14:48Speaker 2: in a more middling build and those middling bills like
- 14:50Speaker 2: you mentioned, you don't love the spot for the nets,
- 14:53Speaker 2: but at with them being thin and at their salary
- 14:56Speaker 2: like Claxton Clowney MPJ. Some's out yere like these guys
- 15:00Speaker 2: are gonna be owned a little bit and the raptors
- 15:02Speaker 2: side not nearly as much because their full strength that
- 15:05Speaker 2: it kind of dictates a lot of NBA dfs is
- 15:07Speaker 2: minutes opportunity and health. But would you be fine playing two?
- 15:13Speaker 2: You probably don't want three of Beart Barnes Quickly, but
- 15:15Speaker 2: are you find playing two of them?
- 15:17Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm always always gonna be max two of those
- 15:19Speaker 4: top four guys for Toronto.
- 15:22Speaker 2: Makes sense, and then you'd prefer to try and get
- 15:24Speaker 2: There's no such thing really as like a runback in basketball.
- 15:27Speaker 2: But if you want the game to say competitive in
- 15:29Speaker 2: a sense, if you were handbuilding, you'd be more likely
- 15:31Speaker 2: to put a net in. I take it in those
- 15:34Speaker 2: lineups or do not? If I had like two Toronto guys, Yeah,
- 15:38Speaker 2: two of Quickly Barnes, I mean, yeah, even Yaka Purtle
- 15:40Speaker 2: and stuff. You need the minutes from all of them,
- 15:42Speaker 2: all the starters.
- 15:44Speaker 4: I think nashally you're probably gonna get a lot of
- 15:46Speaker 4: Claxton and MPJ, so I probably would probably get one
- 15:50Speaker 4: of those guys in there. I definitely prefer Claxton, but yeah,
- 15:52Speaker 4: definitely not something you have to go and force.
- 15:55Speaker 2: Okay, last thing to note like this, Yaka purtal like
- 15:59Speaker 2: he's gonna be point nine to nine percent right now,
- 16:01Speaker 2: but Rio said he might play twenty seven minutes right now.
- 16:04Speaker 2: This projection is with twenty four minutes. So just little
- 16:07Speaker 2: things like that is where you can get the edge
- 16:09Speaker 2: of the projection if you think the minutes dictate kind
- 16:12Speaker 2: of what the projection is because the usage and that
- 16:14Speaker 2: doesn't change. So that and then it sounded like you
- 16:17Speaker 2: thought Claxon, who's projected twenty nine minutes for the nets,
- 16:21Speaker 2: that could go up a little bit in a close game.
- 16:23Speaker 2: It sounded like, I mean he was already getting about that,
- 16:26Speaker 2: but you said, no, Sharp, you don't know how much
- 16:28Speaker 2: they want Wolf to play. So that's two things that
- 16:30Speaker 2: stood out Claxon, Yaka Purtle in terms of minutes versus
- 16:34Speaker 2: the projected right now that Sabersome has next game on
- 16:37Speaker 2: this side, Oh go ahead.
- 16:38Speaker 4: Oh no, I was just say Claxton should probably be
- 16:40Speaker 4: projected for like thirty one minutes on the low end.
- 16:42Speaker 2: I would say, all right, yeah, that's that's good stuff.
- 16:47Speaker 2: He said, Barnes is good MPJ. He didn't like as
- 16:51Speaker 2: much as Claxon, but he said mpj's fine.
- 16:53Speaker 4: He was talking about the defensive matchup. I do think
- 16:56Speaker 4: that it's gonna be Barnes on MPJ.
- 16:59Speaker 2: Yeah. Next game on the slates, we have the Philadelphia
- 17:03Speaker 2: seventy six ers and the Boston Celtics one a half
- 17:05Speaker 2: point favorites are the Celtics two thirty one and a
- 17:08Speaker 2: half total in this one, no Embiid, no Paul George Still,
- 17:11Speaker 2: no Dominic Barlow. Still as far as the Boston side,
- 17:14Speaker 2: no injury news to work or to worry about sorting
- 17:18Speaker 2: my ownership in this game. I think it's gonna be.
- 17:21Speaker 2: It's definitely gonna get some ownership on both sides. I
- 17:24Speaker 2: think this is maybe accurate. No Embiid obviously brings Drummond
- 17:28Speaker 2: into the mix. Jalen Brown, Derek White, these guys just
- 17:31Speaker 2: fit the no value right now. If there was multiple
- 17:33Speaker 2: three K guys and there's a Yannis and Yo kitchen stuff.
- 17:37Speaker 2: We could be looking at a different slate, But like
- 17:39Speaker 2: Shay's not in the best spot, it doesn't seem like
- 17:41Speaker 2: people aren't going all the way up. A lot of
- 17:43Speaker 2: people go to this game and then MAXI at ten
- 17:46Speaker 2: to three. I'm wondering, as the second is zone player,
- 17:49Speaker 2: do you think he'll be five percent? It feels a
- 17:51Speaker 2: little light, but curious what you'd say.
- 17:53Speaker 3: No, he won't.
- 17:54Speaker 4: There's no way he's probably getting up to like fifteen percent.
- 17:57Speaker 4: I would imagine, yeah, yeah, I know this is probably
- 18:02Speaker 4: the best or the second best game on the slate.
- 18:04Speaker 4: I don't think you're really getting past anybody because it
- 18:07Speaker 4: is the closest spread, But I mean, the Celtics are
- 18:11Speaker 4: starting to play a lot better, at least the main
- 18:13Speaker 4: guys like Jalen Brown and Derek White are starting to
- 18:15Speaker 4: kind of turn things around or turn a corner in
- 18:17Speaker 4: terms of like a fantasy production standpoint, and it's a
- 18:20Speaker 4: really good matchup for them. I love tacking the Sixers
- 18:24Speaker 4: defense their bottom ten defensive rating this season. The rim
- 18:28Speaker 4: defense and transition defense been a spot that they've really
- 18:30Speaker 4: been struggling. So I think that it's a really really
- 18:32Speaker 4: good spot for the guards at Jalen Brown, Derek White,
- 18:35Speaker 4: Pritch I think are all in a pretty good spot here.
- 18:37Speaker 4: And on top of that, the pick and roll defense
- 18:40Speaker 4: is the second worst in the league this season. They
- 18:42Speaker 4: don't only have like a true point guard that runs
- 18:44Speaker 4: pick and roll like a high volume, but all those
- 18:47Speaker 4: guys kind of add enough.
- 18:49Speaker 3: In the pick and roll stats to be useful. I
- 18:52Speaker 3: definitely like.
- 18:53Speaker 4: Jayalen Brown the most here, just with the way that
- 18:55Speaker 4: the sixer are getting killed in transition in around the basket.
- 18:58Speaker 4: He's guy's gonna be driving the ball the most the
- 19:02Speaker 4: for Boston. He's also first in rim and pick and
- 19:04Speaker 4: roll scoring and transition scoring the season, so really good
- 19:07Speaker 4: match up for him. He put up forty eight point
- 19:09Speaker 4: three DK points the last time that they faced and
- 19:11Speaker 4: like I said, starting to kind of turn a corner.
- 19:13Speaker 4: From a fantasy production standpoints, I think that he's the
- 19:16Speaker 4: best option on Boston tonight. I'm okay with the ownership
- 19:19Speaker 4: where it's at. I think that it's totally fine. Price
- 19:21Speaker 4: tag is really good. Derrek White would probably be the
- 19:24Speaker 4: one I'm least excited about. He's still not shooting the ball.
- 19:27Speaker 3: All that great.
- 19:28Speaker 4: He does have a couple of games where he's hit
- 19:31Speaker 4: you know, around three threes, still taking a ton of shots,
- 19:34Speaker 4: but just not really adding enough upside.
- 19:37Speaker 3: I don't think.
- 19:38Speaker 4: I mean, Pritchard is one point one k cheaper and
- 19:40Speaker 4: kind of has similar upsides. I think I probably prefer
- 19:43Speaker 4: M a little bit more, but I'm okay with White,
- 19:46Speaker 4: I guess, But yeah, I do prefer Pritchard just the
- 19:49Speaker 4: cheaper price. Seg is kind kind of the main thing
- 19:51Speaker 4: that gets me onto him a little bit more. He's
- 19:54Speaker 4: gonna be the third option on offense. But they do
- 19:56Speaker 4: like this matchup for him. He played thirty three and
- 19:59Speaker 4: thirty seven minutes in the two games versus Philly this season,
- 20:02Speaker 4: only averaging round twenty nine d K points there. But yeah,
- 20:05Speaker 4: I think that the price is really good for Prichard,
- 20:08Speaker 4: and then I think.
- 20:08Speaker 3: Cada is good.
- 20:09Speaker 4: I kind of wish them Bead were to be in,
- 20:11Speaker 4: although that Embid being out does make it a better
- 20:14Speaker 4: spot for him to play more minutes because he won't
- 20:16Speaker 4: have the foul trouble he's been playing, you know, twenty
- 20:20Speaker 4: four plus minutes in each of his last four games.
- 20:23Speaker 4: Sixers are bottom eight Room defense bottom eight and DVP
- 20:25Speaker 4: versus centers this season, So I think that upside is
- 20:28Speaker 4: for sure there for Cada, and then I would look
- 20:30Speaker 4: to Simons as well as another guy. Probably don't want
- 20:32Speaker 4: to play more than two of White, Pritchard or Simons.
- 20:34Speaker 4: I don't know if those guys are all capable of
- 20:37Speaker 4: getting there, even on a small slate. I don't know
- 20:40Speaker 4: if it's like I think I saw something underdog that
- 20:42Speaker 4: Simons had like twenty five first half points last game
- 20:45Speaker 4: and then he finished with twenty five.
- 20:46Speaker 3: I don't know if it was insane. Yeah, so that
- 20:49Speaker 3: actually happened.
- 20:50Speaker 2: Yeah, he had literally like thirty one thirty two DK
- 20:53Speaker 2: points at the end of the half, and I don't
- 20:56Speaker 2: know if it was like nine for thirteen, like it
- 20:58Speaker 2: was an insane number. And then yeah, I just to
- 21:01Speaker 2: be honest, like I played NBA yesterday. I was watching
- 21:02Speaker 2: the Packers and all that, Like I didn't have Simons,
- 21:05Speaker 2: but I knew he wasn't on the winner, so I
- 21:07Speaker 2: didn't even check what he did in the second half.
- 21:08Speaker 2: But wow, he did nothing, literally nothing. That's crazy. Yeah,
- 21:14Speaker 2: insane first half. They tweeted about it.
- 21:17Speaker 4: Yeah, so that was on Sunday then, right, I think
- 21:20Speaker 4: it was on the ninth c that was Sunday.
- 21:22Speaker 3: Okay, probably why it wasn't, but.
- 21:24Speaker 2: Damn well, whatever day. I remember they tweeted about They
- 21:28Speaker 2: tweeted about it in the first half. He only got
- 21:30Speaker 2: twenty two minutes in that though, so I don't know
- 21:31Speaker 2: if something happened in the in the second half.
- 21:34Speaker 4: I mean, Missoula is like a guy that doesn't stick
- 21:36Speaker 4: to the same rotation like he'll like I think that
- 21:40Speaker 4: the one game, I think it was on Friday when
- 21:43Speaker 4: they played Orlando, kind of talked him up a little
- 21:47Speaker 4: bit as a value play and people played him and
- 21:49Speaker 4: he only played like two first half minutes and then
- 21:52Speaker 4: you know, kind of went off in the second half.
- 21:54Speaker 4: But he's not going to stick to like the same
- 21:56Speaker 4: rotation every single week. So it's every single game. So
- 21:59Speaker 4: it's kind of tough to know what you're getting from
- 22:01Speaker 4: guys like Simon's and Cada and miight not.
- 22:06Speaker 3: Speaking of I was.
- 22:06Speaker 2: Thinking of something else. I don't know. I thought, I
- 22:10Speaker 2: keep going, we got to twitter now.
- 22:13Speaker 4: Yeah, I would say, just keep an eye on the
- 22:14Speaker 4: starting line of I don't know if they're really.
- 22:16Speaker 3: Going to change it.
- 22:16Speaker 4: But Jared Walsh or Jordan Walsh has been playing really
- 22:19Speaker 4: well over the last couple of games.
- 22:20Speaker 3: It's starting to see more minutes.
- 22:21Speaker 4: I would probably keep him in the playerpool in case
- 22:24Speaker 4: that he plays his minutes over mine not but I
- 22:26Speaker 4: probably wouldn't play those guys together all right now, the
- 22:30Speaker 4: sixer side is definitely gonna be one that you look
- 22:32Speaker 4: to for spend ups and even some value as well.
- 22:35Speaker 4: With Joel embiid out, obviously that's going to bring more
- 22:38Speaker 4: usage to guys like Maxie and v J. Edgecomb is
- 22:41Speaker 4: even a guy that sees a little bit of a
- 22:42Speaker 4: usage bump. Uber will see more usage as well.
- 22:45Speaker 3: But obviously I think that Maxie.
- 22:47Speaker 4: Is probably the best fin up on the slate at
- 22:48Speaker 4: ten point three K. He's actually averaged a little bit
- 22:51Speaker 4: worst numbers with embad off than with him on last season.
- 22:55Speaker 4: It was the the inverse, but he does see a
- 22:57Speaker 4: plus two percent bump in his usage and assist numbers.
- 23:01Speaker 4: But he's been killing Boston averaging thirty three, five and
- 23:03Speaker 4: ten and sixty three point three DK points for games.
- 23:06Speaker 4: So I think it's kind of a no brainer play
- 23:07Speaker 4: just Maxi being the top spin up option on the
- 23:10Speaker 4: slate with there only being two guys priced above ten K.
- 23:13Speaker 4: Definitely prefer MAXI to SGA tonight, and then Uber and
- 23:18Speaker 4: Grimes I think are guys that could be in play here.
- 23:21Speaker 4: Uber should be playing upper thirty six, like forty minutes
- 23:24Speaker 4: in a close game, and a lot of his best
- 23:26Speaker 4: games this season came within bead out, averaging thirty six
- 23:29Speaker 4: point three DK points in four games without embid this season.
- 23:33Speaker 4: And then Drummond played twenty eight thirty five minutes in
- 23:35Speaker 4: each of the last two games within bid out, and
- 23:36Speaker 4: he's probably gonna be the guy that's going to start.
- 23:38Speaker 4: He did start against Detroit could have been somewhat matchup driven,
- 23:41Speaker 4: but I think that he's kind of been out playing
- 23:44Speaker 4: at dem Bona enough to just solidify himself in the
- 23:46Speaker 4: starting lineup. So if we're getting like twenty eight to
- 23:49Speaker 4: thirty minutes from Drummond, then he's probably one of the
- 23:52Speaker 4: better value plays on the entire slate. And then Tryna
- 23:55Speaker 4: Wafford as well as a guy that sees a really
- 23:57Speaker 4: big bump in his permitted production within beat off. We
- 23:59Speaker 4: do have a pretty large sample with him playing without
- 24:02Speaker 4: embied the season, one hundred and twenty one minutes averaging
- 24:04Speaker 4: one point one two fantasy points for a minute in
- 24:06Speaker 4: those minutes, So I think that he's pretty solid here
- 24:09Speaker 4: as well. But definitely think that Drummond is one of
- 24:11Speaker 4: the top value plays on a slate.
- 24:12Speaker 3: And then MAXI my favorite spend up.
- 24:16Speaker 2: I do think two centers will be decently owned tonight. Nurkic, Claxton, Drummond,
- 24:23Speaker 2: Cada Center is very strong. I assume most a lot
- 24:27Speaker 2: of build over fifty percent. I imagine the flagship and
- 24:30Speaker 2: stuff will have that, and it's probably the right thing
- 24:32Speaker 2: to do. I had to check underdog Twitter to make sure.
- 24:35Speaker 2: I just I literally wasn't going crazy. Yeah, was Sunday
- 24:38Speaker 2: at five, was at five seventeen our times, so building
- 24:41Speaker 2: football lineups in between that fourteen first half minutes eight
- 24:45Speaker 2: for eleven from the field, five for seven from the
- 24:47Speaker 2: twenty five real points. Crazy yeah. And he finished with
- 24:50Speaker 2: the same only got eight second half minutes after that,
- 24:54Speaker 2: that's crazy.
- 24:56Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 24:56Speaker 2: He gave his thoughts on Watford at the end. I
- 24:58Speaker 2: was trying to find that, so I wasn't listening to
- 25:01Speaker 2: your individual breakdowns really on the Philly side, and Okaeda
- 25:04Speaker 2: was your favorite on Boston. But I mean, this is
- 25:07Speaker 2: one of the best games, like you said it's not
- 25:08Speaker 2: going to sneak by anyone. But when we're looking at
- 25:11Speaker 2: nine and a half point spreads ten and a half
- 25:13Speaker 2: now for the Knicks, nine and a half for the Raptors,
- 25:16Speaker 2: seven and a half for the Thunder, you do get
- 25:18Speaker 2: this game and the Pacers game that will be close,
- 25:20Speaker 2: but yeah, pretty appropriately priced on both sides. The last
- 25:24Speaker 2: thing to know was like the Maxi ownership that was
- 25:27Speaker 2: five percent. I'm taking the averageship in Nation and Saber.
- 25:31Speaker 2: It should get updated. But if it doesn't, just know
- 25:34Speaker 2: like spotting inefficiencies like that, because then if you don't
- 25:37Speaker 2: change it and you go to your portfoliofolio and it
- 25:39Speaker 2: shows your leverage is like three x the field and
- 25:43Speaker 2: you have fifteen percent, I mean you're actually even with
- 25:45Speaker 2: the field. So that's a big difference that way. When
- 25:48Speaker 2: you're looking at leverage common stuff, that's what I look at,
- 25:50Speaker 2: compare where I'm at versus the field. But you need
- 25:53Speaker 2: good ownership and making some adjustments. Ownership is tough in NBA.
- 25:57Speaker 2: The Ultimate package one of the biggest beneficiaries, but that
- 26:00Speaker 2: is the live ownership that they give and able to
- 26:02Speaker 2: sit sim against for the five thirty PM games after
- 26:06Speaker 2: that's locked. You will be able to like cats ownership, Brunson, etc.
- 26:10Speaker 2: Will be in the ownership and you can see it
- 26:12Speaker 2: live and then sim against that. So one very ultimate's expensive.
- 26:17Speaker 2: It's definitely not for everyone, but if you are playing
- 26:19Speaker 2: a lot of money, a couple hundred bucks a week
- 26:21Speaker 2: definitely worth it. And over here Sabersim or Rio and
- 26:25Speaker 2: sheets to a Sabersims video Saber series aids will be
- 26:28Speaker 2: on it. I think this week, every single week you
- 26:31Speaker 2: can ask questions very in depth. There two of the
- 26:33Speaker 2: best Sabersim minds. So another reason to get over to
- 26:36Speaker 2: ship a Nation dot com again. As low as nineteen bucks,
- 26:39Speaker 2: you can get in for five days. Next game on
- 26:42Speaker 2: the slate, two games left, OKC Thunder and the Golden
- 26:45Speaker 2: State Warriors Thunder seven to that point, favorites two twenty
- 26:48Speaker 2: seven and a half total in this one. No injuries
- 26:51Speaker 2: to worry about on the Warrior side. Lou Dort Aaron
- 26:54Speaker 2: Wiggins out for Okasee take it away, a game that
- 26:57Speaker 2: looking is looking to be very low owned and went
- 27:00Speaker 2: sorting by sabers and our ownership.
- 27:03Speaker 4: Yeah, I just don't see how or why anybody would
- 27:07Speaker 4: play Warriors tonight.
- 27:08Speaker 3: At these price tags.
- 27:09Speaker 4: I just it doesn't make sense for Kaminga to be
- 27:12Speaker 4: a Draymond Green to be six point eight K. I mean,
- 27:16Speaker 4: pods above six K is kind of crazy too. I
- 27:18Speaker 4: guess you could make a case for Steph just because
- 27:20Speaker 4: he does always have slight breaking upside, but there's nothing
- 27:24Speaker 4: really about the matchup that stands out in a big way.
- 27:26Speaker 4: The okay see, is given up a good amount of
- 27:28Speaker 4: threes per game, so that would be the one spot
- 27:30Speaker 4: you want to attack. Obviously, Steph one of the best,
- 27:33Speaker 4: probably the best three point shooter ever, so you could
- 27:36Speaker 4: make the case for him, But I don't think I'm
- 27:37Speaker 4: gonna be keeping anybody else in my playpool on the
- 27:40Speaker 4: Warriors side, like maybe Trace Jackson Davis just and playing
- 27:44Speaker 4: in the blowout because okay see, he is the best
- 27:46Speaker 4: team in the league, so I could see this game
- 27:48Speaker 4: blowing out on that side, and Tray Jackson Dave was
- 27:52Speaker 4: probably getting a good amount of run. But yet nobody
- 27:55Speaker 4: else other than Steph in terms of spend ups for
- 27:57Speaker 4: the Warriors okay see side. I mean it's kind of similar.
- 28:02Speaker 4: I don't really want to pay nearly eleven K for
- 28:04Speaker 4: Shay on the slate there's nothing that really stands out
- 28:08Speaker 4: from the Warriors on defense. They're pretty good in pretty
- 28:10Speaker 4: much every category. Top six defensive rated team this season. Obviously,
- 28:13Speaker 4: it doesn't really matter too much for me talking about
- 28:16Speaker 4: a guy like Shay, but it's just the main thing
- 28:18Speaker 4: is that he's almost eleven K and he hasn't topped
- 28:21Speaker 4: sixty DK points more than twice this season, so Maxi's
- 28:24Speaker 4: done that probably four or five times already. I just
- 28:26Speaker 4: think that it's a much better spot for to go
- 28:28Speaker 4: down to Maxi at the similar price tags Chet, and
- 28:32Speaker 4: he's fully healthy now, playing thirty minutes in each of
- 28:35Speaker 4: the two of the last three games. Warriors do allow
- 28:38Speaker 4: some pick and roll role man scoring, so it's an
- 28:40Speaker 4: okay spot for him, But I don't know, don't really
- 28:43Speaker 4: love playing him either. Hartenstein's kind of interesting because he's
- 28:46Speaker 4: put up some really big games recently, double doubles in
- 28:49Speaker 4: each of his last three games, had the massive game
- 28:51Speaker 4: against Sacramento. It's not really great spot with the way
- 28:55Speaker 4: that the Warriors don't allow a ton of points around
- 28:57Speaker 4: the basket, and they don't really allow a lot of
- 28:59Speaker 4: fantasy points to centers either. But the thing that's been
- 29:02Speaker 4: interesting with Dordan Wiggins off the court. He has a
- 29:04Speaker 4: six plus six percent usage rate increase and averaging one
- 29:08Speaker 4: point five seven fantasy points per minute with those guys
- 29:11Speaker 4: off the court, so pretty big spike in numbers, so
- 29:14Speaker 4: you could make the case to play him. I think
- 29:15Speaker 4: that six point nine K is probably as pricey as
- 29:18Speaker 4: he should be, even for the huge game against the Kings.
- 29:21Speaker 4: I don't really see many sixty plus DK point outings
- 29:24Speaker 4: coming from hard Sign, but forty to forty five is
- 29:27Speaker 4: enough on this slate probably, But I wouldn't say that
- 29:30Speaker 4: he's a top four or five option at center position.
- 29:33Speaker 4: I think that he's probably the second best option on
- 29:35Speaker 4: OKC tonight, but not really one of my favorite plays.
- 29:39Speaker 4: I do like Aj Mitchell a lot, though he's playing
- 29:41Speaker 4: a lot. They're really leaning into playing him more, and
- 29:44Speaker 4: he's been starting well, you know, with all the injuries
- 29:46Speaker 4: piling up for ok SEE played thirty one plus minutes
- 29:48Speaker 4: in three straight games, top forty DK points twice, averages
- 29:51Speaker 4: one point three to nine fantasy points for a minute
- 29:53Speaker 4: in the non Wiggins and Doort minutes. I think that
- 29:55Speaker 4: he's a pretty good option even at six point three
- 29:58Speaker 4: K with the just point guard llge ability, but I
- 30:00Speaker 4: do like him a good bit here.
- 30:02Speaker 2: What a season for him all the way up to
- 30:04Speaker 2: sixty three hundred bucks crazy since night one? How often
- 30:08Speaker 2: have like the Warriors been going Draymond at the center
- 30:12Speaker 2: and going small bull.
- 30:15Speaker 3: On it.
- 30:15Speaker 4: It's been a while since I've watched a Wars games
- 30:17Speaker 4: because they haven't really been on the main slate, But
- 30:18Speaker 4: I can pull that numbers up quickly. I think they've
- 30:21Speaker 4: been starting posts pretty consistently.
- 30:24Speaker 2: Yeah, I see the starting post. I mean because the
- 30:26Speaker 2: reason I ask is with Hartenstein, is there a threat?
- 30:29Speaker 2: I mean, going Chad at the five is pretty easy
- 30:31Speaker 2: for Okse to do if they wanted to. But I
- 30:34Speaker 2: don't know.
- 30:35Speaker 3: I haven't.
- 30:35Speaker 2: I didn't have time to pull a popcorn machine. But
- 30:38Speaker 2: that is something to note, like your Hartenstein, like those
- 30:40Speaker 2: twenty nine minutes, I mean, if he gets a couple
- 30:42Speaker 2: more minutes. We talked about how loaded center is. If
- 30:45Speaker 2: he can beat out point per dollar wise just I
- 30:48Speaker 2: mean it has to be a lot of them, probably
- 30:50Speaker 2: three of the four Chalkier centers. But if he can,
- 30:52Speaker 2: you're gonna get him maybe not even nine percent, maybe
- 30:54Speaker 2: even lower. So I thought that was an interesting take.
- 30:57Speaker 2: I mean, this game is really tough to get to
- 30:59Speaker 2: my opinion, and I prefer Maxi over Shae for cheaper
- 31:03Speaker 2: I prefer a lot of other mid tier guys I
- 31:05Speaker 2: think over Steph. Just not a game I want much
- 31:08Speaker 2: exposure to. In the field is thinking the same. What
- 31:11Speaker 2: did you think Drummond's minutes will be? Let's see what
- 31:14Speaker 2: we have. Sabersim has twenty six minutes?
- 31:17Speaker 3: Do you agree with that? Reel?
- 31:19Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's probably that's a safe number. I
- 31:23Speaker 4: think there's there's a little bit more minutes or more
- 31:25Speaker 4: upside than twenty six. I don't think that he's going
- 31:28Speaker 4: to go below that.
- 31:29Speaker 2: There you go, So, yeah, that's that's his minutes floor.
- 31:32Speaker 2: Real things obviously follows or something changes that, but good
- 31:37Speaker 2: to note. Last game of the slates Indiana Pacers and
- 31:40Speaker 2: the Utah Jazz Rios Utah Jazz two and a half
- 31:43Speaker 2: point favorites are the Pacers two thirty three and a
- 31:45Speaker 2: half total in this one. Injuries for the Pacers side,
- 31:48Speaker 2: no Benedict's mathern TJ. McConnell's questionable. On the Utah side,
- 31:52Speaker 2: no Taylor Hendrick still, no slow Mo, Kyle Anderson looking
- 31:57Speaker 2: at ownership in this game, it is not getting past anyone.
- 32:01Speaker 2: Are your Utah Jazz? Memhar looks to get some ownership
- 32:05Speaker 2: for the Pacers after that, not much, but holy moly,
- 32:08Speaker 2: your Jazz are getting known for sure. And like this,
- 32:11Speaker 2: Ace Bailey number probably goes up. Flapowski forty five, Yeah,
- 32:16Speaker 2: probably right, but him being power forward eligible on top
- 32:19Speaker 2: of center is huge for him, so that might even
- 32:21Speaker 2: be higher. Like we saw Ron Holland projected like six
- 32:24Speaker 2: like sixty to fifty nine, like high fifties yesterday, I
- 32:28Speaker 2: mean sixty eight percent. These guys aren't sneaking by anyone.
- 32:30Speaker 2: The field's gotten pretty sharp, so I wouldn't be surprised
- 32:33Speaker 2: if that number got a little higher.
- 32:34Speaker 4: But great game to target, Yeah, for sure, I think
- 32:38Speaker 4: this is probably this game might be a little bit
- 32:40Speaker 4: better than the six Ers one, but I think they're
- 32:42Speaker 4: pretty close just in terms of getting some ceiling games.
- 32:46Speaker 4: Prices are a little bit better on some of these guys. Yeah,
- 32:49Speaker 4: with no Tayler Hendricks, no Kevin love To and I
- 32:51Speaker 4: they'll definitely open up some more minutes for guys on
- 32:53Speaker 4: the jazz side. I think that Philip Kossi going to
- 32:55Speaker 4: be getting those backup center minutes. Now both The seat
- 32:59Speaker 4: was to see what they do because it is a
- 33:01Speaker 4: back to back for Utah. I wouldn't be surprised if
- 33:04Speaker 4: they lean into some of the younger guys a little
- 33:06Speaker 4: bit more. After Lori played thirty five, Kiance played thirty six,
- 33:09Speaker 4: Nurkic didn't play a ton, but I could see Seve
- 33:12Speaker 4: getting dialed back a little bit here, and they're going
- 33:14Speaker 4: with Ace and maybe a little bit more like sense
- 33:16Speaker 4: of ball and Walter Clayton Junior a little bit. We
- 33:20Speaker 4: did get word from Will Hardy that they are going
- 33:22Speaker 4: to be starting Ace Bailey moving forwards. I think that
- 33:25Speaker 4: kind of an interesting uh. I don't know if it's
- 33:28Speaker 4: really a bi low spot, but it's a good price
- 33:30Speaker 4: sec to get a top five, top five.
- 33:34Speaker 3: Pick in the draft.
- 33:34Speaker 4: Obviously, some of that's extremely talented starting to come into
- 33:37Speaker 4: his own a little bit more, and he's been you know,
- 33:40Speaker 4: the role wasn't great for him as a starter last
- 33:42Speaker 4: game that had a really low usage rate, kind of
- 33:44Speaker 4: been used off ball more and like as a cutter.
- 33:46Speaker 4: But he did show really good rebounding numbers. Had four
- 33:48Speaker 4: offensive board boards last game, so you know, the rebounding
- 33:52Speaker 4: could just give him a little bit of a better floor,
- 33:55Speaker 4: but I think the Nurkic is probably the best play
- 33:57Speaker 4: on the jazz side. Him and Philipkowski just really good matchup.
- 34:01Speaker 4: With the way that the Pacers having given a ton
- 34:02Speaker 4: of points around the basket, and with this being a
- 34:05Speaker 4: game where there's gonna be no Kevin Love, so no
- 34:08Speaker 4: like true center behind Nurkic, I could see him maybe
- 34:11Speaker 4: playing closer to like thirty minutes here if the game
- 34:13Speaker 4: is close, and if you tell me I'll get thirty
- 34:16Speaker 4: minutes from Nurkic, then he has a good chance of
- 34:19Speaker 4: being the highest scoring center on the slate, you know,
- 34:21Speaker 4: a slate that doesn't really have like Wemby or Yoka
- 34:24Speaker 4: trinthling that I don't think that's really asking for too much.
- 34:26Speaker 4: I do like him as the best option in Utah,
- 34:29Speaker 4: but then I think, like Lori, it's a pretty good
- 34:31Speaker 4: spot for him. The Pacers don't give a lot of
- 34:33Speaker 4: three pointers, but he's been driving a little bit more
- 34:35Speaker 4: and scoring around the basket, so I'm not really too
- 34:37Speaker 4: worried off about the matchup. And then Kyante, it's I
- 34:41Speaker 4: mean some point one k pretty. He's definitely earned that
- 34:44Speaker 4: price tag, been right around like forty dk points in
- 34:46Speaker 4: every game this season except for a few. Nemhart is
- 34:51Speaker 4: in there, so the pick and roll defense can be
- 34:53Speaker 4: a lot better. But the role has been really good
- 34:54Speaker 4: for Kiante, and he's beat some really hard matchups this season,
- 34:57Speaker 4: so I think that he's he's pretty solid. But I
- 34:59Speaker 4: wouldn't be two opposed to getting some Walter Clayton junior
- 35:02Speaker 4: in the off chance that Caante's minutes come down to
- 35:05Speaker 4: like thirty one and we see like twenty from Clayton,
- 35:07Speaker 4: because he's been a pretty solid, permanent guy this season,
- 35:10Speaker 4: and he did close over Nurkic and Speed last game,
- 35:13Speaker 4: so there's definitely some upside for him the indie side,
- 35:18Speaker 4: I don't really know if I want to pay ten
- 35:19Speaker 4: K for Siakam now with you know, with Nempard back,
- 35:23Speaker 4: they're starting to get like a real point guard on
- 35:24Speaker 4: the team that can take away a little bit of
- 35:26Speaker 4: usage and touch time from Siakam. The Jazz do give
- 35:29Speaker 4: up some pretty big games to opposing stars, so you
- 35:31Speaker 4: can make the case that he's in a fine spot here,
- 35:35Speaker 4: but I probably would just lean into some of these
- 35:36Speaker 4: secondary guys, like I think Nee Smith is actually kind
- 35:39Speaker 4: of interesting. Jazz are one of the worst three point
- 35:41Speaker 4: defense in the league. They allow a ton of turnovers
- 35:44Speaker 4: as well, so I could see this being like a
- 35:45Speaker 4: pretty efficient game from Nee Smith where he hits three
- 35:48Speaker 4: to four threes and maybe gets like three or four
- 35:50Speaker 4: steals and pays off value in that way. But Nemhart's
- 35:53Speaker 4: gonna be the guy that I like the most. I
- 35:55Speaker 4: just always like attacking this Jazz team with opposing guards.
- 35:58Speaker 4: They're allowing a ton of three point per game to
- 36:00Speaker 4: opposing guards. But I mean, the numbers have been really
- 36:02Speaker 4: good for Nemhart since returning had like a month long
- 36:05Speaker 4: injury absence and then played thirty three and thirty minutes
- 36:07Speaker 4: in his first two games back, taking thirty six shots
- 36:10Speaker 4: over his last two games. So there's gonna be a
- 36:12Speaker 4: ton of volume for a Nemmar And I definitely think
- 36:14Speaker 4: that he's the top play for the Pacers. I don't
- 36:19Speaker 4: really know like TJ might return, but he could. If
- 36:22Speaker 4: he misses again, then then Harden gets a lot better.
- 36:24Speaker 4: But I really want to be getting off of Nemhart
- 36:26Speaker 4: even if TJ were to be in, Yeah, I would not.
- 36:31Speaker 4: I would not get off of him, even if.
- 36:32Speaker 2: T would not get it okay, And I don't even
- 36:34Speaker 2: know if I believe that thirty three percent, that could
- 36:37Speaker 2: be like I don't know, twenty five. Maybe I'm wrong,
- 36:40Speaker 2: but there's just so many people in that mitt in
- 36:42Speaker 2: that like the balance build will be popular, but who's
- 36:45Speaker 2: around that six three month Let's see Derek White's gonna
- 36:47Speaker 2: get some ownership, Michael Porter kind of in that range, Prichard,
- 36:53Speaker 2: all the scent like the Chalky Centers kind of are there,
- 36:56Speaker 2: like the Nurkics, the Claxtons. I don't know, maybe it's
- 37:01Speaker 2: I think twenty five is probably a little more realistic
- 37:03Speaker 2: than thirty three. Siak, I'm gonna get some ownership for
- 37:06Speaker 2: the Pacers. How I just view it is like when
- 37:09Speaker 2: we're circling back, Memphis looks bad. Knicks, I think og
- 37:14Speaker 2: or one of the studs, like they fit middling builds
- 37:16Speaker 2: with towns is the highest price in nine K. Toronto
- 37:19Speaker 2: looks good, and that's look good. Boston Philly is a
- 37:22Speaker 2: good game. This game's bad, and honestly, I think Indiana's
- 37:25Speaker 2: pretty bad. And Utah has some solid pieces, like we
- 37:28Speaker 2: talk about a condensed spot one, two, three, four, five
- 37:32Speaker 2: pretty much five teams, six teams. I would add Utah
- 37:36Speaker 2: so six of the ten teams right away to get
- 37:38Speaker 2: some exposure to and like that's how I'm gonna try
- 37:41Speaker 2: and narrow it down. Yeah, that's kind of my final
- 37:44Speaker 2: thoughts on this late though. The thing with basketball is
- 37:46Speaker 2: it's all I mean, projections, own stuff. If one of
- 37:49Speaker 2: these guys get ruled out at the end of the day,
- 37:51Speaker 2: like if somehow Scotty Barton's got ruled out right now,
- 37:54Speaker 2: like quickly brandon Ingram, the whole slates flipped on its
- 37:57Speaker 2: head and you have to be late swapping. You have
- 37:59Speaker 2: to be paired. We don't have too many big que
- 38:02Speaker 2: tags right now, but even little stuff changes some projections
- 38:05Speaker 2: and weird starting lineup can change stuff. So you got
- 38:08Speaker 2: to be around your computer from seven third Eastern to
- 38:10Speaker 2: nine eastern today. That's what we got for the five
- 38:13Speaker 2: game DK main slate. Final thoughts from your rio No
- 38:16Speaker 2: Jackson love if you want to touch on that too,
- 38:18Speaker 2: Isaiah Jackson fifty, I mean he's fine. I think the
- 38:22Speaker 2: center is pretty strong tonight, So I don't know if
- 38:25Speaker 2: I really want to be taking a shot on him,
- 38:27Speaker 2: Like Keda for three hundred cheaper is probably a little
- 38:29Speaker 2: bit better. Drummond for two hundred more a lot better.
- 38:32Speaker 2: And then I think even like Nurkic and Claxon for
- 38:36Speaker 2: one thousand and thirteen thirteen hundred more are way better.
- 38:39Speaker 2: So I don't think so he's kind of far down
- 38:41Speaker 2: the terms of priorities for center final thoughts.
- 38:46Speaker 4: No, yeah, not really. It's kind of a kind of
- 38:49Speaker 4: a gross Tuesday slate. It's also been kind of odd
- 38:51Speaker 4: DraftKings is beefing up the contests for Tuesday, but we
- 38:55Speaker 4: get worse contests on like Wednesdays and Fridays. I wish
- 38:59Speaker 4: that they would flip that, like, I don't you know,
- 39:01Speaker 4: I don't like playing that five dollars on Wednesdays and Fridays,
- 39:04Speaker 4: But they just keep doing that, and then we have
- 39:06Speaker 4: like the Big three k contest, which I think is
- 39:09Speaker 4: pretty good on Tuesday. The seven to twenty five is
- 39:11Speaker 4: always on Tuesday as well, So I just kind of
- 39:13Speaker 4: wish that they would flip those around a little bit.
- 39:15Speaker 2: If you had to pick a number for this late size,
- 39:18Speaker 2: what's your ideal number? Would you say? Like like eight games?
- 39:24Speaker 4: Yeah, seven to eight, yeah, seven to nine I think
- 39:27Speaker 4: is a sweet spot. I think ten and above gets
- 39:29Speaker 4: a little crazy, and then like five and below is
- 39:31Speaker 4: kind of boring.
- 39:33Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense. I wonder why they do it
- 39:36Speaker 2: right after Monday Night Football or Monday Big Contest. That
- 39:39Speaker 2: way get people, the winners to put more money in
- 39:41Speaker 2: or people to chase that way. Wednesday a little smaller,
- 39:45Speaker 2: waiting for Thursday, and then I don't know why Friday
- 39:48Speaker 2: would college football is going on. I don't think that's
- 39:51Speaker 2: really taken away. Who knows what DraftKings thinks. That's gonna
- 39:54Speaker 2: take too much work to dive. I mean, they're better
- 39:56Speaker 2: than FanDuel, at least FanDuel's product. You talked about it
- 39:59Speaker 2: five years ago phenomenon. I grew up playing on Fan
- 40:02Speaker 2: Duel before DraftKings. You can get a lot of good
- 40:04Speaker 2: action there and cash tournaments everything. I will say occasionally
- 40:08Speaker 2: they still run a pretty good tournament here and there
- 40:10Speaker 2: for basketball, so I always check. But most of the
- 40:13Speaker 2: times it is DK over here. Yeah, give the the
- 40:17Speaker 2: DK and turns too much credits, Right, That's all we
- 40:19Speaker 2: got though, Again, like bun subscribe button, he's just out
- 40:21Speaker 2: a ton ship a nation. You can join us for
- 40:24Speaker 2: as low as nineteen dollars for five days using the
- 40:26Speaker 2: code chip nineteen and I should have mentioned this earlier,
- 40:29Speaker 2: but a great deal over at Splash. Our friends at
- 40:31Speaker 2: splash gave us the promo code ship it to fifty
- 40:34Speaker 2: dollars deposit match. You put in fifty dollars, they'll give
- 40:37Speaker 2: you fifty dollars and one hundred percent payout boost on
- 40:39Speaker 2: your first Quick Picks entry. They do have it for MBA,
- 40:42Speaker 2: they have it for NFL, similar to Pick six, Prize
- 40:45Speaker 2: picks and stuff like that. Some over some unders you
- 40:48Speaker 2: can use projections. I know Tambo said that he's been
- 40:50Speaker 2: using some of our projections to help look at some
- 40:53Speaker 2: inefficiencies that he sees. But yeah, I mean fifty dollars
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- 40:59Speaker 2: it was a little nega ev pick with those one
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- 41:08Speaker 2: at Splash Sports. Ship nineteen is the promo code to
- 41:11Speaker 2: give us a try four or five days here at
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- 41:16Speaker 2: be safe, good luck in your contest tonight for real,
- 41:19Speaker 2: unentitled ton