Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Fall systems going clear for lifting?
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: What is going on? Everybody Happy? Thursday? Big Marley and
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: I are back talking some fights. UFC Fight Nights in
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: a Sacramento, California, thirteen fights. Ten of the thirteen are
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: expected to finish a couple of big Boy slash Girl
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: favorites on the card, but hey, thirteen fights is good.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: Ten out of thirteen to finish. That equals some violence.
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: And I'll be with you in Vegas watching them, probably
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: at Circles Swim to start. So I'm very excited. It
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: doesn't matter who's on the screen. Money is to be made.
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: Big Marley, how we doing today?
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah? Man good. I can't wait for Vegas. And I
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: don't think I've ever picked so many finishes on a
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: card as well, So I think we're gonna have a
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: lot of early violence on this one, probably a lot
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: of high scores and hopefully we hit them right.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Absolutely. I love that. Can't wait to watch them with
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: you and the Ship and Nation crew again. We will
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: be out in Vegas celebrating Djen on Friday. If you
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: have not found out the details, you can go to
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: Twitter with Tambo. You can get Big Marley R. Information
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: in the discord it's not too late. You could book
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: a flight tomorrow morning, get out there for the night
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: tomorrow afternoon. We would love to see everybody again. We
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: are talking some UFC though thirteen fights. I don't really
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: have anything more to add. Again, I think a lot
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: of big scores, a very good main event. Fluffy Hernandez
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: five point eight, eight takedowns per fifteen minutes, Gregor Rodriguez
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: an Action Pax Fighter. It's pretty hard to get away
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: from it. But there's a chance of scores ninety eight
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: for Fluffy maybe, and enough higher scores happen elsewhere. But
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: I think it's hard to get away from the main
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: event after that everything. I think you can make cases
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: to fade any thoughts for you.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I don't know how many lineups I'm
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: gonna make, especially being in Vegas. I don't think we can.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: We can't do lineup there.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: You gotta enter, yeah, whatever you play and you gotta enter. Yeah.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: So that's damn. That's gonna keep me limited. So I
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: think I'm gonna force myself to be all in on
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: the main most likely because a lot of the ones
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I would usually want to target are are the high
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: the high prices that I don't know if I'll even
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: be able to get to.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: For sure. Sorry, I'm true and nice. The other fight
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: that's really tough. You can see you have a lot
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: of five star fights. But the other fight that's relatively
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: tough to get away is priced right by Anthony Hernandez
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: and Gregor Rodriguez. That's Jackson McVeigh and West Scholtz. I
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: think that is a phenomenal, phenomenal fight. Those are the
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: two anchors again ownership WILF. But if I had to
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: pick two to anchor from, those are the ones for sure.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: All right, let's talk some fights again. Appreciate everyone hanging out.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: Oh ESK is a like bun and subscribe button. It
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: helps us out a ton. First fight of the night,
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: big favorite chance Chanell die Er minus seven to fifty
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: taking on a lease read a plus five thirty four
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: minus one ninety for this fight to finish dire minus
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: one eighty inside the distance read plus one thousand dire
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: round one plus one eighty five. I mean, yeah, she
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: should win. I think she probably gets a knockout. But
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: she's ninety seven hundred, So what do you plan on
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: doing at that price? Take?
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, a rare one star fight. Even with the one hundred
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: and fifty lineups, I would completely fade this fight. I
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: don't know that I've ever had a one star fight
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: end up on the optimal lineup either, So I feel
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: like it's a it's a good face, I mean a
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: good tale on this one. Diers should get the wins.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: This is a striking match really either way. But Dier's
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: just so much faster, She's younger, just the cleaner overall
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: st but I feel like she's gonna spend a lot
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: of time kind of dancing around. It's not gonna be
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: a really high volume in the pocket type of fight.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: And once you get over ninety five hundred dollars, it's
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: really tough to justify paying that price. So ninety seven
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: hundred for Dire. She had a finish in her last fight,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: she only scored ninety five point eight. If you give
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: her ninety five point eight, I have a really good
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: feeling she's not gonna be on the optimal lineup at
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: ninety seven hundred, so I'm gonna ful fade her at
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: least read. I mean, if you think she has a chance,
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: she could play her. But I put five stars for
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the Dire side just as a way to get different.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: If I had to use this fight, I would still
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: rather take Dire because no one's gonna be on her.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I think I have her as my third or fourth
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: I think the third highest our least one fighter on
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: the card, so that's the only reason to play Dire,
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: and I think she could get a finish, but I
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: have her winning all three rounds and then a decision.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I just don't know that there's any chance she can
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: get there.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. I'm not playing the least read.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: I not playing dire. It's been ninety six hundred man,
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: then Orbai loses last week. It's been really difficult for
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: me in the ninety six hundred price range. Thankfully diers
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: ninety seven hundred. I feel good that she'll win, she
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: won't be optimal, and we can move on from that fight.
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: Ah Man did us a disservice. Our man Kenny w
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: shout out to him winning the MMA World Championship and
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: our man cheets take second. Those two were really close,
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: so shout out to both of you guys. Matt Kay
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: I think was like fourth or fifth. Phenomenal showing from
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: many of the ship in Nation members Kenny wins it.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: Jalen Turner the leverage play. Congrats, awesome stuff right there,
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: all right, next fight, yep, congrats for sure, next fight
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: on the slates. And again this about orders from Monday.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: That's when I put these odds in the pricing up
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: and everything. But it might have changed a little bit.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: But Jackson McVay and Wesley Schultz minus one seventy McVay
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: plus one forty nine is Shultz minus four fifty for
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish. McVeigh minus one ten inside the distance,
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: Schultz plus one seventy five McVeigh round one plus one
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: eighty five Schultz round one plus three hundred under one
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: and a half minus one eighty. I mean all of
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: these just slam dunk plays. If you fade the main event,
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: I think you're forced to play this fight. I mean
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: both of them will be high owned. Ideally I would
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: play both mcveay, Schultz and Hernandez Rodriguez. But if you
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: do that, you have to be kind of worried what
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: you're doing in your other spots. But if we keep
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: all thirteen fights, I think ownership will be spread out enough.
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: I just want to jam this fight, even at high
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: ownership and what are your thoughts. But then I see
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: you have Wes Schultz as your preferred play. It looks
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: like so you're picking them to win.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: I am picking them to win, but not with any
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: real confidence. I just think that he is a very
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: slick grappler, and if this fight does hit the ground,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: there's just a lot of ways he can submit McVeigh,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: and we've seen McVeigh submit.
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: It as well.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: So that's why I have Schultz as my four star.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: If you're making a lot of lineups, I would not
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: be against having more McVeigh than having Schultz, because if
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: there's really a first round finished, most of that equity,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I think is to McVeigh. He is the better striker,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: the more dangerous striker, and he's also nasty in the
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: clinch as well. I just don't think Schultz can hang
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: with him on the feet. But on the ground early
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: in the fight maybe it could go a little bit
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: either way, but I trust Schultz the longer the fight goes,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: and I do think he is just a better, more
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: skilled submission grappler in this one, and he could get
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: a finish in the first or the third round. As
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: seventy five hundred dollars. I'm really cool with either one
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: of them. But McVeigh, I think almost all of his
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: win equity is in the first eight minutes or so
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: of this fight, because if he is as aggressive as
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: he usually is and he's fighting off takedowns, I just
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: think he's going to start to slow down as the
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: fight moves along, and then the submissions could be easier
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: for Schultz. So Schultz is the first underdog on this card.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I'm picking to win. I mean, you can kind of
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: tell the other ones I'm picking as well, but I
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: feel really good about getting this fight in general, so
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I'll have a lot of Shultz.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I want a bunch of both sides. But everything
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: you said, I agree with McVeigh. All nine of his
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: pro fights have ended inside the distance nine eight of
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: those nine have ended in round one. Ten of Schultz's
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: twelve fights ended inside the distance. McVay better striker, Schultz
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: better grappler. Under or minus four hundred on Monday, Now
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: it's minus four fifty to finish. I just think everything's
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: pointing in the direction for this fight to score well,
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: So I'll have a lot of it. I picked McVeigh,
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: but don't mind Schultz. For the Savings. Next fight on
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: the card, we have Gage Young taking on Stanley Doris
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: Door in this evil you know how.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: To pronounce his last name Doors Sainville. I'm not sure
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I would call him Stan.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going stand stand the man. Gage Young taking
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: on Stan the Man minus one fifty Young plus one
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: thirty Stand plus one fifteen for this fight to finish,
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: Young plus two thirty five inside the distance stand plus
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: three twenty five. This is one of the three fights
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: expected to go the distance. It's also in the mid tier.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: If you look at other mid tier fights on this card,
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Shamil Kennedy minus four hundred to finish, Petrinos Pibac minus
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: one sixty to finish than if you want to look
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: at right above that, Hernandez Rodriguez minus three twenty five
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: to finish. So for all for that reason, it's pretty
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: tough for me to get to this fight in the
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: mid tier will get you different. Another one to excuse me,
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Nasrat Chris Padilla also expected to go the distance. I
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: think it's clearly Young and Stan and then nazareat Padilla
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: are the two mid tier fights that I don't have
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: much interest in. I think the field sees at the
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: same but I think I'd rather just to be honest,
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: go make Vey alright, plug in McVeigh, drop McVeigh to Schultz,
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: leave twelve hundred. Then I would try to play those
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: other fights to get different. So I don't love the upside.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: What are your what's your take?
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: I'm actually not against this fight, especially as a mid
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: range fight. I think this could be one of the
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: higher volume fights on both sides. I liked what I
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: saw from Stan. He looks like he's got good hands.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: He'll like to stand in the pocket and trade, and
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Young is kind of the same way. And also both
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: guys are willing to mix in takedowns. Stan was going
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: for submissions right away as soon as he would get
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: a takedown, So I like the underdog again in this one.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I just think the overall skills, he is young, he's
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: fought less competition, he doesn't have the UFC experience yet.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: But just watching them and I thought Stan looked pretty
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: dang good. The one worry I would say is I
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: think it was his most previous fight. I think they
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: mentioned that he was a big underdog in that fight,
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: and I thought he was clearly winning the whole thing.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: But just him being an underdog going in had me thinking, Man,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: what did people see in this other guy? Or are
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: they really not believing in Stan here? But because I
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: think he is UFC talent, I think he could mix
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: in a couple of takedowns here. I think he could
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: get a knockout. I even think he could get a submission.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: So I'm picking Stan to win. But again, I mean
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I haven't met him yet. I don't know that I'm
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: that confident in him. I would play Young as well
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: because he is the more experienced one. He's got knockout power.
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: He'll go for submissions and takedowns as well. So I
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: think this is a sneaky fight in the mid range
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: where either guy has ninety plus maybe even hundred plus potential.
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Okay, I'm probably gonna raise my interest a little bit.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: And you're talking about Stan. He has taken money since
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: Open Gage Young Open minus two. He just froze up.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: Oh, I don't know if we lost me or if
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: we lost title.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: I hear you. You don't hear me.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: I hear you. Now there you are, You're back, all right?
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: Cool? Oh my gosh, that's annoying. I hear you. I
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: heard you. The whole time. You got me you sure? Yeah, yeah,
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: all right, hopefully they do.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Let us know in chat if you can hear them, all.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: Right, let me know in chat. What I was saying.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: What I was saying is all right, cool, I don't
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: know what's going on. What I was saying is you
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: you like to stand the underdog Gage Young. That's where
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: the money's gone to Gage Young open minus two to
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: fifty now all the way down to minus one fifty,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: so Stan taking quite a bit. He is four hundred
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: dollars cheaper. He's my preferred play in this one as well.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: But with all that being said, on Monday, Gage Young
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: was minus one twenty three, so Stan took money to
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: start and then Gage has got a little buy back
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: since early in the week. Good, all right, we're both good,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: Thank you, Thank you. All right, let's get to the
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: next fight on the card. What's going on, Jeffrey Blue,
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: what's going on? Bryant? What's going on? Mike Spencer? Great
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: to see you guys. I didn't really this last nominally
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: my two big underdog winning was in. That's great work.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: I appreciate that. Yeah, last week was crazy. Charles Johnson
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: won two. Is the dog, but stolesfus as a big dog.
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: And then who's the other one cheating?
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Well, scored right, but he killed the guard.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he'd beat Orbi. He wasn't optimal, though Cheaty was
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: also optimal. So yeah, a good amount of dogs on
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: last week's card. All right, we will keep it rolling
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: to the next fights. The second biggest favorite on the
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: card and the second highest price we got Marcio Barbosa
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: taking on Ryan Ces Barbosa minus for eight fifty QS
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: plus five eighty six nineteen or nineteen minus fourteen hundred
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish Barbosa minus seven hundred inside
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: the distance QS plus seven hundred Barbosa round one minus
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: one seventy five. What are your thoughts on wins versus
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: Barbosa if you have to choose, and then, yeah, I
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: guess just how much you see yourself getting at ninety
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: eight hundred.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's a tough one. I mean, he Barbosa
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: is just super dangerous. He is aggressive early in fights,
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: and he throws mean hooks, and I think you can
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: knock out the majority of this division if they fight
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: the fight he wants to fight, and cous does look
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: like a striker, overall, So I do think he is
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: gonna wanna strike at first, but he should be the
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: one looking for takedown in this one. That's what would
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: make him more alive to win. But yeah, it's just
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: about in my opinion, does Barbosa score enough at ninety
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: eight hundred, and if he does, does he beat Wint.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: I prefer win. I just think that Win is likely
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: to score within sixty seconds, or to win this fight
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: within sixty seconds, whereas Barbosa, I don't know that he
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: is even a bet. I would want to make at
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: like plus four hundred to win, and see, I don't
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: know what the line is, but to win within that
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: first minute, and I think at ninety eight hundred dollars,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: you need to win in the first minute to be
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: on the optimal lineup. Because he's not one of those
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: guys who's gonna go in there and rack up twenty
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: takedowns and score one hundred and forty. It's all about
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: his first round knockout equity. And I think he gets
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: the knockout in the first round, but that probably puts
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: him at one hundred, one hundred and ten or so
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: points and at ninety eight hundred dollars I don't think
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: one hundred and ten is gonna cut it, especially if
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Went scores one hundred and twenty eight. So I prefer win.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: I doubt I get to Barbosa. The more lineups I make,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: the more willing I am. But it would probably be
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: because I couldn't afford win and I had ninety eight
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: hundred dollars left or whatever. Uh So ye give me
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: Barbosa to win in the first round and just not
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: score enough, I'll x out cuse uh just because I
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: don't think I'll have enough lineups. I think with one
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty, i'd keep him in my pool. I
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: do think he's more live than Vegas does. But Barbosa
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: is just He's just a mean looking dude, and I
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: think this is a fight that the UFC wants him
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: to win. Yeah, Barbosa is gonna knock him out, I think.
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: But I totally agree with you where if I'm spending anyone,
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: if I could choose, I think I'd just be winn
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: because I'm on the same page. I think the first
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: minute bonus is very much in play, whereas I think
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: it's a little it's a lot more, it's a lot harder.
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: I think for for Barbosa to get there, because I
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: don't know if he's just gonna like blast forward. I
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: don't think Wint is gonna worry about Chapman what he
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: brings on the other side one bit, whereas yeah, Qus
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: is a little better. I don't think Barbosa is gonna
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: rest if it gets outside the first minute even yet
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: one time, which is really good. Not sure it's enough
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: at ninety eight hundred, so I don't love it. I
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: do prefer him to Dire, though, if I have to choose,
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: what about you?
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: Absolutely, yeah, Dire's my least favorite pick on the entire
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, aside from at least read I suppose, but
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: I will not touch Dire. If I was playing one
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty with and your lineups, I'm not touching
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Dire fair enough.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the card, closest line fight right now,
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: Nazareth hack Press Chris Padilla minus one fifteen Nazarett minus
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: one oh five Padilla plus one thirty five. For this
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: fight to finish, both fighters are plus three hundred inside
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: the distance, so on Monday it was plus one twenty
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: to finish, now plus one thirty five, so the over
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: has taken some money, and that leaves us at the
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: most likely fight to go the distance on the card,
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: so the closest fight. So you have to get the
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: pick the closest in a coin flip, then you have
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: to get the fight the most likely to go the
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: distance to be optimal. It is a mid tier fight, though,
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: but that is not a combination I like messing with
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: too much, so I'd probably cap them right around both
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: of their inside the distance props, which is plus three hundred. Yeah,
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: what is your take on this fight?
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this would be more of like an Emmy fight
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: for me. The more lineups I'm making, the more interested
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: I would be. But with a single entry or like
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: just handbuilding lineups, I'm not really trying to click either
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: one of these guys because I don't have a strong
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: lean either way. I am picking hack Bress because I
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: think he is just the more proven, the higher paced striker,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: and I do think this will be mostly a striking match.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: But Padilla is the more dangerous grappler, more likely wrestler
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: as well. He's two hundred dollars cheaper. The line is
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: basically a pick them, so I just don't really feel
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: good about making a Hack brass lineup, and then in
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: my mind, I'll be telling myself, man, should we just
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: double this up and do Padia as well? So that's
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: my thing that's keeping me away from it as well.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: As I like that stand Door Sandoville or whatever his
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: name is, more than both of these guys, and probably
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: young as well. I like that fight in general more
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: than this fight. And since I think this fight plays
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: out on the feet, I have it going the distance
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: as well. I just don't think either one of them
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: has one hundred point potential in a decision win unless
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: it is a crazy high volume in the pocket type
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: of fight, and I just doubt that that's the case.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be a fairly technical some volume. I mean,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: they both average over six strikes per minute. I just
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: don't think that's what we're going to see in this matchup.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be a more technical fight and in
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: a decision, I would think they're more flirting with ten X,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: and I don't think ten X is gonna cut it
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: on this card. But give me hack Pressed as my
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: preferred play am I picked to win.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, this is by probably second least favorite on the
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: card behind Diary Reid. I don't plan on playing any
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: in like fifteen or less, twenty or less. I prefer
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: every other mid tier fight, especially after you talked the
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: Gage young Stand fight up a little bit. This makes
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: me actually like that made me like this fight even less.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: And I'll get some little more exposure to that young
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: Stand fight. We do take it right to another mid
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: tier fight though that you have a five star and
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: it's minus four hundred. Actually it was my minus four
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: hundred to finish on Monday. Now it's minus three fifty
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Samil Gazee minus one thirty five Kennedy, najek Wu plus
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: one fifteen both guys, or like I said, minus three
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: fifty for this fight to finish, Gazeve plus one fifteen
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: inside the distance, Kennedy plus one fifty five inside the
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: distance Gazebe round one plus two sixty five Kennedy plus
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: four fifty. A little now, I shouldn't say a little surprised,
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: but you have this as a five star, like would
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: you be shocked to see it be more slow paced?
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: Early with Kennedy worried about Gazeze's power, they tit for
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: tad and then second round it like picks up a
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: little bit and the overtaking the money little or taking
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: some money a little bit, not a bunch, but minus
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: four fifty now minus or minus four hundred now minus
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: three fifty. That's the only reason. Sometimes at heavyweight I
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: worry about that a little bit, being worried about each
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: other's power. But any thoughts on that, and then I
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: see you have Kennedy as four star versus two for shame.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: See I was going back between four star and five
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: star on this fight. But what made me side with
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: five stars? I think that if gazeve wins, it's likely
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: in round one he'll come out, he'll throw bombs trying
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: to get the knockout early, and if that doesn't happen,
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: he'll go for a takedown. And I think round one,
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: if he gets a takedown, I think he could finish
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: Kennedy on the ground. So most of Gazevee's wins I
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: think are gonna score one hundred or more and at
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: eighty four hundred dollars, that's pretty dang good. But Kennedy
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: after the first, you know, opening minutes, I think gazeve
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: is likely to slow down, and I think Kennedy can
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: go a hard three rounds and the longer it goes
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: the more. I like Kennedy, but I just don't think
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: it's gonna go the distance. I think he would finish
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Gazeve at some point, and even in the second round
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: as an underdog, I'm absolutely cool withy get in the
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: second round finish. So even if he loses the first
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: and gets kind of dominated, I feel like we're probably
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: gonna get a knockout in a knockdown along the way
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: in that second round. So at seventy eight hundred dollars,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: I'm cool with it. I think the price is what
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: justified the five stars for me, and this would be
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: a mid range that I would really want to target
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: because I think both sides have ninety plus upside. It
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: could be a Kennedy first round knockout, or even if
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Gazieve slows down, I think Kennedy could really put it
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: on him and just dominate him on the feet with volume,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: along with the knockdown and knockout as well. So I
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: just think this is a fight I want to target
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: either side of. But I think it's gonna last more
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: than the one round. Maybe, I mean, the longer it goes,
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: the less. I like Gazee, so that's why I picked
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: Kennedy as my pick to win, my preferred play. And
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna try and get to a ninety nine
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: hundred or ninety eight hundred dollars, I'm gonna have to
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: be shoving some underdogs in there, and Kennedy would be
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: my guy.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you. I'm picking Kennedy a win too.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: Just think he has more pass to win if the
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: longer the fight goes, the more it benefits him. Has
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: a pretty big reach advantage. Shamil definitely has the more
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: round one power and very well just could flatline Kennedy.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: Didn't like Kennedy losing the osp But I think Kennedy
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: the speed advantage, the length advantage, and I think he
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: can find a way to win for six hundred cheaper
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: and it is fine in my opinion, going gaze, taking
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: gazebe out going Kennedy and leaving six hundred plus in
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: chock your lineups. All right, excuse me before we go
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: to the next fight. Let's hop over to the ship
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: in Nation homepage. As you can see, the all access
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: special usually ninety nine dollars now forty nine dollars for
• 22:39
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• 22:48
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• 22:50
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  Speaker 2: banner right here. Otherwise bottom left, join the nation. There's
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: some other deals, as you can see the all access
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: nineteen day or the five day trial for nineteen dollars.
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: You can see the monthly right here. If you go
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: over and you say you just play MLB single sports,
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: or excuse me, if you just play MMA, single sport, MMA,
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: whatever sport you do play, you can get in four
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: twenty nine dollars for the month. Annual gets even cheaper,
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: and MMA goes on pretty much every single week, so
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: we would love to have you. You also are able
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: to get in the discord for all of those sports
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: if you do join all right. Next fight on the card,
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: we have Leran Douglas taking on Jamal Emmers. Douglas minus
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: three eighty Emers plus three zero three. This fight is
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: minus four hundred to finish Douglas minus two to fifty
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: inside the distance Emers plus five twenty five Douglas round
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: one minus one twenty five and that's a lot of
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: line movement. His run one prop was plus one twenty
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: five at open, now minus one twenty five. Yeah, sign
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: me up for some Douglas ninety three hundred I think
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: is too cheap. You can plug in any of these guys.
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: Dire Barbosa even wins. I think if went, I mean
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: win doesn't, isn't guaranteed to get the first minute bonus.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: If he doesn't, I think Douglas has just as much upside.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think he's a phenomenal, phenomenal play and
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: with his ownership, I think probably being elevated. I don't
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: hate Jamal Emers as well. He's a talented fighter. He'll
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: compete minutes to minute, So yeah, I might on both
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: sides of this one.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: Absolutely. It is one of my favorite fights to target.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I think almost all the first round equity is on
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: the Douglas side. He is an aggressive striker, He's going
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: to be trying to knock Himer's head off, and Emmers
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: does have a questionable chin. Plus he's like he's thirty
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: seven years old, getting up there in age, taking damage
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: over his career, So I think if this fight's playing
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: out on the feet, Emmer's gonna get knocked out, and
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: I think minus one twenty five. I think there's value
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: in that round one prop for Douglas because I do
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: think it's going to be a first round knockout. What
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: would stop it from being a first round knockout would
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: be Emmer's wrestling ability. And if he does get Douglas
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: out of the first round because he wrestles him, I
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: think he's likely to wrestle him in the second as well,
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: and also in the third. And Emers has one hundred
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: and twenty point upside at sixty nine hundred dollars, So
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: he's my favorite punt on the card. But give me
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: Douglas to knock him out in the first couple minutes
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: of this fight. I just think he's going to be aggressive,
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: hunting for that knockout. And again, I think the UFC
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: probably wants Douglas to get that knockout as well. They
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: gave him a rosa in his first matchup super questionable Chin.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Now he's got a tougher match up here, but same
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: path to victory, same same issue for the opponent. I
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: think the UFC wants Douglas to get that first round knockout.
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you said it, great, but I do think Emers
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: is an elite play at lower ownership, at good leverage,
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: with a lot of upside. You can see on the
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: stone five point one significance rikes per minute, two point
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: five to nine takedowns per fifteen for Emers. All right,
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: let's get to the biggest favorite on the card and
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: the highest priced. That is Anthony Went minus one thousand
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: taken on Terrence Chapman plus six sixty one. This fight
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: is minus one thousand to finish win, minus eight to
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: fifty inside the distance Chapman plus one thousand went in
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: round one minus two fifty open minus two fifteen. We
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: already kind of talked about it, like we think he
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: has legit sixty second knockout potential. With that being said,
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: I think there's pass where he gets that and still
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: is an optimal scoring one hundred and twenty eight. And
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: when that's when that's the case, it always makes it
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: more difficult. With that being said, if I knew he'd
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: get a first minute bonus, I'd still probably want at
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: least fifty percent. So I don't see myself playing fifty percent.
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's minus or plus plus one hundred
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: or whatever to get a finish or in the first
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: sixty seconds I think is you might be able to
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: find that prop Actually I think you found it before.
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: But what I put sixty seconds that plus three hundred
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: plus two fifty, what would you put it at.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: I would imagine that's closer to what it is. I
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna it's like personally, I would make it
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: pluck closer to plus two hundred because he has four
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: wins within the first forty five seconds of fights. And
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: on the Chapman side, I mean really the only thing
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: that impressed me about Chapman was I thought he had
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: pretty good leg kicks. So if Winn doesn't want to
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: get kicked in his leg, just pressure him right away,
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: and went is dangerous when this guy has all the power,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: all the muscle, and if he doesn't want to just
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: go in throwing hands, he could go in and take
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: Chapman down and get a ground and pound knockout within
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: the first sixty seconds as well. He's just imposing, powerful,
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: big and they're throwing him in like a week after
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: he had the Dana Whites Contender Series fight, which he
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: won in the first sixty seconds, So I feel like
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: the UFC wants him to do the exact same thing.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: You go out there, get a win in the first
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: sixty seconds, and you got a name right away. So
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: I think he's actually very likely to win in the
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: first sixty seconds of this fight. But I also don't
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: know that we're completely dead if he doesn't, because he
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: is a good wrestler, and I think he could maybe
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: land a knock knock down takedowns and then just have
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: some serious ground and pound. I don't know that Chapman
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: can can can withstand all of that ground and pound
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: for it to be just climbing up the numbers. So
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: we probably at ninety nine hundred dollars, I would imagine
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: need the quick win. But he just has the type
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: of game where he could dominate the fight on the
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: ground as well, and that's that scores well. So I
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: like win. I don't like ninety nine hundred dollars. I
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: think Douglas is just so much more affordable. That's why
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: I put this fight as a three star and the
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: other one is a five star. And you also don't
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: have to hunt for as many underdogs if you're playing Douglas.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: So if you can afford win, go for it. Get
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: all you can afford. I'm gonna ex Chapman out of
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: my lineups for sure, But ninety nine hundred dollars is
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, we've only seen that a couple of times,
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: and I doubt it ended up on the optimal Well,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: if you were playing seventy so much, whin do you
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: think you'd have? If I was playing one hundred and
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: fifty seventy five seventy five, I would imagine like over
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: thirty percent, but I'd probably want to cap it around fifty,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: no more than sixty percent, because you're just you really
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: need your underdogs to come through, and I like a
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: handful of underdogs on this card. I think a lot
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: of them have have high possible scores too. But ninety
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: nine hundred, even if he get like you mentioned, even
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: if he gets that quick win bonus, it's not guaranteed
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: to be on there, which I at most other prices
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: you would be. So I'm not sure, man, I need
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: to start. I need to mess with my lineup tonight, obviously,
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: because I'm not going to be able to do it tomorrow,
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: so I'll know more if you guys want to hit
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: me up in discord, But I think my I'm probably
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be handbuilding. So my my path with handbuilding will
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: be like, all right, let's start this lineup with Win,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: see what we can do, and if it just isn't possible,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna cut Win out. It'll go down to Douglas
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: and I feel like I'll like the lineup very similar.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: So I don't think he's a must have, but I
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: also I feel like he is the like first or
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: second most likely that we've ever talked about on this
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: show to win in the first sixty seconds.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense. It's a lot of praise, but
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: I think it mainly shows just how bad Chapman might
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: be as well. Derek is kind of talking about that
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: as well. That made me laugh. What's going on? G Fighter?
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: Great to see you all right, five fights left ins
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: you can. As you can see on the stone, Big
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: Marley does not have too much interest in the next couple.
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: Carly judisze minus six twenty five just a lot, Chaves
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: plus four fifty minus one ten for this fight to finish,
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: Judea's plus one ten inside the distance, Chavez plus eight
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: to fifty Judicse round one plus three twenty five open
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: plus three fifty. I don't know. I mean plus three
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: twenty five is twenty three and a half percent in
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: round one. Taking a look at our projected ownership right now,
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: it's not out yet, but I will say we have
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: Judee decent bit under that number for her run one prop.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: I don't hate it. I mean I think I'd rather
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: play Judice than I would rather play Judas than die here.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: I think I'd rather play Judaicse than Barbosa. And I
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: might even rather play Judice than Win, because that is
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: a significant five hundred dollars price difference. I'm not saying
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: plug and win, drop to Judice and make or beat
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: him one on one, but play Judase and leave three
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: hundred or something I think is more reasonable. And yeah,
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: I mean she can throw volume. Look at that on
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: the stone, So Judicse, my preferred play doesn't look like
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: you love it much. I probably like it more than you.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure about the Java side. I'll let you
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: talk about this one.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the ninety four hundred dollars is what's taken me
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: away from Judasa. I like win more. I would try
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: to find five hundred dollars to get to win, definitely
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: like Judy's more than dire. I think Barbosa is kind
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: of even for me. Uh but uh Chavez. I mean,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: she's really didn't impress me. I think she's gonna be
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: a lot slower. Maybe she's got a little bit of power.
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: She could possibly test judy'e's chin, but I think more
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: likely she should look to wrestle in this matchup. I
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: just don't think that she can really dictate over the
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: course of three rounds where those fight's gonna play take place.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: And I think Judice probably doubles or triples are up
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: on volume, and maybe that volume adds up and puts
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Chavez away. That's probably what we need. I just don't
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: think Judice will have enough volume to have any real
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: chance at being on the optimal lineup in a decision.
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: So it's really like we're targeting her first or a
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: second round knockout from one hundred and twenty five pound woman.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, she's gotten them before, but I just don't
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: want to keep relying on that. So I would rather
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: pay one hundred less for Douglas, and that's gonna take
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: away from my Judy's exposure right there. So I don't
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: think I'm gonna get so much of this fight. But
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: I don't think Judy's will have too much ownership. And
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: the more lineups I make, the more interested I would
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: be be just to be a little bit contrary, and
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: I think there are enough underdogs for me to afford
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: a Jude's and a Douglas lineup. I just I just
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: don't like paying ninety four hundred dollars for I bet
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: she does score close to ninety points. But do you
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: think do you think if she gets ninety four you
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: think that has a chance of the optima?
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: No? No, but I think there's past she gets a
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: one o eight or one o nine at fifteen percent. Especially,
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: I just when I'm playing the main event, when I'm
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: playing McVay Schultz, and then maybe I want to play
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: Gazevee Kennedy. It's like I'll shoot now, I'm playing the
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: three chalkiest fights on the card. All right, I'll play
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: Judee at fifteen percent as a minus six fifty favorite.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: That's twenty three percent or whatever to win in round one.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: Like I you see, right what you didn't think Chavez
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: was any good at least throws volume. Maybe Chavez gets
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: back up and Jude's drops her again. I don't know.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: I'm taking a chance at ninety four hundred.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: But yeah, i'd be cool. I would say, with a
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: single entry, I won't have Jud's. But the more lineups
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: I make, the more I could be interested.
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense for sure. All right, let's get
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: to the next fight. Anytime I see Mason Jones, I
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: get very excited. He's minus three hundred taking on MARKL.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: Maderos plus two forty five plus one thirty for this
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: fight to finish, Mason Jones plus one eighty five inside
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: the distance, Madero's plus five twenty five Mason Jones round
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: one plus five hundred. Not the best round one prop.
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: But man, I love Mason Jones, so'll fight for your dollar.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: He can strike, he can wrestle. His inside of this
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: is prop has moved. The decent bit was plus some
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: one ninety at open, got down to plus one sixty five.
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: Now back up to plus one eighty five. I'll let
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: you take it away. I see a two star fight
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: for this one.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe I should move it to a three star
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: because I think you can make a case for both guys.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: I do love the volume in the pace from Jones.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: I think he's the more well rounded fighter. The guy
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: who's more likely to look for takedowns and land takedowns
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: in this fight. But we need at nine K. We
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: need him to be wrestling here because I think it's
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: almost a toss up on the feet. I think Maderos
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: is the more technical striker in this one, and if
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: it is a striking match, I think Maderos is just
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: live to actually win the fight and he could knock
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: Jones out. So that's the case to play Maderos. But
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: Jones has landed eight takedowns in at least two of
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: his UFC fights. Yeah, two of his UFC fights. He
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: scored one seventeen and one twenty six in those two fights.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, give me those scores all day long. I
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: just don't think that Madaro's is going to be that
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: easy to take down. I don't think he'll he'll take
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: eight takedowns. I think he will have a better chance
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: of stuffing him, and I also think he'll have a
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: better chance of drawing Jones into a striking match, which
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: is what takes away from the Jones points. I don't
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: think Jones has any real chance at the optimal in
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: a striking in a striking match, unless it's an early
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: knockout and I think the early knockout potential would be
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: on more so on the Madero side, just because I
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: think he's the cleaner fighter and the aggressiveness from Jones
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: could work against him. But two stars might be a
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: little bit too low for a guy with the with
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: just the pace alone that Jones can bring, and he
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: will mix in takedown, so I probably do need to
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: up star, but Jones is my preferred plage just because
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: of that wrestling potential on picking him to win because
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: he has more ways to win. But on the feet, man,
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: this is more of a pick and fight.
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree with everything you said. That's why
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna play some Maderos. I don't love his upside
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: because I think he's gonna have to be fighting off takedowns.
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: But the line's going to be too wide if it's
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: just on the feet. But that also does not like
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: me like It makes me like Mason Jones even more
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: since I think it does force him to wrestle. That's
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: where he really unlocks. His upside was minus two sixty
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: five on Monday. Now he's minus three hundred, so he's
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: taking some money good inside the distance prop pushes the
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: pace nine k's a good price tag. I can plug
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: in Jude's drop Judis go, Mason Jones leave four hundred.
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: I do like Mason Jones quite a bit. Again, I
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: don't love Madero's upside, but when he wins, he is
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: live for a KO I think is inside the distance
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: prop a little disrespectful. Jones has a great chin, but
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: it's been hit a lot and Madero's does hit hard.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm excited for this one. I think this
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: is a good real life fight. I don't think it
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: gets too much ownership for DFS, and I very well
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: might be overweight. What's up, Mitaos, Good to see you
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: new time. No, it just worked for Big Marley and
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: I today still usually Thursdays at five forty five, but
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: at this point I don't know. We kind of do
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: what fits our schedule most like first week NFL. Well
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: there's Wednesday and a Thursday game I forgot, so we'll
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: figure something out. But yeah, five forty five or eight
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: forty five Eastern on Thursdays is when we have it
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: slotted in for. If we change it, let the Discord
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: know and then subscribe to the YouTube. You can always
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: see if you if you turn on subscriptions want to
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: be notified. You can see when we do get notified
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: or when we do go live whatever show plan is.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: And then last thing, ship nation dot com shows on
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: the far left you can see right here when there
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: are when we're doing them. All right, let's keep it rolling.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Three fights left the butt in real quick. I looked
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: up the went first round finish and it's for the
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: fight in general, not just Wint, but plus three point fifty,
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: which is the lowest I've seen, but still higher than
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: I think it should be.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes sense. Odds, dire, Barbosa, and Win all
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: missed the optimal, all of them.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: Man, it's hard to set odds on that. I'd say
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: at least two. I'm not sure. I'd like to hear
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: sheets answer that.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: I would say, like fifty to fifty. Wow, I mean
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: ninety seven, ninety eight, ninety nine just betting and not
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: the fully upper tier getting there in a thirteen fight.
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: I think at fifty to fifty.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, For some reason I thought Judas was in
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: there as well. Yeah, yeah, more likely with just the three.
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, all right. Three fights left. Renee de Ritter minus
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: four hundred taking on Roman de Leeds a plus three
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: sixteen minus won twenty for this fight to finish the
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: leads a plus one fifty inside the distance or Derittter
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: plus one fifty inside the distance to leads a plus
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: four hundred. Deleeds is such a boring fighter in the
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: sense of DFS and now he never pushes the pace,
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: so that limits my interest at seven k But de
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: Ritter at ninety two hundred just a style alone, wanting
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: to wrestle and grapple, be able to be on top reversals,
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: good knees in the clintch like I'm gonna play something
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: ninety two hundred just because of his style. I don't
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: know if de Leeds a just being so boring yet
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: still dangerous in with his power, with his grappling, if
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: it just makes his fight super super boring. But I'm
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: going to take a chance under Ritter just the sheer
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: nature sure of his wrestling style. I don't Lovedaliitse. What
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: do you think in this one? Yeah?
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: Same? I think Delize is live for a knockout. He
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: is the better striker, just much more powerful. He's probably
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: the most powerful striker that De Rider has had to face,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: at least in the UFC, so I think the knockout
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: is definitely live really in any round, but especially early,
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: and if it's early at seven k you're gonna need him.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: But yeah, my preferred play is already r in this one.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: I think his grappling edge is just it's really enough
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: to justify the minus four hundred dollars line. He is
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: so much better than Delise wants to fight hits the ground.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: I just don't think Delise has any chance. I think
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: it's either a submission or de Ridder does what he
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: wants in top control. Uh, but yeah, give me the
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: Ridder is my preferred play in this one. It's one
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: where I'd be playing both sides the more lineups I make,
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: But with my handbuilds, I would much more likely to
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: start a lineup with the Ridder see what I can
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: do with it. And I'm really not trying to even
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: click on Delise in a handbuilt, single entry type of lineup.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: I'd rather go down to Emmers if I don't have
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: larry On in my lineup at least, But I think
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: both sides are playable, especially the moral lineups you make.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: The Ritter is just gonna have to either dominate on
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: the ground or get that first round finish at ninety
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: two hundred dollars for him to score enough points and
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: beat out all these other high scoring guys.
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't like this fight too much. I'll play
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: some DeRidder. The Leeds just makes the fight so boring.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: Hopefully DeRidder dominates. I'll probably be around the field, but
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: not a fight that I want to get a bunch
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: of exposure to. This fight, though very good one or
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: very solid. In the mid tier, we're back to the
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: heavyweights minus one forty two Vitor Patrino plus one twenty
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: two Serge Skivak minus one sixty for this fight to
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: finish Patrino plus one forty inside the distance Spevak plus
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: two sixty five. I'm guessing you prefer uh Gazeve Kennedy
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: fight in the mid tier more than this one, as
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: you have that five star in this or star Is
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: that safe to say and then break this one down?
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, as as a whole, I would say that
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: that's the case because I think that Patrino's really ceiling
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: is a first round knockout, and Gazeve has that same potential,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: but he also has the wrestling potential as well, So
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: I just think that's the better fight to target. But
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: this is more of a binary fight where if it's
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: on the feet, I really like Patrino to win and
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: probably get a knockout at some point. But as a
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: seventy seven hundred dollars underdog, Spivak has one hundred and
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: ten plus one hundred and twenty point upside. He could
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: just completely dominate the fight on the ground.
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: My issue with him is just we haven't really seen
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: that from him. He's been more willing to stand. He
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: hasn't landed multiple takedowns like he in his last one, two, three,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: four five fights. He only has five takedowns. I mean
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: that that's just not gonna cut it if you're gonna
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: be going for one or two takedowns against a guy
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: like Patrino, who I really don't think Spivak has a
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: chance to beat on the feet. I just think it's
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: a good fight to target because first round knockout equity
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: on the Patrino side or almost anywin from the Spivac
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: side is fine. I just think that Patrino is going
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: to get the knockout at some point. Eighty five hundred
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: dollars I'm fine with to be in the first or
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: the second round. I don't think we can handle any
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: real Spivac round winning and then a Patrino knockout. It's
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: probably too late by that point. But Patrino is just
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: one of those scary looking strikers that I just wouldn't
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: want to be in front of, and I don't think
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Spivak will want to be in front of either. So
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: give me Petrino get the knockout.
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: I'm on the Speedbox side for my preferred play. As
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: you can see, Monday, it was minus one seventy five Patrino.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Now it's only minus one forty two, eight hundred dollars
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: price different, Speedboc taking money throughout the week. If someone
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: does wrestle, I think it is on the Speedbox side.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: His jab was actually good last fight, relatively surprising. Yeah,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: I just prefer the savings with speedboc and what it
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: gets me. But I think Petrino's fine. I do prefer
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Kennedy Gazebe if having to choose one fight between those
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: two as well. All right, let's get to the final
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: fight again. Appreciate everyone hanging out. Life Bun Subscribe button
• 44:12
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• 44:14
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• 44:16
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• 44:56
  Speaker 2: for We'll be filled out on Friday. And let me
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: also show the Stone too, MMA the Stone two so
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: you can see right here. This is how you if
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: you plug in like Hernandez Mason Jones or you want
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: to star Fighters whatever it is, you can see for
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: DraftKings and fandle you can optimize it and when projections
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: are ownership are in here you can then see what
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: the how many fantasy points the lineups projected for, what
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: the percent ownership is for it. How to star the
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: lineups right here, and then you're able to eventually go
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: to your saved lineups, download the CSV and upload it
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: over to DraftKings or not to Fandle. Yeah, we don't
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: have the builder for Fandle, but for DraftKings, and make
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: sure not did I just break up? Oh sweet? You
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: said sweet? I love it?
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's awesome.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah. And if you don't want to use opposing fighters,
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: like if you're playing GPPs, I would unclick this button
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: so then you can stack it that way. But awesome
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: stuff over here from the team. Let's go to MMA,
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: back to the Stone and we have the main events.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: I'm very excited for this one. Definitely. Whatever we're doing,
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: Big Marley, we cannot miss this fight. It's Anthony Fluffi
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: or Nandez minus one eighty five Greg Rodriguez plus one
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: sixty one minus three twenty five for this fight to finish.
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: Fluffy plus one ten inside the distance Rodriguez plus one
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: seventy five. Fluffy's just one of the DFS goats. Wasn't
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: good for him last fight. He didn't shoot takedowns against Strickland.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know what you're doing. You better shoot him
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: in this one. Others, I think it's gonna be the
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: same results. Do you think he gets back on track.
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: I'm picking Rodriguez to win, but I put three and
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: three on this one because I just can't count out Hernandez.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: And Hernandez scored one hundred and ninety two points in
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: one single fight. There's no other person on this card
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: that can do that. Rodriguez can't do that. Rodriguez really
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: can't even score more than like one hundred and twenty
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: seven or so, and that would just include a first
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: minute knockout. But if Hernandez can't constantly land takedowns and
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: just wear out Rodriguez, I think he's gonna get knocked
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: out on the feet. I think it's not really a
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: binary fight. I think Hernandez can hang for a little
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: while or even not get knocked out early. And then
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: the longer it goes, the more Rodriguez is gonna start
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: to fade, and the more Hernandez will start to pick
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: it up. But I just think he's gonna be in
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: trouble in a striking match. And Rodriguez is a really
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: good grappler. He's dangerous with submissions. He's a good wrestler himself.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: He's definitely stronger than Hernandez, So if he can shuck
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: off the first couple of takedowns, Hernandez might turn into
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: the same guy he was in that Strickland fight and
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: just accept a striking match, and I don't think that'll
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: go well for him. I like Rodriguez to get a
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: first round knockout, possibly a second round knockout, and if
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: he doesn't get it into the first or the second,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: I think the chances of him winning just start to
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: go down and down, and Hernandez is going to start
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: to dominate the fight. Land takedowns easier, do what he
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: wants in top control, probably submit Rodriguez at some point.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: So I just think it's a fight we have to
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: target for A second round knockout from Rodriguez is on
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: the optimal lineup, and I think any win from Hernandez
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: is likely on the optimal lineup. This guy has scored
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty one, one hundred and ninety two,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteen, one hundred and twenty, one hundred
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: and seventeen, one hundred and thirty four. Like that's top
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: top status in DFS right there. So the more lineups
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: I make, the more I'm gonna start making Hernandez lineups.
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: But since I'm picking Rodriguez to win the first lineup
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: I make, I'm gonna have Rodriguez in. I'm gonna start
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: that lineup. We'll see where it goes with win. But
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: I'm sure Rodriguez is the next name I'm clicking on,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: and then we'll see where it goes from there. But
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: this is the fight I'm gonna make sure is in
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: every single hand built lineup that I create. I think
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: we would need almost like a no contest or uh
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: maybe a second round Hernandez submission possibly doesn't get you there,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: as long as he's not laying in freaking five six
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: takedowns before that. I just think it's it's rare for
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: this fight not to be on the optimal, So I'll
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: be all over this one. It's my favorite fight to target.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch it. I hope that we
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: have a sweat going into it. But yeah, give me Rodriguez.
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: I will say that I don't think I've ever picked
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: against Rodriguez though, so there is some bias there, but
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: I just think he is the real full package, aside
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: from a questionable Chin, which I'm not too worried about here,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: and questionable Cardio, which in five rounds I am worried about.
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm picking Fuffy because I've never picked or I
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: picked Herdolpho, and I think ever since then I have
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: it's his pace, everything he puts on. I'm worried though that.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: My confidence is not high, There's no doubt about that,
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: and I plan to be pretty even in terms of dfs.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: If Craigor wins, it's hard for him not to be
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: optimal at seventy six hundred, and it opens a lot up.
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: I think this and the McVay Schultz fight price right
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: next to each other, is definitely the best fights to
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: target on this card. But yeah, I do know it's
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: going to be pretty chalky when you plug this fight in,
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: when you then go big Vay Schultz fight and then
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: you play wins or Gazeve Kennedy, you got to get
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: different in some other spots. That's why we do have
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: projections and ownership always posted. It's very important in the sports.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: We've talked about that in the More Education MMA, Big
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: Marley and I talked for over an hour and a half. Yeah,
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: ownership matters everything on the stone. You can see all
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: the write ups will be up at the slate station.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: I already showed out the Stone two point zero to
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: start virtually handbuilding some teams again, projections, ownership, everything you
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: need for dfs. Definitely do get in the discord if
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: you do join Big Marley. Any final thoughts for.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: You now, man, I hope it's a good successful card.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: I can't wait to sweat it in Vegas with you.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: If you guys are.
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Gonna be out there, hit us up. Hopefully we'll be
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: at Circus the swim what's it called swim Stadium?
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you're right.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: That'd be sick to watch some fights out there. Yeah,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: I can't wait.
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Good luck to you title. Good luck to everybody listening
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: except that last guy who commented, Uh.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: Good luck everybody out up there for my man, Bib
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: Marley untitled town. Have a great weekend. Be safe, be