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Episode 432 - 1/14/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome to. Episode 430.
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Two of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
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Powered by. Rhythm.
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I am your host, Josh. Applebaum.
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What's going on, everyone? Happy Hump.
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Day it's officially. Wednesday.
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That means we. Are halfway through our work
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week. Guys, we are now.
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One day closer to. One of the best.
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Betting weekends of the. Year.
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The divisional round. So a few.
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Less games, but. They're also more important
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compared to the wild card round, but I was.
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Thinking to myself, you know what, there's a few games I have
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my eye on. Is there anything we should hit?
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Right now, because we might be. Getting.
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The best of the number and I. Landed on one game.
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So I am going to unveil to you my.
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First Divisional Round. Best bet in the NFL?
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With a really good. Rhythm edge and also another
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factor here. That, I think could play a big
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role. So we'll talk an early
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divisional round bet in the NFL. Also going to get right back to
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college basketball. So a huge Wednesday slate
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tonight. Over 60 games overall.
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And I landed on. Three games. 2 are really big.
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Games 1's. A obscure.
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Sharp line move game. We're see if we can get 2 out of
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3 eek out of winning night, so it's going to be college hoops.
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In an early conversation here about some NFL divisional round
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best best bets. Now looking back to our last
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night guys a little bit. Frustrating 1 and 2 -, 1. .09
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units now the hit. Of the night, which again it
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seems. Like such a gross play, how
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could they possibly cover the number?
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But we stayed. True to to the.
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Sorry, stayed. True to the data.
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And the Kansas Jayhawks. Came up absolutely massive.
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For the team, if you. Remember the Kansas Jayhawks?
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Were extremely unpopular everyone and their.
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Mother was playing Iowa State, but Iowa State.
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Opened out a lot of shops, you know, as high as what was it
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minus. 4 1/2. Down to 3 1/2.
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Somewhat even closed at. 3 So we.
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Stayed true to the. Data public, Iowa State.
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Line moved to Kansas and they absolutely blew them out.
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Just absolutely crushed them. So that was great to see.
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A sharp, contrarian unranked first ranked system match come
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through, unfortunately. The two.
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Annoying ones one Oklahoma. State.
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You're just pathetic. You got rolled by 15 was.
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Really a no contest there, but the one that really hurt.
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Was the Minnesota Golden Gophers because if you guys.
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Noticed I got a Gophers +2. You probably got a 1 1/2.
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Some books closed that. One SO.
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Definitely did our part. Identify the sharp side
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Minnesota was. Up by I believe.
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I think it was. 3528. At half up by about 7:00.
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Then Wisconsin just shot the lights out in the second-half.
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Just hit nonstop. Three after three after three.
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Minnesota got down by like 10. Then they clawed all the way
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back with like 3 seconds. Left down by three.
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Tyson, the big dude. He looks like a young Dirk
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Nowitzki. Hit a massive 3.
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With like again, 3 or 4 seconds left to tie the game.
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So we're thinking, OK. You know, maybe, maybe force.
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Overtime, we'll see what. Happens in overtime.
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But Nope, John Blackwell had a huge.
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Game. Goes full court to the three.
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Point line buzzer beater nails A3 right in our face so.
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Again, Minnesota. Up, down.
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Claw their way back. Again, you got a + 2 + 1 1/2.
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Guy hits a buzzer beater 3 to kill you.
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So that was a that was a brutal one.
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That one hurt. I'll be the way guys 1 and 2.
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-1.09 units. We're going to get right back at
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it tonight, see if we can. Have a winning night.
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So that being said, start off with some college basketball.
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And then I'm going to save my my first playoff.
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Bed here. For the NFL Divisional round.
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For the second-half of the pod. Now looking in chronological.
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Order There's an early game. That caught my eye.
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High Point and Winthrop. Let's talk system matches.
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Splits line movement I'll. Give you my play here for this
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one. So going into it again early 6.
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30 game high point. Comes in. 16 and three having a
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great year. They've won.
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Eight in a row just beat Charleston Southern 8482 in
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overtime. Didn't cover, though they're
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favored by 9 1/2 on the road. One by two.
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Looking at looking at Winthrop 11.
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And eight. But they have 1/3 in a row just
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brushed aside South. Carolina.
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Upstate 71 to. 50 easily covered.
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And one outright. Or sorry.
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Covered as a 5 1/2. Point Rd.
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Favorite. So what we've seen across the
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market for this one? Well, this game opened.
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With Winthrop listed as a very. Short 1 1/2 point home favorite
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and the public. Doesn't care much.
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About this game because. Why it's an?
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Added game Extra. Game so always pay.
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Attention to the rotation. Number Vegas ID.
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NSS number. Whatever you want to call it.
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You know when you go up to, you know.
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Walk into a sports. Book on the LED.
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Screen on the wall whether it's. The ticker just shows you all
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the. Games, that's that that.
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Rotation or ID number? Next to every game.
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But it's not a three digit rotation number, it's a six
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digit rotation. Number so game 3.
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O 650-530-6506 Why is that important?
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Because it's a low bet game. It's.
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Not a popular game. And it's kind of hard to find.
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On your betting. App for the betting public you.
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Usually have to click. Add it or extra.
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To find it so it's a low bet match up.
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However, what do we always talk about?
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Obscure sharp line moves. Even though it's a low bet.
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Match up add a. Game extra game It's very clear
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to me that the sharps have taken a position here and they've hit
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high point. So flipping high point from a 1
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1/2 point Rd. dog to. 1. And a half point Rd. favorite.
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I'm now seeing some shops up to round -2.
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So line continues to move toward.
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High point, so not. Only do have the.
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Added game. Extra game.
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Sharp line move. Let's take.
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A look at the. Splits at DraftKings 70. 5% of
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spread bets. 87. Percent of spread dollars.
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Are on high point. Now.
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You might say. Oh, that's a really.
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Public play right in a vacuum, technically.
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Speaking yes 75. Percent is a big.
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Public play, but remember, we're taking 75.
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Percent of a. Very low ticket.
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Count game. So to me, that's.
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Really telling you that Really sharps.
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Are making up a big portion of that 75% here.
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Then we look. At a money line play.
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So you guys know? Me, I'm going to.
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Money line a short. Favorite I would hate for high
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point. To win by.
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One or two. And you lose.
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A 1 1/2 or push a. 2 So I did get high.
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Point a little bit earlier today at -122 it's looking like your
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best number now is around -130. I think I'm seeing Caesar's
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like. -140 so. It's a good sign, the sign
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continues. To go to High Point again, not
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great if you haven't played it yet.
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But that's a. Money line bet for me.
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I like the splits. At DK and the money line as
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well. 78% of. Bets 93.
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Percent of dollars now. Our buddy Ken Palm, he has high.
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Point winning by three. So 84 to 81 now, you may say.
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OK, if I can get a 1 1/2 two might as well lay it.
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He if Ken Palm nails it, you cover anyway.
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To me, I look at it as that just makes me a.
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Little more excited to play the. Money line a little.
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Bit more added cushion. He also has the Panthers.
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Ranked much higher ranked. 86th in the.
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Country versus. 138th. For Winthrop, you look at some.
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Stat advantages here high. Point better offensive.
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Efficiency 40. 9th in the country.
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Versus 96th for? Winthrop better defensive.
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Efficiency 182nd versus. 241st Better.
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Effective field goal percentage. 30th versus 220. 9th and better
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three-point shooting. Ranking 60. 3rd in the country
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versus 200 and 17th. So.
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It's an added extra game. It's an.
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Early 1630. So if you want to play with me,
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get it in now. Don't show up at. 659 and
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hopefully High point. Is up, you know, 10 to.
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Three, but I like. This obscure sharp line.
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Move dog to fave line move. So I did money line the High
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Point Panthers -122. Looks like your best.
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Price now is around -130. Now for a 7:00 game this.
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Is a very. Big game, heavily back game.
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Auburn. At Mizzou game 683684.
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So setting the stage here. Auburn comes in 10 and 6.
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Just. Snapped A2 game losing streak.
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However, with a big. 95 to 70. Three win over Arkansas.
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Easily covering as a 2 1/2 point.
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Home favorite. On the flip side, Mizzou 12 and
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4. On the year just.
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Saw their two game. Win streak, however, come.
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To an end, they lost to Ole Miss. 76 to 60. 9 did not cover
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as a 1 1/2 point. Road dog so I've.
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Just seen across the market here well.
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This game opened at. Basically a pick em.
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A lot of books for pick em. Some shops are Auburn. -1 I.
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Saw a couple few. Shops that were actually.
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Mizzou -1 -, 1 1/2 But anytime I see a a discrepancy.
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Usually what I do is I lean. On Circa or a book like.
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You know. Bookmaker Chris Bet Online
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basically or South Point to They're really good but sharp
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books that are not copycat books.
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They're setting their numbers. Based on really what they have
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and also, you know, not just following what everyone else is
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doing. So circa open out of pick em.
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Sounds like that's good to me. What I like about Auburn.
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Here, you might be surprised. You're like a Mizzou 1.
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And 1/2. Point conference dog at home.
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Take it, however. Public is actually leaning.
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Mizzou, Missouri's getting. Nearly 60% of.
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Spread bats and. A very heavily bet.
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Game here on ESPN 2. However, we.
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Open at a pic. And we're not.
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Flipping to Mizzou -1 minus. 1 1/2.
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We've moved toward Auburn. -1 -. 1 and a.
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Half so. If majority of the.
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Tickets in a heavily bet 7:00 game are on Mizzou.
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Then why is this line going to Auburn?
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That. Tells me that the sharper.
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More respected wagers are going with Auburn and also don't.
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I was going to do this earlier. I was writing about this game
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for the Sharp Report for visa.com.
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I wanted to avoid tigers. Because it gets confusing.
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Auburn Tigers. Missouri Tigers.
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So let's just stick with the the names of the schools.
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But anyway, Auburn. Is contrarian and heavily.
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Back game you. Are also a feed.
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The public play as well as a feed.
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The trendy dog play because the trendy dog here is Mizzou.
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Getting the points. In particular at circa only 30%
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spread bets, but. Nearly 60% of spread.
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Dollars are on Auburn, so. Further evidence of the.
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You know, bigger. Sharper, wise guys out in the
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desert. Also going Auburn now, Ken.
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Palm has Auburn winning by one point.
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He does have Auburn. Ranked higher, 30th in the
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country versus 54th for Mizzou. So you.
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Guys know what I'm doing. This is a money.
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Line play for me. I was able to get Auburn at.
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Basically a pick em number -110 I believe that was at fanatics.
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Looks like -115 at the score. Is your best number.
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FanDuel. 'S -118.
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DraftKings, Caesar's, a bunch of others are basically -120.
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So -120 or less again. Not a bad price.
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I do like the fact that Auburn. Has the better offensive.
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Efficiency 9th in the country. Versus 48th for?
10:30
Mizzou. Better defensive efficiency 80.
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9th in the country versus 101st for Mizzou.
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And then few other. Big ones that hopefully will be.
10:38
To our benefit tonight. Better offensive rebound
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percentage, 10th versus 42nd. Better free throw shooting.
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169th versus 3. 134th Missouri is actually one of the worst.
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Free throw shooting. Teams in the country, so
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hopefully that's a, you know, a tight game.
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If it is tight, let's have. Auburn make theirs and Mizzou
10:57
miss theirs. But also we have Auburn.
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Taking better care of the ball, they ranked sixty. 7th in the
11:02
country. And turnover percentage Mizzou
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ranks 200 and 43rd. So Publix Mizzou but.
11:07
Lines going to Auburn. Sharp splits.
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Ken Palms got him winning the. Game we can be contrarian.
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In a heavily. Back game, we can fade A trendy
11:14
dog. Oh, by the way.
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Rhythm has Auburn. -1.3. And our friends at Juice Reel.
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Have Auburn as a. 17% sharp mush edge, so 17% more of the.
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Sharper winning betters who have.
11:27
Downloaded Juice Reel and. Synced up their books like you
11:30
guys listening out there are also going with Auburn.
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So. You add it all up here guys
11:34
seems. Like hey, take Mizzou.
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Conference. Dog at home getting 1 1/2.
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But a closer looks tells me we got some smart.
11:40
Money on Auburn so. I'm going.
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Auburn money line. -110 right? Now you can get around -115 -,
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120. Last bed of the night.
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Late. Night sweat here, Vandy.
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And Texas? Should be a good match up this.
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Likely will end. Up being most heavily back game.
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Of the night and boy do we have a sharp play here, I think.
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This Texas play, actually. Reminds me a lot.
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Of the. Kansas play from last.
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Night and I'll. Explain to you why.
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So 9:00 Eastern Time. This is an ESPN2 game I believe,
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but Vandy comes in 16 and O Vandy's just.
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Crushing it in both, you know, college basketball and college
12:17
football. Anyway, 16 and O ranked 10th,
12:20
undefeated. Just beat LSU 84 to 73.
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Did not cover though as a 14. And 1/2.
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Point on favorite, meanwhile. Texas 10 and 6.
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Unranked. Did however just snap A2?
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Game losing skid. By beating Alabama 92 to 88,
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they're actually an 11 1/2 point.
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Road Dog One outright. At Bama, it's kind of
12:37
impressive, but. What have we seen across the
12:39
market? Well, this game opened.
12:42
Vandy listed. As around A5.
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And a half point Rd. favorite. And the public is saying just.
12:47
Like they said. Last night, Iowa State all day.
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Vandy all day Vandy is undefeated just.
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Like Iowa State, they're ranked. They're playing an unranked
12:55
team. Like Kansas and.
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Texas here tonight. So public is saying.
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Vandy is easily going to cover this.
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Number Vandy. Is getting 70%.
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Of spread bets at. DK.
13:05
However, even though big majority of tickets in the most
13:08
heavily back game of the night are going Vandy, Vandy's not up
13:11
to. -6 - 7. No, this line is falling toward.
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Texas. Texas has.
13:16
Gone from plus. 5 1/2. Down to plus 4 1/2 and I'm
13:20
seeing a lot of these 4. And 1/2.
13:21
Juiced up +4. And 1/2 -, 1. 15 -, 120.
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And. Actually see a couple.
13:25
Books down to 3 1/2. Both Caesars and Bet MGM where?
13:29
I'm at in Massachusetts down to 3 1/2 so.
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Why does the sign? Continue to go to.
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Texas. If everybody and their.
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Mother is on Vandy. Tells me you have a.
13:38
Massive reverse line move here. Indicator of smart money.
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Public vanity, but line going to Texas.
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And think of it from. The odds makers perspective.
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If everyone's playing Vandy, why are we dropping the number?
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To make it easier for the. Public to cover Oh.
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You were fine laying the five. And a half come.
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Lay a four and a half. You like the four and a half?
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Oh, come lay a 3 1/2. Again the old me new to.
13:56
Betting would double. Triple down on Vandy.
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But as I've learned. Over the years, it's an
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indicator of smart money. On Texas.
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Now Texas. Is one of the.
14:05
Top contrarian plays of the night.
14:06
Only getting 30%. Of spread.
14:08
Bets you look at. DK30.
14:11
Percent bets, but 44% dollars and.
14:13
Then, incredibly, at circa. 71%. Spread bets over. 90% of.
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Spread dollars on Texas. So that tells me a big, big
14:22
amount of. Sharp.
14:23
Money out in the desert at Circa is going with Texas as well.
14:28
Texas is that classic. Unranked home dog.
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Versus ranked opponent again. Same spot as Kansas last night.
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They're also a home conference dog with a line move in their
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favor. Those teams are 30. 9 and 28.
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ATS 58%. 11% ROI. This year.
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So we. Got a 9:00 grudge match?
14:44
Publix all over Vandy, but. Lines.
14:46
Going to Texas give. Me the.
14:47
Longhorns here guys. By the way, rhythm.
14:51
Has Texas plus four point. 2. So.
14:55
Again, if you can. Still get the four and a half.
14:56
I jumped on five and a half earlier today when I wrote about
14:59
it in the Sharp. Report another shameless plug.
15:01
To get the ASG. Best bet picks.
15:03
From Juice Reel you can get those for $4.99.
15:06
Cents a week, but. I'm loving the five and a half.
15:08
Now it's down to 4 1/2, but still 4 1/2 you.
15:10
Might beat the. Closing line because.
15:11
A lot of books. Are down to three.
15:12
And a half so high point. Auburn hopefully to win.
15:15
Texas cover that 4 1/2 for everybody.
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Let's. See if we can get 2.
15:19
Out of three. And maybe get a break to go our
15:21
way, unlike I. Still can't get over Minnesota.
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As great as as Kansas was last night, I just can't get over
15:27
Minnesota. Because.
15:28
Like the elation of clawing all the.
15:30
Way back hitting A3 tie game. Let's go.
15:32
And then immediately kid runs down the court.
15:34
It's a walk off 3. That was a tough.
15:36
One but. Anyway guys.
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Now let's talk. About the.
15:40
NFL Divisional round because we are down.
15:43
To the. Elite 8 The.
15:44
Final four in each conference. And we have games we can talk
15:48
about really throughout the week and.
15:50
Probably layer on more bets. There's a couple I'm leaning on
15:52
right now, but there's one in particular that.
15:55
I saw a tweet that really kind of spoke to me and then I'm.
15:58
Looking at the rhythm recommendations and I'm
16:00
thinking. Let's keep riding this team.
16:03
That. Has been cashing bigly for us
16:06
and. That team happens to be.
16:08
Da bears. Dicka and the Bears.
16:11
Let's go, Chicago Bears. So.
16:14
Bears are the late. Game on Sunday. 6:30 PM Eastern
16:17
Time in. Chicago, now we.
16:20
Have seen this line take up. A little bit toward.
16:23
The Rams so. A lot of books.
16:24
Open Rams -3 1/2. A lot of books are up to 4.
16:29
But here's the thing, not every book is at. 4 so I'm.
16:32
Seeing Caesar's and fanatics a. Couple others at 4:00.
16:38
But. All the others DraftKings.
16:39
FanDuel Betam Gem Rat 3. And 1/2.
16:42
So what does that tell me? It tells me.
16:43
That if we. Want to go bears?
16:45
And the dog. I want to get that 4 again. 7
16:49
Touchdown 3. Field goal difference is 4.
16:51
You lose. By 4 you need to push that game
16:53
instead of lose that game. And in that.
16:56
Regard, I'm saying OK. Let's investigate Chicago a
16:59
little bit. So couple things going with
17:01
Chicago 60. 1% spread bets, 66% spread.
17:05
Dollars now I don't love that it's a little.
17:07
Public. But at least you have.
17:09
More bets, more dollars than bets.
17:12
But listen to circa 50. 9% spread bets 74%.
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Spread dollars on Chicago. So Chicago technically does have
17:20
low bets, higher dollars. From both DraftKings.
17:22
And circa. Then we get to.
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Our friends at Rhythm Reminder. Today's Wednesday, so tomorrow.
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Thursday we'll have our rhythm rundown, 6:00 PM Eastern Time,
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we'll go over. All these games.
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But rhythm get a load of this has three recommended.
17:36
Plays on the Bears. First play Bears.
17:38
Plus 2.5. Second play.
17:41
Bears plus 1.6 Third play Bears. Plus 0.0.
17:47
So rhythm is saying. This should be about a pick em.
17:50
Or nothing more than a 2. And a half point game.
17:53
And we can get a. Four that's this is.
17:55
Building a case your guys to take the.
17:57
Bears doesn't hurt that. You know, could be a.
18:00
Schedule advantage. For the Bears.
18:03
This is the. Second straight Rd.
18:04
Game for the Rams. This is the second straight home
18:07
game for. Chicago, also a 20. 6% sharp
18:11
mush edge from our friends at Juice Reel, so 26%.
18:14
More of the winning betters who have.
18:16
Downloaded juice reel are. Also on the Bears.
18:18
So we. Can get the four.
18:20
Which is the best of the number right now?
18:22
As many other books at 3 1/2. Rhythms got about a pick EM1 or
18:26
two point game. We got a sharp mush edge with
18:29
juice reel. We got a scheduling.
18:31
Spot no travel. At home, Rams.
18:34
Second straight Rd. game and then here's the tweet that.
18:37
I was mentioning. I was.
18:39
Looking at some weather. Reports for this game DA Bears
18:42
6:30 at night. I mean, it's going to be.
18:44
Cold I'm looking at. Like. 12° with 15.
18:49
Mile per hour winds. I mean, this is, this is going.
18:52
To be a very. Very cold, windy game.
18:55
The Bears are used to the cold, the Rams are not.
18:58
The Rams come from LA. They come from a Dome.
19:02
In particular, Matthew. Stafford, this is what.
19:05
Jumped out to me so this is from AII.
19:08
Don't want to get too much in AI because again, just a whole
19:11
other. Ball game here, but.
19:13
This. Is from.
19:14
AI, Google, Matthew Stafford. Has historically struggled in
19:17
games with. Rain or snow holding a career?
19:19
Record of 1 and 9 in such conditions with a lower than
19:22
average passer rating. And completion percentage and.
19:25
These quote UN quote. Bad weather.
19:26
Games, Rain, snow, sleet. And freezing temperatures.
19:30
He is get. A load of this. 1.
19:32
Win and 9 losses. Notable game?
19:36
Let's see. This is a long time ago, 2013 at
19:38
Philly Snow. Freezing.
19:40
Rain. He was 10 to 25151 yards.
19:43
Fumble five times. So again, I mean.
19:45
That was a long time ago, but the whole.
19:47
Point being is that. Stafford has struggled in bad
19:50
weather. Stafford went to Georgia.
19:52
I don't. Know if he's from Georgia?
19:55
But. He was in the.
19:56
South and then he. Was in a Dome.
20:00
In. Detroit.
20:01
And now he is. In a Dome, obviously, in LA.
20:05
So the fact that again. We are in a spot where it's.
20:08
Going to be freezing cold. It's.
20:11
Going to be windy. Bears are used to it.
20:13
Stafford, LA is not Let me now talk to.
20:17
You about what, my friend? Kevin Roth has.
20:21
He is 1. Of the best, I think the best
20:23
around when it comes. To.
20:24
Weather and sports betting. And he has.
20:27
A very long breakdown of this game.
20:29
So listen to this quote UN quote.
20:31
Rams at Chicago. A lot to discuss here, but.
20:33
We should start with this. It's really.
20:35
Really cold actual temperatures. Should be in the teens with
20:39
feels like. Temperatures likely in the.
20:40
Single digits while. Cold doesn't affect.
20:43
Or impact scoring as much as something like Highwind it.
20:45
Does tend to correlate? To lower scoring.
20:47
Games, especially when temperature.
20:48
Is extreme, which this qualifies as.
20:51
There's also some. Wind worth watching I.
20:53
Think we'll see Sustained. Winds 10 to 15.
20:55
MPH gusts up to 25 mph a models bringing much stronger.
20:59
Winds post game I'll keep. An eye on the forecast to make
21:01
sure. The post game wind doesn't
21:02
become an in game wind issue for.
21:04
Now, I don't consider winds to be a major problem, maybe a
21:07
little. Bit of an.
21:08
Issue on longer field goals last.
21:10
Excuse me? Lastly, there's the chance.
21:12
For some snow, I don't know if it's a lot of snow, but a snow
21:16
shower or. Flurry is possible.
21:17
To sum it up, the. Cold is a little.
21:20
Impactful The wind is very a little impactful, the snow could
21:23
be a little impactful and. The sum of all those issues
21:26
could be a bumped down to offense.
21:27
And special teams. So again.
21:30
It's going to be. Freezing cold.
21:31
And we can fade. Stafford, who struggled in the
21:33
cold, that kind of benefits and aligns with the rhythm
21:37
recommendations, the sharp mush edge.
21:40
And lastly system. Matches playoff dogs.
21:43
They are four and two against the spread this year.
21:45
They're 64 and 48 TS. 62 percent, 19% ROI since 2017.
21:51
I. Dug up some divisional.
21:52
Round dogs. Because last week.
21:55
We talked about wild card, divisional round, divisional
21:57
round dog since. 2020. 13 and seven against the spread 60. 5
22:01
percent, 25% ROI and. The.
22:04
Kicker The Coup de Grace The best system match that I have.
22:09
Playoffs the previous year, those teams are now three and O
22:12
against the spread so you had. Who was it?
22:16
It was the Panthers getting points it.
22:19
Was the Bears getting? Points and it was the.
22:21
Patriots actually laying points. But Playoff Dog missed the.
22:24
Postseason the. Previous year since 2020.
22:27
Those teams are 29 and 12. Against the spread. 71 percent,
22:32
37% ROI. So again, there's four games on
22:35
the board. Probably gonna have bets on
22:37
every single one of them. But on a Wednesday, a hump day,
22:41
I said, you know what? We.
22:42
Should jump on that +4 with Chicago for all the reasons we.
22:45
Just explained because if it gets back.
22:47
Down to 3 1/2. I'll be annoyed I missed the
22:49
four and the four is the best price so I did take.
22:52
Da. Bears dekka dekka.
22:54
Greater than a hurricane, Greater than a.
22:56
Wind chill game I. Got bears +4 so you're.
22:59
Welcome to tail fade. Do you like but?
23:01
I put in Bears +4, so let's go bears.
23:05
So that about does it guys. Episode 432 of the.
23:07
ASG pod on a big. Wednesday, as always, last half
23:11
of the pod. Ending of the pod.
23:12
Here let's. Leave you with a few final.
23:15
Thoughts and suggestions? 1st I always want to say thank.
23:18
You. Thank you for listening, thank
23:20
you for tuning in, thank you for.
23:21
Taking the time out of your busy lives, I know.
23:23
You guys got a? Lot going on but I see the
23:25
numbers you tune. In you.
23:26
Grind the plays with me. That means the world.
23:28
There's nothing better than identifying a sharp bet.
23:31
Explaining it. Pulling up a chair to the
23:33
virtual bar and we all cash. So I love that.
23:35
To me, that's the best part. Of hosting this pod.
23:38
But if you do enjoy the pod, you love the insights hopefully you
23:40
value. Them whether you play every bet,
23:43
do what you want with them. You listen, and you.
23:45
Want to at least know where the data is before you make an
23:48
educated? Decision or a bet?
23:50
If you enjoy the pod and you believe all what I said which I.
23:53
Hope you do. Then please give this podcast a
23:56
five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
23:59
Leave a nice comment. If you feel so inclined.
24:02
Recommend the pod to a friend. Retweet the pod.
24:04
When I put it out. On Twitter, they'll all be very
24:07
much appreciated. Next if you enjoy.
24:09
The style of betting. Breakdown.
24:11
Data-driven. Sharp contrarian betting
24:12
focusing. On line movement split.
24:14
System matches AI models. Taking a contrarian approach,
24:18
if. That is the case.
24:19
And you want to learn more about?
24:21
Data-driven betting. Or.
24:22
We have a friend who could use some data-driven tips.
24:24
Or someone you know who's trying to break into sports betting but
24:27
can't tell you what the. Difference between a teaser and
24:29
a money. Line is.
24:30
You know you should do. You should go to.
24:31
Amazon.com and type in the NFL. Sharp betting playbook or.
24:36
The Everything guide to sports betting.
24:37
Both books that I've written, very proud of if you want to.
24:40
Grab one or both. Give them a five star review and
24:43
a nice little. Comment on Amazon but then bring
24:45
them to the. Sports book I'll.
24:47
Sign them for you. I'll buy a beer.
24:49
Or ginger ale. Sweat some.
24:50
Games together. Next to be downloaded.
24:52
Rhythm and juice reel yet my. Two favorite.
24:54
Sports betting apps Rhythm for their AI backed models and
24:57
predictions for game bets and player props.
24:59
Reminder tomorrow, 6:00 PM Eastern Time, we'll have our
25:02
rhythm rundown stream live on Twitter at Josh under Score
25:05
Insights also. We have juice reel.
25:08
So if you want to. Support the pod, tip your
25:10
podcast host. Drop in a $5.00 bill, or to be
25:14
exact, $4.99. You can sign up to get the ASG
25:17
best bets officially. From the Juice Reel app.
25:20
So you would have gotten that. Texas Longhorns Plus 5 1/2
25:23
earlier today, but. You're also going to get the
25:25
robo. Jackson best bet pick.
25:26
Sharp mush indicators Arbitrage. Plays Shop for the best line
25:29
futures all available when you. Download juice reel so.
25:32
Download Rhythm and download Juice Reel and.
25:34
Give them a 5. Star Review in the App Store
25:36
while you're at it. Next you have a live odds page.
25:39
If you don't have. One you need, one you don't
25:41
know. What you're missing out on if
25:43
you? Don't have one because.
25:44
You got to be. Able to track the market?
25:46
Identify Steam. Take advantage of.
25:48
Shopping for the best price, finding the bears at that book
25:51
giving you a + 4 when every other book is down to 3 1/2.
25:55
And also getting. Live in game wagering odds
25:58
getting the new. Sharp signals.
25:59
If you would like to. Try out odds logic.
26:02
Go. To the special link.
26:03
Odds logic dot. Com slash Josh. 123 that'll.
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Give you a 7. Day free trial 50.
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Percent off your first month of service and then of course
26:12
Novig. I.
26:13
Am an affiliate of. Novig so if you want to join.
26:16
A sports betting exchange, I think the big advantage.
26:18
Here is you're just. Getting better juice prices.
26:20
It's legal in upwards. Of 3540.
26:23
States Just make sure it's cool in your.
26:24
State, but if so. Why bet at DraftKings, FanDuel?
26:28
When they're charging you -115 -, 120.
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When you can get -1 O 5. Plus one O 2 -. 1 O 6:00 on.
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The betting exchange going. Up against a fellow better and
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not the house. So if you'd like to give Novig a
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shot, just download the Novig app and.
26:41
When? You fund your account, put in
26:42
Josh 123 and that little promo code, it'll tack on an.
26:45
Extra 25 bucks. So that about does it for
26:49
episode 432 of the. ASG.
26:51
Pod talking college hoops. And early NFL divisional round
26:53
betting. As always guys, two final.
26:55
Thoughts. One, whether I see you at the.
26:57
Borgata in Atlantic. City Twin.
26:59
River in Rhode. Island, the Brooklyn, New
27:00
Hampshire Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut the.
27:04
Encore in Boston Plain Ridge Park.
27:05
Casino MGM Springfield or the. Nash and.
27:08
My neck of the. Woods on the border of
27:09
Massachusetts and Nashville, New Hampshire.
27:12
We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
27:14
Where Billy? Walters sends his number runners
27:16
where. The lowest use possible is found
27:18
at the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping
27:21
in the. Stadium swimming pool.
27:22
When you cash a big ticket at Circo, you're.
27:24
Going to walk up to me. And show me a.
27:26
Beautiful Kansas Jayhawks. Ticket everybody Iowa State line
27:31
going to Kansas. Kansas came up bigly for the
27:33
team. Whatever you do, OK, stay in.
27:36
Minnesota man getting. Beat on a buzzer.
27:39
Beat. There's nothing better.
27:40
Than. Winning on a buzzer.
27:41
Beater but is there? Anything worse than losing on a
27:43
buzzer buzzer beater, That's rough.
27:45
But either. Way guys.
27:46
First one's on me, next one's on.
27:47
You we'll sweat some of these games.
27:49
Here together tonight so. As always coming off A1.
27:51
And two or A2 in one an. O and three or.
27:53
Three and OA. Winning night a losing.
27:55
Night a hot. Streak a cold streak whether.
27:57
Everything's going our. Way or nothing's.
27:59
Going our way, we just got to stick.
28:01
To the process, not. Get too.
28:03
High or too low? Stay even keeled flat.
28:06
Betting. And playing the system matches
28:08
games that fit our model. And you guys know what?
28:10
Those are games that are. Against the public.
28:12
With the house with the pros flat bet avoid.
28:14
Parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're.
28:17
Going to be successful sports bettors, so have a great
28:20
Wednesday night, everybody. We'll be right.
28:22
Back at it tomorrow. For Big Thirsty Thursday
28:24
edition. That'll be episode 4. 33.
28:27
Of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered by
28:30
rhythm. Go like everybody and have a.
28:32
Great, Wednesday night.