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GOP gets fresh dose of bad news as forecaster downgrades party's chances in key races
exas Governor Greg Abbott speaks to reporters after casting his early vote in the state’s primary runoff election at a polling station in Austin, Texas, U.S. May 18, 2026. REUTERS/Joel Angel Juarez
Republican Power Is Becoming Its Own Opposition
The Forecast Is Not the Result
Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted several 2026 race ratings toward Democrats: Michigan’s Senate contest now leans Democratic; Iowa’s is a toss-up; Republican advantages narrowed in Kansas, Texas, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, and two House districts. These are forecasts, not votes, but the movement is notably broad—and much of it…
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