Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 12 with Scooch, Darren Rovell, and Simon Hunter
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Welcome. Do the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman over the Action Network. Later on
- 0:20Speaker 1: in the show, Uh, Darren Ravel, Darren Ravel, my sweet
- 0:25Speaker 1: sweet friend, Darren Ravel, and Professional Better Simon Hunter are
- 0:28Speaker 1: gonna come back on the show. We're gonna what is that?
- 0:31Speaker 1: Don't interrupt me while I'm introducing don't even speak, don't
- 0:34Speaker 1: don't respond. Dann Ravel and Simon Hunter, Professional Better are
- 0:38Speaker 1: gonna come on. We're gonna talk about our super contest picks.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Gonna win one point five million dollars this year. I
- 0:43Speaker 1: can feel it. We're three and two last week, Um,
- 0:46Speaker 1: after a down week two weeks ago when Ravelle was
- 0:49Speaker 1: back on the show. Two of the last three weeks,
- 0:51Speaker 1: ravel has not been on the show, and Simon and
- 0:53Speaker 1: I by ourselves crushed it. Darren came on the show
- 0:56Speaker 1: not so good. Let's see if he can redeem himself
- 0:59Speaker 1: this week. Also, I want to say hello to a
- 1:03Speaker 1: special guest. We have a special guest. A single fan
- 1:07Speaker 1: is recording with me right now, a fan named Royce Hall.
- 1:11Speaker 1: True story about a year ago, Royce emailed me out
- 1:15Speaker 1: of the blue. Uh said he just wanted to get
- 1:18Speaker 1: some career advice, and I said, sure, why not? Because
- 1:23Speaker 1: you know what happens when people email me, I almost
- 1:25Speaker 1: inevitably emailed them back. People did it for me. It's
- 1:28Speaker 1: part of my code. It's part of the Millman code.
- 1:31Speaker 1: If someone reaches out, you reach out, you make the time.
- 1:35Speaker 1: So Royce, I made the time for Royce. Royce. It's
- 1:38Speaker 1: a year later he emailed me this week. Turns out
- 1:40Speaker 1: he went to college with our producer Pat. He's like, Hey,
- 1:43Speaker 1: I'm going to be in town. Can I come by
- 1:44Speaker 1: the podcast. Royce is now sitting in the studio with me,
- 1:50Speaker 1: watching me say these words. Royce want to say hello, Hello,
- 1:55Speaker 1: how you doing? That's good enough? Royce is here, he said, hello.
- 1:59Speaker 1: I feel like I done my duty. I feel like
- 2:01Speaker 1: I've done as much as I can. But first, before
- 2:03Speaker 1: we get to everything else later in the show, let's
- 2:06Speaker 1: welcome in Bookmaker to the world from New Orleans, representing
- 2:11Speaker 1: all the books. Uh, you know, you know the drill
- 2:15Speaker 1: boyd gaming blah blah blah. Mr Bob Scucci, my brother,
- 2:34Speaker 1: are you done coughing in the middle of my speech?
- 2:37Speaker 1: Sorry about that. It's your rough weekend. You lost a lot, huh,
- 2:42Speaker 1: we did. It was the worst weekend of the year
- 2:44Speaker 1: so far when you lost, did you go to your
- 2:46Speaker 1: boss and say, think how much worse it could have
- 2:48Speaker 1: been if I wasn't as good a bookmaker as I am. Well,
- 2:52Speaker 1: I think I wore that one out, but it's true though, Yeah,
- 2:56Speaker 1: I'm sure it is. Did you tell your boss that
- 2:59Speaker 1: in Scooch trou At you picked the Redskins and then
- 3:02Speaker 1: your opponent picked the Arizona Cardinals. No, I didn't didn't
- 3:09Speaker 1: tell him that boy, that Arizona Cardinals game, that was
- 3:15Speaker 1: really something, really, really something. Tell me about where did
- 3:19Speaker 1: you get? Well with you? I must have gotten eleven
- 3:23Speaker 1: eleven and a half because I took it the day
- 3:25Speaker 1: we were recording the podcast, and you had already dropped
- 3:28Speaker 1: it from thirteen and a half to eleven and a
- 3:29Speaker 1: half in and we talked about how you skipped the
- 3:32Speaker 1: twelve we and we also talked about how I didn't
- 3:37Speaker 1: want to get off of ten. Do remember that you
- 3:40Speaker 1: said why don't you go to nine and a half?
- 3:42Speaker 1: And I said, well, because all of our liabilities at
- 3:44Speaker 1: plus thirteen plus twelve plus eleven and a half, and
- 3:47Speaker 1: if I'm going to get more Niner money, it's going
- 3:50Speaker 1: to be at minus nine and a half and if
- 3:52Speaker 1: a false ten, we lose everything. So instead I went
- 3:55Speaker 1: to ten even money and just let people lay a
- 3:58Speaker 1: dollar twenty with Zona. So that's a way that we
- 4:03Speaker 1: save money even though we lost. I walked you right
- 4:09Speaker 1: into that. Yeah, good job. Hey. I want to remind
- 4:15Speaker 1: people that Scooch and I do a radio show every Sunday.
- 4:17Speaker 1: It's from twelve to one. It's on radio dot Com.
- 4:19Speaker 1: Download the radio dot Com app Search you Better you Bet.
- 4:22Speaker 1: Search the favorites. You will find us twelve to one,
- 4:25Speaker 1: not the favorites, just sure you such you better you Bet.
- 4:28Speaker 1: I lost my train of thought there twelve to one.
- 4:30Speaker 1: We basically do this only in real time, and Scooch
- 4:34Speaker 1: is talking about the tens of thousands of dollars that
- 4:36Speaker 1: come in, like this past weekend when he was waiting
- 4:38Speaker 1: and waiting for money to come in on Philly, was
- 4:41Speaker 1: desperate for money to come on Philly. Bet finally comes
- 4:44Speaker 1: in and he started to feel much better about it. Um,
- 4:47Speaker 1: isn't that right, Scooch? Yeah? And now I wish I
- 4:50Speaker 1: had taken so much more. I know, right, Yeah, So
- 4:55Speaker 1: I got ugly in a hurry, but it wasn't and
- 4:57Speaker 1: It wasn't straight that money necessarily. It was just by
- 4:59Speaker 1: that time all the parlays from the morning favorites kicked in.
- 5:02Speaker 1: So when we posted the Patriot game, it was that
- 5:05Speaker 1: was the dagger. Well you got you got beat up
- 5:08Speaker 1: on the parlays like it's a bad weekend. People don't
- 5:10Speaker 1: forget it's a bad weekend for you because the Saints covered,
- 5:14Speaker 1: because the Cowboys covered, because the Patriots covered, because the
- 5:20Speaker 1: Eagles covered, like those are your party teams, I mean
- 5:23Speaker 1: not because the Patriots covered, Like those are your parley
- 5:26Speaker 1: teams right there? Yeah? Yeah? The bill, the Bills was
- 5:29Speaker 1: the Bills, bad one for us. Uh. And then and
- 5:32Speaker 1: then at night even the Rams, even though it wasn't
- 5:34Speaker 1: that big by that time, it's the only one left.
- 5:36Speaker 1: And then just another favorite that you know you attack on.
- 5:40Speaker 1: So it was it was bad, fascinating game on Thursday night,
- 5:44Speaker 1: first game of the week, Indianapolis visiting Houston. Uh. Jacoby Brisset,
- 5:50Speaker 1: big win, looking healthy. Um this past weekend, Deshaun Watson, Boy,
- 5:55Speaker 1: was I on the wrong side of that. I was
- 5:56Speaker 1: all over the Texans and was way wrong. First instinct
- 5:59Speaker 1: didn't bad. Um. Texans are favored by three and a
- 6:03Speaker 1: half of the Roulein's right. Now, tell me what you're thinking, Well,
- 6:06Speaker 1: we opened four, and what we're thinking is we know
- 6:09Speaker 1: that everybody is going to see the Colts finally looking
- 6:13Speaker 1: a lot better with Jacobe percent in, and they're gonna
- 6:16Speaker 1: look at that Texans loss and say, my god, they
- 6:19Speaker 1: just got roughed up, and they're going to think that
- 6:21Speaker 1: the Colts are a live dog, which which they are.
- 6:24Speaker 1: And uh, the sharp guys already took the plus four,
- 6:30Speaker 1: we went down to three and a half. But I
- 6:32Speaker 1: would not be surprised to see the Texans step up
- 6:36Speaker 1: in this one. So so that's why we're not going
- 6:39Speaker 1: crazy and suddenly making them a real short favorite at
- 6:42Speaker 1: home and making them like two and a half. We
- 6:45Speaker 1: would still like to keep them a little more than
- 6:49Speaker 1: a field goal, knowing that everyone's probably gonna at the
- 6:53Speaker 1: Colts in this one, and I think we're gonna want
- 6:55Speaker 1: to go into this needing. The Texans. You know, they
- 6:59Speaker 1: realized the importance of this game, and I don't want
- 7:02Speaker 1: to say they discounted last week's game, but at some
- 7:05Speaker 1: point you have to throw the score out. You know,
- 7:08Speaker 1: they lost, they didn't cover. You don't get like extra
- 7:10Speaker 1: points for how badly they lost. So we're not going
- 7:13Speaker 1: to just suddenly drastically dropped them in their ratings because
- 7:18Speaker 1: of how badly they lost. You know, at some point
- 7:20Speaker 1: it was just over and they're looking looking to this game.
- 7:23Speaker 1: So I wouldn't be surprised. So at three and a half,
- 7:27Speaker 1: I think we'll get good two way action from the public,
- 7:30Speaker 1: and I think will be probably a little heavier on
- 7:32Speaker 1: the cults from the sharp guys. I U, I do wonder.
- 7:37Speaker 1: I think you're right, Like I wonder if this is
- 7:38Speaker 1: a throwaway the film game, Like Bill O'Brien says, you
- 7:41Speaker 1: know what, everything that could have gone wrong went wrong.
- 7:44Speaker 1: Let's focus on what we're good at. Let's focus on
- 7:46Speaker 1: the colts. We're not going to worry about last week.
- 7:49Speaker 1: Is that constructive or is that hiding your head in
- 7:52Speaker 1: the sand? And it probably probably a little bit of both,
- 7:57Speaker 1: But just give me an answer. Don't want Royce? Is
- 8:02Speaker 1: that constructed? Hold on? Hold on? Royce is a professional?
- 8:06Speaker 1: Is that constructive or hiding your head? I'm good than good.
- 8:13Speaker 1: I think it's hiding your hand of the Wow. See
- 8:15Speaker 1: Royce likes to confront things head on. Got you. Yeah, Well,
- 8:21Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna go into this hoping to leave
- 8:23Speaker 1: the Texans, uh, And we're okay with that. I mean,
- 8:29Speaker 1: you know, we lost a lot this weekend. We're not
- 8:31Speaker 1: afraid to lose a little more. Cleveland Browns are eleven
- 8:35Speaker 1: point favorites in their first game since Myles Garrett was
- 8:37Speaker 1: suspended since that ugly, ugly incident on the field. They're
- 8:42Speaker 1: playing the Miami Dolphins eleven points. But they've also won
- 8:45Speaker 1: a couple of games in a row. You know, they're
- 8:47Speaker 1: looking better. They still look a little bit like a
- 8:49Speaker 1: train wreck, clearly from a disciplined point of view. Um,
- 8:53Speaker 1: how do you book this game? It's tough because we've
- 8:57Speaker 1: been giving the Dolphins uh double digit points in so
- 9:01Speaker 1: many games, and uh, the Dolphins have covered in just
- 9:05Speaker 1: so many of those games. So here's just another instance
- 9:08Speaker 1: where I think you're going to be able to get
- 9:10Speaker 1: a little bit more value on the Dolphins than on
- 9:13Speaker 1: the Browns. Like you said that, the Browns are finally
- 9:16Speaker 1: starting to kind of get to where people expected them
- 9:19Speaker 1: to be in the beginning of the season after so
- 9:21Speaker 1: many games of just disappointing and dropping uh in the
- 9:25Speaker 1: power rankings. They're slightly creeping up. I don't think we're
- 9:28Speaker 1: gonna get much public support on a team like the
- 9:31Speaker 1: Browns land double digits against almost anybody, So I think,
- 9:35Speaker 1: if anything, we're gonna this is about as high as
- 9:39Speaker 1: it's going to get, and you'll see this line come
- 9:41Speaker 1: down kind of similar to what we saw with the
- 9:44Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals, how dropped the low ten. I think I
- 9:48Speaker 1: think this will close at ten. I hate that game.
- 9:52Speaker 1: I know I have to bet because I'm betting all
- 9:54Speaker 1: two and fifty six games and this was a ugly,
- 9:57Speaker 1: ugly weekend. Don't forget. You can follow me in the
- 9:59Speaker 1: act Network app to fifty or bust. You can get
- 10:02Speaker 1: all the information that I am talking about in the
- 10:05Speaker 1: Action Network app for free. It's a free app. Royce
- 10:09Speaker 1: loves it. Royce loves it. Right there, he's he's already
- 10:12Speaker 1: stopped listening to me, Honest to God, I swear to god.
- 10:14Speaker 1: I looked at him and he was just staring at
- 10:17Speaker 1: into the wilderness ahead. Well, I'm trying to excite things
- 10:21Speaker 1: now because I just went to ten and a half
- 10:23Speaker 1: on that game. Mine change ten and a half, all right, yea,
- 10:31Speaker 1: I am so all over this next game. Denver visiting Buffalo.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Buffalo a very short, very short home favorite. Buffalo is
- 10:41Speaker 1: only a four point favorite. I think you're making a mistake.
- 10:45Speaker 1: You hung a bad line. You are going to get popped.
- 10:49Speaker 1: You you like Buffalo, do well? We we hung Buffalo higher.
- 10:54Speaker 1: We we opened this game five and we took a
- 10:57Speaker 1: lot of Broncos money so that they don't deserve my name.
- 11:03Speaker 1: They are the Millman millions. Mm hmmm, they don't deserve it.
- 11:09Speaker 1: You know what they're doing. You know what they're doing.
- 11:11Speaker 1: They're so smart. They're setting you up, They're buying it down.
- 11:15Speaker 1: You're gonna eventually have to go to three and a half,
- 11:18Speaker 1: maybe even three, and they're gonna middle. They're gonna middle
- 11:21Speaker 1: this fucker, and it's gonna be like a Buffalo blood
- 11:24Speaker 1: bath for you, you know. So yeah, so we have
- 11:29Speaker 1: to be real careful about that, especially with the public team.
- 11:32Speaker 1: So in other words, right now about of the tickets
- 11:36Speaker 1: are are on Buffalo, So we know this is gonna
- 11:38Speaker 1: be a huge parlay game. We know that of the
- 11:41Speaker 1: money from the public is going to commit on Saturday
- 11:43Speaker 1: night Sunday morning, and it's going to be all on Buffalo.
- 11:46Speaker 1: So I hate when we do this and the sharp
- 11:49Speaker 1: guys make us drive this number down on a public team.
- 11:53Speaker 1: They did it last week on the Patriots, if you're remembered.
- 11:55Speaker 1: I wanted to stay at four, and they drove me
- 11:57Speaker 1: down the three and a half and I had to
- 11:59Speaker 1: make that decision of you know, whether they just stay
- 12:01Speaker 1: at four, and then ultimately I closed it at five
- 12:03Speaker 1: and a half. So it's kind of the same thing here.
- 12:06Speaker 1: I've got to be real careful not to move it
- 12:08Speaker 1: too far down. But having said that, I respect their opinions,
- 12:14Speaker 1: and especially on a team like the Broncos, who, I mean,
- 12:17Speaker 1: how many times have you seen it? Game after game
- 12:19Speaker 1: after games just comes down to the wire. They end
- 12:22Speaker 1: up losing the game outright, a game that they could
- 12:25Speaker 1: have won very easily. They just they go into so
- 12:28Speaker 1: many games winning in the fourth quarter and then blow
- 12:30Speaker 1: the lead. But they end up getting the covers in
- 12:32Speaker 1: a lot of these instances. The cover last week against
- 12:35Speaker 1: the Vikings was one of the saving graces from you know,
- 12:37Speaker 1: total devastation for for us. I think we won two games.
- 12:40Speaker 1: We won that Broncos Vikings and we won the uh
- 12:43Speaker 1: the Bengals Raiders because the Bengal didn't cover. But uh,
- 12:47Speaker 1: this Broncos team that has gotten a lot of big
- 12:49Speaker 1: covers for us, so here getting a little bit more
- 12:52Speaker 1: than a field goal. They have to do is keep
- 12:54Speaker 1: the game close. Speaking of the Bengals, they're now going
- 12:56Speaker 1: to be seven point home dogs against the Steelers. Look,
- 13:01Speaker 1: it's an automatic take if you believe in betting bad
- 13:04Speaker 1: teams and you believe in betting big home dogs. They
- 13:07Speaker 1: looked decent against the Raiders, which also means in the
- 13:12Speaker 1: Bengals world, it's time to get off the Bengals. Yeah.
- 13:19Speaker 1: I mean, so, you know, we talked about how you
- 13:22Speaker 1: keep dropping and dropping a team, and and you know,
- 13:24Speaker 1: they still haven't gotten their first win. But I don't
- 13:26Speaker 1: know how much more we can drop them. Uh. I
- 13:29Speaker 1: think we had set a pretty good line last week,
- 13:31Speaker 1: even though ultimately it got driven up to thirteam. We opened,
- 13:36Speaker 1: I said to look aheadline on that Raiders Bengals game
- 13:38Speaker 1: last week was about eight and a half, and because
- 13:40Speaker 1: the Bengals look so bad and the Raiders look so good,
- 13:43Speaker 1: we adjusted it a little bit like nine and a half.
- 13:46Speaker 1: It got driven up to thirteen, which I thought was
- 13:50Speaker 1: really inflated. And I think our producer on our the
- 13:54Speaker 1: other show even asked me what's the most inflated line
- 13:56Speaker 1: on the board, and I said it was the Raiders Bengals.
- 13:59Speaker 1: I thirteen. But it's hard to bet these bad teams.
- 14:03Speaker 1: It's like you've always said, you got to hold your
- 14:06Speaker 1: nose and better because they're just so awful and they
- 14:08Speaker 1: just find ways to not only lose the game, but
- 14:11Speaker 1: just not cover that at the end. Now, having said
- 14:15Speaker 1: all that, seven seems like it's it's a solid number.
- 14:19Speaker 1: We haven't gotten off that the sharp guys haven't weighed in,
- 14:23Speaker 1: and we have gotten almost nothing on the Bengals. I mean,
- 14:28Speaker 1: there's almost nothing on on the Bengals so far. I
- 14:32Speaker 1: know it's early, but because of the because we've gotten
- 14:37Speaker 1: so little now, I can't imagine them coming in later
- 14:40Speaker 1: in the week, which leads me to believe I might
- 14:41Speaker 1: actually go a little higher on this. Well, then you'll
- 14:45Speaker 1: get the money for sure. I don't wise seven and
- 14:49Speaker 1: a half though. Some wise guys are gonna come in
- 14:51Speaker 1: there and he's gonna bet the Bengals just because he
- 14:53Speaker 1: thinks he's getting the hook and he's going to be
- 14:55Speaker 1: wasting his money. Hey, what do we do about the Bears?
- 14:59Speaker 1: Like the world blew up on Sunday night when all
- 15:04Speaker 1: of a sudden, there's two and a half minutes left,
- 15:05Speaker 1: the Bears are down by ten and Mitch Truebisky is
- 15:09Speaker 1: not in the field. Even Al Michael's and Chris Collinsworth
- 15:11Speaker 1: were going insane, and the text chains that I had
- 15:14Speaker 1: going on with my friends from Chicago were nuts, Like
- 15:19Speaker 1: what the f is going on? How did this happen?
- 15:22Speaker 1: Some of us were like, is it finally over? Is
- 15:25Speaker 1: this Mitch Truebisky national nightmare over? What does this mean?
- 15:29Speaker 1: It was like people were a combination of enthused and
- 15:33Speaker 1: just sort of confused. So what do you do about
- 15:38Speaker 1: this game? Like it's still technically undecided who's starting? Right? Yeah, yeah,
- 15:43Speaker 1: we'll just kind of what we hung six And we've
- 15:47Speaker 1: gotten absolutely nothing from the Sharp guys, which means okay,
- 15:50Speaker 1: they don't know either. So the Bears are minus six. Um,
- 15:54Speaker 1: I don't see that he has been so ineffective, like
- 15:57Speaker 1: you've been saying week after week after week, I don't
- 16:00Speaker 1: know how much value we can really place on them. Uh,
- 16:04Speaker 1: you know, even if he even if he doesn't get
- 16:06Speaker 1: the start. So I and and the fact that they're
- 16:09Speaker 1: playing another bad team helps us out in this one,
- 16:12Speaker 1: Um that it's not like one of those high profile games.
- 16:16Speaker 1: I think. I think the more interest in this is
- 16:18Speaker 1: just like you said, that is how how bad can
- 16:21Speaker 1: can Trabinsky get and when do they when do they
- 16:24Speaker 1: pull the plug? And so so there's some intrigue on
- 16:27Speaker 1: that respect, but very little is being bet on the game.
- 16:30Speaker 1: A matter of fact that I'm looking at this, there's
- 16:32Speaker 1: less bet on this game than any other game bet
- 16:35Speaker 1: on the board. Yeah, although don't forget, we've got an
- 16:42Speaker 1: epic battle for the Pantheon Cup between two teams from
- 16:46Speaker 1: the Southeast that no one is ever going to care
- 16:48Speaker 1: about that might as well not even exist. We haven't
- 16:51Speaker 1: even talked about it yet. So that game, I think
- 16:55Speaker 1: the Bears will have more interest in their drama than
- 16:59Speaker 1: those two teams that are irrelevant and will never be relevant. Um,
- 17:05Speaker 1: the clash of the Titans. Ah Jesus, this game is interesting.
- 17:15Speaker 1: This mixed game is very interesting. Oakland is visiting the
- 17:19Speaker 1: New York Jets. Oakland is a three point favorite right now.
- 17:24Speaker 1: Jets are showing something the past few weeks. No they're not.
- 17:27Speaker 1: They were awful this past weekend. No, the Jets were good.
- 17:33Speaker 1: That's right. The Redskins were bad. Yeah, the Jets have
- 17:37Speaker 1: been showing Yeah, talk me through this. Now. This was
- 17:43Speaker 1: a real, real tough one because Oakland has been flying
- 17:47Speaker 1: under the radar with the better so far. We we
- 17:50Speaker 1: have needed Oakland in almost every game this year, and
- 17:54Speaker 1: coming into this game at six and four, they pulled
- 17:57Speaker 1: through for us and many occasions. We did not need
- 18:01Speaker 1: them last week and we need the Bengals last week,
- 18:04Speaker 1: and so we're batting a thousand on Oakland. When we
- 18:07Speaker 1: need them, they win and cover, and when we don't
- 18:10Speaker 1: need them, they don't cover. So but this one was
- 18:13Speaker 1: a tough one. You know, we were debating between kind
- 18:16Speaker 1: of three three and a half of realizing kind of
- 18:19Speaker 1: the the last couple of games the Jets, you know,
- 18:24Speaker 1: they played well with Donald against the Cowboys. Then Donald
- 18:28Speaker 1: goes out and you really can't judge just how good
- 18:30Speaker 1: or bad they are without them. Then Donald comes back
- 18:33Speaker 1: and they still look bad. But then well, the next
- 18:35Speaker 1: couple of games they look good. So they're hard team
- 18:37Speaker 1: to figure out too. The sharp guy seemed to think
- 18:40Speaker 1: that the Jets are the play here. Uh, we opened
- 18:43Speaker 1: three and I really thought that they would lay Oakland
- 18:46Speaker 1: on this. So this one surprised me that they came
- 18:48Speaker 1: in took the plus three. I'm not going to two
- 18:51Speaker 1: and a half. We went to three even money, and
- 18:53Speaker 1: so we're letting anyone who wants to bet the Jets
- 18:56Speaker 1: to plus three, they're gonna have to lay a dollar
- 18:57Speaker 1: twenty on this one. Um. But it didn't surprise another public.
- 19:01Speaker 1: It's all over the Raiders. Um, so we're we're seeing
- 19:04Speaker 1: somewhere in the neighbor the tickets coming in is going
- 19:08Speaker 1: to be on the Raiders. So I think they finally
- 19:10Speaker 1: like betting on the Raiders and uh so against the Jed.
- 19:14Speaker 1: This is gonna be a tough one because the public
- 19:15Speaker 1: is gonna be on one side and Sharpie's are on another.
- 19:17Speaker 1: And I think I just want to stay at three
- 19:19Speaker 1: and just move money all week. The other day on
- 19:23Speaker 1: our show on Sunday, someone called in and they asked
- 19:28Speaker 1: you a question, which team do you need for your lungs?
- 19:31Speaker 1: And they referenced, you know, need for your lungs is
- 19:33Speaker 1: a long time scooch is um on the show. Um
- 19:37Speaker 1: Royce is shaking his head. He enjoys that he appreciates
- 19:39Speaker 1: that is a long time listener. Um, I feel like
- 19:44Speaker 1: I feel a little bit like Kelly Clarkson right now,
- 19:46Speaker 1: like we have a studio audience. Pat isn't that nice?
- 19:49Speaker 1: Pats Pets shaking his head. But my point is like
- 19:54Speaker 1: when the public jumps on a team, it's time to
- 19:57Speaker 1: jump off him. And like the public has jumped on,
- 20:00Speaker 1: we are at peak Raiders right now, you know what
- 20:02Speaker 1: I mean? Yeah, So give me the New York j
- 20:05Speaker 1: E T S Jets Jet Jets. Pat producer is excited
- 20:08Speaker 1: about that. He loves the Jets. The last the last
- 20:10Speaker 1: time I knew it was time to get off the
- 20:12Speaker 1: Jets was after they beat up the Cowboys and Pat
- 20:14Speaker 1: came in wearing his Jets hat that week, and I'm like,
- 20:17Speaker 1: Jets fans are walking around proud as Peacock's I'm going
- 20:21Speaker 1: to fade those fuckers all day this week. Sure enough,
- 20:25Speaker 1: it worked out. Yeah, this next game is fascinating. I
- 20:30Speaker 1: want to ask you a question three weeks ago, coming
- 20:33Speaker 1: out of there By, what is the look aheadline for
- 20:36Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers visiting the New Orleans Saints Probably five
- 20:42Speaker 1: and a half. It is now nine and a half.
- 20:44Speaker 1: The Saints are favored by nine and a half. Give
- 20:47Speaker 1: me one other team that has had a bigger fall
- 20:49Speaker 1: the last three weeks in the Carolina Panthers getting blown
- 20:52Speaker 1: out at home by the Falcons, getting blown out in
- 20:55Speaker 1: prime time by the Niners in a game a lot
- 20:56Speaker 1: of people pegged than as having a chance to win.
- 20:59Speaker 1: Out Right, it has been an ugly fall for Kyle
- 21:02Speaker 1: Allen and the Panthers. Yeah, it really has. Uh And
- 21:07Speaker 1: we you know, we see that so often with a
- 21:09Speaker 1: quarterback that steps in for you know, a top tier
- 21:14Speaker 1: quarterback like Cam Newton. And you see a quarterback come
- 21:17Speaker 1: in and have a lot of success and then it's
- 21:19Speaker 1: like they get figured out really quickly in this league
- 21:22Speaker 1: and then uh, and then they just look like rookie quarterbacks.
- 21:26Speaker 1: I mean, you can go down the line with how
- 21:27Speaker 1: many quarterbacks have stepped in looked really good first game,
- 21:31Speaker 1: maybe even two games, possibly even three games, and then
- 21:34Speaker 1: reality sets in and they come come back down to
- 21:37Speaker 1: the ground and come back really hard. Uh. Yeah, the Saints,
- 21:42Speaker 1: this is going to be one of our biggest parley games,
- 21:44Speaker 1: probably our second biggest decision on the board. And as
- 21:48Speaker 1: a matter of fact, I was just before the show,
- 21:50Speaker 1: I was gonna move this. I'm gonna go to ten
- 21:54Speaker 1: and only because it's going to be such a huge
- 21:58Speaker 1: teaser game, is I don't want to give people the
- 22:02Speaker 1: opportunity to get the Saints at minus two and a
- 22:04Speaker 1: half on a seven point teaser. I'd rather than get
- 22:06Speaker 1: laid minus three. So just for the time being, I'm
- 22:10Speaker 1: gonna go to ten. I'll see what they do with it.
- 22:13Speaker 1: I will tell you right now, if I were able
- 22:17Speaker 1: to win this moment, I would bet Carolina plus ten. Yeah.
- 22:22Speaker 1: So New Orleans, I mean, as good as they looked
- 22:24Speaker 1: at uh earlier, they they have not been a team.
- 22:29Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, we've made a big adjustment to the Panthers,
- 22:33Speaker 1: but New Orleans has gone kind of up and down
- 22:36Speaker 1: this year as well. I mean, it was kind of
- 22:39Speaker 1: good for us that they didn't get a couple of covers,
- 22:41Speaker 1: but um, judging from last week and how much money
- 22:45Speaker 1: was better him last week, I think they're just gonna
- 22:47Speaker 1: roll over whatever their winnings were on the Saints last
- 22:51Speaker 1: week and come right back this week on them. Speaking
- 22:56Speaker 1: of Tampa Bay which didn't which had a chance in
- 22:59Speaker 1: that Saints game, going against Atlanta which destroyed uh Carolina. Boy,
- 23:07Speaker 1: they're making these NFC South games really exciting. But Atlantalist
- 23:11Speaker 1: got the past couple of weeks. They come out of
- 23:12Speaker 1: the by their energized Tampa Bay. You just can't bet them,
- 23:14Speaker 1: like there's too much of um. You just can't do
- 23:17Speaker 1: it anymore. Like Jameis Winston is too inconsistent to me.
- 23:22Speaker 1: This is a first time I'm saying that's all your
- 23:24Speaker 1: Falcons or nothing you have. You have not liked the
- 23:30Speaker 1: Falcons all the year, so it was really kind of
- 23:31Speaker 1: funny when you loved him. Was it last week or
- 23:35Speaker 1: the week before? You you've been on on a couple
- 23:38Speaker 1: of couple of weeks, so you talk about how the
- 23:40Speaker 1: right time to get off the team and the right
- 23:42Speaker 1: time to get on a team. Uh, So you've been
- 23:45Speaker 1: pretty good with the Falcons so far this year. I
- 23:47Speaker 1: have been. But what do I do in this game?
- 23:49Speaker 1: I guess I take the Falcons. I really am favoring
- 23:53Speaker 1: the Falcons myself, and I think I've talked myself into it.
- 23:56Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to four and a half on this game.
- 23:59Speaker 1: I'm at four now, but just judging from the ticket
- 24:03Speaker 1: account and how much money we have on the Falcons already,
- 24:08Speaker 1: I think if I stay at four, I'm just gonna
- 24:09Speaker 1: be giving uh more people value. So I'm gonna let
- 24:13Speaker 1: it lay four and a half. I'd rather they take
- 24:15Speaker 1: the Buccaneers in this one than lay the Falcons. Line change.
- 24:20Speaker 1: You just did it right. You want to throw a
- 24:23Speaker 1: line change? Line change? Oh? I love it. That was great.
- 24:29Speaker 1: Our studio audience is bringing enthusiasm. He's a class act.
- 24:35Speaker 1: He's a professional. Yeah. Detroit is a three point favorite
- 24:39Speaker 1: on the road against the craptastic Washington Redskins. Good lord
- 24:44Speaker 1: scirit like, this is hold your nose, Like, what are
- 24:47Speaker 1: you gonna do here? Yeah, we've gotten a lot of
- 24:50Speaker 1: money on Detroit already. I know some places opened two
- 24:53Speaker 1: and a half. We opened three. They laid it right
- 24:55Speaker 1: out of the gate. We went to three minus twenty.
- 24:58Speaker 1: Wouldn't be surprised to see this go up three and
- 25:00Speaker 1: a half regardless of who's at quarterback for Detroit. Uh,
- 25:04Speaker 1: Washington is I can't make up my mind which team
- 25:07Speaker 1: is at the bottom of the league right now between
- 25:09Speaker 1: the Bengals in Washington. Um, and really last week is
- 25:13Speaker 1: like you pointed out my best bet if they couldn't
- 25:16Speaker 1: win at home against the Jets. Uh, you know, laying
- 25:20Speaker 1: only a point. Uh. If this team is really bad
- 25:24Speaker 1: and they and they're and they're dysfunctional. So um, even
- 25:27Speaker 1: though they're at home here, I don't have a whole
- 25:30Speaker 1: lot of confidence here. Of the money is on Detroit
- 25:32Speaker 1: so far, and I would expect that to continue throughout
- 25:36Speaker 1: the week. So I'm pretty close to going to three
- 25:38Speaker 1: and a half. I'm just not not there yet. I'm
- 25:40Speaker 1: going to have to bet the Redskins in this hold
- 25:43Speaker 1: your nose of the money is coming in a home dog, like,
- 25:48Speaker 1: I gotta do it, just what I gotta do, all right?
- 25:51Speaker 1: Can we listen? The sequel to the Pantheon Cup is
- 25:56Speaker 1: happening in Tennessee this weekend, where the Exeville Jaguars, which
- 26:01Speaker 1: would only be recognized by fans in London in terms
- 26:04Speaker 1: of their logo, playing the Tennessee Titans, a team that
- 26:08Speaker 1: I couldn't tell you five players on their team right now. Um,
- 26:13Speaker 1: they are three point favorites. They're getting eighty seven percent
- 26:16Speaker 1: of the money, whatever the hell that means, because there's
- 26:18Speaker 1: like two bets on them. So why are we even
- 26:21Speaker 1: talking about this game? There's three point favorites, Like, there's
- 26:23Speaker 1: no value anywhere here where those guys are not going
- 26:26Speaker 1: to bet this game. I don't think I'm going to
- 26:29Speaker 1: move this game all week. I might not even move
- 26:31Speaker 1: the money. Well, I might move tennessee them three months
- 26:33Speaker 1: twenty later in the week, but I'll bless you, I
- 26:35Speaker 1: don't get off it. I'm not gonna go to two
- 26:37Speaker 1: and a half. I'm not gonna go to three and
- 26:38Speaker 1: a half. Next to the Giants game. It's the worst
- 26:41Speaker 1: bet game on the board. So definitely a corner TV game.
- 26:44Speaker 1: We're done the best because we gotta get to the
- 26:46Speaker 1: good games. Dallas visiting New England. New England's a six
- 26:49Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. New England does not look good.
- 26:52Speaker 1: Dallas is starting to look better. They got some injuries though.
- 26:55Speaker 1: They're worrying me a little bit. New England's defense is
- 26:58Speaker 1: showing that it's not as great as it was. So
- 27:01Speaker 1: can Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott moved the ball? Can
- 27:04Speaker 1: Marii Cooper you know, beat Stefan Gilmore. Um, we're the
- 27:11Speaker 1: wise guys doing here six and a half. Uh, they're
- 27:14Speaker 1: taking the Cowboys, but not for a great deal. And
- 27:18Speaker 1: uh we've got actually a great two way action in
- 27:20Speaker 1: terms of money. In terms of ticket account it's slightly
- 27:24Speaker 1: heavier on the Patriots, but not by much. It's the
- 27:29Speaker 1: second most bet game on the board, so obviously there's
- 27:32Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of attention on this one. I
- 27:34Speaker 1: think the initial reaction was that six and a half
- 27:36Speaker 1: was too high. Um. As great as the Patriots are,
- 27:40Speaker 1: and we you know, we talked about it a lot,
- 27:42Speaker 1: there's seems to be a lot of chinks in the
- 27:44Speaker 1: armor and the offense doesn't seem to be able to
- 27:47Speaker 1: put up the like you know, the big points that
- 27:50Speaker 1: we're seeing being put up by the Ravens. That's kind
- 27:52Speaker 1: of what they expected of the Patriots. You know, we
- 27:55Speaker 1: saw it early on when the Patriots were playing really
- 27:57Speaker 1: bad teams like like the Dolphins and and Jets. But
- 28:01Speaker 1: they're not They're not able to put up those those
- 28:04Speaker 1: big numbers against teams with a decent, decent defense. So
- 28:08Speaker 1: so the great great two way acts on this one.
- 28:10Speaker 1: If anything, I think the line will come down. I
- 28:13Speaker 1: can't see this line going up to seven barring an
- 28:16Speaker 1: injury or something happened during the during the week with
- 28:18Speaker 1: an illness. But I take six and a half, you
- 28:21Speaker 1: almost have to take Dallas. Well, then I'm just gonna
- 28:23Speaker 1: wait until later in the week, and I'm gonna take
- 28:25Speaker 1: New England because I'm not betting against the freaking Patriots
- 28:29Speaker 1: at home, Like, are you kidding me? That's idiot. Yeah,
- 28:34Speaker 1: of course I'm taking the Patriots this next game. Everybody
- 28:37Speaker 1: knows we're doing Fade Revel with points Bad Points bet
- 28:40Speaker 1: dot Com. It's been an unbelievably fun promotion. You bet
- 28:45Speaker 1: opposite Darren Revel and you get boosted odds to make
- 28:50Speaker 1: the play against him. So the first week, Darren Revel
- 28:53Speaker 1: bet on the New York Giants to cover against the
- 28:56Speaker 1: New York Jets. People who wanted to bet on the
- 28:58Speaker 1: New York New York Jets got plus one ten. Normally
- 29:01Speaker 1: you get minus one ten. They got plus one ten
- 29:03Speaker 1: on the Jets at plus two and a half. What
- 29:06Speaker 1: happened the Jets one? Everyone made extra money. What happened
- 29:10Speaker 1: last weekend? Darren took the Patriots on the road against
- 29:13Speaker 1: the Eagles. Eagles were three and a half point. Dogs
- 29:16Speaker 1: came so close to working out for people. Darren would
- 29:19Speaker 1: have been in the parking lot of Patch Cheese Steaks
- 29:22Speaker 1: and had thirty six pounds of cheese was dumped on
- 29:24Speaker 1: his head. Instead, he got to send out a video
- 29:27Speaker 1: taunting everybody who bet against him in Fade Revel. This
- 29:31Speaker 1: week's Fade Revel game is gonna be Aaron Rodgers visiting
- 29:35Speaker 1: San Francisco. What we have cooked up for Darren in
- 29:40Speaker 1: case he loses his bet, well, honest to God, be
- 29:43Speaker 1: the most painful thing he's ever done. I'm not even joking.
- 29:46Speaker 1: You're gonna have to stick around and follow Darren on Twitter.
- 29:49Speaker 1: If you're one of the people who wasn't following him
- 29:51Speaker 1: on Twitter, follow Action Network at Action Network HQ, follow
- 29:54Speaker 1: me at Chad Moment. You'll see the video from one
- 29:56Speaker 1: of those will post it tomorrow and then you'll be
- 29:58Speaker 1: able to go to Points bet and bet on Fade
- 30:00Speaker 1: Revel if you're in New Jersey. Um, and we will
- 30:04Speaker 1: hope to God that he loses because I so want
- 30:07Speaker 1: him to have to do this stunt. If they lose,
- 30:10Speaker 1: that's enough set. I'm excited for it. I can see
- 30:12Speaker 1: Royce is smiling right now. It's kind of I don't know.
- 30:16Speaker 1: He may like, he may be like, I can't believe
- 30:18Speaker 1: I came to this podcast, but uh, Green Bay is
- 30:23Speaker 1: a three point dog on the road, perfectly lined game.
- 30:27Speaker 1: I would take the Packers here. If you're gonna take
- 30:31Speaker 1: the Packers. You should be able to get three and
- 30:33Speaker 1: a half. If not now, then then at some point
- 30:36Speaker 1: we're at three minus fifteen on the Niners. We hung three.
- 30:40Speaker 1: We got a little money on the Niners, but not
- 30:44Speaker 1: enough to get us there yet. But I think that's
- 30:46Speaker 1: what the trend now. The public is on the Packers,
- 30:50Speaker 1: but only at about like fifty with us UM. Packers
- 30:56Speaker 1: have such a great following around the country. It particularly
- 31:00Speaker 1: with betters here in Las Vegas, that they're all the
- 31:02Speaker 1: usually attract money regardless of the game or the point spread,
- 31:06Speaker 1: but in this matchup, it's that it's the biggest bet
- 31:10Speaker 1: game on the board. On both sides, we have action
- 31:11Speaker 1: on both sides. So but I do feel we're going
- 31:15Speaker 1: to bounce back and forth a little bit on this one,
- 31:17Speaker 1: which I hate to have happened, because it seems like
- 31:20Speaker 1: it's setting up to be a pretty competitive game and
- 31:22Speaker 1: chances of it full and three are pretty high. So
- 31:25Speaker 1: I'm gonna try not to bounce back. I think I'm
- 31:27Speaker 1: gonna stay at three, let them lay the Niners and
- 31:30Speaker 1: try to go into the game needing. The Packers. Seattle
- 31:33Speaker 1: visiting Philly. There is a theory called the Pythagorean win theory,
- 31:38Speaker 1: where basically, if you're scoring fewer points than than your
- 31:42Speaker 1: opponent and your record is better, then then there's a
- 31:49Speaker 1: sort of expected record. I'm not doing you justice expected
- 31:51Speaker 1: record and actual record. And right now the Seattle Seahawks
- 31:56Speaker 1: are like a team that you want to fade. Yet
- 31:58Speaker 1: they are getting eight two per cent of the money
- 32:01Speaker 1: as two point home underdog or two point road dogs
- 32:05Speaker 1: in Philadelphia. Yeah, boy, that was a nice I don't
- 32:09Speaker 1: think I've ever heard the Pythagrian theory and referenced in
- 32:13Speaker 1: in a sports betting reference. But we're getting good the
- 32:17Speaker 1: way you worked that in there. Thanks Copernicus, Copernicus. What
- 32:26Speaker 1: are you breaking out your USC degree? Copernicus, call me no,
- 32:33Speaker 1: because that's how good I am at this. You are.
- 32:36Speaker 1: I'm telling you you're having some year. Yeah, I agree
- 32:39Speaker 1: with you on this one. And you know when we
- 32:42Speaker 1: when we hung this line, we hung two and a
- 32:44Speaker 1: half and on Philly the favorite minus two and a
- 32:47Speaker 1: half and the first statch out of the gate where
- 32:50Speaker 1: the Seahawks we're we're probably the only two out there.
- 32:53Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, I'm looking out there. Every
- 32:55Speaker 1: every place here in Vegas is at one and a
- 32:57Speaker 1: half and we're the only two. So you know, we
- 33:03Speaker 1: certainly feel the same way that even though the Seahawks
- 33:06Speaker 1: are getting so much money and and they're getting a
- 33:09Speaker 1: lot of these wins, they haven't really shown that much
- 33:12Speaker 1: that they can uh win on the road and games
- 33:15Speaker 1: like games like these. Um, another one where I mean,
- 33:19Speaker 1: this is the most lopsided game on the board, even
- 33:22Speaker 1: more so than uh than the than the Patriots are,
- 33:26Speaker 1: more so than the Saints. Uh. We have just got
- 33:29Speaker 1: so much money and tickets on the Seahawks, who are
- 33:32Speaker 1: completely lopsided. But we feel the same way. We're just
- 33:36Speaker 1: going to go into this one needed the Eagles, of course.
- 33:38Speaker 1: They we need the Eagles last week and they didn't
- 33:40Speaker 1: get it for us. So hopefully it's not two weeks
- 33:42Speaker 1: in a row. We uh guess wrong. I think I'm
- 33:45Speaker 1: gonna be on the Eagles this week. I just wrote
- 33:47Speaker 1: him down. I might want to put them in the
- 33:48Speaker 1: super Contest later on in the show. I'm gonna ask
- 33:50Speaker 1: Simon Hunter about that. Um, I like him. I like him.
- 33:53Speaker 1: Next week. I mean, they're they're banged up a lot still.
- 33:57Speaker 1: They mean they went into last week's game about al
- 34:00Speaker 1: Shan Jeffrey and he still lifted his question while going
- 34:03Speaker 1: into this game. Uh, you know, they've been without Sprowls
- 34:06Speaker 1: and uh so, so they're still kind of still kind
- 34:10Speaker 1: of banged up. But I think I think this is
- 34:14Speaker 1: the game they win. Monday Night, Baltimore, Lamar Jackson, most
- 34:18Speaker 1: exciting player in the NFL against Jared Goff, the least
- 34:22Speaker 1: exciting player in the NFL. Baltimore on the road, three
- 34:26Speaker 1: point favorite. That's a tricky one, it really is. There's
- 34:32Speaker 1: no team that is getting more love and support than
- 34:35Speaker 1: the Ravens right now, and rightfully so. Uh second most
- 34:39Speaker 1: lopsided game in terms of tickets. However, the sharp guy
- 34:44Speaker 1: has bet the Rams in this one, and I'm not surprised.
- 34:47Speaker 1: I would too. I mean, it just seems like the
- 34:50Speaker 1: Spot as bad as you know, the Rams have looked,
- 34:54Speaker 1: and you really can't take much from you know, beating
- 34:56Speaker 1: up on a bad Bears team, Um, you know, Monday
- 35:01Speaker 1: night game, going up against the best team in the
- 35:03Speaker 1: NFL at at home. I mean, it seems like the
- 35:07Speaker 1: Spot form in terms of value, you know, the beginning
- 35:11Speaker 1: of the year. If you look at this game and
- 35:12Speaker 1: said what would the line be, say the Rams three
- 35:14Speaker 1: so it looks kind of like a six point adjustment
- 35:17Speaker 1: at least since the beginning of the year, which is huge.
- 35:19Speaker 1: I mean, it's a testament to how great the Ravens
- 35:21Speaker 1: are playing. But if there's value and a game that
- 35:25Speaker 1: you know you might get tripped up, this might be
- 35:27Speaker 1: the game. There's so many like short home dogs or
- 35:36Speaker 1: short home phaves. Can fill my whole card with those.
- 35:39Speaker 1: That's what I'm doing. I'm sticking to my guns, getting
- 35:42Speaker 1: back to basics. I'm not going to worry about what
- 35:44Speaker 1: happened last week. I'm not gonna let sort of anomalies dictate. Scooch,
- 35:49Speaker 1: guess what time it is? What time is it, baby,
- 36:01Speaker 1: I'm gonna put him on the spot right now. We're
- 36:02Speaker 1: gonna let our super guest, our studio audience is gonna
- 36:06Speaker 1: make a choice right now. Collectively, our studio audience this
- 36:10Speaker 1: week is choosing Philadelphia Eagles. Philadelphia Eagles. Royce is choosing
- 36:17Speaker 1: the Eagles minus two. I like it, Scooch, I get
- 36:21Speaker 1: to go next because you know I want and I
- 36:26Speaker 1: think I am gonna go with the uh Buffalo Bills
- 36:31Speaker 1: minus four. Nice, not bad. I'm gonna go with another
- 36:36Speaker 1: four point favorite. I am gonna go with the Falcons
- 36:39Speaker 1: over the Buccaneers. Wow, what either of us chosen the
- 36:43Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles if Royce hadn't chosen them, I like them.
- 36:47Speaker 1: That's my second choice. I do too. I'd like him
- 36:50Speaker 1: a lot. It's through it. I'm sticking with the Bills.
- 36:54Speaker 1: Race isn't gonna be here next week. We can choose
- 36:56Speaker 1: ever we want. I'm sticking with the Bills, all right,
- 37:00Speaker 1: all right, Bob Scucci. Listen. People can listen up to us.
- 37:03Speaker 1: Aunt can listen up, can listen to us on Sunday
- 37:05Speaker 1: afternoon noon Eastern Radio dot com. Search for you better
- 37:10Speaker 1: you bet you will find us live. You can call in.
- 37:13Speaker 1: By the way, we had a lot of callers this
- 37:15Speaker 1: past week, which was really exciting. We are breaking down
- 37:18Speaker 1: all the games in the hour before kick off. Its
- 37:21Speaker 1: most exciting sixty minutes in sports media probably ever. Probably
- 37:25Speaker 1: over Scooch, I will talk to I'll talk to you Sunday. Alright,
- 37:29Speaker 1: take care, thanks, alright, as promised, we're gonna go over
- 37:33Speaker 1: our super contest picks because we are crushing lately. As
- 37:37Speaker 1: I reminded everybody, we were four oh and one three
- 37:40Speaker 1: weeks ago when Darren was not on the show one,
- 37:43Speaker 1: three and one, two weeks ago, when Darren was on
- 37:45Speaker 1: the show, three and two last week, when Darren was
- 37:47Speaker 1: not on the show. This week, we've allowed Darren to
- 37:50Speaker 1: come back on the show. Um, but you worked very hard,
- 37:54Speaker 1: and so I just wanted to give you that and
- 37:56Speaker 1: honor that. Uh, you had a massive story your day
- 38:00Speaker 1: before we could start talking about it, tell us about
- 38:04Speaker 1: the Parlay Heater that the subject of your latest story
- 38:08Speaker 1: is on that blew up the internet last night. Yeah.
- 38:11Speaker 1: So there was there's this guy who actually DM me
- 38:16Speaker 1: on Instagram saying on October what is it twenty nine?
- 38:20Speaker 1: D m me saying, hey, just I just want two
- 38:22Speaker 1: thirty nine thousand at William Hill. And I'm like okay,
- 38:26Speaker 1: like that was something, and I said we're gonna we'll
- 38:29Speaker 1: do a story, and we didn't connect for some reason
- 38:33Speaker 1: or another. And then he came back to me and said, hey,
- 38:36Speaker 1: I just won three thirty three thousand and and I
- 38:40Speaker 1: was like, okay, that does not happen, Like people aren't
- 38:43Speaker 1: doing that now. I don't know what his in between is,
- 38:46Speaker 1: but the fact that he had to within twenty one
- 38:50Speaker 1: days is ridiculous. And so we pieced together this story
- 38:53Speaker 1: of a twenty three year old kid who travels to
- 38:56Speaker 1: a Korean grocery uh working lot in Fort Lee, New Jersey,
- 39:01Speaker 1: because he lives in New York in camp at mobile
- 39:03Speaker 1: in New York and and has has gotten you know,
- 39:07Speaker 1: made six seventy two dollars in parlays in twenty one days.
- 39:12Speaker 1: Admittedly he's lost at least seventy five thousand and other parlays,
- 39:16Speaker 1: but just the fact that he hit four parlays for
- 39:19Speaker 1: six seventy two over three weeks is just incredible. I
- 39:24Speaker 1: would take down. I would take a net of six
- 39:27Speaker 1: d grand in you know, a month. But then would
- 39:32Speaker 1: you retire from betting? No? Okay would you Maybe I
- 39:42Speaker 1: might not retire from betting, but I might bet less.
- 39:44Speaker 1: I might just bet, like, you know, instead of my
- 39:46Speaker 1: usual hundred grand a weekend, I would do like ten
- 39:48Speaker 1: grand a weekends. Right, your usual under grand, which is
- 39:52Speaker 1: what your usual is? Right? You know. It's like, you know,
- 39:55Speaker 1: I'm playing a little bit of the houses money there um.
- 39:59Speaker 1: But that's awesome. So we got this kid. People can
- 40:01Speaker 1: go check out that story. I think you did a
- 40:03Speaker 1: nice job teasing it their Action Network dot Com download
- 40:07Speaker 1: the Action Network app. It's all in there. It's all free.
- 40:11Speaker 1: You will love it. Darren did a great job reporting
- 40:13Speaker 1: the story. Darren. Yes, let's talk about the picks you
- 40:19Speaker 1: want to make this week and how you're going to
- 40:21Speaker 1: screw us up. Okay, I want to go back to Miami.
- 40:27Speaker 1: Shut up for my third street time. Yep. Ten and
- 40:30Speaker 1: a half. I think everyone's just high on Cleveland, you know,
- 40:35Speaker 1: after Pittsburgh. I like getting ten and a half. I
- 40:39Speaker 1: like Miami ten and a half. I also terrible call.
- 40:45Speaker 1: I also like the Giants. Uh, we don't even know
- 40:49Speaker 1: who's playing quarterback? Can we not choose the team if
- 40:51Speaker 1: we don't know who's playing quarterback? Can we please do that? What? Okay,
- 40:57Speaker 1: I'll have an alternate then. But I like the Giant
- 41:00Speaker 1: m hm um. I like Oakland minus three against the Jets.
- 41:06Speaker 1: I don't think I think everyone wants to write this
- 41:08Speaker 1: narrative as Sam Donald says that they could still make
- 41:11Speaker 1: the playoff. Uh, I don't buy it. I think, uh
- 41:17Speaker 1: that was just a fluke and then not putting anything together.
- 41:20Speaker 1: So Oakland minus three. I do think that Lamar Jackson
- 41:25Speaker 1: is the real deal anywhere he plays, including on the
- 41:28Speaker 1: road in the Colisseum. I'll take Baltimore minus three against
- 41:32Speaker 1: the Rams, and I want I think people have been
- 41:38Speaker 1: confused because of their last two games, but I do
- 41:41Speaker 1: think the forty Niners are the real deal, even in Lambeau.
- 41:46Speaker 1: I'll take the forty minus three against the Packers. Okay,
- 41:50Speaker 1: let me just say this. I disagree. Um, not just
- 41:55Speaker 1: do I disagree, but we talked about on the podcast
- 41:57Speaker 1: earlier with Scooch. With every one of your picks, I'm
- 42:04Speaker 1: not looking at the Fins and the Giants. Like the
- 42:07Speaker 1: Browns too much, too much trauma there. Giants, I don't
- 42:11Speaker 1: know who's playing quarterback. Hate the Raiders in this spot,
- 42:15Speaker 1: hate the Ravens in this spot. Would favor then favorite
- 42:19Speaker 1: the Packers in the spot. I love the Buffalo Bills, um.
- 42:26Speaker 1: I like Carolina, I like the Falcons. I like the Eagles, um,
- 42:35Speaker 1: and I love the Jets. You're not gonna get me
- 42:40Speaker 1: to love the Jets, that's for sure. The Eagles one
- 42:44Speaker 1: and a half at home against Seattle. I would take that,
- 42:49Speaker 1: all right, let's put the Eagles on our list. Okay,
- 42:54Speaker 1: what about I would also say I would also take
- 42:56Speaker 1: the Bills minus four at home against Denver. I would
- 42:59Speaker 1: take that. Okay, I really like Carolina. I feel like
- 43:03Speaker 1: they're way undervalued right now to really bad weeks, and
- 43:06Speaker 1: the Saints have not performed up to their capabilities. This
- 43:10Speaker 1: past weekend against the Bucks easily could have been a
- 43:12Speaker 1: blowout like they I think nine and a half if
- 43:15Speaker 1: we get something like that is a lot of points
- 43:18Speaker 1: for a team that you're right, um, you know before
- 43:22Speaker 1: their two losses, nine and a half, even against these
- 43:25Speaker 1: Saints would be absurd, even though it is in New Orleans,
- 43:29Speaker 1: I would take that. I do not want to take
- 43:31Speaker 1: the Packers against San Francisco. I just don't want that.
- 43:36Speaker 1: But I've given you more than I've ever given you
- 43:38Speaker 1: half and I think I'm okay. You rolled over, rolled
- 43:41Speaker 1: over nicely. Okay, Let's bring in Simon and now a
- 43:48Speaker 1: word from a wise guy with Simon Hunter, Simon, I've
- 43:56Speaker 1: set the stage. I let the world know Darren is
- 43:59Speaker 1: back on the show this way. But then in two
- 44:01Speaker 1: of the past three weeks, we've had winning records, and
- 44:03Speaker 1: it happened to coincide with when he wasn't on the show,
- 44:06Speaker 1: and the one week we lost was when he was
- 44:08Speaker 1: on the show, and then and then he and then
- 44:11Speaker 1: he proceeded to look at my five picks and say
- 44:15Speaker 1: no to all of them. So it's like I'm not
- 44:20Speaker 1: even on there. I'm actually not on the show, Simon.
- 44:23Speaker 1: I'm not technically I'm not on the show. I'm not
- 44:25Speaker 1: doing what we're doing, which is selecting team. I'm not
- 44:27Speaker 1: doing that. Well, you're here to tell us that you
- 44:30Speaker 1: like the Dolphins, right, is correct, Simon, So we definitely
- 44:35Speaker 1: need to change them to the Rebels instead of calling
- 44:37Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins, because I think it's like six weeks
- 44:40Speaker 1: in a round street for me. You are so right, hey, Siling.
- 44:47Speaker 1: By the way, Uh, we have a studio audience in
- 44:51Speaker 1: the on the show today, And by studio audience, I
- 44:54Speaker 1: mean we have one fan who I met about a
- 44:58Speaker 1: year ago. He was a guy who was to the
- 45:00Speaker 1: show and then just emailed me. Not unlike you, Simon.
- 45:03Speaker 1: Oh my god. You guys are like kinship in more
- 45:06Speaker 1: ways than one. Emailed me, cold emailed me. I return
- 45:09Speaker 1: almost to all the emails and tweets that I get.
- 45:11Speaker 1: Um emailed me, want to have a conversation. We had
- 45:14Speaker 1: a conversation. We stayed in touch. He happens to be
- 45:17Speaker 1: in New York. He went to college with our producer
- 45:19Speaker 1: pat uh and emailed me and pats at him in
- 45:21Speaker 1: New York. Can I come by the show? We said, sure.
- 45:24Speaker 1: Royce Hall who also by the way, Simon, he's from
- 45:28Speaker 1: South He's from South Jersey. Good Man, it's always good
- 45:33Speaker 1: people from suctors. And that's what I hear. That's right,
- 45:35Speaker 1: that's right. Say hello to roy Simon. Good How are
- 45:39Speaker 1: you doing so man? So is Darren? Are Darren and
- 45:43Speaker 1: Chad as small as they look on Cameron's person or oh,
- 45:47Speaker 1: don't go small with me. Listen, No, I'm getting five eutes,
- 45:51Speaker 1: average height five average seven seven, Diane. All right, here
- 45:57Speaker 1: we go, Simon, you there, I'm here boys. Here's what
- 46:02Speaker 1: we got so far. We are committed Eagles minus one
- 46:06Speaker 1: and a half, Bills minus four, Panthers plus nine and
- 46:09Speaker 1: a half or ten. Um, I love, I love Eagles.
- 46:15Speaker 1: That's gonna be the sharp play of the week. So
- 46:18Speaker 1: this is this is kind of a funny week where um, like,
- 46:21Speaker 1: I was at the sports book last two weeks on
- 46:23Speaker 1: Sunday and it was empty because the house just cleaned up.
- 46:26Speaker 1: So this week when I go to sports book, it's
- 46:28Speaker 1: gonna be packed. I mean everyone's gonna be back down
- 46:30Speaker 1: in your see because everyone won last week, it was
- 46:32Speaker 1: a nice public week, So this is a This is
- 46:34Speaker 1: definitely a nice week where a lot of these lines
- 46:36Speaker 1: are gonna look off to people and they're gonna think
- 46:38Speaker 1: they're getting good value this week, where it's gonna be
- 46:40Speaker 1: a good week to be a sharp, it's gonna be
- 46:42Speaker 1: a good week to be riding with the book. So
- 46:44Speaker 1: I like that Eagles pick the Carolina. One's funny where
- 46:49Speaker 1: it's a divisional game and we've already seen the Saints
- 46:52Speaker 1: lay eggs with these big lines and divisional games. So
- 46:55Speaker 1: I do like your heads out with the Pantings and
- 46:57Speaker 1: then with the Bills. I still think that the numbers
- 47:00Speaker 1: high like these. I know the records are way different,
- 47:04Speaker 1: like one team seven and three, other ones three and seven, um,
- 47:08Speaker 1: But when I look at this number team, the Bills team,
- 47:10Speaker 1: I think they're honestly the same team. I mean, I
- 47:12Speaker 1: know the home field advantage and they're getting a bump,
- 47:15Speaker 1: but I would honestly stay away from that Bill's line. Interesting,
- 47:19Speaker 1: I could be way off on that. Sometimes my first instinct,
- 47:21Speaker 1: almost always, my first instinct is way off. So okay,
- 47:25Speaker 1: we'll get rid of the Bills. We will stick with
- 47:27Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Panthers. Um, let me throw a
- 47:30Speaker 1: couple more games at you that Darren loved, so we
- 47:32Speaker 1: can cross those off the list and then we can
- 47:34Speaker 1: get on to the other games that we really wanted.
- 47:36Speaker 1: Bet uh, he likes Oakland minus three. I will say this,
- 47:43Speaker 1: I love the Jets in this spot. UM, I honestly would,
- 47:50Speaker 1: honestly would probably go with the Raiders here. I like right.
- 47:54Speaker 1: The only the only thing I don't like about is
- 47:56Speaker 1: it's the same thing with Seattle. It's a West Coast
- 47:59Speaker 1: team compan East playing in the early slot. So that
- 48:02Speaker 1: sounds like I know, there's numbers that back up to
- 48:04Speaker 1: say it's not that big of a deal, but later
- 48:06Speaker 1: in the season like this, that actually is kind of
- 48:08Speaker 1: the bigger of a deal. UM, I would stay away.
- 48:13Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want to back the Jets after
- 48:15Speaker 1: that big win last week. UM, we were talking about
- 48:18Speaker 1: here how the Redskins like we don't want to put
- 48:20Speaker 1: them in, and it just felt like a weird spot
- 48:22Speaker 1: where you couldn't really get a good read on the
- 48:23Speaker 1: Jets or the Redskins, and the Jets really came out
- 48:26Speaker 1: and and just crushed them. This is a nice little
- 48:29Speaker 1: left down spot for the Jets. So I mean, can
- 48:31Speaker 1: I sell you some Lamar Jackson anywhere in the country,
- 48:34Speaker 1: any game on the road at the Colisseum? Who cares?
- 48:38Speaker 1: Can I sell you some of him? Well? Thank god?
- 48:42Speaker 1: I came in yet last week and I was just like, guys,
- 48:45Speaker 1: we just can we just not go against Lamar again?
- 48:47Speaker 1: And we switched out the Texans, thank god. But this
- 48:51Speaker 1: is this is one of those spots where I get
- 48:53Speaker 1: why you love him. He's the m v P of
- 48:55Speaker 1: the league, but as a gambler, I have to be
- 48:57Speaker 1: on the ramps here. This is just a great, great
- 49:00Speaker 1: spot where the Ravens loose. But I can't. I can't
- 49:05Speaker 1: give you all the reasons why. But this is this
- 49:08Speaker 1: is the reason. This is one of these games where
- 49:10Speaker 1: he comes in with all the hypees, the MVP of
- 49:12Speaker 1: the league, and they just don't. They don't cover this game,
- 49:15Speaker 1: maybe even win by Philbill, but the line is probably
- 49:17Speaker 1: gonna close up four. So that's why I wouldn't take that.
- 49:19Speaker 1: I love the Rams in this spot. Yeah, you gotta
- 49:22Speaker 1: love the Rams on the spot. Do you love them
- 49:24Speaker 1: enough to put him in? No? No? I mean, if
- 49:30Speaker 1: like they're Sharper Sharper lines. I like, um and that
- 49:33Speaker 1: with like a good a good sharp line this week, UM,
- 49:36Speaker 1: just because people saw them thories like how awful Pittsburgh looked.
- 49:39Speaker 1: I like Pittsburgh. That's since it's Pittsburgh. They're five five
- 49:43Speaker 1: planet oh intent team and this is there. They gotta
- 49:46Speaker 1: they gotta win big here, they gotta make a playoff push.
- 49:48Speaker 1: This team still believes in themselves. And and since he
- 49:51Speaker 1: that was, I don't know how they didn't beat Oakland.
- 49:53Speaker 1: Oakland played absolutely horrible and they still lost by seven.
- 49:58Speaker 1: So I just think the Bengals are team that's just quit.
- 50:00Speaker 1: And they covered last week, so I think it's a
- 50:02Speaker 1: good week ago Again, since you want you want us
- 50:04Speaker 1: to put a road favorite of a touchdown or more,
- 50:08Speaker 1: getting eighty percent of the money into the super contest,
- 50:14Speaker 1: I mean, I get what you're saying, Like I don't
- 50:16Speaker 1: play percentages like that, so like I mean, I know
- 50:18Speaker 1: you mean so we can stay away, I guess from Pittsburgh.
- 50:20Speaker 1: But the eight percent of the money, that's a lot
- 50:22Speaker 1: of sharp money. That's just not Joe public money. You
- 50:24Speaker 1: know what, you know what, you know what. I'm willing
- 50:27Speaker 1: to go with it. Like sometimes you've got to go
- 50:29Speaker 1: against your instincts. I've lost this thing every year. I'm
- 50:31Speaker 1: winning this year. So I feel like we cracked thirty.
- 50:36Speaker 1: I'm pretty I'm pretty excited where we're heading run. We
- 50:38Speaker 1: already cracked thirty before week twelve, so we got thirty
- 50:40Speaker 1: wins right now going in, so we're doing good. Thirty wins.
- 50:42Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't have any place, but I
- 50:44Speaker 1: don't know if any idea of what place we're in.
- 50:45Speaker 1: I've like assiduously of we're looking. I'm not looking at
- 50:49Speaker 1: the end of the year, we're doing the money or
- 50:51Speaker 1: we're not. It's not going to impact, like my choice
- 50:54Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh. All right, let's take Pittsburgh. So we got
- 50:56Speaker 1: the Eagles minus one and a half, the Panthers plus
- 50:58Speaker 1: nine and a half or ten Pittsburgh minus seven. Give
- 51:02Speaker 1: me another sharp line. You're looking at Simon. You're gonna
- 51:06Speaker 1: hate it. And I know I already know that. Um
- 51:13Speaker 1: just said the masses would like would scold us. We
- 51:15Speaker 1: did again, but you have to love the Buccaneers here.
- 51:18Speaker 1: But we can't do it. I know we can't do
- 51:21Speaker 1: is thank you next? You know what, as Ariniana Grande says,
- 51:26Speaker 1: thank you next, how do you guys feel? And it's
- 51:31Speaker 1: it's it's a no, no, no, you can't do mine.
- 51:34Speaker 1: It's an ugly spot. But do you guys like the Patriots?
- 51:39Speaker 1: I do? Um, I'm I'm actually I do like the Patriots.
- 51:43Speaker 1: I'm actually hoping the number goes lower. I'm hoping, like
- 51:45Speaker 1: when the lines are posted it's at six, not six
- 51:47Speaker 1: and a half. You're right, I would love it at six.
- 51:50Speaker 1: I do in my system. I got this at seven,
- 51:52Speaker 1: so we're not getting crazy value. But this is just
- 51:56Speaker 1: such a I mean, no one likes the Patriots. They
- 51:59Speaker 1: look horrible. The Eagles did everything that could to lose
- 52:01Speaker 1: and not cover that game. So I do like the
- 52:04Speaker 1: Patriots bouncing back here? Damon? What do you think of that? Like?
- 52:08Speaker 1: I like the Patriots? All right? Eagles minus one and
- 52:10Speaker 1: a half, Pittsburgh minus seven, Pats minus six and a half,
- 52:13Speaker 1: Panthers plus ten. We got one more game. We gotta choose.
- 52:19Speaker 1: We're not fucking taking Oakland. And you guys said you
- 52:26Speaker 1: like San frances I do. I don't, so you don't. Yeah,
- 52:34Speaker 1: that's it makes you a little word because it is
- 52:36Speaker 1: prime time and uh, everything we've seen from Jimmy g
- 52:40Speaker 1: he hasn't looked good in Prime TWN, like that that
- 52:42Speaker 1: Seahawks game. He was terrible on the Monday night. Um, okay,
- 52:47Speaker 1: I do like that. I do like the forty Niners there.
- 52:50Speaker 1: Um how about Jacksonville plus three in Tennessee. That's a
- 52:57Speaker 1: waste of a game. We only laugh. I know, I know.
- 53:02Speaker 1: I mean, do you want to do the Thursday Night?
- 53:04Speaker 1: You guys want to take the Colds tonight on on Thursday,
- 53:08Speaker 1: Let's take the Niners. Okay, Oh, I'll take the night.
- 53:15Speaker 1: So we got a lot of chalk here. We got
- 53:18Speaker 1: the Eagles minus Yeah, Eagles minus four and a half,
- 53:21Speaker 1: Pats minus six and a half, Pittsburgh minus seven, the
- 53:25Speaker 1: Niners minus nine and a half, and the Panthers or
- 53:27Speaker 1: minus three and a half. In the Panthers plus nine
- 53:29Speaker 1: and a half or ten Maybe I like it, mine,
- 53:35Speaker 1: I like mine. I like it. I like it. If
- 53:38Speaker 1: they feel like winners, I know, it's real chalk. And
- 53:40Speaker 1: we did chalk last week. But we went three and two,
- 53:42Speaker 1: so we're staying the course. We are gonna win some money. Boys,
- 53:47Speaker 1: Let's go. Simon Hunter, professional better from South Jersey who
- 53:52Speaker 1: emailed who DM me once? And now he is talking
- 53:55Speaker 1: to Royce Hall from South Jersey who emailed me once
- 53:59Speaker 1: in his studio audience. That's what we do here at
- 54:02Speaker 1: the Favorites. We bring people together. Dan revel as always
- 54:05Speaker 1: go read his latest story on the Parley Heat or
- 54:08Speaker 1: that has one of guys six dollars. Read Action Network
- 54:11Speaker 1: dot Com, download the Action Network Gap, don't forget favor
- 54:13Speaker 1: Revel points. Bet it will be the Packers Niners this week.
- 54:17Speaker 1: And if you are on the opposite side of Revel
- 54:19Speaker 1: he's going to announce his choice tomorrow, but you'll probably
- 54:21Speaker 1: get an idea. Listen to this podcast. He's going to
- 54:23Speaker 1: have to do something so painful if he loses. We
- 54:26Speaker 1: all got to be rooting the other side. This has
- 54:28Speaker 1: been The Favorites from the Action Network. Download the podcast
- 54:33Speaker 1: at iTunes or anywhere you get your Apple podcast from
- 54:36Speaker 1: Radio dot com search for the Favorites, or anywhere else.
- 54:39Speaker 1: Until next time, I Love you,