Latest / The Kenny Report / The Kenny Report | 28 October
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Love from the Skying New Center. This is the Kenny Report.
- 0:06Speaker 1: Welcome to another week on the Kenny Report Tonight, the
- 0:09Speaker 1: lessons out of Queensland for the alb and Easy Labor
- 0:11Speaker 1: government and why the Big lnp win is encouraging for
- 0:15Speaker 1: Peter Dutton and the coalition. Also how the counting on
- 0:18Speaker 1: election night distorts first impressions and why the system might
- 0:23Speaker 1: need to change. And Broken Hill is sprooped as a
- 0:27Speaker 1: renewable energy hub supported by wind Solar and the Big Battery,
- 0:32Speaker 1: So why has that city been left in the dark.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Dick Smith joins me. Dave Sharma will also help us
- 0:39Speaker 1: pick unpicked, the Israeli strike on Iran and what we
- 0:42Speaker 1: should expect next. Brilliant US author Robert Kaplan will discuss
- 0:46Speaker 1: how leaders should deal with matters of diplomacy and war.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Plus gem and Ton Uni and Caroline A. Russo on
- 0:53Speaker 1: Albo's Quantus Freebies and Sophie Illsworth on media. Let's get started. Look,
- 1:01Speaker 1: we've all known that Stephen Miles was a clown. He
- 1:04Speaker 1: ended up being Labor Premier for less than a year.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Miles was a former union official who did his PhD
- 1:10Speaker 1: on unionism and he served as Health Minister and Deputy
- 1:14Speaker 1: Premier and then Premier, But he leaves Queensland with a
- 1:17Speaker 1: mountain of debt and a huge juvenile crime problem, while
- 1:21Speaker 1: he leaves the rest of us bemused by his giggling
- 1:24Speaker 1: and bizarre performances.
- 1:31Speaker 2: The absence of any reference to youth crime in your
- 1:33Speaker 2: speech to the Queensland Media Club would have been by
- 1:38Speaker 2: more than a few, including the people of those communities. Premier,
- 1:40Speaker 2: I'm sure you can see.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Given what we've come to see now, I guess it's
- 1:52Speaker 1: only fitting that Miles spent his last night as Premier
- 1:56Speaker 1: again denying reality.
- 1:58Speaker 3: Watching the results to it is clear that that hasn't
- 2:02Speaker 3: been enough to secure a majority of seats for Labor,
- 2:07Speaker 3: and also that the LMP is unlikely to have a majority.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Really, that was ridiculous at the time, and he is
- 2:18Speaker 1: exposed as delusional now. Of course, Labor will end up
- 2:21Speaker 1: losing about sixteen seats and the LMP will have a
- 2:24Speaker 1: healthy majority with a few more seats than Labor held Tonight.
- 2:29Speaker 4: Queenslanders have voted for hope over fear, they have voted
- 2:38Speaker 4: for a fresh start, and they have voted for a
- 2:42Speaker 4: majority LMP government.
- 2:47Speaker 1: David christof fully won a resounding victory, resistant calls for
- 2:51Speaker 1: a more radical agenda. He took a modest plan to
- 2:54Speaker 1: the people, with a clear focus on law and order,
- 2:57Speaker 1: and he ran a pretty uneventful and low risk campaign.
- 3:01Speaker 1: He's already sticking by his anti nuke policy that puts
- 3:05Speaker 1: him at odds with fellow Queenslander Peter Dutton.
- 3:09Speaker 5: So just a yes or no, that's you seem pretty
- 3:11Speaker 5: definitive no nuclear power under your government.
- 3:14Speaker 4: Well, James, it was no before the election and it's
- 3:17Speaker 4: no afterright. But that's but I think that's what people
- 3:20Speaker 4: want to see from me now. That doesn't mean that
- 3:22Speaker 4: I won't be respectful in the way that I discussed
- 3:25Speaker 4: that and I want to reset the relationship with Canberra
- 3:30Speaker 4: to one of respect but also being forceful and putting
- 3:34Speaker 4: forward our point of view. And I will do that
- 3:36Speaker 4: whether or not mister Albinezi is there or mister Dutton
- 3:38Speaker 4: is there.
- 3:40Speaker 1: Well, what else could he say on day one? I
- 3:42Speaker 1: guess if Dutton and the Coalition can win federally then
- 3:46Speaker 1: it will be time to revisit that topic. The trouble
- 3:49Speaker 1: is that in the meantime this policy difference will be
- 3:52Speaker 1: used to undermine the coalition nuclear plan. But there's good
- 3:56Speaker 1: news for Dutton in this result too. It shows Labor
- 3:59Speaker 1: on the nose in the crucial state of Queensland, and
- 4:03Speaker 1: it demonstrates that when there's a proper contest between the
- 4:06Speaker 1: two major parties, then the minor parties can fall by
- 4:09Speaker 1: the wayside, with the Greens going backwards and the other
- 4:12Speaker 1: minor parties failing to make an impact. Dutton has sharpened
- 4:16Speaker 1: the choice between the Coalition and Labor federally, and the
- 4:20Speaker 1: polarized electorate just might mean fewer voters turning to the
- 4:24Speaker 1: Greens and the Teals crucially, which can only be a
- 4:28Speaker 1: good thing for the Coalition.
- 4:30Speaker 5: The lessons are that if you treat people with contempt,
- 4:34Speaker 5: if you run up huge debt, you mismanage the economy,
- 4:38Speaker 5: you create a cost of living crisis, you can expect
- 4:42Speaker 5: for the electric to punish you.
- 4:43Speaker 1: And that's exactly what happened in Queensland.
- 4:45Speaker 5: I think it's what's going to happen in a federal
- 4:46Speaker 5: level as well, because the Prime Minister has promised a
- 4:49Speaker 5: lot for Australians and he's delivered nothing.
- 4:52Speaker 1: Speaking of Anthony Alberonizi, he's been busy again on social
- 4:56Speaker 1: media with his hip pocket spill borrowed from the u
- 5:00Speaker 1: US and Joe Biden.
- 5:02Speaker 6: This flat white costs five dollars and this one costs
- 5:06Speaker 6: five dollars and ten cents. Why because this one was
- 5:10Speaker 6: paid for with cash and this one was paid for
- 5:14Speaker 6: with card.
- 5:15Speaker 1: It's not fair.
- 5:16Speaker 6: These excessive card surch charges just aren't right, and over
- 5:20Speaker 6: the course of a year it adds up. So we're
- 5:23Speaker 6: preparing to ban the search chargers on debit cards.
- 5:27Speaker 7: Okay, so all of this stuff that I've gathered here
- 5:29Speaker 7: on this tatum used to be bigger.
- 5:31Speaker 6: Yep, you're not imagining it. Companies really are shrinking products
- 5:36Speaker 6: to charge you more for less. We're cracking down on
- 5:39Speaker 6: it with fines for supermarkets doing the wrong thing. That
- 5:42Speaker 6: way you'll know you're getting good value when you buy.
- 5:47Speaker 1: Yep, you're not imagining it. He's the incredible shrinking Prime
- 5:51Speaker 1: Minister and now he's seen firsthand how the labor vote
- 5:55Speaker 1: has shrunk in Queensland. He's also desperately trying to explain
- 5:59Speaker 1: why it was okay for him to bring the former
- 6:01Speaker 1: Quantity CEO for a handout for freebies when he felt
- 6:05Speaker 1: like it. It's going to be a rocky ride to
- 6:08Speaker 1: the federal election about six months away. One takeout from
- 6:15Speaker 1: the election on Saturday night was the voting and counting
- 6:18Speaker 1: system and how it impacts on assessing the result and
- 6:21Speaker 1: setting the tone for the winners and the losers. This
- 6:24Speaker 1: is not just a matter for Queensland but also for
- 6:27Speaker 1: all the other state elections and increasingly federal elections. Early
- 6:31Speaker 1: voting is on the rise, taking early voting and postal
- 6:34Speaker 1: votes together. More than half of all the votes were
- 6:37Speaker 1: cast before polling day in Queensland. Now, first up, I
- 6:41Speaker 1: reckon that's an issue. Election day is less important now
- 6:45Speaker 1: and half the votes are being cast before the final
- 6:47Speaker 1: policies are declared and before costings are revealed. Perhaps early
- 6:52Speaker 1: voting needs to be curtailed to the final week, perhaps,
- 6:56Speaker 1: and maybe costings need to be revealed earlier. We've got
- 6:59Speaker 1: to have a discussion about all of that, but either way,
- 7:03Speaker 1: we've got to do something about the way votes accounted.
- 7:06Speaker 1: We're getting results later and later now, with the early
- 7:09Speaker 1: discussion on election night not really reflecting the reality.
- 7:13Speaker 8: But there are enough.
- 7:14Speaker 9: When you go through the map per se, we will
- 7:16Speaker 9: not see a majority from Labor and when we go
- 7:20Speaker 9: as well to what we've been looking at previously in
- 7:22Speaker 9: terms of where things are going to end up. Let's
- 7:25Speaker 9: go back to our pendulum. So at this stage it's
- 7:27Speaker 9: getting out of that labor majority. It is close to
- 7:30Speaker 9: this majority for all and P but not there yet.
- 7:32Speaker 9: And this is going to be a continuing watch. We'll
- 7:34Speaker 9: see they do need an improvement in prepole. We'll keep
- 7:36Speaker 9: going through seats and take them off the board, but
- 7:38Speaker 9: they will need an improvement on prepole to get the majority.
- 7:40Speaker 9: At the moment, they're not ahead in enough seats if
- 7:43Speaker 9: the count stopped now to get majority, but.
- 7:45Speaker 1: They can move ahead. Yeah, this is the situation you
- 7:48Speaker 1: have now, hours into the count. That was great coverage
- 7:51Speaker 1: as ever from Tom Connell. He was the first to
- 7:53Speaker 1: call the result eventually, but as he was explaining there,
- 7:57Speaker 1: hours into the count, we're all left wondering and speculat
- 8:00Speaker 1: lading about the pre polts. This distorted early perception is
- 8:05Speaker 1: happening because despite more than half the votes being cast
- 8:08Speaker 1: before polling day, these early votes aren't counted early in
- 8:11Speaker 1: the night, and for all kinds of reasons, they can
- 8:14Speaker 1: strongly favor one party or the other. Surely these are
- 8:18Speaker 1: the votes that should be counted first, after all, they're
- 8:21Speaker 1: already in the Electoral Commission officers. Maybe they should be
- 8:25Speaker 1: counted before the polls close and added in at the outset,
- 8:29Speaker 1: giving us better information earlier. First impressions matter, And on Saturday,
- 8:34Speaker 1: what should have been seen as a resounding win for
- 8:37Speaker 1: the LMP was characterized as a scrappy performance, edging up
- 8:41Speaker 1: from possible minority government to an eventual majority. In the end,
- 8:46Speaker 1: it was a swing of about seven and a half percent,
- 8:49Speaker 1: a fifty four percent to forty six percent two party
- 8:53Speaker 1: preferred drubbing, leaving the LMP with a majority of six
- 8:57Speaker 1: or more seats, bigger than Labor had. You'd take that
- 9:01Speaker 1: any day of the week. Last Thursday, I warned you
- 9:08Speaker 1: that you'd hear a lot of climate alarmism at the
- 9:10Speaker 1: Commonwealth Heads of Government meeting in Samoa. Remember I showed
- 9:15Speaker 1: you how the Pacific Islands themselves are powered largely by
- 9:18Speaker 1: fossil fuels, some of them to the tune of one
- 9:21Speaker 1: hundred percent. But as you might have heard, leading the
- 9:24Speaker 1: climate catastrophism at Chogham was the reigning monarch, King Charles.
- 9:30Speaker 10: The third further urgent challenge, and one that conditions all
- 9:35Speaker 10: other challenges. As I've done my best to emphasize for
- 9:39Speaker 10: many years, is the existential threat of climate change.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Well he was right about one thing. Charles has been
- 9:48Speaker 1: banging on about this for years.
- 9:51Speaker 11: Global warming, climate change, and the devastating loss of biodiversity
- 9:56Speaker 11: are the greatest threats humanity has ever faced. We have,
- 10:00Speaker 11: i'm afraid, reached a defining moment in human history, a
- 10:04Speaker 11: tipping point at which we still have the ability to
- 10:08Speaker 11: change course, but really only in the next ten years.
- 10:13Speaker 12: And in the last few months we've learnt that the
- 10:15Speaker 12: North Polar ice cap is melting so fast that some
- 10:18Speaker 12: scientists are predicting that in seven years time it will
- 10:23Speaker 12: completely disappear in summer. This is a last chance saloon, literally,
- 10:28Speaker 12: because if we don't really take the decisions that are
- 10:32Speaker 12: vital now, it's going to be forms impossible to catch up.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Arman, it just never stops from this blog. He needs
- 10:39Speaker 1: to read about the Boy who Cried Wolf. Charles has
- 10:43Speaker 1: constantly told us about tipping points and crucial decades and catastrophes,
- 10:48Speaker 1: and when it doesn't happen, he then just moves on
- 10:50Speaker 1: to more tipping points and wild predictions. And like all
- 10:54Speaker 1: the climate alarmis when the polar ice caps don't melt
- 10:57Speaker 1: and the oceans don't rise. They just pretend that what
- 11:01Speaker 1: we're seeing now we've never seen before.
- 11:05Speaker 10: We are well passed believing it is a problem for
- 11:07Speaker 10: the future, since it is already already undermining the development
- 11:13Speaker 10: gains we have long fought for. This year alone, we
- 11:17Speaker 10: have seen terrifying storms of the Caribbean, devastating flooding in
- 11:21Speaker 10: East Africa, and catastrophic wildflowers in Canada. Lives, livelihoods, and
- 11:29Speaker 10: human rights are at risk across the Commonwealth.
- 11:34Speaker 1: Honestly, this stuff is mindless and reckless enough. I mean,
- 11:37Speaker 1: hurricanes are a factive life in the Caribbean, always have
- 11:40Speaker 1: been and always will be. Likewise for floods in Africa
- 11:43Speaker 1: or wildfires in Canada, just like bushfires in Australia. But
- 11:47Speaker 1: more to the point, this stuff is highly political. The
- 11:51Speaker 1: policies related to climate are highly partisan in domestic political systems,
- 11:57Speaker 1: and they're driven by all sorts of agendas in global dela.
- 12:00Speaker 1: So they're not a place for a reigning monarch of Britain,
- 12:04Speaker 1: of Australia, of the Commonwealth. They are no place for
- 12:07Speaker 1: him to indulge his personal political hobbies or predilections give
- 12:12Speaker 1: it a rest, your majesty. Let's catch up now with
- 12:19Speaker 1: Liberal Senator Dave Sharma alive from Sydney. Good to talk
- 12:22Speaker 1: to you, Dave. First up, you'll take out from Queensland,
- 12:26Speaker 1: a results largely expected that a big swing to the LMP,
- 12:30Speaker 1: a comfortable majority government. There are no real surprises there
- 12:34Speaker 1: in it. So do you take anything out of it federally?
- 12:39Speaker 13: Well, I think it was a big swing to the LMPL,
- 12:42Speaker 13: though that wasn't immediately apparent on the night, as you said,
- 12:45Speaker 13: because the way that pre pole and postal votes account.
- 12:48Speaker 13: But I think in the end the result has been
- 12:50Speaker 13: quite decisive. I think the one comfort I took out
- 12:53Speaker 13: of it particularly was the loss in the Greens vote
- 12:57Speaker 13: and the fact that they've sent have lost one seating
- 12:59Speaker 13: under pressure and several others. And I think it shows
- 13:01Speaker 13: you that the sort of extremism and radicalism that's been
- 13:04Speaker 13: embraced by Adam Bann and his fellow travelers is alienating
- 13:08Speaker 13: a lot of Australians who might be environmentally minded but
- 13:10Speaker 13: don't buy into the whole work ideology, demonization of Israel,
- 13:15Speaker 13: that whole agenda that they seem to run out of Canberra.
- 13:18Speaker 1: Yeah, there might be some truth in that, but my
- 13:20Speaker 1: interpretation also is that when there's a compelling choice between
- 13:24Speaker 1: the two major parties, you tend to see the votes
- 13:27Speaker 1: for the minor parties fall away. I'm wondering whether you
- 13:30Speaker 1: see that is encouraging, particularly when you see the tills.
- 13:33Speaker 1: I mean, coming up to this election, there's going to
- 13:35Speaker 1: be some big policy differences between the Coalition and Labor.
- 13:38Speaker 1: We're seeing that already and the more you have that
- 13:41Speaker 1: focus a real contest between Albanezi and Dutton, that maybe
- 13:45Speaker 1: you're hoping that some of the Till vote will fall
- 13:48Speaker 1: aside and you might be able to reclaim some of
- 13:50Speaker 1: those seats.
- 13:53Speaker 8: Well, I think there's some truth in that.
- 13:54Speaker 13: I think David Christoph Foley run a pretty clear campaign.
- 13:59Speaker 13: You're targeting law, order of housing, affordability, cost of living,
- 14:02Speaker 13: and it was quite a point of difference between the
- 14:04Speaker 13: Queensland Labor government, which wanted to spend every dollar of
- 14:07Speaker 13: your money plus some more giving it back to people
- 14:10Speaker 13: who probably didn't need it. It was a big difference
- 14:13Speaker 13: between a fiscally disciplined, law and order focused government and
- 14:17Speaker 13: economically profligate, ill disciplined government. And I think you know
- 14:21Speaker 13: the fact that we're seeing reports that crazily some of
- 14:26Speaker 13: the Murray Ward and other senior labor ministers that says
- 14:28Speaker 13: suggesting that Alberanzi should echo Stephen Miles's policies of giveaways
- 14:34Speaker 13: to everyone and no one left behind is madness, with
- 14:37Speaker 13: good luck to them if they want to go down
- 14:38Speaker 13: that path.
- 14:39Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 14:40Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a different ballgame state politics, and I think
- 14:43Speaker 1: that might have counted against Stephen Miles some of that.
- 14:46Speaker 1: In the end. I want to pick your brains now.
- 14:48Speaker 1: As a former Australian ambassador to Israel on the latest
- 14:51Speaker 1: developments in the Middle East, we were waiting for Israel's
- 14:54Speaker 1: hit back at Iran. It happened, of course, late last week.
- 14:58Speaker 1: It was very targeted. What's your readout of what Israel hit.
- 15:03Speaker 1: It seems to have been a lot of focus on
- 15:05Speaker 1: missile delivery systems.
- 15:09Speaker 13: Well, I think they've taken out the entirety of Iran's
- 15:12Speaker 13: advanced aircraft and missile defense systems, the S three hundred
- 15:16Speaker 13: system which they bought from Russia. They had four batteries.
- 15:19Speaker 13: Israel disabled one and its strike several months ago. It
- 15:22Speaker 13: seems to have taken out the other three. It's also
- 15:25Speaker 13: taken out air defense sites around major petrochemical facilities, ballistic
- 15:30Speaker 13: missile production facilities, energy facilities. So what it's basically done
- 15:36Speaker 13: is Iran will not be able to see Israel coming
- 15:40Speaker 13: the next time and will not be able to respond
- 15:42Speaker 13: to it. They are pretty ineffectual in doing so this
- 15:44Speaker 13: time because of the way Israel mounted this attack, but
- 15:47Speaker 13: they've effectively left all their assets or Israel has rendered
- 15:49Speaker 13: all their assets highly vulnerable to further strikes. And I
- 15:53Speaker 13: think what that should do is put Iran's regime or
- 15:56Speaker 13: notice that they need to draw back, because otherwise they
- 15:59Speaker 13: are risk in quite catastrophic damage. If they're without air
- 16:02Speaker 13: defenses and without radar systems, they're effectively blind to further attacks.
- 16:08Speaker 13: And so I think in that way it's been very clever.
- 16:11Speaker 1: But do you think that Iran will try and hit
- 16:13Speaker 1: back at Israel now or this could be Allah we're
- 16:17Speaker 1: seeing here? Are we likely to see them pull back
- 16:21Speaker 1: the rain on Hiszbala?
- 16:25Speaker 8: I don't think Iran is going to hit back.
- 16:26Speaker 13: If you see what they're Supreme leader Ali Kamenei said
- 16:32Speaker 13: it wasn't the usual promising death and destruction to the enemies.
- 16:36Speaker 8: Iranian state media.
- 16:37Speaker 13: Was trying to sort of show that it was business
- 16:40Speaker 13: as usual, life as normal, trying to downplay the severity
- 16:43Speaker 13: of these attacks and the fact that for Iranian servicemen
- 16:47Speaker 13: were killed but there were no civilian casualties that I'm
- 16:50Speaker 13: aware of. Lessons that need to respond, and I think
- 16:53Speaker 13: Iran will now know that Israel has raised the stakes.
- 16:56Speaker 13: They've crossed a rubicon here. Effectively, they've directly targeted Iran
- 17:00Speaker 13: and owned that targeting. In the past, they've usually done
- 17:03Speaker 13: it through clandestine means or not owning the operation, and
- 17:07Speaker 13: I think they've seen that Israel will be willing to
- 17:09Speaker 13: do this again. So I expect we'll see Iran pull
- 17:12Speaker 13: back from the brink. Whether that extends though to Hazibalah
- 17:15Speaker 13: and Hamas, it's a different question. I'm not sure that
- 17:19Speaker 13: will necessarily translate.
- 17:21Speaker 1: We shall see. Thanks so much for joining us, Dave,
- 17:23Speaker 1: appreciate it. Dave Shama, their Liberal Senator for New South
- 17:26Speaker 1: Wales and former Australian Ambassador to Israel. Now, as you
- 17:30Speaker 1: might have heard, the desert mining city of Broken Hill
- 17:33Speaker 1: in far western New South Wales has been plagued by
- 17:35Speaker 1: blackouts and power shortages for more than ten days since
- 17:39Speaker 1: a storm took out transmission lines. Okay, you can't help
- 17:42Speaker 1: bad luck, can you? But hang on a minute. The
- 17:45Speaker 1: Broken Hill area has been the focus for major renewable
- 17:49Speaker 1: energy installations. There's solar thanks to AGEL, and then there's
- 18:06Speaker 1: wind turbines at nearby Silverton. What we're building out here
- 18:11Speaker 1: is huge, the scale. He's amazing. I'm Adam mckett, promann
- 18:15Speaker 1: energy farmer.
- 18:18Speaker 14: Everyone knows Broken Hill's proud mining history and now it's
- 18:22Speaker 14: a renewable energy hum.
- 18:25Speaker 1: Hundreds of millions of dollars of renewable investment coupled with
- 18:29Speaker 1: a big battery which came with a telling promise. Yeah.
- 18:33Speaker 1: AGL said the battery project would support the reliable supply
- 18:37Speaker 1: of electricity to Broken Hill in the event of line failure,
- 18:42Speaker 1: as well as provide efficient grid support. Yeah. Broken Hill,
- 18:46Speaker 1: the old mining city, was being trumpeted as a futuristic
- 18:50Speaker 1: renewable energy hub. Well, you wouldn't read about it, would you.
- 19:17Speaker 1: They did get line failure. The line from the generators
- 19:21Speaker 1: in the east has been down. But the battery and
- 19:24Speaker 1: the solar factory and the wind turbines, well they haven't
- 19:27Speaker 1: saved Broken Hill. In fact, they've failed to power the
- 19:31Speaker 1: Silver City. Why what happened to all that renewable energy
- 19:35Speaker 1: and multi million dollar storage. In fact, it's been so
- 19:38Speaker 1: bad for renewables there in the past ten days that
- 19:41Speaker 1: people have been asked to disconnect their rooftop solar because
- 19:44Speaker 1: it was destabilizing the network that they were trying to restart.
- 19:49Speaker 1: What on earth is going on? Why isn't Chris Bowen
- 19:52Speaker 1: out there? And if it's this bad in Broken Hill,
- 19:55Speaker 1: now surrounded by solar cells, sunshine, wind turbines and the
- 20:00Speaker 1: big battery, what hope do we have of running the
- 20:03Speaker 1: whole country on this sort of renewables plus storage model.
- 20:10Speaker 1: Joining me now to unpick this is entrepreneur and renewable
- 20:14Speaker 1: energy enthusiast Dick Smith. Thanks for joining us. Dick, good
- 20:17Speaker 1: to see you. You have alerted me to this late
- 20:19Speaker 1: last week. This is extraordinary in simple terms, Why can't
- 20:23Speaker 1: all that solar energy and wind energy be pumped into
- 20:26Speaker 1: Broken Hills?
- 20:27Speaker 7: They generate ten times as much energy than they need
- 20:30Speaker 7: in the small city of Broken Hill. But I was
- 20:32Speaker 7: talking to the mayor last week. He said, once the
- 20:35Speaker 7: power line went out, which was the coal power line
- 20:38Speaker 7: from Victoria, Once that went out, all of the renewables
- 20:41Speaker 7: got turned off, and that's the problem. If you don't
- 20:44Speaker 7: have base load power, don't believe what.
- 20:47Speaker 15: The CSRO says.
- 20:48Speaker 7: It's a lie. If you don't have base load power,
- 20:51Speaker 7: you don't have renewables.
- 20:53Speaker 1: You needed to drive the system to stabilize the stem
- 20:57Speaker 1: on top.
- 20:57Speaker 7: We have an alternating current system that's nanized from Cans
- 21:01Speaker 7: to South Australia and it all runs exactly at the
- 21:05Speaker 7: same speed. Now you start putting in solar and wind.
- 21:10Speaker 7: No one has yet designed an electronic way of stabilizing it.
- 21:14Speaker 7: So the whole thing got turned off for ten days.
- 21:17Speaker 7: They spent forty seven million dollars on the battery, but
- 21:20Speaker 7: that would only power Brokenhill for one hour, so that.
- 21:23Speaker 1: Was pretty useless.
- 21:24Speaker 7: So it's an example of what's going to happen to
- 21:26Speaker 7: the whole of Australia if we believe we can run,
- 21:30Speaker 7: as the CSIRO says, ninety percent of our country on
- 21:33Speaker 7: renewables and storage, it's impossible.
- 21:36Speaker 1: It's analogous to a degree to what happened in South
- 21:40Speaker 1: Australia back in two thousand, exactly the same. It's exactly
- 21:42Speaker 1: once you knocked out that base load power, had all
- 21:47Speaker 1: that renewable energy, all that wind energy available that you
- 21:49Speaker 1: can't restart the system with that. You have to wait
- 21:52Speaker 1: till you've got a gas, gas and coal energy.
- 21:55Speaker 7: Why doesn't the CSOO tell us this is what I
- 21:58Speaker 7: can't get over now. I've been defaming the CSRO for
- 22:02Speaker 7: twelve months now, saying their gen coos report is a lie.
- 22:06Speaker 7: It's completely it's the opposite to the truth. Because they
- 22:09Speaker 7: are saying renewables and storage are cheaper than everything.
- 22:12Speaker 1: I'm saying that's the opposite.
- 22:13Speaker 7: They're so expensive or unaffordable.
- 22:15Speaker 1: Do you know what I think?
- 22:17Speaker 7: There are six directors on the CSO board. Not one
- 22:20Speaker 7: of them has lifted the phone and said, Dick, you're wrong.
- 22:24Speaker 7: Not one of those directors has said to the management,
- 22:27Speaker 7: let's send out a press really saying Dick Smith is wrong.
- 22:31Speaker 1: And Aiden Morrison, like you, has been picking this apart
- 22:34Speaker 1: for independent studies, very meticulous analysis of all this demonstrating
- 22:39Speaker 1: why it's misleading and wrong. And I write about that
- 22:42Speaker 1: and the odds on the weekend. This is a problem.
- 22:44Speaker 1: I want to get your thoughts when I'm on that,
- 22:46Speaker 1: because sure, there's always going to be renewable energy and
- 22:49Speaker 1: we all see the advantages of it, but you need
- 22:51Speaker 1: that baseload, as you say, as this clearly demonstrates in
- 22:55Speaker 1: Broken Hill, So one of the options for the baseload
- 22:58Speaker 1: is a missions free baseload. Being new, you must have
- 23:01Speaker 1: been impressed by what's happening in the US with Microsoft, Amazon,
- 23:05Speaker 1: Oracle and Google all going in big major investments in
- 23:09Speaker 1: nuclear energy.
- 23:10Speaker 7: Yeah, but what I'm worried about is Australia. I'm worried
- 23:12Speaker 7: about our grandchildren and the fact that we're going to delay.
- 23:15Speaker 7: We'll go to nuclear eventually. But let me tell you
- 23:18Speaker 7: a story. I ran some ads in the Australian saying
- 23:21Speaker 7: if we're going to have some arenes, they have to
- 23:22Speaker 7: be nuclear. And my friend said to me, Dick, you're
- 23:25Speaker 7: wasting your money. Labor will never ever accept nuclear. It's
- 23:29Speaker 7: an ideology from the nineteen fifties. It will never accept nuclear.
- 23:32Speaker 7: One day I woke up in the morning and labor
- 23:34Speaker 7: had accepted nuclear.
- 23:35Speaker 1: Why did they do.
- 23:36Speaker 7: That because it was the only answer for the interests
- 23:38Speaker 7: of our country. Now it's the same with nuclear energy,
- 23:42Speaker 7: and I'm really worried. I want the CSOO to redo
- 23:46Speaker 7: their gen cost report and tell the truth this time,
- 23:49Speaker 7: and that is that renewables and battery are so expensive
- 23:54Speaker 7: they are unaffordable.
- 23:55Speaker 1: Well, in fact, they don't do a cost on that.
- 23:57Speaker 1: This is what's laughable about this debate. Find you know,
- 24:00Speaker 1: Labor and other critics of the coalition plan saying coming
- 24:04Speaker 1: up with all sorts of numbers for the total capital
- 24:06Speaker 1: costs of nuclear saying it's unaffordable. They've never put a
- 24:09Speaker 1: total capital cost on the table for this renewables plus
- 24:13Speaker 1: storage model.
- 24:14Speaker 7: And our energy minister recently announced this floating wind farm
- 24:17Speaker 7: off Illawi, which he said it's going to provide powerful
- 24:21Speaker 7: one point five million homes, and the Sydney Morning helld
- 24:24Speaker 7: repeated that, but no one said, but what happens when
- 24:27Speaker 7: the wind's not bowing.
- 24:28Speaker 1: They won't provide powerful even one home.
- 24:31Speaker 7: So you can't run one point five million homes off
- 24:34Speaker 7: intermittent wind power.
- 24:35Speaker 1: It's impossible. It's extraordinary. Thanks so much for being a
- 24:39Speaker 1: voice of reason on this, Dick Smith there and the
- 24:41Speaker 1: people in Broken Hill now are still living through this
- 24:44Speaker 1: renewable energy experiment out there. Don't inflict it on the
- 24:47Speaker 1: whole country. We've got to learn from this now. Don't
- 24:50Speaker 1: go away. We have a breakdown on the other side.
- 24:51Speaker 1: I'll catch up with gem and Toonieni and Caroline drul
- 24:53Speaker 1: So we'll talk about Albow under pressure over how he's
- 24:56Speaker 1: asked Quantus for freebie upgrades, plus Tony Cancels the visa
- 25:01Speaker 1: of controversial right wing US influencer Candice Owns. Let's get
- 25:10Speaker 1: straight into some common sense from our panel, Gematon Uni
- 25:13Speaker 1: from gt Communications and Sky News hosts Caroline der also
- 25:17Speaker 1: both joining us from the wonderful city of Perth this week.
- 25:20Speaker 1: I gat to talk to you, hey. I want to
- 25:22Speaker 1: first off get your thoughts about what was happening on
- 25:24Speaker 1: the other side of the country and the election result
- 25:26Speaker 1: in Queensland. Caroline, very emphatic win for christ Fully in
- 25:30Speaker 1: the end, I don't know what all the critics could
- 25:33Speaker 1: have been complaining about, right.
- 25:36Speaker 16: Oh well, people always want more and things in politics.
- 25:40Speaker 16: I guess that you know, they're never as good and
- 25:41Speaker 16: they're never as bad as they seen. But I think
- 25:44Speaker 16: my understanding is the counting on the night was a
- 25:46Speaker 16: little bit slow, but the LMP did very very well
- 25:51Speaker 16: in pre poles and postals and I did have a
- 25:55Speaker 16: little dig into some of those seats and some of
- 25:58Speaker 16: the difference on prepole and postals was up to between
- 26:01Speaker 16: nine and even up to fourteen percent difference in that primary,
- 26:04Speaker 16: So there has definitely been better numbers going in the
- 26:08Speaker 16: way of LMP and some of that later counting. Look,
- 26:12Speaker 16: I think it's I think it's pretty much to be expected.
- 26:16Speaker 16: You know, it was you know, this whole idea of
- 26:19Speaker 16: all the baseball's baseball bats are out and everyone's going
- 26:22Speaker 16: to end up in a burna. I mean, those sorts
- 26:24Speaker 16: of things very rarely ever happen. But I think if
- 26:27Speaker 16: you look at if you look at the sentiment on
- 26:29Speaker 16: the ground, you look where those seats were one, particularly
- 26:32Speaker 16: of those regional seats where you had big youth crime issues,
- 26:36Speaker 16: you did see them turn and they went and voted early.
- 26:40Speaker 16: So that was very very interesting.
- 26:41Speaker 1: I thought, what I loved about Christoph fully is he's saying, basically,
- 26:44Speaker 1: I will be accountable for the youth crime rate and
- 26:47Speaker 1: forgetting the numbers of victims down, otherwise, you know, finish
- 26:49Speaker 1: me off for next time. He's going to have to
- 26:52Speaker 1: deliver on that. Let's just have a look at a
- 26:53Speaker 1: little bit to what he said today. After being sworn
- 26:56Speaker 1: in as premier.
- 26:58Speaker 4: We campaigned on the issues that people told us they
- 27:01Speaker 4: wanted us focused on youth crime, health, housing and cost
- 27:05Speaker 4: of living. They remain our focus.
- 27:07Speaker 1: That's going to be.
- 27:10Speaker 4: Our big focus in this term of government, to make
- 27:13Speaker 4: sure that people see improvement across those four issues.
- 27:17Speaker 1: Yeah, Jemma, He's determined to say this is what we're
- 27:19Speaker 1: going to do, and we're not going to bite off
- 27:21Speaker 1: more than we can chew. He sort of wants to
- 27:22Speaker 1: be the anti Campbell newman. If you like to make
- 27:24Speaker 1: sure that he can deliver on it and hopefully get
- 27:27Speaker 1: a second term.
- 27:30Speaker 17: Well that's just sensible, isn't it. Like you talk to
- 27:32Speaker 17: anyone who lives in the real economy and lives in
- 27:34Speaker 17: corporate life. If you over promise and under deliver, that's
- 27:39Speaker 17: the end of you, whereas the reverse is a pretty
- 27:42Speaker 17: sure far way to build long and lasting relationships that
- 27:45Speaker 17: deliver value. I think watching this play out, and despite
- 27:50Speaker 17: what it might appear, I'm actually not politically plugged in.
- 27:52Speaker 17: I'm not a member of a party, as we've discussed
- 27:55Speaker 17: on this show many many times, Chris, but it is
- 27:59Speaker 17: it is to coin one of my favorite Australian vernaculars,
- 28:02Speaker 17: the vibe of the thing. It was time and even
- 28:07Speaker 17: the much reported speech of former Premier Miles on election
- 28:11Speaker 17: night was just a really powerful, I think, indicator of
- 28:15Speaker 17: just how contemptuous that government was to the voters of Queensland,
- 28:19Speaker 17: and they repaid him.
- 28:21Speaker 1: I have to share a moment when you mentioned that
- 28:24Speaker 1: I was riding a bike along Lake Burley Griffin on
- 28:27Speaker 1: the weekend with my young boys and my twelve year old.
- 28:30Speaker 1: I think you've both met there. Certainly Jemma has met
- 28:33Speaker 1: my twelve year old. I stopped at the back of
- 28:35Speaker 1: the High Court building and wondered if he'd recognized I said,
- 28:37Speaker 1: what phrase comes to your mind when you look at
- 28:39Speaker 1: that building? And he recognized it all right. He looked
- 28:41Speaker 1: at me and says, it's the vibe of a thie.
- 28:44Speaker 1: I'm very very proud, very very proud of him.
- 28:47Speaker 17: Yeah right, smart, He's a smart kid.
- 28:49Speaker 1: Aarkue that now very quickly before we move on to
- 28:52Speaker 1: other topics. Are you guys into the early voting. I
- 28:55Speaker 1: like to turn up on the day, get the vibe
- 28:57Speaker 1: and get the sausage sizzle and do it that way you, Jemma.
- 29:02Speaker 17: I am all about convenience, Chris, so I will vote
- 29:05Speaker 17: as early as I am legally allowed to vote and
- 29:08Speaker 17: cheer for the sausage democracy on the day as.
- 29:10Speaker 1: I walked past, what about you, Caroline lined up?
- 29:15Speaker 16: I can do either a bit like Jim. You know,
- 29:17Speaker 16: for me, it's it's convenience, and particularly obviously where I'm
- 29:21Speaker 16: at involved in organizational politics, election day can be incredibly busy,
- 29:27Speaker 16: so you know, God forbid I ever forgot to vote.
- 29:30Speaker 16: So if I can do it beforehand, I'm just hating forehand,
- 29:35Speaker 16: I will.
- 29:36Speaker 1: I'm just hating what it's doing to the count I
- 29:38Speaker 1: want the result as early as possible, and I reckon
- 29:41Speaker 1: it's really flavoring a lot of the commentary around it.
- 29:43Speaker 1: But anyway, we'll keep on that case as the elections
- 29:46Speaker 1: loom up. Let's have a look now though, I want
- 29:48Speaker 1: to talk about Albow and quantas. This is an extraordinary
- 29:51Speaker 1: story in many ways, and Cameron Reddin from Sky News
- 29:54Speaker 1: Canberra Bureau summed it up nicely.
- 29:56Speaker 18: For us friends in high places can't explain it lot
- 30:00Speaker 18: to revelations Anthony Alberanze had a direct line to the
- 30:04Speaker 18: then Quantus boss Alan Joyce, which he would use to
- 30:07Speaker 18: secure guaranteed flight upgrades on personal travel have him as
- 30:11Speaker 18: an outlier in Federal Parliament.
- 30:13Speaker 1: I didn't have that sort of relationship with Alan Joyce.
- 30:16Speaker 2: I certainly do not ring Alan Joyce.
- 30:18Speaker 16: No, I don't have the quantus CEO's number in my phone.
- 30:23Speaker 18: The upgrades from economy to business or first class were
- 30:26Speaker 18: granted during his time as a Transport minister in the
- 30:30Speaker 18: last Labor government, even as leader of the opposition, over
- 30:33Speaker 18: the course of a decade.
- 30:36Speaker 1: Jemma, this is extraordinary. It's one thing to accept an
- 30:38Speaker 1: upgrade when it comes your way, but when you're ringing
- 30:41Speaker 1: the CEO asking for it and you're the Transport minister,
- 30:45Speaker 1: there's such a direct conflict. This is crook.
- 30:51Speaker 17: Do you know that the extraordinary thing about the Prime
- 30:54Speaker 17: Minister's response to this is so reflective of every area
- 30:58Speaker 17: of his failure in leadership over the past period of time.
- 31:01Speaker 17: It's not that you declared him declared them, as he
- 31:04Speaker 17: says that he has, and there's certainly no proof to
- 31:06Speaker 17: the contrary. It's how you went about it, Prime Minister.
- 31:10Speaker 17: They weren't offered, and you went, oh, you don't have to,
- 31:12Speaker 17: but thanks so much. You got on the phone and
- 31:15Speaker 17: you said, oh, mate, do a bloke a favor.
- 31:17Speaker 1: It's unbelievable. What it's the how exactly the.
- 31:21Speaker 17: Fact that he doesn't see that and in corporate life.
- 31:24Speaker 17: Let me tell you right now that kind of conflict
- 31:27Speaker 17: of interest would more than likely be the end of you.
- 31:30Speaker 17: It is an extraordinary double standard, and it is this
- 31:33Speaker 17: failure of leadership and recognition that I'm going to make it.
- 31:38Speaker 17: I'm going to make a big call, Chris. I think
- 31:39Speaker 17: it's the end of this government. I think it's one
- 31:41Speaker 17: of the going to be one of the final nails
- 31:42Speaker 17: in the coffin. Because everybody else I know is doing
- 31:45Speaker 17: their budgets hard, watching every penny and this mob unbelievable.
- 31:51Speaker 1: Well, let me show you how it affects all the
- 31:53Speaker 1: rest of them too. Obviously the main focus is on OLBO,
- 31:55Speaker 1: but have a look at Bill Shorten, near the previous
- 31:58Speaker 1: labor leader, and see how he tries to dismiss this.
- 32:02Speaker 1: I don't know if you're sort of suggesting a transport
- 32:04Speaker 1: minister shouldn't catch aeroplanes and the said should hitchhike up
- 32:08Speaker 1: to hum Highway. I don't think that's realistic. Talk about
- 32:11Speaker 1: a diversion there, Caroline, you know, just ridiculous.
- 32:15Speaker 16: Absolutely absolutely.
- 32:17Speaker 7: Well.
- 32:17Speaker 16: Firstly, you know, like with anything, never get between a
- 32:21Speaker 16: socialist and a free beat, right, But it all comes
- 32:24Speaker 16: down to it all comes down to judgment. It's like
- 32:28Speaker 16: that incident earlier in the year where I think it
- 32:31Speaker 16: was Albert maybe Richard Males, where they had so much
- 32:34Speaker 16: of so much entourage that they couldn't fit into one
- 32:37Speaker 16: chartered plane, so they took two chartered planes which left
- 32:40Speaker 16: twenty six minutes apart. Are they entitled to do that, Yes,
- 32:45Speaker 16: it appears they are.
- 32:46Speaker 1: Does it look good?
- 32:48Speaker 16: No, no it doesn't. And you know what, sometimes just
- 32:51Speaker 16: because you can do things, you shouldn't do things. It's
- 32:54Speaker 16: like I call it the pedal pusher theory. Like just
- 32:57Speaker 16: some people can get away with wearing pedal pushes, some
- 33:00Speaker 16: people can't get away with wearing pedal pushes. I'm one
- 33:03Speaker 16: of those people who can't get away with wearing little bushes.
- 33:06Speaker 16: So even if they don't fit they do fit me,
- 33:08Speaker 16: I still.
- 33:08Speaker 1: Don't wear them, just so I can be on the
- 33:14Speaker 1: on the joke. What's a pedal pusher. It's a pair
- 33:17Speaker 1: of pants.
- 33:18Speaker 17: It's like crops, ladies pans, typically a nice cotton or
- 33:21Speaker 17: a linen. They're very good in the summer. I don't
- 33:22Speaker 17: think Caroline's being fairs.
- 33:27Speaker 16: Mid shin anything.
- 33:29Speaker 1: All right, all right, I'm with you. The short trousers.
- 33:32Speaker 1: I'm sorry to display my ignorance. Let's let's go on
- 33:35Speaker 1: to another topic. I want to talk about Candice O
- 33:38Speaker 1: on the American Commentator. I'm going to say, back during
- 33:41Speaker 1: the Black Lives Movement protests and whatever, I thought, she
- 33:45Speaker 1: was a fantastic voice of sensible conservatism in the US.
- 33:48Speaker 1: Have a look at this.
- 33:50Speaker 19: We buy a T shirt to actually do something that
- 33:53Speaker 19: was inclusive, to say, actually, wait, Americans, you are allowed
- 33:56Speaker 19: to be a part of this too, because literally, all
- 33:59Speaker 19: lives matter, and in fact, no lives have been mattering.
- 34:02Speaker 19: Black Americans are suffering as a result because of Black
- 34:04Speaker 19: Lives Matter. We know that their neighborhoods have been rioted
- 34:07Speaker 19: in inner city communities and the businesses are moving out
- 34:09Speaker 19: of there. The results of Black Lives Matter has been
- 34:11Speaker 19: white supremacy, assuming that Black Americans were stupid and emotional
- 34:15Speaker 19: and would loot and riot their own communities to fill
- 34:18Speaker 19: a false narrative about policing. And so we got to
- 34:21Speaker 19: say all of that by wearing.
- 34:23Speaker 7: One T shirt.
- 34:24Speaker 1: All right, So she was a strong conservative voice and
- 34:27Speaker 1: obviously very powerful on these rice issues in the US,
- 34:30Speaker 1: But all of light, she's gone old loopy and Andy Semitic.
- 34:34Speaker 1: Have a look at this.
- 34:35Speaker 20: Catholics and Christians were going missing on Passover. Then they
- 34:40Speaker 20: would find bodies, okay, across Europe, and they were able
- 34:44Speaker 20: to trace them back to Jews, blood lebel.
- 34:47Speaker 19: They weren't Jews, okay, these were Frankests.
- 34:49Speaker 20: Unless the nation of Israel may have been established by
- 34:53Speaker 20: some Frankists.
- 34:55Speaker 1: Okay. So she was due to come to Australia for
- 34:57Speaker 1: speaking to a Caroline, but the the Labor Party is
- 35:01Speaker 1: knocked back her visa. She's not coming here band on
- 35:03Speaker 1: character grounds. The Coalition agrees with that decision. Is it
- 35:07Speaker 1: the right move? Should she be banned or just debated?
- 35:14Speaker 16: Well, it's one of those things. Like personally, and I've
- 35:16Speaker 16: said this on this show many times, I am very much,
- 35:21Speaker 16: you know, as much of a free speech absolutist as
- 35:24Speaker 16: you can be. I like to know where the morons
- 35:27Speaker 16: are in clear sight, right in front of me. Obviously,
- 35:30Speaker 16: with the exception of inciting violence and that sort of thing.
- 35:34Speaker 16: I understand that she has gone a little bit, let's
- 35:36Speaker 16: just call it off the rails recently. I'm not across
- 35:39Speaker 16: what she says. I don't watch her, I don't follow her.
- 35:42Speaker 16: If she has said anything that is that does go
- 35:45Speaker 16: into that insiding of violence. I do have an issue
- 35:48Speaker 16: with that, but I do equally we need to be
- 35:51Speaker 16: a bit careful about these sorts of things, about picking
- 35:54Speaker 16: and choosing which opinions we do like and which we
- 35:57Speaker 16: do want to hear. I think, you know, if we
- 36:00Speaker 16: can debate views, that is always the preferred approach in
- 36:04Speaker 16: my view. On this one in particular, I don't know
- 36:06Speaker 16: enough about her to.
- 36:07Speaker 1: Call it just quickly, Jimmy. What strikes me is there
- 36:10Speaker 1: means so many anti anti Israel, anti Semitic hate preachers
- 36:15Speaker 1: who have been allowed into this country on all sorts
- 36:17Speaker 1: of visas. This is a new toughness that will be
- 36:19Speaker 1: applied to them as well, I would hope so. Or
- 36:22Speaker 1: is it only because she's from the far right rather
- 36:24Speaker 1: than from the Islamist left?
- 36:27Speaker 17: If you like, well you just read my mind, Chris.
- 36:32Speaker 17: I like Caroline, I sort of. In fact, I said
- 36:34Speaker 17: to Caroline the other day, what's happened to this woman?
- 36:36Speaker 17: I used to think she was reasonably sensible, and now
- 36:38Speaker 17: she seems to be slightly off pieced. But I would
- 36:42Speaker 17: like to see the federal government using the laws that
- 36:44Speaker 17: are available to it already to tackle the regular documented
- 36:49Speaker 17: reported hate preaching out of certain electorates that are materially
- 36:55Speaker 17: impacting on the federal government that week in, week out
- 36:58Speaker 17: call for hateful things to be done too, and about
- 37:01Speaker 17: Australia's Jewish community. I would like to see them tackling that.
- 37:05Speaker 17: Candice owns she could probably be debated and frankly on
- 37:08Speaker 17: a show like yours, Chris you.
- 37:10Speaker 8: Know, exposed for the you know with reviewshare.
- 37:13Speaker 17: Geologically challenged person she seems to have become. But what
- 37:16Speaker 17: is the federal government doing about the hate that is
- 37:19Speaker 17: being regularly preached in our own backyard?
- 37:22Speaker 1: That's indeed spot on. Just before we go US politics,
- 37:26Speaker 1: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have spent the last couple
- 37:29Speaker 1: of days telling the world why the other is unfit
- 37:32Speaker 1: to be in office. But the current president has told
- 37:35Speaker 1: us there's nothing wrong with him, And to the.
- 37:38Speaker 5: Healer River community, the.
- 37:43Speaker 1: Healer nothing wrong with me, the man as We'll leave
- 37:49Speaker 1: him there.
- 37:49Speaker 8: With that thought, I.
- 37:50Speaker 1: Better wrap it up and thank you both for joining me.
- 37:53Speaker 1: Germans On Uni and Caroline So Joe Biden says there's
- 37:57Speaker 1: nothing wrong with him. I'm not still the calm. I'm
- 38:01Speaker 1: going to catch up with the esteam US journalist, author,
- 38:04Speaker 1: and foreign policy advisor Robert D. Kaplan. You'll join me
- 38:07Speaker 1: live in the studio. Look, the horrors of war and
- 38:13Speaker 1: the imperfect choices presented to political leaders could hardly be
- 38:17Speaker 1: more obvious to us now as we consider the conflicts
- 38:20Speaker 1: in the Middle East and Ukraine, and we worry about
- 38:23Speaker 1: the muscular posturing across the Taiwan Straits. Esteemed American foreign
- 38:28Speaker 1: correspondent and author Robert D. Kaplan's latest book, The Tragic Mind,
- 38:33Speaker 1: delves into classic literature and philosophy to discuss difficult choices
- 38:38Speaker 1: in statecraft and I guess the absence of ideal outcomes,
- 38:43Speaker 1: he joins me. Now, welcome to the program, Robert. Great
- 38:45Speaker 1: to meet you.
- 38:46Speaker 15: It's a pleasure to be here.
- 38:47Speaker 1: Look, I find it fascinating looking at your book and
- 38:50Speaker 1: talking about and you talk about how you can you
- 38:53Speaker 1: can know your geography and your borders and your politics
- 38:56Speaker 1: if you like. But in the end, it comes back
- 38:58Speaker 1: to age old choices and philosophy of leader and what
- 39:04Speaker 1: those leaders do that make that are making these choices.
- 39:09Speaker 1: And we're seeing this play out right now, aren't we
- 39:11Speaker 1: with leaders like the mullas in Iran and Benjamin NETANYAHUU
- 39:16Speaker 1: in Israel.
- 39:16Speaker 15: Yeah, it's all about geography until it becomes all about Shakespeare.
- 39:22Speaker 1: Yes, and you know, and.
- 39:23Speaker 15: That's really what it's about. The geography. Geopolitics sets the stage,
- 39:29Speaker 15: the framework, but on the stage or human beings who
- 39:35Speaker 15: cannot be reduced to test tubes in a chemical experiment.
- 39:39Speaker 1: And you talk about how there's it's not as clear
- 39:42Speaker 1: and obvious as choices between good and evil that people
- 39:45Speaker 1: like to set out. And that's very easy to understand
- 39:49Speaker 1: when you talk about a situation like Ukraine, for instance,
- 39:52Speaker 1: where there's been geopolitics in that area for generations and
- 39:57Speaker 1: you have to worry about nationalism and NATO's But surely
- 40:01Speaker 1: with what we're seeing in Israel at the moment, it
- 40:03Speaker 1: is existential for Israel. They have to hit back at
- 40:07Speaker 1: a number of enemies, probably all financed and encourages by Iran,
- 40:11Speaker 1: but a number of enemies essentially just trying to kill
- 40:13Speaker 1: its people.
- 40:15Speaker 15: Yes, Iran for decades is practiced forward defense, meaning nobody
- 40:21Speaker 15: will attack us because we will fight from Hesbalaan, Lebanon
- 40:25Speaker 15: will fight from Hamas, and Gaza will fight from the
- 40:28Speaker 15: hutis in Yemen. But what Israel is doing is it's
- 40:32Speaker 15: methodically destroying Iran's forward defense and taking the fight directly
- 40:38Speaker 15: to Iran. And I would say this is going to
- 40:41Speaker 15: go back and forth indefinitely until and I'm not being
- 40:47Speaker 15: apocalyptic here, until there is regime change in Iran, which
- 40:53Speaker 15: will come not by any invasion or anything like that.
- 40:57Speaker 15: But Iran, you know, as another Washington Now lists once said,
- 41:01Speaker 15: it's like a country ruled by a narrow clique of
- 41:04Speaker 15: North Koreans in a country of South Koreans. And did
- 41:09Speaker 15: you know, it's just tremendously unpopular regime there.
- 41:14Speaker 1: Yeah, And most of those large Sunni nations in the
- 41:18Speaker 1: Arab world would want that to happen to the Saudi
- 41:20Speaker 1: Arabia prominently.
- 41:22Speaker 15: Yeah, because the Saudis actually had good relationships with the
- 41:26Speaker 15: Shah of Iran when the Shah was in power, because
- 41:29Speaker 15: the Shah was secular, so the Sunni Shiyed split was
- 41:33Speaker 15: not as pronounced when Iran had a secular trending regime.
- 41:37Speaker 15: But when the Mullas took over, you know, when it
- 41:40Speaker 15: became an Islamic shiied clericy, then you had this this
- 41:46Speaker 15: split between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
- 41:49Speaker 1: Two big questions I want to try and get your
- 41:51Speaker 1: pithy answers on. One is then what happens now with Ukraine?
- 41:54Speaker 1: Does that become a stalemate for the foreseeable future, or
- 41:58Speaker 1: does the West do enough to help Vladimir Zelensky reclaim
- 42:02Speaker 1: his country.
- 42:04Speaker 15: I think what's going to happen no matter who wins
- 42:08Speaker 15: in the US election, there's going to be a move
- 42:11Speaker 15: towards negotiations sometime in twenty twenty five, because every month
- 42:18Speaker 15: that the Ukraine War goes on, even though the Russians
- 42:22Speaker 15: have the upper hand at the moment, it is nevertheless
- 42:26Speaker 15: weakening the Russian Empire across the Caucasus, Central Asia, Siberia,
- 42:32Speaker 15: the Russian Far East. Russia does not have the capacity
- 42:38Speaker 15: to continue this war indefinitely, and the Ukrainians of course
- 42:43Speaker 15: don't either.
- 42:44Speaker 1: Well, you mentioned the election. This was my final question.
- 42:47Speaker 1: Then when you talk about the power of the personality
- 42:50Speaker 1: the individual in these great moments in history, who will
- 42:54Speaker 1: be a stronger and better leader. I suppose a more
- 42:59Speaker 1: stable Leada for the free wild Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
- 43:03Speaker 15: The way you pose the question, it would seem like
- 43:06Speaker 15: it would be Trump because he's strong, but actually it
- 43:09Speaker 15: would be Harris because she will. She will run a methodical,
- 43:15Speaker 15: a methodical administration stacked to the gills with the most
- 43:19Speaker 15: qualified assistant secretaries, deputy assistant secretaries, you know, secretaries, because
- 43:26Speaker 15: America is like an imperial power and it runs through
- 43:30Speaker 15: a foreign policy bureaucracy. And the bureaucracy, though it's been
- 43:35Speaker 15: belittled in being called a deep state, is actually quite impressive.
- 43:39Speaker 15: It's actually quite quite professionals.
- 43:43Speaker 1: Under Trump, things are far more volatile.
- 43:46Speaker 15: And far less professional and where they'll be far less
- 43:50Speaker 15: followed through at the lower levels.
- 43:53Speaker 1: Right to talk to you, Robert. The book is The
- 43:55Speaker 1: Tragic Mind, and Robert is a guest of the Ramsey Center.
- 43:59Speaker 1: He's an elect thure are coming up the Tragedy of
- 44:01Speaker 1: twenty fifth century Geopolitics that's been held this Thursday in Sydney.
- 44:06Speaker 1: So to register you can go to Ramseycenter dot org.
- 44:10Speaker 1: Thanks again for joining us, Robert, appreciate it. Now after
- 44:13Speaker 1: the break, we're going to catch up with SOFIA on
- 44:15Speaker 1: media issues, including a controversy over a nine newspaper effort
- 44:19Speaker 1: that's been dubbed appalling and ill informed. Let's sketch up
- 44:28Speaker 1: with Sophie E'sworth, media writer for The Australian, joining us
- 44:30Speaker 1: from Melbourne. Thanks for joining us again, Sophie. A great
- 44:33Speaker 1: story you had today. Disturbing on really about a cartoon
- 44:36Speaker 1: in the Age and the Sydney Morning Herald that's had
- 44:38Speaker 1: to be altered because of complaints from Jewish readers.
- 44:46Speaker 14: That's right, Chris, So Alan Moyer did this cartoon that
- 44:49Speaker 14: published on Saturday, which some would argue likened the Israeli
- 44:54Speaker 14: Prime Minister to a terrorist or organization harmass as you
- 44:59Speaker 14: can see in that in May.
- 45:01Speaker 1: The spelling of.
- 45:01Speaker 14: Netna who was also wrong, and the star of David
- 45:06Speaker 14: was inaccurately inaccurately represented Instead of six points, it had five,
- 45:12Speaker 14: and some would argue that was a symbol of Satan.
- 45:16Speaker 14: So there was a lot of issues with this cartoon, Chris,
- 45:20Speaker 14: and it resulted in the editors at the Age and
- 45:23Speaker 14: the SMH having the cartoon altered and amended, and also
- 45:28Speaker 14: a correction published in the paper today was the amendment.
- 45:32Speaker 1: The number of points on the star was that the issue.
- 45:36Speaker 14: It was the number of points on the star, and
- 45:39Speaker 14: also the incorrect spelling was the thing that they did
- 45:43Speaker 14: say that was wrong. But there was a deep offense
- 45:46Speaker 14: caused within the Jewish community over this cartoon.
- 45:49Speaker 1: Yeah, and I can understand that. I think the star
- 45:52Speaker 1: thing is problematic but probably a mistake, and I think
- 45:56Speaker 1: the cartoons appalling because as you see, that effectively equates
- 46:00Speaker 1: at Yahoo with Hummus, which to me is just factually
- 46:03Speaker 1: and morally horrent. But the point is that's the why
- 46:06Speaker 1: a lot of people out there and the loopy left
- 46:08Speaker 1: are thinking these days. So if they want to do
- 46:10Speaker 1: a cartoon, and good on them. I'm not for sort
- 46:12Speaker 1: of banning any cartoon like that, and there's no suggestion
- 46:15Speaker 1: it will be banned. But what I like about cartoonist though, Sophia,
- 46:19Speaker 1: is they'll make a point and it might actually be
- 46:22Speaker 1: funny as well. There's no joking. This is just a horrible,
- 46:26Speaker 1: horrible and nasty smear against Netanyahu and therefore, in many
- 46:30Speaker 1: respects to half of Israel at least because of equating
- 46:33Speaker 1: them with Hummus, is horrific. Let's go to a couple
- 46:36Speaker 1: of stars from Nine Newspapers and former stars in Mike
- 46:41Speaker 1: Carlton and the Peter fitz Simon's. They're often active on
- 46:45Speaker 1: Twitter and railing against the Left, but they're talked about
- 46:49Speaker 1: banning or sorry dropping the canceling their subscriptions to the
- 46:54Speaker 1: Washington Post because it refused to endorse either candidate in
- 46:58Speaker 1: the US election. Now so fe that the Washington Post
- 47:03Speaker 1: is always going to endorse the left candidate, the Democrat
- 47:06Speaker 1: candidate if they can. They just can't bring themselves to
- 47:10Speaker 1: endorse Kamala Harris, presumably because she's so hopeless.
- 47:15Speaker 14: Well, and also the Washington Post is owned by a billionaire,
- 47:18Speaker 14: Jeff Bezos, and not forgetting that he will have to
- 47:21Speaker 14: do business with Donald Trump should Donald Trump win. So
- 47:24Speaker 14: there's argument out there that the Washington Post decided to
- 47:28Speaker 14: steer clear of backing either candidate. But Mike and Peter
- 47:32Speaker 14: FitzSimons were terribly distressed over the weekend about this, both
- 47:36Speaker 14: canceling their subscriptions, and goodness knows how they will cope
- 47:40Speaker 14: if US presidential candidate for the Republicans, Donald Trump, is successful.
- 47:47Speaker 1: They'll be angry. I mean it must be tough. I mean,
- 47:49Speaker 1: if they're retired millionaires of the North Shore of Sydney
- 47:52Speaker 1: can't read the Washington Post, what are they going to
- 47:54Speaker 1: read instead?
- 47:57Speaker 14: Well, they had, I do say, they've got the New
- 48:00Speaker 14: York Time subscription, so.
- 48:03Speaker 1: Can always read the New York Times, and bros watch
- 48:06Speaker 1: the ABC and that'll confirm their worldview to them every day.
- 48:11Speaker 1: Thanks for joining us, Sophie, appreciate it. You read stuff, Sophie,
- 48:13Speaker 1: stuff in the Australian of course with the media section
- 48:16Speaker 1: on Mondays. Just quickly, I want to get to include
- 48:19Speaker 1: some of your feedback from what Alexander Danner and I
- 48:21Speaker 1: were talking about last Thursday, saying how there should be
- 48:24Speaker 1: calls for Hummas to surrender. Anthony says, surrender unconditionally, not negotiate.
- 48:30Speaker 1: Tell that to the US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin,
- 48:33Speaker 1: and another viewer says the IDF has wiped out America's
- 48:36Speaker 1: most wanted for years. The US should be thankful to Israel. Indeed,
- 48:41Speaker 1: that's the way to end the war and get the
- 48:43Speaker 1: terrorists to surrender and hand back the hostages. Thanks so
- 48:47Speaker 1: much for joining me. I'll see you tomorrow night at
- 48:49Speaker 1: five