Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Taiwan Just Did The UNTHINKABLE: Is China ACCELERATING Their SECRET Bitcoin plan?! | EP 1375
Transcript
- 0:01So Taiwan's central bank just officially announced their
- 0:05intentions with a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 0:10This came out literally hours ago.
- 0:12And what makes us very interested with the timing of
- 0:16this announcement is the fact that we all saw the news
- 0:19yesterday when China came out and accused America of freezing
- 0:25127,000 Bitcoin. It kind of looks as if something
- 0:31might be going on in Southeast Asia surrounding maybe a secret
- 0:36Bitcoin plan. Sophie, we have a lot to talk
- 0:40about today. Where would you like to kick
- 0:42things off? Well, just this story about
- 0:46China accusing the US of stealing $13 billion in Bitcoin
- 0:51is absolutely fascinating to me, especially in the midst of a
- 0:56tariff war, a trade war. You would think that China, you
- 1:02know, would practice what they preach, telling their people,
- 1:05you know, you're not allowed to use Bitcoin.
- 1:07But apparently they are. So it's really funny that now
- 1:11they're accusing the US of stealing Bitcoin, saying that
- 1:15that was supposed to be restitution for victims of the
- 1:20Lubian mining pool. And it's also strangely
- 1:25coincidental that it happens to be the same exact amount of
- 1:29Bitcoin that the US government seized from that Cambodian pig
- 1:35butchering scam ring. So it definitely it's a little
- 1:39SUS on the part of of the US, but at the same time, you know,
- 1:44it just surprises me that the that China is so interested in
- 1:49Bitcoin all of a sudden. I wonder what the signal is
- 1:51there. Yeah, it's, again, it's really
- 1:55interesting the timing because everybody's been talking about
- 1:58this trade war that's been going on between America and China.
- 2:03This is why the markets have been, let's just say, a little
- 2:06bit more volatile than usual recently.
- 2:09Everybody's waiting on, you know, what exactly was going to
- 2:13happen with America and China. We saw in the past couple of
- 2:17weeks Trump did actually strike an economic deal with China.
- 2:24And again, a lot of people were waiting for that certainty
- 2:27before allocating money and allocating capital.
- 2:30We're now in November, we're in Q4.
- 2:32This is when things are supposed to get really interesting.
- 2:35Everybody knows that We typically see a Santa Claus
- 2:39rally. This is because we get a lot of
- 2:40clarity in Q4. And what's fascinating about me
- 2:44is this not only the Bitcoin price just acting the way it is,
- 2:49but this obsession over Bitcoin. Like if you know, we're we're
- 2:54talking about multi 100 billion, maybe multi trillion dollar
- 2:59trade deals between America and China, Why are the two countries
- 3:04squabbling about $13 billion worth of Bitcoin?
- 3:08And then why is the day after we got this news that China and
- 3:13America were fighting over this, we've got this news about
- 3:16Taiwan. So let's break this down.
- 3:17This is literally this morning, we saw a few tweets circulating
- 3:21on Twitter. But it looks as if Taiwanese
- 3:24central bankers are now putting in moves to not only study
- 3:29Bitcoin as how it could be used as a strategic Bitcoin reserve,
- 3:34but they've also got to draft Bitcoin friendly rules in the
- 3:37next 6 months. And also this is the kicker and
- 3:40the interesting part pilots Bitcoin treasury holdings
- 3:45starting with inventory relating to seized Bitcoin awaiting
- 3:51auctions. So again, this is really noon.
- 3:54You can see the date of this tweet literally came out 5:30 AM
- 3:57this morning. We are waiting For more
- 4:00information to happen. We think that our Southeast
- 4:03Asian friends are asleep right now.
- 4:05So maybe we're going to get some more clarity in the next 6 to 12
- 4:08hours. But the timing of Taiwan coming
- 4:11out and saying this, it's certainly interesting because we
- 4:15all, you all know that again, China sees Taiwan as their own.
- 4:19What's the quote, Sophie? Is it two countries 1 model?
- 4:24Yeah, basically two countries, one model.
- 4:26It's funny because earlier we were looking up, you know, who
- 4:29is the president or the leader of Taiwan.
- 4:31And I was like, I mean, on paper they're, they have a president,
- 4:36but in reality, the leader of Taiwan is Xi Jinping.
- 4:40So it's interesting. He's almost using Taiwan as kind
- 4:45of like this Trojan horse or this vehicle for China to own
- 4:50Bitcoin. And it's interesting that, you
- 4:53know, they're also the way that they're trying to acquire
- 4:56Bitcoin by accusing the United States of stealing it from them.
- 5:00So they're they're almost saying like we're not going to buy high
- 5:04Bitcoin, but we are going to try to stack some stats in these
- 5:09other ways. And I think that's, you know, to
- 5:12my point earlier that they don't want people to, you know, see
- 5:17their government as hypocritical.
- 5:18They're seeing it as justice reform.
- 5:21You know, we're just enforcing the law and taking what it
- 5:24taking back what is ours for our people.
- 5:27But we don't want the citizens of China to actually own any
- 5:31Bitcoin of their own. That's, I, I think that's
- 5:36probably at the root issue of all of this.
- 5:38Now we were talking about Taiwan.
- 5:40I just jumped on Google and I found this about Hong Kong.
- 5:43Again, I'm on their own. I think each of these individual
- 5:46stories, you know, they're just little stories, but when you
- 5:50kind of piece everything together, you can start to see
- 5:53that maybe something is happening in Southeast Asia.
- 5:55Because I saw literally 2 days ago, Hong Kong has just launched
- 6:00digitally native bonds to quote UN quote, intensify their crypto
- 6:06hub ambitions. So of course, we've been talking
- 6:09about this is simply Bitcoin for a long time.
- 6:11Hong Kong came out in 2024 and they said, look, we want to be
- 6:15the global crypto hub of the world.
- 6:18And a lot of people were like, wait on a minute, Hong Kong,
- 6:20isn't that essentially linked to China?
- 6:24Why is mainland China having the public stance?
- 6:27Look, we're going to ban Bitcoin.
- 6:29Bitcoin mining's bad. We're going to Kick It Out of
- 6:31the country. It's illegal in our country.
- 6:33But at the same time, Hong Kong is coming out and saying we want
- 6:37to be the global crypto hub. We remember that there was
- 6:40conferences held in Hong Kong in 2023-2024.
- 6:43And the publicly confirmed reports were saying that Chinese
- 6:48officials from Beijing were at those conferences and they were
- 6:52signing off with what Hong Kong was doing and their ambitions to
- 6:54be a crypto hub. And again, all of that was kind
- 6:57of like, OK, that's strange. I think now that we've seen Hong
- 7:01Kong continue this week, again, a very interesting week, but
- 7:05this week come out and say they're going to start launching
- 7:07digitally native bonds. I think this is another little
- 7:10sign. It's a little signpost, It's
- 7:13another piece in the puzzle that's really interesting.
- 7:16We've got Hong Kong also again, look at the date 11, the 11th of
- 7:21November coming out and Hong Kong is now easing crypto laws
- 7:25allowing exchanges liquidity. I don't know.
- 7:29I mean, maybe I could be just lining up some dots that aren't
- 7:32necessarily connected, Sophie, but I'm smelling a little bit of
- 7:36a Southeast Asia Bitcoin play here.
- 7:39What do you think? What I'm smelling is
- 7:42competition. You know, they're literally
- 7:45taking Donald Trump's words that he used, you know, during his
- 7:49campaign speeches saying that he wanted to make Bitcoin the world
- 7:55capital or sorry, the, the capital of Bitcoin mining and,
- 7:59and you know, the crypto capital of the world or whatever.
- 8:02And I think that China is seeing an opportunity here, not just to
- 8:08compete, but possibly to overtake take the United States
- 8:12when it comes to holding Bitcoin.
- 8:14And I think that that's also what's behind the fact that they
- 8:17are coming after us and accusing us.
- 8:20And so now Hong Kong is coming out with this news that they
- 8:24also want to essentially launch their own ETFs in Hong Kong.
- 8:30So it's it sounds like they're copying us.
- 8:34And honestly, imitation is the big, the best form of flattery.
- 8:38And, and, and it seems like you know something that we it, it,
- 8:43it kind of follows a pattern, right?
- 8:44When the US starts doing something, other countries tend
- 8:49to follow and they tend to do exactly what we're doing because
- 8:54they see that they're working. Don't forget that the IBITETF,
- 8:59it has been the best performing product on Black Rock's balance
- 9:03sheet. So people in Hong Kong are
- 9:06seeing that and they're thinking, hey, we could do that
- 9:09too. And coincidentally, China is
- 9:13also gearing up for what might be a huge quantitative period of
- 9:19quantitative easing, which I think, I think you have the link
- 9:23for that. But if China starts printing a
- 9:28bunch of money and Hong Kong is on the verge of allowing
- 9:33exchanges to tap into that liquidity and put it into
- 9:38Bitcoin backed products, then again, that's another way that
- 9:44China has just circumvented the direct buying of Bitcoin so that
- 9:49they can acquire some for themselves and strengthen their
- 9:53economy to compete with the United States.
- 9:56Exactly. I think you you hit the nail on
- 9:58the head. It's all about competition.
- 10:01America has come out and said we want to be the global superpower
- 10:04of Bitcoin. China's come out and said, hey,
- 10:07you know, let's just roll Hong Kong, let's just roll, you know,
- 10:11Taiwan out there and let's just let them do the Bitcoin bidding
- 10:15for us while we publicly maintain our anti Bitcoin
- 10:19stance. I think there's something there,
- 10:20but I think there also could be a little bit of competition when
- 10:23it comes to monetary policy. We, we saw that so far in 2025,
- 10:29we've seen more interest rate cuts than we saw in 2008.
- 10:34So this is a little bit of a head scratcher because of
- 10:37supposedly the economy is fine, it's doing well.
- 10:41But if we have more interest rate cuts today than 2008, that
- 10:44is at least something I think we should be paying attention to.
- 10:47It's very strange, but we saw a little bit of, let's call it
- 10:51spasms in the American repo market this week.
- 10:55The spreads between the sofa rates and the Fed funds rate are
- 10:59widening again. It's not always saying, look,
- 11:02this is a crisis imminent, but it says, hey, there's something
- 11:05going on in the plumbing. And now in China, we get a
- 11:08little bit more confirmation that they could be maybe a
- 11:11little bit of a shortage of dollars in liquidity out there
- 11:13because we can see China's central bank is maintaining it's
- 11:18accommodative policy as challenges.
- 11:22So many adjectives, right? So much fluff.
- 11:25There's just so much. It's like, it's like the writing
- 11:28is matching the amount of like money that they're printing.
- 11:32It's just so much of it, but has no value.
- 11:37Exactly. It's all obfuscation that they
- 11:40don't want us to know what's actually going on the.
- 11:43Dog and pony show. Exactly what they're saying is
- 11:47let's just you big words, let's confuse the people.
- 11:51Let's make sure that the kids like Luke with the crazy haircut
- 11:53online cannot pronounce the words and the true message gets
- 11:57lost in the translation. But I think the translation here
- 12:02is shit screwed and they need to print money.
- 12:05And again, This is why medium term long term Bitcoin is the
- 12:09only asset it is or even in the short term, let's be honest,
- 12:12Bitcoin is the only asset and we think a lot of people they get
- 12:15distracted with these short term price movements.
- 12:18But again, I would just just encourage everyone to pay very
- 12:21close attention to what the central banks right now are
- 12:24doing. We can see on Tuesday, literally
- 12:27yesterday, November 11th, China's central bank came out
- 12:31and they said they would maintain their loose monetary
- 12:34policy, which is again, translation for we need to
- 12:37continue printing money because the there is not enough
- 12:41liquidity in the system. And again, a lot of people have
- 12:43kind of been waiting for the next big print, as Larry Leppard
- 12:48calls it. We're waiting for that next big
- 12:51wave in the liquidity cycle. We do know that Bitcoin, it kind
- 12:56of moves in tandem with the liquidity cycle.
- 13:00And there's some really cool charts.
- 13:02I'm just bringing one up that shows that typically every four
- 13:06years, the global money supply has this big spike.
- 13:09So far liquidity has been slowly but surely increasing over the
- 13:14past couple of years after that massive drainage of the system
- 13:18in 2021. But we're waiting for that next
- 13:21big move up in this pink line. I think the blue line shows that
- 13:25a little bit better. This is the year on year growth
- 13:28of the M2 and you can see what happened in 2017.
- 13:31Massive ramp up in liquidity and again that correlated with
- 13:36Bitcoins bull run. We saw the same thing in 2020
- 13:39and 2021. That blue line ramped up, huge
- 13:43Bitcoin bull run. We went from 10K to 65K in about
- 13:463 or 4 months. And now we can see liquidity has
- 13:51recovered. It's no longer declining, was
- 13:53declining all 2022 and early 2023.
- 13:57Coincidentally, Bitcoin had a little bit of a bear run during
- 14:00those years, but we can see we've been ticking up.
- 14:03We're just waiting for that next big explosive move in liquidity
- 14:09and maybe what the Chinese central bank kind of confirmed
- 14:13yesterday's maybe a little bit of an indication that we could
- 14:15be closer to that next big move in liquidity than most people
- 14:19think. What are your thoughts on this
- 14:20Soph? Yeah, I think you're absolutely
- 14:22right. As soon as China starts
- 14:25printing, the Fed is just going to have to catch up.
- 14:29They're not really going to have a choice, right?
- 14:31And the only thing that concerns me, I mean, aside from inflation
- 14:36that comes with the M2 money supply going up, is what if this
- 14:42money supply doesn't really go into hard assets, but it goes
- 14:47into the ETFs, it goes into paper Bitcoin.
- 14:51What if that's what pumps, but then Bitcoin itself doesn't?
- 14:57Is that a possibility? Or is that just like me thinking
- 15:00the worst because we've had the most like, horrible bull run in
- 15:04my opinion of our lives? Well, it is true we have had the
- 15:08worst bull run in Bitcoin history.
- 15:11I'll bring up some chats to show the guys in a moment that kind
- 15:13of illustrates that point. And again, I think anything is a
- 15:18possibility. I'm a perma bull, but I can't
- 15:21rule out the fact that, you know, that is a possibility.
- 15:24We know that what BlackRock today owns, what is it?
- 15:27It's 4% of all the Bitcoin over 800,000 coins and that's grown
- 15:32in just the past two years. So it's a possibility.
- 15:35We're seeing again, a lot of money going to publicly traded
- 15:38stocks as well. MicroStrategy owns 3% of the
- 15:42supply. If a lot of this money goes
- 15:45into, you know, BlackRock and Co, I'm still hopeful that
- 15:50that's going to add buy pressure and demand in the market for
- 15:54spot Bitcoin. We have a lot of on chain firms
- 15:58who have claimed to be accurately tracing are black
- 16:03rocks public Bitcoin addresses. So they are from all accounts
- 16:07buying Bitcoin again, who knows what they're doing on the side.
- 16:10Are they shorting Bitcoin at the same time?
- 16:13Again, this is very common for hedge funds to hedge themselves.
- 16:16They buy a lot of Bitcoin, but at the same time they they go
- 16:19into the options market and they buy some puts, they hedge and
- 16:21they wedge themselves. So we don't, we're a little bit
- 16:24less sure about that, but I think it's I think it's really
- 16:28interesting here because we have liquidity come in.
- 16:32We also didn't quite touch on this yet.
- 16:34We've got the only. The only reason I ask is because
- 16:37we did get those interest rate cuts at the end of October and
- 16:43nothing happened. So my question is, where is all
- 16:46that liquidity going? Who is absorbing it?
- 16:49And why haven't we seen the price go up, you know?
- 16:53I I think interest rate cuts historically it's being a little
- 16:58bit of a weaker correlation to Bitcoin price.
- 17:01Typically you see this happening waves so interest rates get cut
- 17:061st and then the money printed bazookas come out.
- 17:10From memory, in 2020, I think rates were dropped from like 8
- 17:18February, early March, and I think it wasn't until the bond
- 17:22market started breaking on March 21st or 22nd, then they
- 17:27announced $3 trillion of liquidity in the US and then the
- 17:32markets bottom the next day. We've seen interest rate cutting
- 17:38for the last few months. Now this report and confirmation
- 17:42from power that QT officially ends in December.
- 17:48So this is in about two weeks. And then from there, he hasn't
- 17:51confirmed it, but I mean, he's kind of implied it by what what
- 17:54he's saying. If QT is ending, QE is coming.
- 17:58And I think this is when I, I'm certainly going to be strapping
- 18:03myself in, so to say, because this is when the the biggest
- 18:06moves come when. Oh.
- 18:12Did we lose Luke? It makes the biggest moves.
- 18:16Sorry I lost. You there for a second?
- 18:18Yeah, you're back. You're back.
- 18:20Maybe we're talking. Too many truthful.
- 18:24Yeah, the Internet is just like going crazy with all of the
- 18:27signal. But I, you know, so then that
- 18:31would almost confirm the theory that everything everyone was
- 18:35expecting in 2025 is, you know, down the gutter in the trash.
- 18:41All of the models are breaking and 2026 might actually be
- 18:46gearing up for the real bull market.
- 18:49And instead of seeing the historic Q4 pumps that we have
- 18:55been used to for the last couple of cycles, we're going to start
- 18:59seeing them at the beginning of the following year, which is
- 19:04interesting because that means that the the cycles are
- 19:09elongating, right? While also funny enough, the
- 19:13halvings are getting shorter because because overtime they do
- 19:17get shorter. They go from four years to like
- 19:183 1/2 and then, you know, it, it gets a slightly shorter.
- 19:23So anyway, I think that's super interesting.
- 19:25And I want to talk about this story, how dominant Chinese
- 19:30makers, because a lot of people are talking about this in the
- 19:32comments. They're saying, hey, aren't the
- 19:34miners made in China? Why would China, you know, be
- 19:39against their citizens holding Bitcoin if they're making the
- 19:43miners in this country? And I'd like to take you back to
- 19:49the year 2021 when China actually banned mining outright.
- 19:55And that was what cut the 2021 bull cycle very, very short.
- 20:01And it was very disappointing. But then they lifted it.
- 20:05And with this trade war that's going on and the tariffs, a lot
- 20:09of those Chinese makers of Bitcoin mining machines set up
- 20:15US productions. So that they could beat those
- 20:18tariffs. So they're actually now
- 20:19manufacturing the machines here. And that was the whole purpose
- 20:24of the Trump administration implementing these tariffs.
- 20:28They really wanted to take these economic stand like things from
- 20:35China and they wanted to move it to the US.
- 20:37And you know, this is a, a pretty good example of it
- 20:40because, you know, like it or not, the US is still, I believe,
- 20:45correct me if I'm wrong, Luke, the number one mining country in
- 20:49the world. Yeah.
- 20:52So America has, last time I checked, over 30% of the hash
- 20:56power within its borders. Texas is a massive hub.
- 21:01But again, like you say, So if it's kind of being interesting,
- 21:04why have 90% of the ASICS machines, these are the
- 21:09specialized Bitcoin mining computers, Why are 90% of those
- 21:13created in China? A lot of people have kind of
- 21:16been scratching their heads for a while.
- 21:18That's a little bit strange. Why do we have, again, some
- 21:23people could call it risk, Maybe there's a little bit of supply
- 21:26chain risk here. Who knows what's being put into
- 21:28those Bitcoin mining ASICS? I have no idea.
- 21:31Just questions that some people have been asking.
- 21:34We can see that bit main I think that's Canaan and Micro BT They
- 21:40build over 90% of the global Bitcoin mining rigs.
- 21:44But now what's interesting is all of Chinese origin, these
- 21:49companies are now setting up manufacturing footholds in the
- 21:53United States as President Donald Trump's tariff war
- 21:57reshapes the cryptocurrency supply chain.
- 22:00I think this is again, a little bit of signal that just gets
- 22:03lost in the source everybody sees.
- 22:05All right, Taiwan's talking about creating a strategic
- 22:08Bitcoin reserve. And all of this has kind of been
- 22:11happening a week after Trump and XI finally finished this
- 22:18economic deal that they've been squabbling over for about a
- 22:21month now. I, I think.
- 22:23Did you know that? Apparently this was all because
- 22:26the interpreters like, messed up their job and there was
- 22:30something lost in communication and that's why they blew up at
- 22:33each other. I mean, because we were.
- 22:37Fine, we were fine, everything was great, and then all of a
- 22:41sudden it just went like it was from one day to the next.
- 22:45October 10th, it just Bitcoin took a complete crash and and
- 22:51they're saying that it was because of a misunderstanding.
- 22:53Apparently that misunderstanding has now been resolved and
- 22:57they're actually coming to an agreement.
- 23:00But Luke, my question to you is, is Bitcoin, is mining also part
- 23:06of this deal? Is it taking some sort of
- 23:11important role in these negotiations?
- 23:17I think it has to be, what do you think about the, the
- 23:22squabble about the freezing of Bitcoin?
- 23:25I, I, the timing of that coming out yesterday that has to be
- 23:29related to what Taiwan's doing today.
- 23:31Like I, I'm no mathematician or, you know, I don't run all these
- 23:36statistical models claiming their gospel.
- 23:39But I, I think even if somebody were to run the probabilities,
- 23:42the chances of that happening on day after the day and then being
- 23:47unrelated events, it feels like a very low probability event.
- 23:52It feels like a. Very related event actually,
- 23:54it's, it feels like, you know, they're, they're thinking about
- 23:57this and they're trying, you know, remember, China has their
- 24:02own form of propaganda. Not to say that the US doesn't.
- 24:05I mean, we would put the Soviet Union's propaganda machine to
- 24:09shame, but the, the Chinese have their own, you know, propaganda
- 24:15machine as well. And it's really not a
- 24:17coincidence that they because this this story, believe it or
- 24:22not, about the the discovery of the Lubian mining pool, Bitcoin
- 24:29being seized or gone missing or hacked had actually come out
- 24:32back in August and I had seen a tweet about it.
- 24:37I didn't really understand what they were talking about.
- 24:39Let me see if I can bring it up. And so that here let me bring it
- 24:46up right here the. The my my point.
- 24:52Is why wouldn't they have come out with this in all the way
- 24:57back in August, right, 'cause somebody was talking about it
- 25:02the largest ever crypto heist, 3.5 billion stolen from Lumen
- 25:06and it says 3.5 billion because that was the value of the
- 25:08Bitcoin back in 2020 when they when this initially happened,
- 25:12right? But they were talking about this
- 25:16in August. Why did they wait until today or
- 25:21sorry, yesterday to break this? And.
- 25:25I don't think that there are any coincidences.
- 25:28I think that the, the Taiwanese government was probably, you
- 25:33know, preparing for this, gearing up for this announcement
- 25:37for the, the meeting or the the hearing that they were having
- 25:41today. They decided to let, and this is
- 25:44a message we're going to come back for our Bitcoin United
- 25:48States and we're going to establish our own Bitcoin
- 25:51reserve. And that's going to make us
- 25:54compete not just in commerce anymore, but also in
- 25:59commodities, which now Bitcoin has become a commodity like
- 26:04gold, like oil, where global superpowers are fighting over
- 26:10it. And that to me is extremely
- 26:13bullish because if, if, if governments that actually used
- 26:19to make fun of Bitcoin, that used to call it a scam, that
- 26:23used to say that we would never adopt Bitcoin or Operation Choke
- 26:28.2 point O if we had all of this even like a year ago, two years
- 26:34ago and now these global superpowers are fighting over
- 26:37Bitcoin. That is extremely bullish news.
- 26:41That means that we might be seeing the price skyrocket in
- 26:452026. I do not think that the bull
- 26:49market is over. I think it's probably just
- 26:52ramping up. We lost Luke, but now we have
- 26:55him back here. Let me let me pull him up
- 27:01anyway. I think that that this is like
- 27:04the signal here, right? If countries are if other
- 27:07countries, superpowers are gearing up to have their own
- 27:12Bitcoin strategic reserve, if they're accusing other countries
- 27:16of taking it, you know, don't forget what what America you,
- 27:21how we fought for oil just in the last 20 years.
- 27:27You know, don't forget what we are capable of doing.
- 27:31And I think that Bitcoin might be that next commodity that that
- 27:37global superpowers are fighting over.
- 27:57We, I think we should first map that to our coin.
- 28:04Well, we all talk about coin Bitcoin every single day on
- 28:08channel. And I think if America and China
- 28:10battling over Bitcoin hasn't convinced you to get started
- 28:15buying, I don't know what will. So again, we highly encourage
- 28:18you guys to sign up with the Bitcoin.
- 28:21Well, if you scan that QR code on the screen right now, I we
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- 28:43future, but maybe we'll talk about that a little bit later.
- 28:46Sign up with a Bitcoin well, and let's thank our other amazing
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- 28:54We got a great show team for you today.
- 28:57We will be right back after this commercial break.
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- 29:40Risk of the plate breaking apart and pieces falling everywhere.
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- 30:02it on the back of your seed plate, the opposite side of
- 30:05where the words are. Stamp your seed on Stamp Seed
- 30:09and use promo code simply to get 15% off anything on the
- 30:14stampseed.com store. All right, guys, here are your
- 30:24numbers for today. I don't think I've ever done
- 30:26this before. The the Clark Moody's dashboard.
- 30:30Sorry, we're going in and out with Luke.
- 30:33Anyway, the price of Bitcoin today at this moment is
- 30:37$101,740. That's 983 sats per dollar.
- 30:43The market cap is at $2.03 trillion and we are at a -19%
- 30:52decline from all time high. But fear not, Fear not because
- 30:59the big print is coming. It absolutely is.
- 31:03Now I want to add some numbers because we're talking about this
- 31:07massive strategic Bitcoin reserve announcement in Taiwan.
- 31:11We got China battling with America over $13 billion of
- 31:16Bitcoin. Again, I asked the people.
- 31:18Think about that for a moment. If China and America, they're
- 31:21going into trillions of dollars of debt every year, over 1000
- 31:26billion dollars of debt, they're just printing it out of the
- 31:29wazoo. Why are they fighting over $13
- 31:32billion of Bitcoin? I think the signal here is
- 31:38there's 21 million coins, there's two and a half million
- 31:41on exchanges and I think maybe we're starting to see nation
- 31:45states recognize how important 13 billion or 120,000 Bitcoin
- 31:52could be worth it because, well, don't.
- 31:54Don't forget, Luke, just five years ago that 13 billion was 3
- 31:59billion exactly. And that's why.
- 32:02They weren't fighting about it back then.
- 32:04Now they're seeing the writing on the wall.
- 32:06They're seeing damn, if if that was 3 billion and now it's 13
- 32:11billion in 10 years it could be be like trillions of dollars.
- 32:15We better take this thing now before this gets out of control
- 32:21and gets more difficult to take back.
- 32:24I wonder if they found out about self custody yet.
- 32:27I wonder if they understand how that works because we we.
- 32:30Know Salvador has definitely oh. Definitely they get.
- 32:34It now Speaking of El Salvador and I think a lot of the nation
- 32:40state race that we're talking about today, I, I think the
- 32:44squabble over 127,000 coins when you look at this chart, it kind
- 32:50of puts it into perspective. We the biggest nation
- 32:53stakeholders of Bitcoin, America and China, they both hold
- 32:56somewhere around 190,000 coins, so 127,000 coins.
- 33:03This is a sizeable amounts. I, I that kind of for me is I
- 33:08think it explains why they're arguing over $13 billion worth
- 33:13of Bitcoin. I think we're in this again,
- 33:16some would call it a global hash war, a global race over Bitcoin.
- 33:21I think Speaking of that, what was fascinating was Max Keiser
- 33:27again, right now we have adopting Bitcoin going on.
- 33:30This is the conference down in El Salvador and Russell Brand
- 33:35and Max Kaiser were on the same stage together.
- 33:39That's a so cool. So.
- 33:41Cool, super cool. I might try to play this video
- 33:44from here so if I'm not sure if the audio is going to work.
- 33:46If it does, I have it I. Have it.
- 33:48I can pull it up. All right, let's watch this
- 33:49video. Let's do it.
- 33:51Kind of. Moniker of what the future might
- 33:54look like because I believe that the technology that we have
- 33:58these days tends towards decentralization, mass
- 34:02communication, potentially independent, mass transaction,
- 34:05potentially transparent through blockchain.
- 34:08And I think this cannot but facilitate decentralized
- 34:12revolution. And my prayer is for countries
- 34:15like mine in the United Kingdom that this could be undertaken
- 34:18peacefully and lovingly. Because to come to a country
- 34:20like El Salvador where there's abundant optimism, where the
- 34:24young people I speak to seem educated and bright and
- 34:28brilliant and faithful and enthusiastic.
- 34:31Coming from a place like the UK where people feel loaded and
- 34:35burdened and despairing. And this is not an accident.
- 34:38Our consciousness has been lowered, our opportunities have
- 34:40been lowered. The frequency is being lowered.
- 34:43So to come to a place like this that is not not without its
- 34:45problems and hasn't had significant challenges to
- 34:47surmount. It's regularly explained to me
- 34:50that you had long years of civil war, long years of gang warfare,
- 34:54and it's taken a near miracle and serious intervention to get
- 35:00El Salvador on what it is right now, which appears to me very
- 35:03much the right track and a beacon for the old classical
- 35:07world and even what was once referred to as the new World,
- 35:09North America. Russell, I love this.
- 35:13I love this comment. Russell loves them adjectives
- 35:17because that's so real. He's he's kind of a poet and I
- 35:21love the way that he talks about Bitcoin.
- 35:23I love the way he talks about a lot of things.
- 35:26But in particular, I love what he said about Bitcoin
- 35:30decentralizing money and how that decentralization will bring
- 35:35the decentralization of revolution.
- 35:37But what I think he's, you know, being colorful about and how I
- 35:42can break that down a little bit more simply, is the
- 35:44decentralization of power, right?
- 35:49I think it's the decentralization of power that's
- 35:52the signal there, because if you start to give power back to the
- 35:57people, right, it forces governments, it forces the
- 36:02institutions around you to actually compete for your vote
- 36:07with your money. And that is the real revolution.
- 36:10You know, we, we think that revolution is going out into the
- 36:14street and protesting and like having a good time with your
- 36:16buddies. But in reality, it's making
- 36:18change and it's taking it's, it's a demonstration of power
- 36:22from the people. And what bigger demonstration of
- 36:25power from the people than saying that we are not going to
- 36:28continue you to live in your system, to use your Fiat, to use
- 36:33the thing that you deem powerful.
- 36:35We are going to completely come out of this framework by using
- 36:40money that actually empowers us. And we're going to make you work
- 36:44for it instead of us have to work for you.
- 36:48I think that is the true revolution and I think that you
- 36:51know it. It brings up the question if if
- 36:54we started with what is money, we will end with what is
- 37:00government. Fascinating.
- 37:03I, I think that entire question is one that I think is going to
- 37:07get asked by a lot of people. You made a really interesting
- 37:10point. Russell made a really
- 37:12interesting point. This is the first decentralized
- 37:15technological revolution we're living through.
- 37:17Again, I'm the biggest fan of the book The Sovereign
- 37:20Individual. Their entire thesis is that we
- 37:23are living through one of the biggest technological changes in
- 37:26history, and each prior major technological change that
- 37:31impacted how we organized and worked and what opportunities
- 37:35there were in society. They're all centralizing.
- 37:37We had the agricultural revolution 10,000 years ago that
- 37:41centralized hunters and gatherers into farms and
- 37:44villages, plowing the fields, working for the kings and the
- 37:47Queens. Then about 10,000 years later,
- 37:50we saw the industrial revolution in the 1770s.
- 37:53What did that do? Centralized again.
- 37:55Everybody moved from the farms and the villages to these big
- 37:59mega cities like London and New York and LA because all of the
- 38:03best jobs were in the machines, the factories and again, the
- 38:07offices, the 9:00 to 5:00 debt slavery offices.
- 38:11This is where the common consensus, the narrative, the
- 38:16universities and the education system told us we had to go to
- 38:20make the money. But now the again, the authors
- 38:23of the incredible book Sovereign Individual, they're saying we're
- 38:26living through the next big technology logical revolution.
- 38:29This is the decentralized revolution.
- 38:32We're moving from the industrial age to the information age.
- 38:36And I think this is kind of what Russell is tapping into here.
- 38:40Now for the first time in human history, I don't have to go and
- 38:43work in New York or Sydney and or I have to be careful what I
- 38:47say, but I don't have to do, I don't have to do everything that
- 38:52my big government tells me I have to do to get a job again.
- 38:572020 happened but been and gone. We all know what we had to do to
- 39:01work recently in the UK they're talking about digital ID's to
- 39:05work. It is now mandatory to get a
- 39:08digital ID and live in London, this big mega city where we have
- 39:14mass control, mass surveillance is correct.
- 39:18That's. Such a good point.
- 39:19It takes away the power from certain locations.
- 39:22Again. It's like land and locations
- 39:25like that can't vote. It's the people who vote.
- 39:29It's people who should really hold this power.
- 39:32And it's, it's incredible how this next wave of, of
- 39:36decentralization is going to empower the individual, empower
- 39:43the the masses who actually have to work for the value and the
- 39:48economy, while these very powerful people can just print
- 39:53money for free. Yeah, absolutely.
- 39:56And back retracking just a little bit on what Russell said
- 40:00as well, which is actually something that's really
- 40:03interesting and it's something that you don't recognize until
- 40:06you travel to a country like El Salvador.
- 40:09The people there are generally, they are actually more positive,
- 40:14more happy. Than countries like America
- 40:17overall. Now obviously there's advantage
- 40:19and disadvantages to living in all different countries.
- 40:23Like obviously the entrepreneurial spirit, it's
- 40:26stronger in America, no questioning that, no denying
- 40:29that. But the average person in
- 40:31America, nihilistic, negative you, you do have to seek out
- 40:35your tribe a lot harder in America.
- 40:38I'm not saying it's impossible, but I'm talking about the
- 40:40average citizen in America, nihilistic cost of living
- 40:44crisis. They can't retire, they can't
- 40:47escape the 9:00 to 5:00 and they've lost.
- 40:49All their morals, like when you have a broken money, you have a
- 40:54broken society, and I think that's what Naibukele figured
- 40:58out you know, essentially if we fix the base layer of society,
- 41:02it enables us to have to fix everything else because when you
- 41:06empower the individual, when you empower the people of your
- 41:10country, you realize that you actually have to do the things
- 41:13that you promised and and Naibu Kelly has delivered on all of
- 41:17that He's. Exposing a lot of the Western
- 41:21governments and a lot of their flawed policies and all sorts of
- 41:26he's exposing. That you could just do things if
- 41:29you really wanted to and if you were transparent and you had a
- 41:33moral backbone. Essentially.
- 41:36Those are. Lacking amongst politicians all
- 41:39around the world, but I think Bitcoin will be the great
- 41:42exposure of that as it continues to seep into not only
- 41:47governments, but the banking industry.
- 41:50I think we've got some fascinating details to uncover
- 41:53for you guys in the next segment.
- 41:54I think before we do that, let's give again another shout out to
- 41:58our show partners before we keep this train rolling.
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- 44:40All right guys, you know what time it is, It is bitkey ASMR.
- 44:45Use the promo code in the QR code.
- 44:50Hold on that. I have to pull up and I'm really
- 44:52bad at pushing buttons and thinking at the same time.
- 44:55Maybe it's because I'm a woman, maybe it's because I am heavily
- 44:59pregnant. But if you want to do this
- 45:01pregnant lady a favour, go ahead and scan the QR code to buy
- 45:07yourself and your whole family a bit key.
- 45:11Hey, pressing buttons harder than it looks.
- 45:14I can grow. It's so hard.
- 45:17I'm getting wrecked. It is harder than it looks.
- 45:21This is why we Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the easiest thing in
- 45:25the world, makes trading easier, makes your life easier.
- 45:28And it's not just us who think that.
- 45:31It is the corporations, it is the institutions, it is the
- 45:34banks. Again, there's some conflicting
- 45:36data about what exactly is going on with these institutions.
- 45:42There have been a lot of really good charts showing that OG
- 45:45Bitcoin holders are actually selling.
- 45:48Then there is countering information suggesting that a
- 45:52lot of that Bitcoin that is showing up as a cell based on on
- 45:57chain data is actually moving into BlackRock so that these Ogs
- 46:03can financialize a portion of their Bitcoin.
- 46:06They can borrow against the portion of their Bitcoin.
- 46:08Maybe they're diversifying. Instead of having $10 billion a
- 46:13Bitcoin on a bit key hardware wallet, maybe they want to put a
- 46:16billion dollars of that in BlackRock and use it as a quote,
- 46:19UN quote bank account. Again, I'm not calling an ETF a
- 46:23bank account, but I hope you guys kind of pick up what we're
- 46:25putting down here. So again, I want to kind of look
- 46:28at what exactly is going on with these corporations because there
- 46:33is, like I said, a lot of really interesting data as to what is
- 46:37happening. So we can see this Yahoo Finance
- 46:39article came out and they said this morning the slow down in
- 46:45buying marks a sharp pull back from September when corporate
- 46:48treasuries purchase more than 38,000 Bitcoin because this
- 46:54month we can see public and private firms added 14,000
- 47:00Bitcoin. So that is less than half it's
- 47:03about half, less than half than what we saw in September.
- 47:07But again, I think the signal here that's still more than all
- 47:12the Bitcoin that's mined each month.
- 47:14There's quick maths 450 Bitcoin mined a day.
- 47:18If there's 30 days in a month, that means somewhere around
- 47:2113,000 coins are mined a month. So even if corporations are
- 47:27slowing their buying, only buying 14,447 in October, that's
- 47:34still all the Bitcoin that's mined each month.
- 47:38But again, it's a trend we're gonna keep an eye on and
- 47:41continue following for you guys. We can see public companies
- 47:45right now have bought 1,000,000 coins.
- 47:48We've got governments sitting on 644,000 coins and now exchanges
- 47:54according to this article. Again, this varies a lot.
- 47:57The ETFs and exchanges held another 1.5 million coins.
- 48:03So Sophie, do you think there's any signal here?
- 48:06Do you think corporations slightly decreasing their buy in
- 48:09action in October is anything to keep an eye on?
- 48:12I don't know, I think. This is kind of a confusing
- 48:14article only because these same corporations did a massive sell
- 48:19off in in the beginning of November, right?
- 48:23They saw the the prices go down and their clients sold
- 48:27immediately. But I think this is also due to
- 48:29the fact that we have been breaching the four year cycle
- 48:35for as long as, you know, Bitcoin has been around.
- 48:40And so I think a lot of people who have gotten exposure through
- 48:44ETFs probably think that right now is the time to sell.
- 48:50Right now is the end of the bull market.
- 48:53And they're not actually tapped into everything else that's
- 48:56going on in the news and economics.
- 48:59And they kind of want to just like take their 2040%, which is
- 49:03a lot for them and you know, call it a day, but what are they
- 49:08going to do when you know that? And that means that the demand
- 49:12has cooled off. But that doesn't necessarily
- 49:15mean that these corporations are not buying Bitcoin for
- 49:19themselves to have in reserves. That doesn't mean that they're
- 49:24not going to have these cheap SAT's for, you know, for for
- 49:28what it's worth available and then sell it to their customers
- 49:34for a lot more in the future. Because don't forget like people
- 49:38FOMO into Bitcoin and if they see a spike in the price and all
- 49:44of a sudden it continue to go up, they're going to say, oh
- 49:47wow, OK, this is still rallying. So I'm going to buy a little bit
- 49:50just to see where it goes. And it happens every single time
- 49:53without fail. I don't think that the
- 49:56corporations are necessarily not buying Bitcoin.
- 49:59I think their clients aren't buying Bitcoin.
- 50:02And that is kind of like what I'm reading between the lines
- 50:06here because I don't see, I don't see why these corporations
- 50:10would stop buying Bitcoin at these prices.
- 50:13I mean, isn't that why supposedly they were shaking the
- 50:16weak hands? Isn't that why, you know, or at
- 50:20least like that's that's what a lot of people were speculating.
- 50:23Oh, the government, the institutions are all shaking
- 50:25weak hands so that they can buy cheap sats.
- 50:28Well, here they are. It's time to buy them.
- 50:33And you know, while their clients might be missing the
- 50:36boat, I think that there is absolutely no way Uncle Larry,
- 50:42Bitcoin Employee of the Year, is going to be missing out on this.
- 50:47I couldn't agree more. And I think one of those big
- 50:51institutions is Cantor Fitzgerald.
- 50:53I think we're going to try to play you guys a video of what
- 50:56they just recently said about Bitcoin and it being a better
- 51:01commodity than gold, because I think this kind of gives us a
- 51:04little bit of an insight of where they think Bitcoin's going
- 51:08long term. I think you're going.
- 51:09To have to play that one because I don't have it.
- 51:12Well, if this audio doesn't work for you guys, we can summarize
- 51:15it. It's just a short little clip.
- 51:18Just make a full screen. Also, Oh, I don't think the
- 51:21audio's working here. Send me that.
- 51:23Send me that and I will. We can summarize it for the
- 51:29people. We've got Cantor Fitzgerald
- 51:31employees coming out and saying that there is no top to Bitcoin.
- 51:36It's far more valuable than gold.
- 51:39And I, I think this is again, this is another signpost because
- 51:42Cantor Fitzgerald massive, massive Bitcoin bull.
- 51:47I think Howard Lutnick in his personal portfolio has 40% of
- 51:52his money in micro strategy. Again, I think this is a huge
- 51:57signpost. I think he is more connected
- 52:00than most when it comes to just rubbing shoulders with Donald
- 52:06Trump and knowing the insurance and the outs of potentially what
- 52:10is coming next. So I, I think we always like to
- 52:14just show you the signposts here.
- 52:16And I think if Cantor Fitzgerald is saying there is no ceiling on
- 52:19how high Bitcoin can go, I, I think that should maybe give the
- 52:24people a little bit of pause when they see charts like this,
- 52:28because I've seen a lot of people show this chart.
- 52:30And look, I think Ogs and long term holders have sold some of
- 52:34their Bitcoin. They do it every cycle.
- 52:37They sell when the Bitcoin price gets above its previous all time
- 52:40high, it's natural to peel a little bit of Bitcoin off.
- 52:44But I think I've seen this chart get shown a lot recently and I
- 52:48think maybe some things that could be a little bit different
- 52:51with this chart that might explain why there are so many
- 52:54yellow and red lines. Is bitcoins becoming more
- 52:59institutionalized? We do have all of these public
- 53:03treasury companies, like 21 with Jack Marlers.
- 53:08We've got micro strategy. Adam Back was involved in
- 53:12creating a different publicly traded company recently.
- 53:15And the way that a lot of these companies are getting created is
- 53:19a lot of these OG bitcoiners, they're putting their Bitcoin
- 53:23into the treasury to start it. So while you might have this
- 53:26chart that says, and it's titled OG whale dumping, this isn't
- 53:32necessarily dumping. What they're showing is
- 53:35addresses that are 5 years old and seven years old in the
- 53:39yellow and the red. They are moving Bitcoin that
- 53:42hasn't moved for five to seven years, but this might not
- 53:46actually be getting sold. Sure, some of this could be cell
- 53:50pressure, not denying that. There's again, if you had to ask
- 53:53me to put a probability on it, probably 10 or 20% of the lines
- 53:55here is cell pressure. It's natural to take profits,
- 53:58especially if Bitcoin's at 100K and three years ago is AT25K15K.
- 54:04Yeah, people. People forget that they want to
- 54:06live their lives like a lot of the reason that some of these
- 54:09people got in was not was to store their wealth and to
- 54:14protect their wealth. So why wouldn't they be spending
- 54:17it on things that they like to do?
- 54:20Exactly. Bitcoin is money.
- 54:22We're supposed to spend a little bit of it as it goes up in
- 54:26value. Now Speaking of it's going up in
- 54:29value, I think we have a very, very interesting indicator that
- 54:34we want to be looking at in the next segment of today's show
- 54:38that might maybe suggest that Bitcoin is going to be going up
- 54:41in value in the not too distant future.
- 54:43But again, before we get to that, let's give one more shout
- 54:46out to today's show partners before we wrap this thing up and
- 54:49show you guys the indicator that I love more than anything else.
- 54:53Same. I want to give a shout out to
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- 56:58All right, guys, the Mcrib is officially back in the United
- 57:05States. We had originally broken this
- 57:07news and said that it was back in New Zealand, but forget all
- 57:12that. It's now back in the homeland.
- 57:17And what does that mean? A lot of people, you know, say
- 57:21that memes imitate life, art imitates life, life imitates
- 57:25art. And this is one of those moments
- 57:27because every single time that the Mcrib has come back, the
- 57:31price of Bitcoin has pumped. Is that something that might
- 57:34happen this time around? I'm not sure.
- 57:37I'm just giving you the indicators, however.
- 57:41You know. It did launch and so I am very
- 57:44excited for that because I also just like M Slob and kind of
- 57:48like the MC rib well here. We go confession.
- 57:52I eat a McDonald's every now and then, but I've never had a MC
- 57:54rib. Maybe it's not a South American
- 57:56thing, but let's start a protest.
- 57:58Get this thing it's. Disgusting, but like.
- 58:02But. It's also amazing so you know
- 58:06you got to try it at least once. The MC.
- 58:09Rib is back and again, I think the timing of the MC rib coming
- 58:13back, it's interesting timing that's for sure.
- 58:16Bitcoin just touched its fifty week moving average.
- 58:20And hey, last time that happened, the MC rib came back
- 58:24in early 2025 when Bitcoin, what are we, we got out of the
- 58:28purgatory of $60,000. We were there for six, 7-8
- 58:33months. Everybody was calling it over.
- 58:36Everybody was saying pack it up, boys, Black rocks distributing,
- 58:41pack it up and girls, we got Sophie on the stream, but
- 58:44everybody said it's over and again.
- 58:46It's what's really interesting is I got a pop up just a moment
- 58:49ago looking at Bitcoin fear and greed.
- 58:52And what's fascinating for me, I've never seen the sentiment as
- 58:58horrifically bearish at it as it is right now, especially with
- 59:03Bitcoin, what, 20% away from an all time high?
- 59:08Let's pull that up. We are right now 24 that is
- 59:12fearful. That's abysmal.
- 59:14It is, but it's really. Accurate.
- 59:16I think a lot of people feel that way.
- 59:18A lot of people are not hopeful that we are going to make it out
- 59:22of this because let's be, let's be real, this has been a bear
- 59:26market. The Trump administration has
- 59:28been a bear market guys. And, and what we thought was
- 59:32going to be, you know, 203 hundred, some people were even
- 59:37saying $500,000. Bitcoin has literally just been
- 59:41crab walking side to side. However, a serious indicator of
- 59:47what might be to come, aside from the Cantor Fitzgerald's of
- 59:51the world rubbing shoulders with the Trump administration, is
- 59:56Trump's son himself. And no, not our favorite Baron.
- 1:00:00But Eric Trump said recently in an interview that he believes
- 1:00:06that at some point, maybe not soon, but at some point, Bitcoin
- 1:00:11may hit. $1,000,000 a coin and that he's still optimistic about
- 1:00:17Q4. So here he is saying like giving
- 1:00:21an interview about and answering a question about this topic.
- 1:00:27I don't know if we can play it. Can we play it?
- 1:00:29We don't have it. I don't have it on our end.
- 1:00:31We are. We're.
- 1:00:33We are. We are you know, you're just
- 1:00:35going to have to trust us bro. He, he did say this and it was
- 1:00:39recent, I think it was 2 days ago.
- 1:00:41So again, between China asking for their Bitcoin back Taiwan
- 1:00:49starting to look into a Bitcoin strategic reserve, the
- 1:00:54quantitative easing that is about to occur in China,
- 1:00:59followed by likely the Fed after QT ends in December.
- 1:01:05These are all signs that we might be gearing up for one of
- 1:01:09the biggest bull runs in our history.
- 1:01:12And you know it. I, I kind of feel like our
- 1:01:15patience has been tested and therefore must be rewarded at
- 1:01:20some point because if not, if I don't believe that I'm going to
- 1:01:24go crazy honestly, all like this is going to be if I have to wait
- 1:01:26another four years for a bull run like Satoshi and I are going
- 1:01:32to have some problems. But.
- 1:01:34But it sounds like we are now gearing up and like these cycles
- 1:01:38are transitioning from being bullish in Q4 to being bullish
- 1:01:43in Q1 of, you know, two years after the halving.
- 1:01:47It seems like since the institutions and the government
- 1:01:52has come onto the scene, all of our, you know, models and the
- 1:01:57cycles as we know it are breaking.
- 1:01:59And I think a couple of like last week or something, Opti and
- 1:02:04I had covered on the show how the only model that has made
- 1:02:08sense. Oh my God.
- 1:02:08And Luke's going to get mad at this 'cause he said on the show,
- 1:02:11he's like, Luke's going to hate that we're saying this.
- 1:02:13But the only model that has kind of made sense is the power law
- 1:02:19model. And like, I'm not saying that
- 1:02:22we're going to have to wait an eternity or double the amount of
- 1:02:26time in this case for Bitcoin to double.
- 1:02:29But I think that that is adding to this hypothesis that it's
- 1:02:36being pushed right. We, we might have experienced
- 1:02:41bull runs or these huge in October, then we experienced
- 1:02:46them like more towards the end of the year.
- 1:02:47And now January might be looking like our month, but we'll see.
- 1:02:54I don't know anything. This is not financial.
- 1:02:58Advice. Never financial advice, but
- 1:03:02that's kind of where I sit. I, I saw, I haven't had the time
- 1:03:05to dive into this rabbit hole super deep, but I saw a lot of
- 1:03:08people saying America is extending the maturity of its
- 1:03:11debt. So instead of rolling over one
- 1:03:13year, 2 year, three-year debt, then more going out on the long
- 1:03:16end of the curve and they're doing 2 year, three-year, 4
- 1:03:18year, five year debt. So that's kind of elongated the
- 1:03:22liquidity cycle a little bit, which explains the chart we're
- 1:03:25talking about earlier, why we haven't seen that big spike in
- 1:03:28M2 like we see at the end of these four year cycles.
- 1:03:32So that's kind of where I am. Again, historically, it's been
- 1:03:35the worst Bitcoin bull run ever. You mentioned it, the power law.
- 1:03:41Oh wow my. I'm sorry, Luke.
- 1:03:44I'm sorry. Right with the power law.
- 1:03:48I I won't go off on a 10 minute power law rant like I did
- 1:03:53yesterday, but all I'm gonna say is what I tweeted a couple of
- 1:03:56days ago. The power law will claim it's
- 1:03:58right if the price of bitcoins between 50,000 Yeah No 5. 100
- 1:04:02No, the margins are like, really?
- 1:04:05You're actually, that's a really good point, the market because
- 1:04:07when Nico was talking to me about it and like kind of
- 1:04:09talking me off a ledge and telling me, hey, like, you know,
- 1:04:12everything's gonna be OK, He was saying like, look, like this is
- 1:04:16when the next all time high could be according to the power
- 1:04:19law. There is this other model while
- 1:04:21he was like explaining it to me and I was like, OK, and he and
- 1:04:26you know, one of the he's like and the bottom could be I was
- 1:04:28like the bottom. There could be there's a bottom
- 1:04:32to this power law thing and it's super low.
- 1:04:35Like, wait, what are you talking about?
- 1:04:37Like this is like this. It pretty much said nothing to
- 1:04:41me after that. Once he brought up the bottom, I
- 1:04:44just thought that we were talking about like average
- 1:04:46prices or just tops. I was like, I was cool with
- 1:04:49that. But then he mentioned a range.
- 1:04:52Absolutely not. We're I'm so done with ranges.
- 1:04:57For anyone who doesn't know what we're talking about right now,
- 1:05:00I'll pull up a quick chart of the the power law.
- 1:05:02I I think it's the most bearish model in Bitcoin.
- 1:05:06I've I've had my gripes with the power law here it is This is the
- 1:05:09power law. It's supposedly the the great
- 1:05:12the great predictor of price. It looks as if the bottom right
- 1:05:17now 2025, it's I can't. It's somewhere around 50 to 60
- 1:05:22to $70,000 I believe. But again, I think long term, we
- 1:05:26all know where this thing's going absolutely long.
- 1:05:28Term like we know that for sure. I just think that because we've
- 1:05:32talked about the cycles for such a long time and we've had this
- 1:05:35expectation built up in our minds.
- 1:05:38It's, it's painful, it's just feelings, right?
- 1:05:45Let's leave today's show on pain, Pain, fear.
- 1:05:48I don't think it's. Necessary because there's so
- 1:05:51many other that listen, once I saw that China was in the mix
- 1:05:57and that they were going to start to, I mean, in my opinion,
- 1:06:01compete with the United States on holding Bitcoin, not just in
- 1:06:06China, but through their other, because I like to call it
- 1:06:10satellite countries, Taiwan and and and Hong Kong, I think and
- 1:06:18Bhutan you had mentioned earlier as well, right?
- 1:06:20I think that the way that they're doing it all sneaky is
- 1:06:25the signal that we are, we are going to start competing with
- 1:06:29them on that front as well. We we just won't have a choice.
- 1:06:33It'll be whether we like to do it or not.
- 1:06:35We're just gonna have to, because China's doing it.
- 1:06:41It's hard not to be bullish, and I think that's the signal.
- 1:06:44I think it's impossible to be pessimistic on Bitcoin right now
- 1:06:48when you've got America and China, two largest nation states
- 1:06:52in the world fight, literally fighting over 127,000 Bitcoin.
- 1:06:57I think that is all the signal and let's take.
- 1:07:00It the other way around too, right, The UK and which is, you
- 1:07:05know, they're not part of the EU, but the UK which is like
- 1:07:09having their own troubles and they're not even like really
- 1:07:12competing that much. They have the third biggest
- 1:07:16Bitcoin reserve in the world. You know, Europe is just like
- 1:07:20completely not even in the competition at this point.
- 1:07:23And I think that that's why they're trying to launch a
- 1:07:26central bank digital currency. They're trying to see how they
- 1:07:29can keep control without having to necessarily adopt Bitcoin
- 1:07:33because they know that, you know, once they do that, the EU
- 1:07:37is totally over. And these countries will go back
- 1:07:40to having their own currency and their own monetary policies.
- 1:07:44But you're going to see more and more serious countries come up
- 1:07:51and say, hey, I want in and they're going to figure out a
- 1:07:55way to get it. And right now it might be
- 1:07:57through seizure, it might be through this petty fighting, it
- 1:08:00might be through XY and Z. But eventually something's going
- 1:08:03to have to give because Bitcoin is absolutely scarce.
- 1:08:07They're going to have to capitulate and buy Bitcoin and
- 1:08:10put energy behind it and infrastructure and start ban,
- 1:08:14sorry, mining on a national level.
- 1:08:17And I think that's what Trump supposedly promised.
- 1:08:20Let's see if he comes through on that promise.
- 1:08:23But that is what China is already doing.
- 1:08:26And they have the, they have the land, they have the power, they
- 1:08:30have the infrastructure to do this sort of thing.
- 1:08:33So we as a country here in the US have to get it together and
- 1:08:39start accelerating because once China starts to do it, we might
- 1:08:45actually fall behind. I'm team.
- 1:08:50Put gasoline on that bitch. Slide it up.
- 1:08:57I don't think I can add anything to that, Sophie.
- 1:09:00I think that's a beautiful note to end today's show on if you
- 1:09:03don't have anything else to leave the incredible listeners
- 1:09:07and viewers with today, I just. Want to thank you guys for
- 1:09:09tuning in. Thank you guys for giving Luke
- 1:09:12and IA chance to be your host today.
- 1:09:15Nico and I will be back in the driver's seat tomorrow and
- 1:09:20Friday and then all will be normal.
- 1:09:23You will have Niko and Opti back on Monday.
- 1:09:27Right now they are at Mining Disrupt.
- 1:09:29If you want, you can check out that live stream.
- 1:09:32I am also coming out with a new episode of Satoshi tomorrow and
- 1:09:37Friday and potentially Monday because I'm covering for Dante
- 1:09:42and Rustin. So if you guys love the show,
- 1:09:46smash the like button, hit the subscribe, turn on that
- 1:09:50notification bell so that you can get the most bullish signal
- 1:09:54in Bitcoin only news. And until tomorrow.
- 1:09:58Thank you guys so much for watching Peace.
- 1:10:02Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:10:05Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable financial
- 1:10:08independence.