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WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball NIT & NHL & NBA & MLB Opening Day | 3/25/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:09
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:12
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:15
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four that
0:30
Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
0:34
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
0:38
Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins
0:42
Speaker 1: hack Man, I don't know what is going on with
0:44
Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
0:47
Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
0:54
Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
0:56
Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have with you,
1:00
Speaker 1: as I always am until I die, at least oh
1:04
Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
1:07
Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
1:11
Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
1:14
Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump yesterdays,
1:17
Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
1:25
Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody?
1:34
Speaker 1: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Wednesday,
1:38
Speaker 1: March twenty fifth. It is Major League Baseball opening day.
1:41
Speaker 1: And I will have one play on the entire day,
1:44
Speaker 1: and it is in the baseball game. We'll go for it. Hopefully,
1:48
Speaker 1: hopefully I get it right. Man. There's some nit going on,
1:53
Speaker 1: a little bit of hockey, and the majority of the
1:56
Speaker 1: action today is NBA. But I actually I hate NBA board.
2:00
Speaker 1: I hate it. There are a bunch of games and
2:02
Speaker 1: I just don't even really see an angle that I
2:05
Speaker 1: want at all. So we're gonna talk about it. Charles,
2:10
Speaker 1: what's up? They started hanging out? All right? Uh, it's
2:14
Speaker 1: just jump Oh well last yeah, I forgot last night,
2:18
Speaker 1: own one last night and yeah, Seattle, I mean, stop
2:22
Speaker 1: doing that to me, man, Like, if you're gonna be
2:24
Speaker 1: down three goals in the in the third period, just
2:27
Speaker 1: lose four to one, dude, Like, do not tease me
2:30
Speaker 1: like that. They were losing four to one with like
2:32
Speaker 1: ten minutes to go, and they tied the game and
2:34
Speaker 1: sending it to overtime and they lost in a shootout.
2:38
Speaker 1: Come on, man, like, just don't even pretend like you're
2:41
Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna win that game when you're not. You know, Uh,
2:45
Speaker 1: that was bad, although I guess it made me look
2:48
Speaker 1: better the fact that it was an underdog that took
2:51
Speaker 1: the game into overtime, which is pretty much what you
2:53
Speaker 1: want when you have an underdog. But yeah, I'm not
2:55
Speaker 1: happy about that. Not happy about how things went last
2:58
Speaker 1: night from a root of perspective either. But let's get
3:01
Speaker 1: into today. We have NIT two games here in the quarterfinals,
3:05
Speaker 1: so a couple of the semifinals, or well, one of
3:11
Speaker 1: the semifinal games I think has already decided. The teams
3:13
Speaker 1: that played yesterday are going to play each other. So
3:16
Speaker 1: we're getting to the final four and the NIT here now,
3:19
Speaker 1: and I don't even know where the final four is
3:21
Speaker 1: being played off have to figure that out before it happens.
3:25
Speaker 1: So Tulsa and New Mexico both advanced last night, the
3:28
Speaker 1: two home favorites and I was correct about both of those,
3:31
Speaker 1: except depending on what number you got, Tulsa might not
3:34
Speaker 1: have covered. Even though they were winning that game thirty
3:36
Speaker 1: to six out of the gate and then they only
3:39
Speaker 1: won by four. I don't know what to tell you
3:43
Speaker 1: about that. Like Wichita doesn't have an offense that's equipped
3:47
Speaker 1: enough to come back from a massive deficit like that.
3:50
Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened. One thing I forgot
3:52
Speaker 1: to mention is that Tulsa is actually without one of
3:54
Speaker 1: their best players, Green, So that was part of thee
3:58
Speaker 1: because I was wondering. I was like, the line seemed
4:01
Speaker 1: too low on that game, but part of it was
4:03
Speaker 1: because of Green not being there. Dirty sock, what's up?
4:07
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right? I think his name
4:10
Speaker 1: is Green. I don't know. I don't know what I'm
4:11
Speaker 1: talking about. All right. Over in the other semifinals here
4:14
Speaker 1: or quarterfinals, excuse the Illinois State is playing Dayton at Dayton,
4:18
Speaker 1: so the higher seed is still hosting these games here.
4:22
Speaker 1: Illinois State has already won a road game. They won
4:26
Speaker 1: at home in the first round against Kent State. Then
4:28
Speaker 1: they went to Wake Forest and beat them as a
4:31
Speaker 1: seven point underdog or something like that. So that was
4:34
Speaker 1: a big upset for Illinois State. Now they got to
4:36
Speaker 1: do it again and pull off another upset if they
4:38
Speaker 1: want to advance here going to Dayton. Dayton pretty decent team.
4:43
Speaker 1: Dayton has beaten Bradley Annuancy Woman to both on the road.
4:47
Speaker 1: So crazy. This is Dayton's first home game of the tournament. Now,
4:54
Speaker 1: very strange how that works. I think they are a
4:56
Speaker 1: two seed and they're grouping or whatever, but they face
4:58
Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know how it works. But
5:00
Speaker 1: now they get an actual home game here, which is insane.
5:06
Speaker 1: This is a tough call. The money looks like it's
5:08
Speaker 1: coming in on Dayton a little bit. They're up to
5:10
Speaker 1: seven and a half sixty nine ticket, seventy percent of
5:13
Speaker 1: the cash on Daton here. Sorry, I got like seeds
5:17
Speaker 1: in my teeth from the oatmeal, dude, I don't even
5:19
Speaker 1: know what the fuck the like flax seeds there's I
5:21
Speaker 1: don't know what these even are. I got it out anyway,
5:25
Speaker 1: sixty nine per ticket, seventy percent of the cash on Dayton.
5:30
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't have a good feel on the
5:32
Speaker 1: side in this game at all. I think Dayton should
5:34
Speaker 1: win the game. I mean, obviously because they're a decent
5:36
Speaker 1: sized favorite. I would probably go under in this game
5:40
Speaker 1: if I was gonna do anything with it, just because
5:42
Speaker 1: both these teams play slow and they're both a lot
5:44
Speaker 1: better on defense than offense. It looks like some of
5:47
Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the under with that
5:48
Speaker 1: total being at one thirty nine and a half. I
5:52
Speaker 1: don't have a good feel for it though. The other
5:54
Speaker 1: games Nevada and Auburn. Nevada, this is gonna be their
5:58
Speaker 1: first road game of the turn. They beat Murray State
6:01
Speaker 1: in Liberty at home. Now they got to travel from
6:04
Speaker 1: Reno all the way to Alabama. Might be difficult, man,
6:08
Speaker 1: having not played a road game in this tournament, they
6:11
Speaker 1: haven't played a true road game in quite a while,
6:13
Speaker 1: and they have not played one in an unfamiliar environment
6:16
Speaker 1: probably since then on conference schedules. So this is gonna
6:19
Speaker 1: be weird for Nevada here now. Motivationally, yeah, they're gonna
6:23
Speaker 1: get up for this game because they get to play
6:25
Speaker 1: an SEC team here. Auburn looking like they're trying to
6:29
Speaker 1: win this thing, but they're coming off kind of a
6:31
Speaker 1: scare against Seattle. But you know me, I like that
6:34
Speaker 1: when a team is coming off a bad performance is
6:36
Speaker 1: a big favorite and they barely got by. I think
6:39
Speaker 1: they tend to give you a better effort in the
6:40
Speaker 1: next game. So I actually like Auburn in this game.
6:45
Speaker 1: Auburn actually seems like they might have a little bit
6:47
Speaker 1: of a like a reason to play in this tournament too,
6:51
Speaker 1: to just you know, kind of prove people wrong, like, hey,
6:54
Speaker 1: we belonged in the tournament, like SMU looked like shit,
6:57
Speaker 1: like we're better than they are. Let's win the NIT,
7:00
Speaker 1: you know. I mean Auburn power ratings wise, they are
7:02
Speaker 1: the best team in the NIT. They're minus ten here,
7:05
Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets, fifty four percent of the cash
7:07
Speaker 1: coming in on the Nevada side. But I think I
7:09
Speaker 1: would lean towards laying it with Auburn in that one.
7:12
Speaker 1: And that's the College of Basketball for today. All right.
7:17
Speaker 1: We have NHL. I don't have a strong feel for
7:21
Speaker 1: like any of these games that I'm talking about here.
7:23
Speaker 1: There are two NHL games here, don't I don't like
7:26
Speaker 1: how the NHL is this lop sided memory. It's like
7:28
Speaker 1: you get fifteen games one day and to the next like,
7:32
Speaker 1: just give me like seven and eight, you know what
7:34
Speaker 1: I mean or whatever. I know that doesn't add up,
7:36
Speaker 1: but you know what I mean, give me eight and nine.
7:42
Speaker 1: My Boston Bruins are playing on a back to back,
7:45
Speaker 1: going to Buffalo on TNT, True TV and HBO Max.
7:49
Speaker 1: Bruins had a terrible loss last night to Toronto. I
7:52
Speaker 1: thought it wasn't the greatest spot for them because they
7:55
Speaker 1: did have this Buffalo game upcoming. I thought the Bruins
7:57
Speaker 1: would use corporate Salo last night. I think it's save
8:00
Speaker 1: Swayman for the Buffalo game. They didn't do it. They
8:03
Speaker 1: played Swaman last night and they didn't even win, which
8:05
Speaker 1: is really bad. I think they give up an empty
8:08
Speaker 1: net goal at the end of that game. I think
8:10
Speaker 1: it was closer than the four to two final. But
8:13
Speaker 1: they're coming up a bad game at home going out
8:15
Speaker 1: on the road. Potentially last night they were looking ahead
8:18
Speaker 1: to this game anyway, so I think you will get
8:20
Speaker 1: an effort out of the Bruins. I know it's a
8:22
Speaker 1: back to back, but they did play. Excuse me, they
8:25
Speaker 1: had two days off prior to playing yesterday, so I
8:29
Speaker 1: actually kind of lean to the Bruins in this one.
8:31
Speaker 1: But part of that reason is also because Buffaloes are
8:35
Speaker 1: turning on from a road trip to the Pacific time zone.
8:38
Speaker 1: They went out and they had a pretty successful road
8:40
Speaker 1: trip out in Vegas and California, and now they're coming
8:43
Speaker 1: back home from that, and yes, they've had two days off,
8:45
Speaker 1: so they do have a rest advantage here sort of,
8:48
Speaker 1: but they had to travel across country, man and getting
8:52
Speaker 1: back home and having to get back to home life
8:54
Speaker 1: or whatever. A lot of times you will be a
8:56
Speaker 1: bit distracted coming out of that type of situation. And
8:59
Speaker 1: they have Detroit on deck, which is maybe a bigger
9:02
Speaker 1: game than the Bruins. So I actually lean to the
9:05
Speaker 1: Bruins in this game. I don't want to do it,
9:08
Speaker 1: but I would lean that way. Buffalo is a big
9:11
Speaker 1: favorite up to minus one ninety six for minus one
9:13
Speaker 1: seventy eight ninety tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash
9:17
Speaker 1: on Buffalo, So the money is indicating sort of on Buffalo.
9:21
Speaker 1: But it basically looks like Buffalo is gonna be a
9:23
Speaker 1: huge public side here. You might be able to get
9:25
Speaker 1: the Bruins at like a puck line that's a pretty
9:28
Speaker 1: good price there and basically make it like a spread
9:30
Speaker 1: bet probably what I would do there. Rangers are at Toronto.
9:36
Speaker 1: Toronto also played yesterday. Like I said, they just beat
9:39
Speaker 1: the Bruins, which was a decent win Toronto. I mean,
9:42
Speaker 1: they're just playing out the stretch at this point. I
9:44
Speaker 1: think I don't think they have any realistic expectations here.
9:48
Speaker 1: They're coming back home after two days on two games
9:51
Speaker 1: on the road, but only Ottawa Boston. Now they're back home,
9:54
Speaker 1: they go right back out on the road after this.
9:56
Speaker 1: The Rangers have been an awful team recently, though. The
10:00
Speaker 1: Yves did actually lose at Madison Square Garden against the
10:03
Speaker 1: Rangers six to two on March fifth, one of the
10:06
Speaker 1: rare home wins for the Rangers. So I guess you
10:10
Speaker 1: could make the argument that Toronto's gonna show up for this,
10:12
Speaker 1: but I don't know, man. After they got that win
10:15
Speaker 1: last night, the Rangers didn't play last night. Rangers lost
10:19
Speaker 1: at home and it was an embarrassing performance on Monday
10:22
Speaker 1: where they only had nine shots on goal, which was
10:25
Speaker 1: like a historic low in the NHL, absolutely ridiculous. They
10:31
Speaker 1: might come into this game with a bit more firepower
10:34
Speaker 1: after that, like actually taking shots for once. So I
10:38
Speaker 1: actually like the Rangers here, which makes sense because they're
10:41
Speaker 1: on the road. They're minus one fifteen, so the oddsmakers
10:44
Speaker 1: are telling you the Rangers are actually better than the
10:47
Speaker 1: Leaves Here Road favorite ninety three percent of the tickets,
10:51
Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash on the Range's not
10:53
Speaker 1: much to take away from that. It looks like there'll
10:55
Speaker 1: be a public side, but I think the Rangers are
10:58
Speaker 1: the correct side in that game. All right. I don't
11:01
Speaker 1: want to do it, obviously, but those are my thoughts
11:04
Speaker 1: on him. Yeah, I mean I lean to the Bruins.
11:08
Speaker 1: I'm trying to not be biased about trying to form
11:13
Speaker 1: an opinion on what will happen in these actual games.
11:18
Speaker 1: NBA a lot of games tonight. There's an ESPN double header.
11:21
Speaker 1: There's like a dozen games I think here. First game
11:25
Speaker 1: up on the double header is Atlanta at Detroit, which
11:27
Speaker 1: is probably not exactly what the schedule makers thought it
11:31
Speaker 1: was gonna because Detroit doesn't have Kid Cunningham and I
11:33
Speaker 1: don't know when he's coming back to and he has
11:35
Speaker 1: a collapsed lung, which is not good. Obviously, Detroit is
11:40
Speaker 1: gonna be the one seed in the East most likely,
11:42
Speaker 1: and you'll see when we do. I'll probably have Clint
11:46
Speaker 1: on for a Bald episode to break down the playoff
11:51
Speaker 1: bracket for the NBA. But needless to say, I'm not
11:54
Speaker 1: gonna have Detroit even winning the Eastern Conference, which if
11:58
Speaker 1: you listen to me, you know that I don't think
12:00
Speaker 1: they're actually the best team. So but Atlanta, they've been hot.
12:04
Speaker 1: Atlanta on a huge hot streak. They had one loss
12:09
Speaker 1: in there, but they've been good so far. But if
12:11
Speaker 1: you look at this win streak, as I keep pointing out,
12:14
Speaker 1: basically all the wins are against bad teams, and the
12:17
Speaker 1: one loss in there was against the best team they played,
12:20
Speaker 1: which was Houston on the road. Now they're going to
12:23
Speaker 1: Detroit here on the road. That is a step up
12:26
Speaker 1: in class. And Atlanta just put up one hundred and
12:28
Speaker 1: forty six points on Monday against Memphis. Maybe, feeling high
12:32
Speaker 1: on themselves, maybe they take Detroit more lightly than they
12:35
Speaker 1: would otherwise because Detroit doesn't have Cunningham right now, although
12:38
Speaker 1: maybe you don't because Detroit does a really good record,
12:41
Speaker 1: maybe you still pay attention to them. Detroit. I don't
12:44
Speaker 1: love the spot for them though. They're coming off a
12:45
Speaker 1: big win over the Lakers, ending the Lakers win streak,
12:50
Speaker 1: so I don't love that. But it is a home
12:53
Speaker 1: game for them on ESPN. This is a very difficult
12:56
Speaker 1: game to figure out Detroit's a two and a half
12:58
Speaker 1: point favorite. It looks like the sort of indicating on Atlanta.
13:02
Speaker 1: Fifty percent of tickets, fifty four percent of the cash
13:04
Speaker 1: on the Hawks. My read on this was I would
13:08
Speaker 1: slightly lean to the Hawks here because I think the
13:10
Speaker 1: Piston's coming off the Laker game that was kind of
13:13
Speaker 1: a big win, So that's a little bit worse of
13:15
Speaker 1: a spot. But I don't have a good read on
13:17
Speaker 1: that game at all. All right, Lakers at Indiana. Lakers
13:22
Speaker 1: just had a big game against Detroit, like I said,
13:24
Speaker 1: ended the Lakers win streak. So the Lakers had won
13:28
Speaker 1: nine games in a row, I think, and then lost
13:31
Speaker 1: in a close, big game, and now they're finishing a
13:33
Speaker 1: road trip here. I think it's a bad spot for
13:36
Speaker 1: the Lakers. You know, they've been on the road for
13:39
Speaker 1: quite a while now. That was a big game, A
13:42
Speaker 1: big game alone, when it's a tough game, close game,
13:44
Speaker 1: that can hang you over when you lose a win streak.
13:47
Speaker 1: You can also lose the same game twice effectively, and
13:50
Speaker 1: that can hang you over as well. They also did
13:53
Speaker 1: just beat Indiana at home back on March six by eleven,
13:56
Speaker 1: so they might not really take Indiana. That seriously. Now,
14:00
Speaker 1: my problem with Atlanta or excuse thee Indiana is that
14:03
Speaker 1: they're coming off a win that we had on the
14:05
Speaker 1: show the other day on Monday. I gave you guys
14:07
Speaker 1: at Indiana against Orlando. Indiana got the outright win. I'm
14:13
Speaker 1: not totally interested in playing Indiana off of a big
14:16
Speaker 1: upset win where they were thirteen and a half point underdogs.
14:19
Speaker 1: I think they closed like twelve twelve and a half.
14:23
Speaker 1: I can't quite get there with it. I leaned to
14:25
Speaker 1: Indiana in this game, but I don't think I could
14:27
Speaker 1: do it. Although they actually ended a fifteen or sixteen
14:30
Speaker 1: game losing streak with that win. So a lot of
14:33
Speaker 1: times when a team ends a losing streak, they will
14:35
Speaker 1: actually have new momentum and it will actually break that
14:39
Speaker 1: losing momentum and they'll play better here. So we do
14:41
Speaker 1: have a situation where the Lakers just lost a win streak,
14:44
Speaker 1: the Pacers just lost a losing streak, so both of
14:47
Speaker 1: those streaks ended, and that would actually be an indicator
14:51
Speaker 1: that you should look to the Pacers here. So I do.
14:56
Speaker 1: That's the way that I lean, but I can't get
14:59
Speaker 1: there with it. Seventy percent of ticket sixty eight percent
15:01
Speaker 1: of the cash on the Lakers, double digit favorite. They're
15:05
Speaker 1: eleven and a half down to ten and a half.
15:07
Speaker 1: It looks like here. Yeah, I don't have a whole
15:11
Speaker 1: lot else to say about that, but I would lean
15:12
Speaker 1: towards taking the points with the Pacers. Uh. Chicago at Philadelphia.
15:17
Speaker 1: I think if I was gonna play any game, it
15:19
Speaker 1: would actually be this one, which might sound crazy. I
15:24
Speaker 1: don't know, but Chicago's coming off two big games against
15:27
Speaker 1: Cleveland where they played really close, they had a few
15:30
Speaker 1: days off, and then they beat Houston pretty good win there.
15:33
Speaker 1: Now they play an injured Philadelphia team. Chicago, remember, they're
15:37
Speaker 1: not going anywhere this season, so they're going to only
15:40
Speaker 1: get up for like specific games where they might be
15:43
Speaker 1: seriously motivated. They're coming off one of those games they
15:46
Speaker 1: got a huge win, and they have Oklahoma City on decks,
15:49
Speaker 1: so I actually think they might overlook Philadelphia. My concern
15:53
Speaker 1: might be that Philadelphia is probably going to be in
15:55
Speaker 1: the playoffs, or at least in the play in so
15:57
Speaker 1: maybe Chicago does still want to play spoiler here. But
16:01
Speaker 1: on the other hand, they know that this Philadelphia team
16:04
Speaker 1: has nobody playing for them right now, and Philadelphia is
16:07
Speaker 1: actually in kind of a good spot because they were
16:09
Speaker 1: turned home from a road trip lost to the Thunder
16:12
Speaker 1: by twenty points. And a lot of times when a
16:13
Speaker 1: team has a bad game in their first game back home,
16:16
Speaker 1: they played better in the next game back home. They
16:19
Speaker 1: have to go out on the road next. They probably
16:21
Speaker 1: want to split this home stand if they can. They're
16:24
Speaker 1: still fighting, you know, for playoff positioning and whatever, so
16:29
Speaker 1: Philadelphia does have some motivation here. It looks like Joel
16:32
Speaker 1: Embiid might play. He'd be questionable. But if he plays,
16:37
Speaker 1: that actually makes me not like Philadelphia as much, because
16:40
Speaker 1: you know, when you have these key players that come
16:43
Speaker 1: back from a long injury he's been out for like
16:45
Speaker 1: a month. When that happens, a lot of times, the
16:48
Speaker 1: team doesn't like Jel right away. So I don't like
16:51
Speaker 1: that if he comes back. Even if he does, though,
16:55
Speaker 1: I think I probably still do lean to Philadelphia here.
16:59
Speaker 1: If I was gonna play any game in the NBA,
17:00
Speaker 1: I actually think it would be this one. I would
17:02
Speaker 1: lay it with the seventy six ers, their six point favorite,
17:05
Speaker 1: seventy five percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
17:08
Speaker 1: cash on the Sixers money looks like it kind of
17:12
Speaker 1: agrees with it. That is the way I would lean.
17:13
Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for the Bulls, and I
17:15
Speaker 1: just don't really see the motivation as much for the
17:19
Speaker 1: Bulls there. So those are my thoughts on that. One
17:23
Speaker 1: of the big games of the night, one of the
17:25
Speaker 1: best games which is not part of the ESPN doubleheader.
17:29
Speaker 1: Oklahoma City at Boston. Really good game here. Oklahoma City
17:34
Speaker 1: beat the Celtics earlier this year, I think in Oklahoma City,
17:37
Speaker 1: I think they only played once. Yeah, it was a
17:42
Speaker 1: two point win that actually wasn't that long ago. I mean,
17:45
Speaker 1: both teams are gonna get up for this. Oklahoma City
17:47
Speaker 1: is on this big win streak right now, but they're
17:49
Speaker 1: finishing a road trip here. They've won every game on
17:52
Speaker 1: the road trip. This is the most difficult game of
17:54
Speaker 1: the road trip. But they might be getting a little
17:56
Speaker 1: bit tired here by the end of the road trip.
17:58
Speaker 1: And I think the spot is actually a little better
18:00
Speaker 1: for the Celtics because they're coming off losing as a
18:03
Speaker 1: home favorite in a game they really should have won.
18:05
Speaker 1: I don't know how they had such a bad fourth quarter,
18:09
Speaker 1: Like the Celtics were winning that game against the Tea Wolves.
18:12
Speaker 1: The whole time. It was the tee Wolves without Anthony Edwards. Again. Yeah,
18:17
Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened, because the Celtics were
18:19
Speaker 1: winning that game with like seven minutes left in the
18:21
Speaker 1: game and they lose my double digits as a nine
18:25
Speaker 1: point favorite with Anthony Edwards not playing. I think the
18:27
Speaker 1: Celtics just started looking ahead. They got completely caught there.
18:31
Speaker 1: I don't know what they did, but because that was
18:34
Speaker 1: kind of a bad performance, and I think they were
18:36
Speaker 1: looking ahead. They have two days off, they're staying at home.
18:41
Speaker 1: I think the spot is better for the Celtics here, man,
18:43
Speaker 1: So I would lean to the Celtics the thunder or
18:45
Speaker 1: two point favorite down from three and a half. It
18:48
Speaker 1: looks like sixty one percent ticket seventy two percent of
18:51
Speaker 1: the cash on Oklahoma City, but I don't agree with
18:53
Speaker 1: that cash percentage. I would lean towards the Celtics plus
18:57
Speaker 1: the points in that one. Oklahoma City has been really
19:02
Speaker 1: good on the road though twenty eight and eight. I mean,
19:05
Speaker 1: they're the best team in the NBA, so you got
19:07
Speaker 1: to be aware of that. Celtics one of the best
19:09
Speaker 1: teams in the East though, and they are good at
19:12
Speaker 1: home at the very least twenty four and eleven, So
19:16
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's some injuries in play here.
19:18
Speaker 1: It looks like not really for Oklahoma City. I mean,
19:21
Speaker 1: because they're the line dropped a little bit, but it
19:24
Speaker 1: wasn't because of injuries. There's not really anything going on
19:27
Speaker 1: there on the injury report. All right, Miami at Cleveland,
19:31
Speaker 1: which is not one of the ESPN games either. This
19:34
Speaker 1: is a decent game though, Miami fighting for playoff positioning.
19:38
Speaker 1: So is Cleveland. Although you know what, Cleveland might intentionally
19:42
Speaker 1: try to get the four seed, because think about it,
19:46
Speaker 1: if Cleveland gets the four seed, they'll probably they'll be
19:50
Speaker 1: at home in the first round. They'll probably win against
19:53
Speaker 1: like Toronto or some bad team like Atlanta whatever. Then
19:58
Speaker 1: they'll get to play an injured to fight team that
20:00
Speaker 1: isn't as good as people think they are, and they'll
20:02
Speaker 1: avoid the actual two best teams, the Celtics and the Knicks,
20:06
Speaker 1: and force them to play each other. And I don't
20:08
Speaker 1: like that as a Celtic fan, but that might be
20:12
Speaker 1: what the Calves are doing here, man, and it's probably
20:14
Speaker 1: smart if they do that. But you gotta be careful
20:16
Speaker 1: because you don't want to drop to the five seed either.
20:19
Speaker 1: The Calves just beat Orlando last night, so they aren't
20:22
Speaker 1: a back to back here. They're staying at home. They
20:24
Speaker 1: had two days off before that, but they were returning
20:26
Speaker 1: home from a road trip for the Heat. They got
20:30
Speaker 1: blasted by the Spurs in their last game, which was
20:34
Speaker 1: at home as well. Now they're going out on the road.
20:37
Speaker 1: They did not play yesterday. I think the spot is
20:40
Speaker 1: better for the Heat. They're on a five game losing
20:42
Speaker 1: streak right now, lost to some good teams in there.
20:44
Speaker 1: A couple of the games are pretty close. Yeah, I'm
20:48
Speaker 1: gonna lean to the Heat in this one. The Calves
20:50
Speaker 1: are a three point favorites, sixty three ticket seventy six
20:53
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Calves though, so the
20:56
Speaker 1: money is indicating on the Calves. I don't agree with it. Yeah,
21:00
Speaker 1: I think Heat are the right side in that game.
21:02
Speaker 1: But don't really have that strong of an opinion. But
21:05
Speaker 1: you know me, when I see a team that just
21:07
Speaker 1: got totally blown out at home and now they're starting
21:09
Speaker 1: a road trip, but I do like to look towards
21:11
Speaker 1: that team San Antonio at Memphis. San Antonio was the
21:18
Speaker 1: team that blew out the Heat. Like I said, I mean,
21:20
Speaker 1: they're on a nice win streak right now, six game
21:23
Speaker 1: win streak. Maybe they're feeling a bit high on themselves
21:26
Speaker 1: after putting up one hundred and thirty points to two
21:28
Speaker 1: straight games. Playing this injured Memphis team. It doesn't have
21:32
Speaker 1: a whole lot going on for Memphis, and San Antonio
21:35
Speaker 1: doesn't have anything up next though. They only have Milwaukee.
21:40
Speaker 1: Memphis coming off an embarrassing loss, or they lost by
21:43
Speaker 1: almost forty points to Atlanta, So you do have a
21:47
Speaker 1: San Antonio team off a blowout win, Memphis off a
21:49
Speaker 1: blowout loss. I like to look towards that team that's
21:52
Speaker 1: off the blowout loss. I know they're turning over from
21:54
Speaker 1: a road trip, but it was only Charlotte Atlanta, not
21:57
Speaker 1: a big deal there, very quick trip geographically likely they'll
22:02
Speaker 1: get up for a game after they got totally embarrassed
22:04
Speaker 1: by Atlanta. A Now they're playing a Spurs team that
22:07
Speaker 1: I think you'll get up for. I would lean to
22:08
Speaker 1: the Grizzlies plus the points here Spurs from minus seventeen
22:13
Speaker 1: up from fifteen and a half, eighty six percent of tickets,
22:16
Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on San Antonio. But yeah,
22:20
Speaker 1: I would take the points. San Antonio will be a
22:22
Speaker 1: public side there, Washington at Utah. This is a game
22:26
Speaker 1: two teams with absolutely nothing to play for. And you
22:29
Speaker 1: know what I talk about, These games tend to turn
22:31
Speaker 1: into scrimmages. And Washington's coming up giving up one hundred
22:36
Speaker 1: and forty five points to the Knicks on Sunday, so
22:39
Speaker 1: they will be at least rested here. They're on a
22:42
Speaker 1: really long losing streak. Maybe they will try to show
22:44
Speaker 1: up for a game. I wouldn't want to try to
22:46
Speaker 1: handicap the side in this game, though. Utah just gave
22:49
Speaker 1: them a ton of points as well, and scored a
22:51
Speaker 1: ton of points themselves as well, losing to Toronto a
22:55
Speaker 1: game where I said the over was in play in
22:57
Speaker 1: that game. I'm pretty sure so I was correct that
23:00
Speaker 1: that was very easy if you play the over in
23:03
Speaker 1: that game, Utah, they actually score a lot of points
23:07
Speaker 1: at home. They're staying at home here. Now. I know
23:09
Speaker 1: there's some rest involved here. In rest does tend to
23:12
Speaker 1: lend itself towards unders a little bit, because the offense
23:15
Speaker 1: can come out a little bit rusty. But I don't
23:19
Speaker 1: see these teams playing really intense deepfense here. You know
23:21
Speaker 1: what I mean. You have a situation where two teams
23:24
Speaker 1: they have nothing to play for, they're going nowhere. Guys
23:28
Speaker 1: don't want to get hurt out there, you know what
23:29
Speaker 1: I mean, even though a lot of these guys are
23:32
Speaker 1: not even generally starters here. But because of that type
23:37
Speaker 1: of game, I think the over is in play in
23:39
Speaker 1: this game as well. Again, I just don't think you'll
23:42
Speaker 1: get really intense, deepfense in this one. The money is
23:45
Speaker 1: coming into the over, but it's already up to two
23:47
Speaker 1: forty and a half, so you've lost four four and
23:49
Speaker 1: a half points of value on that number already. But
23:52
Speaker 1: I think the over is maybe worth consideration there. But
23:56
Speaker 1: you kind of missed the boat on it though. These
24:00
Speaker 1: moved really fast, man. Unfortunately, because if I was more
24:03
Speaker 1: of a totals player, I don't know like how I
24:05
Speaker 1: would even do this show, to be honest, or you'd
24:10
Speaker 1: have to just pick and choose, you know, the games
24:11
Speaker 1: that I give out, although you probably do that anyway.
24:14
Speaker 1: Houston at Minnesota is the other ESPN game which you
24:18
Speaker 1: know this is a good game too. I don't know
24:19
Speaker 1: if Anthony Edwards is back yet, though Houston is coming
24:22
Speaker 1: up that bad loss to Chicago. I think maybe they
24:25
Speaker 1: were looking ahead to this game. They were coming off
24:27
Speaker 1: a big win over Miami too, so I recommended, well,
24:30
Speaker 1: Chicago was a lean that I gave out on Monday
24:33
Speaker 1: on the show. I gave out Indiana as an actual play,
24:36
Speaker 1: but I liked Chicago in that game as well. I
24:38
Speaker 1: was correct in both cases, both outright winners. Maybe I
24:42
Speaker 1: should have had both on my card, but trying to
24:45
Speaker 1: be selective. Now, Houston should be in bounced back mode
24:50
Speaker 1: and you kind of explain why they lost that game
24:52
Speaker 1: because they were in a sandwich spot. Minnesota coming up
24:56
Speaker 1: beating Boston on the road is a huge upset, so
25:01
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is not in the greatest spot here.
25:03
Speaker 1: They've had a couple of days off. It was only
25:05
Speaker 1: a single game road trip, but that was a big
25:07
Speaker 1: win for them. They got Detroit on deck. Now I
25:10
Speaker 1: don't think they're really gonna overlook Houston, but Houston hasn't
25:14
Speaker 1: exactly lived up to their potential this year. Now, this
25:17
Speaker 1: is an ESPN game, so the team might get up
25:20
Speaker 1: for it because they're playing on ESPN. Anthony Edwards is
25:23
Speaker 1: still out, by the way. I like Houston in this game, though.
25:29
Speaker 1: Houston is a two point favorite. Now the money doesn't
25:31
Speaker 1: agree the money's coming in on the t Wolves. I
25:33
Speaker 1: don't really understand that. I think again, we see Houston,
25:36
Speaker 1: I think in a bounce back spot t Wolves coming
25:39
Speaker 1: up a big upset road win. Yeah, it would be
25:42
Speaker 1: Rockets are passed for me in this one. Fifty eight
25:45
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on the Rockets, fifty eight percent
25:47
Speaker 1: of the cash on the te Wolves. So yes, Bald, Yeah,
25:55
Speaker 1: that I'm assuming we'll be able to do that. You
25:59
Speaker 1: bet all of them the Leans, I would be careful
26:02
Speaker 1: with that. Like, I don't know, it's probably difficult to
26:05
Speaker 1: gauge how strongly I feel about certain games. Like if
26:08
Speaker 1: I say this one like almost makes my card, then
26:10
Speaker 1: you at least know that I do feel pretty strongly
26:12
Speaker 1: about it. Other than that, I don't know how to
26:14
Speaker 1: gauge it. Really. Dallas at Denver, Dallas coming off two
26:20
Speaker 1: overtime losses against the Clippers and Golden State Dallas. I mean,
26:24
Speaker 1: at least that tells you they're putting an effort right now,
26:26
Speaker 1: and I think they will in this game because Denver
26:29
Speaker 1: is a good team. They're a playoff team going into
26:32
Speaker 1: high elevation. Maybe not the easiest thing for teams to do.
26:35
Speaker 1: But Denver hasn't been that good at home this year.
26:39
Speaker 1: Denver's coming up a nice road win over Phoenix last night,
26:43
Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back, they're playing a
26:44
Speaker 1: third game in four days with travel between all of them.
26:49
Speaker 1: You know, I actually would probably lean to Dallas in
26:52
Speaker 1: this one. I don't love that they're coming up two
26:54
Speaker 1: straight overtime games, but Nuggets are already down from fourteen
26:58
Speaker 1: and half to twelve here. Really don't see the percentages yet.
27:01
Speaker 1: It's a pretty high total though in the two for days,
27:04
Speaker 1: So if you're taking a bunch of points, it's a
27:06
Speaker 1: little bit less tempting with a total like that because
27:08
Speaker 1: the Nuggets they score a lot and they're not that
27:10
Speaker 1: good on defense. But I think I would lean to
27:14
Speaker 1: Dallas there. Denver, like I said, is actually not that
27:16
Speaker 1: good at home. Twenty one and thirteen. They should be
27:19
Speaker 1: better than that at home. MAVs are not good on
27:21
Speaker 1: the road though. Nine to twenty five pretty bad, But
27:25
Speaker 1: you don't need them to win if you play them
27:27
Speaker 1: to cover the spread there. Brooklyn at Golden State, this
27:31
Speaker 1: is eugh man. This game is so ugly. Brooklyn just
27:36
Speaker 1: got absolutely destroyed by Portland on Monday, embarrassing loss, so
27:40
Speaker 1: they might actually try to bounce back and play better
27:43
Speaker 1: after that. After getting killed by thirty five points. Golden
27:48
Speaker 1: State may still be a team that will attract, you know,
27:50
Speaker 1: your attention a little bit. For Golden State, they just
27:55
Speaker 1: beat Dallas in overtime. But they're returning home from a
27:57
Speaker 1: long road trip. And you know what I say, They've
28:00
Speaker 1: been on the road since March fifteenth. They went to
28:02
Speaker 1: the East coast, they crossed the country. I always talk
28:06
Speaker 1: about it when a team returns home from a long
28:08
Speaker 1: road trip like that, I think they could be distracted.
28:10
Speaker 1: They have to get back to home life. They might
28:12
Speaker 1: not focus on their opponent, especially a bad opponent like Brooklyn.
28:16
Speaker 1: So I do lean to Brooklyn in this game, even
28:19
Speaker 1: though Golden State is coming off kind of an escape
28:21
Speaker 1: against Dallas or they probably should have won that game
28:23
Speaker 1: more easily. I leaned to the nets Heer Warriors down
28:26
Speaker 1: from thirteen to twelve. I don't actually want to do it,
28:29
Speaker 1: but that would be my lean there. Then we have
28:33
Speaker 1: Milwaukee at Portland, Milwaukee without Yannis, probably for the remainder
28:38
Speaker 1: of the season. At this point, Milwaukee just got killed
28:42
Speaker 1: by the Clippers, so they might actually try to bounce
28:45
Speaker 1: back from that, coming off a blowout loss, trying to
28:48
Speaker 1: maybe split the road trip here. They do a San
28:52
Speaker 1: Antonio on deck when they come back home on Amazon Prime,
28:55
Speaker 1: so maybe that is a bigger game. But I think
28:58
Speaker 1: maybe they do want to try to split the road
29:00
Speaker 1: trip here too. And two, coming off an embarrassing loss,
29:03
Speaker 1: Portland is coming off crushing Brooklyn, which I just mentioned,
29:06
Speaker 1: So they are and that was a return home spot too.
29:09
Speaker 1: Brooklyn not putting in a lot of effort in these
29:12
Speaker 1: games right now. It looks like Portland. Portland was also
29:16
Speaker 1: coming off a game against Denver too, so they were
29:19
Speaker 1: coming out of elevation and it was a back to back.
29:22
Speaker 1: It was a horrible spot, and they still won by
29:24
Speaker 1: thirty five points. They're back in home here. They may
29:27
Speaker 1: be feeling a little high on themselves after that win
29:29
Speaker 1: though over Brooklyn. So I actually do kind of lean
29:33
Speaker 1: towards the Bucks here. The Blazers are up from ten
29:35
Speaker 1: to twelve and a half here, though pretty low total
29:38
Speaker 1: in the two twenties. I think I would probably only
29:40
Speaker 1: towards taking the points to the Bucks. And I assume
29:43
Speaker 1: we're not gonna see you honest anytime soon. But I'm
29:46
Speaker 1: not one hundred percent sure of that. It looks like
29:49
Speaker 1: he's potentially coming back in their next game. Yeah, I
29:54
Speaker 1: kind of doubt it. For the Bucks, I would pay
29:56
Speaker 1: attention to these injuries though. Portous looks like he's injured.
30:00
Speaker 1: He's questionable, so keep an eye on that because he's
30:03
Speaker 1: one of their better players. Kuzma, we don't know about
30:06
Speaker 1: him either. Those guys are both questionable, and those are
30:10
Speaker 1: both decent players on the Bucks. So some guys to
30:14
Speaker 1: keep an eye on there. You know, the Blazers, Jeremy
30:17
Speaker 1: Grant kind of a key player for them. He's questionable
30:20
Speaker 1: as well, so a lot of questionability in that game.
30:25
Speaker 1: Toronto at the Clippers is the last game on the board,
30:29
Speaker 1: or at least the last game on the schedule. I
30:31
Speaker 1: don't know if it's the last game on the board.
30:33
Speaker 1: It is. Usually they try to keep it pretty chronological.
30:38
Speaker 1: At least Toronto just beat Utah. Like I said, in Utah,
30:42
Speaker 1: they're coming out of elevation now. They're playing a third
30:44
Speaker 1: game in four days, fourth game in six days, fifth
30:47
Speaker 1: game in eight days, all in different cities. That's not
30:50
Speaker 1: easy to do going out to the Pacific coast now
30:53
Speaker 1: off of a pretty satisfying win. Now Toronto is playing
30:56
Speaker 1: for like playoff positioning right now. The Clippers I think
30:59
Speaker 1: are as well. Though. Clippers look like they're in the
31:04
Speaker 1: play in a scenario right now. I think they just
31:07
Speaker 1: return home from a road trip and they got to
31:08
Speaker 1: blow out win against Milwaukee. Uh. They're staying at home though,
31:12
Speaker 1: and it's their second game back home, so I think
31:14
Speaker 1: the spot is a little bit better for the Clippers here,
31:17
Speaker 1: that would be my opinion. I would lean to the
31:19
Speaker 1: Clippers in this one. They're minus four, sixty seven percent
31:22
Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on them.
31:25
Speaker 1: Do with that info what you want, man, And then
31:28
Speaker 1: we do see the nets are taking some money right now,
31:30
Speaker 1: by the way, fifty percent of tickets, sixty two percent
31:33
Speaker 1: of the cash on the nets. So that's happening. And
31:35
Speaker 1: it looks like the money is coming in on the
31:37
Speaker 1: Nuggets in that Nugget game right now. But yeah, I
31:41
Speaker 1: don't I don't really see it in that one. All right,
31:46
Speaker 1: Baseball Opening Day on Netflix, we have one game. This
31:50
Speaker 1: is gonna be the best bet as well. We're going
31:57
Speaker 1: to baseball where I have more ways of playing these
32:00
Speaker 1: baseball games because I get involved in totals, and that's
32:03
Speaker 1: what we're doing here. It's gonna be one of my
32:04
Speaker 1: boring totals. You know what, you dude, you know what
32:07
Speaker 1: we're doing here. It's the Yankees Giants. It's at San Francisco.
32:10
Speaker 1: It's a pitching friendly park. Both teams have their aces
32:14
Speaker 1: on the mound here. It's early season, it's March. You know,
32:18
Speaker 1: it's not exactly gonna be cold or anything. I don't believe,
32:21
Speaker 1: but it's a night game. It gets cooler at night.
32:25
Speaker 1: It's gonna be fifty six, so that's cool ish. So
32:28
Speaker 1: I like it. Man. When it's a low temperature, it
32:31
Speaker 1: keeps the balls down a little, keeps the balls down,
32:35
Speaker 1: keeps them low, which means fewer home runs. It's a
32:39
Speaker 1: pitcher friendly park anyway, and early in the season, the
32:42
Speaker 1: pitchers have the advantage because the hitters don't have their
32:45
Speaker 1: timing right yet usually, so usually you see better pitching
32:49
Speaker 1: early on. And we have both aces on the mound
32:51
Speaker 1: because it's the first game, so you know what that
32:54
Speaker 1: you know what that lends itself to. We're going under
32:59
Speaker 1: in this game. Under seven. Seven is a key number
33:02
Speaker 1: in baseball because you need to break the three three ties.
33:05
Speaker 1: So the odd numbers are all key numbers in baseball.
33:08
Speaker 1: So the lowest total that I will go under in
33:12
Speaker 1: a full game is seven. I will pretty much never
33:14
Speaker 1: go under six and a half. Even I know that's
33:17
Speaker 1: a lot of handicappers will tell you shouldn't look at
33:19
Speaker 1: it that way, because the books will post a six
33:22
Speaker 1: and a half just they I mean, obviously they intentionally
33:25
Speaker 1: do it to try to get you to not play
33:27
Speaker 1: the under. But I still don't want to do it
33:29
Speaker 1: because seven is such a key number. I just stay
33:31
Speaker 1: away from it, even if I would still need to
33:34
Speaker 1: an under, you know what I mean. But I think
33:35
Speaker 1: we can get the seven on this if you can't
33:38
Speaker 1: find that. I think a first five inning under is
33:41
Speaker 1: a fine approach in this game as well. But you're
33:44
Speaker 1: looking at under three and a half, I think, which
33:47
Speaker 1: is still okay. I think for the first five innings
33:49
Speaker 1: the under three and a half I think still works fine.
33:52
Speaker 1: When it gets to three, that's where I start going, Nah,
33:55
Speaker 1: I don't want to play play that first five under.
33:57
Speaker 1: But the one reason why makes sense to go first
34:01
Speaker 1: five instead of full game, besides the total potentially dropping
34:05
Speaker 1: below seven, would be because the Yankees bullpen sucks, that's
34:10
Speaker 1: the one thing here. But Sara Cisco has a very
34:12
Speaker 1: good bullpen, at least if we're looking at what these
34:15
Speaker 1: bullpens did last year, and the bullpens haven't changed, well,
34:19
Speaker 1: the Yankees bullpen has changed quite a bit, but when
34:22
Speaker 1: their bullpen is bad already, like, I don't think that's
34:24
Speaker 1: a bad thing if they shook it up and changed things.
34:27
Speaker 1: So I think we could we can go with it
34:30
Speaker 1: full game, and we can counter the questionable Yankees bullpen
34:33
Speaker 1: with the fact that I think both starters are going
34:36
Speaker 1: to do well here, and the fact that the Giants
34:39
Speaker 1: bullpen hasn't changed much from last year and it was
34:41
Speaker 1: good last year. So I think we're fine doing it
34:46
Speaker 1: this way. And as far as what these pitchers look like,
34:51
Speaker 1: as far as you know, I always show the like
34:55
Speaker 1: the matchup stats, and whenever Max Freed, I mean, he
34:57
Speaker 1: had a good season last year. Obviously we know this.
35:00
Speaker 1: He wasn't as good on the road, But I'm willing
35:02
Speaker 1: to go with it anyway because it's a picture friendly
35:06
Speaker 1: park here, and if you look at his numbers against
35:08
Speaker 1: the Giants. The other good thing about this is you
35:10
Speaker 1: remember the Giants offense last year sucked, So that's the
35:14
Speaker 1: other thing. We know. The Yankees offense is good, but
35:17
Speaker 1: the Giants offense is bad, so we have that going
35:20
Speaker 1: for us as well. Max Freed against this Giants lineup,
35:24
Speaker 1: which I think this is up to date because the
35:25
Speaker 1: Giants have Harrison Bader now, so they did add him,
35:28
Speaker 1: but he's bad against Max Freed. He's two for eleven
35:33
Speaker 1: lifetime often with no extra base hits, five strikeouts at
35:36
Speaker 1: a walk, so he's the guy they added. Yeah, whatever,
35:41
Speaker 1: Devers actually hits Freed pretty well, but whatever Freed. Overall
35:46
Speaker 1: against the Giants lineup, they're twenty one for eighty two
35:49
Speaker 1: oft in lifetime, two fifty six batting average allowed. That's
35:52
Speaker 1: pretty low. Six sixty nine ops allowed that's low as well.
35:57
Speaker 1: Doesn't allow a lot of extra base hits to them,
35:58
Speaker 1: twenty six strike and four walks. So Fred has done
36:02
Speaker 1: really well against them in the past for the most part,
36:04
Speaker 1: so I like that the matchup looks good for him.
36:07
Speaker 1: Logan Webb is pitching for the Giants. He was their
36:12
Speaker 1: ace last year, put up a good season. His whip
36:14
Speaker 1: was a little higher than I'd like to see, but
36:16
Speaker 1: he was also good at home. He was better at
36:18
Speaker 1: home than on the road, which a lot of pitchers
36:21
Speaker 1: are against the Yankees. Believe it or not, he does
36:24
Speaker 1: actually have pretty good numbers in a large sample of
36:26
Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty one at bats. Unfortunately, Ryan McMahon,
36:31
Speaker 1: who the Red SECKX the Yankees. Oh god, that's a
36:33
Speaker 1: bad that's a bad Frudian slip. The Yankees got Ryan
36:37
Speaker 1: McMahon last year from the Colorado Rockies, so he's very
36:40
Speaker 1: familiar with Webb and does hit him well. But other
36:43
Speaker 1: than that, the overall numbers that the Yankees have against
36:45
Speaker 1: him are not that good. One hundred and sixty one
36:47
Speaker 1: at bats, forty two to twelve strike out walk ratio
36:51
Speaker 1: doesn't impress me that much. Not a lot of strikeouts
36:53
Speaker 1: really in too many walks. Kind of like that ratio
36:56
Speaker 1: is not good. But he's held him to a two
36:58
Speaker 1: fifty five batting average six ninety one ohps. So those
37:02
Speaker 1: are not bad numbers really. So I think we get
37:05
Speaker 1: a good pitching matchup in a good scenario here for
37:08
Speaker 1: the under Like I said, unders early on in baseball
37:11
Speaker 1: because of the cool weather and the hitters not being
37:14
Speaker 1: totally you know, well timed yet and sometimes they're not
37:17
Speaker 1: familiar with the pitching yet and whatever. Pitchers usually hit
37:20
Speaker 1: the ground running like they're usually just ready to go
37:23
Speaker 1: because they pitch in spring training obviously, so they're there.
37:26
Speaker 1: I know the hitters hit in spring training too, but
37:29
Speaker 1: the pitchers have the advantage early on typically, So that
37:33
Speaker 1: is what we're going with here. There's a reason why
37:35
Speaker 1: the totals as low as it is, and as far
37:38
Speaker 1: as the side is concerned, the money is on the
37:40
Speaker 1: Yankees side. There minus one seventeen eighty one percent of tickets,
37:45
Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on the Yankees. I
37:48
Speaker 1: wouldn't play the Yankees in this one, man. I mean again,
37:51
Speaker 1: I'm banking on it being a low scoring, pretty close
37:54
Speaker 1: game here where either team could get the win here.
37:57
Speaker 1: But the Yankees, they're gonna be the public side, and
38:00
Speaker 1: it's Opening Day, it's a big event on Netflix, and
38:02
Speaker 1: you know, the public is gonna come in on the
38:04
Speaker 1: Yankees because they're the Yankees, you know. I mean, they're
38:07
Speaker 1: almost always a public side because of their name. But
38:10
Speaker 1: also everybody knows they're one of the best teams in
38:13
Speaker 1: baseball and they hit, so that's what the public wants.
38:15
Speaker 1: They want offense, and the Giants don't give them that.
38:18
Speaker 1: The Giants have no offense, but the Giants do typically
38:23
Speaker 1: have the better pitching, like at least when we look
38:25
Speaker 1: at what happened last year, the Giants had better pitching
38:28
Speaker 1: than the Yankees did, especially in the bullpen area. But
38:31
Speaker 1: we do have two good starters here on the mound.
38:34
Speaker 1: I think Fred is probably the better of the two
38:36
Speaker 1: starters here, So the Yankees have a little bit of
38:38
Speaker 1: an edge in the starting pitching matchup here. Yankees obviously
38:42
Speaker 1: have the hitting edge here, but San Francisco, I'm gonna
38:45
Speaker 1: give the bullpen edge here. And yeah, I just don't
38:47
Speaker 1: think there's a huge edge one way or the other
38:50
Speaker 1: in the in the looking at the side here. But yes,
38:54
Speaker 1: we're going with the under in that game. And that's
38:57
Speaker 1: gonna do it. Man. That's the show for today, Yes, sir,
39:02
Speaker 1: Tomorrow there's gonna be more baseball, so I don't know
39:04
Speaker 1: how I'm gonna do it. I'm hoping the show is
39:06
Speaker 1: not too long tomorrow. But there's gonna be a lot
39:09
Speaker 1: of hockey tomorrow as well, and decent amount of NBA.
39:12
Speaker 1: Because it's Friday, No, it's Thursday. What am I saying
39:15
Speaker 1: Toorrow's Thursday? Yeah, so there. I don't know, there's a
39:18
Speaker 1: handful of NBA games tomorrow, though, I'll have to figure
39:20
Speaker 1: out what I want to do with it. And of
39:22
Speaker 1: course the Sweet Sixteen gets underway tomorrow. I don't know
39:25
Speaker 1: if I'm gonna have any plays though in college basketball,
39:28
Speaker 1: but we'll see. That's gonna do it. Judge, I mean, yeah,
39:34
Speaker 1: he's a good hitter. I think he chokes in the playoffs,
39:36
Speaker 1: but he's obviously gonna have a good regular season. I mean,
39:39
Speaker 1: it's a long season. It's like impossible for him not
39:42
Speaker 1: to have a good season. You know, maybe not exactly,
39:46
Speaker 1: like it might not totally live up to the Judge
39:49
Speaker 1: standards or whatever, because he's one of the best hitters
39:51
Speaker 1: in baseball. But he'll have a good season unless he
39:54
Speaker 1: gets injured. But you know, in the playoffs he tends
39:57
Speaker 1: to not do that well playoffs. All right, That's that's it.
40:01
Speaker 1: Learn it tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram.
40:04
Speaker 1: Uh like, subscribe, reply to the channel here, boost this
40:08
Speaker 1: thing up. We got. We're on audio as well, Apple, Spotify,
40:12
Speaker 1: all the things. We're on all the platforms, so listening
40:15
Speaker 1: over there helps as well. Reviewing helps as well. Covered
40:18
Speaker 1: in Yuke on YouTube, my yuke channel. You can check
40:21
Speaker 1: that out, Patreon dot com, slash learn It, toad and
40:23
Speaker 1: I do not. I do not have much going on
40:28
Speaker 1: on the Patreon. I apologize. I need to get more stuff.
40:31
Speaker 1: Maybe I should do some of my other content. I
40:33
Speaker 1: don't know. I've been thinking of adding like other like
40:36
Speaker 1: pop culture opinion related content, maybe Toads takes. I don't know.
40:40
Speaker 1: I gotta figure that out, but cause I just I
40:42
Speaker 1: have opinions and I like to I like to talk
40:45
Speaker 1: about them, So if people want to listen, you know,
40:48
Speaker 1: maybe that's what I'll do. And of course Loser Cast
40:51
Speaker 1: we had a new episode last night, so you can
40:53
Speaker 1: go check that out. It should be on the YouTube
40:55
Speaker 1: channel there. Dream Chasing in Vain, what's jeems no jeem?
41:01
Speaker 1: Dream Chase at Ivan? I'm sorry, man, I was like,
41:03
Speaker 1: you're in a van? What I am? On the under
41:06
Speaker 1: in that game? That's my only play of the day,
41:08
Speaker 1: by the way, the under seven in the Yankees Giants game.
41:12
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna try to force a play just because
41:14
Speaker 1: it's the opener, but I do actually legitimately like the
41:17
Speaker 1: under in that game. So and that is the only
41:19
Speaker 1: game that I like, correct I don't have a good
41:23
Speaker 1: opinion on the side in that one, So I mean,
41:25
Speaker 1: I actually kind of probably lean to the Giants because
41:28
Speaker 1: you know me, I like to fade the public. But
41:30
Speaker 1: I like the under in that game, or under first
41:33
Speaker 1: five innings, I think is a good way to look
41:34
Speaker 1: at it as well. But I'm going to the full
41:37
Speaker 1: game under the key number seven and hopefully we can
41:41
Speaker 1: take on the the bad Yankees bullpen and hopefully it'll
41:44
Speaker 1: still work out early season good pitching matchups. So that's
41:48
Speaker 1: what we're doing. Yeah, I think that's it. Man, Thanks
41:52
Speaker 1: everybody for hanging out. I'll be back tomorrow. It'll be
41:55
Speaker 1: a bigger show tomorrow, a longer show because it's just
41:58
Speaker 1: more going on. We're in Tomorrow is basically the first
42:01
Speaker 1: full day of Major League Baseball, so it's gonna get
42:05
Speaker 1: a little bit crazy, but that's gonna do it. I
42:06
Speaker 1: didn't have a great baseball season last year, so I
42:09
Speaker 1: want to turn it around because I usually do really
42:11
Speaker 1: well when we get April May, like I usually really
42:14
Speaker 1: do well in NBA playoffs. NHL playoffs tend to do
42:17
Speaker 1: pretty well as well, so I'm looking forward to all
42:20
Speaker 1: that and I usually do well in baseball around that
42:22
Speaker 1: time too, so hopefully we can do that as well.
42:25
Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it. Peace,