Latest / Space Nuts: Astronomy Insights & Cosmic Discoveries / Primordial Black Holes, Murchison Upgrades & the New Space Race
Transcript
- 0:00Professor Fred Watson: Hi there.
- 0:00Andrew Dunkley: Thanks for joining us again for Space Nuts.
- 0:03My name is Andrew Dunkley, where we, uh, are,
- 0:05uh, talking astronomy and space science every
- 0:07week with Professor Fred Watson Watson.
- 0:09Coming up on this episode, have we discovered
- 0:12a primordial black hole? I believe this has
- 0:14been up for discussion before, but we might
- 0:16have some new information for you. Good news
- 0:19from the Murchison Wide Field Array
- 0:23and, uh, Mark two of the space race
- 0:26could see China in the lead. We'll tell you
- 0:28all about that on this episode of space
- 0:31nuts. 15 seconds.
- 0:32Voice Over Guy: Guidance is internal. 10,
- 0:359. Ignition sequence start.
- 0:38Space nuts. 5, 4, 3, 2. 1, 2,
- 0:413, 4, 5, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.
- 0:44Space nuts. Astronauts report it feels
- 0:47good.
- 0:48Andrew Dunkley: Yes. And this episode, proudly supported by
- 0:51SpaceX. Uh, it's like trying to land an
- 0:53unmanned rocket back on a floating
- 0:56pad is how it feels at the moment.
- 1:00Ah, Very unstable Internet connection. And,
- 1:03um, yes, this is take two. Believe we did the
- 1:05whole show and had to start again, didn't we,
- 1:07Fred Watson?
- 1:08Professor Fred Watson: Something like that, yeah.
- 1:10Andrew Dunkley: I think we got 10 seconds in. T
- 1:13minus 10 and the whole thing went.
- 1:16How are you, Fred Watson?
- 1:18Professor Fred Watson: I'm very well, thank you. Uh, it's great to
- 1:20see you, Andrew. Uh, good to see you looking
- 1:21a bit less jazz, like we were together.
- 1:24Yeah.
- 1:25Andrew Dunkley: And I'm wearing my DART T shirt.
- 1:27Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
- 1:28Andrew Dunkley: Um, which Mari Claire sent me from the Dart
- 1:31mission when she witnessed the impact moment.
- 1:33Ah, at NASA. Um, yep.
- 1:36And Jordy. Hello, Jordy.
- 1:38Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, Jordy's still there. Uh, um, he's, um.
- 1:41He's kind of, um. Well, he howls at things
- 1:44when it. When he. When he gets a surprise, he
- 1:46starts howling. Yeah. And he's surprised at
- 1:49the moment because, um, I've got washing
- 1:51outside on the line and every time the wind
- 1:52blows, he thinks it's a threat, so he
- 1:55howls. And, uh, it's quite a windy day, so
- 1:58we're probably.
- 1:58Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it is here too.
- 2:00Professor Fred Watson: Yeah. Yeah.
- 2:01Andrew Dunkley: Yes. Uh, well, um, dogs and
- 2:04cats living together. That's the world we're
- 2:06in at the moment. Um, we'll get
- 2:09straight to it, Fred Watson.
- 2:10Uh, now, there's been a lot of, uh, movement
- 2:13in the news about the, uh, potential
- 2:16discovery of a primordial. Primordial black
- 2:18hole that may have formed not long after
- 2:22the. The Big Bang itself, which is
- 2:24something that, uh, was predicted by
- 2:27Stephen Hawking. And look,
- 2:30they have not exactly confirmed it. In
- 2:33fact, uh, that might be very difficult. But,
- 2:36um, if it's real, this is a very exciting
- 2:39discovery indeed. But there's. There's a bit
- 2:41more going on than that. I know you've
- 2:42probably talked to Heidi about this, um, but
- 2:45this one came up in, in Facebook discussions
- 2:48and so uh, we thought we'd bring it up on the
- 2:51show.
- 2:53Professor Fred Watson: Definitely Andrew. Uh, because there's a new
- 2:55paper as well which is um,
- 2:58actually Science Alert describes it as
- 3:01a dazzling new paper which is pretty good
- 3:04coming from the University of Cambridge. Uh,
- 3:06I used to know all the people in Cambridge
- 3:08who are working on this stuff but that's a
- 3:10long time ago and I don't know them anymore.
- 3:11I don't know Ignace Jordz
- 3:14Balis I think is their
- 3:17name. Uh, and that is a lead
- 3:20author of this paper. Uh, what we talked
- 3:23about in your absence uh Andrew
- 3:26while uh, Heidi was in the hot seat was uh,
- 3:29these little red dots, which is
- 3:32becoming the official name for
- 3:35uh, targets that the
- 3:37James Webb Telescope has identified
- 3:41as uh, little red dots because that's what
- 3:43they look like. But
- 3:47you can measure their redshift and it turns
- 3:50out the reason they're red is
- 3:53that their light has been stretched so much
- 3:55because they are uh. Actually
- 3:58we're seeing them at a look back time of
- 3:59something like 13.2 billion
- 4:02years. Remember the universe we think is
- 4:0530.8 billion years old. So we're seeing
- 4:07these 600 million years after the Big Bang.
- 4:10So no wonder they look like little red dots.
- 4:12They're little because they're so far away
- 4:14and they're red because they're highly
- 4:16redshifted. And the dots because basically
- 4:18you can't see any structure. Uh, and that's
- 4:20the interesting part of this because
- 4:23um, they are assumed to be galaxies. Uh
- 4:26and uh, in fact you know the, all the
- 4:28evidence is that they are indeed galaxies but
- 4:31they're galaxies with
- 4:34not um, many stars, um, stars,
- 4:37um, you know, at a much lower density
- 4:40than we find in stars today.
- 4:43And so the um,
- 4:46most notable feature of them
- 4:49is a central black hole.
- 4:51Uh, and how do we know that there's a black
- 4:54hole there? Because uh, you can sense
- 4:57the rotation. If I remember rightly, you're
- 4:59seeing velocities of well over a thousand
- 5:01kilometres per second of material,
- 5:04uh, which is going around in orbit around
- 5:06something and that something has to be a
- 5:08black hole because there's nothing else could
- 5:10fit into the uh, squeeze into the small
- 5:13space that it's occupying. So what
- 5:16they've basically discovered and uh, they're
- 5:18talking, this is Cambridge University group
- 5:20is talking specifically about one
- 5:23um, particular object. It's called QSO.1 uh,
- 5:26it's a, odd name because QSO
- 5:29is um, a standard
- 5:32contraction of quasi stellar Ah Object
- 5:35qso quasi stellar object. Something that
- 5:37looks like a star but isn't. I suppose it is.
- 5:40It does look like a star, but isn't. But we
- 5:42now identify QSOs with quasars.
- 5:45And this may be a quasar,
- 5:48but we're not seeing the outbursts of X
- 5:50radiation that we normally get from quasars.
- 5:52So what uh, is being suggested
- 5:55is that what we have here is
- 5:59a uh, black hole. Yes. Uh, apparently
- 6:0250 million solar masses, something like that,
- 6:06which is big compared with our poor uh,
- 6:09little 4.1 million solar mass black
- 6:12hole at Sagittarius, a star in the centre of
- 6:14our galaxy. Uh, so, so it is a supermassive
- 6:17black hole. I mean it's not the, you know,
- 6:19the, the behemoths that have billions um,
- 6:22of, of solar masses. It's not that big.
- 6:25Uh, but it's, it is big. And the fact
- 6:28that it's 50 million solar masses and we're
- 6:30seeing it as the universe as it
- 6:33was 600 million years after the Big Bang
- 6:36begs the question, how did it get so big?
- 6:38Yeah. And so uh, basically
- 6:42the uh, the bottom line is
- 6:44that uh, it's, it could
- 6:47be that we are seeing, as you said,
- 6:50primordial black holes, which indeed were,
- 6:53were um, predicted by Stephen Hawking, uh,
- 6:56among others. Uh, these things should
- 6:59develop after the Big Bang.
- 7:01Um, and
- 7:05there are subtleties here. Um, and I might
- 7:07quote one uh, of the
- 7:10authors. Uh, it's actually this is a quote
- 7:13from the paper itself. Um, uh,
- 7:16and we're talking now about something that's
- 7:19got high mass but not many
- 7:21stars. The only scenarios that can account
- 7:24for such a system are those invoking
- 7:27heavy seeds. And that's in, in uh,
- 7:30inverted commas such as direct
- 7:32collapse black holes, which are called
- 7:35dcbhs. Direct
- 7:37collapse black holes resulting from the
- 7:40direct collapse of massive pristine cloud. So
- 7:42that, what's that set that is saying is
- 7:44you've got a cloud of gas, it collapses. It
- 7:47doesn't form stars, it just collapses
- 7:49straight into a black hole. And you and I
- 7:52have talked about that some years ago. The
- 7:53idea of these direct collapse black holes.
- 7:57So that's one possibility for what this is.
- 8:00Or primordial black holes
- 8:02formed in the first second after the Big
- 8:05Bang. Um, now
- 8:08what they say is, uh, in fact this is the
- 8:10article reading it from Science Alert. It's a
- 8:12very nicely written article. I should uh,
- 8:14name the author. It is Michelle Starr. What a
- 8:17name for somebody who writes about astronomy.
- 8:20Michelle. Um, Starr says both scenarios would
- 8:23need further investigation. On the one hand,
- 8:26direct collapse black holes would be
- 8:28accompanied by ultraviolet light not seen in
- 8:30QSO1. On the other hand,
- 8:32PBHs primordial black holes are
- 8:35considerably smaller than 50 million solar
- 8:38masses. It is possible, however, that
- 8:41the object is the product of rapid growth
- 8:44both through accretion that's just gathering
- 8:47stuff up and collisional processes that's
- 8:50black holes colliding, making
- 8:51QSO1 potentially the first
- 8:54direct evidence for the existence of
- 8:57primordial black holes. And so,
- 8:59you know, uh, it's now, that's where
- 9:02the situation lies now that we
- 9:05don't have, um, a
- 9:08definite answer. Uh, and once
- 9:11again Michel says the paper remains to be
- 9:13peer reviewed and it is quite an
- 9:16extraordinary claim. So we'll be waiting to
- 9:18see how this line of inquiry develops. So
- 9:20will Jordy. Whatever the outcome though,
- 9:22we're sure that little red dots are going to
- 9:24tell us something really fascinating about
- 9:26the birth of the universe. So it's an ongoing
- 9:29story, Andrew, and uh, it's an evolution of
- 9:31what we talked about with Heidi. But I think
- 9:33you and I will be talking about this again
- 9:35quite soon probably.
- 9:36Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I don't doubt it. And it'll spawn a lot
- 9:39of questions too, I'm sure. When you think
- 9:42about it though, if it's been around for
- 9:4413.2 billion years, it's had plenty of
- 9:47time to get
- 9:49its stuff together, you know, to grow and
- 9:52to um, develop,
- 9:55I suppose. Um, you know, 50, what was
- 9:58it, 50 million.
- 9:59Professor Fred Watson: 50 million solar masses. But remember, we're
- 10:02seeing that, we're seeing that
- 10:0413.2 billion years ago.
- 10:07So what's it like? Who knows what it would
- 10:09look like now? That's right, yeah, yeah.
- 10:11Andrew Dunkley: Ah, fascinating story. Yes, plenty, uh, of
- 10:14places where you can, um, read up on that,
- 10:16phys.org or
- 10:18sciencealert.com and
- 10:21many others, uh, carrying this story because
- 10:23if it turns out to be what we think it is, it
- 10:25is, uh, certainly quite a discovery.
- 10:28This is Space Nuts. Andrew Dunkley here with
- 10:30Professor Fred Watson Watson.
- 10:32Speaker C: Three, two, one.
- 10:35Andrew Dunkley: Space Nuts. Now Fred Watson, uh, a little
- 10:38closer to home. Western Australia to be
- 10:40exact. Good news coming out of the merchants.
- 10:43Murchison, uh, Wide Field
- 10:46Array.
- 10:47Professor Fred Watson: Uh, yes, that's right. Um, this is a story I
- 10:50like, um, a lot because I've always been a
- 10:52big fan of the Murchison Wide Field Array.
- 10:54It's a Curtin University operated
- 10:57set of antennas, um, at,
- 11:00uh, the observatory is called in Yarimana
- 11:03Garibundara, the CSIRO Radio
- 11:05Murchison Radio Astronomy Observatory. That's
- 11:07its full name. Uh, in
- 11:10Yarimana Il Ghari Bundara is Wajiri
- 11:13language, uh, and it means sharing sky and
- 11:15stars. And the Wadji people ah, are playing a
- 11:18big role actually in the development of the
- 11:20Square Kilometre Array, uh, low
- 11:22frequency, uh, arm, um, if you put it that
- 11:25way, which is also being built there. Uh, and
- 11:28in many ways the Murchison Widefield Array,
- 11:30the one we're talking about now, was the
- 11:32precursor to that um, Square
- 11:34Kilometre Array telescope. Because unlike the
- 11:37traditional steerable dishes, and in fact one
- 11:39of the pathfinders for the Square Kilometre
- 11:42Array was steerable dishes here in
- 11:45Australia, again at Murchison, um,
- 11:48um, unlike those steerable dishes, uh, these
- 11:51antennas uh, look like something
- 11:53different. So in the case of the Square
- 11:56Kilometre Array, and we've discussed this
- 11:57many times, it's paddocks full of um,
- 12:00Christmas trees, metal Christmas trees, uh,
- 12:03131,000 of them. Uh, that's
- 12:05still work in progress. We talked recently
- 12:08about the images received from the first
- 12:10thousand of those antennas. Uh, but the
- 12:13Merchant Wide Field Array uh, is a
- 12:16different style of thing but it's the same
- 12:19kind of idea except their antennas look
- 12:21different. They are not
- 12:242 metre tall Christmas trees, they're about
- 12:26half a metre tall and about three quarters of
- 12:29a metre wide reed yards
- 12:32for that if you're not in metre land.
- 12:35Um, um, but they look like. Well the first
- 12:38time I've saw them and I have visited this
- 12:39site, first time I saw them I thought they
- 12:41just look like a, a field full of coat
- 12:43hangers that somebody's thrown away. They've
- 12:46just sort of assembled themselves in a
- 12:49peculiar way. Uh.
- 12:51Andrew Dunkley: Oh yeah, yeah. I'm looking at a photo now
- 12:53and.
- 12:53Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, do you see what I mean?
- 12:55Andrew Dunkley: My first impression was um,
- 12:58metallic spiders.
- 12:59Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, that's right. They've got that about
- 13:02them as well. Yeah. Um, the, the reason,
- 13:05um, I, uh, I was, I
- 13:07remember being really impressed. Um, so
- 13:10they're like. So each one of these, as I said
- 13:12it's half a metre wide, it's made of metal,
- 13:15it's shiny, uh, it's um, it's got
- 13:18basically four legs. So it's a four legged
- 13:20spider. Uh, but it's got these structures
- 13:22that are look just like bits of bent coat
- 13:24hanger. It sort of spells its own name
- 13:27because you can make uh, each one of those
- 13:30antennas give you an M M, a W
- 13:33and if you look sideways an A, which is the
- 13:35Murchison Widefield Array. I thought that was
- 13:38very clever. I think that was completely
- 13:40accidental because when I talked to the
- 13:42Murchison people they never thought of that.
- 13:43They thought it was crazy actually.
- 13:47Um, so uh, it is uh, in the
- 13:50news because the
- 13:53uh, um, uh,
- 13:55phase three of the development
- 13:58has now been completed. And phase
- 14:01three was uh, doubling the number
- 14:04of antennas. It was originally 4,000,
- 14:064,096, uh, uh,
- 14:10within a 20 square kilometre area,
- 14:13quite a large area, uh, but it's gone up
- 14:16now to a uh, total of
- 14:20uh, 8,000, uh, I can't remember the exact
- 14:22number. It's just over 8,000.
- 14:25Andrew Dunkley: 8,192.
- 14:27Professor Fred Watson: I should have done it because it's double.
- 14:294,096 could have probably done that in
- 14:32my head but never mind, I couldn't. It's been
- 14:34a long day. It's out to 30 square
- 14:37kilometres and that actually. So
- 14:40doubling the, the, you know, doubling the
- 14:43number of antennas basically doubles the
- 14:44sensitivity, at least at some level. Uh,
- 14:47expanding its footprint from 20 to 30 square
- 14:50kilometres actually increases what
- 14:53we call the baseline of the array. And that's
- 14:56sort of the equivalent to the, the width of a
- 14:58mirror. If you were thinking of a visible
- 15:00light or optical telescope, the diameter of
- 15:02the mirror, uh, is what tells you how much
- 15:05detail you can see. And
- 15:08in a way what they've done is they've
- 15:10expanded that footprint out to 30 square
- 15:12kilometres and so it will let you
- 15:15see more detail. Higher uh, resolution
- 15:18is the technical term. Basically it lets you
- 15:21see finer detail in whatever you're looking
- 15:22at. And so they've done all
- 15:25that. It's not just the coat hangers that you
- 15:28have to expand all the uh,
- 15:32software, the hardware, uh, things called the
- 15:35correlators which are the basically
- 15:37supercomputers that combine the image,
- 15:40sorry the signal from each coat hanger
- 15:43to turn it into um, a coherent
- 15:46image. Uh, that's all new
- 15:49as well. And so um,
- 15:52it's a really significant increase
- 15:55in the capabilities of the MWA
- 15:58and what they're. Sorry, go ahead.
- 16:01Andrew Dunkley: Now you're probably about to answer the
- 16:03question I was about to ask because uh,
- 16:06um, I've, it said,
- 16:09um, one of the primary focus areas of this
- 16:11effort was the epoch of reionization. What
- 16:14does that mean?
- 16:15Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, so that's the time, um, effectively
- 16:19uh, not long after the Big Bang, when the
- 16:20universe became transparent. Uh,
- 16:23and um, so
- 16:26you know, one of the reasons why we build
- 16:28these huge radio telescope arrays is to
- 16:31probe an era, um,
- 16:34after the Big Bang, but before the first
- 16:36stars and galaxies lit up,
- 16:39where um, basically the universe was just
- 16:42full of cold hydrogen. And uh, cold
- 16:45hydrogen curiously does emit radio waves.
- 16:48It emits them at a frequency of
- 16:50uh, 14, 20
- 16:53megahertz if I remember rightly. We used to
- 16:55call it the 21 centimetre line because that's
- 16:58its wavelength. But I think these days we
- 17:00talk in frequencies and I think it's 14, 20
- 17:02megahertz. I'm not a radio astronomer, so I
- 17:04have to try and remember these numbers. Um,
- 17:07they don't come intuitively, although 21
- 17:09centimetres does, because I think a lot of
- 17:11astronomers know about that stuff. Anyway,
- 17:13that's the, uh, wavelength or the frequency
- 17:16that cold hydrogen emits. Um, and that's very
- 17:19convenient because it means that you can find
- 17:21cold hydrogen in the universe and your radio
- 17:24waves pass through the dust of the universe
- 17:26as if it was, it wasn't there. That's why
- 17:28with visible light telescopes we can't see
- 17:30the spiral arms of our galaxy. But you can,
- 17:33uh, with the radio telescope because you can
- 17:35see, you could trace out where the cold
- 17:37hydrogen is. Cold hydrogen hangs around on
- 17:40spiral arms of galaxies. But it was also
- 17:42there in the early universe. The cold
- 17:44hydrogen was the raw material of the first
- 17:46stars and galaxies. Um, so that epoch
- 17:49of Rhiannon's, ah, reionization
- 17:53corresponds to a time when the first stars
- 17:55and galaxies switched on and the radiation
- 17:58that they spread out into the universe
- 18:00basically made the universe transparent.
- 18:03That's the bottom line. So, um,
- 18:06that can be detected, the signal of that can
- 18:08be detected by radio telescopes and the
- 18:11mwa. I think, if I remember rightly
- 18:14talking to my radio astronomy colleagues, I
- 18:16think it was built specifically for that, to
- 18:18look for the epoch of reionization, the
- 18:21time when the universe started to transmit
- 18:23light. So, fantastic stuff.
- 18:26Um, it's a five and a
- 18:29half million Australian dollar upgrade. Uh,
- 18:32but I think that we like money well spent.
- 18:35Yeah.
- 18:35Andrew Dunkley: 10 bucks US.
- 18:37Professor Fred Watson: So,
- 18:37um, soon
- 18:40to be a million bucks US.
- 18:44Andrew Dunkley: Oh boy. Um, is that all it's
- 18:47going to do? I mean, no. Um, Is it a case
- 18:49if you had one job?
- 18:52Professor Fred Watson: No, that's right. And you
- 18:54didn't do it? Um, I mean, people have
- 18:57been telling me that all my life.
- 19:01Anyway, um, uh, no, look, there's,
- 19:04there's a lot of other things. Um, now one of
- 19:07the things that it should be able to detect
- 19:10is fast radio bursts. Um,
- 19:13but my recollection from
- 19:16talking to MWA scientists
- 19:20was that the, the original version,
- 19:22the 4096 antenna version,
- 19:25never did detect a fast radio
- 19:28burst. And that's interesting because,
- 19:31um, fast radio bursts, um,
- 19:35perhaps it's telling you that they, they
- 19:37don't emit in the
- 19:40lower frequencies, which, um, the
- 19:43mwa, the Murchison Wide Field Array is
- 19:46tuned to. It's A, it's a low frequency
- 19:48array and it's a higher frequencies where the
- 19:51fast radio bursts have been discovered so
- 19:54far. But um, I think the
- 19:57improvement in sensitivity
- 19:59um, will actually allow fast
- 20:02radio bursts to be detected and then we might
- 20:05start finding very large numbers.
- 20:07Because the trick that I didn't mention that
- 20:10the MWA is able to employ is it can look
- 20:13at the whole sky at once. Oh yeah, Pretty
- 20:15impressive. Good trick. Uh, yeah, that's
- 20:18um, that's what you can do with um, with a,
- 20:21you know, an array of coat hangers rather
- 20:23than a dish that you've got to point in a
- 20:25particular direction. These coat hangers are
- 20:27bringing signals in all the time and it's
- 20:30just how you, how you interrogate them. If I
- 20:33put it that way, uh, that tells you where
- 20:35you're pointing and you can interrogate many,
- 20:37many different directions at once.
- 20:39Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, quite amazing. So, and, and how much
- 20:41bigger are they going to make the
- 20:44um, Mwax?
- 20:48Professor Fred Watson: I think, I think phase
- 20:51three might be the final thing. I
- 20:54remember them talking about phase three. I
- 20:55visited there uh, in 2018.
- 20:58Um, I visited the site and saw the
- 21:02ah, array antennas, the Cortana like things.
- 21:05But a bit later than that I also visited
- 21:07their headquarters which are in Perth in
- 21:09Western Australia. And this is
- 21:12probably five years ago now, five to six
- 21:13years ago. They were talking then about
- 21:16uh, the next phase, but I think that was
- 21:19where their horizon lay. And it may well be
- 21:22that that's the end of the story for the nwa.
- 21:25But I'm, I'm gonna preface that or not
- 21:28preface it, but qualify it by saying that
- 21:30could be just based on information that was
- 21:33probably good six years ago but not, might
- 21:36not be good now.
- 21:37Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, well that's the way it goes sometimes.
- 21:40Professor Fred Watson: Certainly does it. Yes.
- 21:43We're always out of day. Yeah, well that's,
- 21:45that's only a few.
- 21:47Andrew Dunkley: Days but yeah, yeah that's astronomy. We're
- 21:4913.8 billion years
- 21:52out of date sometimes.
- 21:55Professor Fred Watson: Uh, if you would like to read.
- 21:56Andrew Dunkley: Up on that story, universetoday.com or
- 21:59spaceconnectonline.com or just do a
- 22:02search for Murchison Wide
- 22:05Field Array, uh, on your favourite search
- 22:08engine. This is Space Nuts, Andrew Dunkley
- 22:10here with Professor Fred Watson Watson.
- 22:11Um,
- 22:14Space Nuts now final story. Fred Watson
- 22:17uh, is uh, another goodie and
- 22:20uh, a bit of a controversial one too. Uh, we,
- 22:23we've talked many times about Artemis and
- 22:25the, and the race back to the Moon and uh,
- 22:28there's quite a few missions sort of
- 22:30trundling around up there. The, the Indians
- 22:32are having a Crack as well. Um, but
- 22:35the space race as we
- 22:38uh, witnessed it through the uh, the 50s and
- 22:4160s and into the 70s, uh has
- 22:43sort of got a phase two of its own going on
- 22:46at the moment between the US and China.
- 22:49And if you ask some people they're
- 22:52saying China might win this.
- 22:56Professor Fred Watson: Um, and in a way
- 22:59you know, perhaps just coming to maybe what
- 23:02the, what the reasoning is behind this.
- 23:05Um, uh, the US
- 23:08has got a very, very ambitious
- 23:11vision for the Artemis project.
- 23:14Um and that's what's taking
- 23:16astronauts to the moon, uh, by
- 23:19NASA, uh, their vision and what
- 23:22you know, the point is uh, it's not
- 23:24just planting flags and boots on the ground
- 23:27which is what the Apollo missions were.
- 23:30That's right. It's much more than that. It's
- 23:32actually kind of set, setting the stage for a
- 23:35permanent lunar base. It's
- 23:38doing things like being able to refuel your
- 23:41spacecraft in orbit um,
- 23:44and transfer fuel. It's having the necessary
- 23:47spacecraft to land you on the moon. Um,
- 23:49and that's the vision of the, of
- 23:52NASA, uh, which is a lot different
- 23:55probably from China's vision
- 23:58which will be just to get boots on the ground
- 24:00and plant a flag. Uh, and that
- 24:03now is something
- 24:05technologically a lot simpler because it's
- 24:08what they did in the Apollo era. But it's
- 24:10technologically a lot simpler than what
- 24:12Artemis uh, is aiming to
- 24:14do. So the story comes about because of
- 24:18uh, it was a U.S. senate Committee on
- 24:21Commerce, Science and Transportation. Uh
- 24:24so this uh, uh committee
- 24:27had testimony from various
- 24:30individuals and perhaps the most notable
- 24:33was the former NASA administrator. Remember
- 24:35the boss of NASA is called the administrator.
- 24:38Um, his name was Jim
- 24:40Bridenstine. Uh, he was a very well known and
- 24:43very well respected, respected NASA
- 24:46administrator. I think he was followed by
- 24:48Bill Nelson who's the only one I've
- 24:51met. Um, um, and Bill too a
- 24:54very well respected administrator who
- 24:57basically uh, left his post
- 25:00at the uh, time of the new government
- 25:02in the United States. But Jim Bridenstine
- 25:06making a comment um, that he
- 25:09considered that uh, because of the
- 25:11complexity and
- 25:14perhaps questioning even the feasibility
- 25:17of NASA's Artemis programme, he
- 25:20thinks the United States is highly unlikely,
- 25:23and that's his words, highly unlikely to land
- 25:26astronauts on the moon before China
- 25:29because of challenges with
- 25:32well as it's described orbital refuelling and
- 25:34an ambitious architecture. So the
- 25:37architecture is just you know, what, what is
- 25:39the structure of this mission? How do you do
- 25:41it? What kind of spacecraft do you use? Where
- 25:43do you get them? What do you do in orbit?
- 25:46Um, the, the hearing actually
- 25:48um, uh has a Provocative
- 25:51name itself. Um, the hearing
- 25:54was entitled There's a Bad Moon on the Rise,
- 25:57why Congress and NASA Must Thwart China in
- 26:00the Space Race. So it's really quite an
- 26:03interesting one. And it's got, um, you know,
- 26:05it's got congressmen, congresswomen from both
- 26:07sides, from both sides of politics.
- 26:10Um, I think, um, the
- 26:15um, issue that uh,
- 26:18Bridenstine highlights
- 26:21is, well, there are a few. One is that the
- 26:24sls, the space Launch System, which you'll
- 26:27remember has been tested out once with a
- 26:30robotic fly around the moon. That's probably
- 26:32was it four years ago now, quite a while
- 26:35ago. Um, and he describes it as
- 26:37extraordinarily expensive. And I guess
- 26:41by the standards of 2025,
- 26:44that is probably right because we are used
- 26:47now to a company that
- 26:49reuses all its um,
- 26:52all its launch vehicles. I saw that SpaceX
- 26:57has flown one of its uh, Falcon 9
- 26:59boosters 30 times. Uh, and
- 27:03that's amazing. They were talking about
- 27:04limiting it to 10 times, but this one's done
- 27:0730 launches. And these of course are for
- 27:09Starlink, uh, communication satellites.
- 27:12But the SLS is the sort of Rolls Royce of
- 27:15launch systems. It is very, very expensive.
- 27:19But uh, Bridenstine advocates
- 27:22that for continuing to use it because it's
- 27:24already there, it's already developed.
- 27:27Um, but uh, his, his complaints
- 27:30are twofold. One is that
- 27:33in order to do what Artemis will do,
- 27:36uh, you need to be able to refuel spacecraft
- 27:39in orbit. And this is. These are cryogenic
- 27:41fuels. You know, the temperature is minus
- 27:43250Celsius or something that
- 27:46ridiculously cold. That has never been done
- 27:48before. Um, and that has to be done
- 27:51in order to make this work. And the other
- 27:54complaint is that the lunar lander
- 27:57is um, basically still
- 28:00untested. So, uh, um,
- 28:03There were um,
- 28:06two contracts awarded for
- 28:09what's called the HLS, the Human Landing
- 28:11System, um, to develop two
- 28:14vehicles. One is the Starship,
- 28:16SpaceX's Starship, and that's the top end,
- 28:20you know, Starship itself is, is the
- 28:22Falcon super heavy booster and what they call
- 28:25the ship, which is the top end of it. Uh, and
- 28:28it's. The ship will also be the
- 28:31lander, the HLS lander, uh, for
- 28:34Artemis 3 and 4 missions. Now Artemis 3 is
- 28:37going to be the first mission to land
- 28:38astronauts back on the moon. Artemis 2
- 28:41will be a lunar orbit, uh,
- 28:44mission. But then they also contracted
- 28:47Blue Origin's Blue Moon Mark two, which is
- 28:49another landing system for Artemis V.
- 28:52Uh, now none of these
- 28:55really have been tried and tested yet.
- 28:58Uh, SpaceX, uh, is talking about
- 29:00some upcoming missions, uh, which
- 29:03they hope will be what is required to prove
- 29:06the starship, uh, version. Um, I'm not sure
- 29:09where Blue Origin is, but. So the complaint
- 29:11is, uh, by Bridenstine, that we're so far
- 29:14behind with all this, there's a really good
- 29:15chance that the Chinese will get there, uh,
- 29:18get there first. Um. Yeah, it's.
- 29:21Yep. Go ahead.
- 29:23Andrew Dunkley: Does it matter? Does it really matter? They
- 29:25have completely different goals, completely
- 29:28different agendas.
- 29:30Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
- 29:30Andrew Dunkley: Does it really matter if China lands on the
- 29:32moon and starts walking around before the
- 29:34United States does? Is there some advantage
- 29:37in them doing that? Because they're not
- 29:39trying to achieve the same end as the
- 29:42United States, as NASA. So, uh.
- 29:45And the US already proved that they were
- 29:47first back in
- 29:491969.
- 29:51So it's, it's not
- 29:54really a race, is it? Not, not, not that kind
- 29:57of race.
- 29:58Professor Fred Watson: Um. Uh. Don't you think if,
- 30:00um. If China landed astronauts on the
- 30:03moon before the US did, the president
- 30:06would implode, wouldn't he? Or something
- 30:09would. Yeah.
- 30:10Andrew Dunkley: But, you know, are.
- 30:12Professor Fred Watson: They.
- 30:12Andrew Dunkley: Are, ah, they. It's just politics, isn't it?
- 30:15I mean, it's just posturing that
- 30:18the US has already done it. They don't have
- 30:20to do it again before China because, you
- 30:22know, they did it before China.
- 30:25Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, I, uh. I think national
- 30:28pride is playing a huge.
- 30:29Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, probably.
- 30:30Professor Fred Watson: And one that we might not recognise to the
- 30:33extent that perhaps some of our listeners
- 30:35will. Um, I think it's.
- 30:37I think it would be a, ah. I think it would
- 30:40be a real, um, challenge
- 30:43to the US if China landed first. I
- 30:46think it really would, in this year, shape
- 30:48them to the core. Yes, a little
- 30:51bit like. A little bit like
- 30:54when, uh, the Soviet Union put the first
- 30:56artificial satellite into orbit.
- 30:59I remember the fallout from that. It was,
- 31:02you know, I was still a youngster. I was only
- 31:0410. Was I? No, was 12.
- 31:07Anyway, um, it was,
- 31:09um. You know, it was there. It was, it.
- 31:12It absolutely shook the US to the
- 31:15core. Uh, that. That the Soviet
- 31:18Union could put a spacecraft into orbit,
- 31:21which meant that it could launch a ballistic
- 31:22missile anywhere on the planet or land one
- 31:25anywhere on the planet. So that's the
- 31:26underlying thing. Now that imperative's gone.
- 31:29Everybody knows that there's half a dozen
- 31:31countries who could land a ballistic missile
- 31:33pretty well anywhere on the planet. Um, but I
- 31:35think it's the national PR issue. I think it
- 31:38would be seen as an affront almost to
- 31:41US pride in space. Uh,
- 31:44what is going to happen about it? I don't
- 31:46know. I don't know whether this hearing will
- 31:47actually produce any changes, but
- 31:51be interesting to see how it goes.
- 31:53Andrew Dunkley: It will, yes. Uh, you can read all about
- 31:56it@nasaspaceflight.com.
- 31:59um, yeah. Very interesting article indeed.
- 32:02Um, Fred Watson, we've done. That's it.
- 32:05Professor Fred Watson: Good gracious.
- 32:08Andrew Dunkley: Just for this episode.
- 32:09Professor Fred Watson: Yeah. Episode 555. Yes.
- 32:11Andrew Dunkley: I didn't mention that, did I? Yeah, 555.
- 32:14Um, I don't know. Is that a lucky number in
- 32:17China? In China or is it triple A?
- 32:20I don't know. Um, yes.
- 32:23Anyway, Fred Watson, thank you so much. It's
- 32:25always good fun.
- 32:26Professor Fred Watson: It is. Uh, thank you for having me, Andrew.
- 32:29Um, I'll be invited back sometimes.
- 32:32Andrew Dunkley: Maybe in five minutes, five days,
- 32:35whatever comes first.
- 32:36Professor Fred Watson: Yes.
- 32:36Andrew Dunkley: You never know. Thanks, Fred Watson.
- 32:38Professor Fred Watson Watson, astronomer at
- 32:40large, part of the team here at Spacenus. Uh,
- 32:43and of course, uh, thanks to Huw in the
- 32:45studio, who couldn't be with us today, had to
- 32:47put his cat Sputnik down. Uh,
- 32:50unfortunately, I don't know where that came
- 32:53from. And from me, Andrew Dunkley, thanks for
- 32:55your company. We'll see you on the next
- 32:57episode of Space Nuts.
- 33:03Space Nuts. Hello again. Thanks for joining
- 33:05us. This is Space Nuts, where we talk
- 33:08astronomy and space science. And it's
- 33:11good to have your company on this a Q A
- 33:13edition. And what are we talking about today?
- 33:16Oh, uh, something completely different, new
- 33:18and unchallenged in the annals of
- 33:21Space Nuts and the wider world of astronomy.
- 33:24Uh, somebody's got a black hole question
- 33:28and the next question is a dark matter
- 33:31question. They just dovetail beautifully,
- 33:33those two. And then, uh, we've got a bit of a
- 33:36Dutch treat for you. Uh, Robert from the
- 33:38Netherlands is asking about the Fermi paradox
- 33:41and Angela from the Netherlands has,
- 33:44um, an idea to send bugs into space
- 33:47on purpose. And joining us again to
- 33:50solve all of those little riddles is
- 33:52Professor Fred Watson Watson, astronomer at
- 33:53large, still wearing the same shirt as he was
- 33:55last. Hello, Fred Watson.
- 33:58Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, I only change my shirts
- 34:01once a week, apparently.
- 34:03Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Ah, well, I do that on holidays because
- 34:08although on our, on our cruise we, um, we
- 34:11did all our own washing because. Well, they
- 34:14charge you to do washing on a, on a cruise
- 34:16ship if you, if you want them to do it. But,
- 34:18uh, they had laundries on this ship, so we
- 34:20did our own, which turned out to be a very
- 34:22good thing.
- 34:23Professor Fred Watson: So, um, it's sort of where
- 34:26on. You're on board for 13 weeks, weren't
- 34:28you? 13 weeks is a little bit long to keep
- 34:31the same shirt.
- 34:32Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, basically it's pretty tough wearing the
- 34:34same pair of undies. For 13 weeks and
- 34:37expecting people to actually sit down and
- 34:39have dinner with you.
- 34:40Professor Fred Watson: It's. It's not.
- 34:43It's not.
- 34:44Andrew Dunkley: Not advised. Not advised, no.
- 34:47Professor Fred Watson: You sounds like you tried it, actually.
- 34:51Andrew Dunkley: No, I haven't. No, I haven't.
- 34:54Professor Fred Watson: Your wife wouldn't let me do that. No.
- 34:56Andrew Dunkley: No, definitely not.
- 34:57Um, now, uh, we've got a bunch of questions
- 35:00to get through, and we.
- 35:02Professor Fred Watson: Might as well get the ball rolling.
- 35:04Andrew Dunkley: With Dave, who has a question
- 35:06related to black holes.
- 35:08Speaker C: Hey, Professor Fred Watson Watson,
- 35:11Andrew and or Heidi, whoever this may be.
- 35:14Um, got a question about black holes. Like
- 35:17all my other questions. I've been watching a
- 35:20lot of documentaries and something
- 35:23that still questions me is
- 35:26black holes, do they move or are they
- 35:29stationary? And if they do move,
- 35:32do they move through space and time
- 35:36or space time, like the fabric of space?
- 35:39And if so, are they eating the fabric of
- 35:41space or is it just going around the black
- 35:44hole and then back into place? How come we
- 35:46don't see trails behind the black holes where
- 35:49they've just eaten away fabric of space?
- 35:52Um, not quite sure how that works
- 35:55or anything like that.
- 35:58And if, if they all do rotate, which we think
- 36:01they do, do they
- 36:04rotationally pull on the fabric of
- 36:07space?
- 36:08Professor Fred Watson: Thank you.
- 36:10Andrew Dunkley: Okay, great. Ah, question. Thank you, Dave.
- 36:13And we'll get a great answer. Now,
- 36:16although it's an interesting question, we,
- 36:18um, from my perspective, and I think we
- 36:21have touched on this before,
- 36:24everything moves in space. Nothing is
- 36:26standing still, is it?
- 36:29Professor Fred Watson: No, you're right, Andrew. That's exactly the.
- 36:31That's exactly the answer I was about to
- 36:32give.
- 36:33Andrew Dunkley: Oh, okay. Thanks, Dave.
- 36:34Next question comes from.
- 36:37Professor Fred Watson: Um, let's just, um, cover
- 36:40Dave's last part of that question first,
- 36:42which is trials. Do they.
- 36:45It was where if black holes are rotating, do
- 36:48they. The space time kind of do
- 36:51they drag it round? And indeed they do. It's
- 36:53a process called frame dragging. Um, the
- 36:55Earth does it actually. So any rotating
- 36:57object drags the framework of space
- 37:00time around with it. And I think the same
- 37:02happens with black holes. I think we covered
- 37:05the story, um, probably
- 37:08a couple of years ago maybe, Andrew, which
- 37:10was about a demonstration that black
- 37:13holes, rotating black holes do,
- 37:16um, uh, exhibit frame dragging, that
- 37:19space time does sort of get dragged around
- 37:21with them. Uh, so, uh,
- 37:24having said that, um, then
- 37:28the idea of black holes moving through
- 37:30space is not, I guess, that difficult.
- 37:33Uh, and indeed they do exactly as you've
- 37:35said, Andrew. Everything moves, uh, and it's
- 37:38twofold. One is that they're being carried
- 37:40along by space itself, what we call the
- 37:42Hubble flow, which is Due to the expansion of
- 37:45the universe. And I think Dave touched on
- 37:47that by talking about, you know, the fabric
- 37:50of space time. Yes, the fabric of space time
- 37:52itself is moving and takes stuff along with
- 37:54it. Um, but,
- 37:57uh, uh, galaxies we
- 38:00know, have what we call peculiar velocities.
- 38:03Uh, they actually move around, um,
- 38:06within the moving fabric of space.
- 38:10Excuse me. The analogue that we often give
- 38:12is, uh, to liken the expansion of the
- 38:15universe to a river flowing. And the galaxies
- 38:17being like people zooming around the river on
- 38:20boats. They're being carried along by the
- 38:21river flow, but they still move around with
- 38:23their own peculiar motion. And galaxies
- 38:26do that too, not perhaps zipping around quite
- 38:29like boats do. Uh, but, uh, they're
- 38:32drawn to one another by their own gravity.
- 38:34Uh, so they do move through space. And yes,
- 38:36um, a black hole will move through the space
- 38:39time that it's in, but it won't leave a
- 38:42trail behind it. Um, the space
- 38:45time bends around it, just as Dave suggested.
- 38:48There, uh, as it goes through, it's
- 38:50distorting the space time. But, uh, you know,
- 38:53the space time sort of recovers as it's gone
- 38:55past. Uh, so it's not like there'll be a
- 38:58wake that we could look for trailing behind,
- 39:01uh, supermassive black holes. Interesting
- 39:03idea, though.
- 39:04Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. Yeah, it'd be. It'd be so easy to find
- 39:06them if they left trails.
- 39:08Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, that's right. It would.
- 39:10Andrew Dunkley: Let's say you chase snails, you know, if
- 39:13you're a snail hunter.
- 39:15Professor Fred Watson: Well, I'm sure you do. Yeah, we get, um,
- 39:18on damp days, uh, we occasionally get invaded
- 39:21by slugs in our. In our laundry and
- 39:23daily trails as well, which are based.
- 39:29Yeah.
- 39:29Andrew Dunkley: Where were we the other day? Um, and walked
- 39:32outside because it had been raining, and
- 39:33there were slugs the size of sausage dogs.
- 39:37Uh, they were. They were enormous.
- 39:39Was in the United States somewhere up in, uh.
- 39:42Up around Buffalo, I think, somewhere. Oh,
- 39:44yeah.
- 39:46Professor Fred Watson: Big boogers.
- 39:47Andrew Dunkley: Oh, no. Was it Niagara Falls? Niagara
- 39:50Falls. They were like this, like, you
- 39:53know, you could wrap them around your head if
- 39:54you're so inclined, get a decent.
- 39:56Professor Fred Watson: Meal out of one of them.
- 39:57Andrew Dunkley: Oh, yeah.
- 39:58Professor Fred Watson: Yes.
- 39:58Andrew Dunkley: Yum. Um, although that reminds me,
- 40:01while we were overseas, I think it was when
- 40:03we were in Spain. Listen to me. Name
- 40:06dropping. Um, the, um.
- 40:08Um. One of the staff on the ship was doing a
- 40:11presentation about our next stop, and she
- 40:13said, while you're there, go and get some of
- 40:15this stuff. And it was. It was like a skin
- 40:16cream that had snail slime in it.
- 40:21My wife bought some and is still using
- 40:24it. Uh, she thinks it's fabulous.
- 40:27So there you are. There's something to that.
- 40:29Go and rub snails on your face.
- 40:33And by the way, that, uh, that still, that
- 40:35story you referred to from a couple of years
- 40:37ago, uh, was, uh, about frame
- 40:40dragging, uh, of supermassive black holes
- 40:43was, uh. May 2024. There you are.
- 40:46Professor Fred Watson: Okay. Hm. There you go. The memory's not
- 40:49quite gone yet, but it will eventually.
- 40:52Andrew Dunkley: I do recall us talking about it. Uh,
- 40:55thanks, David, for your question.
- 40:56Our next question comes from Jared in
- 40:59Melbourne. Hi, Fred Watson, Heidi, Huw, Dave.
- 41:02Just kidding, Andrew. Thank you. They haven't
- 41:03gotten the Dave thing, have they? Haven't let
- 41:06that one go. So, three months away, that one
- 41:08would die its natural death. But no, no, it's
- 41:11just popped itself up again. Um,
- 41:14we talk about galaxies having halos of
- 41:16dark matter gravitationally bound to them,
- 41:19thus affecting their rotational rate
- 41:22as compared to the predicted rotation
- 41:24rate's, uh, centre edge.
- 41:28Yeah. Okay. Uh, so then while. Yeah,
- 41:31so then while wondering if the sun
- 41:33has a portion of dark matter gravitationally
- 41:36bound to it, I read that people think it's
- 41:39m. Not much of a halo at all for something
- 41:42like the sun, as dark matter particles are
- 41:44moving too fast to be captured by the Sun.
- 41:47I'm very interested to know why people, uh,
- 41:50might expect dark matter to be moving too
- 41:53fast to be captured by the sun when we have
- 41:55so few insights about what it is at all.
- 41:58How do they conclude it's whizzing around
- 42:00faster than escape velocity? Keen, uh,
- 42:04to get your thoughts. Keep up the great work.
- 42:06Jared from Melbourne.
- 42:10Professor Fred Watson: And great question. Which, um,
- 42:13doesn't really have an answer. Okay.
- 42:16Um, and that's because we know so little
- 42:19about dark matter. Um,
- 42:21it's certainly, uh,
- 42:24the thinking a few years ago
- 42:27was that dark matter
- 42:30halos have a minimum size or blobs
- 42:33of dark matter have a minimum size. And as
- 42:36Gerard suggests, that would be related to the
- 42:38velocity of the dark matter particles. Um,
- 42:42you know what that minimum size would be? Uh,
- 42:45if the, the faster the particles are moving,
- 42:47the bigger the blob of dark matter. I
- 42:50seem to remember a number being touted around
- 42:53which was about 100 parsecs and a parsec is.
- 42:56Was it 3.23 light years? I can never
- 42:59get the exact number. It's about three light
- 43:00years. So roughly 300 light years.
- 43:04However, I think there have been more recent
- 43:06observations that suggest that it might be
- 43:09clumpier than that it might clump together on
- 43:11smaller scales. Um, however, having
- 43:14said that, I think it is probably
- 43:17unlikely, though, that the sun itself would
- 43:20have uh, its own lump of dark matter.
- 43:22I think the, you know, the sun's
- 43:25neighbourhood and the spiral arms
- 43:28that were embedded in might,
- 43:31might have higher density, uh, chunks
- 43:34of dark matter than perhaps the outer halo
- 43:37of the galaxy. Uh, but
- 43:40if it's, you know, if those early
- 43:41measurements are anything like realistic,
- 43:43then it would be on a scale of hundreds of
- 43:46light years rather than um, hundreds of
- 43:48millions of kilometres, which is what you'd
- 43:50need for it to be within bound to the
- 43:53solar system. So uh, we don't really know the
- 43:56answer to your question, Gerard, but um,
- 43:59people do think about it. It's one of the
- 44:02biggest big issues and one of the challenges
- 44:04is how do you plot, how do you map the
- 44:07biggest or smallest chunk of dark matter? Um,
- 44:10when the best way to
- 44:13see it is um,
- 44:16to look at the distortion
- 44:19effect of say a cluster of galaxies in the
- 44:22foreground and look at how that distorts the
- 44:24images of galaxies in the background. Because
- 44:26the distortion is due to all the mass in the
- 44:28cluster, not just the mass you can see
- 44:31that allows you to map the dark matter in a
- 44:33cluster. Um, but it, it doesn't
- 44:36really, unless you've got some very special
- 44:39circumstances, it doesn't really make it
- 44:41easy to say just how big or
- 44:44small the biggest lump of dark matter, the
- 44:47characteristic lump size of dark
- 44:50matter might be. Um, so we're still working
- 44:52on it, uh, and um, maybe we'll get back to
- 44:54you when we know the answer.
- 44:56Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, well, you never know. Uh, a parsec is
- 44:59equal to 3.26 light years.
- 45:02Professor Fred Watson: I think I said 3.23, didn't I? And that's
- 45:04wrong. Well, it's close. 3.3. It's close.
- 45:07Yeah. I can never remember the last number in
- 45:09that 3.26 should be really, it's easy to
- 45:12remember because three times two is six. So
- 45:14that should tell you, shouldn't it, on there,
- 45:16you know, uh, neat. Well, all I've got to do
- 45:19is remember that.
- 45:20Andrew Dunkley: Test you next week.
- 45:24Professor Fred Watson: Thanks. Thanks Dave. Thanks Dave.
- 45:27I always appreciate your tests.
- 45:31Andrew Dunkley: Okay, uh, thanks Jared, for your question.
- 45:34This is Space Nuts Andrew Dunkley here with
- 45:36Professor Fred Watson Watson.
- 45:38Space Nuts. Uh, now, uh,
- 45:41welcome to the Dutch part of our show
- 45:43where uh, all the questions come from the
- 45:45Netherlands. And the first one is from
- 45:48Robert.
- 45:49Professor Fred Watson: Hey, Professor.
- 45:50Andrew Dunkley: No, it's not. This one is hello friend
- 45:52Andrew and.
- 45:53Professor Fred Watson: Heidi, this is Robert from the Netherlands.
- 45:56I have a question about the resolution to the
- 45:59Fermi paradox. What could be the most
- 46:02credible answer to this conundrum? Is it
- 46:04because the rare Earth theory that Their
- 46:07civilizations of aliens are very, very rare.
- 46:10Are they very hostile? And if they destroy
- 46:12everything around us, are they simply too far
- 46:14away and they stop expanding after a couple
- 46:17of planets? Or are we alone in the
- 46:19universe? I would love to hear the
- 46:21professor's opinion this. Thank you so much.
- 46:25Andrew Dunkley: Thank you Robert. Um, yeah, it
- 46:28brings up that age old question which I'm
- 46:31sure you were going to ask question,
- 46:34where is everybody?
- 46:36Professor Fred Watson: Well that's right, that was the um, that's
- 46:38the basis of the Fermi paradox. Yeah, passed
- 46:40in 1950. And the logic, Enrico
- 46:43Fermi's logic was if you
- 46:46have space faring
- 46:49civilizations, um, which uh,
- 46:52evolved you know, maybe a few billion
- 46:55years ago, um, then there should be evidence
- 46:58for them everywhere. And
- 47:01we don't see it, we uh, don't see any
- 47:03evidence. Uh, that evidence might be in the
- 47:06form of artefacts. If
- 47:08they've sent things into orbit around, you
- 47:11know, the solar systems. And there's at least
- 47:13one person on our planet who thinks that's
- 47:15happened already. Uh, Avi Loeb with some of
- 47:18these um, extraterrestrial asteroids and
- 47:21comet comets, probably all three of them
- 47:23anyway. Ah so. But we don't have
- 47:26any real evidence that that's the case. And I
- 47:29think I would lump together Robert's first
- 47:32and last options there
- 47:34where he spoke about the Earth being in
- 47:37incredibly, or Earth like conditions being
- 47:39incredibly rare so that
- 47:42intelligent life might be incredibly rare. Or
- 47:45his last option, that it's unique, that we
- 47:48are unique in the universe. Um, those two
- 47:51are not that different from one another.
- 47:54Um, because either way, you know, if, if
- 47:56you've only got one civilization,
- 47:59communicable civilization per galaxy,
- 48:02um, and then you might as well forget it.
- 48:05You're alone in the universe basically.
- 48:08Um, which I think is, I uh,
- 48:11think that is disturbing because
- 48:14it means, you know, if we wipe ourselves
- 48:17out or if we become extinct through whatever
- 48:19process, uh, we are,
- 48:22we are how the universe thinks about itself.
- 48:25That's um, I think that's a quote from Brian
- 48:27Cox. Life is what lets the universe
- 48:30understand itself. Um, and
- 48:33um, if we, if we're
- 48:35gone and uh, well and we're the only species
- 48:38in the universe that can understand it,
- 48:39what's the rest of it for? Well, it's all
- 48:42a bit of, a, bit of a pain.
- 48:44Andrew Dunkley: Well yeah, but it brings about,
- 48:47um, you know, you can get into areas
- 48:50of theology then. And um,
- 48:54then that's one
- 48:57um, idea that uh, is well documented and well
- 49:00supported. Um, creationism,
- 49:03uh, we could just be
- 49:05one freak accident that.
- 49:09Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
- 49:10Andrew Dunkley: And the universe existing
- 49:13in itself is the greatest mystery. How is
- 49:16their existence? I think I've asked that
- 49:18question before and no one's ever told me the
- 49:20answer.
- 49:20Professor Fred Watson: It's a philosophical question, that's what it
- 49:22is.
- 49:23Andrew Dunkley: It is, yeah.
- 49:23Professor Fred Watson: Uh, um, I mean it's uh, you know
- 49:26there's um, there's a quantum physics answer
- 49:29to that as well. If, if um, if
- 49:32we weren't there to perceive the universe,
- 49:35would the universe still exist? Because um,
- 49:38in quantum mechanics it looks as though the
- 49:41observer plays a significant role in the
- 49:43nature of reality. And that's why scientists
- 49:46are constantly looking for a theory that
- 49:48underpins both quantum mechanics
- 49:51and relativity. Uh,
- 49:55the grand unifying theory which we haven't
- 49:57got yet, uh, that might tell us whether the
- 50:00observer is necessary, uh, in
- 50:03terms of the well being of the universe. It
- 50:06raises extraordinary questions. Uh, but I
- 50:09think it's certainly my thinking, and this
- 50:11comes from talking to astrobiologists who
- 50:13think that step from um, from
- 50:16single celled organisms to multi celled
- 50:19organisms could be a really rare step.
- 50:22Uh, then perhaps we are very rare. Perhaps we
- 50:25are a freak of nature. Um,
- 50:27it's uh, I would lean towards that
- 50:30rather than the idea that life is everywhere,
- 50:33uh, and think that the answer to the Fermi
- 50:35paradox. Where is everybody? Well, they're
- 50:37just not there, most of them. Yeah, yeah,
- 50:39they're not there.
- 50:40Andrew Dunkley: Well there may not be peoples, but there may
- 50:43be bacterial life of some kind or.
- 50:46Professor Fred Watson: Yeah, that's right, but, and that might turn
- 50:48out to be quite common, but it needn't
- 50:51necessarily evolve into anything more
- 50:53substantial.
- 50:54Andrew Dunkley: No, no, definitely not. And if you're looking
- 50:57for aliens, as you said, if they've been
- 50:59around long enough, we should see the
- 51:00evidence, uh, whether it be a um,
- 51:03passing spacecraft or a
- 51:05megastructure of some kind that we
- 51:08might see around a planet or a star or
- 51:11a um, uh,
- 51:14a conspicuous gas in their atmosphere that
- 51:17couldn't be natural, things like that. But we
- 51:20haven't found any of that.
- 51:21Professor Fred Watson: Airport radar, uh, all of that airport
- 51:24radar, yes. Square kilometre array able to
- 51:26detect airport radar at 50 light years. So
- 51:29once it comes on stream we
- 51:32might know we're alone within 50 light years.
- 51:35Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, well that is it exactly.
- 51:38Uh, so Robert. No, um, yes,
- 51:41we're still alone at this point in time. And
- 51:43um. Yes, and we're feeling it, we really are.
- 51:48Um, but I'm, I, I sort
- 51:51of err on the side of caution when it comes
- 51:53to revealing our presence. I'm, I'm a little
- 51:55bit with um, Stephen,
- 51:58Stephen Hawking. Uh, yeah, you don't want to
- 52:01make Too big a noise. Just in case they go,
- 52:03oh, that's a lovely place. We'll have that.
- 52:06So the British and the Portuguese did so.
- 52:09And the Dutch. And the Dutch. Our last two
- 52:12people are Dutch. My wife's Dutch, so I can
- 52:15get away with things like that.
- 52:17Professor Fred Watson: The, um. Yeah.
- 52:18Andrew Dunkley: Uh, and the French. I mean, the French did it
- 52:21too.
- 52:22Professor Fred Watson: We, we, um. We're already, you
- 52:25know, we've already given it away because
- 52:27we've got airport radar.
- 52:31Andrew Dunkley: Yes, we have. Yes, we have.
- 52:33Thanks, Robert. Great to hear from you. And
- 52:35our final question comes from the
- 52:37Netherlands. And it's, uh, a text
- 52:39question from Angela. I learned from earlier
- 52:42episodes that any it sent to space must
- 52:45be sterile, free of bugs. This is
- 52:48to prevent contamination of the celestial
- 52:50bodies. However, could we consider the
- 52:52opposite? Send bugs, seeds, bacteria,
- 52:55etc. Out into space on purpose. This
- 52:58will give life a small chance to
- 53:01evolve somewhere else and escape
- 53:03the potential one and only planet in our
- 53:05Milky Way that contains life. Kind regards,
- 53:08Angela from Amsterdam. She's sort of going
- 53:11on from what, um, Robert was talking
- 53:14about. Um, you know, we've got evidence of
- 53:17life on one planet, but she's saying, well,
- 53:19why don't we go seeding the other planets?
- 53:22Let's, you know, let's not keep our, uh,
- 53:24spacecraft, uh, clean. Let's
- 53:27just line people up. You can all hock on the
- 53:29spacecraft and off
- 53:32it goes and we see the
- 53:35universe. Um, look, it worked
- 53:37in South America. The Spanish took all their
- 53:40nasties over there and nearly wiped the
- 53:42people out. So.
- 53:44Professor Fred Watson: Yes, that's right, yeah.
- 53:47Uh, so, uh, I mean,
- 53:51to some extent this has already happened. Uh,
- 53:53because, uh, the. I think it was the
- 53:56Beersheba spacecraft, which was a
- 53:59private Israeli venture
- 54:02which crashed on the moon, carried
- 54:05fruit flies, it carried tardigrades,
- 54:08carried a few of other things. Um,
- 54:10they presumably perished in the accident.
- 54:13But the question I would have for
- 54:15Angela, I mean. Yes, okay, you fill a
- 54:18spacecraft full of earthly creatures. It's a
- 54:21bit like Noah's Ark, really. Yeah. Two by
- 54:23two, um, you
- 54:26seal it so that it's
- 54:29not gonna destroy
- 54:32another planet, uh, or
- 54:35seed another planet if it crashes. So you
- 54:37make it crash proof. But then you've got to
- 54:40sustain these organisms to keep them alive.
- 54:43And that's a, uh, tricky mission.
- 54:46Uh, you know, how do you. If you're talking
- 54:48about, um, lengths of time measured
- 54:51perhaps in millions or billions of
- 54:54years, which is how long it might take to
- 54:57land on another world in another solar
- 55:00system. Uh, how do you keep things alive
- 55:02for that long?
- 55:03Andrew Dunkley: I've got the answer.
- 55:05Professor Fred Watson: Have you all good?
- 55:05Andrew Dunkley: I've got the answer. When I was growing up,
- 55:08they were selling sea monkeys
- 55:11at toys stores. Yeah.
- 55:13Professor Fred Watson: Yep.
- 55:14Andrew Dunkley: You bought the packet?
- 55:16Professor Fred Watson: Yep.
- 55:16Andrew Dunkley: You filled, you filled a jar full of water,
- 55:19you tipped the packet in and then all these
- 55:21things came to life. Uh,
- 55:24sea monkeys.
- 55:25Professor Fred Watson: What were they?
- 55:26Andrew Dunkley: Dunno. Krill
- 55:29probably, something like that. There was a
- 55:32kind of little crustacean. Hang on, I'm going
- 55:34to look it up. I honestly can't remember what
- 55:36they were.
- 55:37Professor Fred Watson: Tardigrades are a bit like that because
- 55:39tardigrades can dehydrate themselves
- 55:41completely. That's how they. They've survived
- 55:43on the outside of the space station.
- 55:46Um, but once you.
- 55:48Andrew Dunkley: Brian, I was right. They're shrimp. Brine
- 55:51shrimp. We're seeing monkeys.
- 55:52Professor Fred Watson: Yep.
- 55:53Andrew Dunkley: Uh, they were developed in the United States
- 55:55in 1957, uh, by
- 55:57Harold von Braunhutt, uh, and
- 56:00sold as eggs intended to be added to water.
- 56:03Um, and you used to buy them and take them
- 56:06home, put them in the water and they'd hatch
- 56:08and you'd have sea monkeys. There you, ah,
- 56:10are.
- 56:12There's the solution.
- 56:14Professor Fred Watson: Now, how long did they last once you put them
- 56:16in water?
- 56:17Andrew Dunkley: 5 minutes? Usually they did. No.
- 56:21Professor Fred Watson: I don't know. I didn't last. Yeah, so it
- 56:23does. Okay. Yes.
- 56:26So it doesn't really give you much time to
- 56:28start a new population of species from planet
- 56:31Earth. Probably not if you find water on
- 56:34another world. Yeah, I mean, it's. And of
- 56:37course there's an ethical side to this as
- 56:38well. Uh, my answer to. Well,
- 56:41it's the answer to, um, why
- 56:44we. Why we sterilise spacecraft going to
- 56:46Mars. Because we don't want to. To
- 56:48contaminate Mars with earthly microbes. If
- 56:51there are microbes there of Martian origin
- 56:53already, you don't want to intermix them.
- 56:57Andrew Dunkley: See, Angela, he had to do that. He just had
- 57:00to do the, the ethical thing.
- 57:03You and I are on a different page, but. Yeah,
- 57:06well, coming from Angela.
- 57:08Professor Fred Watson: Yeah.
- 57:10Andrew Dunkley: But, you know, if, if the Thermi paradox,
- 57:13Fermi paradox is what it is, then why are
- 57:15we worried? Anyway?
- 57:16Professor Fred Watson: It doesn't matter. That's right. It just
- 57:18doesn't matter. Yes. Can send anything
- 57:21anywhere. Well, that might be the way it ends
- 57:23up. If we never find any existence, any
- 57:26evidence of life somewhere else. But I think
- 57:28this is a study that's still in its infancy.
- 57:31Astrobiology has only been around for 30
- 57:32years or something, so we've still got a long
- 57:35way to go.
- 57:36Andrew Dunkley: We have, yes. Um. Uh,
- 57:39yes, at this stage we're playing it safe.
- 57:43I think the day will come Angela, where
- 57:45we'll, we'll load up an arc spacecraft and
- 57:47we will send them hither and thither
- 57:52and try to populate another planet.
- 57:56Who knows? Could happen. Uh, thanks, Angela.
- 57:58Great question, though. Really enjoyed
- 58:00mincing that one up. Uh, and,
- 58:03uh, that brings us to the end of the show,
- 58:05Fred Watson. Thank you.
- 58:07Professor Fred Watson: Um, thank you, Andrew. Thanks for your
- 58:09tolerance and patience and.
- 58:11Andrew Dunkley: Um, I think it's the other way around,
- 58:12Fred Watson.
- 58:13Professor Fred Watson: But anyway, thanks for not dropping
- 58:16out on me.
- 58:17Andrew Dunkley: Uh, yes, we've had a golden run today.
- 58:20Yeah, it's been good after the massive full
- 58:23start, but, uh, yeah, we were all good.
- 58:25Thanks, Fred Watson. We'll catch you next
- 58:27time.
- 58:28Professor Fred Watson: Sounds great. Thanks, Andrew.
- 58:30Andrew Dunkley: Professor Fred Watson Watson, Astronomer
- 58:31Large, with us every week, uh, twice, uh, on
- 58:34Space Nuts. And thanks to Huw in the studio,
- 58:36who couldn't be with us today because he's
- 58:38just putting his Dutch nationality
- 58:40application in. He's sick of being a Kiwi. He
- 58:43wants to be Dutch because, you know, they're
- 58:45so cool. Well, I married one, so they must
- 58:48be. And from me, Andrew Dunkley, thanks for
- 58:50your company. Catch you on the next episode
- 58:52of Space Nuts.
- 58:53Professor Fred Watson: Bye. Bye.
- 58:54Voice Over Guy: You've been listening to the Space Nuts
- 58:57podcast, available at
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