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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls + NFL Best Bets Monday 12/22/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my broins hat man, I don't
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what day it is anymore. But
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what day it is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for toadsul Sports, Monday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: December twenty second, the streak ends. I'm pissed. I'm very
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: pissed about everything, dude. I'm just so fucking pissed about picks, fantasy,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: everything just going fucking haywire and a lot of it.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Just injured quarterbacks, Jordan Love gets hurt, and absolutely no
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: way that Green Bay pic should have lost, even though
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: that was not a play of mine. No way the
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: Ravens should have lost last night. They were up eleven
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: points with whatever five six minutes to go. Lamar Jackson
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: exited the game with an injury, and then the game
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: kind of ended on a similar play to Green Bays
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: where the quarterback just couldn't handle the snap. Even though Huntley,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's pretty experienced, he was doing all right
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: in the game, but still, I think if Lamar Jackson
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: was in there. The Ravens finished that game off. Henry
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: was oddly out of the game as well. He didn't
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: play for like the entire fourth quarter. So the best
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: player on the Baltimore Ravens was just inexplicably missing. It
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: makes absolutely no sense to me. I have no idea
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: what happened in that game. It never should have happened
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: that way. And then of course I had JJ McCarthy
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: as my fantasy Q Beasts. I lost Patrick Mahomes, Rashi
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: Rice he wasn't gonna play. And then Kansas City goes
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: in there and Gardner Minshew tears as ACL like immediately,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: So back to back weeks torn ACL quarterbacks for Kansas City.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: I don't even know who their other quarterback is. I
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: can't even I don't even know what to tell you.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: And then in my fantasy league, I also had Woody Marx.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: He didn't play either, so I had to put in
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: other guys. So I mean, what can I even do.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: There's nothing that I could do even do. My entire
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: team just gets injured. And on the one seed, I'm
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: up against a forty point performance from Nakua, which is
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: like half of my opponent's entire score.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: I can't do shit. I can't do anything. I'm dead.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, unless Jonathan Taylor's gonna get me fifty points tonight,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: I'm so fucking pissed.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: And then the actual plays yesterday were not good either,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: and we went three, four and one on the show.
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: So whatever, I mean, hopefully you got the Giants plus three.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: I did say, maybe pay upwards of maybe about one
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: fifteen on it. There were threes out there at some books.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Briefly I was able to find it. At three. They pushed,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, the Giants Jackson Dart had
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: like thirty some of the yards total through the air.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: What I mean, I know Minnesota's defense is good, but
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: what the fuck happened in that game? JJ McCarthy goes down,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Minnesota has no offensive attack in the game at all,
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: and the Giants can't win seriously, so that winds up
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: being a push. I mean, m and the Dallas, they
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: started out all right, touchdown right away, they're up seven
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: to nothing. No, then they just completely shit the bed. Dallas.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: They're done. They're officially I think they might have been
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: officially eliminated anyway with the Eagles winning because I think
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: the only path for the Cowboys of the playoffs was
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: winning the division. I believe. I don't even know, man.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: I thought that was a horrible spot for the Chargers.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: I can't believe that. And then Arizona, I am so
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: pit dude, I'm beyond pissed. Plus, this fucks up my
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: money contest, and I member, you have to pick five games.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: I lose by the half point on Seattle, and then
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I had these picks, and then I did use the
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Browns as my other pick, which wound up being my
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: only win of the week in that game. I lose
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: all four of these other ones because the Giants were
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: two and a half. And then we lose on Arizona,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: even though they're winning the entire first half. They were
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: up ten points multiple times in the first half.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: And then what do they do.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: They come out in the second half and they score
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: three points in the entire second half and they lose
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the game. And they still had a chance to at
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: least push at the end, assuming you guys got the
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: three on that one.
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: The three was pretty readily available.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: On that one of the I think most places you
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: did have to pay a little bit more for it,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: but only like minus one twelve, minus one, thirteen, whatever,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen worth it for that one. But still
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: and then that final drive, I'm thinking, all right, they
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: can get a touchdown here and cut it back to
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: within three and at least push this. No, they kick
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: a field goal, which I mean, in a way, it
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense because you do that so there's
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: more time still on the clock to try to get
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: the ball back, and then you know you still need
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: a touchdown.
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: But I am just so pissed, dude.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: It looked like Arizona was gonna win that game easily
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: the way the first half was going.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: You have to be kidding me.
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: In college basketball, we had an easy blowout win to
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: start the day with Pitt eighty to forty six.
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: I think was the final there that made me look good.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Then Northern Arizona, I don't know what the fuck happened
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: in that game.
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: They lose by like twenty two points.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: The game was like tied in the second half, but
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: then they lose by twenty two. I can't even tell
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: you what happened in that game because I didn't see
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: any of it. And then the Vegas Knights actually outplayed
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Edmonton in the game, they had way more shots, although
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: part of that was because they were losing, but they
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: were also the more physical team. They won like sixty
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the faceoffs in the game as well more hits.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: And they still lose the game.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: And not only did they lose it, but they fall
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: down four to one, and then they decided to tease
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: me by cutting it to four to three with like
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: seven minutes left in the game, so there was actually
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: a chance that could have tied it. Come on, like,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna do that, just lose the game six
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: to one. Put me out of my misery, you fucking bastards.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: I'm so sick of it, dude. And then NBA was good,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: so you know, a lot of times, the NBA is
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: my saving grace. We went to two to zero in the
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: NBA with Milwaukee covering and almost winning outright. They lost
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: by three, and then the other game went into overtime.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they both went into overtime. Sacramento
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: went into overtime and won the game outright in overtime.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: So another huge underdog winner outright for me in NBA.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Almost two of them yesterday. So NBA did go well,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: so there you go.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: So today that means I'm not gonna have any.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: NBA plays because that's the way that it goes. Jeffrey,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yes, Jeffrey, you were correct on the under
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: in the hockey game there. I was not right about
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: that one. So that was a winner for you. That
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: was good for you. All right, let's get into I
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, I gotta share my screen. Oh my god,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: we got you know, pretty much every sport, every sport
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: is in action today. But I only have three plays here.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, the board is not very enticing to me. Here.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: We have more college basketball games than I expected, but
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: a lot of them are non Division one teams getting
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: involved here, including U Mass Boston. The scene of the crime,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: the scene where Larry Bird, uh you know, told me
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: to fuck go off and refuse to sign an autograph
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: That was at UMass Boston when he was coaching the
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: Indiana Basers at a summer league event which also involved
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. U Mask gets to play their little brother
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: U Mass Boston. There you go. There is a D
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: one game at eleven am between New Haven and Fordham.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: I got nothing on this game, really, new Haven, they're
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: new to Division One. They've been playing alright, but a
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: lot of their wins are against really we competition. They're
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: coming up a pretty ugly loss to nj T. Maybe
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: they were hungover because they played pretty well against Boston
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: College the game before that. But they do have Vandy
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: up next to and this is another road game for
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: new Haven. Fordham's been pretty good at home. Fordham coming
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: off blowing out Manhattan, though. That is a satisfying win
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: for Fordham because Manhattan is one of their siblings in
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: the New York City area. It's Manhattan versus the Bronx
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: basically there, so Fordham got that win. They do have
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: dating up next, potential look ahead there, although I think
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: new Haven has some big opponent next as well, if
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they have Vandy.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I think I mentioned that I can't really I mean
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: difficult to handicap this one the way that I do things.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Fordham looks like they're taking some of the money up
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: from eleven and a half to twelve and a half.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: I kind of disagree. Eighty percent of the tickets ninety
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them. I actually think
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: they might be a a little bit overconfident after crushing
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Manhattan New Haven coming off kind of an ugly loss.
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: J T.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: I would probably look to take the points here total
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: very low at one hundred and twenty seven and a half.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: So but I mean, the money does look like it's
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: on Fordham, and that's not a game the public is
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: really going to play. So whatever late scratches in that game, yeah,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I haven't been paying attention to the personnel at all,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: so I have no idea. I haven't looked at the
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: box score yet either to see if there was anything
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: like I don't know, if there was a situation where
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: the goaltenders just played out of their minds or something,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: or if it was really like a like slower game. Yeah,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: the famous Idaho Potato bowls today, that one. It's a
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: really really difficult game for me to figure out. So
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: obviously I do not have a play on that game either.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: West Georgia is at Georgia in college basketball at two
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: pm in Athens, so it is at home for Georgia,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: but of course West Georgia is a little brother in
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: the state of Georgia. Georgia is just into the rankings.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: A lot of times when a team just cracks the rankings,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: sometimes they get a little bit hyped up and they
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: don't play as well. But they're not coming off of
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: anything big. They just beat West Carolina Western Carolina, but
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: they do put up one hundred and twelve points against them,
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: so maybe in that respect, maybe they will be a
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: little bit hyped. Georgia is undefeated at home. West Georgia
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: did just beat some non Division one team though, to
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: break a losing streak, so that is good to give
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: them some momentum coming into this. I mean, the game
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: is a complete mismatch, but the question is is Georgia
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: are gonna win by thirty four and a half? They might,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: I mean the totals up to one hundred and seventy
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: and a half because I think both of these teams
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: play fast. That is a really high total. So I
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: don't really want to come in and take the points,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: even though that might be the way that I would
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: lean in this game. But I don't have a strong
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: opinion at all. In that game, Quick played well. Bad
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: sand To three. I wonder if the actually make Bad
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Santa three. Bad Santa two wasn't that good? The original
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: was awesome. I love the original. Saw it in the
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: theater with one of my friends. I think we were
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: still in high school when that movie came out, the
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: original one, or we were just out of high school.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: It might have been like freshman year in college and
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: I was back home. I forget, but I went with
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: one of my high school friends to Bad Santa, if
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Shout out to Adam and then Bad Santa.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: By the way, the kid from Bad Santa, because I
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: know what he kind of looks like now, because I
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: saw Bad Santa two where he was basically an adult
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: in Bad Santa too, the fat Kid, because the movie
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: came out like a decade later. But I'm watching Jeopardy
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: because I do watch Jeopardy. This was probably about a
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: year ago. I'm watching Jeopardy and one of the contestants,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: I'm like, holy shit, this is regular Jeopardy.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: I'm like, holy shit.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: This guy looks exactly like the fat Kid from Bad Santa.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: And they said he was an actor from Canada. They
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: said his name. He never mentioned anything about being in
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Bad Santa, and I looked him up. It was him.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: The kid from Bad Santa made a Jeopardy appearance and
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: he was real bad. He was horrible. I think he
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: wound up in the negative and didn't even make final.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: It was crazy dude, absolutely crazy, and he never mentioned
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: being a bad dude. Is he embarrassed that he's in
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Bad Santa? I mean, come on, man, I think it's awesome.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: That's like your claim to family. Hell yeah, you're the
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: kid from Bad Santa. Man. He was a sympathetic character.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: He was just, you know, a fat, a fat retarded boy.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: Let's not get my gentle nuked. Yeah. Thurman Merhaman Yeah,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, but it was him on Jeopardy
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: and he was horrific on Jeopardy. All right. I don't
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: think I want to get into every single one of
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: these games here. That's because we have a lot of
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: afternoon action here. But we do have nj T and Butler.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I found to be a little bit interesting because I
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: think Butler is in a sandwich spot here, so I'd
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: be looking to go against them here. They did just
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: play Boise Providence, yukon Northwestern.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: They got the win over Northwestern.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: They have NJIT and then after this they go back
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: to Big East play facing Creighton after a Christmas on
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: December thirtieth, So it looks like a pretty classic sandwich spot.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: My question is though Butler only beating Northwestern by three,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, Northwestern is not really that good,
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: so is that really gonna put them in like a
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: huge letdown spot? I don't know. That's that's kind of
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: my hesitation with this that I mean, NJIT is awful,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: But you're gonna see one of my plays today is
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: probably the ugliest play that I've ever given out in
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: college of basketball.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: It's uglier than NJIT. I think nj T did just.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Lose really bad to Sacred Heart. Sacred Hearts not good
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: and NJT only put forty nine points on the board
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: and lost sixty five to forty nine. I expect them
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: to bounce back. But the other problem is Butler is
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: gonna try to speed this thing up, at least to
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: some extent, even though again I always talk about how
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: the team just might not really have the incentive to
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: do that when they're the better team because they could
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: just win and not cover and they don't really give
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: a shit. So we'll see. But NJT does not want
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: to do that. They want to play slower. I am
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: pretty sure. Hold on, let me see, I have too
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: many tabs up here. Man ken bum Is up here somewhere, yeah, NJT. Yeah,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: actually they play more of a mid tempo than I thought.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: But anyway, I would look towards taking it. The total
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: is actually low down to one hundred and forty five
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: and a half, Butler's laying thirty one and a half
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: down from thirty two. Again, I would still take the points.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: I think you're probably at least getting some line value
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: in fading Butler if you do it. It's an oddly
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: low total for a team that is in the top
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: one hundred and tempo though for Butler. So, although Butler
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: was not like the greatest offensive team, but they're a
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: pretty balanced team though, so we will say yes, sir, Yeah,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Pitt over Penn State. Yeah, it was a classic fade spot.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: After it we had Penn State in the prior one
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: against Michigan State.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: They almost want outright.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: So I love when situation's set up like that because
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: you can get two winners in a row playing on
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: the team and then fading them in the next game. Yeah,
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: that worked out pretty well, even though I don't think
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Pitt is very good, but Penn State isn't either. Our
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: boys at Denver are coming off that upset. They pulled
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: that upset for US against Northern Colorado, big upset for them,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: and now they're going on the road to Tulsa. So
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: the question is gonna be does Denver have much left
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: in the tank after a big win against Well, I
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: think they considered to be a bigger brother in the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: state of Colorado. Big upset win for Denver. They gotta
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: go to Tulsa. Ideally, they're probably gonna still show up.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tulsa at this point is not really a
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: team you're gonna overlook because they're eleven and one, five
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: and zero at home. But the spot is just not
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: great for Denver having to put up a big effort
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: now two games in a row like this Tulsa. They're
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: coming out of a pretty nice win themselves though at
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. I mean, that's not a bad win. Western
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Kentucky was undefeated at home prior to that. I'm pretty
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: sure Tulsa was actually the favorite in the game.
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: Though.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Tulsa looking like they're gonna be a force in there
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: conference this year. At least. I'm not going to say
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: they're actually good, but as far as the American Conference goes,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: they might actually be one of the teams that's in
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: the mix to win that thing this year and get
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: into the tournament. We'll see, but overall, I probably would
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Tulsa in this one. I think
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: the letdown spot for Denver is just bigger. Ninety four
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets in eighty nine percent of the
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: cash on Denver, so it looks like they're a public
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: dog here, which that doesn't really make sense to me.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't see the public coming in and
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: really wanting to Like, do you really think the public
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: wants to come in and take Denver against an eleven
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: to one team. I don't know Tulsa's lank seventeen though,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: so maybe they just think that numbers too high for
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: a team like Tulsa, but they are definitely significantly better
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: than Denver. Denver also plays zero defense, which I know
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: we were on them in the last game, but their
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: defense is horrible, and the total in the mid one
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: sixties makes it a little bit easier for Tulsa to
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: maybe cover that thing. Tulsa was also good to us.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: Both of these teams are good to us last time
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: we played them, so they're both on my good side.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna fade either one go you guys
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: go fight it out, but I will lean slightly to
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: laying it with Tulisa. Mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: hanging out. What else we got here? We do have
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: South Carolina against South Carolina State. Actually I skipped over
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: one that's actually gonna be one of my plays, but
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: I'll go back to it in a second. This is
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: also in the afternoon, a lot of afternoon college basketball today,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: a holiday week. You know, South Carolina is coming up
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: a big game man at Clemson. They lost by seven.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: I don't remember how close this game was down the
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: stretch though, I mean it wasn't exactly that close. But
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: South Carolina they didn't really go away. They were still
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: within six points in the closing minutes of the game.
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: So a two possession game, big game for them.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: They could come up flat in the next game after
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: such a big game like that against Clemson. Of course.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Now South Carolina I think may consider themselves to be
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: a little brother against Clemson. Well, now South Carolina is
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: the big brother here against South Carolina State. South Carolina
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: State has gone awful though they've lost all ten road games.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: South Carolina I think is undefeated at home. South Carolina
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: State finally won a game, but it was against a
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: non Division one team, and that's their only win this season,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: so that's pretty ugly. Although they've had a pretty difficult schedule,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: they've played a ton of road games. I don't know
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: how some of these like low conference teams, how they
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: start out the season playing so many road games. I mean,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: I think it's just that these bigger teams just pay
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: those teams, Hey, come play us at our house, give
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: us an easy win, whatever, which I think in that
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: case kind of motivates like the team like South Carolina
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: State like fuck you, you think we're so bad you're gonna
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: pay us to play you? You know.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: So it does at least battle test South Carolina State.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: They've had a difficul schedule, there's no doubt about that,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: and they got some momentum coming off at least winning
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: a game for once. So if I was gonna do this,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I would take the points here with South Carolina State. Man,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: it is ugly, though it's a low total. It's up
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: to one hundred and forty nine and a half, though
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: it's still pretty low. You're getting thirty one and a
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: half right now in South Carolina State. Probably there is
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: some value there. I mean, the books are gonna have
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: to shade the number at least to some extent towards
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, so there probably is some value there. Sparring partners, yeah, yeah,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: except this one is for real though South Carolina will
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: knock out South Carolina State. It's just a question of
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: how decisive is it gonna be. Yeah, So I don't know.
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot else to say about
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: that one. South Carolina. As far as Temple, they do
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: play a pretty slow tempo, so another reason and maybe
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: look to fade them. I am going to be doing
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: that in one of these other games with a giant spread.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Like I said, you might not even be prepared for
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: how ugly. One of my players to say, this first
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: one up might be a little bit more palatable, even
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: though it's also bad. Notre Dame came to Temple and
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: now Temple has to go there twenty times? Is that true?
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: That was the deal? I don't know. That seems where
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame is not even very good in basketball, So
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, that doesn't make sense, all right,
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: best bets, We do have one coming up right now,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: I only have three plays today, like I said, two
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: college basketball, one in NHL, and then I'll talk about
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: the rest of the games, but we'll not have any
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: plays on the rest of them. We're gonna be on
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: UTSA here plus the points. It's at eight and a
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: half right now. I don't know if you'll be able
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: to get better on this or not. The number is
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: up to eight and a half on Seattle here, We're
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: gonna fade Seattle. I think Seattle's in a bad spot.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: The totals pretty low at one hundred and forty five,
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: so taking the points somewhat makes more sense in that respect.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Right off the bat here looking at this game, this
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: game is I believe in San Antonio. Yeah, so it's
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: a home game for UTSA, so it's far away from Seattle.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Kind of an unfamiliar venue for Seattle. But that's kind
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: of just the start of the handicap here Seattle. They're
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: not good offensively, okay, they play like a mid tempo style.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of used to them getting in all these ugly,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: low scoring games because they're way better defensively than offensively,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: and that's not the greatest recipe for covering as a
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: road favorite. You know what I mean, you need like
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: some semblance of offenses. Seattle is significantly worse offensively than defensively.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know UTSA is bad on both sides
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: of the ball. They're really bad offensively, yeah, but they
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: are also a more defensive team. Seattle's better on both
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball. I'm not gonna argue they aren't.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: They definitely are a UTSA actually likes to play a
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: little bit faster even if the game gets slowed down, though,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Like I don't think it's really gonna like totally throw
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: them out of it. And we're looking for the home
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: underdog to cover here, so I'm okay with it being
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: a slower game. You know, fewer points scored means it's
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: usually it's easier to cover as the dog. But the
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: main thing here is that Seattle. I mean, first of all,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: looking at the record ten and two, they just look
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: way too good right now. But look at the spot
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: that they're in. They just beat Washington, huge win. And
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: I talked about that game. I told you I talked
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: about how Seattle they always step it up when they
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: play Washington because Washington is the big boy and they
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: both are Seattle schools and Washington is the University of Washington.
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: Huge game for Seattle. Now they get the win, upset
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: win over Washington. It wasn't a massive upset, but it
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: was like points spread wise, but probably still Washington was
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: probably what were they like a nine point favorite, maybe ten,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Whatever, it was still a huge win
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: for Seattle. Now they gotta go down to Utsa and
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Seattle they have not played a true road game outside
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: of the Pacific time zone this year. The only time
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: they were outside of the Pacific time zone. Let me see,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: actually was this specific? Is what it was? This is
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. They were in the Zorts World Championship.
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: Whatever the hell that was, So you can correct me
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, but I don't see it otherwise. I
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: think Seattle has not left the Pacific time zone yet
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: this season, which is ridiculous. And they're having to travel
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: to San Antonio with only two days off here after
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: that huge win for them, and then when they get
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: back home, well they're gonna go home for Christmas. And
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: then after Christmas they start conference playing in their new
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: conference because Seattle used to be in the Whack and
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: now they've moved up to the WCC because they were
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: good enough in the Whack. The two best teams in
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: the Whack moved out of the Whack, so Grand Canyon
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: moved to the Mountain West and Seattle moved to the WCCs.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: In their next game, right away, they play one of
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the WCC. Two is San Francisco
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: up next. That's a massive game. You're the first conference
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: game in their new conference and it's against one of
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: the probably one of the top three teams in the conference,
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: San Francisco, maybe Santa Clara, you want to argue there,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: So one of the top four at least huge game there.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: This is a sandwich spot for sure. It's a weird
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: travel spot. And for UTSA, I like how it sets
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: up for UTSA because they just were out on the
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: road for three really difficult games Alabama, Colorado, USC. They
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: weren't really close in any of them, so it's not
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: one of those games where they're gonna be like flat
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: coming off of like almost beating one of these teams.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: But that battle tested them. And now they're back at home.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: And the last time they were at home, I think
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: this was at home, they lost horribly to South Alabama,
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: I know this is in San Antonio. My mistake, I
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: know it was. Yeah, what am I saying? Yes? This
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: wasn't San Antonio. What am I saying? Yes? So their
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: last home game they lost horribly, And I like spots
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: like this in college basketball. The return home spot is
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: not like it is in professional sports where guys have
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: to get back to families and whatever. That's not really
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: a thing in college. But like when a team is
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: coming back for a home game, usually they don't have
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: that long road like long road trips in college either.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: But when a team comes back home and the last
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: time they were at home, they got total embarrassed, like
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: UTSA did losing eighty two to fifty eight. South Alabama
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: is a decent team, but still, you lose like that
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: to anybody, you're gonna be pretty angry. I think the
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: next time you're on that floor, you want to redeem yourself.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: So this is a spot that works out pretty well
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: in college basketball. Getting a bunch of points here, UTSA
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: plus the points is the play in that one. All right,
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: let's keep going here. And what else we have we
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: got getting into the evening slate of games here? I mean,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Virginia is ranked so I guess I'll just give them
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: a shout out. They're playing against American University. Virginia is
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: coming up beating Maryland, though it wasn't a very impressive win,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: only beating them by eight.
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: Maryland looks like they're kind of down this year.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Man, Virginia does have a big rivalry against Virginia Tech next,
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: so I guess you could still argue kind of that
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot because they're coming up beating
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: a big ten team. But my issue with it is
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: they didn't play well and they didn't cover the spread
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: in that one either, so they were supposed to win
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: more easily against Maryland. But if you do want to
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: take American here, although they are also zero to four
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: on the road Virginia seven and zero at home.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: But the thing about Virginia is they play slow.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's what they're notorious for, so laying a
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: ton of points with Virginia usually not the way that
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: you want to go. American might kind of consider themselves
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: to be a little brother because I think they're at
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Washington DC School so close to Virginia. They're making the
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Virginia trip here where they just lost a VCU by
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: over twenty points, So tough game, but they weren't very
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: close in that game.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: It kind of battle test them.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: At least if I was gonna play it, I would
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: probably look to take the points. What the fuck video downloader? Yes,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: thanks for uploading. Thanks for updating. I mean, so I
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: can continue to download my sidefeld drops. What was I
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: looking at here? Oh yeah, American The spreads up to
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: twenty eight here, although the total is kind of higher
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: than I expected one hundred and fifty seven. But still
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: taking points against Virginia does sometimes make sense because they
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: don't really they don't run the floor and really run
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: opponents off the gym, you know what I mean. Sianna
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: and Indiana's interesting on Big ten Network in the evening.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Sianna's actually a pretty good team this year in the
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: matt Act. They might be the best team in the
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: matt Act. It's probably between them and Marist right now.
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac pretty good as well.
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: Sianna did just take a loss though to Vermont on
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: the road, and Sianna had not lost since early in
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: the season. So I talk about when a team loses
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: a win streak, sometimes it will hang them over coming
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: into the next game. But you could also argue they
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to Indiana and that's why they lost
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: to Vermont. Vermont is not a pushover. Even if they're
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: down a little bit, that's still not an easy opponent
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: to beat at their place.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Maybe Sianna was looking ahead here at Indiana.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're gonna step up for a game
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: against one of the big boys in Indiana. Indiana's sitting
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: at nine and three eight no at home. Indiana's resume
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: is actually not that impressive, though their best win is
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: against Kansas State. I would say they did beat Marquette
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: as well on one of those is the best. I mean,
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: both those teams are down a little bit, and then Indiana, well,
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: I guess Penn State. You could argue that win is
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: in the mix as well. So Indiana's beaten some bigger
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: conference teams that are better than Sianna. Sure, but Indiana
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: also has not stepped up well against the best opponents
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: Louisville and Kentucky.
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: They lost both those games.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: They did lose to Minnesota as well, which is a
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: win on the show for us here.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: So I don't know Indiana.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, basically, that's a long way of saying I
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: think Indiana might be a little bit overrated just based
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: on them being the name Indiana. Like, who would have
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: thought that Indiana's football program is actually better than their
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: basketball program?
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: When when has that ever been the case?
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: But it is right now. I'm not saying Indiana is bad,
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: but Sianna might give them a little bit of a
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: run here in this game. Man, the public looks like
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: they are on Sianna though ninety three percent of the tickets,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: only ninety percent of the cash on them Indiana up
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: to twenty two and a half total is low at
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: one hundred and forty four, So I don't know. I mean,
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: I was kind of thinking maybe Indiana, because Indiana does
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: start Big Ten play after they have a long rest,
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: then after the holidays they start Big Ten Play against
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: Washington or not start Big ten play, but they resume,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: and I should say so that is kind of a
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot there too. So I don't know.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, my opinion.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: Would be leaning towards Sianna plus the points in that one.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really sure the public is really
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: coming in on Sianna in that game, or if it's
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: just that there's not really much public activity in that game.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: I don't I wouldn't really expect the public to be
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: on a team where they don't know their name, especially
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: when Indiana has the same record and everybody knows their name.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: Everybody knows their name, all right, North Dakota State and Utah.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: This is a continuation of the Sun Bowl Invitational, which
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: is hosted by UTEP. But remember I told you yesterday
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: and almost made my card. Maybe I should have given
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: it out as to play. UTEP was in a bad spot, dude,
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: coming back from playing really tough in Hawaii. So even
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: though they're hosting this tournament, they kind of got They
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: got screwed by the scheduling here and they lost in
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: and up set to Norfolk State. So now they're in
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: the third place game here or the consolation game because
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: there are only four teams in the tournament here, which
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: is also what I'm gonna be in. Isn't that great?
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Although my fantasy team, my fantasy league is twelve teams,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: but still I gotta I'm gonna have to win next
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: week to get into the money and get the third place.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: I fucking hate it with my mash unit of a team.
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: UTEP took the loss, though I think they should bounce
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: back at home here, man, you know, like defend your
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: home court. You just were in a bad spot, you
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: took an ugly loss. As a favorite, I would lean
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: to UTEP in this one. It also looks almost too
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: easy to lay the points, like only four and a
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: half with North Dakota State as the way better record
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: at ten and four UTEP three and seven, nor to
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: go to state. A tougher battle yesterday too against a
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: pretty good UC Irvine team and they fell just short,
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: losing by one, and that broke along win streak from
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State. So I could see them being a
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: bit hung over in this one. So if I was
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: gonna play it, I would lean towards UTEP getting the
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: four and a half low total one hundred and forty
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: four and a half as well, right Princeton and Temple,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Jefferies seeing their Temple this game. Princeton's coming off of
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: a real disgusting loss, dude to Merrimack. Princeton is awful
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: this year, There's no doubt about it. The losses Avian
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: lead to Florida Princeton. I mean, they were one of
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the IVY for a little bit
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: not right now. They've lost seven games in a row,
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: but that lost to Merrimack at home, that's disgusting. And
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: now Princeton's been off since December tenth, so I actually
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: think I think that's good for them to just bust
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: up that losing momentum. You went into it on the
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: worst note possible, losing to a pretty awful Merrimack team
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: at home. As a favorite, I expect them to show
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: up in this one man at Temple, and Temple's coming
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: off a pretty good win over Davidson on the road.
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: Davidson was favored in that game, Temple pulling off the
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: upset there, and that was four days ago, and they're
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: on a three game win streak. So yeah, they do
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: have momentum, I guess, but they could be in a
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: bit of a let down here. So if I was
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: gonna play this, I would look towards Princeton because I
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: think the Russ factor is not really a thing. When
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: you went into that long break on a horrific losing streak,
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: I think you use that time off to fix a
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: bunch of shit. So even though Temple is up to
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: an eleven point favorite here, I would look towards taking
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: the points with Princeton in this one, total is down
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: to one hundred and forty one and a half, so
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty low total there as well. Alright, what
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: other games was I looking at here today? All right,
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: we'll go to my last best bet here, the last
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: one in college I should say, I know, dude, I
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: gotta be selective, man, can't. I can't give out a
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: plan when it's not that strong, Although I will say
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: that one of the other ones I talked about was
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: one of the stronger opinions that I had Njit was
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: one of the ones I was considering. And then I
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: think there's one other one that I was considering that
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about. But this is where it gets as
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: ugly as possible, man, and I have my reasoning behind it.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the worst team in Division one basketball,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State plus forty one against West Virginia. That's
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna do here, man. I mean, first of all,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: you're asking West Virginia to win this game by forty one.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: West Virginia plays the slowest or second slowest pace in
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: literally all of Division one basketball. They are that slow,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: So you're asking the slowest paced team basically to win
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: by forty one. I know they're playing the worst team
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: in D one, but Virginia is also not the best
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: team in Division one. They're not that great. Where does
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb have West Virginia at, like probably in the
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: seventies sixty nine sixty nine, So my mistake. West Virginia
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: plays the fourteenth slowest tempo but still extremely slow tempo.
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: They're not even in the top one hundred in offense,
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: so they're more of a defensive team. So this is
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: a team that plays slow, they don't score well. They're
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: basically North Texas from the previous few years. West Virginia
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: was already a slow paced team as well, but now
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: they brought North Texas's coaching and now they're egregiously slow.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know, West Virginia is really low in
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: the luck Index, so ken Bomb is telling you they're
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: actually better than the record looks, but he still has
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: them hardly in like barely in the top seventy. And
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: they faced a really weak schedule three hundred and fifty
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: first strongest schedule, so they have like one of the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: fifteen weakest schedules so far. So that's not great. Now,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: West Virginia again looking at their schedule yet it's not
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: an impressive resume, but look at what they're doing right now.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: They just this is a win for us on the show.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: They covered for us against Ohio State. But they should
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: have won this game against Ohio State in the Cleveland
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: Showdown Cleveland Hoops Showdown, so it was kind of a
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: semi home game for Ohio State. West Virginia should have
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: had the win. Man they were winning by double digits
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: in the second half, they had the lead late, they
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: blew it and the game wound up going into double
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: overtime and they covered for us, but they lost by
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: one point.
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: Brutal, absolutely brutal to come off a game like this.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: I know Ohio State's not amazing this year or anything
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: like that, but they're still eight and two when West
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: Virginia took them right to the limit. And if you
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game, the three point
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: shooting was definitely a bit of a major outlier here.
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: West Virginia had twelve three pointers that shot forty six
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: percent from three, very unlike what they usually do. Ohio
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: State only had four to three pointers and were nineteen
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: percent from three, so Ohio State did not shoot well
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: from three at all, but the fact that West Virginia
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: blew that game, I think they're gonna be hungover coming
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: into this one, man. And then after the holidays they
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: start Big Twelve play with a monster Iowa State. So
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: to me, I think this is a sandwich spot, even
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: though that's not for a while until after the break.
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: But I don't see them really having that much focus
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: on Mississippi Valley State, man, whose only win is against
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: the Mississippi College of Women, not a Division one team,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: actually a men's basketball team, though barely. I know how
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: bad Mississippi Valley State is, Man, I understand that, but
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: if you look at the Big conference opponents that they played,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: they lost to Texas A and M by what is
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: that thirty six on the road, They lost by sixty
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: one at Kansas State, I know, and then they lost
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: by whatever this is? What is that? Forty seven at
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Florida State in their last game. So I know that's
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: not a great sign. But who are those oponents I
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: just mentioned Texas A and M, Kansas State, Florida State. Yeah,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: you want to see where they are in ken Bumps
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: tempo rankings. He has Texas A and M twenty second
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: in tempo. Kansas State is eighteenth in tempo, and then
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: Florida State is sixth in tempo. So those three teams
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: are all in the top like twenty two in Ken
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: Bumps tempo. So all three of those teams play extremely fast.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: So West Virginia is a completely different style of basketball
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: than that. So yeah, asking West Virginia to cover forty
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: one seems ludicrous to me. I think they probably win
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: this game by in the thirties. I would guess. I
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: think Mississippi Valley State could get this thing done for us. Man.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: You know, they're probably gonna at least give you an effort,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: and they're not gonna be intimidated because they've played at all
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: these other big schools on the road. West Virginia again
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: is not the best Power Conference school and they play
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: unbelievably slow. So good luck trying to cover a forty
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: one point spread in that one, West Virginia. Dirty sock.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: What's up man, thanks for hanging out. So yeah, Mississippi
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: Valley State is actually a play for me today. Yeah,
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: I know, I know, all right.
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else they even wanted to talk about.
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: I usually talk about BC. They're playing fairly, Dickinson.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, BC, they just lost to U Mass out
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: in Western mass. It was a neutral site game in Springfield,
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: but it was closer to you Mass's campus, So BC,
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: I mean they took the outright loss, which is kind
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: of ugly, although U Mass isn't that much worse than
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: they are. Both teams not great, But BC do they
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: bounce back here against FDU maybe. I mean BC's four
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: and two and all fdus offl on the road, oh
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: and six. FDU did just beat some non D one team,
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: but I think all yeah, all three of FDU's wins
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: are against non Division one teams, although granted they played
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: some difficult teams. They play Iowa State, Texas. I mean,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: they're pretty battle tested Providence, but they got blown off
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: the floor in those games. So I don't know. I mean,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: I would probably be leaning towards BC in this one,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: but the number the money seems to disagree with me.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: They're down from seventeen and a half to fifteen and
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: a half. Total is up to one forty six and
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: a half, which is still pretty low though, so I
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, we'll see, but I don't have
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on that one. Anyway, Stax, what's up man,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. I will be on Stacks Show tonight,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: by the way, so everybody can can be on the
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: lookout for that.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Stas.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know what you're where you're I don't have
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: like your YouTube link or anything right now or whatever,
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: but I will be on Stack Show tonight, I believe
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern, So you guys can be on the
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: lookout for that. Are uh Garrett. North Carolina guys not
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: in the chat right now, but they're playing East Carolina here,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: and you know East Carolina, they're an in state little
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: They pretty much always try to get up for games
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: against these other North Carolina schools with mixed results. I mean,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: they're always they're always worse. So the question is like,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: is North Carolina gonna covers a big favorite here? North
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Carolina tough game against Ohio State. Man, So I could
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: see it going both ways, like will North Carolina be
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: more focused here because they didn't cover or is that
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: a big win? And will they be kind of in
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot here because then they do have Florida
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: State after this and then smu whatever they start acc
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: play basically even though FSCU is not good this year,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: But I lean more towards this being a sandwich because
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: I think that was still a pretty big win over
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. Even though they didn't cover East Carolina. Coming
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: out of an easy one of a Presbyterian, you kind
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: of knew they were that. Well. East Carolina is, They're
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: gonna come into this game with focus. I mean, that's
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: just the way that it is. So I would lean
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with them if I was gonna
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: do it. North Carolina is a twenty seven and a
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: half point FAI, but even though they play fast, the
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: total is not high one hundred and forty four and
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: a half, so makes it easier to cover as a
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: dog in that one.
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: So that's the way I would lean in that game.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: Kansas is hosting Davidson, and laying points with Kansas is
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: kind of dicey, usually laying a lot of points with
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: them because they're they're fairly slow paced and they focus
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: on defense, so they don't cover as a favorite that well,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: let's say, Davidson kind of sneaky. They're not that bad.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: This Actually, this reminds me of the two thousand and
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: eight tournament right the Elite eight game where Steph Curry's
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Davidson team almost pulled off the upset against I believe
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: eventual champion Kansas that year. That was crazy. Some of
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: those games are crazy. That year. My autism, my bracket autism.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Coming back here, Davidson, they're coming up that loss that
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: I mentioned to Temple. Maybe Davidson was looking ahead to
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Kansas year Davidson lost is a favorite against Temple, so
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: I think we're probably looking ahead. You will probably get
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: a decent effort out of them here in this one.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Kansas they're just coming off crushing tousand thousand. Is not horrible,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: but not a whole lot to see there. And then
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: Kansas is gonna go into the holiday break and then
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: they start conference play, but they only do it against UCF,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: so maybe not the biggest look ahead, but it is
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: still the you know, resuming conference play there. I mean, overall,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: I would take the points in this one if I
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: was gonna do it. It almost looks too easy to
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: lay the points with David's and they're only laying sixteen
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: down from eighteen. Although it looks like the money's coming
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: back on Kansas right now with fifty percent of the
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: tickets evenly split and sixty two percent of the cash
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: on Kansas. But I would take the points here if
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play this, uh totals low as well
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and thirty six. Like I said, that's
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: Kansas's style. They're gonna slow it down, they're gonna play defense.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: So maybe not the greatest idea to cover a huge
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: number like that. SOB, what's up man, Yes, you're already spying.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: I already gave that out as a play, UTSA. That
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: is one of my plays today. Seattle is definitely in
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot and a weird travel spot there. That's
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: my favorite of my two college basketball players today with
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: the other one. I mean, the other one's just way
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: too ugly to really love it. But we also are
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: playing Mississippi Valley State plus forty one Vegas.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, fuck them. I'm not happy.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: I'm more angry at them because they teased me. But
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: they dude, if you look at the stats in that game,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: they outplayed Edmonton in the game. All of the major
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: stats in the game were all on the side of Vegas.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: They dominated physically dominated the possession. Like, I have no
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: idea how they were losing that game four to one.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: All right, we have a Missouri and Illinois is an
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: interesting game. This is a neutral site game in Saint Louis,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: which is like kind of midway between where the two
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: campuses are, so this is gonna be an interesting one.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: It's on Fox Sports one. Illinois is ranked eighteenth in
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: the country. Missouri a little bit down this year. I
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: think from what they did last year. The record looks
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: pretty good at ten and two. Illinois is definitely the
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: better team though, But Missouri they pretty much just have
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: focus on this game because they're coming off some easy wins.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: They go into the holiday break and then they go
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: to an SEC play after this, so they really have
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: not much to focus on just except for this game. Here.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Illinois is coming off a game where they lost to Nebraska,
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: and they've played four big games in a row against Kentucky,
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Tennessee as use A, Connecticut Tennessee, Ohio State, and Nebraska.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Now I could see this going both ways though, which
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: is kind of my issue with this game.
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: Is Illinois going to be in a.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: Hangover after that lost to Nebraska because Nebraska was an
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: undefeated ranked team, or is Illinois gonna bounce back because
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: Illinois was actually an eleven point favorite in that game
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: or ten point favorite, don't remind me, because that was
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: a loser for us on Saturday, last Saturday or whatever.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: On that game, Illinois losing outright is a big favorite.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: I kind of think that the former will be the case.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think Illinois really cares. Oh, we were an
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: eleven point favorite here. I think they're gonna be hungover
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: because that was still a big game against a conference
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: opponent that's undefeated and ranked. So I see it being
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: more of a hangover for Illinois here. So I'm gonna
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Missouri plus the points in this one.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: Illinois is definitely the better team though, but the spot
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: is not great for them. They're gonna be the public side.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: They're up to nine and a half. It looks like
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: you might get ten on this. Ninety two percent of
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash on Illinois. Yeah,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, one of my issues with it is that,
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, well, it's kind of interesting that neutral site game,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: Illinois is a ten point favorite here, whereas Illinois was
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: basically the same at home against Nebraska. So are we
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: saying Nebraska's only like three points better than Missouri or
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: whatever or two. Yeah, I don't know, man, so on
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: aligned value wise, maybe there is a little bit on
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: the Illinois side here, but I don't know. I would
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points, but I would worry
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: about it because Illinois definitely.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: Is the better team there.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: We will see. Sob is the NETS whisper that is tried?
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: I assume did the Nets win that game? Out right?
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I know they were winning, but I didn't see what
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: the final was. Yeah, McDavid, he took over the game.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: Usually an individual can't completely take over a hockey game
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: like that like they can in basketball. You're eight to
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: zero with the last eight NETS games. Yeah, playing hard
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: as a dog, that is what you want to find. Yeah,
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: I've played them in at least one or two of
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: those games during that stretch.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: I think I've given them out. I don't know if
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: I've faded them at all.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: Actually, I don't know. All right, what else do we
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: have here? I don't know. If you want to talk
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: about some of these other games, I can, but I'm
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: just kind of going through it here, man. I mean,
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Memphis is coming off that big game against Mississippi State,
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: that was a win for US. I've just played pretty
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: close in that game though, really Mississippi State got the
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: cover for US, but it was pretty dodgy. And now
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Memphis is coming up, playing Baylor, Louisville, Vandy into overtime,
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: then a close game against Mississippi State. Now they're coming
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: off all that and they play Alabama State, then they
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: go into the Holidays, and then they start conference play.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: It's not a great spot from Memphis. It looks like
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: a Samwich. Alabama State is not exactly great, although they
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: played some difficult teams, so they're not going to be
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: intimidated here coming into this game against Memphis. They did
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: just get blown out by Cincinnati, but Alabama State played
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: pretty well against Missouri the game before that, so there
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: is some precedent for them to play decently against some
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: of these better teams. Bala Lama Whoopsnow Alabama Alabama State.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: Memphis is a twenty and a half point favorite here.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: One hundred and forty seven is the total. I would
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: look to take the points in that one. That would
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: be my opinion in that game. Okay, we have Utah
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: Tech and Creighton. This one is interesting because both of
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: these teams are coming off nice wins. Utah Tech just
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: pulled off a win over what I think they considered
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: to be a big brothers to them in Utah, which
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: is Weber State. They played at Weber State and they
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset, got the win there. Now I'm
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: not saying Utah Tech's gonna overlook Creighton, that would be stupid,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: But how much do they have left in the tank?
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: Man after that Weaber State win? Now they're gonna go
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: to Creighton. It's a little bit iffy. Creighton's five and
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: one at home. They've been good at home at the
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: very least. Creighton is coming off two big wins against
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: Xavier and Marquette. Though those are some nice conference wins there.
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: But Xavier and Marquette are not that good this year.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: So how good are those wins really? I don't know,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: but Creighton might be feeling a bit high on themselves
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: right now.
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: And then they do a Butler.
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: So they're in a big East sandwich here because they
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: resume conference play after this weird Utah Tech game sandwich
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: in here. So I probably lead towards Utah Tech, but
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: I do worry that they're coming off a big win themselves.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: That spreads nineteen and a half the one forty six
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: and a half total, fifty percent of the tickets, sixty
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on the Utah Tech side.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying Utah Tech. Yeah, that's the
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: way that I look at that game there Sacramento. Yeah,
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: that was a win for us here on the show
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: as well. Bucks covered as well. Yeah I had. I
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: had Kings and Bucks plus. That's why I do the
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: spread man plus the points and I say sprinkle on
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: the money line. So we got an extra win there.
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: I did not like the Steelers yesterday at all. I
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: don't know what the fuck that game was, to be honest.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: Like the Steelers, they could they control their own destiny, dude,
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: Like that game meant way more to Detroit. Like I
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: said that the spread was a little bit high at seven,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: but there was absolutely no way that I thought Detroit
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: was gonna lose that game outright. I thought Detroit made
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: a really good like teaser piece there once they got
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: to seven and a half. Yeah. I did not agree
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: with the Steelers in that game at all. Like the
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: Steelers again, they they look good on Monday night. They
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: had they had had a huge win the game before
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: that too. All they have to do is well, now
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: they don't even have to do this, but all they
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: had to do was beat Baltimore in the final week regardless,
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: Like the Steelers could have lost yesterday and they could
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: lose their next game to Cleveland and they still would
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: win their division and get in as long as they
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: beat Baltimore in the final game. And now they're in anyway,
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: So that game was almost meaningless to the Steelers. So
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: I have no idea how they won that game. Absolutely
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: shocking result to me. And the late money came in
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: on Detroit in that game as well. It looked like
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: to me, it looks like a spot where the public
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: and the professional money were all agreeing with the Lions
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: in that one.
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened in that game.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed because in ESPN Pick them, we had six
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: and a half, so I had to go with Detroit
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: on the better side of the sixth of the better
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: side of the seven there. Did not like it. I
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: did not agree on the Steelers in that one. The Steelers,
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: they're just such a bullshit team, dude, They're not this good.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: Their defense is absolute garbage. I just don't get it.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: They keep Mike tomlining it's insane. Aaron Rodgers is good,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: I will say that, and that people are making fun
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: of him because of that that pass that should have
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: been a touchdown that he overthrew, not really. He led
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: his receiver. He threw it where only the receiver could
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: get it. I don't know which receiver it was. Might
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: have been Metcalf. I don't know, but the receiver dropped it.
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: He should have caught it like Rogers led him pretty
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: much perfectly. It was maybe just slightly a little bit
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: too far ahead of him, but it obviously it looked
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: like it was gonna be a touchdown. I couldn't believe
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: it didn't catch it, So I'm not gonna You can't
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: bash Rogers for that. He placed that throw almost perfectly.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: It should have been caught. You know. That's one of
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: those situations where a decent wide receiver will help their
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: quarterback when the throw is only ahead by like an
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: inch or two. You know what I mean. I don't
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: know what that was there. Metcalf is out of his mind, dude.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Uh he you know, got in a fight with a
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: fan yesterday, and this fan must have done something to
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: him though the fan looked like an idiot. To be honest,
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: it was some fat guy in a wig, and Metcalf
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: went over and kind of like dragged him down, and like,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know. People said that he hit him. I
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: don't think he really did. He kind of like yanked
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: him down though, and like, I don't know, I don't know.
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: It wasn't because if Metcalf had actually punched the guy,
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: the guy would be like out cold, you know what
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: I mean. So he didn't actually punch the guy, but
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't know exactly what happened, but you know,
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Metcalf will probably get suspended for the game against the
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: Browns or something. That's probably what will happen. But I really, dude,
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: I like Aaron Rodgers, so that's the thing. Like I
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: want Aaron Rodgers to do well. So I have mixed
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: feelings because I don't think the Steelers are very good,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: but I like Aaron Rodgers. So all right, we do
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: have Arizona playing Bethune Cookman tonight. I mean, Arizona's gonna
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: be a monster favorite in this game. The rank number
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: one of the country. They're still undefeated, as ken Bam
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: is saying, They're not really necessarily actually the best team
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: in the country, but they're definitely good. They're coming of another,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: I think, pretty satisfying win against San Diego State. San
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: Diego State couldn't score at all. Arizona pretty balanced team,
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: even though they play faster than I usually like. I
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: just don't really see them having much incentive to come
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: in and blow out Bethune Cookman here. But Thune Cookman,
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not gonna be intimidated. They played some
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: pretty difficult opponents this year, Indiana, Auburn, you know, they
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: they almost beat Auburn on the road, so and they're
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: coming on a really ugly loss to Saint Louis. That
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis team is good, but now a third straight
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: road game, it is gonna be a little bit difficult
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean, this is a complete stay away obviously,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: but Arizona is a thirty eight point favorite. I'm just
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: not sure they have the incentive to do it. Totals
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: in the low one fifties. Do with the information what
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: you want, and then BYU has got Eastern Washington coming
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: in Eastern Washington. It's played a lot of road games.
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: They played in elevation for some of their road games
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: as well, so they're somewhat tested. And they actually have
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: played some of these teams pretty close as well on
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: the road, so they haven't been that bad. Like Eastern
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Washington is not exactly as bad as the record makes
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: them look. They're coming in, they're already in Utah. They
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: played in Elevation again already at Utah, so they're adjusted
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: at least, and now they're coming up. That lost to
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: Utah BYU is definitely better than Utah. Though for BYU
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: they're undefeated at home. They only got one loss. But
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, right now, I don't know, do they just
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: go through the motions here? I don't know. They just
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: beat ABLEE Christian. I assume they didn't cover in that game.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: They start conference play after the holidays against Kansas State.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, you could definitely argue that
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: it's a spot where BYU just wants to get in
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: and get out. They don't really care about style points,
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: about covering whatever. Their thirty five point favorite total is
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: pretty high at one sixty four and a half. Money
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: is coming in towards Eastern Washington. Fifty percent of think
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: it's eighty three percent of the cash on Eastern Washington again,
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: I guess just giving you all the information, man, Matt,
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: We're going an hour just for college basketball. Oh, it's
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: such a grind, dude. It's Monday. It's not even a
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: big college basketball board, all right. And then we have
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: the the championship game in the El Paso, the Sun
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: Bowl whatever the hell the Sun Bowl football game hasn't
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: been played yet, but the Sun Bowl tournament. Yere, you
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: see Irvine in Norfolk State. Now you see Irvines coming
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: up a nice win over North Dakota State to start
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: the tournament. That was a big game. But I think
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: they're in a better position here against Norfolk State because
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State pulled off the upset. As I said of
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: the host UTEP, big win for Norfolk State kind of
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: played a little bit above their pay grade in that game.
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: UTEP was coming.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: Back from almost upsetting Hawaii out in the Islands, so
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: it was a bad spot for UTEP. I think it
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: comes down to UCI being the better team here, man.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: I think to get the job done would be my guess.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Irvine here. They run from nine
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: and a half to ten and a half. Here, I
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it if I was gonna do it,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: although the total is fairly low at one hundred and
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half. And then we do have
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: a San Diego at Washington. This is almost to play
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: for me. This is the other game I was gonna
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: shout out. San Diego just pulled off an upset of
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: you See San Diego. That was a huge win, man,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: because you see San Diego has established themselves in a
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: big way over the last couple of years. Pretty new
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: to Division one, but they made the tournament already last
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: year and played in Michigan pretty well in the tournament
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: last year. That you see San Diego team not to
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: be messed with, even though they're not quite as good
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: this year. But San Diego went into their place, I
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: believe in upset them. That was a huge win, dude
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: against U see San Diego here. So I think it
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: was at you See San Diego. I don't know, but
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: big upset for San Diego. They could definitely be in
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: a letdown coming off of that. Now they have to
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: fly up to Washington, where Washington is literally just staying
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: in Seattle, so the spot is a lot better for Washington.
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: The one caveat that I do have here is that
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: San Diego it's a big game for them, so they
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: still probably ideally would want to step up their game
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: to play Washington like it's not an opponent they're gonna overlook,
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. If you're gonna fade San
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: Diego here, it's because you think they're gonna be too fatigued.
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: Off of all of that, Washington is four and one
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: They've been good at home so far, and they just
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: took that loss, as I mentioned, at Seattle, which is
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: still in their city, but it was at Seattle's arena.
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: Kind of an ugly loss for Washington. They lost to
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: their little brother. I think they come in a little
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: bit pissed here man, even though yeah, they do start well.
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: They play Utah and then they start big ten play
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: after that, all coming up after this, so it's all
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: Power Conference stuff after this. So I do worry that
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they're gonna be looking ahead a little bit. So
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: that is the other concern with Washington. But I would
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: lay it with Washington if I was gonna play this.
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: They're down for twenty one and a half to twenty here,
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty six and a half is the total,
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: but that is what I would do that when if
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. I'm not gonna do it though,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: all right, And then we have well, Sacramento State. I
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: will just point out they they played pretty close against
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptist on the road in the last game, and
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State was a big underdog in that game, so
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: that was a big performance from them. Something they might
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: fall flat here on a fourth straight road game now
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: against CAL State Northridge, who was five and zero at home.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State's owned six on the road. North Ridge just
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: beat some non Division one team coming into this, so
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: the spot does set up a lot better for Northridge.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: So I would lay it with Northridge if I was
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: gonna play this one. The public looks like they're on
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State for what it's worth, although I don't think
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: they're really playing this game at all. Ninety percent of
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: the tickets, only seventy eight percent of the cash on
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State Northridge up from eight to ten and a half. Yere.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, I mean, I like
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: what the market reed is saying, because I agree with it.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Northridge. Total in one hundred
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: and sixty three and a half is pretty high. But
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I buy the market percentages, but
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: they do agree with me right now. I just don't know.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Sacramento State really is a public side here, but cal
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: State north Ridge the record doesn't look that good, but
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: they are definitely the better teams. They think maybe if
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: the public is looking at this, they think that line
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: looks too high for a team. It's barely above five hundred.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: And then Northern Iowa was at Saint Mary's. Should be
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: a good game. Both these teams are good on Northern
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Io would just had an ugly game against Illinois Chicago.
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: Northern IOUA didn't play well. They were definitely a road favorite.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: They won the game, but I don't think they covered.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: But now they got to go out to the Pacific Coast.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: So though they have done that already. They actually beat
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: U see Irvine at Irvine earlier this year, so they're
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: not you know, they're not coming into this thing totally
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: cold or anything. They've gone to the Pacific Coast already.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Know though Saint Mary's is better than you See Irvine.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's seven and zero at home and coming off
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: beating FA you easily staying on the Pacific coast, I
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: believe for Saint Mary's. So much easier spot for Saint
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: Mary's here. I was this at home. I think it was.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: I believe it was. It was in California, at the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: Verse Maraga, California. I think that's where Saint Mary's is
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: that I forget they got a small campus somewhere there. Anyway, Yeah,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: I mean it's just I think Northern Iowa might be
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of a bounce back mode. Though.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: Do you really want to lay double digits with a
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's scene that notoriously plays slow points are hard
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: to come by. Total up to one hundred and thirty
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: one and a half still really low. Money is coming
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: in at Saint Mary's up to thirteen and a half.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you force my hand, I would still
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: probably lay the points here because the spot is I
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: think still a little bit worse for norther than I
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: would just have to travel out there. But I don't
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: love it at all. All Right, we're gonna get into
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: NHL in a second. Here, I'm gonna bring up the
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: board here. I do have one more play for today.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: It is in the NHL. Give me one second. I'll
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: be right back. We got to go to intermission a lot. Man,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: My sinuses are horrible in the winter. I don't know
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: what to do about it, all right, all right, hockey.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: First game up is Saint Louis at Tampa Bay. We
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: won with Saint Louis the other night they beat Florida,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: so definitely you could argue they're in a letdown spot here.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: That was a big win as a dog at Florida.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: I don't really necessarily think they're gonna overlook Tampa Bay, though.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: It's just a question of how much left does Saint
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: Louis having the tank after that win. Tampa Bay, they
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: were also in a bad spot they just beat Carolina,
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: so letdown spot does look like it is the case
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: for Tampa Bay here. Don't really know that they're gonna
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: focus on Saint Louis. And they play Florida next, not
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: for five days after Christmas, but that still look ahead.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: And Florida did just embarrass them at home five to two,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: so I think Tampa will have their sight set on
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: this Florida team here, so I kind of lean towards
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis in this one. Tampa's up to minus two forty,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: So you can get a big underdog price on Saint
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: Louis if you really want. At plus one and a half.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: It's a somewhat low total at five and a half,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: somewhat juice to the over though, seventy six percent of tickets,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Tampa. But yeah,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't want to do it, but you know,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis might just not have much left in the tank.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: But I think the spot is worse for Tampa, so
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: some teams will be in bad spots after today. Yeah,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: hopefully Tampa was down three to zero when they came back.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: I didn't even see that. That is that is a
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: big effort then, Yeah, to pull off that, uh, that
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: win the Tampa was a favorite though, but it was
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: I believe right, But that was still a big win
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: over Carolina. You like Saint Louis as well? Yeah, those
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that one of Vancouver at Philadelphia Vancouver,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're not exactly in the greatest spot here.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: They just beat Boston in a shootout, and the thing
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: I don't like about that is my Bruins. I mean, well,
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: first of all, I'm pissed to the Bruins loss. But
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: second of all, if you look at that box score,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: the Bruins dominated every aspect of that game. They were
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: dominant possession wise, well I think actually Vancouver actually surprisingly
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: had more hits. But other than that, the Bruins had
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: almost like twice as many shots. I think they had
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: like sixty three percent of faceoffs. I don't know how
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: the Bruins lost that game. And now Vancouver's in a
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: spot where they've already won all four games on the
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: road trip. Now they're playing a third game in four
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: to as all in different Yeah, all in different cities,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: although it's not that much travel New York, Boston, Philadelphia.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: But still I don't love the spot that Vancouver's in.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: But I also don't love the spot that Philadelphia is in.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: They're returning over from a road trip, and you know,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: usually i'm gonna look to fade a team returning on
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. I'm not gonna get there with
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: this one. But it is one of those really bad
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: spots where the team's home for like literally one day
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: in this case, and then they go back out on
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: the road to Chicago and then they are gonna It's
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: not really the start of a road trip there though,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: even though they have a bunch of games on the
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: road coming up. But they will I as soon be
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: back home for Christmas and then actually start the real
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: road trip after that. But it's still one of these
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: weird spots where they're at home, they have another road
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: game next. That single road game right before the holidays
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: is very bizarre. Like that might be a bad spot
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: for Philadelphia there, But this isn't a great spot either, man.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: The return home spot, like I say, tends to be
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: a bit of a distraction. You might overlook your opponent.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: Especially Vancouver is not that good. The holidays are coming up,
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: so there's probably a bunch of shit that you gotta
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: get done at home. Don't love it at all, man,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: So I would probably lead to Vancouver if I was
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: gonna play this one. I'm not gonna do it. The
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with that Philadelphia at minus one thirty
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of tickets on Philly, fifty six percent
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Vancouver. But I don't love the
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: Vancouver spot either, so I just have to pass the
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: game in my opinion. Here, both those games I guess
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: I just talked about could potentially be over. So although
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's coming in on the under
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: and actually kind of in both of them, so maybe yeah,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: I mean the totals are somewhat low at five and
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: a half. Maybe my read is just bad on like
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: saying that these teams that when they're both in bad
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: spots that the game will go over because I think
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: it affects the like the defense, you know what I mean,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: Like the defense just doesn't show up with as much intensity.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, we'll see Carolina blew three nothing
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: leads against Florida and Tampa back to back. Yeah, Carolina
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: is still really good though hostly Florida tomorrow just got
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: caught by the Blues. It's probably a better spot for
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: Florida than that one, to be honest. But yeah, I
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: mean we'll see, I guess, but Carolina will be, you know,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: kind of in that quick revenge mode there though, But
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: coming off that tough game like that, I don't know, man,
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: I'm not It's not likely to be a play for
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: me in that Seattle at Anaheim. We got the wing
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: with Seattle the other night against San Jose that worked out.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Anaheim they're staying out, you know,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: in California here for this They get to play Anaheim
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: in LA back to back, which makes more sense because
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: I'm always asking like why did teams play Anaheim then
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: San Jose then LA, Like you see that a lot
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: for some reason. Not for Seattle, though, They get to
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: play Anaheim in LA one after the other, just down
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: the road from each other, which kind of makes more sense. Now.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: Seattle did just break a loss streak, so I expect
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: they will be focused.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: Coming into this game.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is pretty good at home though, and they are
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: back at home now. They do just beat Columbus after
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: they got kind of embarrassed by Dallas in the prior game,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: doesn't really make it for it doesn't really make it
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: a horrible spot for Anaheim. Hero although they do play LA,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: but it's after Christmas. I don't know. I mean this game.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: I don't really see much of a situational edge in
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: this game at all, loose like Anaheim is public and
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: the money is kind of starting to come in against them.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: Anaheim down from minus two hundred to minus one eighty seven,
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the tickets, seventy three percent of the
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: cash on Anaheim. I don't know. I mean, if you
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: force my hand, I guess I would probably fade Anaheim
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: and look towards Seattle. But Anaheim is pretty good at
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: home though, H twelve five and zero at home. I
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: don't really want to buck that in a situation that's
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: not strong. Who will wait? Who will be angry? Carolina? Yeah,
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: but they're coming off like some really difficult games though.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: Fade them after Florida. Yeah, I mean, I'm not really
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: liking them in the in the setup tomorrow either. All Right,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: my final play, you know it's got to be in
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: this last game, so you probably can guess what it is,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: because you know, I talk about how LA is basically
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: the Rangers Pacific, meaning that they're not good at home
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: and they're way better on the road. So yeah, we're
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: gonna fade LA at home. We're gonna the Columbus Blue
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: Jackets again. This time. I'm recommending a split bet plus
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: the one and a half goals at minus one sixty
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: four and the other part of plus one fifty four
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: on the money line. If you want to go all
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: money line, you can. I mean this worked out the
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: other day where I gave it out as a split
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: bet on Saint Louis they want out right anyway, you're
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: kind of saying that you probably think the team's gonna win,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: out right. I mean if they lose by one, it's
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: just it gives you that in your pocket, where if
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: they lose by one, you'll just push the bet.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: So that's what we're doing here.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: I got the calculator up here again, you know, So
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: this is the split. If you want to see it,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: I should base it on one hundred just so you
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: can see the percentages better. So basically, about sixty two
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: percent of the bet is gonna be on the minus
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: one sixty four puck line part of it, and the
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: other forty whatever percent on the money line part of it,
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: which you know amounts to the same exact amount to
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: win on the money line part of it that you
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: risk on the puck line part of it, if that
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: makes sense.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: So that's what we're doing here.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade La la Is returning home from a
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: road trip, man, because of course they are, and they're
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: not good at home, so they go at home. They're
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: four six and four, so a lot of overtime losses.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: I'm fine with that and fading them like this when
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: they're at home. Columbus is all right on the road
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: seven nine to three. They're not really much worse on
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: the road than they are at home. So I'm fine
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: with that. Now, if you look at LA they've been
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: on the road since last Monday. They only played three
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: games on the road, but it was Dallas and then
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: they had to go to Florida, and they played Florida
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: close to within one goal, and then they played Tampa
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: Bay and beat them. I know they've had three days off,
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: but I don't like this, man, because like coming into
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: the holidays, you got stuff to do at home, more
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: stuff to do usually they've been away for a week.
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: I think they might be in a letdown spot off
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: of that big win over Tampa Bay coming back home.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: Sometimes having the extra time off will settle you in
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: at home. It could disrupt what was like maybe some
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: winning momentum after they beat Tampa Maybe they're coming back
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: home thinking about that how awesome that win was. Now
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: they get to face this pretty ugly Columbus team. I
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: don't I don't love it, man. And they do have
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: Seattle next, and by the way, Seattle did just beat
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: them in Seattle back on the tenth, so there is
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: actually the possibility to look ahead to Seattle. Plus Columbus
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: is a non conference opponent. Seattle is a conference opponent,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: So I do not like to set up for la here.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: For Seattle. I think it's fine because they got to win,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: which I like, because that broke a losing streak for them.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: I like it, man.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: I think they'll show up and they'll try to perform
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: here again. Breaking a losing streak sometimes is good. You
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: get a win, a win that's not gonna make you overconfident,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: but it's a decent win. It can kind of give
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: you that new momentum coming into this one. They won't
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: look they won't overlook Anaheim. I mean, Anaheim has got
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: a pretty good record. So we're gonna go with it.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: Sorry, what am I talking about?
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: So?
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: Why am I talking about Seattle and Anaheim?
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: Columbus? I apologize, man, So well, maybe more fuel for
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: my Seattle lean there, But I'm sorry Columbus. What am
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: I even talking about here? Columbus just lost to Anaheim,
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: but I think they're gonna look to salvage one of
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: the two games on the road trip. So the good
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: thing about this is they're already out there in the
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: LA area right like they just have to go up
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: the road.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: Between Saturday and now. I know that was a big game.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: They lost the game, but still, and I think we
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: might have lost on them in that game, I forget,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: but I think we get a decent performance out of
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: them here. I don't think they overlook LA either, Like
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: I didn't think they were gonna overlook Anaheim.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: But I doubt they overlook LA.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: LA is a winning team for the most part, if
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: you don't include the overtime losses, and they want to
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: salvage one of the games on the road trip, right
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: like before they come home for Christmas. So Columbus won't
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: be facing any distractions because they're out on the road there,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: so they really just have hockey to focus on here.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with a Columbus in that one.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: My apologies. LAS time from has won seventy five to
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy one seventy five percent of the tickets
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: and cash on them for now, but we'll see. I
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: think they will wind up being the public side with
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: probably less of the money on them, but we will see. Columbus. Yeah, well,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: I worry about them as an underdog because like I mean, well,
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're always gonna be another Like I like
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: playing underdogs just in general, but I worry, you know,
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: just because they could lose my margin, just because they're
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: not very good defensively. They get in, they get into
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: some high scoring games sometimes, but LA doesn't really play
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: games that are as high scoring. So I kind of
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: like that where your favorite you're fading a favorite that
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: isn't really known for scoring a ton. So that's what
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: we're doing there, all right, My apologies, I don't know
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: what do. My mind is totally out of it right now.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: We got a decent amount of NBA games today as well.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: Charlotte is at Cleveland. Charlotte coming in off a pretty
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: ugly loss at Detroit. I mean, I know Detroit is good,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: but when you lose by almost thirty points to.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: Somebody that's not that great.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Cleveland, you gotta think is in a bounce back spot here, though,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: because they just got swept home at home by Chicago.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I don't.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna let that stand.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: I know Cleveland's been dealing with injuries and stuff, but
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: the most significant guy to be aware of here is
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: obviously Donovan Mitchell. He's game time decision with an illness.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: I think he's gonna play. I mean, Cleveland's a pretty
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: big favorite here, so I'm guessing he will play. Uh.
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: They need to bounce back win pretty bad, so badly.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play it, I would probably lay
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: the points with the Calves, with both teams being in
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: a decent spot, and the Calves are certainly the better team,
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: and they're just they've had so many injuries and stuff
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: throughout this the regular season stuff rather than not as
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: bad as their record looks. Seventy one percent of the tickets,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on the Calves. Yeah,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: I would lay it. I mean, it almost doesn't look
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: that easy to lay that many points with the Calves
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: or the way they've been playing, but that's what I
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: would do. Indiana is at my Boston Celtics. Indiana just
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: took a pretty ugly loss to the New Orleans Pelicans.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: That was kind of a sandwich spot because Indiana had
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: played really close against the Knicks the prior game, and
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: then they had Boss upcoming. It was definitely a sandwich spot.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: I think the only reason I didn't jump in on
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. There was because New Orleans is just upset
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: Houston if I'm not mistaken. But Indiana got the win.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: Excuse the Indiana took an ugly loss. Excuse me. New
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: Orleans got the win by almost twenty points. That's ugly.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: I kind of expect Indiana to bounce back here and
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: be better in this one. The Celtics are not exactly
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: in the greatest spot here, as the Celtics are off
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: two pretty good wins here, beating Miami at home, running
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: away with it in the fourth quarter, and then they
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: went up to Toronto and they blasted Toronto. I think
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: maybe Toronto doesn't match up well with the Celtics because
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: Celtics just beat them twice in Toronto recently, and this
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: one was even easier for the Celtics to get that
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: job done there. Peyton Prichard took over and kind of
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: went out of his mind there. Underrated player man, Peyton Prichard,
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: small dude, really really good shooter. He's a good player, dude.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: He's he's like a pest out there on defense too.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I love that guy. I got a print
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: your jersey as well. I got multiple different Celtics Jerseys.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: But I got the the Neon Green number, you know,
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: City Connect or whatever the hell it is from last year.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: I don't like the gold City Connect they have this year.
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: The Neon Green one was cool though, so well Neon
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: Green numbers, So I got that one. I have a
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: Tatum one as well. That's a better quality one. But whatever,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Tatum's never coming back. No, I don't know. But the
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Celtics might be kind of in a bad spot here, man,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: because of those two big wins, third game in four
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: days now, having to come back from Toronto. If I
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: was gonna do what, I would take the points with
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Indiana in this game. I'm not going to. But Celtics
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: actually are getting the money though. They're up from ten
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: to eleven and a half, sixty two percent of the
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty nine percent of the casual of them, so
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be saying Celtics. But I would
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: not agree. Dallas at New Orleans, and again I'm not
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: gonna have a play on any of these games that
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I don't like this board. Dallas is coming off playing
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia pretty close, and I thought that was a letdown
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: spot for Dallas. They did lose. Dallas had pulled off
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: a big upset of Detroit the game before that. But
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: I think this is also a bad spot. I mean,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is still a big game. You get up for it.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: They were in Philly. Now they're gonna go down to
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: New Orleans, and tomorrow they get Denver and then they
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: play Golden State on Christmas, so those are much much
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: bigger games. I think it's a look ahead spots, so
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: I think Dallas might get caught here again. The problem
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: is New Orleans. I mean, you gotta worry about maybe
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: a delayed letdown for New Orleans because they didn't have
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: one after the Houston win, which was a win for
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: us on the show against Houston. They caught Houston in
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: a nugget sandwich. But they on the other hand, maybe
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: it's a good thing because New Orleans was in what
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: should have been a bad letdown spot after that and
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: they did not suffer the letdown. They blasted Indiana, man,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: and now they're just staying at home. They do play
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: Cleveland next though, but you know, I don't know. I
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: think the spot does set up better for New Orleans
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: in this game. Though almost tempted to do it, I'm
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it. But I'm somewhat tempted. Zion Williamson
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: played well in that game for Dallas. You gotta be
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: aware of all the injury shit that's going on with them.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: We know they're now without Lively for the season. That
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: was already the case for a while. A Klay Thompson.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: We don't know if he's gonna play or not today. Also,
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: we don't know if Cooper Flag is playing or not.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: I suppose if they can, they'll probably try to get
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: them out there, but I mean debatably, they might save
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: them for their upcoming games that are bigger as well. Though,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: But the money looks like it's coming in towards Dallas.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that. Pelicans down from two to one,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the tickets, eighty three percent of
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: the cash coming into Dallas. I would lean towards the
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: Pelicans in that game. Though Indiana played the Bucks from out,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: No they don't. They play the Celtics twice in a row.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: No, I don't agree. I do not agree with that.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: And and the Bucks are terrible right now without Yiannis, Like,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: is that is that really a game? Plus Indiana has
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: made it further in the playoffs. Than the Bucks multiple
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: years in a roun. I think Indiana knocked the Bucks
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: out of the playoffs multiple years in a row. So no,
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: it's I mean that's a bigger game for the Bucks.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: But no, Indiana plays the Celtics twice. I don't know
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: what we're talking about here. Oh no, I'm wrong. Sorry,
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong. They played I thought they played the Celtics
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: twice in a row. They play Milwaukee in between the two.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong. No, you're right, Yeah, you are right, But
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that at all. They're gonna They're
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be in a Celtic sandwich. No, Indiana is not
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for a yannisless Milwaukee team. I don't agree.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: You were right. They do play the Bucks in between
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: the two, But the Bucks are the Bucks are so
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: easy to ignore that I completely ignore that they were
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: even on the schedule. So no, I don't agree with that.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: I think it's I think that's a bad spot for Indiana,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: especially if they do well in this game against Boston.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: I would absolutely be looking to fade them against the Bucks.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: Utah at Denver. Let me see, Utah, they're coming off
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: a tough game. A couple of tough games in a row, Man,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, they beat Dallas in overtime, then they played
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: the LA close the Lakers, then they took Orlando into
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: overtime and lost all at home single road game going
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: to Denver. I mean, it's not a huge travel spot here.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: I'm sure they'll try to get up for Denver, but like,
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: how much does Utah have left in the tank here?
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: And Utah is not good on the road, which we know,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: although Denver, surprising is not particularly good at home either.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: Denver just snapped a long wind streak, so sometimes when
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: a team loses a win streak, they do get hung over.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: In the next game. They lost to Houston. Houston got
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: their revenge. That was a big game, even though Denver
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: did lose by fourteen, but I see it maybe being
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: a potential hangover for Denver. And then they played Dallas next.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's really that big of a deal.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: It is nationally televised on they do play Minnesota on Christmas.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: It's a tough read in this one. I probably would
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: need to taking the points of the Jazz still, but
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: I don't love coming off of all those big games.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: They played Nuggets down for fourteen and after thirteen, seventy
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: the Jazz, So the money does kind of agree with that.
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away though, obviously Memphis at Oka scene. I mean,
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play one of these NBA games,
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: it might be this one on Memphis. Memphis just took
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss to Washington. I believe we had Washington
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: in that game on the show because Memphis had pulled
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: off the win against Minnesota, which I think we might
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: have had Memphis in that game against Minnesota. So do
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: we have two wins? I think we've had two wins
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: in a row on Memphis games on and against them.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: But now I expect them to bounce back. Part of
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: the reason why they played poorly against Washington, I think
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: was because they were looking ahead to Okay, seeing this
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: is still a playoff revenge scenario for Memphis because Oklahoma
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: City knocked them out of the playoffs last year. They
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: have not beaten Oklahoma Oklahoma City since then. They lost
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: the one time they played them this year in Memphis
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: by fourteen. Oklahoma City, though, I worry that Oklahoma City
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: might bounce back here too, because Oklahoma City just lost
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota at home. That's pretty ugly, but because they
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: were a pretty decent favorite in that game. Or sorry,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: they lost at Minnesota, my mistake, So they were still
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent favorite there though, So I could see
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: it going both ways, right, Like, does Oklahoma City suffer
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: a hangover after that or do they bounce back from that?
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I think they definitely could have
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: a look ahead here because they got to play San
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Antonio tomorrow and then again on Christmas. And yeah, guess what,
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: because Oklahoma City only has three losses this season, one
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: of them was to San Antonio. And you remember what
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: I said after Oklahoma City had lost to Portland earlier
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: in the season, they came back and they smashed Portland
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: in the next game. We got to win on Oklahoma
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: City covering that number there, so that was good. Yeah,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: I think it was that game back on November twenty third.
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: I think it is that one. So definitely they could
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to San man because they want to
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: get that revenge against San Antonio for knocking them out
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: of the ANBA Cup and whatever. So I do think
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty bad spot for the Thunder It's just,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: do I really want to try to fade the thunder
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: like thirteen and zero at home? They're really good at home.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think I can quite get there with it, man,
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: But it is what I would do if I was
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. Thunder it down from sixteen and a
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: half to fifteen and a half, seventy three percent of
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on the
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: Grizzlies money seems to be agreeing with the Grizzlies. I
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: agree obviously, but it's not gonna make my card, but
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: it is. It is close, Yeah, Utah, three big efforts
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: in a row. That's kind of my hesitation there with
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: that one. I don't like the spot for either team, correct.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: I agree with Memphis in this one. I just I'm
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna be able to get there with it. Yeah,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: I just I don't know. I don't really want to
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: fade the Thunder at home right now.
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's not a good enough reason, but I just
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: don't want to do it, especially when they could debatably
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: be in a bounce back spot after losing as a
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: favorite Orlando at Golden State, Orlando coming off barely beating Utah,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: though They're having to go from elevation out to the
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: Pacific coast here, which I don't love. Orlando is also
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: a mash unit right now, so you got to see
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: what's going on with their injury situation. But I think
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: it's at least good for them that they bounce back.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: They got the win over Utah, not a decisive win.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: They didn't play that well. You know, they're probably gonna
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Golden State here. Golden
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: State does have curryback, Golden State coming up beating Phoenix.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: Nice win for them, quick kind of revenge zigzag whatever
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: beating Phoenix. Staying at home here, but they do play
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: Dallas on Christmas, man, and that's they probably considered them
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: consider that to be a big game just because it
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: is ESPN on Christmas. I don't know. I could see
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: Golden State maybe overlooking Orlando here, especially because Orlando they
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: just have so many injuries right now. Wagner's still owed.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: Both Wagners are out, but Franz Wagner is the real
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: issue here. And then you gotta see what is going
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: on with Sugs Suggs. I believe Suggs is not playing today,
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: by the way, So I think they're gonna still be
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: without Sugs. He's been out for a few games now,
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: so you're you're looking at an Orlando team that is really,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: really thin roster wise. The money is coming in on
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: the Magic, I don't really disagree with it. Warriors are
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite, fifty two tickets on them,
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on the Magic. I'll
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: lean that way, but it's really difficult to get there
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: with that one coming in out of elevation, and you know,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: with just so many injuries on the Orlando side. And
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: then we have Detroit at Portland. Memphis would be my
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: strongest lean in the NBA. By the way, Detroit, they
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: just beat Charlotte, nice easy win for them. They head
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: into the UH. They headed into a road trip now
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: with momentum, so I think that's a positive for them.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: You carry that momentum with you on the road. Usually
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: you want to get the roachri Boff on the right
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: foot facing Portland. Not exactly a team that you're necessarily
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: gonna focus on, but Portland. I just got the sweep
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: over Sacramento. Sacramento has been awful though, and without the bonus,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: you gotta think Portland will show up for a game
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: against Detroit O and then they are coming home from
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: playing one game on the road against Sacramento. There, the
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the Blazers. For what it's worth,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: the Pistons are a six point favorite. Fifty tickets on Pistons,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash on the Blazers. I won't
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: disagree with the Blazers here, but I don't love it. Man,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: and Portland is still without Drew Holliday and whatever, so
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know some things to keep in mind there.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really think it's a bad spot for Detroit though,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: so that game is definitely a stay away.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: So we're staying away from all of that.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Orlando back to back games in elevation, correct, I don't.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: I don't care about early season revenge, as you know,
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: so I think revenge is massively overstated unless it was
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: a game that just happened, or it's like the team
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: that ended your season. I don't think it matters. I
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: don't look back that far, but whatever I mean, I
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: lean towards Orlando in the game slightly. I think it's
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Golden State. I think it's a
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: major look ahead spot for Golden State as well. So yeah,
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: but again there's a reason why I'm not jumping in
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: on that game at all. Orlando also might get some
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: value on the line because there's such an injured team
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: right now. So yeah, and Golden State, I think that
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: was a decent win, like kind of a big win
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: against Phoenix because Phoenix has been playing pretty well, so
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: they're they're kind of in a sandwich, and that they're
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: playing this Eastern Conference team, it's just massively injured. I
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: could see Golden State easily overlooking the magic here. No,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: Curry has been back for multiple games. Let me say
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: I forget he's been back for numerous games at this point.
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: He's been back since December twelfth. He's played four games
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: since then. All Right, college football, we have the Potato Bowl.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of shit going on in this game.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: Man Utah State open is a three and a half
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: point favorite. They're down to one and a half point favorite.
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: A lot of that has to do with these are
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: the numbers guys coming in and playing Washington State, because
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: the numbers guys are gonna tell you power ratings wise,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: Washington State is the better team and they face the
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: more difficult schedules, So yeah, there is that, but you
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: can't solely rely on numbers. You know, I never solely
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: reliant numbers. You got to look at the situation, but
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: especially when it comes to bowl games, you gotta look
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: at what's going on with the situation, and the situation
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: here is really kind of a mess looking at this
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: game now, both teams are sitting at six and six,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: so I think they actually both kind of want to
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: be here. You know, I talk about six and six
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: teams tend to do pretty well in bowl games because
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: there's that like mental motivator. But they're both six and
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: six here, but there is that mental motivator that we
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: want to have a winning season. You know, Washington State
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: won their last game to get here, so that kind
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: of tells you that they do want to be here.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: I think both teams want to be here because I
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: talked about Utah State the fact that they haven't won
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: a bowl for like a few years now. I think
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: the last time they won a Bowl was twenty twenty one,
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: but Washington State hasn't won a ball since like twenty
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: eighteen or twenty nineteen, even though they've been in a
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: bowl more recently. Utah State missed the bowl season completely
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: last year. Washington State was in one and they got
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: annihilated I think by Syracuse last year. But both teams,
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: it's probably going to mean a decent amount of these
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: teams to try to get a bowl win for their
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: program because both programs have been without a ball for years.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: So we'll see about that now.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: Utah State maybe it means a little bit more for
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: them because they do a Bronco Menden Hall, so this
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: is their first season under Bronco men Inhall. They weren't
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: expected to do anything this year and they're in a
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: bowl and they played tough towards un till the end
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: of the season as well. They almost beat Boise State
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: to finish off the season. Don't really think that's going
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: to cause a hangover or anything like that. I think
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: they'll show up for this one. And hilariously, this is
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: at Boise State's field, which by the way, Utah State
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: is familiar with this field because they're in the Mountain West,
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: so they play there like basically every other year, although
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: they did not play there this year. It's also not
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: a bad venue for Washington State because Washington State's just
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: over the border from Idaho. So it's not a bad
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: venue for either team here. Really, they're you know, they'll
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: they'll both be familiar with the environment. They'll both be
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: ready for it for a game. It's actually not gonna
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: be bad weather either. You think it would be cold
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: in December and Boise, but it's gonna be fifty degrees,
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: So it's actually gonna be a decent It's gonna be
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: a decent environment for these teams here. Then you gotta
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: look at the personnel, of course, because this is a
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: bowl game. So what's going on here, Well, Washington State
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: has a bunch of guys hitting the transfer portal and
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: it's actually more than what we see here. One of
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: their running backs is in the transfer portal as well,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: and I think he's ineligible to play now Washington State.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: There's a weird scenario here where Washington State is one
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: of the only teams that allows guys that are in
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: the transfer port to still play in the Bowl. So
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: some of their guys in the transfer portal are actually
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: gonna play in the Bowl. And I don't know, out
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: of these guys listed here, how many of them are
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: actually opting out or actually playing. So that's kind of
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: a concern, Whereas Utah State, you see a bunch of
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: guys are injured, but it looks like Utah State somewhat
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: wants to be here more because you see more transfer
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: portal action on the Washington State side. Washington State not
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: even listed here though I know for he is not
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: gonna play for Washington State. Jason Voorh, he's now I
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: forget what his first name is. Obviously is a. He's
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: an undead killer with a serial killing mother. Obviously it's
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: not Friday the thirteenth today. That would be crazy if
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: it was, But foror he's the top running back for
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: Washington State. I believe he's not gonna play in this game.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's necessarily a huge loss, because
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: they've had other guys in the mix for the rushing
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: attack as well. They kind of tend to throw the
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: ball a little bit more than they run it as well.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: But maybe a bigger deal is that I believe Washington
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: State's coach is gone, and that's not listed here either.
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: Their head coach split for Iowa State Man so CBS
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: sorry covers. I mean, they need to get their shit
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: together here, because I'm almost positive Washington State's head coach
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: is out because Matt Campbell left Iowa State to go
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: to Penn State, opening up a vacancy him. Washington State's
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: coach is going to Iowa State, so he's not gonna
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: be here, so it's gonna be an interim coach for
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: Washington State. But you know, the interim coach for the
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: bowl game, it's always a guy that was there all season.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: He was in the system. So usually the team does
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: want to be there and play for the guy, you
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, because they know him. He's been there,
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: so they usually want to play well. But the thing is,
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: it's more of a motivator. I think if they know
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: that coach is going to be their coach next year,
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: and in this case, they don't know that it's probably
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: not going to be him next year, so he's probably
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: just coaching this bowl game. Whereas for Utah State, bronco
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: Mendenhol is the guy. I mean, he's trying to rebuild
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: their program there, so they're going to have him, so
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: I think they will want to play for him. They
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: should be excited. Generally, I think both teams are going
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: to show up for this, so I really really struggle
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: to figure this game out. The money is coming in
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: on Washington State for now. I mean, I guess you
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: kind of got to lean that way, But it seems
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: like Washington State kind of is a little bit of
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: a public side as well, because they still have that
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: name around the mode the team used to be in
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: the Pac twelve whatever. It's a difficult game and really
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: really difficult for me to figure this out. The total
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: drops significantly down to forty nine, which may be a
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: bit of an overreaction. I was fifty five and a
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: half sixty percent of the tickets, only fifty two percent
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, but that could be
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: overreacting to Washington State having a bunch of opt outs
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: on offense. I think Utah State. I think they have
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: a wide receiver who opted out as well, who wasn't
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: listed there on that report either. I think one of
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: their best wide receivers is actually not gonna play in
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: the game. So it's a dude. These balls are just insanity.
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: It's like so much easier to handicap the playoffs than
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: the ball. But right now I'm one to oh in
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: the balls. I'm want to oh in the playoffs and
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: trying to be really really selective here. I think I
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: might have one Bowl game in the upcoming round of
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: one playoff game in the upcoming round of playoffs, and
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: I probably have at least I might have like three
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: more Bowl games, and I'm gonna give up plays on it.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: This is not gonna be one of them. It's in
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: the afternoon as well, so it would be a warmer
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: game because of that too. Do with all that information
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: what you want, but I'm not playing it. Curry's brother, Yeah,
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: Curry's brother is injured. Yes, Seth Curry, well, I mean yeah,
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: I mean their father was Del Curry, famous basketball player
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: for the Charlotte Hornets when I was a kid. Steph
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: Curry has become the most famous Curry though it Dell
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: Curry was a really good player, man. Seth Curry maybe
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: not so much. But yeah, Seth Curry has been around.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: He was on Dallas for a bit, I think now,
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: I guess. Yeah, he's on the same team as Steph Curry.
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Now as Steph Curry probably about to finish, He's getting
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: towards the end of his career. Man, both Curries might be.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: And then, of course we do have a Monday night
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: football game and in the NFL here San Francisco at
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: the cold San Francisco's length five and a half. I
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: kind of lean towards the forty nine ers in this one,
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: as I was already talking about the money. Seems like
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: it's somewhat agreeing with it now, even though you always
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: got to watch out for these public road favorites on
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: Monday Night, Like historically it was like you always want
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: to be on the home dog in a primetime game,
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: but that era is kind of gone now where the
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: books know about that now, so they don't give you
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: as much value on the home dogs now. And in
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: this case, I don't think I want to be on
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: the home dog, even though they're my favorite team. The
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: Colts They're dead, dude, They're absolutely dead. Seventy per tickets,
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash on the Niners. Uh,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: totals just sitting at forty six. But we see money
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: on the over for some reason, fifty six percent tickets,
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash coming in the over.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you could really trust the Colts
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: offense here, but I mean, Philip Rivers, I mean you
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: kind of know what they're gonna do, right, Like they're
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: gonna do what they did last week. Basically, they're gonna
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: try to shorten the game. They're gonna run the ball
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: a lot with John at the tailor. They're gonna not
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: put Rivers in situations where he's gonna make a ton
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: of mistakes. He was fine last week. He was a
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: game manager. He did well, I mean better than you
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: would expect. Like his completion percentage was good, but it
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: was a lot of small completions. He he had the
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: only touchdown pass in the game. He was better than
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: Sam Darnold in the game last week. But it's kind
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: of a problem though, because the Colts were out on
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast and they played really, really hard as
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: a big underdog, you know what I mean. It was
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: a big emotional game. The huge thing Philip river Back.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: You gotta respect the guy, you know what I mean,
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: He's got a lot of respect. He's had a great career.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: He'll be in the Hall of Fame, but now he's
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: gonna have to wait five more years for it. He
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: was a year away from being eligible for the Hall
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: of Fame and now he's gonna have to wait. But
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: you know, the Colts got up. They they played hard
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: from the defense played really well in that game. I
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: think they could be in a little bit of a
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that man. Even though I know
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: the Colts have been good at home, they only have
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: one loss at home.
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: And it's again it's a primetime game.
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: So again I talk about when teams are going nowhere,
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: which unfortunately is the Colts here. But the Colts might
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: be really disappointed by that because they were in the
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: playoff picture basically until last week, pretty much until Daniel
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: Jones got hurt. But teams that are dead, as I said,
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: one of the types of games they will still show
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: up for is a primetime game. So and they get
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: to play the forty nine ers, so you know they
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: might still show up for this game.
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: But it sets up better for the Niners.
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: The Niners have actually been quite good on the road
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: as well, six and two on the road. Niners did
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: just play at home, so both teams are actually coming
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: in from the Pacific Coast here. But for the Niners,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: they're coming off kind of a whatever performance against the Titans.
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: They beat the Titans, who cares. They do finish the
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: season with two big NFC games though, against the Bears
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: and Seattle, So there is a concern that maybe there's
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead there and the Niners.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be in the wildcard hunt here, you know
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: what I mean. So they're not gonna win the division
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: at this point. The Rams in Seattle, I mean, what
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: can you really do? You know, Like, I don't think
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is gonna be able to catch Seattle even
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: if they beat them at home in the final week.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: But it might be a wildcard issue here with San
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: Francisco against although it looks like the Bears are probably
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: gonna win their Division two, which is ridiculous. But yeah,
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: I mean those games might be a little bit bigger
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: for San Francisco, although they do need to keep winning
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: as well though to try to stay in that hunt.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: But it is one of those dreaded road out of conference.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Games for San Francisco too. There's a lot going on
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, which is just really really difficult
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: game for me to read as of now. I mean,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean with the market and still lean with
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: my gut instinct on this game is lay it with
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: the Niners. I'm still leaning that way. Again, you're fading
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: a team that's coming off a huge performance in an
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: injured player theory spot and as a giant underdog, which
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: I wish. I put the Colts on my card last week.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: It was close. I put it in my pick five
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: entry and they got the win there. But coming off
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: a game like that, you know, a performance is a
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: huge underdog where you almost win the game, and it
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: was the injured player spot where you play really well
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: in that first game without your starting quarterback. You know,
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: usually coming off of a game in either of those situations,
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: the team comes up a bit flat the next time out.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: So I don't think it's.
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: A great spot for the Colts. So that's that would
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: be my lean there. You like Oregon in the playoffs,
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: so do I? Yeah, I mean that might wind up
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: on my card, by the way, So to me, it
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: seems like the Oregon versus Ohio State game last year,
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: except this time I like Oregon. So we'll talk about
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: that when we get to it. But yes, I agree
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: with you on that one. It seems like it's that
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: like coin flip spot in the middle of the bracket
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: where the public is on one side and I disagree
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: with the public. So we'll talk about it when it happens.
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for today, though, Man, those are
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: that's everything for today. Once again, the plays today are
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: basketball College of Basketball UTSA plus the points. And I know,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: I know how ugly it is. We're gonna be on
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: the worst team in Division one basketball, Mississippi Valley State.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: Go Delta Devil's Baby. Nobody messes with the Delta Devils.
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: But come on, man, do you really think West Virginia
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: is gonna cover a forty one point spread in a
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: bad spot? Hopefully they don't. I know how ugly it is, man,
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: but don't mess with the Delta Devil's baby. Don't mess with.
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 3: The devil buddy or number one. You beat anybody there.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: All right? And then we do have the one hockey
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: play is the Columbus b JS again the blue jacket
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: split bet puck line money line about sixty percent of
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: the puck line or so, it comes out to about
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: a minus one oh two plus one puck line play.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: If you do it the way that I do it,
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: plus you the way that I do it is good
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: because if you have a bunch of books at your disposal,
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: you can line shop and you can get the best
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: number on each side, so a lot of times each
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: portion of the bet will.
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: Actually be at a different book. And that's gonna do it.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: If you want to go just balls to the wall
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: money line, you have to put less money at risk
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: to do that. So I don't hate that either. So
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: that's what we're doing today. Those are the plays today,
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: small card today. But that's what we're doing. Thank you, Jeffrey.
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: I know I get angry all the time. I apologize,
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: I'm a dick, you know, sometimes I'm not. But I'm
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: really pissed about yesterday. Everything went wrong for me yesterday.
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: I'm just so pissed about so many things. The picks,
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: the money entry that I'm in where I'm almost out
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: of the money now, the plays all were fucked, my
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: fantasy team. I mean, I'm just so pissed right now.
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: Yesterday went as bad as possible.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: It was insane.
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: County Crows document I have not seen it. No, I've
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: never really been into them. I don't know. They were
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: one of those bands. I mean, they were around when
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: I was growing up, but they were kind of in
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: that jam band. REALM like them and Dave Matt he
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: was I'm like, I'm not listening to that I don't
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: listen to that stuff. I listened to one jam band basically,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: well maybe two. Uh. The one that I really listened
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: to that I actually really really like is Humphrey's McGee
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: because they're a progressive rock jam band, and I saw
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: them live last year, maybe about a year and a
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: half ago. Excellent. I went to the Umbowl and that's
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: actually the only time I've seen them live, and people
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: came from all over the country to go see them,
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: and it was in Boston that particular year. It just
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: happened to me in Boston, even though they're out of
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: Chicago and they hadn't done one of those in a while,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: but it's there. Like they picked one location and they
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: do a two night event where they played for three hours.
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: Each night. There's no opening band, but they split each
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: each basically each hour is a different set where one
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: is like kind of a normal set of their stuff.
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: One is stuff where they're like improvising new stuff, and
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: then one was like stuff where they were improvising based
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: off of like audience suggestions just on the fly. One
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: of them was a cover set. One of them was
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: they were scoring movie scenes on the fly that were
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: playing in the background, and then another one was I
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: think like new material that they were working on or something.
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: I forget what it was. It was insane, so that
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: was fun. And then the other jam band that I
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: do kind of like because I saw them a couple
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: of times Live Blues Traveler. They're they're on Live. Dude,
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: John Popper might be the best harmonica player you'll ever see.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's crazy. His voice still kind of holds
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: up to Yeah, they're they're pretty crazy as well. Popper
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: kind of a lunatic on Twitter too as well, and
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: not in a bad way either. When he's out there,
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: he's uh, he's he's all right, I think. But yeah,
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: those those are the only jam bands that I really
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: have gotten into it. All that's gonna do it. Learn
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: It Tonde on Instagram, learn It Tone on Twitter. You
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: can subscribe to me on Twitter. Now I'm gonna start
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: putting some yuke stuff behind the subscriptions. I got to
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: organize all my old yuke stuff though, so it's gonna
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: be a huge undertaking though to do that hundreds of videos.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know how I'm gonna get that done, obviously,
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Like subscribe here on YouTube to this show Toadstool Sports,
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: give me good comments, whatever, tell people about it, Listen
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: on audio that helps me out, Apple Spotify, give me
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: good reviews over there. Uh. Covered in Yuke is the
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: YouTube the YouTube.
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: Channel I got.
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: You can check that out as well Patreon dot com
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: learn its own and there's some bonus Yuke stuff there.
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: Loser Cast the comedy podcast. I think we might be
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: skipping this week, but it's usually on Tuesday night, so
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: I probably can't do it if if it is happening tomorrow,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: but it's a rotating panel with guests if they ever
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: show up. So that's the new comedy podcast I'm on.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: Don't know what's happening with the Giants podcast that supposedly
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: is beginning g Spot hasn't happened yet. And then tonight,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned, I will be on Stacks Farmstead. I'll
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: be on his show, although I apologize to forget what
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: the name of it is. Hopefully his name is just
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: the name of the show. I couldn't retweet his tweet
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: either because he was private on Twitter, but we'll see that.
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: If you look around for it, you'll probably find it.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be on his show at eight pm tonight,
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: so you can be on the lookout for that. And
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: then in a couple of weeks, I'm gonna be on
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: the Gray Pilled podcast again with Jules. I've been on
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: his show. I think I've been on Gray Pilled once,
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: and I've also been on his Sound Science show. I
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: want to go back on that show, the Music Show,
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: which is him with Paranoid America, and that was fun.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: I want to do that again, but we will see.
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, and Merry Christmas and everybody have
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: a good Christmas week. I'm still gonna be doing the
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: show every morning, but I think we'll have some light
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: days on Christmas Eve and Christmas. There won't be that
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: many games. There are three NFL games on Christmas though
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: it's basically Thanksgiving part two three Christmas games. So we'll see.
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: But I also have to be doing stuff for the
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: holidays too. But peace for now, guys. I thank you guys. Oh,
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: by the way, Jeffrey kind of reminded me the documentary
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: I am interested in that just came out on Netflix.
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: As of today, there's a John Elway documentary out which
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: Cole is freaking out about my former Tower Game co
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: host Cole. He's still around, although he's being a dad
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: now for the most part, but he's a Denver Bronc guy,
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: so he's overly excited about the Lway doc. I like
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: it too because Elway was one of the QBS that
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: I watched when I was growing up. So I'm gonna
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: definitely check that documentary out. I'll probably watch it today.
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now, though I appreciate it again, guys, Peace,
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: and I'll be back tomorrow. And there will be some
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: more bowl games in the upcoming days too, so you
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: always get like the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, which
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: is always a cluster fuck, and Hawaii is back in
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: that bowl again, as a lot of times they are.
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: And then I don't know, there might be a bowl
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: tomorrow to the Bahamas Bowl. I think he's usually on
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: the twenty third on and I'll figure it out, but
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: we'll have some more football action potentially.
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: Peace for now, guys,