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Ted Cruz’s “as a consequence”: a real crime drop, an inflated number
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Verdict: mixed. Truth score 0.35. Ted Cruz's murder figure is close to the FBI's; his overdose figure is inflated by about six points.
The three words joining them to border policy — "as a consequence" — are a causal claim the agencies supplying the numbers decline to make.
On the P.A.S. Report (3 September 2026, at 26:17), Senator Ted Cruz says border crossings fell 99% and "as a consequence" the nationwide murder rate dropped 20% and overdose deaths dropped 20%. No source is cited.
The steelman is strong. FBI data released 14 August…
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