Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Crypto Rally Countdown📈Technical Analysis with Tim Warren
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: I'm trying to think about whether or not I buy
- 0:01Speaker 1: the dip right now, wait for clarity act.
- 0:05Speaker 2: How's this going to play out?
- 0:06Speaker 1: Well, today, we're going to break it all down for you.
- 0:07Speaker 1: It's going to be a good one. Let's get into
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- 0:47Speaker 1: Chow check it out. Let's get into it today. I
- 0:50Speaker 1: wanted to bring in Tim Warren, of course, you guys
- 0:52Speaker 1: know Tim coming in from the Tim Warren channel.
- 0:55Speaker 2: How's it going, man, Well, what's going on?
- 0:57Speaker 4: Paul? Good to see you again. I think that the
- 0:58Speaker 4: first show of the new year with us.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Yeah, welcome in, Yeah, welcome in to twenty twenty six.
- 1:03Speaker 1: Check out Tim's channel, you guys can do that over
- 1:07Speaker 1: at Tim warn Trades right there on YouTube. Does a
- 1:09Speaker 1: great job on breaking down the market. And we're going
- 1:12Speaker 1: to get into some of the twenty twenty six plays
- 1:14Speaker 1: that might play out here.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Tim.
- 1:17Speaker 1: Some of the things I want to hit on is
- 1:19Speaker 1: your tweet right here, and that is long term bullush
- 1:22Speaker 1: signals remain in place, but shorter term indicators suggest a
- 1:26Speaker 1: move down to eighty eight K for bitcoin over the
- 1:29Speaker 1: next few weeks.
- 1:30Speaker 2: So if this plays out to your idea.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're we're running at ninety one right now
- 1:36Speaker 1: as we're recording, we touched the ninety mark. Do you
- 1:40Speaker 1: think that is a defensive position right now for bitcoin,
- 1:44Speaker 1: that ninety K number, or do you feel like it's
- 1:46Speaker 1: going to get crashed pretty easily.
- 1:48Speaker 4: Well, we went down almost to eighty nine k. And
- 1:51Speaker 4: that tweet that went out, that's not that old of
- 1:53Speaker 4: a tweet. The reason it went out is because the
- 1:57Speaker 4: daily chart has a cell signal. But I like to
- 1:59Speaker 4: tell our member, you know, things can move very fast
- 2:01Speaker 4: sometimes when you get a cell signal on a daily chart,
- 2:04Speaker 4: I tell my audience twelve to twenty four candles is normal, Like,
- 2:09Speaker 4: it can happen faster. It can sometimes take a little longer,
- 2:12Speaker 4: but usually you're thinking twelve to point four candles. So
- 2:14Speaker 4: if you get a daily chart cell signal, you're thinking
- 2:17Speaker 4: a week and a half, two weeks, and we happened
- 2:20Speaker 4: in two days. Now it didn't quite get to eighty eight.
- 2:23Speaker 4: I'll show I'll show people what I was looking at
- 2:26Speaker 4: and what bitcoin did and why eighty eight K was
- 2:29Speaker 4: my key level. Of course, what bitcoin ran into here
- 2:32Speaker 4: the other day it rejected once again here at ninety
- 2:35Speaker 4: four just about ninety four k ninety four four ninety
- 2:37Speaker 4: four five. So we have a flat top of resistance.
- 2:41Speaker 4: The cell signal I was discussing. This is an indicator
- 2:44Speaker 4: our community built. It's called flow signals. But whenever you
- 2:48Speaker 4: get reversal indicators up top, you get negative momentum on
- 2:52Speaker 4: the RSI and then this indicator's money flow when that
- 2:54Speaker 4: peels over, that's a cell signal.
- 2:56Speaker 3: Right.
- 2:57Speaker 4: This is something I always no matter how bullish or
- 3:00Speaker 4: bearish I am, I never ignore longer time frame like
- 3:03Speaker 4: daily or weekly sell signals or by signals, and with
- 3:06Speaker 4: the formation we were in where eighty eight k. I
- 3:09Speaker 4: threw the number eighty eight k out there because it's clean.
- 3:11Speaker 4: It tetically should have been like eighty eight to two
- 3:13Speaker 4: or something. I was looking at this trend, this up
- 3:16Speaker 4: trend of support marked by this green line here, and
- 3:20Speaker 4: we didn't quite touch it. And there are some you know,
- 3:22Speaker 4: I long this morning, there are reasons why we didn't
- 3:24Speaker 4: touch it. We started to get a four hour buy
- 3:27Speaker 4: signal starting to come in here, but I wouldn't rule
- 3:30Speaker 4: out just yet. I'm not ready to declare that that's it.
- 3:34Speaker 4: We're never going blow ninety k ever again. It's nothing
- 3:37Speaker 4: but all time highs from here and out. I'm not
- 3:39Speaker 4: ready to say that, but it is good to see
- 3:40Speaker 4: a bounce here today. And if we can get above
- 3:42Speaker 4: that red line think ninety four to five range, and
- 3:45Speaker 4: we get a high volume breakout above, you got a
- 3:50Speaker 4: very good chance of not going below ninety k again
- 3:52Speaker 4: before at least going up to touch that two hundreday Sma.
- 3:56Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think that's one thing that I've talked
- 3:58Speaker 1: to a lot of traders are looking at this kind
- 4:01Speaker 1: of this hot spot right now because we're in a
- 4:03Speaker 1: we are in an interesting point, and then there's a
- 4:05Speaker 1: lot of reasons why that this is playing out. I
- 4:08Speaker 1: want to go into a clip because this is one
- 4:10Speaker 1: of analysts that's kind of breaking down the difference between
- 4:13Speaker 1: twenty five and twenty six, because there are some unique
- 4:15Speaker 1: things that are starting to develop.
- 4:17Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 4:19Speaker 5: Well, I think the big surprise the change from say,
- 4:21Speaker 5: end of last year to current is a net positive,
- 4:24Speaker 5: is that the Fed now is addressing these liquidity concerns
- 4:27Speaker 5: that we've been talking about proactively. I wasn't sure they
- 4:29Speaker 5: would do that.
- 4:30Speaker 6: Do the midterms matter at all? Do you think give
- 4:33Speaker 6: them we're in a midterm year.
- 4:35Speaker 5: Well, I think they matter in the sense that we
- 4:37Speaker 5: know the government's going to be supportive, so that what
- 4:39Speaker 5: that means is if we get we're going to get
- 4:41Speaker 5: corrections along the way. Okay, like if we don't have
- 4:43Speaker 5: a ten percent correction, that would be unusual at some
- 4:44Speaker 5: point this year. Trying to predict the timing it as weird.
- 4:47Speaker 5: I'm not worried about that because I think ultimately it'll
- 4:49Speaker 5: be bought for the reasons we talked about. Growth is good, okay,
- 4:52Speaker 5: visibilion ornas is quite good. The FED seems to be,
- 4:55Speaker 5: you know, in a good place, and we have policy
- 4:58Speaker 5: support going into the midterms. If something were to go heywire.
- 5:01Speaker 6: There's been a lot of handwringing about AI and about
- 5:04Speaker 6: whether we're in some kind of bubble or something cracks
- 5:07Speaker 6: there is Do you have any anxiety on that front?
- 5:11Speaker 5: Not now, because we just we're in the process now
- 5:13Speaker 5: raising more capital in the debt markets, like that process
- 5:16Speaker 5: has just begun.
- 5:18Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 5:18Speaker 1: So to his point, this gets this gets kind of
- 5:22Speaker 1: dicey with how the market might respond, not only to
- 5:25Speaker 1: risk assets, but if you look at what's going on
- 5:28Speaker 1: in the bond market, you also look at the global
- 5:31Speaker 1: aspect of what many of the central banks are doing,
- 5:34Speaker 1: which have been cutting aggressively. And now here we are
- 5:38Speaker 1: not on the eve, but many people looking at the
- 5:40Speaker 1: FED and we'll talk about that a little bit later.
- 5:42Speaker 1: That may pause in January. So with all of that,
- 5:46Speaker 1: then you have this tweet right here. First few weeks
- 5:48Speaker 1: of price action in the year usually all over the place.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Very rarely do you see.
- 5:52Speaker 1: Bitcoin trending straight away without some chopping the fake outs. First,
- 5:56Speaker 1: Remember we saw that last year. We saw the little
- 5:58Speaker 1: move last year, same kind of scenario. Here we are
- 6:01Speaker 1: twenty second, or excuse me, twenty six, and if you
- 6:04Speaker 1: look at it right there, you've got it on bitcoin
- 6:07Speaker 1: minus three in the first week of last year, green, green, green,
- 6:12Speaker 1: and then right there last run, which was a bull
- 6:15Speaker 1: run year twenty twenty one plus fifteen and second week.
- 6:19Speaker 2: How do you think this?
- 6:21Speaker 1: Do you feel a little bit more bullish into the
- 6:23Speaker 1: FOMC meeting and then I retracement again or do you
- 6:28Speaker 1: think this is going to take longer than that?
- 6:31Speaker 4: I don't know. I think there's high expectation there won't
- 6:34Speaker 4: be rate cuts. I mean the even the more aggressive
- 6:37Speaker 4: bullish side of rate cuts in twentywy six. I don't
- 6:41Speaker 4: think there's anyone out here expecting what Donald Trump and
- 6:44Speaker 4: his staff are asking for. Where they're asking for like
- 6:47Speaker 4: I think five or six to happen. I think the
- 6:49Speaker 4: FEDS insinuated at best one or two. The most bullish
- 6:53Speaker 4: scenario is we get a total of three cuts. This
- 6:56Speaker 4: will be the first meeting in twenty twenty six. We
- 6:58Speaker 4: got so many more meat to happen. I don't think
- 7:02Speaker 4: a pause is gonna be bearish. I think that is
- 7:04Speaker 4: the full blown expectation polymarket. Last I looked was like
- 7:08Speaker 4: ninety three or ninety percent. Okay, Yeah, so I don't
- 7:13Speaker 4: think that FMC pausing is gonna be a barish event.
- 7:16Speaker 4: The event, well, this is what will go go down,
- 7:19Speaker 4: is barish or bullish? How does Jerome Powell speak about
- 7:22Speaker 4: the future. Does he turn his attention because this is
- 7:25Speaker 4: what's been bullish recently, even though price for bitcoin hasn't
- 7:28Speaker 4: gone up because of it. The concept of him saying, hey,
- 7:31Speaker 4: inflation is not what we want it to be, but
- 7:33Speaker 4: we are now watching the unemployment numbers and that's our focus.
- 7:38Speaker 4: That's a bullish thing, because unemployment numbers aren't looking very good.
- 7:41Speaker 4: If he comes out and says, you know what, actually,
- 7:43Speaker 4: inflation looks like it's rearing an ugly head. We're looking
- 7:46Speaker 4: back over at that and we're actually considering great hikes.
- 7:49Speaker 4: That would be a barish event. But a pause and
- 7:51Speaker 4: a hey, things aren't terrible. We might cut cut next time,
- 7:54Speaker 4: we might not cut next time, but we're still monitoring
- 7:57Speaker 4: unemployment as our main decision maker. If that's the way
- 8:00Speaker 4: he says with the podium, I see this net bullish,
- 8:03Speaker 4: continuing what he's been doing about the last couple of meetings.
- 8:06Speaker 1: Yeah, they're to support it ninety three percent on the
- 8:09Speaker 1: note change right now, currently reporting January eighth on poly market.
- 8:12Speaker 1: So that's one to keep a close eye on as well.
- 8:16Speaker 1: Let me go over to a couple other points I
- 8:18Speaker 1: want to get in crypto regulation coming. We see and
- 8:22Speaker 1: appear to see some movement in terms of the Market
- 8:25Speaker 1: Structure bill. Now, we had Warren Davidson on yesterday, and
- 8:29Speaker 1: just so you guys know, the US is planning to
- 8:31Speaker 1: vote on banning Congress from trading as well on stocks.
- 8:35Speaker 1: Now here's a thesis that we're working on because it's
- 8:38Speaker 1: kind of interesting. Go over and check out our video.
- 8:41Speaker 1: Yesterday we had this guy on, Warren Davidson. Now, Warren
- 8:45Speaker 1: has been very pro crypto, and it was interesting when
- 8:48Speaker 1: we were doing the interview with Warren Davidson and he.
- 8:53Speaker 2: I think he was responding.
- 8:54Speaker 1: To that tweet which was right here and that is
- 8:59Speaker 1: here the top political traders of twenty twenty five and
- 9:01Speaker 1: he was at the top of the list at seventy
- 9:03Speaker 1: eight percent, and he made the claim that he had
- 9:07Speaker 1: not invested in any in in crypto.
- 9:09Speaker 2: But yes, he's in the.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Senate Banking Committee, which obviously has some access to knowledge
- 9:14Speaker 1: on markets. So Here's my theory is that they're going
- 9:18Speaker 1: to pass this that Congress cannot make trades, and at
- 9:23Speaker 1: the same time, by by passing that, they're going to
- 9:27Speaker 1: stipulate in the market structure that Trump has to burn
- 9:31Speaker 1: all of the Trump tokens. What do you think to
- 9:35Speaker 1: get the market structure built through?
- 9:37Speaker 4: Yeah, that's the first I'm hearing about it. I'd be
- 9:40Speaker 4: for it. If I was a congressman right now, I'd
- 9:43Speaker 4: built for that. I think, you know, I hope, I
- 9:46Speaker 4: hope they do outlaw sitting congressman and senators from being
- 9:50Speaker 4: able to invest because they're the ones creating all the policy.
- 9:54Speaker 4: I don't know. Do you see that going? You see
- 9:56Speaker 4: you almost said all your things going to happen. You
- 9:58Speaker 4: think they're going to pass that, You think they're going
- 9:59Speaker 4: to to support that?
- 10:01Speaker 2: Well, I mean, how do you not?
- 10:02Speaker 1: Okay, So, if you have to give up a sacrificial
- 10:05Speaker 1: cow on the market structure bill, its can't be self
- 10:07Speaker 1: custody because that would be, you know, a fight to
- 10:10Speaker 1: the end by the crypto at lobbies. It can't be
- 10:13Speaker 1: really CBDC unless you somehow mask it and it's not
- 10:18Speaker 1: really in there, but it's in their kind of thing,
- 10:21Speaker 1: poison pills. I'm worried about guy. I think this is
- 10:24Speaker 1: the low hanging fruit. And how do you get Trump
- 10:26Speaker 1: to give up that market? If Congress is over here
- 10:30Speaker 1: making trades left and right, which is essentially I won't
- 10:33Speaker 1: say insider trading, but definitely knowledge trading.
- 10:37Speaker 4: It is though. I mean, we're talking about a bunch
- 10:38Speaker 4: of congressman and senators who have salaries somewhere hed one
- 10:41Speaker 4: hundred and fifty to two hundred and fifty thousand dollars
- 10:43Speaker 4: a year, and yet their networds are multiple millions. Yes,
- 10:48Speaker 4: I just don't see fat cats giving up their purse.
- 10:51Speaker 4: And they might, you know, they might hate the Trump's
- 10:53Speaker 4: doing what he's doing. And by the way, I hate
- 10:55Speaker 4: the Trump token. I wish he was gone. But it's
- 10:57Speaker 4: kind of like, oh, I want to hear the Trump token,
- 10:59Speaker 4: but that means I have to give up my wealth.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Tim move to polymarket, man, They're just gonna move to
- 11:05Speaker 1: polay market.
- 11:07Speaker 4: If I was a sitting in congressman, I would vote
- 11:11Speaker 4: to say Trump, you gotta dump all the Trump tokens.
- 11:13Speaker 4: Senators and Congressmen, you cannot invest anymore because you're the
- 11:17Speaker 4: one passing legislation to regulate all this. I don't know.
- 11:21Speaker 4: I just see as an uphill battle. I think there's
- 11:22Speaker 4: too many fat cats in Washington that they don't want
- 11:25Speaker 4: to give up their wealth like that.
- 11:26Speaker 1: Well, we're definitely dreaming that some of these kind of
- 11:30Speaker 1: things are going to happen. Well, another thing you can
- 11:32Speaker 1: dream about is a Supreme Court decision, because you're going
- 11:35Speaker 1: to see this right here coming and it looks like
- 11:38Speaker 1: that the Court is going to rule in favor of
- 11:40Speaker 1: Trump's tariffs, not likely holding even though it did come
- 11:43Speaker 1: up from twenty one, it went up to twenty five,
- 11:46Speaker 1: So I don't know if there's been a late development.
- 11:48Speaker 2: Do you think this will get pulled by the Supreme Court?
- 11:52Speaker 4: Well, you know, I don't know a whole lot about
- 11:54Speaker 4: this issue. But Shrum, my business partner, he has a
- 11:57Speaker 4: whole channel, Taylor shum Now where he talks about news
- 12:00Speaker 4: in the morning. He covered this the other day, saying
- 12:02Speaker 4: that there's some interesting discussion that people might not fully
- 12:06Speaker 4: understand the details of what the Supreme Court might rule on.
- 12:10Speaker 4: What they might come out rule, which poly Markets betting
- 12:12Speaker 4: on is that he's not gonna be allowed to start
- 12:14Speaker 4: any new tariffs. Yeah, but they might not rule against
- 12:17Speaker 4: the existing ones, and they might not make like there's
- 12:20Speaker 4: a rumor that he's gonna have to refund a bunch
- 12:21Speaker 4: of money. That's that's the part this nuanced the people
- 12:24Speaker 4: the least, the people that Shrum was listening to. They
- 12:26Speaker 4: were saying, no, they're not going to refund and they're
- 12:29Speaker 4: not going to kill the existing tariffs. They might just
- 12:31Speaker 4: make it difficult for him to implement new tariffs unless
- 12:34Speaker 4: they have clear constitutional base.
- 12:37Speaker 1: Well, he's gonna he's already started to get a little
- 12:39Speaker 1: bit softer on them, so I think that may be
- 12:42Speaker 1: a good position. But even the money that they've collected
- 12:44Speaker 1: so far, the way to fight back on that is
- 12:46Speaker 1: just simply say you're going to give the American people
- 12:48Speaker 1: a rebate, exact or some sort of you know, stimulus
- 12:51Speaker 1: that's coming against that tariff, because you know, why are
- 12:53Speaker 1: you paying taxes if you're collecting taxes that we hear
- 12:55Speaker 1: from companies, So that would be.
- 12:57Speaker 2: A factor that would be good.
- 12:58Speaker 1: Let's talk about ethereum tim Ethereum exit Q now has
- 13:03Speaker 1: dropped to just thirty two.
- 13:05Speaker 2: This is a six month low.
- 13:07Speaker 1: Meanwhile, eth entry Q is approaching a two year high.
- 13:10Speaker 1: Demand for staking skyrocketing. This is big for eighth, but
- 13:14Speaker 1: we're not seeing eight move just yet. What is your
- 13:18Speaker 1: picture on ethereum right now? Give me a mid year,
- 13:22Speaker 1: Give me a midyear. I know you don't like doing price,
- 13:25Speaker 1: just give me a mid year. Come on, man, give
- 13:27Speaker 1: me a mid year.
- 13:28Speaker 4: If if everything goes well, I'm really big on if
- 13:31Speaker 4: then statements, Paul, you know I got myself in trouble
- 13:34Speaker 4: last year trying to tell people price the year and
- 13:37Speaker 4: it did not wait we wanted them to. So if
- 13:40Speaker 4: then statements are what I have to deal with with
- 13:43Speaker 4: longer term predictions here, if if the bull run takes off,
- 13:47Speaker 4: if we get these things right now, like one thing,
- 13:49Speaker 4: I'm really one thing's giving me really bullish right now
- 13:52Speaker 4: is the weekly chart by signals that are flooding in
- 13:55Speaker 4: that you know the history of these. Think April of
- 13:57Speaker 4: twenty five, Think September of twenty four, think September of
- 14:01Speaker 4: twenty three. Right, these weekly bisignals that we're seeing now
- 14:05Speaker 4: led to big runs on pretty much everything in crypto.
- 14:08Speaker 4: So if the bulls continue to do their thing when
- 14:11Speaker 4: repeating this history, I think it'd be very realistic to
- 14:14Speaker 4: see ethereum above five thousand and then you know, I'll
- 14:17Speaker 4: put it. I'd say the bullish scenario is somewhere between
- 14:20Speaker 4: six to seven thousand.
- 14:21Speaker 2: Dollars for ethereum.
- 14:23Speaker 4: Don't know where, don't know how quickly or how slow
- 14:26Speaker 4: it's gonna take to get there. But what keeps me
- 14:28Speaker 4: extremely positive on this longer term front again, think you know,
- 14:32Speaker 4: we get this bi signal April and twenty five, we
- 14:34Speaker 4: don't top out until August, so these by signals they
- 14:37Speaker 4: take months to come to fruition. I could see this
- 14:41Speaker 4: bisignal with a new hide being somewhere in that six
- 14:43Speaker 4: thousand dollars area in the next four or five months.
- 14:46Speaker 4: Maybe then we stall. That's why I'm kind of giving
- 14:48Speaker 4: you that early six seven months we might stall and
- 14:51Speaker 4: either go sideways before going up, or we you know,
- 14:54Speaker 4: hit a distribution where we make another wave down. I
- 14:57Speaker 4: don't think that's an unlikely move. I think the happiness
- 15:00Speaker 4: that we've seen in the bull run so far, I
- 15:03Speaker 4: think everybody's waiting for like a twenty twenty one crazy
- 15:07Speaker 4: rally to happen, and maybe it does, maybe repeat silver
- 15:09Speaker 4: and Gold. I kind of lean at this point Paul
- 15:13Speaker 4: that I think I think we could see a long
- 15:16Speaker 4: long long bull market with minimal bear markets. But it's
- 15:20Speaker 4: gonna look something like this with slow but sure steady
- 15:24Speaker 4: movements for ethereum, for bitcoin. But you put me in
- 15:27Speaker 4: a corner at there, Paul, you said, give you a
- 15:29Speaker 4: six month prediction. If things tend correctly, if things trend correctly,
- 15:34Speaker 4: if these by signals are accepted, if these whales don't
- 15:37Speaker 4: just dump on us at a lower high. I think
- 15:40Speaker 4: the next spot, if we hit new all time highs
- 15:42Speaker 4: to watch in six months, six thousand areas should be interesting.
- 15:46Speaker 2: All right, to pull a little, a little heat off
- 15:50Speaker 2: of you. We'll go to the pull. All right.
- 15:52Speaker 1: So here's the poll, and we've got a few votes
- 15:55Speaker 1: in there. I haven't sent it out yet, but let's go, Paul,
- 15:59Speaker 1: right now, eighth price, end of January.
- 16:03Speaker 2: Should I do four K? I say no? Should I
- 16:06Speaker 2: do two k? Definitely? Not much.
- 16:09Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the thirty five hundred. Where would
- 16:11Speaker 1: you drop on this?
- 16:12Speaker 4: Yeah? Give me give me somewhere between thirty five and
- 16:17Speaker 4: four thousand, maybe, all right? I think I think you
- 16:20Speaker 4: could get a pop up here five hundred, closer to
- 16:26Speaker 4: thirty five hundred than to four thousand, but probably between.
- 16:28Speaker 1: Them, okay, well, our audience agrees fifty fifty on wow, okay,
- 16:33Speaker 1: over fifty percent right there.
- 16:34Speaker 7: That's a.
- 16:36Speaker 2: Kind of between four k, yeah, four.
- 16:38Speaker 1: K to thirty five even, but you're all right, you know,
- 16:40Speaker 1: it's it's kind of balanced across. There's some haters in
- 16:43Speaker 1: there twenty two. That must be some Cardono fans. Anyway,
- 16:51Speaker 1: let's go over to this right here, Solana nine hundred
- 16:54Speaker 1: million in stable coin. Serge, I am not seeing movement
- 16:58Speaker 1: on Solana. I do not unders standard so many good
- 17:02Speaker 1: news things coming out for Solana. This is just another
- 17:05Speaker 1: you know, kind of stak in the I won't you know,
- 17:09Speaker 1: kind of in the claim of staking their flag as
- 17:11Speaker 1: one of the best l ones out there. What do
- 17:14Speaker 1: you think is holding Solana back right now? And what
- 17:16Speaker 1: would your chart say for midyear?
- 17:20Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not gonna have a great answer on as
- 17:23Speaker 4: far as the specifics of what's holding back. Let's just
- 17:24Speaker 4: do it the whole crypto market. I mean, everything crypto
- 17:28Speaker 4: wise is being held back, and there's you know, there's
- 17:31Speaker 4: a lot of analysts kind of discussing this. There definitely
- 17:34Speaker 4: appears to be a concerted effort to keep a cap
- 17:40Speaker 4: on what crypto's capable of and to me, when you
- 17:43Speaker 4: look at the on chain metrics, I know we talked
- 17:45Speaker 4: about theory before. You know, I mostly looked at bitcoin
- 17:48Speaker 4: ethereum on chaine metrics. I haven't studied solanas in depth,
- 17:53Speaker 4: but I know bitcoin etherium for sure. You look at
- 17:55Speaker 4: what whales are doing right now. You look at what
- 17:57Speaker 4: even new whales and institutional investors are doing. There's a
- 18:01Speaker 4: lot of buying going on, but they want to keep
- 18:03Speaker 4: price lower. Anything that you think can be very wealthy
- 18:08Speaker 4: in the future, you want to buy as much of
- 18:10Speaker 4: it at cheap prices as possible. Think Think you go
- 18:12Speaker 4: to the grocery store and you find this great sale
- 18:15Speaker 4: on your favorite item of food. You don't want to buy.
- 18:18Speaker 4: You don't want the price to jump by fifty percent
- 18:21Speaker 4: next week because of the demand. You want to keep
- 18:23Speaker 4: it on that sale and buy as much of it
- 18:25Speaker 4: as possible, and then once you have your fail you're okay.
- 18:27Speaker 4: If the price goes to the upside. Everyone's gonna think
- 18:30Speaker 4: tomorrow I want to make a video about my early
- 18:32Speaker 4: pick for top all coin twenty ony six. Everyone's gonna
- 18:34Speaker 4: think it's gonna be chain link, right, I'm the chain
- 18:36Speaker 4: link guy. Everyone thinks it's gonna be that. Some people
- 18:38Speaker 4: might think it's a smaller cap. The pick isn't because
- 18:41Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be the greatest return on investment.
- 18:44Speaker 4: But I think Solana. I think Solana is sitting in
- 18:47Speaker 4: a very good spot for twenty twenty six when slash
- 18:51Speaker 4: if the crypto boom comes back. And the reason why
- 18:54Speaker 4: is because Solana it's not a secret, right, it's one
- 18:57Speaker 4: of the top all coins already. I don't think people
- 19:00Speaker 4: anticipated how much of a stake Solana would get in
- 19:04Speaker 4: the world of token is stocks.
- 19:07Speaker 2: I don't think.
- 19:07Speaker 4: People realize a lot how much thunder it would steal
- 19:10Speaker 4: from Ethereum and Cardono. But I'm not ready to say
- 19:14Speaker 4: Cardono is going to zero. But let's be very honest.
- 19:17Speaker 4: The way people talk about Cardono for a long time now,
- 19:19Speaker 4: Cardinal people, you should talk about Solona that way. Solana
- 19:24Speaker 4: did one. They did the exact optsic Cardno went slow
- 19:26Speaker 4: and they didn't want to break anything. They want to
- 19:28Speaker 4: do a slow process, make sure they didn't fix the
- 19:30Speaker 4: right the first time. Solana said no, we're gonna go
- 19:32Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty miles an hour and break things,
- 19:34Speaker 4: but fix it as we go, and now Solana's doing
- 19:38Speaker 4: things that I don't think other people thought were doable
- 19:41Speaker 4: or possible from the Slana team, and they're nailing it.
- 19:43Speaker 4: I think Solana right now is my early favorite to
- 19:46Speaker 4: be possibly the most important all coin to hold in
- 19:49Speaker 4: twenty twenty six.
- 19:50Speaker 1: I'm on the fence between Solana and Swee, you know
- 19:53Speaker 1: right now. I mean in terms of performance for this
- 19:55Speaker 1: year because you know swe also, But you look at
- 19:58Speaker 1: Solana right here while I'm in stable coin launching front
- 20:01Speaker 1: their stable coin first date. I think we'll see more
- 20:04Speaker 1: states coming right behind them, So expect a Texas at
- 20:07Speaker 1: Florida stable coin. The blueprint is there depending on how
- 20:12Speaker 1: successful they are. And I think the other thing if
- 20:14Speaker 1: we start to see dividends and things like that coming
- 20:16Speaker 1: against this dividends yields, Yeah, that will be an interesting play,
- 20:23Speaker 1: especially at the state level.
- 20:24Speaker 2: Which could be another revenue generator. For sure.
- 20:26Speaker 1: You mentioned Cardono, and of course I would be remiss
- 20:31Speaker 1: in not playing this clip by Charles Hoskinson.
- 20:35Speaker 2: Let's bring it in.
- 20:36Speaker 8: You know, the reality of being public figure is that
- 20:39Speaker 8: we start with a strong desire to become accessible, and
- 20:44Speaker 8: the reality is that the more famous you become you
- 20:47Speaker 8: have to become less accessible because of my presence, my persona,
- 20:51Speaker 8: and the way that people perceive me. There are groups
- 20:55Speaker 8: of people that will never participate in Cardono or Midnight
- 20:58Speaker 8: and that's not fair. So it's my farewell to that platform,
- 21:03Speaker 8: and I'll turn it over to curators and AI. It'll
- 21:06Speaker 8: go into silent mode. I have more important things to
- 21:09Speaker 8: do because I was a billionaire at the age of
- 21:10Speaker 8: thirty three. It's not a braggy people. I've outgrown X.
- 21:15Speaker 8: But I'm going to install the app and never think
- 21:17Speaker 8: of it again. Good Night everyone, here's to twenty twenty six. Cheers.
- 21:23Speaker 1: All right, So we got another billionaire signing off of Twitter. Yeah,
- 21:28Speaker 1: you know, but this, of course being Cardono, the champion,
- 21:32Speaker 1: in chief, in charge, whatever you want to call I mean,
- 21:38Speaker 1: I kind of have an open beef with Charles. He's
- 21:40Speaker 1: always been calling me things.
- 21:41Speaker 2: You know.
- 21:42Speaker 1: I never call him anything except hey, just tell us
- 21:45Speaker 1: what the facts are. We're happy about it, but it's.
- 21:48Speaker 2: One of those things.
- 21:48Speaker 1: I'll miss him because I have enjoyed the banter and
- 21:52Speaker 1: the insults and all of the rhetoric that he has
- 21:55Speaker 1: thrown my way because I love that. I think it's
- 21:58Speaker 1: great we bring people out of the cracks and the crannies,
- 22:01Speaker 1: and unfortunately he has crawled back into a cranny that
- 22:04Speaker 1: he is not gonna let me come back into.
- 22:08Speaker 4: I tell our community all the time, and again I
- 22:10Speaker 4: still hold cardono. Charles Hoskinson, I firmly believe is one
- 22:15Speaker 4: of the smartest people in the world of blockchain, in
- 22:19Speaker 4: the world today.
- 22:20Speaker 2: Really, I think he is.
- 22:22Speaker 4: I also, by the way, think Gavin Woods is. But
- 22:24Speaker 4: Gavin Woods his pokrot's falling apart. So just because you're
- 22:27Speaker 4: a smart blockchain developer doesn't mean your project's going to
- 22:30Speaker 4: be successful. I think Charles Hoskinson, I think he's a
- 22:33Speaker 4: very intelligent individual. You know what, He might not like this,
- 22:37Speaker 4: and he doesn't like I've met him twice and he
- 22:41Speaker 4: seemed to like me as a person, but he doesn't
- 22:43Speaker 4: like people that do price predictions on his coin. So
- 22:45Speaker 4: I don't know how much he likes me in the
- 22:47Speaker 4: first place, because that's what I do. I analyze it. Hey,
- 22:50Speaker 4: where how valuable do I think this can can be?
- 22:53Speaker 4: I disagree with his reasoning for leaving x though, because
- 22:56Speaker 4: my argument to Charles would be and again, he's a
- 22:58Speaker 4: grown man who's a billionaire, way more money that I have,
- 23:00Speaker 4: so you make your own decisions. Part of the reason
- 23:03Speaker 4: Cardono's as successful as it is today is because of
- 23:07Speaker 4: his accessibility and for lack of a better way to
- 23:11Speaker 4: put it, he created this cult like following that people
- 23:14Speaker 4: just ride or die Cardono because of him. And I
- 23:17Speaker 4: understand there's naysayers. You're like, I don't like Charles Hoskinson.
- 23:20Speaker 4: I don't want to mess Cardno because that I think
- 23:22Speaker 4: you stacked up how many people hold Cardonal because of
- 23:24Speaker 4: his presence versus amount of people who refused to buy
- 23:27Speaker 4: it because of his It's not even close. I think
- 23:29Speaker 4: I think this actually could be very harmful for Cardonal,
- 23:32Speaker 4: for him to fade in the background and let the
- 23:34Speaker 4: tech just take over. Now that the texts wrong, it's
- 23:37Speaker 4: that look at that that run that Carnal had in
- 23:39Speaker 4: twenty faye one where it shut up to three dollars
- 23:42Speaker 4: in whatever sens had no business being that valuable, right.
- 23:45Speaker 4: It was all because of Charles Hoskinson and the and
- 23:47Speaker 4: the vision he cast and the personality had and his
- 23:51Speaker 4: ability to really motivate people behind it and encourage people
- 23:56Speaker 4: about what the future could look like. The value wasn't
- 23:59Speaker 4: there yet. The cardinald coin was not that valuable, and
- 24:03Speaker 4: yet it went that high him leaving. I think it
- 24:06Speaker 4: would be a mistake for Gonald's long term.
- 24:08Speaker 1: Well, I have a prediction for you, Tim. I don't
- 24:11Speaker 1: think it's gonna last. I think by before end of year,
- 24:14Speaker 1: if I could put up a solid market, it would
- 24:17Speaker 1: be that Charles Hoskinson returns in person, returns.
- 24:21Speaker 2: Back to X.
- 24:22Speaker 1: Hey, we've got z cash literally zing out, and that
- 24:27Speaker 1: is the problem right here. We got another core dev
- 24:29Speaker 1: team that has resigned z cash, of course in a
- 24:32Speaker 1: freak fall. A lot of people are really upset about this,
- 24:35Speaker 1: and of course it was kind of a little bit
- 24:37Speaker 1: of a rub between the board and of course the
- 24:42Speaker 1: core dev team on different purposes of what the mission
- 24:45Speaker 1: is behind this. But privacy is the key thing here.
- 24:49Speaker 1: Do you think we're at a point where privacy tokens
- 24:52Speaker 1: might be at risk?
- 24:55Speaker 4: This isn't I'm gonna not do a disservice to this
- 24:59Speaker 4: issue by trying to. I have too good of a
- 25:00Speaker 4: take on it. This isn't my area of expertise. I'm
- 25:03Speaker 4: a chart guy. Z cash is something I was tracking beforehand.
- 25:07Speaker 4: I've never bought z Cash. I had levels on my
- 25:09Speaker 4: chart that I said, Hey, if it gets back to
- 25:10Speaker 4: this point and everything's still looking good, I would buy.
- 25:14Speaker 4: But yeah, I don't really want to give an answer, Paul,
- 25:17Speaker 4: because it would be a bad take. Like I just
- 25:19Speaker 4: don't know enough on that issue to give anyone an
- 25:22Speaker 4: informed opinion on it.
- 25:23Speaker 1: Well, the privacy issue is the one that I'm most
- 25:26Speaker 1: concerned about.
- 25:27Speaker 2: We put up a video yesterday.
- 25:28Speaker 1: It was in reference to the Sony thing, and this
- 25:31Speaker 1: was a post that came in on and I thought
- 25:33Speaker 1: it was kind of interesting because we're seeing, you know,
- 25:35Speaker 1: even users that are starting to pick this stuff up.
- 25:38Speaker 1: And it was, you know, they're talking to Avalanche here
- 25:42Speaker 1: and they're saying, hey, guys, I hope you're talking to
- 25:44Speaker 1: Sony about the issues that they're having with their ETHL too.
- 25:47Speaker 1: Sounds like Avalanche is just what they need. And that
- 25:50Speaker 1: was kind of our reference was we kind of thought
- 25:53Speaker 1: this could be a thing and if we get privacy
- 25:56Speaker 1: starting to float in essential for a lot of these
- 25:59Speaker 1: institutional blockchains.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Avalanche does a lot of this, so you.
- 26:03Speaker 1: Know, they've already done some things with Toyota, mainly the
- 26:06Speaker 1: news In case you guys missed it, was that Sony
- 26:09Speaker 1: and Honda were essentially partnering. We were going to see,
- 26:13Speaker 1: you know, next evolution around integration into the automotive sector
- 26:18Speaker 1: when you look at Avalanche, because Avalanche could be the winner.
- 26:20Speaker 2: Here is my point.
- 26:21Speaker 1: Avalanche could be a winner from z cash possibly getting
- 26:26Speaker 1: shifted over to another I know, I will say by devs,
- 26:29Speaker 1: but maybe maybe some of the devs will go there
- 26:32Speaker 1: or to another chain, you know like that. What would
- 26:34Speaker 1: Avalanche look like if we got some real provacy privacy
- 26:37Speaker 1: pump on the Avalanche token.
- 26:41Speaker 4: Yeah, well, let's start off here just looking at what
- 26:44Speaker 4: the chart looks like on Avalanche. This is one you
- 26:47Speaker 4: know I've been I've been an Avalanche guy for a while.
- 26:49Speaker 4: We had this big breakout back here earlier in the year.
- 26:52Speaker 4: I thought we were going to make a push up
- 26:53Speaker 4: to this resistant touch at least a forty five. It
- 26:55Speaker 4: fell flat. Of course, everything in cryptoclass back down, but
- 26:58Speaker 4: end up coming back down in touching that same trend
- 27:01Speaker 4: of support. So let's start off with is Avax in
- 27:04Speaker 4: a good place to buy? Just in general? The answer
- 27:07Speaker 4: is yes, came down touched that support very nicely. You
- 27:11Speaker 4: take a look at it, just like the other cryptos,
- 27:14Speaker 4: they're gonna find very few coins with that don't have
- 27:17Speaker 4: a weekly chart that look like this where you're getting
- 27:19Speaker 4: this bile coming in and if you want to see
- 27:21Speaker 4: backup on that. Maybe people don't always trust my indicator
- 27:24Speaker 4: I created for a reason because I want to see
- 27:26Speaker 4: a specific you know, bisignal. But look at the mac D,
- 27:30Speaker 4: look at the RSI. I don't know anybody looking at
- 27:33Speaker 4: this weekly chart saying oh so bad, No, don't touch
- 27:36Speaker 4: Avax with a ten foot poll. What's what's the gist
- 27:39Speaker 4: of what could happen here? You know, I don't think
- 27:41Speaker 4: that mid year Avax is looking at new all time highs.
- 27:44Speaker 4: That's gonna be quite a feat to get back above
- 27:46Speaker 4: sixty five dollars. But that forty or forty five dollars
- 27:50Speaker 4: target that we talked about earlier in twenty five, that's
- 27:52Speaker 4: definitely doable with this weekly bisignal. What you need to
- 27:55Speaker 4: see on the shorter term again, there's a little bit
- 27:58Speaker 4: of a suppression going on right So since back here
- 28:01Speaker 4: in September August September, we clearly are putting in lower
- 28:05Speaker 4: highs and lower lows. Avax can't catch a break. Almost
- 28:08Speaker 4: no crypto yet I'm not saying every cryptos. I'm sure
- 28:10Speaker 4: there's one out there that has, but not even Bitcoin
- 28:12Speaker 4: or ethereum has been able to break the structure of
- 28:15Speaker 4: lower highs and lower lows. We got to clear the
- 28:18Speaker 4: last higher high, so I said lower lows, higher lows,
- 28:22Speaker 4: and lower loas. The last high is coming in here
- 28:25Speaker 4: in this red line fifteen twenty nine, you can see
- 28:27Speaker 4: we kind of rejected around the highs from December ninth.
- 28:30Speaker 4: We're making our way back up here. Right, four hour
- 28:33Speaker 4: charts are starting to make some moves here on AVAX.
- 28:36Speaker 4: Get me above fifteen twenty eight, fifteen twenty nine, get
- 28:39Speaker 4: a break above that level. Give me some extra volume
- 28:43Speaker 4: to boot with it. Right, let's get a big tick
- 28:45Speaker 4: and volume and all of a sudden. I think Avax,
- 28:48Speaker 4: along with a lot of the crypto space, can make
- 28:50Speaker 4: very big moves to the upside. You know something I've
- 28:54Speaker 4: said on the show before. It's also gonna depend you know,
- 28:56Speaker 4: Bitcoin is going to be the driving factor. That's the
- 28:59Speaker 4: other question is does Bitcoin get rejected the two to
- 29:02Speaker 4: day moving average or does it break through. I'm in
- 29:05Speaker 4: camp I think it can break through, but I'm willing
- 29:08Speaker 4: to watch it to see if it rejects. If it
- 29:10Speaker 4: gets rejected, I don't even know if Avax makes it
- 29:13Speaker 4: back up, you know, to thirty dollars. I think Avax
- 29:15Speaker 4: probably looking more like twenty to twenty four dollars. But
- 29:18Speaker 4: if we can get a breakthrough on the Tunday moving
- 29:20Speaker 4: average at bitcoin AVAX to forty dollars, forty five dollars,
- 29:24Speaker 4: it would be I told you earlier, Ethereum to like
- 29:27Speaker 4: six thousand, Avax to forty five dollars would be my
- 29:30Speaker 4: mid term AVAX projection At this point, Hey, I've.
- 29:33Speaker 1: Got a clip I want to play for you, and
- 29:35Speaker 1: it's reference. It's a Galaxy Digital. They're talking about dats
- 29:39Speaker 1: and whether or not their time has come.
- 29:41Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 29:42Speaker 7: TAF the Michael Sailor.
- 29:44Speaker 3: I'm gonna hype you into bidding it up so I
- 29:48Speaker 3: can sell it a premium, so that if the old
- 29:50Speaker 3: investors make money off the new investors, that cycle that
- 29:54Speaker 3: game's over.
- 29:55Speaker 7: It worked for Michael Sailor, it worked for Tom Lee,
- 29:58Speaker 7: it worked a little bit for Joe Lou. It worked
- 30:00Speaker 7: for nobody else. Three out of fifteen or three out
- 30:04Speaker 7: of fifty. The rest of the people have well, all right,
- 30:07Speaker 7: those people have their shovel and they got to dig
- 30:09Speaker 7: themselves out of the shit.
- 30:10Speaker 1: They ooh man, there of course is nove novel. Grat's
- 30:15Speaker 1: given and pulling no punches on dats.
- 30:18Speaker 2: What do you think I mean? That's right now.
- 30:20Speaker 1: It looks like we're going to see a merger year
- 30:22Speaker 1: within those would you would you beat on a handful
- 30:25Speaker 1: of dats? I'm assuming B, M and R is going
- 30:28Speaker 1: to be the one based on what I'm hearing from
- 30:30Speaker 1: Tom Leey, what do you think?
- 30:33Speaker 4: You know? What we're watching happen right here, Paul, is
- 30:35Speaker 4: a battle between effectively crypto whales that your early crypto
- 30:41Speaker 4: adopters like Tom Lee and Michael Sailor and others creating
- 30:44Speaker 4: these dats to try to get people's money that way,
- 30:47Speaker 4: versus you're gonna have the banks now rolling out there ts.
- 30:51Speaker 4: We know in Q four Blackrock is now telling us
- 30:53Speaker 4: Q four the bitcoinn ETF was their number one form
- 30:57Speaker 4: of income. You know, we covered this the other day
- 30:59Speaker 4: in a video. One of the reasons Joe everyone's so excited
- 31:01Speaker 4: about the MSCI news and MCI saying, oh, we're not
- 31:03Speaker 4: going to delist micro Strategy and other treasury companies, But
- 31:06Speaker 4: then they threw in that, well, we're also not going
- 31:08Speaker 4: to buy any of the new shares. And the speculation
- 31:11Speaker 4: that my team had, and I'm sure others have the
- 31:13Speaker 4: same speculation, is, hey, you know, MSCI is that really
- 31:16Speaker 4: close relationship with Morgan Stanley, And Morgan Stanley has filed
- 31:19Speaker 4: for their own bitcoin ETF. So you have the old
- 31:22Speaker 4: whales versus the new whales battling out ETS versus dats.
- 31:26Speaker 4: Who's gonna win. I'm gonna give the edge of the ets.
- 31:30Speaker 4: But I'll say this to anyone watching as an individual,
- 31:32Speaker 4: I understand why people go to the ETF route or
- 31:35Speaker 4: the DAT route or where. Why don't we just buy
- 31:38Speaker 4: the actual bitcoin? And why don't we actually just buy ethereum?
- 31:41Speaker 4: Why don't we just buy Chainley instead of going into
- 31:44Speaker 4: the DATS or ETF.
- 31:44Speaker 1: Outside of starting your you know, starting in a coin
- 31:47Speaker 1: base account or a robin Hood account. I think that's
- 31:49Speaker 1: the issue because I'm talking to a lot of people
- 31:52Speaker 1: about this on the you know, those seminars that we
- 31:54Speaker 1: do here in South Florida, and that is the question
- 31:58Speaker 1: all the time, why don't.
- 31:59Speaker 2: You just go this?
- 32:00Speaker 1: Because they ask a lot about ETFs and these are
- 32:04Speaker 1: you know, very high networth individuals. And the question that
- 32:08Speaker 1: I or the answer I always get back is they
- 32:11Speaker 1: feel like it's still is too complicated, you know, they
- 32:14Speaker 1: just don't want to go through the mass of understanding it.
- 32:16Speaker 1: And I'm like, even in an exchange, a centralized the change,
- 32:19Speaker 1: well yeah, but it's you know, there is their insurance.
- 32:21Speaker 1: The exchanges haven't done a good job at really messaging,
- 32:26Speaker 1: you know, out to high networth individuals. Most high networth
- 32:29Speaker 1: individuals don't look at robinhood as a legit thing. That
- 32:32Speaker 1: is one issue. They don't look at coinbase as a
- 32:35Speaker 1: proven thing. So where do you trade outside of fidelity?
- 32:39Speaker 1: And that's really all the ones that you have.
- 32:41Speaker 4: I'll give you the more honest and real answer, Paul.
- 32:43Speaker 4: The minute people realize they can be their own banks,
- 32:46Speaker 4: all these large baking institutions is the power and they
- 32:49Speaker 4: can't let that happen. Even in this world of crypto
- 32:51Speaker 4: with real money now coming and taking out the dollar.
- 32:54Speaker 4: They got to keep their own power, their own way.
- 32:56Speaker 4: You know what we're to do. We're all for ets,
- 32:58Speaker 4: and we'll hold all of it for you so you
- 32:59Speaker 4: don't have worry about it. That was a great excuse
- 33:01Speaker 4: for gold or silver right. I can't hold five hundred
- 33:04Speaker 4: pounds of gold in my back room, but I can
- 33:07Speaker 4: absolutely hold millions of dollars a bitcoin on my cold
- 33:11Speaker 4: wallet and just keep it myself. That they're going to
- 33:14Speaker 4: try to continue to preach it's too complicated, it's too compleated,
- 33:17Speaker 4: too complicated. It's not a form of trying to help.
- 33:20Speaker 4: It's actually a form of them realizing we can lose
- 33:22Speaker 4: control if things go wrong. We got to keep control.
- 33:25Speaker 4: We can't keep people from crypto, but we can control
- 33:28Speaker 4: their access to crypto and therefore control power.
- 33:31Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's why I think a lot of people
- 33:34Speaker 1: are now discovering this investment class for the first time,
- 33:38Speaker 1: mainly because they're starting to realize that the regulatory environment
- 33:41Speaker 1: is getting much more favorable. And if we do get clarity,
- 33:44Speaker 1: which I think we will, but it's just going to
- 33:46Speaker 1: be a fight. There may be some concessions too, So
- 33:49Speaker 1: don't be surprised, guys if you see some bad concessions
- 33:53Speaker 1: coming out of the Clarity Act approval. The markup is
- 33:56Speaker 1: happening next week. We'll report on that and get in
- 34:00Speaker 1: on that for sure. Tim, thanks so much for coming
- 34:02Speaker 1: in today. I appreciate it absolutely Paul, thanks for having me.
- 34:12Speaker 1: If you liked this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
- 34:14Speaker 1: a comment down below, and also join our free private
- 34:17Speaker 1: member group.
- 34:18Speaker 2: The link is in the description