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March Madness First Round Gambling Picks and Overview! · Three For The Money

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after a two -day free trial. And you have just
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woken up. Obviously, this is the first thing
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you do on the Thursday of March Madness. You
1:05
just wake up, you listen to Three for the Money,
1:07
you get some picks, and then you make some money.
1:10
So congratulations to us for making it this far.
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It's March Madness. It's Christmas. It is Christmas
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for gamblers and people who enjoy sports. That
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starts today. Not as we're recording. But as
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you're hearing this, as this comes to your ear
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holes. Okay, well let's say hi to the gents.
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After I give a shout out to the Trends Center
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app. Link in the description. 15 % off a premium
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membership. The greatest tool for sports bettors
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on the planet. That will definitely be helping
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they did recently add a new filter. that takes
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statistic, March Madness specific statistics.
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So definitely check that out. Link is in the
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bio. All right, moving on. Chris, how are you
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doing this week? I'm great. It's been a busy
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week just preparing for the tournament doing
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all this research for every single team. But
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that's this is why we do it. I mean, it's the
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best time of year. Like you said, it's Christmas
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Eve. If Christmas were better, because this is
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like a month long and Christmas is one day. Stupid
2:33
Christmas. But no, like, yeah, this is Christmas.
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I'm a kid on Christmas Eve right now. I cannot
2:39
wait for tomorrow. I'm going to wake up so early
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and then just be like, OK, when do the games
2:44
start? It's seven thirty. What? Why did I get
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up? But. I'm pumped. I'm excited to talk round
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ball with the fellas for March Madness for really
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the first time. I'm very excited. I know we touched
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on it last week, but we're doing the deep dive
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today or tonight, and I'm pumped. Sean, how are
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you? Yes, I am good. Excited. Yeah, I kind of
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fell off college basketball, but now I'm I'm
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forced to be in it, so to speak. So It's a it's
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a nice force though, you know what I mean? like
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I'm glad to be pushed into the fire because I
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Mean man, what's better than four days of just
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kind of? Just watching ball just wall though.
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We don't really call we don't get that. We don't
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get that enough for any sport We never we never
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we never we never get anything like this. So
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Just don't take it for granted Just enjoy the
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moment be in the moment win some bets drink some
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beers be with the buds Collins don't don't don't
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don't work today tomorrow Next Thursday and Friday
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like don't just don't if you can't if you can't
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then don't but yeah. Yeah, I'm about to tear
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up Let's give me emotional a little bit. Yeah.
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Yeah, I'm excited to get into this got dig some
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deep dig in today a lot of a lot of trends a
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lot of gut feelings We got a just madness madness
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everywhere And I love it Yes, let's get into
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it madness everywhere let's get into it So I
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personally don't have any futures Because I don't
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really follow college basketball that much, but
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I know the other People on this podcast do would
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you like to share Sean? Oh Yeah, I'll go I think
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Chris preparing I'm pulling I'm pulling mine
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up just so I can get their correct numbers Well
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right now Chris is sporting the Tennessee orange
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They are currently plus 100 to reach the elite
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eight I'm gonna take that all day That's even
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money It's not gonna be a walk, you know to get
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there. There's gonna be some battle but Plus
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one haven't hundred even money. You can't really
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get any better than that. So give me Tennessee
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to reach the elite eight Also have Texas Tech
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to reach the elite eight at plus 135 Good team
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as I've seen now we get into the really Exciting
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ones that I'm excited to talk about Vanderbilt
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to reach the sweet 16 plus 700 They give off
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the same vibe as NC State did last year for me
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to reach the elite eight They have faced 11 opponents
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in the top 25 this year going five and six in
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those 11 matchups They have been grinded They
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do not let off the gas easy. They do not give
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up The thing is though is that they're gonna
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have to get by Bama in the second round To get
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there, but this is March. This is madness This
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is what it's all about a 10 upsetting a 2 isn't
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anything new, you know, it's happened before
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and It's gonna happen again This will probably
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be a half unit play just to play it safe, but
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I do really like Vanderbilt to reach the Sweet
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16. Chris, do you want to trade off? Do you want
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to go? Yeah, just want to quick on the Vanderbilt
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one. Yeah, I forgot they would have to play.
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When you said Vanderbilt Sweet 16, I was like,
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oh, because I do like them in the first round
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against St. Mary's, mainly because St. Mary's
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is the ultimate fraud every single year. I was
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like, oh, Vanity Sweet 16 is like, this could
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be interesting. Who do they play in this? I was
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trying to find the bracket. I was like, who do
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they play in the second round? Alabama. Which
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they could beat, they could beat Alabama because
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Grant Nelson can't play. I mean, Alabama is still
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very good. Don't get me wrong, but they are definitely
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more vulnerable. So I don't hate that. Especially
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what number did you get it at? 700. Don't hate
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that at all. Especially half unit play. Speaking
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of 700. I have I guess you'd call it a dark I
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mean seven plus seven hundreds of Dark Horse
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Dark Horse team to get to the Final Four the
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Maryland Terrapins I I don't even have to go
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now because I got Maryland to reach Final Four
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two perfect I Love this team every time I watch
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them. I I love them even more they ended the
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season just red hot. They lost in the big 10
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semi -finals on just a heartbreaking buzzer beater
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to Michigan who went on to win the tournament.
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So something I guess, but they're just such a
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good basketball team. They got two bigs down
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low who, if they do have to play Florida, which
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they probably will to get to the final four,
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then they can contend with Florida's bigs. Obviously
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Florida's guys are both like seven feet tall.
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Maryland's aren't that big, but they play physical.
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They play They play bigger than they are if that
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makes sense and it's kind of a cliche, but I
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just really like this Maryland team I think they
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played Grand Canyon in the first round. I think
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they're gonna beat the shit out of them I don't
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think Grand Canyon is very good at all I'm trying
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to remember who they play in the second round.
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I wish I had the bracket earlier now I can't
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I Had it saved on my phone now. It's gone. It
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would either be Memphis or Colorado State. Oh,
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well Not to give anything away about it. I do
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kind of like Colorado State in that first matchup
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So I think Maryland can beat either of those
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teams, if we're being honest. So yeah, Maryland
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Final Four, I really liked it. It's one of my
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favorite bets. I just, I love them so much. And
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I know everyone is just saying it's going to
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be a chalk tournament. It's like just ones and
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twos getting by, but that's boring. Like who
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likes that? And also I believe St. John's is
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the two in their region. Is that correct before
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I? Yeah, they play Omaha. Okay. But St. John's
9:27
is the two in that region? Yes. Okay. The Johnnys
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are, I love them. I love Rick Pitino. They're
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an incredibly fun basketball team to watch if
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you're just a defensive sicko like me. They're
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very vulnerable. They sometimes will go, like
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they can't hit a shot sometimes. So if Maryland
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can get their offense rolling, they can beat
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St. John's. I think they could beat Florida because
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Florida is the hottest team in the country right
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now. their coach has never coached in the NCAA
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tournament before. And that has a lot to do with
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it. So I think if Maryland can get hot, I think
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they can make the Final Four. That's my favorite
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future, just because I love this team at plus
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700. I got it at 750. I haven't placed it yet.
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I placed it a couple days ago. Uh, you, you had
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another one. Yes. I only have one more. I don't
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know how many you have Sean, but, um, I'm done.
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Mine's just, uh, okay. Mine's just the, uh, I'm
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on the, I mentioned it last, last week. I took
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it. It's the Houston Cougars to win the, to win
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the NCAA championship for the first time. And
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I don't remember either ever or a long ass time.
10:45
They have been so close so many years with Kelvin
10:47
Sampson. I think this is the year they finally
10:49
get it done. I mean, there's not really, they're
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the same team every year. Great defense, very
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efficient offense. That's why everyone, they're
10:59
like an annihilated darling every single year.
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And then they get so far and then lose in like
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the final four or lead eight. I think this is
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the year they finally get it done. It's more
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of just a vibes play. Like they got these teams,
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a lot of these teams, like they got to get it
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done eventually. Like you get there so many times.
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Statistically, it has to break your way at some
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point. And I think this year, Houston finally
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gets it done. I got them at plus 750. I checked
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it as we were about to talk about it. That's
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what I was doing. They're down to plus 600 now.
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So I got a good number on it. I like it. But
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I still like it at 600. Definitely worth it.
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Throwing a half uni on. Absolutely. Do you remember
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your final four bracket? Because we could just
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go over who we think. Yeah, it's in the final
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four actually Well, do you have your bracket?
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Yeah What is what is your final four will all
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right, it's gonna look pretty silly But all right
12:08
It's Iowa State Yukon because I mean The very
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little things that I know about college basketball
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is some weird shit happens, but also some regular
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shit happens. And the regular shit is just UConn
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coming in and winning their matchup in the Final
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Four to go to the championship game. And Iowa
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State, I don't know, they seem pretty fun. Didn't
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look up anything about them. But Yukon, definitely
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a wagon. I mean, I can't remember the last time
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they weren't a wagon, anyway. And on the other
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side, BYU and Houston. And then I have Houston
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making it to the championship game and then winning
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it all. So when Chris did say he had Houston
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to take it all, I was like, hey, I picked him
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in my bracket, yeah. So you have BYU beating
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Duke in the Elite Eight? Let's see I Believe
13:18
you would have to yeah or Oregon or or yeah unless
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you have deep losing before that BYU winning
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against, Arizona. Oh That's a spicy meatball,
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I don't know anything It's just interesting I
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you know what? Let's see so I had Mean I'm trying
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not to fucking go through this whole ass thing
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But I had Duke beating Mississippi State in the
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second round and then Arizona beating Liberty
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in the second round Oh, I had liberty over Oregon.
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Wow. It's a it's a five and a 12. No, I hate
14:01
it What does that what does that mean to you?
14:04
Isn't it like the five and the 12 spot like?
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historically historically it's like usually ripe
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for an upset but it's last few years that trends
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kind of cool down but it is still like you usually
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get at least one a tournament yeah well i picked
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liberty obviously this shit isn't going to happen
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and then arizona uh beating acrin and then arizona
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beating liberty and then arizona beating duke
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and then arizona losing to byu Okay, don't hate.
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I would like to pull up. I don't hate BYU final
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four. If I'm being perfectly honest, their offense
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is electric. Like if they, they're one of those
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teams, like if they get hot, like look out. So
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I don't know what the odds are on that right
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now. Trying to pull it up, but in a, in a very
14:58
little research I did BYU is plus 1500 to get
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to the final four. I I don't hate that. I don't
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know if I'm gonna play it, but I I definitely
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don't hate it What are they to make the elite
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eight? Elite eight they are that might be better.
15:17
They're plus 425 Hey, this is on DraftKings there
15:22
could be a better number out there. I don't know,
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but there's what I got in front of me It's not
15:27
too bad Not too bad. I really don't have another
15:31
one. We'll see. We're not gonna get too crazy
15:34
with it Not tonight. Oh, yeah My final four is
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pretty boring, you know, it's it's all ones in
15:42
Maryland but you know, I I do think that like
15:45
this tournament will be like ones and twos with
15:48
like a Four or five or maybe even a six like
15:52
sprinkled into the final four so I've got Auburn
15:57
Maryland Duke Houston and then the final Auburn
16:00
Duke, which is really and really like Don't even
16:05
know the word for it basic basic chalk. Yeah,
16:10
but it is pretty likely also, I mean these are
16:17
But everything I've seen about Duke like this
16:20
teams on another planet So I'm not gonna count
16:24
them out. I do have them winning the whole thing
16:27
But yeah Chris you got your final four pulled
16:32
it. Yeah, I got it is Michigan State, Maryland,
16:36
Duke and Houston. Michigan State and Houston
16:40
in the championship with Houston winning, obviously.
16:45
Really like Michigan State. They are, Tomezo
16:47
is a great coach. I think he's not getting any
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younger. Not saying he's going to retire anytime
16:53
soon, but he's getting up there. He needs one
16:56
more deep tournament run. And I think he gets
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it this year. This team is just one of the best
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all -around teams he's had in a long time. Very
17:05
Well rounded offense couple like Jayden Akins
17:08
is obviously their guy, but anybody can really
17:11
have a big night Defensively there. I mean, it's
17:14
a Tom is a team. They're always incredible. I
17:17
really like I think they can go far Not not in
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2016. They weren't yeah. No, no, no, they did
17:23
not They did not go very far at all No, they
17:25
didn't they didn't even lead for a second in
17:27
the tournament. Shout out the Blue Raiders I
17:30
saw that was like six years ago the other day
17:33
I think it was six years ago yesterday or nine
17:35
years ago, wasn't it? Was it nine? Well, it's
17:38
twenty twenty five. Oh, yep. Twenty sixteen.
17:41
Yep. Nine years ago. I can do math. Yeah, that
17:45
that one hit. I saw nine. Oh, yeah. Yeah, I was
17:52
just a wee lad. I was a wee sophomore. But yeah,
18:00
and then obviously Maryland and then Duke and
18:02
Houston. Do is on another planet. They're playing
18:06
their game. They're the best. Cuba flag injury
18:09
officers come to keep an eye on. I think you'll
18:11
be fine. But he in terms of re injury, you never
18:15
know. Obviously not wishing that up on anyone,
18:17
especially someone as great as him. Definitely.
18:21
They just haven't played anyone is the only thing
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the ACC is dog shit this season. They played
18:28
one good team in Clemson in. the entire ACC play
18:32
and they lost. So it's like. It's like they are
18:38
very, very, very good. Do not get me wrong, they're
18:40
an incredible basketball team, but they are also
18:42
untested. So if they get in like a close game
18:45
with an actually good basketball team, I wonder
18:48
how they're going to respond. That's the only
18:51
obviously haven't gone to the final four, so
18:53
I think they're going to do pretty well, but.
18:57
That's my only pause on them. I'm looking up
19:02
Duke's like They've only played five top 25 teams
19:07
this year pretty nice and one of those was Kansas
19:11
in the Non -con like in November wasn't it? I'm
19:17
just looking at like the ESPN bracket thing.
19:19
Oh, it doesn't show you the schedule. It just
19:21
shows you the record Yeah, sorry. But the time
19:25
Kansas was ranked and Kansas has kind of been
19:27
very this season. So that's a loss that did not
19:32
age well. But they are very good. Like on paper,
19:36
they're incredible. But I just wonder how they'll
19:39
do when they get punched in the face, because
19:41
they've been punched in the face like three times
19:44
all season. Yeah. There's games going on right
19:50
now, right? American and Mount St. Mary's is
19:56
being played right now in the first four It was
19:58
about you. The Mount was up by 10 and a half
20:02
And they're about 11 right now. Oh, oh, then
20:05
you're ahead. Oh, they're about I'm sorry They're
20:07
about 11. Damn. Yeah, I got American minus two
20:10
and a half. So that's a lot of ball left not
20:13
looking good. Yeah, I guess anyway, so I do have
20:18
a little bit of a conspiracy theory slash situation
20:25
in my head that could be pretty entertaining
20:28
to watch when it comes to this. Chris, what just
20:33
give me like a 30 second rundown on Auburn. I
20:38
mean, they are the number one overall seed they've
20:40
played the toughest schedule in the country and
20:43
they did pretty damn well. They're just They
20:46
haven't been playing well lately. They lost three
20:48
of their last four, I think, including the two,
20:51
uh, the balls, but, um, not a big deal, but I
20:55
just, I mean, they are, they are a very, very
20:57
good basketball team. Obviously they're number
20:59
one overall seed, but I just, it's kind of like
21:03
a Duke. It's like, they're going to skate through
21:05
the first few rounds. No problem. But when they
21:08
have to play another elite team, which they have
21:10
not, they've lost to Alabama, they lost to Tennessee,
21:12
they lost to. Someone else shit someone else
21:18
towards the end of the regular season. It was
21:19
very good. So it's like Do they will they get
21:24
back to just playing fuck you basketball? Or
21:27
will they just skate through and then when they
21:28
have to play another really good team? Well,
21:29
they kind of fold like they have been All right
21:33
Here's a theory. Okay, there's a situation so
21:37
first Where where's that side of the the south?
21:41
Where's that played? First two weekends are in
21:47
Lexington. No, because we're in Lexington. Where
21:51
the fuck are they playing? They're in Lexington.
21:54
Okay, then in Lexington. Setting you up. Oh,
21:57
okay. Lexington, and then the next two are in
22:00
Atlanta? Somewhere in the south. That part doesn't
22:05
matter. Okay. Anyway, here we are. Round one,
22:11
Auburn beats Alabama State. Obviously, obviously,
22:15
obviously. Anything could happen. 32 point favorite.
22:25
Louisville beats Creighton. Yes, then Auburn.
22:31
Plays Louisville. In Kentucky. It's going to
22:37
be a home game. Yeah, or Louisville. That to
22:41
me sounds like a recipe for you know, depending
22:45
on way the way that you look at it either success
22:48
or a tremendous disaster if you if you support
22:53
Auburn, I Don't know. That's my hunch. I don't
22:57
that's my one guided That's the one knowledge.
23:00
I have with this. That's the only thing I have
23:04
Well, thanks for bringing this one nugget to
23:06
the table. I don't hate that. I mean Yeah, Louisville
23:10
is a very good team and it will be a, at least
23:13
probably 70 30 split. Uh, so yeah, I don't, I
23:17
don't hate it. Yeah. I don't know. There's something,
23:21
something to think about when it, if that happened,
23:23
I wouldn't be like, Oh my God, how could this
23:26
be? But it would be an, it would obviously be
23:29
a big upset. That'd be pretty awesome. It would
23:32
be cool. Well, entertaining depending on the
23:35
way you bet it. Yeah. I feel like I have to bet
23:38
Louisville now that we're talking about it. Yeah,
23:43
who's to say? Anyway, that's all I got for things
23:50
I think could possibly happen. I don't know.
23:54
Do we want to move to picks? Well, yeah, you
23:57
talked about the the first game in the in the
24:00
tournament, Louisville, Louisville, Creighton.
24:03
We could just get into it. I'm pretty torn on
24:06
this to be honest. I don't have a pick for it
24:09
eight and a nine I Don't really know I want to
24:15
lean Louisville But I'm Chris. Do you have a
24:19
pick for it? I'm on Louisville Okay, just money
24:23
or minus two and a half I think they're better
24:29
Creighton has They ran through the Big East but
24:33
in the non con they were shaky. So I'm wondering
24:36
if like they I haven't done a huge deep dive
24:40
on Creighton if I'm being perfectly honest, I
24:42
know like the the basic bullet points of the
24:44
team, but Louisville I think is under seeded
24:47
then to get an eight is surprising. I thought
24:49
they'd be closer to a six They just they played
24:54
very well in the conference tournament. I Think
24:57
they're better basketball team. So I think it
24:59
went by at least three points, especially like
25:01
we've talked about There it's a home game pretty
25:04
much especially with a team from Nebraska. So
25:07
I I like Louisville nice two and a half Okay,
25:14
cool cool What game is next Oh Oh, is it Wisconsin?
25:22
No, no, that's the High Point Purdue. It's High
25:26
Point Purdue. OK, yes, I want to talk about this
25:29
game. Yes, let us. I don't have a pick for it.
25:33
I want to be influenced into taking High Point,
25:38
but. I'm doing it. I know that it might not be
25:43
a great decision, but this everything I've seen
25:47
is like this is the upset. Like this is this
25:51
is going to be the first upset of the tournament
25:54
I'm doing it. Yeah. Yeah, I'm I'm on high point
25:58
plus seven and a half and I sprinkled the money
26:01
line up plus to a I Love I don't hate that. I
26:06
honestly think that one this this isn't just
26:08
like oh, I'm gonna take a stab at a Cinderella
26:10
I genuinely think they will win this game Is
26:14
this a vibes play or it's what vibes and like
26:19
numbers back it up. High point has, I know that
26:21
like, I think we touched on this last week. They
26:23
play in like, like, let's face it, chicken shit
26:26
conference. Um, but they do average 80 points
26:29
a game. They're second or where I have the number
26:32
they are. Um, yeah. Second in the country and
26:36
offensive efficiency. They're just a very, very
26:39
good offensive or basketball team. Homestead
26:41
football and Purdue on they are. Their offense
26:48
or their defense sucks lately. They're averaging
26:50
they're allowing 80 points a game of their last
26:52
nine They just limped the end of the regular
26:56
season. I There I think they're done They have
27:01
three guys on offense who can score outside of
27:04
them. Not a whole lot And also Purdue has I know
27:09
they went to the national championship last year
27:11
They have a history of getting booted by double
27:14
-digit seeds obviously we know two years ago
27:18
lost to FDU as one versus 16. Hold on, where
27:24
is it? 2022 lost in the Sweet 16 to St. Pete,
27:30
who was a 15. 2020, 2021 lost to North Texas
27:36
in the first round. 2016 lost to Little Rock
27:40
in the first round. So. This team under Matt
27:45
painter has been picked off by Far inferior competition
27:49
multiple times and I don't think high point is
27:51
that inferior. I think they're very good team
27:54
So I I like high point. I like plus seven half.
27:58
I like the over I think it's like 153 maybe it
28:01
might be higher than that. Honestly, and I sprinkled
28:05
money line plus 280 Okay, that's it's my favorite
28:11
upset like That's a guy like that. Yeah Are you
28:16
taking a full unit money line? Well, no, I'm
28:19
going half just because I already have a foil
28:21
full unit on the spread. So Okay I'll probably
28:27
do it Chris does with full on spread half on
28:32
money That's exciting. I hope you're right. I
28:38
think everyone's on it, which makes me a little
28:40
bit nervous though You know what I mean? Um,
28:42
like it seems like everybody knows that this
28:45
upset is already going to happen And that's kind
28:48
of like not the point of like Madness, you know,
28:52
yeah. Well it's madness but it makes but it but
28:56
it makes sense why it's still madness like because
29:01
this is a Dogshit division school that's getting
29:06
in at the 13 I don't know, man. It is not as
29:14
public. It has become more public as the days
29:16
have gone on. You can check the receipts. Go
29:19
back in our group chat. As soon as High Point
29:22
won the conference championship, I said, whoever
29:25
they're playing, I've taken the money line. And
29:27
then when it came out, that was Purdue, who is
29:30
famous for choking. Oh, yes. Also, I hate them.
29:36
I've been all it has become kind of like the
29:38
sexy pic but the Nash it's more like the internet
29:42
sexy pic which is yeah not doesn't mean anything
29:46
but it's not like the net like when the bracket
29:48
came out you had the national media picking like
29:50
a few like the we'll get into it but like a few
29:54
like oh 12 and 5 like just like the or like Grand
29:57
Canyon who did it last year is like just the
30:00
teams that they kind of they don't watch but
30:01
they know high point was kind of like the Trent
30:05
like the internet Trinity underdog and now it's
30:07
getting more mainstream, which I hate but I'm
30:11
still I I'm riding with it. I think they're just
30:13
I think though I think they'll beat him All right.
30:16
Well, all right with the boys. Let's go because
30:19
I didn't I didn't have a point I didn't have
30:20
a pick I want to discuss it. So I'm glad we talked
30:24
about it and I knew this is gonna wait this I
30:26
knew that this was gonna be the way it swung
30:28
but Glad we talked about it. I have a little
30:32
more confidence now, but Yeah Yolo. Oh, yeah.
30:37
Yeah, I guess yeah Yo, all right 2011 Brought
30:44
me back Once next game is Montana, Wisconsin,
30:48
right? I Believe so. I know you kind of skipped
30:52
over No, we didn't never I was gonna say I think
30:55
I don't think we just skipped over anything I'm
30:57
gonna take Wisconsin minus 16 and a half. Oh,
31:00
okay Yeah I believe there is a trend for this
31:05
game. I should have written it down. But it was
31:08
a well. Well, you're looking that up. I'm just
31:12
I have over 151 and a half. These teams just
31:16
they run and they chuck threes. This both teams
31:22
were probably going to score in the 80s if the
31:25
shots fall, obviously, but I mean. Montana's
31:30
like their white hot Wisconsin has been hot for
31:33
a long time. I like both offenses, so I'm taking
31:35
the other. I was intrigued by Montana plus 17
31:39
and a half, just because when you're a three
31:42
point shooting team, you always have the shooter's
31:44
chance, but didn't love it. And now I'm glad
31:47
I didn't take it because Sean has a trend, which
31:49
he has pulled up now. Well, I took this. It's
31:54
not just one trend. There are six. OK. Oh. But
31:58
five of them have their last 10 are at least
32:04
70 point 70 percent success rate. And they are
32:11
all in favor of Wisconsin minus 17. Oh, I don't
32:14
hate that. I don't want to double. I don't want
32:18
to be low enough on the. doubled up on two of
32:22
the first three games. No, I got you. Yeah, but
32:26
recipe for disaster. Well, I will say that with
32:31
the new trend center part being like the prompt
32:36
is it's part of March Madness, part of the tournament.
32:40
There's not a ton of data, you know. Like, some
32:44
of these are 22, 10, and 1. 15 and 5. Like, these
32:48
are, like, as far back as these records go. But
32:52
these are still numbies. And they still have
32:54
great success rates. And they still prove these
33:00
points. So, I'm not gonna read them all off.
33:03
You can use the code TFTM to get 15 % off at
33:07
Trend Center. There's literally no better time
33:10
than right now to get Trend Center. So that's
33:15
just a fact. That's absolutely a fact. I mean,
33:18
this and you get this and then baseball's right
33:21
next week. Exactly. Yep. Yeah. So, yeah. Anyway,
33:27
yeah, that was that was my main point of picking
33:30
Wisconsin on a 16 and a half. Trent Center has
33:32
it set at 17. And I was like, OK, well, that's
33:36
basically 16 and a half without the push. So
33:39
give me that, please. Mm hmm. Yes. I see. I'm
33:47
taking Montana Moneyline. Wow. Okay. Half unit.
33:56
What is it? That is probably what? Plus 1050.
34:00
Oh shit. That's... Will is... Will is just...
34:08
Swinging for the fence. I respect it. I do respect
34:11
it. You respect it. I mean Can you can you walk
34:16
us through that that process your thought process
34:20
or it's quite simple? Okay So I'm not doubting
34:25
you just so you know you can doubt me. It's okay.
34:27
Well. Yeah, I it's your pick It's it's what I
34:30
can't judge you on your pick, but you can walk
34:34
me through your process alright, so this is my
34:36
process so For since I don't really know lot
34:44
or very little about college basketball this
34:50
might seem as the the cowards way out but for
34:55
the first two rounds at least I'm putting a half
34:59
unit on all the underdog money lines I'm doing
35:02
it all I'm doing them all I don't care I okay
35:07
at college basketball I'm throwing it all to
35:12
the wind Don't hate that. I respect you Yeah,
35:17
I respect you Because I did see a thing that
35:21
if you bet all the underdogs Was it last year?
35:26
Like you'd be up like ten units or something
35:28
if you put a hundred dollars on every underdog
35:31
money line part Under yeah, she's every underdog
35:34
money line the entire tournament. You'd be at
35:36
$500. Yeah, or 460 something but essentially
35:41
fire and You know, one of these is going to win.
35:45
And it's not going to mean a damn thing that
35:47
you lost 16 or 15 others. Yeah. Yeah, no, I was
35:53
there. Yeah, the math is there. I think research
35:57
on this for the past couple of years and. Essentially,
36:01
it's kind of like for the past, like three or
36:04
four years, it's been there's the. There's the
36:09
upsets in the first round. And recently, there's
36:12
been a lot of upsets. And then as the tournament
36:15
goes on, it's like, all right, well, here's where
36:16
the big dogs come to play that are still in it.
36:19
And then they you know, it becomes like actually
36:22
like the best of the best. But that first and
36:27
second round, dude, you can you're losing more
36:32
taking the underdogs in the later rounds than
36:36
if you don't do them in the first and second
36:37
round. No, that's that's very valid point. You're
36:43
you're correct. Yeah, so that is Will Palmer
36:46
system for March Madness this year I respect
36:51
the hell out of this because it's not about You
36:55
just being right about gambling But you're doing
37:01
you're you're trying to make money and I respect
37:04
it Yeah, I really I really do respect this system.
37:08
He does have a system So but I will be interested
37:12
to see what your system is, you know when we
37:15
get to the sweet 16 elite 8 kind of Of course
37:20
if it works If it works like you guys keep riding
37:24
There is a part 2 to the system. Oh, okay. Well
37:28
then so the part 2 to the system is Maybe or
37:34
maybe not do it for the sweet 16 or elite 8 because
37:38
that's where the wins really start to not happen
37:42
as much. And like, I'm looking at all these these
37:48
spreadsheets of when all these when all you know,
37:52
like five games in the on Thursday, and then
37:55
six games on on on Friday, and then I'm up this
37:59
much. And then, you know, the second round, same
38:04
thing. goes up again but then it starts steadily
38:07
declining sort of each each round and so i'm
38:12
like all right how do i how do i navigate this
38:15
so the part two to my system is use this system
38:19
uh for the first two rounds watch the games and
38:24
then make informed decisions on gambling moving
38:27
forward um because will palmer loves a tournament
38:32
if will palmer can watch a tournament. He can
38:35
figure out who's going to win. He can figure
38:37
it out. No quash. So I'm using the first two
38:43
rounds. I mean, there's so many games to collect
38:47
data on all of these teams. And then moving forward,
38:52
all of them will all of my my picks remaining
38:55
will be informed decisions. And I think that's
38:58
a I think that's a decent way to like not Be
39:04
irresponsible. That's like, that might be one
39:08
of the most like coherent strategies either of
39:11
us or any of us have ever had. Hey, you know,
39:17
a broken clock is right twice a day. It's true.
39:20
I mean, if you can hit two plus a thousands,
39:22
like you're, you're good dude. S I U Edwardsville,
39:29
bro. Okay, yeah 16 and 1 yeah That's happened
39:36
twice so I mean I hit that you better be happy
39:39
for me. Oh, I will without a question No, yeah,
39:42
fuck my future like my boys cash in a plus thousand
39:46
ticket on a 16 to 1 or 16 versus one Yeah, I'll
39:50
be happy I'm betting on Wolford. Well, okay,
39:54
I'll be very upset at that. I know I said Wofford
39:57
so They they are a dog like I mean they're they're
40:04
they're the terriers they're terriers So they
40:06
are like they're literally dogs. They're literally
40:10
definitely taking Nebraska, Omaha Hell yeah,
40:15
Johnny's. Alright, let's get back to yeah, I
40:17
love Nebraska Shawn what up you got anything
40:21
else for tomorrow? Yeah, well, okay Thursday.
40:25
Yeah, we're on this, you know Dog train I guess
40:30
but I want to run this by you will Since you
40:33
have this system All right Since a trend center
40:39
has come out with their verified Trends I guess
40:45
Which are their highest trends and they have
40:49
one active for tomorrow And it is it is Clemson
40:55
minus seven and a half against Mc... McNeese.
41:00
McNeese. McNeese. Excuse me. McNeese. Will you
41:05
still be taking... McNeese. Moneyline? Yeah.
41:12
It's a verified 100 % trend. One thing about...
41:20
Listen, there's a system. And the only way that
41:24
the system fails is if you don't... follow through.
41:29
Okay, I respect that. I will say only thing about
41:34
that one. McNeese is now step a coach is leaving
41:39
for NC State after the tournament. Don't know
41:44
if that really the line has not really I saw
41:46
it moved to like a point towards Clemson, but
41:48
it's moved right back to seven and a half. So
41:50
I don't know if that really affects anything.
41:53
Obviously, you have to vet McNeese Moneyline
41:54
like if you stray from this like what you just
41:57
say if you stray from the system I lose all respect
41:59
for you. So Sure, but and you know what I was
42:03
it probably gonna lose because it's a trend center
42:05
pick, but you know what? But you know what? Others
42:10
are going to win mine that was it Montana State.
42:14
They're gonna win Montana Montana. They're gonna
42:16
win if you Don't if this is the one where you
42:20
don't and it's like, oh well says trendcenter
42:22
says and for like, I mean it can McNeese can
42:26
still win and You didn't bet it. I mean you You'll
42:30
never go awful. Yeah, you'll never emotionally
42:32
recover from that. Sure. Yeah, okay. Okay. I'm
42:35
just I'm just asking it is decided Decide it
42:40
is decided Got you. Okay. Well, I'm I'm taking
42:46
Clemson minus seven and a half cuz that's Too
42:49
good to pass up. I don't hate that. I might I
42:51
might hop on it more power to you I'm just here
42:57
to watch some some good basketball. I don't know.
42:59
I don't know about y 'all. No, I mean I got you
43:00
too, but It isn't isn't what we want. It's yeah,
43:04
no upsets For sure madness. Yeah, it's madness
43:08
madness That's the same time if I can Oh, that'd
43:13
be really cool. Yeah, we're going to win some
43:15
money on top of a watching ball for. Yeah, that's
43:18
like the whole point of sports. Yeah. So we get
43:27
that sometimes. Yeah, that's the whole point.
43:30
I never forget that. Oh, yeah. I don't know about
43:32
y 'all, but you're supposed to win these money
43:36
out of this. Yeah, I forget that sometimes. But
43:39
it is, it's one of the few times that you like
43:43
being stressed out. It's a different, a sweat
43:47
is a different feeling than just like normal
43:50
life stress. Yeah, because I mean, as long as
43:55
you don't have the fucking mortgage on it, you're
43:58
gonna be okay. You're gonna be fine. We've lost
44:01
bets before. You can't take it with you, you
44:04
know? Yeah. Okay, but... I do want to move on
44:07
to yes. Yeah, we can move on. Um, I did find
44:10
this trend, uh six versus 11 Unders talk to me.
44:16
Oh unders. Oh, yes. I saw that too. Yeah, 26
44:20
nine and one Since 2014 So I will be taking all
44:25
four Unders in six v11s, which is vcu byu Under
44:34
146 and a half Drake Mizzou under 132 and a half
44:41
North Carolina Ole Miss under 155 and a half
44:47
and Texas hasn't been decided yet Texas Xavier
44:53
played it yeah, okay, and like an hour Texas
44:57
Xavier, Illinois under 156 and a half Okay, I
45:02
see I see your face, but this is the system.
45:05
No, and that's what I was going to say. This
45:07
is the system. If you're going to go for it,
45:10
you got to go all in. BYU, Missouri, Illinois.
45:16
Three amazing offices is my only pot in North
45:19
Carolina as well, but that total is extremely
45:21
high, so that could be high scoring game and
45:23
still go under. Sure. But these teams are hungry
45:25
coming in. I think defense. Drake I Drake is
45:30
one of the best defensive teams in the country
45:31
So I am officially adding Drake Mizzou under
45:34
133 and a half on draft games to my card Okay
45:39
May not have placed it yet, but I haven't placed
45:44
it yet either, but I'm adding it Cool. I'm just
45:47
writing it down and then I will place it later
45:49
If we're gonna keep talking about dogs, yeah
45:56
Keep dogs. Are you talking Yale? Talking Yale.
45:59
If you're not talking Yale, I don't want to hear
46:01
it. Talking Yale plus seven and a half. I also
46:04
like a Moneyline. Where is it? I just had it.
46:06
Me too. Yes, sir. Where is it? I also like Yale.
46:13
Plus 270. Texas A &M is not a very good basketball
46:18
team. They've had their moments. I think they
46:23
lost three last four. to close out the season.
46:26
They're a very physical team. They're just, they
46:31
usually win games because they're just going
46:32
to be like, you know what? We might not be the
46:34
better team, but we're going to beat the shit
46:35
out of you. Yale is a very physical team as well.
46:38
They got this one guy, I forget his name. I've
46:41
watched him on Sunday. Shit, what is his name?
46:44
I don't remember. He's like six, seven, two 50.
46:47
He's built like a brick shit house. And they
46:50
would talk about how he is like a wrestler in
46:52
high school. Like this guy is amazing. So they're
46:55
knocking out physical Yale. I think Yale is also
46:58
a better team. I like him plus seven and a half.
47:00
I like a money line, if I'm being perfectly honest.
47:03
I got him seven and a half. I also got him seven
47:06
and a half and I'm going to sprinkle the money
47:07
line plus 270. Hey, we'll see. Okay, we'll see.
47:14
What's up? All of y 'all are done talking about
47:16
Yale. Did I hear something that Texas Tech is
47:22
kind of banged up? Are you talking about Iowa
47:29
State? They're pretty banged up. Texas Tech,
47:31
I mean, they could kind of get lost in the information
47:35
a lot, but Texas Tech is really good basketball
47:37
team. Did you get some breaking news or something?
47:40
Yeah, what brought this random Texas Tech question?
47:47
I did a little research yesterday and I think
47:51
I might have heard that. Maybe. I don't know.
47:54
I was trying to confirm it if you heard anything,
47:57
but if not, whatever. I'm taking NC Williamton.
48:04
UNCW. I really respect your system. But hearing
48:16
those words out of your mouth is a bit ridiculous.
48:18
I will have to say that We can't we can't deny
48:21
it. We can't deny it Well, we'll see who's a
48:25
do you know what I'm talking to you do you agree
48:27
a little bit like I mean what I'm saying? They're
48:33
one of the teams in this tournament and I think
48:36
UNC dub kind of sucks Well, we'll just have to
48:41
see again if you stray from this system, I'm
48:44
like After especially how much we've talked about
48:47
it. I don't think I can look you in the eye again.
48:49
So yeah, you have like I Don't care how much
48:53
you're putting on I'm not gonna unit shame because
48:55
that's ridiculous. I'm doing half unit on all.
48:57
Yeah Oh, yeah, you gotta put a half uni on Yeah,
49:01
all you have to all of them But first two rounds
49:05
at least and then we'll see how it goes. Yeah,
49:07
let's see how it goes Alright, I mean yes, but
49:11
In a vacuum. Yeah, it's Texas Tech is a much
49:14
better team, but I Mean shit, you know like hey,
49:19
it's madness if I if we if we fire up the old
49:24
Three for the money machine next weekend. We're
49:27
sitting here talking about you UNC dub is going
49:28
to the sweet 16 That wouldn't be like the most
49:32
shocking thing Yeah, that wouldn't be shocking.
49:36
I mean would be shocking, but it wouldn't be
49:38
like my god nothing like this has ever happened
49:42
before oh Yeah, yeah for sure like it would be
49:45
surprising, but it would just be like there's
49:47
been madness. It's just madness Yeah, it's just
49:49
you it's your typical shocking madness. Not like
49:53
the oh my god like they Whatever you know if
49:59
do you beat yeah? Yeah, yeah, yeah after you
50:02
beat Purdue and then also went to the elite eight
50:03
They didn't but they would be like that would
50:06
be holy shit. Can you believe this happened?
50:09
But just no, I remember what it happened Yeah,
50:12
it was great. I believe I took FDU spread. I
50:15
didn't have anything on that game, but I was
50:17
very happy Anyway, let's go back to these games.
50:22
Sorry Anything else the boys are liking for Thursday?
50:29
Yes. All right. What what? Okay, let's rattle
50:33
some off real quick. I've got I've got two trends
50:36
to rattle off. All right and They're pretty good.
50:41
All right. First one. With a 90 % win rate in
50:45
its last 10 three game win streak, 84 % win rate
50:49
overall. Minus five to minus six and a half March
50:54
Madness. It's pretty self explanatory. If that
50:58
line falls between minus five to six and a half,
51:02
bet it. There are four games that line up with
51:05
this system. Gonzaga. Like it versus Georgia.
51:10
Taking Gonzaga minus six and a half. Kansas minus
51:14
Arkansas. Told you I'd be taking some of these
51:17
teams versus the SEC. Kansas versus our Kansas.
51:24
Thank you, Will. Missouri, Missouri. God damn
51:32
it. Fuck you. I can't believe we thought that.
51:35
You were. You were. You were. Missouri versus
51:46
Drake and UCLA versus Utah State. Now, I want
51:52
to jump into another trend from the Utah State
51:56
versus UCLA. The Mountain West Conference is
52:02
dog shit. Mm -hmm dog shit in the tournament
52:06
going to in 13 against the spread since 2018
52:11
That is abysmal that includes last night where
52:15
North Carolina beat San Diego State by 30 Correct
52:20
Do you know how many teams from the Mountain
52:25
West are in the tournament this year? No For
52:29
us any of state count. Yes for Four. Well, since
52:34
they're eliminated now, I didn't know. Yeah.
52:36
OK, it did count. But OK. Yes, four per the mountain
52:39
per Mountain West dot com. Seems like a reliable
52:45
source. Number 10, New Mexico, number 10, Utah
52:49
State and number 12, unfortunately, Colorado
52:53
State. Now. I do like Colorado State versus Memphis
53:00
on Friday. But we can get into that in a second.
53:04
But UCLA minus five and a half lines up with
53:08
two of these trends of between five and five
53:12
to six and a half. And also Mountain West is
53:15
dog shit. UCLA should be your whale of the week.
53:24
I don't know. It's madness. But go ahead, Chris.
53:30
Don't say I don't hate that because I mean UCLA
53:33
is very up and down this season I know my dad
53:37
is a very big UCLA basketball fan. So I get I
53:41
rate tech. Yeah, I get I rate really hex messages
53:44
from it. Yeah, we went to Bloomington, Indiana
53:48
to watch him play Illinois had no idea Yeah,
53:52
big UCLA basketball. I feel like I learn about
53:54
Mark every time you mention his name. He's a
53:58
human onion That being said, UCLA got dog walks
54:05
their last time out by Wisconsin. They set a
54:08
big 10 conference tournament record for most
54:11
threes hitting a game. So, Mick Cronin, I mean,
54:15
he's a very old school coach. He will motherfuck
54:18
you up and down. I think he's going to have these
54:20
guys ready to play against an inferior Utah State
54:24
team. Utah State I've seen out there too as a
54:28
trendy dog. Think I'm gonna go UCLA. I Think
54:31
you should go use I was on the fence. You've
54:34
convinced me. I'm adding to my card I'm writing
54:35
it down right now. Very good now We can move
54:39
on into Friday because I do want to talk about
54:42
this Colorado State Memphis game, but first What
54:45
is it Chris? I have one more for you got one
54:48
more that I really like and then we can move
54:50
on to Friday sure Michigan is going to beat the
54:54
living shit out of UC San Diego I'm a UCSD guy.
55:00
I ride them a lot when they're in conference
55:03
play They they are the trendy like the when the
55:08
bracket came in selection Sunday bracket came
55:10
out They asked like all the panelists like oh,
55:13
what's your gut upset pick? I think it two or
55:15
three of them at least said you see San Diego
55:17
will beat Michigan That ain't happening. You
55:21
see I did some research San Diego has not played
55:26
power conference team all season. That in itself
55:31
is alarming, but Michigan is, they've been up
55:35
and down the season, I'll grant you that, but
55:37
they are on fire right now. They have two seven
55:40
-footers who can play pretty much any position
55:42
on the court. That's insane. You're gonna go
55:46
from playing fucking mid -majors all season to
55:49
having to guard two seven -footers and one of
55:52
them can pretty much be a point guard? That's
55:54
insane. I think the more I think about it, I
55:57
sent this to our group chat the other day. The
56:00
more I think about it, I think Michigan could
56:02
win this game by 30. It's one of those, they're
56:07
just that much better. So Michigan minus two
56:11
and a half or two depending on, I think some
56:14
books have two right now. That's my favorite
56:18
play of the day tomorrow. Okay, I got my favorite
56:25
play of the day for tomorrow. Mine's UCLA. Yours
56:28
is Michigan. Will, what is your favorite underdog
56:32
for tomorrow? Real one, not fucking SIU. Like
56:36
a real one, yeah. Like a real one. One moment.
56:43
Let's see. I mean, high point. My favorite. Fair.
56:53
That's a pretty good one. I was gonna set the
56:54
tone for the day, if I'm being honest. That's
56:56
the second game. I don't like that. I wish that
56:59
was later in the day. Yeah. That's gonna give
57:04
off really bad vibes for like the rest of the
57:06
day. It could be somebody like 40. It could be
57:09
in rough shape. I've heard Missouri's ripe for
57:17
an upset, so... Drake? Yeah 220 Not bad. I feel
57:25
like I've just been going to the Drake well the
57:27
last two years and it has not gone well for me
57:30
I know that they're different team this year,
57:32
but it's madness. I know it's just I Big Drake
57:37
guy was I know them two years ago, but I just
57:40
There's only so many times that you can just
57:43
keep Betting on them and fit and They just keep
57:48
letting you down That like guys like all right.
57:51
I gotta get I'm not betting against him, but
57:52
I gotta get office Charlie I mean I've heard
57:57
Kansas it's been pretty underwhelming this year,
58:00
so Our Kansas is gonna be a great game to watch
58:04
Arkansas if Arkansas wins that sets up an elite
58:08
coaching matchup between John Calipari and Rick
58:10
Patino with lots of history between them well,
58:13
they're pretty old now, but 20 years ago, maybe
58:17
throw things at each other. Well, but you know,
58:21
um, uh, they're just two like big name coaches.
58:26
They have history. So I think the, if the basketball
58:30
gods have any justice, they will give us, I know
58:33
it goes against the trend center system and I
58:35
hate it, but I think we could get Arkansas, uh,
58:38
St. John's in the second round. Could be. I got
58:42
Arkansas plus five and a half. All right, give
58:45
us an official pick What's your official pick
58:49
of the day for tomorrow surefire picks for tomorrow?
58:54
Well, I can't do double unit I'm spreading myself
58:56
out. It's fine. Yeah, but it's give us a money
58:59
line Okay, okay Thank you. All right, let's get
59:07
into Friday. Oh Yeah, I don't have a whole lot
59:11
At least written down. I have a few that I like,
59:13
but I don't have anything that I've officially
59:15
taken because I want to see how tomorrow goes.
59:17
Well, I really just wanted to talk about this.
59:19
This Memphis, Colorado state because I love this
59:23
because I do love it, but it's also very strange
59:28
to me because Memphis is a five. Yes. OK, sorry.
59:36
But they are dogs. Colorado State has won 10
59:43
games. I think they've won 10 in a row and they
59:46
just pretty much molly walked their way through
59:48
the Mountain West Commerce Tournament. I took
59:52
Utah State against them in the semis. I think
59:56
Utah State was minus one and a half. That thing
59:58
never had a prayer. I think Colorado State won
1:00:00
by 20. They can't miss shots. They're amazing.
1:00:10
And Memphis might be without their point guard.
1:00:13
I don't think that's been officially announced
1:00:16
yet, but he seems to look like he hurt his foot
1:00:19
and or ankle pretty bad in the semifinal of the
1:00:23
American tournament. So we'll see. But healthy
1:00:27
or not, I'm taking Colorado State. Colorado State
1:00:31
won their conference. They won the Mountain West
1:00:35
tournament. Yeah. But they're a lower seed than
1:00:38
every other Mountain West team because they finished
1:00:42
the regular season like fourth I believe so it's
1:00:46
they're kind of just saying like okay You're
1:00:48
just you're hot right now, but you're not like
1:00:50
the better overall team Which and that's where
1:00:53
you can find value in these which I don't say
1:00:55
value in a team That's a favorite, but you can
1:00:58
find value in these teams like going forward
1:01:00
is They haven't lost since like January So, I'm
1:01:09
taking a car out of the state money line. Honestly,
1:01:11
I'm probably going to lock that in right now,
1:01:12
because it's for the first time I'm seeing it
1:01:14
at a decent price. Is it like $125? $125 on DraftKings
1:01:20
right now, which it has been like $130, $140,
1:01:22
so I'm just going to go and hop on. Yeah. I think
1:01:25
a lot of people are getting on it. I think so
1:01:28
too, but I also just don't like Memphis, don't
1:01:31
like Penny Hardaway. vibes slash also Colorado
1:01:38
State is hot. I'm going to say good because Mountain
1:01:41
West sucks in the tournament historically. Yeah.
1:01:47
But I mean, the outlier in that is San Diego
1:01:52
State, you know, in that trend with, you know,
1:01:55
played for a national championship, played for
1:01:57
a national championship. They're the outlier.
1:02:01
Yeah. They're the only. Mean it that trend goes
1:02:07
back to like 2018 That's the only team that's
1:02:11
done it twice. Yeah, so it's I Remember this
1:02:15
yeah doesn't I mean this was years ago. So whatever
1:02:18
but I remember Years ago. This was it was 2018
1:02:22
I was talking to my cousin. This was a couple
1:02:26
weeks before the tournament started my cousin
1:02:27
He was like so he was like a good like Dark Horse
1:02:30
see if he could knock off a couple teams go to
1:02:32
the Sweet 16. I was like, Colorado State, the
1:02:35
Mountain West. The Mountain West is loaded. This
1:02:37
team, like they can make some noise. Not only
1:02:40
did Colorado State lose by like 20 to Michigan
1:02:42
in the first round, every other Mountain West
1:02:45
team got bounced. That's what kind of started
1:02:54
like the, oh, the Mountain West, like you always
1:02:56
hear about it. Like, oh, the Mountain West, they
1:02:57
could do something and they always suck, except
1:03:00
for San Diego State. So I like Colorado State.
1:03:04
I think it's gonna be an outlier but The data
1:03:09
does not support it Yeah, I do have Memphis Moneyline
1:03:14
written down. I do not have it Placed yet I'm
1:03:19
taking it Okay, we know Is that even a plus sign
1:03:24
Memphis plus 105. Okay Wait, Memphis is plus
1:03:30
105 to win. Yeah. Yes, sir the Colorado State
1:03:35
is Plus 125 dollars minus 125. Oh, they're minus.
1:03:40
Yeah. Yes. Well, they had been minus like wait
1:03:43
Hold on Did I miss something? I thought they
1:03:48
had been favorites. I think of a different game.
1:03:50
I thought they've been I literally haven't pulled
1:03:52
up a right now. Okay, Memphis. Oh, I got you
1:03:55
my bad Did say that Colorado State was favorites
1:04:01
going into this which isn't just I did say that
1:04:05
still odd to me, but It also kind of feels like
1:04:09
bait because the one reason I like Michigan so
1:04:11
much is because it's two and a half. It feels
1:04:13
like They're factoring in the trend like the
1:04:17
trendy 12 for that but I can't This may not be
1:04:23
the smartest thing, but once I see you play like
1:04:26
a team who I don't really watch all that often,
1:04:27
if I watch them and they play very, very well,
1:04:30
I'm going to be like, this is the greatest team
1:04:32
I've ever seen. And that's how they're going
1:04:34
to play every single day. But long answer, I'm
1:04:40
on Colorado State. Very torn. Check the Twitter.
1:04:47
We'll be tweeting out our picks. That's so far
1:04:50
away from now. Like, Friday is an eternity away.
1:04:53
It is. We gotta get through so much tomorrow
1:04:58
to even get to Friday. I do love Robert Morris,
1:05:04
though. I'm sure you do. I think the only one
1:05:11
that I've been looking at besides the trends
1:05:16
that I've given out is... Bryant you Michigan
1:05:20
State over 52 and a half Like interesting I Don't
1:05:26
I haven't really done a deep dive into Fridays.
1:05:29
I'm being perfect I like I like Vanderbilt plus
1:05:31
foreign African Saint Mary's that's more just
1:05:33
anti st Mary's and anything But I like that and
1:05:36
then North Carolina minus one and a half. I'll
1:05:39
be whatever their spread is I'm taking it usually
1:05:41
the 11 that wins Or one of the 11s that win a
1:05:45
play -in game Refers for whatever you want to
1:05:48
call it goes on a run So and they beat the shit
1:05:51
out of San Diego State last night, so I'm taking
1:05:53
North Carolina Oh, I also will be taking on Friday,
1:05:57
Oregon minus six and a half Oregon has covered
1:06:01
seven straight first round games Dane Altman
1:06:03
is a very good coach in March. So yes, I will
1:06:05
be Oregon also. I don't think liberties. I just
1:06:08
don't think they're that good I Think there's
1:06:11
another one. I think it's Yukon that's covered
1:06:14
12 straight like in the in the tournament since
1:06:17
2022 or something yeah they haven't lost different
1:06:22
or failed to cover the spread or something different
1:06:25
team this year than those other two years but
1:06:28
oh i don't i don't hate against oklahoma who's
1:06:33
meh i kind of like that over what what is it
1:06:35
now it was kind of high where is it oh here's
1:06:44
Yeah, 147 and a half. I don't hate that. Uh,
1:06:47
Oklahoma. Pretty good offense, doesn't really
1:06:50
play the defense. Yukon's offense when they're
1:06:52
clicking can score. Kind of like that over. I
1:06:55
kind of, okay, I'm going to, I'm going to backpedal
1:06:58
a little bit. Um, I kind of like the over in
1:07:00
Colorado State Memphis. Uh, if I'm undecided.
1:07:05
Kind of like it just, uh, it's it to me, it's
1:07:09
kind of screams shoot out. Like it's just two
1:07:13
teams. Battling, you know It could I took the
1:07:18
only reason I'm not taking that as I take the
1:07:20
over in Colorado State Boise State in the Mountain
1:07:23
West Championship because I thought I was like
1:07:24
Oh Carl I'll say just makes all their shots.
1:07:26
What can you go wrong? They won but that over
1:07:28
wasn't close They barely broke 120 Jesus so I
1:07:33
was like shit. Maybe they played actually decent
1:07:36
defense and I but Yeah, I like Keep losing all
1:07:45
these games. I'm about to talk about Maryland
1:07:48
must in half against Grand Canyon. I think Grand
1:07:50
Canyon's Overrated and Maryland's really good
1:07:54
and Kentucky minus 11 half against Troy Troy
1:07:57
sucks You said one more time I was writing down
1:08:01
Maryland Kentucky minus 11 half against oh, I
1:08:03
got them already. Yeah choice terrible Yeah,
1:08:06
they're like they were just not Like they won
1:08:08
that they won the Sun Belt more power to you
1:08:11
Yeah, I had Kentucky minus 11 and a half written
1:08:15
down. I just didn't have anything to like back.
1:08:17
Yeah to because I was just like it's Kentucky
1:08:21
first round is You know, that's kind of once.
1:08:25
Yeah, that's pretty much all I really like for
1:08:27
tomorrow or Friday Maybe Lipscomb plus 14 and
1:08:34
a half against a banged up Iowa State Nashville
1:08:37
represent let Lipscomb shoots very well If they
1:08:42
can connect on some shots, they'll have a chance.
1:08:44
Yeah. I mean, that's pretty much the size of
1:08:47
my backyard, but I do like that. I like plus
1:08:51
800. Plus 850 on DraftKings. What'd you say?
1:08:56
Plus 850 on DraftKings. Well, I haven't put money
1:09:00
in the sportsbook yet, so. Oh, we might. What?
1:09:04
Time's a -ticking. Yeah, I guess. I guess. I'm
1:09:12
going to do it. As long as you get it in before
1:09:13
tip -off, it's fine. Yeah, I know. Before the
1:09:16
ball's tipped, it's fine. Ball don't lie. I don't
1:09:22
think that applies here. Oh, Florida Mets 28
1:09:28
.5 against Norfolk. They just played two different
1:09:31
sports. Or Norfolk Moneyline. I would love that.
1:09:38
I would love that. I would throw a parade in
1:09:41
the streets for my one bet. Well, yeah, that
1:09:44
and also Florida losing to a 16 is hilarious.
1:09:48
But well, I'm going to do it. OK. Well, I know
1:09:51
you're going to do it. Twenty five hundred. But
1:09:53
I'm taking twenty eight and a half. Right. Yeah,
1:10:00
that's pretty much all I've got. I mean, that's
1:10:02
kind of it. I guess that's kind of I'm trying
1:10:05
to go and over my card. I don't think really
1:10:08
left in the out by oh no no yeah by you minus
1:10:11
two against vcu i don't think the rams have the
1:10:13
offense to keep up other than that i think we
1:10:16
pretty much touched on them all yeah i mean i
1:10:19
mean we skipped you guys are clearly tired of
1:10:21
this well touch touched on the ones that i have
1:10:24
written down yeah i know we skipped a few but
1:10:26
like the auburn minus 31 africans excuse me alabama
1:10:31
state i don't that's ridiculous nobody's gonna
1:10:33
do that It's yeah, it's like Auburn ridiculous.
1:10:36
You can say nobody's gonna bet that side Auburn
1:10:39
once either way eat Nobody's gonna bet that side
1:10:42
either way. Yeah, it's you'd say like the argument
1:10:44
could be like Oh Auburn is tired of like losing
1:10:47
so they're gonna beat the shit out of a team
1:10:48
that they know they can Okay, they can do that
1:10:51
and still win by 29. So yeah, it's Nobody should
1:10:56
bet that game and also like they could also they
1:10:58
could win by 50 if I'm being perfectly so yeah,
1:11:00
I'm not I'm sitting away unless it's like a Like
1:11:04
a Florida norfolk norfolk where it's like they
1:11:08
aren't even the same stratosphere I i'm not gonna
1:11:11
and also 28 and a half is not like I mean it's
1:11:13
a big number but it's not 35 or whatever the
1:11:16
hell that Auburn is yeah um Chris is Tennessee
1:11:20
gonna win tomorrow tomorrow if they don't i'm
1:11:24
gonna be well let's just well let's just say
1:11:27
that let's just say they're gonna win tomorrow
1:11:29
well let's just say this certain sports book
1:11:32
has a a boost That for a max $50 bet that Tennessee
1:11:38
is boosted to plus 100 to win Is that a thing
1:11:43
it is a thing who has a bet three six five. Oh,
1:11:54
okay Yeah, yeah is that is that a a good bet
1:12:02
I know it's a two against a 15. I was gonna say,
1:12:06
yeah, take the Tennessee thing out of it. It's
1:12:08
a minus 18 and a half to win or even money to
1:12:13
win outright. Yeah, that's a good bet. Again,
1:12:18
take the Vols out of it. That's a bet. Okay.
1:12:24
I'm gonna beat Crow on that probably, but no,
1:12:28
they're gonna win. They're gonna win. Wofford
1:12:30
is not. They're gonna win. I needed some reassurance
1:12:35
before I put the max bet on that one. One thing
1:12:40
I do want to say about Wofford. I don't know
1:12:42
if you guys have seen this. They have the internet
1:12:44
darling of the tournament so far. Kyler Filaway
1:12:50
shoots free throws underhanded and people are
1:12:55
obsessed. No, no he doesn't. Hold on. Yes, he
1:12:57
does. People are obsessed with him. They're like,
1:12:59
oh, he's going to be a March legend. Would you
1:13:03
care to throw out a guess of what his free throw
1:13:05
percentage is on the season? 32 percent. Yes.
1:13:10
It's because I ran it about in the group. Did
1:13:12
you see my message in the group chat or Twitter?
1:13:15
Did not. OK, he shoots 32 percent. I think we
1:13:18
actually talked about this. I think we might
1:13:20
have. Oh, yeah, I think that's why that number
1:13:22
came into my head. Is that did I fucking nail
1:13:25
that? Yeah, you did it. He's 32 percent on the
1:13:27
season. He shoots granny style. He's doing this
1:13:29
for attention. It. He's he he said, like, oh,
1:13:34
he went through all this work to adjust his free
1:13:36
throw style. He is worse significantly than last
1:13:39
year when he I assume last year he shot normal.
1:13:42
But now, like, because he legitimately shoot
1:13:46
granny style where he's like. Yeah. Yeah, for
1:13:51
real. Yeah. And people are obsessed with him.
1:13:54
He's he's used 30 32 32 31 percent. He's not
1:13:58
good. He's a good basketball player He's a terrible
1:14:01
free throw shooter. So But I I can't wait to
1:14:06
root against him go balls, all right All right.
1:14:10
Well, I'm gonna wrap this up Thank you so much
1:14:13
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1:14:38
you so much for listening to watch it See you
1:14:42
next week a lot richer This three of us now let's
1:14:47
make some money Wow. Woo! Rap. Yes sir. So excited.