Latest / The President's Daily Brief / September 14th, 2026: China Helped Iran Carry Out Strike That Killed 3 U.S. Troops & Russian Drone Strikes Near Poland
Transcript
- 0:13It's Monday,
- 0:13the 14th of September.
- 0:15Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
- 0:17I'm Mike Baker,
- 0:18your eyes and ears on the world stage,
- 0:20and congratulations to Ole Miss,
- 0:23another in the win category.
- 0:25Next up,
- 0:26they're playing LSU.
- 0:27Lane Kiffin returns to Oxford,
- 0:29Mississippi.
- 0:30That's gonna be high entertainment right there.
- 0:32Alright,
- 0:32let's get briefed.
- 0:33First up,
- 0:34new reporting says Iran obtained Chinese satellite imagery of a US base.
- 0:39Before launching the attack that killed 3 American troops in Jordan,
- 0:43we'll tell you what US officials are now saying about Beijing's role
- 0:47later in the show.
- 0:48Iran-backed Houthi forces seize a strategic island at the entrance to the Red Sea,
- 0:53putting another major global oil route under growing pressure.
- 0:58Plus Russia targets a train near the Polish border on a rail line
- 1:02regularly used by foreign leaders traveling into Ukraine.
- 1:06And in today's back of the brief,
- 1:08U.S.Canada relations continue to deteriorate as
- 1:11Prime Minister Mark Carney explores whether
- 1:13Canada could become a quote associate member
- 1:16of the European Union.
- 1:18But first,
- 1:19today's PDB spotlight.
- 1:22We're getting new details about the Iranian missile strike
- 1:25that killed 3 American troops in Jordan this summer
- 1:28and what US officials now say was a critical piece of intelligence
- 1:32that Iran obtained before the attack.
- 1:35The Wall Street Journal reports that the Iranian regime
- 1:37acquired high resolution satellite imagery of the US base
- 1:41from Chinese entities before launching the July 17th strike.
- 1:45According to US officials familiar with the intelligence,
- 1:47those images
- 1:48have now been connected to that attack.
- 1:51And they say it represents the clearest evidence yet that Chinese support
- 1:54for Iran during this war has had lethal consequences for American forces.
- 1:59The target
- 2:00was Muafak Salti Air Base.
- 2:02That's in northeastern Jordan.
- 2:04Iran launched 3 separate missile strikes against the base over a 24 hour period.
- 2:09One of those ballistic missiles hit a housing
- 2:11area where American troops had been sleeping.
- 2:133 US soldiers were killed,
- 2:154 others were wounded and medically evacuated.
- 2:19Iran also targeted manned and unmanned aircraft stationed at the base,
- 2:23and according to the journal,
- 2:24Tehran had obtained high resolution Chinese satellite
- 2:27imagery of the installation before the attack
- 2:30and continued acquiring imagery after the attacks.
- 2:34Now US officials are not alleging
- 2:37yet
- 2:37that Beijing ordered the strike nor directly participated in it.
- 2:41And there's no public evidence
- 2:42establishing that the Chinese government specifically
- 2:45instructed anyone to provide Iran with imagery of this base,
- 2:49but there's an important distinction here.
- 2:52China's commercial satellite industry
- 2:54doesn't operate with the same separation,
- 2:56the same firewall between private companies and the government.
- 2:59That we're accustomed to seeing in the US or with other Western countries.
- 3:03The Journal notes that even ostensibly private Chinese satellite companies
- 3:08operate under extensive government oversight,
- 3:10and many have connections to the Chinese
- 3:12government or the Chinese Communist Party,
- 3:14the CCP.
- 3:15So while the reporting doesn't establish that Beijing directed this operation,
- 3:20it also doesn't answer how much the
- 3:22Chinese government knew about or potentially enabled
- 3:25the flow of satellite intelligence to the Iranian regime.
- 3:29If one were to speculate,
- 3:31it would not be unfair to state that a Chinese company or companies
- 3:35would not likely provide the Iranian regime with
- 3:38detailed targeting information on a US military facility
- 3:41without clearing it first with Chinese government authorities.
- 3:45And Washington had been warning Beijing about this
- 3:47problem long before those three Americans were killed.
- 3:50Senior US officials reportedly spent months telling their Chinese counterparts
- 3:55that Chinese companies were providing satellite imagery
- 3:57to Iran
- 3:59that Iran could use to target American personnel
- 4:01and military assets throughout the Middle East.
- 4:04In May,
- 4:05the Trump administration sanctioned three Chinese companies
- 4:08Mizar Vision,
- 4:09EarthEye,
- 4:09and Changguan,
- 4:11saying their imagery could threaten US and allied forces.
- 4:15And then came the July 17th attack.
- 4:17And what happened beforehand
- 4:19may help explain why Iran was suddenly becoming much more accurate.
- 4:24Earlier in the war,
- 4:25US strikes had degraded Iran's radar,
- 4:27satellites,
- 4:28and other surveillance capabilities.
- 4:30Officials noticed that Iranian missiles were often landing in areas with
- 4:34little to no military value,
- 4:36suggesting that Tehran simply
- 4:38didn't have a very clear picture of what was happening inside American bases.
- 4:42But over the summer that began to change.
- 4:45Iran's targeting improved.
- 4:47Fresh high resolution satellite imagery
- 4:49could show Tehran where aircraft had been moved,
- 4:52where new structures had appeared,
- 4:53where
- 4:54defensive systems were positioned,
- 4:56and where personnel might be concentrated.
- 4:58And imagery taken after an attack could tell Iran what it actually hit,
- 5:03allowing its military
- 5:04to assess the damage and adjust its next strike.
- 5:07The Chinese imagery also appears to be just one part
- 5:10of a much larger intelligence picture.
- 5:13Chinese technology continues to show up
- 5:15elsewhere in Iran's military capabilities,
- 5:17including navigation services and components used in
- 5:20drones and missiles.
- 5:22Obviously American officials are concerned about where this may be heading next
- 5:27because Iran isn't only firing at fixed American facilities,
- 5:31they're trying to hit US warships.
- 5:33In recent days,
- 5:34Iran has launched ballistic missiles at an American aircraft
- 5:36carrier and other navy vessels operating in the region.
- 5:40Centcom says those attacks failed,
- 5:42but US officials told the Journal that some were close calls
- 5:46and that Iran appears to be improving its ability to target ships that are moving.
- 5:50And officials are now examining whether Chinese capabilities may
- 5:53be helping Iran track those American naval assets.
- 5:57Again,
- 5:58None of this proves that Beijing is sitting
- 6:00in a command center directing Iranian missile attacks.
- 6:03But it does raise a question
- 6:06Washington increasingly needs to answer.
- 6:08How much does the Chinese government know
- 6:10about the military support flowing from Chinese companies
- 6:14to a country actively firing missiles at American troops?
- 6:17The timing also creates another problem for Washington.
- 6:20President Trump is scheduled to meet with
- 6:22Chinese leader Xi Jinping on September 24,
- 6:25and the Journal reports that Trump has made maintaining a good relationship with Xi
- 6:30a priority.
- 6:31Administration officials have reportedly tried
- 6:33to avoid public confrontations with Beijing
- 6:36that could derail that summit.
- 6:38But reportedly behind the scenes
- 6:41US officials have
- 6:42already confronted their Chinese counterparts
- 6:45about the satellite imagery tied to the Jordan attack.
- 6:47I'm sure that will do it.
- 6:49The Chinese reportedly pushed back
- 6:51and demanded proof.
- 6:52Now,
- 6:53not to put too fine a point on it,
- 6:55but
- 6:56you would have to be naive or
- 6:57willfully ignorant.
- 6:59To think that these Chinese imagery companies
- 7:02are acting on their own initiative,
- 7:04providing information,
- 7:05in other words,
- 7:05to the Iranian regime that allows the IRGC to be more
- 7:08effective and deadly in their targeting of US military assets,
- 7:11to be doing something so sensitive and with
- 7:14so much potential for blowback on the international stage
- 7:16without getting authorization from the Chinese government.
- 7:20Well,
- 7:20that would be suicide for these Chinese imagery companies.
- 7:23The Chinese Communist Party and China's People's Liberation Army
- 7:26are hiding behind the thin facade of plausible deniability,
- 7:31knowing full well that the Trump administration has
- 7:33no interest in rocking the boat with China
- 7:35ahead of the planned summit,
- 7:37and a somewhat harshly worded memo or a diplomatic note from US underlings will
- 7:42have no impact
- 7:43on China's actions.
- 7:45If the Chinese leadership wanted to stop their companies
- 7:48from providing targeting assistance to the Iranian regime,
- 7:51they could accomplish that task within the hour,
- 7:53but that
- 7:54isn't happening.
- 7:56All right.
- 7:56Coming up next,
- 7:57Iran-backed Houthis sees a strategic Red Sea island
- 8:00and a Russian drone strikes a train near the Polish border
- 8:04on a route used by foreign leaders.
- 8:06More on those stories when we come back.
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- 9:27Welcome back to the PDB.
- 9:29The last time we checked in on Yemen,
- 9:31the Houthis were pushing down the country's Red Sea coast,
- 9:34fighting their way toward the Bab al-Mdeb Strait.
- 9:37Well,
- 9:38late last week,
- 9:39the Iran-backed militia seized Perem Island,
- 9:42giving the Houthis a foothold directly inside the Bab al-Mdeb Strait.
- 9:46The capture followed a rapid advance through Mocha
- 9:49and toward the Hanish Islands that
- 9:51pushed government aligned troops further south.
- 9:54After days of fierce fighting,
- 9:55the Houthis also took Dubob
- 9:57directly across from Pevrim Island
- 9:59before government forces withdrew from the island and Houthi fighters moved in.
- 10:04Its fighters are now stationed along the
- 10:05Yemeni coastline directly beside Baba Mandeb Strait
- 10:09and on an island sitting in the middle of the strait.
- 10:12Pepperim divides the narrowest section of Bab
- 10:14al Mandeb into two shipping channels.
- 10:17Any vessel moving between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden
- 10:20has to pass through those waters.
- 10:22For the Houthis,
- 10:23that means getting much closer to the same commercial ships that they've
- 10:26spent years threatening with missiles and drones.
- 10:29Beginning in 2023,
- 10:31the militia repeatedly attacked vessels in the Red Sea
- 10:34from positions farther north in Yemen.
- 10:36That's why a senior Yemen analyst at the International Crisis Group,
- 10:40an independent organization that tracks conflicts around the world,
- 10:44called the capture of Perrim Island a
- 10:46game changer.
- 10:48In the past,
- 10:48the analysts said the Houthis were creating uncertainty around Babo Mandeb.
- 10:53Now
- 10:53they're gaining control of the territory surrounding it.
- 10:57The Houthis insist that international shipping remains safe,
- 11:00but there's one major exception,
- 11:02and that's Saudi-linked vessels.
- 11:04The militia declared a blockade against Saudi shipping earlier this year,
- 11:08and its latest territorial gains
- 11:09put Houthi forces in a much stronger position along the same Red Sea route
- 11:14that Saudi Arabia has increasingly relied on
- 11:16due to the instability in the Strait of Hormuz.
- 11:19Iran has heavily disrupted oil traffic there,
- 11:22forcing Saudi Arabia to
- 11:24rely more heavily on its east-west pipeline
- 11:26to move crude across the kingdom and then out through terminals on the Red Sea.
- 11:32That pipeline can carry as much as 7 million barrels of oil a day,
- 11:36but last week the Saudis' alternative route came under attack.
- 11:40Several drones launched from Iraq's southern Maysan province
- 11:44struck the pipeline in the Riyadh and Medina regions,
- 11:47causing fires,
- 11:48damage,
- 11:48and injuries,
- 11:49and ultimately
- 11:50forcing Saudi Arabia to shut down the pipeline.
- 11:53Now no group has so far claimed responsibility,
- 11:56and Saudi and Iraqi officials
- 11:58have not publicly identified who launched the attack.
- 12:01Maysan,
- 12:02however,
- 12:02sits along the Iranian border and is home to Iran-backed armed groups.
- 12:07Well,
- 12:08if only we had some clues.
- 12:10For now,
- 12:11Saudi Arabia is holding off on retaliating,
- 12:13giving the Iraqi government time to
- 12:15find those responsible and prevent another attack from its territory.
- 12:19Baghdad has condemned the attack and opened an investigation.
- 12:23It also dismissed the military commander
- 12:25responsible for the southern province of Maysan
- 12:28where the drones were launched.
- 12:30But there's another piece to all of this,
- 12:31and that is,
- 12:32of course,
- 12:33Iran.
- 12:34As its Houthi allies expanded their position around Bab al Mandeb,
- 12:38the Iranian regime voiced support for Yemen's sovereignty.
- 12:41Regime sources previously told Reuters that Tehran had
- 12:44promised the Houthis additional weapons and funding
- 12:47and had sent Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to Yemen
- 12:51to help coordinate the attacks.
- 12:53The escalating threat has now also reached the White House.
- 12:56Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
- 12:58recently urged President Trump to take military action against the Houthis.
- 13:03Trump reportedly declined to commit US forces to that fight,
- 13:06but agreed to continue providing intelligence and targeting assistance
- 13:10as Washington focuses on protecting freedom of navigation in the Red Sea.
- 13:15That mission has now become considerably more complicated.
- 13:19Iran has already demonstrated its ability to choke
- 13:21off oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- 13:24Now its Houthi allies
- 13:26have a foothold inside the region's other
- 13:28major maritime chokepoint.
- 13:32Turning now to the war in Ukraine,
- 13:34where Russia's drone campaign is once again
- 13:37putting civilian infrastructure along NATO's eastern front
- 13:40in the line of fire.
- 13:42Over the weekend,
- 13:42a Russian drone struck an evacuated train
- 13:45little more than 1 mile from Poland
- 13:47as Moscow unleashed its largest drone barrage against Ukraine in months.
- 13:51The train had already been evacuated after Ukraine
- 13:54received warning that an attack was coming.
- 13:56Ukrainian authorities detached the locomotive from the passenger cars,
- 13:59and the Russian drone
- 14:01ultimately struck the engine.
- 14:03The train was near the Yehoden border crossing,
- 14:06which sits just over 1 mile from Poland,
- 14:09traveling along one of the main railway corridors
- 14:12that connects Ukraine with the rest of Europe.
- 14:15Just minutes before the Russian drone hit,
- 14:17another train had traveled along that same stretch of track
- 14:20and crossed safely into Poland.
- 14:22On board was a group of foreign dignitaries returning from a summit in Kiev,
- 14:26including former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt.
- 14:29Now foreign leaders have repeatedly used this corridor
- 14:32to travel into and out of Ukraine
- 14:34throughout the war,
- 14:35including former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson
- 14:38and Finnish President Alexander Stub.
- 14:40The train attack got an immediate reaction from Poland.
- 14:43Polish fighter jets were scrambled as Russian
- 14:45attacks hit areas close to the border.
- 14:48Warning alarms were also activated for residents in parts of eastern Poland.
- 14:53The country's military said those measures were
- 14:55preventive in nature
- 14:56and intended to protect Polish airspace.
- 14:59Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk scheduled a special
- 15:01meeting of the country's top security officials,
- 15:04and Ukraine's Foreign Minister put the significance of the attack bluntly.
- 15:07He called it
- 15:08Putin's terror,
- 15:09knocking directly on the doors of the EU and NATO,
- 15:13and he urged Ukraine's allies to
- 15:15throw the full weight of your sanctions at Putin's aggressive regime.
- 15:20But this attack near Poland was only one small part
- 15:22of what Russia unleashed against Ukraine over the weekend.
- 15:26Ukraine's air force says Moscow launched 863
- 15:29drones between Saturday and Sunday morning,
- 15:32its largest drone barrage in months.
- 15:35At one point,
- 15:36more than 400 Russian drones were attacking Ukraine simultaneously,
- 15:40something that hadn't happened since early July,
- 15:44and Moscow wasn't limiting those attacks to Kiev or areas along the front.
- 15:48For the first time,
- 15:49Russia struck petrol stations in western Ukraine
- 15:52after destroying hundreds of gas stations closer to the front earlier this summer.
- 15:57The country's broader railway network was hit too.
- 16:00A station was struck in the western city of Lutsk
- 16:02where video posted to social media showed a passenger train burning.
- 16:06Another station was hit in the Kiev region.
- 16:09Those attacks come after weeks of Russian
- 16:11strikes on civilian infrastructure across Ukraine,
- 16:14including
- 16:14Black Sea ports,
- 16:15warehouses,
- 16:16and shopping malls.
- 16:18There's also something interesting about how
- 16:19Russia carried out this latest barrage.
- 16:22We've talked recently on the PDB about Moscow increasingly using newer
- 16:26jet-powered drones that
- 16:28fly faster and are more difficult for Ukraine to intercept.
- 16:32But most of the drones that Russia launched this weekend
- 16:34weren't those newer versions.
- 16:36They were older,
- 16:37slower,
- 16:37piston-powered,
- 16:38Shahed Iranian-made drones.
- 16:41And Ukrainian officials believe Moscow deliberately chose conditions
- 16:44that would make even those slower drones harder to stop.
- 16:47The barrage came during cloudy and rainy weather,
- 16:50which makes it more difficult for Ukrainian interceptor drone
- 16:53pilots to find and destroy incoming Iranian-made shihads.
- 16:58A Russian drone struck a grocery store in a region west of Kiev killing 2 people,
- 17:02while a separate attack saw 9 injured around Odessa.
- 17:06Ukrainian President Zelensky said Moscow's attacks are aimed at
- 17:10destroying every facility that can help people withstand
- 17:13the conditions of war.
- 17:16All right.
- 17:17Coming up in the back of the brief,
- 17:18US-Canadian ties continue to deteriorate
- 17:21as Ottawa explores an unprecedented new relationship
- 17:25with the European Union.
- 17:26I'll be right back.
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- 19:58In today's back of the brief,
- 19:59Canada is considering a remarkable economic shift toward Europe.
- 20:04Prime Minister Mark Carney is exploring a new relationship
- 20:07that could tie Ottawa much closer to the European Union.
- 20:10According to the Wall Street Journal,
- 20:11Carney
- 20:12and other officials in Canada and Europe are discussing whether to create a new
- 20:16status that would make Canada a so-called associate member of the EU bloc,
- 20:21potentially giving the country much deeper access
- 20:24to the European economy.
- 20:25Notably,
- 20:26the EU,
- 20:26which has historically been reluctant to bend its membership rules,
- 20:30is reportedly open to considering the idea,
- 20:33and what they're talking about goes much farther
- 20:35than another free trade agreement.
- 20:38Canada and the EU are exploring ways to allow Canadian goods,
- 20:41services,
- 20:42and workers in strategic industries,
- 20:44including energy and artificial intelligence,
- 20:46defense,
- 20:47and critical minerals,
- 20:48to move much more freely between the two economies.
- 20:51That arrangement could essentially shift the
- 20:53EU's economic border across the Atlantic.
- 20:56They're also discussing jointly building undersea cables,
- 20:59data centers,
- 21:00satellite networks,
- 21:01and infrastructure to ship Canadian energy across the Atlantic.
- 21:05Carney has raised another major possibility with European leaders
- 21:08allowing Canadians to live and work more freely inside the EU.
- 21:12According to the report,
- 21:14he's spoken regularly with several European leaders,
- 21:16most notably
- 21:17French President Emmanuel Macron,
- 21:19about some form of visa-free arrangement.
- 21:22And this is where the US enters the frame,
- 21:24as we've discussed before.
- 21:26The trade fight between Ottawa and Washington has been all over the headlines,
- 21:30with
- 21:30tariffs now affecting tens of billions of dollars in cross-border trade.
- 21:35That's given Carney considerably more incentive
- 21:37to reduce Canada's dependence on the US
- 21:40But doing that is much easier said than done.
- 21:44Nearly 72% of all Canadian merchandise exports still went to the US last year,
- 21:49and the two economies
- 21:50have been deeply integrated for decades.
- 21:53Europe can't simply replace that relationship,
- 21:56but Canada has plenty that Europe wants,
- 21:58including enormous energy resources,
- 22:00critical minerals,
- 22:01access to the Arctic,
- 22:02and a growing defense industry.
- 22:05Canada has already become the first non-European country
- 22:08to participate in the EU's Safe defense initiative,
- 22:11giving Canadian companies greater access to Europe's massive defense buildup.
- 22:16So these latest discussions would take an existing shift
- 22:19considerably further
- 22:21if Europe gained substantially greater access to Canadian energy,
- 22:24critical minerals,
- 22:25and defense manufacturing.
- 22:27The US could eventually find itself
- 22:29competing more directly with Europe for Canadian investment,
- 22:32production,
- 22:33and resources.
- 22:34But as you might suspect,
- 22:35there are
- 22:36major obstacles.
- 22:38The EU would first have to create an entirely new associate member status
- 22:42for a country on the other side of the Atlantic,
- 22:44and Canada's existing trade agreement with Europe
- 22:47does offer a warning.
- 22:49More than a decade after that agreement was reached
- 22:51and 9 years after it provisionally took effect,
- 22:54several European countries
- 22:56still haven't fully ratified it.
- 22:58So
- 22:59as you again could suspect,
- 23:00deeper integration
- 23:02may well face years of political and legal negotiations.
- 23:06And that,
- 23:07my friends,
- 23:07is the president's Daily Brief for Monday,
- 23:10the 14th of September.
- 23:11Now,
- 23:11if you have any questions or comments,
- 23:12just reach out to me at PDB@tv.com
- 23:16and hopefully you had a chance to catch this weekend's episode
- 23:19of our PDB situation report.
- 23:22If not,
- 23:22it's always available on our YouTube channel.
- 23:24Just
- 23:25search up,
- 23:25uh,
- 23:26at President's Daily Brief on YouTube,
- 23:28of course,
- 23:29and you can also find the show on podcast platforms all
- 23:32over podcast land.
- 23:34I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today with the PDB
- 23:37afternoon bulletin.
- 23:38Until then,
- 23:39stay informed,
- 23:40stay safe,
- 23:41stay cool.