Latest / Simply Bitcoin / New FOIA Request Reveals No Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?! | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Did you vote for a strategic Bitcoin reserve and all you got
- 0:04was this dumb statue? Well I got bad news for you.
- 0:10Breaking a Freedom of Information request just
- 0:13revealed the US government has made 0 progress.
- 0:16Again, zero on creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 0:21WTF is going on over there? And if you think this is
- 0:25bearish, cry harder because nothing.
- 0:29Absolutely nothing. Stop this train.
- 0:33Bitcoin Reserve or not, Arthur Hayes just dropped a $3.4
- 0:36million price target by 2028. What does Hayes know that the
- 0:41rest of the world doesn't? You're about to find out.
- 0:44And get this, a major global bank is now predicting central
- 0:48banks will be holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets by 20-30.
- 0:52The future is orange. We got a lot to get to today.
- 0:55So all right, let's start with the big one.
- 1:02We've all been hearing the hype. Trump signed the order.
- 1:05The Treasury was supposed to coordinate agency reviews on a
- 1:09strategic Bitcoin reserve and transferring seized assets into
- 1:13a digital stockpile. April deadline came and went.
- 1:16And guess what this new Freedom of Information request says?
- 1:20Quote, the Treasury does not have the reports.
- 1:23Contact IRS Homeland Security or secrets service directly.
- 1:27In other words, it's chaos. They were supposed to show their
- 1:31homework by April 5th and instead the dog ate it or Janet
- 1:36Yellen ate it. Who knows?
- 1:38This is either incompetence or a deliberate stall.
- 1:41Because remember we exposed months ago that the US Marshals
- 1:46only hold about 30,000 Bitcoin, not the 200,000 that people
- 1:50claimed or thought or was reportedly allegedly held,
- 1:54though there are some discrepancies there.
- 1:57Senator Lummus tried to brush it off his sales, but the truth is
- 2:00the US doesn't have what people think it has.
- 2:04So no strategic reserve yet. But here is the signal.
- 2:09If governments can't even manage paperwork, Bitcoin doesn't stop.
- 2:12And state ineptitude is an incredibly bullish for Bitcoin.
- 2:16Satoshi doesn't wait on bureaucracy.
- 2:19Now let's talk. Arthur Hayes, the Bit Max Co
- 2:22founder just dropped one of the spiciest essays of the year and
- 2:26he didn't hold back. Hayes argues that Trump and his
- 2:29Treasury Secretary, Buffalo Bill Benson are about to put the Fed
- 2:33in a chokehold. We're talking 1940s style yield
- 2:36curve control. The government caps bond yields,
- 2:39forces the Fed to print trillions, and channels cheap
- 2:43credit into America's industrial base.
- 2:46Let's break it down. From 1942 to 1951, the Fed
- 2:49literally kept short term rates under 1% and long term bonds at
- 2:542.5% so the government could finance World War 2.
- 2:58Hayes says Trump and Besant want to rerun that playbook.
- 3:02Only this time, it's not to defeat Hitler.
- 3:05It's to defeat the debt monster and try to reindustrialize is
- 3:09America. Here's the key.
- 3:10Hayes says small and medium banks can't lend right now
- 3:13because the curve is too flat. You borrow short, lend long.
- 3:16If that spread is gone, lending dies.
- 3:19But if Trump forces the curve steeper, boom, credit flows to
- 3:23Main Street, not just Wall Street.
- 3:25To make it work, the Fed has to buy an infinite amount of
- 3:27Treasuries. That's money printing on
- 3:29steroids. And and when you print, what
- 3:32happens? Dollar tanks, gold pumps and
- 3:35Bitcoin goes vertical. Hayes, even Dick's regime
- 3:39change, wars to keep the military industrial complex
- 3:42humming, Venezuela, Middle East, you name it, he's basically
- 3:46saying inflation will be weaponized policy.
- 3:49And we're going to talk more about that tomorrow or Thursday.
- 3:52So stay tuned. You don't want to miss that one,
- 3:54but hey, let's continue. So he runs the math Between now
- 3:57and 202815 trillion in new debt, the Fed buys half with printed
- 4:02money. Banks juice another 7 trillion
- 4:04in credit. That's 15 plus trillion in new
- 4:07liquidity slides into markets. He maps it to the covadier of
- 4:11Bitcoin multipliers and gets $3.4 million per coin by 2028.
- 4:17Now, is that exact number gospel?
- 4:20No, Hayes admits it himself. It's a mental circle jerk.
- 4:24But here's the thing. The model is less about
- 4:26precision, more about direction. And the direction is crystal
- 4:30clear. Money printed?
- 4:31Go Burr. Bitcoin go up.
- 4:32The dollar gets sacrificed to keep the empire alive.
- 4:36Your purchasing power melts unless you're holding Bitcoin.
- 4:39And honestly, I don't think Hayes is far off.
- 4:42Look what's already happening. Powell cuts Trump screaming for
- 4:452% rates. Moran inside the Fed Literally
- 4:49they arguing for steep cuts Congress begging to pump 4 O1 KS
- 4:53full of Bitcoin. The pieces are falling into
- 4:56place a lot faster than a lot of people realize.
- 4:59So whether Hayes's $3.4 million target hits or not it doesn't
- 5:03matter what matters is he's showing you the road map.
- 5:06Every step screams Bitcoin wins. Next up, this one might shock
- 5:11you. Deutsche Bank just put out a
- 5:13report saying Bitcoin could sit on central bank balance sheets
- 5:17by 20-30. Think about it.
- 5:19The same institutions that demonized Bitcoin for over a
- 5:23decade are now comparing it to gold.
- 5:25Why? Because volatility is dropping,
- 5:28supply is fixed, institutions are stacking.
- 5:31Bitcoin looks too much like gold. 2 point O to ignore.
- 5:34They're basically saying hey governments, hedge with both.
- 5:37Don't replace gold and Bitcoin. The writing is on the wall.
- 5:43The BIS, the ECB, the IMF, they all know it.
- 5:47Central banks that don't stack SAT's will be left holding
- 5:52worthless paper. Now before we hit these three
- 5:55massive announcements coming today, look at our lights 3 or 4
- 5:59times. Maybe I'll pump those numbers
- 6:01up. Those are rookie numbers in this
- 6:02racket. Quick word from our sponsors
- 6:04powering this show over at the Bitcoin Way.
- 6:06If your wealth lives in their system, it's not yours, it's
- 6:10theirs. That's why we scream Bitcoin,
- 6:12that's why you self custody and that's why you call our friends
- 6:16over at the Bitcoin way. They'll walk you through multi
- 6:18sig self custody, privacy, how to run a node and the tools that
- 6:22keep you sovereign when the Fiat system pulls the plug.
- 6:25Don't wait until it's too late. Book a free 30 minute console
- 6:28today using that link in the show notes.
- 6:31Need cash but don't want to sell your Bitcoin?
- 6:33Leaden is the global leader in Bitcoin backed loans, issuing
- 6:37over 9 billion in loans since 2018 and they were the first to
- 6:40offer proof of reserves with Leaden, you get custody loans,
- 6:44no credit checks, no monthly payments and more Visit learn
- 6:48dot Len dot IO slash simply to learn more and get 25 basis
- 6:52points off your first loan. Now today's circus.
- 6:55We got three big announcements. Trump is at the UN He's
- 6:59literally speaking as I was finishing the show today, but a
- 7:03lot of bitcoiners are watching they're wanting to know will
- 7:06there be any mention of a strategic reserve Will he drop
- 7:08it? Probably not.
- 7:10And then we have this pals at Providence today. the Fed chair
- 7:13speaks post rate cut. Hawkish or dovish.
- 7:16A dovish pal pumps Bitcoin and gold.
- 7:19And hawkish pal, well, he might get overruled by Trump's crew
- 7:23anyway. Then breaking Dennis Porter on
- 7:26spaces, teasing a massive announcement.
- 7:28Is this the strategic reserve act or clarity act momentum.
- 7:32Either way, a way to think I know what it might be.
- 7:35We'll clarify tomorrow, but it's bullish for Bitcoin politics in
- 7:39Washington. Or maybe a possible nothing
- 7:41burger. Regardless guys today is stack
- 7:44your popcorn day and a couple quick hits before we close.
- 7:47Congress is pushing the SEC to allow Bitcoin in 401K's.
- 7:51That's 60 trillion of retirement money.
- 7:54Knock knock. Knocking on Satoshi's door.
- 7:57Maybe this is it. The White House expects the
- 7:59market structure bill to pass this year.
- 8:02Huge. Maybe.
- 8:03Maybe it's all a giant scam. This isn't though.
- 8:06The hash rate just spiked massively.
- 8:09Miners are front running nation state adoption or nation state
- 8:12is plugging. What do you think And did scar
- 8:15Moochie just say 500K is fair value today?
- 8:18He's might tell you Mooch is actually underselling it here.
- 8:22Check it out just. Have to ask yourself the
- 8:24following question and then there's a binary move after you
- 8:28answer the question, is Bitcoin an asset class?
- 8:33Is it an asset class? If the answer is yes, then I
- 8:36believe therefore it should trade to the mortgage
- 8:39capitalization of gold. It represents an asset class.
- 8:42That means that a portfolio consultant will go to a large
- 8:46scale institutional investor and say you need to allocate the
- 8:49gold, you need to allocate to Bitcoin.
- 8:52NVIDIA, Amazon, these others are investments, they're stock
- 8:58investments. If Bitcoin's not an asset class
- 9:02and it's a collectible, OK, whatever you want to call it,
- 9:06then where it's priced now is probably reasonably the fairly
- 9:09valued, meaning it's going to be in or near the MAG 7 in terms of
- 9:14its market capitalization. And so I've taken the position
- 9:18rightly or wrongly and I can back it up I think with a lot of
- 9:22color and a lot of commentary that it is an asset class and
- 9:26it's very unique in the following respect.
- 9:28It's a global asset. If you look at American
- 9:31companies or the S&P 500, yes, people around the world own
- 9:34them, but they're predominantly owned by Americans.
- 9:38Bitcoin is got amazing distribution in terms of its
- 9:42ownership around the world. So if you say to if you say to
- 9:45yourself, if 50 or 60% of the people that currently own
- 9:49Bitcoin believe it's an asset class, will they continue to buy
- 9:53Bitcoin? Will they continue to hold
- 9:54Bitcoin? Well they recommended as an
- 9:57allocation in portfolios. If that's the case then $200,000
- 10:01is too low for Bitcoin. Something like a half $1,000,000
- 10:04would be be there so before. We wrap grab those tickets to
- 10:09Mining Disrupt 2025. See the future of Bitcoin mining
- 10:13up close in Dallas, TX November 11th through the 13th.
- 10:16The biggest names in the industry, cutting edge rigs,
- 10:19Bitcoin and AI integration. The signal you're not going to
- 10:22get anywhere else. Grab your tickets today and use
- 10:25promo code simply Bitcoin for 20% off and we'll see you then.
- 10:29All right fam, no strategic reserve no problem.
- 10:32Bitcoin is inevitable. Hayes is calling for 3.4 million
- 10:36Deutsche Bank says central banks will hold it.
- 10:38Congress wants it in your 4O1K and short Cray harder bears
- 10:42nothing stops this train. Hope you guys enjoyed this one.
- 10:45Don't forget to like subscribe and give us a Pam and set those
- 10:48notifications for the best in Bitcoin news delivered to you
- 10:51daily. Hey, I love you guys.
- 10:52Catch you tomorrow if you. Prefer to go down with the ship.
- 10:57You.