Latest / What the Flux / GYG's shares lose its spice | Mainland's cheesy acquisition | Inghams gets roasted
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the flucks.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm Brandon, I'm justin and it's Monday, twenty fifth of August.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Jazzy Boy, Apple and Google the cage fight it rolls on.
- 0:13Speaker 1: In Google's latest phone release, They've added an AI camera
- 0:16Speaker 1: coach that tells you the best framing and lighting for
- 0:19Speaker 1: your picks. And just to rub salt into the wound,
- 0:21Speaker 1: Google's running ads poking fun and Apple's AI without ever
- 0:26Speaker 1: saying the word Apple. Meanwhile, I'm just happy if Siri
- 0:29Speaker 1: manages to set my alarm without any glitches going on.
- 0:32Speaker 2: True, man, nothing says happy birthday like free food and
- 0:35Speaker 2: free drinks from your favorite retailers. And today, in the
- 0:38Speaker 2: Flux app, we've just released an article of the fifteen
- 0:40Speaker 2: food and drink freebies that you can snag on your birthdays.
- 0:43Speaker 2: Make sure to check it out and save the list
- 0:45Speaker 2: for when your birthday rolls around.
- 0:47Speaker 1: Three celebratory stories today, Juzzy boy, let's do it for
- 0:51Speaker 1: our first. Gusmin Egomez shares have tumbled nineteen percent after
- 0:56Speaker 1: its sales growth fell short of its big expectations.
- 1:00Speaker 2: Walk grab the popcorn. This one has got real spicy,
- 1:03Speaker 2: b man, So tell me more.
- 1:04Speaker 1: All right, So Cousmini Gomez Akagyg is the Mexican fast
- 1:08Speaker 1: food chain that started in Sydney in two thousand and six.
- 1:11Speaker 2: And now dishes up burritos and bowls in more than
- 1:13Speaker 2: two hundred and ten restaurants across Australia.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Joseiboit. GYG listed in twenty twenty four at evaluation of
- 1:19Speaker 1: two point two bill and it was the biggest and
- 1:21Speaker 1: most controversial IPO of the year.
- 1:23Speaker 2: Yep. Some investors were convinced this was about ten times
- 1:25Speaker 2: overpriced and.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Other investors thought it was a tasty bargain. But now
- 1:29Speaker 1: twenty months after its IPO, investors have got some chili
- 1:33Speaker 1: sweats yep. GYG revealed its sales in the first seven
- 1:36Speaker 1: weeks of FI twenty six grew just three point seven percent.
- 1:39Speaker 2: And that was well below the market expectations of seven
- 1:42Speaker 2: point six percent growth and josieboit.
- 1:44Speaker 1: These results sent to GYG shares diving nineteen percent in
- 1:48Speaker 1: a single day last week.
- 1:49Speaker 2: In fact, be man, their share price is back near
- 1:52Speaker 2: the ipo price of twenty two bucks.
- 1:54Speaker 1: It's not all soggy natchos, though. GYG cracked one billion
- 1:57Speaker 1: dollars in sales for the very first time I'm in
- 2:00Speaker 1: Fya twenty five.
- 2:01Speaker 2: And it's and its same store sales in Australia rose
- 2:04Speaker 2: nearly ten percent, but its US operations have become a
- 2:07Speaker 2: halapino field headache. Yeah, their losses doubled over thirteen million bucks,
- 2:12Speaker 2: and the man with their new store openings, it's expected
- 2:15Speaker 2: that the losses will deepen even more. Next minute, investors
- 2:18Speaker 2: ran for the Clinder with shares dropping nineteen percent.
- 2:22Speaker 1: Oh my god, Salita Salada Salida is exiting in Spanish.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Next minute, investors ran for the Salida with shares falling
- 2:31Speaker 1: nineteen percent.
- 2:31Speaker 2: So what is the key leading here?
- 2:33Speaker 1: Success at home doesn't always translate overseas.
- 2:37Speaker 2: Man. Remember when gag was ipoing and it pitched itself
- 2:40Speaker 2: as a global competitor in the Mexican fast food market.
- 2:43Speaker 1: I do. It had plans to scale in markets like
- 2:45Speaker 1: Singapore and Japan and.
- 2:47Speaker 2: Most ambitiously, the Big Enchilada aka the United States.
- 2:50Speaker 1: And investors did love that idea.
- 2:53Speaker 2: Yeah, but now that it's racking up big losses, some
- 2:55Speaker 2: investors are losing faith already.
- 2:57Speaker 1: And Jazzy Boys, success at home doesn't always translate over sea.
- 3:00Speaker 2: Yeah. Think of Starbucks, which dominates in the US and
- 3:03Speaker 2: came to Australia in two thousand with its Grande American
- 3:06Speaker 2: business model.
- 3:07Speaker 1: And after eight years it closed two thirds of its
- 3:09Speaker 1: stores because it struggled to adapt to the local environment.
- 3:11Speaker 2: So b Man Gog needs to balance their ambition for
- 3:14Speaker 2: growth with the realities and costs of scaling abroad.
- 3:17Speaker 1: And if they don't, investors, maybe jumping off this burrito for.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Our second story. Fonterra is selling off its mainland cheese
- 3:25Speaker 2: and butter brands to a French dairy giant in a
- 3:28Speaker 2: three point eight billion New Zealand dollar deal.
- 3:31Speaker 1: Say cheese, jusey boy, and say a little bit of
- 3:33Speaker 1: bonjour as well.
- 3:35Speaker 2: Tell me more, okay. So Fonterra is New Zealand's massive
- 3:38Speaker 2: dairy co op. It was founded in two thousand and one.
- 3:40Speaker 1: And one of the biggest dairy exporters.
- 3:42Speaker 2: In the world. And you may know Fonterra's mainland group
- 3:45Speaker 2: because it makes some of the Aussie and Kiwi staples
- 3:48Speaker 2: that you've probably got in your fridge.
- 3:49Speaker 1: Right now, we'd be talking mainland cheese, it's just perfect
- 3:53Speaker 1: Italiano and Western Star butter.
- 3:55Speaker 2: But now Fonterra has sold its mainland group consumer brands
- 3:59Speaker 2: to the French dairy behemoth Lactalis the three point eight
- 4:03Speaker 2: billion New Zealand dollars. And who are these lactiles folks
- 4:06Speaker 2: you speak of?
- 4:07Speaker 1: They own Cracker Barrel and about twenty other European cheese brand.
- 4:10Speaker 2: And in Australia they're the owner of Paul's Milk and
- 4:13Speaker 2: Oak's Flavored Milk as well.
- 4:14Speaker 1: The world's largest dairy company.
- 4:16Speaker 2: And interestingly, b maan Fonterra considered listing mainland on the ASX.
- 4:20Speaker 1: But then it got into a hot bidding war and
- 4:22Speaker 1: decided that a trade sale offered the best value.
- 4:25Speaker 2: Interesting, So what is the key learning here?
- 4:27Speaker 1: When a company wants to sell off a division, it
- 4:30Speaker 1: needs to weigh up the two main avenues of selling
- 4:33Speaker 1: out a trade sale or an IPO.
- 4:35Speaker 2: A trade sail means selling to another company.
- 4:37Speaker 1: It's often a strategic buyer in the same industry who
- 4:40Speaker 1: sees value in quoing their entire portfolio.
- 4:43Speaker 2: And the benefit of this is it's usually done with
- 4:45Speaker 2: speed and with certainty.
- 4:47Speaker 1: But it's hard to know whether you actually get the
- 4:49Speaker 1: best price if you're the seller because they never went
- 4:51Speaker 1: to the public market, and.
- 4:52Speaker 2: Of course bman, if you ipo, that's when you split
- 4:54Speaker 2: out the division and list it on a stock exchange.
- 4:57Speaker 1: And it allows investors to buy in.
- 4:58Speaker 2: IPOs can potentially unlock higher long term value if the
- 5:01Speaker 2: market's hot, but they're riskier and they're slower.
- 5:04Speaker 1: In other words, Fonterra avoided rolling the dice on market
- 5:07Speaker 1: sentiment and.
- 5:08Speaker 2: Chose the certainty of cash in hand today.
- 5:10Speaker 1: For our third and final story, shares in Ingham's, the
- 5:14Speaker 1: chicken wholesale supplier, have taken a roasting due to a
- 5:17Speaker 1: breakdown in its relationship with Woolworths.
- 5:20Speaker 2: The investors have come home to roost b Man and
- 5:22Speaker 2: they aren't exactly clucking. So tell me more so.
- 5:25Speaker 1: Ingham's is Australia's largest chicken process out founded by Walter
- 5:29Speaker 1: Ingham back in nineteen eighteen, and it has over two.
- 5:32Speaker 2: Hundred and eighty six facilities across Australia and pretty much
- 5:35Speaker 2: supplies chicken everywhere.
- 5:36Speaker 1: We're talking supermarkets, restaurants, fast food chains across Australia and
- 5:40Speaker 1: New Zealand.
- 5:40Speaker 2: But BMN Ingham saw it shares plunged twenty percent in
- 5:43Speaker 2: a single day last week, or two hundred and sixty
- 5:46Speaker 2: milli in value. And what was the reason, mister expert, Well,
- 5:48Speaker 2: their fo twenty five numbers were pretty undercooked. Revenue down
- 5:52Speaker 2: one and a half percent, but net profit was down
- 5:54Speaker 2: ten percent.
- 5:55Speaker 1: You see Juzi boit Woolly's, its biggest customer, decided to
- 5:58Speaker 1: diversify away to other suppliers.
- 6:00Speaker 2: Which means Ingham's had too many chickens which were dumped
- 6:04Speaker 2: into the wholesale.
- 6:04Speaker 1: Market and that really hurt their margins.
- 6:06Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 6:08Speaker 1: Customer concentration risk occurs when a company relies heavily on
- 6:12Speaker 1: one or just a few customers for the bulk of
- 6:15Speaker 1: its revenue.
- 6:16Speaker 2: And be man. It leaves those companies vulnerable if their
- 6:18Speaker 2: customers change contracts or renegotiate terms, or just cut volumes,
- 6:22Speaker 2: like Woolies.
- 6:23Speaker 1: So while Woolies is still their biggest customer, cutting volumes
- 6:26Speaker 1: has really hurt Ingham's sales and margins and share price.
- 6:30Speaker 1: That's because a high customer concentration can often be a
- 6:33Speaker 1: signal of risk for an investor.
- 6:34Speaker 2: Fox Sam, there are hundreds of dollars worth of preebees
- 6:38Speaker 2: on your birthday that you can get from a whole
- 6:40Speaker 2: range your blut and drink retailers. We're talking Boost Juice,
- 6:42Speaker 2: Flora Gene and fifteen others as well. If you want
- 6:45Speaker 2: to know how you can scourse some major freebies on
- 6:47Speaker 2: your birthday, make sure to download the Flux out and
- 6:49Speaker 2: save the article.
- 6:50Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and we'll see you on Wednesday.