Latest / Toadstool Sports / FRIDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/13/26

Transcript

FRIDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/13/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 3: I don't even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: What to tell you about that. I just don't want
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: all all In four I have.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: Not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: My browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, Back with
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: oh and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: To the slump yesterdays, the slump disconvenius, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all. What's up, everybody? It sewed back with you,
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: toadstool Sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: That is Friday, March thirteenth.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Good day.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: Yesterday, Miami, Ohio lost. I was correct about my opinion
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: on that. My plays went four and oh all is
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: right with the world, or at least it was yesterday.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: You know, if only I was actually throwing actual money
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: on these games right now, that would be a lot better.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: Saint Bonaventure, they were losing a lot of that game.
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: It wasn't looking good, but they came back and they
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: won the game outright. You know, you could argue that
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: one was a little bit lucky, I guess, but.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: It was a low scoring game.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: George Mason definitely kind of fell apart in that one.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: So we did get that one right. Washington.
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: People will say that one was lucky because Wisconsin was
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: winning by you know, probably close to twenty points in
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: the middle of that game, but that's just the type
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: of game where I think the back door is always open.
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: And once it kind of crept back to like thirteen twelve,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: I'm like, yeah, this actually has a chance. I didn't
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: think Washington was gonna almost win the game, which is
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: kind of what happened. They got to it within like
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: one point. I did watch the end of it. They
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: wound up losing by three, and there was I don't know,
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: a weird situation in the end that didn't affect the
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: straight up or spread outcome, or Washington hit another shot
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: right at the buzzer and then they counted it, and
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: then they wound up determining it didn't count, so they
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: lost by three instead of one, which didn't matter.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: I don't care, but i'd care.
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: More because I had a little you know, I tell
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: you to sprinkle on the money line, so you know,
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I would care more if it affected the straight up
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: outcome of course, which it did not.
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: But we did get the win with Washington.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: Nice comeback or really I think Wisconsin just kind of
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: started packing it in early, maybe too early, and then
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: Kent State, that was a pretty easy one, wasn't looking.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: That great towards the end.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: Of the first half, but they did have the lead
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: going into halftime. They basically got the momentum going into halftime,
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: and then they turned it on later.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because I was at Leonard Joni's show
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: last night.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: She's yeah, she's.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: Awesome, hilarious comedian. Yeah, that was a fun time. So
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: that's why I didn't do the Thursday bracketology last night.
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: I need to release my updated bracketology as well. I'll
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: probably just do a bracketology show like shortly maybe shortly
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: after I do this show.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I got to figure it out.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: I'll do something about it and just kind of not
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: include what's been going on today yet. And then we
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: went with the Washington Wizards last night as well. I
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: don't know exactly what happened in that game. What was
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: the final score in that game? I really don't even know.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I know they covered, they actually took Orlando to overtime
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: and they lost by five. All right, so yeah, all right,
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: that was a good call, I guess. All right, I
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: don't know. I'll have to look into what actually happened
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: in that game. All right, let's go to today. Man,
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: we got to cover all this college basketball. There's a
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: lot less hockey to deal with today, so there is
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: that I don't have any plays outside of college basketball today.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to be selective as usual. I got two
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: college basketball plays. The USA Network is gonna have the
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: A ten game A ten always starting early. Man, this
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: is George Washington and Saint Louis. I think this is
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: like the four versus the.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: One in the tournament here.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Now, George Washington does have an edge when you start
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: handicapping this right out of the gate, because they played yesterday.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: So it's again I'll say it's counterintuitive. People think that
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: that's a disadvantage of a team played yesterday, But in
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: a tournament setting like this, it's actually not like it becomes.
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: It might start becoming a disadvantage when a team has played.
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: You know, if you're getting to the point where a
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: team's playing like five games in five days or something, right,
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: you have to try to figure out is this team
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: tired yet or something like that, Like Georgia Southern like
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: ran out of steam in their tournament.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: You know that's not gonna happen yet with George Washington.
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: And additionally, they've played one game so far in the tournament,
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: and additionally, they didn't look good. But the final score
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: actually was not indicative of what happened in that game.
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: George Washington. They pretty much handled that game. They beat
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: who did they beat yesterday? I don't even remember who
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: they beat, But they were winning that game easily throughout
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: the majority of that game.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: And then I don't know what happened.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: It was ford them, I think, But Fordham, you know,
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: they play a slow pace, George Washington, even though they're
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: a really good offense.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: For some reason, they're a horrific free throw shooting team.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: They were just missing free throws all over the place
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: at the end of that game too, so they it
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: looks like they barely won the game basically, which is
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: actually kind of true. But they really had a handle
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: on that game for most of the game. So that
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: is an advantage to George Washington, the fact that they
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: had an ugly game yesterday against Fordam. Now they got
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: to play Saint Louis. But Saint Louis is a completely
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: different animal than Fordham. Obviously they're gonna play faster than Fordam.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: You know, it's gonna be.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: A completely different style here now, George Washington. They did
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: almost beat Saint Louis at Saint Louis earlier this season,
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: So it's an interesting situation where I think that actually
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: gives Saint Louis a little bit of an advantage that
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: they normally wouldn't have. That means they're gonna take George
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: Washington more seriously because they know that George Washington almost
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: came into the place and beat them. Now, Saint Louis
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: is still at a disadvantage in that they haven't played
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: yet in this tournament. This whole tournament is in Pittsburgh,
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: by the way, so that doesn't really help either team.
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: The location doesn't, but yeah, what do you have is
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: Georgia Washington has already acclimated to the venue or Saint
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: Louis is not, So Saint Louis is gonna have to
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: get their bearings under them. Although I guess one good
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: thing for Saint Louis is they have one of the
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: shortest like field goal attempt distance in the country, which
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: means they take a lot of close shots. So if
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: that's how a team operates, you don't have to worry
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: that much about them, like figuring out the sitelines again
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: and whatever.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Although Saint Louis does also still shoot.
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: Threes and stuff like that, but they do take a
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: lot of really close two pointers, and the site lines
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: won't matter as far as that's concerned. Now, do I
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: think Saint Louis is gonna lose this game? I don't,
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: but I would lean. I would probably fade them in
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: this game. They're a seven point favorite, which is not
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: that much. Seventy two percent of tickets on them, seventy
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: one now eighty five percent of the cash on George Washington.
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: Money is indicating on George Washington. But I do think
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis does remember George Washington almost beating them, so
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: they might be able to turn it on for that
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: reason and make some adjustments from that.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: The one.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: The other good thing for Saint Louis is they ended
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: the season on a bad note. They had started playing bad,
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: They lost three of their last six games, and they
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: got killed in their final game against George Mason.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: So I think Saint Louis that's actually a good thing.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: For them that, you know, the conference tournament can be
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: like a reset, like let's get back to our winning ways,
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: you know. So, but this is not a game that
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: I want to have any involvement in though uh Saint
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: Bonaventure and Dayton is the second game up in the
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: A ten. Dayton also has not played yet in this tournament.
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: Bonaventure is playing a third game in three days. They
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: were our winner yesterday, and they did play in the
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: opening day of this tournament against Lasal, but that was
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: sort of like a bye to be honest, Sorry to Lasal,
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: but easy win for Bonaventure there. Bonaventure did get tested yesterday,
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: but they have the momentum right now. Man and again
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Dayton is coming into this without having played yet in
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: this tournament. Dayton is a good team, though they're a
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: seven point favor here sixty tickets seventy to nine percent of.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: The cash on Bonaventure.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Here, I'll lean to Bonaventure just because they do have
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: the edge of having played in the tournament already. This
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: one's not really a strong opinion at all though these
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: teams when they played during the season, because I always
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: figure I have to like shout that out, you know,
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: because they just part of the handicap.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: Dayton won by two at home.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: I think that might have been the only time they
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: played Bonadventure, so that was a really close call. So
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Dayton might take them more seriously for that reason, because
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: Bonaventure actually did almost beat them. But I've been telling
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: you this Bonaventure team is not as bad as they look.
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: They're one of the underrated teams in this conference. So
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: is George Washington, by the way. So keeping all of
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: that in mind, five PM, we have Ducaine and VCU VCU,
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: the heaviest favorite in the tournament here. I think VCU
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: is actually gonna win this tournament. Uh, their side of
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: the bracket sets up a lot better, whereas Saint Louis
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: and Dayton might have to run into each other and
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: that will be a difficult game for either one of
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: those teams to win if it happens, which it's not
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: even guaranteed that that's gonna happen. VCU is a nine
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: point favorite here, fifty three percent tickets, seventy nine percent
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: of the cash on VCU. VCU also has not played
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: yet in this tournament, so they're not acclimated to the venue.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: They're the only team right now that looks like they
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: are taking the money out of those teams that haven't
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: played yet in the tournament.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Ducaine is playing in their home city, so they do
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of an edge in that regard.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: Let me see Ducaine.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: They did play in the tournament already. Yesterday they beat
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: Rhode Island. I think that was the only game they
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: played in the tournament so far, so they do have
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: a little bit of momentum. They're acclimated to the venue, etc.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: They're in their own city, so I'm not gonna come
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: in late points with VCU here. You know, I don't
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: even know if I agree with this market read. To
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: be honest, I do think VCU will win the game though.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I think they're gonna probably win this
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: tournament at this point.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: But they did end the season on a good note.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: They won three games in a row.
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: They beat George Mason and Dayton to end the season,
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: so they finished on a good note. And sometimes having
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: time off and then having a start a conference tournament
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: late into the tournament is a bit disruptive. So I
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: would actually probably do Caane plus the points in that one,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: but I don't have a strong opinion there.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Either.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: Final game in the A ten is a play. Oh,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: here we go, We're going back to the A ten
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: just like yesterday. Man, this is one of the two
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: best bets and we're gonna take Davidson plus two against
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: Saint Jose. First of all, I have no idea why
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: Davidson is the underdog here. I don't know if there's
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: something I'm missing. I mean, the oddsmakers are rarely.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: Wrong.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they've just skewed the number towards
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: Saint Jose. Against Saint Jose is like the three seed
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: or maybe even Yeah, I think they're the three in
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: this tournament.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: So yeah, because.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: Vcus the two, I think, But still like it doesn't
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: make any sense because Davidson is the better team. I've
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: been talking about how I think Saint Joe's is overrated
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: all season looking at Davidson here.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Now, they are a somewhat lucky team.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: According to ken Bomb, but they play slow, They're kind
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: of balanced, not really a huge disparity offense versus defense.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Top one hundred defense.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: This Davidson team is really not bad, and according to Kenbomb,
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Saint Jose is twelve ranking spots below them. Saint Jose
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: does have a somewhat better defense, believe it or not,
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: but offense really struggles, so Davidson has a significantly better offense. Again,
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Davidson is the more balanced team here. Usually I do
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: like the better defense, but not in a case like this,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: or I think the wrong team is favored and that
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: better defense is that wrong favorite. Saint Joe's does try
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: to play faster. I think Davidson's gonna be able to
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: muck it up and slow it down, which they're not
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: gonna want.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: And you want to talk about lock.
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: Saint Joe's is nineteenth in Locke according to Kempalm, so
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: they're one of the luckiest teams in the country. And
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: that's what I've been saying all year. I don't buy
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: Saint Joe's. I don't think they're good, even though their
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: defense has been.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Fine this year.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: Davidson also has the advantage of having played yesterday, and
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: they look terrible yesterday. So I like that when you
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: have a team that not only is acclimated to the venue,
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: but they also didn't look good and they still won
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: the game.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: That's the sweet spot. Baby. They didn't look good against.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Loyola, and remember Loyola Chicago, really bad season for them,
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: but they showed up and played decently in the tournament.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: They won a game in the tournament, almost won two games.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: You know, give them credit for that. But Loyola did
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: have the advantage yesterday of having played in the tournament
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: yet again, and Davidson had not played yet. Now, I
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: did actually kind of think Davidson would cover the number yesterday.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: They had a bad game, man, They got taken into overtime,
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: they never got separation, but they were the better team
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: in this game. Davidson did lead. Actually, excuse me, maybe
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: they didn't. Actually my mistake, Davidson actually did have kind
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: of a bad game. I thought they were leading most
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: of the game because I checked the score a couple
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: of times. I'm wrong about that. They were really never
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: able to get separation here. They actually lost the rebounding battle,
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: which is not a good sign. But they escaped, and
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: that's what I like about it. Man, when you have
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: a favorite that escapes against a bad team like that,
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get a way better rapt for
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: the next time. And additionally, these two teams played not
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: that long ago at Davidson and Davidson lost the game
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: at home, and you.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Know they were a favorite at home home.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: Although there are actually only one to night, it's totally bizarre.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: They're only one and a half at home. But like
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: ken baumbers had them as the better team all year,
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: so I don't know what's going on with what the
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: odds makers have been doing here. Davidson was a four
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: and a half of the Open though, so seriously, like somebody,
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know if somebody's familiar with the personnel.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: Does Davidson have some sort of injury or something.
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: I have no idea, but I'm not even gonna consider
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: it in the handicap. Davidson did win earlier in the
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: season at Saint Joe's by the way, by six, so
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: the road team won each of the regular season matchups.
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: I like how this sets up, though Saint Joe's hasn't
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: They haven't played yet in the tournament, and they finished
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: the season hot. They finished with six wins in a row,
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: including finishing by beating Davidson on the road. Like I said,
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: so there's a little bit of a revenge angle for
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: Davidson here, and they finished by beating their rival LaSalle,
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: even though Lasal's bad, but still it's a satisfying win
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: when you beat your rival. Uh, they're Philadelphia schools there,
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: so that's another thing I don't like. So Saint Joe's
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: is not accustomed to the venue here yet, and uh,
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: they finished the season on a hot streak, and I
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: think the conference tournament can serve as a reset, especially
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: when you've had extra time off, like you finish the
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: season hot and then you jump into the tournament late
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: into the tournament, like I think, your momentum is basically
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: completely gone that you had at the end of the season.
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna go with Davidson in this one, plus
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: the points. Saint Joe's sixty four percent of the tickets
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: on them, sixty two percent of the cash on Davidson, though,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: And the total is really low, and that's because Davidson
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: plays super slow. Both teams are better on defense than offense,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: and Saint Joe's is really poor on offense. Uh again, yeah,
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: total one twenty nine and a half.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Really really low total there.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: But we're going with the side as usual with me
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: Davidson plus the points. Mister Pinsey, what's up? How did
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: you get Houston minus six and a half? Houston was
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: minus nine?
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: You did? It?
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: Was that a live bet MAVs? And I mean I
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: leaned to Ohio say that that was a game that
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: I obviously didn't recommend touching. I thought that game was
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: that game was exactly what I thought.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: It was gonna be.
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: I thought it was gonna be a really close game,
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: unpredictable game.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know about the MAVs.
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: I think I probably agreed with that one too, but
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I didn't have a strong opinion on
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: any of those. But nice, No, yeah, I would not
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: have done that. No way, I would not have paid.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: I would not have paid more money to get Houston
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: down like that. I would not have done that. I
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: don't do the alternate spread shit. I think the book
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: screw you. You have to pay too much money for that.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: All right, next tournament is what do we have here?
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Big ten? Up?
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: Next at noon, Ohio State is playing Michigan. Ohio State
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: lost to Michigan at home by twenty one. That was
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: the only time I no, no, they played twice, my mistake.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: They played earlier in the season as well. Michigan won
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: at home by twelve, so Michigan won both games by
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: double digits. I think Michigan might be a double digit
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: favorite in this game. Now again, I'm gonna say Ohio
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: State has a little bit of an advantage in that
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: they played yesterday. These games are all in Chicago, Michigan
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: will have a big fan base there, There's no question
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: about that, especially deeper into the tournament as their fans
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: start showing up for these later games in the tournament.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Ohio State did win, but it was a tough win
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: against Iowa yesterday, so they're coming off of that, but
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: they are acclimated to the venue. They got a little
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: bit of momentum for Michigan. They finished the season hot.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, they won four games in a row, They
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: won almost all of their late season games. Of course,
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: they only have two losses on the season. They took
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: one late season loss to Duke in there. They finished
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: the season with a really satisfying win sweeping their rival
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: Michigan State.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: And now they've had a lot of time off.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: So I do think that could be disruptive to their momentum.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: And you know, there could be a little bit of
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: a letdown component here because they beat Michigan State to
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: finish the season.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: They might not have full.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: Focus against Ohio State because they beat them twice this year.
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: I'll lead to Ohio State plus the points in this one.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: Michigan thirteen and a half, sixty percent of the tickets
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: on them, seventy two percent of the cash on Ohio
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: State money coming in on Ohio State. I agree with it,
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: you know, not a real strong opinion or anything, but yeah,
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: that's a terrible way to handicap. I'll tell you that
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: That would have that would have killed.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: You, like last year, probably trying to bet against like
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: Duke or something, although actually I don't know how.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: Often Duke really covered the spread.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: They probably actually didn't cover more often than they didn't
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: because they're always too much of a favorite. But yeah,
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: that is obviously you should not handicap that way because
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: it's racist. No, it's not gonna get you wins. Wisconsin
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: and Illinois in the afternoon here. Illinois has not played
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: yet in the tournament. But unlike Michigan, Michigan plays fast,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: and I think some of these fast tempo teams like
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: that momentum disruption is a little bit worse for those
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: type of teams. Illinois actually plays slow, so the momentum
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: disruption might be a little bit less for them. But
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: the thing about Illinois is that they do have a really,
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: really efficient offense. They do rely on their offense, so
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: their offensive timing might still be thrown off by not
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: having played recently, Wisconsin didn't look as good as maybe
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: they actually were in that game yesterday, we got the
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: win on Washington plus the points. Wisconsin won the game,
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: and they were winning the game by a lot during
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: the middle of the game, so they played better than
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: what it looks like. They I think started to arrest
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: some of their guys. They did not have Noah Winter playing.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: I think he's not gonna play in this tournament. I
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna wait until the big dance to bring
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: him back.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: So he's one of their big men.
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: He's out Wisconsin running with a little bit of a
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: shorter rotation here man. But they only played one game
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: in the tournament, so they're not gonna be like tired
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: yet or anything. They didn't look that bad or excuse me,
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: they excuse me.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: They were.
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: They looked bad in the final score, I should say,
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: But they were not as bad as they looked, is
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: what I mean to say. So I like again, I
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: like that one a favorite escape like that. I think
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: they're gonna give you a better effort the next time. Now,
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: one hesitation I would have is Illinois might show up
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: for this, because Wisconsin actually went into their place and
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: beat them, so and that was basically this is Inago,
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: so Illinois is gonna have a home crowd here. And
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: the last time Wisconsin came into Illinois, into their actual building,
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: they beat them, so that is the reason why Illinois
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: might show up. But again, Wisconsin is acclimated to the venue.
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: Illinois hasn't played for quite a while. Illinois finished the
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: season not exactly hot. They lost two of their last
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: six games, so that's not as much of a problem
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: for Illinois. Like worrying about having their momentum disrupted, I
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: think I would still need to taking the points with
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin here, though in Illinois does play slow, even though
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: they do score a lot, might make it a little
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: bit more difficult for them to cover a number like this.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: Minus eight and a half is the number on them,
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: seventy four percent of tickets, seventy seven percent of the
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: cash on Wisconsin. I worry that it does look like
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: Wisconsin's a little bit of a public dog here, but
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it might be on their side
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Purduing Nebraska is one of those games that I kind
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: of just call like the switch, I don't know what
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: else to call it, where you have the lesser ranked team,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: the lower seeded team is actually the better team and
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: the favorite, and that's Purdue.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: So I like to look for spots like that. This
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: is not one of my players, but I like Purdue
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: in this game. But three and a half maybe a
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: little bit high.
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: The last time he seems to played, Purdue did win
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: at Nebraska, and it was a close game at the end.
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: Purdue had a huge lead in that game though if
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: you don't remember, Purdue kind of dominated Nebraska in that game,
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: but the game wound up going into overtime after Purdue.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Collapsed and then they still won.
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: It was a good win for Purdue, but Purdue was
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: probably better in that game than people think they were. However,
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: maybe Nebraska will show up because they want to get
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: some revenge here whatever, they might have adjustments to make
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: against Purdue. So there's kind of a lot going on
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: in this game. But Purdue's the seventh seed in this tournament.
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: Nebraska is the two, I believe, So people are gonna think,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: are they the three? No, yeah, they're the two?
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: Two or seven? Yeah, I think.
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: And Purdue's ranked eighteenth according to the rankings makers, in
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: Nebraska eleventh. But if you look at Kenbom, He's gonna
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: tell you that's not accurate. Perdue, he has is the
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: eighth best team in the country Nebraska twelve. So basically,
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: Perdue was just really underrated right now because of some
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: of their losses.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: Losing at home a lot.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: But luckily for Purdue, they're not at home right now,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: even though they're usually almost insurmountable at home. I don't
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: know how they've lost so many home games, all of
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: them to really good teams though, So yeah, I think
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Purdue is an underrated team here. Like I told you,
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: I thought they were one of the value teams to
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: look at in this tournament. I still think they have
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: a pretty decent chance to make the tournament final here.
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win this game against Nebraska now.
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: When they did play at Nebraska, Nebraska was like a
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: two point favorite, I think, so Perdue being a three
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite on a neutral that's a
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: little bit high it is. I'd lay it with Purdue anyway,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play it, I could s adding
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: this to my card. I'm not gonna do it. But
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: Nebraska hasn't played in the tournament. Perdue played yesterday and
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: they somehow didn't cover. Like, if you were a Purdue,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: if you were on Perdue minus thirteen and a half
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: in that game yesterday, you deserve a refund. Because they
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: were winning that game by over twenty points for the
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: majority of that game, I'm pretty sure, and they didn't
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: score for the final three minutes of the game because
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: they basically just I think they like left the building.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: They're like, whatever, here you go, Northwestern. We already won
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: the game, and Northwestern covered by a half.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Point at the end.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: It was the only point in the game where they
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: were covering at any point for like over half the game.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: Was that final score. It's so dumb. Purdue absolutely should
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: have covered that. So Perdue did win.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: They got a decent win there yesterday. They now are
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: acclimated to the venue. Like I keep saying, these teams
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: that are coming into the tournament late and haven't played
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: for a long time, like Nebraska, not as good of
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: a thing. Luckily for Nebraska, they lost their second last
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: game to UCLA, so they're not gonna really have a
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: huge momentum disruption here. But they've been off for a while.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: They got revenging its Iowa have finished the season. It
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: was one of their rivals, so they could be in
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot potentially after that. Although really, I mean,
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know if you're gonna have a letdown spot
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: where you're playing against another good team in the conference tournament,
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: but you know, I mean it is something to consider here.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So I do like Purdue in that game.
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Perdue if I was gonna
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: play that one, as I you know, talked about when
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: I talked about the when I broke down this bracket,
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: I said, Perdue was gonna beat Nebraska in this game.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: And sure enough, they are favored, and they're taking the
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: money with fifty three percent of the tickets on Nebraska
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: seventy six percent of the cash on Purdue. Yeah, the
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: glass courts are horrible, like when teams you know, have
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: to get adjusted to it, that like exacerbates the adjustment
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: angle there.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: Houston.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't imagine that Houston would be as affected by
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: it like a you know, I guess, aside from the slipman,
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: but Houston doesn't really. I mean, I guess they do
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: take more threes than you expect them to, but there,
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know, They're still kind of one of those
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: slow paced defensive teams where they shouldn't really be as
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: affected by that.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: But I don't know.
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: That court is horrible. The Big twelve needs to get
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: rid of that shit. The final Big Ten game. I'm
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: going against the market with this one. Man, this is
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: my final best bet. We have two on the day
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: and this is the last one. And because I'm doing
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: conference by conference, here you go. I know, dude, we're
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: gonna take UCLA plus the points against Michigan State. That's
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: what we're doing here. I know Michigan State. Right now,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: maybe we'll see the market shift here. They're a six
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: point favorite.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: Right now.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: You might be yes, you can probably get six instead
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: of five and a half on this. You probably don't
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: even need to play it right now. Like, I don't
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: know where the market's really gonna go on this one.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: It's possible it goes up. I guess right now it
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: looks like the money's coming into Michigan State. But I
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: think that maybe this is a fake move. I don't know,
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: because when I handicap this, I'm like, this looks like
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: a really good spot to play. UCLA fifty nine percent
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: of tickets, eighty eight percent of the casual on Michigan State.
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: Michigan State's raned eighth in the country. And first of all,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: you look at this line.
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: You gotta think this line looks really short, right, Why
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: is Michigan State only lank five and a half here? UCLA,
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: I know the knock on them is that they can't
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: win outside of the Pacific time zone.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I get it.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I've been saying that they did win yesterday though, So
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: they beat Rutgers. I know that's not that impressive. Rutgers
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: is bad. But the good thing for UCLA is they
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: got adjusted to the venue they played yesterday, so now
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: they're acclimated to the venue, whereas Michigan State has not
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: played yet in this tournament. And you know, I'm I'm
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: gonna repeat myself a lot here, but Michigan State has
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: to get adjusted to the venues. They're gonna be at
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: a disadvantage. And the way they ended the season I
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: think is gonna possibly hang them over here because they
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: lost a five game win streak in a game against
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: Michigan and they were in. They were in that game, dude.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: They were down two points with like three minutes to go.
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: I know they lost by ten, but they were right
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: in that game until like the three minute mark in
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: that game, huge rivalry. Again, Michigan State went all out
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: in that game. That was the last time they played. Now,
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: I know they have time to kind of recover from that,
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: but sometimes that hangover effect is still gonna be there, man,
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: Like it was with Ohio yesterday. I think it might
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: be the same thing here. And do you really think
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: Michigan State's gonna see, oh, we get Ucla here? Are
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: they really gonna pay that much attention when the last
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: time they saw Ucla the only time this year, I
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: think they beat UCLA eighty two to fifty nine when
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: they played them in Michigan State this year.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Do you think they're really gonna like be scared of Ucla.
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: Do you think they're gonna take them seriously? I don't
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: think so, man. And UCLA they've been playing a lot better,
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: like down the stretch, you know, like I said, like
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: they got sky Clark back, they started to coalesce.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: A bit more. Uh So, UCLA's been playing a lot better.
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: And by the way, Clark did not play in this
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: game against Michigan State the first time, and they do
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: have him now, I'm pretty sure. So that is it's
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: definitely a difference. He's a difference.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: Maker for UCLA. So of course he did play yesterday.
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: He didn't do well either, though only he only scored
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: five points. But he's a difference maker in a lot
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: of different ways on the court, so I think that
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: is a difference. But also, if you look at that
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: game against Michigan State, the first time, UCLA shot horribly
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: in the game. They actually had more field goal attempts
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: than Michigan State did in the game, but they only
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: hit thirty seven percent of their shots. Michigan State was
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: fifty two from three, which is not something you usually see.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: They were plus eighteen points from three point range. So
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: a lot of this stuff skewed the game. And yes,
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: Michigan State did dominate the rebound battle.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: So that could be an issue for UCLA.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: But other than that, this was this was a misleading
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: final score. Man, Yeah, Michigan State outplayed them and won
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: the game, but the results should not have been as
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: lopsided as it was, so all those things to consider, Man,
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: that game wasn't really what it looked like. There's a
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: reason why Michigan State is only laying five and a
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: half here. If we look at mister Pomeroy here, ken Bomb,
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: he does have UCLA almost in the top twenty five.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: Now they're fairly balanced. Although, yes, I know Michigan State
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: is the way better defense, that's true, but UCLA is
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: the better offense. I usually like deepense, but we're talking
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: about the better depense slow down team here.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: Both teams are slow.
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: Down teams, but we're talking about a slow down game. Plus,
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: the better defense is laying points. That's not something that
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: I really like, man, So if you get a slow
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: battle here, that means the points are going to be
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: more at a premium, So taking the points it makes
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: more sense. Michigan State is well the lucky index. I
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: was gonna say they're luckier. They are, but only by
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: one luck spot. According again, Palm, both teams are a
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: little bit lucky. But I think the game is gonna
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: be at a slower pace, man. I think UCLA they
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: really have played better down the stretch recently. So yeah,
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately for UCLA, they're gonna be like an eight or
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: nine seed in the tournament, So I don't think they're
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: gonna beat one of those one seeds. But they're better
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: that people think they are right now, So we're gonna
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: take the points with UCLA in that one of those
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: are my only two plays of the day. Hopefully we
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: can get back man, because we're now four and seven
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: in the conference tournament action. I know that's bad, but
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: it's a lot better than the one and seven that we.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Were going into yesterday.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: So starting to see things maybe a little bit better
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: as other conference tournaments go on, and the fact that
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: we are not, you know, dealing with some of these
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: smaller conference tournaments as much. All right, let's keep going, man,
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: This is taken forever. Twelve thirty is when the Conference
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: USA starts.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: Commerce is doing a weird thing where they stagger their games.
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: So basically they were trying to give the one and
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: two seeds like a bye yesterday, and instead they wound
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: up giving the bye to the nine seed and the
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: two seed because Missouri State upset Liberty.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: So now Missouri State has the extra rest.
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: They didn't play yesterday, but they did play two games
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: prior to that, so they had to beat FIU in
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: the first round and then they beat Liberty. So Missouri
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: State is coming up a big win over Liberty. They're
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: kind of unfamiliar with this conference tournament, although you know,
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: because they're new to this conference, but now they're probably
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: adjusted to it now now that they've played two games
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: in a row.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: But beating Liberty was big.
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: Man, you knock off the team that's been the best
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: team in the conference, you might have a little.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: Bit of a letdown after that.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Now, they played two really close games against Louisiana Tack
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: this year. Louisiana Tech won both games, but Louisianattack only
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: won by one at Missouri State and by two at
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: Louisiana TI, So those games were as close as they
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: could pretty much be. So yeah, I mean, this is
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: a game it's gonna be a little bit I think
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: hard to predict, although Missouri State again, I think coming
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: off a game against Liberty where you upset the number
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: one seed, I think it's a little bit difficult.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: I know, you're in the semifinals now and you didn't
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: expect to be here. If you're Missouri State now you're
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: just free rolling. But you're going up against one of
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: the best deepfenses in the conference in Louisiana Tech. And yeah,
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: I thought Middle Tennessee would win yesterday with their balance,
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: but that did not happen. Louisiana Tech got the win yesterday,
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: so they played yesterday, but that was the only time
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: they played in the tournament so far, so they got
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: a game under their belt in the tournament. So I
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: don't think that it's that much of a disadvantage the
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: fact that they played yesterday and Missouri State didn't, you
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, both teams are adjusted to the venue.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: If you're Louisiana Tech, you're not tired after playing one
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: game in the tournament.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think. I think Louisiana Tech probably gets the
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: job done here. Man. It's not one that I want
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: to play or anything.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on Louisiana Tech though, despite
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: the fact that they played yesterday, their one point favorite
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: fifty tickets ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with it.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think in a game like this, it's
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: gonna come down to who's the better team, who's the
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: better defense.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: That is law Tech, So we'll we'll go.
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: You know, we'll go with that as far as my
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: opinion in the game, but not a strong opinion from me.
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: Then the other game in the Conference USA is oh yeah, wait, no,
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: I already talked about what I was gonna say, I
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: forget to talk about what those teams did against each other.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I already did.
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: The other game in the conference tournament is Kanessas State
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: and Sam Houston. Kenansa State beat Western Kentucky yesterday. Uh
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: so they played yesterday, Sam Houston got the day off,
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: and Sam Houston is the better team here now. Kennisaw,
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: that was the only time they played in the conference
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: tournament so far. This tournament, by the way, is in Huntsville, Alabama,
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: for those who don't remember, which you know. I don't
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: think the location at this point is really much of
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: an advantage to any of these teams.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: Kennesaw is in Georgia, by the way. They got the
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: win yesterday.
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: They played yesterday, but they hadn't played for a while
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: before that, so again, I don't think they're gonna be
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: like tired or anything like that. Sam Houston, who I
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: think is maybe the best team in this conference, like
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: power ratings wise, I think they're actually ahead of Liberty
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: according to Kenbum. Sam Houston won a game in the
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: tournament already, I believe, and then they had a day off.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: They beat New Mexico State in a.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: Two versus ten game two days ago, and then they
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: had yesterday off, so they got acclimated to the venue,
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: had a day off. I think in this case, I
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: would probably lean to Sam Houston in this one. The
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: money's coming in in the other direction though, towards Kennesaw.
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: Sam Houston's down from five and a half to four. Here,
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of the tickets are on Sam Houston, ninety
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on Kennisaw. Though the money
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: is saying Knaw, I don't really see it here though.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, obviously this is not a game
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: I want to touch.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I mean, I'm giving you all
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: the information there, so that's that. I mean.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: I mean, it seems like it should be La Tech
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: versus Sam Houston in the final, but we'll see. Man,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: you could wind up having like a crazy result in
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: this conference. Man, you know, maybe LA Tech wins it,
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: which are downgrade the tournament field further. I think if
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: Sam Houston gets into the NCAA tournament, I think there'll
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: be an interesting team in that tournament because they're almost
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: like a top one hundred team, and Ken Bomb they
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: might actually be that now O they're almost. They're not
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: quite there, but Yeah.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: We'll see man.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: But yeah, hopefully if you want the tournament to be,
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: you know, as strong as it can be. I mean,
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: you're already out of luck with that because of some
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: of the teams that aren't in it, but you'd probably
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: want to root for Sam Houston to win this conference,
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: all right. The next conference up is the SEC starting
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: at one pm Kentucky and Florida. Florida enters the Fray
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: here as they haven't played yet in the tournament. Kentucky
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: had to play on the opening day, so they've actually played.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: Two days in a row.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: They beat LSU and didn't look very good in doing so.
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: Then they actually won and covered yesterday Kentucky. They were
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: ahead for most of that game yesterday against Missouri, and
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: late in the game they almost lost the game. And
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: I told you I liked Kentucky in that game yesterday.
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: They did wind up covering. Kentucky had like a stranglehold
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: on that game. They were winning that game most of
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: the game and then they it got a bit close
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: for comfort at the end, but Kentucky did wind up
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: getting out of it with the win. Now they're playing
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: Florida and they actually played pretty well against Florida when
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: they played them this year, they lost my nine at
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: Florida and they lost my seven at home. Now, in
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: the Todd Golden Florida era, coming into this year, Kentucky
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: was four and oh straight up against them, believe it
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: or not, although they're zero to two against them this year.
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: But this Kentucky team, they've been able to play well
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: against Florida. For whatever reason, Florida has not played yet
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: in the tournament.
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is used to the venue, so.
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: There is all that Florida is trying to maintain a
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: one seed though, so they do have momentum or motivation.
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, they don't have momentum, which is what I'm
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: about to talk about. I think their momentum is gonna
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: be stalled out. They do have motivation here if they
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: want to try to get the one seed, right because
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: I think if Florida loses here and if Yukon rolls
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: through their conference tournament there, which Saint John's is still
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: alive in that conference, so we'll see what happens there.
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: But Florida could potentially still drop back to a two seed,
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: which they probably don't want because right now, but the
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: way the one seeds are setting up right now.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: It looks like if Florida is.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: The fourth one seed, they'll actually still get the South
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: region because the other teams are gonna pick the most
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: advantageous to them and it will leave Florida with their most.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: Advantageous Region two. Well sort of the South.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: I mean it's gonna be in Houston the regionals, so
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: it's not great for Florida, but still, but Florida, I
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna come in with their momentum having stalled out, man,
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: because they finished the season one of the hottest teams
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: in the country.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: They won a ton of games in a row at
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: the end of the season, probably double digit wins in
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: a row to end the season, they were just running
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: through the SEC. And in their final game, by the way,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: they beat Kentucky.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: So the last time Florida played, they were winning the
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: game at Kentucky. So there are a few things here
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: that I do like about Kentucky. Here, Man, I know,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: Kentucky's playing a third game in three days, but I
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: still think they're at the advantage because they've played in
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: this tournament already. This whole tournament is being played in
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: where the hell is it again? Nashville, I think right,
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: So Kentucky actually has a pretty big crowd. I think
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: I didn't really watch that much of the Missouri, but Kentucky.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: Their fans usually show up in Nashville, man, because it's
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: so close to Kentucky. So I think they will have
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: a huge fan base at this game. Florida will have
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: a big one as well, but you know they're geographically
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: they're further away. Of course, Florida last time they played
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: was against Kentucky.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: They were being a Kentucky.
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: So there might be a little bit of an adjustment
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: angle to look at for Kentucky or where they might
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: fix some things play better this time and again because
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: Florida hasn't played for like a week after they had
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: this run, that could stall out their momentum. Man Like,
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: when you're playing really well like this, you don't want
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: to have time off. So I would lean to Kentucky
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: in this game. Plus the points, Florida looks like they
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: are taking some of the money right now. They're on
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half point favorite, sixty three percent of
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: tickets and seventy six percent of the cash on Florida. Now,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: I if I remember correctly, I thought Florida was only
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: about nine and a half at home against Kentucky, So
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: if they're eleven and a half, that seems a little crazy. No,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: they're twelve and a half, so but still, if they're
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: twelve and a half at home and they're eleven and
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: a half now on a neutral, that does still seem high.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: That number seems high. It looks like the money is
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: coming in on Florida a little bit for now, but
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with it. I would take Kentucky plus
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: the points and that one if I was gonna play it.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: And of course Florida did not beat Kentucky by that
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: amount either time they played them, even though they won
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: both games. All right, sec The second game up is
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: Tennessee and Vandy, the Battle of Tennessee in Nashville, which,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: of course the you know, the ESPN whatever that I
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: was trying to think of.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: A word for the TV people.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: The TV networks get exactly what they want here. I'm
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: pissed because I wanted Auburn to really give the committee
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: something to think about with that bubble there, with Miami
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Ohio losing bad yesterday, taking a bad loss, and with
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: Auburn having a way more difficult schedule. Auburn had Tennessee
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: on the ropes yesterday. Dude, Auburn was winning more than
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: half of that game and then they completely fell apart.
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: Auburn was winning the game by ten with like ten
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: minutes to go, and they wound up losing by ten.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: It's dude, I don't know what happened in that game.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: Tennessee went on like an eighteen oh run or something
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: in that game, which you don't usually see out of
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: a team that is not that good on the offensive side,
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: like Tennessee. But now Tennessee they basically got a scary yesterday,
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: and it's Auburn. They got a game under their belt,
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: and the last time they played prior to that, they
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: lost to Vandy at home.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: So I kind of like Tennessee in this game. And
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: they already played.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: You know, they lost to Vandy at the end of
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: the season, which was revenge for Vandy because Tennessee won
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: at Vandy earlier this year.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Both games were close, that's for sure.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: Tennessee won by four at Vandy, Vandy one by four
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: at Tennessee. But now I think if the zigzag continues,
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: I think that indicates that Tennessee.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: Will be the side to look at in this one again.
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: And Tennessee played yesterday they didn't look that great, so
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: they're accustomed to the venue now.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Vandy has not.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: Played since the end of the season, so literally the
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: last time they played they were winning at Tennessee and
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: they haven't played since then, so now they could get
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: zigzagged here.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: Tennessee might have the adjustments to make on that, and
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: you know, that's the last thing in Vandy's mind was
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: a huge revenge win over their rival, who they now
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: have to play again.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: I like Tennessee and this one.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: Vandy has flipped to a one point favorite here, but
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: sixty two percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: cash on Tennessee. And when it comes down to it,
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: even though I do think ken Bomb has Vandy one
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: ranking spot higher, he does. He has Vandy thirteen and
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: Tennessee fourteen. Tennessee very very under the raid arm man.
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: Both these teams are actually underrated, so keep that in
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: mind for tournament purposes. Perhaps both these teams ranked in
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: the twenties. Tennessee is a very underrated team, though I believe,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: especially because they're deep, this is quite good, so keep
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: that in mind. Because come tournament time, they're probably gonna
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: be like a sixth seed or something like that, and
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: I think they might They're gonna be a team that,
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: you know, I might I might be looking to pick
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: in the turn in brackets and stuff like that to do,
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: you know, some damage. Although because it's Rick Barnes, I'm
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: not gonna take them to the final four or anything
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: like that. But yeah, the money looks like it's coming
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: into Tennessee. Tennessee is the better defense. They're fourteenth defensively
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: in the country according to Kenbum, Vandy twenty eighth, but
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: Vandy is a top ten offense, tenth in offense.
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: Tennessee thirty sixth.
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Tennessee likes to slow the game now, so this is
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: more of the typical matchup that you tend to see
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: with the stylistic differences. Where Vandy's kind of the typical
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: fast paced team. It's better on offense, although they're not
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: bad on defense either. Tennessee the typical like defensive, slow
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: paced team, although they're not horrible on offense. And Tennessee
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: has been the much unluckier team this year as well.
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: They're like two hundred ranking spots lower almost in luck
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: according to kenbum, So he is telling you they've underperformeders
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: vand he's kind of overperformed, all right.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: Continuing in the SEC.
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss, the shock of the tournament so far is
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: playing Alabama. Now, Ole Miss, they're playing a third game
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: in three days, and they're coming off two upsets of
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Texas and Georgia.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: Nobody expected that.
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, I did think they would cover
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: against Texas because Texas was one of those bubble teams
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: and they're all like overrated come conference tournament time. Did
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: I think Ole Miss was gonna beat Georgia. No, although
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: they did have the advantage of having played in the
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: tournament and Georgia had not played yet.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: Now, what's interesting.
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: About this is Georgia is a very similar style of
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: team to Alabama. Right, they both play fast, and they
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: both aren't that good on depfense, and they're both offensive
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: juggernauts basically, although Alabama is really really good on offense
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: and they're probably not even as bad on deepfense as
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: Georgia is. So yeah, Alabama is the better team overall,
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: but they profile has a very similar team to Georgia.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: But now Ole Miss, that does mean that they've seen
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: that style, right. Uh, so Ole Miss has actually done
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: well against these teams. I think it seems like old
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: mismatches up okay against these teams that are good on
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: offense and not good on defense, which Texas.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: That applies to them as well, even though.
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: I think Texas is a slow based team. They are,
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: but they're much better on offense than defense as well. Which,
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: by the way, I think Texas should make the tournament
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: right now. I think they still will, although they might
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: get sent to Dayton.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: We'll see.
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: I got to do my bracketology, man, But so much
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: of the bubble has really really hurt themselves, and Texas
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: was already you know, in a position ahead of most
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: of those teams, and if they all lose, you know,
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: the Texas basically has to remain ahead of them, you know.
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: So we'll see.
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: But Oklahoma is putting some of those teams in danger though,
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: which I'm gonna talk about them in a minute. So
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: these these night games in the SEC are actually really
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: interesting now. Ole Miss they slow the game way down, man,
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: and they're still well coached. They're not a good team
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: this year, but they slow the game down to try
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: to make up for their you know, physical limitations, let's say,
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: because they're not as physically talented as some of these
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: other teams are, they're still well coached with Chris Beard there,
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: they're making a run in this tournament. I actually think
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: they could cover this game against Alabama. I don't really
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna win, but Alabama they're you know, they're
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: a team that definitely relies on offensive timing and stuff
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: like that, and they haven't played in quite a while,
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: so they're coming into this tournament cold. And I know
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: ole Miss is playing three games in a row here,
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: back to back upsets, but I think they might cover
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: again here. Man, they did play Alabama. They lost at
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: home by nineteen to Alabama, which I think might have
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: been the only time they played them this year.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: I believe it is.
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm missing the other one, but yeah, I think
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: they only played them that one time, so Alabama might
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: he really might not take ole Miss that seriously. Still, yes,
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: Alabama will be the best team they face in the
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: tournament so far. But Alabama also finished the season pretty hot.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: Although I guess maybe it's a good thing they lost
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: to Georgia in there to break up their win streak
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: because they would have had a really long win streak
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: to finish the season.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: But they still finish the season winning almost.
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: All their recent games, and they beat their rival Auburn
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: to sweep the season series to finish the season.
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: So that's pretty satisfying.
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: And that was the last game they played, So I
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: think they might come into this a little bit cold.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Man. So I like Old Miss in this one man.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: Alabama's eleven and a halfway favorite, seventy five percent of
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, sixty eight percent of the cash.
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: On Old Miss.
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss is gonna try to slow the game down.
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: I think this is a game where the total is
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: correlated to the side here. I think if you think
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: Alabama's gonna cover, it's probably gonna go over. If you
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: think Mississippi State's gonna Mississippi is gonna cover, it's probably
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: gonna go under.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: The total is pretty high in the one sixties because
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: you can't really, you know, you can't put in Alabama
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: total really that much lower than that usually unless they're
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: up against a real like defensive juggernaut, which Ole Miss
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: is not.
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: But they do play slow.
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss is actually I believe they're actually the better
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: defense in this game.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: Believing or not.
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're forty eighth in defense according to ken Pom,
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: and they're almost the top one hundred offense. So this
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: Old Miss team, I mean, they're not a terrible team.
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: Alabama is sixty eighth on defense, but they're pretty much
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: elite on offense at third.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Ole Miss is actually the better deepfense technically
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: getting points here. So yeah, that's another thing you know
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: that should be considered as far as leaning towards Old
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: Miss here. So yeah, those are my thoughts on that one.
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: All right, um, continuing on here, what else do we
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: have here? I thought there was something, I don't know,
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: I had something else in mind that I was gonna
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: say here, but maybe I don't know. I can't remember
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: exactly what else I was gonna say. I think I
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: think that's about it. I mean again, you know me,
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a tendency to fade the teams that
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: haven't played in the tournament yet. And Arkansas is also
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: one of those teams. Oklahoma is playing against Arkansas. Oklahoma,
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: they're they're making a run towards the bubble here, man,
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: because the bubble has been playing horribly and Oklahoma has
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: had some good wins recently. This Oklahoma team, they're on
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: the bubble right now. Man, they've won six games in
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: a row. They might play their way.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: Into the tournament.
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: They had a couple of nice wins at the end
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: of the season against other bubble team Auburn, which does
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: fiss me off. They beat Missus Missouri, who I think
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: Missouri's gonna be in the tournament. I don't think they're
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: gonna get knocked out because they lost to Kentucky.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: You know, I think Missouri's in.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: They've done enough, especially with how bad the bubbles mean again,
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: I think Texas is probably still gonna get in as well,
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: but it might be dating game for the second year
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: in a row because Oklahoma beat them too. Now Oklahoma
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: is playing a third game in three days as well.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: In this tournament. Fewer people are talking about them though,
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: because Ole miss is a little bit more of a
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: surprising run than Oklahoma is.
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma beat South Carolina, no surprise there. They were actually
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: losing I think at halftime in that game. Then Oklahoma
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: turned it on and they basically blew out Texas A
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: and M yesterday. Now I think A and M is
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: still going to get in as well.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: A and M. Similar to Oklahoma last year.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: A and M was really hot in the first half
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: of the season, then they cooled way off in the
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: second half. But Oklahoma did the same thing last year
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: and they still got into the tournament. I think A
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: and M is still gonna get in.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Oklahoma they beat it, and plus A and M.
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Was leading the SEC for like half the season, even
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: though I told you they weren't as good as people
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: thought they were.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: They played Bucky ball.
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: Which is you know, I mean not necessarily recipe for
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: success with their new that's their new coach this year.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: But they play just a fast style.
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: That you're not texts that you're not used to seeing
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M play, And you know, they might
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: not totally have the the personnel entirely for sustaining that.
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: But Oklahoma got the win yesterday, easy win. They're accustomed
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: to the venue. Now they get to play another fast team.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Oh. I think the other thing I was gonna say,
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: yeah with.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: Both Own Miss and Oklahoma here, Now they're both playing
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: fast paced teams in two straight games. Now, you might
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: argue that will tire that team out a little bit.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: You know, like this team might get tired after you know,
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: having to play two straight having to play three straight games,
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: two games in a row against a fast paced team.
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: But at least they're used to playing a fast paced team,
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: so they're just continuing doing that, you know. But I
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: guess what you could make the ar You could make
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: the argument that you should look at these teams in
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: the first half. Mississippi to cover in the first half,
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma to cover in the first half. That makes sense
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: to me as well, because if those teams are gonna
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: get tired, it's gonna happen later in the game, right,
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. And if Alabama and Arkansas,
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: they're probably gonna be at their at their coldest in
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: the beginning of these games, you know what I mean,
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: because they have.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: To shed the rust.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: So that makes a lot of sense to me too,
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: to look toward his own miss in Oklahoma plus the
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: points in the first half of these games. Now, Oklahoma, yes,
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: they have the advantage of having played already in those
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: two games, like getting adjusted to the venue. I should
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: say Oklahoma is also gonna be an underdog who was
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: on the bubble now, so you know, I don't like
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: playing these bubble teams in the tournament when they're a favorite,
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: because usually they're you know, they're over value the pressures
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: on them, whatever. But when they're an underdog and you
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: know you're at least gonna get effort out of them,
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: I do tend to like that. Arkansas, they're a good team,
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: but again they're coming into this a little bit cold.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: They finished the season.
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: Decently with four wins in their last five games, but
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: again they could be cold now because they haven't played
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: for a while. Their last game is that crazy overtime
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: game against Missouri where they got the win in their
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: sort of rivalry game if you want to call it that,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: against Missouri on the road there. So yeah, I do
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: w into Oklahoma in this game, though Arkansas is gonna
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: have to get adjusted to the venue here, fifty two
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets around Arkansas, there's a six and
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite, sixty eight percent of the cash
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: on Oklahoma. So those are my thoughts on that tournament there.
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: The sec again, Ole miss and Oklahoma first half might
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: make a lot of sense in those games as well. Okay,
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: although I'm not really you know, I'm just not a
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: first half type of guy, but we'll see. Okay, let's
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: see here, We're gonna have Conference USA and then SWACK
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: and then I still haven't the Big East.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: I guess the Big East doesn't play until the night.
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Man. All Right, I'm gonna We're at
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: almost the hour mark as usual.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna take a little bit of a
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: break and then I'm gonna come back and talk about
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: the rest.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: Of these uh well, actually yeah, yeah, I'll do that,
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: and then I'll come back.
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'll talk about the rest of this because
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: I think probably about half of the College of Basketball
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: is left, and then hockey is gonna be quick, and
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: there's not that much NBA either, And I'm not giving
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: out any more plays, but hang out if you want
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: my opinions on you know, the rest of the stuff.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: I'll be back in a second. Yep.
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on oh and
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this man with the
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: Two straight loss, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached into pink.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins. Arch hate?
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man? I
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man's back with you
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: go well for me.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: To the slump is the slump of discontinus. The slump continues.
• 57:54
  Speaker 3: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 57:59
  Speaker 3: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 58:01
  Speaker 3: it all.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: One other thing I will say about Oklahoma is they
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: actually play slow this year too, so they might be
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: able to muddy that game up against Arkansas and slow
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: the game down. Now again, the total is really high
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: that one. Same thing as Old Miss Alabama. Man, I
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: think the side and total are correlated in that one too.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: If you think Arkansas is gonna cover, it's probably going over,
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: and if you think Oklahoma's gonna cover, it's probably going under.
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: So similar situation in that game, Okay, and that total
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: is even higher than the Alabama won believe it or
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: not in the one sixties, probably because Ole Miss is
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: offensively challenged more so than Oklahoma's. Oklahoma's worked their way
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: up to forty first and Ken Palm by the way,
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: and they're actually a really good offense. Just their depfens
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: is actually outside the top one hundred even though they
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: play slow. So OCA home a very very similar profile
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: to Texas, which is really bizarre. The Red River Rivals
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: are like very similar teams there profile wise. All Right,
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: Conference USA I think only has two games because they
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: do that wide ass bracket thing. So Charlotte is playing UAB.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: These games are in Birmingham, so U A B is
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: playing in their home city, so they do have a
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: little bit of a location advantage here. Now, Charlotte has
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: an advantage of having played yesterday. They beat Tulane. I
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: told you Tulane's overrated man. So Charlotte has the advantage
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: of having played a game in the tournament now, so
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: they're adjusted to the venue. UAB coming into this game
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: not having played since the end of the regular season,
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: so UAB has, you know, extra time off. It might
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: actually hurt them again because you could be a little
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: bit rusty.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: These teams I.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: Believe played once during the regular season. Let me see,
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: where is that game? Oh yeah, it was really close
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: to the end of the season. You AB went into
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: Charlotte and beat them at the end of the season.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: They're now.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: I don't think Charlotte's a very good team. I do
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: think UAB is the better team here, But based on
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: the situation, I think I would probably lean towards Charlotte
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: in this one because they played a game already. Although
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: this game is in Birmingham, I know UAB up from
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: four to five.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: On UAB, though I don't really agree with it. Sixty
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: two percent tickets, nine to nine percent of the cash
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: on UAB.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'd probably lean towards.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: Fading them though, and UAB is the four seed by
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: the way, this tournament, Charlotte, I think they're the four.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: I think, Charlotte, I guess is the five I don't
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: And then the three seed, who's actually probably the second
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: best team and close to the best team in this conference.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: Tulsa is playing in the other game against North Texas.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: This is an interesting one, man. I think this is
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: a stylistic mismatch, will not mismatch, but collision if you
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: want to call it.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: Tulsa plays a bit fast and North Texas is unbelievably slow,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: so we got to keep all of that in mind here,
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: although they actually probably aren't quite as slow as they
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: were under their previous coach.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: Who was now at West Virginia.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: North Texas won yesterday against FAU, so they have a
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: game under their belt in this tournament, so that might
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: give them a little bit of an edge here. When
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: they played Tulsa during the regular season, they only played once.
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: I think they lost by sixteen at Tulsa. Tulsa is
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: definitely the better team, there's no question about that. But
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: North Texas, having already played yesterday in this venue, you know,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: getting acclimated to it whatever and being able to slow
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: the game way down, they have the ability to.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe frustrate Tulsa here. Man.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: Tulsa finished the season hot too, with five wins in
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: a row to finish the season. So again, having time
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: off doesn't help that, like it could break your momentum
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: a little bit here. So I would probably kind of
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: lean to North Texas in this one. Plus the points,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: Tulsa's an eight point favorite.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: Fifty six percent of tickets.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: Eighty eight percent of the cash on Tulsa, so the
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: money is coming into Tulsa. And you know, just for
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: rooting for the best teams to make the NCAA Tournament,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: you know, we want either South Florida or Tulsa to
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: win this conference to get into the tournament. Preferably, I
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: would say probably South Florida. The thing about Tulsa is
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: they're pretty lopsided. They're really good on offense and they're
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: not very good on defense.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: So that's how they profile.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: South Florida is a much more balanced team, I think,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: a more interesting team where they go really fast and
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: they try to turn you over and beat you in transition.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: South Florida could be a difficult opponent for somebody in
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: that first round there. You know, Tulsa I think would
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: be a little bit less. So so we'll see what happens.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: South Florida is not gonna play at all until tomorrow,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: so we'll see what happens in that tournament. Man, Okay,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: but they're close in Ken Bomb rankings. So Tulsa was
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: like really hot at the beginning of the season.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: All right. The next conference up is the.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Swack where a lot of chaos is happening in the Swack. Well,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: the one seed is gone Bethune Cookman. Bethune Cookman had
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: some decent out of conference games, but the team that
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: beat them, Prairie View, is playing today and they had
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: yesterday off because again, this is a similar setup to
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: Conference USA, where they tried to give the one and
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: two seeds a day off in the middle of the tournament,
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: and they wound up giving prairie View the day off
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: because they upset Bethune Cookman. Prairie View now coming in
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: playing Alabama A and M.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: These teams I think only played once during the regular
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: season at prairie View, and Alabama A and M won
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: the game. By twenty prairie View. Yeah, I mean, I
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: don't know how good they really are. Man, I'm not
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: really really like a swack follower. I can tell you
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: that Alabama A and M beat Texas Southern yesterday, so
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: they played yesterday, So Alabama doesn't have any days off.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: But they didn't play in the tournament until yesterday, you know,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: so I don't think they're gonna be like tired yet.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: You know, even though they played yesterday.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: Prairie View is coming off knocking out the one seed,
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: which is, you know, a pretty big deal when you
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: beat the best team in your conference. Now Alabama A
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: and M. The money is actually coming in well. Prairie
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: View dropped from a one and a halfway favorite JO
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: pick them, Which is interesting that prairie View, according to
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: the market, is actually considered to be the slightly better
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: team here. Sixty four percent of tickets seventy five percent
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: of the cash on prairie View.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying prairie View. I don't know
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: if I like that.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, some of it might be because they had
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: yesterday off and Alabama A and M didn't. Because I
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: don't think prairie View is the better team but I can.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: I can get some things wrong in this conference. Ken
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: Bohm has Alabama A and M five ranking spot tire.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: He has prairie View outside the top three hundred and
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: Alabama A and M inside the top three hundred.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Oh my god.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, man, prairie View is the better
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: defense though, and that is something I like to look at.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: Alabama A and M is the better offense. I do
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: like defense. I like the better defense. Prairie View plays fast,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: but they're the better defense. I don't know, man, Alabama
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: A and M plays slow, but they're the worst defense.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: Very very strange stylistic match up here in Alabama A
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: and M is lucky according to Kemp Bombs. So you know,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: I guess I would agree with the market and that
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: and agree with prairie View, but yeah, I don't have
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: a great read on that.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: And then the other game in the swack is the
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: three versus the two. I believe Southern and Florida A
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: and M.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: But I'm telling you, I think Southern is the second
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: best team in this conference behind the now dead Bethune Cookman,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: who is.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: The best team in the conference.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: And they're not gonna make the tournament, although it doesn't
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: really matter when whoever wins this conference is going to
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: be playing a date and most likely trying to play
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: into a sixteen seed, so whatever. But Southern is the
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: best team remaining in the conference. Florida A and M
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a false two seed. Now, Southern,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: I believe they played yesterday or yeah, they played yesterday.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: I think they beat Arkansas Pine Bluff, so that was
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: the first win that they had in this tournament. So
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: they've played. All these teams are adjusted to the venue
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: now all these games are being played in Atlanta. Southern
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: lost on their home Florida Florida A and M the
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: last time they played them, so they might make some adjustments. Man,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: because Flora Southern Southern was definitely probably like a five
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in this game.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: Wow, I'm way off. They're eight and a half.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: So Southern loss is a big favorite against Florida A
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: and M already at home, so you know they're probably
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: gonna make adjustments to that.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna remember that.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: And I thought that they played twice this year, but
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: maybe they did. Oh yeah they did. They played way
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: early in the season. Southern actually lost both games they
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: lost at Florida A and M. But did the better team, man,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: So even though they played yesterday in Florida A and M,
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: didn't you got double revenge from the better team.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: And that is I told you that's a good way
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: to look.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: When it team is actually the better team and they
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: lost both games during the regular season and they match
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: up in the conference tournament, that's the way you want
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: to look in my opinion. And you know the trends
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: bear that out too. Florida A and M won two
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: days ago in this tournament against Jackson State, so they
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: did play in the tournament. But you know they weren't
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: really tested yet in the tournament, not that you know,
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: facing Arkansas Pine Bluff is that much of a test either.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: But I would lean to Southern here there minus two
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: and a half fifty per tickets ninety four percent of
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: the cash on them.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how I would lean in that game. Okay,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: we have.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Already talked about all these tournaments here. The MAC not
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: playing in the morning today, the MAC starts later in
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: the even did I skip anything?
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I hope I didn't. I don't think I did. You
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: mass who pulled off the upset against Miami Ohio. Is
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: now playing Toledo.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: In an eight versus four I think is what this
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: is now, You Mass, Yeah, they could be in a
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: letdown spot after that.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: I know this is this is a conference tournament, but when.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: You come in having no expectations to win the tournament
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: and you basically, like I think U Mass basically accomplished
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: their goal by knocking off the undefeat of Miami Ohio,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: that was huge, man. So I think they could be
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: in a letdown spot here, even though this is the tournament.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: Toledo did play slightly later than they did yesterday, but yeah,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: you Mass also beat Toledo at U MASS. I think
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: the only time they played this year, they beat them
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: by two. So maybe Toledo will have some adjustments to
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: make here. Toledo is the better of these two teams,
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: not by a whole lot, but Toledo also they were
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: better in that game against Bowling Green that it looked
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: I thought Bowling Green would.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: Be better in that game because I like their defense,
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: and they almost won.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: Toledo was winning that whole game, dude, and then Bowling
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: Green somehow came back even though a defensive team that
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: doesn't play good offense like Bowling Green, usually they're not
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: equipped to come back. But Toledo's defense isn't that good.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: So Bowling Green came back in this game, but Toledo
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: did lead for eighty one percent of it. So the
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: final score is kind of misleading where it makes it
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: look like it was close, but it wasn't really. Bowling
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: Green went to the line way where both teams are
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: horrible from the free throw line, but Toledo was the
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: better team in that game. I think I would lay
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: it with Toledo in this one against UMass. The money
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: is coming in that way now. They're a three point favorite,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: the cash on them.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: Probably not accurate, but I would agree with the Toledo
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: side there.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: And then the other game is the rivalry game that
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: the MAC probably wanted between Kent State and Akron.
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: Round three.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: Akron, of course won both games during the regular season
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: because their only conference loss was to Miami Ohio. Akron,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: as I've been saying all year, I think they're the
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: best team in this conference. They're the highest power rated team.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: Akron being overlooked because everybody's talking about Miami, Ohio.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: Akron is a very good team though.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: They're like probably around top sixty and ken Pom they're
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: better than Kent State. Now, both teams played yesterday. Kent
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: State got that nice win or they pulled away from Ohio.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: We got the win on that yesterday. But for Akron,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: they got a scary yesterday.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Man. And you know what I'm about to say.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: When you have a really good team like Akron and
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: they were a huge favorite and they got a scare
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: like Akron did yesterday. They barely got by Buffalo in
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: the end, I like them to bounce back in the
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: next game, and I like them to give a better
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: effort in the next game.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Now, Akron, they were blowing Buffalo out of the building, dude.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: They were winning this game by like twenty points I
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: think in the second half at one point or close
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: to it. They had a double digit lead for most
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: of the rest of the game. And then I don't
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: know what happened, but they only scored two points in
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: the final four minutes of the game. They went on
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: like a three minute stretcher. They didn't score any points.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: Then Buffalo got back to within one point in the game,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: which is insane. And then so Akron got a real
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: scare yesterday. Is a huge favorite, double digit your favorite.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: So again, a team that gets a scare like that,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: I think they turn it on and they give you
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: a much better reffort in the next game. I like
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: Akron in this game, other seven point favorite, I would
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: lean towards laying it in this one. Seventy percent of
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: the tickets ninety six percent of the cash on them,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: So that that is my opinion on that game in
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: the MAC. And yeah, at this point, I think Akron
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: will win the tournament. And I think if you played
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: Akron on the futures market to win the tournament, which
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: I think was my recommendation, you know, if I gave
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: Andy in the MAC, you're in good shape because Miami
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: Ohio is gone, so you know this is gonna be
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: the most difficult game remaining for Akron. I think Kent
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: State these two teams really don't like each other, but
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: Akron did handle them both times this year, and they
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: are the better team in this case. And then you
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: know they'll match up against probably Toledo in the final
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: if everything goes according to playannel, though of course not
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: everything does all the time.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: All right, So that's the game.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: The Big East doesn't start until the evening, so we
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: do have some Big East action here. All the teams
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: in the Big East have already played. Now Seaton Hall
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: is playing Saint John's. Now, this is a huge game
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: for Seaton Hall, dude.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: I was worried about Seton Like.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: I did not think that Seton Hall was gonna win
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: that easily against Creighton yesterday. Seaton Hall really good on
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: the defensive side, but not so good on the offensive side.
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: This is a monster game, dude, because Seaton Hall, with
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: how bad the bubble has been, if.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: They win this game, they're they're probably playing themselves into
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: the tournament if they win this game here against Saint John's,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: and Saint John's doesn't really need the game, you know, Uh,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: Saint John's, They're already gonna be in the tournament. They're
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: gonna be a five somewhere in that range. Even if
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: they lose this game. This is double revenge for Seaton Hall.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: But Seat Hall did play St. John Saint John's pretty
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: tough in both games.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: They lost by.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: Five at Saint John's and they lost by seven at
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: home to Saint john two games ago. Now that might
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: mean the Saint John's will take them seriously because Seaton.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: Hall did play them tough. Uh.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: Seaton Hall really good on the deepfensive side, like I said,
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: which is good when you're an underdog, and they are
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: an underdog here as well. Now we got to see
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: what was Saint John's favor by at home excuse me,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: on the road at c Seaton Hall.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I guess they were five and a half.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: I think Saint John's about eight and a half today,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: so that does make pretty much.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: That pretty much makes sense Saint John's.
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: Remember they are playing in Madison Square Garden though, which
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: is like sort of their home arena.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: They're up to an eight and a.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: Half point favorite here, but I would take the points
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: with Seaton Hall here.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: Saint John's had an easy game yesterday though they played
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: in the tournament. They beat Xavier Providence excuse me, they
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: beat Providence. Connecticut beat Xavier. Saint John's beat Providence. Kind
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: of an easy win there, but kind of a big
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: game for Saint John's because Providence was the only team
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: besides Yukon that beat Saint John's in conference play this year,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: so they probably wanted to stick it to Providence. Again,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: and you know there's the whole Bryce Hopkins thing there
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: where he used to be on Providence now he's on
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: Saint John's.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with Seaton Hall here, man,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: it's a very low total. There are a really good
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: deepfense getting points here. They're trying to play, you know,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: to make the tournament at this point. And again, bubble teams,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: like I said, a lot of times they're overvalued, but
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: not when they're an underdog against a better team.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: Man, that's when.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: You actually want to look towards them because you know
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get an effort out of them. And I
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: don't know how much effort Saint John's is gonna give
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: you here seventy five percent ticket, seventy seven percent of
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: the cash at Saint John's. I think there'll be a
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: public side though, for sure, So I would, Yeah, I
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: would lean towards Seaton Hall in that one man. Uh,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: plus the points you know, under there's definitely an argument
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: for the under as well, because Seaton Hall they're just
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: not a good scoring team. They're really good on deepfense.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: Saint John's kind of similar in that their offense is
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: bad ish out had the top fifty. They were good defense,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: fifteenth in the country. Saint John's really lucky according to Kembum,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: forty fourth and luck. So Saint John's is turning out
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: kind of like last year. Man, Like all the knocks
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: on Saint John's last year pretty much all applied this
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: year too. They're the same team basically. They're They're a
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: fast paced team. They're good on defense, they're not good
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: enough on the offense. They're lucky according to Kembum. So,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: you know, they were a team I was looking to
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: bounce in the brackets last year. I had Texas Tech
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: bouncing them in the sweet sixteen in my bracket last year,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: which worked out fine as Texas Tech, you know, got
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: further than that, and Saint John's got bouncer earlier than that.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: But of course I had Texas Tech in the final
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: four and they had Florida totally on the ropes man,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: and they couldn't quite do it. Man, they were a
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: big underdog against Florida though. Anyway, what was I gonna
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: say here? Yeah, Seton Hall is actually the slightly better defense.
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: They're twelfth in the country. They're not that good on offense.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: They're a top fifty team.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: According to Kempbaum right now, they're way less lucky than
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: Saint John's at two seventy two, and they play slow
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: at three h two, so they might slow it down
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: and kind of frustrate Saint John's here. So yeah, a
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: lot of things to kind of like about Seaton Hall
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: in that game, actually, man, so I do like that one.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: Georgetown and Yukon is the later game here. Georgetown beat
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: Villanova last night, Man, big upset win for Georgetown there.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: Georgetown to make? Uh? Is this?
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: I think this is the semifinal. That's crazy, dude, Georgetown
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: makes the semifinal in the in the Big East.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: Man? What is what is? What is this? The nineties?
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: Is Patrick Ewing playing?
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, or maybe I guess the mid
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: two thousands Georgetown know was good with Roy Hibbert and whatever.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: They're Man, Georgetown making this run here to the semifinal
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: they actually believe it or not. They played Connecticut really
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: tough both times too. They lost at home by two
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: and on the road by four against Yukon, so they
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: played really well both times against Yukon. Yukon of course
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: might remember that and take them seriously. And Yukon, I
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: think they do have motivation in this tournament because they
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: are trying to get a one seed still. They're battling
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: with Florida basically for that final one seed, even though
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: Yukon would get set to the South, but I don't
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: think they care about that, like they want the better
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: brackets set up, which I think would be getting the
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: one seed does get a little bit of a better
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: path there. Yukon crushed Xavier last night, so you know
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: that game, I thought Yukon would would cover a man
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: after that bad season ending against Marquette and the fact
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: that I think they have motivation in this tournament, I
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: liked Yukon to cover that. Yukon also just they handled
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: Xavier every time they played them this year. Man, none
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: of the games were close. Xavier couldn't match up against
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: them at all. Georgetown, though, looks like they do match
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: up pretty well against Yukon. Now, Yukon they play slow.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: They're a little bit better on the defensive side than
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: the offensive side, so asking Yukon to cover a large
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: number not exactly what you want to do. Georgetown, they
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: got balance, they're a little bit better on defensive offense.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: They play slow as well. They're seventy six and ken Bomb,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: which isn't great, but they're not a horrible team. Very
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: unlucky according to ken Bomb, though in the bottom like
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: sixty or so, whereas Yukon is sixty second in luck.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: So there's a big luck disparity here too. I'll lean
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: to Georgetown plus the points in this one. Yukon fourteen
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, sixty seven percent of tickets
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: on them, excuse seventy seven percent of tickets on them,
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the cash low total.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: Man, it's expected.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: To be a slow game. Loan slow, and I agree
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: with that. Both teams play slow, so that's what's gonna happen.
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I think that means Georgetown can hang around
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: again in that game against Yukon, even though Yukon might
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: take them seriously this time. I'll lean towards taking the
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: points in that one. Okay, and oh I, I haven't
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: talked about the Big twelve yet either. Oh my god,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: another one of the big conferences. But we're almost done.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: We got miak here. The me Ac Howard was the
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: only team that got to buy because they have a
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: seven team tournament structure. Because Common State was ineligible.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: For some reason. I don't know, asked the NCAA.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: They suck anyway, though Howard is like, by far the
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: best team in this conference.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: Though they're on a roll. But the problem with Howard.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: Right now is I don't know if that buy is
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: really gonna help them, man, because they finished the season
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: winning six games in a row, beating Norfolk State, who's
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: I think probably the second best team in this conference.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: That's how the end of the season, and they haven't
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: played since then, so they're the only team that hasn't
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: played in the MEAC Tournament yet as far as the
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: MEAC Tournament's concerned. They might have too much time off here,
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: man and have to shed the rust. And they're playing
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: a bad South Carolina State team, I get it, but
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: Morgan Morgan State. Howard actually lost to South Carolina State
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: earlier this year on the road by one, which is insane.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: But maybe you can give him a pass because that
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: was I think their conference opener, so we didn't really
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: know who these teams were yet. And then when Howard
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: faced them late in the season, once Howard knew who
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: they were, they absolutely drilled them by twenty eight points
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: So it was, you know, a complete difference.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: You could make the argument Howard is a much different
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: team now than they were in that first game against
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: South Carolina State.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: South Carolina State.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: They pulled off the upset of Norfolk State in this tournament,
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: which I think might have been yesterday, a very very
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: unexpected upset.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: That was yesterday, so they're playing on no rest.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: However, again, they did get a you know, they did
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: get a game under the belt in this tournament. These
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: games were all being played in Norfolk, Virginia, so that
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: was even crazier that they beat Norfolk at Norfolk. Now,
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: Howard is the better team by so much that they're
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: a fifteen point favorite here. I don't think Howard's gonna
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: lose this game. I think I would be shocked if
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: they don't win this tournament. But they got to shed
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: the rust here, man, and I would lean to sell
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: to SC State plus the points. Man, I would probably
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: take the points in this one, even though I think
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: Howard should win this game. Tickets are fifty to fifty
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: cash fifty to fifty, so nothing to really. We can't
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: even really read into the percentages there. It's a pretty
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: low total in the one forties. I mean, the MIAC
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: most of their games are gonna be low scoring because
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: these offenses blow in this conference. The other game in
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: this conference is Delaware State and NC Central. Delaware State
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: beating Morgan State I think actually two days ago, I
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: want to say, because these games have been staggered. Yeah,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: that was an overtime win. They knocked out the two seed,
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: who I think was a bit of a fraud, Morgan State.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: Now they're playing NC Central. They lost both games during
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: the regular season at NC Central nine on the road
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: and by fourteen at home. N C Central is the
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: better team though, so I don't know. Maybe Delaware State
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: will make some adjustments to that though. For NC Central,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: I believe they played yesterday. They did so they have
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: a rest disadvantage. They had to play into overtime yesterday
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: to get by Maryland estern Shore, who I thought might
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: win that game. Money is coming in on NC Central.
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: It looks like they are the better team here. Four
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: and a half is the number, seventy tickets, eighty nine
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't know, man.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: I actually kind of lean towards Delaware State plus the
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: points because NC Central did have to go up against
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: a decent deepense yesterday, and Delaware State does have the
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 2: day off, did have the day off, yes, TODA, at
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: least in this case, I think that might actually help
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: them a little bit.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: All all these teams except Howard have already played in
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: this venue.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: For now, so yeah, I would probably lean towards the
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: points and that one, as weird as that one sounds,
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: all right. And then we have the Big Twelve, which
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 2: is playing only at night now because they think the
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: Big Twelve are in the semifinals now, So these these
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: are gonna be interesting games.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: Man. We have all the best teams in the Big.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Twelve are still alive, the top four teams pretty much.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately for Texas Tech, I think they have fallen behind
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: Kansas as far as ranking whatever now because Texas Tech, Yeah,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: just they're not the same team without JT.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: Topping. Man.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: The first game is really really good with Iowa State
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: in Arizona. And I told you when I did my
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: bracket breakdown, I thought Iowa State could potentially win this game,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: and I still think that now. They beat Texas Tech yesterday,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: which I think was pretty impressive even though it was
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech without JT. Top And I told you I
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: thought Iowa State would win and cover. They did, and
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: they looked really good in doing so. This Iowa State team,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: they're pretty good.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: Now they're playing in Arizona. But this is not, like,
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: you know, an insurmountable game for Iowa State.
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: Ken Bum has them seventh in the country. He's got
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: Arizona third, and I know.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: There is a bit of a gap here, Like there
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: is clearly a top four this year, just like there
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: were last year. Like as you can see even with
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: ken Bum's net ratings, he's got Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: and then there's a almost a three point net rating
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: drop off to the next team, Illinois. So there is
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: a significant gap between these top four and everybody else.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: And as far as net ratings goes, these are some
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: of the highest net ratings we've ever seen, especially Duke
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: and Michigan. There's almost a two point drop off even
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: after them, which is insane, and then a two point
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: drop off from Arizona to Florida two.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: So something to consider in the brackets too, Like I
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: think we almost have to take either Twoker Michigan to
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: win our brackets, even though I think the public is
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be taking those two teams as well, but
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: it might be a situation where the public is split
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: between those teams and you just, you know, you gotta
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: pick the one that's not being picked as much, or
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: pick the right one. Basically just hope to get it
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: right anyway. I think Iowa State can make this thing competitive.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: They lost at Arizona by sixteen the last time they played,
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: which I think was the only time they played this year,
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: so they might be able to make some adjustments off
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: of that. I don't think they're as bad as that
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: showing was. Arizona is definitely really good. They look pretty
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: impressive yesterday and clobbering UCF, But you know, I don't
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: think UCF is that good. They're gonna be in the tournament,
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: but I don't like them. I don't think they're a
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: particularly good team. Arizona looks really good and crushing them
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: eighty one to fifty nine, right, So people might think
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: that win was more impressive because, oh.
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Iowa State.
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: They beat that injured Texas Tech team, you know whatever,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: who was struggling in their last few games too. So
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: the public is gonna be on Arizona here. They're only
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: a four point favorite, though seventy three percent ticket seventy
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: six percent of the casual on them, I lean towards
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: taking the points of the Iowa stayed in this one.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: These games are all being played in Kansas City, for
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: what that's worth. Then the second game is Kansas in Houston.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be more of a defensive battle. The
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: money looks like it's coming in on the over in
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: this game, and this game, to me, profiles is an
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: under game. I don't know about the over here. I mean,
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: Houston's a top six defense in the country.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: They play super slow.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: Kansas is actually more of a mid tempo team, but
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: I think they're also fine playing a slow game. They're
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: a top ten defense as well, and they're outside the
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: top fifty on offense. So to me an under makes
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: sense in this game. Now for Kansas, they did beat
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: Houston once, and I believe this game did go under.
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: The total in that one was one thirty eight and
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: a half. But you know, in a semi final game,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be last. Yeah, it's at one thirty four
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: in that game, I believe it did go under. Yeah,
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: because we only saw one hundred and twenty five. I
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: think is where that game landed at the end. So yeah,
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: whatever it was, it was a low scoring game there,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: so I do think I expect this game to also
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: be that way, but maybe the side will be different
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: because Kansas took care of Houston at home, and you
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: remember I gave out Kansas as a play in that
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: game because Kansas had their worst home game of the
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: season the game prior to that against Cincinnati, and I
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: think maybe they were looking ahead to Houston. They came
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: out with a lot of fire after that really bad loss.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: Houston was coming off a couple of really tough games
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: against Iowa State in Arizona.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: They had a bad scheduling setup or they had to
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: go to.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: Ames, Iowa and then back home against Arizona, then too
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: Kansas to Allen Field House. You know, just really really
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: difficult part of the schedule for Houston, and those are
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: the basically the only games they lost, although they do
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: lose to Texas Tech earlier this year and to Tennessee
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: and Tournament Revenge earlier. But yeah, that was a difficult
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: scheduling spot for Houston. Man playing a third game in
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: a row like that, I think this might be different
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: this time around. Houston is actually the better team over Kansas.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: In fact, they're actually better on both sides of the ball,
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: and there even though they're not known as an offensive team,
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: they're actually still significantly better on the offensive side than Kansas.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: Is Houston.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much credit they're gonna get for
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: beating BYU yesterday.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: You know, I mean BYU.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: Some people like them because they're a good offense, but
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: only beating them by seven doesn't really look that great,
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: you know. Houston, it was their first game in the tournament.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: Like Pinzy said, they were struggling with with the court.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: But now they're used to the court, so I think
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have a better game this time.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: For Kansas.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: Kansas, they had a tough game yesterday. They played the
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: later game last night, and it was a tough game
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: against TCU. TCU could have won that game, so Kansas
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: did get a scare there. I actually thought TCU might
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: win that game when I talked about that the bracket breakdown.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: TCU they're absolutely gonna make the tournament at this point, though,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: there's no I don't think there are any worries about that.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: But Kansas did squeak by with the win, so both
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: teams got a little bit of a scaree there, but
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: I think Houston they're winning its BYU to me, seems
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: less impressive because TCU has been so hot recently that
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: I actually think Kansas is win is gonna look to
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: the public more impressive.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay the points with Houston here.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: They're five and a half, fifty two percent of the
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: tickets are on Kansas, fifty four percent of the cash
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: on Houston. I think probably the under would be my
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: preference here, though the money looks like it's coming in
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: on the over, which is a little bit strange there.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: All right, what do we have left here? Hour and
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: a half in But luckily we have almost no hockey
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: to talk about here. Uh so the uh, we'll finish
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: the show before the basketball actually starts, and then I
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: gotta figure out what to do about my bracketology. I
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: might do my quick bracketology uh shortly after this, but
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: we'll see, because I gotta upload this video and stuff.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: All right, we haven't talked about the acc yet either.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: Oh shit, let me see.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, anybody who's you know in the chat or whatever,
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: could you know let me know if I've skipped anything.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm skipping anything here.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: All right, we'll talk about the ACC is only playing
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: at like really late at night.
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: What did I miss? Oh? No, no, here it is.
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: Yes, it's the next game up Miami in Virginia. We're
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: in the ACC semi finals here. I think we're really
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: getting the top four teams in the conference playing each other.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I actually think Clemson is better than
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: North Carolina. My apologies, I guess to the North Carolina fans. Clemson,
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: by the way, I didn't even realize because I told
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: you I liked Clemson yesterday and they really they handled
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: North Carolina yesterday. Well, we'll talk about Clemson when we
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: get to them. Let's just yeah, let's go in order here.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: Miami Virginia. These two teams played not that long ago
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: in Virginia one by three at Virginia, which I think
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: was the only time they played this year. So Virginia
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: they won. I don't think they covered. Miami has been
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: pretty impressive this year, man, even though I still kind
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: of think they're an overrated team. They got a first
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: year coach here, but they've been impressive. They had a
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: pretty good win yesterday against Louisville Louisville very up and
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: down team. The Virginia kind of a more steady team
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: that plays slow. You know, they play good defense. Virginia
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: gotta win over NC State yesterday, which I think people
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: will be less impressed by that. I think people will
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: be more impressive. Oh, Miami beat a ranked Louisville team.
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: NC State. They're gonna make the tournament.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: Man, I mean, the bubble has just been awful, and
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: NC State already was on like the eight line, nine line.
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 2: They're gonna make the tournament somewhere. We'll see, you know,
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: what happens with them. But yeah, Virginia, I think that
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: win is gonna be considered to be a little bit
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: less impressive. Virginia might make some adjustments because they their
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: game against Miami at home wasn't that great. I kind
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: of like Virginia in this one. They're minus three and
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: a half, sixty two percent tickets, eighty five percent of
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: the cash on Miami though, so the money is coming
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: in on Miami. I'm not sure I really agree with
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: that one, but you know, I don't really have a
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: strong opinion on that game at all. According to Ken Bomb,
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: he's got Virginia nineteenth, which is really that great in
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: the Miami twenty seventh. Miami much more balanced, but Virginia
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: is the better defense and their offense is almost as good.
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: And they play slow, like I said, which Miami doesn't
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: play as slow. And he does have Virginia as a
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: very lucky team, though they have faced a somewhat easy
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: schedule this year. Twenty seventh in lock according to Gambum,
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: and that is a concern. Then Clemson and Duke is
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: the other game. Now Clemson, you'll see that they beating
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: UNC by one and they almost blew the game. I
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: watched the end of that game, but Clemson was winning
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: this game by a ton, dude. They dominated this game,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: to be honest, Clemson was running away with this game.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: It really wasn't even close.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know how NC statement or excusing UNC made
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: that run late in the game.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: Just kind of ridiculous.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: UNC did out rebound Clemson, but Clemson had a total
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: handle on that game. Clemson was winning seventy eight percent
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: of the game, so I think the final score was
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: a little bit misleading. However, that was a big game,
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: and it's a big deal when you beat North Carolina
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: man and now Clems has got to turn around and
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: play Duke. I know this is another big game, but
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: having to play two big games in a role like that,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: and you know it's gonna be a little bit of
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: a different style because UNC tries to speed you up,
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 2: Duke tries to slow you down, while Clemson wants to
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: slow you down as well.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: The problem is Duke is just way better at it.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: So a lot of times when you run into the
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: same type of team stylistically, but that team is way
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: better than you, you don't do that well. Now, Clemson
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: did play Duke once at Duke this year. It was
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: indeed a very slow based game. Duke won, and I
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: believe they probably didn't cover Duke one by thirteen. You know,
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: Now there are injuries on both sides that we got
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: to be aware of here. Clemson, which I didn't realize
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: going into the game yesterday, they were without Carter Welling,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: who is one of their better players. He's one of
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: their big men, so he didn't play yesterday. They still
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: had a good game anyway, and I am assuming he's
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: not playing in the ACC tournament, so that's something to
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: keep in mind. He's not playing for Clemson now, of
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: course we know Duke is also without a couple of guys.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: As I mentioned yesterday, Caleb Foster is not playing probably
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: until like basically Duke seems to be saying that he's
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: not going to be back until like late.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: In the NCAA tournament.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: If Duke gets that far, so he's out, and Caden
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: Boozer has kind of taken over that spot in the
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: starting lineup. Now, Duke does have enough depth that they
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: can kind of, you know, accommodate for all of that.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: And no, Gungba is also not playing one of their
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: big men, really the big man at six eleven, So
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have to, you know, try to overcome that
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: as well. Now they did it, you know, Now, Duke
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: didn't look good yesterday. They almost lost to Florida State.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: They barely got by and unfortunately, well not unfortunately, but
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: you know, I didn't see the game because I was
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: at the comedy show. But you know, that comedy show
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: was was really good. So I'm you know, I'm not
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: disappointed in that decision, but Duke didn't have a good game.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Florida State gave them a run. Man and Duke did
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: separate themselves later in the game. It looks like, but
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: Florida State never went away. Florida State they really played pretty.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: Well down the start.
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: You know they're not gonna make the tournament, but man,
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: I mean yeah, I mean they really they.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: Could I think be a tournament team.
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: Florida State ken mom as of fifty seventh, so you know,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: I guess they're not quite good enough there. But they
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: did give a lot of teams some problems this year,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: including last.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: Night they almost beat Duke.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: But I think Duke, you know, when you're the better team,
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: like that huge favorite sixteen a half bacvay and you
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: get a scare, what do I always say that team
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: usually comes out with more intensity in the next game
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: they play a lot better. So I think I would
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: have to lean towards laying the points of Duke here.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: Even though they're an injured team. Clemson has that injury
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: on their side too. Clemson really had to play a
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: tough game, and they played the later game last night too,
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: so you know, that was a really nice win over
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: UNC for them. The money is coming in on Clemson,
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: but I don't really agree with it. In Duke minus
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half, I think I would lay it
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: with Duke U sixty eight percent of tickets eighty six
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Clemson. It is a low
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: total in the low one thirties because both teams do
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: play really, really slow, so you know, all things to
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: keep in mind there. Then we have to finish this off.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: I think we only have I know, we have a
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: couple of conferences left. We have the Whack whaction going
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: on here, uh with the top two teams in the whack.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: Finally entering the tournament, UT Arlington is playing Utah Valley.
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: U t Arlington got the win yesterday.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: They covered barely, but I thought that they would Southern
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: Utah not a good team.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: Uh, so U t Arlington. They had a win against
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: a bad team.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: And what's good for them is they got you know,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: adjusted to the venue, So that's good for UT Arlington.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: So they do have a little bit of an advantage.
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: They played already in the tournament. Now, Utah Valley they
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: paid you know, the fee or whatever to get into
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: this tournament. So Utah Valley, you know, there were a
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: lot of question marks as to whether or not they
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: would play in this tournament. I'm glad they are because
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: I want to see them get into the NCAA tournament
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: man for the first time in program history, because they
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: are the best team in the whack and they're actually
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: like a top eighty something Ken Bomb team.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: Hopefully they could do it. Now.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: The problem with Utah Values they finished the season on
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: a six game win streak and they haven't played yet
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: in the tournament, so that could disrupt their momentum a
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: little bit, so that's not good.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: Now. They did finish the season with a scare on
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: the road at Utah Tech where they barely got by,
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: so maybe that will have them a little bit focused.
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: And the fact that they paid the.
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: Fee, the one million dollars or whatever so that they
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: could play in this tournament, that tells you they want
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: to be here, you know what I mean, They want
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: to play in this thing. So that does tell you
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: their motivation is here, they want to do it. I'm
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: assuming their motivation would be here anyway. I assume that
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: they want to, you know, make the tournament for the
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: first time ever. Utah Value is a pretty substantial favorite
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: here too. They're up to nine and a half in
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: the money has come in on them, up from seven
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 2: and a half to nine and a half.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets sixty six percent of.
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 2: The cash on them. This is being played at the
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: Orleans in Vegas. I think I would probably towards taking
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: the points with Arlington, though I believe Utah Valley beat
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: them all three times this season though so Utah Valley
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: has been able to handle them.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: But how tough is it to beat a team four.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: Times in the same season. I don't know, man, I
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: mean U t. Arlington will have some adjustments to make.
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: Maybe they just can't do it and don't match up well.
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: They lost by twelve at home of the most recent time,
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: they lost by twenty one on the road, and lost
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: by twelve on the road, so none of the games
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: were even really that close. Utah Valley covered this number
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: in every single one of them. But I would kind
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 2: of ly towards taking the points, man, because Arlington got
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: a game out of the way in this venue. Didn't
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 2: look that good. Not a strong opinion for me. And
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: then in the other game, Utah Tech is playing cal Baptist.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: Cal Baptists also hasn't played yet in this tournament. Utah
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: Tech played last night and they beat Ablin Christian, so
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: they have a game under their belt in the tournament.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: That should be a little bit of advantage in them
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: as well.
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: For cal Baptists, what do they do against Utah Tech
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: during the regular season.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: They most recently lost to Utah Tech by five on
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: the road.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: They beat them at home by nine, and also they
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: beat them at home by twelve in the prior games,
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: but cal Baptists didn't.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: They have not beaten Utah Tech outside of their home arena.
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: Cal Baptists also finished the season on a four game
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: win streak, so maybe their momentum could be a little
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: bit disrupted having to change over to tournament mode here.
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: Utah Tech, well, I already talked about them. They played
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: in the tournament last night, so not a whole lot
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: else to say about this, but I would probably into
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 2: taking the points again in this one with Utah Tech.
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: Cal Baptist is up to a six and a half
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: way favorite, sixty tickets.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: Seventy five percent of the cash on Utah Tech money.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: Kind of looks like it's coming back into the utah
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: Tech side. I would agree with that based on, you know,
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: the again, just having the advantage of having played in
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: the tournament already. I think that's really kind of the
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: way to lean in that one. All right, then we
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: have the Big West in the Mountain West. I think
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: those are the last ones I have to talk about.
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: Here. Got to finish this video.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: Man, cal State Northridge and you see Irvine were playing.
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: Cal State Northridge was able to beat U see San Diego.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately, because I wanted to see U see San Diego.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: I thought they might be able to make a run
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: in this thing. They're not the best team in this
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: conference this year, but there's still one of the better
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: teams Northridge.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: You know, they're not that much worse.
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: They did get the win last night, but they have
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 2: an advantage of having played in the tournament. These games
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: are all being played in Henderson, Nevada, so just outside
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: of Vegas. Northridge does have the advantage of our already
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: having played in the tournament. Now they're getting the top
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: team in the conference. You see Irvine here. According to Kenbaum,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: I believe Northridge just lost to them by one at home,
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: so they played them really close. And then early in
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: the season they did lose at Irvine by fourteen. So
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: Irvine did beat them both times. But Irvine has not
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: played yet.
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: In the tournament.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: They finished the season hot four games in a row,
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: four wins in a row, so again, I think the
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 2: advantage does go to north Ridge having not having played
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: in the tournament, whereas Irvine hasn't. We don't see the
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 2: percentages really here. Fifty to fifty tickets and cash not
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: really anything to draw from. But Irvine is a five
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: point favorite here now I think they should win. But
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: it's tough, man, It's kind of a tough spot. I
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: think I would take the points with north Ridge, and
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: then Kelsa. Fullerton is playing Hawaii, who is the two
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: seed and they've been one of the other best teams
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: in this conference, dev with a chance to win the
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: conference this year. Now Hawaii, I think the spot sets
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 2: up maybe a little better for them because they lost
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: a four game win streak in a bad performance at
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: home against Long Beach at the end of the season.
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: The Beach went out there and got the win at
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: a basically near a different beach. Long Beach knew they
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: weren't gonna make the tournament, so I think they just
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: went not even they weren't gonna make the conference tournament,
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, so they went all out for that win,
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: I guess. So I think that's good for Hawaiian that
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: they ended the season on a bad note and should
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: bounce back, but it did end their winning momentum, which
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: I guess isn't that good. But yeah, I mean, I
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: think they'll come out, you know, with some intensity here.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: In the last time they played Fullerton, they only beat
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: them by two on the road. They beat them earlier
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: in the season at home by ten. Hawaii is the
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: better team here.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: Fullerton did play in this tournament already, and they beat
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: UC Davis last night, so they do have a game
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: under their belt in the tournament, which again is an advantage.
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: And the money is coming in on Fullerton. Hawaii five
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: point favorite, fifty tickets, ninety percent of the cash on Fullerton.
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: I hear a weird sire right out there. Matter what.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: It almost sounded like an alarm. I'm like, my alarm's
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: not going off. I don't believe unless somebody's breaking in.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: I think it would have been.
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: It would have been a lot louder if it was
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: my alarm. Man, let me just check real quick. I'm
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: gonna check my alarm system here. Yeah, No, I got
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: nothing going on here.
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know what that was anyway, all right, But yes,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: I think I would probably lean towards taking the points
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: with Fullerton in that one, but that one really not
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: And then we have the Mountain West. They must be
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: playing really late at night. What do we have going
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: on here?
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: I think we're already in the semifinals in the Mountain West.
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: I think Nevada and Utah State.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: Playing each other here.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: Uh, you know, this tournament does set up a little
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: bit better for Utah State. Now they're gonna avoid Grand Canyon,
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: who I thought could give Utah State some problems. I
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: think maybe I'm gonna wind up being wrong and Utah
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: State is gonna win this conference tournament. But they got
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 2: kind of lucky man that they're gonna avoid some of
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: these better teams, although again the other side of the
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: bracket is a little bit more stacked. But I thought
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: Grand Canon would beat Nevada and give Utah State some problems.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: Nevada won though.
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: Now they actually beat Utah State at home back when
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: they last played by three. They lost on the road
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: by nine, so they they played pretty well against Utah
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: State in both games. Maybe Utah State will be the
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 2: team to make the adjustments though, because Utah.
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: State did lose the most recent game.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 2: Utah State also played yesterday and they blew out UNLV,
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: which you know does look more impressive. I told you
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: I thought they would cover because they lost both games
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: to UNLV, including getting totally embarrassed the last time they
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: played in UNLV. If you saw I tweeted out, you
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: know I tweeted out yesterday. Josh Passon, or the coach
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: for UNLV, former Memphis coach, had this really weird rant
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: after they beat Wyoming. I'm like, dude, like, he looks
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: like he's high on something. I'm like, I don't think
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: they're gonna win their next game. Utah State sure enough,
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: blew them out, took them really seriously. Now, UNLV they
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: actually host this tournament. It's in Vegas at the Thomas
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: and Mac. But as Pasterners said, it's been a house
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: of horrors, and he had to spell it because it
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: sounded like he said, whares. That's another place in Las Vegas,
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: the house of whores. Utah State, Yeah, yeah, I mean
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: UNLV has not done well in this tournament, even though
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: it's been on their home floors.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: So take that for what you want.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: The Utah State did beat them, they'll good and doing
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: so now they're getting Nevada here. The money is coming
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 2: in a Nevada here, Utah State minus six and a half,
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: cash coming in Nevada. I kind of agree with that
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: with taking the points from Nevada here. They played Utah
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: State difficult both times, played them tough. I should say
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: Utah States win yesterday. I think it's gonna look more
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: impressive to some people just because I know UNLV kind
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: of made some noise. Whereas Nevada, I feel like they've
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: been a bit under the radar this season, and they're
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: not that bad. Like if you look at ken Bom
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: Nevada they're seventy third and ken Palm, which is not
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: that bad. They play slow, they're pretty balanced. Utah State,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: I believe, wants to go faster than that. I'm more
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 2: of a mid tempo team. They're definitely the better team,
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: but Nevada, you know, does have some balance and they're
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: the less lucky team according to Ken Bomb. So, Josh,
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 2: what's up man, Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, I'm having
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 2: strokes all over the place, Dude, I have like I
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 2: don't know, like I'm allergic to everything. Man, I think
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know, like the dust whatever I'm always having, like,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: I don't know, sinus problems. I don't know what it is.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: It's well, actually it's like really dry air in here.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: I think that's really the problem. And then we have
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: a perhaps a bubble battle here between New Mexico and
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: San Diego State. It is possible that the winner of
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: this game is going to play themselves into the tournament.
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: Man, I'm not gonna say that for sure, but it's
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: a huge game for both teams. That's all you gotta know.
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, the motivation is going to be there for
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: both teams. Plus obviously the winner of this game is
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: going to be in the final and have a shot
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: to get the auto bid here. So you know, this
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: is a good game. New Mexico beat San Jose State yesterday.
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: That's not unexpected. San Jose State coming off a very
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: unexpected upset of Boise.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: One of the most shocking results of the entire conference
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 2: tournament season, to be honest, but not shocking, was that
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 2: New Mexico beat them, and I believe they covered in
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: that game. Not shocked by that. I beat them by sixteen.
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 2: San Diego State had a decent win yesterday as well.
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: I believe they wound up covering against Colorado State. I
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: thought Colorado State might cover in that game. I think
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: that's the way I leaned. But that was a more
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: difficult game for San Diego State. So New Mexico might
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 2: set up a little bit better in this one because
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 2: they played a much easier game, But it does also
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: mean they haven't battle tested themselves in this tournament yet.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on San Diego State their
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: two and a half point favorite, fifty five percent of tickets,
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the cash on San Diego State. Now,
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: San Diego State is the better defense, so there is that,
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: and they actually play a little bit faster than you
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: would think this season.
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: New Mexico still, I think.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: Is the faster paced team though, yeah, forty fifth in
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: the country.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: Although believe it or not, San Diego State.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 2: We're used to them being the slope ace team. They
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: actually play somewhat fast as well. They're a bit lopsided though.
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: They are really good on defense and not that good
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: on offense, so kind of a weird profile that I
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: don't really love. Ken Maummley has some like three ranking
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: spots higher than New Mexico. New Mexico is, believe it
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: or not, better on defense than offense this year and
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 2: more balanced.
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: I actually kind of like New Mexico in that game
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 2: plus the points.
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: But we'll see what happens in that game. I don't know.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: It seems like it's like always San Diego State.
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 2: But we'll see, and we'll see what happens in the
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: finals matchup there, dude. Both of those games are actually good.
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: Those Mountain West semifinals there and the final. All those
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 2: teams left are solid teams, competitive teams, all right, and
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: that's I think that's it for college basketball finally, so
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: let's run down the hockey.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: In the NBA.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to get out of here before the
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: games started at eleven thirty.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be doable.
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: We'll play in either of them. The first one is
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: the Kings that the Islanders. Now, most of the hockey
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: teams played yesterday, so I don't.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: Really have to.
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 2: Deal with too many hockey games today. I don't think
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: either of these teams played yesterday, though. I think these
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: were a couple of the only teams that were off.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: Now the Kings actually haven't played since Tuesday and they
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: lost at Boston, and now they're only going for Boston
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: and New York with a couple of days off to
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: try to redeem themselves, you know, get over that loss.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: I think it's a good spot for the Kings. And
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 2: they've actually been a decent road team sixteen eight and eight.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: That's not too bad on the road this year. The
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: Islanders had that a good season. They're coming off a
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: couple of wins. Most importantly, though, they're returning on from
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 2: a road trip, and you know, I don't like that spot.
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: They went out to the Pacific Coast. Actually, they've been
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 2: on the road for more than a week. They've had
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: a couple of days off, and I think that kind
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: of exacerbates the return home spot in a lot of ways.
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: A lot of times you come back and you're distracted.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 2: You got to get back to home life, you got
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: stuff to do at home.
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: It's a bad spot. Now.
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: The issue is their next game up is not a
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: game they're gonna be looking ahead to Calgary, so they
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: don't have the look ahead here, and in fact, they're
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 2: actually playing a team that beat them on the road.
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 2: Trip La, so the Islanders might actually show focus here.
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 2: I would still have to.
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: Lean to the Kings, though, I consider putting this on
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: my card, and then I was like, I don't think
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: I could do it, man, But I lean to the
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: Kings here, Like, there's no way that I would play
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: a team returning home from a road trip. That's just
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: that like a long trip like that.
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: Islanders down for minus one thirty five to minus one
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 2: twenty nine, seventy two percent of tickets, eighty eight percent
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them. But I disagree with that
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: cash percentage and it might change, So.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I would.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Kings on the money line
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: there as the underdog Edmonton and Saint Louis is the
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 2: other game Edmonton actually played yesterday, but they got absolutely
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 2: destroyed by Dallas, so.
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: They could be in a bounce back mode here. They will.
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: They will switch goalies.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: I assume back to Ingram here. Maybe that's better because
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: they won his last two games. They won three of
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 2: his last four, so you know, maybe that's better than
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 2: having Jari in there.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. Edmonton is playing a fourth.
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 2: Game in six days, though, all in different cities, and
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 2: that's not easy to do. But you know, after last
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 2: night's she lacking, even though it was against a really
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: good Dallas team, I think they might be angry and
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 2: show up with some focus here. Meanwhile, Saint Louis is
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: in a pretty bad spot because they upset Carolina yesterday
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 2: and they're also on a back to back. They've had
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 2: travel between all of these games. They're playing a third game,
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 2: third game in four days, a fourth game in six
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: days with travel between all of them, and a fifth
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 2: and eight also with travel between all of them. Upset
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: Carolina on the road yesterday. Somehow I have no idea
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 2: how now they're returning home from that could be a
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: letdown spot where I think Edmonton's in kind of the
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: bounced back spot.
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: I like Edmonton in this game.
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: They're down for minus one sixty to minus one fifty
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of tickets ninety one percent of the
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: cash on them.
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: I considered both games for.
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 2: Being on my card today, to be honest, but I
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: think they both just can't quite get there.
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: But I would lean to Edmonton in this one.
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 2: In the the redemption spot where Saint Louis is in
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: I think a major letdown spot, but mentally they're gonna
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: get up for a game against Edmonton because it is
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: a big game against you know, one of the best team,
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: one of the better teams, I should say, in the
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: Western Conference. Uh So I'm gonna stay away from it.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 2: But that's those are my thoughts there. Of course, the
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 2: JavaScript is now no longer working. Even though I was
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: just able to go to the NHA, wouldn't let me
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: go to the NBA.
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: Let's finish this off. Man.
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 2: We got the NBA and then we're done NBA. I
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: don't have much here in the NBA. Man, there's really
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 2: no game that I even really have a strong opinion on.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: Memphis is at Detroit. Memphis on a long losing streak here,
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 2: I believe. Let me see, Yeah, they've lost six games
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 2: in a row. They played yesterday though, and they're in
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: a very dreaded Look at the schedules.
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: They're playing a fourth game in five days, Is that right?
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: They played the ninth, ten, twelfth, and thirteenth.
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 2: That is brutal, dude. That almost never happens in the
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: NBA anymore. A fourth game in five days, and I
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: know they've lost all those games, and theoretically they should
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 2: get up for a game against Detroit. But you're not
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: gonna find me playing on a team that's playing a
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 2: fourth game in five days. Although it is you know
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 2: that type of spot is going to be factored into
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: the line though, but maybe not enough Detroit. They're coming
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 2: off of a blowout win yesterday over Philadelphia, They're playing
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: a fourth game in six days, and they do have
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: a turnament tournament team, a playoff team in Toronto playoffs
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 2: on deck, so you know, you could make the argument
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: they're kind of a sandwich spot here after blowing out PHILLYO.
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: That was a Philly team that has nobody in their
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 2: lineup right now, that Philly team everyone is injured or suspended,
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 2: so maybe they won't really be feeling too high on
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: themselves about that. But yeah, I mean, I don't want
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 2: anything to do with this game. Pistons are a sixteen
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 2: point favor and it looks like the money is still
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: coming in on them seventy two percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on them. The Grizzlies are
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 2: of course, playing with basically none of their typical starters either,
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 2: so I think I would probably still lay the points
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: with the Pistons in that one. With how bad that
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: spot is. A fourth and five is ridiculous, don't I
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 2: don't think I've seen that in the NBA for like years, man,
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 2: I can't remember the last time I've seen it. The
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 2: Knicks are going to be at the Pacers here. The
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 2: Knicks blew out Utah in their last game, and now
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 2: they're finishing a road trip, and it could get to
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 2: a point where maybe you're getting a little bit ti
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 2: you know, they're actually playing a fifth game in eight days,
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: I believe is what this is, and a sixth game
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 2: in ten days, all in different cities, and a seventh
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 2: and eleven all in different cities.
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: So that's not easy.
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 2: The Knicks could, you know, potentially run out of steam
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 2: a little bit here. They did just they were on
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: the Pacific coast, then they went into elevation.
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: They blew out Utah. Now they're going to Indiana.
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 2: They might not pay that much attention to They do
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 2: have Golden State on deck, which is somewhat of a
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 2: bigger game just because it.
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: Is the Warriors Indiana.
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 2: You know, it looks like they're trying, I guess, because
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 2: they did actually put in a good effort yesterday and
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: their game that they played in the return home spot
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 2: against Phoenix, they still actually played pretty well. Actually know
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 2: they lost my What am I saying? I thought they
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 2: lost my five? They lost by fifteen, but they lost
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 2: my five in the previous game, So I don't know.
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much effort you're really getting out
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 2: of Indiana. But second game back home is usually a
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 2: better spot, man, even though I know they're on the
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 2: back to back. But a lot of times when a
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: team returns home, like I said, it's a distraction spot.
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: Teams don't play well.
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 2: But a lot of times they don't play well, they
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: show up and they play better in the next game.
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: And I think they'll at least try to show up
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: for a game against the Knicks.
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 2: I think this might be one of the rare spots
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 2: where you do get effort out of the Pacers. I
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 2: would lean towards taking the points with the Pacers here,
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 2: plus the Knicks. They're really they're really not a good
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: road team.
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: You're asking them to lay thirteen and a half now
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: on the road. I would not do that. Sixty five
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 2: percent of ticket, seventy seven percent of the cash on
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: the Knicks playing a seventh game in eleven days, and
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 2: they're only eighteen and eighteen and sixteen on the road.
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 2: That is yeah, that's not something I would want to do.
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 2: And the Pacers ten out of their fifteen wins have
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 2: come at home, so they do play better at home,
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 2: so I would lean towards taking the points there. Phoenix
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 2: at Toronto. Phoenix, like I said, did play yesterday. They
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 2: got kind of an easy win over the Pacers. Though
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 2: they're playing a third game in four and as fourth
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 2: game in six days, all in different cities, and they
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 2: do a Boston, Minnesota, San Antonio on deck, and maybe
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 2: those are bigger games. I don't know, playing Toronto here.
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 2: Toronto is going to be a playoff team, though I'm
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 2: pretty sure Toronto not as good at home either, so
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe Phoenix will give you an effort here.
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 2: Phoenix has been a good covering team this year, one
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 2: of the better covering teams against the spread this year.
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: Raptors are not good at home.
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 2: Seventeen and sixteen, that's pretty bad. Phoenix seventeen and fourteen
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 2: on the road. They're actually a fairly good road.
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: Team for what it's worth.
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 2: I know, I mean, I basically said the Knicks are
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 2: not that the Knicks are just way worse on the
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: road than they are at home. You know, Phoenix is
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: actually just decent both ways, but Toronto is actually worse
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: at home than they are on the road.
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not.
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: Now, Toronto's coming off a bad loss to New Orleans
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: that's pretty ugly, and they didn't play yesterday. They're returning
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip, but it was only a
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 2: Tuesday Wednesday trip, so I don't think it's gonna be
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 2: a trip where they're gonna, you know, a return where
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be massively distracted. But they do play Detroit next,
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 2: and that is a big game, so I guess is
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit of a worry of a look
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: ahead there.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: The Raptors are up to a four and a half
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: point favorite.
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 2: Some of it is because you have to factor in
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 2: the fact that the Suns are on a back to back.
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 2: I think I would probably still lay it with the
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 2: Raptors here, but I don't love it by any means.
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: Fifty nine percent of the tickets and cash on them.
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 2: I don't even really want to give out an opinion
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 2: in that game, to be honest. Cleveland at Dallas is
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 2: in the first game of the Amazon Prime doubleheader. Cleveland
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 2: just lost to Orlando, not a great loss for them there,
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 2: so maybe they will be in bounced back mode after that.
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 2: But they're playing a fourth they're actually playing a well
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 2: fourth game. I was gonna say they're playing a fourth
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: game in five days, though. They're playing a fourth game
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 2: in six days though, which is not that easy to
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 2: do either. Of course, Dallas.
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: Coming into this game.
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 2: Let me see, Dallas beat Memphis in their last game.
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 2: But that's good for Dallas because they broke along losing streak.
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 2: You know, when you're losing every game like this, you
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 2: finally break that lost week. Sometimes it gives you some
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 2: new momentum, and it did help them the last time
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 2: they did it. They did win their next game, and
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 2: they should at least have motivation against Cleveland here. But
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 2: they're also playing a fourth game in six days. They're
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: playing a sixth game in nine days, I think is
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 2: what that is. In a seventh game and eleven that
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 2: is really really difficult as well, all in different cities.
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 2: And the worst thing about it is the returning home
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, of course, so you know, I
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 2: hate the road trip. Returning spots man, they've been on
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: the roads. It's March third, and they're returning home from
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 2: that road trip again. You got to get back to
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 2: home life. It's on a back to back. Could be
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 2: a distracted spot, although theoretically you should get up for
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 2: a game against Cleveland, but this is a really.
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: Difficult spot for Dallas. I can't get involved in this
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: game at all.
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 2: It's a horrible spot, though, I think really for you know,
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 2: actually for Cleveland. I think it could be more of
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot after that loss to Orlandos. I
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 2: think I would lay the points with Cleveland in this
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 2: one if I was gonna play it. They're minus thirteen
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 2: and a half on the road. But like I said,
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 2: in the NBA, are some situations where it makes sense
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: to lay the points on the road. The last time
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 2: I said that, it was correct and it was a
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 2: blowout road win for Detroit in revenge against Brooklyn. Tickets
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of the cash on the Caves money
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 2: seems to be agreeing with the Calves.
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: I agree with it as well.
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately, the teams the Celtics are vying for the number
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 2: two spot against they're all playing really easy games today,
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 2: So fuck that. The Knicks in Cleveland, while the Celtics
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 2: just had to play one of their most difficult stretches
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 2: on the road against the Spurs and the Thunder, and
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: they played really well in those games.
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: Is still lost both of them on New.
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 2: Orleans coming up beating Toronto here, now they're going to
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 2: play Houston here. This is New Orleans versus Houston. If
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: I didn't say that New Orleans, you know they've actually
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 2: given Houston problems this year. They beat Houston outright once
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 2: and I think they covered in the game at Houston,
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 2: and I think we actually won plays on.
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: Both games on New Orleans. Believe it or not.
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 2: This is not what I'm gonna touch them. New Orleans
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: did just beat Toronto coming into this game. I think
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 2: they had yesterday off. Houston had yesterday off too. They're
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 2: playing a third game of four days, a fourth game
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 2: in six days, with travel between all of it.
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: They just got absolutely drilled.
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 2: By Denver on the road. So in theory they should
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 2: bounce back from that. But the problem is they're coming
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 2: out of elevation coming back home with a game that
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 2: you at least get way up for emotionally, and they
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 2: have the Lakers on deck, which might be a look ahead,
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 2: so I don't love it, although Houston might show up
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 2: with some focus just because the Pelicans have given them
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 2: issues recently. But I still think I would probably take
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 2: the points of the Pelicans here. Rockets are seven point favorites,
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets on them, sixty one percent
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming back on the Pelicans, so the
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 2: money is on the Pelicans there. I tend to lean
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 2: that way as well, but not a strong opinion Minnesota
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 2: versus Golden State. At Golden State, I should say Minnesota
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 2: just had an embarrassing loss at the clip where they
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 2: give up one hundred and fifty three points to the Clippers.
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 2: A lot of times when that happens, you'll see a
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 2: team come out with a much better effort the next game.
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 2: You know, potentially you could look at Golden State to
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 2: go under their team total this time, because this Minnesota team,
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 2: they're not a bad defense, and I think they're gonna
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 2: come out with a lot more defensive intensity here. But
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: the problem is they do have Ooklahoma City on deck,
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 2: so maybe they'll be looking ahead to that. But this
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 2: is an Amazon Prime game at least, so the team
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 2: should get up for it now. Golden State I mean,
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 2: they're still dealing with a bunch of injuries.
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: They return home.
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: In their last game, they had a bad game on
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 2: Tuesday against Chicago, losing an overtime as a favorite.
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: So Golden State should bounce back from that.
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 2: They play the Knicks next, but they're not going to
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 2: overlook Minnesota. Man in Golden State with two days off
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: You know, I think.
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 2: Golden State both teams should be focused here. But I
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 2: do kind of like to swave for Golden State. You know,
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: they're still without Curry, very injured team, so that has
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 2: to be taking into account. But it is factoring into
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 2: the line of course. So the fact the Tea Wolves
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 2: are laying six and a half on the road, but
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 2: seventy four percent of ticket sixty six percent of the
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 2: cash on them, I'd lean towards the Warriors here plus
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 2: the points. So that's the way that I would look
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 2: at that game. I would, yeah, take the points of
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 2: the Warriors there. Hold on, let me let me just
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 2: make sure that I don't I didn't have a play
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 2: in the eleven thirty game right now, because that was
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis. Oh yeah, my plays are both at night.
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 2: So we're definitely fine for me to get those videos
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 2: out on Instagram, all right, But yeah, I lean towards
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 2: Golden State plus the points Utah at Portland. Utah just
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 2: got had a blowout loss basically at home to the Knicks.
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe a good thing for them to just forget about
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 2: it go out on the road. Uh, they didn't play yesterday,
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 2: so you know, maybe the refocus first game of the
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 2: road trip usually is a focused spot for a team.
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 2: Don't know how much effort Utah is putting into these
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 2: games though, they're kind of an injured team just playing
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 2: out the stretch here. Portland did just put in a
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 2: pretty big effort against Charlotte, just to fall short by
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 2: two points against Charlotte, So that was a pretty big
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 2: game for them. They're staying at home off of that,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 2: but I think that was a bigger game because Charlotte
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 2: is so hyped right now, and Portland does have probably
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 2: a bigger game on deck against Philadelphia.
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 1: They start a road trip at the very least, which
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: is usually a.
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 2: Spot that you focus on, So I probably I guess
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Jazz here. Blazers are a
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 2: fifteen point favorite, which I don't know if the Blazers
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 2: should really be that much of a favorite against most
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 2: teams in the NBA. Fifty one percent of the tickets
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 2: on the Blazers, fifty one percent of the cash on
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 2: the Jazz Fifty one percent is not a huge percentage, obviously,
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 2: but it looks like the money is sort of indicating
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 2: on the Jazz.
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: I agree with it. And then we have Chicago at
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: the Clippers.
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 2: Chicago, after that overtime upset of Golden State, they actually
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 2: played again after that.
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: They played yesterday and.
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 2: They lost at the Lakers, where I thought they were
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 2: in a decent spot to cover against the Lakers yesterday.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 2: I worried about it because they were coming off that
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 2: overtime when I think they missed the cover by a
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 2: half point last night losing by twelve against the Lakers. Yeah,
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 2: they missed by like a point, almost a point. Basically,
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 2: that would have been probably a brutal loss if you
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 2: had Chicago plus the points there, which was one of
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 2: my leans and it was my second strongest NBA lean,
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 2: But at least we got there with my strongest one,
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 2: so I'm happy about that.
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: Now Chicago is staying in LA, they're playing.
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 2: A back to back, they're playing a fourth game in
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 2: six days though, all in different cities, which is or no,
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 2: not all in different cities, all in different arenas, which
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 2: is not that easy to do. But at least they
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 2: are staying in La. The Clippers, like I said, they're
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 2: coming up that game where they put up one hundred
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 2: and fifty three points against Minnesota and blew them out
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 2: after beating the Knicks too, so they could definitely be
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 2: in letdown mode off of that. Those are some really
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 2: nice wins for the Clippers there. Unfortunately they only have
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 2: Sacramento on deck tomorrow. It is an ESPN game, but ye,
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 2: I mean Sacramento.
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: Not really a look ahead. But this is a difficult one.
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 2: The Clippers are up to thirteen minus thirteen here, seventy
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 2: six percent of the tickets, eighty four percent of the
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 2: cash on the Clippers. I think I would lean to
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 2: taking the points of the bulls still in that one.
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 2: But yeah, that's a difficult read for me, and that's
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 2: gonna do it, man. So once again, let's check my
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 2: two plays here. The money is still agreeing with me
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 2: on Davidson, and it started to agree with me on
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 2: u CLA.
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: There we go. I told you the market would start
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: moving there you go.
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 2: Hopefully it winds up that way tonight, though, But those
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 2: are my two plays.
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: One more time.
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 2: The only play is today Davidson plus the points in
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 2: the Atlantic ten and UCLA plus the points. I know
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 2: how crazy that looks, but yeah, we're gonna do that.
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 2: Find the best number on both.
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: Of course.
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 2: I think you can get two on Davidson out there.
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 2: Ucla you might be able to get six. Let's get
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 2: it done. Let's keep the heat going, man. Learn it
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 2: tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram. You know
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 2: the drill, like, subscribe to the channel here, give me
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 2: good comments, you know, listen on audio, give me good
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 2: review reviews on audio, Apple and Spotify. Covering You is
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 2: my yuke channel on YouTube. You check that out as well.
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 2: Patreon dot com. Learn to toad to get some bonus
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 2: yuke stuff.
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: Loser Casts, the.
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 2: Comedy podcast that I'm on. We'll be back every Tuesday night,
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 2: and that's gonna do it.
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 2: I'll be back because I gotta do the bracketology that
• 2:07:13
  Speaker 2: I usually do on Thursday.
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: So I gotta get that out probably shortly.
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 2: I might come back and do it before I eat lunch,
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 2: so after I get the stuff uploaded, be on the
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 2: lookout for that.
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: Subscribe and you'll get the notification for that. I'll be back.
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: That'll do it for now, Thanks guys, I appreciate it.
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 3: Peace